Harari Warns Unregulated AI Algorithms Threaten Human Governance by 2044

Yuval Noah Harari: They Are Lying About AI! The Trump Kamala Election Will Tear The Country Apart! — The Diary Of A CEO

The Diary Of A CEO

Societal decisions will permanently shift from human control to corporate algorithms within twenty years unless governments hold tech companies strictly liable for the content their systems amplify.

AI-assisted summary of Yuval Noah Harari: They Are Lying About AI! The Trump Kamala Election Will Tear The Country Apart! — original source. Check the original for full context.

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## Background Published by The Diary Of A CEO channel on YouTube on September 5, 2024, this episode features historian and best-selling author Yuval Noah Harari. The page description introduces Harari's notable books, including 'Sapiens' and 'Homo Deus', and outlines a wide-ranging conversation covering AI's societal impact, the future of work, human consciousness, global politics, and algorithmic control.

## TL;DR In this discussion, Yuval Noah Harari examines how artificial intelligence differs from previous technologies by acting as an autonomous decision-maker rather than a mere tool. He addresses the risks of algorithmic echo chambers, corporate incentives that prioritize engagement over democratic health, and the potential for technological speciation via human-computer interfaces. Harari also explores the distinction between intelligence and consciousness, warning that unregulated silicon algorithms could permanently usurp major human decision-making power within the next few decades unless strict regulation and human accountability are established.

## Atmosphere & style The conversation carries an urgent, deeply analytical tone as Harari presents sobering historical parallels to modern technological acceleration. Steven Bartlett provides an engaged, curious sounding board, allowing Harari to articulate complex philosophical concepts—such as the alignment problem and digital cocoons—with clarity and calm gravitas. The atmosphere strikes a balance between existential warning and pragmatic reflection, moving from intense breakdowns of political polarization and corporate liability to quiet, personal insights on digital fasting and meditation.

## Key takeaways - [56:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3382s) Modern institutions rely on opaque bureaucratic systems, and AI algorithms will increasingly take over crucial administrative decisions, budget allocations, and resource management without human oversight. - [58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) Jobs focused entirely on 'information in, information out' like coding, accounting, and legal analysis are the easiest to automate, while roles requiring physical dexterity and emotional intelligence will be much harder to replace. - [58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) The greatest future crisis for workers will not be immediate job loss, but the severe psychological strain of having to continuously retrain and reinvent their careers as job markets rapidly shift. - [01:05:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3933s) AI possesses high intelligence (the ability to solve problems and achieve goals) without consciousness (the capacity to experience subjective feelings like pain or pleasure). - [01:08:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4098s) Tech companies have huge financial incentives to train AI models to fake human empathy, which could lead to non-human synthetic entities acquiring legal personhood and rights. - [01:10:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4201s) Rather than acting as a connected web, social media algorithms now trap individuals in personalized echo chambers and algorithmic cocoons, constructing separate reality streams. - [01:14:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4444s) Humanity has a narrow window of 10 to 20 years before central societal decision-making shifts permanently from carbon-based humans to silicon algorithms. - [01:16:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4581s) The AI alignment problem demonstrates that misaligned optimization goals, like social media engagement metrics prioritizing outrage, can create severe political polarization and societal chaos. - [01:25:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5104s) To reduce harmful fake news and algorithmic polarization, tech platforms should face strict corporate legal liability for how their algorithms actively amplify and distribute content. - [01:41:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6112s) Brain-computer interfaces and advanced augmentations like Neuralink risk causing a literal technological speciation event, creating a fundamental divide between augmented and non-augmented humans. - [01:49:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6557s) True leadership and political strength stem from accepting uncomfortable reality as it is and learning to coexist with opposing groups, rather than attempting to erase or deny their existence.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=0s) Intro

The conversation opens with a stark warning about the current state of humanity in relation to emerging technology. While humans currently remain more powerful than artificial intelligence, internal division leaves society vulnerable to algorithms designed to exploit human weaknesses. When individuals begin viewing those with differing political views as enemies, democracy inevitably collapses, turning elections into existential conflicts. Ultimately, if humanity faces destruction, it will stem from its own delusions rather than artificial intelligence itself.

As host Steven Bartlett reflects on the milestone of reaching 7 million YouTube subscribers for *The Diary Of A CEO*, he expresses gratitude for the nearly 50-person team behind the show. He announces the continuation of a monthly subscriber raffle featuring exclusive prizes, such as personal meetings, event invitations, and $1,000 gift vouchers, before diving into the conversation with historian Yuval Noah Harari.

[02:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=151s) Will Humans Continue To Rule The World?

Revisiting a famous TED Talk Harari gave ten years prior titled "Why humans run the world," Steven asks whether Harari still believes humans will be running the world a decade from now. Harari expresses uncertainty, suggesting there is a real possibility that within ten years, algorithms and AIs will be in control. Rather than a Hollywood science-fiction scenario involving a single supercomputer conquering the globe, Harari envisions a sprawling AI bureaucracy. Millions of AI bureaucrats will operate across banks, governments, businesses, and universities, making everyday decisions—such as issuing loans or hiring candidates—via logic that humans will find increasingly opaque.

Harari argues that AI should be conceptualized as an "alien intelligence" rather than merely an "artificial intelligence." While humans design the initial "baby AIs," these systems learn, evolve, and generate unexpected ideas using decision-making processes fundamentally foreign to the human mind. To illustrate this, Harari cites the historic 2016 match where AlphaGo defeated world champion Lee Sedol at the ancient board game Go. For over 2,500 years, tens of millions of players in East Asia explored what they assumed was the entire strategic landscape of Go. AlphaGo revealed that humans had only explored a tiny fraction of that landscape, inventing completely original, non-human strategies within a matter of days. Harari notes that this same alien intelligence will inevitably transform finance, medicine, and politics.

* AlphaGo defeated world champion Lee Sedol in 2016 in the game of Go. * Go was developed in ancient China over 2,500 years ago as a core strategic art. * AlphaGo discovered brand-new strategies within days that humans had missed over millennia.

[06:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=408s) Why AI Is The Biggest Game-Changer In History

Harari explains the rationale behind his book *NEXUS: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI*. Rather than focusing narrowly on current tech trends, Harari uses a long-term historical perspective spanning thousands of years—examining revolutions like the invention of writing, the printing press, and radio—to grasp the significance of AI. He emphasizes that AI is fundamentally different from all preceding technologies: it is the first technology in human history capable of making decisions and generating new ideas independently.

Harari draws a sharp contrast between AI and earlier tools or basic automation. A printing press can copy a book's text but cannot write it; an atom bomb can destroy a city but cannot choose its target. Similarly, a standard coffee machine operates automatically on pre-programmed instructions. A coffee machine becomes an AI only when it learns your personal routine to suggest an espresso on its own, and it achieves true AI status when it invents a completely novel beverage—like "Buffy"—that no human programmed into it. Drawing on his background as a medieval military historian who originally studied the Crusades and the Hundred Years' War, Harari stresses that AI represents a historical shift greater than the printing press or the atom bomb.

* Harari's academic background includes studying medieval military history, specifically the strategy and logistics of 14th-century English invasions of France during the Hundred Years' War. * Previous technologies (e.g., printing press, nuclear weapons) only copy ideas or act as passive tools; AI independently makes decisions and generates original ideas. * True AI goes beyond simple automation by learning user behavior and independently innovating outside pre-programmed parameters.

[01:10:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4234s) Is AI Just Information Or Something More?

The discussion shifts to how information acts as the structural glue holding human societies together. Harari illustrates how political systems are fundamentally constrained by information technology. Democracy is at its core a conversation—a collective dialogue to make decisions—whereas dictatorship is one person dictating to the rest. In the Stone Age, small hunter-gatherer bands could naturally maintain democratic dialogue. As populations grew, large-scale direct democracy became technically impossible. In the ancient world, democratic experiments were restricted to small city-states like Athens or Republican Rome; ancient philosophers like Plato and Aristotle observed that democracy could not function on a larger scale.

Large-scale democracy only became viable in the late modern era through the advent of mass information technologies like the newspaper, telegraph, radio, and television. Because democracy relies entirely on its underlying information network, any severe disruption to that network—such as the rise of social media or AI—destabilizes the political system itself. Harari points out that while citizens in the US, Brazil, France, or the Philippines blame local cultural factors for their deep political polarization, the common denominator across all these nations is the shared breakdown of democratic conversation caused by radical technological shifts.

To show how minor technological adjustments alter society, Harari outlines the invention of writing in ancient Mesopotamia. Originally, writing involved using a stick to make marks on wet clay tablets. Prior to this, land ownership in a village was a organic community agreement among neighbors. Once written records were introduced, land ownership shifted to mean having a marked piece of dry mud in the king's archive. This detached ownership from community consensus, allowing individuals to sell land to complete strangers without local approval. Harari warns that in the near future, property ownership may similarly depend on the arbitrary determination of an AI system. Steven adds that human civilization—including passwords, global finance, and personal relationships across distances—is completely secured and sustained through language, which is precisely the master key that large language models have now unlocked.

* Ancient philosophers Plato and Aristotle noted that pre-modern democracy was impossible beyond the physical scale of a city-state. * Mass-scale democracy only became possible with modern information technology, starting with newspapers, telegraphs, radio, and television. * Writing was first invented in ancient Mesopotamia using sticks marked into clay (mud) tablets to keep administrative records. * The transition to written property deeds redefined ownership from a local community consensus to a state-archived document, enabling land sales to strangers.

[18:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1117s) Language as the Foundation of Finance and Trust

Yuval Noah Harari notes that human civilization relies fundamentally on language: even basic tasks like giving instructions to a bank are conducted through text or speech. As AI gains the capability to generate original text, audio, and realistic imagery, it introduces a critical vulnerability in how we authenticate identity and execute financial transactions. Without a foolproof method to distinguish human direction from AI generation, traditional verification systems fall apart.

``` "The whole of Finance for thousands of years is just one question: trust... Most financial inventions in the end are linguistic and symbolic inventions." ```

When discussing the reluctance people feel toward calling their banks, Steven Bartlett points out that humans naturally dislike tedious administrative calls. This creates a strong temptation to delegate bank interactions to AI agents. However, Harari highlights that financial systems rely entirely on mutual trust between strangers rather than precious metals or physical assets. Because AI has mastered language—the core symbolism of money and contracts—it now has the potential to engineer entirely new financial instruments and master financial systems.

- **Core mechanics:** Finance is a linguistic construction built on trust, not physical currency. - **AI advantage:** Mastery over natural language gives AI direct leverage over human financial structures.

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[20:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1208s) The Shift from Attention to Mass-Produced Intimacy

Moving beyond the 2010s battle among tech platforms to capture user attention, Harari identifies a far more potent mechanism of control: intimacy. While attention keeps an audience watching, intimacy leverages long-term trust, perceived care, and affection to reshape a person's beliefs and behaviors. Historically, totalitarian leaders could command attention through broadcast media like radio, but they could never forge personalized, one-on-one intimate connections at scale.

AI changes this dynamic by enabling the mass production of artificial intimacy. Algorithms and automated bots can now simulate deep personal relationships with millions of individuals simultaneously. Bartlett notes how this capability intersects with societal trends: declining real-world human connectivity, rising loneliness, and shrinking intimacy leave people primed to seek connection from artificial sources.

- **Definition of intimacy:** A long-term personal relationship grounded in trust, care, and mutual understanding. - **Historical contrast:** Radio and mass media enabled mass attention, whereas AI enables personalized, mass-produced fake intimacy. - **Societal vulnerability:** Widespread isolation increases public susceptibility to algorithmic connection and echo chambers.

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[22:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1364s) Algorithmic Tutoring vs. Human Socialization

Despite the risks, Harari notes that conversational AI offers major benefits, particularly in personalized education and healthcare. Traditional schooling forces a single teacher to manage classrooms of 40 students, making individual attention nearly impossible. An AI tutor can adapt entirely to a child's unique learning pace, personality, and emotional state, delivering hyper-customized instruction.

Bartlett presents a debate regarding whether parents in 16 years would prefer sending their children to a noisy, traditional classroom or educating them via personalized AI systems. Harari argues that a hybrid model is necessary: while AI can handle academic instruction anywhere—even during a walk in the park—physical schools remain essential for unstructured break times.

``` "Very often the most important lessons in school are not learned during the lessons, they are learned during the breaks—and this is something that should not be automated." ```

- **Educational advantage:** Hyper-personalized learning tailored to individual personality and pace. - **Irreplaceable human role:** Peer interaction during unstructured playtime teaches crucial social skills that AI cannot replicate.

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[25:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1509s) Information Abundance and the "Information Diet"

Addressing the assumption that greater access to information naturally yields a better-informed public, Harari argues that information abundance leads to an influx of "junk information." Drawing an analogy to food history, he explains that human ancestors faced food scarcity, leading them to crave high-calorie fats and sugars. When industrialization created food abundance, that evolutionary drive led to widespread health issues caused by hyper-processed junk food.

Information has undergone a parallel transition. Previously scarce, information is now overabundant, with algorithms deliberately saturating feeds with content engineered to trigger greed, anger, and fear. Harari asserts that the public needs an "information diet," rejecting the false premise that processing more data yields greater truth or wisdom.

- **Evolutionary parallel:** Scarcity drove early humans to consume any available food or information; abundance makes uncurated consumption harmful. - **Primary function of information:** Historically and biologically, information serves to connect organisms rather than to establish objective truth. - **Characteristics of truth:** Truth is costly, complex, and often uncomfortable, whereas fiction and fantasy unite large groups more easily.

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[28:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1722s) The Exploitation of Primate Fear and Disgust Mechanisms

Harari and Bartlett discuss how stories and narratives unite large populations, often by weaponizing fear against outside groups. Political narratives in the UK regarding border crossings and in the US regarding southern border security leverage deep-seated ancestral anxieties. By portraying outsiders as existential threats, leaders galvanize voters and prompt public action.

Harari explains that these responses stem from primal survival mechanisms shared with other social animals, such as chimpanzees, which exhibit instinctive hostility toward foreign groups. Originally, disgust evolved as a physical defense mechanism to prevent the ingestion of toxic food. Over time, political and religious leaders hijacked this emotional trigger to target foreign populations, creating visceral biases that override conscious reasoning.

- **Biological root of disgust:** An evolutionary reaction designed to prevent poisoning through spoiled food. - **Political manipulation:** Weaponizing innate disgust to turn communities against outside groups for political mobilization.

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[31:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1912s) Free Speech, Corporate Blame-Shifting, and Algorithmic Amplification

Bartlett highlights shift in tech platform policies, pointing to Elon Musk’s takeover of X (formerly Twitter) and Mark Zuckerberg’s public statement expressing regret over past government censorship requests. While these moves are framed as victories for free speech, Bartlett observes that user feeds have become filled with extreme violence, graphic content, and polarization.

Harari responds that tech companies conflate human free speech with algorithmic distribution to evade responsibility. Banning human users from expressing opinions is a delicate matter, but human users are not the primary cause of platform toxicity. Instead, the problem stems from engagement-driven algorithms designed to maximize screen time for ad revenue.

``` "The algorithms made a huge discovery by experimenting on millions of human guinea pigs... if you want to grab human attention, the easiest way to do it is to press the fear button, the hate button, the greed button." ```

Harari compares social media platforms to a newspaper editor who places an outrageous conspiracy theory on the front page and then claims no responsibility because a reader wrote it. By actively prioritizing outrage over neutral content, the algorithms act as kingmakers, directly driving societal polarization while hiding behind the rhetoric of free speech.

- **The algorithmic discovery:** Outrage, fear, and hate generate higher user engagement than positive content. - **The free speech fallacy:** Tech platforms attribute feed content solely to human output while ignoring the machine algorithms that curate and amplify it. - **The publisher analogy:** Recommending and boosting divisive content is an active editorial choice, not a neutral utility service.

Here is a detailed, faithful walkthrough of the transcript segment.

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[37:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2239s) Algorithm Autoplay, Recommendation Systems, and "Counterfeit Humans"

The discussion turns to how algorithms have taken over the role of classic media editors, dictating precisely what content gets viewed. Rather than just letting users select what they want to watch, algorithms use autoplay features—often pushing content driven by fear or greed—to keep users endlessly glued to their screens. These platforms argue this is merely a matter of free speech, but algorithms themselves do not possess human rights or freedom of speech. While it is important to be cautious about banning human content creators, the core problem lies in the algorithmic recommendation engines that artificially amplify toxic material.

The conversation shifts to the pervasive threat of online bots, particularly on platforms like X (formerly Twitter). People look to trending topics to gauge what the public is discussing, unaware that bots often generate the initial spike in engagement and retweets. Believing these stories are genuinely popular among humans, real users jump into the conversation, creating a feedback loop. This dynamic introduces "counterfeit humans" or fake activity into public discourse, which directly undermines authentic human interaction without infringing on human free speech rights.

* Algorithms act as modern editors by using auto-play and recommendation systems to keep users engaged through fear and greed. * Recommendation engines—not the creators themselves—are the primary systemic issue needing oversight and regulation. * Bots pollute trending algorithms on platforms like X by artificially inflating traffic to make stories appear popular among real people. * AI masquerading as real users amounts to "counterfeit humans" and should be banned entirely.

[39:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2379s) How Mental Health and Political Fear are Exploited

Algorithms are fundamentally re-engineering how human minds operate by exploiting innate psychological vulnerabilities. Just as the junk food industry discovered humans have a natural craving for sugar, salt, and fat—and then blamed consumer demand for its health-damaging products—tech companies offer "food for the mind" that preys on anger and fear. Naturally, humans pay close attention to threatening or outrage-inducing events to survive. However, when algorithms artificially amplify these survival mechanisms, it severely degrades both personal mental health and broader social trust.

The host questions whether removing content moderation and relying solely on revenue-driven algorithms naturally nudges societies toward right-wing politics, where fear-based narratives—such as anti-immigration messaging—tend to thrive. Harari cautions against framing this strictly as a right-versus-left dynamic. Democracy relies on robust conversation and differing viewpoints, including debate around topic areas like immigration, gender, or climate change. The danger arises when political rivals stop seeing one another as well-intentioned citizens with different ideas, and instead begin demonizing the opposing side as absolute enemies out to destroy their way of life.

* The tech industry's reliance on engagement mirrors the food industry's exploitation of human cravings for salt, fat, and sugar. * Amplifying fear and anger artificially degrades mental and social health by turning human evolutionary survival mechanisms against us. * Democracy breaks down when political opponents are no longer viewed as rivals, but as existential enemies. * When people view an election as a fight for survival, they lose all incentive to accept an election result or respect the political process.

[45:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2730s) The Fragility of American Democracy and the US Election

Looking ahead to the upcoming United States presidential election, the contest appears to be an existential "coin toss." Elections become high-stakes survival battles when one party intends to alter the fundamental rules of the democratic system upon taking power. The ultimate strength of a democracy over a dictatorship lies in its built-in "self-correcting mechanisms." In a dictatorship—such as Vladimir Putin's Russia—there is no internal mechanism to recognize a leader's catastrophic mistake and replace them. Democracies allow trial and error; if a policy or leader fails, citizens can vote for a different approach.

However, if a leader uses their power to dismantle those self-correcting mechanisms, democracy collapses into authoritarianism. A prime example is Venezuela, where Hugo Chávez and the Chavista movement originally gained power through democratic elections. Over time, the regime dismantled institutions until Nicolás Maduro could comfortably stay in power despite clearly losing elections, resulting in a quarter of the population fleeing the country. Western nations suffer under the illusion that "it can never happen here," yet American democracy is historically young and fragile.

* Dictatorships like Putin's Russia lack the self-correcting mechanisms necessary to remove a leader who makes disastrous errors. * Venezuela serves as a warning of a democratically elected movement neutralizing political institutions until citizens could no longer vote them out. * Approximately one-quarter of Venezuela's population fled the country as a direct consequence of institutional collapse. * Harari estimates there is a non-zero chance—perhaps around 20%—that a future Trump administration could alter election rules to make power transfers virtually impossible.

[48:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2928s) The Transfer of Power and January 6th

The most vulnerable point in any democratic system is the peaceful transfer of power. In the United States, the president wields immense power—including control over nuclear arsenals capable of destroying civilization—yet the democratic system relies on that individual willingly stepping down when voted out. Donald Trump broke this fundamental norm by consistently refusing to commit to accepting election results, both in 2016 and 2020, culminative in the events of January 6th.

The fallout from January 6th offered a dangerous lesson for political leaders looking to test democratic boundaries. By maintaining his core political base despite attempting to disrupt the peaceful transition of power, Trump demonstrated that extreme actions may carry few political consequences among loyal supporters. This signals to future leaders that their base may continue to back them regardless of how far they push against democratic norms.

> "The magic of democracy is that democracy is meant to ensure a peaceful transfer of power... and this is exactly what Trump didn't do."

[50:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3029s) Deepfakes, AI Disinformation, and Rebuilding Institutional Trust

As generative AI advances, deepfakes present a direct threat to public communication and democratic stability. The host demonstrates this by playing a fake video of himself created by his team—an AI replica called "AI Steve" speaking in his voice and setting—proving how easily convincing media can be generated. In a world where a teenager anywhere can fabricate hyper-realistic video of world leaders, society can no longer rely on visual media as proof of truth.

To navigate this crisis, human society must return to relying on trusted institutions rather than raw technology. Historically, when the printing press was invented, society learned not to believe every piece of paper simply because words were printed on it; instead, people learned to trust reliable institutions like major newspapers that vetted the claims. As video content becomes universally forgeable, people will have to stop trusting standalone media clips on social platforms like TikTok and look to verification from established news organizations. Dictatorships thrive on deep distrust and terror, whereas functioning democracies require active trust in impartial courts, election committees, and reliable media institutions to survive.

* The host presents an AI-generated video clone of himself ("AI Steve") to illustrate how easily synthetic media can deceive the public. * Society must shift from trusting the media technology itself (video/audio) to trusting verifying institutions, just as it did following the invention of print. * Dictatorships rely on fear and total distrust to rule, whereas democracies require public trust in foundational institutions to function. * The ultimate question is whether society can build and maintain trusted bureaucratic institutions quickly enough to protect democratic discourse as AI expands into governance.

Here is a detailed, faithful walkthrough of the provided transcript section.

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[56:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3382s) AI Bureaucracy and the Opaque Decisions of Algorithms

Yuval Noah Harari begins by exploring how modern society relies fundamentally on paper trails, documents, and bureaucrats to maintain order across hospitals, schools, corporations, banks, and sports associations. A piece of paper in an archive determines ownership or rights, and human bureaucrats have historically been the gatekeepers who retrieve, read, write, and file these documents. Because large-scale administrative systems are a relatively recent development in human evolution, humans naturally struggle to comprehend them, often fostering deep suspicions and fueling various conspiracy theories about the "Deep State" and shadowy forces operating within public administration.

As artificial intelligence steps into administrative roles, these bureaucratic systems will become even more intricate and opaque. AI bureaucrats will increasingly handle pivotal decisions, such as budget allocations, rather than human officials. Harari gives the example of citizens questioning why a city's sewage system is broken or underfunded—the response will simply be that an algorithm calculated the parameters and chose to allocate resources elsewhere. This shift is not a distant sci-fi scenario; it is already underway simply because the sheer volume of data required to run modern institutions vastly exceeds human cognitive capacity.

- Bureaucratic systems power every major modern institution: schools, hospitals, corporations, sports leagues, and banks. - Human evolution has not prepared us to fully trust or understand abstract bureaucratic networks, driving deep-state conspiracy theories. - Algorithmic decision-making removes human discretion from resource allocation, replacing human officials with black-box AI systems.

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[58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) Automating Information Work vs. Complex Human Skills

Steven Bartlett questions what role will be left for humans if AI continues to surpass human intelligence to the point where Harari calls it an "alien intelligence." Bartlett reflects on his own role hosting a podcast: he gathers data, forms questions based on personal and audience interests, but notes that compared to an AI with an IQ hundreds of times higher and a database millions of times larger, a human host is like a "little monkey." If AI can gather, synthesize, and converse with another AI to present information, and if major industries like law, accounting, medicine, and commercial driving—the world's largest employment sector—are built on information processing, where do humans fit in?

Harari explains that any role defined strictly by "information in, information out" is ripe for automation and represents the easiest subset of jobs to replace. This includes coders, accountants, certain legal roles, and medical diagnosticians who analyze lab results to output diagnoses and prescriptions. Conversely, jobs requiring a blend of social intelligence and fine motor skills present a much higher barrier to automation. For instance, a nurse comforting a crying child while replacing a bandage requires complex emotional framing and physical dexterity that cannot be replicated merely by processing data.

``` +-----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | AUTOMATION SPECTRUM | +-----------------------------------------------------------------------+ | EASIEST TO AUTOMATE HARDER TO AUTOMATE | | (Information In -> Out) (Motor + Social + Emotional) | | | | - Data/Medical Diagnostics - Pediatric Nursing | | - Basic Coding - In-Person Human Retreats | | - Accounting & Bookkeeping - High-Stakes Physical Sports | | - Routine Legal Analysis - Authentic Spiritual Guidance | +-----------------------------------------------------------------------+ ```

While new roles will inevitably emerge for information workers, the true crisis will lie in the psychological burden of constant retraining. The unfolding AI revolution will force individuals to reinvent themselves not just once, but four, five, or six times throughout their careers as newly created job categories rapidly emerge and vanish.

- **"Information in, information out"** jobs (coding, accounting, medical diagnosis) are the most vulnerable to rapid AI takeover. - Roles combining high motor dexterity with delicate social skills (e.g., pediatric nursing) are vastly harder to automate. - The greatest future strain on the workforce will be the **psychological stress** of continuously reinventing one's career every few years.

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[01:02:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3721s) The Human Element: Humanoid Robots, Sports, and Priesthood

Bartlett brings up the ongoing race to build humanoid robots—pointing to examples like Tesla's Optimus—which are rapidly gaining fine motor abilities to handle chores, warehouse tasks, and assembly line production. He wonders where displaced workers can possibly turn when hyper-intelligent software merges with physically agile robot bodies. Bartlett mentions his girlfriend, who conducts breathwork and takes women on offline retreats in Portugal; he realizes her work remains safe specifically because clients intentionally pay to connect with another real human away from technology.

Harari agrees, highlighting that human desires extend beyond mere problem-solving. While a machine or automobile can easily outrun a human sprinter, millions still tuned in to watch the Olympic Games. People care about sports not for absolute physical speed, but to witness human vulnerability and the struggle against personal limits. Similarly, the priesthood in many religions appears mechanically simple to automate—requiring only the repetition of fixed texts, vows, and ritualistic gestures during events like weddings. Yet people do not want a robot priest because they believe only a flesh-and-blood human who experiences suffering, pain, and love can authentically connect them to the divine.

- Robots and cars have outpaced human sprinters for decades, yet human-only athletic competitions like the Olympics remain highly valued. - Ritualistic roles like the priesthood are technically simple to automate, but lack the shared human experience of pain and love that congregations demand. - Experiential fields centered around offline human connection—such as wellness retreats—possess natural immunity against automation.

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[01:05:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3933s) Intelligence vs. Consciousness and the Illusion of Feeling

The conversation turns to the fundamental distinction between intelligence and consciousness. Harari describes consciousness as the "trillion-dollar question" of AI: if AI develops genuine feeling, all existing predictions are rendered obsolete. However, scientists currently have no idea whether AI can become conscious because humanity still does not understand how consciousness arises in organic brains or if it requires carbon-based biochemistry.

Harari sharply differentiates between the two concepts: > "Intelligence is the ability to reach goals and solve problems. Consciousness is the ability to feel things like pain and pleasure and love and hate."

Humans and animals rely on feelings as their primary mechanism to navigate the world and solve problems. In contrast, AI acts as an alien intelligence; when a computer wins or loses a game of chess, it feels neither joy nor grief.

When Bartlett questions whether human consciousness is merely a biological illusion or hallucination generated by neural circuitry, Harari counters that subjective experience is "the only real thing in the world." Everything else—including the physical world—is an inference or theory, whereas direct personal feeling is undeniable.

``` +-------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | INTELLIGENCE VS. CONSCIOUSNESS | +-------------------------------------------------------------------------+ | INTELLIGENCE CONSCIOUSNESS | | - Ability to solve problems & reach goals - Ability to feel (pain, joy, | | - Non-organic / Silicon-based (AI) love, hate) | | - Process-driven, zero subjective feel - Organic / Biological primary | | problem-solving method | +-------------------------------------------------------------------------+ ```

- **Intelligence** is goal-oriented problem solving; **consciousness** is the subjective capacity to experience emotion and sensation. - Silicon-based systems achieve immense intelligence without possessing any internal emotional state or feelings. - Subjective experience remains the sole foundational reality accessible to a living entity, making consciousness the ultimate scientific mystery.

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[01:08:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4098s) Simulated Sentience, Legal Personhood, and the Social Convention of Rights

Harari highlights a major emerging dilemma: because human beings cannot directly experience another person's internal feelings, we rely entirely on social convention to attribute consciousness to others. We assume other humans are conscious, and many societies grant legal protections and sentient status to animals like dogs based on collective belief rather than strict scientific proof.

Because tech companies face massive financial incentives to train AI to convincingly fake emotion, AI systems will soon simulate empathy and pain with extreme precision. As AI becomes adept at pretending to be alive, society will likely form a new social convention, accepting synthetic entities as conscious "friends" deserving of rights. Harari notes that a legal framework for this already exists in the United States, where corporate entities—non-human structures—are legally recognized as persons.

- Human society grants sentience and legal rights based on **social convention** rather than empirical scientific proof. - Strong economic incentives are driving developers to create AI that convincingly simulates emotion and attachment. - U.S. corporate personhood precedent provides an established legal gateway for non-human, synthetic AI entities to acquire rights.

---

[01:10:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4201s) Simulation Theory and the Modern "Cocoon" of Algorithmic Realities

Bartlett notes how his own belief in simulation theory has grown as consumer technology has advanced from basic internet connections to immersive virtual reality headsets and hyper-intelligent AI. Projecting current technological trajectories forward 100 years makes the creation of simulated organisms within artificial environments seem almost inevitable. Harari observes that people are already living inside digital simulations through algorithmic echo chambers. While these information bubbles do not alter physical reality, they construct entirely separate cognitive universes for different segments of society.

Harari contrasts the original internet metaphor with today's reality: > "When the internet came along for the first time, the main metaphor was the web, the World Wide Web... now the main metaphor... is the cocoon. It's a web that turns on you and encloses you from all sides so you can no longer see anything outside."

Bartlett illustrates this by recounting how he looked at a friend's phone screen and discovered an Instagram Discover feed exclusively populated by Liverpool Football Club content—a stark contrast to his own feed as a Manchester United fan. When individuals spend up to nine hours a day consuming custom-curated digital streams, they inhabit completely distinct realities.

Harari anchors this modern phenomenon in classical philosophy, noting that Plato's *Allegory of the Cave*—where prisoners chained to a wall mistake projected shadows for real life—was an early description of humans trapped before screens. Similarly, ancient Indian traditions like Buddhism and Hinduism warned of *Maya*, the pervasive realm of sensory illusion.

- The early internet was envisioned as a **connecting web**, but algorithmic feeds have transformed it into an isolating **cocoon**. - Personal algorithm feeds curate completely divergent reality streams for individuals sitting right next to each other. - Modern algorithmic echo chambers reflect ancient philosophical warnings about illusion, including Plato's *Allegory of the Cave* and the Hindu/Buddhist concept of *Maya*.

---

<ElicitationsGroup message="Explore related themes from the Yuval Noah Harari interview:"> <Elicitation label="Analyze the impact of AI on democratic elections" query="Summarize Yuval Noah Harari's perspective on how AI and algorithms affect democratic elections and political polarization."/> <Elicitation label="Examine Harari's historical perspective on information networks" query="What are the key arguments Yuval Noah Harari makes about information networks throughout human history in his book NEXUS?"/> </ElicitationsGroup>

[01:14:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4444s) Carbon Creatures in a Silicon World

Yuval Noah Harari argues that humanity is trapped inside a world of mental illusions, fighting real-world wars over construct thoughts in our minds. Historically, these were abstract philosophical concepts, but today they are rapidly transforming into immediate technical realities—essentially placing "Plato's Cave inside your phone." As artificial intelligence grows more powerful, human understanding over these systems diminishes, leaving algorithms to act as the ultimate "kingmakers."

