✖️Coronavirus TIMELINE

✖️Coronavirus TIMELINE — Nathan Rich

Nathan Rich

AI-assisted summary of ✖️Coronavirus TIMELINE — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Key ideas

  • Nathan Rich presents a detailed chronological analysis of China's early COVID-19 response to counter claims that the initial investigation and public health response were unusually slow or neglectful. (0:01)
  • The timeline shows local health authorities moved from identifying four atypical pneumonia cases on December 26–27 to notifying the World Health Organization and broadcasting public alerts via CCTV on December 31, 2019. (3:26)
  • Direct comparisons with the 2002–2003 SARS epidemic indicate China alerted the WHO in days rather than three months and isolated the pathogen within weeks. (5:04)
  • Following confirmation of human-to-human transmission in mid-January 2020, Chinese authorities mobilized an unprecedented nationwide lockdown, quarantined entire provinces, and constructed dedicated emergency hospitals within roughly ten days. (10:13)

Detailed notes

## Background Published on YouTube by Nathan Rich on February 13, 2020, this video presents an analytical breakdown titled "Coronavirus TIMELINE." The video's description provides community support links, affiliate gear links, social media handles, an acknowledgment that the video was previously demonetized, and a patron thank-you list accompanied by the channel tagline "It's OK to Love China!"

## TL;DR Nathan Rich presents a detailed, color-coded chronological timeline mapping the initial emergence and governmental handling of the coronavirus outbreak in China from late 2019 through early February 2020. He traces the progression of alerts from Dr. Zhang Jixian's initial case cluster up through municipal and national health commissions to the World Health Organization within days, alongside the isolation of the virus and the eventual confirmation of human-to-human transmission. The presentation outlines the rapid implementation of public masking, the quarantine of Wuhan, the rapid construction of field hospitals, and nationwide directives issued by the Politburo Standing Committee. By contrasting this rapid mobilization with the three-month delay seen during the 2002–2003 SARS epidemic, Rich counters popular narratives alleging a slow or negligent state response, asserting that the measures taken were remarkably fast and aggressive.

## Atmosphere & style The video carries a methodical, intensely analytical, and assertive tone, functioning as a point-by-point rebuttal against widespread online criticisms and skepticism. Rich presents his timeline like an evidence dossier, moving deliberately from early hospital memos to sweeping nationwide containment orders with focused, steady earnestness. Watching the video feels like sitting through a detailed post-mortem briefing, where color-coded charts and day-by-day chronologies are leveraged to challenge public perceptions of institutional delay and project an impression of rapid governmental crisis management.

## Bulletin - [00:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=1s) Nathan Rich presents a detailed chronological analysis of China's early COVID-19 response to counter claims that the initial investigation and public health response were unusually slow or neglectful. - [03:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=206s) The timeline shows local health authorities moved from identifying four atypical pneumonia cases on December 26–27 to notifying the World Health Organization and broadcasting public alerts via CCTV on December 31, 2019. - [05:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=304s) Direct comparisons with the 2002–2003 SARS epidemic indicate China alerted the WHO in days rather than three months and isolated the pathogen within weeks. - [10:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=613s) Following confirmation of human-to-human transmission in mid-January 2020, Chinese authorities mobilized an unprecedented nationwide lockdown, quarantined entire provinces, and constructed dedicated emergency hospitals within roughly ten days.

## Key takeaways - [00:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=1s) The timeline is constructed using color-coded categories (general events, proactive measures, new data, and international spread) to evaluate early pandemic decisions against empirical records. - [01:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=113s) The earliest animal-to-human transmission is retroactively estimated to around November 6, 2019, based on a 24-day incubation period and the earliest confirmed non-market patient. - [02:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=153s) Dr. Zhang Jixian first identified four unexplained pneumonia cases on December 26–27, triggering immediate notification to district, municipal, and provincial CDC bodies within 48 hours. - [03:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=206s) Internal hospital notices leaked online on December 30, the same day Dr. Li Wenliang sent private warnings to colleagues and the Wuhan CDC notified China CDC. - [05:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=304s) By December 31, CCTV broadcast public warnings, authorities recommended masks, an expert team arrived in Wuhan, and China CDC formally alerted the World Health Organization. - [05:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=328s) The speed of notification to the WHO (under a week from initial clinical discovery) sharply contrasted with the 2002–2003 SARS outbreak, which took three full months. - [07:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=433s) Early January saw a reporting lull while scientists conducted rigorous viral isolation and gene sequencing, ruling out SARS, MERS, and known influenza variants by January 2. - [07:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=472s) Initial scientific statements in early January stating there was no confirmed human-to-human transmission reflected laboratory findings at that time rather than proven deception. - [08:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=521s) China shared the full viral genetic sequence with the WHO on January 10, the same date Wuhan reported its first fatality. - [09:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=560s) On January 15, Wuhan municipal authorities updated guidance to acknowledge limited human-to-human transmission was possible, initiating transport screening and rapid escalation. - [09:55](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=595s) Wuhan's Baibuting community mass banquet, held after human transmission was suspected, represented a major administrative mistake amidst early containment efforts. - [10:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=613s) Confirmation of human-to-human transmission triggered rapid measures across Wuhan, including free medical treatment for flu symptoms, mask mandates, and the January 23 complete transit quarantine. - [11:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=698s) A January 25 Politburo Standing Committee directive placed coronavirus control as the highest priority nationwide, launching school closures, transit stops, and wildlife trade bans across China. - [12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=768s) Dr. Li Wenliang's repeated negative tests before testing positive on January 30 highlighted early diagnostic limitations and frequent false negatives. - [13:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=816s) Dedicated facilities Huoshenshan and Leishenshan were constructed and opened within approximately ten days to handle patient overflow in Wuhan. - [14:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=846s) Comparative analysis indicates that, despite missteps and initial diagnostic friction, China's centralized public health response was exceptionally aggressive compared to historical precedents.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=1s) Introduction and Methodology of the Timeline

Nathan Rich (also known as Huo Guo Da Wang / 火锅大王) introduces a comprehensive timeline examining the coronavirus outbreak in China. To make the timeline clear and readable, he explains the color-coding scheme used throughout: blue items represent general events, green indicates proactive and generally positive measures, beige highlights new information, and purple marks instances where the virus spread to other countries. The scope is deliberately constrained to events within China to avoid becoming unwieldy.

