IMAX Rejects Disney Request to Displace Dune 3 for Avengers

Is IMAX a Screaming Buy? | LFTC — The Compound

The Compound

CEO Rich Gelfond states IMAX will honor contractual commitments to directors over studio pressure while expanding into consumer merchandise and automotive audio systems.

AI-assisted summary of Is IMAX a Screaming Buy? | LFTC — original source. Check the original for full context.

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## Background Published on YouTube by The Compound on August 10, 2026, this episode of "Live From The Compound" features hosts Josh Brown and Michael Batnick discussing IMAX Corporation with its long-time CEO, Rich Gelfond. The video description highlights how IMAX accounts for roughly 4% of global screens yet routinely captures over 20% of opening weekend grosses for major blockbusters, exploring the company's director relationships, operational constraints, and future profit drivers.

## TL;DR IMAX CEO Rich Gelfond outlines how the company transformed into an indispensable global curator that major Hollywood studios build their biggest tentpoles around, driving massive box office share for event releases like Christopher Nolan's *The Odyssey*. The discussion covers high-stakes studio scheduling conflicts over limited screens, the strict economics and hardware scarcity behind 70mm film projection, and efforts to diversify content with foreign releases, live events, and streaming partnerships. Gelfond also addresses expanding revenue streams through consumer merchandise and automotive audio/visual systems, while sharing his outlook on the 2026–2027 slate and IMAX's market valuation.

## Atmosphere & style The episode has an energetic, sharp, and conversational financial-media vibe, blending institutional investment analysis with lighthearted pop-culture banter and theater-going nostalgia. Hosts Josh Brown and Michael Batnick maintain a quick-witted, peer-to-peer rapport with Rich Gelfond, who speaks with the candid authority of a veteran CEO who grounds his optimism in hard earnings and multi-year visibility. Listening to the exchange feels like an engaging insider deep-dive into Hollywood economics and brand strategy, shifting seamlessly from high-stakes studio turf wars to quirky anecdotes about dedicated moviegoers.

## Key takeaways - [00:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=17s) IMAX is a global curator in the entertainment ecosystem, operating over 800 screens in China alone and routinely generating over 20% of opening weekend box office for major tentpole films despite representing only ~4% of global screens. - [04:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=261s) Institutional loyalty to directors is a core IMAX brand tenet, demonstrated by prioritizing Christopher Nolan's Oppenheimer over Paramount's Mission: Impossible and selecting Denis Villeneuve's Dune 3 over Disney's request for Avengers: Doomsday. - [08:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=480s) IMAX maintains strong revenue visibility locked through 2028 and 2029, integrating into studio greenlight decisions before films land distributors. - [08:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=480s) IMAX is expanding into consumer merchandising, selling tens of thousands of film strips and camera popcorn buckets in minutes to capture additional profit margin. - [14:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=888s) Major theater exhibitors underprice IMAX tickets through uniform pricing and discount days, while independent venues command $50+ per ticket and third-party scalpers resell prime tickets for up to $1,000. - [17:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1046s) Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey shattered internal projections by reaching $300 million in IMAX box office with $40 million locked in pre-sales. - [18:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1128s) IMAX is expanding its brand beyond theaters into consumer goods and automotive AV systems for autonomous vehicles in China. - [21:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1289s) Scarcity and high economics—such as $50,000 print costs and hard-to-find projector hardware—limit IMAX's 70mm network to around 41 global locations. - [23:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1429s) IMAX is diversifying content beyond Hollywood tentpoles with over 120 pieces of content annually, including anime, Indian cinema, alternative live events, and classic re-releases. - [26:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1584s) Streaming services like Apple, Amazon, and Netflix partner with IMAX to eventize major releases, providing exclusive theatrical windows before home streaming. - [27:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1667s) IMAX acts as a co-producer with top directors like Christopher Nolan, engineering custom noise-dampening camera blimps and optimizing aspect ratios. - [34:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2087s) Audience behavior has fundamentally shifted from casual weekend moviegoing to strictly event-driven visits, making IMAX a destination format. - [37:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2260s) IMAX's slate for 2026-2027 includes major titles like The Legend of Zelda, Star Wars, and Avengers, maintaining high predictability across a 120-film annual portfolio. - [41:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2464s) IMAX is not actively seeking an acquisition, but management remains open to discussions if a buyer offers a true blowaway price.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=17s) Institutional Platform Sponsorship and Guest Introduction

The episode opens with a mid-roll spot highlighting Betterment Advisor Solutions as a core operational platform for registered investment advisors (RIAs) looking to streamline smaller accounts and segment their book of business through automated, paperless onboarding and tax-efficient portfolio management. Following the sponsor message, hosts Josh Brown and Michael Batnick welcome Rich Gelfond, Chief Executive Officer of IMAX Corporation. Gelfond has served as CEO since April 2009 and a director since 1994, when he and Bradley Wexler originally acquired the company; he previously co-helmed IMAX as co-CEO (1996–2009) and co-chairman (1999–2009) after transitioning from a career in M&A law and investment banking.

The hosts frame IMAX as one of the single most pivotal hubs in the global motion picture industry, arguing that a dedicated IMAX opening weekend has become the ultimate lifeblood of big-budget theatrical releases. Gelfond accepts the premise, characterizing IMAX not merely as a theater network or camera supplier, but as a global curator situated right in the center of the entertainment ecosystem. He details how an IMAX release serves as the essential catalyst for turning event titles into runaway global blockbusters.

- **Key Corporate History:** Gelfond acquired IMAX alongside Bradley Wexler in 1994, serving as co-CEO and co-chairman through 2009 before taking over as sole CEO. - **Stock Pitch Context:** Michael Batnick notes he pitched and purchased IMAX stock on May 14, 2024, at $17 per share. - **Global Footprint:** IMAX operates over 800 screens in China alone. - **International Hit Example:** IMAX carried the Chinese animated sensation *Ne Zha* (referred to as *Neha* in conversation), which went on to gross $1.2 billion USD worldwide.

---

[04:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=261s) Scheduling Conflicts, Director Loyalty, and Studio Turf Wars

The conversation turns to the intense rivalry between major Hollywood studios and A-list filmmakers for control over IMAX's limited high-margin screens. Gelfond recount’s Tom Cruise's relentless campaign to secure extended screen time for *Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One* (*Mission: Impossible 7*). Cruise found his theatrical run abruptly truncated during its second week because IMAX had previously guaranteed exclusive screen access to Christopher Nolan for *Oppenheimer*. Despite mounting pressure from Paramount Pictures—who argued that a long-form, partially black-and-white biopic about a physicist was a foolish choice to prioritize over a marquee action franchise—IMAX refused to breach its contractual pledge to Nolan. Gelfond stresses that institutional loyalty to visionary directors is a core brand tenet that IMAX will not compromise.

This rigid commitment strategy is currently playing out in a high-stakes standoff surrounding Denis Villeneuve's upcoming *Dune 3*. When Disney and Marvel Studios shifted *Avengers: Doomsday* directly into the same holiday release window, they requested that IMAX accommodate or swap out *Dune 3*. Because Villeneuve shot portions of the film using IMAX cameras and committed to a massive 70mm film print distribution, IMAX declined Marvel's request to honor its pre-existing deal. In response, Disney announced "Infinity Vision," a proprietary branding effort that bundles third-party premium large format (PLF) auditoriums featuring "X" branding to sell advance tickets for Marvel titles. Gelfond remains unfazed by Disney's initiative, dismissing it as a re-labeling marketing trick rather than true hardware innovation.

- **The Oppenheimer Bet:** Paramount executives heavily pushed back on IMAX allocating prime summer screens to *Oppenheimer*, calling it a risk for a historical biopic. - **The Dune 3 vs. Avengers Standoff:** *Dune 3* is taking the premier Christmas slot; IMAX turned down Disney's request to displace Villeneuve's title for *Avengers: Doomsday*. - **Disney's Counter-Strategy:** Disney introduced "Infinity Vision" to group non-IMAX PLF auditoriums together after failing to secure primary IMAX screen allocation. - **70mm Print Parity:** *Dune 3* is planned to receive an identical volume of physical 70mm film prints as Nolan's major releases (*Oppenheimer* and *The Odyssey*).

---

[08:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=480s) Revenue Levers, Future Slate Visibility, and Unlocking Merchandising

Examining the box office metrics, the hosts highlight how Christopher Nolan's *The Odyssey* generated $461 million domestically through its first 24 days, vastly outpacing *Oppenheimer*'s early $264 million domestic run over the same timeframe. Responding to skepticism regarding IMAX's valuation—which moved from a $1 billion market cap when trading at $17 to roughly $3 billion—and Wall Street's fear of cyclical box office slowdowns, Gelfond argues that IMAX enjoys far higher long-term revenue visibility than typical consumer or auto stocks. Due to an extensive hardware installation backlog and film slates locked in years in advance, IMAX operates with multi-year contract guarantees.

To expand margins beyond its core take-rate on box office receipts, IMAX is building out an in-house consumer merchandising vertical. Gelfond illustrates this explosive demand through recent physical product drops tied to *The Odyssey*: an initial run of 2,500 replica IMAX camera popcorn buckets sold out within two hours, a second batch of 2,500 sold out in under an hour, and a 2,500-unit release in China cleared in 60 seconds. Additionally, IMAX sold 20,000 authentic film-strip keepsakes in just 90 minutes. Beyond merchandise, IMAX is integrating directly into studio greenlight decisions—filmmakers now pitch Gelfond directly two to three years before production to lock in screen dates before even landing a distributor, as was the case with Jerry Bruckheimer and Joseph Kosinski's *F1*.

- **Box Office Comparison (24-Day Domestic):** *The Odyssey* reached $461 million, compared to *Oppenheimer*'s $264 million. - **Future Slate Commitment:** IMAX has locked film slates into 2028 and 2029, including Sam Mendes' four-part Beatles biopics for Sony Pictures. - **Merchandise Velocity:** Sold 20,000 collectible film strips in 90 minutes; sold out multiple batches of camera popcorn buckets globally in minutes. - **Studio Greenlight Role:** Major studios increasingly require a confirmed IMAX release agreement before greenlighting $200M+ tentpole projects.

---

[14:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=888s) Dynamic Ticket Pricing and the Economics of 70mm Film

The session concludes with an analysis of theater exhibition economics, ticket pricing inefficiencies, and the superior profitability of physical film projection. Gelfond points out that exhibition partners like AMC are significantly underpricing IMAX tickets by maintaining uniform pricing or including premium screens in discount programs—such as half-price Wednesdays in New York City ($14 per ticket)—even while third-party scalpers re-sell peak weekend tickets for upwards of $1,000. While venue operators like Las Vegas's Brendan Theaters successfully command $50 per ticket and routinely sell out, major chains have been slow to adopt dynamic pricing for high-demand cinematic events.

Gelfond highlights that expanding the 70mm film format remains a primary driver of higher occupancy, stronger utilization rates, and greater box office "indexing" (IMAX's percentage share of total movie grosses). IMAX currently maintains 40 specialized commercial theaters equipped with physical 70mm film projectors, with at least four major tentpole releases planned for film projection in the coming year. Although physical film prints involve higher up-front logistics and manufacturing costs than digital delivery, the resulting buzz drives higher box office concentration, pushing IMAX's market share past 20%—and occasionally above 30%—on major opening weekends.

- **Pricing Disparity:** AMC sells IMAX tickets for as low as $14 on discount days, whereas independent operators like Brendan Theaters in Las Vegas charge $50 and sell out weeks in advance. - **70mm Projection Network:** IMAX maintains 40 functional 70mm film auditoriums globally, with four film-native releases scheduled for the upcoming slate. - **Box Office Indexing:** IMAX screens account for roughly 4% of total worldwide screens, yet routinely capture 20% to over 30% of total opening weekend box office revenues on flagship releases.

[17:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1046s) Overdelivering on Box Office Expectations and the Global BFI Craze

Rich Gelfond shares an insider story about how IMAX internal projections often underestimate the true demand for massive theatrical releases. Right before the opening of Christopher Nolan's latest epic, *The Odyssey*, Gelfond gathered his management and film team. His team calculated an ultimate IMAX box office take of $190 million, whereas Gelfond personally predicted it would cross $300 million. When his executives scoffed at his optimism—thinking he was just an over-hyping CEO—Gelfond told them to act as if he knew what he was talking about and build an operational strategy to capitalize on that $300 million figure.

Ultimately, Gelfond's call proved too conservative. The film reached nearly $300 million in IMAX box office with an additional $40 million already locked in via advance ticket pre-sales, ensuring at least $340 million even without selling another ticket. Showings were extended through September, with iconic locations like London's BFI IMAX completely sold out through mid-September. The conversation starts off with light banter about local New York football rivalries, with Josh Brown teasing that there are "no Jets fans, only victims."

- **Original Team IMAX Projection for *The Odyssey*:** $190 million - **Rich Gelfond's Prediction:** $300+ million - **Actual Box Office + Pre-sales:** $300 million current box office plus $40 million in pre-sales ($340 million guaranteed baseline) - **BFI IMAX London:** Fully sold out through mid-September

[18:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1128s) Valuing IMAX Against the Sphere and Expanding Beyond Theaters

Josh Brown raises a comparison between IMAX and Sphere Entertainment, noting that while the single-location Sphere in Las Vegas became one of the hottest stocks of 2026, IMAX boasts a globally recognized brand on par with Disney or Nike according to NRG brand studies. Despite this prestige, IMAX hasn't always received full equity market recognition for its brand equity. Brown points out the contrast between the $2 billion to $3 billion required to build a single Sphere venue versus IMAX's ability to retrofit existing multiplex screens worldwide.

Gelfond praises the Sphere's technology but remains skeptical of its underlying economics, questioning how a single venue can generate acceptable returns on a $3 billion capital outlay. In contrast to speculative tech or venue plays, Gelfond emphasizes that he grounds his leadership and personal investing style in hard earnings and cash flow. To better monetize its top-tier brand, IMAX is pushing into adjacent categories, including consumer merchandising and partnering on high-end in-vehicle audio/visual systems for autonomous cars in China.

> "I don't put my finger in the air and say, 'Hey, this is worth $2 trillion.' Not the way I invest. I like looking at earnings and cash flow."

- **Brand Equity Benchmarks:** NRG studies rank IMAX brand recognition alongside Disney and Nike. - **Sphere Construction Cost:** Estimated near $3 billion for a single venue. - **Stock Performance:** IMAX equity has appreciated substantially since 2024 lows, rewarding early investors like Michael Batnick. - **New Revenue Streams:** Automotive AV systems for driverless cars in China and consumer brand merchandising.

[21:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1284s) The Economics and Scarcity of 70mm Film Projectors

The hosts discuss the unique allure of 15-perforation/70mm film—the "Rolls-Royce of moviegoing"—and why IMAX cannot simply deploy hundreds of these locations despite massive consumer demand. Josh Brown recounts visiting an IMAX 70mm screen in Fort Lauderdale inside what felt like an abandoned science museum, noting that while New York 70mm shows sell out instantly, awareness varies in smaller markets. Gelfond counters that their Fort Lauderdale venue actually turns solid numbers, but highlights a recent success story in Los Angeles: converting the screen at LA Live on January 1st generated $800,000 in its first six months, with the initial weeks driven by intense demand for film projection.

The core bottleneck preventing wide expansion of 15/70mm projection is pure economics and hardware scarcity: 1. **Print Costs:** A single 70mm film print costs roughly $50,000 to manufacture and ship to a single theater. 2. **Projector Costs & Scarcity:** The physical projectors cost far more than the prints. They were designed decades ago, are no longer mass-produced, and require IMAX to constantly scavenge the globe for spare parts and retrofits. 3. **Location Density:** The high upfront capital and print costs mean 70mm film setups can only break even in ultra-high-traffic flagship urban markets.

IMAX currently operates 41 70mm film screens globally (up from 30 during *Oppenheimer*'s run, with 25 located in the United States). Gelfond hints at a proprietary new operational initiative that could potentially add 10 more 70mm screens to the network in the near future.