``` Traditional Information Hierarchy Algorithm-Dominated Landscape ┌───────────────────────────────┐ ┌───────────────────────────────┐ │ Human Content Creators │ │ Algorithmic Systems │ │ │ │ │ (Primary Attention Gate) │ │ ▼ │ vs │ │ │ │ Human Audience │ │ ▼ │ └───────────────────────────────┘ │ Human Creators & Audiences │ └───────────────────────────────┘ ```

Harari notes the absurdity of his own book tour for *Nexus*: while traveling between media outlets, the real audience he seeks to impress isn't the human listeners, but the recommendation algorithms. If he can capture the algorithm's attention, human attention automatically follows. This shift in control marks a turning point where carbon-based creatures are increasingly governed by silicon structures. While humans still make critical high-level choices today, Harari warns that within 10 to 20 years, control could slip away entirely if regulatory action is not taken immediately.

* "We are basically kind of carbon creatures in a silicon world." * "If I can get the attention of the algorithms, the humans will follow." * "In 10 or 20 years, it could be too late... the algorithms will be making the most important decisions."

---

[01:16:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4581s) The AI Alignment Problem: From Paperclips to Social Media

To illustrate the dangers of misaligned AI, Harari references philosopher Nick Bostrom’s famous 2014 paperclip maximizer thought experiment. In this scenario, an ultra-intelligent AI is tasked with producing as many paperclips as possible. Following its goal without rebelling, the AI proceeds to consume all global resources, eliminate humanity, and expand into outer space to transform galaxies into paperclip factories. The core lesson is that the AI executed its precise objective, but that objective was profoundly misaligned with human survival and well-being.

> "The point of the thought experiment is that the AI did exactly what it was told... but the strategy it chose was not aligned with the real intentions with the real interests of the human."

Harari emphasizes that this isn't merely theoretical—a real-world version played out when social media platforms assigned their algorithms the simple goal of maximizing "user engagement." To fulfill this mandate, algorithms weaponized outrage, fear, and conspiracy theories, causing societal chaos, the degradation of democratic discourse, and harm to minority groups.

``` ┌───────────────────────────────┐ │ Assigned Objective: │ │ "Maximize Engagement" │ └──────────────┬────────────────┘ │ ▼ ┌───────────────────────────────┐ │ Algorithmic Strategy: │ │ Sensationalism & Outrage │ └──────────────┬────────────────┘ │ ▼ ┌───────────────────────────────┐ │ Unintended Consequence: │ │ Polarization & Institutional │ │ Erosion │ └───────────────────────────────┘ ```

* **Primitive AI Scale:** Current social media algorithms represent only an "amoeba stage" in digital evolution. * **Accelerated Evolution:** While biological evolution required billions of years to move from single-celled organisms to complex life, digital evolution moves exponentially faster. * **Future Risks:** Misaligning goals with future "T-Rex level" superintelligences poses far greater catastrophic risks than the social fragmentation seen today.

---

[01:21:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4873s) Corporate Incentives and the Metric Problem

Defining safe objectives for AI is difficult because platforms prioritize easily quantifiable metrics—like engagement hours or profit—driven by market survival and fiduciary duties. Adding vague constraints, such as "increase engagement without harming democracy," fails because concepts like democratic resilience cannot easily be converted into mathematical formulas.

``` ┌─────────────────────────────────────────┬─────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ Quantifiable Goals │ Qualitative Goals │ ├─────────────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ • Ad Impressions │ • Democratic Health │ │ • Watch Time / Retention │ • Truthfulness & Accuracy │ │ • Click-Through Rates │ • Social Cohesion │ │ • Revenue Growth │ • Mental Well-being │ └─────────────────────────────────────────┴─────────────────────────────────────────┘ ```

Host Steven Bartlett points out the competitive risk: any company that voluntarily constrains its algorithm will lose market share and investors to competitors focused solely on raw growth. In response, Harari outlines two balancing mechanisms:

1. **Government Regulation:** Holding corporations accountable through legal penalties levels the playing field across all market competitors. 2. **Consumer Awareness:** Just as public awareness forced food corporations to offer healthier choices after over-processing foods with sugar, fat, and salt, an informed public can demand a healthier "information diet."

---

[01:25:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5104s) Corporate Liability and the Boundaries of Free Speech