He notes that certain entries marked with "later" represent events that occurred on a specific date but were only uncovered or reported retroactively. Other milestones show discrepancies of a single day across sources due to time-zone reporting differences between Western outlets and Chinese local time; in these instances, he either uses the most widely reported date or defines a two-day range. Nathan emphasizes that the purpose of building this timeline is to counter pervasive internet rumors, strange conspiracy theories, and conflicting narratives about the early handling of the outbreak. Regarding viewers claiming the initial investigation was hopelessly stalled, he states: “One of the comments I got was that the investigation was extremely slow and that the beginning stages were very slow. And so we're going to go through this together and take a look.”

[01:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=113s) Earliest Origins and the Initial Cluster in Wuhan

The earliest estimated window for animal-to-human transmission is around November 6, 2019, or later. This is deduced retroactively based on a maximum 24-day incubation period and the earliest documented patient, identified on December 1, who had no connection to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market. While this dating involves educated guesswork, it suggests the virus was circulating by November 2019.

Subsequent milestones developed quietly through December. Early reporting initially pinpointed December 8 as the index case, while the Wuhan seafood market was estimated to have become infectious around December 10. Wuhan municipal health authorities later identified December 12 as the formal beginning of the outbreak. Patients presenting with pneumonia began arriving at local hospitals around December 21. On December 26 or 27, Dr. Zhang Jixian observed four clinical cases of pneumonia that failed to show any improvement after three to five days of standard treatment, categorizing them as pneumonia of unknown etiology. At least one of these cases was tied directly to the Huanan market. Dr. Zhang promptly alerted her hospital administration.

[03:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=206s) Rapid Escalation to Authorities and Dr. Li Wenliang's Warning

Following Dr. Zhang's alert on December 27, the hospital notified the Jianghan District CDC, marking the first official awareness by local health authorities. Over the subsequent days, three additional cases linked to the market emerged. By December 28, the hospital escalated its reports to both the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission and the Hubei Provincial Health Commission, meaning district, municipal, and provincial bodies were all informed.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Outbreak Escalation Pathway accDescr: Sequence of reporting from initial hospital detection to the World Health Organization between December 26 and December 31, 2019.

subgraph Detection["Clinical Detection"] A["Dec 26-27: Dr. Zhang Jixian identifies 4 atypical pneumonia cases"] B["Dec 27: Hospital alerts Jianghan District CDC"] end

subgraph LocalEscalation["Administrative Escalation"] C["Dec 28: Wuhan & Hubei Health Commissions notified"] D["Dec 29: Joint investigation launched; patient isolation begins"] end

subgraph NationalGlobal["National & Global Notification"] E["Dec 30: China CDC alerted; internal hospital memos leak"] F["Dec 31: WHO notified; CCTV public broadcast; mask guidance"] end

A --> B B --> C C --> D D --> E E --> F ```

On December 29, a joint investigation was initiated involving the district CDC, the Wuhan CDC, and hospital staff. Six of the seven patients were transferred to Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital (a designated infectious disease facility), while one patient refused transfer. Patient isolation protocols were initiated around this time. Within 24 hours of starting the investigation, on December 30, the Wuhan CDC reported the cluster directly to the national China CDC. That same day, Wuhan health authorities issued internal written circulars to local hospitals warning of atypical pneumonia. These circulars leaked onto the internet almost immediately and were picked up by Wuhan media. December 30 was also the date Dr. Li Wenliang sent messages to a private WeChat group of medical classmates warning them of SARS-like cases, cautioning them to alert loved ones but keep the discussion confidential. An unverified report surfaced claiming medical staff had been infected by this date, though it lacked documented sourcing.

- December 27: Jianghan District CDC formally alerted by the hospital. - December 28: Both Wuhan Municipal and Hubei Provincial Health Commissions receive formal notifications. - December 29: Six patients transferred to an infectious disease facility; initial quarantine measures enacted. - December 30: China CDC receives notification; urgent internal circulars leak online; Dr. Li Wenliang messages peers.

[05:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=304s) Public Notification, WHO Alert, and the Comparison to SARS

December 31 marked the beginning of active official communication to the general public. China CDC dispatched an expert team to Wuhan, and the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission issued its first public advisory. China Central Television (CCTV) broadcast warnings at least twice that day. Wuhan hospitals held an emergency symposium on treating unknown pneumonia, online leaks were publicly verified, and authorities officially recommended wearing protective masks. Crucially, the China CDC formally notified the World Health Organization (WHO) on December 31—roughly five to six days after the first cluster of suspected cases was reported to the hospital.

Nathan challenges critics who argue the initial response was sluggish or identical to the 2002–2003 SARS crisis. Demonstrating the timeline visually, he points out that during SARS, three full months elapsed between the first known cases and notification of the WHO, whereas the 2019 coronavirus was reported within days. Reviewing the timeline, he summarizes: “Within 24 hours the district authorities knew. Within 48 hours of that the province knew, the city knew, the district knew. Within 3 days, there was an investigation launched. Within 48 hours of that investigation starting, the World Health Organization was notified and the public started to be notified.” On January 1, authorities closed the Huanan Seafood Market, initiated sanitation and disinfection procedures, and collected animal samples, even while broader public awareness remained nascent.

[07:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=433s) Pathogen Identification and the Search for Human-to-Human Transmission

By January 2, 2020, laboratory testing ruled out several known respiratory pathogens: seasonal influenza, avian influenza, adenovirus, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV. On January 3, Dr. Li Wenliang signed an admonition notice at a local police station promising to cease spreading unverified claims. That same day, technical diagnostic protocols were issued for Wuhan, the National Health Commission briefed regional health departments across China, and the novel virus was isolated. Concurrently, a Hong Kong infectious disease expert stated there was no conclusive evidence yet of human-to-human transmission.

During early January, an apparent lull occurred where no newly diagnosed cases were posted, reflecting the time required for rigorous laboratory isolation and gene sequencing. On January 5, Wuhan authorities reiterated mask advisories, and the China CDC initiated a Level 2 emergency response. By January 7, researchers confirmed that the newly isolated virus caused the illness, then designated as novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia (NCIP). News reports from Xinhua and *The New York Times* consistently reiterated that scientific tests had not yet demonstrated clear human-to-human transmission or confirmed healthcare worker infections. Nathan notes that unless unverified single-source claims are accepted, these statements reflected the scientific consensus at that specific stage.