[23:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1429s) Diversifying Content: Alternative Events, Foreign Films, and Anime

To smooth out the natural lumpiness of the traditional Hollywood theatrical box office, IMAX has aggressively expanded its content pipeline beyond mainstream domestic blockbusters. In 2025, IMAX programmed over 120 distinct pieces of content. International and local-language films have become a primary growth engine, experiencing a 24% CAGR from 2019 to 2025. Japanese anime brings in massive global receipts not just in Japan, but across China and Western markets. Upcoming Indian releases, such as the blockbuster *Raagman* (and its scheduled sequel *Raagman 2*), are receiving coordinated global IMAX rollouts.

In addition to local-language films, IMAX is experimenting with non-film events and alternative content: - **Live Concerts & Events:** A remastered live release of Talking Heads' *Stop Making Sense* (introduced by David Byrne at the Toronto International Film Festival) performed exceptionally well. - **Classic Rereleases:** Eventized anniversary runs, such as bringing Christopher Nolan's *Interstellar* back to IMAX screens, pulled in over $5 million in limited windows. - **Sports & Television:** Testing live broadcast events including the NBA Finals in China, European NHL game screenings, and special HBO premiere episodes.

Gelfond notes that the primary barrier to doing more single-weekend classic re-releases is marketing expense; without a full studio promotional budget with plane banners and bus wraps, re-releases must be iconic titles to justify the localized advertising spend.

[26:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1584s) Partnering with Streamers and Eventizing Big Director Releases

IMAX has positioned itself as the premier theatrical partner for major streaming platforms (Apple TV+, Amazon MGM Studios, and Netflix) looking to "eventize" their flagship movie launches. Gelfond points to recent wins, such as Apple's *F1* (which grossed $100 million in IMAX alone out of its $600 million global total) and Amazon's *Project Hail Mary* (which also crossed $100 million in IMAX).

A major upcoming milestone is a direct distribution partnership with Netflix for David Fincher's upcoming film starring Brad Pitt (written by Quentin Tarantino and featuring his *Once Upon a Time in Hollywood* character Cliff Booth). Netflix is granting the film an exclusive theatrical window in IMAX between Thanksgiving and Christmas before it streams on their platform. Because Brad Pitt's career-highest box office success came via IMAX-supported releases like *F1*, the star actively pushes for exclusive IMAX release windows.

> "Brad Pitt... loves IMAX because we helped make that. So he's going to promote that, and it's exclusively in IMAX before running afterwards on Netflix streaming."

[27:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1667s) The Christopher Nolan Partnership and Director-Driven Filmmaking

Michael Batnick describes his experience watching *The Odyssey* in a digital IMAX location, calling it an unbelievable experience. Gelfond explains that IMAX acts almost as a co-producer when collaborating with top-tier auteur directors. For *The Odyssey*, Christopher Nolan presented IMAX with a list of 15 strict technical requirements before production. To make dialogue recording possible on set, IMAX engineered custom sound-dampening enclosures—known as "blimps"—around their famously noisy 70mm film cameras. This allowed actors like Matt Damon to perform emotional dialogue without the loud mechanical whirring of film gear in their faces. IMAX also pre-positioned replacement projector parts in regional hubs worldwide and personally trained dedicated projectionists to guarantee flawless playback.

This director-led approach has spread across the industry: - **Ryan Coogler (*Sinners*):** Designed a custom aspect ratio guidebook sent to theaters to ensure exact visual presentation. - **Denis Villeneuve (*Dune: Part Three*):** Designing camera setups and shots specifically around IMAX framing from early pre-production.

These technical collaborations pay off in prolonged box office legs and massive advance ticket backlogs that extend long past traditional opening weekends.

[31:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1881s) Studio Mergers, Industry Prognosticators, and the Resurgence of Comedies

Addressing industry speculation surrounding major media consolidations—such as the ongoing Paramount and Warner Bros. deals—Gelfond remains unfazed by Hollywood punditry. He points out that industry "prognosticators" have been consistently wrong for decades, from predicting that radio and television would kill movie theaters to asserting during COVID-19 that streaming would keep audiences "chained to the couch with their kids screaming." While the potential loss or restructuring of legacy studios creates noise, new stream-backed slates (like David Ellison promising 30 films a year with traditional 45-day theatrical windows) keep the supply of eventized content strong.

The conversation turns to changing audience tastes in 2026. While pundits claimed indie movies were dead back in 2024, lower-budget hits like *The Backrooms* and *Obsession* proved horror and indie titles are thriving. Michael Batnick laments the decade-long drought of theatrical comedies—driven by cancel culture fears and ballooning talent costs—but highlights recently watching *The Invite* in a packed theater. The hosts and Gelfond agree that shared, communal experiences like group laughter or immersive IMAX scale cannot be replicated at home.

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[34:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2087s) Changing Consumer Habits and the Eventization of Cinema

The hosts and Rich Gelfond dive into whether specific film genres, particularly comedies, can ever return to the box office dominance they once enjoyed. Addressing whether comedies could make a comeback in theaters, Gelfond jokes that while characters who "never leave the apartment" probably won't hit an IMAX screen, he "never says never about anything." He acknowledges recent romantic comedies like the Sydney Sweeney and Glen Powell hit *Anyone but You* as proof that the genre still holds life. However, Gelfond notes that for a film to warrant an IMAX release, it generally needs massive box office potential or heavy action scale, though IMAX can certainly elevate action-comedies.

Gelfond shares a funny anecdote illustrating audience passion, recounting how fans attending Christopher Nolan's *The Odyssey* built a wooden Trojan horse on a wagon. Two people hid inside while a third bought a single ticket and pushed the cart into the theater, only for the wagon doors to burst open and drop the two hidden fans onto the lobby floor.

Josh Brown points out a fundamental shift in how audiences view cinema compared to the 1980s. Growing up on Long Island, people would go to the movies on a rainy day simply to see whatever was playing; today, moviegoing is strictly event-driven. Consumers decide they want to see a specific event movie, and they specifically seek out the IMAX format to experience it. Gelfond enthusiastically agrees, sharing that IMAX's corporate strategy years ago was explicitly designed to turn IMAX itself into the destination. His own stepson goes to an IMAX theater almost every weekend based purely on format loyalty.

- **Genre Dynamics:** While rom-coms like *Anyone but You* demonstrate theatrical viability, IMAX prioritizes large-scale blockbusters to maximize screen utilization and revenue. - **Audience Anecdote:** Dedicated fans built a Trojan horse setup to sneak into *The Odyssey* in IMAX. - **Strategic Vision:** Shifted consumer targeting from "let's go see a movie" to "let's go to the IMAX."

---

[37:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2260s) Directors as Stars and the Packed 2026–2027 Slate

The conversation shifts to the core elements required for modern blockbuster success: the format (IMAX), star power, and prominent directors. Josh and Michael argue that top directors like Christopher Nolan, Denis Villeneuve, and Paul Thomas Anderson have become the real movie stars drawing audiences. Gelfond agrees in part, though he notes that while auteur directors like Steven Spielberg, Martin Scorsese, or PTA hold immense prestige, their box office numbers often cap out lower than tentpole franchise films. Success requires a combination of star power, director vision, and strong general appeal.

Looking ahead at the upcoming slate for late 2026 and 2027, the hosts and Gelfond run through a heavy lineup of major theatrical releases coming to IMAX. Director Wes Ball reached out directly to Gelfond a year prior insisting that Nintendo's *The Legend of Zelda* must be shot for IMAX. Gelfond emphasizes that while individual box office returns are difficult to forecast, the overall business model is highly predictable because IMAX maintains clear visibility on theater installations, backlogs, and slate schedules.

- **2026–2027 Slate Highlights:** *The Legend of Zelda* (directed by Wes Ball), a new *Star Wars* film starring Ryan Gosling, *Frozen 3*, *Minecraft*, *Shrek 5*, *The Mummy*, *Dune* expansions, and the next *Avengers* sequel scheduled for Christmas 2027. - **Financial Projections & Guidance:** Last year, IMAX guided to $1.2 billion in global box office and finished at roughly $1.3 billion. For the current year, they guided to $1.4 billion and are within ~$300 million of that goal with seven months remaining. - **Content Portfolio Strategy:** Gelfond compares their 120-film annual slate to a diversified investment portfolio where individual misses are offset by major breakout hits.

---

[41:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2464s) Buyout Rumors and Content Creation Ambitions

Addressing corporate strategy, Josh brings up persistent stock market rumors regarding buyout offers for IMAX. He points out the stark disconnect between IMAX's massive global brand recognition and its relatively modest market capitalization, asking Gelfond if potential suitors are constantly knocking on the door. Gelfond states candidly that while "people have been kicking the tires over a very long period of time," the best decision the company made was not selling out a decade ago, as it allowed them to capture enormous growth independently. He reiterates his stance to Bloomberg: if a buyer offers a true "blowaway price" that maximizes shareholder value, management will listen, but they are not actively seeking a sale.

Finally, the discussion touches on whether IMAX plans to produce its own commercial films. While IMAX historically produced documentaries—such as their recent collaboration with Amazon on *The Blue Angels* before sending it to institutional screens—Gelfond points to experimental theatrical releases like *Cliff Booth* (releasing exclusively in IMAX theatrically) as a template for testing non-traditional and original content partnerships. The interview closes with Josh and Michael expressing appreciation for IMAX's unique market position and strong stock momentum.

- **M&A Stance:** IMAX is not actively soliciting acquisition offers, but management remains open to discussions if presented with a premium takeover price. - **Documentary & Alternative Content:** IMAX continues producing specialty non-fiction titles like Amazon's *The Blue Angels*, leveraging institutional screens post-theatrical run. - **Closing Remarks:** Gelfond highlights that there has "never been a better time" to discuss IMAX's operational momentum as theater footprints and film slates expand globally.

## Notable quotes > [18:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1128s) I don't put my finger in the air and say, 'Hey, this is worth $2 trillion.' Not the way I invest. I like looking at earnings and cash flow. — Rich Gelfond

> [26:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1584s) Brad Pitt... loves IMAX because we helped make that. So he's going to promote that, and it's exclusively in IMAX before running afterwards on Netflix streaming. — Rich Gelfond

> [17:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1046s) no Jets fans, only victims. — Josh Brown

## Mentioned IMAX Corporation, Rich Gelfond, Josh Brown, Michael Batnick, The Compound, Betterment Advisor Solutions, Bradley Wexler, Christopher Nolan, Denis Villeneuve, Tom Cruise, Oppenheimer, The Odyssey, Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One, Dune 3, Avengers: Doomsday, Infinity Vision, Disney, Marvel Studios, Paramount Pictures, Sony Pictures, Apple TV+, Amazon MGM Studios, Netflix, F1, Project Hail Mary, Sam Mendes, David Fincher, Brad Pitt, Quentin Tarantino, Ryan Coogler, Sinners, Sphere Entertainment, BFI IMAX, Brendan Theaters, AMC, Ne Zha, Raagman, Stop Making Sense, Talking Heads, David Byrne, Interstellar, The Backrooms, Obsession, The Invite, Anyone but You, Sydney Sweeney, Glen Powell, Wes Ball, The Legend of Zelda, Ryan Gosling, Frozen 3, Minecraft, Shrek 5, The Mummy, David Ellison, Steven Spielberg, Martin Scorsese, The Blue Angels

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14)

中文简报

IMAX拒绝迪士尼为《复仇者联盟》撤换《沙丘3》的要求 CEO Rich Gelfond表示,面对制片厂的压力,IMAX将优先履行对导演的合同承诺,同时公司正向消费周边商品及车载音频系统领域拓展。 IMAX首席执行官Rich Gelfond概述了公司如何转型为好莱坞各大制片厂围绕其打造重磅大片的不可或缺的全球策展方,并为Christopher Nolan的《The Odyssey》等现象级公映作品带来巨大的票房份额。讨论内容涵盖了制片厂因有限银幕展开的高风险排期冲突、70毫米胶片放映背后的严苛商业逻辑与硬件稀缺性,以及通过外语片发行、现场活动和流媒体合作推进内容多元化的举措。此外,Gelfond还探讨了通过消费周边与车载视听系统拓展增量收入来源,并分享了他对2026–2027年片单排期及IMAX市场估值的展望。 IMAX在全球仅占约4%的银幕数量(仅在中国就运营超过800块),却常规能为头部大片贡献超20%乃至30%的首周末票房,已确立其作为娱乐生态核心策展方的地位。 (0:17) 对名导的深度承诺是IMAX的核心品牌资产,此前曾为保证诺兰的《奥本海默》而压缩《碟中谍7》排片,近期更因优先保障维伦纽瓦的《沙丘3》而拒绝了迪士尼对《复仇者联盟:毁灭日》的黄金档期申请。 (4:21) 凭借锁定至2028与2029年的确定性排片,IMAX不仅深度介入制片厂前期的绿灯决策,还通过数分钟内售罄的胶卷周边和相机爆米花桶快速拓展高毛利消费衍生品业务。 (8:00) 诺兰新片《奥德赛》大幅超出预期,IMAX票房达3亿美元且锁定4000万美元预售;但受制于单套5万美元的拷贝成本及硬件稀缺,其顶尖的70毫米胶片影厅全球目前仅有41家。 (17:26)

Reading summary

IMAX CEO Rich Gelfond argues that the company has evolved from a hardware supplier into an indispensable gatekeeper and brand destination for the global box office. Supported by director loyalty, high-margin premium formats, and multi-year production commitments, the company asserts its business model offers greater financial visibility than standard consumer stocks. Director Loyalty and Screen Allocation Turf Wars (4:21) IMAX's limited premium footprint has created intense competition among major studios, leading the company to prioritize contractual commitments to auteur directors over studio pressure. Gelfond recounts refusing Paramount's push to extend Tom Cruise's *Mission: Impossible 7* because prime summer screens were guaranteed to Christopher Nolan for *Oppenheimer*. A similar conflict arose when Disney and Marvel requested that *Avengers: Doomsday* displace Denis Villeneuve's *Dune 3* for a holiday slot; IMAX declined, prompting Disney to market non-IMAX premium auditoriums under the 'Infinity Vision' label. Box Office Indexing and 70mm Format Economics (14:48) While IMAX represents roughly 4% of global screens, its venues regularly capture 20% to over 30% of total opening weekend box office receipts on flagship titles. This concentration is heavily supported by its 15-perforation/70mm film network, which currently numbers around 40 to 41 commercial locations worldwide. Although physical 70mm prints cost approximately $50,000 each to manufacture and ship, and projectors rely on scarce, vintage components, these screenings drive exceptional utilization, including sold-out multi-month runs at flagship sites like London's BFI IMAX. Pricing Inefficiencies and Monetization Levers (14:48) Gelfond identifies notable pricing inefficiencies among major theatrical exhibitors. Chains like AMC offer discounted tickets as low as $14 on specific weekdays, even as scalpers resell peak weekend seats for upward of $1,000 and independent venues charge $50. Beyond standard box office take-rates, IMAX is diversifying revenue streams through consumer merchandise—such as limited-edition film-strip keepsakes and custom camera popcorn buckets that sell out within hours—as well as automotive audiovisual partnerships for autonomous vehicles in China. Content Diversification Across Streamers and Foreign Markets (23:49) To hedge against Hollywood release lumpiness, IMAX programmed over 120 pieces of content in 2025. Local-language and international films achieved a 24% compound annual growth rate from 2019 to 2025, buoyed by Chinese releases like *Ne Zha* ($1.2 billion global gross), Japanese anime, and Indian titles. Additionally, streaming platforms have increasingly partnered with IMAX for theatrical windows to create prestige events for big-budget projects, including Apple's *F1* and a planned theatrical release for Netflix's upcoming David Fincher film starring Brad Pitt. Multi-Year Slate Visibility and Valuation Skepticism (18:48) Addressing equity market valuations, Gelfond contrasts IMAX's network model with capital-intensive standalone venues like the Las Vegas Sphere, which cost an estimated $2 billion to $3 billion to construct. Because directors now integrate IMAX technical requirements into pre-production years in advance, the company claims locked film slates and installation backlogs extending through 2028 and 2029. While acknowledging persistent buyout interest, Gelfond states that management is not actively soliciting an acquisition, remaining focused on meeting box office targets, such as its $1.4 billion global guidance. While IMAX demonstrates substantial market share leverage and locked multi-year production slates, its operational expansion remains tightly constrained by the high capital costs and hardware scarcity of its marquee 70mm format, alongside exhibitor reluctance to modernize dynamic ticket pricing.