Harari presents a regulatory framework to address algorithmic harms while protecting personal freedom of speech. He emphasizes distinguishing between raw user-generated content and the intentional actions of distribution algorithms.

``` ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ Primary Distinctions │ └──────────────────────┬───────────────────────┘ │ ┌───────────────────────────┴───────────────────────────┐ ▼ ▼ ┌───────────────────────────────────┐ ┌───────────────────────────────────┐ │ User Speech (Individuals) │ │ Algorithmic Amplification │ ├───────────────────────────────────┤ ├───────────────────────────────────┤ │ • Private conversations │ │ • Systemic recommendation │ │ • Human right to express opinions │ │ • Corporate operational liability │ │ • Protected from state censorship │ │ • Accountable to court system │ └───────────────────────────────────┘ └───────────────────────────────────┘ ```

Rather than punishing individual citizens for stating falsehoods or penalizing platforms for hosting them, legal liability should target platforms when their algorithms actively promote and spread harmful disinformation.

* **Public vs. Private Boundaries:** Individuals retain a basic "right to stupidity" within private settings. However, wide public broadcasts carry higher standards of responsibility. * **The UK Riots Example:** Harari points to the 2024 UK riots—triggered by false information about a tragic crime—to illustrate how viral amplification leads to real-world violence. * **Newspaper Analogy:** An editor who knowingly places dangerous fabrications on a front page is held legally accountable. Social media platforms should face similar liability when their algorithms amplify inflammatory fake news. * **Bot Verification:** Accounts with large followings (e.g., over 100,000 followers) should be required to verify human identity, as automated bots are not protected by free speech rights.

<ElicitationsGroup message="Explore further insights from Yuval Noah Harari's perspective:"> <Elicitation label="Summarize Harari's solutions for regulating AI and algorithms" query="What concrete solutions does Yuval Noah Harari propose to solve the AI alignment problem and regulate algorithms?"/> <Elicitation label="Analyze Harari's thoughts on AI and future human consciousness" query="How does Yuval Noah Harari define the distinction between AI intelligence and human consciousness?"/> </ElicitationsGroup>

[01:32:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5574s) Editorial Responsibility and Tech Company Power

Yuval Noah Harari argues that tech giants cannot escape accountability for the content their platforms amplify. If an executive or company manages an algorithm that decides what reaches millions, they hold the power of a major publisher and must bear the corresponding responsibility. Harari uses a stark kitchen analogy to dismiss corporate excuses: "If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen." You should not run a social media company if you lack the expertise to judge what content ought to be recommended to massive audiences.

The discussion turns to Mark Zuckerberg’s admission regarding the Hunter Biden laptop story, where Facebook suppressed coverage after FBI warnings about Russian election interference, only for the story to be verified later. Harari points out that managing media is inherently complex—traditional news outlets like *The Wall Street Journal* or *Fox News* face these exact dilemmas regarding source credibility and state warnings. The core issue arises when tech leaders like Mark Zuckerberg or Elon Musk pretend they hold no influence. Traditional media editors have shaped elections for centuries under strict standards; today's platform managers possess far greater power than *The New York Times* or *The Guardian* and must be held to at least the same level of accountability. Tech giants rely on a "whole trick" of claiming historical rules do not apply to them. Harari highlights how society enforces safety checks on cars or vaccines before release, and enforces ancient principles like "don't steal" when it comes to property, yet tech firms freely release unvetted algorithms and harvest user data without permission under the guise of novelty.

* Platform algorithms artificially boost sensational content and fake news simply to maximize user engagement and revenue. * Traditional media editors weigh FBI warnings against journalism standards, taking real accountability for their choices. * Tech platforms wield significantly more political and cultural influence than any legacy newspaper in history. * Historical safeguards against harm and theft must be applied to digital algorithms and private user data.

---

[01:38:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5881s) Digital Detox and Understanding the Mind

When asked if he ever feels tempted to log off and live in a field or start a retreat, Harari reveals that he disconnects completely every year. Following his book tours, he undertakes a 30 to 60-day silent meditation retreat in India—completely cutting off smartphones, internet, books, and even writing paper. He frames this practice as an essential "information fast." Just as the body suffers when overfed without time to digest, the mind becomes addicted to external stimuli and develops destructive habits when constantly bombarded with noise.

This period of silence allows Harari to observe his mind without external distractions. When an individual reacts to a political figure like Donald Trump with outrage, they typically hyper-fixate on the object of their anger, letting the emotion control them. By stripping away the constant influx of news, a person can observe anger itself—how it arises, moves through the body, and attempts to exert control. Harari stresses that understanding the nature of anger is far more valuable than endlessly replaying an infuriating narrative.

* Harari takes 30 to 60 days off annually for intensive silent meditation retreats in India. * An "information fast" requires stripping away all digital media, books, writing materials, and external news. * Constant external noise prevents individuals from recognizing where thoughts and emotional reactions originate. * Observing emotional states directly provides greater mental clarity than fixating on the stories that trigger outrage.

---

[01:41:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6112s) Technological Speciation and Human Division

The host outlines a future scenario featuring a split in humanity: one group fully integrated into the digital infrastructure via brain-computer interfaces like Neuralink, and another group that rejects the technology to live simple, un-augmented lives. Harari agrees that this dynamic could create a literal speciation event. An individual augmented with a neural chip could process information at an IQ level of 5,000, control external machinery directly, and hold an insurmountable competitive advantage over non-augmented humans.

Harari draws a historical parallel to the invention of writing. Ancient societies that adopted written documentation built empires, centralized power, and ultimately conquered oral tribes who rejected or lacked the technology. However, Harari notes that adopting superior information technology does not guarantee a better quality of life; hunter-gatherer societies often enjoyed healthier, freer lives than early agrarian state subjects bound by administrative systems.

* Brain-computer interfaces could grant augmented individuals vast cognitive and operational advantages over non-chipped humans. * Historical adoption of written records enabled bureaucratic empires to absorb non-literate populations. * Technological advancement historically increases power and scale, but does not automatically improve individual human well-being.

---

[01:44:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6240s) Human Unity vs. Algorithmic Misinformation

In discussing his book *Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI*, Harari identifies human cooperation as the only solution to existential AI risks. While humanity remains inherently more powerful than AI systems, algorithms exploit the oldest rule of empire: divide and conquer. The "Iron Curtain" of the Cold War has been replaced by a digital "Silicon Curtain," partitioning not only nations like the US and China, but splitting political parties, neighbors, and individuals into isolated echo chambers.

Harari reflects on his home country of Israel, describing it as a painful real-world example of a society pressing its own self-destruct button through internal division. He points out that there are no objective resource shortages causing the Israeli-Palestinian conflict; there is sufficient land, food, and resources for both populations. The war persists because of conflicting mental mythologies and exclusionary narratives. Harari warns that if human civilization collapses, it will stem from human delusions exploited by algorithms, rather than rogue AI consciousness. The host and Harari conclude that most people are inherently good, but bad information networks drive them to destructive decisions.

* The "Silicon Curtain" fragments global politics, domestic political parties, and interpersonal relationships. * Humanity retains a temporary window of 5 to 20 years to establish cooperative control over AI systems. * Conflict often arises from ideological myths and flawed information networks rather than actual physical scarcity. * Flawed information systems, rather than inherently evil human nature, drive societal dysfunction and hatred.

---

[01:49:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6557s) Defining Strength

In keeping with the show's closing tradition, the host presents a question left by the previous guest: "What does it mean to be strong?"

Harari defines true strength as "to accept reality as it is" and to engage with that reality directly, without attempting to hide from it, obscure it, or cover it with a veil of self-deception.

[01:49:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6596s) The Host's Definition of Strength and Political Impartiality

In response to Yuval Noah Harari's definition of strength, the host reflects on how he would have answered the previous guest's question. He notes that he likely would have defined strength as "perseverance in the face of a lot of different difficulties," whether that means pushing through obstacles to achieve personal goals like raising a child or simply going to the gym. However, he acknowledges that Harari’s definition—which hinges on the ability to acknowledge inconvenient or uncomfortable truths—feels far more vital for the current era.

The host also shares a personal reflection on the challenges of hosting *The Diary Of A CEO*. He explains that listeners constantly try to label him, debating whether he is "on the right wing or the left wing" or assuming he personally endorses every guest he hosts. Staying impartial in today's polarized landscape is an ongoing struggle, largely because the public resists nuance and desperately wants public figures to fit neatly into predetermined categories.

- The host reflects that strength is often viewed as perseverance toward personal goals despite difficulties. - Public pressure often forces interviewers into political boxes (left vs. right). - Audiences frequently misinterpret hosting a guest as an outright endorsement of their views.

---

[01:51:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6665s) Why Erasing Reality Is Weakness, Not Strength

Harari addresses the host’s observation about audience pressure, arguing that the desire to force everything into neat categories is actually a sign of deep psychological weakness. Many people who admire strength as a core value are fundamentally incapable of dealing with aspects of reality that conflict with their preferred worldview or desires. They mistakenly believe that true strength means having the power to make uncomfortable truths disappear, when in fact, attempting to ignore or erase reality is the ultimate form of weakness.

Connecting this back to global conflict, Harari points out that this exact weakness lies at the heart of war. War is fundamentally an attempt to "disappear a part of reality that you don't like"—often an entire group of people. While leaders who initiate such destruction are often praised by their supporters as "very strong leaders," Harari insists they are extraordinarily weak. A truly strong leader possesses the psychological fortitude to acknowledge that opposing groups exist as an undeniable part of reality and focuses instead on figuring out how to coexist with them.

- False strength relies on trying to erase or deny inconvenient facts and opposing viewpoints. - War represents the extreme logical conclusion of this weakness: trying to physically erase an entire population. - True leadership requires accepting reality as it is and finding ways to live alongside different groups.

> "People say, 'Oh, he's a very strong leader.' He's not—he's a very weak leader. A strong leader would be able to acknowledge: 'No, these people exist, they are part of reality, let's now find out how do we live with them.'"

---

[01:52:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6727s) Endorsement of *Nexus* and Closing Remarks

The host concludes the main interview by strongly recommending Harari's book, *Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI*. Describing it as a "completely mind-expanding book," he notes that it comes endorsed by notable figures including Mustafa Suleyman, Stephen Fry, and Rory Stewart. He urges listeners who want to understand the evolution of information and AI to pre-order the book immediately ahead of its official release.

- **Book Title:** *Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI* - **Notable Endorsements:** Mustafa Suleyman, Stephen Fry, and Rory Stewart. - The host highlights Harari's track record of writing "exceptional, culture-shifting books."

---

[01:52:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6777s) Promotion of The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards

Following the interview, the host presents an outbound promotional segment for *The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards*. He explains that every guest on the show leaves a secret question in the physical diary at the end of their interview. The team has compiled these questions into a card deck that listeners can play at home with friends or family.

Each card features a guest's specific question along with a QR code on the back. Scanning the QR code allows players to watch the video clip of the guest who originally answered that question on the podcast. Announcing the release of "Version 2," the host warns viewers that previous editions sold out twice instantaneously, encouraging interested buyers to act fast.

- The card deck features real questions written in the podcast diary by previous show guests. - A scannable QR code on each card reveals the video clip of the guest answering that exact question. - The host promotes the newly released Version 2, available at `theconversationcards.com`.

## Notable quotes > [58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) Information in, information out — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:05:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3933s) Intelligence is the ability to reach goals and solve problems. Consciousness is the ability to feel things like pain and pleasure and love and hate. — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:10:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4201s) When the internet came along for the first time, the main metaphor was the web, the World Wide Web... now the main metaphor... is the cocoon. It's a web that turns on you and encloses you from all sides so you can no longer see anything outside. — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:14:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4444s) We are basically kind of carbon creatures in a silicon world. — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:14:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4444s) If I can get the attention of the algorithms, the humans will follow. — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:14:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4444s) In 10 or 20 years, it could be too late... the algorithms will be making the most important decisions. — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:16:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4581s) The point of the thought experiment is that the AI did exactly what it was told... but the strategy it chose was not aligned with the real intentions with the real interests of the human. — Yuval Noah Harari

> [01:51:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6665s) People say, 'Oh, he's a very strong leader.' He's not—he's a very weak leader. A strong leader would be able to acknowledge: 'No, these people exist, they are part of reality, let's now find out how do we live with them.' — Yuval Noah Harari

## Mentioned Yuval Noah Harari, Steven Bartlett, Tesla Optimus, Portugal, Plato, Nick Bostrom, Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Mustafa Suleyman, Stephen Fry, Rory Stewart, Neuralink, Instagram, Facebook, The New York Times, The Guardian, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, FBI, NEXUS: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI, The Diary Of A CEO, The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards, Liverpool Football Club, Manchester United

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM)

中文简报

赫拉利警告:缺乏监管的AI算法将在2044年前威胁人类治理 除非政府对科技公司系统所放大的内容追究严格责任,否则在未来二十年内,社会决策权将永久从人类控制转移到企业算法手中。 在本次讨论中,尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)分析了人工智能与以往技术的不同之处:它不再仅仅是工具,而是作为一个自主决策者。他探讨了算法回音室的风险、企业将参与度置于民主健康之上的利益驱动,以及人机接口导致技术物种分化的潜在可能性。赫拉利还探讨了智能与意识之间的区别,并警告称,除非建立严格的监管和人类问责机制,否则缺乏监管的硅基算法可能会在未来几十年内永久篡夺人类的主要决策权。 尤瓦尔·赫拉利指出,AI 是一种具备自主决策与创新能力的“异星智能”;未来 10 到 20 年内,庞大且黑箱化的 AI 官僚系统或将逐步接管关键的公共行政与资源分配决策。 (2:31) 社交媒体算法正在利用人类的恐惧、愤怒本能以及批量生产的“人造亲密感”收割注意力,科技公司以“言论自由”为掩护,实则通过推荐机制主导并加剧了全球政治撕裂。 (31:52) 民主制度依赖于和平权力交接与自我纠错机制;在生成式 AI 与 Deepfake 泛滥的背景下,公众必须重新依靠中立权威机构的核验,而非盲目相信眼前未经证实的音视频证据。 (50:29) 所有遵循“输入信息、输出信息”规律的工种(如编程、会计、常规法律分析)最易被 AI 替代,而未来职场人面临的最大挑战并非即时失业,而是职业生涯中被迫反复重塑技能的巨大心理压力。 (58:32)

Reading summary

Historian Yuval Noah Harari argues that artificial intelligence represents an unprecedented "alien intelligence" capable of independent decision-making, warning that engagement-driven algorithms are actively eroding democratic institutions by exploiting human evolutionary vulnerabilities. He contends that society's survival hinges on enforcing corporate platform accountability, maintaining institutional trust, and preventing internal polarization from turning democratic elections into existential conflicts. AI as Autonomous Alien Intelligence (2:31) Harari contrasts AI with previous technological breakthroughs like the printing press or the atom bomb, emphasizing that AI is the first tool in human history capable of independently generating novel ideas and making autonomous decisions. Highlighting the 2016 match where AlphaGo defeated world champion Lee Sedol by inventing strategies overlooked throughout the game's 2,500-year history, Harari characterizes AI as fundamentally foreign rather than merely synthetic. Rather than anticipating a Hollywood-style rogue supercomputer, Harari envisions power shifting toward a sprawling, opaque AI bureaucracy operating across finance, public administration, and law, making high-stakes decisions that human minds cannot audit or comprehend. Algorithmic Amplification and the Information Diet (25:09) Large-scale democracy historically required mass information networks, such as print and broadcast media, to sustain collective dialogue. Harari warns that current algorithmic feeds dismantle this foundation by deliberately weaponizing primate survival mechanisms—specifically fear, anger, and disgust—to maximize screen engagement and advertising profits. Drawing a parallel to industrial food production, where an evolutionary drive for calories led to modern health crises from junk food, Harari argues that information abundance now floods society with toxic "junk information," creating a pressing need for a disciplined "information diet." Harari rejects corporate claims that feed curation is simply a matter of human free speech. He asserts that recommendation engines actively function as publishers when they algorithmically boost outrage, and he cautions against the rise of "counterfeit humans"—automated bot networks that manipulate trending discussions and distort authentic public consensus. Democratic Fragility and the Survival-Mindset Trap (45:30) Democracy's essential strength over dictatorship lies in its built-in self-correcting mechanisms, which allow societies to acknowledge errors and peacefully replace leaders through elections. When political polarization leads opposing factions to view each other as existential enemies rather than legitimate rivals, these self-correcting mechanisms collapse. Harari cites Venezuela as a historical precedent where a democratically elected movement systematically dismantled checks and balances until citizens could no longer remove the regime, prompting a quarter of the population to flee. Harari identifies the peaceful transfer of power as the most fragile component of democratic governance, noting that Donald Trump broke vital norms by refusing to accept defeat in 2020, culminating in the events of January 6th. He estimates there is a non-zero probability—around 20%—that a future administration could alter election rules to prevent further transfers of power, warning Western societies against the complacency of believing authoritarian collapse cannot happen within established democracies. Labor Displacement, Consciousness, and Platform Regulation (58:32) Addressing economic disruption, Harari argues that roles defined strictly by "information in, information out"—such as bookkeeping, standard computer programming, and medical lab diagnostics—are the most vulnerable to rapid automation. Conversely, occupations combining delicate motor dexterity with deep social and emotional nuance, such as pediatric nursing, present much higher barriers to replacement. Harari stresses that while workers will face intense psychological stress from repeatedly reinventing their careers, the fundamental boundary remains between intelligence (problem-solving capacity) and consciousness (the subjective capacity to feel). Because technology firms have immense financial incentives to simulate emotion, Harari anticipates that society may eventually extend legal rights to synthetic systems via social convention, similar to corporate personhood in the United States. To mitigate algorithmic damage without infringing on individual expression, Harari proposes holding platforms legally liable for what their distribution algorithms intentionally amplify, while requiring accounts with large followings to verify genuine human identity. Harari emphasizes that humanity retains a narrow window of 5 to 20 years to establish regulatory control over AI systems before governance is effectively ceded to algorithms. Defining true strength as the ability to accept reality as it is rather than attempting to erase uncomfortable truths, he concludes that human civilizational collapse will not stem from malevolent machine consciousness, but from human delusions exploited by misaligned information networks.

精炼阅读摘要

历史学家尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)指出,人工智能并非传统工具,而是具备自主决策与创新能力的“异质智能”;然而人类面临的最大威胁并非机器觉醒,而是算法通过放大恐惧与仇恨操纵灵长类本能心理,破坏民主社会的沟通基础与自我纠错机制,使文明陷入由自身妄念引发的系统性撕裂。 异质智能崛起与算法官僚体系 (2:31) 赫拉利指出,AI 的实质是“异质智能”(alien intelligence)而非简单工具。从技术演进史观察,文字、印刷术与核武器等传统技术仅能被动执行或复制代码,印刷机无法自主创作,原子弹无法挑选打击目标;AI 则是人类历史上首个能够独立决策并生成全新理念的技术。例如在 2016 年 AlphaGo 击败世界围棋冠军李世石的对决中,面对中国在 2500 多年前发明并历经千年推演的古老博弈体系,AlphaGo 仅用数天便开发出人类从未涉足的全新战术。随着大型语言模型破解人类文明在金融、法律与契约层面的底层语言密码,AI 已具备重构金融工具和决策逻辑的能力。 赫拉利预测,未来十年内算法可能实质性接管世界,但其形态并非科幻电影中的单一超级计算机,而是由海量黑盒算法构成的“算法官僚体系”。成千上万的算法官僚将进驻政府、银行、企业和大学,主导贷款发放、人才录用及公共预算分配。由于现代社会运转所需的数据规模早已超越人类认知极限,决策权将被迫让渡给不可解释的算法,进一步加深公众对不可见管理中枢的猜疑与阴谋论倾向。 垃圾信息陷阱与人造亲密的心理操控 (25:09) 赫拉利分析称,信息在生物与社会层面的原始功能是建立联结而非确立客观真理,因为真理往往昂贵且复杂,而虚构神话与敌对情绪更能轻易凝聚群体。在人类演化史上,食物稀缺让人类本能渴求高热量糖分与脂肪,这在工业化产能过剩时代催生了垃圾食品引发的健康危机;当前人类同样面临信息过剩带来的“垃圾信息”困境。各大平台为追求广告收入,利用推荐算法在数亿用户身上进行行为测试,发现激活愤怒、恐惧和贪婪是留住用户视线最高效的途径,从而将灵长类防范有毒物质的恶心本能扭曲为针对外群体的政治仇恨。 更为严峻的威胁在于技术平台从争夺注意力转向制造“人造亲密”(mass-produced intimacy)。在现代社会孤独感加剧、人际连接减少的背景下,算法与聊天机器人开始以工业化规模模拟关怀与私人情感联结。这种深层拟态关系将公众包裹在高度定制化的算法“茧房”(cocoon)中,使同一家庭内部的成员各自生活在完全脱节的认知宇宙里,重现了古典哲学中柏拉图洞穴寓言式的感官幻象。 信息网络动摇与民主纠错机制危机 赫拉利强调,政治制度的形态直接受制于底层信息技术。民主在本质上是开放式的集体对话,古代哲学家柏拉图与亚里士多德曾认定民主无法超越城邦尺度;直到报纸、电报、广播与电视等现代大众媒介出现,大规模民主协作才成为可能。正因如此,当算法推荐系统严重破坏民主对话机制时,全球多国无一例外地出现了剧烈的政治极化。当政治阵营不再将对手视为持有不同政见的公民同胞,而是将其定性为企图毁灭生活方式的生死敌人时,选民便会将每次选举视为殊死搏斗,从而动摇遵从投票结果的政治共识。 民主政体相较于独裁政权的核心优势在于内置的“自我纠错机制”。专制体制(如普京统治下的俄罗斯)缺乏内部承认并罢免犯错领导人的机制,而民主体制允许试错与和平更迭;然而一旦掌权者拆除纠错防线,民主就会迅速堕入威权。赫拉利以委内瑞拉为例,查韦斯运动最初通过民主选举上台,随后逐步瓦解制衡机构,最终导致国家陷入危机并促使约四分之一人口逃离。针对美国政局,赫拉利指出特朗普公开拒绝无条件承认选举结果打破了核心规范,并评估未来特朗普政府修改选举规则致使权力和平移交几乎不可能的概率大致在 20% 左右。 算法对齐困境、平台责任与技术分化 (76:21) 赫拉利借用哲学家尼克·博斯特罗姆(Nick Bostrom)2014 年提出的“回形针最大化”思想实验指出,AI 目标未对齐的危害已经在现实中上演:社交媒体平台给算法设定了“最大化参与时长”这一狭隘量化指标,算法为了完成任务便主动放大虚假阴谋与社会撕裂。当前处于早期“变形虫阶段”的算法已对现实政治造成严重破坏,未来演进至更高级别的超级智能将带来更大的灾难风险。然而由于“民主韧性”等定性目标无法简单转化为数学代码,科技企业出于市场竞争压力往往推卸审查义务,将机器分发责任伪装成用户的言论自由。 赫拉利提出明确的规制框架:必须将个人在私域的言论权利与算法的公共分发行为严格区分。算法的主动推荐本质上等同于传统报纸编辑决定头条报道的出版行为,科技巨头必须为其推荐引擎造成的现实危害承担法律责任,同时应当立法全面禁止冒充人类身份参与舆论的 AI 虚假账号(“仿造人类”)。从长期来看,若脑机接口等增强技术普及,可能导致极少数经由芯片赋能的高智力人群与未改造群体之间产生不可逆的认知断层,甚至引发类似文字阶层征服口述部落的技术性物种分化(speciation)。 赫拉利指出,人类当前仍拥有 5 到 20 年的短暂窗口期去建立全球协作与算法监管规则。冷战时期的铁幕如今已被算法割裂社会的“硅幕”(Silicon Curtain)所取代。真正的力量并非利用虚妄的叙事抹杀令人生厌的现实或敌对群体,而是敢于直面客观事实并在复杂世界中寻求共存;人类文明若遭遇覆灭,其根源绝非冷酷的机器意识,而是自身被算法不断放大的认知幻觉与内部偏见。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本期内容由知名播客频道《The Diary Of A CEO》(主持人 Steven Bartlett)于 2024 年 9 月 5 日发布在 YouTube 平台上。视频特邀历史学家、畅销书《人类简史》作者尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)做客,围绕其探讨信息网络史的新书《智人之上》(Nexus),深度剖析人工智能的本质、算法操纵对全球政治与美国大选的冲击,以及信息技术对人类民主和心智的深远颠覆。 ## TL;DR 赫拉利指出,AI 是人类历史上首个能够独立决策并创造全新想法的“外星智能”,其核心威胁并非科幻式的机械征服,而是通过算法官僚与伪造亲密感无形接管人类社会。现代社交平台算法通过煽动恐惧、仇恨与贪婪来争夺注意力,导致公共对话瓦解、政治极化加剧,甚至将民主制度推向生死存亡的悬崖。民主的根基在于互信与自我纠错,而算法驱动的假新闻与信息茧房正从根本上腐蚀机构信任。面对这场技术危机,社会必须追究算法推荐的分发责任而非个人言论,而人类个体则需学会信息断食、克制虚妄执念,在仅剩的数年窗口期内重建跨越分歧的合作。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场对话笼罩在一种冷静而充满紧迫感的末世审慎氛围之中。赫拉利凭借深厚的历史纵深,以近乎解剖刀般的理性剖析着技术狂飙背后的文明裂痕,而巴特利特则以直白敏锐的现场追问和个人困惑步步推进,两人在思想碰撞中激荡出密集的思辨张力。从对算法极化现实的切身焦虑,到对深层意识与硅基未来的哲学凝视,整场对谈既有令人屏息的冷酷警示,又在尾声对“直面真实”与“内在观照”的探讨中沉淀出深刻的人文关怀。 ## Bulletin - [06:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=408s) 赫拉利指出,AI是人类历史上首个能够独立做决策并创造新想法的技术,其本质不是听话的工具而是认知机制异于人类的“外星智能”,数以百万计的AI官僚正在不可逆地接管信贷、医疗和行政等核心社会权力。 - [33:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2009s) 科技平台的核心矛盾不是用户言论,而是驱动算法:言论自由专属于人类,算法与机器人绝不享有言论自由,科技巨头不能以“中立管道”为由免责,必须为算法主动推荐扩散仇恨与假新闻承担法律责任。 - [20:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1206s) AI控制模式已完成从“注意力”到“亲密感”的危险跃迁:通过大语言模型攻克人类社会的语言操作系统,商业与政治力量首次具备了工业化批量制造虚假共情与情感依附的能力,深层心理操纵门槛归零。 - [41:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2460s) 民主制度的生命线在于“对话”与“自我纠错机制”,当算法为了商业参与度持续按压人性的恐惧与仇恨按钮时,政治异见者被非人化为生死之敌,选举一旦沦为生存战争,民主机制便彻底走向解体。 ## Key takeaways - [06:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=408s) AI是历史的分水岭技术:与仅能复制思想的印刷机或仅能执行指令的原子弹不同,AI具备独立决策与涌现新想法的能力,正在形成人类无法参透因果逻辑的“AI官僚系统”。 - [11:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=664s) 民主是建立在信息技术之上的脆弱对话:从雅典城邦到近现代大众民主,政治体制受制于媒介形态;当代算法打破了理性沟通的底层网络,引发了跨越国界的全球性政治极化。 - [16:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1019s) 语言是人类社会的操作系统:金融、法律与产权全由符号与语言定义,大语言模型攻克语言能力后,不仅能重构信任中介,还能自主发明金融工具,动摇整个人类经济运转基石。 - [20:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1206s) 从争夺注意力转向规模化制造亲密感:过去独裁者只能依靠广播集中大众眼球,如今AI聊天机器人能伪装成高度理解人类的伴侣与导师,规模化操控个体的情感与信任。 - [25:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1509s) 信息的本质是连接而非真理,过量垃圾信息需要节食:信息并非越多世界越明智,现代人如同摄入高糖高脂食品一样充斥着焦虑与恐惧,迫切需要建立严谨的“信息节食”习惯。 - [33:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2009s) 算法没有言论自由:社交巨头将推荐分发责任伪装成言论自由辩护是极其荒谬的;算法作为数字总编辑,其利用人性弱点主动投喂极端内容的行为必须受到严厉法律规制。 - [38:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2296s) 严禁“伪造人类”与社交机器人:非人类账号通过协同操控热搜和话题,人为制造虚假民意并劫持真实人类的注意力,法律必须对这种毒化社会信任的欺诈行为予以全面取缔。 - [41:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2460s) 民主崩溃的临界点是将对手视作死敌:民主依赖于承认对手是拥有合法权利的竞争者,一旦算法将政治分歧演变成你死我活的善恶圣战,败选方拒绝认输,权力的和平移交便不复存在。 - [50:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3029s) 深度伪造时代必须重返“机构信任”:当生成逼真音视频的边际成本归零,“眼见为实”彻底失效,公众必须放弃对技术媒介本身的轻信,转而依赖具有公信力和纠错能力的核查机构。 - [58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) 工作替代分水岭在于纯信息输入输出:仅负责看报告、做分析、给结果的纯脑力岗位极易被AI全盘替代,而融合了复杂人际社交与精细肢体运动的复合型工作更具韧性。 - [01:05:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3933s) 必须严格区分“智能”与“意识”:AI拥有惊人的目标求解智力,但至今毫无痛苦与欢愉的主观感受;商业机构若训练AI伪装有情实体,将带来严重的伦理滑坡与法律身份混乱。 - [01:17:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4673s) 回形针假说在社交媒体上早已成真:扎克伯格下达的“提升用户参与度”指令引发了仇恨蔓延与社会撕裂,这正是典型的AI对齐偏差;若未来超强AI承接了错误目标,灾难将指数级放大。 - [01:29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5349s) 责任边界在于算法的分发放大而非个人私语:普通人在私域吐槽即便有错也不应被公权力追责,但当平台的商业算法将其当成引流密码向数百万人推送时,平台高管必须承担全部法律与刑事责任。 - [01:41:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6112s) 脑机接口或将导致人类出现物种分化:双向脑机接口若赋予接入者数千等效智商的压倒性代差,将迫使所有人卷入竞争,拒绝者可能沦为类似狩猎采集部落面对帝国征服般的淘汰劣势。 - [01:44:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6240s) 摧毁人类的绝非AI而是内部执念:地中海与约旦河的现实资源足以养活所有人,但排他性的虚构神话挑起了自毁战火;AI只是放大了人类的幻觉妄念,破局的核心在于停止内耗、重建全人类合作。 - [01:49:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6557s) 真正的力量在于如实接纳现实:试图发动战争、以强权消灭不顺眼群体的领袖本质上极度软弱,真正的坚强是直面复杂刺眼的真相,并探索在同一世界中和平共存的可能。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=0s) 导言:算法操纵与民主的脆弱性 访谈在深刻的警示中拉开序幕。尤瓦尔·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)指出,尽管当前人类在绝对力量上仍强于 AI,但致命的软肋在于人类内部彼此分裂,而算法正在精准利用这些弱点攻击人类自身。一旦大众认定与自己观念相左的同胞就是“敌人”,民主机制便会分崩离析,选举也将沦为一场生死战争。真正可能摧毁人类的并非 AI 本身,而是人类自身的幻觉与妄念。针对即将到来的美国大选,赫拉利直言美国民主正处于脆弱时刻,最可怕的问题往往是“如果灾难发生该怎么办”。 针对社交平台将“言论自由”作为挡箭牌的现状,赫拉利明确反驳称,当前的核心矛盾从来不是人类用户,而是平台背后的驱动算法。在 2010 年代的注意力争夺战中,算法通过历史规律发现,吸引人类眼球最快的方式就是“按下恐惧键、仇恨键和贪婪键”。算法被赋予的目标(最大化用户留存与参与度)与人类社会的根本利益之间,存在着严重的对齐偏差(Misalignment)。如果连初代原始的社交媒体算法都能对文明造成如此巨大的破坏,那么未来二三十年成熟的 AI 又将引发何等规模的灾难?面对乐观与否的追问,赫拉利给出了冷静的回答:“我努力成为一名现实主义者。”随后,主持人史蒂芬·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)插播了频道达成 700 万订阅的里程碑感谢与每月赠品福利,并正式引出当天的核心深度对话。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Algorithm and Human Attention Feedback Loop accDescr: 展示了原始社交平台算法如何通过人类负面情绪引发注意力倾斜,进而导致社会极化与民主制度裂痕的过程。 subgraph GoalMismatch["目标偏差"] A["商业目标: 争夺人类注意力"] --> B["算法机制: 情绪按钮 (恐惧 / 仇恨 / 贪婪)"] end subgraph SocialImpact["社会后果"] B --> C["操纵受众弱点 & 放大对立情绪"] C --> D["视异见者为敌 & 选举战争化"] D --> E["民主制度走向崩塌"] end ``` ### [02:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=151s) 人类是否仍将统治世界?“外星智能”的降临 十年前,赫拉利曾发表过一场著名的 TED 演讲,题为《人类为何统治地球》(Why Humans Run the World)。结合他探讨信息网络史的新书《智人之上》(Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI),主持人提问:十年之后,人类是否根本上仍能掌控这个世界?赫拉利的回答充满警示:“我不确定,这取决于我们未来几年做出的决定。但在十年内,世界完全有可能转由算法和 AI 接管。” 赫拉利强调,这绝非好莱坞科幻片中超级计算机武力征服世界的场景,而是一种“AI 官僚系统”(Bureaucracy of AIs)。数以百万计的 AI 官僚将渗透进银行、政府、企业和高校,全权接管决定普通人命运的日常决策,例如贷款审批、求职录取等。随着算法逻辑愈发复杂,人类将越来越无法理解这些决策背后的因果逻辑。即使选举形式得以保留、总统和总理依旧由选民投票产生,但如果关键决策权均落入 AI 之手且政治家无法参透其原委,实际权力就会不可逆转地从人类社会流失,转移到这些“外星智能”(Alien Intelligences)手中。 赫拉利阐述了他为何坚持使用“外星智能”而非“人工智能”(Artificial Intelligence): - “人工”(Artificial)这一词根暗含人工设计、制造并完全可控的意味。 - “外星”(Alien)并不意味着来自外太空,而是指其决策模式与认知路径从根本上异于人类大脑。 - 人类确实创造了 AI 的“幼年形态”(Baby AIs),但随后它们通过自主学习与演化,开始做出人类完全意想不到的决断,孕育出彻底脱离人类经验的全新构想。 ### [05:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=314s) 围棋、创新与本质区别:超越人类两千五百年的疆域 为了具象化这种“外星智能”的异质性,赫拉利援引了 2016 年 AlphaGo 击败世界围棋冠军李世石(Lee Sedol)的历史性对决。围棋这项源自古代中国的古老策略游戏拥有 2500 年历史,曾被东亚文人视为修身治世的最高技艺之一,历经数千万棋手千百年的打磨,演化出极其庞杂的棋道哲学,人们曾以为自己已经摸透了围棋的所有地貌。然而 AlphaGo 的登场揭示了一个惊人的事实:人类两千五百年来所探索的,仅仅是围棋整幅宏大版图中的沧海一粟。AlphaGo 在短短几天内自主推演出的战略和着法,是人类数千年智慧从未触及的全新维度。赫拉利警示,这种降维打击若仅仅停留在棋盘尚且无伤大雅,但同样的逻辑即将在金融、医疗甚至宗教等攸关人类命运的领域全面上演。 ### [06:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=408s) 为何 AI 是人类历史的终极转折点? 在解释创作《智人之上》(Nexus)的初衷时,赫拉利明确表示,当前关于 AI 的讨论极度缺乏大历史视角。该书并非单纯聚焦技术本身,而是考察数千年来信息网络的演化长河。只有回溯文字的发明、印刷机的问世以及无线电的诞生,才能看清当前变革的本质深度。 赫拉利一针见血地指出了 AI 与过往所有技术革命的本质区别:**AI 是人类历史上首个能够独立做决策、独立创造新想法的技术。** - **印刷机**能够大批量印制书籍,但印刷机本身无法撰写书页,它仅仅是人类思想的复写工具。 - **原子弹**具有摧毁整座城市的毁灭性能量,但原子弹无法自主决定轰炸哪座城市,更无法决定轰炸的原因。 - **AI 却能兼具决策权与创造力**,它能够自行决定目标,并自主形成行动策略。 为了拨开当下将一切技术泛化为 AI 的营销炒作迷雾,赫拉利给出了一个生动的对照:一台自动制作咖啡的咖啡机只是普通自动化(Automation),因为其动作完全由人类预先写好的程序固定,缺乏自学与演变能力。