Kalanick Consolidated Industrial AI Company Atoms Raises $1.7 Billion

Inside Travis Kalanick’s Wild New AI Company — TBPN

TBPN

Travis Kalanick claims industrial AI will spark a era of super prosperity by slashing physical operating costs across mining, food, and freight.

AI-assisted summary of Inside Travis Kalanick’s Wild New AI Company — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Detailed notes

## Background Published on YouTube by TBPN on July 22, 2026, this 45-minute interview features tech entrepreneur Travis Kalanick. According to the page description, the episode covers Kalanick's $1.7 billion funding round, his transition to industrial AI, autonomous mining productivity, executive hiring practices, lessons from scaling Uber, and his daily jet ski commute.

## TL;DR In this wide-ranging interview, Travis Kalanick details his $1.7 billion raise for Atoms, a consolidated industrial AI company automating legacy physical industries like mining, logistics, and food infrastructure. He explains how retrofitting autonomous technology onto heavy machinery boosts output by 30% to 40% while pushing toward 'no entry' autonomous mines. Kalanick also shares his philosophy on scaling enterprise operations from 'lean to muscular,' executive recruitment prioritizing problem-solving, navigation of regulatory environments, and a vision of 'super prosperity' driven by automation. The discussion closes with a look at full-stack robotics applications, including 75-cent autonomous food delivery.

## Atmosphere & style The interview maintains a relaxed, collegial, and energetic tone that balances lighthearted banter with sharp business insights. The hosts treat Kalanick with deep admiration as a childhood hero, creating an intimate, podcast-as-therapy dynamic where playful teases about high-speed jet ski commutes seamlessly transition into high-stakes corporate strategy. Kalanick speaks with candid, pragmatic intensity—deadpanning about executive hiring, sharing vivid stories from remote Amazon mines, and passionately explaining the physical mechanics of industrial automation. The result is a grounded yet ambitious conversation that feels like an insider look into the mind of a veteran tech founder navigating his next major act.

## Key takeaways - [04:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=250s) Travis Kalanick announced a $1.7 billion funding round for Atoms, consolidating his previously separate food, mining, and transport ventures under a single industrial AI structure. - [04:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=250s) Atoms focuses on 'industrial AI' and physical automation, retrofitting autonomous software, hardware, and sensors onto heavy industrial machinery across legacy industries. - [13:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=798s) In mining, deploying autonomous technology like Pronto can increase overall site productivity by 30% to 40% while significantly reducing operational expenditures and improving safety. - [19:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1159s) The ultimate goal for autonomous mining is reaching a 'no entry mine,' where human operators are completely removed from high-risk physical pits and manage operations remotely. - [19:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1159s) Automating haulage serves as the central operational priority, acting as the 'cardiovascular system' of a mine site due to high vehicle density and continuous movement. - [15:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=929s) Retrofitting legacy industrial machinery requires building custom physical actuation mechanisms to translate electronic signals into mechanical actions on non-drive-by-wire hydraulic systems. - [22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) Commercial AI and robotics safety are governed by economic alignment: systems must deliver clear utility to human buyers, as products that fail to serve human needs are starved of funding. - [27:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1666s) Executive leadership requires both operational scaling skills and strategic problem-solving ability, with core problem-solving capacity being the most essential metric for startup success. - [33:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1981s) Kalanick criticizes corporate pushes for federal preemption and artificial AI safety scares, viewing them as attempts at regulatory capture designed to protect incumbents from competition. - [37:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2228s) Full-stack industrial automation extends across supply chains, utilizing specialized non-humanoid wheeled robotics for heavy freight, warehouse operations, and autonomous food delivery. - [39:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2377s) Automating physical infrastructure lowers input costs for basic goods like food and logistics, driving Jevons paradox dynamics and ushering in an era of 'super prosperity' that reallocates human labor to high-value skilled trades. - [42:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2544s) The $1.7 billion financing round was led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with plans for a second close due to overwhelming investor demand.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=0s) Jet Ski Commutes and Made Men in Retirement

The conversation kicks off with lighthearted banter about Travis Kalanick’s unconventional daily commute: riding a jet ski to work. Kalanick reveals that he clocks speeds up to 70 miles per hour during his five-minute water commute as a primary resident of Texas. When asked if the high-speed ride helps him do his best thinking or clear his mind, Kalanick laughs it off, admitting it is purely "a notch on the belt" because nobody else at a major, thousand-person-plus company is jet skiing to work. He jokes about looking it up on ChatGPT—fondly teasing the hosts by calling it "your guys's application"—and discovering that perhaps only one or two other CEOs do anything similar.

The hosts reflect emotionally on Kalanick's prior appearance on the show, describing it as a peak moment and "one of one" because they grew up looking up to him as a childhood hero during the 2010s startup boom. Kalanick playfully offers them advice and "therapy sessions" on what it feels like to be a "made man in retirement," noting that navigating the transition requires moving past denial and acceptance. The hosts joke that podcasts serve as the modern equivalent of therapy for men, prompting Kalanick to share that he has been teaching many tech founders and his own engineers how to water ski and wake surf—even successfully getting one engineer who didn't know how to swim behind the boat in a life jacket.

[04:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=250s) Consolidation and the $1.7 Billion Industrial AI Raise

Shifting gears to serious business, Kalanick discusses his massive, newly announced $1.7 billion funding round. He reflects on the progress made since his last appearance on the show roughly four months prior in early March. The massive capital injection was unlocked by the official market announcement of Atoms, a company focused on physical automation and "industrial AI" designed to transform legacy industries one by one. Kalanick explains that the business originally operated as a collection of separate subsidiaries—with food infrastructure in one bucket, and mining and transport in another.

When Kalanick initially went to market to raise capital, he asked investors whether they preferred to invest selectively in the mining or food divisions. However, the first five institutional investors he spoke with responded uniformly: "We want to invest in you." In response to this feedback, Kalanick consolidated the subsidiaries into a single entity and sold equity under a singular corporate structure. He notes that while Elon Musk has successfully run separate companies like Tesla, SpaceX, Boring Company, and Neuralink for two decades, consolidating everything into a single puzzle makes capital allocation much easier for him. Kalanick acknowledges that keeping entities separate offers upside early on because investors do not have to underwrite multiple distinct risks, but the conversation changes dynamically once individual business units reach profitability.

* The funding round totaled $1.7 billion for the newly consolidated entity, Atoms. * The company focuses on "industrial AI" and physical automation across distinct sectors: food, mining, and transport.

[08:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=492s) High-Stakes Go-To-Market in Deep Amazon and Saudi Borders

The hosts ask Kalanick how his go-to-market strategy in the mining sector differs from his legendary consumer playbook at Uber, where he famously deployed young teams to launch cities like Miami via grassroots marketing and organizational design. Kalanick notes that B2B enterprise sales take years off your lifespan to master, but describes the mining go-to-market process as "freaking best" and entirely wild. He shares an anecdote from a month prior when he traveled to the deep northern Brazilian Amazon to visit a massive iron ore mine operated by their customer, Vale. Flying into tiny airstrips and touring the colossal site via a 30-minute helicopter ride, he observed how their autonomous tech kits are retrofitted onto machinery—some new, some 20 years old—to simultaneously lower operational expenditure, radically improve safety, and boost output.

Straight from Brazil, Kalanick traveled to a phosphate mine located on the Saudi Arabian side of the Iraq-Saudi border. Due to regional conflicts and border tensions, the aircraft's navigation signals were jammed, forcing his pilots to land "old school style" using visual flight rules. Kalanick explains that the technology developed by Pronto (an Atoms subsidiary) has officially surpassed human-level productivity. When approaching gold mine CEOs with a value proposition of yielding 20% more gold per year, the answer is always an enthusiastic yes, though companies demand that they "prove it" via rigorous corporate pilots.

[13:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=798s) Autonomous Mining Economics and Shifting from Lean to Muscular

Kalanick details the distinct economic drivers behind autonomous mining productivity gains. The first lever is increasing the mechanical output per hour of the machines themselves. The second lever centers on eliminating the logistical headaches of human shifts, call-outs, and rigid safety protocols required when placing human drivers in high-risk environments. Kalanick projects that autonomous integration can ultimately make a mining operation 30% to 40% more productive. While precious metals like gold or critical minerals like lithium offer direct upside through increased volume, Kalanick notes that lower-margin aggregate quarries—which feed regional cement markets—focus primarily on lowering OPEX because demand is capped by what local buyers can store and consume.

Praising the engineering foundation of the business, Kalanick highlights Anthony Levandowski and the core team at Pronto for their hyper-scrappy, lean startup execution style. He jokingly compares their ultra-lean state to Christian Bale's drastic physical transformation in the movie *The Machinist*. Kalanick concludes that the purpose of the new $1.7 billion funding round is to transition the company’s organizational structure from that incredibly lean baseline into something incredibly muscular, shifting from a survivalist startup stance to a dominant, high-growth enterprise scale reminiscent of a superhero transformation.

* Autonomous mining integration can drive overall productivity increases of 30% to 40%. * In aggregate quarries and cement operations, the technology functions primarily as a margin-saving OPEX play rather than a volume play. * Anthony Levandowski leads the scrappy autonomous technology team at Pronto.

Here is the detailed walkthrough of part 2 of the transcript:

[15:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=929s) Going from Lean to Muscular: The Mechanics of Scaling On-Site Operations

Transitioning an enterprise AI operation from a small-scale pilot to full customer deployment requires moving from a lean setup to a heavily resource-backed operation—a shift Travis Kalanick describes as going from "lean to muscular." When a customer asks to scale up after a successful initial run, the bottleneck isn't merely customer demand; it is navigating the heavy physical logistics involved in retrofitting massive, isolated industrial infrastructure. Installing an autonomous system at a remote site—such as a mine deep in the Amazon—involves shipping sensory arrays, compute hardware, customized mechanical equipment, and edge servers to construct a self-contained computational footprint directly on location.

Once the hardware arrives, the true challenge begins with site commissioning and change management. Mining sites run on rigid, time-honored daily routines to keep personnel safe, because "weird things happen on a mining site" if unexpected variables are introduced. Bringing autonomous machinery online requires careful calibration, rigorous testing, and overcoming physical mechanical barriers. Much of the legacy equipment operating in these environments lacks modern drive-by-wire capability, relying instead on raw mechanical linkages and high-pressure hydraulic systems. To automate a vehicle that requires physical button presses or manual steering wheel turns, the team must engineer custom physical actuation systems capable of translating electrical signals into mechanical action.

- Enterprise customers are eager to scale once pilots demonstrate success, demanding robust support ("protein powder") from their solution providers. - On-site deployments function almost like localized data centers, requiring self-contained compute servers and extensive sensor suites. - Legacy heavy machinery requires custom physical actuation mechanisms to automate hydraulic and mechanical systems that are not natively drive-by-wire. - Strict site commissioning and change management are crucial to maintaining safety protocols when shifting from manual to autonomous operations.

[19:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1159s) Reaching the "No Entry Mine" and the Cardiovascular System of Haulage

In the mining industry, the ultimate operational objective is achieving a "no entry mine"—a site where zero humans step foot inside the physical pit. In this vision of the future, human workers remain safely in remote control centers while automated systems handle drilling, blasting, loading, haulage, and crushing. Reaching this milestone is a step-by-step progression: teams begin by introducing remote control tools into specific workflows, proving out safety metrics, and then deploying full autonomy across individual vectors until human exposure to the pit is entirely eliminated.

The core focus for Kalanick's approach is haulage, which he views as the "cardiovascular system" of a mining operation because it accounts for the vast majority of vehicles on site. Controlling haulage requires managing massive physical forces—such as 2-million-pound off-road haul trucks hurtling down dirt roads at 35 miles per hour while carrying payloads like gold ore. Rather than trying to acquire legacy machinery manufacturers or force a complete overhaul of a site's infrastructure, Kalanick prefers building in-house tech while relying on open software APIs. This strategy enables his haulage system to orchestrate actions smoothly alongside third-party equipment by sharing real-time positional and status data across the entire site ecosystem.

> "A no entry mine is a mine where there are no people in the pit... You're talking about loaded a 2 million pound machine that's moving potentially 35 miles an hour down the road."

- Haulage represents the highest density of vehicles on a mine site and serves as the primary operational pipeline connecting all other stages. - The platform uses APIs to coordinate real-time positioning and operational statuses across non-haulage machinery within the site ecosystem. - Kalanick notes that while Uber's philosophy under his tenure was strictly "we didn't acquire shit, we just built," he remains open to strategic partnerships if a team offers truly differentiated technology.

[22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) Real-World Engineering vs. "Laptop Jobs" and Asimov's Laws

When pitching fresh computer science graduates from top universities like Stanford, Kalanick offers a stark alternative to comfortable corporate software roles. Instead of taking a standard "laptop job" or pushing consumer apps to the App Store, young engineers have the opportunity to be dropped directly into the Amazon rainforest to write real-world automation software for multi-million-pound industrial behemoths. Drawing inspiration from classic science fiction—specifically Isaac Asimov's *I, Robot* series—Kalanick reflects on the tension between AI capability and safety. While Asimov's Three Laws of Robotics demonstrated complex nuances and edge-case failures, the core intention behind alignment principles remains critical when deploying heavy, high-risk physical hardware.

Kalanick grounds his perspective on AI safety in a fundamental lesson learned over a lifetime of building startups: projects fail when people build things that nobody likes or wants. Applying this principle to AI, he argues that building anti-human or unhelpful technology is inherently self-defeating because AI models actively seek to please humans, and human buyers exercise ultimate financial control. Until autonomous agents possess their own bank accounts and civil rights, every robot is ultimately owned by a person who pays based on tangible, positive utility.

> "You're not dropping a fucking app in the App Store. You're like automating a 2 million pound machine going 35 miles an hour carrying gold."

> "If you make something that is anti-human, if you make something that doesn't serve people... I don't think you're going to make it."

- Asimov's *I, Robot* series serves as a favorite reference point for the foundational tensions and nuances of robotics safety. - Commercial AI systems are constrained by economic alignment: if a system fails to serve human utility, buyers will withhold funding and kill the product. - Real-world deployment forces an acute focus on practical safety—making sure physical machines stay on designated roads rather than focusing purely on theoretical doom scenarios.

[27:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1666s) Value-Based Enterprise Pricing and Executive Hiring Philosophy

From a business model perspective, pricing industrial AI relies on classic enterprise software negotiation dynamics rather than aggressive profit-sharing schemes. When software can boost a mine's yield or productivity by 30 to 40%, the goal is to capture a fair portion of the value created without resorting to crass demands like asking for a direct percentage of the customer's raw output. Operators establish a baseline pricing model that increases as productivity gains are proven, striking a balance between delivering massive customer ROI and securing strong subscription revenue for the platform.

When asked about his methodology for recruiting executive leadership, Kalanick candidly deadpans that his process begins with "pray." Expanding on the difficulty of hiring top executives, he explains that candidates often talk an impressive game, but true success comes down to balancing two distinct skills: leading and organizing at scale versus being a world-class strategic problem solver. Analysing this dynamic as a left-handed versus right-handed split, Kalanick notes that while few executives are truly ambidextrous, problem-solving ability must take priority. An executive who excels at organization but lacks core problem-solving capacity will simply execute useless or misaligned initiatives in an impeccably structured way.

> "If you get somebody who organizes and manages well, but cannot solve a problem, they're going to be doing ridiculous stuff in a super organized way."

- Enterprise software pricing strategies use baseline tiers and value-add escalators linked to proven productivity gains instead of taking a percentage of client output. - Executive candidates often fall into two camps: large-scale operational managers or strategic problem solvers. - Exceptional executive talent requires both skill sets, but deep problem-solving capability is the essential non-negotiable metric for startup success.

[31:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1878s) Management Capacity and the "Problem-Solver-in-Chief" Mentality

Travis Kalanick explains that the primary constraint on his ambition isn't a lack of ideas, but management capacity—which he defines fundamentally as "problem-solving at scale." When his teams are executing effectively, he can continuously create new, exciting problems for them to tackle. Operating as the "problem-solver-in-chief," Kalanick spends his personal time targeting the most impactful, high-level issues that aren't getting solved elsewhere in the organization. He expects this mindset to cascade down throughout the company: every direct report must act as a "deputized problem-solver-in-chief" for their respective domain, scaling that problem-solving culture to their own teams.

To build a team capable of this, Kalanick emphasizes rigorous interview processes that simulate real, day-to-day work together. By removing the boundary between interviewing and actual job execution, a candidate's first day on the job feels like week two. If a new hire remains energized after this realistic simulation, significant risk is eliminated from the hiring process.

- Management capacity is defined as problem-solving at scale rather than administrative overhead. - Executives must prove they can solve actual problems rather than just "talking the talk." - Realistic work simulations during interviews ensure seamless transitions from day one to week two.

[33:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1981s) Regulatory Strategy, Federal Preemption, and Systemic Friction

Addressing regulatory approaches, Kalanick draws a sharp contrast between market-opening strategies and corporate protectionism. He argues that pushing for federal preemption or broad federal regulations is typically favored by companies seeking "regulatory capture" to squeeze out potential competitors. Reflecting on his tenure at Uber, he notes that the company never lobbied for rules designed to give itself an unfair advantage over others; instead, they fought city-by-city to open markets and let the best operator win. He warns against "closed-weight" AI companies that engineer security scares or hire hackers to manufacture problems, only to approach the government claiming they saved the day and asking for protective regulations.