[08:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=521s) Genomic Sequencing, Initial Fatality, and the Shift to Large-Scale Containment

On January 10, Wuhan recorded its first confirmed death from the novel virus. Dr. Li Wenliang began experiencing respiratory symptoms around this date, though he did not immediately seek inpatient care. Chinese scientists shared the complete genetic sequence of the virus with the WHO, and specialized PCR diagnostic kits arrived in Wuhan to scale up testing. An initial scientific paper emerged suggesting asymptomatic transmission was possible, though its conclusions faced methodological challenges soon after. On January 12, Dr. Li was hospitalized, though his initial viral test returned negative.

By January 15, the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission publicly updated its guidance to state that limited human-to-human transmission could not be ruled out. This announcement marked the pivot toward aggressive containment. Municipal authorities deployed infrared body-temperature scanners across transportation hubs, including airports, railway depots, and bus passenger terminals. Nathan addresses isolated unverified claims alleging nurse and healthcare worker infections prior to this date, noting they lacked citations and occurred around the time authorities were already publicly evaluating transmissibility. Finally, Nathan points to the controversial annual mass banquet held in Wuhan's Baibuting community, which hosted thousands of families sharing food just days after human-to-human transmission had been declared possible, highlighting it as a glaring misstep amidst the unfolding containment rollout.

[10:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=613s) The Mobilization Across Wuhan and Hubei

As soon as human-to-human transmission was confirmed, the government response accelerated rapidly across Wuhan and the broader Hubei province. Thermometers were distributed across Wuhan, and hospitals made treatment for all flu-like symptoms entirely free to incentivize anyone feeling sick to seek immediate medical attention. A specialized epidemic control command center was established, and Dr. Zhong Nanshan, a prominent and respected respiratory expert, was dispatched to Wuhan. Nathan Rich notes that while Dr. Zhong's deployment functioned partly as a public-facing move, he brought genuine expertise to the frontline. Scientists also determined around this time that the virus possessed three distinct strains rather than just a single variant.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: China Epidemic Response Escalation Flow accDescr: Step-by-step progression of public health measures taken across Wuhan and nationwide.

subgraph Wuhan_Hubei["Wuhan & Hubei Measures"] A["Human-to-Human Transmission Confirmed"] --> B["Free Flu Care & Mask Mandate"] B --> C["Wuhan Quarantine & Transit Shutdown"] C --> D["Rapid Hospital Construction Begun"] end

subgraph National_Action["Nationwide Mobilization"] D --> E["Politburo Emergency Meeting"] E --> F["National Emergency Declared"] F --> G["School Closures & Travel Restrictions"] G --> H["WHO Declares PHEIC"] end ```

By January 22, public masking was made compulsory across Wuhan. The very next day, January 23, authorities placed Wuhan under quarantine, suspended public transit, halted domestic movie releases, and began emergency construction on a massive specialized hospital. Other cities across Hubei province were placed under quarantine shortly after, while regional provinces declared Level 1 public health emergencies. Nathan emphasizes that the graphical timeline only lists start dates and cannot display the immense behind-the-scenes meetings, planning, and logistics running in parallel: “As soon as they saw that it is human human transmissible, that's when everything starts to really kick into gear.”

- January 22: Masks mandated in public spaces across Wuhan. - January 23: Wuhan quarantined, transportation suspended, film releases canceled, and construction begins on the first emergency field hospital. - January 24: Multiple additional provinces enact Level 1 emergency protocols; cinemas and tourist attractions shut down; Beijing and Shanghai residents returning from holidays are advised to stay isolated for 14 days.

[11:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=698s) Nationwide Lockdown and the Politburo Directive

On January 25, Hong Kong declared a state of emergency, while 1,700 medical personnel from across China were deployed directly into Wuhan. On that same day, the Politburo Standing Committee—the highest organ of authority in the Chinese government—convened to set national strategy, formally issuing a countrywide directive: “Party committees and governments at all levels should take the novel coronavirus outbreak prevention and control as the top priority of their work.” Nathan points out that this marked total mobilization of the entire Chinese administrative apparatus toward containment.

Over the days immediately following the Politburo directive, radical measures spread nationwide. Beijing and cities across the country ordered all schools to remain closed, the Spring Festival holiday was officially extended to halt mass travel, cross-provincial buses and passenger rail were suspended, interprovincial vehicle rentals were banned, and a nationwide ban was imposed on the wildlife trade. Mandatory health and temperature monitoring stations appeared across the country, and vaccine development programs formally began. On January 27, *Nature* magazine characterized China's containment measures as both swift and decisive.

- January 25: 1,700 medical workers sent to Wuhan; construction commences on a second dedicated emergency hospital (Leishenshan). - January 26: Schools ordered closed, wildlife trade outlawed, Spring Festival holiday extended, and interprovincial bus routes halted. - January 28: Dabie Mountain Regional Medical Centre in Huanggang opens for coronavirus patients. - January 29: The eight medical whistleblowers, including Dr. Li Wenliang, are officially exonerated as authorities issue a statement aiming to learn from mistakes made in handling their cases.

[12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=768s) Diagnostic Challenges, Testing Failures, and the WHO Declaration

On January 30, Dr. Li Wenliang tested positive for the novel coronavirus after having spent an extended period hospitalized, which Nathan highlights as critical evidence of early diagnostic limits. Testing kits frequently yielded false negatives, with patients testing negative up to five consecutive times before finally testing positive on the sixth attempt. On this same date, the World Health Organization (WHO) formally declared the coronavirus outbreak a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC), and researchers at China-Japan Friendship Hospital reported evidence indicating potential reinfection.

Everyday life across mainland China transformed completely under strict community-level containment. Travel between provinces was virtually halted, neighborhoods and housing compounds enacted checkpoint restrictions, and public venues faced strict sanitation and temperature checks. Scientific and logistical milestones continued in early February: on February 1, viral traces were detected in human feces; on February 2, film and television production nationwide was ordered stopped; on February 3, the newly built Huoshenshan Hospital accepted its first patients; and on February 6, the Leishenshan Hospital opened while researchers established that the incubation period could reach up to 24 days.

- January 30: Dr. Li Wenliang officially tests positive; WHO declares a PHEIC; China-Japan Friendship Hospital warns of reinfection risks. - February 1: Coronavirus detected in patient stool samples. - February 2: All domestic film and television production suspended. - February 3: Huoshenshan Hospital opens to treat patients, built in roughly ten days. - February 6: Leishenshan Hospital opens; medical researchers identify an incubation window potentially extending to 24 days.

