O'Leary Caps Housing Spending, Trims Tech Profits to Fund Crypto

Kevin O'Leary: Every Time You Get Paid, Do This! It 10xs Your Income Without Having To Work Harder! — The Diary Of A CEO

The Diary Of A CEO

Long-term wealth creation requires capping housing expenses at one-third of total income and maintaining strict single-stock limits while reallocating capital into dividend assets and crypto.

AI-assisted summary of Kevin O'Leary: Every Time You Get Paid, Do This! It 10xs Your Income Without Having To Work Harder! — original source. Check the original for full context.

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Detailed notes

## Background This episode of The Diary Of A CEO was published on YouTube by Steven Bartlett on June 30, 2025. According to the show notes, Shark Tank investor Kevin O'Leary reveals truths about wealth, business, investing, saving, marriage, Steve Jobs, Elon Musk, and getting rich, sharing rules to significantly increase income without working harder.

## TL;DR Kevin O'Leary breaks down his core philosophy on entrepreneurship, personal finance, and long-term wealth accumulation. He shares key operational lessons learned from tech visionaries Steve Jobs and Elon Musk, emphasizing the importance of maximizing signal-to-noise ratio and maintaining strict financial discipline. O'Leary outlines non-negotiable rules for investing, managing debt, evaluating business partners, and navigating modern disruptions like AI and cryptocurrency. Throughout the discussion, he stresses that true freedom—not money—is the ultimate goal of an entrepreneurial journey.

## Atmosphere & style The conversation carries a pragmatic, sharp, and intensely candid tone, characteristic of O'Leary's 'Cold Hard Truth' persona. The dynamic between Steven Bartlett and O'Leary balances deep mutual respect with provocative, high-stakes business insights. Listening to the dialogue feels like a masterclass in relentless pragmatism, shifting seamlessly between humorous historical anecdotes and unyielding, practical financial advice.

## Key takeaways - [05:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=310s) Financial freedom is the core motivation for true entrepreneurs, offering independence rather than just monetary wealth. - [07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) High-performing leaders succeed by maintaining a high signal-to-noise ratio, focusing strictly on top daily priorities while ignoring non-essential tasks. - [16:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=976s) Early-stage venture capital is inherently risky, with 6 to 8 out of 10 investments failing, requiring broad diversification and strict execution to achieve returns. - [18:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1088s) Female-led startups frequently outperform because women tend to set achievable growth targets, resulting in lower executive turnover and greater stability. - [19:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1148s) Silence is a powerful negotiation tool that forces counterparties to reveal key information and compromise faster. - [26:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1571s) Founders must master their business's key financial metrics, unit economics, and core value proposition to maintain credibility with investors. - [29:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1748s) Radical meritocracy and performance-based contractor models ensure top talent is selected while avoiding arbitrary corporate hiring metrics. - [50:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3043s) Building long-term wealth relies on discipline, automated dividend-paying investments, strict diversification limits, and living well below one's means. - [01:03:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3812s) Housing expenses, including mortgage payments and maintenance, should strictly remain under one-third of total income to avoid severe financial strain. - [01:13:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4412s) Financial misalignment and excessive debt are primary drivers of divorce, making premarital financial transparency and shared money management essential. - [01:20:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4830s) Modern businesses can leverage artificial intelligence to drastically reduce operational costs, optimize marketing, and generate precise market research. - [01:46:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6360s) Maintaining long-term brand equity and personal integrity requires turning down lucrative offers or sponsorships that do not authentically align with core values.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=0s) Introduction and the Defining Moment

Kevin O'Leary, widely known as "Mr. Wonderful," opens by discussing his straightforward, direct approach to money and life. He acknowledges that while many people dislike his blunt tone regarding financial mistakes—such as wasting money on $28 lunches or overextending on mortgages—he believes clear truths are necessary to avoid perpetual debt. Host Steven Bartlett introduces the premise of the episode, noting Kevin's background as a self-made entrepreneur and investor who has built and sold companies for billions, before asking for a high-level overview of his journey.

When asked to identify the defining moment of his career, Kevin shares the origin story of his entrepreneurial drive: getting fired on his very first day working at an ice cream shop during high school. He had taken the job primarily because a girl he was interested in worked at a nearby shoe store, hoping to hang out with her after his shift. At the end of the day, after scooping ice cream, the store owner instructed him to get down on his knees and scrape hardened chewing gum off the Mexican floor tiles. Embarrassed at the prospect of the girl seeing him on his knees with a scraper, Kevin argued that he was hired as a "scooper, not a scraper." The owner promptly fired him.

``` [ Defining Moment: Fired at Ice Cream Shop ] │ ┌─────────────┴─────────────┐ ▼ ▼ [ Owners of the Store ] [ Floor Scrapers ] │ │ └─────────────┬─────────────┘ ▼ "Realized I had to decide which one to be." ```

That dismissal served as an epiphany. He realized that the world is divided into two types of people: those who own the store, and those who scrape the floor. To drive the memory home, Steven presents Kevin with an actual Mexican tile with black gum stuck to it as a symbolic gift. Kevin recounts that years later, after achieving vast financial success—to the point where he could afford to buy and "bulldoze the whole mall"—he attempted to return to the store to thank the owner for pushing him onto his entrepreneurial path, only to find the shop replaced by a bodega.

- **Mortgage Rule:** Never let your mortgage and total housing maintenance costs exceed **1/3** of your income. - **Divorce & Money:** Financial stress is a leading cause of divorce, destroying marriages far more frequently than infidelity. - **Long-Term Investing Potential:** Disciplined, consistent automated investing over a career can yield over **$1,500,000**.

---

[05:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=310s) Can Anyone Be an Entrepreneur?

Addressing whether anyone can become a successful entrepreneur, Kevin gives a firm "No." Drawing from his real-world investments over several decades and his experience as an Executive Fellow teaching cohorts at Harvard Business School, he estimates that only about **1/3** of people have the capacity to become successful entrepreneurs.

During his lectures to classes of 120 Harvard students, Kevin observes that two-thirds of the class aspire to become corporate consultants—a career path he critically characterizes as choosing a "life of mediocrity" where individuals advise rather than make high-stakes, consequential decisions. While the remaining two-thirds of society can build successful, stable lives as corporate employees without experiencing the volatile stresses of business ownership, Kevin emphasizes that true personal freedom is exclusively reserved for the entrepreneurial third.

- **Classroom Demographics:** In a standard class of **120** Harvard students, roughly **2/3** aim for consulting careers. - **Core Entrepreneurial Traits:** Requires high risk tolerance, intense focus, and a significant degree of luck (referencing Napoleon’s preference for "lucky generals"). - **Core Objective:** Entrepreneurship is not about greed or the pursuit of money for its own sake, but rather an "undying love of freedom."

---

[07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) Lessons from Steve Jobs and the Signal-to-Noise Ratio

Kevin reflects on working with Steve Jobs during the early 1990s, developing educational software titles like *The Oregon Trail*, which was deployed across 110,000 school buildings. He describes quarterly meetings with Jobs alongside venture capitalist Heidi Roizen. When Kevin proposed spending $12 million to $15 million on market research to survey students, teachers, and parents about feature updates, Jobs bluntly rejected the idea, telling the room: *"I don't give a [__] what the students want or the parents think... They don't know what they want till I tell them what they want."*

> "Steve, you sound like such an [__]. You have no idea what that sounds like." > He says, "No, no. That's how it is, Kevin. Now, are you making money with me?... Then [__] shut up and do what I say."

Through this intense dynamic, Kevin learned Jobs' core operating framework: the **signal-to-noise ratio**. In this framework, "signal" represents the critical 3 to 5 tasks that must be accomplished during the 18 hours an individual is awake on a given day. "Noise" encompasses every distraction, secondary goal, or non-essential interaction that prevents those core goals from being completed. Jobs operated at roughly an **80/20** signal-to-noise ratio, routinely sending emails at 2:30 AM expecting immediate execution.

``` STEVE JOBS' FRAMEWORK: ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ SIGNAL (80%) │ │ Top 3–5 critical tasks for the next 18 hours │ └──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘ ┌────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ NOISE (20%) │ │ Distractions, extra input, market research, low priority │ └────────────────────────────────────────┘ ```

Kevin notes that the only person he has witnessed operating with an even higher signal ratio is Elon Musk, whom he describes as maintaining nearly **100% signal** during his waking hours. While this extreme hyper-focus leads to incredible operational execution, Kevin notes it creates severe social awkwardness, as normal human interactions—spending casual time with family, listening to friends, doom-scrolling social media, or playing an instrument—are fundamentally categorized as "noise." He also references Jeff Bezos, who deliberately avoids making major decisions after 1:00 PM because he recognizes his personal signal-to-noise ratio degrades later in the day.

---

[12:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=747s) Balancing High-Stakes Chaos and Creative Outlets

Kevin contrasts the extreme, unyielding focus of figures like Jobs and Musk with how he personally manages his life and selects CEOs for his portfolio. While business operations require absolute adherence to binary outcomes (making money versus losing money), Kevin believes sustainable success requires balancing operational discipline with creative outlets like music, photography, painting, or watch collecting. He shares that on the night of the interview, he plans to meet late with a master watchmaker to design a "piece unique" timepiece—an artistic, two-year project that allows his mind to reset away from daily business friction.

He illustrates the extreme emotional volatility inherent in an entrepreneur's day-to-day life with an example from his own morning: within a single 30-minute span, he received a phone call informing him that one of his portfolio investments was going bankrupt (costing him $10 million), followed immediately by news that another company was going public, yielding a **450X** return on his investment once shares unlock in the fall.

- **Daily Focus System:** Kevin writes his top **3 to 5** critical daily targets on sticky notes stuck to his bathroom mirror every morning. - **Emotional Management:** The key skill of a top executive is distinguishing whether an unexpected crisis or opportunity is actionable **signal** or irrelevant **noise**, and maintaining emotional stability through sudden swings between loss and euphoria.

[16:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=976s) Signal vs. Noise and the Reality of Startup Failure Rates

Addressing what separates successful leaders from the rest, Kevin O'Leary emphasizes that beyond prioritization, the defining trait of an effective founder is the sheer "force of execution" to get things done. Crucially, an entrepreneur must be able to filter signal from noise and aggressively shield their focus from distractions. Drawing a direct parallel between his long-standing role on *Shark Tank* in the United States and Steven Bartlett's position on *Dragon's Den* in the UK, O'Leary demystifies early-stage venture capital. When an investor puts $\$500,000$ or $\$1,000,000$ into a nascent startup, the harsh reality is that 6 to 8 out of 10 will inevitably fail, and no one can predict which ones will succeed at the outset.

O'Leary pulls no punches when criticizing young venture capital analysts who claim they can spot winners immediately. Calling them "so full of [___]," he highlights that these analysts lack actual operational experience in running a business and simply rely on portfolio diversification, hoping that 1 or 2 hit companies over a 5 to 7-year horizon will cover the losses of all their other mistakes. The serendipitous nature of entrepreneurial success is brutal, requiring strong execution skills and what he describes as business "karma."

- Most early-stage seed and Series A investments require 5 to 7 years before a true outcome or exit is known. - A balanced VC strategy relies on broad portfolio diversification across sectors to hedge against the inherent 60% to 80% failure rate of early-stage startups.

[18:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1088s) Why Female-Led Companies Outperform in Early-Stage Portfolios

Reflecting on decades of seed and Series A investments across all 11 sectors of the economy, O'Leary shares a striking observation: the vast majority of his top-performing portfolio companies 5 to 7 years post-investment are run by women. Despite operating independently in completely different industries without communicating with one another, these female CEOs consistently deliver superior long-term results due to two specific management traits.

First, female leaders set realistic, achievable target growth rates—typically aiming for around 15% to 16% annually, compared to male entrepreneurs who often target aggressive 30% growth rates. While men in his portfolio hit their targets roughly 65% of the time, female CEOs hit their targets over 90% of the time. This consistent achievement fosters team stability, keeps staff motivated, and significantly reduces attrition among key personnel like heads of finance or marketing during critical early growth phases.

- **Growth Target Realism:** Male founders tend to set 30%+ targets (hitting them ~65% of the time), whereas female founders set 15–16% targets (hitting them 90%+ of the time). - **Employee Retention:** Lower turnover in executive roles directly correlates with meeting reasonable, steady growth goals rather than overpromising.

[19:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1148s) The Power of Silence and Listening in High-Stakes Negotiations

The second major attribute O'Leary learned from his female executives is the practice of active listening over speaking. He recounts how one of his female CEOs bluntly challenged him a few years ago, saying, *"You know, Kevin, you talk too much. You talk two-thirds, you listen one-third. Why don't you try reversing the ratio?"* Accepting her advice, O'Leary discovered that remaining silent yields critical information that would otherwise remain hidden.

To illustrate, O'Leary shares a real-time example that occurred just minutes before arriving at the interview studio. Involved in a long, drawn-out litigation, he attended a settlement meeting where he deliberately sat across from the opposing party and remained completely silent, staring directly at them without speaking. After roughly 90 seconds of uncomfortable silence, the opposing party blurted out information they shouldn't have revealed, instantly exposing their settlement price and saving two hours of grueling negotiations.

> "There is something going on in silence... He showed his hand. So, we saved ourselves two hours, you know. It's an attribute that many people can't do because they can't stand the social uncomfort of it. I have no problem with it. I can sit here and look at you for 10 minutes—it wouldn't matter to me."

[21:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1288s) Reading the Room: Evaluating Entrepreneurial Aura on *Shark Tank*

Reflecting on the hundreds of pitches he evaluates, O'Leary details his instinctive "spidey sense" for identifying winners before a single word is spoken. On the set of *Shark Tank*, when entrepreneurs walk down the hallway onto the carpet, the stage director (Eric) holds them in place for up to two minutes while the camera jibs zoom in for setup shots. Positioned just 12 feet away, O'Leary stares at the entrepreneurs without smiling, blinking, or frowning, assessing their posture, eye contact, and presence.

He estimates he can judge whether someone is a winner or a loser with 99% accuracy in those initial silent moments. Under the intense pressure of 20+ cameras and panel members representing over a billion dollars in capital, unprepared entrepreneurs crumble under the gaze, looking down or shifting uncomfortably. In contrast, successful founders project confidence through their eyes and posture, asserting their "aura" and demonstrating they are ready for battle.

- **The Pitch Test Structure:** 1. **The First 60–90 Seconds:** The entrepreneur must clearly articulate the big idea/product concept in simple terms. 2. **The Operator Fit:** They must prove why *they* are uniquely qualified to execute the business (industry expertise, past failures analyzed, domain authority). 3. **Knowing the Numbers:** The absolute dealbreaker; founders must know their unit economics cold.

[26:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1571s) The Unforgivable Sin: Not Knowing Your Numbers

While great ideas are "a dime a dozen," the ultimate test of leadership and business viability comes down to financial literacy. O'Leary stresses that if a founder successfully projects confidence and explains their unique operational background but fails when asked about financial metrics, they lose all credibility. Entrepreneurs must immediately know their market size, growth rate, gross margins, competitive landscape, and exact break-even month.

O'Leary passionately argues that wasting a pitch opportunity without knowing basic business arithmetic is an insult to other hard-working entrepreneurs who deserved that platform. In his view, combining a commanding physical presence, an execution mindset, and complete command of financials represents the true definition of leadership.

> "If you get the first two right and you don't know your numbers, you deserve to burn in hell and I'll put you there myself... You should have brought somebody that understands the language of business because those three together are the definition of leadership right there."

[27:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1643s) How to Build and Project Executive Aura

When asked whether this commanding business "aura" can be cultivated or taught, O'Leary asserts that it can be learned through deliberate self-awareness and practice. He advises entrepreneurs to look critically in the mirror and practice how they present themselves before stepping into high-stakes environments, such as pitching for a million-dollar line of credit. Dressing for success, maintaining unyielding eye contact, and projecting steady calm signal respect and competence to investors, bankers, and future employees alike.

- **Mirror Practice:** Analyze body language, eye contact, and facial expressions in advance. - **Intentional Eye Contact:** Keeping eyes focused on the speaker signals that information is being absorbed and respected, setting the foundation for long-term professional relationships.

[29:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1748s) Radical Meritocracy and the Contractor Hiring Framework

Addressing his executive hiring strategy, O'Leary reveals that his operating companies are staffed almost entirely by women, particularly Asian women, purely as a result of radical meritocracy. Dismissing rigid corporate DEI programs, he asserts that he evaluates candidates strictly on execution and performance, regardless of background, gender, or race.

To eliminate hiring risks and ensure culture fit, O'Leary never hires employees straight into full-time roles. Instead, candidates are initially brought on as independent contractors for a 4-to-6-month trial period at a significantly higher base rate (compensating for the lack of immediate stock options and benefits). This trial tests how well the candidate handles asynchronous, project-based work alongside global teams spanning London, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and beyond.

- **Contractor Trial Model:** 4 to 6 months of contract work before offering full-time employment with benefits/equity. - **Project-Based Work Culture:** Abandoning traditional 9-to-5 schedules in favor of strict deadline enforcement (e.g., tax filings delivered on time regardless of when or where the work is completed). - **Swiss Apprenticeship Influence:** Inspired by the Swiss model (where companies like Nestlé or Pfizer take on 14-year-old apprentices out of high school), O'Leary uses short-term operational trials to evaluate candidate DNA before making long-term commitments.

[32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1940s) Out-of-Left-Field Winners: The Basepaws Story

Reflecting on his expansive investment portfolio from *Shark Tank*, O'Leary notes that predicting which company will yield a massive financial exit is notoriously difficult. He highlights the story of **Basepaws**—a feline DNA sequencing company founded by CEO Anna Skaya—which initially appeared bizarre to the panel.

Despite initially thinking the idea of a DNA test for cats was "a joke," O'Leary invested in the business. Basepaws went on to deliver a massive exit when it was acquired by Zoetis, proving that wildly successful business outcomes often emerge from unexpected categories led by exceptional female founders.

- **Company:** Basepaws (Cat DNA testing kit) - **Founder:** Anna Skaya - **Outcome:** Highly lucrative acquisition/exit despite initial skepticism from investors during the original pitch.

Here is a detailed, faithful walkthrough of this section of the interview:

[32:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1972s) The Data Play in Business and Tesla's Hidden Value

Kevin O'Leary reflects on a massive startup exit from *Shark Tank* history—a cat DNA testing company that achieved the highest internal rate of return (IRR) in the show’s history within just 36 months. He notes that the enterprise was acquired for an extraordinary all-cash figure that required a strict non-disclosure agreement (NDA) between Sony and the acquiring pharmaceutical company. O'Leary explains that the buyer did not acquire the company for the DNA testing service itself, but rather for its massive, unique dataset on America's 110 million cats, collected rapidly during the pandemic. Armed with this dataset, the pharmaceutical company could leverage emerging AI to develop specialized animal feeds and medicines.

This leads O'Leary to draw a direct parallel to Tesla. When his son landed an internship at Tesla, he advised O'Leary to buy the stock, insisting, "It's not a car company, it's a data company." Though O'Leary initially dismissed it as too expensive, he eventually followed his son's advice, and Tesla went on to become his most successful investment. Over time, as the stock surged, he had to continually sell down his position to maintain a 5% portfolio allocation, bringing his cost basis down to zero.

- The cat DNA testing startup was acquired in under 36 months, generating the highest IRR in *Shark Tank* history under an NDA so strict O'Leary cannot state the nine-figure sum. - America has an estimated 110 million cats, making the startup's pandemic-era pet data immensely valuable for AI-driven animal health products. - O'Leary's son worked at Tesla for 5 years after convincing his father to invest by reframing it as a data company.

---

[34:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2061s) Taking Entrepreneurial Risks in Your 20s and Surviving Failure

Steven Bartlett brings up the viewers who sit on their sofas dreaming about entrepreneurship, noting that many approach him in the street about starting a business. O'Leary bluntly states that two-thirds of them will never actually do it. He strongly urges aspiring founders to take the leap in their 20s before taking on heavy financial burdens like mortgages and families. He emphasizes that initial ventures are likely to fail—as his own have—but you only need a single major success to transform your life.

To illustrate the stark reality of corporate risk, O'Leary shares a candid story from earlier that very morning. While riding in a limousine with Bartlett’s assistant, O'Leary was on a conference call with fellow shareholders deciding the fate of a distressed portfolio company facing bankruptcy. He presented them with a binary choice: either let the company go under, or wipe out existing equity through a "cram-down round" at a fraction of a cent and inject millions to assume total ownership. O'Leary emphasizes that every CEO will face bad outcomes, but the ultimate key to survival is ensuring that no single failed business defines who you are. In contrast to that distressed deal, he mentions receiving another call that day about an impending IPO where his shareholders stand to make a 400x return.

> "Learn to live with the idea that you are going to fail. You are going to lose money by taking risk... Never put yourself in a situation where one bad outcome defines who you are."

---

[37:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2267s) Steve Jobs, the Queen Bee Analogy, and U.S. Semiconductor Policy

O'Leary credits Steve Jobs with permanently altering his life, admitting that while Jobs was difficult and often unlikable, his sheer genius and execution were undeniable. Reflecting on Jobs and Steve Wozniak, O'Leary highlights how the two founders needed each other, using their dynamic to present an analogy regarding current U.S. semiconductor trade policy toward China and Russia.

He describes the computer chip or operating system as the "queen bee" and the global developer community as the "honeybees." Jobs understood that the ultimate key to market dominance was attracting every developer ("honeybee") to write software ("honey") exclusively for Apple's platform. O'Leary argues that Washington's current bans preventing companies like Nvidia, AMD, Intel, and Broadcom from selling AI chips to foreign adversaries is flawed policy. By locking American chips out of international markets, regulators create a vacuum that allows foreign competitors like Huawei to introduce their own "queen bee" chips, forcing global developer talent to build on alternative platforms. Instead, he believes the U.S. should keep foreign developers hooked on American firmware and hardware ecosystem standards.

- O'Leary criticizes restrictions on export chips like Nvidia's, arguing it encourages foreign markets to adopt local alternatives like Huawei. - He emphasizes that software developers and AI engineers act as the "honeybees" that build value around the central hardware "queen bee." - He shares that he frequently travels to Washington, D.C., to lobby policymakers on AI and technology strategies because his investment portfolio depends heavily on American software infrastructure.

---

[41:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2474s) Advice for 21-Year-Old Founders and the Truth About Leadership

For a 21-year-old eager to embark on a decade-long entrepreneurial journey, O'Leary outlines a clear, non-negotiable step: work for 24 months as an apprentice in a sector you are passionate about, even if you have to work for free. Understanding the inner mechanics of an industry dramatically increases the odds of success when launching a startup later with initial friends-and-family capital.

Addressing the common misconception that leaders must be aggressive or cruel to emulate Steve Jobs, O'Leary dismisses the debate over "kind" versus "brash" leadership styles as superficial. He stresses that workplace teams are not social clubs or families, but groups assembled to execute specific mandates for customers. He warns heavily against workplace nepotism, noting that the most successful multi-generational private dynasties—such as Tetra Pak and IKEA—prohibit family members from running operations, keeping them on boards while hiring professional management.

> "The team you're building are not your friends. They are the team you're building to execute on a mandate. Your customers come first."

---

[46:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2762s) Testing Talent, Embracing Eclectic Employees, and Personal Wealth

When asked about building exceptional teams, O'Leary reveals his biggest hiring mistake: bringing people on without road-testing them first. Resume credentials mean little until a candidate demonstrates they can make high-stakes decisions independently without constant managerial hand-holding. Furthermore, rather than hiring workaholics or "psychopaths," O'Leary actually prefers eclectic employees who pursue intense, unconventional personal passions outside of work—such as riding motorcycles or bicycles across the desert for days at a time. He finds that these creative, well-rounded individuals consistently outshine rigid, robotic workers.

Transitioning to personal finance, O'Leary reflects on how he learned the principles of wealth accumulation from his mother, Georgette, which later inspired him to build an index investment business. Seeing her photo on screen briefly moves O'Leary to tears. He recounts how his mother, a woman of Lebanese descent who worked in accounting for her father's business, insisted on absolute financial independence from men. Every week upon getting paid in cash, she automatically set aside 20% of her pay, split into two primary asset classes: large-cap dividend-paying stocks and long-term 7-year telecom bonds yielding 6.5% to 8%.

- O'Leary requires potential executives to be road-tested to ensure they can make autonomous decisions within budget parameters (e.g., up to $1,000,000). - He prefers hiring creative, eclectic thinkers over single-minded workaholics because they offer fresh, out-of-the-box solutions. - O'Leary's mother, Georgette, saved 20% of every paycheck throughout her life, allocating it specifically to dividend-paying stocks and high-yielding telecom bonds.

Here is a faithful walkthrough of the transcript segment.

---

[50:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3043s) Georgette's 55-Year Investment Blueprint and Portfolio Rules

Kevin O'Leary reflects on the extraordinary financial legacy left by his mother, Georgette. She held her investment portfolio for 55 years, keeping her accounts entirely secret from both of her husbands to maintain complete financial independence. Georgette followed two simple, unyielding rules: **never allocate more than 5% of her portfolio to any single stock or bond**, and **never put more than 20% into any single sector**. Whenever a stock appreciated beyond 5%, she disciplined herself to sell it down. O'Leary stresses that this was not sheer financial genius, but strict, systematic diversification. Over more than five decades, she never touched the principal—only spending the dividends and interest—which paid for Kevin and his brother to go to college and provided a safety net for relatives during hard times.

When Georgette passed away, O'Leary—acting as the executor—was called down to the lawyer's office. Expecting modest middle-class assets, he was stunned by the size and performance of the portfolio, which had outperformed top hedge funds over its 55-year life. Upon seeing those results, O'Leary adopted her exact strategy for the rest of his career. He adheres to the 5% individual stock limit and the 20% sector cap across his liquid holdings. The only exception he makes is real estate, which comprises approximately one-third of his net worth. He warns that when investors make massive bets—putting half their wealth into a single stock or sector because they believe they are right—they inevitably end up getting wiped out.

- **Georgette’s Portfolio Structure:** Contained roughly 28 "boring" large-cap names and rudimentary dividend-paying mutual funds. - **Sector Allocation:** Built during an era when the market had only 10 recognized sectors (prior to real estate becoming an official 11th sector). - **Core Principle:** Never spend principal; live strictly off generated dividends and interest.

[53:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3207s) The 90-Day Financial Gut Check and The $28 Lunch Habit

O'Leary shares a story about a multi-billionaire woman who reached out to him during her divorce. overwhelmed by financial advisors competing for her business after separating from her husband, she asked O'Leary to manage her money. He declined, but offered a simple piece of advice: sit down with a blank sheet of paper—no computers, no spreadsheets—and list every dollar spent over the last 90 days alongside all income generated from her assets (stocks, bonds, land, gold). When they completed the exercise, she was shocked to discover she was bleeding hundreds of thousands of dollars a week and losing millions per quarter on unnecessary purchases. O'Leary emphasizes that regardless of whether someone is a billionaire or earns an average salary of $56,000 to $68,000 a year, they must never outspend their income over a 30- or 60-day cycle.

Translating this rule to young professionals, O'Leary expresses intense frustration with 20-somethings making $70,000 a year who spend $28 on daily lunches. He advises looking at that $28 through the lens of compound growth—invested in an index fund earning 8% to 10% annually over 50 years, those small expenditures compound into massive wealth. He suggests young adults conduct a simple audit: walk into their closet and look at their clothes. Most people regularly wear only 20% of their wardrobe while wasting money on the remaining 80%. Recalling his mother's approach, he notes she only bought two high-end, handmade Chanel jackets per year. Because of their classic design and quality, those vintage 1950s jackets maintained and increased their value over decades, eventually triggering a chaotic "cat fight" among the family's women over who would inherit them when she died.

- **The Beanstocks App:** An app O'Leary built that automatically sweeps 15% of a user's salary into two buckets (S&P 500 index ETFs and fixed-income bonds). - **The Power of 15% Saving:** A 25-year-old earning $70,000 who consistently invests 15% into an S&P 500 index fund will accumulate over $1.5 million by age 65. - **Custom S&P Index:** O'Leary created a custom version of the S&P 500 index that strips out companies with poor balance sheets.

[58:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3530s) Luxury Goods, Dividend Stocks, and Alternative Assets

The conversation turns to luxury assets and watches, as host Steven Bartlett notices O'Leary wearing a watch on each wrist. O'Leary explains that every timepiece in his extensive collection marks a significant milestone in his life—a closed deal, the birth of a child, or a graduation. He keeps the exact size of his collection private due to insurance constraints, but notes that fine watches function as strong alternative assets. Some pieces he bought for $200,000 are worth over $1 million today.

O'Leary outlines his core approach to equities, emphasizing his strong preference for dividend-paying stocks. A dividend represents a mature, profitable company sharing its operational success directly with shareholders. While tech stocks historically avoided paying dividends, major tech behemoths now offer them to satisfy an aging global demographic demanding income. Outside of traditional stocks and fixed income, O'Leary holds alternative assets, including gold, luxury watches, and cryptocurrency.

- **Dividend Sectors:** Dividend payers have expanded beyond traditional utilities into almost every market sector, including mega-cap tech. - **Alternative Investments:** Combined holdings in physical gold, luxury watches, and digital assets.

[01:00:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3626s) The Evolution of Crypto: Stablecoins, Bitcoin, and Portfolio Allocation

O'Leary clarifies his stance on cryptocurrency, distinguishing between speculative tokens and utility-driven digital payment systems. He highlights the "Genius Act" (the Stablecoin Act), a bill he worked on two years prior that recently cleared the Senate. He uses a practical example: buying a timepiece from master watchmaker Simon Birch. Traditionally, transferring $100,000 USD to Swiss francs involves cumbersome "Know Your Customer" (KYC) friction, takes a full week, and costs roughly 200 basis points in fees. Using USDC—a stablecoin backed by US dollar Treasury bills—the transaction completes in under a second for a fraction of a cent.

While O'Leary views Bitcoin as "digital gold" subject to high volatility, he views the broader crypto ecosystem as an infrastructure layer destined to become the 12th sector of the S&P 500 by providing productivity gains to all other 11 sectors. His investment strategy focuses on infrastructure, exchanges, and regulated entities. He reflects on surviving the volatile era of "crypto cowboys," noting that he testified before the US Senate and House while many early bad actors ended up in prison.

- **Total Crypto Allocation:** O'Leary’s portfolio maintains a 19.1% overall crypto allocation (marked-to-market), kept strictly below his 20% sector limit. - **Holdings Breakdown:** Includes spot Bitcoin, USDC, and equity in infrastructure companies and exchanges like Circle and WonderFi (which was acquired by Robinhood). - **Yield on USDC:** Holding USDC in designated accounts currently yields around 4.1% interest.

[01:03:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3812s) Real Estate and The One-Third Mortgage Rule

Addressing the common belief that buying a house is the primary path to building wealth, O'Leary outlines a strict rule inherited from his mother: **housing costs—including the mortgage, taxes, and maintenance—must never exceed one-third (33%) of your total income**. Exceeding that threshold means buying "too much house." He warns that many buyers fell into a trap when interest rates were ultra-low (under 4% or 3.2%), purchasing massive homes they can no longer afford. As those homeowners face refinancing at interest rates above 7%, housing costs spike to 60%, 70%, or 80% of their income, creating severe financial strain.

O'Leary advises younger buyers to start small—perhaps with a 1,900-square-foot home in an entry-level neighborhood or a property where a portion can be rented out. The objective is to build equity and learn property management without suffocating the ability to invest elsewhere. A house is only an asset to the extent of its equity; heavy debt burdens negate its value. His overarching goal for any investor is to enter their 40s actively eliminating mortgage debt while maintaining a diversified investment portfolio that compounds steadily toward retirement.

- **Primary Asset Myth:** A home is only a true asset if the equity heavily outweighs the debt attached to it. - **Refinancing Trap:** Homeowners who bought large homes during the low-rate era face major disruption as mortgages roll over at 7%+ rates. - **Long-Term Target:** Strive to be completely mortgage-free in your 40s.

---

<ElicitationsGroup message="Where would you like to go next with Kevin O'Leary's insights?"> <Elicitation label="Summarize Kevin's rules on divorce and love languages of money" query="Summarize Kevin O'Leary's rules on how money impacts relationships, divorce, and the love languages of money."/> <Elicitation label="Break down Kevin's views on AI, Apple, and Steve Jobs" query="Break down Kevin O'Leary's thoughts on AI, Steve Jobs, and whether Apple is dying."/> </ElicitationsGroup>

Here is a detailed, faithful walkthrough of the provided transcript segment:

[01:06:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3960s) Rethinking Homeownership and the Power of Financial Discipline

Kevin O'Leary breaks down the common trap of rushing to buy a home with a small down payment. If someone puts down 10% on a house using a 90% mortgage, they only truly own that 10% equity at market value, and housing markets can stay flat for long periods. When asked if a single 25-year-old earning $70,000 whose goal is to make money should buy a house, O'Leary gives an emphatic no. He argues that buying a home makes sense primarily when getting married and starting a family. Renting properties out as income investments—such as managing student housing portfolios—is a separate business model altogether that requires focused execution. For a single person looking to build wealth, O'Leary advises putting money into a diversified investment portfolio first to build a solid nest egg.

O'Leary emphasizes that true wealth creation boils down to a single word: **discipline**. It is the ability to resist impulsive purchases and keep capital working for you. He notes that financially independent people, even lifelong employees, achieved their status by having the discipline to say no to unnecessary clutter. Addressing his own reputation for luxury, O'Leary clarifies that no one should ever go into debt for a watch. To model this for younger audiences, he frequently wears watches priced under $500—such as a $265 Timex—to demonstrate that getting into horology does not require spending $50,000.

- Purchasing a house with 10% down leaves the buyer only owning that fraction of the equity, exposing them to market stagnation. - Real estate as an active business (e.g., student housing portfolios) works well for dedicated operators, but differs from buying a primary residence. - Wealth creation hinges on the single core principle of **discipline**—choosing to keep money working rather than spending it on items not needed. - O'Leary cautions against taking on debt for luxury items, highlighting accessible timepieces like a $265 Timex.

---

[01:08:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4120s) The Harsh Reality of Relationships and Entrepreneurship

When asked how much a life partner impacts financial success, O'Leary declares, "It's everything." For an entrepreneur striving to scale a business, finding a partner who understands the reality of the grind is non-negotiable. He dismisses the concept of work-life balance as total nonsense, explaining that competing globally requires working tirelessly. A spouse in an entrepreneurial household must tolerate long absences and shoulder raising the family during those intense early building years.

O'Leary gets candid about the realities of marriage, stating that "marriage is a business" and that "the first child you're going to have is money." He stresses that money sits at the family table every single day; without basic financial stability, marriages struggle to survive. Reflecting on his own long-term marriage, he shares that although he and his wife were separated for a couple of years, family values brought them back together. Because they started with nothing, they make major financial decisions together with mutual respect. He acknowledges that while his wife spent more time reading stories to their children while they were young—a trade-off he acknowledges missing—his role was to provide, and their kids have since successfully launched into their own careers without relying on unearned inheritance.

- Work-life balance in early-stage global competition is unrealistically framed; success requires extreme dedication. - Marriage functions fundamentally as an economic union where financial stability serves as a foundational element. - Spouses must communicate openly and make major material financial decisions together. - Parental success involves guiding children to launch their own independent careers without relying on financial entitlement or massive gifts.

---

[01:11:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4292s) The Financial Impact of Divorce and Premarital Due Diligence

O'Leary explains why choosing a spouse is the single most important financial decision a person will ever make. Divorces cause a massive, geometric destruction of wealth. Beyond splitting assets with an ex-spouse, liquidating holdings to separate assets often triggers substantial capital gains taxes owed to the government, potentially wiping out up to two-thirds of a person's accumulated wealth. He quips that if someone finds themselves getting married for a third time, "It's not them. It's you," advising serial divorcees to simply date rather than entering into legally binding economic unions. If a person is happy 51% of the time in their marriage, they should stay.

Drawing on research from top divorce attorneys in New York and Boston while writing his book *Cold Hard Truth: On Family, Kids and Money*, O'Leary uncovered a surprising reality: most divorces are not caused by infidelity, which many couples survive, but by financial stress. People fall in love during a euphoric honeymoon period without conducting any due diligence on their partner's spending history, credit debts, or family financial background. Friction begins when one partner consistently outspends their means, accumulating high-interest credit card debt (e.g., $100,000 at 23% interest) to keep up with the Joneses. To prevent this, O'Leary highlights his investment in HelloPrenup, a platform that normalizes prenuptial agreements to force upfront financial transparency and disclosure before marriage.