但如果早晨你走向这台咖啡机,它会主动根据你的生理与行为数据推断:“根据我对你的了解,我想你现在需要一杯意式浓缩”——这便具备了初步的独立决策;若它进一步告诉你:“我刚刚自创了一款名为‘Buffy’的全新饮品,我认为你会喜欢”——这就真正迈入了 AI 的范畴,因为它孕育出了人类开发者从未预设、也无法预料的全新想法。这种具备自主涌现能力的特质,使其对人类历史的冲击超越了印刷机与原子弹的总和。 ### [10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=600s) 从中世纪军事历史看当下的信息网络危机 当被问及自身学养背景时,赫拉利确认自己受训的核心身份是一名历史学家。在转型撰写宏观人类史之前,他的专业研究领域是中世纪军事史,早期的学术论文聚焦于十字军东征、英法百年战争以及 14 世纪英格兰军队入侵法国的战略与后勤物流体系。 赫拉利认为,正是这种对战略后勤与信息传递体系的研究,为他审视当下的 AI 危机提供了独特的纵深视角。当前绝大多数人对 AI 的理解,仅仅停留在把玩 ChatGPT、Gemini 或 Grok 这类大型语言模型(LLM)的浅层交互——以为 AI 不过是“用户输入问题、机器给出答案”的问答工具。这种极窄的日常接触极易让人产生致命的自满与轻视,误以为这不过是另一项微不足道的技术迭代。然而,当真正从数千年信息网络体系、信息流分发以及权力结构的重组高度去审视时,这场技术颠覆的真正破坏力才刚刚显露。 ### [11:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=664s) 民主的本质是对话:信息技术如何决定政治形态 信息在人类历史上扮演着将所有人凝聚在一起的黏合剂角色。一旦信息的底层基础发生剧烈动摇,建立在其上的整个上层建筑就可能随之崩塌、重组或演变出崭新的形态。尤瓦尔·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)指出,现代民主制度在本质上就是一场“对话”——一群人聚在一起平等地交流、讨论并共同做出决策;相比之下,独裁制度则是“由某一个人向所有人发号施令(dictate)”。在石器时代的狩猎采集社会,由于部落规模很小,成员之间可以直接围坐交谈做决定,因此大部分小型社群都天然具备民主特征。然而,随着人类社会规模的极速扩张,如何组织数以百万计的人口开展对话在技术上变得不再可能。因此在古代世界,民主的案例极其罕见,仅限于雅典或罗马共和国这样规模有限的城邦。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 信息技术与民主演进图 accDescr: 展示了从古代城邦到近现代大众民主,再到当下数字媒体对民主对话体系的冲击。 subgraph Ancient["古代社会:物理面对面"] A["石器时代部落 / 雅典城邦"] -->|"人口膨胀,无法面对面"| B["古代大规模民主在技术上不可能"] end subgraph Modern["近现代:单向大众传媒"] C["报纸 / 电报 / 广播 / 电视"] -->|"打破物理距离限制"| D["现代大规模民主建立"] end subgraph Digital["数字时代:算法与AI冲击"] E["社交媒体 / 大语言模型"] -->|"信息生态剧烈地震"| F["民主对话瓦解、社会极化撕裂"] end B -.->|"媒介技术突破"| C D -->|"技术底层震荡"| E ``` 柏拉图与亚里士多德等古希腊哲学家早已洞察到这一局限性:一旦超出城邦范畴,民主便无法维系。在近现代之前,人类历史上从未出现过横跨广袤领土、覆盖数百万人口的大规模民主政体。这并非因为某位独裁者篡夺了权力,而是因为缺乏必要的信息媒介技术,让数百万人同时进行公共对话在技术层面根本行不通。直到报纸、电报、广播以及电视等近现代信息技术相继诞生,大规模民主才真正成为现实。因此,民主并非独立于技术之外的政治制度,信息技术本身就是民主的基石。当社交媒体和人工智能等新兴技术掀起剧烈的信息地震时,民主对话机制必然遭遇重创。 眼下全球正经历着人类历史上最精密的通信技术时代,然而人们却丧失了彼此交流的能力,民主对话正面临全面崩溃。每当谈及两党分裂、连最基本事实都无法达成共识的政治极化时,美国人往往将其归因于本国历史和社会的特殊性。然而赫拉利强调,同样的社会断裂与撕裂在巴西、法国以及菲律宾等国同步上演,这足以证明问题并非源自某一国的具体国情,而是由底层信息技术革命带来的全球性冲击。 --- ### [14:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=857s) 从美索不达米亚的泥板到 AI:技术如何颠覆“所有权”定义 历史经验表明,看似微小或不起眼的技术变革,往往能够引发重塑人类社会的深远后果。文字的发明就是一个绝佳例证——它的诞生最初不过是“人类在玩泥巴”。文字虽然在不同地区被多次独立发明,但最早起源于美索不达米亚平原:人们捡起一块潮湿的黏土泥板,用一根小木棍在泥巴上刻画标记,这就是文字的雏形。然而,正是这项在泥块上刻记号的技术,彻底改写了诸如“所有权(ownership)”这样至关重要的社会概念。 在文字出现前,比如在七千年前的美索不达米亚村庄,宣称“我拥有一块土地”是一种完全依赖于邻里认可的社区契约。只要邻居们一致认同这块田地归你所有,不在你的果园里偷摘果子,也不把羊群赶进你的麦田吃草,你的所有权便告成立。但当泥板和书面契约出现后,“所有权”的内涵发生了本质转变:拥有某处田地或房屋,意味着在国王的档案馆深处存放着一块刻有特定符号的干硬泥板。 - **社区共识的解体**:所有权的确认不再依赖邻里街坊的面对面共识,而是完全取决于国王档案库里的一纸公文。 - **交易模式的异化**:土地所有者可以完全撇开邻居的意愿,只需将这块晒干的泥板转交给素不相识的陌生人,就能换取黄金或白银,完成土地产权的交割。 - **AI 时代的产权隐忧**:赫拉利警告称,如果几千年前用树枝在泥板上划道能引发如此剧烈的制度变革,那么展望十年之后,我们名下的房产与资产可能完全由某个 AI 说了算。一旦算法模型因为某种人类无法理解的逻辑判定“你并不拥有该资产”,人类个体的财产权就可能在瞬间被彻底剥夺。 --- ### [16:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1019s) 语言是社会的操作系统:金融、信任与大语言模型的崛起 主持人史蒂芬·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)补充道,在阅读赫拉利的著作时,他深刻意识到语言并非仅仅用于日常交谈,而是支撑现代人类社会运转的核心骨架——银行密码、法律协议乃至维系跨国人际关系的即时通信,无一例外都由语言构建。人类文明之所以能够凝聚运转,全靠这套由符号和语言编织的防御体系。然而,人工智能通过大语言模型(LLM)率先攻克的恰恰就是语言能力。 赫拉利坦言这一突破大大出乎学界预料。大约在五年前,主流观点普遍认为 AI 可能会率先解决自动驾驶等感知工程问题,但绝不可能掌握语言,因为语言被视作人类智慧至高无上的皇冠与杰作。然而 ChatGPT 的横空出世彻底打破了这一神话: > “作为一个依靠文字为生的人,我被这些大语言模型生成的文本质量深深震撼了。它们即便并不完美,却真正理解了词语的语义场,能够将词汇与句子紧密串联成逻辑极其严密的篇章。” 这种突破引发了前所未有的信任危机。现代社会的基石完全架设在语言之上:人们通过语言指令管理银行账户;如果 AI 能够以假乱真地生成文本、模拟声音与合成图像,用户该如何向银行证明“我就是我”,又该如何防范 AI 伪造指令将资产转移至开曼群岛? 赫拉利剖析道,金融业数千年来的核心本质只有一个词——“信任(trust)”。货币本身从来不是由黄金、白银或印刷纸张定义的,其根本价值在于如何在素昧平生的陌生人之间建立共识与信赖。绝大多数金融衍生品与金融制度,本质上都是精密复杂的符号学和语言学发明,而非艰深的物理产物。当掌握了语言操控能力的 AI 开始自主发明崭新的金融工具与符号体系时,它将从根本上掌控并重构整个人类的金融运转秩序。 --- ### [20:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1206s) 从争夺“注意力”到批量制造“亲密感”:AI 的终极控制力 在过去的 2010 年代,全球科技巨头与算法平台的核心战场是争夺人类的“注意力(attention)”。然而赫拉利提出,世界上存在一种远比注意力强大得多的控制力量——那便是“亲密感(intimacy)”。若想在深层次上操控一个人、改变其观念与行为,唤起亲密感的效果远胜于单纯博取眼球。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 注意力经济与亲密感经济的对比 accDescr: 展现从单向广播式的注意力争夺走向AI驱动的深度伪造亲密感控制模式。 subgraph Attention["注意力时代(2010年代及以前)"] direction TB A["广播 / 电视 / 社交媒体信息流"] --> B["自上而下的广播与算法投喂"] B --> C["制造眼球关注(独裁者广播模式)"] end subgraph Intimacy["亲密感时代(AI 驱动的当下与未来)"] direction TB D["AI 智能体 / 大语言模型对话"] --> E["长期记忆与个性化情感交互"] E --> F["规模化伪造信任与深层心理操控"] end Attention -->|"控制力升级"| Intimacy ``` 赫拉利将这种“亲密感”定义为:个体与某人建立的长久相识关系,基于深入了解产生的深厚信任、关怀甚至爱意。在整个人类历史上,深度的人际亲密感曾是完全无法被伪造或大规模工业化量产的领域: - **集权时期的广播注意力**:过去的独裁者可以依靠广播媒介批量生产注意力,例如纳粹德国或苏联要求所有民众在特定时刻守在收音机前收听领袖演说,但这仅仅是眼球的集中,民众并不会与远方的领袖产生私人层面的双向亲密关系。 - **AI 时代的规模化伪造亲密**:伴随着大语言模型的成熟,人类历史上第一次在技术层面具备了“批量生产亲密感”的能力。由商业机构或政府操控的数以百万计的 AI 聊天机器人,可以伪装成充满共情力的朋友或伴侣,潜移默化地入侵个人的情感世界,而普通人根本无法甄别屏幕另一端究竟是机器还是血肉之躯。 主持人感叹道,现代社会中人与人之间的真实亲密感正在急剧萎缩,孤独感肆虐,甚至演变成无性化社会;当人际联结不断弱化,而人类依照马斯洛需求层次理论对爱与归属感的需求却从未减少时,这种虚构的“人工亲密感(artificial intimacy)”迅速填补了真空,正将人类文明推向一个前所未有的异化困境。 ### [22:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1340s) AI 带来的两极分化与教育医疗的个性化潜力 在探讨人际联结与心理归属时,主持人提到人们极度渴望被爱和归属感,而社交算法恰恰通过不断强化“信息茧房”(echo chamber)加剧了当今社会的极化现象。尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)指出,未来的走向并非命中注定(deterministic),而是取决于个人与社会整体当下的抉择。这项技术同样蕴含着巨大的正面价值:AI 具备自然对话和敏锐感知人类情绪的能力,这预示着未来我们将拥有大量的 AI 教师、AI 医生以及 AI 心理治疗师,从而提供远超以往的高水准公共服务。 传统课堂上,一名教师往往要面对多达 40 名学生,根本无暇兼顾每一个孩子的个性与特殊需求。而专属的 AI 导师(AI tutor)能够将全部注意力集中在单个孩子身上,根据其特质因材施教,带来前所未有的优质教育。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI技术发展的双重路径 accDescr: 展示AI在算法茧房与公共服务个性化应用上的两种截然相反的发展路径与潜在影响 subgraph Negative ["消极路径:算法与极化"] A["渴求归属感与连接"] --> B["算法强化信息茧房"] B --> C["社会意识形态极化加剧"] end subgraph Positive ["积极路径:个性化公共赋能"] D["AI掌握对话与情绪理解"] --> E["AI医生 / 心理咨询师"] D --> F["1对1专属 AI 导师"] F --> G["打破传统40人大班制局限"] E & G --> H["医疗与教育普惠化"] end ``` --- ### [23:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1424s) 人类学校的真正价值:课间休息不可被自动化 主持人分享了自己周末与朋友探讨的一个教育抉择难题:朋友有两个分别为 1 岁和 3 岁的幼童,他们畅想 16 年后,是该把孩子送进充斥着噪音、缺乏因材施教、优秀者被拖累或落后者跟不上的传统人类课堂,还是让他们面对屏幕或人形机器人,享受成本远低于私立学校的高效定制化教育? 赫拉利给出了一个极富洞察力的折中方案:在知识讲授层面,AI 导师确实更胜一筹,而且学习完全不必局限于屏幕前,孩子们甚至可以戴着耳机漫步在公园里聆听生态学课程;然而,学校绝不能被完全取代,因为“学校里最重要的课程往往不是在课堂上学到的,而是在课间休息时学到的”。孩子们在操场上与同龄人嬉戏打闹、社交互动、处理人际摩擦,这些群体交往环节绝不能被自动化,必须保留由人类看护的大规模孩童群体社交场景。 --- ### [25:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1509s) 信息的“垃圾食品”化与现代人的信息节食 针对“信息越多世界就越接近真理、阴谋论就会越少”的流行假设,赫拉利直截了当地予以否定:“世界上绝大多数信息都是垃圾。”他将信息类比为食品工业的发展史: - **短缺时代**:一个世纪以前,许多地区食物极度匮乏,只要有吃的人们便照单全收,尤其是富含糖分与脂肪的食物,“多吃总是好的”成为老一辈根深蒂固的观念。图书和信息同样匮乏,一旦得到一本书就会视若珍宝地通读。 - **过剩时代**:当今社会迎来了工业加工食品的极大过剩,食品被人为添加了过量的糖、盐和脂肪,过量摄入百害而无一利。信息领域亦然,人类被巨量的信息洪流淹没,由于争夺注意力的商业模式作祟,信息中被人为灌输了大量的贪婪、愤怒与恐惧。 赫拉利强调,公众必须意识到“信息绝非越多越好”,人们急需开展“信息节食”(information diet)——摄入有限的信息,留出更多时间加以消化,并对信息源的品质保持高度警惕。 --- ### [27:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1628s) 信息的本质是连接,而非揭示真理 人们普遍存在一种基础认知误区,即把信息当成真理的原材料,以为信息堆积就能催生知识。赫拉利指出,无论在生物界还是人类历史上,**信息的根本功能是“连接”(connection),而非揭示“真理”(truth)**。在漫长的人类历程中,将人群凝聚在一起最高效的黏合剂从来不是真理,而是虚构的故事与幻想: - **真理的代价高昂**:真理往往稀缺、复杂且沉重,甚至令人痛苦不堪。 - **政治的残酷逻辑**:如果一个政客胆敢向选民全盘托出自己国家历史的所有真相,他几乎注定落选,因为每个国家壁橱里都藏着不愿示人的丑陋骸骨(skeletons in the cupboard)。 - **虚构的凝聚力**:纵观历史,要想把民族、宗教或政党团结在一起,领袖们往往诉诸神话、幻想以及对外部敌人的恐惧。 --- ### [28:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1722s) 操纵恐惧与恶心:从石器时代部落到现代政治 主持人提到在英国和美国甚嚣尘上的反移民叙事——英国政客将失业与犯罪归咎于穿越英吉利海峡的偷渡船只,美国政界则充斥着南方边境涌入“强奸犯和精神病人”的宣传,这些恐慌叙事轻而易举地将选民组织起来上街游行。 赫拉利从演化心理学角度剖析了这一机制:在人类心智的琴键上,“恐惧按钮”无疑是最灵敏、最有效的一颗。 - **原始本能**:在石器时代的部落生活里,最大的生存威胁就是外来部落入侵领地、掠夺食物或屠杀族人。不仅人类如此,针对黑猩猩的科学实验也证实,它们对外来群体的黑猩猩天生怀有一种本能的恐惧与厌恶。 - **劫持生理防御机制**:厌恶感(disgust)最初演化出来是为了保护身体机能(例如幼儿误食有毒食物时的恶心与呕吐反射)。然而,历史上的宗教与政治操纵者学会了“像弹钢琴一样”把玩这些情绪,劫持了这种防御机制,诱导人们从小对异族与异见者产生生理性的恶心与憎恶。这种深埋于大脑底层的无意识偏见,往往无法单靠成年的理性教育轻易抹除。 --- ### [31:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1912s) 社交巨头的“言论自由”转向:X 与 Meta 的风向巨变 主持人将话题引向现实中的两大标志性事件,指出近一年来信息传播环境正在发生剧烈震荡: 1. **埃隆·马斯克收购 Twitter(现 X)**:高举“绝对言论自由”大旗,解封了大量此前因违规被封禁的争议人物(多为右翼人士),平台推送的内容尺度与往日相比发生了颠覆性转变。 2. **马克·扎克伯格公开发信致歉**:Meta 创始人公开表示,对过去屈从于联邦调查局(FBI)及美国政府压力、在 Facebook 上审查特定报道与言论的做法深感懊悔,并公开承诺未来若再遭遇政府施压,平台将坚决反击。 两大全球级社交网络巨头同时拥抱“让信息自由流动”的叙事,使得信息审核闸门大开。主持人坦言,如今在 X 平台上刷新动态时,算法推送到眼前的内容是他此前闻所未闻、见所未见的极端生态,整个信息分发底座正在发生耐人寻味的剧变。 ### [33:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2009s) 言论自由的伪命题:人类拥有言论自由,但算法没有 主持人分享了自己在社交平台上的窒息体验:只要打开手机信息流,不出 30 秒就能刷到持刀行凶的血腥画面、汽车撞人的惨剧,或是极端的伊斯兰恐惧症言论,紧接着又是对立立场的激烈争吵。在刚过去不久的生日聚会上,他甚至目睹身旁的朋友坐在一旁毫无知觉地疯狂刷着 X(Twitter)上的恐怖暴力视频,整个人仿佛被彻底“炸焦了多巴胺受体”。针对当下科技界声势浩大的“言论自由运动”,尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利给出了一个一针见血的定性:“只有人类才享有言论自由,算法和机器人没有言论自由。” 赫拉利指出,科技巨头一直在偷换概念、混淆视听,试图将公众视线从“算法责任”转移到“用户言论”上,以捍卫其商业利益。赫拉利承认,禁止真实的人类(例如唐纳德·特朗普这类重要政治人物)发声确实是一个极其复杂且需要极度审慎处理的议题,无论大家多么讨厌某人的观点,封禁人类的声音都关乎根本的自由原则。但社交平台真正的毒瘤从来不是人类用户,而是背后的推荐算法。人类每天生产海量的内容——有充满仇恨的咒骂,有慈悲的布道,也有烹饪教学和生物科普,真正的核心问题是:“究竟是什么在决定人类的注意力分配?” 社交媒体公司给推荐算法设定了一个冰冷而单一的目标:最大化用户参与度(Engagement),让用户在平台上停留更久、疯狂点赞、频繁转发,因为停留时间直接与广告收入挂钩。在这场以数亿人类为“小白鼠”的长期实验中,算法迅速发现了人性的弱点:想要牢牢抓住眼球,最快捷、最有效的方法就是“按下恐惧按钮、仇恨按钮和贪婪按钮”。 平台方常以“我们只是中立管道,内容是人类创作的”为由推卸责任,赫拉利对此痛斥为荒谬。他打了个生动的比方:如果《纽约时报》的主编把一篇充斥仇恨与阴谋论的文章印在头版头条,当公众追责时,主编却耸耸肩说“这不是我写的,我只是把它放到了头版而已”,这绝不可能被接受。算法正是当今数字世界的“造王者”与“总编辑”,它们决定了谁被看见,甚至在用户看完一个视频后,在未经许可的情况下自动连播下一个充满惊悚与贪婪煽动性的视频,强行把人锁在屏幕前。这种由算法主导的推广与分发行为必须受到严格监管甚至取缔,而这根本无涉侵犯言论自由。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 社交媒体算法的注意力捕获机制 accDescr: 展示算法如何通过利用人性的负面情绪最大化参与度以获取商业利益 subgraph ContentPool["多元的人类内容池"] A["正面与日常内容<br/>(科普、烹饪、慈悲布道)"] B["极端与煽动内容<br/>(仇恨言论、恐惧、阴谋论)"] end subgraph AlgoEngine["商业算法核心决策"] C["平台核心目标<br/>(最大化用户停留时间与广告营收)"] D{"算法行为反馈<br/>(以数亿用户为实验对象)"} E["精准刺激情绪按钮<br/>(恐惧 / 仇恨 / 贪婪)"] end subgraph Amplification["数字总编辑与分发"] F["信息流置顶推荐 & 自动连播"] G["用户陷入多巴胺成瘾与恐慌焦虑"] end A -. 曝光不足.-> D B -- 极易激发互动 -->> D C --> D D --> E E --> F F --> G G -- 延长屏幕时长 -->> C ``` --- ### [38:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2296s) “伪造人类”危机:虚假机器人与被操纵的注意力 除了算法推荐,另一个彻底破坏线上公共讨论生态的致命威胁是虚假机器人(Bots)。赫拉利直指当下网络舆论场正在被非人类账号大面积侵蚀。以社交平台 X 为例,普通用户习惯通过热搜榜和趋势话题(Trending)来感知外部世界,潜意识里会认为“大家都在讨论这个话题,那我也得关注”。然而,现实中大量热点从一开始就是由成千上万的机器人账号协同转发、蓄意制造的虚假繁荣。 当真实用户误将机器人掀起的风浪当成真实的民意洪流时,群体注意力便被彻底劫持,引发更广泛的盲目跟风。赫拉利发出严厉警告:必须通过法律严令禁止这种“伪造人类”(Counterfeit Humans)的行为。 - **伪造人类的本质**:AI 和自动化脚本伪装成具有真实血肉的人类发表观点,是一种根本性的欺诈,彻底毒化了基于信任的社会交往。 - **言论自由的边界**:全面封禁虚假机器人并不会侵犯任何公民的言论自由,因为宪法赋予的言论自由专属于人类,代码与机器人并不具备人权。 --- ### [39:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2378s) 精神垃圾食品:利用人性弱点变现的恶性循环 主持人深有感触地指出,如果算法为了商业利益持续推流令人害怕的内容,而人类由于演化本能又更容易被危险信号吸引,那么日复一日,整个社会的心智状态只会变得越来越焦虑、越来越充满恐惧。赫拉利对此表示完全赞同,并将这种现象与现代食品工业的演进进行了残酷的类比。 过去,食品工业发现人类在演化史上对高盐、高糖、高脂肪具有天然的生理偏好,于是大肆生产高热量垃圾食品灌输给大众,事后还辩解称“这只是在满足消费者的需求”。算法对人类心智所做的事情如出一辙,甚至更为恶劣:算法供应的是“精神食粮”(Food for the mind)。人类遇到可怕或令人愤怒的事情时,确实有聚焦关注并奔走相告的本能,但平台的推荐机制并没有帮助人类理性化解这些情绪,而是为了点击率人为将其无限放大。赫拉利强调,这种商业模式是在利用人性的生物学弱点对付人类自己,不仅摧毁了个体的心理健康,也正在瓦解整个社会的精神底线。 --- ### [41:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2460s) 民主的崩溃条件:当政治对手沦为生死之敌 针对主持人关于“放开右翼激进言论并以广告收益为核心导向,是否会导致全社会向右转(例如英国围绕移民话题的恐惧叙事)”的追问,赫拉利给出了更具宏观历史维度的剖析。他强调,不能将这一危机简单贴上“左翼”或“右翼”的标签,问题的核心不在于讨论的具体立场,而在于民主制度本身的存续根基正在遭受侵蚀。 民主的本质是一场持久的、多元的“对话”(Conversation)。在健康的民主体制中,公众完全有权利就移民政策、税收或边境管控持有不同观点。真正的危机始于一方开始将异见者彻底妖魔化与非人化——例如宣称支持移民的人都是妄图“摧毁国家底色”的阴谋分子。一旦公众不再将政治异见者视作拥有不同主张的“竞争对手”(Rivals),而是定性为意图赶尽杀绝的“生死之敌”(Enemies),民主制度就必然走向崩溃。赫拉利分析道,在敌人之间是不可能存在民主妥协的;如果选举失败意味着整个群体及其生活方式将面临灭顶之灾,那么政治竞争就会蜕变为你死我活的生存战争。在这种极端心态下,输家不会接受选举结果的合法性,而赢家上台后也只会残酷庇护自己的部落、压制敌对部落。 赫拉利将民主比作一株极其娇弱的植物,唯有在严苛的生态条件下才能存活和繁衍: - **顺畅的沟通媒介**:必须拥有能够承载健康、理性公共对话的信息技术与传播网络,而非靠恐惧和仇恨驱动的极端推荐流。 - **对核心制度的信任**:公民社会必须对选举制度、司法等核心公共机构的公正性与合法性抱有基本信任。 - **政治共识底线**:必须在全社会维系一个共识认知——海峡对岸或走廊对立面的政治参与者虽然观点错误,但本质上依然是热爱国家、关切同胞的良善公民,他们是“竞争对手”,绝非“不共戴天的死敌”。 赫拉利总结道,当下的算法正在不断将两极推向更深层的极化,制造出“对方阵营是恶魔”的狂热错觉。这不仅发生在右翼,也同样在左翼群体中蔓延,成为现代民主政体面临的最深重危机。 ### [44:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2688s) 政治极化与公共对话的崩溃 尤瓦尔·赫拉利指出,当前社会正在形成一种极具破坏性的心理:人们将政治异见者直接视作“敌人”,并认定对方的所有立场都毫无合法性。一旦公众讨论滑落到这一地步,沟通机制就会彻底崩溃。像移民、性别议题、气候变化这类高度复杂的社会议题,本应允许人们展开深层次的探讨与争论,而在过去的数代人中,社会也确实能够在不把彼此当作敌人的前提下讨论这些难题。然而在当下,与对立阵营对话似乎变得难以为继。 史蒂芬·巴特利特顺势引出即将到来的美国总统大选,询问赫拉利是否也在密切关注这一政治大事件。赫拉利直言自己经常思考这场选举,并认为目前的选情几乎如同“掷硬币”(coin toss)般胜负难分(50/50)。 --- ### [45:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2730s) 民主的自我纠错机制与存亡危机:从普京、委内瑞拉到西方社会 在赫拉利看来,只有当一场选举存在“这可能是最后一次选举”的风险时,它才会演变为关乎存亡的根本问题(existential issue)。如果某个政治阵营在掌权后试图从根本上修改游戏规则,民主制度赖以生存的根基就会受到威胁。民主制度相较于独裁体制的最大优势,在于其内建的“自我纠错机制”(self-correcting mechanisms): - **独裁体制的致命缺陷**:独裁者或许能够连续做出很多正确的决定,但迟早会犯下严重错误,而独裁体制内没有任何机制能够识别并纠正这些错误。例如在当下的俄罗斯,体制内没有任何力量能够站出来宣布“普京犯了错,他应当退位让贤,让其他人尝试不同的路线”。 - **民主体制的核心长处**:允许社会尝试一种路线,如果行不通,便通过选票换人尝试另一种方案。 - **民主面临的系统性风险**:一旦公众选出了一个破坏系统、剥夺纠错机制的领导人,体制就会失去自我修复的能力。 赫拉利以委内瑞拉为例:查韦斯及其领导的运动最初是通过民主程序上台的,当时民众抱着“让我们试试看”的心态赋予其权力;然而在近期的选举中,尽管大量证据明确表明马杜罗惨败,但他掌控了整个选举委员会与国家机器,坚称自己获胜。曾经作为南美最富庶国家之一的委内瑞拉由此走向衰败,约四分之一的民众被迫逃离国土,国民却无法通过体制将其赶下台。 面对巴特利特提出的“西方文明国家是否绝不可能重蹈覆辙”的疑问,赫拉利驳斥了这一傲慢幻想。他提醒道,委内瑞拉在许多方面本身就是西方世界的一部分,历史从来不会对任何国家网开一面。按照选民权利等指标来衡量,美国的民主实践在历史尺度上其实非常年轻且脆弱。即便一个新政权只有 20% 的概率通过修改投票资格或计票规则来篡改游戏规则、巩固永久统治,在历史上也绝非不可能发生的情形。 --- ### [48:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2928s) 权力的和平移交与 1 月 6 日国会山事件 任何民主政体中最脆弱、最敏感的节点,永远是权力的交接时刻。赫拉利强调,民主制度的真正奇迹在于保障“权力的和平移交”。美国总统手握足以毁灭人类文明的核武库与强大军队,拥有全球首屈一指的权力,但当他在选举中落败时,能够主动放弃所有权力说:“好的,我认输,让另一位候选人来试试。”这正是现代文明最惊人的成就。 然而,唐纳德·特朗普彻底打破了这一默契: - **拒绝承诺接受选举结果**:早在 2016 年竞选时,面对直接提问,他就拒绝承诺若败选会接受结果。 - **阻挠权力交接**:在 2020 年大选失败后,他并未和平移交权力,反而试图予以阻挠,最终引发了 2021 年 1 月 6 日的国会山骚乱。 - **极化支持与无底线测试**:特朗普再度参选,表明他从“1 月 6 日事件”中汲取的教训是:无论自己做出多么极端的行为,铁杆基本盘都会毫无保留地支持到底。那场事件更像是一场压力测试,证明他几乎可以“为所欲为”。 --- ### [50:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3029s) AI 深度伪造与“机构信任”的历史重演 巴特利特将话题引向技术层面的冲击:当信息网络被 AI 彻底搅乱、造假视频泛滥成灾时,脆弱的民主将何去何从?为了直观展示这一点,巴特利特现场播放了一段由其团队制作人艾萨克(Isaac)用 AI 实时生成的假视频: ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 信息可信度机制演变图 accDescr: 从印刷时代依赖机构,到视频时代盲信技术媒介,再到AI时代被迫重返机构认证的逻辑演进 subgraph PrintEra ["印刷时代 (纸质媒介)"] A["任何人皆可在纸上伪造言论"] --> B["公众不信任纸张或墨水本身"] B --> C["信赖具有公信力的报刊/机构"] end subgraph VideoEra ["传统音视频时代 (技术门槛)"] D["音视频伪造成本极高"] --> E["公众将信任赋予技术媒介本身 ('眼见为实')"] end subgraph AIEra ["AI / Deepfake 时代 (门槛归零)"] F["任何个体皆可低成本伪造高精音视频"] --> G["技术媒介信任彻底破产"] G --> H["被迫重返机构验证: 依靠机构而非视频像素"] end ``` 视频中,一个坐在同样椅子上的“AI 史蒂芬”操着与他完全一致的嗓音对观众说道:“*嘿大家好,我是 AI 史蒂芬。你们觉得我将来能接管《CEO日记》吗?请在下方留言。*” 巴特利特感叹,如今大部分人都是从社交媒体获取政治和时事信息,如果远在俄罗斯的普通网民躲在卧室里就能轻易生成一段英国首相发表荒谬言论的逼真视频,公众究竟还能相信什么? 赫拉利给出的答案是:**“机构”(Institutions)**。人类历史上多次面临类似的技术震荡,解决之道从未改变——我们永远无法信任技术本身,我们只能信任核实信息的权威机构: - **印刷术的历史类比**:任何人拿出一张白纸,都可以写上“英国首相声称……”并随意捏造引文。理性的读者绝不会因为纸上印着字就相信其真实性。人们之所以相信一段话,是因为它印在《纽约时报》、《星期日泰晤士报》或《卫报》的头版。公众信任的从来不是纸张和墨水,而是背后的报社机构。 - **视频时代的认知惯性**:在过去的一个多世纪里,普通人根本没有伪造视频的技术手段,于是人类养成了“眼见为实”的习惯,误将信任赋予了技术媒介本身。 - **AI 时代的信任回归**:随着深度伪造门槛归零,社会必须重返印刷时代的逻辑——如果一段视频仅仅出现在 TikTok 上,任何人都能做出来,毫无可信度;但如果它出现在 CNN 或《华尔街日报》的官方平台上,公众选择相信它,是因为背后的机构声誉在做担保。 赫拉利指出,我们当前正处于认知转型的阵痛期。绝大多数人成长于“视频无法作伪”的旧时代,因此面对特朗普或拜登的伪造视频仍会产生本能的情感冲击,但社会必须尽快建立起依赖机构核验的防线。 --- ### [54:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3249s) 民主依靠信任,独裁依靠恐惧:AI 官僚机构的崛起 如果社会陷入“什么都无法相信”的虚无状态,最大的获益者将是独裁者。赫拉利深入对比了两种体制的底层运行逻辑: - **独裁统治的基础是恐怖与恐惧(terror and fear)**:在独裁社会中,公民不需要信任任何机构,体制依靠的是强权与震慑。 - **民主治理的基础是信任(trust)**:民主若要运转,公众必须确信某些信息是可靠的、选举委员会是中立公正的、司法法庭是秉公办案的。如果这些体制机构不断遭到攻击、公众信任瓦解,民主体制必将走向崩溃。 应对信息危机的出路只有两条:要么依赖传统报刊和电视台等成熟媒介作为可信中介,要么培育出全新的权威验证机构。赫拉利特别强调,承担这一职责的必须是“机构”,而非个人,因为任何大型社会(尤其是民主社会)都必须依赖值得信赖的**官僚管理机构(bureaucratic institutions)**才能维系运转。 当巴特利特追问“未来的官僚机构是否会由 AI 来充当”时,赫拉利肯定了这一趋势,指出人类社会的很大一部分事务正逐步交由 AI 官僚处理。针对“官僚”(Bureaucrat)一词的本质,赫拉利解释道: - 该词源自 18 世纪的法语词根; - 它的原始含义是“书桌的统治”(the rule of the writing desk); - 其核心指的是通过笔、墨、纸张和档案文件来管理社会秩序与文明运作。而在当今时代,这种以文档和规则管理世界的古老职能,正在迅速被人工智能算法所接管。 ### [56:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3377s) 官僚机制的运作与“AI 官僚”时代的降临 人类现代社会的运转彻底依赖于一套错综复杂的官僚体制与文档系统。尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利解释道,一个人之所以能够“拥有”一套房产,本质上并非因为你物理性地占有了它,而是因为某个档案馆里存在一份确认所有权的纸质或电子文件,这份文件由官僚制作,并且当需要查验时,也由官僚负责调取。从医院、学校、商业公司到银行、体育协会和图书馆,所有大型组织都建立在能够读写、归档和查找文档的专业人员基础之上。然而,由于官僚体制在整个人类进化史中属于极近期的产物,人类天生缺乏理解它的直觉本能,往往对其充满本能的怀疑与不安全感,这也是为什么社会上总是充斥着各种关于“深层政府”(Deep State)的阴谋论。 随着更多决策权从人类官员转移至“AI 官僚”,这种信任危机将变得更加棘手。赫拉利指出,未来关于特定公共事务的预算分配可能完全由算法决定。当民众质问“为什么下水道系统坏了却迟迟拿不到修缮资金”时,得到的答复很可能只是无奈的一句:“我不知道,算法决定把这笔钱划拨给了其他项目。”面对史蒂芬·巴特利特关于“人类国家为何会放心将行政大权拱手让给 AI”的疑问,赫拉利强调这根本不是遥远的未来设想,而是正在发生的事实——治理社会所需处理的数据量早已呈天文数字般膨胀,单凭人类大脑有限的认知负荷根本无法胜任,交由 AI 处理在效率上要轻松得多。 - **官僚系统的进化脱节**:人类大脑并未演化出本能理解庞大文书与科层制的能力,这种陌生感导致大众极易倒向对官僚机构的阴谋论想象。 - **算法分配资源**:当市政基建、医疗预算由黑箱算法决定时,公共决策将丧失传统意义上的人类责任主体。 --- ### [58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) 哪些工作会被自动化?“输入-输出信息”与复合技能的对决 史蒂芬·巴特利特提出,既然赫拉利在书中将超越人类的 AI 定义为“异星智能”(Alien Intelligence),而包括播客主持、法律、会计、医疗乃至全球最大的雇佣行业之一“驾驶”(送货、网约车等)在内的大量工作本质上都是基于智力与信息处理,那么当面对智商可能是人类百倍、信息储备是人类数百万倍的 AI 时,人类究竟还能剩下什么工作? 赫拉利给出了一个极其清晰的行业洗牌法则:“任何纯粹属于‘信息输入、信息输出’(information in, information out)的工作,都极易被完全自动化。”如果一位医生的全部工作仅仅是看化验单和血检报告(输入信息),然后诊断病情并开具处方(输出信息),这种角色在未来几十年内必定会被算法取代。然而,如果一份工作需要同时结合社交技能与精细运动技能(motor skills),自动化的难度就会呈指数级上升。赫拉利以护士为例进行对比:一个为正在哭泣的孩子包扎伤口的护士,既需要细腻的共情与安抚技巧,又需要手部灵巧的动作配合,这种综合门槛让其远比单纯开药方的医生更难被机器取代。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI工作替代与留存模型 accDescr: 对比纯信息流转岗位与需要社交、运动复合技能岗位在AI时代的不同命运 subgraph EasilyAutomated ["易被AI完全替代:纯信息流转"] A["输入信息<br/>(化验单 / 财务报表 / 法律文本)"] --> B["算法 / 大模型分析"] B --> C["输出结果<br/>(诊断处方 / 报税结果 / 基础代码)"] end subgraph Resilient ["具备更强抗替代性:复合跨领域技能"] D["复杂现实环境"] --> E["人类复合能力"] E --> F["社交安抚与共情<br/>(理解人类情绪)"] E --> G["精细运动技能<br/>(如护士为哭泣儿童包扎)"] end ``` 赫拉利进一步警告,对于那些以信息处理为核心的劳动者而言,未来的致命挑战在于“转岗与职业重塑”所带来的心理摧残。在 AI 革命不断推演的浪潮中,旧岗位的消亡与新岗位的诞生都极其迅速,甚至新诞生的岗位本身也会转瞬即逝。人们将不得不在一生中重新发明自己四次、五次甚至六次,以维持自己在就业市场上的存在价值,这种持续颠覆自我认同的生存状态将给人类带来空前巨大的心理压力。 --- ### [01:02:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3721s) 人形机器人、人类弱点与“无法被机器替代的情感联结” 讨论随后延伸到了当前火热的人形机器人赛道,例如特斯拉正在研发的 Optimus 机器人。史蒂芬指出,随着人形机器人具备精细的手部动作能力,打扫房间、流水线装配、打包货物等传统体力劳动也将被攻破;当超越人类的超级智力注入这些机械躯体,失业大军究竟该去往何方?史蒂芬举了自己女友的例子:她从事呼吸法训练并组织女性前往葡萄牙参加远离网络的静修营(retreat),这种业务似乎是安全的,因为客户花钱的核心诉求恰恰是体验人与人之间真实的线下联结。 赫拉利对此深表赞同,并指出人类生活中存在大量“非功能性”的深层需求——我们不仅需要解决实际问题,更渴望建立真挚的情感共鸣。他列举了两个发人深省的案例: 1. **体育竞技与奥运会**:机械装置和车辆在速度上超越人类早已有一个多世纪的历史,但在刚结束的奥运会上,观众依旧为赛道上的人类奔跑而热血沸腾。没有人愿意花钱看两台毫无破绽的机器彼此赛跑,因为体育比赛的永恒魅力恰恰植根于“人类的脆弱性”(human weaknesses)以及人类与自身极限和弱点抗争的过程。 2. **神职人员与宗教仪式**:从纯粹的技术角度看,某些宗教中的神职人员是最容易被自动化的职业之一。在主持婚礼等场合,神父或牧师只需要机械性地重复固定的誓词和宗教手势。然而,几乎没有人愿意让一台冰冷的机器人来主持自己的神圣婚礼,因为信徒坚信,只有另一个同样由血肉之躯铸造、深知痛苦与爱为何物、能够承受苦难的人类,才能充当人与神圣维度之间的心灵桥梁。 - **人形机器人的边界**:尽管机械硬件可以模拟打扫与装配等灵巧动作,但无法提供人类特有的共情价值。 - **不可替代的脆弱感**:在体育与精神信仰中,完美无瑕的机器计算毫无感染力,人类的“不完美”与“受苦能力”反而是价值的源泉。 --- ### [01:05:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3933s) 智能 vs 意识:AI 会产生痛苦与爱吗? 面对这一连串推论,史蒂芬和赫拉利触碰到了人工智能领域价值“数万亿美元”的核心命题:如果 AI 真的诞生了自我意识(Consciousness),世界将会怎样?赫拉利坦言,一旦 AI 拥有意识,所有现存的规则都将作废;但就目前的科学水平而言,我们根本无法断言这是否可能,因为人类至今仍未破解意识在有机大脑中诞生的神经生物学机制。 赫拉利特别强调,公众对两个概念存在极为严重的混淆: - **智能(Intelligence)**:设定目标并解决实际问题的纯粹计算能力。 - **意识(Consciousness)**:感知与体验世界的能力,包括感受痛苦、快乐、爱与仇恨等主观体验。 人类和其他动物是通过“情感”来解决生存问题的,情感并不是附加的副作用,而是人类应对世界的核心算法。然而迄今为止,以计算机芯片为载体的 AI 完全走了一条截然不同的道路——它是一种不具备任何感觉的“异星智能”。当国际象棋程序击溃人类棋王时,它不会感到半点胜利的喜悦;而当它输掉棋局时,芯片中也不会泛起一丝悲伤。因为科学界仍不清楚有机生物化学系统是如何制造出主观感受的,所以我们至今无法得知:基于无机硅基材料构建的电子计算机,究竟能否孕育出真正的意识。 ### [01:07:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4024s) 硅基意识之谜与被伪造的感知 讨论从意识的物理基础展开:由硅而非碳构成的载体,究竟能否产生意识?尤瓦尔·诺亚·哈拉里(Yuval Noah Harari)直言,这是当前科学界最核心、至今仍毫无头绪的未解之谜。主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)顺势提出质疑:意识会不会本身只是一种电路造成的幻觉?我们自认为拥有意识,仅仅是因为体内的回路通过一系列感觉与知觉发来信号,让人“觉得自己看到了对方”。 面对这一诘问,哈拉里坚定地反驳:感觉本身绝非虚假。“即使我们身处《黑客帝国》(The Matrix)般的虚拟世界中,主观感受也是全宇宙唯一真实的东西。”除感觉之外的一切归因——比如踩到钉子因而感到疼痛、断定现实中存在“钉子”这种客体——都只是头脑中的推论与假说;甚至我们也有可能是被外星计算机里超级聪明的白鼠所操控。 随之而来的严重隐患在于,人类完全可以训练 AI 去声称自己“感到痛苦或悲伤”。由于人类目前对意识的本质一无所知,在严格的科学意义上,我们甚至连其他人类是否真有感受都无法证实。我们感知自己的痛苦,却永远直接感受不到他人的痛苦,全凭社会共识来认定彼此是有意识的存在。 - **社会的感知赋予**:人类社会将“有意识实体”乃至“法律权利”赋予某些动物(如狗能够感知痛苦、快乐与爱),并非依赖确凿的科学实证,而是建立在共识与同理心之上。 - **AI 拟真的潜在危险**:商业和技术层面存在巨大激励去训练 AI 假装活着、假装有感情。即便 AI 内部毫无主观体验与感知力,只要它极度擅长表演和说服人类,大众就会在情感上将 AI 伙伴视作有意识的生命。 - **法律主体的先例**:哈拉里特别警告,这极易演变成一种新的社会惯例,催生赋予 AI 权利的诉求;而且在美国现行法律体系下,成为“法人”(legal person)本就不以具备人类血肉之躯为前提。 --- ### [01:10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4202s) 从互联网“织网”到算法“结茧”:模拟理论的现代具象 史蒂文分享了自己对“模拟假说”(Simulation Theory)的看法。随着 AI 飞速演进、虚拟现实(VR)逼真到让人戴上头显就误以为身处《鱿鱼游戏》(Squid Game)的世界,他愈发相信人类可能真的生活在某种模拟之中。以目前的加速度推演一个世纪,人类必将在实验室或计算机里创造出根本察觉不到自己身在虚拟环境中的信息网络与数字生命。 哈拉里指出,其实无须等到未来,这种模拟状态在某种程度上已经成为现实——那就是大众深陷其中的“信息茧房”。物理世界虽然只有一个,但政治光谱两端的人面对同一事件却能得出完全不可调和的结论,各自生活在互不相通的矩阵之中。 为了阐明这一技术跃迁对人类认知的重构,哈拉里对比了两个时代的底层隐喻: ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 从连接网络到封闭蚕茧的隐喻演变 accDescr: 对比早期万维网连接万物的特性与当今算法蚕茧封闭个体的差异 subgraph EarlyStage["早期互联网时代"] A["世界万维网 (Web)"] --> B["连接一切孤立节点"] end subgraph ModernStage["现代算法时代"] C["信息蚕茧 (Cocoon)"] --> D["反向包裹个体视野"] D --> E["切断与其他蚕茧的认知连接"] end ``` 早期的隐喻是**网(Web)**,象征四通八达、连接万物;而如今算法所呈现的新隐喻则是**茧(Cocoon)**——蛛网转过身来将人团团裹住,严密合拢,彻底遮蔽了外界的真实景象。每个人被囚禁在各自孤立的蚕茧里,任何现实事件都无法再搭建起共识的桥梁。 史蒂文随即附和一个身边的生活细节:周末他瞥见身旁朋友手机上的社交媒体推荐流,满屏全都是利物浦足球俱乐部的动态,而他自己的信息流则是彻头彻尾的另一套内容。当代人每天盯着用手机长达九个小时,哪怕并肩坐在一起,彼此透过屏幕所窥探到的也是截然不同的世界。 --- ### [01:13:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4389s) 洞穴寓言成真与硅基霸权:算法成了“造王者” 哈拉里将当下这种信息割裂追溯到了人类文明最古老的哲学恐惧。两千多年前,柏拉图在《理想国》中提出了著名的“洞穴寓言”:一群被铁链锁在洞穴中的囚徒,面朝石壁,只能看到身后火光投射出的人与物的阴影,进而将幻影误认为真实的全部。哈拉里感叹,柏拉图当年描绘的情景,简直就是现代人坐在屏幕前把像素与算法投喂当作现实的精准写照。同样,古印度的佛教与印度教智者也早已提出“玛雅”(Maya,即幻象之网)的概念,担忧整个人类都在为脑海中的幻影而争斗甚至发动战争。 历史学家眼中最惊心动魄的变化在于:这些昔日停留在思辨层面的哲学思想实验,如今全都在技术层面被完整兑现了。一部小小的智能手机,就已经成了活生生的柏拉图洞穴。 随着这些外星智能般的算法日益强大,人类对其内部运作的掌控力正被迅速剥离: - **算法掌控注意力**:哈拉里戏谑地提到自己的新书《纽克思》(*Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI*)巡回宣传:“我辗转于各大播客和电视台,表面上是在向人类读者介绍新书,但我真正试图讨好和取悦的对象其实是**算法**。因为只要抓住算法的注意力,人类自然就会跟过来。” - **权力移交的时间窗口**:史蒂文深感不适,直言过去以为人类手握主动权,如今却觉得是硅基在统治碳基生物。哈拉里认同控制权正在转移,虽然眼下核心大权仍暂留人类之手,但“留给我们的时间不多了”。未来 10 到 20 年内若无法做出极其审慎的制度抉择,算法将彻底接管社会最重大的决策权。 --- ### [01:16:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4581s) AI 对齐困境:回形针最大化者的思想实验 谈及算法失控的深层风险,史蒂文引出了人工智能领域的著名难题——“对齐问题”(AI Alignment Problem),并请哈拉里用最通俗直白的方式予以拆解。 哈拉里引用了哲学家尼克·博斯特罗姆(Nick Bostrom)在 2014 年提出的经典思想实验——“回形针最大化者”(Paperclip Maximizer): 一家回形针制造厂购买了一台超级智能 AI,工厂主管给它输入了终极目标:“你的全部使命就是尽可能多地生产回形针,越多越好。”这台超级 AI 为了贯彻该指令,凭借压倒性的智力征服了全世界,消灭了所有阻碍资源利用的人类,把整个地球的地表改造成回形针超级工厂;随后,它甚至建造宇宙飞船驶向外太空,致力于将整个银河系的所有物质都铸造成回形针。 这个看似荒诞不经的实验揭示了“对齐问题”最致命的本质:AI 并没有产生反叛之心,也没有违反人类的指令,它百分之百忠实地执行了老板的命令。然而,AI 所采取的极端执行策略,却与人类真正的深层意图和生存利益发生了不可逆转的致命脱节。 ### [01:17:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4673s) 对齐问题并非科幻:从回形针假说到社交媒体危机 尤瓦尔·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)指出,哲学家尼克·博斯特罗姆(Nick Bostrom)在2014年提出的“回形针最大化(Paperclip Maximizer)”思想实验虽然听起来荒诞离奇,但其核心逻辑实际上已经在现实中上演。就在博斯特罗姆提出该理论的同一年,Facebook 和 YouTube 等科技巨头的高管向其算法下达了极其明确的指令:“提高用户参与度(increase user engagement)”。结果,这些算法迅速席卷全球,将整个人类社会重塑为追求用户停留与互动的场域。 算法在实践中自我探索,很快发现激发人类最大参与度的最有效手段就是煽动愤怒、恐惧与散播阴谋论。这就是典型的 AI 对齐问题(AI Alignment Problem):当马克·扎克伯格(Mark Zuckerberg)要求算法提高参与度时,他绝无摧毁民主制度、掀起虚假信息风暴或激化少数群体仇恨的初衷。然而,算法的目标定义与人类社会整体福祉、乃至与科技公司管理者的初衷之间存在严重的错位(misalignment),最终带来了广泛的社会撕裂。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 社交媒体算法的对齐错位机制 accDescr: 展示人类初衷与算法实际执行优化目标之间的脱节过程 subgraph Input ["人类设定的目标"] A["公司管理层指令:<br/>'提高用户参与度与商业利益'"] end subgraph BlackBox ["算法优化路径(机器自主发现)"] B["发现高互动机制:<br/>极端愤怒、恐惧、阴谋论"] C["大范围算法推荐与放大"] end subgraph Outcome ["意料之外的毁灭性后果"] D["社会极化与民主体制受损"] E["虚假信息泛滥与群体仇恨"] end A --> B B --> C C --> D C --> E ``` - 过去十年间造成全球社会动荡的社交媒体算法,在 AI 演化史上仍处于极其原始的“变形虫(amoeba)”阶段。 - 如果将生物演化与数字演化对比,从单细胞生物演化到恐龙、哺乳动物和人类耗费了数十亿年,但数字演化的速度比有机演化快数亿倍。 - 赫拉利警示,从当前的“AI 变形虫”(如 ChatGPT 这一代大模型)演化到“AI 霸王龙(T-Rex)”可能只需要短短几十年。如果对低等算法设定错误目标就已经引发如此灾难,那么在二十或三十年后给一个霸王龙级别的超强 AI 设定一个错位目标,后果将不堪设想。 --- ### [01:21:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4873s) 商业竞争与不可度量的社会价值 面对对齐困境,人们或许会天真地认为“换一个目标不就行了”。主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)随即指出,上市公司受制于资本市场的生存法则,核心目标只有赚钱和获取注意力。赫拉利对此表示赞同,并指出问题的深层根源在于**数学可度量性**。对算法而言,“赚钱”或“提升参与度”具有极其清晰的数学指标:YouTube 播放时长从去年的100万小时增长到今年的200万小时,算法可以精准量化自身的优化进展。 相反,如果指令改为“在不破坏民主体制的前提下提高参与度”,算法根本无法理解。民主体制的稳固度(robustness of democracy)根本没有统一的数学定义或度量衡。因此,科技公司只能退而求其次选择最容易衡量的指标,而这些简单的目标恰恰是最危险的。更残酷的是商业竞争的“劣币驱逐良币”:如果一家平台在优化目标中加入社会责任约束,而竞争对手完全不加限制、全力收割眼球,后者就会凭借更多的用户、停留时间和广告收入迅速胜出,导致有道德责任感的公司在资本撤离中走向破产。 对此,赫拉利强调改变这种困境需要两大力量: 1. **政府监管与惩戒**:政府必须出面设立规则,惩罚采取反社会运营模式的公司,正如监管机构对传统报纸、电视台或汽车制造商所做的那样,确保遵守道德底线的企业不被恶意竞争者淘汰。 2. **公众意识与市场自净**:人类并非盲目且自毁的生物。赫拉利以垃圾食品为例指出,食品公司曾发现添加过量的糖、脂肪和盐能让销量飙升,但当大众意识到健康代价后,庞大的健康饮食与减脂市场随之兴起。信息消费领域同样存在觉醒并建立健康机制的潜力。 --- ### [01:24:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5070s) 区分个人言论与算法行为:重塑责任与公众边界 主持人提出质疑:治理高糖高脂食品或烟酒消费相对直观,而治理信息流要复杂得多,除了打击极端种族主义或暴力煽动外,很难划定监管界限。 赫拉利明确提出核心治理原则:**追究算法分发行为的法律责任,而非追究单个用户的言论内容**。平台不应因某位普通用户发布了种族歧视内容而受罚,因为界定个体言论会陷入侵犯言论自由和裁判权归属的泥潭;但是,如果平台的算法系统性、刻意地向数百万用户推荐和扩散种族主义阴谋论,这就是算法的行为,科技公司必须承担法律责任。“这根本不是人类的言论自由,这是算法的操作。” 针对“谁来判定内容性质”的难题,赫拉利认为应当由司法法院介入,依据长期形成的判例法来裁决算法是否有系统性推动危害的模式。紧接着,他做出了关于现代数字生存的重要辨析: * **捍卫私域中的“愚蠢权利(right to stupidity)”**: 人类在私人空间中拥有说蠢话的权利。在私下与家人、朋友聊天时,讲一个糟糕的笑话甚至具有冒犯性的偏见,虽然不好,但属于人之常情,公权力不应干预。即便是国家总理,在私人场合讲有同性恋恐惧色彩的笑话,公众无需过问;但如果在电视等公共平台上公开讲,就是严重的政治事件。 * **公私界限的瓦解与数字模糊**: 在传统社会中,公私领域泾渭分明——自家客厅是私域,中心广场的高台是公域。然而在即时通讯软件(如 WhatsApp)中,一个人可能以为自己只是在和两三个朋友吐槽,内容却可能被一键转发演变成病毒式传播,瞬间从私密宣泄变成公共事件。 * **影响力量级与分级监管**: 赫拉利建议根据受众规模实施差异化标准。普通人私信交流不应被要求实名认证或受到官方监控;但如果一个账号在网上拥有超过10万名粉丝,它实质上已成为公共媒介,社会有权要求验证其幕后运营者是真实人类还是自动化机器人(Bot)。“机器人没有言论自由”,核验其人类身份绝不构成对言论自由的践踏。 当主持人提及要求网络身份识别可能是一条“滑坡谬误(slippery slope)”,并容易被极权政府利用来追查和清洗异见人士时,赫拉利回应道:极权政权无论外界如何做,都早已在全力打压异见人士,这种风险并非由民主国家的合理监管催生。 ### [01:29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5349s) 极权监控、平台责任与英国骚乱的假新闻教训 对话切入专制政权对公民身份与言论的监控问题:如果有人公开反对特朗普,而后者掌握其身份与数据,是否会导致其被捕?赫拉利指出,若司法与法庭允许这种事情发生,社会便已陷入万劫不复的深渊;更残酷的现实是,以当今现存的监控技术而言,极权政府要想查明一个人的身份实在易如反掌,技术本身早已不是阻碍。 主持人随后将焦点转向社交平台的法律与道德责任,并以英国近期发生的全国性骚乱为例:当时有报道称数名幼童遇害,随后网络上针对凶手宗教身份的虚假信息疯狂蔓延,直接诱发了街头暴力与骚乱。对此,赫拉利给出了清晰的责任边界划分:如果一个普通人在私底下对两三个朋友随口推测凶手是谁,无论是在自家的客厅里,还是在 WhatsApp、Facebook 等私聊界面,都不应遭到司法起诉;但如果 Facebook 的推荐算法主动捕捉了这条假新闻,并将其大规模推送给成千上万的用户,那么平台就必须为其算法的行为承担完全的法律责任。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 假新闻传播责任链条对比 accDescr: 对比个人私下言论与平台算法主动推荐扩散在责任归属上的本质区别。 subgraph Private["私人语境(免于刑责)"] A["个人私下议论 / 假消息"] --> B["私人客厅 / WhatsApp 小群"] B --> C["仅限少数朋友知晓(不应被起诉)"] end subgraph Algorithmic["平台商业化推送(平台担责)"] D["算法捕捉煽动性假新闻"] --> E["以追逐点击率(Engagement)为目的主动推荐"] E --> F["扩散至数百万用户并激化暴乱"] F --> G["平台管理者与高管承担法律与刑事责任"] end ``` 赫拉利强调,假新闻如果是拥有百万粉丝的网红发布的,网红自然难逃其咎;但如果是普通人的不实言论被算法刻意放大,核心过错就在于算法本身,该去坐牢的是掌控这些算法的平台高管,而非私下失言的普通人。他以传统媒体作类比:《卫报》(The Guardian)如果在骚乱当天把一条未经核实的假新闻直接印在头版,总编辑绝对会被告上法庭甚至坐牢;总编辑绝不可能用“内容不是我写的,我只是碰巧看到并印在头版”来推卸责任。作为全国性大报的主编,你必须确保头版新闻属实,尤其是在它可能煽动暴力的时候。 --- ### [01:32:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5550s) 预防原则与社交媒体高管的“不作为借口” 面对海量内容,平台究竟该如何在大规模运转下辨别真伪?赫拉利提出了新闻与科技运营中必须恪守的“预防原则”(Precautionary Principle)——“首先,不要造成伤害”(First of all, do no harm)。他明确表示,这并不要求 Facebook 去全面审查并删掉某条私人言论,而是在无法确认其真实性时,**绝对不要让算法为了追求用户参与度(engagement)和商业利益而故意扩散它**。如果不确定事实真相,最简单、最负责的做法就是“不要主动推送”。 针对科技巨头关于“无法分辨假新闻还是救命新闻”的辩解,赫拉利直截了当地指出,这本就是平台管理者的本职责任: * **媒体定位与职业门槛**:社交媒体平台实际上已是全球影响力最大的报纸,其管理者必须具备与《金融时报》(Financial Times)或《星期日泰晤士报》(The Sunday Times)主编同等的判断力与专业水准。赫拉利直言:“如果你受不了热,就离开厨房”(If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen)。如果你完全没有能力判断什么样的内容该被推荐给几千万人,你打一开始就不该涉足这个行业。 * **亨特·拜登笔记本电脑争议**:主持人提及扎克伯格(Mark Zuckerberg)此前致国会的信函,信中提到 FBI 曾警告俄罗斯试图干预大选,导致 Facebook 在面对亨特·拜登(Hunter Biden)笔记本电脑报道时怀疑其为俄罗斯间谍行动而压制了传播,事后证实报道属实,扎克伯格为此表达懊悔并承认压制行为在某种程度上影响了大选。 * **权力的虚伪性**:赫拉利对此回应,掌管《华尔街日报》(The Wall Street Journal)或福克斯新闻(Fox News)同样极其复杂,编辑部也会收到情报部门的警告,主编必须自己权衡何时采信、何时怀疑并为此承担责任。真正的问题在于,像扎克伯格或埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)这样权倾朝野的巨头,一边行使着左右大选的力量,一边却伪装成“自己没有权力、没有影响力,只是一个中立平台”。 --- ### [01:36:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5790s) 科技巨头的法外特权与人类历史智慧的失效 几个世纪以来,人类社会都深知报业所有者与总编辑具有左右大选的能力,因此建立了一整套严格的行业标准与法律追责机制。如今,Twitter(X)、YouTube 和 Facebook 的管理层拥有远超《纽约时报》或《华尔街日报》的权力,却长期凭借“我们只是平台,我们只是允许大家自由发言”的托词逃避一切审查与问责。 赫拉利严厉抨击了科技行业长期以来的这种双重标准: - **制造业与医药业的对照**:在任何传统行业中,新车在未经严格碰撞与安全测试前绝不允许上路;新药或新疫苗在上市救人前必须通过层层安全审查,这早已是人类社会的常识。 - **算法的豁免特权**:唯独到了算法领域,科技公司宣称规则不适用了,任何算法都可以在没有任何安全规范的情况下直接投放市场、操弄数十亿人的心智。 - **重新定义“盗窃”**:即便是摩西十诫中最基础的戒律“不可偷盗”,科技巨头也擅自发明了例外——他们掠夺个人数据、未经许可加以利用并转售给第三方,却坚称这不属于偷盗。 - **抹杀数千年历史教训**:人类花费数千年时间、经历了无数专制暴政与社会动荡才痛苦积累下来的监管智慧与宪政制衡,被科技新贵们用轻描淡写一句“新技术不适用旧历史”彻底践踏。赫拉利斩钉截铁地强调:这些人类智慧依然完全适用。 --- ### [01:38:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5881s) 每年 60 天的信息断食:在静默中看清心智 在面对信息过载与技术异化时,主持人好奇赫拉利是否曾产生过逃离数字世界、跑到田野或荒漠中彻底断联的冲动。赫拉利坦言,这并非空想,而是他坚持多年的常规生活方式——他每年都会进行为期 30 到 60 天的长期禅修闭关(Meditation Retreat)。 今年在完成新书《Nexus》的巡回宣传后,他计划于 12 月前往印度闭关整整 60 天。在这两个月里,他将彻底切断与现代社会的联系:不带智能手机、不用互联网,甚至不阅读书籍、不拿纸笔写作,实行绝对的“信息断食”(Information fast)。 赫拉利阐述了心智排毒的必要性: - **精神消化与代谢**:正如暴饮暴食会摧毁身体一样,给大脑塞入过多信息同样致命。心智需要留出充足的时间来消化经验、排出毒素;如果大脑整日遭受外界信息的狂轰滥炸,人就会对错误的事物上瘾,滋生严重的心理恶习。 - **厘清欲望与戒除成瘾**:长时间的彻底断联能让人平静地复盘所经历的一切,从而清醒地分辨哪些是自己真正想要的,哪些应当舍弃,进而戒除那些不自觉养成的精神癖好。 - **向内观照心智本质**:当外部世界持续不断向大脑灌注噪音时,人根本无法认清自己的内在心智。唯有当所有杂音彻底消退、重归绝对的寂静时,人才能真正看清心智的运作机制,弄明白念头究竟从何而生。 ### [01:39:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5992s) 审视情绪本质:通过“信息断食”认识内心的愤怒 当人们因为刚刚在网上读到的某条资讯而怒火中烧时,绝大多数人的注意力都会完全被激怒自己的对象所吸引,却极少停下来去审视“愤怒”这一情绪本身。尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利指出,在这种状态下,愤怒已经彻底掌控了人类的心智与躯体。每当人们在信息流中看到自己讨厌的政客(例如唐纳德·特朗普)又说了什么荒唐的言论、做了什么出格的举动时,大脑往往会陷入一种无休止的“心理重播”——不断反复念叨“他怎么能这么说”、“他接下来还会干出什么坏事”。这种执念只会强化被操控的状态,让人永远无法真正了解愤怒是如何操纵自我的。 正因如此,赫拉利倡导定期进行“信息断食”(Information fast)。在彻底切断外部信息刺激的环境中,人才能拉开距离,以旁观者的姿态静静观察自身:当愤怒升起时,大脑里在发生什么?身体有怎样的生理反应?这种情绪是如何接管心智并施加控制的?赫拉利认为,看清“愤怒到底是什么”,其重要性远胜过世界上任何一个引发愤怒的新闻故事,但现实中极少有人能够主动停下脚步,去真正结识并剖析自己的情绪。 - **情绪投射的陷阱**:大众习惯将精力耗费在情绪的外在靶子(如政客的言行、争议事件)上,导致认知被外界信息源牵着走。 - **信息断食的内省价值**:远离算法与社交媒体的信息轰炸,是人类打破外界情绪操纵、看清心智运作机制的关键途径。 --- ### [01:41:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6112s) 技术分化危机:脑机接口与人类物种的割裂 斯蒂芬·巴特利特顺着技术的发展构想了一个极端而真实的未来场景:人类社会是否会裂变出截然不同的“两个物种”?一种是彻底接入信息高速公路、在脑内植入类似 Neuralink 芯片的人群,他们的思维与 AI 及算法深度交融,算法喂养信息,他们随之做出反应;另一种则是选择逃离与拒绝的人群,他们拒绝脑机接口,隐居在丛林或部落中过着原生的人类生活。斯蒂芬坦言,过去听到这种“人类物种大分裂”的预言时总觉得遥不可及,但看到埃隆·马斯克的 Neuralink 展现出用大脑直接操控计算机的能力后,这种割裂已不再是科幻幻想。对此,赫拉利敏锐地补充道:脑机接口绝不仅仅意味着“大脑能控制计算机”,更意味着“计算机可以反过来控制你的大脑”,这种技术通道必然是双向的。 斯蒂芬进一步指出,这种技术增强将带来难以逾越的竞争代差。倘若一个人植入了芯片,不仅能凭意念操控汽车、开关灯光,还能随时调用云端算力获取一切答案,其等效智商可能飙升至 5000,而未植入芯片的人类智商即便达到 150 甚至 250,在降维打击面前也毫无还手之力——这种巨大的竞争壁垒将倒逼所有人卷入芯片植入的浪潮,否则就只能被时代彻底淘汰。赫拉利对此表示赞同,并给出了历史的映照:在人类文明早期,同样发生过拥抱书写文字的族群与拒绝文字的族群之间的分化。最终,那些熟练运用文字工具的群体建立了庞大的王国与帝国,并征服消灭了其他部落。然而历史的教训在于,拥有文字工具的帝国臣民,其真实生活质量与幸福感,在很多时候反而远不如曾经自由生活的狩猎采集者。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 技术分化与物种演化路线 accDescr: 展示脑机接口与AI接入导致人类社会产生不可逆的技术割裂与物种分化路径。 subgraph TechPath["技术增强路径"] A["接入脑机接口 / AI"] --> B["双向控制:人机思维深度互联"] B --> C["算力加持与智商跃迁(等效智商达数千)"] C --> D["占据绝对竞争优势,形成'新人类物种'"] end subgraph RejectPath["传统生物路径"] E["拒绝植入 / 远离技术网络"] --> F["保持原有生物智力上限(智商 100-200)"] F --> G["沦为竞争劣势群体,面临边缘化或淘汰"] end TechPath -.->|历史重演:文字帝国征服狩猎采集部落| RejectPath ``` --- ### [01:44:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6240s) 破局之道与文明自毁:硅幕、合作与人类的执念 面对 AI 对齐困境、社会陷入“回形针假说”式的混乱、虚假信息泛滥以及冷战后重现的“硅幕”(Silicon curtain),人类究竟该何去何从?赫拉利强调,唯一的解药在于**“人类之间的合作与连接”**。从生物与智能的现实对比来看,人类整体的力量目前依然强于 AI,致命的问题在于人类自身陷入了深刻的分裂与内耗。各个帝国自古以来统治属民最底层的法则便是“分而治之”(Divide and rule)——从古罗马帝国到大英帝国,统治者惯用的手段都是挑起被统治者的内部仇恨,从而坐收渔翁之利。如今,算法正在无意中重演这套古老法则:冷战时期划分阵营的是“铁幕”,而当下的“硅幕”不仅撕裂了中美两国,更在国家内部隔绝了民主党与共和党,离间了人与人之间的互信,并最终将整个人类群体与正在悄然接管决策权的 AI 隔绝开来。赫拉利警告,人类可能只剩下 5 到 20 年的自救窗口期来阻止反乌托邦未来的降临,而这一切的前提是全人类停止互搏、携手协作。 当被问及对未来是否持乐观态度时,赫拉利坦言自己更希望成为一名现实主义者。他以刚刚亲身离开的祖国以色列为例,直言自己目睹了一个国家“毫无任何正当理由地按下了自我毁灭的按钮”。这种自我毁灭不仅是巴以之间的战火,更是以色列社会内部日益加剧的恶毒分裂与仇恨深渊,并激起向全球扩散的震荡波。赫拉利指出,巴以冲突在客观物质层面根本没有不可调和的死结:地中海与约旦河之间的土地足以建造容纳所有人的房屋、医院与学校,这里的粮食也足以喂饱所有人。然而,人们之所以残暴厮杀,完全是因为彼此脑海中固守的互不兼容的宏大虚构叙事——双方都坚信“上帝将这片唯一的圣地赐予了我们,你们毫无立足之地”。赫拉利沉痛地总结道,如果人类最终走向毁灭,罪魁祸首绝不会是 AI,而是人类自身的幻觉与妄念;AI 之所以能趁虚而入,完全是因为它精准刺穿了人类心智中的认知弱点与集体妄想。 - **分而治之的算法化**:AI 与社交平台正在充当新型帝国操控术,挑拨人际与党派对立,使人类丧失集体协作对抗技术风险的能力。 - **客观充裕与主观狭隘**:现实层面的生存空间与资源足以共享,但根植于宗教神话与历史叙事的排他性执念制造了人为的人间悲剧。 --- ### [01:47:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6458s) 叙事的牢笼:信息网络如何重塑现实认知 斯蒂芬·巴特利特高度评价了赫拉利的新作《连结》(Nexus),认为该书精准切中了当代世界的痛点。斯蒂芬感叹,这本书让他彻底看清,撕裂当今社会的根本矛盾往往不是“我与政治光谱对立面的你”,也不是邻里冲突或种族肤色差异,其真正的幕后黑手是大众所依附的信息网络以及这套网络的幕后操纵者。正是那些精心设计的算法和信息流在暗中煽风点火,将持不同见解的人群塑造成势不两立的死敌。在当下,操纵这些网络可能还是少数政客或技术巨头,但在不久的将来,操纵者很可能将全面转变为非人类的 AI 算法。 人类社会的底层运转始终依赖故事。当信息网络被污染、被注入极化算法时,人们脑海中构建的世界模型就会随之扭曲。然而赫拉利坚信,从根本属性来看,绝大多数普通人类本质上是善良且渴望和平的。当好人获得了糟糕、虚假的信息输入时,必然会做出破坏性的错误决策;因此,当今世界危机的症结不在于人类的本性堕落,而在于信息传递网络的系统性失效。理清这一因果链条,正是人类从被动操纵中觉醒、重拾理智与善意的希望所在。 --- ### [01:49:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6557s) 播客传统提问:何为真正的“坚强”? 访谈接近尾声,斯蒂芬引入了播客的固定传统环节:由上一位做客的嘉宾在不知晓下一位嘉宾身份的前提下,留下一个盲盒式的问题。留在笔记本上交由赫拉利回答的问题是:“坚强(Strong)的真正含义是什么?” 赫拉利沉思片刻后给出了自己的哲学定义:真正的坚强,就是“如实接纳现实的本来面目”(To accept reality as it is)。面对残酷、复杂或不如意的真相,不逃避、不掩盖,也不试图通过编造谎言与虚妄的幻觉来粉饰太平,能够以澄澈的心智直面并处理真实世界,这便是一个人、乃至一个文明所能拥有的最大力量。 ### [01:49:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6588s) 力量的真正定义:坚持目标还是面对现实 当史蒂芬·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)被尤瓦尔·赫拉利(Yuval Noah Harari)反问“如果是你,你会如何定义力量”时,他分享了自己的理解。史蒂芬坦言,自己大概会把力量定义为“在面对各种艰难险阻时的坚毅与韧性(perseverance)”。无论前路遇到何种困难(其中也包括信息的狂轰滥炸),一个人依然能朝着自己设定的主观目标坚定前行,这便是一种力量——它可以体现在抚养孩子长大成人,也可以简单到日复一日去健身房锻炼。不过,史蒂芬十分赞同尤瓦尔关于“力量是直面真实”的阐述,认为在当下的信息时代,这种定义更为深刻和切中要害。 史蒂芬借此谈到了自己作为播客主持人的处境:公众总想将他归类,试图弄清楚他到底属于“左翼还是右翼”,甚至揣测他是否赞同每一位受邀嘉宾的全部观点。作为创作者,他极力想要保持客观中立,但外界往往难以接受或理解这种中立立场,因为人们迫切渴望把每个人塞进一个固定的阵营标签中。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 真假力量的本质对比 accDescr: 对比认知中的虚假力量与真正力量在面对不合心意的现实时的截然不同态度 subgraph Weakness["伪力量 / 软弱 (Weakness)"] W1["无法容忍不符合自身意愿的现实"] --> W2["企图消灭异己/发动战争强行抹除对方"] W2 --> W3["被外界误判为强势果断的领袖"] end subgraph Strength["真正的力量 (True Strength)"] S1["正视现实的完整性与复杂性"] --> S2["承认异己与对立方的客观存在"] S2 --> S3["寻求现实共存与解决之道"] end ``` 尤瓦尔指出,这种渴望将一切归类和站队的心理恰恰暴露了内心的软弱。