精炼阅读摘要

IMAX首席执行官Rich Gelfond指出,IMAX已从单纯的放映与摄影器材商转型为全球商业电影生态的核心策展枢纽;凭借极高的票房转化率、长周期的片单锁定以及与顶级导演的技术绑定,公司在波动的好莱坞周期中建立了兼具高能见度与防御性的商业模式。 行业核心枢纽与独家排片博弈 (4:21) Gelfond与节目主持人指出,IMAX银幕虽然仅占全球总银幕数的约4%,但在头部商业大片的首周末票房中,通常能吸纳20%乃至30%以上的票房份额。这种高集中度使得IMAX放映窗口成为2亿美元以上预算超级大片的关键生命线。为了维护品牌价值与技术号召力,IMAX采取了以核心名导为重心的排片策略,宁可承受来自主流大型片方的商业压力,也坚决履约独家承诺。 在《Mission: Impossible 7》上映次周,IMAX顶住Paramount的交涉,坚决履约为Christopher Nolan执导的《Oppenheimer》保留全量独家窗口。类似的排片博弈再度上演于Denis Villeneuve的《Dune 3》与Disney/Marvel的《Avengers: Doomsday》之间——由于Villeneuve采用IMAX摄影机并承诺发行70毫米胶片,IMAX拒绝了Disney置换圣诞档期的要求。面对Disney随后推出整合第三方巨幕的“Infinity Vision”品牌进行反制,Gelfond直言这仅是重新贴牌的营销包装,缺乏底层的硬件与摄制技术创新。 70毫米胶片经济学与票价机制 (14:48) 15齿孔/70毫米胶片放映被业内视为顶级观影体验,也是推动IMAX单屏票房产出激增的核心动力,但其扩张受到物理与成本瓶颈的严格限制。制作并运输单套70毫米物理胶片拷贝的成本即高达约5万美元,且胶片放映机早在数十年前就已停产,公司必须在全球搜寻二手零部件进行翻新维护。目前IMAX在全球仅运营约40至41块70毫米商用银幕(其中全美占25块),即便需求火爆也只能优先部署在高客流旗舰城市。 与此同时,终端放映环节的票价机制存在明显的效率损失。Gelfond指出,以AMC为代表的主流院线长期实行统一定价或打折促销(如纽约周三折价至14美元),导致供需脱节并催生了上千美元的二级市场黄牛票;相比之下,Las Vegas的Brendan Theaters通过单票50美元的定价依然能提前数周售罄。Gelfond认为放映伙伴采纳动态定价的步伐过于迟缓,若未来能理顺定价机制,IMAX的高上座率将释放出更高的利润弹性。 内容生态多元化与流媒体发行结盟 (23:49) 为缓解好莱坞传统大片周期带来的业务波动,IMAX正在加速扩充内容供给池。2025年平台排播了超过120部不同类型的内容,其中本土语言与国际影片成为重要增长极,在2019至2025年间复合年均增长率达24%。诸如中国动画电影《Ne Zha》全球斩获12亿美元票房,日本动漫以及印度头部影片《Raagman》等均被纳入其全球排期体系;经典影片重映(如《Interstellar》重映斩获超500万美元)与音乐会直播也提供了高边际收益。 在发行渠道合作上,IMAX已演变为各大流媒体平台打造大银幕“事件化”体验的核心搭档。Apple的《F1》(全球6亿美元票房中IMAX贡献1亿美元)和Amazon的《Project Hail Mary》(IMAX票房突破1亿美元)均证明了流媒体资金对大银幕的依赖。Netflix同样达成突破性分发合作,为David Fincher执导、Brad Pitt主演的影片安排了介于感恩节与圣诞节之间的IMAX独家院线窗口。目前IMAX未来片单已锁定至2028与2029年,涵盖Sam Mendes执导的披头士四部曲传记片等重大项目。 资产扩张逻辑、衍生变现与资本估值 (18:48) 在资本市场估值层面,主持人将IMAX与拉斯维加斯耗资近30亿美元建造单体场馆的Sphere进行了对比。Gelfond强调,与高资本开支且投资回报存在疑问的单体项目相比,IMAX依托既有影院改造的轻资产模式更具扎实的盈利和现金流支撑,同时享有比肩Disney与Nike的全球品牌知名度。公司正加速拓展非影院变现渠道,包括高毛利的高端消费周边(如Nolan新作《The Odyssey》的摄影机爆米花桶与胶片纪念品在数分钟至90分钟内全球售罄),以及进军中国自动驾驶汽车的高端车载视听系统。 针对华尔街对其票房周期性的疑虑,Gelfond指出硬件积压订单与锁定多年的片单赋予了公司强于普通消费股的营收能见度。公司上一年全球票房指引为12亿美元,实际完成约13亿美元;本年度指引为14亿美元,在距年末尚有七个月时距离目标仅差约3亿美元。面对资本市场上持续出现的收购传闻,Gelfond澄清管理层并未主动寻求出售,过去十年独立发展为股东创造了显著回报,但若有买家提出极具诱惑力的溢价报价,管理层会基于股东价值进行评估。 尽管Rich Gelfond对IMAX的技术护城河与跨周期增长前景表达了充分信心,但该业务的业绩兑现仍面临多重外部依赖:其极高的票房份额高度依仗Christopher Nolan和Denis Villeneuve等极少数顶级名导的创作周期与号召力,且下游院线伙伴在推进动态定价上依然迟缓。此外,好莱坞制片厂在流媒体冲击与行业并购整合下的产能连续性,仍将是检验其长期稳定性的核心变数。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本期视频由财经媒体频道 The Compound 于 2026 年 8 月 12 日在 YouTube 平台发布。节目简介指出,IMAX 虽仅占全球约 4% 的银幕,却常态化贡献了头部超级大片 20% 以上的首周末票房;主持人 Josh Brown 与 Michael Batnick 邀请自 1994 年起执掌公司的首席执行官 Rich Gelfond,共同探讨 IMAX 如何成为各大制片厂的核心合作格式、与克里斯托弗·诺兰的深度共研关系、银幕扩张供需现状以及未来的利润增长驱动力。 ## TL;DR IMAX 首席执行官 Rich Gelfond 详细阐述了公司如何从放映技术商演化为深度嵌入好莱坞大片“绿灯审批”的超级策展人,并分享了为信守对诺兰及《沙丘 3》的承诺而果断放弃漫威排期的行业博弈。访谈剖析了《奥德赛》的技术共研与周边衍生品爆发式变现,直面了 70 毫米胶片高昂成本与影院终端票价机制倒挂的现实痛点。面对华尔街对单片票房周期的担忧,Gelfond 指出通过绑定流媒体头部窗口期、拓展非英语本土内容以及储备充足的影院安装订单,IMAX 已建立起类似投资组合般极具确定性的盈利护城河。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场对话在华尔街金融分析的理性与影迷探秘好莱坞幕后的狂热之间达成了绝妙平衡,节奏欢快且信息密度极高。两位主持人以资深投资人兼铁杆影迷的身份积极抛出估值与战略尖锐提问,而掌舵数十年的 Gelfond 则展现出老练从容的幽默感与强大的商业自信,频频分享从披头士演唱会恶搞到影迷自制“特洛伊木马”偷渡的爆笑逸闻。从对胶片放映机全球“拾荒”维护的感叹,到探讨巨额品牌价值与市值倒挂的现实思索,听感充满身临其境的行业内幕感与商业思辨张力。 ## Bulletin - [38:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2318s) IMAX 商业确定性与业绩指引强劲:2025 年实际票房达 13 亿美元超额兑现指引,2026 年 14 亿美元票房目标目前仅剩约 3 亿美元缺口,全球待安装影院订单与头部片单已锁定至 2028-2029 年。 - [04:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=261s) IMAX 深度绑定好莱坞绿灯审批机制:制片厂在立项早期即锁定 IMAX 档期作为过审与宣发的前置条件,即便漫威要求调整《复仇者联盟:毁灭日》档期,IMAX 仍坚持履约为《沙丘 3》提供排期独占。 - [13:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=825s) 衍生品与车载影音开辟新增长极:经典摄影机造型爆米花桶在中国 60 秒售罄,《奥德赛》实体胶片 90 分钟卖出 2 万条,同时公司正积极跨界进军中国智能汽车的车载音影系统。 - [21:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1261s) 70 毫米胶片影院受限于高昂成本:单套胶片拷贝成本高达 5 万美元且老旧放映机严重依赖全球搜寻零件,目前全球仅部署 41 家胶片影厅,正研发新技术方案拟再拓展约 10 家。 ## Key takeaways - [02:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=121s) IMAX 从单纯的硬件放映设备商蜕变为全球头部大片不可或缺的超级“策展人”,不仅在中国运营超 800 家影院,更深度参与《哪吒》等本土现象级巨制。 - [04:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=261s) 行业信誉是 IMAX 的核心流通资产,公司坚持履行对克里斯托弗·诺兰与丹尼斯·维伦纽瓦等导演的独占承诺,甚至不惜在圣诞档期拒绝迪士尼与漫威的《复仇者联盟》排期诉求。 - [10:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=634s) 好莱坞大片立项逻辑发生重构,制片人与导演在筹备极早期(如 Apple 出品电影《F1》)便直接接洽 IMAX 锁定档期与特制拍摄,以此作为吸引片厂发行与追加营销预算的筹码。 - [13:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=825s) 终端票价倒挂限制了利润最大化:依法 IMAX 无法直接干预终端票价,导致 AMC 等主流院线在周三半价日以 14 美元低价出售胶片场次,而二级市场黄牛票价却被炒至 1,000 美元。 - [16:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1019s) 相比拉斯维加斯 Sphere 单座造价 20 至 30 亿美元的重资产高风险模式,IMAX 依靠遍布全球的存量影院网络与极低成本的改造能力(Retrofit),具备更高的资本回报率与抗周期能力。 - [21:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1261s) 高端 70 毫米胶片放映虽在洛杉矶 LA Live 等核心商圈半年录得 80 万美元的高票房,但单套拷贝 5 万美元的成本限制了其只能在极高客流量的头部影厅盈利。 - [23:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1430s) 通过引入多元非英语内容(日本动画 2019-2025 年 CAGR 达 24%、印度大片)、体育与音乐会转播及重映经典,IMAX 成功熨平了院线淡季档期的票房波动。 - [23:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1430s) 流媒体巨头(Apple、Amazon、Netflix)深度借力 IMAX 窗口制造大事件效应,《F1》与《挽救计划》在 IMAX 平台均创造出超 1 亿美元票房。 - [27:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1667s) IMAX 与诺兰等顶级导演展开深度软硬件共研,如为《奥德赛》量身研发消除机械杂音的“消音罩”(Blimp)摄影机技术,彻底释放演员近距离表演空间。 - [31:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1888s) 历史反复证明“院线已死”的预言屡屡落空:尽管行业面临流媒体与窗口期调整,但大银幕作为不可替代的社交与视听载体依然保持强劲韧性。 - [36:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2175s) 观众心理发生根本性范式位移:大众观影习惯已从过去随意的“去电影院看片”转向目标明确的“专门去看某部必看大片”,并进一步升级为“必须看 IMAX 格式”。 - [36:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2175s) 当今统治级大片依赖“IMAX 格式、顶级明星卡司、超级摇滚明星级导演”构成的黄金三角,导演个人品牌已成为直接撬动开画票房的超级 IP。 - [38:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2318s) 公司坐拥涵盖《塞尔达传说》《冰雪奇缘 3》《怪物史莱克 5》及新《星球大战》在内的豪华片单储备,业务透明度与业绩可预测性远高于传统制造行业。 - [41:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2484s) 针对潜在被收购传闻,管理层强调十年未出售是正确的决策,公司并不主动挂牌求售,但若出现令人震撼的“天价”收购要约,董事会仍会以股东利益最大化为考量进行评估。 - [42:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2554s) IMAX 在自制原创内容上采取务实的实验路径,从联合亚马逊打造《蓝天使》纪录片到探索独占商业发行模式,均坚持“先验证市场反馈再行扩张”的策略。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=17s) 赞助商信息与开场介绍 节目开场由赞助商 Betterment Advisor Solutions 的广告切入,强调独立投资顾问(RIA)在面临客户分层、小额账户繁重运营压力时的痛点,指出自动化与无纸化入驻流程能够帮助顾问在保持高水准服务的同时减轻后台负担。 随后,主持人 Josh Brown 与 Michael Batnick 正式开启对谈。Josh 调侃称 Michael 兴奋得就像见到偶像 Eli Manning 一样,因为本期邀请到了重量级嘉宾——自 1994 年与 Bradley Wexler 联手收购 IMAX 并长期执掌公司的 Rich Gelfond。Gelfond 自 2009 年 4 月起担任 IMAX Corporation 首席执行官,此前曾担任联席 CEO、联席董事长,并在跨入电影行业前拥有投资银行家和并购律师的专业背景。面对 Josh 的正式介绍,Gelfond 幽默地插话补充说:“你还没提我四分卫打得比 Eli Manning 还要好呢。” ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Rich Gelfond 的职业履历与职务变迁 accDescr: 展示 Rich Gelfond 从并购律师和投资银行家,到收购 IMAX 并担任联合高管,最终成为长期 CEO 的历程。 A["并购律师 / 投行家"] --> B["1994年 收购 IMAX"] B --> C["1996–2009年 联席CEO / 联席董事长"] C --> D["2009年至今 独立CEO"] ``` --- ### [02:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=121s) 电影生态核心:“策展人”地位与全球影响力 Josh Brown 直言,虽然 IMAX 物理上不在好莱坞,但如今它对整个电影产业的命脉而言比好莱坞任何公司都更为关键,几乎所有电影大片都需要一场轰动的 IMAX 首映来奠定声势,资本市场和普通影迷也逐渐看清了这一现实。Gelfond 对此深表认同,并指出 IMAX 在好莱坞及全球内容生态系统中扮演着独特的“策展人”(Curator)角色。一部大制作若想破圈成为席卷全球的现象级爆款(Blockbuster),IMAX 的排期发行已经成为不可或缺的核心要素。 Gelfond 特别强调,IMAX 的基本盘绝不仅限于北美,而是一个真正的全球网络。例如在中国,IMAX 拥有超过 800 家影院;像中国本土电影《哪吒》斩获了 12 亿美元的惊人票房,IMAX 深度参与其中。IMAX 的长期战略就是利用这种日益凸显的行业地位不断巩固品牌价值,让自己更深地嵌入到制片厂与顶级导演的核心合作网络之中。 - **全球化布局**:仅在中国就运营着 800 家 IMAX 影院。 - **现象级本土案例**:深度参与中国本土动画电影《哪吒》(票房突破 12 亿美元)。 - **产业定位**:不再只是放映硬件提供商,而是扮演全球头部内容的超级“策展人”。 --- ### [04:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=261s) 排期博弈、信誉契约与拒绝《复仇者联盟》 Josh 提到,如今如果一部大片上映时没有同步登陆 IMAX 银幕,观众会觉得不可思议;他第一次深切感受到这种稀缺性,是看到媒体铺天盖地报道 Tom Cruise 为《碟中谍7》(Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning)极力游说、争取更多 IMAX 银幕排期。Gelfond 回忆道,当时派拉蒙影业对 IMAX 提前锁定 Christopher Nolan 的《奥本海默》(Oppenheimer)大为不解,甚至嘲讽称:“你们疯了吗?这只是一部关于物理学家的黑白传记片,为什么要为它浪费银幕?”但 Gelfond 坚持信守对 Nolan 的独占承诺,因为在 IMAX 的成长史中,Nolan 居功至伟,“忠诚是我们的立足之本,信誉就是我们流通的硬通货”。 面对眼下相似的排期冲突,IMAX 再次做出了坚决选择:Denis Villeneuve 用 IMAX 摄影机参与拍摄的《沙丘3》(Dune: Messiah)定档圣诞档期,而漫威的《复仇者联盟:毁灭日》(Avengers: Doomsday)因制作延期也改到了同一时间。面对迪士尼和漫威调整排期的诉求,Gelfond 明确表示虽然很想合作,但由于对《沙丘》团队已有承诺在先,IMAX 最终选择放弃《复仇者联盟》,全力押注《沙丘3》。针对迪士尼随后打包普通放映厅推出的“Infinity Vision”大画幅营销手段,Gelfond 坦言这只是换汤不换药的打包营销,并未建造真正的新影院,消费者自然分得清 IMAX 与其本质区别,他完全不为此失眠。 --- ### [08:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=480s) 商业确定性与未来储备(披头士传记片与007) Michael Batnick 回顾了自己在 2024 年 5 月 14 日以每股 17 美元建仓 IMAX 的经历。他当时在纽约林肯广场(Lincoln Square)排了两周才抢到 70 毫米胶片版《沙丘2》电影票,深刻体会到观众对高品质现场奢华体验的狂热。Michael 指出,当时 IMAX 仅 10 亿美元的市值与其巨大的全球品牌影响力严重倒挂,但随着市值攀升至 30 亿美元,华尔街开始担忧其业绩受单片票房周期的波动影响(2026 年表现优异,但 2027、2028 年难以预测),并询问管理层是否有订阅制等提高抽成率(Take Rate)的杠杆。 Gelfond 反驳了“缺乏可见度”的观点。他认为,相比开门当天销量为零的汽车制造商,IMAX 拥有极高的业务确定性: 1. **安装订单储备(Backlog)**:全球待安装影院拥有明确的积压订单,且定期公开数据和业绩指引。 2. **片单锁定储备(Film Backlog)**:头部影片已经排期至 2028 年甚至 2029 年。