When discussing autonomous vehicles and transportation safety, Kalanick highlights the structural incentives behind systemic regulatory friction. He singles out trial lawyers and insurance companies as the primary drivers of weird, inefficient transport regulations. While trial lawyers thrive on accidents to secure large settlements, insurance companies profit from predictable, actuarially planned risk. During Uber's early expansion in Washington, D.C., taxi liability was capped at around $25,000 per ride, but regulators pushed a mandatory $1.5 million policy per ride for rideshare services—a massive financial pool welcomed by both trial lawyers and insurers.

- Federal preemption is often leveraged by incumbents pursuing pro-regulatory capture to shut out competition. - Closed-weight AI labs are cautioned against creating artificial safety crises to invite favorable government regulation. - Transport system inefficiencies are frequently pushed by trial lawyers and insurance firms, which profit off predictable accident volumes. - Washington, D.C., taxi liability was historically $25,000, while rideshare platforms were pushed toward $1.5 million policies per ride.

[37:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2228s) Full-Stack Industrial Automation: From Freight to Autonomous Food Delivery

Kalanick details the hardware and transportation strategy behind his current industrial AI push, describing his focus as "wheelbase for robots." Distinguishing his approach from humanoid robotics, he targets specialized, non-humanoid industrial machinery designed for high-scale tasks that humanoids are ill-suited to perform. The full-stack automation vision spans entire supply chains: autonomous freight vehicles transport goods into facilities, automated machines process and prepare materials internally, and custom rolling infrastructure handles outbound delivery. For food distribution, he envisions rolling insulated temperature-controlled units—dubbed "autonomous burritos"—delivering meals directly to homes for roughly 75 cents per drop, compared to the $12 per drop costs typical of legacy delivery services like Uber Eats or DoorDash.

This full-stack approach extends across heavy industries, including mining and logistics. Beyond heavy haulage trucks, Kalanick points to routine support tasks like road grading, water spraying for dust suppression, and material handling as prime candidates for automation. He notes the massive scale of traditional material handling overhead, highlighting an unnamed major company spending $3.5 billion annually solely on human labor for forklifts inside its facilities.

- Focuses on non-humanoid, specialized industrial robots built on heavy-duty wheeled chassis. - Envisions "autonomous burritos" (box-on-wheels delivery machines) reducing food drop costs from $12 down to approximately $75 cents. - Applies automation across mining support systems, including dirt road graders, dust-suppression water trucks, and freight haulers. - Mentions a major company spending $3.5 billion annually on labor purely to operate forklifts in warehouse facilities.

[39:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2377s) Economic Productivity, Jevons Paradox, and the "Super Prosperity" Era

Addressing concerns around automation eliminating human labor, Kalanick differentiates between automating isolated tasks and replacing entire jobs. Using the food industry as an example—where automated real estate, production, and delivery drastically reduce prices—he argues that driving down input costs releases capital back to consumers. Because "robots don't have bank accounts," capital freed up by cheaper food and goods flows directly into other consumer activities, expanding the broader economy.

Rather than inducing joblessness, productivity gains spark Jevons paradox dynamics across whole industries. While specific routine tasks become fully automated, human effort shifts into newly emerging categories of work enabled by surplus capital. Kalanick predicts a era of "super prosperity" where non-automatable human skills—such as specialized trade work—will command immense economic value, drawing a parallel to plumbers being paid like professional elite athletes across thousands of new, unforeseen job categories.

- Drastic cost reductions in foundational goods (food, logistics) create economic surplus for consumers. - Automation shifts human labor from repetitive technical tasks to high-value physical or interpersonal services. - Predicts widespread "super prosperity" where skilled trade workers command premium, high-level compensation.

[42:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2544s) Unfinished Business, a $1.7 Billion Round, and Industrial AI

Discussing his company's massive $1.7 billion funding round led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), Kalanick describes the investment as "unfinished business," referencing missed opportunities to partner with a16z during his tenure at Uber. Due to overwhelming demand following the round's announcement, he reveals that the company will likely conduct a second close to accommodate select strategic investors and close allies ("homies").

Kalanick reframes his company's mission away from vague terms like "physical AI" or general world models, adopting the distinct label **industrial AI**. He defines industrial AI as a complete full-stack solution—integrating software, robotics, sensors, and heavy machinery—to fully automate entire physical industries from end to end.

- Raised $1.7 billion in funding led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), with plans for a second close. - Frames the enterprise specifically around **industrial AI**: full-stack software, robotics, sensors, and heavy machinery for physical automation.

[44:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2676s) Signing the Gong and Water Sports Commutes

Closing out the interview, the hosts invite Kalanick to sign their ceremonial studio gong to join their "museum of business." The conversation turns to Kalanick’s daily routine in Austin, where he routinely commutes on a jet ski and spends time water skiing and wake surfing on the lake. He shares that he hits the water every morning at 7:30 AM and frequently goes back out around 8:30 PM after leaving the office, extending a casual offer to teach the hosts how to slalom ski next time they are in town.

- Commutes regularly via jet ski and practices water sports daily in Austin at 7:30 AM and 8:30 PM. - Signs the studio gong to commemorate the episode.

## Notable quotes > [19:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1168s) A no entry mine is a mine where there are no people in the pit... You're talking about loaded a 2 million pound machine that's moving potentially 35 miles an hour down the road. — Travis Kalanick

> [22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) You're not dropping a fucking app in the App Store. You're like automating a 2 million pound machine going 35 miles an hour carrying gold. — Travis Kalanick

> [22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) If you make something that is anti-human, if you make something that doesn't serve people... I don't think you're going to make it. — Travis Kalanick

> [27:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1666s) If you get somebody who organizes and manages well, but cannot solve a problem, they're going to be doing ridiculous stuff in a super organized way. — Travis Kalanick

## Mentioned Travis Kalanick, Atoms, Pronto, Uber, Uber Eats, DoorDash, Vale, Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), Anthony Levandowski, Elon Musk, Tesla, SpaceX, Boring Company, Neuralink, ChatGPT, TBPN, Ramp, Public, Cisco, Console, CrowdStrike, Figma, MongoDB, NYSE, Railway, Shopify, Codex, Amazon, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Austin, Texas, Christian Bale, The Machinist, I, Robot, Isaac Asimov

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc)

中文简报

卡兰尼克旗下工业AI公司Atoms获17亿美元融资 Travis Kalanick称,工业AI将通过大幅降低采矿、食品和货运领域的实体运营成本,开启超级繁荣时代。 在这次内容广泛的访谈中,Travis Kalanick详细介绍了Atoms筹集17亿美元资金的具体情况。Atoms是一家工业AI整合公司,致力于推进采矿、物流和食品基础设施等传统实体产业的自动化。他解释了如何通过为重型机械改装自动驾驶技术将产出提高30%至40%,并迈向人员“免进入”的自动化矿山。Kalanick还分享了他将企业运营从“精益拓展至强健”(lean to muscular)的理念、以解决问题为先的高管招聘标准、对监管环境的应对,以及由自动化驱动的“超级繁荣”愿景。讨论最后探讨了全栈机器人应用,包括75美分的自主外卖配送。 Travis Kalanick 宣布其新整合的工业 AI 公司 Atoms 完成 17 亿美元融资,由 a16z 领投,将此前分散的食品基建、采矿与物流运输业务统一归入物理自动化架构。 (4:10) 旗下 Pronto 自动驾驶技术已深入巴西和沙特等极端矿区落地,通过对传统重型机械进行改装,可将矿场整体生产力提升 30% 至 40% 并大幅削减运营支出。 (13:18) 矿区自动化的终极目标是实现工人完全免于下井的“无人矿场(no entry mine)”,并将车流密度极高的运输作业作为核心心血管系统优先推进自动化改造。 (19:19) 不同于人形机器人路线,Atoms 专注于定制特种轮式工业机械与全栈自动化,Kalanick 预测大幅降低基础成本将借助杰文斯悖论释放社会资本,迎来“超级繁荣”时代。 (37:08)

Reading summary

Travis Kalanick argues that the next major frontier in technology is 'industrial AI'—deploying specialized robotics and autonomy to retrofit heavy physical industries rather than pursuing general humanoid robots or consumer software apps. Backed by a $1.7 billion funding round, his consolidated enterprise, Atoms, targets high-friction, capital-intensive sectors like mining and logistics to radically lower operational costs and improve worker safety. Consolidation and the $1.7 Billion Capital Base (4:10) After initially dividing his initiatives into distinct subsidiaries covering food infrastructure, mining, and transport, Kalanick consolidated these efforts into a single entity named Atoms. The decision followed consistent feedback from the first five institutional investors he approached, who preferred investing in Kalanick directly across a unified corporate structure rather than underwriting individual sectoral risks. The resulting $1.7 billion financing round, led by Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) with plans for a second close, is designed to shift the business from a lean, survivalist startup into a well-capitalized enterprise capable of scaling complex industrial deployments. Engineering Realities of Autonomous Mining Operations (15:29) Deploying autonomy in physical environments requires overcoming severe operational logistics rather than simply writing code. In mining—where subsidiary Pronto operates—retrofitting legacy equipment requires building localized edge-compute footprints and engineering custom physical actuators to translate electronic signals into mechanical steering and hydraulic control. Kalanick identifies haulage as the operational 'cardiovascular system' of a mine, with two-million-pound trucks operating at 35 miles per hour. The ultimate goal is the 'no entry mine,' removing all humans from hazardous pits into remote control rooms. Industrial Economics and Value-Based Pricing (13:18) Kalanick projects that autonomous retrofits can increase overall mining productivity by 30% to 40% by boosting machine output per hour and eliminating the logistical friction of human shift handoffs. In precious metals like gold, where Kalanick claims autonomous systems have exceeded human-level output, customers gain direct top-line volume; in lower-margin aggregate quarries, the technology serves primarily as an operational expenditure reduction play. Rather than demanding equity-like cuts of raw output, Atoms uses enterprise software pricing with baseline tiers and performance escalators tied to validated productivity gains. Wheeled Industrial Automation Across the Supply Chain (37:08) Rejecting general humanoid robotics, Kalanick concentrates on non-humanoid, wheeled platforms engineered for high-scale specialized work. This strategy extends across supply chains, from autonomous freight haulers and mine-maintenance vehicles like road graders to internal warehouse handling, where Kalanick notes a major company spends $3.5 billion annually solely on human forklift drivers. In food logistics, he envisions insulated rolling pods delivering meals for roughly 75 cents per trip, down from the approximately $12 per drop typical of legacy app-based delivery platforms. Labor Market Effects, Regulatory Friction, and Executive Hiring (33:01) Kalanick dismisses existential AI doom, arguing that autonomous machines are constrained by the economic reality that only humans hold bank accounts and dictate capital allocation. Invoking Jevons paradox, he predicts that slashing foundational costs will free consumer capital and generate a 'super prosperity' era where skilled human trades command premium pay. Regarding governance, he cautions against closed-weight AI labs seeking federal preemption to entrench regulatory capture. Internally, Kalanick views management capacity as the primary bottleneck to growth, prioritizing strategic problem-solving ability over pure administrative coordination when hiring executives. While Kalanick outlines aggressive operational efficiencies and cost cuts across mining, transport, and food delivery, his model hinges on navigating rigorous enterprise pilot validations and executing heavy hardware retrofits across legacy, non-drive-by-wire machinery in remote global environments.