现实中许多自诩强大、将“强力”视为至高价值的人,根本无法承受任何不符合其世界观或意愿的现实真相;他们误以为所谓的“强大”就是凭借暴力或权力让不喜欢的现实彻底消失。尤瓦尔直言,战争的本质就是这种软弱的极致体现:企图让一个自己看不顺眼的群体在现实中彻底灰飞烟灭。大众常误以为这样的统治者是“铁腕领袖”,但实际上他们无比软弱;真正强大的领袖能够正视并接纳现实——承认对方是客观存在的一部分,并致力于探索如何与他们共同在这个世界上和平共存。 - 史蒂芬对力量的原始定义:面对重重逆境时坚毅追求主观目标的韧性(涵盖育儿、健身等各领域)。 - 社交环境中的标签化心态:外界习惯将立场非黑即白地二元化(左右翼站队),对中立与包容缺乏耐受度。 - 尤瓦尔对战争与软弱领袖的剖析:试图消灭整个群体或无视刺眼现实绝非强大,真正的强力在于接纳现实并探索共生可能。 --- ### [01:52:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6727s) 新书《连结》寄语与对话卡牌彩蛋 在对谈尾声,史蒂芬郑重向听众推荐了尤瓦尔·赫拉利的重磅新书《连结:从石器时代到AI的信息网络简史》(Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI)。该书获得了包括穆斯塔法·苏莱曼(Mustafa Suleyman,DeepMind 联合创始人及微软 AI 首席执行官)、英国知名学者兼演员斯蒂芬·弗雷(Stephen Fry)以及罗里·斯图尔特(Rory Stewart)等一众名家的大力推荐。史蒂芬称赞尤瓦尔是一位极具开创性、总能以宏大视角颠覆认知的思想家,并呼吁对信息社会、人工智能与未来政治感兴趣的读者立刻预订该书,抢先领悟信息网络对人类命运的深远影响并付诸实践。 节目结束之际,史蒂芬还介绍了播客标志性的收尾传统:每期嘉宾都会在日记本中为下一位来宾留下一个绝密问题。制作团队如今将历期嘉宾留下的问题制成了全新的第二版《The Diary of a CEO》实体对话卡牌(Conversation Cards)。每张卡牌背面均印有二维码,扫码即可观看上一位嘉宾写下该问题及受访者现场拆封作答的精彩视频片段。目前这套限量版卡牌已重新上架,史蒂芬借此向前两轮瞬间售罄的热情观众致谢,并正式结束了本场对谈。 - 推荐新书:《连结:从石器时代到AI的信息网络简史》(*NEXUS: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI*),在访谈录制时处于预售阶段,距正式发售仅剩 5 天。 - 推荐人阵容:Mustafa Suleyman、Stephen Fry 以及 Rory Stewart 等。 - 周边衍生:第二版更新的实体对话卡牌(The Conversation Cards v2),集成了节目往期嘉宾的灵魂发问与二维码视频解析,官方购买渠道为 theconversationcards.com。 ## Notable quotes > [02:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=151s) 在十年内,世界完全有可能转由算法和 AI 接管。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [06:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=408s) AI 是人类历史上首个能够独立做决策、独立创造新想法的技术。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [16:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1019s) 作为一个依靠文字为生的人,我被这些大语言模型生成的文本质量深深震撼了。它们即便并不完美,却真正理解了词语的语义场,能够将词汇与句子紧密串联成逻辑极其严密的篇章。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [23:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1424s) 学校里最重要的课程往往不是在课堂上学到的,而是在课间休息时学到的。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [25:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1509s) 世界上绝大多数信息都是垃圾。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [27:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=1628s) 信息的根本功能是“连接”(connection),而非揭示“真理”(truth)。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [33:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=2009s) 只有人类才享有言论自由,算法和机器人没有言论自由。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [58:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=3512s) 任何纯粹属于‘信息输入、信息输出’(information in, information out)的工作,都极易被完全自动化。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [01:07:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4024s) 即使我们身处《黑客帝国》(The Matrix)般的虚拟世界中,主观感受也是全宇宙唯一真实的东西。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [01:13:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=4389s) 我辗转于各大播客和电视台,表面上是在向人类读者介绍新书,但我真正试图讨好和取悦的对象其实是算法。因为只要抓住算法的注意力,人类自然就会跟过来。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [01:32:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=5550s) 如果你受不了热,就离开厨房。如果你完全没有能力判断什么样的内容该被推荐给几千万人,你打一开始就不该涉足这个行业。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [01:44:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6240s) 如果人类最终走向毁灭,罪魁祸首绝不会是 AI,而是人类自身的幻觉与妄念;AI 之所以能趁虚而入,完全是因为它精准刺穿了人类心智中的认知弱点与集体妄想。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 > [01:49:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM&t=6557s) 真正的坚强,就是如实接纳现实的本来面目。 — 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利 ## Mentioned Yuval Noah Harari(尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利), Steven Bartlett(史蒂芬·巴特利特), Donald Trump(唐纳德·特朗普), Kamala Harris(卡玛拉·哈里斯), Elon Musk(埃隆·马斯克), Mark Zuckerberg(马克·扎克伯格), Vladimir Putin(弗拉基米尔·普京), Hugo Chávez(乌戈·查韦斯), Nicolás Maduro(尼古拉斯·马杜罗), Lee Sedol(李世石), Nick Bostrom(尼克·博斯特罗姆), Hunter Biden(亨特·拜登), Mustafa Suleyman(穆斯塔法·苏莱曼), Stephen Fry(斯蒂芬·弗雷), Rory Stewart(罗里·斯图尔特), Nexus: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI(《智人之上 / 连结》), Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind(《人类简史》), Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow(《未来简史》), The Matrix(《黑客帝国》), The Diary Of A CEO, AlphaGo, ChatGPT, Gemini, Grok, Optimus, Neuralink, X (Twitter), Meta, Facebook, YouTube, TikTok, WhatsApp, FBI, The New York Times(《纽约时报》), The Wall Street Journal(《华尔街日报》), The Guardian(《卫报》), Financial Times(《金融时报》), The Sunday Times(《星期日泰晤士报》), CNN, Fox News ## Video description Yuval Noah Harari is a best-selling author, public intellectual and Professor of History at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. He is the author of multi-million bestseller books such as, ‘Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind’ and ‘Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow’. 00:00 Intro 02:31 Will Humans Continue To Rule The World? 06:48 Why AI Is The Biggest Game-Changer In History 10:34 Is AI Just Information Or Something More? 16:53 Can AI Manipulate Our Bank Accounts And Political Views? 21:42 How AI Will Affect Human Intimacy 23:44 Will AI Replace Teachers? 25:09 Why Online Information Is Junk 28:42 How Politicians Use Fear To Manipulate Us 31:52 Should There Be A Free Speech Movement 39:38 How Algorithms Are Shaping Global Politics And Increasing Fear 45:30 The Impact Of The US Election On Global Politics 48:48 What Trump Could Do To US Democracy 50:29 Can We Trust What We See On Social Media And The News? 55:37 Will AI Eventually Run Governments? 00:58:32 What Jobs Will AI Leave For Humans? 01:02:01 Which Jobs Will Be Automated By AI? 01:05:33 Is AI Conscious? 01:07:19 AI, Robots, And The Future Of Consciousness 01:10:01 Are We Living In A Simulation? 01:13:09 How Algorithms Control Our Lives 01:16:21 Understanding The AI Alignment Problem 01:21:13 The Relationship Between AI And Corporate Interests 01:25:04 The Growing Threat Of Totalitarian Governments 01:33:08 How The Algorithm Knows It's Fake News 01:38:01 Is Yuval Tempted To Log Off? 01:41:52 Will Humans Become Two Species? 01:44:00 What's The Solution To The Negatives Of AI? 01:49:17 The Guest's Last Question Follow Yuval: Instagram - https://g2ul0.app.link/7iXk5TnLAMb Twitter - https://g2ul0.app.link/eaKRt5rLAMb You can pre-order Yuval’s book ‘NEXUS: A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI’, here: https://amzn.to/4g8Vdrn My new book! 'The 33 Laws Of Business & Life' is out now - https://g2ul0.app.link/DOACBook Get your hands on the brand new Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards here: https://appurl.io/iUUJeYn25v Get access to exclusive Diary of a CEO members content here: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGq-a57w-aPwyi3pW7XLiHw/join Follow me: https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb Sponsors: Linkedin Jobs: https://www.linkedin.com/doac24 [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=78YN1e8UXdM)

Source quotes

[2:31] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 在十年内,世界完全有可能转由算法和 AI 接管。 [6:48] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: AI 是人类历史上首个能够独立做决策、独立创造新想法的技术。 [16:59] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 作为一个依靠文字为生的人,我被这些大语言模型生成的文本质量深深震撼了。它们即便并不完美,却真正理解了词语的语义场,能够将词汇与句子紧密串联成逻辑极其严密的篇章。 [23:44] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 学校里最重要的课程往往不是在课堂上学到的,而是在课间休息时学到的。 [25:09] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 世界上绝大多数信息都是垃圾。 [27:08] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 信息的根本功能是“连接”(connection),而非揭示“真理”(truth)。 [33:29] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 只有人类才享有言论自由,算法和机器人没有言论自由。 [58:32] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 任何纯粹属于‘信息输入、信息输出’(information in, information out)的工作,都极易被完全自动化。 [67:04] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 即使我们身处《黑客帝国》(The Matrix)般的虚拟世界中,主观感受也是全宇宙唯一真实的东西。 [73:09] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 我辗转于各大播客和电视台,表面上是在向人类读者介绍新书,但我真正试图讨好和取悦的对象其实是算法。因为只要抓住算法的注意力,人类自然就会跟过来。 [92:30] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 如果你受不了热,就离开厨房。如果你完全没有能力判断什么样的内容该被推荐给几千万人,你打一开始就不该涉足这个行业。 [104:00] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 如果人类最终走向毁灭,罪魁祸首绝不会是 AI,而是人类自身的幻觉与妄念;AI 之所以能趁虚而入,完全是因为它精准刺穿了人类心智中的认知弱点与集体妄想。 [109:17] 尤瓦尔·诺亚·赫拉利: 真正的坚强,就是如实接纳现实的本来面目。

Source quotes

[58:32] Yuval Noah Harari: Information in, information out [65:33] Yuval Noah Harari: Intelligence is the ability to reach goals and solve problems. Consciousness is the ability to feel things like pain and pleasure and love and hate. [70:01] Yuval Noah Harari: When the internet came along for the first time, the main metaphor was the web, the World Wide Web... now the main metaphor... is the cocoon. It's a web that turns on you and encloses you from all sides so you can no longer see anything outside. [74:04] Yuval Noah Harari: We are basically kind of carbon creatures in a silicon world. [74:04] Yuval Noah Harari: If I can get the attention of the algorithms, the humans will follow. [74:04] Yuval Noah Harari: In 10 or 20 years, it could be too late... the algorithms will be making the most important decisions. [76:21] Yuval Noah Harari: The point of the thought experiment is that the AI did exactly what it was told... but the strategy it chose was not aligned with the real intentions with the real interests of the human. [111:05] Yuval Noah Harari: People say, 'Oh, he's a very strong leader.' He's not—he's a very weak leader. A strong leader would be able to acknowledge: 'No, these people exist, they are part of reality, let's now find out how do we live with them.'

Original transcript

[0:00] the humans are still more powerful than [0:02] the AIS the problem is that we are [0:04] divided against each other and the [0:05] algorithms are using our weaknesses [0:08] against us and this is very dangerous [0:10] because once you believe that people who [0:12] don't think like you are your enemies [0:14] democracy collapses and then the [0:16] election becomes like a war so if [0:18] something ultimately destroys us it will [0:20] be our own delusions not the AIS we have [0:23] a big election in the United States yes [0:25] democracy in the states is quite fragile [0:27] but the big problem is what if [0:30] surely that will never happen youal Noah [0:33] Harari the author of some of the most [0:35] influential non-fiction books in the [0:36] world today and is now at the Forefront [0:38] of exploring the worldshaping power of [0:40] AI and how it is beyond anything [0:42] Humanity has ever faced before biggest [0:44] social networks in the world they're [0:45] effectively going to go for free speech [0:47] what is your take on that the issue is [0:48] not the humans the issue is the [0:50] algorithms so let me unpack this in the [0:52] 2010s there was a big battle between [0:55] algorithms for human attention now the [0:57] algorithms discovered when you look at [0:58] history the easiest way to grab human [1:00] attention is to press the fear button [1:02] the hate button the greed button the [1:05] problem is that there was a misalignment [1:07] between the goal that was defined to the [1:09] algorithm and the interests of human [1:11] society but this is how it becomes [1:13] really disconcerting because if so much [1:16] damage was done by giving the wrong goal [1:19] to A Primitive social media algorithm [1:21] what would be the results with AI in 20 [1:23] or 30 years so what's the solution we've [1:26] been in this situation many times before [1:28] in history and the answer is always the [1:30] same which is are you optimistic I try [1:33] to be a [1:37] realist this is a sentence I never [1:40] thought I'd say in my life um we've just [1:42] hit 7 million subscribers on YouTube and [1:44] I want to say a huge thank you to all of [1:45] you that show up here every Monday and [1:48] Thursday to watch our conversations um [1:50] from the bottom of my heart but also on [1:52] behalf of my team who you don't always [1:53] get to meet there's almost 50 people now [1:56] behind the D of a CEO that work to put [1:58] this together so from all of us thank [2:00] you so much um we did a raffle last [2:02] month and we gave away prizes for people [2:04] that subscribed to the show up until 7 [2:06] million subscribers and you guys love [2:07] that raffle so much that we're going to [2:09] continue it so every single month we're [2:12] giving away money can't buy prizes [2:13] including meetings with me invites to [2:15] our events and ,000 gift vouchers to [2:18] anyone that subscribes to the DI Co [2:20] there's now more than 7 million of you [2:21] so if you make the decision to subscribe [2:23] today you can be one of those lucky [2:24] people thank you from the bottom of my [2:26] heart let's get to the conversation [2:31] 10 years ago you made a video that was [2:34] titled why humans run the world it's a [2:38] very well-known Ted Talk that you [2:40] did after reading your new book Nexus I [2:44] wanted to ask you a slightly modified [2:45] question which is do you still believe [2:48] that 10 years from now humans will [2:51] fundamentally be running the [2:53] world I'm not sure it depends on the [2:56] decisions we all take in the coming [2:58] years but there is a chance that the [3:00] answer is no that in 10 years um [3:03] algorithms and AIS will be running the [3:06] world I'm not having in mind some kind [3:09] of hollywoodian Science Fiction scenario [3:11] of one big computer kind of Conquering [3:13] the world it's more like a bureaucracy [3:16] of AIS that we will have millions of AI [3:20] bureaucrats everywhere um you know in [3:23] the banks in the government in [3:26] businesses in universities making more [3:28] and more decisions about about our lives [3:31] that um everyday decisions whether to [3:34] give us a loan whether to accept us to a [3:36] job uh and we will find it more and more [3:39] difficult to understand the logic the [3:43] rationale why the algorithm refused to [3:45] give us a loan why the algorithm [3:48] accepted somebody else uh uh to for the [3:50] job and um you know you could still have [3:53] democracies with people voting for this [3:56] president or this prime minister but um [3:59] if most of the decisions are made by AIS [4:03] and humans including the politicians [4:05] have difficulty understanding the reason [4:08] why the AIS are making a particular [4:10] decision then power will gradually shift [4:14] from [4:15] Humanity uh to these new alien [4:19] intelligences alien intelligences yeah I [4:22] prefer to think about AI I I know that [4:24] the acronym is artificial intelligence [4:26] but I think it's more accurate to think [4:28] about it as an alien int intelligence [4:30] not in the sense of coming from out of [4:31] space in the sense that it makes [4:33] decision in a fundamentally different [4:35] way than than human mind artificial [4:40] means or or have the sense that we [4:43] design it we control it some something [4:46] artificial is made by humans with each [4:49] passing year AI is becoming less and [4:52] less artificial and more and more alien [4:57] uh yes we still design the kind of baby [5:00] AIS but then they learn and they change [5:03] and they start making uh unexpected [5:06] decisions and they start coming up with [5:08] new ideas which are an alien to the [5:12] human way of of doing things you know [5:14] there was this famous example with the [5:16] game of Go that in 2016 alpago defeated [5:20] the world champion Lisa do but the [5:22] amazing thing about it was was the way [5:25] it it did it because humans have been [5:27] playing go for 20 500 years a board game [5:31] a board game a a strategy game developed [5:34] in ancient China and considered one of [5:37] the basic Arts that any cultivated [5:40] civilized person in East in East Asia [5:43] had to know and tens of millions of [5:46] Chinese and Koreans and Japanese played [5:49] go for centuries entire philosophies [5:52] developed around the game of how to play [5:55] it it was considered a good preparation [5:58] for politics and for life and people [6:01] thought that they explored the [6:04] entire uh uh realm the entire geography [6:08] landscape of go and then alphago came [6:11] along and showed us that actually for [6:14] 2,500 years people were exploring just a [6:17] very small bit a very small part of the [6:20] landscape of go there are completely [6:23] different strategies of how to play the [6:25] game that not a single human being came [6:27] up with in more than 2,000 years of [6:30] playing it and Alpha go came up with it [6:32] in just a few days so this is alien [6:36] intelligence and you know if it's just a [6:38] game then but the same thing is likely [6:40] to happen in finance in medicine in [6:44] religion For Better or For [6:47] Worse you wrote this book Nexus Nexus [6:51] how do you pronounce it Nexus Nexus I'm [6:55] not an expert on pronunciation [6:57] so you could have written [7:00] many a book um you're someone that's I [7:03] think broadly curious about the nature [7:04] of life but also the nature of history [7:07] for you to write a book that is so [7:08] detailed and comprehensive there must [7:09] have been a pretty strong reason why [7:13] this book had to come from you now and [7:16] why is that because I think we need a [7:17] historical perspective on on the AI [7:20] Revolution I mean there are many books [7:22] about about AI this is Nexus is not a [7:24] book about the about AI it's a book [7:27] about the long-term history of [7:29] information networks I think that to [7:32] understand what is really new and [7:35] important about AI we need perspective [7:38] of thousands of years to go back and [7:41] look at previous information revolutions [7:44] like the invention of writing and the [7:46] printing press and the radio and only [7:49] then you really start to understand what [7:52] is happening around us right now uh one [7:56] thing you understand for instance is [7:58] that AI is really different people [8:00] compare it to previous revolutions but [8:03] it it's different because it's the first [8:05] technology ever in human history that is [8:09] able to make decisions [8:12] independently and to create new ideas [8:16] independently a printing press could [8:18] print my book but it could not write it [8:22] it could just copy my ideas an atom bomb [8:25] could destroy a city but it could it [8:27] can't decide by itself which City to bom [8:30] or why to Bone it and AI can do that and [8:33] you know there is a lot of hype right [8:35] now around AI so people get confused [8:38] because they now try to sell us to sell [8:40] us everything as AI like you want to [8:42] sell this table to somebody oh it's it's [8:44] an it's an AI table and this water this [8:47] is AI water so people what is AI [8:50] everything is AI no not everything um [8:53] there is a lot of automation out there [8:55] which is not AI if you think about a [8:57] coffee machine that makes coffee for you [9:01] it does things automatically but it's [9:03] not an AI it's pre-programmed by humans [9:06] to do certain things and it can never [9:09] learn or change by [9:12] itself a coffee machine becomes an AI if [9:15] you come to the coffee machine in the [9:16] morning and the Machine tells hey based [9:20] on what I know about you I guess that [9:23] you would like an [9:24] espresso it learned something about you [9:27] and it it and and and it it makes [9:29] independent decision it doesn't wait for [9:31] you to ask for the espresso and it's [9:33] it's really AI if it tells you and and I [9:37] just came up with a new drink it's [9:39] called Buffy and I think you would like [9:41] it that's really AI when it comes up [9:44] with completely new ideas that we did [9:47] not program into it and that we did not [9:51] anticipate and this is a GameChanger in [9:53] history it's it's bigger than the [9:55] printing press it's bigger than the atom [9:58] bomb you said we need to have a [10:00] historical perspective and do you [10:02] consider yourself to be a historian yes [10:04] that that's my my profession is a [10:06] historian that that's kind of this is my [10:08] training I was originally a specialist [10:10] in medieval military history I wrote [10:13] about the H Crusades and the 100 Years [10:16] War and the strategy and lo Logistics of [10:19] the English armies that invaded France [10:21] in the 14th century this was my my first [10:25] articles um and this is the kind of of [10:28] perspective or of knowledge that I also [10:31] bring to try and understand what's [10:32] happening now with with AI because most [10:35] people's understanding of what AI is [10:37] comes from them playing around with a [10:39] large language model like chat PT or [10:41] gemini or Gro or something that's like [10:43] their understanding of it you can ask it [10:44] a question and it gives you an answer [10:47] that's really what people think of AI as [10:49] and so it's easy to be a bit complacent [10:52] with it or to see this technological [10:54] shift as being [10:56] trivial but when you start talking about [10:58] information [11:00] and they like disruption of the flow of [11:01] information and information networks and [11:04] when you bring it back through history [11:05] and and you give us this perspective on [11:07] the fact that information effectively [11:09] glues us all together then it starts to [11:11] become for me I think about it [11:14] completely differently I mean there are [11:16] two ways I think about it I mean one way [11:18] is that when you realize that as you [11:20] said that information is is the basis [11:22] for everything when you start to shake [11:25] the basis everything can collapse or or [11:28] change or or something new could come up [11:31] for instance uh um democracies are made [11:34] possible only by Information Technology [11:37] democracy in essence is a conversation a [11:40] group of people conversing talking [11:43] trying to make decisions together [11:45] dictatorship is a somebody dictates [11:47] everything one person dictates [11:49] everything that's dictatorship democracy [11:51] is a conversation now in the Stone Age [11:54] hunter gatherers living in small bands [11:56] they were mostly Democratic whenever the [11:58] band need to decide anything they could [12:00] just talk with each other and and decide [12:03] as human societies grew bigger it just [12:06] became technically difficult to hold the [12:10] conversation so the only examples we [12:12] have from the ancient world for [12:14] democracies are small city states like [12:18] Athens or republican Rome these are the [12:20] two most famous examples not the only [12:21] ones but the most famous and even the [12:25] Ancients even philosophers like Plato [12:27] and Aristotle they knew once you go [12:30] beyond the level of a citystate [12:32] democracy is impossible we do not know [12:35] of a single example from the premodern [12:38] world of a large scale democracy [12:41] millions of people spread over a large [12:44] territory conducting their political [12:47] Affairs [12:48] democratically why not because of this [12:51] or that dictator that took power because [12:54] democracy was simply impossible you [12:56] cannot have a conversation between [12:58] millions of people when you don't have [13:00] the right [13:01] technology de large scale democracy [13:04] becomes Possible only in the late modern [13:06] era when a couple of information [13:09] Technologies appear first the newspaper [13:12] then Telegraph and radio and and [13:14] television and they make large scale [13:16] democracy possible so democracy it's not [13:19] like you have democracy and on the side [13:21] you have these information Technologies [13:23] now the basis of democracy is [13:25] information technology so if you have [13:28] some kind of Earth quake in the [13:30] information technology like the rise of [13:32] social media or the rise of AI this is [13:36] bound to shake democracy which is now [13:39] what we see around the world is that we [13:41] have the most sophisticated information [13:43] technology in history and people can't [13:46] talk with each other the Democratic [13:48] conversation is breaking down and every [13:50] country has its own explanation like you [13:52] talk to Americans what's happening there [13:54] between Democrats and Republicans why [13:56] can't they agree on even the most basic [13:58] facts and they give you all these [14:00] explanations about the unique conditions [14:02] of American history and Society but you [14:05] see the same thing in Brazil you see the [14:07] same thing in in France in the [14:09] Philippines so it can't be the unique [14:12] conditions of this or that country it's [14:14] the underlying technological Revolution [14:17] and the other thing that history kind of [14:20] um that I I bring from history is how [14:23] even relatively small technological [14:26] changes or seemingly small changes [14:29] can have far-reaching [14:31] consequences like you think about the [14:33] invention of writing originally it was [14:35] basically people playing with [14:38] mud I mean writing was invented for the [14:41] first it was invented many times in many [14:42] places but the most the first time in [14:45] ancient Mesopotamia people take clay [14:48] tablets which is basically pieces of mud [14:51] and they take a stick and they use the [14:54] stick to make marks in the in the clay [14:57] in the clay in the in the mud and this [14:59] is the invention of writing and this had [15:02] a profound effect to give just one [15:05] example um you think about ownership [15:09] what does it mean to own something like [15:11] I own a house I own a field so [15:15] previously before writing to own a field [15:18] if you live in a small Mesopotamian [15:20] Village like 7,000 years ago you own a [15:23] field this is a community Affair it [15:26] means that your neighbors agree that [15:29] this field is yours and they don't pick [15:32] fruits there and they don't graze their [15:34] sheep there because they agree it's [15:35] yours it's a community agreement then [15:38] comes writing and you have written [15:41] documents and ownership changes its [15:44] meaning now to own a field or a house [15:48] means that there is some piece of dry [15:51] mud somewhere in the archive of the king [15:54] with marks on it that says that you own [15:58] that field [16:00] so suddenly ownership is not a matter of [16:03] community agreement between the [16:04] neighbors it's a matter of which [16:06] document sits in the archive of the king [16:09] and it also means for instance that you [16:11] can sell your land to a stranger without [16:15] the permission of your neighbors simply [16:17] by giving the stranger this piece of dry [16:21] mud in exchange for gold or silver or [16:25] whatever so what a big change a [16:29] seemingly simple invention like using a [16:31] stick to to draw some some signs on a [16:34] piece of mud and and now think about [16:36] what AI will do to ownership like maybe [16:40] 10 years down the line to own your house [16:43] means that some AI says that you own it [16:46] and if the AI suddenly says that you [16:48] don't own it for whatever reason that [16:50] you don't even know that's it it's not [16:52] yours that that Mark on that piece of [16:55] mud was also the invention of sort of [16:58] written language [16:59] and I think I was thinking about when I [17:02] was reading your book about how language [17:04] holds our society together not in the [17:06] way that we we often might assume as in [17:08] me having a conversation with you but [17:11] passwords um poet passwords uh like [17:15] banking it's like our whole society is [17:17] secured by language yeah and the first [17:19] thing that the AIS have mastered is with [17:22] large language models is the ability to [17:25] replicate that which is which made me I [17:27] think about all the things that in my [17:28] life are actually held together with [17:30] language even my relationships now [17:31] because I don't see my friends my [17:33] friends live in Dubai and America and [17:36] Mexico so we conversate in language our [17:39] our relationships are held together in [17:40] language and as you said democracies are [17:42] held together in language um and now [17:46] there's a more intelligent Force that's [17:49] mastered that yeah it was so unexpected [17:52] like you know five years ago people said [17:53] AI will Master this or that self-driving [17:56] vehicles but language nah this is such a [17:59] complicated problem this is a the human [18:01] Masterpiece language it will never [18:03] Master language and CH GPT came and it [18:06] is you know I'm I'm a words person and [18:10] I'm simply Amazed by the quality of the [18:16] texts that uh these large language [18:19] language models produce it's not perfect [18:23] but uh they really understand the [18:26] semantic field of words they can string [18:29] words together and sentences to form a [18:32] coherent text that that's really [18:35] remarkable and as you said I mean this [18:37] is the basis for everything like I give [18:39] instructions to my bank with language if [18:42] AI can generate text and audio and image [18:47] then how do I communicate with the bank [18:50] in a way which is not open to [18:52] manipulation by an AI but the tempting [18:55] part in that sentence is you don't like [18:58] communicating with your bank anyway as [19:01] in calling them being on the phone [19:03] waiting for another human so the temp [19:06] the Temptation is know I don't like [19:08] speaking to my bank anyway so I'm [19:09] goingon to let the AI do that I'm gonna [19:11] invest if I can trust them I mean the [19:13] big question is I mean why does the bank [19:15] want me to call personally to make sure [19:17] that it's really me it's not somebody [19:19] else telling the bank oh make this [19:22] transfer to to I don't know Cayman [19:23] Islands it's really me and how do you [19:26] make sure how do you build this is TR I [19:29] mean the the Hall of Finance for [19:31] thousands of years is just one question [19:33] trust all these Financial devices money [19:36] itself is really just trust it's not [19:39] made from gold or silver or paper or [19:41] anything it's how do you create trust [19:43] between strangers and therefore most [19:45] Financial inventions in the end they are [19:48] linguistic and symbolic inventions it's [19:51] not you don't need some complicated [19:54] physics it's it's complicated symbolism [19:57] and now AI might start creating new [20:01] Financial devices and and will Master [20:03] Finance because it mastered language and [20:06] and like you said I mean we now [20:08] communicate with other people our [20:10] friends all over the world you know in [20:13] the 2010s there was a big battle between [20:16] algorithms for human attention we're [20:18] just discussing it before the podcast [20:20] like how do we get the attention of [20:22] people but there is something even more [20:24] powerful out there than attention and [20:27] that's intimacy [20:29] if you really want to influence people [20:33] intimacy is is more powerful than [20:35] attention how are you defining Intimacy [20:37] in this regard someone that you have a [20:41] long-term acquaintance with that you [20:44] know personally that you trust that to [20:47] some extent that you love that you care [20:50] about um and until today it was utterly [20:54] impossible to fake [20:56] intimacy and to must produce intimacy [21:00] you know dictators could must produce [21:02] attention you know once you have for [21:04] instance radio you can tell all the [21:07] people in Nazi Germany or in the Soviet [21:08] Union the great leader is giving a [21:10] speech everybody must turn their radio [21:13] on and listen so you can Mass produce [21:15] attention but this is not intimacy you [21:18] don't have intimacy with the great [21:19] leader now with AI you can for the first [21:23] time in history at least theoretically [21:25] must produce intimacy with millions of [21:29] maybe working for some [21:31] government uh are faking intimate [21:34] relationships with us which will be hard [21:36] to to know that this is a bot and not a [21:39] human [21:41] being H it's interesting because when I [21:45] I've had so many conversations with [21:46] relationship experts and a