- Divorce liquidations frequently forfeit up to two-thirds of built-up wealth between asset splitting and capital gains taxes. - Top divorce attorneys confirm that financial stress—not infidelity—is the primary driver behind broken marriages. - Unchecked spending habits, like carrying $100,000 in credit card debt at 23% interest, create destructive friction in relationships. - Prenuptial agreements act as a necessary due diligence mechanism to reveal financial histories during the early, euphoric stages of a relationship.

---

[01:15:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4556s) The 5 Financial Personality Types and the Third-Date Rule

Reviewing O'Leary's framework for how different personalities handle money, the conversation details five distinct financial archetypes to watch out for when dating: 1. **The Mooch:** Refuses to pay for anything and relies entirely on others for financial support. 2. **The Spendaholic:** Insists on paying for everything to project status, driven by insecurity disguised as cash spending. 3. **The Loafer:** Completely lacks ambition or financial drive; O'Leary advises avoiding them "with extreme prejudice." 4. **The Thief:** Steals or acts dishonestly, which warrants zero tolerance. 5. **The Meanie:** A disciplined, balanced spender who lives comfortably within their means.

O'Leary urges people to "marry a meanie," as shared financial discipline is what builds lifelong marriages. He recommends bringing up financial goals as early as the **third date**. By the third date, mutual romantic interest is established, making it the ideal time to ask about long-term ambitions and financial values. Framed correctly, inquiring about a partner's financial mindset isn't an interrogation—it's essential exploration for a potential life partnership.

- Financial compatibility hinges on recognizing harmful behavior patterns early in dating. - The ideal life partner is a "meanie"—someone who lives within their means and respects capital discipline. - Open conversations about long-term goals and money values should occur by the third date to evaluate genuine alignment.

---

[01:18:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4683s) Mid-Podcast Sponsor Announcements

The host breaks to highlight two primary show sponsors:

- **GoodNotes:** A dynamic note-taking application on iOS and Mac used by the host to store episode research and take real-time notes during interviews. The app features **Ask GoodNotes**, an AI companion capable of instantly searching through hundreds of pages of handwritten or typed notes. The host offers a 30-day free trial at `[goodnotes.com/doac](https://goodnotes.com/doac)` or an annual subscription for $9.99 per year. - **JustWorks:** An HR and administrative platform designed for early-stage founders and growing businesses. It automates payroll, manages health insurance benefits, provides 24/7 human HR support, and scales with companies as they expand nationally or internationally.

[01:20:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4830s) Practical AI Applications and Economic Disruption

Artificial intelligence has entered the room, fundamentally altering the equations of money, investing, and business building. When host Steven Bartlett asks how someone starting out or working in a white-collar profession like law should view this moment, Kevin O'Leary declares that AI is "immense" and "bigger than the internet." To ground the massive topic, O'Leary shares real-world use cases from his own portfolio. In a post-pandemic economy, direct-to-consumer strategies have surged, yielding massive amounts of granular customer data. O'Leary points to his wine business—a Shark Tank company that partners with QVC and sells over three million bottles annually. Previously, understanding regional consumer taste preferences across thousands of retail channels required months and upwards of $1,000,000 in market research. Using an AI tool, O'Leary's team discovered for just $18,000 that the top varietal among women aged 44 to 64 in Southern Florida was sweet Moscato—a wine O'Leary personally hates ("I think it tastes like [ __ ] I don't care what I think"). Armed with this data six months in advance, they allocated capital expenditure and inventory precisely, eliminating excess stock and financial risk for the summer.

``` TRADITIONAL RESEARCH vs. AI DATA ANALYTICS ┌───────────────────────────────┬──────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ Traditional Market Research │ AI Data Analytics (Direct-to-Consumer) │ ├───────────────────────────────┼──────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ Cost: ~$1,000,000 │ Cost: ~$18,000 │ │ Timeline: Months │ Timeline: Near Real-Time │ │ Output: Lagging trends │ Output: Predictive demand forecasting │ └───────────────────────────────┴──────────────────────────────────────────┘ ```

O'Leary details a second example involving media production. Typically, shooting a high-end commercial in Los Angeles with a green screen and post-production editing costs upwards of $250,000 to $400,000. Recently, O'Leary flew to Dubai to shoot in a studio equipped with a 6K digital wall where AI synced his script dynamically to the background. The entire shoot was completed in four hours with zero post-production needed. What truly freaked him out was that the production team subsequently generated an entirely new commercial without him present using an AI avatar ("Kevin Agent") for a mere $9,000. When he wanted adjustments, the AI modified the footage instantly and offered automatic translations into Spanish, Japanese, or Arabic.

- **Direct-to-Consumer Shift:** Before the pandemic, typical direct-to-consumer sales averaged 27%; post-pandemic figures hover near 50%, providing companies with direct data streams. - **Wine Sales Volume:** O'Leary's wine enterprise sells over 3,000,000 bottles per year. - **Cost Efficiency:** AI-driven consumer insight research dropped market analysis costs from $1,000,000 down to $18,000. - **Commercial Production Savings:** Producing a traditional video ad package costs $250,000–$400,000; an AI-generated avatar ad cost $9,000. - **Multi-Platform Validation:** O'Leary's team cross-checks AI insights across multiple competing platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, etc.) to analyze variances before acting on data.

---

[01:26:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5180s) The Geopolitics of AI, Chips, and National Defense

Behind all these AI breakthroughs is hardware infrastructure, specifically high-performance graphics processing units. O'Leary emphasizes that the video wall and AI rendering platforms rely entirely on Nvidia chips rather than foreign alternatives. He describes the brilliant mathematicians and engineers running these technical setups as essential "honeybees." O'Leary cautions that democratic nations must maintain control over this foundational technology, stressing that the AI race is fundamentally a defense and geopolitical issue rather than just a commercial tool.

``` THE GEOPOLITICAL AI RACE ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ CHIP LEADERSHIP │ │ (e.g., Nvidia GPUs) │ └────────────────────────────────────┬─────────────────────────────────────┘ │ ▼ ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ DATA CENTER INFRASTRUCTURE │ │ (Engineered by high-level talent) │ └────────────────────────────────────┬─────────────────────────────────────┘ │ ▼ ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ NATIONAL DEFENSE │ │ (Next-gen warfare: AI, autonomous drones, robotics) │ └──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘ ```

When addressing public anxiety surrounding job loss in white-collar professions—such as accounting, legal work, and media editing—O'Leary advises everyone to "chillax," framing AI as an evolutionary tool. He draws a historical parallel to the advent of television, which critics predicted would kill radio, yet radio remains a massive industry today. However, his main area of grave concern is warfare. Future military conflicts will be decided by whichever country possesses the most advanced chip technology, data centers, and AI systems powering autonomous drones and robotics. In his dialogues with U.S. Senators, O'Leary uses his "honeybee analogy" to argue that the world will ultimately divide into two digital spheres: one powered by Western democratic AI ("our honey") and one powered by authoritarian state AI ("Chinese honey").

- **National Security Anchor:** O'Leary views chip dominance and data center infrastructure as vital national security imperatives rather than purely economic assets. - **Historical Analogy:** Compares AI fear-mongering to early predictions that television would eliminate radio. - **The Superpower Split:** Asserts that global AI leadership will be a binary contest between the United States and China.

---

[01:28:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5316s) Apple, Steve Jobs, and the Power of Ecosystems