[14:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=846s) Comparing the Coronavirus Response to the SARS Outbreak

To put the speed of the 2020 response into historical perspective, Nathan zooms out on the visual timeline to compare the current response with the 2002–2003 SARS epidemic. During the SARS outbreak, it took three full months from the first clinical case just to notify the World Health Organization. The timestamps marking when SARS was eventually contained and declared completely over sit vast distances farther down the timeline than the entire window of events depicted for COVID-19 up to February 2020.

Nathan evaluates the pace directly against those historical markers: “When people say that this is slower than SARS, I don't know what they're talking about. So overall, this looks very very fast to me.” He acknowledges that on the visual chart, the blue block—representing the early January window when no new cases were publicly reported—shows the lowest density of state interventions. While critics could argue that officials should have acted with greater urgency during that initial pause, he notes it followed the initial identification and was immediately succeeded by an unprecedented surge of national mobilization affecting every aspect of society.

| Metric / Event | 2002–2003 SARS Outbreak | 2019–2020 Coronavirus Outbreak | |:--- |:--- |:--- | | **Initial Notification to WHO** | 3 months after the first case appeared | Roughly 3 to 4 weeks after initial cluster identified | | **Genomic Identification** | Several months into the outbreak | Within roughly one week of cluster escalation | | **Response Phase Pattern** | Protracted reporting delay before national alerts | Rapid initial alert, brief interim lull, followed by nationwide shutdown | | **Scope of Travel Restraints** | Targeted regional advisories | Nationwide transit shutdowns, quarantines, and Level 1 emergencies |

[15:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=956s) Evaluating Criticisms and Final Thoughts on the Timeline

Nathan addresses the common criticisms levied against the Chinese government's timeline. He notes that if unverified early reports of healthcare workers falling ill before official confirmation turn out to be true, failure to recognize that immediately as proof of human transmission was a serious failure that cost lives. However, examining the documentary record of how notifications moved up municipal, provincial, and national channels, and how quickly state media such as CCTV warned the public, he finds the sheer speed of execution remarkable.

While hindsight allows people to argue that lockdowns or full health emergencies should have been declared on day one, Nathan maintains that in reality, very few administrations could execute measures of this magnitude any faster: “So this is why when I look at the timeline of what China is doing, I'm sorry. I just can't get on board with you guys who think that this is super slow and neglectful. To me, this looks extremely aggressive.” He concludes by noting that while timelines are always subject to adjustments as new empirical details emerge, public discussions should rely on verified facts rather than unsubstantiated claims of negligence, keeping the primary focus on medical treatment and saving lives.

## Notable quotes > [15:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U&t=956s) So this is why when I look at the timeline of what China is doing, I'm sorry. I just can't get on board with you guys who think that this is super slow and neglectful. To me, this looks extremely aggressive. — Nathan Rich

## Mentioned Nathan Rich, Dr. Zhang Jixian, Dr. Li Wenliang, Dr. Zhong Nanshan, Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market, Jianghan District CDC, Wuhan Municipal Health Commission, Hubei Provincial Health Commission, Wuhan CDC, China CDC, Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital, World Health Organization, China Central Television, Xinhua, The New York Times, Politburo Standing Committee, Nature, Huoshenshan Hospital, Leishenshan Hospital, Dabie Mountain Regional Medical Centre, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Baibuting community, WeChat

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❌=DEMONETIZED ✖=FORMERLY DEMONETIZED

It's OK to Love China!

SPECIAL THANKS Lawrence | Kezhang Lin | Michael Zhuang | Matthew Hole | Su Chi Jui | Da Wei | Duvan Rojas | ??? | Yanjun Chen | Cuize Han | Xueshu Zhang | Yen Hsin Liu | ??? | Yiping Ge | Teresa Tao | Tianrui Yang | ?? | Zhenzhe Zhong | Pei Yang Goh | ??? | Liu Bo | Ken

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kO5EXjFKE7U)

中文简报

✖️冠状病毒时间线 Nathan Rich通过详细的彩色编排时间线，梳理了2019年底至2020年2月初中国新冠疫情暴发初期及政府的应对举措。他追溯了预警的递进过程：从张继先医生最初报告聚集性病例，到数日内逐级上报至市级与国家级卫生健康委员会并通报世界卫生组织，再到病毒的分离以及最终确认人传人。该内容概述了全面推行口罩令、武汉封城、迅速建设应急医院以及中央政治局常委会发布全国性指令等过程。通过将这一快速动员与2002至2003年非典（SARS）疫情期间三个月的延误进行对比，Rich反驳了指责政府应对迟缓或玩忽职守的流行叙事，坚称当时采取的防控措施极为迅速且果断。 Nathan Rich通过对中国早期新冠应对情况的详细时间线分析，反驳了有关最初调查与公共卫生响应异常迟缓或怠慢的说法。 (0:01) 时间线显示，从12月26日至27日地方卫生部门发现4例非典型肺炎病例，到2019年12月31日向世界卫生组织通报并通过央视播出公共警示，进展十分迅速。 (3:26) 与2002至2003年非典疫情的直接对比表明，中国在几天内就向世卫组织通报了情况（而非耗时三个月），并在数周内分离出病原体。 (5:04) 2020年1月中旬确认人传人后，中国官方启动了史无前例的全国性管控，对整个省份实施隔离，并在约十天内建成了专门的应急医院。 (10:13)