例如,索尼影业由 Sam Mendes 执导的四部《披头士》(The Beatles)独立传记电影均已锁定与 IMAX 合作,全新一部《邦德》(James Bond)电影也进入视野。针对四部披头士电影可能存在的票房分散风险,Gelfond 透露 IMAX 已设计出周密的错峰上映周期机制,确保公司在票房收益上受到充分保护。 ### [10:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=634s) 披头士纽约往事与好莱坞电影立项机制的转变 对话从纽约长岛与皇后区的一段轻松怀旧开始。Josh Brown 提到自己曾恳求父母带他去谢亚球场(Shea Stadium)看披头士乐队(The Beatles)的演出,但由于当时只有 12 岁,父母以安全为由拒绝让他坐火车前往,这成了他长久以来的遗憾。Rich Gelfond 笑着安慰道:“现场音质差极了,你其实什么都没错过。”当时全场歌迷尖叫震耳欲聋,披头士甚至会故意唱错歌词或弹错和弦来恶搞,反正根本没人听得清,这也成了压垮骆驼的最后一根稻草——那次演出之后,披头士彻底厌倦并决定放弃现场巡演,转而全心投入录音室专辑的创作中。 话锋随即转入严肃的商业运营:一部耗时数年打造的好莱坞超级大片,IMAX 是在哪个阶段介入的?Gelfond 透露,现在的电影人会在项目极其早期的阶段就直接找上门来。他以 Apple 出品、布拉德·皮特主演的《F1》电影为例:在电影上映前一年多,制片人杰瑞·布鲁克海默(Jerry Bruckheimer)与导演约瑟夫·科辛斯基(Joseph Kosinski)就直接致电 Gelfond,坦承当时该片甚至连正式的院线发行方都还没敲定,但他们极其希望能在影院大银幕放映,并认定 IMAX 专属档期至关重要,因此全片决定采用 IMAX 摄影机拍摄。双方当即梳理了技术细节并锁定了放映日期,随后制片方才拿着这一承诺去与华纳兄弟(Warner Bros.)敲定全球发行。 Gelfond 指出,IMAX 的行业地位经历了深刻演变:公司如今已深度嵌入到好莱坞巨制的“绿灯审批”(green-light process)环节中。斩获奥斯卡奖的顶级导演和一线制片人频繁出入他的办公室,为尚未开拍或定档两三年后的项目提前寻求 IMAX 的背书与锁定。在各大主流制片厂,是否拥有 IMAX 档期直接关乎项目能否过审。以《不可能的任务 8》(Mission: Impossible 8)为例,早在《不可能的任务 7》刚下映时,IMAX 便与派拉蒙影业(Paramount)及汤姆·克鲁斯(Tom Cruise)本人达成了深度合作协议,各方均在营销预算与宣传配合上作出了极高的承诺。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 好莱坞大片立项与IMAX绿灯流程 accDescr: 展示顶级电影人如何绕过传统发行商直接先找IMAX敲定档期,再获得片厂绿灯及发行商支持的流程图。 subgraph EarlyStage["1. 项目筹备与直接接洽"] A["顶级导演 / 制片人<br/>(如布鲁克海默 / 科辛斯基)"] --> B["直接对接 IMAX CEO Gelfond<br/>提报剧本、卡司与拍摄方案"] end subgraph Commitment["2. IMAX 深度绑定"] B --> C["锁定 IMAX 特制拍摄与黄金档期"] C --> D["正式成为片厂立项<br/>(Green-Light) 的前置关键条件"] end subgraph Rollout["3. 片厂与宣发落地"] D --> E["吸引发行巨头竞标发行权<br/>(如华纳兄弟 / 派拉蒙)"] E --> F["片厂与主创投入高额营销资源<br/>实现院线最大化声量联动"] end ``` ### [13:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=825s) 周边衍生品变现与影院票价倒挂困局 在探讨 IMAX 未来利润增长点时,Gelfond 坦言公司过去从未真正涉足周边衍生品(merchandising)开发,而今年刚试水便迎来了爆发式增长。以克里斯托弗·诺兰的《奥德赛》(*Odyssey*)为例,团队以经典 IMAX 胶片摄影机为原型设计了一款爆米花桶。起初运营团队非常保守,仅首批上架了 2500 个,结果在 2 小时内被抢购一空。面对脱销,团队以没有现货为由犹豫不决,Gelfond 则果断下令:“哪怕现做现发也要立刻开预售!”随后追加的 2500 个在不到一小时内再度售罄;而在中国市场,上架的 2500 个更是在短短 60 秒内被秒杀。此外,团队限量发售的《奥德赛》实体收藏胶片(film strips),也在 90 分钟内狂卖了 20,000 条。 然而,衍生品大卖的反面,却是院线票价机制的极度不合理。面对主持人关于“IMAX 能否干预票价”的提问,Gelfond 明确表示作为放映技术提供方,IMAX 依法无法决定终端票价,这成了巨大的利润损失漏洞。例如在纽约,AMC 影院售卖的 IMAX 70mm 胶片版电影票价竟然和普通厅完全一样,甚至在“周三半价日”同样按对折出售,只需 14 美元左右;与此同时,二手平台 eBay 上转卖的同一场次门票却被炒到了 1000 美元一张。 Gelfond 与 AMC 首席执行官亚当·阿隆(Adam Aron)及其他院线高管多次交涉,直言这种无视供求关系的定价“毫无道理”。拉斯维加斯布伦登影院(Brendan Theaters)的老板 Johnny Brendan 敢于把胶片版票价定在 50 美元一张且场场爆满,而主流院线却因思维僵化而错失收益。Adam Aron 对此无奈表示,票早在几个月前就已售罄,无法事后追溯补差价。Gelfond 寄望于后续类似《沙丘》(*Dune*)的大制作以及未来的胶片放映能够推行动态定价或提高基础票价。目前全球已有 40 家影院恢复并保留了胶片放映能力,明年预计将有约 4 部重磅影片发行 IMAX 胶片拷贝,这类高票价、高上座率、高话题度的放映形式将成为极具爆发力的收入引擎。 - **周边爆款数据**:IMAX 摄影机造型爆米花桶在中国 60 秒售罄 2500 个;《奥德赛》实体纪念胶片 90 分钟售出 20,000 份。 - **票价倒挂悬殊**:AMC 纽约旗舰店周三 IMAX 胶片票仅售 14 美元,而 eBay 二级市场黄牛价高达 1,000 美元;独立影院布伦登影院定价 50 美元仍场场售罄。 - **胶片网络价值**:全球目前拥有 40 家具备 IMAX 70mm 胶片放映能力的影院,已锁定后续数部大片的专属放映。 ### [16:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1019s) 票房占比极限、预期管理与对标拉斯维加斯 Sphere 讨论转向 IMAX 在大片上映首周末的票房占比(indexing)。目前 IMAX 经常能贡献头部影片开画票房的 20% 以上甚至高达 26%,在极少数影片上甚至破过 30%。但 Gelfond 指出,由于普通厅银幕基数极其庞大,单纯追求票房占比的百分比并不客观,核心始终在于单屏收益与利润率。 为了说明市场此前对 IMAX 爆发力的低估,Gelfond 分享了开画前内部管理层会议的真实花絮。开映前,IMAX 内部电影分析团队预测该片全球票房终值(ultimate)为 1.9 亿美元。而 Gelfond 凭借直觉与行业经验,坚称该片至少能破 3 亿美元,团队当时甚至认为他疯了、只是在夸大宣传。Gelfond 在会上半开玩笑半强硬地对团队说:“就假装我是 CEO,假装我知道自己在说什么,我们现在必须按 3 亿的标准来制定全面的商业变现预案!”事实最终狠狠证明了管理层的保守:该片全球票房很快逼近 3 亿美元,加上手握的 4000 万美元预售票房,即便不再卖出一张新票也已锁定 3.4 亿美元;伦敦 BFI IMAX 影院的票一路抢空至 9 月中旬,Gelfond 当初的 3 亿目标反而成了“过于保守”的预测。 随后,Josh Brown 抛出了一个尖锐的估值对比:拉斯维加斯的网红巨型球体场馆 Sphere 成为了资本市场的宠儿,但 Sphere 仅拥有一座场馆且造价高达 20 亿至 30 亿美元,无法进行轻资产改造;而 IMAX 拥有遍布全球的成熟院线网络、强大的既有品牌溢价以及极低成本的存量改造(retrofit)能力。作为早在 2005 年就向散户强推 IMAX 股票的前经纪人,Brown 质疑为何 IMAX 的全球品牌认知度已媲美迪士尼(Disney)与耐克(Nike),股价与市值却长期未获得应有的溢价? Gelfond 对此做出了客观剖析: 1. **品牌溢价变现迟缓**:NRG 的权威调研证实 IMAX 品牌价值确实稳居全球消费级品牌第一梯队,但过去变现路径过于单一。目前公司正在加速弥补这一短板,除了全面推进爆款周边,还跨界进军中国智能汽车的车载音影系统(AV system),重点押注自动驾驶汽车的座舱娱乐场景。 2. **重资产与轻资产的商业模式差异**:针对 Sphere,Gelfond 称赞其视听技术无与伦比,但他对其巨额成本下的投资回报率(ROI)持怀疑态度。单座造价近 30 亿美元几乎很难实现真正的资本盈利,虽然后期 Sphere 也开始尝试对外技术授权,但其本质仍是极高风险的重资产运作。Gelfond 坦率直言自己不会买入那种需要“竖起手指测风向、张口就估值两万亿”的概念型股票,IMAX 更看重的是经受住周期考验的实际盈利能力。 ### [21:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1261s) 70毫米胶片IMAX的极致体验与严苛的商业现实 谈及投资逻辑,大家一致认为应当回归重视盈利和现金流的现实世界,而 IMAX 近期的股价表现也印证了这一点。话题很快转向被誉为“观影界劳斯莱斯”的 70 毫米胶片 IMAX。Josh Brown 分享了自己在佛罗里达州劳德代尔堡(Fort Lauderdale)的观影经历,他当时仿佛置身于一座“废弃的科学馆”中,即便在上映当天都能轻松买到 70 毫米胶片版的票,这与纽约 68 街影厅开票即秒光的火爆场景形成了强烈反差。Rich Gelfond 对此半开玩笑地反驳称,那座场馆绝非废弃,那里的票房成绩其实相当不错,不过他也承认该地确实不算最热门的地段。 Rich 随即以洛杉矶市中心的 LA Live 影厅为例,展示了顶尖地段改造胶片放映厅所爆发出的惊人吸金能力。该影厅在今年 1 月 1 日完成改造并装入胶片放映机后,前几周便实现了爆发式吸金,前六个月票房达到 80 万美元,长期处于场场售罄的状态。然而,胶片 IMAX 无法大范围铺开的核心制约在于纯粹的“经济账”:单单一部电影在一个影厅使用的胶片拷贝(Print),成本就高达 5 万美元;放映机本身造价更为昂贵,且多数是 50 年前制造的老物件,如今早已停产,IMAX 团队只能像拾荒一样在世界各地搜寻闲置设备和零件。因此,只有在客流量极高的核心地段,票房收益才能摊销高昂的拷贝成本。目前全球仅有 41 家 70 毫米胶片影院(高于《奥本海默》时期的 30 家,美国约占 25 家),IMAX 正在研发一套尚未完全验证的巧妙新方案,有望在未来再增加约 10 家胶片影厅。 - **拷贝与硬件成本**:单套 70 毫米胶片拷贝制作成本约为 50,000 美元,放映机价值更高且依赖全球搜寻零件维护。 - **影厅网络规模**:全球 70 毫米胶片影院已从《奥本海默》时期的 30 家增加至 41 家(美国约 25 家),未来拟通过新技术方案再增设 10 家。 - **洛杉矶 LA Live 标杆数据**:1 月 1 日完成胶片改造后,前 6 个月录得 800,000 美元票房。 ### [23:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1430s) 填补档期淡季:多元内容、经典重映与流媒体合作 面对电影院线票房波动大、存在淡季低谷(Lumpy)的现实,Josh Brown 询问 IMAX 是否会尝试播放尼克斯队季后赛看球派对等替代内容来提升上座率。Rich Gelfond 表示,IMAX 早已在全方位推进非传统内容的常态化运营。去年 IMAX 平台共上映了 120 部多元内容,其中跨国与非英语本土电影成为重要增长引擎。日本动画电影不仅在本土大卖,更在以中国为主的全球市场形成吸金浪潮,从 2019 年至 2025 年复合年增长率(CAGR)高达 24%。此外,印度大片《Rockman》系列也由 IMAX 推向全球多国同步上映,这些跨区域爆款几乎没有其他主流院线能够承接。 在体育与现场演出方面,IMAX 在中国进行了 NBA 总决赛的限量直播尝试,并在欧洲测试播放国家冰球联盟(NHL)赛事,还曾播放 HBO 热播剧集的部分剧集。音乐演出方面,大卫·伯恩(David Byrne)在多伦多电影节期间举办的《Stop Making Sense》现场音乐会转播取得了巨大反响。尽管影迷强烈呼吁重映更多经典老片(如《低俗小说》),《星际穿越》重映也狂揽了超过 500 万美元票房,但重映的核心痛点在于高昂的营销宣发成本——即便仅放映一个周末,包揽公交广告、飞机拉幅等传统宣传的成本依然无法压缩,因此目前仅能挑选最具号召力的标志性影片。同时,流媒体巨头为了制造“大事件化”(Eventize)声量,正深度依赖 IMAX 窗口:Apple 的《F1》电影全球斩获 6 亿美元,其中 IMAX 贡献了 1 亿美元;亚马逊的《挽救计划》(Project Hail Mary)在 IMAX 同样斩获 1 亿美元;而由大卫·芬奇执导、昆汀·塔伦蒂诺编剧、布拉德·皮特主演的《好莱坞往事》衍生作品,也将于感恩节与圣诞节档期在 IMAX 独家抢先放映,随后才上线 Netflix。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: IMAX淡季多元内容生态 accDescr: 展示IMAX通过国际电影、重映与现场活动、流媒体大片三个维度填补传统票房淡季的模式架构。 subgraph ContentPool["多元内容供给矩阵"] direction TB Intl["国际/非英语电影<br/>• 日本动画(2019-2025 CAGR 24%)<br/>• 印度巨制《Rockman》全球发行"] Live["现场演出与经典重映<br/>• 《Stop Making Sense》音乐会<br/>• NBA/NHL 赛事及 HBO 剧集<br/>• 《星际穿越》重映(超500万美元)"] Streamers["流媒体独家窗口期合作<br/>• Apple:《F1》(IMAX斩获1亿美元)<br/>• Amazon:《挽救计划》(IMAX斩获1亿美元)<br/>• Netflix: 芬奇/昆汀新作独占窗口"] end Screen["IMAX 影院网络<br/>填补淡季档期空缺 / 提升单厅坪效"] ContentPool --> Screen ``` - **重映与国际内容体量**:去年放映 120 部多元内容;非英语本土电影在 2019 至 2025 年间的复合年增长率达 24%。 - **经典重映收益**:《星际穿越》(Interstellar)重映票房突破 5,000,000 美元。 - **流媒体头部窗口期产出**:Apple 出品的《F1》全球总票房 6 亿美元,IMAX 贡献 1 亿美元;亚马逊《挽救计划》IMAX 票房达 1 亿美元。 ### [27:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1667s) 诺兰效应与深度共研:从《奥德赛》技术创新到长尾票房奇迹 围绕克里斯托弗·诺兰(Christopher Nolan)执导的新作《奥德赛》(The Odyssey),Josh Brown 惊叹于该片的沉浸式视听震撼,并指出 IMAX 为诺兰定制了专用摄影机,甚至研发了名为“消音罩”(Blimp)的技术,彻底消除了摄影机运转时的机械杂音,让演员在近距离对戏抒情时不再受噪音干扰,这让 IMAX 的角色超越了传统设备商、俨然成为了电影的“联合制片人”。Rich Gelfond 坦言,与诺兰合作的黄金法则是:“只要克里斯·诺兰开口,你照做就是了(you just do it)。”消音罩与摄影机研发只是其中一部分,诺兰曾列出整整 15 项技术要求,包括在全球各大核心市场设立关键零备件备件库以防放映机故障瘫痪,以及专项培训专业胶片放映员等。 Rich 透露,消音罩的发明极大释放了演员的表演空间。以片中 Matt Damon 饰演的角色被绑在船头直面塞壬海妖歌声(Singing of the Sirens)的经典段落为例,演员孤身悬在水中央的船上全情投入,如果在其脸前有一台刺耳轰鸣的传统 IMAX 摄影机,“那简直会要了他的命”。从诺兰的合作中,IMAX 总结出必须让顶级导演在前期筹备阶段就全方位介入(Lean in)——正如瑞恩·库格勒(Ryan Coogler)拍摄《罪人》(Sinners)时制作并分发画幅比例说明手册,丹尼斯·维伦纽瓦在《沙丘 3》中提前规划 IMAX 视效构图一样,顶尖导演的深度背书赋予了作品不可替代的属性。这种模式带来了极具爆发力的商业回报:截至对话当天,《奥德赛》全球票房已逼近 3 亿美元,手握 4,000 万美元预售待兑现,放映排期将一路延续至 9 月。面对外界预估该片最终或止步于 3.5 亿美元的说法,Rich 调侃道:“他们不妨拿个计算器好好算算账,3.5 亿美元顶多只是这轮长尾周期的预测底线罢了。” - **诺兰定制清单**:包含 15 项专项需求,涉及专用静音摄影机消音罩(Blimp)、全球放映机应急零备件库、胶片放映员专属培训机制。 - **导演前置协同案例**:瑞恩·库格勒为《罪人》量身打造画幅指南,丹尼斯·维伦纽瓦深度绑定《沙丘 3》前期规划。 - **《奥德赛》票房长尾走势**:当前票房已达约 3 亿美元,伴随 4,000 万美元的未消化票房预售/排期,放映窗口将维持至 9 月,3.5 亿美元仅为预估区间的下限。 ### [31:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1888s) 预言家的屡屡落空与好莱坞新生态:流媒体入局与窗口期重塑 针对 AMC 首席执行官亚当·阿隆(Adam Aron)及 Cinemark 首席执行官近期对行业并购与整合表态支持的现象,对话切入了电影行业的未来格局。Rich Gelfond 对此给出了清醒且带有一丝讽刺意味的观察:电影行业的未来确实充满不确定性,但市场上跳出来指点江山的“预言家”数量却有增无减。他回顾了新冠疫情初期在 Netflix 推动下甚嚣尘上的论调——当时所有分析师都宣称“再也没有人会回电影院了,每个人都将把自己锁死在客厅沙发上,一边吃着剩菜,一边忍受孩子的尖叫”。然而历史一再证明,这批预言家在电影商业层面的预测几乎全盘皆输;正如当年收音机和电视机诞生时,研究报告也齐声哀鸣电影已死,但大银幕从未真正消失。 谈及好莱坞目前的重组与流媒体冲击,Rich Gelfond 展现出高度客观的辩证视角。华纳兄弟(Warner Bros.)等老牌片厂的变动固然在短期内造成了部分顶级创意人才和项目的流失,但另一面则是流媒体巨头作为庞大内容源泉的强力入局。以苹果的《F1》和亚马逊的《挽救计划》(Project Hail Mary)为例,这两部由流媒体主导的院线大片贡献了 IMAX 体系中最顶尖的票房与口碑。与此同时,大卫·埃里森(David Ellison)承诺每年推出 30 部电影,并在当天早晨宣布了 45 天的院线窗口期,展现出更为激进的传统院线竞争姿态。从过去环球影业试水 17 天高端点播(SVOD)窗口期,到如今各种片厂制片厂区(Studio Lots)可能面临的出售与重组,整个生态是动态且有机演变的,盲目唱衰或断言其终结均显得过于草率。 - 历史周期的虚假警报:广播、电视与流媒体的崛起都曾被预言为院线的终结者,但影院体验历经技术变革始终保持韧性。 - 流媒体向院线输出顶流内容:来自流媒体平台的巨制(如《F1》、《挽救计划》)已成为 IMAX 最具吸引力的大盘支柱之一。 - 窗口期的博弈:行业在 17 天流媒体点播与 45 天标准院线独占窗口之间不断摸索平衡,大卫·埃里森承诺提供每年 30 部电影的稳定院线片源。 --- ### [33:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2017s) 喜剧与独立电影的演变:特洛伊木马逸闻与大银幕体验 讨论转向了不同电影类型的兴衰沉浮。主持人指出,好莱坞就如威廉·高德曼(William Goldman)在《Screen Trade》中所写的那样难以预测——“没人能提前知道什么会大卖”。2024 年外界普遍认为独立电影已彻底消亡,但到了 2026 年,独立制作与中小成本影片(如《后室》Backrooms 等惊悚爆款)却强劲复苏。相比之下,传统的影院喜剧片却在过去十年间因取消文化(Cancel Culture)盛行以及明星主创(如贾德·阿帕图班底)片酬失控、商业模型失衡而几乎绝迹。主持人提到了近期观赏喜剧片《The Invite》的震撼经历:全场观众爆发出在自家沙发上绝对无法获得的哄堂大笑与腹肌震颤感,令人怀念群体共鸣的纯粹快乐。 Rich Gelfond 强调自己从不对任何类型片妄下“彻底死亡”的绝论。谈及大银幕的狂热创造力时,他分享了一则影迷趣事:在克里斯托弗·诺兰的新片《奥德赛》(Odyssey)上映期间,有几名年轻粉丝在小板车上亲手打造了一具微型“特洛伊木马”木箱,其中两个人藏在箱子内部,另一人假装买票进场并将车推进影院实施“偷渡”;结果在前行途中木箱门突然崩开,两个大活人当场狼狈滚出,引发全场爆笑。Rich 认为喜剧片完全有能力在影院卷土重来(例如格伦·鲍威尔与悉尼·斯威尼主演的浪漫喜剧《只想爱你》Anyone But You 就在票房上斩获了巨大成功),但他也承认纯室内对话类喜剧很难适配 IMAX:IMAX 必须支撑庞大的票房体量,它不仅能放大动作大片的视听冲击,只有动作喜剧(Action Comedies)这类兼具宏大场面与笑料的作品才最适合走上超级巨幕。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 喜剧片院线困境与破局路径 accDescr: 展示传统喜剧片遭遇的瓶颈与通过动作喜剧及大银幕共鸣实现复苏的路径 subgraph Bottlenecks["喜剧片衰落主因"] A["敏感的文化氛围<br>(Cancel Culture)"] B["演员及制作团队<br>成本严重溢价"] C["流媒体分流观影习惯<br>(缺乏事件化属性)"] end subgraph Opportunities["类型重塑与突破"] D["影院不可替代的<br>全场爆笑共鸣感"] E["动作喜剧与大视觉融合<br>(Action Comedy)"] F["高概念/黑马IP破局<br>(如《只想爱你》)"] end Bottlenecks --> Opportunities Opportunities --> G["IMAX/大银幕高票房兑现"] ``` --- ### [36:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2175s) 观影习惯的范式转变与三大票房支柱:导演、明星与IMAX Josh Brown 敏锐地指出了现代观众心智的根本性结构位移。在 20 世纪 80 年代的纽约长岛,人们的习惯是遇到下雨天便随口提议“咱们去电影院看场电影吧”,随便买一张当时正在放映的电影票;而今天的消费者逻辑完全颠覆,大众不再进行无目的的泛泛观影,而是为了“某一部必须看的大事件影片”专门出门,并且笃定“一定要在 IMAX 看”。这一消费行为的巨变完美契合了 IMAX 多年前制定的企业核心战略。Rich Gelfond 透露,公司早期的使命宣言就是要打破泛影院思维,让观众在周末早晨醒来时的念头直接变成“走,我们去 IMAX”。他的继子便是典型的代表——每个周末雷打不动地奔赴 IMAX,只要是 IMAX 放映的影片就坚信其视听水准物超所值。 主持人总结道,如今好莱坞爆款影片要立足市场,依赖于“三足鼎立”的黄金三角:IMAX 品牌、顶级电影明星以及最具号召力的导演。在现代电影工业中,大导演自身已经成为票房号召力不亚于一线巨星的“超级摇滚明星”——无论是克里斯托弗·诺兰、丹尼斯·维伦纽瓦,还是保罗·托马斯·安德森(PTA),观众往往冲着导演名号直接进场买单。Rich 对此表示认同,但他补充说明,像史蒂芬·斯皮尔伯格、马丁·斯科塞斯乃至 PTA 这样的作者型导演,虽然拥有一批极其忠诚的受众,但纯剧情类艺术片的大盘上限相对有限。一部能够引爆 IMAX 的超级大作,依然需要高水准的故事本体、顶尖巨星以及导演影响力的全方位化学反应。 - 消费者心理范式转移:从随机打发时间的“去电影院”(Go to the movies)转变为目标明确的“去看那部必看大片”(Go to that movie),进而升级为“去体验 IMAX”(Go to the IMAX)。 - 导演即超级 IP:诺兰与丹尼斯·维伦纽瓦的号召力能够直接撬动上亿美元的预售与周末票房。 - 院线三角支撑模型:IMAX 极致规格、大牌明星卡司、顶级视听作者导演,三者结合构成了当今大片统治票房的基础。 --- ### [38:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2318s) 豪华新片储备与业务确定性:从《塞尔达传说》到超14亿美元指引 在审视 2026 至 2027 年的内容排期时,IMAX 展现出了极高的片单储备深度。备受瞩目的任天堂殿堂级 IP《塞尔达传说》(The Legend of Zelda)真人版正在推进,执导了《猩球崛起:新世界》的导演韦斯·鲍尔(Wes Ball)在大约一年前曾毫无预兆地直接致电 Rich Gelfond,态度坚决地表示“这部电影必须完全为 IMAX 量身打造”。此外,雷恩·高斯林(Ryan Gosling)主演的全新《星球大战》电影已进入视野;Rich 亲自造访了拍摄片场,盛赞其质感重现了哈里森·福特时代原汁原味的星战史诗浪漫。未来的重磅片单还涵盖了《托马斯·王冠事件》(The Thomas Crown Affair)、《冰雪奇缘 3》(Frozen 3)、《我的世界》(Minecraft)电影版、《复仇者联盟》新续作、《怪物史莱克 5》(Shrek 5)、新版《木乃伊》(The Mummy)以及《沙丘》系列跨年度长线放映与中国春节档巨制。 面对主持人关于电影行业不可预测的提问,Rich 反驳称 IMAX 在商业本质上比绝大多数传统行业拥有更高的“确定性”与“透明度”。这种底气源于两重保障:一是遍布全球各地的巨额影院系统签约待安装订单(Backlog);二是高度分散的内容投资组合。IMAX 全年放映大约 120 部多元化内容,运作机制就像一个精心配置的市场基金投资组合,通过题材和档期的多元化平滑了单片成败的波动: - 2025 年财务指引达成:此前给出的全年票房指引为 12 亿美元,实际结算落地约 13 亿美元,实现超预期交付。 - 2026 年财务指引进展:全财年指引目标设定为 14 亿美元,在距年底还剩约 7 个多月的时间节点上,距离达成目标仅剩约 3 亿美元的缺口,整体能见度极高。 在节目的最后节点,主持人提到了彭博社记者此前就市场上关于 IMAX 潜在被收购或出售传闻对 Rich 的追问。Rich 回忆自己当时的回答极其干脆且克制——“如果真有什么实质性消息要宣布,我自然会向市场公开;但就目前而言,没有任何需要说的东西”,展现出对独立掌控公司长期价值的充分从容。 ### [41:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2484s) IMAX 潜在的收购传闻与股东价值定位 Josh Brown 提出了一个许多投资者好奇已久的问题:考虑到 IMAX 拥有如此深厚的历史沉淀,以及其巨大且家喻户晓的品牌影响力,它的品牌价值与当前市值之间的差距,堪称整个美股市场中最失衡、最不成比例的情形之一。既然拥有如此强大的护城河,IMAX 为何至今仍未被大型传媒或科技巨头全资收购?Josh 笑着追问,虽然 Rich Gelfond 不可能在节目里直接宣布“我们要卖身了”,但私底下是否每周或每月都会收到形形色色的收购意向? Rich Gelfond 坦诚地回应道,在相当长的一段岁月里,确实一直有潜在买家在“试水与观望”(kicking the tires)。他风趣地调侃,如果真有人报出了无法拒绝的数字,他之前对 Bloomberg 说过,离开 Bloomberg 之后第二站就会来这里公布。但他随即严肃地指出,对这家公司而言,“最幸运的一件事就是 10 年前没有把自己卖掉”。因为管理层对 IMAX 的巨大潜力和前景坚信不疑,目前所有的经营决策都是为了实现股东价值最大化。 - **被动倾听与主动寻求**:Rich Gelfond 明确澄清,IMAX 绝没有在市场上四处推销自己或四处询问买家出价,但只要有买家愿意报出令人震撼的“天价”(blowaway price),董事会自然会坐下来认真倾听与探讨。 ### [42:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2554s) 自制原创内容探索与发行模式实验 Josh 顺势转换话题,询问 IMAX 在与 Christopher Nolan 展开如此深度、直接的紧密合作之后,未来是否会考虑亲自涉足并操刀制作属于自己的原创电影内容。Rich 回顾了 IMAX 制作内容的起源,早期公司主要以拍摄关于鲸鱼、海豹等自然科学类的科普纪录片闻名,而如今这种内容创作正在与新型流媒体巨头产生有趣的协同进化。 Rich 特别提到了他们与亚马逊(Amazon)合作制作的纪录片《蓝天使》(The Blue Angels)。该片先是在 IMAX 院线进行了相当广泛的院线排片上映,随后上线亚马逊 Prime Video 流媒体平台,最后又回流并投放到科技馆、博物馆等机构院线(institutional market)长期放映。而针对好莱坞主流商业片领域的原创布局,Rich 保持了开放且务实的态度,强调自己更习惯于先通过创新实验去试探全球市场的真实反应,再决定下一步的扩张节奏。 - **商业院线独占实验**:Rich 提示大家可以重点关注昆汀·塔伦蒂诺相关衍生作品或聚焦院线特质的项目(如访谈中提及的独占排映实验),看看只在 IMAX 院线独家上映的商业发行模式会带来怎样的票房与观众反馈。 - **内容策略哲学**:对待自制影视与替代性内容(Alternative Content),IMAX 采取“先实践验证、观察市场反馈、再做战略跟进”的渐进式探索路线。 ### [43:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2610s) 结语与未来展望 访谈步入尾声,Josh Brown 和 Michael Batnick 表达了对 Rich Gelfond 的由衷感谢。他们感叹,无论是从令人玩味的资本市场股价表现,还是从不断颠覆视听体验的优质放映内容来看,IMAX 都是整个影视和传媒生态中最具吸引力、最独特的一家公司。 Rich Gelfond 也向两位主持人致谢,并表示当下电影行业与高端大格式(PLF)正处于深刻变革的关键节点,“现在正是探讨 IMAX 未来最好的时机”。主持人在节目收尾时呼吁观众前往 IMAX 官方网站查看庞大的未来待映片单,并感谢所有收听与收看本期节目的观众。 ## Notable quotes > [00:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=17s) 你还没提我四分卫打得比 Eli Manning 还要好呢。 — Rich Gelfond > [04:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=261s) 忠诚是我们的立足之本,信誉就是我们流通的硬通货。 — Rich Gelfond > [13:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=825s) 哪怕现做现发也要立刻开预售! — Rich Gelfond > [16:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1019s) 就假装我是 CEO,假装我知道自己在说什么,我们现在必须按 3 亿的标准来制定全面的商业变现预案! — Rich Gelfond > [27:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1667s) 只要克里斯·诺兰开口,你照做就是了(you just do it)。 — Rich Gelfond > [27:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1667s) 他们不妨拿个计算器好好算算账,3.5 亿美元顶多只是这轮长尾周期的预测底线罢了。 — Rich Gelfond > [31:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=1888s) 再也没有人会回电影院了,每个人都将把自己锁死在客厅沙发上,一边吃着剩菜,一边忍受孩子的尖叫。 — Rich Gelfond > [33:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2017s) 没人能提前知道什么会大卖。 — Josh Brown > [41:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2484s) 最幸运的一件事就是 10 年前没有把自己卖掉。 — Rich Gelfond > [43:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14&t=2610s) 现在正是探讨 IMAX 未来最好的时机。 — Rich Gelfond ## Mentioned IMAX, Rich Gelfond, Josh Brown, Michael Batnick, Betterment Advisor Solutions, Eli Manning, Bradley Wexler, Christopher Nolan, 哪吒, Tom Cruise, 碟中谍7 (Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning), 奥本海默 (Oppenheimer), 派拉蒙影业 (Paramount), Denis Villeneuve, 沙丘 (Dune), 沙丘2 (Dune: Part Two), 沙丘3 (Dune: Messiah), 复仇者联盟:毁灭日 (Avengers: Doomsday), 迪士尼 (Disney), 漫威 (Marvel), Sam Mendes, 披头士 (The Beatles), 索尼影业 (Sony Pictures), 邦德 (James Bond), 杰瑞·布鲁克海默 (Jerry Bruckheimer), 约瑟夫·科辛斯基 (Joseph Kosinski), 布拉德·皮特 (Brad Pitt), F1 (电影), Apple, 华纳兄弟 (Warner Bros.), 奥德赛 (The Odyssey), AMC Theatres, Adam Aron, Johnny Brendan, Sphere (Las Vegas), Netflix, Rockman, David Byrne, Stop Making Sense, 星际穿越 (Interstellar), 挽救计划 (Project Hail Mary), Amazon, David Fincher, Quentin Tarantino, 好莱坞往事衍生作品, Matt Damon, Ryan Coogler, 罪人 (Sinners), David Ellison, Cinemark, 环球影业 (Universal Pictures), The Invite, 只想爱你 (Anyone But You), Glen Powell, Sydney Sweeney, 保罗·托马斯·安德森 (PTA), 史蒂芬·斯皮尔伯格 (Steven Spielberg), 马丁·斯科塞斯 (Martin Scorsese), 塞尔达传说 (The Legend of Zelda), Wes Ball, 猩球崛起:新世界, 星球大战 (Star Wars), Ryan Gosling, 托马斯·王冠事件 (The Thomas Crown Affair), 冰雪奇缘 3 (Frozen 3), 我的世界 (Minecraft), 怪物史莱克 5 (Shrek 5), 木乃伊 (The Mummy), 彭博社 (Bloomberg), 蓝天使 (The Blue Angels) ## Video description IMAX is about 4% of the world's screens and routinely delivers 20% or more of opening weekend on the films that matter most. Rich Gelfond has been running the company since 1994. On this episode of Live From The Compound, Josh Brown and Michael Batnick are joined by Rich to discuss: how IMAX became the format studios build their biggest movies around, the Christopher Nolan relationship and the Odyssey rollout, why there aren't more IMAX screens if demand is this strong, and where the next dollar of profit comes from. This episode is sponsored by Betterment Advisor Solutions. Learn more at: https://www.betterment.com/advisors 👕 Check out The Compound shop: https://www.idontshop.com 🎙️Listen to our podcasts: TCAF: https://podcasts.thecompoundnews.com/show/TCAF/ Animal Spirits: https://podcasts.thecompoundnews.com/show/animalspirits/ Ask The Compound: https://podcasts.thecompoundnews.com/show/ATC/ The Compound Newsletter: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thecompoundnews Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Josh Brown and Michael Batnick are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. #thecompound #investing #stockmarket #stocks [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gi4YHHJJO14)