精炼阅读摘要

前 Uber 联合创始人 Travis Kalanick 披露其新创立的工业 AI 企业 Atoms 已完成 17 亿美元融资,旨在通过整合软件、传感器和专用重型机械,实现矿业与物流等物理基础设施的全栈自动化改造。 整合架构与17亿美元融资 (4:10) Kalanick 将原本独立的食品基础设施、矿业与交通运输业务合并为统一实体 Atoms,并完成了由 Andreessen Horowitz(a16z)领投的 17 亿美元融资。Kalanick 指出,最初与机构投资人沟通时,前五位投资人均明确表达了整体投资意向,而非单独押注特定子公司。他认为,尽管独立架构在早期能隔离单一业务风险,但在业务走向盈利后,单一实体架构更有利于集中管理和资本配置。随着资金到位,由 Anthony Levandowski 领导的自动驾驶子公司 Pronto 及核心团队正计划从精益研发状态,转型为规模化交付的重资产工程架构,公司后续亦可能开展第二次交割以纳入战略合作方。 矿业自动化的落地与改造成本 (8:12) Atoms 旗下的 Pronto 技术正推向巴西淡水河谷(Vale)铁矿及沙特阿拉伯磷酸盐矿等偏远作业现场。Kalanick 介绍,矿业现场的自动化面临严峻的物理环境挑战,包括偏远地区运输、缺少线控系统(drive-by-wire)的二十年旧型液压机械改造,以及必须在本地搭建等同于小型数据中心的高性能边缘服务器与传感器阵列。技术团队需设计专门的物理执行机构将电信号转化为机械动力,以接管重达 200 万磅、时速 35 英里的运矿重卡。在商业经济性上,Kalanick 预计自动化整合可将矿场整体生产力提升 30% 到 40%;对于黄金或锂矿等高价值资产,增益主要来自增产 20% 的直接效益,而对于砂石骨料矿场,技术核心则在于降低劳动力断档与安全合规带来的营运支出(OPEX)。 全栈轮式方案与去人形化定位 (19:19) 与当前聚焦人形机器人的行业趋势不同,Kalanick 强调非人形、专用的轮式重型机械才是工业场景的高效解法。其长远目标是在矿山实现人类完全撤出作业坑的“零人员进入矿山”(no entry mine),将人类集中于远程控制室,并借助开放 API 将自主运输系统与现场各类第三方钻探和碎石设备实时协同。此外,这种全栈自动化路线还拓展至物流支撑系统与食品配送:包括平地机、抑尘洒水车,以及被称为“自主卷饼”的温控箱式轮式车。Kalanick 预计,此类专用设备有望将单次外卖配送成本由传统平台的约 12 美元大幅降低至 75 美分左右,同时瞄准仓储叉车等高额人工搬运场景释放效率。 管理机制与监管俘获批判 在企业运营与人才招募方面,Kalanick 将管理能力定义为“规模化解决问题的能力”,要求管理人员不仅具备组织架构技能,更需具备核心问题攻坚能力。Atoms 通过在面试中模拟真实工作流程,降低新员工磨合风险。在行业监管层面,Kalanick 依据 Uber 经验批评了追求“联邦预先豁免”(federal preemption)的倾向,指责部分闭源 AI 企业人为制造安全恐慌以游说政府建立合规壁垒,进而达成“监管俘获”(regulatory capture)排挤竞争对手。同时,他指出传统运输领域的制度性摩擦主要源于诉讼律师与保险公司的既得利益结构,并主张商业 AI 的核心约束应回到市场交付的实际效用,而非脱离现实的安全炒作。 生产力释放与劳动力转移假说 (39:37) 针对自动化取代人工的社会担忧,Kalanick 区分了针对单一任务的自动化与整体工作岗位的消除。他认为,食品生产、运输及采矿等基础行业成本的断崖式下降,将依照杰文斯悖论(Jevons paradox)释放庞大资本回流至消费端。由于自动化设备本身不具备消费主体资格,生产力结余将刺激新型服务与专业领域的需求扩张。Kalanick 预测经济将迈向“超级繁荣”周期,届时水管工等难以被机械取代的专业技术工种可能因市场供需重组而获得极高水准的经济报酬。 Kalanick 试图通过工业 AI 与全栈重型硬件自动化重塑传统生产与物流供应链,但该模式能否在全球各工业场景全面普及,仍取决于旧设备机械改造的可靠性验证、跨国偏远矿区的落地运维成本,以及客户对生产力分级定价模式的长期接受度。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 该内容由频道 TBPN 于 2026 年 8 月 3 日发布在 YouTube 平台上。视频简介指出,这是对 Uber 联合创始人特拉维斯·卡兰尼克(Travis Kalanick)的完整深度专访,重点探讨其新实体高达 17 亿美元的巨额融资、重注工业级 AI(而非消费级 AI)的战略逻辑、矿山与餐饮供应链的全栈自动化改造、高管招聘与管理哲学,以及他极具个人特色的水上摩托通勤生活。 ## TL;DR 在本次专访中,特拉维斯·卡兰尼克正式揭晓了将旗下食品自动化、智慧采矿与重运业务打包整合的工业 AI 新实体 Atoms,并确认已完成 17 亿美元融资。卡兰尼克深入剖析了工业 AI 在极端恶劣场景下的落地壁垒,指出通过后装套件与算法调度能让矿山综合生产力提升 30% 至 40%,并描绘了从温控轮式送餐车到仓储叉车自动化的全栈降本蓝图。他还分享了企业级定价与价值捕获的逻辑、以“首席问题解决者”为核心的高管招聘法则,并对披着安全外衣的闭源 AI 监管俘获提出警告。最后,他驳斥了机器人导致普遍失业的悲观论调,坚信生活必需品的极致廉价化将把盈余资本重新赋予人类,催生出前所未有的“超级繁荣”。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场对话充满狂野、粗粝且极具雄性荷尔蒙的工程师极客底色,充斥着飞驰的摩托艇、亚马逊雨林的泥土跑道与 200 万磅矿卡轰鸣的强烈画面感。卡兰尼克言辞锋利、语速飞快,展现出不加修饰的攻击性与强悍自信,时而爆粗自嘲过往产品失败的教训,时而与主持人就奥斯汀水上生活展开默契互怼。两位主持人带着对儿时商业偶像的崇敬与年轻从业者的敏锐步步推进,现场在严肃硬核的工业解构与放声大笑的闲聊之间自如切换,营造出一种既充满现实张力又极度热血的沉浸式对话氛围。 ## Bulletin - [04:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=249s) 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克(Travis Kalanick)正式公布其新商业实体 Atoms 完成 17 亿美元融资,由 a16z 领投,业务涵盖食品自动化、智能采矿及重型货运交通。 - [11:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=711s) Pronto 旗下采矿自动驾驶效率已超越人类司机极限,可实现矿区综合生产力提升 30% 至 40%,商业化模式正从小规模试点向全车队部署快速滚雪球。 - [37:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2228s) 卡兰尼克避开人形机器人概念,坚定推行轮式专用工业底盘路线,并提出以端到端工业 AI 重塑供应链,有望将单均餐饮配送成本从 12 美元降至 75 美分。 - [33:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1981s) 针对 AI 监管与安全,卡兰尼克警告部分闭源大模型公司利用合规游说追求“监管俘获”阻碍竞争,并强调只有符合人类福祉的产品才能在真实商业筛选中存活。 ## Key takeaways - [04:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=249s) 由于顶级风投机构更倾向于直接押注特拉维斯本人并获取全面风险敞口,卡兰尼克将原本分散的餐饮与采矿等独立子公司合并为统一实体 Atoms,成功融资 17 亿美元。 - [08:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=532s) 区别于 Uber 当年的消费级街头地推,重工业 B2B 自动化商业拓展极其残酷硬核,需深入亚马逊雨林和中东冲突边境等极端环境进行现场改造部署。 - [15:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=900s) 矿业自动驾驶的落地瓶颈并非设备采购周期,而在极端地理环境下的物流交付、非线控老旧机械的物理改装、现场精密标定以及矿山作业流程的变革管理。 - [18:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1124s) 采矿业的终极愿景是全流程无人工暴露的“无进入矿山”(no-entry mine),系统以矿山心血管枢纽般的自主运输为切入点,通过 API 协同打通钻孔、爆破、装载与破碎环节。 - [22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) 卡兰尼克倡导用硬核技术改造“原子世界”(Atoms)而非在笔记本上开发普通 App,以此吸引渴望指挥满载 200 万磅矿卡疾驰的顶尖工程极客。 - [23:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1430s) 商业淘汰机制是天然的 AI 对齐过滤器,反人类产品绝无商业生命力;当前工业 AI 需专注于防碰撞、车道保持等极其实打实的物理控制安全。 - [28:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1685s) 企业级软件定价应避免直接生硬索取客户收益分成,而应在确立基础费用并用硬核数据证明大幅增产后,顺理成章地共享额外增量收益。 - [29:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1775s) 高管招聘中最核心的特质是解决硬核问题的能力,卡兰尼克将 CEO 定位为“首席问题解决者”,主张通过高仿真工作推演面试来突破管理容量瓶颈。 - [33:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1981s) 头部闭源 AI 企业在联邦层面争夺“联邦优先权”往往演变成排他性的监管俘获,行业必须警惕以安全自居、实则抬高准入门槛扼杀竞争的游说手段。 - [34:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2097s) 传统交通运输领域的低效规则常受诉讼律师与保险公司利益同盟操纵,过高的强制保单往往沦为诉讼提现池,而非单纯为了提升真实安全。 - [37:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2228s) 公司押注轮式专用工业底盘而非人形机器人,强调在特定专业场景中轮式方案具备无可替代的工程稳定性与重载效率。 - [39:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2378s) 通过全栈工业自动化大幅拉低食品与物流成本不会引发普遍失业,机器释放出的财富盈余将回流人类,驱动数千个新兴高薪职业并催生“超级繁荣”。 - [42:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2544s) 卡兰尼克将本次 a16z 领投视为 Uber 2017 年动荡期未竟合作的延续,并将核心业务精确定义为结合软硬件重塑重工业的“工业 AI”(Industrial AI)。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=0s) 骑摩托艇上班:70英里时速的硬核通勤日常 节目一开始,主持人与特拉维斯·卡兰尼克(Travis Kalanick)便就水上摩托艇(Jet Ski)展开了一番风趣的闲聊。主持人提到自己最近看到一款复古木质水上摩托,卡兰尼克随即分享了自己的极速日常——他经常以 70 英里的时速骑着水上摩托艇去上班,整个通勤路程仅需 5 分钟,除非遇到下雨天才不得不叫一辆 Uber。当被问及在高速飞驰的摩托艇上是否能思考出最佳商业点子或者放空大脑时,卡兰尼克果断否认,笑称这纯粹是为了“在腰带上多刻一道战绩”(a notch on the belt)。在他看来,全世界根本没有第二个管理着千人规模以上大公司的首席执行官会以这种方式通勤。 卡兰尼克还幽默地调侃起主持人,称自己专门在“你们公司的应用 ChatGPT”上查过,确认全美或许只有一两位 CEO 这么干,但没有任何大型企业掌门人像他这样。现场随即爆发出一阵关于得克萨斯州居民独特生活方式的调侃,卡兰尼克也大方承认,这种硬核作风确实非常契合他作为得州主要居民的身份。 ### [01:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=94s) 创业者的“现代疗愈”与带不会游泳的工程师冲浪 主持人感慨起四个月前(大约三月初)卡兰尼克第一次做客节目时的情景,坦言那是自己做节目以来最难以超越的“巅峰时刻”。作为在 2010 年代涉足创业圈的年轻人,卡兰尼克曾是整整一代创业者的精神偶像,专访儿时偶像之后甚至一度感到些许空虚和沮丧,因为这种“天花板级别”的人生际遇几乎不可复制。卡兰尼克则半开玩笑地安慰道,如果两位年轻主持人需要关于“功成名就后退休该如何自处”的心理辅导,他随时可以提供帮助,甚至戏谑地列举了否认、愤怒、讨价还价、沮丧到最终接纳的心理周期。 卡兰尼克调侃称,“播客就是现代男性的心理疗愈”,因为当代男性通常不会去正经做心理咨询,而是在播客里倾诉一切。主持人建议卡兰尼克干脆在摩托艇上开设“创业者答疑时间”,让创始人们在 70 英里时速的浪花中接受商业辅导。卡兰尼克透露,自己私下里确实经常带科技圈的朋友和创始人去水上滑板和尾波冲浪(Wake Surfing),甚至曾给一位完全不会游泳的旗下工程师穿上救生衣,成功带他体验了尾波冲浪的乐趣。 ### [04:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=249s) 官宣17亿美元融资:从各自为战到统一实体 Atoms 玩笑过后,话题迅速切入核心商业进展。卡兰尼克正式揭晓了重磅消息:他的新业务实体 Atoms 刚刚完成了高达 17 亿美元的巨额融资。卡兰尼克解释称,走出隐身模式(Stealth Mode)的 Atoms 专注于“物理世界自动化”(Physical Automation)与“物理世界AI”,即他们所定义的“工业级人工智能”(Industrial AI)。公司的愿景是运用这项核心技术逐一颠覆传统工业门类,从最初的餐饮食品生态,逐步拓展到采矿业以及大型运输领域。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Atoms 业务整合与融资架构演进 accDescr: 展示特拉维斯·卡兰尼克旗下各项业务如何从分散的独立子公司合并为统一的工业AI实体 Atoms 并完成17亿美元融资。 subgraph EarlyStage["初期分散架构"] direction TB F["食品自动化业务<br/>(机器人/餐饮/不动产)"] M["采矿与大型运输自动化<br/>(矿区重型机械)"] S["其他前沿试验子公司"] end subgraph Feedback["资本市场反馈"] direction TB VC["顶级投资机构:<br/>'我们不想拆分下注,<br/>我们要直接押注特拉维斯本人'"] end subgraph Consolidated["统一控股实体"] direction TB Atoms["工业AI集团 Atoms<br/>(估值重塑 / 17亿美元融资)"] end EarlyStage --> Feedback Feedback --> Consolidated ``` 在融资初期,卡兰尼克原本计划将各项业务作为独立公司分别推向市场——食品自动化是一家公司,采矿与运输自动化则是另一家独立实体。然而,在面谈了前五家头部投资机构后,资方给出的反馈惊人一致:“我们不想挑拣单项业务,我们只想投资你这个人。”于是,卡兰尼克顺水推舟,将旗下所有的业务子公司打包合并为一个统一的法人实体对外出让股权,从而一举锁定了这笔 17 亿美元的超级融资。 - **融资金额**:17 亿美元。 - **业务核心领域**:食品自动化(涵盖餐饮机器人与不动产)、智慧采矿、重型货运交通。 - **战略定位**:区别于传统消费级 AI 的工业级物理世界人工智能(Industrial AI / Physical AI)。 ### [06:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=386s) 业务拆分与整合的资本逻辑:对标马斯克多线作战 谈及将庞杂业务整合为单一实体,卡兰尼克感慨这种方式让自己省心不少。他坦言自己无法想象埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)如何在过去二十年中同时驾驭特斯拉(Tesla)、SpaceX、The Boring Company 和 Neuralink 等多家完全独立的庞然大物。主持人指出,多业务线往往遵循极端的幂律法则,投资人为了防止错过真正的万亿级爆发点,往往更倾向于获取全方位的整体风险敞口(Broad Exposure)。 卡兰尼克深入剖析了初创期拆分业务与后期合并的资本运作逻辑:在项目启动之初,业务拆分能够降低投资人的核保(Underwriting)顾虑。例如,想投资采矿与货运交通的人往往对餐饮地产和食品机器人毫无概念,投资人会极为介意自己的资金被挪去补贴亏损中的另一条业务线。然而,一旦某条业务线开始展现出清晰的盈利路径,商业逻辑就会发生质的转变。此时通过统一的控股实体进行跨业务资本配置(Capital Allocation),不仅能让资源调度更加高效,也能给市场呈现出极其宏大的产业协同故事。 ### [08:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=492s) 从消费级地推到工业AI:颠覆性的商业化路径转型 主持人指出,过去卡兰尼克在 Uber 展现出的 Go-to-Market(GTM)商业化杀手锏,是以近乎地毯式的组织力将大批年轻先锋派往迈阿密等新城市,依靠组织架构设计与病毒式街头营销迅速打开消费市场。然而采矿业完全是重工业 B2B 领域,过去那套消费级地推逻辑显然不再适用。 面对主持人的疑问,卡兰尼克充满信心地表示,重工业领域的商业化不仅完全不同,而且“简直棒极了”(It's the freaking best)。他强调,尽管过去 Uber 沉淀了极具代表性的消费端打法,但如今无论是采矿运输还是当前的餐饮食品业务,其内核基本上全都是纯粹的企业级(B2B)商业模式。这也标志着他的管理方法论和增长模型正式向重工业与产业级 AI 全面迭代。 ### [08:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=532s) 从消费级跨入工业级:狂野的矿业 GTM 历程 从面向大众的消费级产品转向企业级(To B)业务,是一场完全不同的游戏。Travis Kalanick 直言这种跨越极其残酷,“会折损你很多年的寿命”,你必须经历从痛苦摸索到最终掌握门道的全过程。而在所有企业级业务中,矿业的 GTM(Go-To-Market,市场拓展)更是狂野到了极致("cray-cray")。在这里做业务,绝不仅仅是穿着西装去参加矿业大会、见几个 CEO 那么简单,而是需要深入到地球上最偏远、最荒凉的角落。 为了实地考察客户现场,Travis 甚至乘坐私人交通工具直接降落在巴西亚马逊流域的最深处。那里没有像样的大型机场,只有泥土跑道,飞机降落就像是“顺着泥地直接滑进私信(DMs)里”。他们在那里考察了全球矿业巨头淡水河谷(Vale)运营的全球最大铁矿。由于矿区极其庞大,仅仅坐直升机飞越其中一个作业区就需要整整 30 分钟。在这片热带雨林深处,Pronto 的系统被直接加装到各种矿用重型设备上,有些设备甚至已经服役了 20 年之久。通过后装套件,这些庞然大物瞬间具备了自动驾驶能力,不仅大幅削减了运营支出(OPEX),更在极度危险的矿区环境中建立了革命性的安全壁垒。 离开巴西后,Travis 又马不停蹄地飞往沙特阿拉伯与伊拉克边境的磷酸盐矿。由于该地区地缘局势紧张,GPS 与通信信号全部遭到强电磁干扰,飞行员不得不采用最原始的目视飞行(VFR)方式强行降落。Travis 感慨道,矿业自动驾驶的落地就是如此硬核与疯狂,但这些偏远危险的矿山对技术的需求却无比迫切。 ### [11:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=711s) 超越人类生产力:如同企业级软件的试点滚雪球 Pronto 的技术如今迎来了一个关键拐点:其自动驾驶效率已经全面超越了人类司机的生产力极限。这让他们的销售说服力变得无懈可击。当你坐在一家金矿公司的 CEO 面前问他:“你想不想每年多挖 20% 的黄金?”对方绝不可能说“不”。唯一的门槛在于“拿证据来证明(Prove it)”。过去建立信任的过程非常漫长,但随着 Pronto 在全球多个大型矿山积累了足够多的成功案例,这项业务开始像滚雪球一样形成了自己的势能。 Travis 将矿业自动驾驶的扩张比作典型的企业级 SaaS 软件销售:最初你在一家上万人的大企业里拿下 8 到 10 个工位(Seats)作为试点(Pilot),虽然规模很小,但只要这套系统证明了其生产力能够超越人工,客户就会迅速从怀疑转向全面推广,要求“在整个车队的所有车辆上全部部署”。Pronto 目前正与多家全球顶级矿业客户处于这种从试点向全矿规模化落地的关键转换期。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 自动驾驶矿业系统规模化落地流程 accDescr: 展示从初步试点到全面部署的四阶段扩张机制 subgraph 验证阶段 A["小规模试点<br/>(加装数台测试车辆)"] --> B["效率超越人工<br/>(实证生产力飞跃)"] end subgraph 规模化阶段 B --> C["建立企业信任<br/>(由精益向肌肉型演进)"] C --> D["全矿车队铺开<br/>(全面自动化与流程重塑)"] end ``` - **全流程生产力跃升**:矿区综合生产力提升可达 30% 至 40%。这一收益来自双重叠加效应:一是自动化机器单小时挖掘运输吞吐量的增加;二是消除了倒班误工、矿工请假以及极端环境下疲劳作业的停机时间。 - **不同矿种的商业逻辑**:在黄金、锂矿等高价值矿产中,技术带来的核心价值是直接增产并转化为收入;但在采石场(Quarries,主要供应水泥骨料)中,由于受下游水泥市场需求总量的限制,产出不能无限增加,自动化更多是一场压缩 OPEX、改善极薄利润率的降本之战。 ### [15:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=900s) 从“机械师”到“蝙蝠侠”:Pronto 的蜕变与落地瓶颈 由 Anthony Levandowski 带领的 Pronto 早期团队展现了纯正的初创公司基因——极度精益、敏捷但身形单薄。Travis 用好莱坞演员克里斯蒂安·贝尔(Christian Bale)的经典角色形象打趣:过去的 Pronto 就像贝尔在电影《机械师》(The Machinist)里那样瘦骨嶙峋,而如今面对工业级巨头汹涌而至的订单,团队必须迅速补充“蛋白质”,完成向《蝙蝠侠》(Batman)那样强壮、肌肉充沛的工业级交付组织转变。在企业级 GTM 中,让大客户相信你具备大规模稳定交付的“肌肉”与体系,是建立商业信誉的核心。 谈到当前限制规模化扩张的最大瓶颈时,主持人提问矿用设备的采购交付周期是否是主要阻碍。Travis 澄清道,瓶颈并不在于矿山购买新设备,而在于将现有车辆改造上线的交付与调试周期: 1. **偏远供应链与物流运输**:必须把包含传感器、工业计算单元(Compute)、机械执行机构的大型硬件套件安全运送到诸如亚马逊雨林深处或中东荒漠等极端地理环境中。 2. **机械改装与电气适配**:矿山现场充斥着大量老旧工程机械,很多设备甚至不具备线控底盘(Drive-by-wire)。团队必须亲自动手加装物理机械系统来操控方向盘、制动与油门。 3. **现场标定与试运行(Commissioning)**:新矿区地形、气候与土壤条件各异,必须完成精密的传感器标定与严密的安全测试,确保算法在当地恶劣工况下稳定运行。 4. **矿区变革管理(Change Management)**:这是极其繁重的一环。传统的采矿作业依赖极其森严的人工早会制度与严苛的位置流程来规避伤亡风险;一旦切换为无人化自主运作,整座矿山的调度机制、人员角色与协同协议必须被彻底重塑。 ### [18:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1124s) 改造物理世界:从非线控机械到“无进入矿山” 在工业矿山场景中,自动化面临着极其硬核的机械现实。特拉维斯·卡兰尼克(Travis Kalanick)指出,现场运转的各类巨型设备从本质上讲都是纯粹的机械与液压系统,而非乘用车行业常见的原生线控(drive-by-wire)。要想让电信号操纵机器,就必须用物理执行机构(physical actuation)去真正按下物理按键或扳动控制杆。对于矿业巨头来说,直接淘汰报废价值数千万美元的现有重型资产并不现实,因此卡兰尼克选择从后装改造与物理执行切入。当被问及未来是否会走向端到端自主造车(full stack)时,他引出了采矿业的终极愿景——“无进入矿山”(no-entry mine)。 所谓“无进入矿山”,是指整个采矿坑(pit)内没有任何人类工人涉足,人类仅存在于远程调度控制中心,这与传统作业相比彻底颠覆了生产安全考量。卡兰尼克系统梳理了露天采矿的核心业务链条:钻孔(drilling)、爆破(blasting)、装载(loading)、运输(haulage)以及破碎(crushing)。他的战略是从某个单一环节切入,随后横向延展至其他工序,逐步逼近零人工进入的目标。现阶段,其公司的核心抓手正是全自主运输系统;而在进入新矿区时,则采用从人工遥控无缝过渡到完全自主行驶的渐进路径。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 露天矿山作业流程与自动化演进 accDescr: 展示从开采前段到加工阶段的五个矿山工艺,以及运输环节的核心协调枢纽地位 subgraph Operations ["矿山采运全流程"] A["钻孔<br/>Drilling"] --> B["爆破<br/>Blasting"] B --> C["装载<br/>Loading"] C --> D["自主运输<br/>Haulage (核心枢纽)"] D --> E["破碎<br/>Crushing"] end subgraph TechMode ["自主化路径"] T1["物理执行机构改造"] --> T2["远程遥控接管"] T2 --> T3["全自主运行<br/>(无进入矿山)"] end TechMode -.-> D ``` - **矿山经典工序**:涵盖钻孔(Drilling)、爆破(Blasting)、装载(Loading)、运输(Haulage)、破碎(Crushing)五大环节。 - **无进入矿山目标**:作业坑内无任何人类暴露,彻底规避井下与矿坑安全风险,实现全流程无人化。 --- ### [20:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1211s) 200万磅巨兽以35英里时速疾驰:矿山的心血管系统与自研基因 谈及矿山运输的物理体量,现场气氛变得极具视觉冲击力。卡兰尼克描述道,满载状态下的重型矿卡重量可达惊人的 200 万磅(约合 900 余吨),却能在恶劣的非铺装越野路面上以每小时 35 英里(约 56 公里)的速度狂飙。主持人调侃这或许就是卡兰尼克平时骑摩托艇上班的原因,并追问那种配备 20 英尺高巨型轮胎的矿用自卸车开起来究竟是何感受。卡兰尼克笑称虽然没有专供游客体验的“主题乐园”,但他经常亲自跳进驾驶舱,在颠簸飞扬的尘土中实地感受庞然大物的轰鸣与状态。 在行业生态位上,卡兰尼克将重卡运输形象地比喻为矿山的“心血管系统”——因为绝大多数移动设备都集中在这个流通环节。虽然系统只专注于运输车辆本身,但它必须作为生态枢纽,通过 API 与钻孔机、挖掘机等其他设备全面打通,实现状态感知与全局调度协同。当被问及是否会像传统巨头那样靠并购整合其他环节时,卡兰尼克流露出鲜明的个人印记:“在我的世界里,当年的 Uber 从不搞并购那一套破事,我们全靠自己硬造(we just built)。”虽然他表示目前对收购持开放态度、不抱教条主义,且愿意与拥有差异化绝活的伙伴合作,但骨子里依然保留着极强的纯自研工程师本色。 - **庞大机械规模**:满载总重达 200 万磅(约 907 吨),在非铺装矿道越野行驶速度达 35 mph。 - **矿山心血管系统**:运输是矿山流动资产最密集环节,核心在于通过 API 实现全矿机群的协同调度。 - **自研 vs 并购哲学**:传承 Uber 早期“不买现成只求自研”的进攻性工程师文化,但在特定硬科技节点对深度合作持务实态度。 --- ### [22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) 抛弃无聊的笔记本工作:给斯坦福毕业生的“硬核原子世界”说辞 主持人抛出一个尖锐的招聘难题:面对一名刚从斯坦福大学计算机系毕业、习惯了舒适安逸、原本能在 Google 或早期 Uber 轻松躺平拿高薪的年轻人,该如何说服他们远赴亚马逊热带雨林现场写代码?卡兰尼克对此反应极快,他大笑着反问:“难道我刚才描绘的还不够震撼吗?这就是最好的招募说辞!”他直言自己根本没兴趣去游说那些毫无斗志、只想找清闲工作的平庸之辈,因为这种人根本不可能进入自己的视线。 在卡兰尼克看来,工业 AI 的真正魅力在于攻克物理原子(Atoms),而非仅仅在比特世界里打转。他言辞激烈且带着特有的锋芒:“这才是真正酷炫的地方!你不是在应用商店里提交一个该死的垃圾 App,你是在指挥一台重达 200 万磅、满载着黄金矿石、以 35 英里时速飞奔的钢铁猛兽自动驾驶。”他坦言今天的谈话情绪格外高涨、爆了不少粗口,但这种粗粝感恰恰印证了将高阶代码直接作用于物理实体、把科幻小说变成现实工业巨构的热血与纯粹。 - **核心价值对比**:告别应用商店内充斥的普通移动端软件开发,转向重构重工采掘场景的“原子世界(Atoms)”。 - **极端工程环境**:将前沿深度学习与自动化技术落地于包括亚马逊雨林在内的恶劣真实工业腹地。 - **人才筛选法则**:主动排斥追求安逸舒适的“笔记本打工族”,只吸收渴望用硬核技术改造物理现实的顶级极客。 --- ### [23:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1430s) 阿西莫夫与AI对齐:从商业规律看“反人类产品注定失败” 在科幻灵感与 AI 安全的探讨中,卡兰尼克展现出深厚的科幻情结。他透露自己最钟爱的科幻作家是艾萨克·阿西莫夫(Isaac Asimov),并将《我,机器人》(I, Robot)系列奉为不可逾越的经典神作。当主持人顺势追问阿西莫夫经典的“机器人三定律”能否解决当下业界争论不休的 AI 对齐与人类毁灭论(AI doom)时,卡兰尼克给出了一个极其独特且立足商业规律的非典型视角。 卡兰尼克回顾了自己漫长而充满波折的创业生涯。他坦承自己曾多次品尝失败的苦果,而剖析这些失败的底层原因,几乎全都是因为“造出了没人喜欢的垃圾”。他由此推导出一个不可动摇的商业公理:如果你打造的产品是反人类的、脱离人类真实福祉的,那么它在商业世界中就绝对无法存活。卡兰尼克幽默地观察到,当下的 AI 模型不仅没有反抗人类的苗头,反而在迎合与取悦人类方面“显得过于谄媚”。比起空泛地讨论科幻预言中的灾难假设,他将安全问题牢牢锚定在务实的物理法则上:“与其去写虚无缥缈的科幻小说,我宁愿躬身入局,实打实地保证矿山里的巨型重卡能够牢牢行驶在车道之内。” - **阿西莫夫与三定律反思**:肯定三定律的伟大初衷,但深知原著本身就在不断展示规则在现实复杂边缘情况下的漏洞与失效。 - **商业与对齐的统一性**:任何违背人类意志或对人类有害的科技产品无法通过市场检验,商业淘汰机制本身即是强大的对齐过滤器。 - **务实安全观**:拒绝沉溺于终极灾难的虚无焦虑,将精力投入到防碰撞、优先级仲裁与防侧翻出轨等极其具体的工业控制安全中。 --- ### [26:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1599s) 机器人尚未拥有银行账户:接轨现实的商业逻辑 顺着“扎根现实”的逻辑,卡兰尼克进一步阐述了他对机器人与现实经济体系关系的见解。他指出,很多人沉迷于构想科幻未来,畅想机器人未来可能会拥有自己的独立银行账户、甚至获得某种公民身份,但至少在当下这完全是脱离现实的无稽之谈。在相当长的一段历史时期内,每一台机器人都必须牢牢依附于现实的所有权架构之下——它们必须由具体的人类实体或企业拥有。 正因为机器人资产挂钩在具体的企业账本与银行账户之下,客户掏出真金白银购买工业 AI 服务的唯一前提,就是这项技术能为他们创造切实的经济价值。卡兰尼克再次自嘲道:“相信我,我曾经做过没人喜欢的糟糕产品,那种感觉糟透了,我绝对不建议任何人去重蹈覆辙。”这种深切的教训让他对虚浮的泡沫保持清醒。当主持人谈及商业模式变现路径,探讨既然这套系统能够帮助矿山将产能与产出大幅提升 30% 至 40%,卡兰尼克是否会通过与矿主组建合资公司(JV)来深度捆绑利润分成时,对话随即切入了卡兰尼克关于技术变现与商业化交付的最新策略。 - **机器人产权归属**:强调机器人当前不是独立经济体,其商业生命力完全取决于能否为企业账本带来真实回报。 - **生产力增量**:自动化系统能够将矿山作业产出提升 30% 至 40%,构成了极强的商业定价权基础。 - **务实商业闭环**:以惨痛的创业教训为戒,拒绝空谈概念,专注交付能让付费方在真实世界获利的硬核技术价值。 ### [28:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1685s) 企业软件的定价艺术与价值捕获逻辑 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克(Travis Kalanick)从企业级软件公司的商业模式切入,深入阐述了如何向客户收费与捕获价值。主持人指出,当软件为企业带来生产力提升时,最直观的反应通常是涨价或推行订阅制,但这里始终存在一种“猫鼠博弈”——既希望创造的价值大于所收取的费用,又不想把应得的收益白白拱手让人。卡兰尼克对此强调,无论是在企业软件领域还是其他任何行业,最忌讳的做法就是直接跑到客户面前粗暴地索要对方收益的一定比例。 卡兰尼克表示,更聪明的谈判策略是设立一个基础服务价格,并在向客户切实证明其生产力获得显著跃升之后,顺理成章地分得“额外的一杯羹”(a little extra juice / scratch / cashish)。这种合作绝不能表现得吃相难看,而是要以真正的企业级合作伙伴姿态共同把蛋糕做大,因为客户本身也渴望获胜。产品与技术所创造的价值越独特、壁垒越高,最终能够分得的商业回报也就越丰厚。 --- ### [29:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1775s) 高管招聘的核心法则:“首席问题解决者”与真实工作模拟 谈及目前招聘高管的方法时,卡兰尼克先是叹了口气开玩笑说全靠“祈祷”,引得现场一片笑声。面对主持人追问他是否有一套胜率高达 99% 的“卡兰尼克系统”,他直言没有任何人能彻底解决高管招聘的难题。现实中,高管们在面试时往往说得天花乱坠,但企业真正需要高管具备两项特质:一是在规模化阶段组织、管理与领导团队的能力;二是最顶尖、最具战略眼光的硬核问题解决能力。卡兰尼克将这两项能力比作人的左手与右手,同时具备“双撇子”能力的人凤毛麟角。如果必须权衡,他坚定地认为“解决问题的能力”永远排在首位——因为一个只会搞组织管理却不会解决实际问题的人,“只会用极其井井有条的方式干出一堆荒唐事”。 卡兰尼克分享了自己的管理哲学:一家企业想象力的唯一边界就是其“管理容量”(management capacity),而管理容量的本质就是在规模化层面解决问题的能力。他将自己定义为公司的“首席问题解决者”(Problem-Solver-in-Chief),专门负责处理桌上那些最重要却迟迟未被解决的瓶颈。这种理念必须向下层层穿透:向他直接汇报的下属必须被授权成为其业务领域的“分管首席问题解决者”,从而在有限的时间里各自攻克难题。在面试环节,他最推崇的做法是直接在面试中模拟真实工作配合,力求让候选人“入职第一天的感觉就像已经工作到了第二周”,如果此时双方依然充满兴奋感,就能在极大程度上排除人岗不匹配的系统性风险。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Problem-Solver-in-Chief Management Architecture accDescr: A cascading management model from CEO to front-line teams showing problem-solving scaling. subgraph Core["核心领导层"] A["首席问题解决者<br>(CEO / Travis Kalanick)"] end subgraph Executives["高管与业务线负责人"] B["授权首席问题解决者 A"] C["授权首席问题解决者 B"] end subgraph Teams["执行团队与前线"] D["攻克业务瓶颈 & 释放管理容量"] E["攻克业务瓶颈 & 释放管理容量"] end A -->|"拆解最高优先级未决问题"| B A -->|"拆解最高优先级未决问题"| C B -->|"层层下沉执行"| D C -->|"层层下沉执行"| E ``` - **高管能力象限**:组织管理能力(左手)与硬核战略解题能力(右手),两手皆硬的人极度罕见。 - **管理容量本质**:想象力的天花板等于管理容量,而管理容量等于大规模解决问题的效率。 - **面试落地策略**:通过实战推演模拟真实协作,实现入职即无缝衔接至高强度工作状态。 --- ### [33:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1981s) 联邦优先权与监管俘获:警惕闭源 AI 的安全博弈 主持人将话题转向监管战略,对比了 Uber 早期在各个城市逐一突破的“地面战”打法,以及如今主流 AI 实验室在联邦层面争夺“联邦优先权”(Federal Preemption)的现象。卡兰尼克给出了极具穿透力的定性:追求联邦优先权往往等同于追求“监管俘获”(Regulatory Capture)。当一家头部企业想要利用监管体量彻底挤压对手、设置准入门槛时,通过联邦层面立法定规便是最立竿见影的手段。 卡兰尼克回顾道,Uber 当年从未主动提议或游说任何对自己有利、却限制对手竞争的排他性规则,而是致力于彻底打破旧有封锁,让市场充分开放并在公平竞争中凭实力胜出。他针对当下的 AI 行业提出警告,特别是某些搞闭源大模型(closed-weight models)的公司,其典型套路是先授意自己的黑客去攻击模型找漏洞,接着大张旗鼓地跑到联邦政府面前宣称“我们挽救了世界”,以此换取量身定制的行业监管。他告诫大家必须对这种披着“安全”外衣、实则阻碍竞争的监管游说保持高度警惕。 --- ### [34:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2097s) 交通运输的既得利益阻力:诉讼律师与保险公司的利益同盟 针对自动驾驶车辆面临诉讼律师反扑、甚至被指责“因为过于安全而断人财路”的现象,卡兰尼克指出这完全在意料之中。根据他多年的实战经验,交通运输行业中几乎所有系统性糟糕的机制与不可思议的奇葩规定,幕后推手无一例外都是诉讼律师(trial lawyers)与保险公司构成的利益共同体。 面对主持人的困惑——按常理保险公司本应为事故买单、理应希望减少事故——卡兰尼克揭示了保险行业的底层利润逻辑:保险公司靠事故发生率赚取承保利润与利差。如果没有事故,整个车险行业甚至不复存在;只要事故发生率处于精算表的预测范围之内,保险公司巴不得有更多赔付标的。卡兰尼克举了一个在华盛顿特区亲历的真实案例: - **传统出租车赔付上限**:在华盛顿特区,传统出租车发生意外时的法定单次责任保额仅为区区 2.5 万美元。 - **针对网约车的强制保单**:当 Uber 进入华盛顿特区时,监管方在利益集团推动下,硬性要求平台为每趟行程配置高达 150 万美元的责任险。 - **利益同盟的狂欢**:虽然网约车在实际数据上可能比传统出租车安全得多,但 150 万美元的巨额保单犹如为每场偶然事故都设立了一个可以大额提现的资金池,让诉讼律师与保险公司在利益分配中各取所需、兴奋不已。 --- ### [37:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2228s) 机器人底盘战略:专注轮式专用工业机器人而非人形机器人 谈到目前新公司在交通运输维度的布局,以及该业务如何服务于采矿或餐饮供应链时,卡兰尼克明确将其定义为公司的第一优先级业务。他把这项技术构想概括为“机器人的轮式底盘”(wheelbase for robots)。在他看来,任何要在物理真实世界中进行移动和作业的专用机器人,必然面临形态的选择。 卡兰尼克明确划清了他与人形机器人(Humanoids)的界限:他并不反对人形机器人,但他选择坚定地走“非人形专用机器人”路线。他认为,在工业级的大规模作业场景中,让人形机器人去执行重型、高强度的专业任务完全是不合时宜的设想。要在物理世界高效搬运和运作,工业机器人必须搭载稳固高效的轮式移动底盘,这也是其全面重构工业实体供应链的基石所在。 ### [37:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2274s) 全栈工业自动化:从“自动驾驶卷饼”到35亿美元的叉车劳动力 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克(Travis Kalanick)描绘了一幅对传统产业进行端到端重塑的图景。以餐饮供应链为例,货运卡车开入仓储设施的过程本质上完全可以交由机器人接管,并以极度契合的方式与仓储系统自动化对接;而在成品出餐环节,卡兰尼克提出了一个生动的概念——“自动驾驶卷饼”(autonomous burritos)。这是一种自带温控系统的轮式箱体机器人,能够直接将餐食配送到用户家门口。他指出,目前使用 Uber Eats 或 DoorDash 进行单次配送的履约成本高达大约 12 美元,而自动化配送机器人的成本可以骤降至区区 75 美分。他强调,自己的核心逻辑并非单点改进,而是审视整个行业后发问:“我们如何实现全栈(Full stack)自动化?” 同样的逻辑也适用于采矿等重工业。自动驾驶在矿区绝不仅仅局限于重型卡车的矿石运输(haulage),还有大量处于运动状态的辅助工程机械:用于平整泥土道路的平地机、用于压制漫天扬尘的洒水车,以及将精矿转运出矿区的长途货运设备,每一个环节都需要机械持续移动与作业。更直观的痛点发生在仓储物流端,卡兰尼克透露,有一家不便透露名称的大型企业,仅在供应链仓储内部的叉车劳动力成本上,每年就要烧掉高达 35 亿美元。主持人打趣称,翻翻 SEC 的公开财报或许就能查出这究竟是哪家巨头;而卡兰尼克直言,单是“彻底解决叉车自动化这一个问题”,背后就蕴藏着庞大至极的商业机遇。 - **餐饮履约成本对比**:传统外卖平台(如 Uber Eats、DoorDash)单均配送履约成本约为 12 美元,而温控轮式机器人配送有望压缩至 75 美分。 - **矿山长尾作业机械**:除矿运卡车外,平地机(道路平整)、洒水车(降尘)和长途转运货车均存在全面的无人化改造空间。 - **仓储叉车支出**:某头部供应链企业仅在厂区叉车驾驶员的人工开支上,每年支出就达到 35 亿美元。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 全栈工业自动化与降本逻辑 accDescr: 展示从上游原料搬运到下游终端配送的端到端自动化演进,以及由此带来的成本结构变革。 subgraph upstream ["原料与工业物流"] A["进场货运 / 叉车搬运<br/>(年耗资数十亿美元的人工成本)"] --> B["自动化搬运机器人<br/>与全自动化仓储接口"] end subgraph processing ["全自动生产与调度"] B --> C["工业地产与餐饮制造<br/>(自动化烹饪与无人加工)"] end subgraph downstream ["终端交付环节"] C --> D["温控轮式无人车<br/>('自动驾驶卷饼')"] D --> E["单均配送成本<br/>从 12 美元降至 75 美分"] end ``` --- ### [39:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2378s) 岗位与任务之辨、杰文斯悖论与AI驱动的超级繁荣 针对卡兰尼克的全栈自动化愿景,主持人抛出了劳动力市场中“岗位(Job)与任务(Task)”的经典辩题。许多人曾以为 AI 会彻底消灭营销人员,但文案撰写仅是营销岗位中的单一任务;同样,在自动卡车货运领域,有数据显示约 30% 的卡车司机在行车时随身佩戴武器,这意味着卡车司机不仅承担着控制方向盘、油门与刹车的操作任务,还兼具押运安保、车辆加油以及突发故障轻度维修等复合职责。将单项操作自动化,是否真能取代整个岗位? 面对这个问题,卡兰尼克将讨论引向了更宏观的经济学本质:如果将工业地产、制造物流、机器人烹饪以及无人配送车全部打通,结果必然是食品生产与配送成本的雪崩式下降。由于“机器人没有银行账户”,产品降价所节省下来的全部资金,最终都会留在人类的钱包里。主持人开玩笑插话称这会引发“杰文斯悖论(Jevons paradox)”——食物变便宜了,人们可能会一天吃 10 个汉堡、或者原本想买 3 份披萨结果直接买 6 份。卡兰尼克在笑声中澄清,他的核心观点是盈余资本的再配置:当生活必需品全面自动化并大幅降价后,全社会释放出巨大的多余财富,而这笔资金只能回流至人类手中,去采购其他产品和服务。 卡兰尼克坚信,这不会导致普遍失业,反而会开启前所未有的“超级繁荣(super prosperity)”。技术进步带来的过剩资本将催生上百个前所未见的新兴行业;只要人类依然具备某些机器人无法替代的特质,整个经济体系就会进入全速运转状态。他再次引用了之前的比喻——未来的水管工可能会像勒布朗·詹姆斯一样赚取天价薪酬,这种由人类独特性构筑的高溢价岗位将在数千个细分领域爆发,甚至衍生出许多当今人类完全无法想象的全新职业。 - **卡车司机复合职能**:约 30% 的卡车司机携带武器上岗,方向盘控制只是其任务之一,安保押运、补能与基础维保同样是其岗位核心。 - **生产力释放的财富流向**:自动化降低基础生活物资成本,由于机器不需要消费与储蓄,释放的资金盈余直接转化为消费者的可支配收入。 - **超级繁荣假说**:资本盈余将流向人类独占价值的领域,催生数以千计的高收入新职业(例如获得职业球星级收入的专业蓝领技能工)。 --- ### [42:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2544s) 17亿美元融资与a16z的“未竟事业”,工业AI的重原子定义 主持人将话题转向了卡兰尼克新成立公司所完成的 17 亿美元巨额融资,并追问:“既然上一次访谈你说过‘如果一件事做起来很轻松,说明你还不够拼’,那这次为什么不融更多?”卡兰尼克笑着打趣说“就算是我的精力也是有上限的”,但随即透露在融资消息公布的当天,他的手机已经被打爆。他格外强调了与领投方 a16z(Andreessen Horowitz)的渊源,坦言当年在 Uber 时双方就该深度绑定合作;如果 2017 年 a16z 就在 Uber 的局盘之中,当年的风波与他的人生轨迹或许会完全改写。因此,卡兰尼克将这次合作深情地称作自己的“未竟事业(unfinished business)”。 鉴于眼下蜂拥而至的追投意向,卡兰尼克透露他们很可能会在不公开宣传的情况下开启“第二轮交割(second close)”。主持人调侃这是否得看之前的短信记录,卡兰尼克大笑回应:“如果你是老哥们(homie),我们肯定给你留了份额;如果你还不是老哥们,那你最好先去找我的老哥们聊聊。”主持人感叹,投资“具身智能”或物理世界 AI 的路径有很多,投资人既可以花好几年去大海捞针挑团队,也可以干脆“直接把巨额支票塞给 TK,让他去放手大干(just give TK a big pile of cash and say go cook)”。 卡兰尼克借机阐明了自己对于技术叙事的精确定义。他刻意避开了时下热门的“物理 AI(Physical AI)”这一叫法,因为外界听到这个词总会联想到人形机器人或世界模型(World Model);他更倾向于将其明确定义为“工业 AI(Industrial AI)”。这是一种由全栈软件、机器人技术、传感器矩阵和重型工程机械紧密结合构成的完整方案,旨在从底层彻底改造并自动化传统重工业。用卡兰尼克的话来说,这就是在物理世界里实打实与“重原子(heavy atom stuff)”打交道的技术硬仗。 - **融资背景与后续空间**:完成首期 17 亿美元巨额融资后,意向资金爆满,团队正筹划针对核心关系圈(homies)开启低调的第二次交割(second close)。 - **a16z 历史宿愿**:卡兰尼克将 a16z 此次领投视作 Uber 2017 年动荡期未竟合作的延续与补完。 - **工业 AI(Industrial AI)核心内涵**:区分于泛指的物理 AI 或人形机器人,聚焦全栈软件、工业传感器、自动化设备与重型机械的深度耦合,改造高壁垒的重资产与重原子产业。 --- ### [44:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2676s) 铜锣签名与奥斯汀的水上通勤日常 访谈进入尾声,主持人邀请卡兰尼克在节目演播室标志性的巨型铜锣上亲笔签名,并打趣道要把签名铜锣高高悬挂在屋顶的缆架上,让这个“商业博物馆”再添一件重磅藏品。 随后,话题轻松地转到了卡兰尼克在得克萨斯州奥斯汀标志性的日常生活方式——骑水上摩托车(Jet Ski)上下班。主持人调侃道,下次如果在水面上远远看到有两艘水上摩托飞驰而来,那八成就是他们在尾随偶遇。卡兰尼克热情地邀请主持人们一起体验单板滑水(slalom ski)和尾波冲浪(wake surf)。他分享了自己雷打不动的水上通勤作息:无论冬夏,每天清晨 7:30 准时下水驰骋,晚上 8:30 离开办公室时,也经常有一半的时间是直接跨上水上摩托踏着暮色冲浪回家。在一片对奥斯汀夏日生活方式的赞叹与欢笑声中,访谈正式圆满收官。 ## Notable quotes > [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=0s) 全世界根本没有第二个管理着千人规模以上大公司的首席执行官会以这种方式通勤。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [01:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=94s) 播客就是现代男性的心理疗愈。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [04:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=249s) 我们不想挑拣单项业务,我们只想投资你这个人。 — 资方 > [20:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1211s) 在我的世界里,当年的 Uber 从不搞并购那一套破事,我们全靠自己硬造。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [22:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1348s) 你不是在应用商店里提交一个该死的垃圾 App,你是在指挥一台重达 200 万磅、满载着黄金矿石、以 35 英里时速飞奔的钢铁猛兽自动驾驶。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [23:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1430s) 与其去写虚无缥缈的科幻小说,我宁愿躬身入局,实打实地保证矿山里的巨型重卡能够牢牢行驶在车道之内。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [26:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1599s) 相信我,我曾经做过没人喜欢的糟糕产品,那种感觉糟透了,我绝对不建议任何人去重蹈覆辙。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [29:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=1775s) 一家企业想象力的唯一边界就是其‘管理容量’,而管理容量的本质就是在规模化层面解决问题的能力。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [37:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2274s) 如果我们如何实现全栈自动化? — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 > [42:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc&t=2544s) 如果你是老哥们,我们肯定给你留了份额;如果你还不是老哥们,那你最好先去找我的老哥们聊聊。 — 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克 ## Mentioned Travis Kalanick, Atoms, Uber, Pronto, Anthony Levandowski, Elon Musk, Tesla, SpaceX, The Boring Company, Neuralink, Vale, Christian Bale, Isaac Asimov, I, Robot, Uber Eats, DoorDash, Andreessen Horowitz (a16z), ChatGPT, LeBron James ## Video description This is our full interview with Travis Kalanick. We discuss his new $1.7 billion funding round, why he's betting on industrial AI instead of consumer AI, how autonomous mining can increase productivity by 30 to 40%, why he believes AI will make food dramatically cheaper, what he looks for when hiring executives, lessons from scaling Uber, the future of robotics, AI regulation, and why he commutes to work on a jet ski. TBPN is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.com Public - https://public.com Cisco - https://www.cisco.com Console - https://www.console.com CrowdStrike - https://www.crowdstrike.com Figma - https://www.figma.com MongoDB - https://www.mongodb.com NYSE - https://www.nyse.com Railway - https://railway.com Shopify - https://www.shopify.com/ Codex - http://openAI.com/codex Sign up for TBPN’s daily newsletter at TBPN.com Follow TBPN: https://TBPN.com https://x.com/tbpn https://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235 https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1agLjfdvQc)