Reading summary

Nathan Rich presents a chronological outbreak analysis to refute claims that China's initial response to COVID-19 was sluggish or neglectful. He contends that municipal-to-global reporting and nationwide containment were historically swift, despite early diagnostic hurdles and administrative missteps. Escalation From Clinic to Global Notification (3:26) Nathan details how initial clinical observations rapidly progressed through health authority levels within days. On December 26–27, 2019, Dr. Zhang Jixian identified four atypical pneumonia cases of unknown etiology, alerting her hospital administration. The hospital notified the Jianghan District CDC on December 27, followed by formal reports to the Wuhan Municipal and Hubei Provincial Health Commissions on December 28. By December 29, a joint CDC investigation was underway, and six patients were isolated at Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital. Escalation reached the national and international levels immediately thereafter. The China CDC was informed on December 30, the same day local health notices leaked and Dr. Li Wenliang sent private alerts to medical peers. On December 31—roughly five to six days after the clinical cluster was first raised—China CDC dispatched experts, state television broadcast public warnings, mask guidance was issued, and the World Health Organization was officially notified. Scientific Sequencing and Early Diagnostic Hurdles (7:13) Between the initial alert and mass containment, scientific research moved rapidly to rule out known pathogens, eliminating seasonal flu, avian flu, adenovirus, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV by January 2. Chinese researchers isolated the novel virus on January 3 and shared its complete genetic sequence with the WHO on January 10. Nathan notes that an apparent pause in newly reported cases during early January mirrored the time required for rigorous laboratory isolation and gene sequencing rather than administrative inaction. Nathan highlights severe early diagnostic limitations as a primary technical challenge. Testing kits initially suffered high rates of false negatives, with some patients testing negative multiple times before returning a positive result. This was illustrated by Dr. Li Wenliang, who experienced respiratory symptoms around January 10 and was hospitalized on January 12, but tested negative initially and only confirmed positive on January 30. Nationwide Mobilization and Strict Containment Rollout (10:13) Once public health authorities indicated on January 15 that human-to-human transmission could not be ruled out, containment measures accelerated rapidly. Public masking was mandated across Wuhan on January 22. On January 23, authorities placed Wuhan under quarantine, grounded public transit, and commenced rapid construction of specialized emergency field hospitals, including Huoshenshan and Leishenshan. National intervention peaked on January 25 when the Politburo Standing Committee declared epidemic prevention the top national priority. Over the following days, 1,700 outside medical personnel were deployed to Wuhan, schools nationwide remained closed, the Spring Festival holiday was extended, interprovincial bus routes were halted, and a national ban was imposed on the wildlife trade as provinces initiated Level 1 emergency responses. Historical Contrast With the SARS Epidemic (14:06) To counter assertions that the 2020 response was slow or repeated past institutional concealment, Nathan contrasts the timeline with the 2002–2003 SARS outbreak. During SARS, three full months elapsed between the earliest documented cases and the notification of the WHO, with pathogen identification requiring several months. In contrast, the 2019 novel coronavirus prompted WHO notification within days of hospital escalation, and its full genome was shared within a week of viral isolation. Based on these historical benchmarks, Nathan argues that describing the 2020 response as slower than SARS disregards the documented timeline of state interventions and reporting milestones. Nathan Rich acknowledges that unverified early reports of healthcare worker infections, if validated, represented serious failures to recognize transmission, and points to the January Baibuting mass banquet as a glaring error. Nevertheless, he concludes that the overall containment execution was aggressive and rapid relative to what most administrations could achieve, arguing public debate should rely on verified empirical timelines rather than claims of systemic delay.

精炼阅读摘要

内森·里奇（Nathan Rich，火锅大王）通过梳理2019年末至2020年初的新冠疫情早期时间线指出，中国从临床发现未知肺炎到通报世界卫生组织及启动全面封控的反应极为迅速，反驳了外界关于初期调查严重滞后与重蹈非典覆辙的指责。他同时指出，尽管早期应对中存在检测假阴性、百步亭万家宴等管理失误以及对人传人判断的科学验证过程，但国家层面的动员规模和执行速度在公共卫生史上属罕见。 临床预警与多级上报的高效流转 (3:26) 2019年12月26日至27日，张继先医生接诊并报告了4例常规治疗无效的不明原因肺炎。12月27日，医院正式通知江汉区疾控中心；次日，武汉市与湖北省卫健委双双接报；12月29日，市区疾控联合调查启动并将患者转运至金银潭医院隔离。至12月30日，中国疾控中心接获报告，武汉市下发内部紧急通知，李文良医生亦在微信群提醒同行防范。12月31日，中国疾控专家组抵汉，央视两度公开播报预警，官方正式向世界卫生组织通报，整个链条从首批聚集性病例报告至向国际通报仅用时五至六天。内森·里奇强调，相较于2002至2003年非典（SARS）从首发病例到通知世卫耗时长达三个月，此次早期多级行政与临床流转展现了极高的响应速度。 病原分离、检测局限与早期争议事件 (7:13) 在1月上旬，科研机构迅速排除了流感、腺病毒、SARS和MERS等已知病原，成功分离出新型冠状病毒，并于1月10日向世卫组织共享了完整基因组序列。然而，科学验证人传人需要严密证据，导致1月上旬公开通报病例未见增长，形成短暂的技术间歇期。此外，早期核酸试剂盒存在检测局限，部分患者经历多次假阴性，李文良在1月10日出现症状后初检为阴性，直至1月30日才最终确诊。里奇指出，虽然1月15日武汉明确“不排除有限人传人”，但数日后百步亭社区仍举办了大规模万家宴，成为防控初期显而易见的重大疏漏；若早期未经证实的医务人员感染传闻属实，未能及早将其确立为人传人证据也是代价惨重的失误。 确认人传人后的举国动员与极限封控 (10:13) 一旦确认病毒具备人传人能力，防控力度便呈指数级升级。武汉迅速推行流感症状免费救治、公共场所强制佩戴口罩并在交通枢纽部署红外测温；钟南山院士受命奔赴一线指导工作。1月23日，武汉正式实施封城并暂停公共交通，火神山、雷神山应急专科医院相继动工（火神山仅耗时约十天即交付接诊）。1月25日，中共中央政治局常委会召开专题会议，将疫情防控确立为全国首要工作。随之而来的是全国性的一级响应：春运假期延长、跨省客运中断、学校全面停课、全面禁售野生动物，并对社区实施网格化封闭管理，迅速构建起覆盖全国的防控屏障。 对非典历史的参照与对迟缓指责的评估 (14:06) 通过将2020年的时间线与2002至2003年非典危机并置对比，内森·里奇驳斥了“应对速度不及非典”的说法。非典时期不仅通知世卫耗时数月，病原基因鉴定和全国响应节奏也大幅滞后；而新冠疫情在数周内便完成了病毒测序、世卫通报与国家级动员。里奇承认，事后诸葛亮式的视角往往要求政府在第一天就实施全域封锁，但在现实中，极少有行政体系能以更快速度统筹如此庞大的人口与医疗资源。他主张公众应依据事实记录和客观证据评价防控成效，而非沉溺于未经证实的阴谋论或忽视客观规律的怠政指责。 内森·里奇总结认为，早期应对过程虽伴随病原认知局限、检测技术磨合与个别地方性管控失策，但官方记录展现的通报链条与后续执行力极其果断与激进。他呼吁公共讨论应基于可验证的客观数据，将重心聚焦于救治生命与医学防控本身。

Source quotes

[15:56] Nathan Rich: So this is why when I look at the timeline of what China is doing, I'm sorry. I just can't get on board with you guys who think that this is super slow and neglectful. To me, this looks extremely aggressive.