Source quotes

[0:17] Rich Gelfond: 你还没提我四分卫打得比 Eli Manning 还要好呢。 [4:21] Rich Gelfond: 忠诚是我们的立足之本,信誉就是我们流通的硬通货。 [13:45] Rich Gelfond: 哪怕现做现发也要立刻开预售! [16:59] Rich Gelfond: 就假装我是 CEO,假装我知道自己在说什么,我们现在必须按 3 亿的标准来制定全面的商业变现预案! [27:47] Rich Gelfond: 只要克里斯·诺兰开口,你照做就是了(you just do it)。 [27:47] Rich Gelfond: 他们不妨拿个计算器好好算算账,3.5 亿美元顶多只是这轮长尾周期的预测底线罢了。 [31:28] Rich Gelfond: 再也没有人会回电影院了,每个人都将把自己锁死在客厅沙发上,一边吃着剩菜,一边忍受孩子的尖叫。 [33:37] Josh Brown: 没人能提前知道什么会大卖。 [41:24] Rich Gelfond: 最幸运的一件事就是 10 年前没有把自己卖掉。 [43:30] Rich Gelfond: 现在正是探讨 IMAX 未来最好的时机。

Source quotes

[18:48] Rich Gelfond: I don't put my finger in the air and say, 'Hey, this is worth $2 trillion.' Not the way I invest. I like looking at earnings and cash flow. [26:24] Rich Gelfond: Brad Pitt... loves IMAX because we helped make that. So he's going to promote that, and it's exclusively in IMAX before running afterwards on Netflix streaming. [17:26] Josh Brown: no Jets fans, only victims.