Source quotes

[0:00] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 全世界根本没有第二个管理着千人规模以上大公司的首席执行官会以这种方式通勤。 [1:34] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 播客就是现代男性的心理疗愈。 [4:09] 资方: 我们不想挑拣单项业务,我们只想投资你这个人。 [20:11] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 在我的世界里,当年的 Uber 从不搞并购那一套破事,我们全靠自己硬造。 [22:28] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 你不是在应用商店里提交一个该死的垃圾 App,你是在指挥一台重达 200 万磅、满载着黄金矿石、以 35 英里时速飞奔的钢铁猛兽自动驾驶。 [23:50] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 与其去写虚无缥缈的科幻小说,我宁愿躬身入局,实打实地保证矿山里的巨型重卡能够牢牢行驶在车道之内。 [26:39] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 相信我,我曾经做过没人喜欢的糟糕产品,那种感觉糟透了,我绝对不建议任何人去重蹈覆辙。 [29:35] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 一家企业想象力的唯一边界就是其‘管理容量’,而管理容量的本质就是在规模化层面解决问题的能力。 [37:54] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 如果我们如何实现全栈自动化? [42:24] 特拉维斯·卡兰尼克: 如果你是老哥们,我们肯定给你留了份额;如果你还不是老哥们,那你最好先去找我的老哥们聊聊。

Source quotes

[19:28] Travis Kalanick: A no entry mine is a mine where there are no people in the pit... You're talking about loaded a 2 million pound machine that's moving potentially 35 miles an hour down the road. [22:28] Travis Kalanick: You're not dropping a fucking app in the App Store. You're like automating a 2 million pound machine going 35 miles an hour carrying gold. [22:28] Travis Kalanick: If you make something that is anti-human, if you make something that doesn't serve people... I don't think you're going to make it. [27:46] Travis Kalanick: If you get somebody who organizes and manages well, but cannot solve a problem, they're going to be doing ridiculous stuff in a super organized way.