When Bartlett questions whether Apple is a dying company due to perceived slowdowns in innovation, O'Leary rejects the notion completely. He traces Apple's enduring power back to the core philosophy imparted by Steve Jobs: "They don't know what they want until I tell them." O'Leary recalls challenging Jobs directly in meetings, asking him how he could possibly know what consumers wanted before they did, to which Jobs replied, "Show me where I'm wrong." O'Leary admits he never could.

``` APPLE'S BRAND FLYWHEEL ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ COMMODITY HARDWARE COMPETITOR │ │ • Equivalent raw processing power (~$330) │ └────────────────────────────────────┬─────────────────────────────────────┘ │ │ Lacks Ecosystem ▼ ┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ THE APPLE ECOSYSTEM (~$1,800) │ │ • Unified OS across hardware • Cross-device messaging sync │ │ • Integrated AppleCare support • High-friction platform retention │ └──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘ ```

O'Leary explains that Apple's true strength lies not in raw hardware specs, but in its ecosystem and brand moat. A consumer can purchase a third-party laptop with equivalent raw processing power for $330, yet millions willingly spend $1,800 on a MacBook. They do so because they are buying into the seamless ecosystem—where the operating system, messaging, files, and AppleCare integrate across all devices. Apple often allows competitors to pioneer new market categories, only to enter later and dominate through superior integration and brand loyalty. Recalling the early days of the iPhone, O'Leary remembers telling Jobs that he was out of his mind to think people would run business software on a small phone screen; Jobs simply told him to rewrite all his company's software vertically.

- **Hardware Price Disparity:** $330 baseline PC laptop vs. $1,800 Apple MacBook with comparable core compute power. - **Foundational Insights:** Jobs incorporated natural aesthetics, Japanese scripture, and typography (such as the original scalable Mac fonts) to make technology feel intuitive and human. - **Academic Context:** O'Leary shares these real-world lessons during his lectures at Harvard Business School, where roughly one-third of the student body consists of international students.

---

[01:33:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5603s) Visionary Leadership: Steve Jobs and Elon Musk

O'Leary draws a direct line between Steve Jobs and Elon Musk, classifying both as generational visionaries who redefine entire industries—whether through SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink, or Starlink. He notes that Musk operates on "100% signal," filtering out non-essential noise to focus entirely on first-principles execution. O'Leary argues that figures like Musk and Jobs are rare national treasures whose contributions to societal advancement and global competitiveness far outweigh personal political opinions or personality quirks.

Reflecting on his personal interactions with Jobs during board meetings alongside venture capitalist Heidi Roizen in Cupertino, O'Leary speaks with visible emotion. He admits that working with Jobs was intense; Jobs was constantly demanding, never seemed happy, and was always "barking" orders. Yet, O'Leary felt a profound respect for him because Jobs's vision was consistently proven right over time.

- **Cross-Industry Impact:** Musk's initiatives span electric vehicles (Tesla), space exploration (SpaceX), brain-computer interfaces (Neuralink), and satellite communications (Starlink). - **Executive Dynamics:** O'Leary recalls negotiating tens of millions of dollars (e.g., an $18,000,000 software contract) in high-stakes meetings with Jobs at Apple headquarters in Cupertino.

> "He used to say to my team over and over again... 'They don't know what they want until I tell them.' And I always [said], 'Steve, how the [ __ ] do you know that?'... He said, 'Show me where I'm wrong.'... It hasn't happened yet, Steve." — **Kevin O'Leary**

Here is the detailed walkthrough of this portion of the transcript:

[01:36:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5760s) Lessons from Steve Jobs: Uncompromising Standards vs. "Noise"

Kevin O'Leary wraps up an intense story illustrating Steve Jobs's volatile, unyielding nature during corporate negotiations. O'Leary recounts how Jobs reduced one of his top product managers—who ran massive, multi-million-dollar software franchises like *The Oregon Trail* across 110,000 American schools—to tears simply because she wanted to conduct market research. Jobs rejected the idea outright, insisting that they would do exclusively what he dictated. After ejecting O'Leary's team from the meeting, Jobs hung out of an old-fashioned four-inch hotel window slot to continue yelling down at them while they loaded their Hertz rental car to drive back to San Francisco. Shortly after, Apple executive Heidi Roizen called O'Leary's brick mobile phone to report, "Okay, he'll do it for $12 million." When O'Leary asked why they had to endure such abuse, Roizen simply replied, "Why is the sky blue? Just get back on the plane and go do it."

Reflecting on the exchange, O'Leary compares Jobs to a brilliant hit-song producer: even if an artist hates working with a crazy producer, they tolerate it because the producer delivers hits. When asked if Jobs could have simply been nice, O'Leary responds that being "nice" was completely absent from Jobs's DNA; Jobs viewed social niceties as pure "noise" that distracted from the mission. Despite the harshness, O'Leary stresses that his limited time with Jobs left an indelible mark on his career. To this day, whenever faced with a critical business decision, he asks himself, *"What would Steve do?"*—a ghost that he believes still haunts the executive suites at Apple.

- **Key Figure Mentioned:** Heidi Roizen (Apple executive who brokered the deal). - **Software Franchise:** *The Oregon Trail* (deployed across 110,000 U.S. schools). - **Financial Terms:** Deal closed at $12 million following the contentious meeting. - **Key Philosophy:** "Being nice is noise"—Jobs's total disregard for consensus or feelings in pursuit of excellence.

---

[01:39:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5946s) Happiness, Aging, and the Driven Mindset

Moving to personal reflection, host Steven Bartlett asks O'Leary if he is truly happy. O'Leary shares that he grows happier as he gets older because he has reached a state of deep comfort and autonomy. He recalls the turmoil of his 30s, when he struggled to figure out his identity while managing dyslexia—a condition he now views as a superpower rather than an affliction. Today, O'Leary measures his happiness by a simple metric: he does not spend a single moment of his day doing things he doesn't want to do, simply because he has the freedom to say no. Even agreeing to a two-hour interview stems entirely from a genuine desire to be there.

When Steven notes that O'Leary's wife often questions why he continues flying 300 hours a year and visiting up to five cities in a single day when they do not need more money, O'Leary explains that he is fueled by pure passion. He rejects the idea of being "dragged" by success, asserting that real achievement requires relentless drive. Nothing excites him more than being told something is impossible. He highlights his recent venture into watch insurance—a sector critics claimed he could never launch due to state-by-state compliance and international regulatory hurdles—as proof that tackling impossible challenges is what keeps him energized.

- **Dyslexia:** Reframed from a childhood affliction into an entrepreneurial "superpower." - **Travel Schedule:** Logs over 300 flight hours per year, occasionally visiting up to 5 cities in a single day. - **Current Venture Example:** Launching a global watch insurance company despite compliance hurdles in the U.S., U.K., and Middle East.

---

[01:42:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6161s) Protecting Your Brand and the Cost of Inauthenticity

Directing his focus to Steven Bartlett, the 32-year-old host, O'Leary offers a crucial piece of advice: an entrepreneur's or creator's real value lies in the audience that trusts them. He warns that as influence grows, countless companies will offer massive paychecks to leverage that network. However, accepting a deal for a product one does not personally use or believe in is fatal. The moment an audience senses inauthenticity, the entire brand collapses. O'Leary shares his own rule: he only backs, promotes, or invests in products that he personally uses and owns equity in—down to the wines he crafts with his wife and drinks at his own family table.

Steven strongly validates this principle, revealing that he recently walked away from a £6 million ($8 million) sponsorship renewal for his podcast because his lifestyle had evolved away from the product, and he was preparing to invest in its direct opposite. He also mentions turning down a $4 million offer from a foreign government to promote their nation. O'Leary commends Steven's discipline, noting that turning down millions to protect trust is rare for someone in their 30s, but essential for long-term survival. O'Leary adds that young leaders should prioritize longevity—focusing heavily on diet, exercise, and sleep early on—to sustain a career that could span decades.

- **Sponsorship Refusal:** Steven Bartlett turned down a £6 million (~$8 million) offer to renew a podcast sponsor that no longer aligned with his personal habits. - **Government Offer:** Turned down $4 million from a foreign government to preserve authenticity. - **O'Leary's Personal Rule:** Only endorse/promote brands where he is a user, shareholder, and true believer. - **Longevity Focus:** Urges entrepreneurs in their 30s to invest in health, sleep, and nutrition to support long-term performance.

---

[01:47:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6457s) Defining Happiness and Filtering the Noise

Closing out the podcast, Steven reads a traditional final question left by the previous anonymous guest: *"Where do you believe happiness really comes from?"* O'Leary answers without hesitation: happiness comes from consistently achieving your goals. He emphasizes that happiness is never a static destination; it is an ongoing journey. Setting goals—whether eliminating noise or executing long-term business strategy—and systematically hitting them brings fulfillment, while failing to achieve them leads to unhappiness.

The conversation loops back to O'Leary's core philosophy of radical prioritization and gut instinct. Steven admits to struggling with deciding which opportunities deserve his 18-hour workdays when so many lucrative offers flood in. O'Leary advises relying on an intuitive "gut check." He shares a story from just days prior, where a party offered him a massive sum of money—and subsequently a 2.5% equity stake in their company—to back a project. Because the project felt complex, distracting, and unaligned with his values, O'Leary turned it down as "noise." He warns that taking the wrong deal for short-term payout can permanently taint a brand and block life-changing opportunities in the future.

> "Happiness is not a destination, it's a journey. That's what it is... Consistently achieving those goals, you will be happy."

> "It's never about the money. Never... You're the captain of your brand. You have to define yourself right through the journey."

The Principle of Integrity and the Five Million Dollar Nest Egg

Steven Bartlett presses on the idea that at a certain level of success, financial compensation should no longer dictate one's choices, emphasizing that if your gut says no, no amount of money should sway you, especially given what Kevin O'Leary has already achieved. Kevin agrees, noting that you no longer need to buy a guarantee because you have already secured your position, assuming you have managed to put some away. He breaks it down simply, stating that having five million dollars in the bank allows you to do whatever you want. While some might think he would always want more, he affirms that five million is enough under certain conditions and shares his personal financial rule: "Always have an account that just sits there with five million bucks in it in T-bills." He explains that he never touches this particular account, as it serves as his ultimate foundational nest egg. The conversation concludes warmly as Steven expresses his gratitude, and Kevin replies in kind before the interview wraps up.

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## Notable quotes > [07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) Steve, you sound like such an [__]. You have no idea what that sounds like. — Kevin O'Leary

> [07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) No, no. That's how it is, Kevin. Now, are you making money with me?... Then [__] shut up and do what I say. — Steve Jobs

> [19:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1148s) There is something going on in silence... He showed his hand. So, we saved ourselves two hours, you know. It's an attribute that many people can't do because they can't stand the social uncomfort of it. I have no problem with it. I can sit here and look at you for 10 minutes—it wouldn't matter to me. — Kevin O'Leary

> [26:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1571s) If you get the first two right and you don't know your numbers, you deserve to burn in hell and I'll put you there myself... You should have brought somebody that understands the language of business because those three together are the definition of leadership right there. — Kevin O'Leary

> [34:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2061s) Learn to live with the idea that you are going to fail. You are going to lose money by taking risk... Never put yourself in a situation where one bad outcome defines who you are. — Kevin O'Leary

> [41:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2474s) The team you're building are not your friends. They are the team you're building to execute on a mandate. Your customers come first. — Kevin O'Leary

> [01:28:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5316s) They don't know what they want until I tell them. — Steve Jobs

> [01:28:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5316s) Show me where I'm wrong. — Steve Jobs

> [01:36:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5760s) Why is the sky blue? Just get back on the plane and go do it. — Heidi Roizen

> [01:47:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6457s) Happiness is not a destination, it's a journey. That's what it is... Consistently achieving those goals, you will be happy. — Kevin O'Leary

> [01:47:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6457s) It's never about the money. Never... You're the captain of your brand. You have to define yourself right through the journey. — Kevin O'Leary

> Always have an account that just sits there with five million bucks in it in T-bills. — Kevin O'Leary

## Mentioned Kevin O'Leary, Steven Bartlett, Steve Jobs, Heidi Roizen, Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Anna Skaya, Georgette O'Leary, Steve Wozniak, Simon Birch, The Oregon Trail, Basepaws, Tesla, Sony, Zoetis, Nvidia, AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Huawei, Tetra Pak, IKEA, Nestlé, Pfizer, Shark Tank, Dragon's Den, Harvard Business School, Apple, Circle, WonderFi, Robinhood, SpaceX, Neuralink, Starlink, USDC, Bitcoin, HelloPrenup, GoodNotes, JustWorks, QVC, Timex, ChatGPT, Claude

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ)

中文简报

奥利里限制住房开支,削减科技股获利以注资加密货币 长期财富积累需要将住房开支限制在总收入的三分之一以内,并保持严格的个股持仓上限,同时将资金重新配置到分红资产和加密货币中。 Kevin O'Leary 深入剖析了他在创业、个人理财及长期财富积累方面的核心哲学。他分享了从科技远见者 Steve Jobs 和 Elon Musk 身上汲取的关键运营经验,强调了最大化信噪比和保持严格财务纪律的重要性。O'Leary 概述了在投资、债务管理、评估商业伙伴以及应对人工智能和加密货币等现代变革时不可违背的准则。在整个讨论中,他强调真正的自由而非金钱,才是创业历程的终极目标。 财务自由是真正创业者的核心动力,带来的是独立自主而不仅仅是金钱财富。 (5:10) 高绩效领导者的成功之道在于保持高信噪比,严格专注于每日首要任务,同时忽略非核心事项。 (7:23) 早期风险投资本身具有高风险性,每10项投资中就有6到8项面临失败,必须通过广泛的分散投资和严格的执行力来获取回报。 (16:16) 女性领导的初创企业往往表现更优,因为女性更倾向于设定可实现的增长目标,从而实现更低的高管流动率和更高的稳定性。 (18:08) 沉默是一种强大的谈判工具,能促使谈判对手透露关键信息并更快达成妥协。 (19:08)

Reading summary

Investor Kevin O'Leary argues that financial independence and entrepreneurial success depend on disciplined capital allocation, rigorous operational execution, and aggressive elimination of non-essential distractions. Systematic Asset Allocation and Personal Financial Discipline (50:43) O'Leary bases his core personal finance principles on a 55-year portfolio model inherited from his mother, Georgette. The strategy enforces strict risk limits: setting aside 20% of income, capping exposure to any single stock or bond at 5%, and restricting any single market sector to 20% of liquid assets. He adheres to this model while leaving principal untouched and living solely on dividends and interest, making an exception only for real estate, which accounts for roughly one-third of his net worth. Outside traditional equities and bonds, his holdings include gold, watches, and a 19.1% allocation to crypto infrastructure, USDC, and spot Bitcoin. To preserve personal security and decision-making independence, he maintains a dedicated $5 million reserve held entirely in Treasury bills. He argues that personal wealth creation fails without strict spending control. He advises auditing expenses every 30 to 90 days to prevent lifestyle inflation, criticizing everyday expenditures like $28 lunches through the lens of lost compound growth (8% to 10% annually over decades). On housing, he recommends that all costs—including mortgage, taxes, and maintenance—remain under 33% of income, cautioning that buying with low down payments exposes owners to refinancing shocks at 7%+ interest rates. The Signal-to-Noise Operating Framework (7:23) Grounded in early experiences working with Steve Jobs at Apple on educational titles like The Oregon Trail, O'Leary identifies the "signal-to-noise ratio" as the primary driver of execution. Signal represents the critical 3 to 5 tasks required each day, while noise encompasses extraneous requests, meetings, and distractions. O'Leary structures his mornings around 3 to 5 targets written on sticky notes and manages sudden volatility—such as an investment writing down $10 million while another sets up a 450x public return—by evaluating whether events require actionable execution or merely distract from core mandates. He applies this filtering process across leadership and public positioning. Leaders like Jobs and Elon Musk operate with uncompromising focus on product and platform adoption over social pleasantries. Furthermore, O'Leary cautions entrepreneurs against taking short-term endorsements or sponsorships for brands they do not personally believe in, warning that public inauthenticity quickly destroys customer trust. Operational Realities and Talent Evaluation (16:16) Addressing venture investing, O'Leary notes that 6 to 8 out of 10 early-stage startups fail, taking 5 to 7 years to yield clear outcomes. He views command of financial metrics—such as unit margins, break-even timing, and market sizing—as a non-negotiable test during business pitches. In his portfolio, female CEOs have consistently outperformed male counterparts because they set conservative 15% to 16% growth targets that they meet over 90% of the time, resulting in higher employee retention compared to aggressive 30% targets hit only 65% of the time. To manage organizational risk, O'Leary avoids hiring full-time staff immediately. Instead, candidates undergo 4-to-6-month trial periods as independent contractors at higher pay rates to prove their capacity for autonomous decision-making and deadline execution. In business negotiations, he advocates active listening and comfortable silence, noting that letting counterparties fill conversational pauses often exposes critical settlement terms and strategic intentions. Strategic Platform Moats and Data Aggregation (32:52) O'Leary emphasizes that the underlying value of modern technology enterprises lies in proprietary data and integrated developer ecosystems. Drawing an analogy to Steve Jobs's strategy, he frames foundational computing hardware as a "queen bee" and software developers as "honeybees" producing platform value. In this context, he criticizes U.S. export bans on advanced processors like Nvidia's, arguing that restricting foreign markets incentivizes international rivals such as Huawei to create alternative ecosystems and attract global engineering talent. At the enterprise level, proprietary datasets frequently outweigh traditional operational services. He cites a Shark Tank investment in pet DNA testing firm Basepaws, which achieved the show's highest internal rate of return within 36 months when acquired by a pharmaceutical company specifically for its data on 110 million cats. Similarly, he notes that early direct-to-consumer data analytics in his own wine business reduced market research costs from $1,000,000 to $18,000, enabling precise inventory allocation based on regional consumer demand. Relational Alignment and Economic Exposure (68:40) Viewing marriage fundamentally as an economic partnership, O'Leary identifies choosing a spouse as a critical financial decision. Premarital financial incompatibility often triggers severe wealth destruction through divorces, which he notes can eliminate up to two-thirds of accumulated assets through asset division and mandatory capital gains taxes upon liquidation. Drawing from legal research, he argues that the majority of marital failures stem from concealed debts, misaligned spending habits, and lifestyle competition rather than infidelity. He recommends screening for financial values by the third date to assess personal spending discipline. Classifying financial personalities into archetypes—including the spendaholic, mooch, loafer, thief, and the disciplined "meanie"—he advises partnering exclusively with individuals who naturally live within their means. Furthermore, to mitigate long-term conflict, he recommends prenuptial agreements to mandate complete financial transparency before formalizing legal and economic unions. O'Leary's philosophy balances extreme operational intensity with rigid downside protection, yet it assumes an individual possesses the uncommon risk appetite required to withstand severe startup failure rates and the discipline to maintain cash flow restrictions through market shifts.

精炼阅读摘要

Kevin O'Leary 主张,真正的个人自由源自严苛的商业执行力与高度自律的资本管理,而非盲目追逐财富或过度扩张。他认为,无论是在早期初创投资、团队运营还是个人财富构建中,核心都在于滤除外界噪音、坚守严格的风险分散纪律并具备精细的财务核算能力。 创业筛选与极度执行的信噪比法则 (5:10) O'Leary 结合其商业投资经历及在哈佛商学院的教学观察指出,社会上仅约三分之一的人具备成为成功创业者的特质,其余人员更适合从事稳定性较高的公司职位。他强调,创业的核心动力是对个人自由的渴望,而非单纯的贪婪。面对初创企业高达 60% 至 80% 的早期淘汰率,创始人的核心竞争力在于极度专注与执行力。 受到 Steve Jobs 与 Elon Musk 运作模式的启发,O'Leary 提出应建立极高的“信噪比”(乔布斯达到约 80/20 的信噪比)。在每日 18 小时的清醒时间里,领导者必须将精力完全集中在 3 至 5 项最关键的核心任务(信号)上,主动屏蔽各类次要目标、非必要社交与外部干扰(噪音)。O'Leary 自身坚持每天清晨在镜子上贴便签列出当日 3 至 5 个核心目标,并指出高管的关键能力在于区分突发事件究竟属于应立即采取行动的信号,还是无关紧要的噪音,从而在剧烈的盈亏波动中保持情绪稳定。 团队治理、倾听沉默与财务基本功 (18:08) 在跨周期的早期风险投资中,O'Leary 观察到其表现最优的被投企业绝大多数由女性领导。他分析,女性 CEO 通常制定更为务实平稳的增长目标(年增长约 15% 至 16%,达成率超过 90%),而男性创始人多倾向于激进的 30% 以上目标(达成率仅约 65%);这种务实作风显著降低了关键岗位员工的流失率,维持了团队长期稳定。此外,他推崇将“倾听与言说的比例逆转为三分之二比三分之一”,在商业谈判中通过主动保持沉默打破对手心理防线,获取关键定价底牌。 在团队选拔与路演评估上,O'Leary 坚持激进的任人唯贤机制。他从不直接将外部候选人转正,而是先设置 4 至 6 个月的独立合同工试用期,在异步协同与项目制交付中测试其独立决策能力。对于商业提案,他设定了三重硬性关卡:前 60 至 90 秒内简练表达商业构想、证明团队执行资格,以及必须对财务指标(包括毛利率、市场规模、获客成本及盈亏平衡月份)了如指掌。他将不熟悉财务数据的行为视作企业管理中不可饶恕的原罪。 五十五年家族投资蓝图与支出控制 (50:43) O'Leary 的个人理财框架源自其母亲 Georgette 践行长达 55 年的秘密投资法则。该策略由两条核心纪律构成:任何单一股票或债券的持仓比例绝不超过总投资组合的 5%,任何单一行业的资产敞口绝不超过 20%,并在标的涨超 5% 时强制止盈分仓。在长达半个世纪的周期中,该策略仅依靠大盘蓝筹分红股与优质长期电信债券的派息及利息满足支出,本金完全不动,长期年化复合表现跑赢了主流对冲基金。O'Leary 至今在其流动资产中严格执行此项规则,同时配置实物黄金、名表以及控制在 19.1% 的加密基础设施与稳定币资产,并单独立设 500 万美元国库券兜底账户作为终极安全垫。 在现金流管理维度,O'Leary 强调自律是财富积累的基石。他建议投资者无论收入高低,均应通过空白纸张对过去 90 天的真实开支与现金收益进行核算,杜绝在 30 至 60 天周期内入不敷出。他直言,年轻工薪层每日花费 28 美元购买外带午餐等非必要开支,在年化 8% 至 10% 的指数复合增长模型下将演变为严重的终身财富流失;个人消费应高度聚焦于高利用率的优质耐用品,而非被低效闲置物品吞噬本金。 房产负债约束与婚姻财务契约 (63:32) 针对传统观念将购房视作财富积累首要路径的误区,O'Leary 提出严格的房产负债上限:包含房贷、地税与维护费用在内的总住房支出,不得超过个人或家庭总收入的三分之一(33%)。他指出,在仅付 10% 首付的情况下,购房者实质仅持有该房屋 10% 的净权益,却背负了 90% 的杠杆风险;特别是在前期低利率(3%–4%)向高利率(7% 以上)再融资转换的周期中,盲目持有大户型会导致住房开支剧增至收入的 60% 至 80%,扼杀其他投资空间。对于 20 多岁且尚未组建家庭的年轻人群,他建议优先将闲置资金配置于高流动性多元组合,而非过早固化在沉重的房贷中。 在两性关系上,O'Leary 将伴侣选择定性为人生最大的财务决策。他援引法律咨询研究指出,绝大多数婚姻破裂并非源于感情不忠,而是长期财务压力与债务隐瞒所致;离婚诉讼中的强制资产变现与巨额资本利得税往往会削减个人高达三分之二的累积财富。因此,他视婚姻为深度的经济联合体,主张在恋爱阶段(最早可追溯至第三次约会)即开诚布公核验对方的消费惯性、负债记录与金钱哲学,倡导与量入为出、重视储蓄纪律的伴侣结合,并通过婚前协议制度化保障财务透明度。 O'Leary 的体系将商业成败与人生自由完全归因于量化规则、执行专注度与严苛的风险控制,但这一框架建立在其极端的风险承受力和对生活高强度挤压的前提下。其对传统职场咨询路径的贬抑、将家庭与婚姻高度契约化及工具化的视角,以及将乔布斯式苛刻管理合法化的观点,在更广泛的多元价值追求和普通人生活平衡的实际语境中仍存在明显争议与局限。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 该视频由 YouTube 知名商业访谈频道《The Diary Of A CEO》(主持人 Steven Bartlett)于 2025 年 6 月 30 日发布。根据官方介绍,节目特邀《创智赢家》(Shark Tank)资深投资人、被称为“精彩先生”(Mr. Wonderful)的凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary),深入探讨财富底层逻辑、长期投资法则、乔布斯与马斯克的成功秘诀、婚姻与金钱的真实关系,以及普通人如何避免财务陷阱并实现收入翻倍。 ## TL;DR 在长达近两小时的深度对话中,凯文·奥利里系统拆解了他几十年来从商与投资的核心心智模型。他首先通过冰淇淋店被解雇的启蒙经历,点明创业追求个人自由的本质,并借由与乔布斯共事的往事提炼出极致聚焦的“80/20信噪比”法则;随后,他回顾母亲乔治特跨越55年仅靠股息与债券跑赢对冲基金的投资哲学,警示年轻人切勿在日常消费与房产负债上盲目超支。对话深入探讨了婚姻本质上是一门经济共同体、AI与算力对现代商业的颠覆性重构,最后凯文以自身经历告诫创业者要坚守个人品牌的真实性,建立不可动摇的财务安全底仓,学会对一切不纯粹的金钱诱惑坚定说“不”。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场访谈节奏沉稳而充满张力,既有商界老手刀刀见血的直白冷酷,又洋溢着阅尽千帆后的坦诚与温情。凯文·奥利里展现了标志性的犀利作风,在谈及商业数字和财务纪律时毫不妥协,但在回忆母亲遗产和与乔布斯交锋的岁月时却深情而敬畏。两位深谙商业逻辑的创业者之间互动默契且火花四溅,从现实主义的残酷算计层层剥茧,最终升华为关于时间自主权、直觉自律与人生幸福的哲学探讨,给听众带来既醍醐灌顶又极具实操力量的沉浸式体验。 ## Bulletin - [04:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=260s) 凯文·奥利里强调只有约三分之一的人具备成为创业者的特质,其核心驱动力是对个人自由的渴望而非单纯追逐金钱。 - [09:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=587s) 遵循乔布斯与马斯克的80/20信噪比法则,将每天清醒时段80%以上的精力集中在3至5项最关键的核心任务上,是高效决策的终极内核。 - [50:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3041s) 继承母亲55年的分散投资法则,凯文坚持个股占比不超过5%、单一行业敞口不超过20%,且长期不动本金、仅依靠股息与固定收益生活。 - [01:03:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3813s) 严控财务底线是人生稳定的基石,房贷与维护总成本绝不可超过总收入的三分之一,而结婚则是人生中规模最大、影响最深远的财务抉择。 - [01:50:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6603s) 打造个人品牌的核心在于绝不妥协的真实性,通过设立500万美元短期国库券储备金构建底气,坚决对不合原则的快钱与诱惑说“不”。 ## Key takeaways - [01:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=100s) 早年在冰淇淋店因拒绝跪地刮口香糖被解雇的经历,让凯文顿悟世界分为‘拥有店铺的人’和‘跪在地上刮脏物的人’,立志追求个人自由走向创业。 - [04:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=260s) 并非所有人都能创业,哈佛商学院大部分学生更适合成为优秀雇员,真正的创业者需要极端专注、高风险承受力与运气。 - [09:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=587s) 顶尖领导者需具备极端的80/20信噪比,锁定当日3至5项必须完成的核心信号,坚决摒弃一切次要琐事与情绪噪音。 - [16:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=996s) 早期创投有八成会倒闭,但能跨越周期生存并大获成功的企业多由女性领导,归功于其更稳健务实的目标设定与少说多听的沟通习惯。 - [19:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1178s) 在商业谈判与高管面试中,长时间的沉默能给对方制造心理压力并快速摸底;而创业者在路演开口前的体态与眼神,便已决定其99%的气场成败。 - [24:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1497s) 决定商业成败的三大铁律:90秒内讲透商业概念、证明自己是无可替代的执行者,以及对毛利率和盈亏平衡点等底层财务数字了如指掌。 - [29:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1794s) 采用4至6个月高薪承包商的瑞士学徒制进行招聘,只考核实际交付成果与协同契合度,坚决推行纯粹的结果导向与能力本位。 - [32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1940s) 特斯拉与Basepaws等成功案例印证商业核心护城河是底层数据资产,消费端产品本质是收集高价值数据的触点。 - [36:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2208s) 科技竞争的本质是‘蜂王与工蜂’的生态垄断,掌控底层芯片与开发环境的蜂王绝不可将核心生态主导权拱手让给竞争对手。 - [50:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3041s) 乔治特分散投资法则:单一标的占比≤5%、单一行业敞口≤20%,长达55年不动用本金,仅用稳定的股息与利息跑赢顶尖对冲基金。 - [56:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3366s) 年轻群体必须警惕28美元午餐外卖与衣柜80%无效衣物的消费陷阱,强制将15%至20%的月收入定投标普500指数基金以享受长期复利。 - [01:03:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3813s) 买房并非单身青年创造财富的最优解,房贷支出绝不能超过总收入的三分之一,否则高利率再融资将直接引发家庭财务危机。 - [01:08:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4122s) 婚姻本质上是一门生意,导致离婚的首要原因并非背叛而是财务压力,婚前通过协议披露彼此财务背景是极关键的尽职调查。 - [01:15:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4556s) 在第三次约会时开诚布公地讨论金钱观与人生野心,警惕吃软饭者与挥霍狂,优先选择收支平衡、理性消费的精算型伴侣。 - [01:20:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4837s) AI革命的影响远超互联网,通过结合企业DTC第一手数据,能在葡萄酒需求预测和虚拟制片等领域实现生产力与成本控制的降维打击。 - [01:28:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5310s) 苹果的真正统治力在于乔布斯构建的不可替代的品牌宇宙与无缝生态闭环,让消费者心甘情愿为硬件支付高额溢价。 - [01:39:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5948s) 幸福并非追求某个虚无的终点,而是源于持续不断地达成自己设定的目标,并彻底拥有不被迫做任何不想做之事的个人时间自主权。 - [01:50:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6603s) 社群信任是公众人物与创业者最核心的资产,永远不要为了快钱出卖真实性;通过储备500万美元短期国库券建立说‘不’的底气。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=0s) 开场预告与财富底层逻辑 节目开场剪辑展现了凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary,即《创智赢家》(Shark Tank)中广为人知的“精彩先生”(Mr. Wonderful))最具标志性的直率与犀利。他直言不讳地指出很多人做着“天底下最愚蠢的事”。当主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)问及普通人想要实现财富增长最重要的事情是什么时,凯文深情地提到了自己的母亲,并展示了节目组准备的母亲照片。凯文感慨自己已经很久没看到这张照片了;正是母亲非凡的投资理念,不仅供他和弟弟读完了大学,还在家族陷入困境时撑起了整个家庭。亲眼见证母亲投资成果的那一刻,凯文便下定决心:“这就是我余生要贯彻的投资方式。” 随后,凯文点破了当下许多人的财务陷阱:人们深陷债务泥潭,却还在挥霍无度,比如随手花28美元去吃一顿午餐。谈到买房,他指出大众最常见的错误就是“买超预算的房子”,并提出严格铁律——房贷与房屋维护总成本绝不能超过总收入的三分之一。更令人深思的是,伴侣对个人财务的影响起着决定性作用。凯文指出,大多数婚姻能够挺过背叛,却熬不过长期的财务压力;而只要听众遵循他分享的一项核心原则,未来就能积累超过150万美元的财富。然而在探讨商业时,凯文同样残酷地泼了冷水:并不是所有人都能创业,现实中只有三分之一的人具备成为成功创业者的特质。 --- ### [01:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=100s) 冰淇淋店的转折点:铲口香糖的终身烙印 当主持人请凯文从“三万英尺的高空”提炼他商业生涯的关键转折时,凯文指出,每一个走到顶峰的创业者都会有一个刻骨铭心的决定性时刻,这一刻会永生烙印在他们的记忆中。对凯文而言,这个时刻发生在他高中时代第一天去冰淇淋店打工就被解雇的经历。 凯文坦言,他当初接下那份工作纯粹是为了追求在隔壁鞋店打工的一名心仪女生,好在下班后能一起约会。当天他做了一整天给顾客挖冰淇淋球的工作。但在冰淇淋店里,顾客试吃品尝时常会把嘴里的口香糖吐在地上,打烊时必须有人将这些粘在瓷砖上的口香糖刮掉。女店主命令凯文趴在地上刮口香糖,而此时那个他暗恋的女孩正好就在外面等他。凯文觉得当着女孩的面双膝跪地刮口香糖会“严重破坏自己的个人品牌形象”,于是抗议道:“你雇我是来挖冰淇淋的,不是来刮地面的。”女店主毫不客气地回应:“那如果是你被解雇了呢?” ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 冰淇淋店解雇事件的心智转变 accDescr: 展示凯文·奥利里从冰淇淋店打工被解雇到领悟两种人生角色的思维跃迁流程图。 subgraph Event["冰淇淋店打工事件"] A["第一天当挖冰淇淋工"] --> B["女店主命令跪地刮口香糖"] B --> C["为了女孩面前的尊严拒绝服从"] C --> D["当场被老板解雇"] end subgraph Epiphany["认知顿悟与世界观定型"] D --> E["认识到世界分为两类人"] E --> F["拥有店铺的人 (掌握命运)"] E --> G["跪在地上刮脏物的人 (被动打工)"] F --> H["立志毕生追求个人自由,走向创业道路"] end ``` 此时主持人拿出了为凯文准备的特别礼物——一块粘着口香糖的墨西哥瓷砖与一把刮刀。现场还原的场景让凯文大呼震惊,感叹当年正是这样的墨西哥瓷砖和黑色的口香糖。凯文回忆道,被解雇的那一刻他甚至没反应过来这意味着什么,但这一巴掌彻底打醒了他,让他看清了这个世界其实只有两类人:**一种是拥有店铺的人,另一种是趴在地上刮污垢的人**。多年以后,功成名就的凯文已经拥有“买下并推平整座商场”的财力,他曾特地回去想当面感谢那位当年把他一脚踹下庸碌跑步机的女店主,但店铺早已换成了一家杂货铺。 --- ### [04:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=260s) 创业者的残酷现实:并非所有人都能创业 面对主持人“是否任何人都能成为冰淇淋店老板(创业者)”的提问,凯文斩钉截铁地回答:“绝不可能。”凯文解释说,即便他长期在哈佛商学院担任高级研究员(Executive Fellow)并指导过众多CEO,创业的核心素质依然极难通过后天简单传授。 真正的创业者必须具备极端的气质:高风险承受力、不可动摇的极度专注,以及近年来他越来越深信不疑的因素——运气与因果(Karma)。他引用拿破仑的名言佐证:“拿破仑曾被问及最喜欢什么样的将军,他的回答是:‘我最喜欢有运气的将军。’” 凯文在哈佛商学院讲课时观察到一个极为现实的现象:在容纳120名精英学生的课堂上,足足有三分之二的人目标是进入顶级咨询公司。在凯文看来,这意味着他们选择了一条平庸的生活轨迹——在整个人生中从未做过任何有实质后果的重大决断,两年之后就彻底被这种体制同化,沦为合格的咨询顾问,却永远无法取得商业上的伟大成就。凯文指出: - 世界上只有约三分之一的人有能力成为成功的创业者。 - 其余三分之二的人可以成为非常优秀的雇员,过上体面安稳的生活,免受创业大起大落与残酷压力的摧残。 - 但是,雇员永远无法获得真正的“个人自由”。 - 创业的根本驱动力绝不是为了追逐金钱或贪婪(单纯为钱创业必败无疑),而是源于对**个人自由(Personal Freedom)**至死不渝的热爱。 --- ### [07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) 史蒂夫·乔布斯的领导风格与80/20信噪比 尽管无法改变一个人的本质基因,但凯文认为有一套极其关键的法则可以大幅提升创业者的成功概率。这套法则源自他在20世纪90年代初与苹果创始人史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)共事的真实切身经历。当时凯文的公司为乔布斯制作教育软件CD-ROM(包括进入全美11万所学校的殿堂级教育游戏《俄勒冈之旅》(The Oregon Trail))。 凯文回忆,在季度汇报会议上,包括著名风险投资家海蒂·罗伊森(Heidi Roizen)在内的团队向乔布斯建言:更新《俄勒冈之旅》这样庞大的项目需要耗资1200万至1500万美元,应当先做充分的市场调研,弄清楚学生、老师和家长究竟想要什么。然而乔布斯的脾气极为恶劣,毫不客气地当众打断他:“凯文,我他妈根本不在乎学生想要什么、家长怎么想,或者任何其他人怎么想!重要的是我要什么!在我告诉他们想要什么之前,他们根本不知道自己想要什么!” 当凯文当面吐槽乔布斯听起来像个混蛋时,乔布斯冷酷地反击:“听着,跟我们合作你赚到钱了吗?我是不是你增长最快的OEM厂商?我们是不是获得了巨大的成功并且还在继续成功?”凯文只得承认是,乔布斯随即毫不留情地回怼:“那就他妈的给我闭嘴,按我说的做!” 乔布斯看似粗暴狂妄的背后,隐藏着极其恐怖的高效内核,即**极端的“信噪比”(Signal-to-Noise Ratio)**: - **所谓的“信号(Signal)”**:乔布斯眼中的信号极其务实,并非泛泛空谈下周、下个月或明年的远大愿景,而是**你在接下来清醒的18个小时内必须完成的顶层3到5项绝对关键任务**。这些任务关乎核心使命,当天必须彻底落地。 - **所谓的“噪声(Noise)”**:除了这3到5项核心任务之外,任何试图阻碍、分散你精力的事情,统统都是噪声。 - **80/20法则的终极执行**:乔布斯将成功归结于80/20信噪比——将80%的精力、意志与资源完全压强在核心“信号”上,仅容忍极少(20%)的“噪声”存在。这一原则如今成为了凯文考核并要求所有旗下CEO践行的首要铁律。 ### [09:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=587s) 信噪比:乔布斯、马斯克与贝索斯的专注法则 凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)回忆起早年与史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)共事的日子:当时没有即时通讯软件,全靠电子邮件沟通,乔布斯经常在凌晨两点半发邮件,并要求他立刻回复。乔布斯对目标的专注达到了极致,而奥利里见过的唯一一个在“信号与噪声之比”(signal-to-noise ratio)上甚至超越乔布斯的人,就是埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)。马斯克的生活中几乎不存在“噪声”,在每天清醒的18个小时里,分分秒秒都纯粹是“信号”。虽然这种特质在社交层面上显得格外别扭——因为所谓的噪声往往正是陪伴家人、向朋友问好、在社交媒体上漫无目的地刷屏(doom scrolling),或是弹弹吉他——但纵观历史,时代的天才们往往都拥有近乎100%的极高信号比。 面对主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)关于“信号是否等同于眼前最紧急之事”的追问,奥利里给出了更精确的定义:信号是你为清醒时段设立的根本目标。如果你清醒18个小时,并确定今天有3到5件核心任务必须完成,无论付出什么代价,都绝不允许任何干扰介入。作为一名首席执行官(CEO),如果你能用80%的精力与时间死磕这些关键目标并最终落地,你就能取得惊人的成功。杰夫·贝索斯(Jeff Bezos)同样遵循这套逻辑,甚至坚持在下午一点后不做重大决策,因为他认为午后的思维充斥着太多干扰与疲惫构成的“噪声”,最纯粹的“信号”只存在于清晨。奥利里断言,一个创业者若能维持80/20的信噪比便能大获成功;一旦信噪比滑落至五五开(50/50),等待他的必然是彻底的失败。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 信噪比驱动的高效决策体系 accDescr: 展现从设定极简核心目标到抵御外界噪声,从而实现卓越执行力的思维框架。 subgraph Morning["清晨:明确信号 (Signal)"] A["每日确立 3 至 5 项绝对核心任务"] --> B["便签贴于镜前,锁定最高优先级目标"] end subgraph NoiseFilter["日间:阻隔噪声 (Noise)"] C{"突发事件与外部干扰涌入"} C -->|"判定为噪声:社交琐事、无谓情绪、次要杂务"| D["坚决剔除 / 延迟处理"] C -->|"判定为真实信号:关乎业务生死的转折点"| E["动态整合入当日攻坚任务"] end subgraph Execution["全天执行:80/20 法则"] B --> E E --> F["将 80% 以上的时间与精力投入信号"] F --> G["像乔布斯与马斯克一样强悍落地"] end ``` --- ### [12:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=756s) 阴阳平衡与过山车般的情绪管理 追求极度专注并不意味着完全抹杀人性。被问及极端信号的反面时,奥利里指出,他在招聘管理者与 CEO 时,格外看重工作与生活之间的平衡。商业在本质上是二元的(binary)——非赚即赔;而人类心智的健全运作需要“阴阳平衡”(yin and yang),因此他需要管理者具备某种来自艺术或爱好的混沌张力,比如舞蹈、绘画、摄影或收集水晶。奥利里自己也把相当多的闲暇投入到吉他练习、摄影以及高端腕表收藏中。他甚至提到,就在当晚深夜,他将与一位顶级独立制表大师会面,共同开启耗时两年的专属孤品腕表(piece unique)设计。正是这种与白天的枯燥拼杀截然不同的纯粹美学追求,让他得以从日常的无数烂摊子中抽身喘息。 更为关键的是,创始人必须具备抵御剧烈情绪波动的耐受力。就在采访当天,奥利里切身经历了一场戏剧性的过山车:上午他接到旗下某家公司即将宣告破产的死讯,这意味着1000万美元的投资彻底打了水漂;仅仅半个小时后,他又收到另一家投资企业获准上市的捷报,这笔投资将为他带来整整450倍(450X)的惊人回报。从灭顶之灾到狂喜之巅,前后不过30分钟。这种在绝望与极乐之间剧烈摆荡的状态,正是创业者每天面对的常态——无论是丢失 Costco 这样的大客户,还是意外赢得巨单,唯有牢牢扎根于乔布斯教给他的“只看信号,别管噪音”(Focus on the signal),才能在惊涛骇浪中保持航向。区分眼前涌来的危机究竟是致命“信号”还是转瞬即逝的“噪声”,是区分平庸者与顶尖领导者的终极试金石。 --- ### [16:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=996s) 创投残酷现实与女性领导者的成功密码 谈及早期天使轮及 A 轮投资的残酷法则,奥利里与同为投资节目常驻嘉宾的史蒂文分享了真实的数据:投进一家初创企业50万或100万美元,十家里面注定会有八家倒闭,运气好一些也会死掉六家。奥利里痛批那些宣称自己“一投必中”的人纯粹是“胡扯(full of shit)”,同时也对风投机构(VC)里那些从未亲自下场经营过企业、自以为聪明绝顶的年轻分析师嗤之以鼻。早期投资的成功往往具有极强的随机性,很多时候不过是在押注组合中能否跑出一两只黑马,在五到七年之后偿还所有的试错成本。 然而,在奥利里跨越经济全部11个行业的数十年投资生涯中,数据显现出一个无法忽视的现象:在5至7年后生存下来并大获成功的企业,绝大多数都由女性领导。奥利里将其归结为两大关键原因: - **设立务实可达的增长目标**:男性创业者往往在初期好高骛远,动辄设定30%的高增长目标,最终达成率仅在65%左右;而女性 CEO 倾向于设定15%至16%这样扎实可行的指标,达成率高达90%以上。这种稳健的胜利极大地稳定了军心,让财务与市场核心高管不轻易离职,把初期的团队流失率降到了最低。 - **倾听与表达的黄金比例**:一位女性 CEO 曾直言不讳地当面敲打奥利里:“凯文,你话太多了。你总是说三分之二,听三分之一,为什么不试着把这个比例倒过来?”奥利里欣然接受并践行了这一建议,发现少说多听、将倾听提升至三分之二后,无论是作为投资人还是管理者,执行效率都获得了成倍的跃迁。 ### [19:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1178s) 沉默的力量:如何在谈判中通过倾听占据主动 谈到沟通与倾听的艺术,凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)分享了一个刚刚发生在他身上的真实案例。就在赶来录制本期播客的几分钟前,他刚参加了一场旷日持久的官司和解谈判,这也是导致他略微迟到的原因。 两人相对而坐,谈判桌旁虽然还有其他人,但整个气氛极其凝重。奥利里做了一件反直觉的事情:他一言不发,只是静静地注视着对面的对手,持续了很长一段时间。在社交场合中,这种绝对的沉默会让人极度不安和尴尬。大约僵持了 90 秒后,对方终于承受不住这种心理压力,脱口说出了一句本不该说的话。