Original transcript

[0:17] Every RA knows attention. You don't want [0:19] to turn people away. You don't want to [0:20] require high minimums. And you want to [0:22] help clients who are just getting [0:23] started because that's where the [0:24] long-term relationships begin. But [0:26] here's the truth. Those simple accounts, [0:27] they take a lot of work. account [0:29] opening, trading, rebalancing. Before [0:31] long, your staff and backups are [0:32] underwater and trying to stay afloat. [0:34] That's why established RAAS are turning [0:36] to Betterment Advisor Solutions. It's [0:38] the platform built for segmenting your [0:40] book and streamlining the smaller and [0:42] simpler accounts. The onboarding [0:43] experience is automated and paperless. [0:45] The portfolio management is streamlined [0:47] and tax efficient. The client experience [0:49] is consistent and exceptional. Explore [0:52] what segmentation can do for your firm [0:54] today. Lower your operational limit but [0:56] keep your standard of service high. All [0:58] with Betterment Advisor Solutions. Your [1:00] biggest regret will be not doing it [1:01] sooner. Learn more at [1:03] betterment.com/advisors. [1:07] Thank you, Nicole. Ladies and gentlemen, [1:09] welcome to live from the compound. We [1:11] have a very special guest here. I've [1:13] never seen Michael I've seen you this [1:15] excited once. Eli [1:16] >> Eli Manning is here. Um but you're very [1:19] very very excited. Today we have a very [1:21] special guest. Rich Galon has been CEO [1:24] of IMAX Corporation since April 2009 and [1:28] a director since 1994 when he and [1:31] Bradley Wexler acquired the company. He [1:34] previously served as co-CEO with Wexler [1:37] from 1996 to 2009 and as co-chairman [1:41] from 1999 to 2009. Before IMAX, Gelfon [1:46] worked as an investment banker and M&A [1:48] attorney. That's your official intro, [1:51] but I actually had something a little un [1:53] unofficial in mind. Are you okay with [1:54] that? [1:55] >> Well, you didn't mention that I'm a [1:57] better quarterback than Eli Manning. [1:59] >> Fair. Fair. We did leave that out. What [2:01] I wanted to say is I think you preside [2:04] over a company that right now is among [2:07] the most important companies in [2:09] Hollywood. I know you're not uh [2:11] literally in Hollywood, but I I in my [2:14] opinion, you can tell me if you think [2:15] I'm right or wrong, I think nothing is [2:18] more important to the livelihood of the [2:21] movie business than an IMAX open and [2:24] everyone is now figuring it out. I think [2:26] the stock price reflects that and I [2:29] think the casual fan understands that [2:31] and now I'm assuming the executives all [2:33] understand that. he arrived at that [2:35] conclusion years ago in talking about [2:38] your stock. But we'd love to hear from [2:40] uh your perspective where you think you [2:42] sit. [2:43] >> Well, I really appreciate you saying [2:45] that. We have felt that way for a while [2:49] and the and the reason is we consider [2:51] ourselves very much in the middle of the [2:54] Hollywood ecosystem. And it's not just [2:56] Hollywood, it's the global um content [2:59] ecosystem. So, we're almost like a [3:02] curator in a way. So if you have a big [3:04] movie and you want it released in a way [3:07] that it's going to turn into a [3:08] blockbuster or it's going to break out, [3:11] I think having an IMAX release is an [3:13] integral um component of that. And we [3:17] have thought that and our business plan [3:20] probably since you bought the stock or [3:22] >> May 14th, 2024, 17 bucks a share. was [3:25] even before that was we our alliance [3:29] with filmmakers our alliance with [3:31] studios and again it's really important [3:33] to underline on a global basis so we we [3:36] have 800 theaters in China you know we [3:38] did Neha in China which probably no one [3:42] on this podcast has heard of but it did [3:45] $1.2 2 billion dollars US a movie. If [3:48] there's a big movie, we've been in the [3:49] middle of it. And as that's happened, [3:52] we've tried as a business strategy to [3:54] say how can we use our new found [3:57] position to strengthen it and to [4:00] increase the value of the brand and to [4:03] make us more integral to the system. And [4:05] I think that's been happening as you [4:07] said in your question. I think people [4:09] waking up now and saying, "Wow, you [4:12] really need IMAX in the middle of [4:14] things." But I think we've known that [4:16] for a while. And as I said, it's [4:18] incredibly gratifying to see it happen. [4:21] It feels incomplete if there's not an [4:23] IMAX release concurrent with uh the [4:26] theatrical release. It it feels almost [4:28] like h how do they not get IMAX screens. [4:32] And the first time I really started to [4:33] feel that way was reading press reports [4:35] about how voseiferously Tom Cruz was [4:39] lobbying for more screens for the [4:42] Mission Impossible two-parter and there [4:44] were competing uh films coming out at [4:46] the same time and he just felt like he [4:48] couldn't get enough screens. Um so [4:51] that's when it became apparent to me. [4:53] Michael was talking about uh IMAX and [4:56] now I feel like everybody sort of gets [4:57] it. Well, it's nice of you to say [5:00] competing for IMAX screens. Tom was on a [5:03] mission, pun intended. It was Mission [5:05] Impossible 7. And uh we had dated [5:09] Oppenheimer with Chris Nolan. And um [5:12] they they it was the second week of what [5:16] they moved into. They weren't there. We [5:18] picked that date. And the narrative that [5:20] came out of Paramont, which was [5:22] distributing the film at that time, was [5:25] you guys are out of your minds. It's a [5:27] biopic in black and white about a [5:29] physicist. [5:30] >> Why are you wasting screens on highway? [5:32] What are you kidding me? And um you know [5:35] it wasn't easy to stand by our [5:37] principles and say we committed to it. [5:39] And and you know Nolan's really one of [5:42] few people who helped get us to where we [5:44] are today. Loyalty is a big deal for us. [5:47] So when we did it, we felt a lot of [5:50] pressure around us, but we never [5:52] flinched. And you know, I like that even [5:54] today to stay um true to our principles. [5:57] So, an example of something we're [6:00] dealing with right now is Dune 3 comes [6:03] out around Christmas time and we think [6:06] it's going to be a very big movie. Deny [6:08] Villanu filmed it in part with IMAX [6:11] cameras. There's going to be the same [6:13] amount of prints as the Odyssey. We did [6:15] great on Dune 2 and [6:17] >> we saw we saw Michael and I saw Dune 2 [6:19] at Lincoln Square here in Manhattan on [6:21] the 70 millimeter. [6:22] >> So it took us two weeks to get tickets [6:24] and actually I think that's about when I [6:25] first pitched the stock. [6:26] >> So you must have known the CEO of the [6:27] company to get [6:28] >> now now we do. [6:30] >> So Rich [6:31] >> so no just just to finish his point. So [6:34] Avengers was supposed Doomsday supposed [6:36] to be this summer and they had some [6:39] production issues and they moved it to [6:41] Christmas time right against Dune and of [6:44] course they called and said well can't [6:46] you do Avengers and you know can't you [6:49] do something about Dune and I said you [6:51] know we love you guys and we love to do [6:53] your movie but we have a commitment and [6:55] that's the currency that we're made of. [6:58] So, as a result, we're missing out on [7:00] Avengers, which I'm sure will be a very [7:02] good movie, but we're leaning into Dune, [7:05] and I think we'll do really well on it. [7:07] >> Disney said that they want to come out [7:09] with uh a large format uh product. Do [7:13] you think that's in response to not [7:14] being able to get Avengers screens from [7:16] you? [7:17] >> Sure, it is. They've said it. I mean, [7:19] you know, it's been all over the media [7:21] and it's called Infinity Vision and they [7:23] put the tickets on sale for Avengers [7:26] Endgame and maybe Doomsday also. They're [7:30] bringing back Endgame and um they the [7:33] the first place to buy them is this [7:36] thing, Infinity Vision. But Infinity [7:38] Vision is a marketing technique that's [7:41] they're not building new theaters. [7:42] They're taking existing theaters with an [7:44] X in them and they're bundling them and [7:47] they're calling it Infinity Vision. And [7:49] they've sort of said because we can't [7:52] play IMAX, you know, again, I think um [7:54] consumers will figure out whether IMMAX [7:57] is different than that and I'm not [7:59] losing sleep about it. [8:00] >> So you guys have had a massive impact on [8:03] the box office year to date. [8:05] >> Through 24 days, Oppenheimer, which was [8:08] a huge movie obviously did $264 million. [8:11] I'm guessing that's just domestic [8:12] >> Odyssey. [8:13] >> I'm sorry. Oppenheimer. Oppenheimer. So, [8:15] I'm about to compare. [8:16] >> No, it didn't do two 264. [8:19] >> So, I'm talking about Oppenheimer. So, [8:20] through 24 days, just for comparison, [8:22] the Odyssey has done $461 million. [8:26] >> You talk about domestic robots. Sorry. [8:28] >> And and Oppenheimer was a massive [8:30] massive hit. So you guys because of the [8:32] pre-sale and the vision and and Nolan [8:37] filming like you guys have had a massive [8:39] impact on the increase of this. I saw [8:41] that in 2024 that you guys were having [8:43] that people were leaning into live [8:44] events. They wanted a premier luxury [8:47] experience which you guys deliver. And [8:50] at $17 the the stock looks super [8:53] attractive. It was a I I said you guys [8:55] and I meant this respectfully. the [8:57] amount of influence and brand [8:59] recognition that you have compared to [9:01] your market cap was a joke. I thought it [9:03] was very lopsided at a billion dollars. [9:05] At three billion dollars, I think what [9:07] Wall Street is maybe discounting is they [9:10] don't like uncertainty. And even though [9:12] 2026 has been a massive year for the box [9:14] office, you guys can't control what [9:17] movies come out in 27 and 28. And it's [9:20] very much transactional. No, like if the [9:23] box office softens, your results will [9:25] soften. So, how do we how do you what [9:28] other levers can you pull? Is there [9:30] maybe a subscription service in there? [9:32] Like, how do you increase your take [9:33] rate? How do we make more money? [9:35] >> Well, I mean, you know, there are no [9:38] businesses. Well, I I would argue that [9:41] we have more visibility into the future [9:43] than almost any other business cuz if [9:45] you're a car company, you have zero [9:48] sales on opening day. If you're IMAX, we [9:51] have a backlog of theaters that we're [9:53] installing. We make that public. We have [9:55] numbers. We give guidance on that. We [9:58] also now have an tremendous backlog of [10:00] films. So we have films committed to us [10:03] for um 28 and we probably have some for [10:06] 29. I don't know. But in 28 we're doing [10:09] the Beatles uh four movies that Sam [10:12] Mendy's is doing. Um Bond is [10:15] >> Oh, you guys are going to take all four. [10:16] You committed to taking all that's [10:18] because that's a big [10:20] >> What studio is that? [10:21] >> Sony. That's a big risk that people want [10:23] four distinct biopic parts of a Beatles [10:27] movie, [10:27] >> but we figured out a way where they'll [10:29] be released within a time period where [10:32] we're we're protect protected. [10:34] >> I'm going [10:34] >> and I'm going too. And then well, you're [10:37] from Long Island and I am. And you know, [10:39] I begged my parents to go to Sha [10:41] Stadium, but I was like 12 years old and [10:44] they said, "You're not getting on the I [10:46] never forgave. [10:46] >> The sound quality was terrible. You [10:48] didn't miss anything." [10:48] >> Yeah. Okay. Did you go? Well, I wasn't [10:50] born yet. [10:51] >> Okay. Well, that's [10:52] >> that was their, you know, that was their [10:53] last that was the last straw. The [10:55] Beatles never wanted to play live again [10:57] after that. [10:58] >> No, I didn't know that. That [10:59] >> they would intentionally flub the lyrics [11:02] or play the wrong chords just to see if [11:05] they'd get away with it. The screaming [11:06] was so intense that nobody knew the [11:08] difference. And they said, "From now on, [11:10] we'll focus on studio albums." They [11:12] never tooured America again. [11:13] >> I thought it was being on Long Island [11:15] that turned [11:16] >> Wasn't Long Island. It wasn't Long [11:17] Island. [11:17] >> It was Queens. It was Queens. [11:19] >> Yeah, it's Queens. I could sort of can't [11:22] you understand that a little [11:23] >> so you know, right? If somebody's [11:24] working on a blockbuster film that's not [11:26] going to come out for 3 years, it's on [11:28] your radar. You have [11:29] >> somebody come to us way in advance. I'll [11:31] use one example which was um last year [11:35] F1 came out, you know, with Apple and [11:38] they released it on IMAX and in [11:39] theaters. And a year or more before it [11:42] came out, um Jerry Brockheimimer, the [11:45] producer, and Joe Kazinski, the [11:47] director, called me up and they said, [11:50] "We want to do a theatrical release." [11:52] And we don't have a distributor yet, but [11:54] it's important to us that we get an IMAX [11:57] release slot. We want to shoot in an [11:59] IMAX. So, could we make a commitment? We [12:02] IMAX to a certain date. So, um, we went [12:05] through a lot of what was entailed, had [12:07] a film at an IMAX, and we agreed on a [12:10] date. Then they went to a distributor [12:12] and they they eventually got Warner [12:15] Brothers, but we were the first stop. [12:17] And one of the things that's happened in [12:19] our evolution is we're getting pitched [12:22] now direct directly by filmmakers. So [12:25] filmmakers you and your audience has [12:27] certainly heard of come by my office or [12:30] we go see them and they I mean people [12:32] have won Academy Awards and say we're [12:34] thinking of doing this movie two years [12:36] out you know we would you guys sign on [12:38] to that and we ask who's the cast and [12:41] who's the director and this and that and [12:43] we sign up. So the business like you [12:46] know we're part of the green light [12:48] process now and I would say at most of [12:50] the major studios an IMAX release is [12:53] part of the green light. So when a [12:55] filmmaker goes in there and says I want [12:57] to make a movie in 27, they say I want [13:00] to release in an IMAX and we'll sit down [13:03] with the studio and the filmmaker and [13:05] figure out what date works and how we [13:07] could pull together the most marketing [13:10] around it and you know and the studios [13:12] will make marketing commitments. So for [13:15] the next Mission Impossible, Mission 8, [13:18] we committed to right when mission seven [13:21] after it got done playing and Paramount [13:24] agreed to put up a fair amount of money [13:26] and they agreed to lean into the [13:28] marketing and Tom agreed to lean into it [13:31] in certain ways. So the the kind of [13:34] short answer to your question is as we [13:37] become more important in the ecosystem, [13:40] we become more integrated and earlier on [13:43] so we have a bigger runway. But the [13:45] second part of the answer to your [13:47] question where you going to get make [13:49] more money is um we we never really had [13:52] a merchandising effort and this year we [13:55] started and we started small. So for um [13:58] Odyssey we made popcorn buckets. I don't [14:01] know if you guys have seen them or not. [14:03] They look like an IMAX camera. And my [14:05] team was fairly conservative. So, we put [14:08] 2500 on sale and they sold in 2 hours. [14:12] So, I said, "Put more on sale." They [14:14] said, "We don't have them eBay." [14:16] They said, "We don't have them." I said, [14:18] "Put them on sale and deliver it [14:20] whenever you can get them." So, we sold [14:21] 2500 more in I think it was like less [14:26] than an hour. And by the end of this in [14:28] China, we put like 2500 on sale and I [14:32] think we sold them in 60 seconds. So, [14:35] um, we're selling film strips now for [14:37] the Odyssey. We sold 20,000 in 90 [14:42] minutes. So, I think that's definitely [14:44] an area where we're going to capitalize. [14:46] >> You can't influence you can't influence [14:48] ticket prices at all, can you? [14:49] >> No. But that is an example of a place [14:52] where we can do better. So, um, AMC here [14:56] in New York is charging the same price [14:59] for an IMAX film ticket as they are for [15:02] a regular ticket. And as a matter of [15:04] fact, on Wednesdays, which is half price [15:07] days, they're selling it for half price. [15:10] Meanwhile, you could buy them for $1,000 [15:12] on [15:13] >> Can you talk to Adam and Aaron and just [15:15] say, "Hey, Odyssey, if we sell Odyssey a [15:18] year in advance in an hour, [15:22] >> why aren't these tickets $100?" [15:24] >> I I [15:24] >> What is his response to that? [15:25] >> So, he sets the price, not us. But I'm [15:28] allowed to weigh in and I've said that [15:30] makes no sense. And um when I have those [15:33] discussions with exhibitors, they all [15:36] say that's a really good point. But, you [15:38] know, there's a guy in um [15:39] >> Well, Live Nation is dynamic pricing. [15:41] Now, [15:42] >> Springsteen Springsteen says, "Whatever [15:44] it's worth is what people will pay for [15:45] it." And [15:46] >> there's a guy in um um Las Vegas called [15:49] Johnny Brendan. He has an IMAX film [15:52] Theater, Brendan Theaters. He charges 50 [15:54] bucks and he sells out. AMC is charging [15:58] 14 on Wednesdays. I mean, I can't tell [16:00] you why they do what they do. And I [16:04] think once I told Adam, he's he said, [16:06] "The problem is they're sold out for [16:08] months. I can't go back and recoup that. [16:11] But hopefully for Dune and other things, [16:13] that is an area of of of opportunity." [16:17] Also, I think you'll see a lot more film [16:19] prints around films. So, for next year, [16:22] we haven't announced the names of them, [16:24] but I think there's around four that are [16:26] coming out on IMAX film. And um you know [16:30] we have 40 theaters now that use film. [16:33] So that's a really good revenue source. [16:36] I you know when this film [16:38] >> versus digital [16:39] >> Yeah. cuz you higher occupancy [16:41] >> film is more expensive [16:43] >> right. Okay. [16:44] >> Higher ticket price hopefully um more [16:47] attendance higher utilization rates and [16:51] um you know greater buzz greater [16:52] indexing from us which means percentage [16:55] of the box office. We do a higher [16:58] percentage of the box office. [16:59] >> Are you at the ceiling or can you get [17:00] above 20? [17:01] >> Like 26. [17:03] >> 26. How high you think that can get? I [17:05] mean, that's that's healthy. [17:06] >> Well, it there are both sides, right? [17:08] It's how many screens it opens on and [17:10] what are what are the regular theaters [17:12] doing? So, we've been higher. We could [17:14] be higher, but when you're open in [17:17] almost every screens, you know, that's [17:19] pretty high. We've done over 30 on some [17:21] movies, but again, the issue is in um [17:24] indexing, it's how much money you make, [17:26] right? And what your margins are and all [17:28] of that. So, before this open, you like [17:31] this cuz what football team do you guys [17:33] root for? All right. Now, I could still [17:35] talk to you. If you said the Jets, I was [17:37] going to walk out of the studio. There [17:38] are no Jets fans. [17:39] >> Yeah. Only victims. [17:41] >> Only my brother. And I hold it against [17:43] them. [17:43] >> But, um before this open, I got my [17:46] management team together. And at IMAX, [17:49] we had an ultimate of 190 for the movie. [17:52] That's what my film team thought it [17:55] would do. And I said it would do over [17:57] 300. And they said, "Oh, you're crazy. [18:00] You're hyping us. This, that." So, I [18:03] went into the meeting and I said, [18:05] "Pretend I'm the CEO and pretend I know [18:08] what I'm talking about. And pretend [18:10] we're going to put a plan together of [18:12] how we're going to capitalize on that [18:14] and what we're going to do with it." And [18:16] they all, you know, the guy's old, he [18:18] doesn't know what he's talking about. [18:20] You we know what we So it pass. It's [18:23] today it'll be close to 300 and we have [18:26] $40 million in pre-sales. So if we never [18:29] sell another ticket, we're at 340 and [18:33] we've got it playing until September. [18:36] And you know, film theaters, you can't [18:38] get a ticket at the BFI until [18:40] midepptember. So the I was wrong. I was [18:44] probably way too low. Do you um do you [18:48] think about uh the success of the sphere [18:53] as sort of a a a guidepost? Like this is [18:58] something that we know we're undervalued [19:01] relative to a business like they have [19:03] one location. You guys are global. [19:05] They're talking about a second location. [19:07] It cost them a billion dollars to build [19:08] one of those or maybe two billion [19:10] >> or maybe three. [19:11] >> Maybe three. Um, you guys have uh a [19:15] bigger brand name. Um, I would argue you [19:19] guys have the potential to do more [19:21] conversions. The sphere can't do any. [19:23] So, you could go into existing theaters [19:25] and