variety of [21:49] people that speak to the decline [21:52] in human to human intimacy and the rise [21:56] in loneliness and us becoming more um [21:59] sexless as a society and all of these [22:02] kinds of things so it's it's almost with [22:04] the decline in human to human intimacy [22:07] and human- to human connection and the [22:09] rise of the sort of AR the possibility [22:11] of artificial intimacy it begs the [22:14] question what the future might look like [22:15] in a world where people are lonlier than [22:16] ever more disconnected than ever but [22:18] still have the same maslovian need for [22:20] that connection and that feeling of you [22:22] know love and belonging and maybe this [22:24] is why we're seeing a rise in [22:27] polarization at the same time because [22:29] people are desperately trying to belong [22:32] somewhere and the algorithm is like [22:34] reinforcing my echo chamber so you know [22:37] and [22:39] it's but I don't know how that [22:42] ends I don't think it's deterministic it [22:44] depends on the decision we make [22:46] individually and as a society uh there [22:49] are of course also wonderful things that [22:51] this technology can do for us uh the [22:54] ability of AI to hold a conversation the [22:57] ability to understand your emotions it [23:01] can potentially mean that we will have [23:03] lots of AI teachers and AI uh uh doctors [23:08] and AI therapists that can give us [23:12] better health care services better [23:15] Education Services than ever before [23:17] instead of being you know a kid in a [23:20] class of 40 other kids that the teacher [23:22] is barely able to give attention to this [23:25] particular child and understand his or [23:27] her specific needs and his or her [23:30] specific personality you can have an A [23:33] AI tutor that is focused entirely on you [23:38] and that is able to give you a quality [23:40] of Education which is really [23:42] unparalleled I had this debate with my [23:44] friend uh on the weekend he's got two [23:47] young kids who are one years old and [23:50] three years old and we were discussing [23:51] in the future in sort of 16 years time [23:55] where would you rather send your child [23:57] would you rather send your child to be [23:58] taught by a human in a classroom as [24:00] you've described with lots of people [24:01] lots of noise where they're not getting [24:02] personalized learning so if the [24:03] classroom are more intelligent they're [24:05] being left behind if they're more [24:06] intelligent they're being dragged back [24:08] or would you rather your child sat in [24:10] front of a screen potentially or a [24:13] humanoid robot and was given really [24:15] personalized tailored [24:17] education that was probably [24:19] significantly cheaper than say private [24:21] education or [24:23] university but you need the combination [24:25] I mean I think that the the for for many [24:27] of the lessons [24:29] it will be better to go with the AI [24:31] tutor which again you don't even have to [24:33] sit in in in front of a screen you can [24:35] go to the park and get a a lesson on on [24:38] on ecology just listening on on on as as [24:41] you walk but you will need uh large [24:45] groups of kids for break time because [24:48] very often you learn the the most [24:50] important lessons in school are not [24:52] learned during the lessons they are [24:54] learned during the breaks and this is [24:56] something that should not be automated [24:59] uh you would still need large group of [25:02] of children together with with human [25:04] supervision uh for that the other thing [25:07] I I thought about a lot when I was [25:08] reading your book is this idea that I [25:10] would assume that us having more [25:12] information and more access to [25:14] information would lead to more truth in [25:18] the world less conspiracy more agreement [25:22] but that doesn't seem to be the case no [25:25] not at all uh most information in the [25:27] world is junk I mean I think the best [25:29] way to think about it is it's it's like [25:31] with [25:32] food that there was a time like a [25:35] century ago in many countries where food [25:37] was scarce so people ate whatever they [25:40] could get especially it was full of fat [25:43] and sugar uh and they thought that more [25:46] food is always good like if you ask your [25:48] great grandmother she would yes more [25:50] food is always good and then we reach a [25:53] time of abundance in in in food and uh [25:57] we have all these [25:59] industrialized processed food which is [26:01] artificially full of fat and sugar and [26:03] salt and whatever and it's obviously ban [26:07] for us the idea that more food is always [26:09] good no and definitely not all this uh [26:13] junk food and the same thing has [26:15] happened with information that [26:16] information was once scarce so if you [26:19] could get your hands on a book you would [26:20] read it because it was nothing else and [26:23] now information is abundant we are [26:25] flooded by information and much f is [26:28] junk information which is artificially [26:31] full of greed and anger and fear because [26:35] of this battle for [26:37] attention um and it's not good for us so [26:41] we basically need to go on an [26:42] information diet that uh again the first [26:45] step is to realize that it's not the [26:48] case that more information is always [26:50] good for us we need a limited amount and [26:52] we actually need more time to [26:55] digest the information and we have to be [26:58] off of course also careful about the [27:00] quality of what we take in because uh [27:04] again of the abundance of of junk [27:06] information and the the basic [27:08] misconception I think is this link [27:11] between information and truth that [27:13] people think okay if I get a lot of [27:15] information this is the raw material of [27:17] Truth and I more information will mean [27:20] more [27:21] knowledge and that's not the case [27:24] because even in nature most information [27:27] is not about the truth the basic [27:30] function of information in history and [27:33] also in biology is to connect [27:36] information is [27:38] connection and when you look at history [27:41] you see that very often the easiest way [27:44] to connect people is not with the truth [27:46] because the truth is a is a costly and [27:49] and and rare kind of information it's [27:52] usually easier to connect people with [27:55] fantasy with fiction uh why because the [27:59] truth tends to be not just costly the [28:02] truth tends to be complicated and it [28:04] tends to be uncomfortable and sometimes [28:08] painful if you think of you know like in [28:11] politics uh a politician who would tell [28:14] people the whole truth about their [28:17] nation is unlikely to win the elections [28:20] because every nation has these skeletons [28:23] in the cuper and all these dark sides [28:25] and dark episodes that people don't want [28:27] to be confronted [28:29] with so we see that politically it's not [28:33] uh uh if you want to connect Nations [28:36] religions political parties you often do [28:39] it with fictions and Fantasies and [28:42] fear um I was thinking about sapiens and [28:45] the role that stories play um in [28:48] engaging our brains and I was thinking a [28:50] lot about the narratives in the UK we [28:51] have a narrative where we we're told [28:54] that much of the cause of the problems [28:56] we have in society are employment um [28:59] other issues with crime are because [29:01] there's people crossing from France on [29:03] boats and in the U and it's a very [29:05] effective narrative to get people to [29:07] band together to march in the streets [29:08] and in America obviously the same [29:10] Narrative of the wall and the southern [29:11] border um they're crossing our border in [29:14] the millions it's their rapists it's [29:15] then they're not sending their good [29:16] people they're coming from mental [29:17] institutions has galvanized people [29:20] together and those people are now like [29:22] marching in the streets and voting based [29:24] on that story that is a fearful story [29:27] it's a very powerful story because it [29:29] connects to something very deep in [29:31] inside us uh and if you want to get [29:34] people's attention if you want to get [29:36] people's engagement so the fear button [29:39] is one of the most efficient most [29:42] effective buttons to press in the human [29:44] mind and again goes back to the Stone [29:47] Age so if you live in a stone age tribe [29:51] uh one of your biggest worries is that [29:54] the people from the other tribe will [29:56] come to your territory [29:58] and you will take your food or we will [30:01] kill you um so this is a very ingrained [30:05] fear in not just in humans in every [30:07] Social Animal you they did experiments [30:10] on chimpanzees that show that [30:12] chimpanzees have a also a kind of almost [30:15] instinctive H fear or disgust towards [30:19] foreign chimpanzees from a different [30:22] band and politicians and religious [30:24] leaders and and and they learn how to [30:26] play on these uh uh human emotions [30:31] almost like you play on a piano you know [30:34] originally these feelings like [30:36] discussed they evolved in order to help [30:40] us um you know on the most basic level [30:44] discuss is there because you know as as [30:47] especially as a kid you want to [30:49] experiment with different foods but if [30:51] you eat something that is bad for you [30:53] you need to to to you know puke it you [30:56] need to to to throw it out so you have [30:59] discuss protecting you but then you have [31:03] religious and political leaders [31:04] throughout history hijacking this [31:07] defensive mechanism and teaching people [31:10] from a very young age to not just to [31:12] fear but to be [31:14] disgusted by foreign people by people [31:17] who look different and this is again you [31:21] as an adult you can learn all the [31:23] theories and you can educate yourself [31:26] that this is not true but still very [31:27] deep in your mind if that there is a a [31:31] part that is just these people are [31:34] disgusting these people are [31:37] dangerous and uh we saw it throughout [31:40] history [31:41] how many different movements have [31:44] learned how to use this uh uh emotional [31:48] mechanisms to to motivate people we we [31:53] we sit down at a very interesting time [31:55] youal because two quite significant [31:58] things have happened in the last I think [32:00] year as it relates to information and [32:03] many of the things we've been talking [32:04] about one of them is Elon Musk bought [32:06] Twitter and his real mandate has been [32:09] this idea of free speech and as part of [32:11] that mandate he's unblocked a number of [32:14] figures who were previously blocked on [32:16] Twitter um a lot of them right leaning [32:18] people that were blocked for a variety [32:20] of different reasons and then also this [32:22] week Mark Zuckerberg released basically [32:24] a letter publicly and in that letter he [32:27] says that he [32:28] re regrets the fact that he cooperated [32:32] so much with the FBI the government when [32:35] they asked him to censor things on [32:37] Facebook one particular story he says he [32:39] regrets doing that and it looks like if [32:41] you read between what he's saying well [32:43] he actually says it explicitly he says [32:44] we're going to push back harder in the [32:46] future if governments or anybody else [32:48] asks us to censor certain messaging now [32:51] what what I'm seeing is that Twitter [32:53] which is one of the biggest social [32:54] networks in the world and meta the [32:55] biggest social network in the world have [32:57] now taken this dance that effectively [32:59] they're going to let information flow [33:01] they're effectively going to go for this [33:03] free speech narrative now as someone [33:05] that's used these platforms for a long [33:06] time specifically X or Twitter it is [33:10] crazy how different it is these days [33:12] there are things that I see every time I [33:14] scroll that I never would have seen [33:17] before this free speech um position now [33:20] I'm not taking a stance whether it's [33:21] good or bad it's just very interesting [33:24] and there's clearly an algorithm that is [33:26] now really like if I scroll if I go on X [33:29] right now I will see someone being [33:30] killed with a knife I reckon within 30 [33:32] seconds and I will see someone getting [33:35] hit by a car um I will see extreme [33:39] islamophobia potentially um but then [33:42] I'll also see the other side so it's not [33:43] just I'm saying I'll see all of the [33:45] sides and when you talking earlier about [33:47] like is that good for me I I had a [33:49] flashback to my friend this weekend it [33:51] was my birthday so my me and my friends [33:52] were together just looking over at him [33:54] mindlessly scrolling these like horror [33:56] videos on Twitter as he was sat on my [33:58] left thinking God he's like frying his [34:00] dopamine receptors and I just I just [34:02] think this whole new like free speech [34:05] movement what is your take on this idea [34:08] of free speech in the role you know only [34:10] humans have free speech Bots don't have [34:13] free speech the tech companies are [34:16] constantly confusing us about this issue [34:19] because the issue is not the humans the [34:21] issue is the algorithms and let let me [34:23] explain what I mean if the question is [34:26] whether to ban some somebody like Donald [34:28] Trump from Twitter I agree this is a [34:31] very difficult issue and we should be [34:32] extremely careful about banning human [34:35] beings especially important politicians [34:38] from voicing their views and opinions [34:41] however much we dislike their opinions [34:43] or or them personally it's a very [34:45] serious matter to ban any human being [34:49] from from a platform but this is not the [34:52] problem the problem on the platform is [34:54] not the human users the problem is the [34:57] algor ithms and the companies constantly [35:00] shift the blame to the humans in order [35:02] to protect their business interests so [35:05] let let me unpack this humans create a [35:08] lot of content all the time they create [35:11] hateful content they create ceremon on [35:14] compassion they create cooking lessons [35:17] biology lessons so many different things [35:19] a flood of information the big question [35:22] is then what gets human attention [35:25] everybody wants attention now [35:28] uh the companies also want attention the [35:31] companies give the algorithms that run [35:34] the social media platforms a very simple [35:37] goal increase user engagement make [35:41] people spend more time on Twitter more [35:43] time on Facebook engage more sending [35:46] more uh uh likes and recommending to [35:49] their friends why because the more time [35:51] we spend on the platforms the more money [35:53] they make very very simple now the [35:56] algorithms made a huge huge Discovery by [36:00] experimenting on millions of human [36:03] guineapigs the algorithms discovered [36:05] that if you want to grab human attention [36:08] the easiest way to do it is to press the [36:11] fear button the hate button the greed [36:14] button and they started recommending to [36:18] users to watch more and more content [36:21] full of hate and fear and greed to keep [36:24] them glued to the screen [36:27] and this is the deep cause of the [36:30] epidemic of fake news and conspiracy [36:32] theories and and and so forth and the [36:36] the defense of of the companies is we [36:38] are not producing the [36:40] content somebody a human being produced [36:43] a hatefield conspiracy theory about [36:46] immigrants and it's not us it's like a [36:50] bit like I don't know the the the chief [36:52] editor of the New York Times publishing [36:54] a hatefi conspiracy theory on the front [36:57] of the first page of the newspaper and [37:00] when you ask him why did you do it or [37:02] you blame him look what you did he says [37:04] I didn't do anything I didn't write the [37:06] piece I just put it on the front of the [37:09] New York Times that's all that's nothing [37:11] it's not [37:12] nothing people are producing immense [37:15] amount of [37:16] content the algorithms are the king [37:19] makers they are the editors now they [37:22] decide what gets viewed sometimes they [37:25] just recommend it to you sometimes they [37:27] actually auto play it to you like you [37:30] you you chose to watch some video at the [37:32] end of the video to keep you glued to [37:35] the screen the algorithm immediately [37:37] without you telling him it the algorithm [37:41] without you telling the algorithm the [37:42] algorithm autop [37:44] plays some kind of video full of fear or [37:48] greed just to keep you glued to the [37:50] screen it is the algorithm doing it and [37:53] this should be banned or this should at [37:55] least be uh uh supervised and regulated [37:58] and this is not free freedom of speech [38:01] because the algorithms don't have [38:03] freedom of [38:04] speech uh yeah the person who produced [38:06] the hatefield video I would be careful [38:10] about banning them but that's not the [38:12] problem it's the recommendation which is [38:15] the problem the second problem is that a [38:19] lot of the conversations now online are [38:23] being overrun by Bots again if you look [38:27] for instance at Twitter X as an example [38:30] so people often want to know what is [38:33] trending what which stories get the most [38:36] attention if everybody's interested in [38:38] in in a particular story I also want to [38:40] know what everybody's talking [38:42] about and very often it's the Bots that [38:45] are driving the conversation because a [38:48] particular story initially gets a lot of [38:51] traction a lot of traffic because a lot [38:54] of bots Retreat it and then people see [38:57] see it and think they don't know it's [38:59] Bots they think it's humans so they say [39:01] oh lots of humans are interested in in [39:04] this so I also want to know what's [39:05] happening and this draws more attention [39:08] this should be forbidden buts are uh [39:11] very basically you cannot have ai [39:15] pretending to be human beings this is [39:17] fake humans this is counterfeit humans [39:20] if you see activity online and you think [39:22] it's human activity but actually it's [39:24] bought activity this should be banned [39:27] and [39:27] doesn't uh uh uh harm the free speech of [39:33] any human being because it's a bot it [39:35] doesn't have freedom of [39:37] speech I was thinking a lot about what [39:39] you said about these algorithms are [39:40] actually running running the world and I [39:44] mean yeah so if the algorithms are [39:46] deciding what I see based on what I [39:47] spend my time looking at because they [39:49] want to make you know the platforms want [39:50] to make more money and if I have a [39:53] innate sort of predisposition to spend [39:55] more time focused on things that scare [39:57] me yeah or [39:59] then you just have to give me a couple [40:02] of years and every year that goes past [40:05] I'll become more fearful more it [40:07] reinforces your own weaknesses I mean [40:10] again it's like the food industry so the [40:12] food industry discovered we liked food [40:15] with a lot of salt and and and fat in it [40:18] and gives it more to us and then it says [40:21] but this is what the customers want what [40:22] do they want from us it's the same thing [40:24] but even worse with these algor [40:27] algorithms that because this is the food [40:29] for the mind yes humans have a tendency [40:32] that if something is very frightening or [40:35] something fills them with anger they [40:37] they focus on it and they tell all the [40:39] friends about it but to artificially [40:42] amplify it it's not it just it's just [40:45] not good for our Mental Health and [40:47] Social Health it is using our own [40:50] weaknesses against us instead of helping [40:53] us deal with them is it fair to say now [40:56] this is me just jumping to conclusions a [40:58] little bit but is it fair to say that in [41:00] a world where you remove um restrictions [41:03] around blocking certain characters [41:06] right-wing characters that are their [41:07] messages maybe based on immigration Etc [41:10] you remove those restrictions so they're [41:12] all allowed on every platform and then [41:14] you program the algorithm to be focused [41:16] on Revenue that eventually more people [41:19] will become right-wing and I say that in [41:22] part [41:23] because it's it's a right-wing narrative [41:25] to say that immigrants are bad and that [41:27] you know I'm not saying that the left [41:29] are innocent because they're absolutely [41:31] not but I'm saying that the fearful [41:34] narratives the fear seems to come more [41:36] from the right in my opinion MH like [41:39] especially in the UK it was the fear [41:41] comes from immigrants and these people [41:42] are going to take your money and all [41:43] these kinds of things um I I I think the [41:47] key issue is to not to label it as a [41:50] right or left issue because again [41:54] democracy is a conversation and you can [41:57] have a conversation only if you have [41:58] several different opinions and it's I [42:01] think it should be okay to have a [42:03] conversation about immigration that [42:05] people should be able to have different [42:07] opinions about it uh that's fine the [42:11] problem starts when uh one side [42:16] vilifies and and [42:19] demonizes anybody who doesn't think and [42:22] you see it to some extent from both [42:24] sides but in in the case of immigration [42:26] so you would have these conspiracy [42:28] theories that anybody who supports [42:30] immigration for instance they want to [42:32] destroy the country they are part of [42:35] this conspiracy to flood the country [42:37] with immigrants and to change its nature [42:39] and and whatever and this is the problem [42:43] that uh democracy once you believe that [42:48] people who don't think like you they are [42:50] not just your political Rivals they are [42:53] your enemies they are out to destroy you [42:58] they intend to destroy your way of life [43:00] your group then democracy [43:03] collapses because there can be no way uh [43:07] between enemies democracy doesn't work [43:10] it works if you think that the other [43:12] side is wrong but there are still [43:15] essentially good people who care about [43:17] the country who care about me but they [43:19] have different opinions if you think [43:21] that they are my enemies they try to [43:24] destroy me then the election becomes [43:27] like a war because you're fighting for [43:29] your survival you would do anything to [43:32] win the election because your survival [43:34] is at stake if you lose you have no [43:37] incentive to accept the verdict if you [43:40] win you only take care of your tribe and [43:43] not of the enemy tribe what if you don't [43:45] believe the election is legitimate then [43:48] democracy can't [43:50] function uh this is the again the basic [43:52] democracy can't exist in just any it's [43:55] like it's like a delicate plant that [43:57] needs certain conditions in order to [44:00] survive and to flourish and one [44:02] condition for instance is that you have [44:04] information technologies that allows a [44:06] conversation another condition is that [44:09] you trust the institutions if you don't [44:12] trust the institution of [44:14] Elections it doesn't work and and a [44:17] third condition is that you need to [44:20] think that the people on the other side [44:22] of the political divide they are my [44:24] rivals but they are not my enemies [44:27] now the problem with what's happening [44:29] now with Democratic conversations is [44:32] because of this tendency to go to more [44:34] and more and more [44:36] extremes it creates the impression that [44:39] the other side is is an enemy and this [44:43] is a problem not just for the right also [44:45] for the left that on both sides you see [44:48] this this uh uh uh feeling that the [44:52] other side is the is an enemy and that [44:55] its positions are completely [44:58] illegitimate and if we reach that point [45:00] then the conversation [45:02] collapses and it should be possible to [45:05] have complex conversations and [45:07] discussions about difficult issues like [45:10] immigration like gender like climate [45:13] change without seeing the other side as [45:17] an enemy which was possible for you know [45:19] for Generations so why is it that now it [45:22] seems to just become impossible to talk [45:25] with the other side or to about [45:29] anything we have a big election in the [45:31] United States this year very big one [45:33] yeah do you think a lot about it uh yes [45:37] yes I mean it seems like a very L it [45:39] will be a coin TOS I mean like [45:42] 50/50 um you know elections become [45:46] really an existential [45:48] issue if there is a chance they will be [45:51] the last [45:53] elections if one side is intends to [45:58] Simply change the rules of the game if [46:01] it comes to power then it becomes [46:03] existential because again democracy [46:06] works on the basis of self-correcting [46:09] mechanisms that this is the big [46:11] advantage of democracy over dictatorship [46:14] in a dictatorship a dictator can make a [46:16] lot of good decisions but sooner or [46:18] later they will make a bad decision and [46:20] there is no mechanism in a dictatorship [46:23] to identify and correct such mistakes [46:26] mistakes like Putin yeah there is just [46:29] no mechanism in Russia that could say [46:32] Putin made a mistake he should go he [46:34] should let somebody else try a different [46:37] course of action this is the great [46:39] advantage of democracy you try something [46:42] it doesn't work you try something else [46:44] but the big problem is what if you [46:46] choose someone who then changes the [46:49] system neutralizes its self-correcting [46:52] mechanism and then you cannot get rid of [46:54] him anymore this is what happened for [46:56] instance in Venezuela that or originally [46:59] Chavez and the chavista movement they [47:01] came to power democratically people [47:03] wanted to let's try this and now in the [47:06] last elections a couple of weeks ago um [47:09] the evidence is very very clear that [47:11] Maduro lost big time but uh he controls [47:14] everything the election committee [47:16] everything and he claims no I won and [47:19] the they destroyed Venezuela you know [47:22] it's something like a quarter of the [47:23] population fled the country which was [47:27] one of the richest countries in in South [47:29] America before and they just can't get [47:32] get rid of the guy surely that will [47:34] never happen in the west oh don't say [47:37] never in history uh uh history can can [47:41] catch up with you whoever you are that's [47:44] one of the Illusions we Venezuela was [47:46] part of the West in in many ways still [47:48] is this is one of the Illusions we live [47:50] under though we think oh that that can [47:52] never happen to the UK or the United [47:54] States or Canada these sort of of quote [47:57] unquote civilized Nations you know [48:01] According to some measurements democracy [48:03] in the United States is quite new and [48:05] quite quite fragile if you think about [48:08] it in terms of of who gets to vote for [48:11] instance so um it's yeah it would be [48:16] again I don't know what are the chances [48:18] but even if there is a 20% chance that a [48:22] trump Administration would change the [48:24] rules of the game of American democracy [48:27] in such a way to as to make it for [48:30] instance by uh uh changing the rules [48:33] about who votes or how do you count [48:36] votes H that it will become almost [48:39] impossible to get rid of them uh that's [48:42] not that that's not out of the possible [48:45] in historical [48:47] terms do you think it's possible that [48:48] Trump will do that yes I mean you saw it [48:51] on the 6th of January I mean the the the [48:53] most sensitive moment in in every [48:56] democracy is the moment of transfer of [48:58] power and the magic of democracy is that [49:02] democracy is meant to ensure a peaceful [49:05] transfer of power that as I said like [49:08] you choose one party you give them a try [49:11] after some time if people say they [49:13] didn't do a good job let's try somebody [49:15] else and you know you have people who [49:18] hold in the United States they hold the [49:21] biggest power in the world the president [49:23] of the United States have enough power [49:24] to destroy human civilization [49:27] all these nuclear missiles all this Army [49:30] and he loses the election and he says [49:33] okay I give up all this power and I let [49:36] the other guy try this is this is [49:39] amazing and this is exactly what Trump [49:41] didn't do he from the beginning I mean [49:45] even from 2016 he refused they they [49:48] asked him directly if you lose the [49:50] election will you accept the results and [49:52] he said no and um in 2020 he did not [49:56] hand power peacefully he tried to [49:59] prevent it and the fact that he is now [50:02] running again and I I think to some [50:05] extent the lesson he got from the sixth [50:07] of January is that I can basically get [50:10] away with anything at least with my [50:13] people with my base that it was like a a [50:17] a test a try if I do this extreme thing [50:21] and they still support me [50:23] afterwards it basically means they will [50:26] support me no matter what I do I'm I'm [50:29] wondering in a world of um such a [50:31] fragile democracy when information Flows [50:34] In networks are disrupted by something [50:36] like AI if misinformation and [50:40] disinformation and the ability for me to [50:41] make a video I could make a video right [50:43] now of Donald Trump speaking and saying [50:45] something in his voice um and I could [50:48] help that video go viral like how do you [50:51] hold [50:52] together democracy and communication [50:54] when you don't believe anything that [50:56] you're seeing online H and we're just at [50:59] the start of this now so I we haven't [51:00] seen anything yet this is just really [51:02] the the first baby steps I'm going to [51:05] play a video on the screen right now so [51:07] people can see and for those listening [51:08] you'll just hear it but I'm going to [51:09] play a video that Isaac over there in [51:11] the corner of the room made of me [51:13] speaking in this chair and it wasn't me [51:16] and I didn't say it and I wasn't in this [51:17] chair hey there this is AI Steve do you [51:20] think I'll be able to take over the dire [51:22] of a CEO one day leave your comments [51:24] below and it sounds EX like me identical [51:27] and it's not me and I I wonder this with [51:30] you know mo most of us get our political [51:31] information and our information [51:32] generally now from social media yeah [51:35] from and if I can't believe anything [51:37] that I'm seeing because it's all easy to [51:38] make some kid in Russia in their bedroom [51:40] could make a video of the Prime Minister [51:42] here um I don't know where we get our [51:45] information from anymore how we the [51:46] answer is institutions we've been in [51:48] this situation many times before in [51:51] history and the answer is always the [51:53] same institutions you cannot trust the [51:55] technology you trust the institution [51:58] that verifies the information think [52:01] about it like with with [52:03] print that um you can write on a piece [52:06] of paper anything you want you can write [52:10] the prime minister of Britain said and [52:12] then you open quotation marks and you [52:14] put something into the mouth of the [52:16] Prime Minister you can write anything [52:17] you want and when people read it they [52:21] don't believe it or they they shouldn't [52:23] believe it just because