正是这句话,让奥利里当场摸清了对方愿意接受的和解底线(底价),谈判随即宣告结束,直接省下了两小时的拉扯。 主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)对此深有共鸣,直言作为播客主持人,也经常能体会到“沉默中蕴藏着巨大力量”。奥利里指出,绝大多数人无法忍受社交中的尴尬与沉默,但他自己可以面不改色地盯着对方看上 10 分钟。学会保持沉默并认真倾听,不仅是顶级谈判策略,更是倾听员工、投资人以及相左观点的强大武器。 ### [21:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1288s) 踏上地毯的生死时刻:创业者的“气场” 作为《创智赢家》(Shark Tank)和《龙穴》(Dragons' Den)的长驻投资人,奥利里在过去几十年里阅人无数,每天要看 10 到 12 个项目路演,早已练就了敏锐的“蜘蛛感应”。当主持人询问成功创业者究竟有哪些核心特质时,奥利里给出了一个充满画面感的解答。 在《创智赢家》录制现场,创业者走向展示区(地毯)后,舞台总监埃里克(Eric)为了拍摄产品和创始人的特写镜头,会指令所有人:“定住!保持不动!不要说话!别管摄影机摇臂和稳定器怼到你脸上,定住!”这种静止状态往往要持续整整两分钟。奥利里就坐在距离他们仅仅 12 英尺(约 3.6 米)的椅子上,不笑、不眨眼、不皱眉,冷冷地注视着眼前的人。 奥利里断言,99% 的情况下,甚至在创业者开口说第一个词之前,他就已经知道对方是赢家还是输家了。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 成功创业者的三大核心考核阶段 accDescr: 展示从踏上地毯的气场考验,到90秒阐述核心业务,再到数据财务掌控的三步漏斗模型。 subgraph Phase1 ["第一阶段:开口之前(无声对决)"] A["高压沉默对视<br>(摄影机怼脸,静止 2 分钟)"] --> B{"眼神与体态投射的气场"} B -->|"眼神闪躲 / 畏缩低头"| C["判定为失败者"] B -->|"坚定对视 / 划定气场领地"| D["展现领导力与备战姿态"] end subgraph Phase2 ["第二阶段:开口路演(前 90 秒)"] D --> E["清晰阐述核心商业概念"] E --> F["解释为何自己是唯一合适的执行者"] end subgraph Phase3 ["第三阶段:商业本质(生死线)"] F --> G{"是否对所有财务数字了如指掌?"} G -->|"不清楚利润 / 规模 / 盈亏平衡"| H["彻底淘汰<br>(浪费宝贵机会)"] G -->|"精通数字商业语言"| I["获得投资与极高商业估值"] end ``` - **真实舞台的高压冲击**:台下五把椅子上坐着身价超十亿美元的巨鳄,现场 20 多台摄影机环绕,后续更有上亿人次的转播曝光。即使创业者私下排练了数月,在这一刻也是脑力与心理承受力的极限考验。 - **眼神与姿态的交锋**:眼神是否闪躲?是在看地面,还是敢于迎上投资人审视的目光,在空间中确立自己的“气场”(Aura)并宣示主权?这种身体语言展示了他们是否真正准备好去战斗、去领导。 ### [24:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1497s) 决定成败的三大铁律:概念、执行人与财务数字 当导演喊出“开始”后,真正的商业考核正式拉开帷幕。奥利里将创业成功的要素拆解为三个环环相扣的阶段,缺少任何环都会导致灭顶之灾: 1. **90 秒内讲透大创意**:无论使用何种道具,必须在短时间内让投资人彻底明白产品是什么、解决什么需求。但奥利里冷酷地补充道:“好点子多如牛毛,一文不值。” 2. **证明自己是唯一天选的执行者**:紧接着必须阐明,为什么是你或你的团队能够把点子做成真正的商业帝国?是因为你曾在竞品公司深耕多年?还是因为你曾经失败过三次摸清了所有雷区? 3. **对数字如数家珍(致命核心)**:奥利里强调这是无数创业者跌落神坛的死穴。市场规模有多大?复合增长率是多少?毛利率是多少?竞品有几家?具体在哪个月实现盈亏平衡? 奥利里情绪激烈地表示,如果一个创业者搞定了前两步,却对财务数字一无所知,那简直“罪该万死”:“你浪费了原本属于那些精通数字的创业者的宝贵机会。如果你不懂商业的数字语言,就该带一个懂数字的人来。这三者合一,才是领导力的真正定义。” ### [26:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1614s) 如何修炼气场与纯粹的“结果导向”用人法则 针对如何培养这种商业气场,奥利里认为这是可以通过训练习得的。他常常教导自己的孩子和学生:最简单的方法就是照镜子,审视自己在他人眼中的模样。无论是向银行申请百万美元的信贷额度,还是首次面见商业伙伴,着装得体绝非玩笑。在最初的 60 秒内,通过坚定的眼神聚焦与挺拔的体态,既能展现自信,也能传达出对交谈对象的专注与尊重。 谈话尾声,主持人追问其之前提到的一项投资规律——奥利里过往最成功的投资案例大多由女性领导,这是否意味着他在高管招聘上会特意倾斜女性? 奥利里的回答极为直接与务实。他承认自己的核心运营团队中几乎清一色是女性,尤其是亚裔女性,但他强调这绝非出于意识形态或 DEI(多元、平等与包容)指标,而是纯粹的“能力本位制”(Meritocracy): - **毫不关心个人标签**:“我不在乎你的性别、你怎么定义自己、来自哪里、肤色如何,哪怕你出生在外星球,我也完全不在乎。我只在乎你能不能拿到结果,能不能高效执行。” - **真实的团队考核机制**:奥利里从不盲目依据光鲜的简历招人。在他看来,纸面经验在实际团队协作面前毫无意义,唯有真正置身于实战中,看其能否与现有团队严丝合缝地协同拿结果,才是决定留用与否的唯一标准。 ### [29:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1794s) 结果导向的管理与“瑞士学徒制”考察法 在团队招聘与管理上,Kevin O'Leary 彻底摒弃了传统的“朝九晚五”和福利绑定模式。任何人想进入他的生态圈,必须先以高薪承包商(Contractor)的身份试用 4 到 6 个月。在此期间,候选人没有股票期权,也没有公司福利,但薪水相当丰厚。这一阶段的核心目标只有一个:考察候选人与公司生态中各种关键角色——律师、银行家、投资公司的 CEO 以及其他同事——实际协作的契合度。Kevin 的团队完全基于项目开展工作,成员遍布迪拜、阿布扎比、英国等全球各地,全员通过现代通讯工具协同,每周仅需固定抽出一个小时开会同步进度。 Kevin 根本不在乎员工在何时何地工作,唯一严守的标准是交付结果("execute on a mandate")。例如负责财务的人员必须在每月 15 号报税截止日前交付报表,“你可以在任何时候做,但如果错过了 15 号,那我就必须过问了”。这种严苛的实战筛选能让团队在 30 天到 90 天内迅速看清一个人:合适的立刻正式转正、给足全套待遇与期权;不合适的则干脆解约,绝不拖泥带水。 这种雇佣机制源于 Kevin 从小对瑞士学徒制度的观察。他的继父是瑞士人,他往返瑞士长达 50 年。像雀巢(Nestlé)或辉瑞(Pfizer)这类跨国巨头,往往在当地学生 14 岁上高中时就物色学徒,利用下午或暑假让他们进厂实践,在真实工作中筛选出真正优秀的人才。Kevin 借鉴此法不仅是为了降低雇佣风险,更是为了验证基因是否契合。他希望打造一支不可战胜的精英团队,让每个人都能赚大钱并为彼此骄傲;对于不合适的人,则毫不留情地立即切断关系。 --- ### [32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1940s) 投资逆袭:Basepaws 猫咪基因与特斯拉的本质是“数据公司” 谈到在《创智赢家》(Shark Tank)上的长期投资策略,Kevin 表示早已不去纠结具体的投资笔数,而是以 5 到 7 年的滚动周期来审视整个投资组合。他特别提到了五年前由 Anna Skaya 创立的猫咪基因检测项目 Basepaws。最初 Kevin 甚至以为这个项目是个天大的笑话,但结果狠狠打脸:Basepaws 在运营仅仅 36 个月后,就被一家大型制药企业以巨额全现金收购,创下了《创智赢家》节目历史上最高的内部收益率(IRR)。由于收购金额极其惊人,索尼(Sony)与收购方甚至签署了严格的保密协议(NDA)。 买方之所以掏出巨资,看中的根本不是猫咪基因检测本身,而是背后积累的海量生物数据。Basepaws 在疫情期间收集了全美 1.1 亿只家猫中数以万计的精准基因样本。有了这些底层数据,药企便能利用新兴的 AI 技术研发出革命性的动物药品与专用饲料。这让 Kevin 深刻意识到,商业表象之下真正的护城河是数据资产。 这正如他儿子在特斯拉(Tesla)实习时给他的醍醐灌顶之言。当时儿子极力劝说 Kevin 买入特斯拉股票,并直言:“爸,它不是一家汽车公司,它是一家数据公司。如果你只把它看作车企,那你就是个蠢蛋。”彼时特斯拉股价高昂,但 Kevin 听从了儿子的建议建仓,这笔投资最终成为了他人生中最成功的交易之一。在经历股票拆分与多次将仓位主动回撤至 5% 的风控抛售后,Kevin 手中持有的特斯拉成本基数已经归零(Cost basis is zero)。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Basepaws and Tesla Data Valuation Model accDescr: Diagram showing how consumer products convert into high-margin data assets. subgraph DataCapture["前端触点 (产品/硬件)"] A["Basepaws 宠物基因检测盒"] B["Tesla 智能电动汽车终端"] end subgraph DataAsset["核心资产积累"] C["全美上亿只猫咪的底层生物基因库"] D["全球海量真实道路与驾驶数据"] end subgraph HighValueExit["后端商业变现"] E["AI 赋能动物医药与特种饲料研发"] F["自动驾驶生态与高估值科技溢价"] end A --> C B --> D C --> E D --> F ``` --- ### [34:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2061s) 创业的代价、破产抉择与面对失败的心理法则 面对广大坐在沙发上空想、迟迟不敢迈出第一步的年轻人,Kevin 直言不讳地指出:“三分之二的人永远都不可能真正去创业。”他强烈建议有志者趁着二十多岁、尚未背负房贷和家庭重担时尽早试水。创业者第一次、第二次甚至第三次注定会失败,但人生只需要一次真正的大成。 Kevin 透露,就在当天录制节目前坐在豪华轿车里时,他还在处理一家濒临破产的被投公司。他当场给另外两位大股东下了最后通牒,面临一个非黑即白的抉择(Binary decision): 1. **彻底放弃**:任由公司依法申请破产清算; 2. **低价洗盘重组(Cram-down round)**:各方按出资比例每人再拿出数百万美元,以几分钱的超低估值强行稀释原股权,拿下公司 100% 的控制权。 面对这种风险与阵痛,Kevin 强调了 CEO 和投资人必须具备的心态:必须学会在冒险中承受亏损,绝不能让某一次失败的糟糕结局定义你整个人("Never put yourself in a situation where one bad outcome defines who you are")。就在这家公司面临破产清算的同时,Kevin 接到了另一笔投资即将 IPO 的喜讯,那笔交易将为股东带来高达 400 倍的投资回报。这种极端分化就是商业的常态。至于他直言不讳、甚至显得冷酷的性格,Kevin 坦言自己完全不在意被外界讨厌,坦诚与透明赢得的尊重远比廉价的喜爱更有价值,真正重要的只有自己身边的家人和二十位挚友。 --- ### [36:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2208s) 史蒂夫·乔布斯的遗产:“蜂王与工蜂”理论 谈及生平相识,Kevin 坚定地表示与史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)的共事彻底改变了他的一生。尽管他并不喜欢乔布斯的为人,甚至为乔布斯早年拒绝现代医学手段抗癌而英年早逝感到惋惜,但他打心底里佩服乔布斯那令人畏惧的天才直觉与极高的执行力。乔布斯为人极难相处且并不总是正确,但他在大方向上正确的次数太多,以至于小错误根本微不足道。而乔布斯与史蒂夫·沃兹尼亚克(Steve Wozniak)的互补更是科技史上的绝配。 基于乔布斯对生态的理解,Kevin 提出了一个深刻的“蜂王与工蜂”类比,并借此猛烈抨击了华盛顿目前限制英伟达(Nvidia)、AMD、英特尔(Intel)和博通(Broadcom)向中国或俄罗斯等对手出口高算力芯片的政策: ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Queen Bee and Honeybees Ecosystem Theory accDescr: Concept of chip hardware acting as the queen bee surrounded by developer honeybees. subgraph CoreHardware["平台核心 (蜂王 / Queen Bee)"] QB["美国先进算力芯片 / 系统底层<br/>(Nvidia / Apple OS)"] end subgraph EcosystemCommunity["全球开发者社区 (工蜂 / Honeybees)"] HB1["固件工程师与应用开发者"] HB2["前沿 AI 模型算法科学家"] HB3["全球未知天才少年程序员"] end subgraph MonopolyPower["生态垄断与技术渗透"] DOM["牢不可破的技术依存度与全球话语权"] end HB1 -->|围绕底层固件写代码| QB HB2 -->|基于算力栈训练前沿算法| QB HB3 -->|习惯美系软硬件生态体系| QB QB --> DOM ``` - **蜂王(Queen Bee)与工蜂(Honeybees)的关系**:底层的芯片和硬件本身就是蜂王,但若脱离了围绕其编写代码的数百万程序员(工蜂),蜂王便毫无价值。乔布斯深刻理解这一点,当年他不惜一切代价让每一只“工蜂”都习惯为 Mac 和苹果操作系统写代码。 - **制裁的战略反噬**:英伟达芯片应该卖给全球所有人,包括竞争对手。因为在对手国家里,必然隐藏着未来开发下一个杀手级 AI 算法的天才少年,必须让他们在美系芯片和生态里成长为“工蜂”。 - **生态真空的危险后果**:一旦强行关闭外部市场,放弃将对手纳入自身的开发者蜂群,对手就会扶植自己的“蜂王”(如华为 Huawei)入场,进而孕育属于对方的全新生态系统。决策者未能看透生态圈绑定的本质,这种封锁政策无异于养痈遗患。 ### [40:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2414s) 生态护城河与底层芯片战:绝不能让对手成为蜂巢的蜂王 凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)用生动的比喻阐述了生态系统与芯片架构的战略逻辑:真正的商业策略是吸引周围所有的“蜜蜂”都来采蜜并酿造蜂蜜——在当前的科技竞争中,这里的蜂蜜指的就是软件与人工智能(AI)。所有的开发者围绕核心芯片构建应用生态;当底座芯片更新换代时,开发者们也早已习惯该芯片的底层逻辑与开发工具链,从而牢牢锁定在自主的技术生态中。即便出于政策考量允许对手的产品落后一代,但核心底线绝对是“永远不能让竞争对手把他们的蜂王安置在蜂巢中央”。 这种模式完全复刻了当年史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)与比尔·盖茨(Bill Gates)在操作系统(OS)上的殊死较量,也正是如今苹果 App Store 生态的核心护城河。正因如此,当奥利里看到当下的某些芯片与贸易政策时感到极为抓狂,甚至直接飞往华盛顿特区去游说决策层。他强调,AI 对他投资的所有企业来说至关重要,他绝不能容忍中国制生态进入他投资的商业系统内部。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 核心平台生态垄断逻辑 accDescr: 展示硬件芯片、开发者生态与软件应用如何形成闭环并排斥竞争对手进入核心层。 subgraph CorePlatform["核心底层生态"] Chip["底层专有芯片架构"] DevStack["统一开发工具链与标准"] end subgraph Developers["外围生态开发者(蜜蜂)"] Software["软件应用开发"] AIModel["AI 算法与应用部署"] end subgraph Outcome["战略护城河"] LockIn["全生态版本迭代锁定"] Defense["防御对手蜂王介入核心系统"] end Chip --> DevStack DevStack --> Software DevStack --> AIModel Software --> LockIn AIModel --> LockIn LockIn --> Defense ``` ### [41:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2474s) 给21岁创业者的箴言:先做两年学徒,摸清行业齿轮 面对初出茅庐、渴望在创业路上从零起步的20至21岁年轻人,奥利里给出了极其务实的成长路径:在涉足某个领域之前,先花24个月去你所热爱、有激情的行业里当学徒,哪怕对方不付分文报酬也要去干。很多年轻创业者心高气傲,常叫嚷着“我绝对不要给别人打工”,但事实恰恰相反,年轻人极其需要在一个真实的成熟体系中打工,亲眼看一看那些庞大的业务齿轮究竟是如何协同运转的。凭借纯粹的热情,你总能说服某位管理者为你敞开大门。 在熬过这两年的学徒期摸清门道之后,才是正式创业的成熟时机。奥利里直言不讳地指出,第一次创业大概率会以失败告终,启动资金也许仅仅是向父母、亲戚借来的1万美元左右,但这完全不是坏事。在20岁出头的年纪创业,核心优势就在于有足够的青春资本去“燃烧几年用于失败”。由于你已经在一线沉淀了行业底层常识,熟知产业链上的参与者与运作潜规则,你在经历初次试错后的再起步概率,将远高于盲目蛮干的同行。 - **学徒期关键目标**:投入24个月深入热爱行业,理解商业机器中每一个细小齿轮的联动关系。 - **早期创业的残酷现实**:首创项目多半以失败告终,启动资金多依赖家人与朋友的小额支持。 - **容错窗口期**:在20岁出头尽早启动,充分利用年轻资本在试错与失败中提炼认知壁垒。 ### [42:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2571s) 领导力的内核是结果与尊重,而非讨人喜欢 谈及领导团队的方式,很多人往往误解了乔布斯的行事作风,以为只要在职场中表现得咄咄逼人或专断霸道就是好领导;而在如今温和化的管理风气下,人们又开始纠结领导是否必须变得极其“和蔼”。奥利里澄清道,无论过去还是现在,强硬与温和这两种人都能取得成功,但外界过度执着于管理者的“个性”完全走偏了方向。企业构建团队的初衷不是为了交朋友,而是为了挑选能坚决执行特定战略指令的专业人才。 在企业经营中,客户永远摆在第一位,其次才是员工,而衡量员工的核心维度是执行能力与结果交付。奥利里坦言:“有些为我工作的员工,我个人并不喜欢他们,但这毫无关系。我发自内心地尊重他们,尊重他们搞定事情的执行力。”如果管理者把过多的个人私交混入团队管理,在未来不得不裁减解雇对方时就会陷入灾难。他特别告诫要警惕任人唯亲(Nepotism),并将其称为“可怕的疾病”。全球许多基业长青的私人巨头企业,如宜家(IKEA)和利乐(Tetra Pak),从不让后代直接执掌业务运营,而是安排他们在董事会监督,聘请专业经理人打理公司以传承财富。领导力从来不关乎讨人喜欢、社交迎合或软弱妥协,其唯一基石是彼此之间基于执行力的相互尊重。 ### [46:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2762s) 检验人才的核心法则:实战决策力与“狂野”创造力 在组建卓越团队的过程中,奥利里曾犯过最大的错误就是在没有实战检验的情况下草率招人。无论应聘者在面试时把自己的执行力吹嘘得多么天花乱坠、履历多么光鲜亮丽,只要停留在纸面上,就没有任何意义。真正合格的人才必须经过实际工作场景的“路测”(Road-tested),被置于必须独立做出重大且具有实质性后果的决策环境里。 奥利里进一步阐明,他想要的管理者是能在既定框架内(比如给予100万美元的预算权限)独立决断并承担后果的人,而不是大小事务都要打电话请示汇报的平庸之辈;作为领导者,他只要最终的执行成果。此外,关于员工的抗压与勤奋程度,奥利里打破了“工作狂才能成功”的迷思。相比于一台不知疲倦的“工作机器人”,他发现最能超额交付业绩的反而是那些爱好广泛、个性独特的边缘人(Eclectic people)。这些人在工作之外可能做着完全不相干甚至疯狂的事——比如请假三天去沙漠深处骑摩托车或单车。他们往往具备跳脱出固有思维框架(Think outside the box)的创造力与解决复杂问题的奇招,这种价值是机械化流水线员工永远无法替代的。 ### [48:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=2909s) 财富积累的第一课:母亲的独立信条与20%储蓄法则 探讨如何保持与增长财富时,奥利里将其底层的财务智慧追溯到了自己的母亲乔治特(Georgette / Georgia)。作为拥有黎巴嫩血统的三姐妹之一,母亲一生保持着极强的独立意识,其信条是绝对不让任何男人掌控自己的生活与命运。当年她在家族的服装企业工作,负责财务结算与发票开具,每周领取现金薪水。 从极其年轻的时候开始,母亲就坚决执行一套铁律:每周必定从领到的现金中硬性扣除20%,雷打不动地投入到两类核心资产中。正是受到母亲这一理财习惯的深刻启发,奥利里日后甚至创办了一家专门的指数基金投资公司。 - **核心资产类别一**:能够持续支付稳定股息的大盘蓝筹股(Large-cap dividend stocks)。 - **核心资产类别二**:7年期电信公司债券(Telco bonds),在当时能提供高达 6.5% 至 8% 的固定年化收益率。 ### [50:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3041s) 乔治特的投资法则:55年跑赢对冲基金的秘密 凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)回忆起母亲乔治特(Georgette)长达55年的投资传奇。她主要购买长期债券和优质股票,持仓跨越半个多世纪,却“从不触碰本金”,仅仅依靠股息和利息生活。靠着这些现金流,她供凯文和弟弟读完了大学,还在亲戚与姐妹陷入困境时施以援手。她的资产配置法则简单到令人难以置信:任何单一股票或债券的占比绝不超过投资组合的5%,任何单一行业的敞口绝不超过20%。“这不是什么绝顶天才,这只是极致的分散配置(diversification)。”一旦某只股票因上涨使其权重突破5%,她就会果断卖掉超出部分再平衡。 母亲去世后,身为长子的凯文接到律师电话要求他前去处理遗产,因为他是遗嘱执行人。凯文当时不以为然,心想母亲只是一个普通的中产阶级家庭主妇。然而律师严肃地纠正了他:“不,你必须亲自过来。”原来,母亲对两任丈夫都隐瞒了自己的账户,在那个允许个人财务完全独立的年代,她默默筑起了一座隐秘的金库。当凯文翻开账目时彻底被震惊了——那份投资组合在55年间的复利表现令人咋舌,甚至跑赢了顶尖的对冲基金经理。 那一刻改变了凯文的财富观,他当场认定:“这就是我余生要贯彻的投资方式,一模一样地照搬乔治特的法则。”如今他自己的资产配置依然坚守“个股不超过5%、单一板块不超过20%”的红线,唯一的例外是房地产——房产占了他总净资产的三分之一。他指出,普通投资者之所以常常满盘皆输,就是因为盲目自大、下注过猛,总觉得自己百分之百正确,把一半的身家押在一只股票或一个风口上,最终落得被彻底清零的下场。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 乔治特的投资分散风控法则 accDescr: 展示个股5%限制与行业20%限制的资产配置架构 subgraph AllocationRules["乔治特的风险控制体系"] A["总投资组合 (100%)"] --> B["单一标的风控"] A --> C["单一行业风控"] B --> D["任何单只股票/债券 ≤ 5%<br/>(超过立即减仓再平衡)"] C --> E["任何单一板块敞口 ≤ 20%<br/>(覆盖全行业,防范单点暴跌)"] end subgraph CashFlowRule["现金流铁律"] F["本金资产 (长期不动)"] --> G["仅支取:利息与股息"] G --> H["支付大学学费 / 救济亲属 / 日常开支"] end ``` - **投资周期**:长达55年持续复合增长,仅靠利息与股息覆盖生活与教育开支。 - **底层资产标的**:没有现代的ETF,仅持有约28只无负债、持续派息的大盘蓝筹股及长期债券。 - **行业板块划分**:当时标准分类仅有10个行业(尚未把房地产单独列为第11大板块),组合在不同行业间实现高度分散。 --- ### [53:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3211s) 亿万富翁的90天开销体检与“不要超支”铁律 即使是身家亿万的顶级富豪,在财务纪律上也常常极其盲目。凯文提到最近有一位身家数十亿美元的女富豪离婚,由于过去的家族财富全由前夫的顾问团队一手包办,离婚后各大机构蜂拥而至争抢她的资金管理权。她找到凯文请求他担任投资顾问,凯文婉拒了职位,但向她传授了母亲的策略,并强行要求她做一项“极端接地气”的财务测试:拿出一张白纸,严禁使用电脑和电子表格,把过去90天内花出去的每一分钱全都手写罗列在一边;另一边则写下黄金、土地、股票、债券等现有资产实际产生的所有收益,以此来进行一次残酷的“直觉体检(gut check)”,看看她是否在透支自身。 那位女富豪一开始十分不屑:“我为什么要在乎这个?”凯文反驳道:“难道你不想知道按照目前这种生活方式,你到底在以多快的速度烧钱吗?就算钱够花一辈子,你也得考虑留给后代或做慈善。”凯文坚持的一大铁律是:**在任何30天或60天的周期内,支出绝对不能超过收入**,他本人也坚持零负债生活。当账目逐笔核对完毕后,女富豪彻底惊呆了——她每周挥霍掉几十万美元,一个季度就白白蒸发掉数百万美元。 凯文直截了当地追问她:“你买了这么多用不上的破烂玩意儿,你真的感到更快乐吗?”如果不加节制,她迟早得变卖土地、黄金和股票来填补无底洞。凯文强调,这种算账练习不仅适用于超级富豪,普通年薪5.6万或6.8万美元的上班族更应该严格执行。 --- ### [56:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3366s) 28美元的午餐陷阱与衣柜里的“20/80法则” 谈到年轻人常犯的财务错误,凯文直言最看不惯年薪7万美元的年轻人每天点28美元的外卖午餐,这种行为极其愚蠢。如果把省下来的这笔钱投入低费率的指数基金,在未来50年里以每年8%至10%的复合年增长率滚动,其终值将是一笔天文数字。为了帮年轻人理财,他自己甚至参与开发了一款名为 Beanstocks 的应用(市场上同类工具也很多),其核心逻辑就是强制将薪资的15%自动扣款并划入两个配置池:一部分配置跟踪标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)的ETF,另一部分配置国库券等固定收益产品;年轻人应多配股票ETF、少配固收,随着年龄增长再逐步提升固收比例。针对市场上那些声称能稳定跑赢标普500的人,凯文嗤之以鼻:“他们满口胡言,长期来看根本没人做得到。” 除了餐饮浪费,凯文还给年轻男女提供了一个极其犀利的自查方法——打开自家的衣柜:“去看看你的衣柜,里面塞了多少买了不穿、或者只穿过一次的垃圾?”大部分人日常真正穿着的衣服只占衣柜的20%,其余80%的钱都被白白挥霍掉了。 作为反面对比,凯文提到了母亲的消费哲学。母亲每年只买两件手工定制的高级香奈儿(Chanel)夹克,虽然单价高昂,但她的信条是“经典永远不会过时”。那些保养完好、来自20世纪50年代的复古香奈儿外套如今不仅价值连城,而且质地考究、依然适合穿着。母亲一生拒绝买垃圾,只入手极少量的顶级单品,常年积累下来形成了一个极具价值的服装资产组合。当她离世时,家里的女眷们甚至为了继承她的衣服大打出手。 - **薪资配置法则**:强制将月收入的15%自动扣款划入投资账户,构建股票ETF与固收债券组合。 - **衣柜消费痛点**:普通人常年只穿衣柜里20%的衣物,其余80%都是资金的无效浪费。 - **高净值消费观**:宁可高价购买能保值数十年的高品质经典单品,也绝不购买转瞬贬值的平庸杂物。 --- ### [58:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3530s) 手表收藏哲学与为什么必须拥有股息股 主持人注意到凯文左右双手各戴了一块腕表,询问这是否与他母亲的奢侈品收藏习惯有关。凯文承认自己确实是狂热的钟表收藏家,但他收藏手表的初衷不仅仅是投资,而是每一块表都承载着生命中的重大里程碑——一次重磅交易的达成、一个孩子的降生、一场毕业典礼等。至于到底收藏了多少块表,凯文笑称出于保险公司的保密协议与安全考量,他现在已经不能对外公开具体数量了。 话题随后切回母亲资产配置的核心工具——股息股(Dividend Stocks)。针对普通人“什么是股息股、应不应该买”的疑问,凯文做出了通俗的拆解:当一家企业实现稳定盈利、商业模式成熟且不断扩张市场份额时,公司会决定把经营利润的一部分以现金形式直接分配给股东,这就是股息。这笔现金股东可以自由支配,既可以用于日常生活,也可以再投资复利。 凯文指出,过去高增长的科技巨头大多不分红,早期派发高股息的主要是公用事业板块(Utilities)。但如今情况发生了根本转变:随着人口老龄化加剧,投资人普遍产生“我要拿到真金白银吃饭”的现金流需求,因此现在各大科技巨头也开始派发股息。现在的成熟市场中,几乎每一个板块都能找到优质的派息股。凯文明确表示,他最核心的权益仓位一定是这些“分红派息股(div payers)”,再搭配固定收益类产品、加密货币(Crypto)以及黄金、腕表等另类资产,形成多维度的财富屏障。 ### [01:00:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3615s) 加密货币与支付革命:数字黄金与稳定币的底层逻辑 在聊完高价腕表带来的惊人回报——比如有些手表以 20 万美元购入,如今市值已突破百万美元之后,话题转向了加密货币。被问及是否仍看好加密货币时,Kevin O'Leary 给出了肯定的答复,但他直言大众往往混淆了加密货币的真实潜力。对他而言,加密货币的真正价值在于数字支付系统。他特别提到了刚刚在参议院获得通过并重回众议院审议的《稳定币法案》(Stablecoin Act / 亦称 GENIUS Act),并透露自己早在两年前就参与了该法案的推进。该法案的核心与炒作投机无关,而是确立一种全新的支付形式。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 跨境转账效率对比 accDescr: 对比传统法币跨国电汇与USDC稳定币结算在耗时、手续费及摩擦成本上的巨大差距 subgraph Traditional["传统银行跨国汇款"] A["美元资金 (USD)"] --> B["严苛KYC审查 / 视客户如潜在罪犯"] B --> C["换汇为瑞士法郎 (CHF)"] C --> D["耗时约1周 / 损耗约200个基点费用"] end subgraph CryptoPayment["USDC 稳定币结算"] E["USDC (美债与美元100%背书)"] --> F["区块链点对点即时清算"] F --> G["耗时不到1秒 / 手续费仅为原成本百分之一"] end ``` 为了具象化这种变革,Kevin O'Leary 举了一个生动的亲身经历:如果他要向钟表大师 Simon Birch 定制一块高端手表,走传统渠道就必须用美元汇款,接受极其繁琐的“了解你的客户”(KYC)核查,“转个 10 万美元搞得自己像罪犯一样”,还要在耗费约一周时间换成瑞士法郎的过程中被银行剥削约 200 个基点(2%)的磨损费;但如果对方接受由美元国债 100% 支撑的合规稳定币 USDC,整笔结算将在不到一秒钟内完成,且交易手续费仅为传统方式的百分之一。他区分了投机性质的比特币(将其视为需要承受剧烈波动的“数字黄金”)与作为支付基础设施的稳定币,并断言加密货币终将成为标普 500 指数中的第 12 个独立板块,为其他 11 个行业全面赋能。 - **监管与基础设施布局**:Kevin O'Leary 偏好投资底层设施,他投资的加拿大合规交易所 WonderFi 最近刚被 Vlad Tenev 掌舵的 Robinhood 收购,为后者一举打开了拥有百万以上账户的加拿大市场;此外他也投资了发行 USDC 的 Circle 公司股票。 - **低风险收益渠道**:持有 USDC 稳定币目前可获得约 4.1% 的无风险利息回报。 - **穿越野蛮周期**:经历过币圈“狂野牛仔”横行、暴雷并亲自赴参众两院听证作证的至暗时刻后,行业正在合规化,那些违法者大多已身陷囹圄。 - **个人资产配置**:其投资组合在上个月进行市值重估(mark-to-market)时,加密货币及相关基础设施股票的整体配置比例为 19.1%,严格受限于单一板块不超过 20% 的硬性风控红线。 --- ### [01:03:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3813s) 买房神话破灭:三分之一收入红线与再融资危机 许多人步入职场拿到第一笔薪水后,第一反应就是背负房贷买房,因为传统观念灌输“买房是创造财富最显而易见的途径”。对此,Kevin O'Leary 提出了来自母亲的严格家训:**房贷与房屋维护的总开支绝对不能超过总收入的 1/3**。一旦超出该比例,就意味着你买了一套超出自身承受能力的房子。 他指出,在购房起步阶段,宁愿买一套只有 1,900 平方英尺(约 176 平方米)、位于普通社区的起步房,甚至通过分租来分摊成本并学习房屋管理,也决不能打破财务底线。过去几年低利率时期(房贷利率在 3.2% 至 4% 以下),大量购房者盲目加杠杆购买豪宅,如今面临着以超过 7% 的高利率重新贷款(refinance)的残酷现实。这导致房屋还贷支出瞬间暴增至收入的 60%、70% 甚至 80%,许多家庭陷入财务崩溃。Kevin O'Leary 犀利地提醒:房子虽然是主要资产,但背后也背负着巨额债务;如果你首付只有 10%、负债 90%,那么在房价横盘时,你实际拥有的资产仅仅是那微薄的 10% 净值(equity value)。 - **复利养老投资规划**:与其将所有资金沉淀在过重的房产上,不如保持投资多元化。一个 25 岁年薪 70,000 美元的年轻人,只要每月坚持省下 15% 的收入定投标普 500 指数基金,到 65 岁退休时即可凭借历史复利增长积累超过 150 万美元养老金。 - **房贷还清节点**:在步入 40 岁阶段时,理财目标应当是尽快偿清房屋贷款,避免人到中年依然债台高筑。 --- ### [01:06:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3977s) 单身青年的资产配置与“说不”的自律哲学 针对“25 岁单身、年薪 7 万美元且目标是赚钱”的年轻人,主持人询问是否应该买房。Kevin O'Leary 斩钉截铁地回答:“不买。”他认为,买房的核心应用场景是为了结婚并组建家庭养育下一代;除非你将房地产本身作为一门全职商业生意去运营——例如在大学城周边精准收购房产、翻新并专门出租给大学生赚取租金现金流,否则单纯为了赚钱而买自住房是低效的。对于毫无家庭负担的单身青年,最优解是将资金投入多元化的股票与资产组合中顺势积累,等到遇见步入婚姻的伴侣、准备在未来 24 个月内迎接新生命时,再动用这笔积累的“储备金”购置居所。 谈到财富积累的底层逻辑,Kevin O'Leary 强调最终只归结为两个字——“自律”(discipline)。真正的自律是拥有克制消费冲动的能力,看着橱窗里琳琅满目的非必需品时能坚定地说出:“我不需要这个,我要让这笔钱继续为我打工。”许多看似平凡的普通打工者之所以能在退休时实现完全的财务自由,全凭年轻一无所有时对不必要消费坚决说“不”。他特别告诫年轻人不要为了跟风他的红表带而去借贷购买数万美元的奢华名表,他近期频繁佩戴 265 美元的手动/石英 Timex(天美时)腕表出镜,正是为了向年轻人证明:欣赏钟表艺术与培养爱好完全不需要背负债务或挥霍 50,000 美元,平价腕表同样能展现极致的美感。在探讨完消费与资产之后,话题随之切入到下一个决定个人财务命运的关键维度:伴侣的选择会对个人财富产生多大的冲击。 ### [01:08:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4122s) 婚姻本质上是一门生意:创业者的牺牲与“金钱是第一个孩子” 当被问及所爱之人是否会对个人的财务、财富以及成功的几率产生深远影响时,凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)斩钉截铁地回答:“这是全部,它是决定一切的因素。”对于那些决心坐上创业火箭的人而言,伴侣必须能够容忍你在最初的十年里几乎从不着家,必须做好独自抚养家庭的心理准备。凯文直言不讳地痛批“工作与生活平衡”的概念就是纯粹的扯淡(“complete bullshit”)。在如今全球化的激烈竞争中,不拼命就无法生存。他提到以猫咪 DNA 检测项目登上《创智赢家》(Shark Tank)的安娜·斯卡亚(Anna Skaya),虽然她在三年内就达成了极佳的退出,但这绝非她的第一个项目,也是建立在此前无数拼搏与幸运之上的,而且功成名就后她依然选择重回工作岗位。 凯文指出许多人未能认清婚姻的真相——婚姻本质上是一门生意(“Marriage is a business”)。结婚后迎来的“第一个孩子”其实是金钱,它每天都坐在餐桌旁盯着夫妻二人;如果金钱无以为继,婚姻也就难以维系。人们结婚的一个核心动因,就是为了构建一种财务稳定性,从而能够负担得起一个家庭。谈到自己的婚姻,凯文透露他和妻子虽曾分居数年,但出于对家庭的珍视最终破镜重圆。在他们的家庭关系中,所有重大家庭开销(例如房屋翻修)都必须共同商议、相互核对。凯文对妻子充满敬意,不仅因为他们白手起家共同创造了财富,更因为妻子全心守护家庭,让他能够无后顾之忧地在外打拼。凯文坦承,为了事业成功,你必然要放弃某些东西——他从未拥有像妻子幼时给孩子们读睡前故事那样深厚的情感亲密度,但他扮演好了出色的养家者角色。此外,受母亲严厉金钱观的影响,他坚决反对“特权思想”(entitlement),绝不会直接赠予子女巨额财富,而是要求孩子们必须靠自己的工作立足。 ### [01:11:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4292s) 离婚是对财富的几何级毁灭:为何结婚是最大的财务抉择 凯文重申了一个经常提及的观点:**人生中做出的最重要的一笔财务决策,就是你选择与谁结婚。** 其中的关键原因在于离婚会导致财富呈“几何级数式毁灭”(geometric loss of wealth)。一旦走向离婚程序,当事人不仅要给前妻或前夫分走一大笔家产,而且为了分割那些无法拆分的资产,往往必须将其强制变现,这又会触发高额的资本利得税,直接让政府拿走约三分之一。最终,配偶分走一部分,政府抽走税金,整整高达三分之二的资产可能在瞬间灰飞烟灭。 对于人到中年(例如 45 岁左右)凭借毕生心血积攒下一笔养老金和舒适生活的人来说,仅仅因为一时看不惯对方就草率离婚,是极其不理智的行为。凯文犀利地指出,有时问题的根源并非对方,而在于自身;如果一个人结了三次婚都以失败告终,那毫无疑问问题出在自己身上,这种人根本不配再组建任何经济共同体,应当“一直谈恋爱直到老死”。真正的婚姻需要长久的经营与忍耐,凯文提出了一个颇具实操性的评估标准:只要你在一天中有 51% 的时间对伴侣感到满意,就应该选择继续坚守,因为长期婚姻所积累的综合益处远超想象。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 离婚导致的资产毁灭链条 accDescr: 说明离婚不仅导致配偶财产分割,还会因为强制资产变现触发政府重税,导致财富面临双重缩水。 subgraph S1["婚姻资产积累"] A["毕生奋斗积攒的资产组合"] end subgraph S2["离婚清算过程"] B["资产无法均等物理分割"] C["强制变现 / 清算资产"] end subgraph S3["财富双重流失"] D["配偶分配大笔资产"] E["政府征收巨额资本利得税(最高达 1/3)"] end F["最终损失高达 2/3 的财富规模"] A --> B B --> C C --> D C --> E D --> F E --> F ``` ### [01:13:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4389s) 离婚的真正元凶是财务压力而非出轨 十多年前撰写关于男女与金钱的著作时,凯文曾走访了纽约、波士顿等北美顶尖的离婚诉讼律师,探讨婚姻走向破裂的真实原因分布。在通常有 50% 婚姻会在 5 到 7 年内破裂的统计背景下,所有顶级律师给出了高度一致的答案:**导致离婚的首要原因绝非不忠,而是财务压力。** 大多数婚姻在面对出轨时往往尚能设法维系,却根本无法抵御沉重的经济危机。 男女在热恋初期往往沉醉于激情的浪漫泡影之中,完全忽略了对伴侣进行基本的“财务背景尽职调查”(due diligence),从不过问对方的消费习惯、家族借贷、债务甚至破产历史。随着蜜月期的荷尔蒙褪去,现实问题迅速暴露: - **无节制透支与消费失控**:一方开始无视家庭承受能力大肆挥霍,为了盲目攀比(“keep up with the Joneses”)购买奢侈品包袋或游艇。 - **高息债务滚雪球**:账单上突然冒出年利率高达 23% 的 10 万美元信用卡巨债,在双方各自仅有 10 万美元年薪还要抚养孩子上大学的重压下,家庭财务彻底崩盘。 凯文强调,由于这种财务压迫感,将近 90% 的婚姻破裂都源于钱的问题。离婚在某种程度上成了摆脱被对方刷爆信用卡的解脱手段,但代价极为惨痛。正因如此,凯文投资了一家名为 HelloPrenup 的婚前协议初创平台。他认为,婚前协议最大的价值在于强制让双方在热恋的高峰期冷静下来,强制披露彼此真实的财务状况并完成尽职调查。 ### [01:15:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4556s) 金钱的五种“爱情语言”与第三次约会法则 针对个人对待金钱的心理机制与行为习惯,凯文提炼出了金钱的五种不同特质(Love Languages of Money),并针对恋爱择偶提出了明确的应对法则: - **吃软饭者(The Mooch)**:在任何场合都一毛不拔、拒绝买单的人。这是一个极其危险的信号,表明对方可能并非为了纯粹的情感陪伴,而仅仅是寻求长期的经济饭票。 - **挥霍狂(The Spendaholic)**:为了显得自己受人欢迎或事业有成,总是抢着为所有消费买单的人。这是一种通过巨额现金支出来掩盖极度内心不安全感的典型表现。 - **游手好闲者(The Loafer)**:对金钱没有任何野心、缺乏进取心与奋斗动力的人。面对此类人,应当以最决绝的态度敬而远之(“Avoid with extreme prejudice”)。 - **盗贼(The Thief)**:暗中偷窃、挪用金钱或欺骗财务的人。对此必须零容忍。 - **精算抠门者(The Meanie)**:收支平衡、量入为出、崇尚理性消费的人。凯文强烈建议与这类人结婚(“Marry a meanie”),因为能够维持一生的幸福婚姻往往属于精打细算的理财型伴侣。 为了避免步入婚姻财务灾难,凯文给出了具体的约会实操建议——**在第三次约会时开诚布公地谈论金钱与人生目标**。第一次约会是试探对方是否有吸引力;第二次约会是探寻深入了解的意愿;而一旦走到第三次约会,说明双方之间已经产生了实质性的火花。此时应该借机坦率提问:“我们能第三次坐在一起,说明彼此感觉很棒。但我很好奇,你的长远人生规划与野心究竟是什么?”即便对方调侃反问是否在对其进行考察,你也应当大大方方地承认:“没错,我就是在考察你。” ### [01:17:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4664s) 约会中的财务摸底与赞助商时间(GoodNotes 与 Justworks) 凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)总结道,约会就像一场彼此试探的舞蹈,但两个人到底合不合适,必须深入探索彼此未来的财务规划;他打趣说凭借自己在这方面的敏锐洞察,自己完全应该去当一名婚姻咨询师。 随后主持人史蒂芬·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)插播了赞助商内容。他首先揭秘了面前摆放多年的 iPad 屏幕里装的到底是什么——笔记软件 GoodNotes。他每天在播客录制时用它存储海量研究资料并实时记录要点,尤其是其全新推出的 AI 助手功能“Ask Goodnotes”,能让他在数秒内检索多达 200 页的访谈背景笔记。比如当凯文聊到母亲时,史蒂芬只需敲入“凯文母亲叫什么名字”,AI 便能立即给出答案,避免了提问时的尴尬。随后,史蒂芬又介绍了另一家赞助商——人力资源服务平台 Justworks。他指出初创企业创始人往往全身心扑在产品开发与获客上,极易将人力资源(HR)视作非紧急事项而忽略,直到发生纠纷才意识到 HR 是企业不可或缺的底层基础设施。Justworks 通过自动化薪酬核算、健康保险与全天候人工支持,帮助初创团队在迈向全球招聘的过程中平稳合规扩张。 - **GoodNotes 专享福利**:面向 iOS 和 Mac 用户提供 30 天免费试用,年度订阅费用仅为 $9.99 美元/年。 - **初创企业 HR 痛点**:早期团队容易轻视合规与福利管理,Justworks 提供自动化薪酬、保险福利及全天候真人客服支持。 --- ### [01:20:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4837s) 人工智能的浪潮:为何它比互联网革命更庞大 话题回到当前重塑商业与财富的头号主角——人工智能(AI)。史蒂芬提出疑问:对于那些刚刚步入职场的新人或是传统行业的专业人士(如年轻律师),究竟该如何看待当下的 AI 革命?这究竟是一次前所未有的财富创造风口,还是颠覆性的生存危机? 凯文毫不犹豫地断言:AI 带来的影响“远比当年的互联网更加巨大(bigger than the internet)”。他强调自己不打算空谈虚无的概念,而是要结合自己每天切实在商业中落地的真实用例来解释。疫情后的商业格局发生了结构性转变,无论企业规模大小,都大幅转向了直接面向消费者(DTC, Direct-to-Consumer)的销售模式。许多品牌在疫情前的 DTC 业务占比仅为 27%,如今已攀升至 50% 以上。这种转变不仅带来了更高的产品利润率,更重要的是沉淀了第一手的海量核心数据——包括用户的购买时机、地理分布、喜好口味等行为画像,而 AI 正是让这些数据爆发惊人商业价值的催化剂。 --- ### [01:22:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4929s) 案例一:AI 改造葡萄酒业务与需求预测 凯文以自己投资并深度参与的葡萄酒产业为例。传统酿酒业拥有数千年历史,痛点在于看天吃饭,且传统模式必须通过多级分销商分销,酒庄根本不知道终端顾客究竟喜欢什么风味,在决定种植哪种葡萄品种时如同盲人摸象。疫情期间,全美有 43 个州向美西酒庄开放了 DTC 线上直销许可,配合线上渠道与电视购物平台 QVC,凯文旗下的葡萄酒品牌如今每年能卖出超过 300 万瓶酒,并由此积累了详实的第一手交易数据。 借助 AI 工具对这些数据的深度挖掘与交叉验证,凯文团队得出了极其精准的消费洞察:在南佛罗里达州,44 岁至 64 岁女性群体中最畅销的葡萄品种是莫斯卡托(Moscato,一种口感偏甜的白葡萄酒)。凯文幽默地吐槽:“虽然我觉得那玩意儿喝起来简直像垃圾,但我个人怎么想根本无关紧要,因为它是当下的绝对爆款。”正是凭借 AI 在半年前做出的需求预测,他在资本支出(CapEx)和供应链库存调度上做到了极致精准,提前为整个夏季备足了冰镇莫斯卡托现货,没有任何滞销库存。这套市场预测在过去若委托咨询机构调研,至少需要耗费 100 万美元,而如今凯文利用多款 AI 工具交叉比对,仅花费了 18,000 美元便拿到了精准结论。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI-Driven Wine Inventory Prediction Flow accDescr: Diagram showing how consumer transaction data is processed by AI to optimize wine inventory and cut costs. subgraph DataCollection["数据收集"] A["全美 43 州开放 DTC 直销"] --> B["沉淀 300 万瓶/年直销数据"] end subgraph AIAnalysis["AI 智能分析"] B --> C["多款 AI 工具交叉比对分析"] C --> D["精准锁定人群画像:<br/>南佛罗里达 44-64 岁女性偏爱莫斯卡托"] end subgraph BusinessExecution["业务落地与收益"] D --> E["提前 6 个月调配 CapEx 与库存备货"] E --> F["调研成本由 100 万美元骤降至 18,000 美元<br/>零滞销风险"] end ``` --- ### [01:24:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5046s) 案例二:迪拜虚拟制片与“数字人凯文”带来的震撼 凯文接着分享了第二个震撼他的 AI 用例——广告制作与内容生产。在传统好莱坞制片模式下,在洛杉矶摄影棚使用传统绿幕拍摄一组包含 15 秒、30 秒和 60 秒的商业广告,单次拍摄预算通常高达 250,000 美元,后期还要追加大笔制作费进行抠像与背景合成。 然而两周前,凯文受邀前往迪拜体验了一种全新的 AI 虚拟制片系统: 1. **6K 数字虚拟墙(LED Volume)实时联动**:AI 能够根据实时台词剧本动态生成并同步背后的 6K 场景画面,无需任何后期绿幕合成,整套商业广告仅用 4 小时便全部录制完成,且画面质感与光影完美无瑕,成本仅为传统制片的一小部分。 2. **AI 分身“Kevin Agent”震撼登场**:更令凯文感到不可思议的是,团队随后在凯文完全不在场的情况下,利用名为“Kevin Agent”的 AI 数字人重新“拍摄”了一条全新的广告。背景完全一致,成片逼真自然,而整条新广告的制作成本仅为 9,000 美元——同样规格的广告从头拍摄原先需要 400,000 美元。 当史蒂芬指出“这必将引发大规模岗位冲击”时,凯文虽然承认劳动力市场将经历阵痛("You don't say"),但更惊叹于生产力边界的飞跃。制作方甚至现场向他演示,如果凯文对某句台词不满意,AI 可以在 2 秒钟内直接修改口型与音频并渲染出一条 15 秒新切片,甚至能瞬间无缝翻译并输出纯正的西班牙语、日语或阿拉伯语版本。凯文强调,从视频制作到软件开发,未来所有内容的生产预算都将断崖式下跌。而这一切惊人算力变革的底层支撑,正是来自英伟达(Nvidia)的先进图形处理芯片。 ### [01:26:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5186s) 算力、蜜蜂与地缘战争:民主阵营必须掌控 AI 谈到对下一代职业抱负的建议,面对诸如报税、起草法律合同、视频剪辑等白领工作是否会被人工智能全面取代的普遍焦虑,凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)的态度非常淡定,他告诫孩子们:“放轻松,它只是一件工具。”他举例指出,当年电视刚出现时,人人都断言收音机将被彻底淘汰,然而如今广播与音频播客的市场规模反而比以往任何时候都要庞大。技术变革只是形态的演化,工具本身并不构成生存维度的毁灭性打击。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI超级大国竞争逻辑图 accDescr: 展示芯片与顶尖算力如何构建底层优势,进而决定未来军事与数字生态主导权。 subgraph Infrastructure["底座与核心资源"] A["顶尖芯片与算力中心"] B["数学天才与算法研发<br/>(工蜂)"] end subgraph Warfare["未来防务与规则控制"] C["无人机与机器人战争"] D["主导未来防御与地缘格局"] end subgraph Ecosystem["全球科技生态"] E["西方民主阵营技术体系<br/>(酿造自己的“蜜”)"] F["威权模式技术体系"] end A & B --> C C --> D A & B --> E E -.->|"地缘竞争对立"| F ``` 然而,凯文唯独对 AI 在国防与战争层面的应用深感忧虑。他坚信,未来战争必将由无人机和自主机器人主导,拥有最先进芯片制程、最强大算力数据中心和顶尖 AI 算法的国家将赢得终极胜利。凯文常用“蜜蜂与蜂王”的比喻游说美国国会议员:底层的算法研发团队就像辛勤采蜜的工蜂(由极其顶尖的印度、巴基斯坦等地的数学天才构成),但真正决定方向的是掌控蜂王与规则的体系。在他看来,世界最终只会剩下两个 AI 超级大国阵营,民主社会必须牢牢掌握最顶尖的芯片、算力中心与核心算法,绝不能在未来的算法与防务竞争中落入威权模式的掌控。 - **职业与AI焦虑**:凯文建议年轻人不必惊慌失措("chillax"),新技术如同当年电视未能扼杀广播一样,本质上是生产力工具的演化。 - **国防与主权竞争**:未来战争的核心取决于芯片、AI 数据中心与无人装备系统的融合;地缘政治的博弈本质上是谁在制定底层的算法与硬件规则。 --- ### [01:28:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5310s) 苹果死期未到:品牌宇宙与生态护城河的绝对统治 针对外界“苹果是否正在走向死亡”的疑问,凯文给出了斩截有力的否定回答。他将苹果不可撼动的护城河归功于史蒂夫·乔布斯(Steve Jobs)留下的商业哲学。乔布斯生前曾反复向凯文的软件团队强调一句话:“在由我告诉他们之前,用户根本不知道自己想要什么。”凯文当年曾当面质疑:“史蒂夫,你到底怎么可能知道?你根本无法知道未知的事物。”而乔布斯的回应极其专断且自信:“那你就证明我错了,在我们合作的所有项目里挑出一个我判断失误的例子。”凯文坦言,直到今天自己也没能挑出哪怕一次错误。 在硬件层面上,一台售价 330 美元的普通笔记本电脑完全可以具备与 1,800 美元 MacBook 相同的底层处理性能,但消费者依然愿意为其支付数倍溢价。凯文指出,这种看似不理性的溢价背后,是无可替代的“品牌宇宙”: - **无缝生态协同**:从 macOS、iOS 的全平台同步,到 iMessage 的无延迟交互与 AppleCare 售后体验,构成了用户无法逃离的数字壁垒。 - **迟到但统治的策略**:苹果往往不急于做第一个拓荒者,而是允许其他厂商先行试错开辟新市场,随后凭借极致的产品整合力空降收割。 - **激进的重构思维**:在第一代 iPhone 问世时,乔布斯断言所有软件都将在手机端运行,面对凯文“屏幕太小根本无法适配”的抗议,乔布斯强硬命令其“把所有代码重写为竖屏架构”,事实再次证明了乔布斯的超前预判。 --- ### [01:31:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5495s) 从自然中汲取直觉:乔布斯与马斯克这类“国家宝藏” 当凯文在哈佛大学向顶尖学子(其中三分之一为国际生)授课时,学生们总会追问:“你到底什么时候抓到过乔布斯的破绽?”凯文只能坦承自己从未抓到过。乔布斯洞察未来拐点的能力,源自其夜以继日对字体艺术、日本美学及自然秩序的极度专注。乔布斯善于将自然界与东方经卷的视觉意象提炼并注入冰冷的科技产品中。当凯文初次看到初代 Mac 上由乔布斯坚持引入的平滑可缩放字体时,曾困惑地表示“电脑屏幕上从未出现过这种东西”,乔布斯却反问这给他带来了什么感觉。凯文不得不承认,那种排版让人感到如同阅读温润的纸质印刷品般舒适。 凯文将埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)与乔布斯相提并论,认为无论是在 SpaceX 的航天火箭、特斯拉的智能驾驶、神经科技(Neuralink)的脑机接口,还是星链(Starlink)网络中,马斯克展现的都是与乔布斯完全相同的超前直觉与纯粹信噪比("100% signal")。凯文直言,不管外界对他们的政治立场或个人性格有何微词,这类企业家都是不可多得的“国家宝藏”,他们对社会生产力与国家竞争力的贡献超越了寻常评判标准。正是基于这一逻辑,凯文极力主张当时身为全球最具权势人物的特朗普应与身为全球首富兼最大工业制造者的马斯克保持紧密合作。 --- ### [01:34:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5672s) 天才的代价:他是快乐的人,还是被诅咒的受难者? 面对史蒂芬·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)提出的深刻问题——“史蒂夫·乔布斯活着时快乐吗?”凯文陷入了沉思。凯文坦言自己从未见过乔布斯快乐的模样,在他的记忆中,乔布斯总是在严厉呵斥、下达指令,甚至几乎从未见过乔布斯开怀大笑。在凯文眼中,乔布斯身上带着一种“备受折磨”的阴郁气质,这种近乎被命运诅咒般的极端严苛与痛苦,或许正是驱动其创造奇迹的代价。 当巴特利特追问凯文是否深爱乔布斯时,凯文毫不犹豫地回答“100%”。即便乔布斯生前总是对他大声咆哮、完全无视凯文的商业提议而只要求凯文团队绝对执行苹果的意志,两人之间却始终流动着极高维度的彼此尊重。回忆起当年与硅谷传奇投资人海蒂·罗伊森(Heidi Roizen)一同坐在库比蒂诺(Cupertino)苹果总部会议室、为了软件业务与乔布斯当面对质交锋的峥嵘岁月,凯文依然心潮澎湃,那是与一个从不犯错的天才并肩博弈所留下的不可磨灭的情感烙印。 ### [01:35:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5754s) 史蒂夫·乔布斯的残酷与极致:海蒂·罗森的缓冲与“当好人只是噪音” 凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)回忆起风险投资家海蒂·罗森(Heidi Roizen)在苹果公司所扮演的独特角色——她不仅是一位卓越的投资人,更是乔布斯的“灵感缪斯”以及极少数能够全天候应对乔布斯、并在他陷入疯狂执拗时将其拉回现实的人。凯文分享了一段令人啼笑皆非又惊心动魄的往事:在一次商务谈判中,乔布斯当场对凯文大声呵斥,甚至将凯文团队中的一位女性产品经理直接骂到痛哭流涕。那位产品经理坚持要做市场调研,乔布斯却毫不留情地回绝:“绝不可能,一切照我说的做!”乔布斯视市场调研为多余的无用功,哪怕这位经理手中掌管着《俄勒冈之旅》(The Oregon Trail)这类在全美11万所学校的 Mac 电脑上运行、价值数百万美元的超级顶流教育软件,乔布斯也完全不在乎她的想法。 谈判破裂后,凯文一行人被赶了出来,走向赫兹(Hertz)租车准备驾车前往旧金山再飞回波士顿。老式办公楼的窗户装有旋钮锁,最多只能推开大约4英寸(防坠楼设计)。气急败坏的乔布斯竟然把头硬卡在狭窄的窗缝里,探出头冲着楼下的停车场对着凯文等人声嘶力竭地大吼大叫。凯文抬头看着他,满心无奈与不解:“我们都被你轰出来了,你还想怎样?”就在前往机场的路上,凯文手中的“大砖头”早期手机响了,电话那头的海蒂平静地通知他:“行了,他同意以1200万美元成交。”凯文忍不住抱怨:“海蒂,我们为什么非得经历这出闹剧受这顿羞辱不可?”海蒂淡淡地回了一句哲理般的反问:“天为什么是蓝的?别问了,上飞机去把事情办了吧。” 当主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)好奇乔布斯难道就不能表现得更和善友善一点时,凯文斩钉截铁地回答:“善良友善根本不在他的 DNA 里。”在乔布斯的眼里,“做个好人”纯粹就是干扰判断的“噪音”(Noise),根本无关紧要。凯文感叹,虽然乔布斯脾气古怪暴躁,但他就像音乐界能写出绝世爆款金曲的顶级制作人,艺术家哪怕再痛恨制作人的脾气,为了爆款作品也必须忍受。凯文表示,自己在乔布斯身上学到了终生受用的商业洞察,至今每当面临重大抉择时仍会问自己“史蒂夫会怎么做”。这种气场至今仍笼罩在苹果的会议室中,包括现任 CEO 蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在内,库克与乔布斯共事无数个小时,完全深谙这种专注纯粹、摒弃杂音的决策精髓。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 乔布斯极致决策与商务谈判闭环 accDescr: 展示凯文团队与乔布斯冲突到海蒂调解达成协议的完整决策机制 subgraph Conflict["冲突与交锋"] A["产品经理主张做市场调研"] --> B["乔布斯直接否决:<br/>'照我说的做!'"] B --> C["双方谈判破裂,团队遭驱逐"] C --> D["乔布斯卡在窗缝向楼下大吼"] end subgraph Mediation["中介与定局"] D --> E["海蒂·罗森出面调解回旋"] E --> F["达成协议:1200万美元成交"] end subgraph CorePhilosophy["管理哲学核心"] F --> G["摒弃'好人噪音'<br/>只专注缔造爆款产品"] end ``` ### [01:39:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=5948s) 幸福的定义:掌控时间,以及将失读症逆转为超能力 当被问及“乔布斯是否快乐,而你又是否快乐”时,凯文坦言,随着年龄增长,他发现自己越来越快乐,因为他终于找到了内心的舒适自洽之地。回顾三十多岁时,他经历了大量的精神创伤与动荡混乱,苦苦摸索自己究竟是谁。他曾饱受阅读障碍(失读症,Dyslexia)的困扰,但后来他彻底转变了观念,将其视为一种与众不同的“超能力”(Superpower),而非残缺缺陷。在人生的道路上,在真正找到属于自己的使命之前,旅途往往充满困惑,而一旦找准方向,崭新的人生旅程便随之展开。 凯文如今对幸福的衡量标准非常简单明了:审视自己的一整天,看看在剥离各种杂音后,到底有多少时间是在做自己真正想做的事。“我今天花的时间里,有没有哪怕一件事是我不想做的?答案是没有,因为我已经拥有了不被迫做事的自由。”即便花费两小时参加史蒂文的播客访谈,也是因为凯文在网上了解后由衷欣赏史蒂文,主动选择将时间投资于此。面对妻子的不解——“我们早就财富自由、不需要更多钱了,你为什么一年还要坐300个小时的飞机?为什么要这么拼?”凯文给出的回答依然是:“因为这让我快乐,我想做这些事。”他享受现代航空的便捷,有时甚至能在一天内辗转奔波5个城市,源源不断的新鲜机会与挑战让他欲罢不能。 - **失读症认知转变**:从早年的心理创伤,升华为商业与思维上的独特感知优势与“超能力”。 - **时间的自主权**:幸福的核心在于摆脱被动应付,100%自主分配时间,不把生命浪费在不情愿的事情上。 - **高频运转的动力**:一年飞行超过300小时、单日穿梭5座城市,驱动他的早已不是金钱增量,而是迎接挑战本身带来的愉悦。 ### [01:41:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6080s) 驱动还是拖拽:唯有强烈的内在驱动才能打破不可能 史蒂文分享了自身的成长经历:作为全白人社区中发型独特、家庭特殊的黑人孩子,强烈的自卑与不安全感反而成为他内心的驱动力,促使他拼尽全力去证明自己。他借此向凯文发问:“你究竟是被内在野心所‘驱动’(Driven),还是被某种力量‘拖拽’着前行(Dragged)?”凯文毫不犹豫地断言,成功的企业家字典里只有“驱动”,根本没有“被拖拽”这一说。凯文解释,“被拖拽”意味着你根本不在乎结果好坏,只是被动地被卷入成功的虚空旋涡——这种运气或许能让某个摇滚歌手碰巧红极一时,但绝对无法持久,唯有巨大的内在驱动力才能支撑长青的成就。 对凯文来说,世界上最令他兴奋的事,莫过于别人轻蔑地对他说:“你绝不可能做成那件事。”他举了自己创办手表保险公司的例子:当时外界所有人都在泼冷水,声称他绝不可能拿下全美各州极其复杂的合规牌照,绝不可能在中东落地,也绝不可能打入英国市场。面对外界的断言,凯文心中憋着一股狠劲,他物色顶尖团队、找准战略合伙人,硬生生把这件“不可能的事”做成了。他坚信,凭借自己毫无保留的热情与执行力,再过两三年,同行连他的车尾灯都看不见。 ### [01:42:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6161s) 给32岁创业者的忠告:社群信任是核心资产,不可出卖真实性 针对史蒂文刚满32岁的年纪,凯文倾囊相授了他认为在这个年龄段最需要明白的核心法则:一个公众人物或创业者真正的核心价值与核心品牌,是追随你的庞大受众与粉丝社群——这是一群自愿将最宝贵的时间托付给你的人。史蒂文如今跨越了非常广泛的圈层,既能影响身居高位的资深高管、顶级 CEO,也深受众多渴望汲取干货的年轻创业者的信赖,男女受众兼具。面对如此庞大的影响力,未来势必会有无数商业机会纷至沓来:做服装品牌、开汉堡连锁店,还是做商业咨询? 凯文给出的至关重要的警戒是:未来会有无数资本和品牌试图利用史蒂文打造的网络与公信力,甚至开出天价代言费,诱惑人去为各种产品背书。然而,防线一旦失守,“只要你的社群和受众哪怕有一次察觉到你失去了‘真实性’(Authenticity),你就彻底完蛋了。”凯文总结自己在商海中多次化险为夷的经验,秘诀就在于绝对的透明与坦诚,即便遭遇风波困境,也直截了当地告诉大众真相,这反而能让受众产生更深的情感纽带。凯文强调,自己代言、合作或投资的每一家企业与产品,都必须严格遵守一条铁律:“我自己必须是真实的使用者与股东。”就像他与妻子共同酿造的葡萄酒,自家餐桌上日常饮用,如果品质不达标自己绝不会碰,唯有守住真实性的底线,品牌才能历久弥新。 ### [01:45:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6328s) 拒绝不真实的诱惑:数百万美元代言背后的品牌底线 凯文·奥利里(Kevin O'Leary)对主持人史蒂文·巴特利特(Steven Bartlett)给予了极高的评价,称赞他是极其罕见的年轻创业者。凯文直言不讳地告诫道:“你所建立起的一切,无论是因为偶然还是某种神奇的化学反应,你现在已经拥有了它。保住它是你自己的责任,千万别搞砸了(Don't fuck it up)。” 史蒂文对此深表赞同,并坦诚分享了自己在节目招商与商业合作上的严苛底线。他在节目中所推荐的品牌,绝大多数都是他自己掏出真金白银投资过的项目(例如可穿戴健康追踪设备 Whoop)。他强调,自己的投资与在播客中探讨的话题之间有一条非常清晰的主线,完全映射着他当前所处的真实人生阶段。 史蒂文披露了一起鲜为人知的合作细节:此前曾有一家在他播客投放极多广告的长期赞助商,但随着他自身生活方式的改变,他不再使用该产品,甚至即将开始投资与该产品完全对立的领域。为了续约一年半,对方开出了 600 万英镑(约合 800 万美元,约合 700 万美元净收益)的巨额报酬。史蒂文坦言这笔钱对任何人来说都是巨款,但他依然选择果断拒绝。公众往往看不到这些幕后的推辞——包括某些外国政府曾出资 400 万美元邀请他去宣传国家形象,他也同样拒绝了。史蒂文认为,唯有抵制住这些诱惑,观众在长期收听节目后,才能真切体会到他所坚持的真实性(authenticity)。 凯文对此非常赞赏,并以过来人的身份告诫年轻人: - **及早关注健康长寿**:凯文建议年轻人应该在 30 岁出头就开始系统关注寿命管理(longevity),严格管理饮食、饮水、睡眠与运动,借助像 Whoop 这样的工具量化身体状态,甚至有望活到 120 岁。 - **保护品牌真实性**:绝大多数年轻人在面对 700 万美元的合同诱惑时都会动摇并接受,但这往往是灾难性错误的开始。一旦破例,观众与合作伙伴就再也无法确信你是否真的相信自己所代言的产品。 --- ### [01:47:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6457s) 幸福的本质与“直觉过滤网” 在播客标志性的收尾环节中,前一位嘉宾留下了一个不记名问题:“你认为幸福究竟从何而来?” ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 凯文·奥利里关于幸福与目标达成的逻辑 accDescr: 展示凯文·奥利里关于幸福是持续实现目标的旅程而非终点的观点逻辑。 subgraph Mindset["幸福的核心认知"] A["设定目标<br/>(区分信号与噪音)"] --> B["持续不断地达成目标"] B --> C["获得真实的幸福感"] A -.-> D["持续无法达成目标"] D -.-> E["陷入痛苦与不幸福"] end subgraph Trap["关于幸福的常见误区"] F["将幸福视为一个具体的'终点'<br/>(A Destination)"] --> G["陷入虚无与追逐陷阱"] end ``` 面对这个问题,凯文给出了极其干脆利落的回答:**“持续不断地达成你的目标(Consistently achieving your goals)。”** 凯文强调,幸福从来不是一个固定的终点(destination),而是一场旅程(journey): - 如果你学会过滤噪音、锁定核心信号,无论目标是长期的还是短期的,只要你能在旅途中持续实现它们,你就会感到幸福。 - 相反,如果总是无法达成自己设定的目标,人就会不可避免地陷入痛苦。把幸福当成终点是许多人常犯的致命错误。 史蒂文感叹,凯文在全场对谈中反复强调的“信号与噪音”以及“极致优先级排序”令他深受启发。尤其在面临海量商业机会时,如何决定把宝贵的每天 18 个小时分配给哪件事,常常让人陷入纠结。凯文打趣说史蒂文是个“住在 30 岁躯体里的 70 岁老头”,展现出了同龄人少有的阅历与智慧。凯文指出,筛选商业机会必须依赖一种“直觉检验(gut check)”: - 很多项目表面上看起来无比诱人,但如果直觉告诉你不对劲,就必须坚决放弃。这种直觉往往来自于长期在商场中经历成功与失败的残酷淬炼。 - 追求目标的过程中必然伴随牺牲,但决定去向的**永远不能是金钱**。核心问题始终应当是:“我真的想花时间去实现那个目标吗?” --- ### [01:50:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6603s) 坚守品牌航标与“500 万美元应急底仓” 凯文分享了自己几天前刚经历的类似遭遇:有人找上门来,提出只要凯文愿意为其站台背书,就支付一笔数额极其惊人的报酬。凯文冷静权衡后反问自己:“我真的愿意为这件事花上哪怕一个小时吗?”考虑到背后的叙事十分复杂且不符合自身原则,凯文当场拒绝。对方随后加码,提出额外赠送 2.5% 的公司股权,但凯文依然丝毫不为所动。 凯文一针见血地指出,这种交易本质上就是有害的“噪音”: - **长远品牌的毁灭风险**:一旦为了眼前的快钱接下一个不合时宜的项目,你的人格品牌就会被玷污(taint your brand)。未来真正顶级、未知的重大机遇可能因此永远不再敲响你的大门。 - **做自己品牌的掌舵人**:人必须成为自己品牌的舵手,在整个人生旅程中为自己定义清晰的航向。“如果未来你遭遇滑铁卢,那一定是因为你在某个地方做出了不明智的选择,但那绝对不该是因为贪图金钱。” ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 凯文·奥利里的 500 万美元底仓安全模型 accDescr: 展示凯文·奥利里通过 500 万美元国库券底仓建立绝对商业自由与说'不'的底气。 A["500 万美元现金储备"] --> B["全额配置美国短期国库券<br/>(T-bills)"] B --> C["永久封存作为家庭备用金<br/>(Nest Egg)"] C --> D["获得绝对拒绝权<br/>(对任何诱惑与金钱说'不')"] ``` 在对话的尾声,凯文透露了他敢于向任何利益说“不”的底层财务底气: - **安全底线**:银行账户里只要有 500 万美元的沉淀资金,你就已经拥有了在这个世界上随心所欲的自由,不需要再向任何人购买虚幻的保障。 - **500 万美元国库券法则**:凯文自己始终保留着一个专门的独立账户,里面趴着 500 万美元全部购买为美国短期国库券(T-bills)。这笔钱他永远不会去动用,这是他终身不可撼动的绝对“老本”(nest egg)。 在凯文对史蒂文真诚的告诫与鼓励中,全场访谈圆满落下帷幕。 ## Notable quotes > [01:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=100s) 这个世界其实只有两类人:一种是拥有店铺的人,另一种是趴在地上刮污垢的人。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [04:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=260s) 拿破仑曾被问及最喜欢什么样的将军,他的回答是:‘我最喜欢有运气的将军。’ — 凯文·奥利里 > [07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) 凯文,我他妈根本不在乎学生想要什么、家长怎么想,或者任何其他人怎么想!重要的是我要什么!在我告诉他们想要什么之前,他们根本不知道自己想要什么! — 史蒂夫·乔布斯 > [07:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=443s) 那就他妈的给我闭嘴,按我说的做! — 史蒂夫·乔布斯 > [16:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=996s) 凯文,你话太多了。你总是说三分之二,听三分之一,为什么不试着把这个比例倒过来? — 被投企业女性CEO > [24:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1497s) 好点子多如牛毛,一文不值。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [26:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1614s) 我不在乎你的性别、你怎么定义自己、来自哪里、肤色如何,哪怕你出生在外星球,我也完全不在乎。我只在乎你能不能拿到结果,能不能高效执行。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=1940s) 爸,它不是一家汽车公司,它是一家数据公司。如果你只把它看作车企,那你就是个蠢蛋。 — 特雷弗·奥利里 > [50:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3041s) 这不是什么绝顶天才,这只是极致的分散配置。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [53:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=3211s) 在任何30天或60天的周期内,支出绝对不能超过收入。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [01:08:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4122s) 婚姻本质上是一门生意。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [01:11:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4292s) 人生中做出的最重要的一笔财务决策,就是你选择与谁结婚。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [01:13:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=4389s) 导致离婚的首要原因绝非不忠,而是财务压力。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [01:42:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6161s) 只要你的社群和受众哪怕有一次察觉到你失去了‘真实性’,你就彻底完蛋了。 — 凯文·奥利里 > [01:47:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ&t=6457s) 持续不断地达成你的目标。 — 凯文·奥利里 ## Mentioned 凯文·奥利里 (Kevin O'Leary), 史蒂文·巴特利特 (Steven Bartlett), 史蒂夫·乔布斯 (Steve Jobs), 埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk), 杰夫·贝索斯 (Jeff Bezos), 海蒂·罗伊森 (Heidi Roizen), 蒂姆·库克 (Tim Cook), 史蒂夫·沃兹尼亚克 (Steve Wozniak), 比尔·盖茨 (Bill Gates), 安娜·斯卡亚 (Anna Skaya), 弗拉德·特内夫 (Vlad Tenev), 乔治特 (Georgette), 苹果 (Apple), 特斯拉 (Tesla), 英伟达 (Nvidia), AMD, 英特尔 (Intel), 博通 (Broadcom), 华为 (Huawei), 雀巢 (Nestlé), 辉瑞 (Pfizer), 宜家 (IKEA), 利乐 (Tetra Pak), 索尼 (Sony), Robinhood, Circle, Basepaws, GoodNotes, Justworks, Whoop, HelloPrenup, Beanstocks, WonderFi, Shark Tank (创智赢家), Dragons' Den (龙穴), The Oregon Trail (俄勒冈之旅), S&P 500 (标普500), USDC ## Video description @SharkTankGlobal 's @kevinoleary reveals the truth about wealth, business, investing, saving, marriage, Steve Jobs, Elon Musk and getting rich! Kevin O'leary from Shark Tank! He explains:  How to 10X your income without working harder.  The biggest lie about investing and what actually works.  The harsh truth about becoming rich.  The $28 habit that is keeping you poor.   The wealth rule that took Kevin from $100 to $100,000. 00:00 Intro 02:42 The Ice Cream Store That Changed My Life 05:10 Can Anyone Be an Entrepreneur? 07:23 What I Learned from Working with Steve Jobs 09:37 The Secret Recipe for Success from Elon Musk and Steve Jobs 13:35 The Importance of Having Balance in Your Life and Work 17:22 8 Out of 10 Businesses Will Fail 20:20 The Importance of Listening in Business 22:27 What Are the Attributes of Successful Entrepreneurs? 27:53 How to Grow a Business Aura 29:58 Hiring Women into Executive Roles 33:19 Successful Entrepreneurs from Shark Tank 36:10 No One Outcome Defines What You Are 37:47 Steve Jobs Changed My Life 42:13 The Second Most Important Step to Success 43:50 The Different Types of Leadership 47:01 How to Find Great People for Your Business 48:03 People with Balanced Lives and Diverse Interests Tend to Be More Successful 49:29 Your Personal Relationship with Money 52:08 The Power of Investing Long Term 56:07 Don’t Outspend What You Earn 57:05 Small Financial Mistakes People Make 59:48 Why Do You Wear Two Watches? 01:00:14 Invest in Dividend Stocks 01:01:57 Are You Bullish on Crypto? 01:04:32 Why You Shouldn’t Buy a House 01:09:35 How Much Your Relationship Impacts Your Finances 01:14:07 The Shocking Link Between Money and Divorce 01:16:55 The 5 Love Languages of Money 01:21:36 The Role of Artificial Intelligence in Your Finances 01:28:36 AI, Welfare and Wars 01:29:27 Is Apple Dying? 01:35:31 Was Steve Jobs Happy? 01:40:03 Are You Happy? 01:46:44 Turning Down Offers That Aren’t Authentic to You Follow Kevin: Instagram - https://bit.ly/4kdu3Ai X - https://bit.ly/44kRa61 YouTube - https://bit.ly/4kfyGK5 You can purchase Kevin’s book, ‘Cold Hard Truth: On Family, Kids and Money’, here: https://bit.ly/4lryWqA Get your hands on the Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards here: https://bit.ly/conversationcards-mp Get email updates: https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt Follow Steven: https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb Sponsors: Shopify - https://shopify.com/bartlett GoodNotes - http://goodnotes.com/DOAC Justworks - http://Justworks.com [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mpAZehPviLQ)