Original transcript

[0:01] I'm Nathan Rich aka Tawang. Today I want [0:04] to go through a timeline of the Corona [0:06] virus in China. [0:10] [Applause] [0:13] [Music] [0:16] So, first a few things about this [0:17] timeline. It's colorcoded so it's easier [0:20] to look at. Blue items are general [0:22] items. Green items are proactive things [0:25] that are generally a positive influence [0:27] on the situation. Beige things are new [0:31] information and purple are when the [0:33] virus has reached other countries. This [0:36] timeline only focuses on China. [0:38] Otherwise, it would be way too big. Some [0:40] items say the word later, which means [0:43] that they happened at that time, but [0:45] they weren't known about or reported on [0:47] until later. Also, a few of the items in [0:49] here were reported to have happened on [0:51] two different days, usually right next [0:53] to each other. This is because you have [0:55] reporting in the west and the east which [0:57] can be a one day time difference and [0:59] sometimes the people reporting will use [1:01] their local time and sometimes they'll [1:03] use the time in China for example. So [1:06] some few items have a little bit of [1:08] confusion as to when exactly they [1:10] happen. For those days I either went [1:11] with the day that was reported the most [1:14] or I made a little span between the two [1:16] days saying we know what happened on one [1:18] of these two days. In my comment section [1:20] for my videos, I have seen some of the [1:22] strangest conspiracy theories and wacky [1:25] ideas about this event. And so I wanted [1:29] to go through a timeline and clear up a [1:31] lot of this confusion that's going on [1:33] out there. I've heard that this is being [1:34] handled much worse than SARS, much [1:37] slower than SARS, the same as SARS, [1:40] better than SARS, all these different [1:42] theories. It's overwhelming. One of the [1:44] comments I got was that the [1:45] investigation was extremely slow and [1:47] that the beginning stages were very [1:48] slow. And so we're going to go through [1:50] this together and take a look. Okay, so [1:53] this is the timeline around November 6th [1:56] or later is the first time that we know [1:58] of that there was animal to human [2:00] transmission. This is an assumption and [2:02] the reason that we know that is that the [2:04] incubation period can be up to 24 days. [2:07] We now know that there was a first case [2:09] not related to the market on December [2:12] 1st. that person must have got infected [2:15] no earlier than 24 days before that. [2:17] This is a little bit fuzzy. This is just [2:19] sort of an assumption, guesswork, but it [2:22] does give you an idea of when this thing [2:23] actually started as far as we know now, [2:25] somewhere in November of 2019. Then [2:28] obviously the spreading begins. For a [2:30] while, we thought the first case was [2:33] December 8th. Later, the market in Wuhan [2:37] was declared to be infectious somewhere [2:40] around the 10th. So that seems to line [2:41] up with this. The Wuhan health [2:43] authorities later refer to the 12th as [2:46] the beginning of the outbreak. Nothing [2:48] else develops that we know of. And then [2:51] somewhere around the 21st of December, [2:54] patients start coming into the hospital [2:56] with pneumonia. And then here we see on [2:58] the 26th, this is when Dr. Jang first [3:01] noticed that four of these cases seem to [3:04] be pneumonia of an unknown cause. The [3:06] way that they're diagnosed as being from [3:08] an unknown source is that they don't [3:10] make progress for 3 to 5 days. At least [3:14] one was related to the market. There's [3:16] multiple reports about the day that she [3:17] informed the hospital, but it's either [3:20] the 26th or the 27th. She told the [3:23] hospital, which is what she's supposed [3:24] to do. On the 27th, the hospital [3:27] reported it to the district CDC. So that [3:30] marks the beginning of when the district [3:32] health authorities were aware. So [3:34] December 27th it has been reported to [3:37] the authorities. Over the next few days, [3:39] three more cases come. All of them are [3:41] related to the market. 28th of December [3:44] the hospital also reports it to the Hube [3:47] Health Commission and the Wuhan Health [3:49] Commission. Already on the 28th we can [3:52] say that the district knows, the city [3:54] knows, and the province knows. On the [3:56] 29th, an investigation begins. Wuhan [3:58] CDC, the district CDC and the hospital. [4:01] Six of the seven patients were [4:03] transferred to an infectious disease [4:05] hospital. One of the patients refused. [4:07] Provincial, municipal, and district [4:09] disease control centers started getting [4:11] reports about this. Also on the 29th, [4:14] also around the 29th is when they [4:16] started quarantining people. Within 24 [4:18] hours of the investigation, the Wuhan [4:20] CDC reports the cluster of people to [4:23] China CDC. So, this is the day we can [4:25] say for sure the national health [4:26] authorities knew about the situation. [4:28] That's the 30th of December. Wuhan also [4:31] issued warnings to the hospitals. These [4:34] were written warnings. These warnings [4:36] that were issued to the hospitals began [4:38] leaking on the internet immediately and [4:40] Wuhan local media reported on those [4:42] warnings. This is also the day that Dr. [4:43] Lee warned his friends in a WeChat group [4:45] who are also medical professionals [4:47] telling them to just tell their friends [4:49] and family, but don't tell anybody else [4:51] and don't let it get out of the group. [4:53] Now, this is the earliest report of a [4:55] medical staff being infected, but this [4:58] report comes from one place that doesn't [5:00] have any sources listed, so I can't [5:03] confirm if this is true. The next day, [5:05] the 31st, this is the beginning of the [5:07] government telling people what's going [5:09] on. China CDC sends down more experts to [5:12] help the Wuhan CDC. The Wuhan Health [5:15] Commission also issued its first warning [5:17] to the Chinese public. CCTV reported it [5:21] at least twice that day. The hospitals [5:23] in Wuhan had an emergency symposium on [5:26] treatments of patients with pneumonia of [5:28] an unknown cause. The warnings that had [5:30] been leaking over the internet for the [5:32] last couple of days were confirmed [5:34] publicly to be true. The Wuhan Health [5:37] Commission also publicly suggests [5:39] wearing masks. This is also the day that [5:42] the China CDC notifies the WHO. So [5:45] that's about 5 or 6 days after the first [5:47] suspected case, less than a week. So [5:49] this is the first day that we can say [5:51] the international health authorities are [5:53] aware. To those of you who are saying [5:55] this