Original transcript

[0:00] I forgot to ask Jason if he has [0:03] opinions about resto mods for jet skis. [0:05] I'll ask you. Is there a Is there a jet [0:08] ski that you'd recommend for the [0:09] somebody [0:10] >> I saw a wooden I saw a wooden jet ski [0:12] recently. [0:12] >> A wooden? That's a [0:13] >> Like a really classic jet ski. [0:15] >> Dude, don't get me excited. I'm into it. [0:17] >> But these things go fast. [0:18] >> Yeah? [0:19] >> I think I went 70 miles an hour on my [0:21] jet ski to work. [0:22] >> Wow. [0:22] >> To work. [laughter] [0:23] >> That's faster than most people commute. [0:24] They're stuck in traffic. [0:25] >> I mean, I've got a 5-minute commute to [0:27] work on a jet ski. [0:28] >> ski. [0:28] >> Unless it's raining. [0:29] >> Yeah. [0:29] >> Unless it's raining. Yeah, [0:31] not unless [0:31] >> I think it's a little weird. [0:32] >> And you call an Uber. [0:34] >> Okay. [0:34] >> Is it Is it Is it helpful? Do you do [0:36] your best thinking on the jet ski? [0:40] >> No. [0:40] >> No. [0:41] >> [laughter] [0:43] >> Does it clear the mind? [0:44] >> Does it clear the mind? [0:45] >> No, it's just [0:46] Guys, it's it's a it's a it's a [0:50] it's a [ __ ] notch on the belt. It's [0:51] like, who else do you know is jet skiing [0:54] to work? Nobody. I'm the guy. [0:57] >> Oh, you're that guy. [0:58] >> I looked it up. I looked it up [1:01] uh on your guys's application, Open AI, [1:03] you know, Chat GPT on your guys's app. [1:05] >> Yeah, yeah, that's our app. Yeah, our [1:06] app. [1:06] >> Yeah, on your app. [1:07] >> You're welcome, by the way. [1:08] >> Um yeah. No, I I want to thank you for [1:10] all the great stuff that you guys are [1:11] providing in Chat GPT. [1:14] >> [laughter] [1:14] >> But I think there's like one or two [1:16] other CEOs, but but nobody at a major [1:20] Nobody at Nobody thousand person plus as [1:23] a CEO is commuting to work. [1:25] >> On a jet ski. [1:26] >> On a jet ski. [1:26] >> Only a Texas resident, right? [1:28] >> Texas resident. [1:29] >> That's right. [1:30] >> Primary residence. That's right. [1:31] >> Yes. [1:32] >> Um [1:34] Before we start, the last time you were [1:35] on here, [1:36] that was for me the best moment of [1:40] making the show ever. John and I uh it [1:43] was it was totally surreal and uh we had [1:45] a we really really enjoyed the [1:47] conversation, but but to me, we left [1:50] that and it was almost depressing [1:51] because as somebody who, you know, [1:54] started getting into startups in the [1:56] 2010s, [1:58] you were that guy. [2:00] And then I was realizing with the show, [2:02] we [2:03] we had that conversation with you and it [2:06] and it was, you know, a significant day [2:07] for you, but it was sort of depressing [2:09] cuz I realized like a moment like that [2:11] would never actually come again where I [2:13] got to basically interview [2:16] it will happen it will happen no it'll [2:18] happen differently but but you know a [2:19] childhood hero having that conversation [2:24] that's one of one for me. I don't think [2:25] it'll happen again. There'll be other it [2:27] was peak it was peak. [2:28] But anyways, you've been busy since [2:30] then. [2:31] >> I've been busy. [2:32] I look I'm super excited it's my first [2:34] open AI podcast. [2:35] >> [laughter] [2:36] >> I'm very excited about it. Also, I want [2:39] to let you guys know that [2:41] if you need therapy sessions for what [2:43] it's like to be a made man in [2:45] retirement. [2:46] >> Sure. [2:47] >> Like if that's a thing I can [2:49] I can help motivate you guys. [2:50] >> one of therapy in this situation just [2:52] get a jet ski? [2:53] >> No, it's just it's it's actually denial. [2:55] You got to get over the denial. [2:56] >> Okay. Over the denial. [2:58] And then [laughter] the acceptance? [2:59] >> Yeah, it's something like that. I don't [3:00] know the 12 steps. I don't know the 12 [3:01] steps. [3:02] >> Yeah, yeah, yeah, everyone just knows [3:04] denial and acceptance. They they don't [3:05] know any of the other ones. [3:07] Grieving, bargaining, there's a couple [3:09] others in there but you do go through [3:10] that. It's natural. Yeah, [3:11] it happens but then you start building [3:13] and [3:14] >> So if you guys need advice, you need [3:15] therapy I'm here for you. I mean I know [3:17] that [ __ ] maxing is you're not [3:18] supposed to do therapy. I'm just saying [3:20] >> [laughter] [3:20] >> there are benefits. [3:21] >> your new partners. They're like if [3:23] there's one thing they wrote into the [3:25] fundraising round, they wrote into the [3:26] docs like cannot go to therapy. [3:28] >> Yes, but but podcasts are modern therapy [3:31] for men. This is what men do. They don't [3:32] go to therapy. [3:33] >> You should have you should have you [3:35] should have office hours for founders [3:37] but they have to just come out on a jet [3:39] ski while you're going and you're going [3:40] 70 miles an hour and you'll coach them. [3:43] >> I'm [3:44] I am starting to teach many founders and [3:47] people in tech world how to water ski, [3:50] how to wake surf. A bunch of my [3:52] engineers already. So, there was one guy [3:54] who didn't know how to swim, but I got [3:55] him behind the boat wake surfing. [3:57] >> Woah. [3:58] >> Woah. So, you had a you had a life [3:59] jacket. [3:59] >> Yeah, life jacket. The life jacket on. [4:01] >> Life jacket. It It It sounds weirder [4:03] than it is. [4:03] >> Yeah. [4:04] >> But, it was still very weird. [4:05] >> It's [clears throat] a high risk. [4:06] >> Yeah. [4:06] >> Yeah, it was good. [4:07] >> Potentially. [4:08] >> Uh [4:09] okay, cool. [4:10] >> The business. [4:10] >> Business. [4:11] >> Going well? [4:11] >> Dude, it's business time. [4:12] >> Yeah. [4:13] >> Got to put on the business socks. [4:14] >> Unfinished business. [4:15] >> Unfinished business. [4:17] Um so, yeah, I announced earlier today [4:19] uh we did a $1.7 billion raise. There's [4:22] some There's some noise that's going to [4:23] happen. [4:27] >> Wow. [4:29] >> For now. [4:31] This is [ __ ] You guys are crazy. [4:34] >> [laughter] [4:35] >> I'm hitting it next time. [4:36] >> Yeah. [clears throat] [4:36] >> Um [4:42] Uh [4:43] so much noise. [4:44] >> So much noise. [4:45] >> All right, but walk us through. [4:46] >> you came in very relaxed. [4:48] >> It's just walk us through. I think it's [4:49] been what? [4:50] >> It's been [4:51] uh 4 months since we talked? Three or [4:53] four months? Something like that. [4:54] >> Yeah, I think Did we talk in April or [4:56] March? [4:57] >> I think March. [4:58] >> Yeah. [4:58] >> Oh, that's right. Yes. [4:59] >> Early March. [5:00] >> The 4 months. [5:01] >> So, [5:02] >> So, yeah. So, [5:03] >> What happened with the business to [5:05] unlock the next round? [5:07] >> Uh [5:08] I mean, we continue to go up and to the [5:10] right, but like the announcement of [5:11] Atoms was we are we're going to do [5:15] physical automation, physical AI. [5:18] What we are calling industrial AI to [5:21] transform these industries one at a [5:23] time. We were we did food. We moved into [5:26] mining. We're doing transport. [5:29] And [5:30] it's working. [5:32] And so, [5:33] that's how you go. Yeah, and then of [5:35] course, there's like going out of [5:36] stealth, there's all the things, and it [5:37] was just the right time. [5:39] >> Yeah. [5:39] >> So, um [5:41] So, yeah. We just went to market. [5:43] >> Yeah. [5:43] >> We said when I when I originally went to [5:45] market, I was like, [5:47] "These were separate companies. Okay, so [5:49] our mining and transport was a separate [5:51] thing. [5:52] Food was a separate thing and and we had [5:54] a bunch of other, you know, a bunch of [5:56] subsidiaries doing cool stuff. And I [5:58] said, "Which one do you guys want to do? [5:59] Do you want to invest in mining? Do you [6:01] want to invest in food? Do you want to [6:02] invest in this?" [6:03] And they're just like, "We want to [6:05] invest in you." [6:06] >> Yeah. [6:06] >> Yeah. [6:07] >> And we heard that [6:09] like we took the like the first five [6:11] folks we talked to all said that. [6:13] >> Yeah. [6:13] >> So then what we did is we put the [6:15] companies [6:16] together [6:18] and then sold the equity in a singular [6:21] entity. [6:22] >> Yeah. [6:22] >> Yeah. [6:22] >> Uh so just put put it together. And it [6:26] and it I it's much easier for me. I [6:28] don't know how [6:29] uh how Elon does it with all the [6:31] different companies [6:32] >> tables and [6:32] >> It's it's wild. [6:33] >> Well, no, no, you The answer The answer [6:35] is what's been happening, right? [6:37] >> Is it all comes back together? But he [6:38] did Guys, he did it for 20 years though. [6:40] >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. [6:41] >> And he's still technically doing it with [6:42] Tesla. [6:42] >> Yeah. [6:42] >> SpaceX like they are different [6:43] companies. [6:44] >> Boring company, Neuralink. Like he's [6:46] still got a lot of different companies. [6:48] >> in there for investors is like even with [6:50] Elon companies there's such an insane [6:52] power law where you have a $10 billion [6:54] company and then you have a, you know, a [6:56] $2 trillion company, right? And it's [6:58] like you just want to expose you want [7:00] broad exposure. Ideally, you know, you [7:03] could just invest in the one that breaks [7:05] out, but you want broad exposure to [7:07] the category. [7:08] >> When things are first getting going, [7:10] there is a lot of upside of having them [7:13] separate. [7:14] >> Sure. [7:15] >> Uh because if somebody wants to invest [7:17] in a really cool thing and this is what [7:18] happened when we first got the transport [7:20] and mining thing going. If they want to [7:22] invest in that cool thing, they're like, [7:23] "I don't know anything about food." By [7:24] the way, food on its own is robotics, [7:27] real estate, like restaurants, like uh [7:30] you know? And so they want they want to [7:33] be exposed to that one thing and they [7:34] don't want to have to underwrite [7:36] something going across all things. Um [7:39] and they're like, "Well, if If losing [7:40] money over here, I want you to lose [7:42] money over here. [7:43] >> Mhm. [7:43] >> So, how much of the money I'm putting in [7:45] is going to go to that? [7:47] There There has to be a theory of the [7:48] case of how you put it together, how you [7:50] allocate capital across. And honestly, [7:52] once you're starting to get to [7:53] profitability on one or more, then that [7:56] conversation starts to get easier. And I [7:57] think that's That could be why [8:00] I I I can't I can't speculate on on on [8:04] sort of Elon's world, but certainly I'm [8:07] super excited to have those pieces put [8:09] together into a single into a single [8:11] puzzle. [8:12] >> What does go to market look like in the [8:15] mining industry for you? [8:17] >> It's the freaking best. [8:18] >> Okay. Because [8:20] specifically like when I think of when I [8:23] think of your go to market magic. [8:26] >> Okay. [8:26] >> It was deploying young people to a new [8:30] city in Miami, and they're doing a [8:32] marketing stunt, and it's not like [8:35] you're calling in favors or leveraging [8:38] your network to get Uber up and running [8:41] in a new city. That was something that [8:44] was organizational design. [8:46] >> on. That's consumer. [8:47] >> Exactly. So, how is it different? [8:48] >> Well, it's just like Well, all the food [8:50] stuff we're doing is business. Almost [8:51] all of it. [8:52] >> Really all of it. Uh mining's all [8:54] business. So, it's So, so look, there is [8:57] a big thing if you go from doing [8:59] consumer to doing business. And I think [9:01] we may have talked about this last time. [9:04] That's a whole other ballgame. I mean, [9:06] it takes years off your lifespan doing [9:10] it. Like getting good at it and then [9:12] owning it. But mining go to market is [9:15] cray-cray. [9:17] >> Yeah. [9:17] >> Like So, I was just giving an example. [9:20] >> to the mining conference or something? [9:22] >> yes. You're meeting CEOs. Yes, you do [9:24] that. But But But you know, [9:27] I can a lot of times Look, when you have [9:30] very efficient transportation, you can [9:34] go places. So, a month ago, I dropped [9:37] into deep Amazon in Brazil. [9:41] Okay? Like deep northern Brazil, like [9:44] Amazon [9:45] >> Places you can't even get a jet ski to. [9:46] >> Guys, it's the Amazon of the Amazon, [9:49] okay? [9:49] >> Okay. [9:50] >> [laughter] [9:50] >> And and like [9:53] tiny airports, you just like you kind of [9:55] just [9:56] >> Dirt. [9:56] >> You slide into the DMs, except there's a [9:58] tarmac, okay? [9:59] >> you go. [10:00] >> And [10:01] >> Yes, of course. And massive iron ore [10:05] mine that we're operating in there. [10:07] >> Okay. [10:07] >> And you see like we took [10:10] We were there for a couple days cuz we [10:12] already have customers there. [10:13] Customers called Valley. It's a massive [10:15] mining company. [10:16] >> Yeah. [10:16] >> And [10:18] um [10:19] They It's It's like the world's largest [10:22] iron ore mine. And you go and you get in [10:24] a helicopter. [10:26] Just going over one of the sites takes [10:27] 30 minutes. [10:28] >> Wow. [10:29] >> Okay? [10:30] And it's fascinating. It's so [10:33] fascinating and you're learning how the [10:35] system works. [10:37] You're sort of figuring out how do I [10:40] You basically take a kit, you apply you [10:42] you you install it onto a machine and [10:45] that machine becomes autonomous. And [10:47] some of these machines are like 20 years [10:48] old. Some of them are new. [10:50] Um and so there's lots of different [10:51] kinds of machines as well and you're [10:54] making the mine more productive. You're [10:57] um [10:58] you are making it way safer. It is super [11:01] Like they have lots of safety protocols, [11:04] but like it is mining. [11:05] >> Dangerous business. [11:06] >> It is a dangerous business [11:08] uh and the opex goes down all at the [11:09] same time. It's kind of a beautiful [11:11] thing. And then, you know, I went from [11:13] Brazil and then straight from there [11:15] dropped into the border between Iraq and [11:19] Saudi on the Saudi side. So, we have a [11:22] phosphate mine that we're doing stuff [11:24] there. [11:26] The signals were jammed. [11:28] So, we had to like my pilots had to land [11:30] kind of like old school style, like [11:32] visual physical visual. [11:34] >> Is that because of the conflict going on [11:36] in the region? [11:36] >> And just the general [11:38] >> Yeah. [11:39] >> the vibes on the borders there. Yeah. [11:41] So, [11:43] um [11:43] but same story. And so, go to market is [11:46] wild. You just stand up and like [11:48] crazy places, but it's super needed. And [11:51] so, what's happened is the the Pronto [11:53] technology has got gotten past human [11:56] productivity. [11:57] Which means you go to a gold mine CEO, [11:59] you talk about go to market, you go to a [12:00] gold mine CEO and you say, "Would you [12:02] like to have 20% more gold per year?" [12:06] >> [snorts] [12:06] >> Absolutely. [12:07] >> Good stuff. [12:07] >> We haven't heard no. [12:08] >> Yes. [12:09] >> Okay. Okay. [12:09] >> But they're but they say, "Prove it." [12:11] And that's where the rubber meets the [12:12] road, right? [12:13] >> does it take to prove? [12:15] >> It used to take a lot longer. Now, like [12:17] once you've proven it enough times, then [12:20] it sort of gets its own momentum. [12:22] >> Gets around. [12:22] >> And so, we're in that we're in that [12:24] place on Pronto where that momentum is [12:27] taking hold because there's enough proof [12:29] points where it shows it's working in so [12:30] many different places. Where people are [12:32] like, "All right, let's go. We're going [12:33] to think of mining autonomous mining [12:36] almost like um [12:38] almost like enterprise software where [12:40] you get a pilot. There's like a 10,000 [12:42] person company and you've got you you [12:44] you got an enterprise startup and [12:45] they're like, [12:46] "I got like eight seats, but it's this [12:48] huge company. And if we get it, it's [12:49] huge." [12:50] And we've got this other 10 seats over [12:52] at this other one. It's a pilot, but I [12:54] swear it's going to work. And they're [12:55] out there pitching and trying to make it [12:57] happen. [12:58] >> Yeah. [12:58] >> But once it works, [13:01] and in mining that means human [13:03] productivity, human level better than [13:05] human productivity. Once it works, [13:08] it goes big. [13:09] >> Mhm. Yeah. [13:10] >> And they're like, "Okay, let's get [13:12] across [13:14] let's get across all the vehicles." And [13:16] so, we're sort of in that mode with a [13:17] bunch of different customers right now. [13:18] >> How big is the opportunity to just [13:21] increase uptime of mining operations? I [13:24] imagine that there are mines that are [13:26] trying to operate 24/7, but getting a [13:29] night shift in the middle of the Amazon [13:32] reliably, everyone showing up and being, [13:36] you know, healthy and happy and eager. [13:39] It gets a lot easier when it's like, [13:40] "Yeah, we're still going to have a bunch [13:41] of people on site, but they're going to [13:42] be overseeing robotic work." For sure. [13:44] >> So, [13:46] uh so, yeah. I mean, the um [13:48] there's two parts to the productivity [13:49] gain. First is [13:51] the machine per hour doing more. [13:54] >> Yeah. [13:54] >> That's part one. Part two is hours and [13:57] call outs and all of that stuff. Uh as [14:01] well as just, you know, the safety [14:03] protocols change when you have less [14:06] risk. [14:06] >> Yeah. [14:07] >> So, there's a lot of things like this [14:08] that pile on to each other. [14:10] My guess is you could even end up 30%, [14:13] 40% more productive at the end of all of [14:15] it. And when you do that, the [14:17] opportunity speaks for itself. Um a gold [14:21] mine that's doing 30 or 40% more gold [14:23] per year is kind of whoa, but that's for [14:26] every mineral. [14:27] >> Mhm. [14:27] >> That's lithium. That's Like, we also go [14:30] all the way down to quarries. Quarries [14:32] are different because quarries are [14:33] basically it's about cement, let's just [14:36] say. That's the main jam. There are [14:38] others, but let's just go with that. Um [14:41] you can't you don't just go do more rock [14:43] because you need cement customers on the [14:45] other side. They're only using so much [14:47] cement. [14:47] >> Like, where do you store it? [14:49] >> Yeah, exactly. [14:49] >> Yeah. [14:50] >> And so so, that's more of an OPEX play [14:53] and they're thinner margins there. But [14:56] I'm in the game and it's kind of [14:58] interesting and it's a lot of fun. And [15:00] for that company, for Pronto, they were [15:02] super Anthony Levandowski and the team [15:04] there, [15:06] super scrappy, [15:08] true startup style, [15:10] lean as