Source quotes

[1:40] 凯文·奥利里: 这个世界其实只有两类人:一种是拥有店铺的人,另一种是趴在地上刮污垢的人。 [4:20] 凯文·奥利里: 拿破仑曾被问及最喜欢什么样的将军,他的回答是:‘我最喜欢有运气的将军。’ [7:23] 史蒂夫·乔布斯: 凯文,我他妈根本不在乎学生想要什么、家长怎么想,或者任何其他人怎么想!重要的是我要什么!在我告诉他们想要什么之前,他们根本不知道自己想要什么! [7:23] 史蒂夫·乔布斯: 那就他妈的给我闭嘴,按我说的做! [16:36] 被投企业女性CEO: 凯文,你话太多了。你总是说三分之二,听三分之一,为什么不试着把这个比例倒过来? [24:57] 凯文·奥利里: 好点子多如牛毛,一文不值。 [26:54] 凯文·奥利里: 我不在乎你的性别、你怎么定义自己、来自哪里、肤色如何,哪怕你出生在外星球,我也完全不在乎。我只在乎你能不能拿到结果,能不能高效执行。 [32:20] 特雷弗·奥利里: 爸,它不是一家汽车公司,它是一家数据公司。如果你只把它看作车企,那你就是个蠢蛋。 [50:41] 凯文·奥利里: 这不是什么绝顶天才,这只是极致的分散配置。 [53:31] 凯文·奥利里: 在任何30天或60天的周期内,支出绝对不能超过收入。 [68:42] 凯文·奥利里: 婚姻本质上是一门生意。 [71:32] 凯文·奥利里: 人生中做出的最重要的一笔财务决策,就是你选择与谁结婚。 [73:09] 凯文·奥利里: 导致离婚的首要原因绝非不忠,而是财务压力。 [102:41] 凯文·奥利里: 只要你的社群和受众哪怕有一次察觉到你失去了‘真实性’,你就彻底完蛋了。 [107:37] 凯文·奥利里: 持续不断地达成你的目标。

Source quotes

[7:23] Kevin O'Leary: Steve, you sound like such an [__]. You have no idea what that sounds like. [7:23] Steve Jobs: No, no. That's how it is, Kevin. Now, are you making money with me?... Then [__] shut up and do what I say. [19:08] Kevin O'Leary: There is something going on in silence... He showed his hand. So, we saved ourselves two hours, you know. It's an attribute that many people can't do because they can't stand the social uncomfort of it. I have no problem with it. I can sit here and look at you for 10 minutes—it wouldn't matter to me. [26:11] Kevin O'Leary: If you get the first two right and you don't know your numbers, you deserve to burn in hell and I'll put you there myself... You should have brought somebody that understands the language of business because those three together are the definition of leadership right there. [34:21] Kevin O'Leary: Learn to live with the idea that you are going to fail. You are going to lose money by taking risk... Never put yourself in a situation where one bad outcome defines who you are. [41:14] Kevin O'Leary: The team you're building are not your friends. They are the team you're building to execute on a mandate. Your customers come first. [88:36] Steve Jobs: They don't know what they want until I tell them. [88:36] Steve Jobs: Show me where I'm wrong. [96:00] Heidi Roizen: Why is the sky blue? Just get back on the plane and go do it. [107:37] Kevin O'Leary: Happiness is not a destination, it's a journey. That's what it is... Consistently achieving those goals, you will be happy. [107:37] Kevin O'Leary: It's never about the money. Never... You're the captain of your brand. You have to define yourself right through the journey. Kevin O'Leary: Always have an account that just sits there with five million bucks in it in T-bills.

Original transcript

[0:00] That is the stupidest thing you can ever [0:02] do. [0:02] Well, what is the most important thing [0:03] for someone who's just trying to grow [0:04] their money? [0:05] So, I learned this from my mother and I [0:06] actually built a whole company around [0:08] it. Yeah, there she is. So, [0:15] I haven't seen that picture in a while. [0:23] Damn. I mean, what she did, the [0:25] performance was extraordinary. And with [0:27] that, did she put my brother and I [0:28] through college? She took care of our [0:30] family when they [0:31] fell on hard times. [0:33] When I saw the results, I said, "That's [0:35] it. That's how I'm going to invest for [0:37] the rest of my life." [0:38] So, talk me through this one as much [0:39] detail as possible. [0:40] Okay, let's start with this. Kevin [0:42] O'Leary, aka Mr. Wonderful, is the [0:45] self-made millionaire and investor who's [0:47] built and sold companies for billions. [0:49] There's a lot of people don't like me [0:51] for my bluntness. I don't care because [0:53] there's people that don't think ahead [0:54] and find themselves mired in debt, but [0:56] then pissing away money, spending $28 [0:58] for lunch. I mean, that's just stupid. [1:01] What about a house? The mistake that [1:03] people make is they buy too much house. [1:05] Never let the mortgage and the cost of [1:07] maintaining the house be more than 1/3 [1:10] of your income. And how much does the [1:12] person that you fall in love with have [1:13] an impact? [1:14] You're kidding? It's everything. And I [1:16] did some research and most marriages can [1:18] survive infidelity. They can't survive [1:20] financial stress. But, if everybody [1:22] that's listening does this one thing, [1:24] you will have over a million and a half [1:25] dollars. [1:27] Kevin, can anybody be an entrepreneur? [1:28] No, only a third of people can become [1:31] successful entrepreneurs because there's [1:33] a couple of things that you must achieve [1:35] to be successful. First, [1:40] Kevin, I'm going to ask you to do [1:41] something which is quite difficult [1:42] because I'd find it quite hard if [1:43] someone asked me to do this. But, before [1:45] we get into the detail, can you give me [1:48] a 30,000 ft view on your [1:52] entrepreneurship and investing career? [1:54] Just the just the three bullet points [1:56] that are most pertinent before we dig [1:57] into those [1:58] specifics. Every entrepreneur I've ever [2:00] talked to that finds himself where I am [2:03] today has has a defining moment where [2:05] they are [2:06] pushed into this path. It's It's [2:08] something they can remember and they [2:10] remember it in perpetuity. And I'll [2:11] remember my moment getting fired in an [2:14] ice cream store. [2:15] That simple. First day on the job, asked [2:18] to serve and scoop ice cream. [2:21] And um [2:22] I did that all day, but when people [2:24] sample ice cream, they get a taster and [2:27] they take their gum out and they throw [2:28] it on the floor. [2:29] Somebody's got to scrape the gum off the [2:30] floor at the end of the day. [2:32] I only took that job because I was very [2:34] interested in a girl who was working in [2:35] the shoe store and I figured [2:38] I could you know, hang out with her [2:40] afterwards. And I saw her waiting for me [2:43] and the [2:44] woman who owned the store said, "You've [2:45] got to scrape the gum off the floor." [2:47] And I didn't want her to see me on my [2:50] knees with a scraper. It'd be bad for my [2:52] brand. I was in high school. And uh [2:56] she said, "No, no, you have to do it." [2:57] And I said, "You know, you hired me as a [2:59] scooper, not a scraper." [3:00] She said, um [3:02] "How about you're fired?" [3:04] And I didn't even know what that meant [3:05] and it was the defining moment for me [3:07] because I realized there's two kinds of [3:09] people in the world. There's people [3:11] that own the store and there's people [3:13] that scrape the [ __ ] off the floor. And [3:15] you have to decide who you are and I'm [3:16] not saying being employed is a bad [3:18] thing, not at all. But for me, um it it [3:22] hit me. It just hit me. Kevin, there's a [3:24] present for you. We give a present to [3:26] all of our guests. Really? Underneath [3:28] that black Can I open it? [3:30] You can open it. [3:30] I just take this out? [3:32] Oh, look at that. [3:35] You've heard the story. [3:37] That is exactly how it looked, except it [3:39] was black gum. And that was exactly the [3:42] tile. It was just like that Mexican [3:43] tile. [3:44] That's really freaking me out. So, you [3:46] were asked to scrape gum off a Mexican [3:48] tile. [3:48] Yes, just like that. And in order to do [3:50] that, you got to get down on your knees [3:52] and do it. And um I just couldn't do it. [3:55] And I And I And [3:56] And then you know the rest of the story. [3:58] I eventually could afford to bulldoze [4:00] the whole mall if I wanted to. And we [4:01] went back to meet her and thank her for [4:04] her pushing me off the treadmill into [4:06] that direction. And she was gone and [4:09] there was a bodega there instead. You [4:11] said that that you realized that there's [4:13] kind of two people in life. There's the [4:15] entrepreneur, there's the person that [4:16] owns the ice cream parlor, and there's [4:18] the person that scrapes it off the [4:19] floor. [4:19] Yeah. [4:20] That provoked a question in me, which is [4:21] do you think anybody can own the ice [4:23] cream parlor? I do you think anybody can [4:25] be an entrepreneur? No. [4:27] I've [4:28] tried to teach it um [4:31] and I mentor it all the time to the CEOs [4:33] that I work with. [4:35] Uh there are some attributes of people [4:37] that can do this. A certain element of [4:39] risk tolerance, uh a certain element of [4:42] focus. [4:44] And then the other element which I've [4:46] really started to believe in of late is [4:48] karma. [4:49] Luck. [4:50] You need to be lucky. You need It's like [4:52] Napoleon was once asked, [4:55] "Who are your favorite generals?" And he [4:56] said, [4:57] "My favorite generals are lucky [4:59] generals, my lucky generals." And I'm [5:01] starting to think that in life um [5:04] particularly entrepreneurship, you look [5:06] at the difference to the path of success [5:08] and failure and I Nobody's exposed to it [5:10] more than I am in terms of how many [5:12] investments I made I've made over the [5:13] decades. [5:17] I think if you want a percentage, and [5:20] then I teach these cohorts in in at [5:21] Harvard, [5:23] I'm an executive fellow there. I'm very [5:24] proud of that work. [5:26] You get a class of 120 people in a room. [5:30] Two-thirds of them want to become [5:31] consultants. That's why they're there. [5:34] And lead [5:35] a life of mediocrity and never make a [5:37] decision of consequence in their lives. [5:39] And after 24 months, they are tainted [5:42] with that disease forever. They'll [5:43] always be good consultants, but they [5:45] will never achieve greatness in any way. [5:47] In life, only a third of people can [5:49] become successful entrepreneurs. That's [5:51] it. And the rest can be very successful [5:53] employees, and there's nothing wrong [5:54] with that. You can have a fantastic [5:56] life. [5:58] You won't be shackled to the you know, [6:00] the the ups and downs of [6:02] entrepreneurship, the challenge of it, [6:03] how hard it is. [6:05] But, you will never be free. [6:07] And that's the debate. That's it right [6:09] there. Do you want personal freedom? [6:10] It's the only path. That's it. It's the [6:13] only path. It is the only path. I mean, [6:15] you can't I I've always said it's not [6:17] about the pursuit of money. It's not [6:18] about the pursuit of greed. You will [6:19] fail if you do that. It's It's the [6:21] undying love freedom. [6:24] So, that 1/3 of people that you say will [6:26] be successful, they'll pursue their [6:28] their dreams, they'll build a business, [6:30] whatever it might be. [6:31] Yeah. [6:32] Do you think it's possible for us in [6:33] this conversation to increase the [6:35] probability of their success? You said [6:37] you don't think you can you can make [6:38] someone an entrepreneur. [6:40] But, is there things you can do to [6:41] increase their probability of success? [6:43] Yes, there are a couple of things that [6:45] you must achieve to be successful. And [6:48] let me explain what they would be. And [6:50] this is not some academic study. This is [6:52] real data from real situations of real [6:56] CEOs I've worked with and learned from, [6:58] because I used to work for guys like [6:59] Steve Jobs and others [7:01] in my career. [7:04] Let me um [7:06] Let me give you one that I think's very [7:07] important. We'll start with this one. I [7:09] used to work for Steve Jobs in the early [7:11] '90s making all of his educational [7:13] software. And it was just Yeah, there [7:15] they are. My goodness, you guys do good [7:17] research. Those are the kind of things [7:19] that we did for him. [7:21] You know, [7:22] yeah. [7:23] Yeah, all of that. It's hard to find. [7:25] Those are CD-ROMs. [7:27] But, you know, [7:28] in developing that software, [7:31] we used to go quarterly. Um Heidi Roizen [7:34] was there in the room. She's still a [7:36] very famous venture capitalist. [7:39] And [7:40] I would say, "Steve, you know, [7:43] we got to do some market research on [7:44] Oregon Trail. I mean, it's a huge title. [7:46] It's in 110,000 school buildings. We got [7:48] to do an update. It's going to cost you [7:50] 12, 15 million bucks. [7:52] We want to find out what the students [7:53] want. We want to find out what the [7:54] teachers want. We want to find out what [7:55] the parents want. Steve would say, by [7:58] the way, [8:00] not a nice guy. [8:01] Not a nice guy. [8:04] He would say to a room full of people, [8:06] "Kevin, I don't give a [ __ ] what the [8:08] students want or the parents think or [8:10] anybody thinks. It's what I want. They [8:13] don't know what they want till I tell [8:15] them what they want." [8:17] And I said, "Steve, you sound like such [8:19] an [ __ ] You have no idea what that [8:22] sounds like." He says, "No, no. [8:24] That's how it is, Kevin. Now, are you [8:26] making money with me? Are we Are you Am [8:28] I your fastest growing OEM? [8:31] Have we not been wildly successful and [8:32] continue to be?" [8:34] I said, "Yes, Steve, that's true." He [8:35] said, "Then [ __ ] shut up and do what [8:37] I say." That's how he would talk to you? [8:40] 100% [8:42] and [8:44] here's what I learned. [8:46] Look how wildly successful he was. [8:50] But, here's why. [8:53] There's a concept that he understood [8:55] that very few people focused on back [8:57] then in the early '90s of [8:58] signal-to-noise ratio. [9:02] What was so brilliant about Jobs [9:06] that I tell every CEO now, and I don't [9:08] care if you're an S&P 500 CEO or you're [9:09] just starting a business. [9:11] His vision of signal was the top three [9:15] to five things you have to get done in [9:16] the next 18 hours. Not your vision for [9:19] the business next week or next month or [9:21] next year. Just the next 18 hours you're [9:24] awake. [9:26] You're going to get those three things [9:28] or those five things done that you have [9:29] deemed critical for your mission. They [9:32] must get done today. [9:34] Anything that stops you from doing that [9:36] is the noise. [9:38] So, the signal-to-noise ratio to be [9:40] successful for Steve Jobs [9:42] was 80/20. 80 signal, 20 noise. [9:47] And I knew that to be true with him [9:48] because he would email me at 2:30 in the [9:50] morning, expect me to get back to him [9:51] because back then we didn't have texts. [9:53] It was all email. [9:56] He was right. He was right. [9:58] And the only other person that I've seen [10:00] that has a higher ratio than that [10:03] is Elon Musk. He has no noise. [10:06] He does not deal with noise. He is 100% [10:08] signal 24 seconds of, you know, every [10:11] cycle. I mean, the guy is just 60 [10:13] seconds of every minute, 60 minutes of [10:15] every hour, [10:17] the 18 hours he's awake, it's all [10:19] signal. [10:20] And look what he's achieved. Now, that's [10:21] very awkward for him socially [10:24] because [10:25] noise is dealing with your family [10:27] sometimes, or noise is saying hi to a [10:28] friend, or noise is is is listening to [10:31] some doom scrolling on, you know, some [10:34] social media app that just takes your [10:36] mind, or maybe playing your guitar. But, [10:38] very few people on Earth, and if you go [10:40] back in history, you're going to find [10:42] out that the geniuses of their time [10:44] were close to 100% signal. [10:46] And so, I can really sort of summarize [10:48] this for my audience. Signal is the most [10:51] urgent thing you should be focused on [10:52] right now, and noise is basically [10:54] everything else. [10:54] No, the goals you set for that the the [10:56] way the that you were awake. If you're [10:58] going to be awake 18 hours, Yeah. [11:00] and you've determined that there's three [11:01] things you have to get done, [11:03] you're going to get those done. No [11:04] matter what it takes, you're going to [11:06] get those done. And you're not going to [11:07] let anything distract you from the three [11:09] to five things. [11:10] If you're a CEO, and you achieve that, [11:13] and you can get those done with 80% of [11:15] your time based on that, [11:17] you're extraordinarily successful. You [11:19] are absolutely And you're Steve Jobs, or [11:21] you're an Elon Musk, or you're somebody [11:24] If you If you even talk to Bezos, I [11:27] don't know him personally, but I've [11:28] heard in many interviews, like I knew I [11:30] I know, I've I've met Elon just a few [11:32] times. I spent a lot of time with Jobs. [11:34] But they say the same thing. [11:37] Bezos will not make a decision after [11:40] 1:00 in the afternoon because he felt [11:42] that the noise was too high. [11:44] The signal for him was in the morning [11:45] hours. If this is a crucial aspect of [11:49] success that that I now understand to be [11:52] the ability of [11:54] defines [11:56] an entrepreneur. A man or woman that [11:58] understands the signal noise ratio that [12:00] focuses on that [12:02] they'll be successful. [12:04] The ones that can't that get down to a [12:05] 50/50 signal noise, they'll fail. It's [12:07] that simple. [12:09] And it's a very simple concept. [12:12] You know [12:13] you made one of your things today this [12:15] interview. You're going to get it done. [12:16] You're going to all these people around [12:18] and everything else. This is one of the [12:19] three to five things you're going to get [12:21] done. I have five things today. I'm [12:22] going to get them done. I'll do the same [12:23] thing tomorrow. And the day after that. [12:26] And you have to decide how much signal [12:30] you need to get those three to five [12:32] things done. [12:34] And for Jobs it was 80%. [12:36] What's the opposite of that? Sometimes [12:38] looking at the opposite helps us to [12:40] understand something. So the opposite of [12:42] having Well, I hire managers and CEOs [12:44] that have a balance in life between the [12:46] discipline the binary aspect of business [12:48] which is I make money I lose money. [12:51] And the chaos of the arts or some other [12:53] pursuit dance, painting, photography [12:56] collecting crystals, whatever it is that [12:58] that they that they have that balance [13:01] you you need you need the yin and yang [13:03] in your mind to make correct decisions. [13:05] It doesn't mean it takes you off the [13:07] signal. The signal is you got to get [13:09] stuff done. But how do you live your [13:11] life? And so I spend a fair amount of my [13:13] time practicing my guitar or working [13:16] with my photography or my my watch you [13:19] know I [13:20] tonight very late tonight I will meet a [13:22] master watchmaker and we will deal with [13:25] the design of a new piece unique is [13:26] going to make for me and I'm going to [13:28] love that moment. That's going to be [13:29] something completely different to what I [13:30] did all day long and we'll start our [13:32] journey together over the next 2 years [13:33] to make this piece unique. And [13:36] that's something that just takes me away [13:38] from all the [ __ ] I'm going to be [13:39] dealing with today. And I also tell [13:41] successful entrepreneurs [13:43] in the same day you'll get a and I this [13:46] happened to me today. It happens every [13:48] day. [13:49] You're going to get a call from some [13:50] aspect of of your [13:52] what you do you call it your empire [13:53] whatever you want where your this [13:55] company's going bankrupt. It's just [13:56] going to go bankrupt and you're going to [13:58] lose [13:59] I don't know 10 million bucks on that [14:01] deal. [14:03] And that's a piece of information you're [14:04] dealing with. [14:06] Half an hour later [14:08] this actually happened to me today. [14:11] One of my company's going public. [14:13] It's a 450X for me. [14:16] The stock will get unlocked sometime in [14:19] the fall but [14:22] how can how do you [14:24] how do you fit that together? [14:26] Utter catastrophe, destruction, woe, [14:28] loss [14:30] utter euphoria [14:32] half an hour later. [14:34] That's [14:36] that's what my life is like. That's [14:37] entrepreneurship. Obviously on a [14:39] different scale for most founders. [14:41] Well, the founders deal with the same [14:42] thing. They get disastrous news. They [14:44] lose a an account like a Costco or [14:46] something if it's consumer goods or [14:47] service and they get something else. [14:49] The the the ebb and flow is is the [14:52] management of expectations and your [14:54] ability emotionally to navigate those [14:57] ups and downs is part of what [14:59] entrepreneurship is but it goes back to [15:02] the signal. [15:03] It can't take you off the signal. This [15:05] is what Steve taught me. [15:07] Yes, it's great news. Yes, it's bad news [15:09] but focus on the signal O'Leary. Focus [15:13] on the signal. [15:14] That's it. Where does this analogy come [15:16] from of signal and noise? It was his [15:19] genius of a of of making it so simple. [15:21] What are the three things you got to get [15:23] done today? What are they? What are [15:25] they? How do you know what they are? [15:28] They will make themselves apparent. They [15:29] will definitely make themselves [15:30] apparent. [15:32] They will make themselves apparent and [15:34] you will realize I have to deal with [15:36] that. You may have them set up from the [15:37] day before. I actually still use sticky [15:39] notes on my mirror. [15:41] Got to get these three things done. [15:43] And or five thing or whatever it is, but [15:44] then something else will hit. [15:46] That's the skill of understanding. Is [15:48] that noise hitting me or is that signal? [15:51] There is the essence of the great [15:54] entrepreneur, the great manager, the [15:56] great leader. [15:58] Is that signal or is that noise? What is [16:00] it? [16:01] That's what you're looking for. You're [16:02] hiring somebody that can actually [16:04] distinguish signal and noise. [16:06] Because it could be noise. It could be [16:08] irrelevant. [16:10] You have to determine only you makes [16:12] that decision. [16:14] That's the key right there. This is what [16:16] I teach [16:19] entrepreneurs and engineers and [16:22] This is the most important thing. It's [16:24] not judgement of prioritization but then [16:26] the sort of force of execution to get it [16:28] done. [16:29] Can you interpret signal and noise? [16:31] And can you keep the noise away from [16:34] from the things you got to get done? [16:36] That's one. The other which is something [16:39] that I've learned over the last five [16:40] years. [16:42] And this you might find this interesting [16:44] but most of my particularly the nascent [16:47] startups and you're you're involved in [16:48] the same format I am. You're Dragon's [16:50] Den in England. I'm Shark Tank in the [16:52] US. [16:54] I you know, you put up 500,000 or a [16:56] million bucks into somebody's business. [16:58] Eight eight out of 10 are going to fail, [17:00] maybe six out of 10 depend you just [17:01] don't know. [17:03] And [17:04] I love it when people tell me, oh, I I [17:07] know [17:08] when I make an investment it's going to [17:09] work. [17:12] They are so full of [ __ ] They They have [17:14] I'm talking about startups. They have no [17:17] idea what's going to work and you won't [17:19] know for 5 to 7 years, which is why you [17:21] need diversification in the portfolio, [17:23] but [17:25] I would go as far to say now, [17:27] you know, when I meet um [17:30] venture capital firms and young analysts [17:32] that work there and they think they're [17:33] so damn smart, they've never operated a [17:35] business. They don't know nothing. They [17:37] have no idea what they're doing. They're [17:39] going to hope that one or two of their [17:40] portfolio is going to work out in 7 [17:43] years and pay for all the other [17:44] mistakes. [17:45] But the serendipitous nature of success [17:47] in entrepreneurship is brutal. It is. [17:51] So that does that mean though that it's [17:53] I guess I was going to say does that not [17:54] mean that it's highly luck? If [17:56] investing's highly luck, [17:57] entrepreneurship must be. Well, I said [17:59] karma, you know, I call it karma, but [18:01] you need execution skills, but here's [18:03] another skill that I think we should [18:05] talk about. Um [18:08] when you look at at least my experience [18:11] over decades of making these [18:14] uh [18:15] nascent these early stage investments, [18:17] these A round investments, [18:19] remarkably, and I've done them in all 11 [18:21] sectors of the of the economy, the [18:23] majority of the successes 5 to 7 years [18:25] later are companies run by women. [18:27] Why is that? Why is that? [18:31] And so [18:33] they don't know each other, they're in [18:34] different sectors, they never meet each [18:36] other. Why is that? And I have come to [18:39] the conclusion [18:40] um [18:41] two things. They set goals that they can [18:44] achieve so that in the early stage of [18:45] their businesses, [18:47] they put growth rate targets like 15, [18:49] 16% versus men at 30% very often. Men [18:52] hit their target 65% of the time at [18:54] least in my portfolio and and women 90 [18:56] [ __ ] plus per time percent of the [18:58] time. And that keeps the [19:00] the team very sticky. They want to be [19:01] part of a so they don't have a lot of [19:03] attrition when they're small. They don't [19:04] lose the head of finance, head of [19:06] marketing. That that works. But they [19:08] have another attribute and this was [19:09] pointed out to me by one of my female [19:11] CEOs a few years ago to me. She said, [19:13] "You know, Kevin, you talk too much. [19:15] You talk too much. Um [19:17] you talk 2/3, you listen 1/3. Why don't [19:19] you try reversing the ratio?" She said [19:21] that to you? [19:22] Yeah. Yeah. [19:27] I'm very thankful, actually, cuz I tried [19:29] it. [19:30] And um she's right. If you don't talk [19:33] and you listen, you become far more [19:35] effective as a manager or an investor in [19:37] my case [19:38] by getting information that [19:40] you weren't going to get by talking. And [19:41] so, if you go into a room [19:44] I just did this a few minutes ago before [19:46] I came here. I'm involved in a [19:47] litigation. [19:48] And we decided to attempt settlement [19:50] talks. [19:52] Which is why I was a few minutes late. [19:54] And um [19:56] you know, we knew we were going in there [19:58] to settle. [19:59] And it it's long protruded, you know, a [20:02] long It's a long long long [20:05] uh [20:05] litigation. [20:08] And I remembered her as we sat at the [20:10] table like this. There were other people [20:11] in the room, but [20:12] the two uh [20:14] you know, [20:15] we were across from each other. [20:17] I just looked at him. I didn't say [20:19] anything. [20:21] For a long time. [20:23] A long time. [20:25] And [20:26] it gets uncomfortable and no one else is [20:28] talking. [20:31] You know, just looking. [20:33] And um [20:37] maybe after 90 seconds, he blurted out [20:39] something he shouldn't have said. [20:43] And I knew exactly what the price was. [20:45] Right there. [20:47] That was the end of it. [20:50] You learn that as a podcaster. [20:52] You learn that there's actually [20:53] something going on in the silence. There [20:55] is something going on in silence and [20:56] it's it's [20:58] it's the number that he was going to [20:59] settle at. [21:01] He showed his hand. So, we saved [21:02] ourselves 2 hours, you know. [21:04] It's a It's an attribute that many [21:05] people can't do cuz they can't stand the [21:07] social uncomfort of it. I have no [21:09] problem with it. I can sit here and look [21:10] at you for 10 minutes. It wouldn't [21:12] matter to me. [21:13] And I've actually found it to be a very [21:15] useful piece of information. It's not [21:16] just in negotiating, but to listen to [21:18] employees, listen to investors, listen [21:20] to financiers, listen to alternate ideas [21:23] to yours, [21:25] and become more powerful from it. [21:28] You're in the very business of people [21:29] selling to you and pitching to you. We [21:30] both sit on a similar show and my people [21:33] come in and pitch to us. You're seeing [21:35] at times 10 to 12 a day. So, you've [21:38] developed this muscle over the last [21:40] couple of decades now. [21:42] Almost this instinctive spidey sense of [21:44] when an entrepreneur [21:46] will be successful, at least in the [21:47] context of securing investment. What [21:50] have you come to learn about the the [21:51] attributes of the ones that are [21:53] successful? Is there is there anything [21:54] one can take from that? [21:56] In the moment when that entrepreneur [21:58] comes out on the carpet in the context [22:00] of Shark Tank or Dragon's Den even, [22:03] they need the set up shot of the product [22:05] with the entrepreneur and they have a in [22:06] our case a steady cam or a a jib that [22:09] comes down and shoots it. So, the the [22:11] stage director [22:13] Eric uh is his name. I've worked with [22:15] him for years. [22:17] Says to the [22:18] entrepreneurs I've never met, usually [22:20] it's a team or it's a family or it's [22:22] whatever, three or four, two people, [22:23] whatever. [22:24] Hold. Hold. [22:27] Hold. [22:28] Don't speak. Hold. Hold. [22:31] Don't mind the camera coming into your [22:32] face. Hold. Hold. [22:36] Maybe for [22:37] 2 minutes. [22:39] And I'm right there in front of them. [22:40] I'm 12 ft from them and I just look at [22:42] them. [22:43] Not smiling, not blinking, not frowning, [22:46] just looking at them. [22:48] And before they say a single word, I [22:50] know if they're winners or losers. [22:52] Just like that. [22:54] And why is that? Why is that? [22:59] When [23:00] and I'm right probably 99% of the time. [23:03] Maybe I get it wrong one out of 100. I [23:06] doubt it though. [23:08] You walk in a room, even though you've [23:10] practiced, you know, you're in the [23:13] context of of Shark Tank, 20 plus [23:15] cameras, [23:17] a billion plus dollars in in the five [23:19] chairs there. You've been practicing for [23:22] months your pitch, but it wasn't the [23:24] real deal. [23:26] Here you are. Cameras are rolling, tape [23:28] is running. [23:29] You know you've only got so many [23:31] minutes. [23:34] This is your moment. And you're on [23:36] national television, 100 plus million [23:38] people will see you in syndication. It's [23:39] all in your mind. It's all in your mind. [23:42] It's going through your head. [23:46] Can you project [23:48] who you are with your eyes and the way [23:50] you're standing? Can you project your [23:52] confidence? [23:53] Are you looking at the ground? Are you [23:55] looking away from me cuz you can't stand [23:57] me looking at you directly without [23:59] saying anything to you? [24:01] Or do you push back? Or do you say I'm [24:03] going to I'm going to stake my aura. I'm [24:05] going to stake my ground here. I'm going [24:08] to show you I'm ready. [24:10] See what I'm getting at? [24:11] Yeah. [24:12] And I can feel it. I can see that [24:15] they're ready to do battle. They're [24:16] ready to answer. They're ready to [24:17] present. They're ready, ready, ready, [24:19] ready, or they're not. And [24:22] I've taken that out of the Shark Tank. I [24:24] see that every day in life. I see it. [24:26] So, you have to learn how to project [24:29] yourself in front of your peers or who's [24:32] who you want to you want to lead or [24:35] teach or if you're a general or a [24:37] preacher, [24:39] that is maybe [24:42] an innate [24:43] something you're born with or maybe you [24:45] can learn that. I don't know. I don't [24:46] care. But if you don't have it, you're [24:49] going to fail. And you're just that's [24:52] before a word is spoken. [24:54] It'll before the first word is spoken. [24:57] And so, then what has to happen? [25:01] Then Eric says, "Go. [25:03] You're on." [25:05] And everybody's just sitting there [25:06] looking at you. [25:08] Can you articulate your idea in 90 [25:11] seconds or less? Can you, whatever props [25:14] you have or whatever you're going to [25:15] say, can I get the big idea right away? [25:21] The ones that had that aura generally [25:23] get there. 