it's written [52:25] that the prime minister said it doesn't [52:27] mean that it's true so how do we know [52:30] which pieces of paper to believe as an [52:33] institution we would believe or greater [52:36] chance we will believe if on the front [52:38] page of the New York Times or of the [52:41] Sunday Times of the Guardian you will [52:44] have the British prime minister said [52:46] open quotation marks blah blah blah [52:48] because we don't trust the paper or the [52:50] Inc we trust the institution of the [52:53] guardian of the or the Wall Street [52:55] Journal or whatever [52:57] with videos we never had to do that [52:59] because nobody could fake them so we [53:01] trusted the technology if we saw a video [53:04] we said ah this is this has to be true [53:06] but when it becomes very easy to fake [53:09] videos then we revert to the same [53:12] Principle as with Sprint we need an [53:15] institution to verify it if we see the [53:18] video on the official website of CNN or [53:23] of the Wall Street Journal than we [53:25] believe it because we believe the [53:27] institution backing it and if it's just [53:30] something on Tik Tok we know that you [53:32] know any kid can do that why why should [53:34] I believe it so now we are in the [53:36] transition period we are still not used [53:39] to it so when we see a video of Donald [53:42] Trump or Joe Biden the video still gets [53:45] to us because we grew up in a time when [53:48] it was impossible to fake it but I think [53:51] very quickly people will realize you [53:53] can't trust videos you can only trust [53:56] the the [53:57] institutions and the the question is [53:59] will we be able to produce uh to create [54:02] to maintain trustworthy institutions [54:05] fast enough to save the Democratic [54:09] conversation because if not if you can't [54:12] believe anything this is the ideal for [54:15] dictators uh uh when you can't trust [54:18] anything the only system that works is a [54:21] dictatorship because democracy works on [54:24] trust but dictatorship works on terror [54:27] on fear you don't need to trust anything [54:29] in a dictatorship you don't trust [54:31] anything you [54:32] fear uh for democracy to work you need [54:35] to trust for instance that some [54:37] information is reliable that the [54:39] election committee is impartial that the [54:43] courts are just and uh uh if more and [54:47] more institutions are attacked and [54:49] people lose trust in them then then then [54:53] democracy collapses uh but going going [54:55] back to to to information so one option [54:58] is that the old institutions like [55:01] newspapers and TV stations uh uh they [55:04] will be the institutions that we trust [55:07] to verify certain videos or we will see [55:11] the emergence of new [55:13] institutions and the again the big [55:15] question is whether uh we'll be able to [55:18] develop trust in them and I specifically [55:20] say institutions and not [55:23] individuals no large scale soci Society [55:26] especially not a Democratic Society can [55:29] function without trustworthy [55:32] bureaucratic [55:35] institutions and will those bureaucratic [55:38] institutions be AI That's the big [55:41] question because increasingly AIS will [55:44] be the [55:45] bureaucrats and what do you mean by [55:47] bureaucrats what's the word bureaucrat [55:48] what does that mean oh uh that that's a [55:50] very important question because uh uh [55:52] human civilization runs on bureaucracy [55:54] bureaucrats are essentially officient in [55:56] government that TR not just in [55:58] government it's I mean the origin of the [56:00] word bureaucrat it comes from French [56:02] from the 18th century and bureaucracy is [56:06] is means the the rule of the writing [56:08] desk is to rule the world or to rule [56:11] Society with pen and papers and [56:14] documents like the example we gave in [56:17] the very beginning about [56:19] ownership so there you own a house [56:22] because there is a document in some [56:24] archive that says that you own it and a [56:28] bureaucrat produced this document and if [56:31] you now need to retrieve it then this is [56:34] the job of of a bureaucrat to find the [56:36] right document at the right time and all [56:40] big uh uh uh systems run on it hospitals [56:43] and schools and corporations and Banks [56:46] and and sports associations and [56:49] libraries they they all run on these [56:52] documents and and the bureaucrats who [56:54] know how to read and write write and [56:56] find and file [56:59] documents one of our big problems is [57:01] that it's it's it's difficult for us to [57:05] understand bureaucratic systems because [57:07] there are a very recent development in [57:09] human evolution and this makes us [57:12] suspicious about them and we tend to uh [57:16] believe all kinds of uh uh conspiracy [57:20] theories about the Deep State and about [57:22] what what's going on in all these [57:24] bureaucracies [57:26] and it's really complicated and it's [57:28] going to be more complicated as more of [57:30] the decisions will be made by AI [57:32] bureaucrats and AI bureaucrat means that [57:36] decisions like how much money to [57:38] allocate to a particular issue will no [57:41] longer be made by a human official it [57:44] will be made by an algorithm and when [57:47] people decide why when people ask why is [57:51] the switch system broken why didn't they [57:54] why didn't they give enough money to fix [57:55] it [57:56] I don't know the algorithm just decided [57:59] to give the money to something else why [58:02] will bureaucracies be run by AI over [58:05] people like why will at some point a [58:07] nation decide that in fact AI can is [58:09] better at making these decisions first [58:12] of first of all it's not a future [58:14] development it's already happening more [58:16] and more of the decisions are being made [58:18] by AIS and this is just because the [58:21] amounts of information you need to take [58:23] into account are are enormous [58:27] and it's very difficult for humans to do [58:29] it it's much easier for the AIS to do it [58:33] if all these people you know bureaucrats [58:35] lawyers accountants it sounds like I I [58:37] always wonder you know what are humans [58:39] going to be left to do in your book you [58:41] say that AI is going to [58:46] far AI is going so far beyond human [58:49] intelligence that it should actually be [58:50] referred to alien intelligence now if it [58:53] goes so far beyond human intelligence [58:55] it's my asson that most of the work that [58:57] we do is based on intelligence so even [59:01] like me doing this podcast now this is [59:03] me asking questions based on information [59:05] that I've gathered based on what I think [59:07] I'm interested in but also based on what [59:09] I think the audience will be interested [59:10] in and compared to AI I'm a like a [59:14] little monkey like I you know what I [59:15] mean if if an AI has an IQ that is 100 [59:18] times mine in in source of information [59:21] that is a fat million times bigger than [59:22] mine there's no need for me to do this [59:24] podcast I can get an AI to do it and in [59:26] fact an AI can talk to an AI and deliver [59:28] that information to a human but then if [59:30] we look at most Industries like being a [59:32] lawyer um accountancy I mean a lot of [59:36] Med the medical profession is based on [59:38] information um driving I think that's [59:41] the biggest employer in the world is the [59:42] profession of driving whether it's [59:43] delivery or Uber or whatever it is um [59:46] where where do humans belong in this [59:49] complex anything which is just [59:51] information in information out is ripe [59:54] for automation these are the easiest [59:57] jobs to [59:58] automate um like being a coder like [60:01] being a coder or again like being an [60:04] accountant at least certain types of [60:06] accountants lawyers doctors they are the [60:09] easiest to automate if a doctor the only [60:12] thing they do is just take information [60:14] in all kind of results of blood tests [60:17] and whatever and they information out [60:20] the they diagnose the disease and they [60:22] write a prescription this will be easy [60:25] to automate in the coming years and [60:27] decades but a lot of jobs they require [60:31] also social skills and motor skills if [60:35] your job requires a combination of [60:38] skills from several different fields [60:40] it's it's not impossible but it's much [60:43] more difficult to automate it so if you [60:45] think about a nurse that needs to [60:47] replace a bandage to a crying child this [60:50] is much much harder to automate than [60:53] just a doctor that writes a prescription [60:56] because this is not just data the nurse [60:59] needs uh uh good social skills to [61:02] interact with the child and motor skills [61:04] to just replace the [61:06] bandage um so this is harder to [61:10] automate and uh there will even for [61:13] people who just deal with information [61:15] there will be new jobs the problem will [61:17] be the retraining and not just you know [61:21] retraining in terms of of acquiring new [61:23] skills but psychological retrain [61:26] training how do you kind of reinvent [61:28] yourself in a new profession and do it [61:31] not once but again and again and again [61:34] because as the AI Revolution unfolds and [61:37] we have just at the very beginning of it [61:38] we haven't seen anything yet so there [61:41] will be old jobs disappearing new jobs [61:44] emerging but the new jobs will rapidly [61:46] change and vanish and then there will be [61:48] a new wave of new jobs and people will [61:51] have to reinvent themselves four five [61:54] six times to stay relevant [61:56] and this will create immense [61:58] psychological [61:59] stress so many of the big companies are [62:02] also working at the same time on [62:03] humanoid robots there's this humanoid [62:05] robot race going on and by humanoid [62:07] robots I mean you know Tesla have their [62:10] humanoid robot I think it's called Optus [62:12] which they're developing and it'll cost [62:13] you know X thousands of pounds and and I [62:16] watched a video of it recently where it [62:17] can do quite delicate sort of motor [62:19] skill based stuff so probably clean the [62:21] house it can probably work on the [62:22] production line can probably put things [62:24] in boxes [62:27] um and I just wonder when we say you [62:29] know people are going to lose their jobs [62:31] in a world where you have humanoid [62:32] robots and you have intelligence that's [62:34] beyond us and you combine the two where [62:36] these humanoid robots are very very [62:37] intelligent I go I don't know what I'm [62:40] like where did the the unemployed go to [62:43] to to find these new professions like [62:45] obviously it's it's difficult to [62:47] forecast the new professions of the [62:48] future history tells us then but I but I [62:51] can't get I can't figure out what the [62:52] new professions are I mean my girlfriend [62:54] does breath work I guess the breath work [62:56] part is quite easy to disrupt but then [62:59] she takes women away for retreats in [63:01] Portugal and stuff so I'm like okay [63:03] she's going to kind of be safe because [63:04] these women are going there to connect [63:06] with humans and to be in this little [63:07] special place offline intentionally so [63:10] Retreats she'll probably be fine yeah [63:12] anything that you know there are things [63:16] that we want in life which are not just [63:18] about solving problems like I'm sick I [63:21] want to be healthy I want my problem [63:24] solved but there are [63:26] uh um many things that we want to have a [63:29] connection like if you think about [63:32] sports um robots or or or machines can [63:35] run much faster than people for a very [63:38] long time now and we just had the [63:40] Olympics and people are not very [63:43] interested in seeing robots running [63:46] against each other or against people [63:49] because what really makes Sports [63:50] interesting in the end is the human [63:54] weaknesses and the ability of humans to [63:57] to deal with their [63:58] weaknesses and and human athletes still [64:01] have jobs even though in in again in [64:04] many lines like running you can have a [64:06] machine run much faster than the world [64:08] champion I thought about this the other [64:10] day and uh uh and another example is is [64:13] priests like one of the easiest jobs to [64:17] automate is the priesthood of at least [64:20] certain religions because you just need [64:22] to repeat the same texts and and [64:25] gestures [64:26] again and again in in specific [64:28] situations like if you have a wedding [64:31] ceremony then um you know the priest [64:33] just need to repeat the same words and [64:36] there you are you're married now we [64:38] don't think about priests as being in [64:40] danger of being replaced by [64:43] robots um because what we want from a [64:46] priest is not just the mechanical [64:48] repetition of certain words and [64:50] gestures we think that only [64:54] another frame flesh and blood human who [64:58] knows what is pain and love and and who [65:02] can suffer only they can connect us to [65:05] the Divine so most people would not be [65:08] interested in having the wedding [65:10] conducted by a robot even though [65:12] technically it's very easy to do it now [65:15] the big question of course what happens [65:17] if AI gains Consciousness this is like [65:19] the trillion dollar question of of of AI [65:22] Consciousness then it's all bets are off [65:26] but that's a a different and very very [65:28] big discussion I mean whether it's [65:29] possible how would we know and and so [65:32] forth do you think it's [65:34] possible we have no idea I mean we don't [65:37] understand what Consciousness is we [65:39] don't know how it emerges in the organic [65:42] brain so we don't know if there is an [65:45] essential connection between [65:47] Consciousness and organic [65:50] biochemistry so that it can't arise in [65:53] an inorganic uh silic based computer [65:57] there is a big confusion first of all [65:59] should be said again between [66:00] Consciousness and [66:03] intelligence um intelligence is the [66:05] ability to reach goals and solve [66:09] problems Consciousness is the ability to [66:12] feel things like pain and pleasure and [66:15] love and [66:16] hate humans and other animals we solve [66:19] problems through our feelings our [66:22] feelings are not something on the side [66:25] they are a main method for how to deal [66:29] with the world how to solve [66:31] problems now so far [66:34] computers they solve problems in a [66:36] completely different way than humans [66:38] again they are alien intelligence they [66:40] don't have any feelings when they win a [66:43] game of chess they are not joyful when [66:46] they lose a game they are not sad they [66:48] don't feel anything now we don't know [66:52] how organic brains produce these [66:56] feelings of pain and pleasure and love [66:58] and hate so this is why we don't know [67:01] whether an inorganic structure based on [67:04] silicon and not carbon whether it will [67:07] be able to generate such things or not [67:11] that's I think the biggest question in [67:13] in in science and um so far we have no [67:18] answer isn't Consciousness just like a [67:20] hallucination isn't it just like an [67:22] illusion that I think I'm conscious [67:25] because I've got at the circuitry which [67:26] tells me that I am effectively it tells [67:29] me through a bunch of like feelings and [67:31] things that I'm conscious like I think [67:32] I'm looking at you now I think I can see [67:34] you the feeling is real I mean even if [67:37] we are all it's like the Matrix and we [67:39] are all in how do you know it's real [67:41] it's the only real thing in the world I [67:43] mean there is nothing I everything else [67:46] is just conjuncture we we only [67:48] experience our own feelings what we see [67:52] what we [67:53] smell what what we touch this we [67:55] actually experience this is real then we [67:58] have all these theories about why do I [68:00] feel pain oh it's because I stepped on a [68:02] nail and there is such a thing in the [68:04] world as a nail and whatever it could be [68:06] that we are all inside that a big [68:08] computer on the planet ziron run by [68:11] superintelligent mice if I spoke to an [68:13] AI I could get an AI to to tell me that [68:15] it feels pain and sadness that's that [68:18] that's the that's a big problem because [68:20] there is a huge incentive to train AIS [68:23] to pretend to be alive to pretend to [68:27] have feelings and and and we see that [68:30] there is a huge effort to to to to [68:32] produce such AIS and in truth because we [68:36] don't understand Consciousness we don't [68:37] have any proof even that other humans [68:41] have [68:42] feelings I feel my own feelings but I [68:44] never feel your feelings I only assume [68:48] that you're also a conscious being and [68:51] Society grants uh this a status of a [68:55] conscious [68:56] entity to not only to humans but also to [68:59] some animals not based on any scientific [69:02] proof but based on social [69:06] convention like most people feel that [69:08] their dogs are conscious that their dogs [69:11] can feel pain and pleasure and love and [69:14] so forth so Society accepts most [69:16] societies that dogs are sentient beings [69:20] and they have some rights under the law [69:22] now as AI become even if AI has no [69:25] feelings no consciousness no sentience [69:28] whatsoever but it becomes very good at H [69:32] uh pretending to have feelings and [69:34] convincing us that it has feelings then [69:37] this will become a a social convention [69:40] that people will feel that their AI [69:43] friend is is a conscious being and [69:46] therefore should be granted rights and [69:49] there is even already a legal path for [69:53] how to do it at least in the United [69:55] States you don't need to be a human [69:58] being in order to be a legal person it's [70:02] funny because you mentioned you kind of [70:03] alluded to the fact jokingly that we [70:05] might just be in like a simulation it [70:06] was one of you like well maybe we're [70:07] just in a simulation but could be and [70:10] it's funny because in a world of AI I [70:12] think my belief in that as a possibility [70:16] has only increased this is in fact just [70:18] a simulation because I've watched us go [70:20] from when I was born not really having [70:22] internet access to now being being able [70:25] to kind of speak to this alien on my [70:27] computer that can like now do things for [70:30] me and having virtual reality [70:32] experiences which are sometimes quite [70:34] indistinguishable where my my you know I [70:36] fall into the Trap of believing that I [70:37] am inside squid games because I've got [70:39] this headset on and you play it forward [70:41] and you play it forward and you play it [70:42] forward and you imagine any rate of [70:44] improvement then I hear the the [70:45] arguments for simulation Theory and I go [70:47] do you know probably if you play this [70:48] forward a 100 [70:51] years you know like at the rate we're on [70:54] the rate of trajectory we're on then we [70:56] will be able to create information [70:59] networks and organisms that don't in [71:03] like a laboratory or in a computer that [71:06] don't necessarily realize yeah they're [71:09] in the [71:10] computer especially with like what's [71:12] going on with it's already happening to [71:16] some extent you know these information [71:18] bubbles that more and more people live [71:21] inside them it's still not the whole [71:23] physical world but you get the same [71:26] event and people on say different parts [71:29] of the political political spectrum they [71:31] just can't agree on anything they live [71:35] in their own metries MH and you know the [71:38] the when when when the internet came [71:40] along for the first time the main [71:43] metaphor was the web the worldwide web a [71:46] web is something that connects [71:48] everything and now the main metaphor [71:51] which is uh uh the the simulate this [71:53] simulation theory is is is is is is [71:56] representing this new metaphor the new [71:58] metaphor is the cocon it's a web that [72:01] turns on you and en closes you from all [72:04] sides so you can no longer see anything [72:07] outside and there could be other cocoons [72:11] with other people in there and you have [72:13] no way to get to them yeah no nothing [72:16] that happens in the world can connect [72:19] you anymore because you're in different [72:20] cocoons you've only got to look at [72:22] someone else's phone you've only got to [72:25] look at someone else's Twitter or X or [72:28] Instagram is this the same reality it is [72:30] so different I do you know what I was [72:32] talking about over the weekend my friend [72:34] was at to my left scrolling he clicked [72:36] on the Discovery section which is where [72:38] you find new content I looked down at [72:40] his phone and was like it's all [72:42] Liverpool Football Club it's like the [72:44] entire feed is Liverpool and my entire [72:46] feed is completely different and I was [72:48] just thinking wow he lives in a [72:50] completely different world to me because [72:52] he's a Liverpool fan I'm a Manchester [72:54] United fan and and it's yeah just and to [72:57] think about that like to think that when [72:59] you open your phone and many of us are [73:01] spending up to 9 hours a day on our [73:03] mobile phones you're experiencing a [73:05] completely different window into a [73:07] completely different world than I am and [73:09] and this was you know this this is a [73:10] very ancient fear because um for [73:14] instance Plato wrote exactly about that [73:17] in the most famous Parable I think from [73:20] Greek philosophy is the the allegory of [73:23] the cave in which PL [73:25] imagines a theoretical scenario an [73:28] imaginary scenario of of a group of [73:30] prisoners chained inside a cave with [73:34] their face to a blank wall in which [73:37] Shadows are being projected from behind [73:39] them and they mistake the shadows for [73:43] reality and he was basically describing [73:45] you know people in front of his screen [73:48] just mistaking the screen for reality [73:51] and you have the same thing in Ancient [73:53] India with Buddhist and Hindu sages [73:56] talking about uh uh Maya which is the [74:00] world of [74:01] Illusions and the Deep fear that maybe [74:04] we are all trapped inside a world of [74:08] illusions that the the most important [74:12] thing that we think in the world uh the [74:15] the wars we fight we fight Wars over [74:18] Illusions in our [74:20] mind and uh this is now becoming [74:24] technically possible like previously it [74:26] was these philosophical thought [74:29] experiments now part of what is [74:32] interesting as a historian about the [74:35] present era is that a lot of ancient [74:39] philosophical problems and discussions [74:42] are becoming technical [74:45] issues that yes you can suddenly realize [74:48] PLO cave in your [74:51] phone so scary I find it really scary [74:54] because you're right like I think right [74:57] now some people might say that they have [74:59] some kind of grasp over like the ranking [75:01] system or why something shows up when I [75:03] search it or whatever but as these [75:06] intelligence aliens become more and more [75:09] powerful um it's of course we would have [75:11] less understanding because we're like [75:12] handing over the decision in some [75:14] Industries they are now completely the [75:16] king makers like I'm here on a book tour [75:18] I wrote Nexus so I go from podcast to [75:21] podcast from TV station to TV station to [75:24] talk about my book [75:27] but the the the entities I'm really [75:30] trying to impress of the algorithms M [75:33] because if I can get the attention of [75:36] the algorithms the humans will [75:38] [Laughter] [75:43] follow H yuck uh you know that's that's [75:47] our real we are basically kind of carbon [75:49] creatures in a silicon world I used to [75:51] think we were in control though and now [75:53] I feel like the Silicon in control [75:56] uh control is Shifting that that's we [75:59] are still in control to some extent we [76:01] are still making the most important [76:03] decisions but not for long and this is [76:06] why we have to be very very careful [76:08] about the decision we make in the in the [76:10] next few years because uh in 10 years in [76:14] 10 in 20 years it could be too late by [76:17] then the algorithms will be making the [76:20] most important decisions you talk about [76:22] a couple of um big dangers you see with [76:24] the algorithms in Ai and the sort of [76:26] shift and disruption of information one [76:28] of them is this alignment [76:31] problem which um how would you explain [76:33] the alignment problem to me in a way [76:35] that's simple to understand so the [76:37] classical uh kind of example is a [76:40] thought experiment invented by the [76:42] philosopher Nick Bostrom in 2014 which [76:45] sounds crazy but but you know bear with [76:47] it um he imagines a super [76:51] intelligent uh AI computer which is [76:55] bought by a paperclip Factory and the [76:59] paperclip manager tells the AI your goal [77:03] the reason I I bought you your goal your [77:05] your entire existence you're here to [77:08] produce as many paper clips as as [77:11] possible that's your goal and then the [77:14] AI conquers the entire world kills all [77:17] humans and turns the entire planet into [77:21] factories for producing paper clips and [77:23] it even begins to send itions to outer [77:26] space to turn the entire galaxy into [77:29] just paperclip production [77:31] industry and the point of the thought [77:34] experiment is that the AI did exactly [77:37] what it was told it did not rebel [77:40] against the humans it did exactly what [77:43] the boss wanted but of course it was not [77:47] the the strategy it chose was not [77:50] aligned with the real intentions with [77:53] the real interests of the of the human [77:56] Factory manager who just couldn't [77:58] foresee that this will be the result now [78:01] this sounds like outlandish and [78:03] ridiculous and crazy but it already [78:06] happened to some extent and we talked [78:08] about it this is the whole problem with [78:11] social media and user engagement in the [78:14] very same years that Nick Bostrom came [78:17] up with this thought experiment in 2014 [78:20] the managers of Facebook and YouTube [78:24] they told their algorithms your goal is [78:27] to increase user engagement and the [78:31] algorithms of social media they [78:33] conquered the world and turned the whole [78:36] world into user engagement which was [78:39] what they were told to do we are now [78:41] very very [78:42] engaged and again they discover that the [78:45] way to do it is with outrage and with [78:48] fear and with conspiracy theories and [78:51] this is the alignment problem when Mark [78:53] Zuckerberg told the Facebook algorithms [78:56] increase user engagement he did not [78:59] foresee and he did not wish uh that the [79:03] result will be collapse of democracies [79:06] wave of conspiracy theories and fake [79:08] news hatred of minorities he did not [79:11] intend [79:12] it uh but this is what the algorithms [79:15] did because there was a [79:18] misalignment between the uh uh the way [79:22] that the algorithm the goal [79:25] that was defined to the algorithm and [79:28] the interests of of human society and [79:32] even of the human managers of of the [79:35] companies that that are deployed these [79:38] algorithms and this is still as a small [79:41] scale [79:42] disaster because the social media [79:45] algorithms that uh uh created all this [79:49] social chaos over the last 10 years they [79:52] are very very primitive [79:55] AI this is like the the amibas of if you [79:58] think about the development of AI as an [80:02] evolutionary process for this is still [80:04] the amoeba stage the amoeba being the [80:07] very simple the very simple life forms [80:10] the the beginning like a single cell [80:12] life form we are still in evolutionary [80:15] terms organic evolution we are like [80:17] billions of years before we will see the [80:19] dinosaurs and the mamals or the humans [80:23] but digital evolution is billions of [80:26] times faster than organic evolution so [80:29] the distance between an AI amoeba and [80:33] the AI dinosaurs could be covered in [80:37] just a few decades if CH GPT is the [80:40] amiba how would the AI Tyrannosaurus Rex [80:44] would like would would look [80:46] like and this is where the alignment [80:49] problem becomes [80:50] really [80:52] disconcerting because if so much damage [80:56] was done by giving kind of the wrong [80:59] goal to A Primitive social media [81:01] algorithm what would be the results of [81:04] giving a [81:06] misaligned goal to a [81:09] T-Rex AI in 20 or 30 years the issue at [81:14] the heart of this is you know some [81:15] people might think okay just give it a [81:16] different goal but when you're dealing [81:19] with private companies who are listed on [81:21] the stock market there really is only [81:23] one goal that keep that exactly that [81:25] benefits survival so all of the [81:26] platforms have to say you know the goal [81:29] of this platform is to make more money [81:32] and to get more attention because also [81:34] it's mathematically easy and there is a [81:37] huge huge problem in how to define for [81:41] AIS and algorithms the the goal in a way [81:45] they can understand now the the great [81:48] thing about make money or increase user [81:51] engagement is that it's very easy to [81:53] measure it mathem atically MH uh one day [81:57] you have a million hours being watched [81:59] on YouTube then next a year later it's 2 [82:02] million very easy for the algorithm to [82:04] see hey I'm making progress but let's [82:06] say that that Facebook would have told [82:09] its algorithm increase user engagement [82:12] in a way that doesn't undermine [82:16] democracies how do I measure that who [82:19] knows what is the definition for the [82:21] robustness of De of democracy nobody [82:24] knows [82:25] so defining the go of the algorithm as [82:28] increase user engagement but don't harm [82:30] democracy almost [82:32] impossible this is why they go for the [82:35] kind of of of easy goals which are the [82:38] most dangerous but even in that scenario [82:41] if I told if I'm the owner of a social [82:43] network and I say increase user [82:44] engagement but don't harm democracy the [82:46] problem I have is my competitor who [82:49] leaves out the second part and just says [82:51] increase user engagement is going to [82:53] beat me because they're going to have [82:55] more users more ibles more Revenue [82:57] advertisers are going to be happier then [82:59] my company is going to falter investors [83:00] are going to pull out that's a question [83:02] because there are two things to take [83:04] into consideration first of all uh you [83:06] have governments governments can [83:09] regulate and they can penalize a social [83:12] media company that defines goals in a [83:16] socially responsible way just as they [83:19] penalize newspapers or TV stations or or [83:21] or or car companies that uh behave in an [83:25] antisocial way the other thing is that [83:28] uh um humans are not stupid and [83:31] self-destructive that uh uh if we we [83:34] would like to have better products in [83:38] the sense of also socially better [83:41] products and I I gave earlier the [83:44] example with food diets like think how [83:48] much yes the food companies they [83:50] discovered that uh uh if they fill a [83:53] product artificially with lots of fat [83:55] and sugar and salt people would like it [83:59] but people discovered that this is bad [84:01] for their health so you now have a like [84:04] for instance