hell, like [15:13] so lean, like that Christian Bale movie. [15:15] I can't remember the name of it. [15:16] >> The Machinist. [15:17] >> Yeah, dude. He's like super lean and I'm [15:19] like, "Guys, we got to go from lean to [15:20] muscular." [15:21] >> to go to Batman. [15:22] >> And that's what we're doing Like, and [15:23] you think of that [15:26] >> That's a good. That's a [15:29] >> And so you think about enterprise go to [15:32] market. [15:33] Part of our go to market is [15:35] is [15:38] building credibility with our enterprise [15:40] customers that we're going from lean to [15:41] muscular because they [15:43] the demand is there. [15:45] It's ready to go. They're like [15:47] we need you to be muscular. We need the [15:49] protein powder and the whatever else. [15:52] >> What what What holds you back from [15:55] What holds you back from scaling? You [15:57] let's say you do a pilot, it works well. [15:59] You're attaching hardware to existing [16:03] systems and hardware that they're using [16:06] and they say, "Okay, we're getting more [16:07] out. Maybe we want to place orders for [16:09] more machines." I I imagine the lead [16:12] times on some of this mining equipment [16:14] could be [16:15] insane. How much of the stack do you [16:17] want to own? [16:19] >> Um [16:22] Say the question again. I'm sorry. I [16:23] just blanked. Go for it one more time. I [16:25] apologize. [16:26] >> you're taking existing mining equipment. [16:28] And you're augmenting it with you're [16:31] bringing your you're making it AI [16:33] enabled, makes it autonomous, you're [16:34] making it more efficient. And they say, [16:36] "Great, this is working. We want to [16:37] scale up our operation cuz maybe we need [16:39] less or we can do more with the same, [16:41] you know, human head count." Um but [16:44] what's the I imagine there's some things [16:46] that are out of control for for you at [16:48] that point where they're like, "Okay, we [16:49] need more of this heavy mining [16:50] equipment. Let's let's add it to the [16:53] site." But is there like a lag time [16:54] there? [16:55] >> The real lag time is getting So you have [16:58] to you're So let's say we want to get a [17:00] bunch of machines that are in the Amazon [17:01] up and running. [17:03] Okay? How do you do that? [17:05] So I've got a ship a bunch of sensors, a [17:07] bunch of compute, a bunch of [17:10] equipment [17:13] and mechanical systems, let's just say, [17:15] so that a team can then go install it. [17:18] >> Yeah. So, you're basically building a [17:20] data center on site. [17:22] >> So, you know, it's sort I wouldn't put [17:24] it that way. I would say it I mean, if [17:25] you considered a machine with sensors [17:28] and compute a data center, I mean, you [17:30] could, but it's really think of those [17:32] there are servers, but I wouldn't say a [17:34] data center. It's not really like [17:35] >> of Bring Mining are modest style like [17:37] shipping container size level of [17:40] volunteer as one. [17:41] >> You're So, you bring in the stuff. Yeah. [17:43] Okay. [17:45] You have to install it. [17:46] >> Yeah. [17:47] >> Um you have to like bring it up and make [17:49] sure, okay, this is a new place. How [17:52] does it Does this machine work properly [17:54] in this new place? And calibrate and [17:56] make sure it's safe and all of this. So, [17:57] there's like a process of getting up. [17:59] Then there's change management because [18:01] that that site's going from [18:04] there are people that show up in the [18:05] morning. There's all this very [18:07] regimented process [18:08] uh to make sure everything's going [18:10] exactly as planned and people are [18:11] exactly where they're supposed to be [18:13] because otherwise, weird things happen [18:16] on a on a mining site. [18:17] >> Yeah. [18:18] >> So, you have to go from that to, okay, [18:21] we're now running a autonomous mining [18:23] operation. [18:24] It's just a very different thing. So, [18:26] the ins the installation and the bring [18:29] up and what we call commissioning are [18:31] sort of like the things you have to do. [18:33] >> Mhm. [18:33] >> Um and, you know, like why does it take [18:37] a long time to install? Because that [18:39] machine may not even be drive-by-wire. [18:41] >> Yeah. [18:42] >> So, you have a mechanical system. [18:44] >> Mhm. [18:44] >> Like if you turn the steering wheel like [18:45] it's You know what I mean? Yeah. It's a [18:47] It's a mechanical system. [18:49] Uh hydraulic system. [18:51] >> bringing where you have to [18:52] >> You have to push a physical button. You [18:54] You're Yeah, you're you're trying to [18:57] make electricity then do a physical [18:59] thing. So, then you need physical [19:00] actuation. [19:01] >> Yeah. [19:02] >> Yeah. [19:02] >> To do the things because it's not These [19:05] machines are not natively drive-by-wire. [19:07] >> Yeah, so that's So, that's that sounds [19:09] That sounds [19:10] uh [19:11] incredibly difficult, but necessary cuz [19:13] you're not going to get a mine to rip [19:15] out tens of millions of dollars of [19:17] equipment that they already have. [19:19] But would you eventually go full stack? [19:21] Like build the entire [19:24] >> I mean look, we ultimately I mean that [19:26] if you go in the mining industry there's [19:28] like this this uh term it's called no [19:30] entry mine. [19:31] >> Mhm. [19:31] >> A no entry mine is a mine where there [19:34] are no people [19:35] >> Mhm. [19:35] >> in the pit. [19:36] >> factory. [19:36] >> Yeah, kind of like that version version [19:38] of it. There might be people in a [19:39] control center. There might be but like [19:42] in that pit [19:44] no human. [19:44] >> a wildly different calculus from a [19:47] safety perspective I imagine. [19:48] >> Totally different obviously. And so [19:51] there's drilling, there's blasting, [19:54] there's loading, there's haulage, [19:57] >> Mhm. [19:58] >> uh there's crushing. I'm just going [20:00] through the different parts of the [20:01] mining operation. [20:02] >> Mhm. [20:03] >> Um and what you do is you start [20:05] somewhere and then you start extending [20:07] to those other areas to get to that no [20:09] entry thing. And the no entry thing is [20:11] you can have an autonomous thing. Like [20:13] like [20:13] our haulage system is autonomous. [20:15] >> Mhm. [20:17] >> If you're getting in a new place, you [20:18] can do remote control and move into [20:21] autonomous. [20:22] >> Mhm. [20:23] >> If you want to go super no entry or [20:25] lower entry mine if that makes sense. Um [20:29] it's it's super fascinating. And then [20:30] you're talking about you're talking [20:32] about loaded a 2 million pound machine [20:37] that's moving [20:39] potentially 35 miles an hour down the [20:41] road. [20:42] >> Yeah. [20:43] >> And it's it's an off-road thing. [20:45] >> But like 2 million pound machine moving [20:47] 35 miles an hour off-road. [20:52] >> Yeah, dude. [20:52] >> This is why you have to jet ski this is [20:53] why you have to jet ski to work. [20:56] >> So no, I you get in it and you can you [20:58] know, you would can experience it like [21:00] uh I mean it's not like there's like a [21:02] amusement park for this but like I've [21:04] certainly experienced it where I can get [21:05] in the I get in the machines and and [21:08] check out what's going on. [21:09] >> This is like the dump truck with 20-ft [21:11] tires, is actually [21:12] >> Are any of these are any of these [21:13] companies like acquisition targets? [21:16] Where you would you would be able to [21:17] come in and say like you're doing a lot [21:19] of stuff well, but here's all the stuff [21:22] that you're never going to figure out [21:23] like us and [21:24] >> I mean look, I would say the way we [21:26] think about it is the the haulage part [21:29] of a mine is where the most of the [21:31] vehicles are. [21:32] And so and we think of haulage as the [21:35] cardiovascular system of a mine. [21:37] >> Mhm. [21:38] >> So [21:39] we're obviously very connected to all [21:41] the other machines, but we don't do all [21:42] the other machines. So we're like in an [21:43] ecosystem. So we can work with them [21:46] where like there's APIs cuz like if [21:48] you're doing haulage, you need to know [21:49] where the other machines are and what [21:50] their status is as an example. There [21:52] needs to be orchestration coordination [21:54] there, which is pretty interesting. In [21:56] terms of like acquisition, like you [21:58] know, I I do I have to sort of admit [22:01] like the [22:02] Uber mentality [22:05] my mentality, let's just say. Yeah, [22:07] yeah. [22:07] >> [laughter] [22:08] >> My dune. [22:08] >> Yeah, yeah. It's like not I guess Uber [22:10] is different today, but in my world, we [22:13] didn't acquire [ __ ] We just built. [22:14] >> Yeah, that's right. [22:15] >> I don't know if I have an opinion yet. [22:17] I'm not like religious about it, but if [22:20] we feel like we can build something, we [22:22] do. But that But sometimes people have [22:24] differentiated awesome stuff and you're [22:25] like, let's partner. We're open to it, [22:27] you know. [22:28] >> How would you pitch me if I was a young [22:30] person [22:32] Stanford CS new grad worried [22:36] software engineering not being the easy [22:40] path where I can bounce around from [22:42] Google and maybe Uber had a cushy job [22:44] for me. [22:46] Pitch me on going to the Amazon and [22:48] building the app. [22:49] >> that's awesome. I mean that's awesome. I [22:51] thought I just did. I mean that That was [22:53] the pitch. That was the pitch. [22:55] >> Do you think Do you think uh young [22:57] people are receptive to this pitch? Yet [22:59] are we about to to receptive? Why should [23:01] they be receptive? [23:02] >> interesting cuz I only run into the [23:04] young people that are receptive. Like [23:06] I'm not out there pitching like lame [23:08] sauce dude who doesn't want to work. [23:09] Sure. [23:10] >> Sure. [23:10] >> Like I don't end up I don't end up in [23:12] the same room as this guy. [23:13] >> Do you want to Do you want to Do you [23:14] want to a job where Do you want a laptop [23:17] job or do you want to be dropped into a [23:19] mine in the Amazon and like build build, [23:22] you know, science fiction? [23:23] >> This is the thing, right? This is why [23:25] the Adams thing is cool. [23:28] Because you're not dropping a You're not [23:29] dropping a [ __ ] app in the App Store. [23:33] You're like [23:35] automating a 2 million pound machine [23:37] going 35 miles an hour carrying gold. [23:42] >> Do you Do you watch Do you get Do you [23:44] get a [23:44] >> There's a lot of profanity happening [23:46] today. I don't know why it's happening, [23:47] but it is. [23:48] >> No, it's Let it flow. [23:49] >> It's why I acknowledge it. [23:50] >> Do you Do you watch sci- Do you Do you [23:52] get inspired by science fiction at all? [23:54] Like I can I can imagine like watching [23:56] Dune for you is you're just like texting [23:58] pictures to the team like [24:00] >> Of course. I'm like a I'm My fave is is [24:03] Asimov. [24:04] He's my fave. [24:06] Um [24:07] Yeah, the I, Robot series is like just [24:09] so [24:11] epic. Um [24:12] >> What is your takeaway from the I, Robot [24:14] series with regard to [24:16] AI safety doom generally? Have you ever [24:20] had moments of [24:21] maybe we won't figure it out? [24:24] >> Won't figure what out? [24:26] >> The alignment problem broadly? Like the [24:28] the the I, Robot the three laws of [24:30] robotics which is sort of an elegant [24:32] solution. It's tested obviously, but [24:35] >> I love [24:36] >> I would love to come back to a world [24:37] where where everyone both the doomers [24:40] and the AI builders agree that yep, the [24:42] three laws of robotics will be [24:44] sufficient. [24:44] >> some ways Well, in some ways it in the [24:47] series the three laws don't always work [24:49] out. [24:50] >> Yeah. [24:51] >> So I think there's a lot of [24:53] I I thought there was a lot of nuance to [24:55] those three laws even though the laws [24:56] are sort of so simple. [24:58] >> Yeah. [24:58] >> Um I love the intention of those laws. [25:01] >> Sure. [25:01] >> Um [25:03] I I sort of think of it a little bit [25:05] differently, which is I have been [25:07] entrepreneuring for a a long time. [25:09] >> Mhm. [25:10] >> Like a long time. [25:11] >> Yeah. [25:11] >> And I have failed. [25:14] And when I think about why I failed, [25:17] it's usually because I was building [25:19] something that nobody liked. [25:20] >> Mhm. [25:23] >> So, if you build something that people [25:25] don't like, I don't think you're going [25:27] to succeed. [25:28] >> Mhm. [25:29] >> So, what how does that relate to your [25:31] question? [25:32] He's like, "Please tell me cuz I'm not [25:34] >> [laughter] [25:34] >> connecting the dots at all. What are you [25:35] talking about?" Well, [25:37] if you make something that is [25:39] anti-human, [25:41] if you make something that doesn't serve [25:43] people, [25:44] >> It will be [25:45] >> think you're going to make it. [25:46] >> Yeah. [25:47] >> I don't think you're going to make it. [25:49] And by the way, like yes, we're using AI [25:51] to help us make decisions, etc., but [25:52] what do those AIs really, really want to [25:54] do? Almost too much. They want to please [25:57] us. [25:57] >> Mhm. [25:58] >> So, I just think if you're not making [26:00] stuff that humans want, [26:02] it's not going to work out, and that's [26:03] kind of obvious, obviously, but I think [26:06] it keeps going. [26:07] >> Yeah. [26:07] >> Um and yes, there's the dangers and the [26:09] things and the this, [26:11] but that's my that's my starting point [26:14] for how I think about these things, and [26:15] we can't control all the things. [26:17] >> Yeah. [26:17] >> Um and I do think, of course, you have [26:19] to have safety situations, and there's [26:21] collisions [26:23] uh of like [26:25] what do I what do I prioritize first, [26:28] and how do I do it, which is I think [26:29] where Asimov's laws go, but um I I I [26:32] instead of writing sci-fi books, I'm [26:34] just doing the thing, and I'm making [26:35] sure that the the machine stays on the [26:37] road. [26:38] >> Yes. [laughter] [26:39] And related to that idea of like doing [26:41] the thing, making the machine stay on [26:42] the road, I imagine that your your world [26:45] war view is somewhat informed by your [26:48] contact with reality, the fact that you [26:50] can see the progress of diffusion, how [26:53] long drive-by-wire systems take took to [26:56] roll out, and the need for AI to be [26:59] deployed in like tactile ways that [27:03] that that that you just see it as more [27:06] positive sum, more there's more [27:08] opportunity. [27:08] >> like you're deploying robots that people [27:10] want. Right now, robot I mean, look, [27:12] there's some point where robots have [27:13] their own bank accounts and their [27:14] citizens and all this. We're just not [27:16] there yet. [27:17] >> Sure. Sure. [27:17] >> And before we until we get there, [27:19] >> Yeah. [27:20] >> that robot is owned by somebody. [27:22] >> Yeah. [27:23] >> And that somebody has a bank account. [27:25] >> Yeah. [27:25] >> They are paying based on the value [27:27] you're bringing them because they like [27:28] your stuff. [27:29] >> Mhm. [27:29] >> So, if you are doing things that humans [27:31] don't like, [27:33] you're done. [27:34] >> Yeah. [27:34] >> And trust me, [27:35] I've done it. [27:36] >> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. [27:37] >> I've built things that nobody liked, and [27:39] it sucked. I don't recommend anybody do [27:42] it. [27:43] >> [laughter] [27:43] >> If you can avoid it, you totally should. [27:45] >> Yeah. [27:46] >> Uh on the business model side, [27:49] what are you doing now in mining, and [27:52] where do you think it could go over [27:53] time? Cuz if you're able to bring in a [27:55] system that helps someone increase their [27:57] yield 30 to 40%, I imagine eventually [28:00] you just do some type of JV so that your [28:03] guys have [28:04] >> We're selling the word. [28:05] >> Oh, look, there's there's you know, and [28:08] the the instinct should be how do [28:12] enterprise company enterprise software [28:13] companies do it? [28:14] >> Mhm. [28:15] >> Start there, and you guys will know [28:16] that. Like you you know that. [28:18] >> Yeah. [28:18] >> What's the answer? [28:20] Let's just say you're an enterprise [28:21] software company, you're making a [28:22] company more productive. What do you do? [28:24] >> Raise prices, subscription. [28:26] >> Or you the price goes up when you prove [28:30] that productivity. So, there's baseline, [28:32] and then baseline outcomes, you get a [28:34] little extra juice. [28:35] >> Sure. Sure. [28:36] >> And you can say [28:37] >> Or you're always trying to make sure [28:38] that like you want to be producing [28:40] creating more value than you're [28:42] capturing, but there's a sort of [28:44] cat and mouse game where you're always [28:46] trying to you don't want to give away [28:48] maybe too much value. [28:49] >> Here totally but here's the thing you [28:51] never go to a customer I don't care what [28:53] you're selling. Okay, [snorts] I don't [28:54] care if it's enterprise software. I [28:55] don't care if it's widgets. I don't care [28:57] what it is. [28:58] You never go to a customer and say give [28:59] me a percentage of your stuff. [29:01] >> Yeah. [29:02] >> You go to a customer and say here's the [29:04] price of our stuff and if it does really [29:06] well for you, we think we should get a [29:08] little more [29:10] scratch cashish [29:13] stuff you know, whatever I you know what [29:15] I mean. [29:16] And it's that simple. [29:17] Don't be crass about it. [29:20] And you know, partner with folks and [29:21] they're down. They want to win too. [29:24] How do you say it's literally an [29:25] enterprise it's an enterprise software [29:27] style negotiation or approach to the [29:30] whole thing. And the more differentiate [29:32] your value is the more you're going to [29:34] get. [29:35] >> What is your process for hiring [29:37] executives today? [29:40] >> [sighs] [29:40] >> Pray. [29:42] >> [laughter] [29:43] >> I was hoping I was hoping you had the [29:45] Kalanick system to achieve a 99% [29:49] success [29:49] >> you [29:50] >> [laughter] [29:50] >> why would I tell you that? [29:52] >> Uh no, I mean [29:53] >> No, but I I think you can this is one of [29:54] the things you can tell people exactly [29:56] what you do and they're not they're not [29:58] Kalanick. So they're not doesn't that [30:00] doesn't mean they can compete with you. [30:03] >> You know, they could they yeah. Okay, so [30:06] how would I put it? [30:08] Um [30:10] Look, the I think [30:11] no matter who you go nobody's nailed [30:13] executives all the way. [30:16] It's it's [30:17] it's weird because what will happen is [30:20] executives