30 seconds later, I get it. [25:26] I get what they're here for. I [25:27] understand their product. Okay, that's [25:29] good. Unfortunately, great ideas are [25:31] dime a dozen. [25:33] I mean, there's millions of them. [25:35] The next phase begins. This is after 90 [25:38] seconds. Can you explain why you're the [25:41] right person [25:43] to execute on this idea and create a [25:45] business from it because you know [25:48] something about this space. You worked [25:49] for a competitor. You've tried three [25:51] times before and failed. You figured out [25:52] what you did wrong. What is it about you [25:54] or your team that can take this [25:58] idea and make it happen? [26:01] Now, we get those two things together, [26:03] you can feel the aura of the room. [26:06] The isotope is sizzling because you've [26:08] de-risked a great idea. You got an [26:09] operator in it and they But then the [26:11] third thing, this is the killer. This is [26:13] the killer. [26:15] I've seen it so many times in real life [26:17] and Shark Tank's real life it is, but [26:21] you got to know your numbers. [26:23] How big is the market? How fast is it [26:24] growing? What's the gross margin? I've [26:25] said this a million times to people. I [26:26] teach this every day. [26:28] How many competitors are there? When are [26:30] you going to break even? What month? [26:32] If you get the first two right and you [26:33] don't know your numbers, you deserve to [26:34] burn in hell and I'll put you there [26:36] myself. [26:37] I mean, you wasted an opportunity for an [26:38] entrepreneur that did know their numbers [26:40] that could have been in that spot that I [26:41] could have invested in. You don't know [26:42] your numbers. [26:44] I'd take you out behind the barn and [26:45] shoot you. You should have brought [26:46] somebody [26:48] that understands the language of [26:50] business because those three together [26:51] are the definition of leadership right [26:53] there. [26:54] I've never heard someone talk about aura [26:56] in entrepreneurship quite like that. And [26:59] I was I was just trying to [27:01] for the people listening that [27:02] are either trying to figure out if they [27:03] have an aura or to grow that aura, what [27:06] does it what does it look and feel like? [27:08] Is it physically? Is it shoulders back? [27:10] Is it You said it's eye contact. [27:13] Or is it indescribable? And do you think [27:15] you could take someone who doesn't have [27:17] that aura [27:18] in business and [27:20] teach them it? Does business give you [27:22] that aura? [27:24] I think you can teach it. I certainly [27:26] try and teach it to my children. Um [27:28] I try and teach it to my students. [27:33] And the best way to do it is to look at [27:36] yourself in the mirror sometime. You [27:38] know, just [27:39] what do you look like to yourself? [27:42] You know, if you're going to go make a [27:43] presentation to take down a [27:44] million-dollar line of credit or [27:46] something, you want to dress the part, [27:48] obviously. [27:50] But you're going to walk in a room with, [27:51] you know, a loan officer and maybe an [27:52] assistant, maybe one other, depending on [27:54] the size of the deal. [27:56] And they all never met you, probably. [27:58] And you're going to have to project [28:00] yourself in those seconds as you're [28:01] walking up to shake their hands. [28:04] What does that take? It takes an aura of [28:06] confidence, and it's in the eyes, it's [28:08] in the way you're you're standing, it's [28:10] in how the way you're dressed. It's It's [28:12] not a joke to be dressed for success. [28:15] You know, it's it's um [28:17] it's [28:19] but it's it's something about presenting [28:22] yourself [28:23] and [28:24] keeping your eyes focused on who's [28:26] talking to you, so that they know that [28:29] you're absorbing the information, that [28:30] you respect the information, that you're [28:33] about to get into a narrative with them [28:34] of respect, even though there may be [28:36] disagreements. All of this is happening [28:39] in the first 60 seconds, and it's [28:42] setting up for the rest of [28:44] your life with that person. It could be [28:47] who you're going to marry, it could be [28:48] who you're going to work with, it could [28:49] be your partner in business, it could be [28:50] your banker, it could be anybody. It [28:52] could be a soldier that's going to give [28:53] up their life for you. It's sort of [28:57] Who are you? [28:58] That's it. Just closing off on the point [29:00] you made about women being your most [29:01] successful investments and the companies [29:03] that have given you the greatest returns [29:05] tend to be led by women. Does that mean [29:07] that you focus on hiring women into [29:10] executive roles? Yeah, I'm practically [29:12] all women, um particularly Asian women. [29:15] I am a uh you know, this whole thing [29:18] about [29:19] DEI and all this stuff, I've always had [29:21] diversity because I only hire on merit. [29:24] I don't care [29:25] if what sex you are or what you call [29:27] yourself or what where you came from or [29:30] the color of your skin or what planet [29:31] you were born on. I couldn't give a [29:33] [ __ ] Can you execute? [29:37] And the way I hire people, and that's [29:38] why I have such a diverse staff in my [29:40] operating company, [29:42] I don't hire you. I say, "Look, you [29:44] sound good and [29:46] you look great on paper, [29:48] but that doesn't mean anything if you [29:50] can't work within the team. So, [29:52] I know you want a job and you want [29:54] benefits and all that stuff, but I'm not [29:56] going to do that. If you want to be part [29:57] of my universe, you're going to work for [29:59] 4 to 6 months as a contractor at a much [30:02] higher salary [30:04] cuz you're not going to get any stock [30:05] options, you're not going to get any [30:07] benefits, [30:08] but I just want to see what it's like [30:10] for you to work with all of the people [30:12] that we deal with every day, all the [30:14] lawyers, all the bankers, all of the [30:17] you know, [30:18] the CEOs that we have investments in and [30:20] and your co-workers because I don't [30:23] do 9:00 to 5:00 anymore. I do [30:25] project-based work. I don't care where [30:27] you live. We have people working in [30:28] Dubai, Abu Dhabi, [30:30] uh [30:31] England. I mean, everywhere, everywhere. [30:33] And and you know, we meet we try and [30:35] find an hour every week where we can see [30:37] each other, but we're just constantly [30:39] communicating using modern-day tools [30:41] today. [30:42] But, [30:45] you know, [30:46] can you actually be given a mandate [30:50] and execute on it? [30:51] That's it. I don't care when you do it. [30:53] If you have to get the financials out, [30:54] let's say you're running in finance, you [30:55] got to get them out the 15th for taxes. [30:58] I don't care when you do it, but if you [31:00] miss the 15th, I care. [31:02] So, I I need to find out if those people [31:04] can fit into that kind of an [31:05] environment. Some of them make it, some [31:06] of them don't. Some sometimes we know [31:08] right away after 90 days, you know, [31:10] let's hire him, bring him in the team, [31:11] and you know, let's give him the whole [31:12] package. And sometimes after a month we [31:14] say, "No, it's not going to work." [31:16] Here's like, you know, that's it. I [31:18] think I think more companies should do [31:19] that, actually. It's more like the Swiss [31:22] apprentice system. They bring you into a [31:24] lot like it, you know, my stepfather's [31:26] Swiss. I've been going to Switzerland [31:27] for 50 years. So, if you're a giant [31:29] company, like a Pfizer or a Nestle, you [31:31] pull them out of high school at 14. [31:34] You give them a job in the afternoon. [31:36] They become an apprentice. They want to [31:38] learn. They want to work. They want to [31:39] understand what it's like. And then you [31:41] find the the winners at while they're [31:44] still in high school. Then you give them [31:45] summer jobs, and then you bring them [31:47] into the company. [31:48] That's where I got the idea from. The [31:50] Swiss are genius that way. Cuz you're [31:52] sort of mitigating the risk, I guess. [31:54] You're taking less of a a risk on this. [31:55] No, but you're also finding out if their [31:57] their DNA is going to fit with your [32:00] I mean, I want my team to make a ton of [32:02] money. I I just I want them to be [32:04] successful. [32:05] I want every person to be proud to work [32:07] with the other and and just [32:10] we're almost invincible. We're so damn [32:11] good at what we do. You have the same [32:13] thing here. You you don't have people [32:14] that don't work for you well, you get [32:16] rid of them. You whack them. I'm more [32:18] just formal about it. Boom, you're gone. [32:20] With with the investments that you've [32:22] made, how many investments, how many [32:23] offers have you done on Shark Tank now? [32:24] Probably like Oh, I just We don't even [32:26] count it anymore. We look at the [32:27] portfolio rolling over 5 to 7-year [32:30] period. [32:31] A lot. Yeah, like a lot. And And the [32:34] thing is the thing what I've learned is [32:37] you get a you get an exit like uh [32:39] Basepaws from 5 years ago or something [32:42] Anaya from remarkable woman. That was [32:45] the the cat DNA Cat DNA thing. I mean, [32:47] nobody saw that coming. I thought the [32:49] thing was a joke. [32:50] Um I was so wrong. I mean, that's the [32:52] whole point and and she she had the [32:55] highest IRR in in I think in the whole [32:57] format's history. Nobody's made her she [32:59] was around for 36 months. [33:01] And taken out at such an extreme number [33:02] in all cash that there was an NDA signed [33:05] between Sony and the the pharmaceutical [33:07] company. I can't even tell you what it [33:08] was. It was extraordinary. It was an [33:11] extraordinary Was it nine figures? [33:14] Believe me, it's a [33:16] tough NDA because and I understand why [33:18] they did it. [33:20] They didn't buy it for the cat DNA [33:23] testing. They bought it for the data. [33:25] Mhm. [33:27] With AI didn't really wasn't emerging [33:30] then. It would existed, but it wasn't [33:32] With the data they have now [33:34] they can develop products for animals [33:37] that are extraordinary in terms of feeds [33:39] and medicines. Yeah. And nobody had that [33:42] much data on the 110 million cats in [33:45] America because she got it all during [33:46] the pandemic. Thousands and thousands [33:49] and thousands of of you know [33:52] It was it was never about it was it was [33:55] a data company. It's like my son telling [33:57] me when he got his internship at Tesla. [33:59] Hey Dad, it's not a car company. It's a [34:01] data company. Mhm. [34:03] Buy the stock. I said never mind the [34:04] stock. It's too joke. It's so expensive. [34:06] He said, "You're an idiot. It's not a [34:07] car company." So I bought the stock. And [34:10] he was right. [34:11] It became my most successful investment. [34:12] I I had to keep selling it down to 5%. [34:15] Uh my cost base is zero on Tesla now. [34:17] [ __ ] you. Yeah, but before it split and [34:19] he worked there for 5 years. [34:21] One of the personas that I have that [34:23] watches this show a lot are young people [34:25] not always young, but that are [34:28] on the sofa thinking about being an [34:30] entrepreneur and they talk about it a [34:31] lot. You know, they they come up to me [34:33] in the street 2/3 [34:34] will never do it. 2/3 will never do it. [34:36] You you might as well do it when you [34:38] have less burdensome risk like a [34:41] mortgage and a family. You might as well [34:42] do it in your 20s. [34:43] You're going to fail the first time, [34:45] maybe the second, maybe the third. You [34:46] only need one success. [34:49] You know, I had plenty of failures and I [34:50] I still have failures. I mean, it's [34:52] just, you know, that what I I talked [34:54] about this morning. It's, you know, when [34:55] I [34:56] I I, you know, I I tell I said to the [34:58] largest shareholders as as as as in the [35:00] car and your assistant was, you know, [35:01] looking at me in the limo. I was telling [35:03] the other two shareholders, "Listen, [35:04] guys, [35:06] it's it's a binary decision. As soon as [35:08] I get out of this interview, we're going [35:09] to make a decision. [35:11] This company's going bankrupt. Oh, on [35:13] the bankrupt company. [35:14] Yeah, that yeah. And so, if we want to [35:16] save it, everybody's going to have to [35:17] pony up X million. [35:19] And um [35:21] we're going to own the whole thing. [35:22] We're just going to own it all. We're [35:24] going to We're just going to do a [35:25] cram-down round at a fraction of a cent. [35:27] We're going to own the whole thing. You [35:27] want to do that or you want to let it go [35:29] bankrupt? You guys choose. I'm 1/3 of [35:31] it, so it's going to have to be, you [35:33] know, [35:35] two against one. And I'll do whatever [35:36] they want because that's how I am. But [35:38] it's, you know, you want to get yourself [35:40] in a position in life that I think most [35:42] CEOs understand this. [35:45] You are going to have bad outcomes. [35:47] They're going to be bad outcomes. [35:49] But never put yourself in a situation [35:51] where one bad outcome defines who you [35:53] are. [35:54] I mean, [35:56] for those shareholders, they're going to [35:57] be unhappy. [35:59] But then I got the call on the IPO. [36:02] Those shareholders may be very happy. [36:03] They're going to make 400 400X. So, it [36:06] and that was one of my deals. And so, [36:07] it's sort of like [36:11] learn to live with the idea that [36:15] you are going to fail. You are going to [36:17] lose money by taking risk. [36:21] Will it change relationships [36:23] permanently? Maybe. But if there if [36:25] you're respected and you're honest and [36:27] you're transparent, [36:29] probably not. [36:31] I think there's a lot of people don't [36:32] like me for my bluntness. I don't care. [36:35] I think a lot of people respect me for [36:37] my bluntness. They may not like me. [36:39] And you know, it's sort of um [36:42] it doesn't matter because the only [36:44] people that really matter to me are [36:45] probably my 20 is closest friends and my [36:47] family. Do you think if you hadn't [36:49] worked with the known Steve Jobs, you [36:50] would be a different person? [36:52] 100%. Steve changed my life. There's no [36:55] question. [36:57] I didn't like him. [36:58] But [37:01] I feel so bad that he he didn't have to [37:03] die that way. [37:05] He just wouldn't go with the modern [37:06] medicine at the time. That's my view. [37:09] But he was a freaking genius. [37:13] He was so smart in terms of [37:17] keeping on track to get getting stuff [37:19] done and look what he did achieved. But [37:23] he was [37:25] difficult. [37:28] Difficult cuz he wasn't always right. [37:31] But he was right so much that the [37:32] mistakes just didn't matter. [37:35] And I thought, you know, the people that [37:38] spent enough time with him [37:40] know what I'm talking about. Um [37:45] You know, it occurred to me cuz I know [37:47] Wozniak too, not as well as Jobs, but [37:49] they really needed each other. [37:51] They really needed each other. [37:54] Because Woz understood [37:57] he was he understood [37:59] what the [38:00] Let me draw an analogy here for you. I [38:02] think it's a good one. [38:05] Take the situation going on right now [38:07] with [38:09] Nvidia, AMD, to a certain extent Intel, [38:14] um [38:15] maybe Broadcom, [38:17] where policy makers in Washington have [38:19] decided that we can't sell those chips [38:22] to countries like China or Russia or [38:25] whatever the list is of adversaries. [38:29] That's bad policy. [38:31] And here's why. What I learned from [38:35] from Jobs was [38:39] the the computer, the chip, is the queen [38:42] bee. [38:43] It's It's the It's the queen bee. [38:46] But it has no value without the [38:48] honeybees, which are the programmers [38:50] around that form a community that spend [38:52] all of their energy [38:55] writing code that works with the queen [38:59] bee, which is the chip, [39:00] that [39:02] pushes out its influence because every [39:04] coder that [39:05] becomes familiar with that firmware, [39:08] that Wozniak computer, writes to that [39:10] platform [39:12] is part of the honeybees. [39:16] Jobs understood that. He said, "I've got [39:18] to get every honeybee writing for the [39:20] Mac, [39:22] writing for the OS of Apple." [39:26] It's the same with [39:29] the Nvidia chip. [39:31] We need to sell it to everybody. Every [39:34] Even adversaries because within [39:37] that country of Russia or China is some [39:41] genius kid. You don't know who he is or [39:44] she is that's going to write the next [39:46] piece of firmware or advance AI [39:50] from the queen bee, [39:52] the chip, the American queen bee. [39:56] The minute you shut down a market and [39:58] you don't [40:00] your adversary sends their queen bee in, [40:02] which is Huawei. [40:04] We can't let that happen because I don't [40:06] think the lawmakers understand what Jobs [40:08] understood. [40:10] You create the hive with the queen in [40:11] the middle. That's the chip. [40:14] You convince every bee around [40:18] to make the honey, [40:19] which is the software and is the AI [40:21] right in this in this case. You make it [40:23] off that chip and when you advance the [40:25] chip again, everybody knows how to take [40:28] that set [40:29] and [40:30] stay within the American chip that [40:33] you're advancing. [40:35] Maybe you keep them one generation [40:37] behind, maybe. Maybe that's the policy, [40:39] but you don't ever let an adversary put [40:42] their queen bee in the middle of the [40:43] hive. You see what I'm saying? Of [40:45] course. I mean And that is what Jobs [40:47] did. That was the war between Gates and [40:49] Jobs on the OS, on the operating system. [40:52] thinking about the App Store and [40:54] Yeah, it's the same thing. Yeah. [40:55] It's exactly the same thing. And so so [40:56] when I see this policy now, [41:00] I go out of my mind. I mean, [41:02] the first thing I do is get on a plane [41:03] and go to Washington because [41:05] AI is so important for all of the [41:07] investments I've made. I do not want to [41:09] be putting Chinese honey into my [41:11] companies at all. [41:12] It's that simple. [41:14] So for that person that's stewing over [41:15] their ideas now, if they had just a [41:18] couple of minutes with you [41:20] and they and they asked you the [41:21] question, Kevin, I'm about to start this [41:23] business. I'm about to go on this [41:24] journey of trying to go from zero to [41:26] something in my life. [41:28] Is there anything else that I need to [41:30] know as I set up upon this sort of next [41:32] 10 years of my life? I'm 21 years old. [41:34] What what I cuz I think every [41:35] entrepreneur has like their principles. [41:37] You you talked about one which is the [41:38] signal versus noise thing. Are there any [41:40] other foundational principles that you [41:41] think are conducive with success? [41:46] That you might have learned [41:47] Yeah, I mean I've what I'm telling 20 [41:49] 21-year-olds now is look, [41:53] go work for 24 months in a sector you [41:55] love that you're passionate about, even [41:57] if they don't pay you. [41:59] Go in there and be an apprentice. Um [42:01] if you're that passionate, you're going [42:03] to be able to convince some manager to [42:04] go work for free in there. You're just [42:06] they're going to recognize your passion [42:07] and [42:08] they're going to bring you in. [42:10] Do that first. [42:12] Most [42:13] young entrepreneurs say, "Nah, nah, I [42:14] don't want to work for anybody." I said, [42:15] "Yeah, you do actually. You you do want [42:17] to work for somebody. You want to just [42:18] understand how all the cogs move." Just [42:21] 24 months. [42:22] And after that, [42:24] launch. [42:25] The first one will probably fail. [42:27] You're going to start with your parents [42:28] giving you 10,000 bucks or whatever it [42:30] is, friends and family. [42:32] But you will have the baseline knowledge [42:34] of your industry. You will know who the [42:35] participants are. You will understand [42:37] how it works. [42:38] And you'll have a much higher [42:39] probability of success. But the key is [42:41] to launch sort of in your [42:44] in your mid to early 20s because you [42:46] need to burn a few years failing. And [42:49] and that that matters. [42:51] On the point of how to lead people, [42:54] when people hear about Jobs' approach, [42:56] they [42:57] sometimes assume that you also have to [42:59] be an [ __ ] [43:00] And this is the this is the conflicting [43:02] thing because the world has changed [43:03] since Jobs was in a leadership position. [43:05] Things have gone a little bit more [43:07] soft, [43:09] shall one say. [43:11] Have you seen all all types of [43:12] leadership win out in that regard? The [43:14] direct, you know, signal-focused, [43:17] kind of brash approach, but also the [43:19] kind approach. [43:23] I know that kind works. I think respect [43:25] works. I I [43:27] The same number of [ __ ] are out [43:28] there being successful now as they were [43:30] back in the '90s. [43:31] Um [43:33] it doesn't matter [43:35] um [43:35] whether you're an [ __ ] or whether [43:37] people like you or not. I mean, people [43:38] get so stuck on this stuff. [43:40] It It's [43:43] the team you're building [43:45] are not your friends. [43:47] They are the team you're building to [43:49] execute on a mandate. [43:50] Your customers come first. They're more [43:52] important. And then, of course, the [43:54] employees and how are they respected or [43:56] not. There are people that work for me I [43:58] don't like. [44:00] It doesn't matter. I respect them. I [44:01] respect their ability [44:03] to execute. And that above all is the [44:06] most important thing. If you start [44:07] getting into interpersonal [44:09] relationships, you will fail because you [44:11] may have to fire that person one day. [44:13] People that hire family take huge risk. [44:17] Nepotism is a horrible disease. [44:19] It's It's uh some of the greatest uh [44:22] private companies on Earth [44:24] never let the kids run them. They just [44:26] put them on the board and they hire [44:28] professional management. That's how they [44:29] keep wealth multi-generational. [44:32] Think about Tetra Pak, for example. [44:34] People may not know that name, but it's [44:35] a massive successful company. IKEA. I [44:38] mean, you know, it's sort of you have to [44:39] learn those lessons. [44:41] It's It's um [44:44] It's about respect [44:46] in both directions. It's not about [44:48] likeability [44:50] or softness or [44:52] some social [44:54] met- metric. It really isn't. [44:57] And [44:59] trying to redefine leadership that way [45:02] because it's on trend, [45:04] it's not going to work. [45:05] I started my first business at 12 years [45:07] old, and then I started more businesses [45:09] at 14, 15, 16, 17, and 18. And at that [45:12] time, what I didn't realize is that [45:15] being a founder with no money meant that [45:17] I also had to be the marketer, the sales [45:19] rep, the finance team, customer service, [45:22] and the recruiter. But if you're [45:24] starting a business today, thankfully, [45:26] there's a tool that wears all of those [45:27] hats for you. Our sponsor today, which [45:30] is Shopify. Because of all of its AI [45:32] integrations, using Shopify feels like [45:35] like you've hired an entire growth team [45:37] from day one, taking care of writing [45:39] product descriptions, your website [45:41] design, and enhancing your product's [45:43] images. Not to mention the bits you'd [45:45] expect Shopify to handle, like the [45:47] shipping, like the taxes, like the [45:48] inventory. And if you're looking to get [45:50] your business started, go to [45:52] shopify.com/bartlett [45:54] and sign up for a $1 per month trial. [45:58] That's shopify.com/bartlett. [46:02] What about finding the definition of the [46:04] word company as a of people? So, in [46:05] terms of finding great people, [46:08] is there anything that you can offer to [46:09] entrepreneurs that are listening about [46:10] how you've done that and what you've [46:11] learned over time, the mistakes you've [46:13] made with assembling your group of [46:15] people? [46:16] Yeah, hiring them without testing them [46:18] first. I've made that mistake. [46:19] So, so you now test them first. Yeah. [46:22] Just cuz someone says they can execute [46:24] doesn't mean they can. I mean, it's of [46:26] course in your interview, you're not [46:27] going to say I can't execute. You know, [46:29] you're looking at their past you're [46:30] saying this looks terrific. Looks like [46:32] you can fit in, but it's on a piece of [46:33] paper. They haven't been road tested. [46:35] They haven't put in a situation where [46:37] they have to make individual decisions [46:39] that that have consequence. The people [46:41] you want are able to make decisions that [46:43] have consequence. Good bad good [46:45] consequence bad consequence. You don't [46:46] know yet, but they have to have be able [46:49] to make that decision on their own [46:52] without calling you up because you gave [46:54] them that mandate. Maybe you put a set [46:56] of parameter you can spend a million [46:58] bucks no more, but they're calling me, [46:59] but whatever it is. [47:01] I don't want to hear from them. I just [47:03] want the outcome. [47:04] What about resilience and hard work? How [47:06] much does that matter to you? Cuz I know [47:08] you said they can work when, you know, [47:09] they as long as they get the job done, [47:11] but are you trying to figure out if they [47:13] are [47:14] a bit of a psychopath in terms of hard [47:15] work? If they're possessed themselves. [47:17] find the ones that are psychopaths hard [47:19] worker actually the most successful. [47:21] It's not the case. I find the ones that [47:23] are eclectic people that have other [47:26] pursuits that are nothing to do with the [47:29] business they're in. [47:31] That [47:33] do crazy stuff. You know, maybe it's [47:36] riding motorcycles in the desert. I [47:38] don't know you know, these are the [47:39] examples I'm just using cuz I'm living [47:41] with them. [47:42] And say, look, I've got to go and ride a [47:43] bicycle across the the desert. [47:46] Okay. How many days you're going to be [47:47] gone? [47:48] I don't know, maybe three. Okay. Is [47:50] there anything that is immediate? [47:52] That tells me that [47:55] if you look at if you look at the year's [47:57] outcome from that person, you're going [47:58] to find that they probably outperformed. [48:01] You You want You want You want the [48:03] eclectic ones. You want the ones [48:06] that are not just robots working. It's [48:09] It's going to be cheaper to get a robot [48:11] if you want a robot. I'm going to buy [48:12] those two when they come available. But, [48:15] I want people that have creative [48:19] and [48:21] unusual solutions [48:24] that, you know, just think outside of [48:25] the box. [48:28] It's It's really interesting that way. [48:29] The other thing that, um, [48:31] everybody wants to hear from you about [48:33] is how to keep and grow your wealth. [48:36] Because, you know, making wealth I kind [48:38] of understand through the lens of [48:38] entrepreneurship, take a big bet, [48:41] um, hopefully have an exit or, you know, [48:43] draw a dividend or make profit from a [48:44] company you started. But, in terms of [48:46] what you did and your relationship with [48:49] your money, what are the most important [48:50] things for someone to understand who's [48:51] just trying to grow their money? Yeah, [48:53] yeah, and I learned this from my mother, [48:55] and I actually built a whole indexing [48:56] company around it. When I was very [48:58] young, I found out something, uh, that, [49:00] um, [49:02] So, she, um, [49:04] was fiercely independent. She was one of [49:06] three daughters, uh, of Lebanese [49:08] descent. My Irish was father My father [49:11] My original father, biological father, [49:12] was Irish. [49:14] She didn't Yeah, there she is, Georgia. [49:17] So, [49:43] I haven't seen that picture in a while. [49:49] Okay. [49:54] She was very independent. [49:57] And [49:59] she never ever wanted a man to control [50:01] her life. So, she [50:03] started at an early age when she was [50:05] working for her father. [50:08] They paid the girls, the family all [50:09] worked there, and she worked in the [50:11] accounting department [50:13] and billing, but she got paid cash. And [50:16] so, she [50:19] would take 20% [50:21] of that cash each week. [50:23] And [50:25] she would put it into two asset classes. [50:29] Stocks that paid dividends, large cap [50:32] stocks, [50:33] and Telco bonds. [50:36] Seven-year Telco bonds paid about 6 and [50:39] 1/2 to 8% back then. [50:41] She bought the long bonds. [50:43] And she had that portfolio for 55 years. [50:46] Wow. Um she never spent any of the [50:49] principal. Only the dividends and the [50:51] interests. She put my brother and I [50:53] through college, and you know, she took [50:55] care of her family and her sisters when [50:57] they [50:58] fell on hard times. [51:00] But her rule was very simple. [51:02] No more than 5% in any one stock or bond [51:04] of the portfolio, and no more than 20% [51:07] in any one sector, ever. [51:09] Ever. So, when a stock ran up past five, [51:11] she'd sell it down. This is not genius. [51:13] This is just diversification. [51:16] And [51:18] when she passed and I I was the older [51:20] brother and I saw the portfolio, [51:22] cuz the lawyer said, "Listen, you got to [51:24] come down here. You're the executor of [51:25] the will." And I said, "Yeah, but you [51:27] know, my mother was middle class." [51:30] He said, "No, you got to come down here. [51:32] Um she kept her accounts secret from [51:35] both of her husbands. [51:37] She wanted her own independent money. [51:39] And back then you could do that. [51:41] And um [51:43] damn, I mean, what that portfolio did. [51:46] The performance was extraordinary. It [51:48] was beyond any [51:50] hedge fund guy or anything. [51:52] 55 years. [51:55] When I saw the results, I said, "That's [51:56] it. That's how I'm going to invest for [51:58] the rest of my life." Exactly the way [51:59] Georgette did. No more than 5% [52:03] in any one stock ever, no matter no [52:05] matter what it is, and no more than 20% [52:09] in any one sector with the exception of [52:11] real estate, which is a very large part [52:13] of what I have in net worth. And I [52:17] That's a It's a third. So, that's broken [52:19] the rule, but there's reasons for that, [52:20] and I'm very happy with that portfolio. [52:23] But, um that if she if you if everybody [52:26] that's listening to this does that, [52:29] they will maintain and grow their [52:30] wealth. But, it's people bet they make [52:32] big bets. They're just They think [52:34] they're so damn right, they put half [52:36] their net worth into one sector or one [52:37] stock, and they get wiped out. That's [52:39] what happens. [52:40] So, would your mother pick the stocks [52:43] herself, or would she invest in an index [52:45] fund or She indexed. She used to So, [52:48] okay. [52:48] Even even back then, you know, they [52:50] didn't have ETFs, but they had mutual [52:53] funds that said their own only stock in [52:56] this mutual fund is doesn't have any [52:58] debt, and it pays dividends, you know, [53:00] whatever. They were very rudimentary [53:01] back then. They were just collections of [53:03] stocks. I think she had like [53:06] thir- 28 names or something like that in [53:09] the portfolio. But, if you looked at [53:11] them, they were really boring large cap [53:13] names. But, they were sec- totally [53:15] diverse. There wasn't 10 sectors back [53:17] then. There was only There there wasn't [53:18] 11, there was 10. [53:19] So, they didn't have real estate as a [53:20] sector. So, but you know, I looked at it [53:23] saying, "Wow, these are really boring." [53:25] You learned a lot about money from your [53:27] early upbringing, right? From your that [53:29] early context. Yeah, because what she [53:31] said to me was, "Look, [53:34] you know, [53:36] I I even do this today with wealthy [53:38] people call me up all the time and say, [53:39] "Look, um [53:42] you know, they get divorced. It's really [53:44] I I This is a very wealthy woman got [53:45] divorced recently and she said, "Look, I [53:47] you know, I'm divorcing and [53:50] she was a billionaire. She was divorcing [53:51] She was more multi-billionaire and so [53:53] she said, "Look, I I I'm getting [53:55] Everybody's calling me up um [53:57] to be my advisor cuz I'm separating from [54:00] my husband and it's all his guys that [54:02] did all the management of our family [54:03] wealth. [54:05] "Would you be my advisor?" I said, "No, [54:06] I don't do that. Um [54:08] but you know, I can [54:10] I can just give you some basic advice [54:12] and you can hire people to stick on the [54:15] mandate." And I gave her Georgette's [54:16] strategy, but she I I had to do [54:18] something else, too. I said, "Let's get [54:19] a piece of paper. You're a billionaire. [54:22] Let's put everything on this piece of [54:24] paper on the last 90 days that you've [54:26] spent on whatever the hell it is. I [54:28] don't care. [54:29] And let's put on No computer, no [54:31] spreadsheet. On this Let's look at all [54:32] the income that you've made off your [54:35] portfolio as it stands now, whether it's [54:37] gold you have or land or stocks or [54:40] bonds. [54:41] Let's just do a gut check [54:44] on [54:45] do you outspend yourself? [54:48] She said, "Why would I give a shit?" I [54:49] said, [54:50] "Wouldn't you like to know [54:52] how much money you're burning living [54:54] your lifestyle the way you live it? Just [54:56] out of interest. Maybe you have enough [54:57] for the rest of your life, but maybe you [54:59] want to give some of it to your family [55:01] when they are or give it to charity. [55:02] Wouldn't you like to know? [55:04] Because one of my rules is never [55:05] outspend yourself on any 30- or 60-day [55:07] cycle, ever. Just ever. I don't have any [55:10] debt. So So I'm very careful about that. [55:13] And we went through this little thing. [55:15] She freaked out. She was [55:18] pissing away money. [55:20] Just bleeding [55:22] hundreds of thousands of dollars a week. [55:26] I mean, I don't care how rich you are. [55:27] You don't want to be stupid. And [55:30] I said, "Does that shock you? One of the [55:32] things that has to happen I mean, you're [55:34] you're losing millions of dollars a [55:36] quarter. Like [55:38] Why? [55:39] Why? [55:40] Like you don't