is pretty much the same as the SARS [5:57] outbreak or slower, I want to share with [6:00] you the difference. This is the first [6:02] case and this is when they notified the [6:04] WH. I want you to see if this were the [6:08] first case of SARS, where on this [6:10] timeline China notified the WH. Ready? [6:25] here 3 months after the first case. This [6:29] is when they would have notified the [6:30] WHO. January 1st, market closed and they [6:34] started searching for infected animals [6:36] as well as disinfecting the area and [6:38] that kind of stuff. much of the public [6:39] still didn't know what was going on. [6:41] Although there had been some [6:42] announcements from the government the [6:44] day before. So I want to just quickly go [6:47] over this beginning part again because [6:48] this is very crucial. This is a major [6:50] area that people seem to get totally [6:52] wrong. The cases were reported to a [6:54] hospital by Dr. Jang. Within 24 hours [6:57] the district authorities knew. Within 48 [6:59] hours of that the province knew, the [7:01] city knew, the district knew. Within 3 [7:04] days, there was an investigation [7:05] launched. Within 48 hours of that [7:07] investigation starting, the World Health [7:09] Organization was notified and the public [7:12] started to be notified. By January 2nd, [7:14] they had ruled out the flu, the aven [7:15] flu, the dino virus, SARS, and MS. The [7:19] 3rd of January is when Dr. Lee signed [7:21] his basically NDA, promising not to tell [7:24] more people about what he thought was [7:25] going on. Technical protocols were [7:27] released for Wuhan. The NHC notified [7:29] various counties and regions. So, [7:31] they're starting to tell the rest of [7:32] China government what's happening. and [7:34] also the virus was identified. A SARS [7:36] expert in Hong Kong said that there was [7:38] no proof of human to human transmission. [7:41] This entire wide blue area here, there's [7:44] no new cases. On the 5th, Wuhan Health [7:47] Commission advises citizens to wear [7:49] masks again. And the China CDC activated [7:53] level two emergency response. On the [7:55] 7th, they confirmed that that virus that [7:57] they had discovered was in fact [7:59] responsible for the disease and that [8:01] disease became known as NCIP. Here's [8:03] various reports that came out around [8:05] that time. No evidence of human to human [8:07] transmission. No medical staff infected. [8:10] Not as deadly as SARS. New York Times [8:12] again, no evidence of human to human [8:14] transmission. Sinua, no medical staff [8:16] infected, no clear humanto human [8:18] evidence. If we assume that the one [8:21] single report before this that comes [8:24] from this website that doesn't share its [8:27] sources, if we assume that that's not [8:29] true, then these reports are correct. [8:32] There's no scientific evidence of these [8:34] things yet. During this period of time [8:36] that there are no new cases, this is [8:39] when things seem to slow down. It's [8:41] mostly lab work. January 10th, we had [8:43] our first death and Dr. Lee started [8:46] showing symptoms, but he didn't go to [8:48] the hospital. They get the genome [8:49] sequence to the WHO. PCR regions arrive [8:52] in Wuhan, so rolling out better testing, [8:55] and a study comes out, symptomfree [8:58] transmission might be possible. But now [9:00] that study's been challenged, so now [9:02] we're not really sure if it's true or [9:03] not. On the 12th, Dr. Lee checked into [9:05] the hospital, but he tested negative for [9:08] the virus. The Wuhan Health Commission [9:10] says humanto human transmission is [9:13] possible. This is on the 15th of [9:17] January, and look at what happens next. [9:19] This is the beginning of a huge, huge [9:22] response. Wuhan starts rolling out [9:24] infrared thermometers to airports, [9:26] railway stations, bus stations, and [9:29] passenger terminals. The cases started [9:31] going up and all this huge response that [9:34] we see here is all going to start. Now, [9:36] these two nurse being infected, medical [9:39] staff being infected, these are from the [9:42] same one source that doesn't list their [9:44] sources that says that this happened. [9:46] So, I can't confirm it. If these were [9:48] true, then this could be considered much [9:51] stronger evidence or even proof of human [9:53] to human transmission. However, I can't [9:55] confirm those. And these happen after [9:58] the Wuhan Health Commission already says [10:00] that it's possible. Here we have the [10:02] infamous banquet in Wuhan in which [10:04] thousands of people were invited to eat [10:07] together. Human to human transmission [10:08] was already declared possible just a few [10:11] days before that. As these infrared [10:13] thermometers are rolling out across [10:14] Wuhan, everything starts getting put [10:16] into motion by the government. And you [10:18] can't see some of the items here because [10:21] most of these are just telling you when [10:23] something began. You don't see all the [10:25] planning and the implementation and the [10:27] meetings and the logistics and all that [10:29] stuff. That's all happening right here. [10:31] That's happening. As soon as they saw [10:33] that it is human human transmissible, [10:36] that's when everything starts to really [10:37] kick into gear. Flu treatment at all [10:39] hospitals for all flu symptoms in Wuhan [10:42] is made free. That's to encourage people [10:44] to go in. They open a specialized [10:46] command center for epidemic control. A [10:49] famous expert named Dr. Jong is sent to [10:51] Wuhan. This is like a publicity thing, [10:54] but he actually is expert and they [10:56] determine that there are three strains [10:58] total. Possibly earlier than this point, [11:00] but definitely by this point they had [11:02] known that the virus actually has three [11:05] strains, not just one. At the 22nd of [11:07] January, Wuhan requires masks in public [11:10] and then the next day, Wuhan is [11:12] quarantined. Provinces start declaring [11:14] level one emergency. Most of Hube is [11:17] quarantined. Domestic film releases are [11:19] cancelled. Wuhan transportation shuts [11:21] down. Also, they started constructing [11:23] this massive hospital in Wuhan. The next [11:25] day, even more provinces declare level [11:27] one emergency. Tourist sites begin [11:30] shutting down. Cinemas shut down. [11:32] Beijing Shanghai residents are urged not [11:35] to return home from holidays until 14 [11:38] days. The next day, January 25th, Hong [11:40] Kong declares an emergency. 