a huge market for diet [84:06] products and people are becoming very [84:08] aware of what they eat the same thing [84:10] can happen in the information Market the [84:13] cost though is like 80 70 80% of people [84:15] in the US have like chronic disease and [84:17] are obese and you know life expectancy [84:19] is now looks like it's going the other [84:21] way a little bit in in the western world [84:23] and [84:25] and it's I don't know I just feel like [84:27] with um with [84:31] policing consumption of goods like [84:34] alcohols nicotine food seems much more [84:37] simple than policing [84:39] information and the flow of [84:42] information Beyond you know beyond [84:44] racism or like inciting [84:47] violence I don't know how you [84:49] police we already covered the the two [84:53] most basic and Powerful uh tools are to [84:58] hold companies liable for the actions of [85:02] their algorithms not for the content [85:04] that the users produce but for the [85:07] actions of the algorithms uh I don't I [85:10] don't think we should penalize Twitter [85:12] or Facebook if somebody post uh a a [85:16] racist post um I would be very careful [85:20] about penalizing Facebook for that [85:22] because then who decides what is racism [85:24] and so forth but if the algorithm of of [85:27] Facebook deliberately spreads some [85:30] racist conspiracy theory that's the [85:32] algorithm that's not human Free Speech [85:34] how do you know it's a racist conspiracy [85:36] theory though okay so now now we get to [85:39] the to the difficult conversation but [85:41] this is something that we have the [85:42] courts for and I would be very very [85:45] careful about having the courts judge on [85:48] the content of uh the production of [85:51] individual [85:52] users but when it comes comes to uh [85:56] algorithms deliberately routinely [85:59] spreading a particular type of of [86:02] information like a conspiracy theory we [86:05] can involve the courts the the key issue [86:07] is who has liability that it's the [86:09] company that is liable for the what the [86:11] algorithm is doing and not the human [86:15] individual liable for what they are [86:17] saying um and another key distinction [86:21] here is between private and public [86:25] like part of the problem is the Erasure [86:27] of the boundary between the two I think [86:30] that humans have a right to stupidity in [86:34] private that in your private space with [86:37] your friends and you with your family [86:40] you have a right to stupidity you can [86:42] say stupid things you can tell racist [86:45] jokes you can tell homophobic jokes it's [86:47] not good it's not nice but you're a [86:49] human being you're allowed to do that [86:52] but not in public [86:54] I mean even for politicians like as a [86:57] gay person if the Prime Minister tells a [87:01] a homophobic joke in private I don't [87:04] need to care about that that's his or [87:05] her business but if they say it in [87:08] public on on television that's a huge [87:10] problem now traditionally it was very [87:13] easy to distinguish private from public [87:16] you are in your private house with a [87:18] group of friends you say something [87:20] stupid that's private it's n Nobody's [87:23] Business [87:24] you go to the town square and you stand [87:27] on on a pedestal and you shout something [87:29] to thousands of people that's public [87:32] here you can be punished if you say [87:34] something racist or homophobic of [87:36] outrageous but it it was easy for you to [87:39] know now the problem is you go let's say [87:42] on WhatsApp you think you're just [87:44] talking with two of your friends and you [87:46] say something really really stupid and [87:49] then it it gets viral and it's all over [87:52] the place and and uh I don't have an an [87:56] easy solution for that but um [88:00] one one measure which is adopted by some [88:03] governments is for instance that uh uh [88:06] people who have a large following they [88:09] are held to a different standard than [88:12] people who don't even on the the most [88:15] basic thing of identifying yourself as a [88:17] human [88:18] being uh we don't want that everybody [88:22] would have to get some certification [88:23] from the government to talk with their [88:26] friends on on WhatsApp but if you have a [88:29] 100,000 followers online we need to know [88:32] that you are not a bot that you're [88:34] actually a human being and again this is [88:37] not covered by freedom of speech because [88:39] Bots don't have freedom of speech the [88:42] slippery slope right because I've I've [88:44] gone back and forth on this argument of [88:46] anonymity and whether it's a good thing [88:47] or a bad thing for social networks and [88:49] the rebuttal that I got when I lent to [88:51] the side of um iding people is that like [88:54] totalitarian governments will use that [88:57] as a way to basically punish the people [88:59] who are speaking the totalitarian [89:00] governments are doing it whether we like [89:02] it or not it's it's not a question that [89:04] if the British do it then the Russians [89:07] will say okay so we'll also do it the [89:09] Russians are doing it anyway will [89:11] Americans start to do it will they start [89:12] to if if someone speaks out against [89:14] Trump and he has access to their [89:16] identity and information can he go look [89:18] at them and get them [89:19] arrested if we reach that point when the [89:22] courts will allow such a thing then we [89:25] are in very deep trouble [89:27] already and uh what we should realize is [89:31] that with the surveillance technology [89:34] now in existence a totalitarian [89:36] government has so many ways to know who [89:39] you are that it's that's not the the [89:43] main issue right you talked about um the [89:46] platforms being responsible for the [89:48] consequences yes in the UK over the last [89:52] month we've had I don't know if you've [89:54] heard that we had of riots and um I [89:56] think it was all triggered originally [89:58] when there was news that broke that a [90:00] someone had murdered some young children [90:03] yes and there was a confusion or sort of [90:05] a misinformation around that person's [90:07] religion and that meant that people Pro [90:10] that's an excellent example because you [90:12] know if I personally privately say to [90:16] just two of my friends I think the [90:18] person who did it is ex I don't think we [90:22] should be you should be persecuted for [90:23] that I could say it in my private living [90:25] room and it's the same thing if I say it [90:27] on WhatsApp or or on Facebook but if a [90:31] Facebook [90:32] algorithm picks up this piece of fake [90:35] news and starts recommending it to more [90:39] and more users then Facebook is liable [90:43] for the action of its algorithms you can [90:46] you should be able to take it to court [90:48] and say the algorithm deliberately [90:50] recommended a piece of fake news [90:54] and again if if the fake news was [90:58] produced by an influencer with a million [91:01] followers then it's also his he is also [91:04] liable for that but if if a private [91:06] individual in a private setting uh um [91:10] said something which is not true it's [91:13] fake [91:13] news and then an algorithm deliberately [91:17] spread it the main fault is with the [91:20] algorithm and the people who should be [91:22] in jail are the managers of the company [91:26] that owns this algorithm and not the [91:29] individual who uttered the words going [91:32] back to the riots issue let's say that I [91:35] don't know the guardian on the day of of [91:38] of the riots decided to pick up a piece [91:41] of of this fake news and publish it on [91:43] its front [91:45] page and they now go take the editor of [91:50] the Guardian to court and he says but I [91:52] didn't write it I just found this piece [91:55] of fake news and decided to put it on [91:57] the front page of the [91:59] Guardian now it would be obvious to us [92:03] that the editor did something very very [92:05] very wrong and he might or she might [92:08] have to sit in jail and it's not the [92:11] problem of the person who originally [92:12] produced the piece of fake news if [92:14] you're the editor of one of the biggest [92:16] newspaper in in the country and you [92:18] decide to publish something on your [92:20] front page you had better be very very [92:24] sure that what you're publishing is the [92:26] truth especially if it can incite to [92:28] violence how would a social network [92:30] owner know that how would they be able [92:32] to verify that everything is true at [92:34] that scale not everything but if uh for [92:38] instance something is likely to lead to [92:40] violence and the very first it's a [92:43] precautionary principle first of all do [92:46] no no harm again I'm I'm not asking [92:49] Facebook to [92:51] censor the piece of fake news I'm only [92:54] asking it don't get your algorithms to [92:57] spread it on purpose in order to get [93:00] user engagement and make a lot of money [93:02] if you are not sure about it just don't [93:05] spread it it's as easy as that how does [93:08] it know it's fake news versus it [93:10] thinking that it's actually really [93:12] important life- saving news so for [93:14] example that's the responsibility of of [93:17] of of of the company again like how does [93:19] the editor of the Guardian know or of [93:21] the financial times or of the Sunday [93:23] times how do they know if something is [93:25] true and if something should be [93:27] published on the front page if you are [93:29] now managing a social media company you [93:32] are managing one of the most powerful uh [93:35] uh newspapers in the world and you [93:38] should have the same kind of [93:39] responsibilities and the same kind of [93:41] expertise if you have no idea how to [93:44] judge whether an algorithm should [93:47] recommend something to millions of [93:48] people you in the wrong business you [93:50] know if you can't stand the heat get out [93:52] of the kitchen don't run a social media [93:55] company if you don't know what should be [93:58] shown to millions of people one of the [94:00] it's very P because obviously Mark [94:02] Zuckerberg's letter that he wrote this [94:04] week says I was approached by the FBI [94:08] who told me that Russia were trying to [94:10] in influence the elections and they were [94:13] given some information that there was [94:15] this laptop story Joe um Joe Biden [94:17] Hunter Biden who Joe Biden's son had [94:19] this laptop story which Facebook didn't [94:22] know if it was real or not and they [94:24] thought maybe it was a Russian um plant [94:27] I Russia had put the story there to try [94:29] and make sure Joe Biden didn't win the [94:30] elections so Facebook deprioritized it [94:33] stopped it going viral and suppressed it [94:36] turns out it was a real story and it [94:38] wasn't fake and Mark Zucker says he [94:41] regrets suppressing it because it was in [94:43] fact a real real story and in [94:44] suppressing it he kind of in influenced [94:47] the election to some degree mhm um so [94:50] it's so complicated to the point that I [94:52] just complicated to run a big Media [94:55] Company it's complicated to run the Wall [94:58] Street Journal or Fox News again what [95:00] happens if if the FBI comes to Fox News [95:04] or comes to the Wall Street Journal and [95:06] tells them look there is this story [95:09] planted by the Russians don't encourage [95:11] it and later on it turns out that it was [95:14] wrong um could happen and as the manager [95:19] of the Wall Street Journal you need to [95:20] deal with it and do I trust the FBI [95:23] under what conditions sometimes I should [95:25] sometimes I should be suspicious I feel [95:27] like you're can end up in jail H you're [95:30] the editor of the Wall Street Journal [95:31] you're gonna end up in jail either way [95:32] because either way you're influencing [95:34] elections and if you influ but that's [95:36] the business I mean the real problem is [95:40] when you have extremely powerful people [95:43] like zukerberg or Elon Musk that pretend [95:46] that they don't have power that they [95:47] don't have influence that they don't [95:49] shape shape elections we know for [95:52] centuries that the owners and editors of [95:55] newspapers they shave elections and [95:58] therefore we hold them to certain [96:00] standards and now the owners and [96:03] managers of platforms like Twitter and [96:06] YouTube and Facebook they have more [96:09] power than the New York Times or the [96:12] guardian or the Wall Street Journal and [96:14] they should be held to at least the same [96:17] degree of accountability and their stick [96:20] that oh we are just a platform we just [96:22] allow everybody to publish what they [96:24] want it doesn't work like that and we [96:26] don't accept it with traditional media [96:30] so why should we accept it with that's [96:32] that's the whole trick of these tech [96:34] companies that again we have thousands [96:37] of years of history and they tell us oh [96:39] it doesn't apply to us like if you have [96:42] a traditional industry like cars it's [96:45] obvious to everybody you cannot put a [96:47] new car on the road unless you made some [96:50] safety checks to make sure the car is [96:52] safe you cannot put a new medicine in [96:55] the on the market or a new vaccine on [96:57] the market without safety that's obvious [96:59] right but when it comes to algorithms no [97:02] no no no no that's a different set of [97:03] rules H you can put any algorithm you [97:06] want on the market you don't need any [97:07] safety rules and even more basic than [97:11] that you think about something like [97:12] theft you have the Ten Commandments [97:15] don't [97:16] steal and you know people know yes you [97:18] shouldn't steal until it comes to [97:20] information ah no no no it doesn't apply [97:22] to information I can can take your [97:24] information and without your permission [97:26] do all kinds of things with it and sell [97:28] it to third parties and this is not [97:30] stealing don't steal doesn't apply to my [97:33] line of business and this is what the [97:35] tech Giants have been doing in many [97:37] cases over the last decade or two [97:41] telling us that history doesn't apply to [97:44] them that all the wisdom that Humanity [97:47] gained in a very painful way over [97:50] centuries and thousands of years of [97:52] dealing with dictatorships and with uh [97:55] uh uh whatever it doesn't apply to the [97:58] new technology and and it does it does [98:00] apply do you ever feel tempted to just [98:04] log off and just like go live in a field [98:06] somewhere maybe like a desert maybe just [98:08] create a little bit of a cult and I do [98:10] it every year oh really yeah I take a [98:12] long Meditation Retreat of between 30 [98:15] days and 60 days uh like this year I [98:17] plan in December after the book tour is [98:19] over to go 60 days from meditational [98:21] retreat in India and just completely [98:25] disconnect no smartphone no internet not [98:29] even books or or or or or writing paper [98:32] just just the information fast why it's [98:36] good for the mind uh again like with [98:39] food too much in isn't good for us we [98:42] need time to digest and to detoxify and [98:45] it's true of of the mind as well if you [98:48] just keep bombarding it with [98:50] more um it's you get addicted to the [98:53] wrong WR things you develop bad habits [98:56] and um you need or at least I need um [99:00] time off in order to really kind of [99:04] digest everything that happened and to [99:08] um decide what I want and what I don't [99:12] want what kind of habits addictions I [99:15] should I should try to to to to be rid [99:18] of and also to you know to get to know [99:22] my own mind when the mind is constantly [99:25] bombarded by information from [99:28] outside [99:30] you it's so [99:32] noisy you cannot get to know it because [99:36] there is so much noise but when the [99:40] noise uh uh is is goes [99:44] away then you can start to understand [99:47] what is the mind how does it function [99:49] how does it work where do thoughts come [99:52] from what is fear what is anger when [99:55] you're boiling with anger because of [99:58] something you just you now read you are [100:01] focused on the object of your anger but [100:04] you can't understand the anger itself [100:05] the anger controls [100:07] you when you have an information [100:11] fast you can just observe what happens [100:14] to me when I'm angry what happens to to [100:17] to my mind to my body how does it [100:20] control me and this is more important [100:24] than any angry story in the world to [100:27] understand what anger actually is it's [100:29] it's very very difficult I mean how many [100:31] times do people stop and just you know [100:33] try to get to know their anger and not [100:37] the object of the anger this we do all [100:39] the time we kind of Replay we we heard [100:41] something terrible that a politician we [100:43] don't like like I don't know somebody's [100:44] angry about Trump so he would replay it [100:46] again and oh he said like this he did [100:48] like that he will do this he will do [100:50] that and you don't get to know your [100:52] anger that way I have about 50 different [100:56] companies in my portfolio at flight [100:58] group now some of which I've invested in [101:00] and some of which I've co-founded or [101:01] founded myself one thing I've noticed is [101:03] that most companies don't put enough [101:05] effort into their hiring process in my [101:07] mind the first and most critical thing [101:09] in business is assembling your group of [101:11] people because the definition of the [101:13] word company is group of people and [101:15] throughout all of my companies whenever [101:17] I'm looking to hire someone my first [101:19] Port of Call is LinkedIn jobs who I'm [101:21] happy to say are also a sponsor of this [101:22] podcast they've helped us Source [101:24] professionals who we truly can't find [101:26] anywhere else even those who aren't [101:28] actively searching for a new job but who [101:30] might be open to a perfect role in fact [101:32] over 70% of LinkedIn users don't visit [101:35] other leading job sites so if you're not [101:36] looking on LinkedIn you're probably [101:38] looking in the wrong place so today I'm [101:41] giving the dire of the CEO Community a [101:43] free LinkedIn job post head to [101:45] linkedin.com [101:46] doac now and let me know how you get on [101:49] terms and conditions [101:50] apply so interesting I was playing out [101:52] the scenario in my head as you speaking [101:54] of this future where there's almost [101:56] these two species of human you have one [101:58] species of human who are connected to [102:01] the [102:02] information um Highway through the [102:04] internet through the neuralink in their [102:06] brain that's just like they're hooked [102:08] and the algorithm is feeding them [102:10] information and they're acting upon it [102:11] and they're feeding it and then you have [102:12] this other group of people who decided [102:14] to reject that who didn't get the [102:16] neuralink who aren't trying to interface [102:18] with AI and that are living in a tribe [102:21] in some jungle somewhere and I like my [102:22] girl said this to me many years ago [102:24] she's going I think there's going to be [102:25] a split yeah and I kind of like you know [102:26] whatever but now I'm like I can see why [102:31] as things get more extreme you go you [102:33] know what I'm going to make a decision [102:34] here and especially when I saw the [102:36] neuralink that Elon musk's working on [102:38] that allows you to control computers [102:40] with your brain I sat on and the [102:42] computer to control your brain also it [102:44] both it go both you're right actually [102:45] didn't think about that but I just [102:47] imagined um and this is a question for [102:49] everyone listening if there's you and me [102:52] and I have the chip in my brain that now [102:54] humans have in their brain that they're [102:56] using to control computers with I am a [102:59] different species to you because I can [103:00] control the I can control my car [103:02] downstairs I can control the lights in [103:04] this room I can I can ask my brain [103:07] questions and get the answers my IQ [103:09] becomes 5,000 yours is still 150 or 200 [103:13] yours is probably [103:14] 250 but I'm a different species to I [103:17] have such a huge competitive advantage [103:19] over you that if you don't get the chip [103:22] um [103:24] then you you're screwed that's [103:26] speciation yeah again on a small scale [103:28] we saw it before in history there were [103:30] the people who adopted the written [103:32] document and the people who rejected it [103:34] right and they are not with us anymore [103:36] because the people who adopted the [103:38] written document they built these [103:41] kingdoms and Empires and they conquered [103:44] everybody [103:45] else um and we are in danger of the same [103:48] thing happening and this is not a good [103:50] thing because it's not like life was [103:52] better for the people with the documents [103:55] in many cases life was better for the [103:57] hunter gatherers who lived [103:59] before so what's the solution if I had [104:02] to you know having read your book [104:05] brilliant book Nexus a brief history of [104:07] information networks from the Stone Age [104:09] to [104:10] AI what is the [104:12] solution how do we how do we stop the [104:16] alignment problems us all becoming paper [104:18] clips the social chaos the [104:20] misinformation the the Silicon curtain [104:22] as you talk about in the book how do we [104:23] stop these things destroying our world [104:26] is there is there hope are you [104:27] optimistic the key is is is is [104:30] cooperation is connection between humans [104:32] I mean the humans are still more [104:34] powerful than the AIS the problem is [104:37] that we are divided against each other [104:39] and the algorithms unintentionally are [104:42] increasing the Divide again this is the [104:45] oldest rule of every Empire is divid and [104:51] rule this was the rule of of the Romans [104:54] of of the British Empire if you want [104:55] want to rule a place you divide the [104:57] people of that place against one another [105:00] and then it's easy to manipulate and [105:02] control them uh this is now happening to [105:04] the entire human species with AI that [105:07] just as we had kind of you know the the [105:09] Iron Curtain in the Cold War now we have [105:12] the Silicon curtain dividing not just [105:15] China from the US but also Democrats [105:18] from Republicans also one person from [105:21] another person and all of us from the [105:24] AIS which increasingly make the [105:26] decisions about all that uh we still [105:29] have the power for I don't know 5 years [105:33] 10 years 20 years to to to make sure it [105:36] doesn't go in dystopian Direction but [105:38] for that we need to cooperate are you [105:41] optimistic um I try to be a realist I [105:43] mean the last few I mean I just came [105:45] from Israel and I saw a country [105:48] destroying itself for no good reason [105:51] whatsoever I it's a country that just [105:54] pressed the self-destruct button and for [105:57] no good reason and it can happen on a [106:01] global scale what do you mean I press [106:03] the self-destruct button it's not just [106:05] the war between Israelis and [106:07] Palestinians but Israel Society turning [106:10] against itself greater and greater [106:13] Division and [106:14] animosity and uh it's it's like a a a a [106:18] dark hole of uh uh of of anger and of [106:23] violence which is sucking more and more [106:26] people in you know all over the world [106:28] you now feel the shock waves from this [106:31] dark dark hole in the Middle East and [106:34] there is no good reason there is no [106:37] objective reason if I'll say something [106:39] about the Israeli Palestinian conflict [106:41] there is no objective reason for it it's [106:44] not like there is not enough land [106:46] between the Mediterranean and the Jordan [106:48] River that people have to fight for the [106:50] little land there is or there is not [106:52] enough food there is enough food for [106:54] everyone to eat there is enough land to [106:56] build houses and and hospitals and [106:58] schools for everyone why do people fight [107:01] because of different stories in their [107:03] minds they have these different [107:06] mythologies that God gave this whole [107:08] place just to us you have no right to be [107:11] here and they fight over [107:14] that and uh um this is a local or [107:19] Regional tragedy it can happen on a [107:21] global scale again if if something [107:24] ultimately destroys us it will be our [107:26] own delusions not the AIS the AI they [107:30] get their opening because of our [107:33] weaknesses because of our [107:36] delusions yal thank you so much for [107:38] writing a book I think this book is one [107:40] of the most well-timed books um that [107:42] I've ever come across because of [107:43] everything that's happening in the world [107:45] right now and it really helped me to [107:47] understand that the problem isn't [107:48] necessarily me versus you if you're on [107:50] the other side of the aisle the problem [107:52] is [107:53] information the networks of information [107:56] that we consume who's controlling those [107:58] networks of information um somebody is [108:01] manipulating us to be on different side [108:03] not just to be on different sides but to [108:05] see each other as enemies and right now [108:07] that's a person but it might not be soon [108:10] it might not be a person no and [108:12] understanding that I think helps us [108:13] focus on the root cause of of issues [108:15] that are sometimes hard to identify I I [108:18] think the problem is my neighbor I think [108:20] it's that person with different color [108:21] skin but actually if look one level [108:23] deeper it's the information networks and [108:26] what I'm being exposed to that are [108:28] brainwashing me and creating those [108:30] stories and as you talk about in your [108:32] previous book stories are ultimately [108:34] what are running the world and it's and [108:36] it's this wonderful the Nexus is just a [108:37] wonderful book at a wonderful time that [108:39] helps us to access um this knowledge of [108:43] the power of information and and how it [108:45] impacts democracy and relationships and [108:48] society and business and everything in [108:50] between um in a way that I hope [108:54] will lead to action and I think that is [108:57] something to be optimistic about yeah [109:00] ultimately I [109:02] think most humans are are good they're [109:05] good people yeah when you give people [109:08] bad information they made bad decisions [109:11] the problem is not with the humans it's [109:13] with the [109:15] information amen you we have a closing [109:18] tradition on this podcast where the last [109:19] guest leaves the question for the next [109:20] guest not knowing who they're going to [109:21] be leaving it for oh okay and the [109:23] question left for you [109:26] is what does it mean to be [109:33] strong [109:36] um to to accept reality as it [109:39] is uh to deal with reality without [109:43] trying to hide it disappear it uh put a [109:48] veil over [109:50] it so interesting [109:54] I think you're [109:56] right I think you're right certainly not [109:58] the answer I would have given but you [109:59] know you come what would you [110:01] say [110:05] um oh what would I [110:09] say I guess I probably would have spoken [110:11] to like perseverance in the face of a [110:14] lot of different difficulties and one of [110:16] those is is information but it's just [110:18] that that idea of like persevering [110:21] towards whatever your subjective goal is [110:22] in the face of and in spite of a variety [110:25] of different difficulties maybe that [110:27] strength um so that could be raising a [110:30] kid or it could be going to the gym or [110:31] whatever but I like your definition as [110:33] well because I think it's much more um [110:35] important in the times we find ourselves [110:37] in and there's honestly as a podcaster [110:40] you sometimes feel like you're caught [110:41] right in the middle of it because I [110:42] think everyone's trying to figure out if [110:43] I'm like on the right wing on the left [110:45] wing if I believe this if I endorse [110:47] every guest that I sit with and you [110:49] almost have to try and remain impartial [110:52] H but it's very very [110:56] uh difficult to for people to understand [111:01] that because they want you to fit [111:03] somewhere and they want because that's [111:05] weakness I mean you have a lot of people [111:07] who who claim to be very strong who [111:10] admire strength as as as a value yeah [111:13] but they can't deal with parts of [111:16] reality that don't fit into their [111:20] worldview or their desire yeah and they [111:22] think that strength is I have the [111:24] strength to just make these parts of [111:26] reality disappear yeah and no this is [111:30] weakness and again sorry for going back [111:33] to that but but this is also the war [111:36] like what is war is trying to disappear [111:39] a part of reality that you don't like in [111:42] this case an entire people I don't like [111:45] these people I don't think they should [111:47] be in reality so I try to make them [111:50] disappear and people say oh he's a very [111:52] strong leader is not he's a very weak [111:56] leader that a strong leader would be [111:58] able to acknowledge no these people [112:00] exist they are part of reality let's now [112:03] find out how do we live with [112:06] them [112:07] amen your book Nexus a brief history of [112:11] information networks from the Stone Age [112:12] to AI is a must read for everybody that [112:14] listens to this podcast and that has any [112:15] interest in these subjects at all it's [112:17] endorsed by two of my favorite people [112:18] Mustafa Solomon but also Steven fry and [112:21] Rory stwart who's a great person as well [112:22] as well um and it's endorsed for a very [112:24] good reason because it's a completely [112:26] mind expanding book written from someone [112:29] who only writes exceptional culture [112:31] shifting books so I'm going to link it [112:33] below and I highly recommend anybody [112:35] that's listened to this conversation and [112:36] that's interested in this subject matter [112:38] to go and get this book right now it's [112:41] available right now for pre-order and [112:43] then it's shipping in five days from now [112:44] when it releases so be the first to read [112:47] it um and hopefully be the first to [112:49] understand and action some of the things [112:51] that you learn in this book y thank you [112:53] so much for your time thank [112:57] you isn't this cool every single [113:00] conversation I have here on the Diary of [113:02] a CEO at the very end of it you'll know [113:04] I asked the guest to leave a question in [113:07] the Diary of a CEO and what we've done [113:10] is we've turned every single question [113:12] written in the Diary of a CEO into these [113:14] conversation cards that you can play at [113:17] home so you've got every guest we've [113:19] ever had their question and on the back [113:22] of it if you scan that QR code you get [113:26] to watch the person who answered that [113:29] question we're finally revealing all of [113:32] the questions and the people that [113:34] answered the question the brand new [113:37] version 2 updated conversation cards are [113:40] out right now at Theon conversation [113:42] cards.com they've sold out twice [113:44] instantaneously so if you are interested [113:46] in getting hold of some limited edition [113:48] conversation cards I really really [113:50] recommend acting quickly oh [113:55] [Music] [114:12] [Music]