you have you've had [55:42] nobody restrict what you do with your [55:44] money cuz you're going to have to sell [55:46] stocks at some point or sell gold or [55:48] sell land to keep this up. [55:50] And are you really that happy? Like what [55:53] do you what's all this [ __ ] you're [55:54] buying? Like what is all this crap that [55:57] you don't need? It was an eye-opener for [55:59] her. So I My point is most people don't [56:00] do that exercise. I don't care if you're [56:02] only making 56,000 a year or 68 the [56:04] average salary. [56:06] So are you in the camp that you [56:07] shouldn't spend money on the small [56:09] things like the coffee if you don't need [56:11] it you should make the coffee at home? [56:12] Is that kind of I I just I can't stand [56:14] it when I see kids that are making 70 [56:16] grand a year [56:17] spending $28 for lunch. [56:20] I mean that's just stupid. It's just [56:23] think about that in the context of that [56:25] being put into an index and making 8% 8 [56:28] to 10% a year for the next 50 years. [56:30] What's an index for someone that doesn't [56:32] So okay. I mean [56:33] you know [56:34] I even have it I even built an app for [56:36] this purpose just so I could There's [56:38] many apps out there you don't have to [56:39] use mine. Mine's called Beanstocks but [56:41] you just allocate 15% of your salary and [56:44] it automatically puts it into two [56:46] buckets some stocks and some bonds. The [56:48] stocks are ETFs exchange-traded funds [56:50] that just track the S&P 500 very simply. [56:53] Mine's a little The S&P 500 is the top [56:55] 500 stocks. [56:56] Yeah so it's just you know people will [56:58] tell me oh I can beat the S&P P I can [56:59] pick stocks. They're so full of crap. [57:01] Not over the long period they can. So [57:03] it's better you might as well just own [57:04] ETFs. I have a version of the S&P that I [57:06] designed with other people that strips [57:08] out all the crappy balance sheets but [57:10] that's just me. You can just buy the [57:11] index that you want you know the ETF and [57:14] then you pay low fees and then over time [57:16] it appreciates and then if you buy some [57:18] treasury bills or what fixed income you [57:20] get that. You should have less of those [57:22] when you're young and more of them when [57:23] you're older just just diversification. [57:25] But [57:26] you you know [57:28] the best test I do with my kids' friends [57:29] too. Go into a closet. Go into your [57:32] closet, and look at how much [ __ ] you [57:35] have you don't wear. [57:36] Because you either bought it cuz you [57:38] thought you were going to wear it [57:40] and never wore it or wore it once, and [57:42] you end up wearing 20% of your portfolio [57:44] all of the time and 80% you you pissed [57:47] away. [57:48] I mean, that's really stupid. And so, [57:51] for a young person, a young woman or [57:52] man, [57:53] don't do that. Start putting in just [57:57] buy the minimum stuff. And another thing [57:59] in my life with my mother, this is [58:00] interesting cuz I saw it happen at her [58:02] death. [58:03] She, [58:05] you know, would buy two Chanel jackets a [58:09] year. Really expensive Chanel jackets. [58:12] Handmade Chanel jackets. [58:14] I do business with Chanel because of, [58:15] you know, the legacy of my mother and [58:17] the whole Coco Chanel thing and watches. [58:18] I love those guys. [58:20] And [58:22] her theory was, this will never get old. [58:25] And it never did. A classic vintage [58:28] Chanel jacket from the '50s, this [58:30] well-kept, [58:31] is worth a fortune today. The classic It [58:35] still wears beautifully. They're so well [58:36] made. So, she wouldn't buy crap. She'd [58:38] buy really good stuff, but a little just [58:40] small amounts of it. And over the years, [58:41] she'd built up this portfolio of amazing [58:43] clothing. And when she died, the women [58:45] in in our family had a cat fight over [58:47] her portfolio. Unbelievable. Is that in [58:50] part why you have so many watches? I've [58:52] noticed you have a watch on either wrist [58:53] right now. [58:55] Yeah, I'm pretty big in watches. I mean, [58:56] but but watches to me, [58:59] every piece I have [59:01] marks something in my life that was [59:03] important. A deal, a child, graduation, [59:07] um [59:07] you know, something. Every piece. I've [59:09] got a lot of watches. How many have you [59:11] got? I I don't even say anymore cuz of [59:13] the insurance policy I have. I got a [59:14] lot. [59:15] Do you invest in You You're talking [59:17] about your your mother's investing [59:18] strategy, and one of the things you said [59:20] is she invested in dividend stocks. [59:21] Yes. What is a dividend stock, and [59:24] should I be investing in dividend [59:25] stocks? Yeah, I mean, you know, a if [59:28] it's profitable and it's operating and [59:29] its business plan is working and it's [59:31] growing market share, at some point [59:33] says, "I'm going to distribute some of [59:34] the success of our profits to our [59:36] shareholders." That's a dividend. [59:38] And so, they send that cash to you and [59:40] you can either redeploy it in other ways [59:42] or live off it or whatever. Many tech [59:45] stocks until recently did not pay [59:46] dividends, but now the behemoth tech [59:48] stocks do pay dividends because the [59:50] demand of an aging population is I need [59:53] to eat. And so, I like to own the stock [59:55] for growth, but I also want to get some [59:56] of the profits. And so, dividend-paying [59:58] stocks used to be utilities, but not so [60:01] today. Every Every sector has [60:03] dividend-paying stocks, so I prefer to [60:04] own dividend-paying stocks, div payers. [60:07] And then I also own fixed income [60:09] products. I also own crypto now and I [60:11] own alternative assets like gold and [60:12] watches. My watch collection's actually [60:15] done quite well, even though there's [60:16] been a correction. There's volatility, [60:17] but I have some watches that have, you [60:19] know, I bought for [60:22] 200,000 and worth over a million today. [60:24] Crypto. So, [60:26] are you still bullish on crypto as an [60:28] investment? I am actually, but people [60:30] get crypto confused with its real [60:32] potential. Um [60:34] Uh [60:35] let's talk about digital payment systems [60:38] because what's about to pass first, [60:40] we're days away from this happening, is [60:42] the Genius Act, which is actually the [60:43] stable coin act. It was just passed by [60:45] the Senate 48 hours ago. It's going back [60:47] to the house. I I actually worked on [60:49] that bill 2 years ago. So, if that bill [60:52] passes, it's really nothing to do with [60:53] speculating on crypto. It's a new form [60:55] of payment. So, if I wanted to order a [60:57] watch in from Simon Birch, who's [60:59] somebody I buy watches from, he's a [61:01] master watchmaker, [61:02] right now I have to take US dollars. [61:04] I've got to get through a know your [61:05] client prerogative. I'm treated like a [61:07] criminal by transferring 100,000 dollars [61:10] over, turn it into Swiss francs. Takes [61:12] about a week. I get screwed for about [61:13] 200 basis points in the whole thing. [61:16] If I If he accepted USDC, which is [61:18] actually [61:20] a stable coin backed by the US dollar, [61:21] just went public, very successful IPO. I [61:23] was a shareholder in that company, too. [61:25] That's one of my best IPOs in in the [61:27] last 2 years. The transaction would [61:28] happen in less than a second. [61:31] And [61:33] the fees would be a hundredth of what [61:34] the costs are right now. So, it's a [61:36] digital payment system. The price [61:38] doesn't [61:39] It's not It's not It's no speculation on [61:41] it. It's backed by the US dollar [61:43] Treasury bills. [61:44] So, it's sort of [61:46] a new form of of digital payment. [61:49] That's different than Bitcoin, which is [61:51] a speculation. It's If you believe in [61:54] Bitcoin, you think it's a digital gold, [61:56] and you live through the volatility. [61:59] I believe in both. I believe that that [62:01] crypto will be the [62:02] 12th sector of the S&P in some period of [62:05] time because it provides productivity to [62:07] all 11 other sectors. So, the way I own [62:10] it is I own [62:12] the exchanges. [62:13] My exchange of in one called WonderFi up [62:15] in Canada just got acquired last week or [62:18] 2 weeks ago by Robinhood. [62:20] I'm happy cuz I think Vlad who runs [62:22] Robinhood is great. And now he's got a [62:24] million plus accounts in Canada in [62:26] market that he'd never participated in. [62:28] But the point is [62:29] this is never going away. It's going to [62:32] stay forever. So, how do you [62:33] participate? You can buy some Bitcoin, [62:35] just like you can buy gold, buy it in [62:36] ETF or actually own it yourself. You can [62:38] buy the exchanges. You can use [62:42] um you know, you can buy Circle stock [62:43] now it's public. You can Circle makes [62:45] USDC. You can buy USDC in in an account [62:49] and make 4.1% interest on it right now. [62:51] So, there's a lot of ways to [62:52] participate, but yes, I'm here to stay. [62:54] But I've grow I've grown up. I was [62:55] around during the period where the [62:57] crypto cowboys lived. And and I survived [63:00] that all. And I even testified in front [63:01] of the Senate and the House and whatever [63:03] else the testimonies were during the the [63:05] tumultuous period. And most of those [63:07] guys went to jail. Your portfolio in [63:10] terms of Bitcoin allocation or crypto [63:11] allocation, what is it now? It's at [63:13] about all in. Uh [63:15] we we marked to market last month, it [63:17] was 19.1%. [63:18] 19.1%? [63:19] Yeah, we have to keep it under 20. It's [63:21] a sector, so. But remember, in that is [63:23] the cryptos itself, Bitcoin, the USDC, [63:25] and the shares of the infrastructure [63:28] companies, like Circle and everything [63:30] else. I've got, you know, it was a very [63:31] successful IPO. One of the first things [63:33] most people do when they get a bit of [63:34] money, usually from their their job, is [63:37] they get a mortgage on a house. [63:40] Because we're kind of taught as we grow [63:41] up that the best way to make or that [63:43] not maybe the best, but the most obvious [63:45] way to create wealth is to buy your [63:47] first home. [63:50] Yeah, there's a very basic rule for [63:52] that, and I understand it, and I did the [63:54] same thing. [63:55] But what I made sure again from my [63:56] mother was [63:58] never let [63:59] the mortgage and the cost of maintaining [64:02] the house be more than 1/3 [64:05] of your income. [64:06] 1/3 of your income. [64:09] If it's more than 1/3, you bought too [64:10] much house. [64:11] So, it's better to buy a house that's [64:14] maybe it's only going to be 1,900 square [64:15] feet to start in a neighborhood that you [64:17] may not want to stay in for the rest of [64:19] your life, but [64:20] start to accrue the benefit of real [64:21] estate from that point of view, learn [64:23] how to manage it, maybe you rent part of [64:24] it out or whatever, but it can't be more [64:26] than a third of your income. The mistake [64:28] that people made and they're starting to [64:30] suffer from it now is when money was so [64:31] cheap, mortgage mortgage rates were [64:33] under 4%, they were 3.2% some of them. [64:36] They bought massive houses. [64:38] And now they're running into having to [64:40] refinance those houses at much higher [64:42] rates, more than 7%. [64:44] And it's becoming 60, 70, 80% of their [64:47] income. They're screwed. [64:49] They bought too much house. So, it's [64:50] about making sure that you can manage [64:52] that, and also you want some [64:54] diversification. Yes, a mortgage is [64:56] okay, [64:57] particularly if you're having a family, [64:59] cuz you're going to pay rent or you're [65:00] going to pay a mortgage, one of the two. [65:02] But you want some diversification and to [65:04] starting to build up that [65:06] investment account for when you retire, [65:09] so that you have something to live off. [65:11] If you only put aside 15%. If you're [65:13] you're making 70,000 a year and you put [65:15] 15% aside from when you're 25, [65:18] you'll have over a million and a half [65:20] dollars if you just invested it in the [65:21] stock index, in the S&P 500. That's what [65:24] That's what history has told you. In [65:26] what time frame? [65:28] Your whole career. I mean, you're going [65:29] to be 65. You're 25, 65. You just stick [65:33] with that protocol and you'll watch it [65:34] grow. You'll watch it grow. You go up [65:36] and down as the market goes up and down. [65:38] Some years it'll go flat, whatever, but [65:40] it's the people that don't even think [65:41] ahead and find themselves at 45 mired in [65:43] debt including a mortgage. You want to [65:45] get rid of your mortgage in your 40s. [65:47] Most people's primary investment asset [65:48] is the house they buy. [65:51] Is that a small [65:51] Yes, it is, but it's also the debt they [65:53] own. It's a primary asset. How much debt [65:55] does it have on it? It's only the equity [65:57] value is the asset. So, if you're buying [66:00] a house that's too big and it's you've [66:02] only put down 10% and it's a 90% [66:04] mortgage, what do you really own? You [66:07] really own the 10% [66:09] at whatever price it is. Sometimes [66:11] housing goes flat for a while. [66:13] It's [66:14] It's okay, but it's not okay if it's too [66:17] much house. If you're a 25-year-old and [66:20] you're on that 70k that you talked [66:21] about, [66:22] and your objective was to make money, [66:25] you don't have kids, you don't you don't [66:26] have a relationship, [66:28] would you buy a house? No. [66:30] No, I wouldn't because why do I need a [66:32] house if I'm only unless I'm renting it [66:34] as an income property. I'm buying a [66:36] house because I'm getting married and [66:37] I'm going to raise a family. I need a [66:38] house. I mean, that Is that the use case [66:40] for buying a house you thought? I think [66:41] it is. People But you know, it's not [66:43] There are many people that say, "Oh, I [66:44] love real estate. I'm going to buy three [66:46] houses. I'm going to rent them out." [66:47] That's a different business. And I know [66:48] people in their 20s that do that. In [66:50] fact, they're successful. That's all [66:52] they do. And so, that their job is to [66:54] find houses, buy them, fix them up, and [66:56] rent them. And they manage that [66:58] geographically tight portfolio. It [67:01] happens a lot in student housing, for [67:02] example. [67:03] I've got a good friend who's involved in [67:04] student housing. He's very successful. [67:06] He just focuses on one aspect, buildings [67:09] that rent to students, and he manages [67:10] it. And he, you know, raises a family, [67:13] he's successful, but that's one thing he [67:15] does. That's not the same as saying I'm [67:16] going to buy a house cuz I'm I just got [67:18] married, and I'm going to raise I'm [67:19] going to have a child in the next 24 [67:20] months. [67:21] Then you should have a house. But if [67:23] you're You said to me, "I'm single, I [67:24] want to make money." I wouldn't buy a [67:25] house. That's not the number one asset [67:27] class, I think. I'd get a diversified [67:28] portfolio, [67:30] and just ride the pony with that for a [67:32] while until I meet that special person [67:34] I'm going to, you know, raise a family [67:36] with, [67:37] and then I'd have a little nest egg I [67:38] can work with. I mean, [67:41] wealth creation [67:44] comes down to one word, discipline. [67:47] That's it. [67:49] The ability to look at something and [67:50] say, "I'm not going to buy that. [67:53] I'm going to keep that money working for [67:55] me." [67:56] Not many people have that discipline. [67:59] Wealthy people have that discipline. You [68:02] meet them later in life, [68:03] you realize when they were young and had [68:05] nothing, [68:07] even the ones that were employees their [68:08] whole lives that are now financially [68:09] free, had the discipline to say no. [68:13] There's so much stuff you don't need. [68:15] And you should never buy a watch unless [68:17] you can afford it, ever go in debt for a [68:19] watch cuz people hear this stuff say, [68:20] "I'm going to buy watches like O'Leary's [68:21] red bands." No, you're not. That's why I [68:24] wear watches now that cost under $500 to [68:26] show kids, you want to get into [68:28] horology, you don't have to spend, you [68:29] know, [68:30] $50,000. Here's a [68:32] Here's a Timex for $265. It looks [68:35] beautiful. Get that. [68:36] You said, you know, don't buy the house [68:38] until you meet your partner, etc. [68:40] How much does the person that you fall [68:42] in love with have an impact on your [68:44] finances, your money, your chance of [68:46] success in your view? It's everything. [68:48] Are you kidding? I mean, it's it's [68:50] everything. If you read I mean, think [68:51] about this. [68:54] You need to find somebody. If you're an [68:55] entrepreneur, so that's for the We're [68:57] talking about the third now that want to [68:58] go on the rocket ship ride. [69:01] You better find somebody that's willing [69:02] to tolerate the fact that you're never [69:04] home for the first 10 years. They're [69:06] going to raise a family by themselves [69:08] because [69:10] there's no balance in life. That that [69:11] idea of balance is complete [ __ ] I [69:13] mean, it's just [ __ ] [69:15] You have to work so hard to compete [69:17] globally these days in every sector. [69:19] You're going to work your ass off and [69:21] it's not going to happen over I mean, [69:22] Anna Sky did it in 3 years, but she had [69:24] worked much harder previously. It was [69:26] not her first deal. [69:28] But she was just lucky. I mean, she Was [69:30] this the cat DNA? [69:31] Cat DNA. I mean, she she she she she But [69:33] she's you know, she's she's working [69:35] again. She's back She wants to work. I [69:37] mean, that's what happens. You never [69:38] stop working. But the thing is [69:41] that partnership [69:43] and this is what people don't get about [69:45] marriage. [69:47] Marriage is a business. I know people go [69:50] nuts when I say that, but it's a [69:52] business and [69:53] the first child you're going to have is [69:55] money. [69:57] It's going to be the first child and [69:59] it's going to sit at the table with you [70:00] every day. It's It's there. Sitting [70:02] there. [70:04] If you don't have money, you don't have [70:05] a marriage. I mean, the reason people [70:07] get married is to form a form of [70:09] financial stability so that they can [70:11] afford a family. [70:13] And you have to figure out [70:16] you know, I'm I'm I've been with my wife [70:17] a long time and we've been separated for [70:19] a couple of years, but you know, family [70:21] is very important to me, so I we got [70:22] back together again and we and you know, [70:23] our daughter got back together. I'm very [70:25] happy we did it. But it's [70:28] we make financial decisions together. We [70:31] we always check in. [70:33] You know, anything that's material [70:36] you know, if we're going to do a [70:37] renovation or something and and I [70:39] respect her for that. I have a lot of [70:40] respect for her because she doesn't just [70:42] spend money. We didn't have any money [70:44] when we started. We had nothing. And so [70:47] that's why a great marriage can work [70:48] because you build it together. You [70:49] really care about it. You care about [70:50] your family. You also care about what [70:51] you you've created in wealth. And I [70:53] consider my money her money. Like it's [70:55] cuz she was the family that let me go [70:57] and do the stuff. Now, I don't have the [70:59] same relationship with our kids that she [71:01] does because she raised them. But that's [71:03] the thing you give up and you have to [71:05] give something up. That's it. You can be [71:07] a great father, great provider, but [71:08] you're never going to have the closeness [71:09] that she had reading them stories when [71:11] they were young. I wasn't there. But, [71:14] you know, the outcome has been good. I [71:15] think everybody looks at that and says, [71:16] "All right, that's great." [71:19] But my mother never believed in [71:20] entitlement and so I don't believe in it [71:22] either. I'm not gifting my kids a ton of [71:24] money. [71:25] You know, [71:26] I I want them to launch and they've done [71:28] that successfully. They got to They got [71:30] to work, you know, they got to do their [71:31] thing. [71:32] I've heard you say before that the most [71:33] important financial decision you'll ever [71:35] make is who you'll marry. Yes. Why? [71:39] Because think of the geometric loss of [71:41] wealth. Every time you get divorced, [71:45] you pay the woman that you divorced or [71:48] man and you pay the government [71:51] a third often through capital gains and [71:54] liquidation because you can't separate [71:57] all the assets without liquidating them [71:59] sometimes. So you've got the government [72:01] sitting there, you've got the other [72:03] spouse sitting there. This is the [72:05] stupidest thing you can ever do. It took [72:07] your whole life to [72:09] to actually create this nest egg. Could [72:12] be, you know, you're 45 or whatever. [72:14] You've You've got a comfortable life and [72:15] all of a sudden you don't like your wife [72:17] or husband. [72:18] Think about that for a while. [72:20] Because you are going to wipe out up to [72:23] two-thirds of your wealth. You better [72:25] really like somebody else a lot. [72:28] And frankly, [72:30] sometimes it's not the other person that [72:33] you're divorcing. It's you. You're the [72:36] problem. If you're getting married for [72:38] the third time, you're a guy or woman, [72:40] it's not them. It's you. There's [72:42] something wrong with you and you should [72:44] probably not get into another economic [72:46] union. You should probably just date [72:48] till you drop dead because it's stupid. [72:51] Marriages are tough. I mean, they're [72:52] tough. Anybody who's been married for [72:54] more than 20 years knows exactly what [72:55] I'm talking about. But they have they [72:57] accrue more benefit than than, you know, [73:00] anything. So it is like if you're happy [73:02] 51% of the day with your wife, stay with [73:05] him or her, husband or wife. You That's [73:07] very important. How often do you think [73:09] divorces are a result of money issues? [73:13] Well, you may be shocked at this. [73:16] I wrote a book [73:17] um about this and I decided uh men, [73:20] women, and money a long time ago, 10 [73:22] years plus. Right. There it is. [73:24] And I did some research and I [73:27] I uh went to meet some of the top um [73:29] divorce lawyers in North America [73:32] in New York, in Boston, [73:34] and other cities. [73:36] And I said, "Look, I I want to kind of [73:38] do a pie chart of the reasons for [73:40] divorce that seemed to 50% seemed to end [73:42] in divorce within 5 to 7 years." [73:45] Every one of them, they didn't know each [73:46] other, said, "It's not infidelity. [73:49] Nothing to do with it. Most marriages [73:50] can [73:51] uh survive infidelity. [73:54] They can't survive financial stress. [73:57] And so what happens invariably is [73:59] you fall in love, but you didn't do any [74:01] due diligence on that person's spending [74:03] habits or their financial history [74:06] because l'amore is so wonderful in the [74:09] early days, you didn't do any diligence [74:12] on their family or them or their brother [74:17] or bankruptcy in the past or whatever it [74:19] is. [74:21] And then you get married and, you know, [74:23] the euphoria starts to wear off and you [74:25] notice that [74:26] the other is outspending you. [74:29] Just buying a lot of stuff. [74:32] Beyond your means. [74:35] And that starts the first friction. [74:38] And then that credit card comes in with [74:39] a $100,000 on it at 23% interest and [74:43] another [74:45] purse was bought or whatever the hell it [74:46] is. [74:48] And you're you're starting to sink [74:50] because you may have married somebody [74:52] who can't stop spending. This is just a [74:55] typical [74:57] There are people that can't have no [74:59] discipline. They just can't. They got to [75:01] have the boat, they got to have this, [75:03] they got to have that, and they pressure [75:04] their other to say, "Look, I want to [75:05] keep up with the Joneses next door." [75:07] even though they may only each have a [75:08] salary of a hundred grand each. [75:11] Can't do it. And they have kids and [75:12] they're trying to put them through [75:13] college. [75:15] That's divorce. That's why [75:18] almost 90% of of unions break up is is [75:22] is that classic [75:24] financial pressure. And divorce gets [75:28] them out of that mess because they can [75:30] no longer spend on your credit card [75:31] anymore, but it's a horrible way to go. [75:34] So, I've you know, I'm I'm an investor [75:35] in a company called HelloPrenup that [75:36] does divorces for uh does um [75:39] uh prenups for women. And prenups force [75:42] during the euphoric period diligence. [75:45] It's that simple. [75:47] You're going to find out if that person [75:48] has a financial problem going into the [75:50] marriage. They have to disclose [75:53] their financial background. [75:56] So, you you talk about these five love [75:57] languages of money. [75:59] The mooch, someone who won't pay for [76:01] anything. Right. Should I date someone [76:03] like that? It's a warning signal. It's a [76:06] problem. It's a problem so [76:07] Or they don't really want you for [76:09] companionship. They just want you for [76:11] financial support. [76:13] The spendaholic, someone who always [76:14] offers to pay for everything to appear [76:16] popular and successful. [76:18] Bad warning sign. Huge. I mean, that [76:21] isn't that is insecurity measurable by [76:24] cash outlay. [76:26] The loafer, someone who has no ambition [76:28] and drive for money. Avoid with extreme [76:30] prejudice. [76:33] The thief, someone who steals. You can [76:35] have no tolerance for that. And the [76:37] meanie, a balanced spender who lives [76:39] within their means. Love that. Marry a [76:42] meanie. [76:43] That's it. That's That's the Those are [76:45] the marriages that last an entire life. [76:47] That's it. That's what you're looking [76:49] for. That's great advice right there. [76:52] Whatever the book costs, that's that's [76:53] the best value right there. [76:55] And then ask yourself, am I dating one [76:57] of these or not? [76:59] You know? [77:01] You know, you should talk about money on [77:02] the third date. Think about a date Think [77:04] about dating. [77:05] First date, oh my goodness, this is a [77:06] really interesting person. Um or not. [77:09] Then there's your second date. Second [77:10] date, I want to learn more. [77:13] I'm really interested. You're going into [77:15] a third date, there's something going [77:16] on. There's something going on. You both [77:18] want to meet again. [77:20] That's the first time you should say, [77:21] "Look, I know this is crazy, [77:24] but [77:25] we're here together a third time because [77:27] something's going on here. And I'm just [77:29] wondering, [77:31] what are your long-term goals? I mean, [77:32] it's not about our marriage or anything [77:34] else other than we're having a great [77:35] time, but what are your ambitions? I'm [77:37] really interested in you. I'd like to [77:38] know what you think." [77:40] And then maybe the woman says or the guy [77:41] says, "What are you checking me out?" [77:42] You say, "Yeah. [77:44] Yeah, I'm really interested in you." [77:45] It's a form of [77:47] finding out if the connection, you know, [77:49] I I I should be a marriage counselor. [77:51] That's what I think. I mean, it's it's [77:53] really [77:55] Dating is is the is the dance, but it [77:57] should involve exploring where we're [78:00] going financially. [78:03] For many years, you've probably seen [78:04] this iPad sat in front of me. You've [78:05] probably wondered what's on it, and I'm [78:07] going to tell you today because they're [78:08] now our show sponsor, thankfully. It's [78:10] an app called Goodnotes, and it's where [78:11] I store all of my research, all of my [78:13] information, but also where I take notes [78:15] in real time when the guest is speaking [78:16] to me. I love this app because it's so [78:19] dynamic, but also because of this new [78:21] feature, which is called Ask Goodnotes. [78:24] It's basically my AI companion. I can [78:26] search the 200 pages sometimes of notes [78:29] and information that I have in front of [78:30] me in just seconds. I can type into the [78:33] Ask Goodnotes feature, "What was the [78:35] name of Kevin's mother?" I'm speaking to [78:38] Kevin O'Leary on the podcast. He starts [78:40] talking about his mother. I have a [78:41] couple of seconds to figure out what [78:43] she's called so I can ask him a question [78:44] about her in a polite way. Ask GoodNotes [78:47] to look through all of my notes, respond [78:48] back to me in seconds. If you're someone [78:51] that loves taking notes but your notes [78:53] are a mess and you can't read your own [78:54] handwriting, I may, I think GoodNotes [78:57] might be the solution for you. And Ask [78:59] GoodNotes, which is their new AI [79:00] feature, might just be the tool that [79:02] turns you into an organized person. [79:04] That's certainly how it feels for me. So [79:06] I asked GoodNotes if they would give my [79:08] listeners a 30-day free trial to try it [79:10] out and they've given us one on iOS and [79:12] Mac. So if you want to use that 30-day [79:14] free trial, go to goodnotes.com/doac [79:18] or sign up now for your yearly [79:19] subscription for just $9.99 per year. [79:23] That's $9.99 per year. Go to [79:25] goodnotes.com/doac. [79:28] I've built companies from scratch and [79:30] backed many more. And there's a blind [79:32] spot that I keep seeing in early-stage [79:34] founders. They spend very little time [79:36] thinking about HR. And it's not because [79:38] they're reckless or they don't care. [79:39] It's because they're obsessed with [79:41] building their companies and I can't [79:43] fault them for that. At that stage [79:44] you're thinking about the product, how [79:45] to attract new customers, how to grow [79:47] your team, really how to survive. And HR [79:50] slips down the list because it doesn't [79:51] feel urgent. But sooner or later, it is. [79:54] And when things get messy, tools like [79:56] our sponsor today, JustWorks, go from [79:58] being a nice-to-have to being a [80:00] necessity. Something goes sideways and [80:02] you find yourself having conversations [80:03] you did not see coming. This is when you [80:05] learn that HR really is the [80:06] infrastructure of your company and [80:07] without it, things wobble. And JustWorks [80:10] stops you learning this the hard way. It [80:12] takes care of the stuff that would [80:13] otherwise drain your energy and your [80:15] time, automating payroll, health [80:17] insurance benefits, and it gives your [80:18] team human support at any hour. It grows [80:22] with your small business from startup [80:23] through to growth, even when you start [80:25] hiring team members abroad. So if you [80:27] want HR support that's there through the [80:29] exciting times and the challenging [80:30] times, head to just works.com now. [80:33] That's justworks.com. [80:37] One of the bigger protagonists in the [80:38] story of many things we discussed, [80:39] money, investing, building businesses [80:41] now is this thing called artificial [80:43] intelligence which you mentioned [80:44] earlier. [80:44] Yes. It's like entered the room. Yes. [80:46] And it's changing lots of these [80:47] equations in a really profound way. [80:49] Again, for that person who is maybe at [80:52] the start of their career or even, you [80:53] know, they're they're a lawyer right [80:54] now. [80:55] How are you thinking about AI? What [80:57] should they be thinking about? Because I [80:58] don't think we've seen something quite [81:00] like this. Not certainly not in my [81:01] lifetime. I've not seen disruption of [81:02] this scale. I wasn't around for the dot [81:04] com boom. I was too young. I was 10 or [81:05] something. I was eight. Yeah. [81:07] So so how should we be thinking about [81:09] this moment? Is it a huge opportunity [81:11] for wealth creation or Yeah, it's [81:13] immense. It's bigger than the internet [81:14] and I'll tell you why. [81:16] I want to keep it down to earth because [81:19] I'm actually using it now in use cases. [81:22] There's every sector of the economy, [81:24] every aspect of research, every aspect [81:26] of business has a huge opportunity here. [81:28] But let's just take use cases that you [81:30] would understand, everybody listening [81:31] would understand. [81:33] In today's post-pandemic world [81:37] most businesses have developed, large or [81:39] small, direct-to-consumer strategies [81:41] where they try and build relationships [81:42] with customers and sell them product [81:44] direct. Yeah, they still use retail. [81:46] Say you're Nike or something. And [81:49] you we were 27% [81:51] you know, direct-to-consumer before the [81:53] pandemic, you're now 50%. And and [81:55] direct-to-consumer gets you higher [81:56] margins but also gets you data. Gets you [81:58] information about the preferences of [82:00] your customer base, what they like, what [82:01] they don't like, the flavors and what [82:02] they buy, when they buy, where they buy [82:04] it, all that stuff. [82:05] That's very interesting that data. [82:07] And [82:09] let me give you an example, wine [82:10] business. [82:11] If you think about [82:15] the wine business, the challenge of a [82:17] thousand-year-old business. [82:19] You don't know what the weather's going [82:20] to be like. You don't know what [82:21] varietals to to to grow because you [82:23] don't know what the preference of the [82:25] customer is because you're selling it [82:26] through multiple tiers of distribution. [82:28] During the pandemic, 43 states in [82:30] America opened up direct-to-consumer [82:32] sales from the wineries in the West [82:34] Coast. For the first time ever, the [82:35] wineries found out [82:37] what people buy, [82:39] where they buy it, when they buy it, [82:40] what they drink, what varietals. And I'm [82:42] in the wine