1,700 [11:43] medical staff are sent to Wuhan and the [11:45] Pup Bureau meets. The Pilot Bureau is [11:48] the top level of all the government here [11:51] in China. And they say party committees [11:54] and governments at all levels should [11:56] take the novel corona virus outbreak [11:59] prevention and control as the top [12:01] priority of their work. This is the [12:03] entire government mobilizing towards [12:06] something. The second hospital starts [12:07] getting built. The next day schools in [12:09] Beijing are ordered to stay closed. I'm [12:11] just using Beijing. This was actually [12:12] happening all across the country. [12:14] Vaccine development begins in China. The [12:15] spring festival gets extended so less [12:17] people come home. Interprovincial buses [12:19] and trains start to shut down. Wildlife [12:22] trade is banned. Nationwide use of [12:25] monitoring stations is now required. One [12:28] day, all this stuff in one day. The next [12:30] day, Nature Magazine describes China's [12:32] response as swift and decisive. Baby [12:34] Medical Center opens the 28th on the [12:37] 29th. This is also the day that the [12:39] eight doctors were essentially [12:40] acquitted. And the government released a [12:42] statement that essentially said it was [12:44] trying to learn from the mistakes of the [12:45] case of Dr. Lee and these other doctors. [12:48] The 30th is when Dr. Lee actually tests [12:51] positive for the virus. He's been in the [12:53] hospital this whole time. So that and [12:55] other evidence told us that tests can [12:57] fail several times. In fact, five times [13:01] you can fail the test, don't have the [13:02] virus, then the sixth time they find [13:04] actually you do have the virus, which is [13:06] really scary. This is also the same day [13:08] that the WHO declares a public health [13:10] emergency of international concern. The [13:12] China Japan friendship hospital on this [13:15] day said that reinfection might be [13:16] possible. Very scary as well. Most [13:19] interprovincial travel is banned. Even [13:21] hiring a car in between provinces is [13:24] banned. And down here we can see that [13:25] this whole time nationwide restrictions [13:28] on groups and communities are rolling [13:30] out. Everyone in mainland China is [13:31] affected by this. Every community has [13:33] some restrictions. Every store, public [13:36] area, everything. It's affecting [13:38] literally everything in China. And that [13:40] all started around here. The 1st of [13:42] February is when the virus was found in [13:45] feces. The 2nd of February, all movie [13:48] and TV production is completely shut [13:49] down. The 3rd of February, the first [13:52] hospital that they're building opens. [13:53] The 6th of February, the next hospital [13:56] opens in Wuhan. And it's determined that [13:58] the incubation period may have a max of [14:01] 24 days. And the rest of this timeline [14:04] is not complete. This is just a few [14:06] events that are happening now. Earlier I [14:08] showed you when SARS was reported [14:10] relative to when this was reported. Now [14:13] I'm going to show you the end of SARS in [14:14] this timeline. [14:20] 3 months after the first case, that's [14:22] when SARS was reported to the WHO. [14:32] This is the equivalent time that SARS [14:34] was declared contained. [14:50] and this is the equivalent time of when [14:52] SARS outbreak was declared over. So if [14:55] we zoom out, we can really see [14:58] how far out that is. When people say [15:01] that this is slower than SARS, I don't [15:03] know what they're talking about. So [15:04] overall, this looks very very fast to [15:06] me. When we look at the blue range here [15:10] in which there was no cases, this seems [15:12] to be the least activity. So if you [15:14] wanted to criticize this level of [15:17] activity in the blue, someone might say, [15:19] well, there was no new cases, so maybe [15:21] they were seeing what happens. But I can [15:23] definitely see that things could have [15:25] been more aggressive in this area. [15:27] Keeping in mind that the green are [15:29] proactive things. This looks like [15:32] essentially two periods of high [15:34] activity. The initial discovery followed [15:37] by a lull while there was no cases [15:39] followed by a storm of activity. And I [15:42] couldn't even put all the stuff in here. [15:44] There's just too much. But this area [15:46] here, I mean, this is the entire country [15:48] being affected in every single way. So, [15:50] not perfect to me. This looks extremely [15:53] extremely aggressive, extremely [15:55] productive. possible criticisms. If [15:58] these unsourced reports of nurses being [16:01] infected early on are correct, then that [16:04] obviously should have been taken as a [16:06] sign of human to human transmission and [16:08] that could have saved a lot of lives. [16:10] However, I'm not able to verify that. [16:12] Honestly, I don't see much else that a [16:15] country can do beyond this. I mean, look [16:18] at this timeline. discovered, alerted, [16:21] passed up, passed up, passed up, [16:24] reported, reported, reported. [16:26] Investigation, Chinese public starts to [16:29] become aware. CCTV, CCTV, warnings to [16:33] hospital. These days right here, this [16:35] first week to me is absolutely shocking [16:38] how fast they moved to be honest with [16:40] you. Now, in hindsight, we can argue [16:42] that they should have been more [16:43] aggressive. They could have declared a [16:45] health emergency the day that they found [16:48] out, for example. That may have saved a [16:50] few days. They could have done many [16:51] things. They could have quarantine Wuhan [16:53] the second that they found one. Who [16:55] knows where we would be if that's what [16:56] they did. But I do know that what they [16:59] did do to me seemed extremely extremely [17:02] productive and proactive. So this is why [17:04] when I look at the timeline of what [17:06] China is doing, I'm sorry. I just can't [17:08] get on board with you guys who think [17:09] that this is super slow and neglectful. [17:12] To me, this looks extremely aggressive. [17:14] As I've said, this timeline obviously as [17:17] we discover new things will change. I'm [17:20] not guaranteeing that it's 100% perfect. [17:22] I did all the research for this myself [17:24] with a little bit of help from my [17:25] supporters, but there's always a chance [17:27] something will be off here or there. If [17:29] you think I'm missing something, let me [17:31] know. Rather than endlessly saying [17:33] things that aren't true in comments [17:35] about how everybody was too slow and [17:38] neglected and everything, we should be [17:39] focusing on facts. and we should be [17:41] focusing on the facts about how to get [17:43] people treated and how to save lives, [17:46] how to support those people that are [17:48] actually doing something about this. [17:49] That's what we should be focusing on. [17:51] So, thanks everybody. See you. [17:56] [Music] [17:59] [Applause] [18:07] [Music]