talk a [ __ ] awesome game [30:24] and there's two things you want an [30:25] executive to do. You want them to be [30:27] able to organize at scale organize and [30:29] manage at scale lead [30:31] at scale. [30:33] You also want them to be epic problem [30:35] solvers the most strategic badass [30:37] problem solvers alive. [30:39] This is like being left-handed or [30:40] right-handed. [30:42] And there's very few people that are [30:43] ambidextrous. [30:45] But you need that. Now, somebody's [30:46] they're always leaning a little bit one [30:48] side or the other. The best executives [30:50] are the ones that are doing both well. [30:53] But I have come to the conclusion over [30:56] my years doing the stuff is the [30:58] problem-solving is the most important [31:00] thing. If you get somebody who organizes [31:02] and manages well, but cannot solve a [31:04] problem, [31:05] they're going to be doing [31:07] ridiculous stuff in a super organized [31:10] way. [31:11] And so that's the and and sort of my [31:14] theory I I maybe there's a couple [31:16] theories on how I manage or how I lead [31:18] is that the only constraint on your [31:21] imagination is management capacity. [31:23] >> Yeah. [31:24] >> But what is management capacity? It's [31:25] really problem-solving at scale. [31:27] >> Sure. [31:27] >> Cuz if you are doing super well over [31:29] there, guess what? Their problem-solving [31:31] there, I can create other awesome [31:33] problems. [31:34] >> Yeah. [31:34] >> Yeah. [31:35] >> Like I love creating problems. [31:37] >> Sure. [31:37] >> Go solve those, too. But if I don't have [31:39] the management capacity, then I'm effed. [31:41] >> Sure. [31:42] >> So, um, the the management style that I [31:45] do is sort of problem-solver-in-chief, [31:47] which is I take [31:50] the most impactful problems that are not [31:53] being solved, [31:54] and that's on my desk. [31:56] >> Yeah. [31:57] >> Their or desk or room or whatever you [31:58] want to call it. That's where I'm [32:00] spending my time. So, people go, "Oh, [32:01] what do you spend your time on?" Like, [32:03] it depends what the freaking problems [32:04] are that matter. [32:05] >> Mhm. [32:05] >> And it can change. [32:07] >> Mhm. [32:07] >> And that's how how I roll. But it means [32:10] once you have a problem-solver-in-chief [32:12] mentality, [32:13] that flows downward. That means any [32:15] direct report of mine must be the [32:18] deputized problem-solver-in-chief. [32:20] >> Mhm. [32:20] >> And they've got their cuz there's only [32:21] 24 hours in a day. [32:23] I can only solve so many myself. They [32:25] have to then take that for their world [32:27] and do the same thing and then do the [32:28] same thing to their people. [32:30] >> Mhm. [32:30] >> Yeah. [32:31] >> So, the bottom line is you got to prove [32:33] that these folks can solve actual [32:36] problems and aren't just talking the [32:37] talk. That's the number one. [32:39] >> And then correct. [32:39] >> And then on the interview process, [32:42] simulate what it's like working together [32:43] so that day one is really feels like [32:45] week two. [32:46] >> Mhm. [32:46] >> And day one, you better be excited. [32:48] >> Mhm. [32:49] >> So, if you're excited on day one after [32:51] simulating what it's like working [32:52] together in the interview process, then [32:54] day one is really week two and you're [32:55] still excited, uh you took a lot of risk [32:58] out of the system. [32:59] That's all I got for you. [33:01] >> I have a question about regulation. [33:03] Uber famously went city by city. [33:05] >> Yeah. [33:06] >> The AI labs are duking it out over [33:08] federal preemption. [33:10] Did you ever have develop a theory [33:13] around when federal preemption is better [33:17] than state-by-state regulation? Do you [33:19] have a philosophy around this? I I it [33:22] seems like the labs go back and forth on [33:24] what they want. It's hard to see where [33:25] the chips are falling and [33:27] >> Federal preemption is good when you are [33:30] pro-regulatory capture. [33:32] >> Okay. [33:33] >> When you want to squeeze others out, you [33:37] should get federal [33:40] regulatory [33:41] bigness going for you. [33:43] >> Yeah. Cuz then you don't have to do the [33:44] ground game that you went [33:45] >> Well, no, you're squeezing others out. [33:47] It's just the whole point is to squeeze [33:49] everybody out. [33:49] >> Sure. [33:50] >> I never did that. Like we never did that [33:52] at Uber. We basically never ever [33:56] pro- [33:57] proposed or [33:59] pushed any rule [34:01] that would be beneficial to us versus [34:04] somebody else. [34:04] >> Sure. [34:05] >> We always were trying to open up the [34:06] market and we said let the best man win [34:09] and we just went for it. But uh I think [34:12] we got to be careful with some of these [34:14] closed weight things that are um [34:17] creating situations where they need to [34:22] be regulated and they want it. [34:25] I'd be very [34:26] I'd keep an eye on that. [34:28] >> Yeah. Well, you got to have customers [34:29] that love your product and they're [34:30] willing to pay [34:31] >> you guys, when you guys [34:34] uh [34:35] you know, decide to tell your own hacker [34:39] to hack the thing and then go to [34:42] somebody then go to the federal [34:43] government and say then go to the [34:45] federal government and say um [34:48] dude, we saved the day. [34:50] Like, you know, [34:52] >> You don't have You don't have to get [34:53] watched by George. [34:54] >> You guys don't have to do this. You guys [34:55] don't have to do it. [34:57] >> Uh on regulation, I'm sure you saw the [34:59] trial lawyers that are fighting back [35:01] against autonomous vehicles because [35:03] they're worried they're going to be too [35:05] safe. [35:06] >> Yes. [35:07] >> Um I'm sure that's not surprising to [35:09] you. [35:09] >> No. So, look, every bad thing that you [35:12] see in transport, [35:14] like systemically, any anything in [35:16] transport that you view as systemically [35:18] bad, [35:20] was most likely pushed by the trial [35:23] lawyers and the insurance companies. [35:24] >> Wow. [35:27] >> Every single bad rule that's weird and [35:30] dumb, [35:31] >> Yeah. [35:32] >> the insurance companies and the trial [35:34] lawyers were in the game, big time. [35:37] >> Uh where where do they align? [35:40] >> What do you mean? [35:42] >> Well, because trial lawyers, I imagine, [35:43] want more accidents. [35:44] >> Yeah, sure. [35:45] >> companies [35:46] >> are the ones that pay for it. [35:47] >> Wait, yes. [35:47] >> Yeah, yeah. So, I mean [35:48] >> No, no. Remember, insurance companies [35:50] make margin on accidents. [35:51] >> Okay. [35:52] >> If there's no accidents, there's no [35:53] insurance company. [35:55] >> Okay. [35:55] >> In a weird way, they love accidents. As [35:58] long as it's in their actuarial table, [36:00] they're pumped. [36:01] >> Wow. [36:02] Yeah. [36:03] >> Right? The They don't like is accidents [36:04] they didn't plan for. But accidents that [36:06] they planned for, [36:08] >> Yeah. [36:08] Business is good. [36:09] >> big insurance [36:11] outcomes, [36:12] >> Yeah. [36:13] >> they love. Like, I remember we went to [36:15] DC and the taxi system, [36:19] the the liability on a ride, if you took [36:22] a taxi, it might still be this way to [36:23] this day, was like $25,000 [36:26] in a taxi. [36:28] But we went to we being Uber at the time [36:31] went to DC and they pushed a 1 and 1/2 [36:35] million-dollar policy per ride. [36:39] Okay? So what does that mean? That means [36:41] well, this you know, accidents are going [36:43] to happen. We're probably like Uber's [36:45] probably safer. [36:47] But it just you think the trial lawyers [36:50] weren't pumped about that? You think the [36:52] insurance companies weren't also pumped [36:53] about that? [36:55] Because by the way, the insurance [36:56] company might be on the other side and [36:58] they're like, oh, there's a [37:00] there's a 1 and 1/2 million-dollar bank [37:01] account here that I can get access to on [37:04] a random accident. [37:05] >> Okay. [37:08] Uh what can you share on the [37:09] transportation side of the business [37:11] right now? How much are you how much is [37:12] that business in service of mining or [37:16] food versus [37:17] >> It's number one. So number one is it's [37:19] it's So I call it wheelbase for robots, [37:22] which is if you're going to do [37:24] specialized robots that move and act in [37:27] the physical world. [37:29] They're either humanoids, [37:31] which we're not. I'm not anti-humanoid. [37:33] I'm just non-humanoid. [37:35] Specialized industrial robots, right? So [37:38] that's [37:39] it's high-scale industrial-scale tasks, [37:42] which means you would not have a [37:43] humanoid ever do that. [37:45] Um [37:47] that means you got to be on wheels. [37:49] So we got to build wheels. So that means [37:51] okay, well, when food when supply chain [37:54] is going into our facilities. [37:56] That's a freight vehicle. [37:58] We probably should just turn that into a [37:59] robot that moves stuff and actually [38:01] interfaces with our facility in a really [38:03] cool way. When the when the food is [38:06] coming out of our facilities, there's [38:08] probably like a a machine that holds [38:10] food at temperature that's like a box on [38:13] wheels. I call them autonomous burritos [38:15] and [38:16] it brings it to your home and it costs [38:19] 75 cents instead of like the $12 per [38:23] drop that it costs like an Uber Eats or [38:25] DoorDash today. [38:26] So, it's serving Remember, I I'm taking [38:30] I'm sort of going through an industry [38:32] and saying, "How do we transform it?" [38:34] Full stack. [38:35] How do we automate full stack that [38:37] entire industry? [38:39] So, okay, that's the food thing. [38:41] Obviously, mining's pretty obvious, but [38:43] you can imagine there's a lot of other [38:45] machines that move. Like I talked about [38:48] haulage, but what about like [38:50] What about grading the roads, the dirt [38:51] roads? You got to grade them. [38:54] That's a machine. What about the you [38:55] spray water so there's not a lot of dust [38:57] all over the place? That's a freaking [38:59] machine. Like what about the material [39:01] that ultimately goes somewhere beyond [39:03] the mine? Well, that's a freight [39:06] machine. Like there's lots of things [39:08] moving. [39:09] Um you know, I saw something that was [39:11] like, "Think about just forklifts." [39:15] I I know a company or name unnamed [39:18] that's spending three and a half This is [39:21] on the supply chain side. Three and a [39:23] half billion dollars a year on forklift [39:26] labor. [39:27] >> [snorts] [39:28] >> In their facilities. [39:30] >> That probably shows up in an SEC filing [39:31] if we want to get creative and figure [39:33] that [laughter] one out what company [39:34] you're talking about. [39:34] >> Just saying, but you see what I'm [39:35] saying? [39:36] >> big opportunity. [39:37] >> just solve the forklift problem. [39:38] >> Yes, but on solving the problem, [39:42] what do you think about this this [39:43] distinction between [39:45] jobs versus tasks? Like a lot of people [39:48] would have assumed that there would be [39:49] no more marketing people because the job [39:52] is just writing marketing copy, but the [39:54] job is actually much more. Writing copy [39:55] is one task. I was looking at [39:59] automated trucking and I found some stat [40:01] like I think 30% of truck drivers are [40:04] armed. They carry weapons. And so [40:07] driving the vehicle is one task, but in [40:11] that job, you are also providing [40:13] security for that payload and you are [40:16] also doing other things refueling the [40:18] vehicle, maybe some minor maintenance. [40:20] And so, just the just the steering and [40:23] gas and brake pressure is just one task [40:26] that you're doing. How do you think [40:27] about that in the context of all this? [40:30] >> This really gets to the jobs question, I [40:32] think. [40:32] >> Yes. [40:32] >> Which is basically like, okay, well, if [40:35] I do everything that we are imagining [40:38] >> Yeah. [40:38] >> on food, which is I have industrial real [40:41] estate, which is manufacturing and [40:42] logistics. [40:43] >> Mhm. [40:44] >> I automate the manufacturing, which is [40:45] production. Robotic food. [40:47] >> Mhm. [40:48] >> Robotic food machines, robots. [40:50] Uh and I have robotic couriers. [40:53] >> Mhm. [40:53] >> What happens? [40:55] Food, the price of food goes down. [40:57] >> Yeah. [40:58] >> Okay, when the price of food goes down, [40:59] remember, robots don't have bank [41:00] accounts. [41:01] >> Mhm. [41:01] >> When the price of food goes down, what [41:02] happens? More people have more money. [41:05] >> Yeah. [41:05] >> Jevons paradox. [41:06] >> What do they do? [41:07] >> start eating [laughter] more. They just [41:09] start having 10 10 burgers a day. [41:11] >> not what I'm saying. Everyone's going to [41:12] >> This is hilarious. [41:15] >> That's not what I'm saying. [41:16] >> That's the problem. [41:17] >> That's not [laughter] what I'm saying. [41:19] No, what I'm saying is what I'm saying [41:21] is when once you [41:23] >> [laughter] [41:24] >> Jevons paradox. [41:25] >> I'll take I was going to get three [41:26] pizzas. I actually take three pizzas. [41:28] >> six. [41:29] >> You're like, what's that the price? I'm [41:30] sorry. [41:31] >> Yeah, continue. [41:32] >> No, no, no. So, what happens? You have [41:33] more money to do other things. But [41:35] remember, that money is only ultimately [41:37] going to humans. [41:37] >> Yes. [41:39] >> So, it's it's the things that get [41:41] automated go down in price. [41:43] >> Yes. [41:43] >> Which then creates surplus [41:45] >> Yes. [41:45] >> to do what? [41:46] >> Yes, this is [41:46] >> To do other things. [41:48] >> is the bomb. [41:48] >> So, it doesn't always have to be, "Oh, [41:51] marketing's automated, but sort of, and [41:53] there's still people doing it." It's [41:54] like, whatever, [41:56] there's going to be a hundred other new [41:58] things that come out because there's [42:00] this excess of capital, and progress [42:02] continues. [42:02] >> Yep. Yeah. [42:03] >> And as long as humans still have things [42:06] that we do that robots cannot, [42:09] >> Yep. [42:10] >> it's go-go time, man. It's going to be [42:12] super prosperity. We talked about the [42:14] plumber that is paid like LeBron last [42:16] time. It's going to be across 1,000 [42:18] categories. And some categories we don't [42:20] even know. Like we don't even know what [42:22] they are today. Yeah. [42:24] >> You raised 1.7 billion. [42:27] Why didn't you raise more? [42:29] >> That's a good question. I mean [42:30] >> Because last time we were here you [42:32] talked about like well if what you if [42:34] you were doing something and it was easy [42:36] you weren't going hard enough. [42:37] >> Seems pretty going pretty hard but [42:40] >> Unpack it. [42:41] >> You have to stop somewhere. [42:43] >> [laughter] [42:44] >> No. [42:45] >> Even I have my limits. [42:46] >> No, it's like but like look I as you can [42:48] imagine today my phone's blowing up. [42:51] I mean I'm pumped like A16 [42:53] these guys we we should have done [42:55] business at Uber. [42:56] >> That's right. [42:57] >> If we did it business at Uber my 2017 [42:59] would have been a different year. [43:00] >> Yeah. [43:01] >> Yeah. [43:01] >> Okay. [43:02] >> Totally. [43:02] >> So that's why I called it unfinished [43:04] business. [43:04] >> Mhm. [43:06] >> And so [43:08] um [43:09] But yeah like my phone's blowing up. [43:12] Like we're probably just going to do a [43:14] second. We'll do a second close. [43:16] >> There we go. [43:17] >> Yeah, I figured. [43:18] >> Yeah, I figured. [43:18] >> Come back for the second close. [43:20] >> Run it back. [43:22] >> No, I mean we're not going to do a big [43:23] announcement on the second close but [43:24] like you know those people who are who [43:27] are texting me and hitting me hard right [43:29] now [43:31] >> You got room. [43:32] >> You know no well we'll see. We have to [43:35] we'll see. [laughter] [43:36] >> Depends. [43:37] >> We'll see. [43:38] >> Depends on what the previous text [43:39] message [43:39] >> If you're a homie we definitely have [43:41] room. If we're not a homie you should [43:43] talk to one of my homies. [43:44] >> [laughter] [43:45] >> There we go. [43:45] >> Yeah, I I did come away from the last [43:47] conversation thinking all right there's [43:49] a lot of exciting companies in physical [43:51] AI and you could spend years and years [43:53] and years trying to find all the best [43:55] teams or you could just give TK a big [43:58] pile of cash and just say go cook and [44:01] you know sometimes the the easier route [44:03] is better. [44:05] >> Yeah, and I think there's this thing [44:06] physical AI people are like "What is [44:07] that a humanoid? Is that a world model? [44:09] Is it?" And so on this one I sort of [44:11] dialed the language a little bit and I'm [44:14] calling it industrial AI. [44:15] >> Yeah. [44:16] >> It's like, okay, this is a full stack [44:19] software, robotics, sensors, machinery, [44:24] like a full stack solution [44:27] to automating an industry. [44:30] And that's kind of how we think about [44:31] it. And it's industrial. [44:33] Yeah, so it's like heavy atom stuff. [44:36] Yeah. [44:36] >> Well, thank you so much. [44:38] >> incredible. [44:38] >> You want to get a signature? Can we get [44:40] an autograph? [44:41] >> Sure, why not? [44:42] >> get something? What do you What do you [44:43] >> They can figure it out back there. [44:45] >> Okay. Oh, we got to go. We'd love to [44:46] sign We'd love to have you sign this [44:48] gong. We'll hang it in the rafters. [44:49] >> We want to hang it in the rafters. We're [44:51] trying to build our our repertoire. [44:53] >> The museum of business grows one gong [44:55] stronger today. [44:57] >> Uh and we will we'll see you in Austin. [45:00] >> Yeah. [45:00] >> Next time you're on your commute, if you [45:01] see two jet skis moving out of out of [45:04] your you know, out of uh out of sight [45:06] coming in, it's probably us. [45:08] >> That's us. [45:08] >> If it's not, you're [45:09] >> Guys, let me know if you want to learn [45:11] how to slalom ski, [45:12] >> Oh, yeah. [45:12] >> if you want to learn how to wake surf [45:14] like well, [45:15] >> I've only been water skiing once or [45:17] twice in in the last 20 years or so. [45:19] >> I go at 7:30 in the morning every [45:21] morning, and I'd say half the time I'm [45:24] out there at 8:30 when I leave the [45:26] office. [45:27] >> That's amazing. [45:28] >> So. [45:28] >> I love it. [45:29] >> That's what we do. [45:29] >> Beauty of summer. [45:30] >> Well, thank you so much for coming on [45:32] the show. Always a pleasure. [45:35] Have a great rest of your day. [45:36] >> For sure. Good to see you guys.