business. I sell over 3 [82:43] million bottles a year of wine. [82:45] One of my companies, actually a Shark [82:47] Tank company. Um and we partner with a [82:49] company called [82:50] QVC. We sell online. And And so, [82:54] I can tell you today, [82:56] this month, this week, the number one [82:59] varietal in Southern Florida for women [83:01] ages 44 to 64 is Moscato, a sweet wine. [83:06] I think it tastes like [ __ ] I don't [83:08] care what I think. [83:09] It's the number one wine right now. And [83:11] I knew that to to make that varietal [83:13] available [83:14] 6 months ago, so that I would be able to [83:16] ship it and put the inventory, the CapEx [83:19] in the right place at the right time to [83:21] support that demand for the rest of this [83:24] summer. [83:25] A sweet, cold Moscato wine. [83:28] That means I spent a lot less money [83:30] and a lot less risk. I don't have any [83:32] varietals they don't want this summer. I [83:34] have exactly what they want. That was [83:35] AI. [83:37] It cost me virtually nothing to get that [83:41] data. [83:42] 5, 10 years ago would have cost me a [83:44] million bucks to go do all the market [83:45] research. I got that for $18,000. [83:49] So, that's using an AI tool. Here's [83:51] another example. So, do I use that tool? [83:53] 100%. And there's many tools. You don't [83:56] have to just use chat There's many [83:57] different competing platforms. So, we [84:00] use them all. We check the assumptions [84:01] by checking it all on all of them to see [84:03] the little variances. Number two. [84:06] I have to shoot an ad. [84:07] I have to shoot a commercial. [84:10] I'm going to shoot it here in LA. I'm [84:11] going to do it in a studio like this [84:13] with a green screen. And I'm going to [84:16] spend, you know, $250,000 for a 30 you [84:19] know, 15, a 30, and a 60 out of the same [84:22] shoot. [84:23] And I'm then going to go into post with [84:26] the green screen and I'm going to spend [84:27] more money in post. I'm going to add [84:28] whatever I need, whatever background I'm [84:30] going to need. [84:31] Or [84:32] I could fly to Dubai [84:35] where they have a giant studio with a 6K [84:38] digital wall [84:41] where AI links up your script [84:46] to the background. [84:47] There is no post-production. You [84:49] basically shoot the commercial [84:52] in 4 hours [84:54] and it's done. The background's perfect. [84:57] The imagery's perfect. Your script is [84:59] perfect. [85:00] And I did that 2 weeks ago for the first [85:02] time. I'd never seen that before. We did [85:05] it for a fraction of the cost of what it [85:07] would have cost to do it in the old way [85:08] in post-production. [85:10] But then I'll tell you what freaked me [85:11] out. [85:13] They reshot the commercial without me [85:16] there using Kevin agent. [85:20] An AI of you. I wasn't even there. [85:23] And just to show that they could produce [85:27] a new commercial with the same [85:28] background [85:30] for $9,000. [85:33] That would have cost $400,000 from [85:36] scratch. So there's going to be a lot of [85:38] job disruption then because as you said [85:40] that [85:40] You don't say. But on the other hand, [85:42] I've now got content for that particular [85:46] business I was shooting that you know, [85:47] I've got content for that particular [85:48] business I was going to shoot that [85:50] commercial for. [85:51] And I said, "Guys [85:54] let's tweak it and shoot it again." He [85:55] said, "Yeah, we'll do it in 2 seconds. [85:57] We'll send you the the 15 seconds back." [85:59] I said I I I don't like what I said [86:00] there. Can I change what I said? He [86:02] says, "Yeah, well, do you want it in [86:03] Spanish? You want it in Japanese? You [86:04] want it in Arabic?" [86:07] That's the power, the productivity that [86:09] we're going to get. We're going to Our [86:10] budgets for producing content [86:13] are going to drop dramatically over the [86:15] next [86:15] And software and everything else, right? [86:17] Creating everything is going to get [86:18] Now full circle to your your thing about [86:20] the chips, [86:21] that all came from Nvidia chips. [86:24] That not That's not from Chinese chips. [86:26] Whoever controls the chip and the [86:27] honeybees that The honeybees are Those [86:30] guys are all Indians and Pakistanis. [86:31] They're genius mathematicians. That's [86:33] the team over there running off that [86:35] platform. [86:36] If we had let Anyways, I don't want to [86:38] I'm just freaked out that we got to [86:39] control that. [86:41] We We need democracy to control that. [86:43] Your children, what are you saying to [86:45] them though about their professional [86:47] ambitions in a world where creating [86:49] stuff like that and, you know, whether [86:51] it's Who do you want to do your your [86:52] taxes? An accountant or an AI? Who do [86:54] you want to do your legal documents? Who [86:56] do you want to do [86:57] your any sort of like white-collar job, [86:59] your make your videos, edit your videos? [87:02] I I tell them, you know, everybody's got [87:03] a lot of anxiety. I I I tell them, [87:05] "Listen, [87:06] everybody chillax. It's a tool. [87:09] You know, it's the same classic thing [87:11] where [87:13] radio was going to be displaced by [87:16] television. Radio's bigger than it ever [87:17] has been. [87:19] It It just It doesn't matter. The one [87:21] thing I concern myself with with AI is [87:24] warfare. [87:25] And I think the country that has the [87:27] best AI and data centers [87:30] and the most advanced chip technology [87:32] will win the wars of the future, which [87:34] will be fought by drones and robots. I [87:36] know that sounds kind of crazy. That's [87:37] where it's happening now and that's [87:39] where it's going to go. So So when I [87:42] when I solicit the ear of a senator, I [87:45] try and explain to them my honeybee [87:46] analogy saying this is about defense. [87:49] I don't want to live under [87:51] authoritarian, you know, I know we [87:53] debate the whole political environment [87:55] these days, but [87:57] I don't want to live around Chinese [87:58] honey. [87:59] I just don't. And those are going to be [88:00] the two superpowers. You both You're in [88:03] one vertical. Either you let the Chinese [88:05] make the honey [88:06] on AI or we make the honey and let the [88:10] Chinese buy some honey from us. [88:12] I know where I want to live. I know what [88:13] I want to do, and I think I can convince [88:15] a lot of senators the same idea because [88:17] you got to understand the Wozniak Jobs [88:20] analogy that we that you brought out [88:22] earlier. [88:23] That was the genius of Jobs. [88:25] Make the honey, [88:27] but know who the queen bee is. The [88:28] genius of Jobs brings me to a question [88:30] I've wanted to ask someone like you for [88:31] a long, long time, which is do you think [88:33] Apple is dead? No. You don't? No, I'll [88:36] tell you why. I'll tell you why. You [88:38] know, it's so interesting. Uh people [88:40] don't understand the genius of Apple [88:41] because this is again came from Jobs. [88:45] You know, he used to say to my team over [88:48] and over again, and I mentioned earlier, [88:49] they don't know what they want until I [88:51] tell them. [88:53] And I always just just as close as you [88:55] and I are right now, you're Steve. [88:58] I say, Steve, [89:01] how the [ __ ] do you know that? [89:04] How do you know that? You don't know [89:06] that. [89:07] You don't know what you don't know. [89:10] He said, show me where I'm wrong. Show [89:12] me one instance of us working together [89:14] I'm wrong. I said, it hasn't happened [89:15] yet, Steve. Doesn't mean it won't. [89:19] Get back to work. [89:20] Don't worry about it. I'll worry about [89:22] it. You make the software. I have the [89:24] chips. Make the software. Go make the [89:27] honey. [89:28] I have the queen bee. Don't worry about [89:30] it. And [89:31] that [89:34] is pretty interesting because [89:37] you got to prove it that he [89:40] was wrong. Let's take Let's accelerate. [89:41] He's dead now. But the philosophy of [89:43] Apple, and I'll give you them what the [89:45] way you win at you look at it. [89:47] I can go buy [89:48] a $330 [89:50] laptop right here [89:53] with the same processing power of this [89:56] $1,800 Mac laptop. [90:00] Why would I been spend 1,800 when I [90:03] could buy this for 300? [90:05] Why? [90:07] Brand. [90:08] I want to be part of this universe. [90:11] This honey right over here. [90:14] The AppleCare, the fact that the OS [90:17] works on all the platforms, and the [90:18] messages are shown on all platforms [90:20] simultaneously. All the OS, all the [90:22] honey. [90:24] That platform [90:26] is the power of brand. [90:27] It's I'm not leaving this universe. And [90:31] Apple is [90:32] one of the world's largest [90:34] companies. [90:35] And you may say, "Oh, an innovation is [90:37] going to make everybody leave that [90:38] platform." I don't think so. They let [90:40] other people sometimes bring in a new [90:42] market, and then they take it over. And [90:44] I saw Steve do that multiple times. [90:47] He did it um [90:48] with the phone. I was around for that. [90:50] That was crazy. I mean, [90:54] he had the vision that we would someday [90:56] run our software on the phone. I said, [90:58] "You're out of your mind. It's The [90:59] screen's too small." He said, "No. [91:02] You're going to go vertical. You're [91:03] going to rewrite all this crap [91:04] vertically." [91:06] I mean, I can't fault him [91:08] on anything, although I kept telling [91:10] him, [91:11] "You're going to get it wrong one day. [91:13] You're not going to be right all the [91:14] time." I can't find when he wasn't [91:16] right. That That's That's the [91:18] frustration, because I teach this, [91:20] you know, to a hard bunch of really [91:21] smart kids at Harvard, of which by the [91:23] way a third are international students. [91:25] And [91:28] they say, "Well, when did you catch [91:29] him?" [91:31] I said, "I didn't." [91:32] What was he doing? [91:33] Was Did he have a practice or or [91:35] principles that allow him to see around [91:37] the corner? [91:39] He spent a lot of time at night um [91:44] you know, [91:46] even [91:47] studying fonts and looking at art, and [91:50] um [91:51] focusing on the signal. [91:53] I think his wife talked about that a [91:54] lot. He I mean, she spent more time with [91:56] him than anybody else, although Woz [91:58] talks about a lot, because those guys [91:59] spent countless hours together. [92:02] And [92:04] but but [92:06] Jobs defined [92:08] he would take [92:10] instances from nature [92:12] into his head or from Japanese, [92:15] you know, scripture or text or imagery [92:20] and redefine it into technology in a way [92:23] that no one else was doing. And that's [92:25] the idea of the honey and the bee and [92:27] the queen and all that stuff. It kind of [92:29] comes from his view of the world. [92:32] And [92:33] I don't know if you can understand this, [92:34] but because it was so [92:37] it came from nature, it was easy for [92:39] people to assimilate it. It wasn't [92:41] foreign. When they looked at the imagery [92:43] and the design, he he tried to pull from [92:47] from pleasing images from nature. Like [92:49] the fonts on the first Mac. [92:52] I remember when we were writing the code [92:53] for that thing, Steve, this is not what [92:56] people are used to seeing [92:58] on a computer screen. He said, "No, it [93:00] isn't. [93:01] That's why it's going to work." You If [93:03] you think about the very first scalable [93:05] fonts, [93:06] I saw that first. [93:08] And I said, [93:09] "See, this is this is almost foreign." [93:11] He said, "Well, how's it make you feel?" [93:12] I said, "It makes me feel pretty good. [93:13] It just looks like it's on a piece of [93:15] paper." If you I don't think you weren't [93:17] even born when this stuff was happening. [93:19] But it was [93:20] it he was so far ahead. [93:23] And this is the same way Elon is [93:25] redefining whether it's, you know, [93:27] SpaceX or whether it's [93:29] what he's doing in neurosurgery or Tesla [93:32] or, you know, [93:34] all of these initiatives, uh, you know, [93:36] his satellite technologies, [93:38] they are the same, those guys, except [93:41] you know, Elon's 100% signal. I said [93:43] that earlier. [93:44] They are the same and they should be [93:45] they're treasures. They're national [93:46] treasures. It doesn't matter if you like [93:48] them. It doesn't matter what their [93:50] politics are. It's It's irrelevant. The [93:52] contributions they're making to society [93:54] and to America, frankly, into [93:56] competitive competitive nature of of of [93:59] countries. That's why I thought it was [94:00] so important that Trump make up with [94:02] Elon. The [94:03] most powerful man on Earth should have a [94:05] a very [94:06] good relationship with the most the [94:08] richest man on Earth because he's the [94:09] largest industrialist on Earth. Maybe [94:11] there's like an inherent inability by [94:13] way of them being who you just said they [94:15] are. The most powerful [94:17] But they know, they're smart enough to [94:18] know. It's the same way I felt about [94:21] Jobs. I'm getting back on the plane this [94:23] quarter. I know he's going to beat me on [94:25] but it doesn't matter. It It's the [94:27] greater good is that we get this [94:29] software out there advancing [94:30] you know math and reading scores. [94:32] Was he happy? [94:34] Steve. I don't know the answer to that [94:36] question. [94:36] he was a happy person? I don't know. He [94:38] I've never I never saw him happy. He was [94:40] always barking at me. I never saw him [94:41] happy. I don't think I ever saw him [94:42] laugh. [94:45] I don't [94:46] He may not have been, you know, that I [94:48] mean, that's probably something [94:50] his wife would know, but he looked like [94:52] a tortured guy to me. [94:54] But um [94:57] you know, that may have been his curse. [94:59] I You know, you some some you [95:01] Do you love him? [95:02] Yeah. [95:03] I can see it in your face. [95:06] 100%. [95:07] I saw a lot of emotion in your face the [95:09] first time you spoke about him and I [95:10] thought that's surprising for someone [95:11] that barked at you. [95:13] Well, he respected me. That's for sure. [95:17] He wouldn't execute on my ideas. [95:19] He expected me to execute on his, but he [95:21] was never wrong. Where did the emotion [95:23] stem from? [95:25] Oh, you know, it brings me back into [95:26] that room with Heidi Roizen and all the [95:28] crazy crap. I mean, it was just nuts. [95:30] And you know, the [95:31] you know, I'd have to spend a lot of [95:32] time [95:33] The only the only meeting I really [95:35] remember um [95:36] the the one that's really sticks in my [95:38] mind [95:39] when we were in Cupertino and we were [95:42] just [95:43] I think I don't know we're going after [95:44] him for 18 million or something and [95:47] Heidi was there. [95:49] Who's Heidi? Heidi Roizen, um she's a [95:51] famous um [95:54] venture capitalist, but she was also [95:55] kind of the [95:57] muse, the person that could actually [96:00] deal with Jobs all day long [96:02] at Apple [96:04] and bring him back to earth when he was [96:05] out of his mind. I'll give you an [96:06] example how that would work. [96:08] And I've seen her since, you know, it's [96:10] it's it's I don't even know if she [96:12] remembers this particular [96:14] Anyways, we leave. [96:15] He's barking at me. He's he and he's got [96:17] one of my product managers in tears cuz [96:19] she wanted to do the market research and [96:20] he said, "No way. We're just going to do [96:22] what I say." And she just felt like her [96:24] job was useless. [96:25] And and for him it was. I mean, he just [96:27] didn't give a [ __ ] what she thought. [96:28] Although she ran the universe of Oregon [96:31] Trail or something, some massive title, [96:32] like a huge multi-million dollar title [96:34] on the Mac in every 110,000 schools in [96:37] America. [96:38] And [96:40] he he was so pissed that, you know, that [96:42] in these old buildings [96:44] they have the little window where you [96:46] have a little knob and it only opens up [96:48] 4 inches so you can't jump out of it in [96:49] a hotel or something. [96:51] So, we were we had a Hertz rental and [96:53] we're the whole team's going out. I'm [96:54] going to drive the car back to San [96:56] Francisco. I'm going to fly back to [96:57] Boston. [96:58] And he he undos the window and he's got [97:01] his head stuck in there and he's yelling [97:02] at me from from [97:09] I'm looking up at him and saying, [97:11] you know, [97:11] what the [ __ ] Like [97:13] what what more can we we what you [97:16] already kicked us out, you know? And [97:17] then on the way we had these old brick [97:19] the earliest cell phones, these brick [97:21] phones. [97:23] Heidi calls me says, "Okay, [97:25] he'll do it for 12 million." [97:27] I said, "Heidi, why do we have to go [97:28] through all that [ __ ] Like [97:31] why do we even have to get abused?" She [97:32] said, [97:34] "Why is the sky blue? [97:35] You know? [97:37] Just get back on the plane and go do [97:39] it." Like it was a huge hit. Like it's [97:41] just, you know, it's a huge hit. Like [97:42] it's just the guy was if you looked at [97:44] it like [97:45] he he he could he could write the hit [97:47] songs. what he did. He write the hit [97:49] songs. So you know what, even if you [97:50] hate the producer, you want the the guy [97:51] that can do the hit songs, right? If [97:53] you're an artist, you put up with a [97:54] crazy producer. Could he not have been [97:55] nice, do you think? [97:59] Not in his DNA. [98:00] No. [98:01] Do you think if he was a nice person, he [98:03] wouldn't [98:03] You know what he would say about that? [98:05] That's noise. [98:06] Who gives a [ __ ] Yeah, he doesn't give [98:07] a [ __ ] [98:08] No, I being nice is noise. That's for [98:10] him. [98:11] I mean, we spent a lot of time talking [98:12] about him, but I think there's a lot of [98:13] lessons learned from him that I think [98:15] managers today, parents today, uh [98:18] certainly CEOs today, uh you know, your [98:21] your about this show is about CEOs, um [98:24] I wish every CEO had spent the time the [98:28] minimal time that I spent with Jobs had [98:30] such an impact on me. [98:32] I mean, it it it I I'm I owe a lot of my [98:34] success to him cuz I think I always [98:36] think, "What would Steve do?" [98:39] And I make decisions like that. It's [98:41] amazing. The guy's still around. I bet [98:43] you if you talk to, you know, any of the [98:45] management at Apple, they they have that [98:47] ghost in those rooms, for sure. [98:53] Including the current CEO, who I think [98:54] is doing a phenomenal job. [98:56] He he spent so many hours with Jobs. He [98:58] knows exactly what I'm talking about. [99:01] Nobody spent more time in business than [99:03] that guy, for sure. I was just about to [99:04] go there. First, Steve Jobs was happy, [99:06] but are you happy? [99:08] I get happier the older I get and [99:11] because um I've I've I'm very [99:13] comfortable. I found a place [99:15] um [99:17] you know, uh [99:18] that I'm [99:20] And I I this may be just what [99:22] aging does. I mean, it's just, you know, [99:25] in in when I was in my 30s, I had a lot [99:27] of trauma and turmoil and and just, you [99:30] know, um [99:31] hard time to find it trying to figure [99:33] out who I was and I also suffered from [99:35] dyslexia, which I've come to think of as [99:37] a superpower, not not an affliction. But [99:40] it it was kind of like [99:42] it's hard to know what journey you're [99:44] going to be on until you find it. And [99:46] then I found it, and then I started on a [99:48] new journey. And and [99:51] you know [99:52] it's um [99:56] it's something where [99:58] you know you you you ask yourself [100:00] every day goes by and you know with this [100:02] the noise and signal thing and how much [100:04] of this day was I happy doing the things [100:07] that I wanted to do. And I am very happy [100:09] if you if I measure it by [100:11] is there anything that I spend my time [100:14] doing that I don't want to do today? The [100:16] answer is no, because I don't have to. [100:18] And so [100:20] I don't waste my time. I do you know [100:22] even coming here to spend two hours with [100:24] you [100:25] when I first you know heard about it, I [100:27] went online and said oh yeah this guy [100:29] this guy's great. I'd love to work with [100:30] him. You know that kind of thing [100:33] you you allocate your time. This is this [100:35] is I'm happy to do this. I want to be [100:37] here. And I think you know we had a very [100:38] interesting couple hours together. But [100:41] that's [100:43] the definition of happiness. What [100:44] concerns me and my wife often says to me [100:48] we don't need any more money. Why are [100:50] why are you flying 300 hours a year on [100:53] an airplane? What are you doing? [100:56] I said I'm happy. Like [100:59] you know I'm I'm happy doing this. I [101:00] want to do this stuff. You know I [101:02] sometimes I do five cities in a day. [101:04] It's freaking crazy. And that's the [101:06] wonderful thing about you know air [101:07] travel today you can do that. [101:09] But [101:10] it's It's spooky. [101:13] It's it's it's so interesting. I get so [101:15] many interesting opportunities. I can't [101:16] turn them down. They're just such [101:19] you know Are you driven or are you [101:20] dragged? You know you used the word [101:22] trauma there and I often ask myself that [101:23] question because I I came from a all [101:25] white area. I was the black kid with the [101:27] strange hair and the strange family. I [101:28] was insecure. And I think that resulted [101:31] in this this force of will to try and [101:34] crack the insecurity or to prove [101:35] something to myself which then resulted [101:38] in success. [101:39] there is no drag, there's only driven. [101:41] I don't understand being dragged. [101:43] Drag insinuates that [101:46] you don't care about performance, you [101:47] don't care whether you succeed or not, [101:49] you're just being sucked into the void [101:50] of success. You might be able to say [101:52] that for a rock star that gets a hit [101:54] song, but um [101:56] most of them doesn't last. I mean, you [101:58] need massive amounts of of drive. [102:02] And I love the most the most exciting [102:04] thing I like to do is when someone tells [102:05] me [102:07] "You can't do that." Like watch [102:09] insurance. You will never [102:11] launch a watch insurance company. It you [102:13] will never do that. You will never get [102:15] around the compliance state by state. [102:16] You will never launch in the Middle [102:18] East. You will never launch in England. [102:20] [ __ ] [102:21] That's exactly what I did. I found the [102:23] right team. I found the right partners. [102:25] I figured it out. I I was passionate [102:27] about it. And I think I'm going to kick [102:30] ass. I think I'm I think in two or three [102:32] years from now, you won't be able to [102:33] catch up with me. That's right. I'm 32 [102:36] years old. What what is the advice that [102:37] you wish you got at 32 years old, Kevin? [102:41] What I have learned, and this is [102:43] something that you should really think [102:45] about for yourself. [102:49] Your real value, your real brand, [102:53] are your followers. This army of people [102:56] that have decided to invest their time [102:58] in you. [103:00] You know, you've cut across a a vast [103:03] swath [103:05] of people. So, you influence [103:10] very successful managers, CEOs, [103:13] and a lot of young entrepreneurs want to [103:16] hear what you have to say because they [103:18] they're expecting you to deliver [103:19] valuable information [103:22] across [103:23] multiple sectors. And you also have your [103:26] own data, but men and women. And so, [103:29] where do you take that? Because, you [103:31] know, it's [103:32] Do you want to launch a clothing line? [103:34] Do you want to sell burgers? Do you want [103:36] to do consulting? You know, it's it's [103:40] You have all those opportunities, but [103:41] what fits your brand? [103:43] And so, [103:45] I have [103:47] and you'll get to do this. You'll get to [103:48] do this. [103:50] You'll be approached by a lot of people [103:51] that want to ride that network you've [103:53] built. [103:54] And my advice to you is [103:57] cuz this has really worked for me. [104:00] Is this a product or service that I [104:02] personally would use? [104:05] That I would actually use. [104:09] Because [104:10] you'll get offered a lot of money [104:12] to talk about one brand or another [104:14] brand. They will, and you may be weak [104:17] and take it. [104:18] But [104:20] the minute [104:23] anybody in your [104:26] network, in your [104:28] community thinks you're not authentic, [104:29] you're [ __ ] [104:31] And you know that. Yeah. [104:33] And so, [104:34] you better be authentic, you better be [104:36] transparent, you better be honest even [104:38] when turmoil hits, whatever it's going [104:39] to be. [104:40] I found that saved my ass so many times [104:43] by just saying, "Here's what I know. [104:45] Here's what happened." And that actually [104:47] bonds them even closer to you. And And [104:49] that's [104:51] that's the difficulty you're going to [104:52] have is how much [104:54] do you want to take next? Cuz you're [104:55] going to have that opportunity. But if [104:57] you stay authentic and say, "I'm going [104:58] to do I'm going to support this brand [105:00] cuz I use it." [105:02] Every single brand or commission I have [105:06] in supporting a business, I use myself. [105:09] I'm a shareholder in it and I believe in [105:12] it, and I use the product or, you know, [105:15] whatever. Like the wines I make myself [105:17] with my wife, we drink them in our [105:19] family and everybody knows that. So, you [105:22] if it's I wouldn't drink it if it's [ __ ] [105:23] wine. So, it's it's sort of like [105:26] that's my advice to you because [105:28] I meet a lot of people, but you're very [105:30] rare. You What you've built, maybe by [105:34] happenstance that it occurred. Whatever. [105:37] Alchemy occurred, you have it now. It's [105:40] yours to lose. Don't [ __ ] it up. [105:45] Now, everything you said is so true and [105:47] um [105:47] obviously the things that I uh the [105:49] things that we talk about on the show in [105:50] terms of brands that I promote, pretty [105:52] much all of them I've invested my own [105:53] money into. Yeah. And this is like what [105:55] I talked about my Whoop. Yeah. Um [105:58] if you look at the investments I have [105:59] and the things I talk about, there's a [106:00] really clear through line through them. [106:02] So, there's a really clear through line [106:03] and it's actually reflective of just [106:04] where I am in my life. There's actually [106:06] a sponsor I used to have on the show [106:07] that I was very big on and I just [106:08] stopped um I stopped consuming the [106:10] product. They offered me 6 million [106:12] pounds, which is about what 8 million [106:14] dollars, to continue for another year [106:15] and a half. And I said like it just [106:17] wouldn't I'm about to basically start um [106:21] talking about and investing in [106:23] the antithesis of what you do. Yeah. So, [106:25] I had to turn down that 7 million [106:27] dollars, which is a lot of money for [106:28] anybody. Yeah. But, it's because my life [106:30] shifted and I shifted in a different [106:32] direction. People don't see those [106:33] things. They they don't see that the [106:35] this foreign government comes along and [106:37] offers you 4 million dollars to go and [106:39] talk about their country or to go do the [106:41] diversity in their country. They don't [106:42] see those decisions that you make, but I [106:44] think hopefully if you listen to me long [106:45] enough, you'll see a through line [106:46] between the things that are authentic to [106:48] me. Yeah, and I think that So, you've [106:50] already figured it out. And the other [106:51] thing that I would do and say anybody [106:53] your age and because I wish I'd done it [106:55] is start focusing on longevity in your [106:57] 30s. Start thinking about what you eat [106:59] and what you drink and how much sleep [107:00] you do and how much exercise you have. [107:02] You're you could live to 120 years old. [107:05] I mean [107:06] You know, it's sort of if if you [107:07] understand If you're wearing a Whoop, [107:08] you know what I'm talking about. It's [107:09] sort of I'm very, very uh focused on [107:12] what I do and exercise and what I eat [107:14] and all that. Um [107:15] but uh that makes you feel healthier and [107:18] and more and just better about the your [107:20] day as you go through it. But, the fact [107:22] that you figured that out at your age, [107:24] because most people at your age would [107:25] have taken the 7 million pounds or [107:27] whatever it was, that would have been a [107:28] huge mistake. Because [107:30] now the next product that you do [107:32] endorse, I will know with certainty that [107:34] you use it because you told me this. [107:37] We have a closing traditional in this [107:38] podcast where the last guest leaves a [107:39] question for the next guest not knowing [107:40] who they're leaving it for. And the [107:41] question that was left for you, funnily [107:43] enough, I feel like I might have asked [107:44] it, is where do you believe happiness [107:46] really comes from? [107:55] You know, I think the answer is very [107:57] simple. Consistently achieving your [107:59] goals. [108:00] Because happiness is not a destination, [108:03] it's a journey. That's what it is. [108:06] So, you have to set those goals, whether [108:08] it's noise to signal, going full circle, [108:10] what we talked about, or long-term, [108:13] whatever it is, it's consistently [108:15] achieving those goals, [108:17] you will be happy. [108:18] Consistently not achieving them, you'll [108:20] be unhappy. Because it is not [108:24] a destination. Happiness is not a [108:26] destination. Ever. It's a mistake that's [108:30] so elusive. [108:32] I mean, [108:34] it's just not a destination, it's a [108:35] journey. That's it. [108:36] This is one of the great things you've [108:37] taught me today. I'm reaffirmed for me [108:39] today is this idea of like signaling [108:41] noise and radical prioritization because [108:43] kind of dovetailing into what we were [108:44] just talking about, when you have a lot [108:45] of opportunity, [108:47] it gets even harder, I think, to know [108:50] which one should be taking your 18 hours [108:52] a day. This is something I struggle [108:54] with. [108:54] should feel it. You know, you're you're [108:56] you're kind of a weird dude, cuz you're [108:57] like a 70-year-old man in a 30-year-old [108:59] body. [109:00] You've got You've got the intellect of [109:01] of experience, which most people don't [109:03] have at your age. But, deals, [109:06] there's a certain feeling that you if if [109:10] you should feel that it's a good deal. [109:13] It should It should be in your gut. And [109:14] I've learned this. There's many deals [109:16] that sound great that [109:18] when I just do the gut check, I don't [109:20] participate in. They just don't give me [109:25] And that came from experience, but you [109:27] seem to have that in some [109:29] weird way to avoid that one we just [109:31] talked about. That's [109:33] it it's it's it's intuitive feeling that [109:35] you generally get by having a lot of [109:36] winners and losers over time. [109:38] Mhm. [109:38] But you seem to have accelerated that [109:40] somehow. [109:41] It's an intuitive nature of where you [109:43] want to get to and [109:45] what it's going to take to get there, [109:47] and there's going to be sacrifice along [109:48] the way. [109:50] It's never about the money. Never. It's [109:53] not about the money. [109:55] It's [109:56] you know, [109:58] it's do I want to achieve that goal? [110:03] You know, I'm having a it's it's just a [110:04] weird thing because I'm [110:06] I had a similar situation just a couple [110:08] of days ago. [110:10] You know, when somebody approached me [110:11] and said, "Look, can you get behind this [110:13] and [110:14] and back it, and I'll pay you [110:18] a ton, like just a crazy amount of [110:19] money." And I thought, [110:22] "Do I actually want to spend 1 hour [110:23] pursuing that?" [110:27] And I went back to him and said, "Look, [110:28] um [110:29] no. I I just it's just not interesting. [110:31] I I just I don't I can't see my I I [110:33] can't see myself getting involved in [110:35] that narrative." Which was it was a [110:36] complicated situation, but [110:40] And then he said, "Look, [110:42] how about I give you 2 and 1/2% of the [110:43] company?" [110:46] I said, "No." [110:48] I I just don't want to be associated I [110:50] you know, it's just it's same idea. It [110:51] would intuitively [110:54] It was noise. Yeah, and what that would [110:56] do is some opportunity you don't know [110:59] about down the future that you have you [111:01] you you you pursued some goal that [111:03] somehow tainted your brand, and that [111:05] opportunity never comes to you. You [111:07] you're you're the you're the captain of [111:09] your brand. You you to [111:11] you have to define yourself right [111:13] through the journey. It's hard. [111:16] It's really hard. You know, it's it's uh [111:21] it's really hard. And that And that if [111:23] if there's going to be a downfall for [111:24] you, you will have [111:25] chosen unwisely somewhere. [111:28] But it better not be for money. [111:30] That's [111:32] there should never be an amount that you [111:33] would [111:34] take because [111:36] if your gut says no, it doesn't matter [111:39] what the money is. Not after what you've [111:40] achieved. [111:42] I mean, you don't need to buy a [111:43] guarantee anymore. You got it. [111:46] I'm assuming you've put some away. [111:48] I mean, it's very simple. [111:50] If you've got 5 million bucks in the [111:52] bank, you can do whatever you want now. [111:55] I mean, it's [111:57] may sound I want more, but that is [111:59] enough under ca- [112:01] Always have Always I have an account [112:04] that just sits there with 5 million [112:07] bucks in it in T-bills. [112:09] I never touch it. [112:12] That's my nest egg. [112:15] Kevin, thank you. You got