you could say, "We're going to [19:27] retrofit." I was pitching your stock to [19:29] retail clients as a stock broker in [19:32] 2005. I still have my script. Everything [19:34] I was pitching 21 years ago turned out [19:37] to be true, but the share price really [19:39] hasn't done all that much. So, how do [19:41] you think about like why aren't we [19:43] getting the recognition of a sphere [19:46] which became I think one of the hottest [19:47] stocks of 2026? Um, arguably more people [19:50] are aware of IMAX than they are of that. [19:53] >> Well, we've done brand studies with NRG [19:55] and our brand is on a level of Disney [19:58] and Nike and people like that. This is [20:00] not just us saying, "Hey, I think it's [20:02] a" and I agree with you that we get very [20:05] little recognition of what that brand [20:08] value is in relative monetization, but [20:11] that's why we're doing things like [20:13] merchandising. Uh, I don't know if you [20:15] saw, we're doing an an AV system in [20:18] China with a company that's going to put [20:21] it in autos, mostly driverless autos. [20:24] So, we were slow to it, but we are [20:26] trying to monetize that where we are [20:28] now. In terms of the sphere, I've been [20:31] there. I I think it's fantastic. [20:33] Amazing. It's great technology. Um, [20:36] again though, I I've heard it cost close [20:39] to $3 billion. I don't know how you make [20:41] money at that price. They're licensing [20:44] some out now. That's probably a little [20:46] bit better um business model than [20:49] putting all that money into each one. [20:52] But, you know, I personally, I wouldn't [20:54] own that stock. I didn't buy SpaceX. I [20:56] don't put my finger in the air and say, [20:59] "Hey, this is worth $2 trillion." Not [21:01] the way I invest. I like looking at [21:04] earnings and cash flow. And and I think, [21:06] you know, we're starting to return to [21:08] the world of reality now where our stock [21:11] has gone up tremendously in the last [21:13] since 24 when you bought it. It's more [21:16] than [21:17] >> You have a hot You have a hot stock. [21:18] That is true. Um and Michael was very [21:21] early to it. People that listen to him [21:22] made a lot of money. What are the what [21:24] are the constraints around building more [21:27] of the 70 millimeter experiences which [21:29] obviously is I've heard you refer to as [21:31] a Rolls-Royce um of movie going. I [21:34] totally agree. I went to see one battle [21:36] after another in Fort Lauderdale. You [21:39] guys are located in like an abandoned [21:41] science museum. Like I was saying to [21:43] myself, this should be the hottest [21:46] ticket in Florida. People should be [21:48] lined up out the door. I was able to buy [21:50] a same day ticket for 70 millimeter. [21:53] That same experience in New York, sold [21:56] out the second you put them up. I don't [21:58] think people even know that that exists [21:59] where it's located. [22:00] >> Well, they do. We do pretty good numbers [22:02] coming out of there. I don't think it [22:04] was abandoned. Maybe it was closed that [22:07] day, but I will agree with you. It's not [22:09] the hottest. [22:10] >> Felt aband felt abandoned. I was just [22:12] saying to myself, can you imagine a [22:14] brand new 70 mm IMAX in downtown Fort [22:18] Lauderdale? Forget it. It would be like [22:20] >> I can imagine one in downtown LA. It's [22:23] called LA Live and we converted it on [22:26] January 1st this year and the first 6 [22:29] months it did $800,000. [22:33] The first few weeks it did more than [22:35] that. We put a film projector in there [22:38] and it sold out for a long time going [22:40] forward. The issue is purely economics [22:43] with more film projectors. So, one print [22:46] at one theater, so think of the one that [22:49] shows at 68th Street here in Manhattan, [22:52] cost $50,000. [22:53] >> The print itself, [22:54] >> the print itself cost $50,000. [22:56] >> And the projector is equally expensive. [22:58] >> The projector is more expensive than [22:59] that. Okay. [23:00] >> And they were built 50 years ago and [23:03] they don't really exist, but we're [23:05] always scavenging and finding more. And [23:08] I think this is a chance we can do that. [23:10] But you it can only be in really hightra [23:13] locations where you could advertise that [23:16] cost of the print and make a return on [23:18] it. So I know everybody says they want [23:20] it, but you know it it it the model just [23:23] doesn't work where you could have a lot [23:25] of [23:25] >> How many of the 70 mm theaters do you [23:27] have in the United States right now? [23:29] >> I think we have um [23:30] >> 25. [23:31] >> Yeah, something like that. And we have [23:33] 41 globally. But keep in mind that's up [23:36] marketly. When we did Oppenheimer, we [23:38] only had 30 theaters. We're up to 41. [23:41] And we have a clever new idea which we [23:44] haven't proved out yet where we might be [23:46] able to get 10 new ones. [23:47] >> Okay. Could you share or No. [23:49] >> No. [23:49] >> All right. Well, let me ask you this. [23:50] What What do we do when there's a l in [23:52] the box office? Because it's lumpy, [23:53] right? It's So, can we do Nick's watch [23:57] parties, for example, during the [23:58] playoffs? like are there other things [24:00] that you can do to get asses in the [24:02] seats when the box [24:05] all of that so last year we had 120 [24:09] pieces of content which included not [24:11] only movies you guys haven't talked [24:13] about it but I mentioned at the [24:15] beginning um foreign movies [24:17] international movies so big business for [24:20] us in anime and not just in Japan we do [24:23] it in China look at that we're ready [24:26] that's that's from your slide [24:27] >> these are big foreign films that you [24:28] guys. [24:29] >> So 24% Kager since from 2019 to 2025. [24:32] >> So um you know that's a big business for [24:35] us and it's a big business um not just [24:38] showing like anime in Japan but showing [24:42] it worldwide. Um this year there's a big [24:44] film coming out of Inda India called [24:47] Rockman and I think there's a Rockman 2 [24:50] coming next year and we're going to open [24:52] that on a global basis. So, some of [24:55] these really big ones bleed over. And by [24:57] the way, there's no theater chains [24:59] playing them. It's out of the box. And [25:01] then we've done the NBA finals um on a [25:05] limited basis in China. Yeah, they do go [25:08] for it. We've had a lot of concerts. Um [25:11] we did a live stop making sense um [25:14] concert with David Burn uh from the [25:17] Toronto Film Festival that did really [25:19] well. But we've had events that have we [25:22] bring back movies all the time. We [25:24] brought back Interstellar and I think it [25:26] did over $5 million. [25:28] >> Why do you guys do more than that? Is [25:29] that is that the studio's decision? Like [25:31] if you release Pulp Fiction or whatever, [25:33] like I would go [25:34] >> the the issue is really marketing costs. [25:37] So when a movie comes out, obviously [25:39] it's on um um bus. [25:44] Yeah. And there's planes flying over and [25:46] all that. So, if you have a limited [25:48] release for one weekend, it's very [25:50] expensive to market it. So, you really [25:52] have to do iconic um titles. We've done [25:56] tests with the NHL in Europe where we [25:59] played a lot of hockey games. I think [26:01] some there we showed here, some here, we [26:04] showed there. We did an HBO um series [26:08] where we did some episodes from last [26:10] year and then this year and um that did [26:14] pretty well. We're experimenting with it [26:16] and we have a couple of really [26:18] noteworthy projects in the skunk works [26:21] where if you knew about them, you say, [26:23] "Wow, that's a big deal." [26:24] >> What are you doing with streamers with [26:25] to you guys mentioned in the last call [26:27] that you're doing something with like [26:28] the the uh to eventize the launches? [26:31] >> So, I mentioned F1 where we did 100 [26:33] million in that was an Apple release and [26:36] it was big and it was the biggest Apple [26:39] release ever. They did 600 million. So [26:42] they recognized having an IM IMAX was a [26:45] big thing. We do a lot with Amazon. Um [26:48] we, you know, we release a lot of their [26:50] films. We did Hail Mary this year, which [26:53] again did 100 million in IMAX. Really [26:55] big success. Great movie. Um with [26:58] Netflix, we're doing the sort of sequel [27:01] to Once Upon in Time in Hollywood. It's [27:04] directed by David Fincher, written by [27:07] Tarantino, Cliff Booth, and um um Brad [27:11] Pitt stars. [27:12] >> That's gonna get an IMAX. That's gonna [27:13] get an IMAX release [27:14] >> between Thanksgiving and Christmas this [27:16] year. And remember, Brad Pitt, you know, [27:18] was the biggest movie he ever did. And [27:20] he loves IMAX cuz we helped make that. [27:23] So, he's going to promote that. And it's [27:26] exclusively in IMAX. And then it's [27:29] running um afterwards Netflix streaming. [27:32] Yeah. Yeah. [27:32] >> You better be there. We'll be there in [27:34] the sweet spot. [27:35] >> We'll go to the premiere. I don't know. [27:36] I don't know if if you're interested in [27:38] having us. Um, can I ask can I ask you [27:40] about [27:40] >> where my stock is and how much you own. [27:42] >> Fair. Can I ask can I ask you about uh [27:45] uh some Nolan stuff? [27:47] >> Sure. [27:47] >> Okay. So, I saw it in IMAX, but I didn't [27:50] get to the 70 mm cuz those were sold out [27:52] a year ago. So, I saw it in like one of [27:55] the retrofitted theaters that you guys [27:57] have [27:58] >> digital theater. [27:59] >> Dig. Yes. I It was amazing. It was the [28:02] unbelievable experience and uh I think [28:04] everyone I think that's a universal [28:07] sentiment that you're hearing from [28:08] people coming out of it. Um you guys [28:11] worked with Chris Nolan to invent [28:13] special cameras to allow him to film the [28:16] entire movie with IMAX. You did some [28:19] technological stuff where one of the [28:22] constraints was that it used to be [28:23] really noisy. You created something [28:26] called the blimp so that the actors [28:27] could look at each other and emote and [28:30] not have something clicking and worring [28:32] in between them. So you went to great [28:34] lengths to make this movie. You're [28:36] almost like a co-producer of the movie [28:38] at that stage when you're getting that [28:40] in that deep. What else did you learn [28:42] from that experience with the Odyssey, [28:45] both the technological side of actually [28:47] filming it and then the release? What do [28:50] you take away from that experience [28:51] that's going to be meaningful for IMAX [28:54] in the future? [28:55] >> Well, the first thing is when Chris [28:56] Nolan asks you to do something, you just [28:59] do it. And the camera and the blimp were [29:02] just part of it. He had a list of 15 [29:04] things. He wanted like a parts dump all [29:08] over the world. So, if the projector [29:10] broke, there were parts nearby. He [29:12] wanted us to train projectionists. He [29:15] had a lot of things to do and we did all [29:18] of them. [29:19] that proved to be a really good thing. [29:21] We also learned from him that it has a [29:24] lot to do with the director leaning in. [29:27] So, we did Sinners um with with Ryan [29:30] Cougler and um he did an incredible job [29:34] leaning in. If you remember, he invented [29:36] this little aspect ratio book which he [29:40] sent all over the place. And you know, [29:42] Denise is leaning very much into um um [29:46] Dune 3. So, it's not just the technology [29:50] and you need the filmmaker to say this [29:52] is the way I made it and this is what [29:54] the way they're thinking about IMAX as [29:57] they're like in pre-production for the [29:59] film. It's not a oh yeah, we'll also do [30:01] IMAX central to the shots and as they [30:05] think about how it looks. And you made a [30:07] very good point which a lot of people [30:09] don't know is that, you know, part of [30:11] Chris's motivation um for the blimp was [30:14] getting more out of the actors cuz you [30:17] know, think about the Odyssey when Matt [30:19] Damon went through the the um the the [30:22] singing of the sirens. You know, he was [30:24] in the middle of a boat in the middle of [30:26] the water strapped to it. I mean, the [30:29] last thing he needed was a camera that [30:31] was screeching in his face. That [30:33] actually might have killed him. I don't [30:34] want to give away a spoiler, but he [30:36] survived it. [30:37] >> Worse than the sirens, right? [30:39] >> And so what we're doing now is we're [30:41] really leaning into the economics of it [30:44] to studios and filmmakers and we're [30:46] saying, you know, look how how long the [30:50] pre-sales, the tail was, look how long [30:53] in advance um everything sold out. Look [30:56] at the legs. So you you know, let's talk [30:58] about that for a second. So today we'll [31:00] be around 300 million in the movie and [31:03] with the 40 in backlog and it's going to [31:06] be around till September. So you know [31:09] someone called me yesterday and said wow [31:11] this movie could do 350. I said you know [31:14] why don't you get a calculator and add [31:16] up the numbers. You know that's sort of [31:18] the bottom of the range. [31:20] >> Yeah. [31:21] >> Do you have any thoughts on um what's [31:24] happening in Hollywood with Paramount [31:25] and Warner? Um, [31:28] uh, Adam Aaron just came out in favor of [31:30] it. I think so did the CEO of Cinemark. [31:33] Um, is that going to be good for the [31:34] movie industry? What do we think? [31:37] >> You know, the future is so uncertain in [31:39] the movie industry, but the number of [31:42] prognosticators is not uncertain. There [31:44] are more and more every week. So, [31:47] remember during co when the [31:49] prognosticators [31:50] kind of fueled by Netflix said no one's [31:53] ever going back to the theaters. um you [31:57] know that everybody's going to sit in [31:59] their living room chained to the couch [32:01] with their kids screaming and um eating [32:04] leftovers. You know, the [32:05] prognosticators, if I could say one [32:07] thing about them, they've almost always [32:09] been wrong about the future of the movie [32:11] business. Like when television came out [32:14] and radio, that was the end of the movie [32:17] business. and you could find all the [32:19] research and the people who said that, [32:21] you know, I think it evolves and you [32:23] just don't know where it goes. So, [32:26] you're right, the loss of Warner [32:27] Brothers is an obvious, you know, loss [32:30] on the one hand of some of the creative [32:33] talent and movies. On the other hand, [32:36] the introduction of um of all the [32:39] streamers in as a source of a lot more [32:41] content. And as I just told you with F1 [32:45] and with Hail Mary, they're both from [32:47] streamers. They've been among the best [32:49] content we've had. And David Ellison has [32:52] promised 30 movies a year. This morning [32:55] it came out and they said 45day window. [32:58] So he always was more competitive. I [33:00] remember when remember Universal had its [33:03] 17-day SVOD window. There are too many [33:07] pieces that evolve where I can predict [33:10] and say this is good or bad, the [33:13] beginning or the end. I think it's [33:15] almost organic and I think it'll depend [33:18] as much on the merger as the way people [33:21] respond to it. So, one of the [33:23] settlements I read might happen is they [33:26] might sell one of the lots off. So, you [33:29] know, who's the buyer of the lot? What [33:31] happens there? You know, I think it's [33:33] too easy to say, you know, it's bad. I [33:36] think we'll see. [33:37] >> The movie business, as you put pointed, [33:39] is incredibly hard to predict. It's like [33:40] the stock market. I mean, William [33:42] Goldman wrote the adventures of screen [33:43] trade in, and I think the 80s talking [33:45] about how nobody knew what was going to [33:46] succeed or not. Matter of fact, in the [33:48] video that I made when I pitched uh IMAX [33:51] for the first time in 2024, I said that [33:53] indie movies are dead, and they were. [33:56] And I said that you guys are in a unique [33:58] position because movies are an event and [34:00] when there's an event, people go to [34:01] IMAX. Of course, in 2026, indie movies [34:04] are very back, right? Like there's uh [34:06] Back Rooms was huge and Obsession [34:08] monster movie. One of the things that we [34:10] as movie goers lost over the last [34:12] decade, which makes me very sad as a as [34:14] a fan, are comedies. I think comedies [34:16] died for two reasons. Josh and I were [34:18] talking about this. One was cancel [34:19] culture, and two was these movie stars [34:22] were getting like Appetiz Crew. just [34:23] getting too expensive and the economics [34:25] were upside down and people weren't [34:26] going to the movies. There was that, [34:27] too. I saw The Invite uh a month ago. [34:30] Did you see that movie? [34:31] >> I haven't. Amazing. [34:32] >> I know about it, but I haven't seen it. [34:33] >> Amazing. I I knew nothing about it. And [34:36] it's the hardest I've laughed in a [34:38] theater in 10 years. And it was a packed [34:40] audience. And there's nothing like being [34:43] in a theater with other people having [34:45] that belly laugh. You know, you you [34:47] don't get on your couch. So because [34:49] movies are back and you would you you [34:51] would see this like can we get comedies? [34:53] Could comedies make a comeback or they [34:55] just dead forever? [34:55] >> Not that particular comedy though. [34:57] >> They never leave the apartment. [34:59] >> I don't know if that's anxious. [35:01] >> It's probably not an IMAX. [35:02] >> Can comedies as a genre come back. [35:04] >> So you reminded me of something when you [35:06] said you made a movie. So, some of our [35:08] fans after Odyssey came out um went to a [35:11] theater and they built a little Trojan [35:14] horse on a wagon and two of them hid in [35:17] this box in the wagon and one went in [35:20] and bought a ticket and snuck the other [35:23] two in and then while they were going [35:25] the doors open and they fell out, the [35:27] two guys. But the so the answer is the [35:30] amount of creativity is so strong. You [35:33] know, I never say no never about [35:36] anything. I I think sure comedies could [35:38] come back and succeed and you know you [35:40] named one of the examples of that and [35:43] even what's the one with Glenn Pal the [35:46] romcom he did? [35:47] >> Oh Sydney Sweeney Sweeney. [35:49] >> Yeah there are some Yeah sweetie right? [35:52] Um that that one that one came back. So [35:56] I think yeah there'll be comedies. I'm [35:58] I'm not sure how many will be in IMAX [36:01] because again you've got to do big box [36:03] office and you know I it you know IMAX [36:06] might make a comedy funnier. We know [36:09] that it'll make a big movie [36:12] action comedies. You you guys can um I [36:15] think one thing that the prognosticators [36:17] were right about um I agree with you. [36:19] They're always saying this is the end of [36:20] whatever. People don't go to the movies [36:23] anymore. And I think this plays into [36:25] your favor actually. They go to a movie. [36:29] So, I remember growing up in the 80s on [36:31] Long Island and if it was raining, we [36:33] would say, "Let's go to the movies and [36:35] you would go and whatever was playing, [36:37] you'd pick something." Um, I don't think [36:40] people think that way now. I think the [36:42] way they think is, "I need to see that [36:44] movie that is an event to Michael's [36:47] point and I want to see it in IMAX." So, [36:49] I actually think the consumer [36:53] tastes have changed and they think about [36:55] movies as an event. And what a what [36:58] better way to experience that than IMAX. [37:01] >> Well, you I mean you were leading right [37:03] into our corporate strategy is we did [37:05] like a mission statement years ago and [37:08] we said rather than people saying you [37:11] know let's go see that movie. We thought [37:14] people would should wake up and say [37:16] let's go to the IMAX. And I know some [37:18] fans who just think whatever you're [37:20] showing because of the way that it's [37:22] displayed it's going to be a worthwhile [37:24] event. My stepson is one of those. Every [37:27] weekend he's going to an IMAX uh movie [37:31] somehow and that's that's kind of my [37:33] dream when they wake up say let's go to [37:35] the IMAX and I think this time with [37:38] Odyssey it's definitely playing out that [37:40] way. [37:40] >> Well it definitely is. So I think right [37:41] now for for movies to make it there's [37:43] three ingredients. One is IMAX. I mean [37:46] you guys are at the top of the list. [37:47] Like when you're on a movie poster [37:49] you're above the director and the the [37:50] actors. So you're one leg of the stool. [37:52] The other is the movie star and maybe [37:55] most importantly is the director. I feel [37:57] like with Nolan and Denise, like [37:59] directors are the new movie stars. [38:01] People show up to see Paul Thomas [38:02] Anderson. Yeah, it's great that the cap [38:04] is in the movie, but they're there for [38:05] the director. I think you're partly [38:07] right. I mean, definitely with Chris and [38:09] with Denise and PTA also, but he has a [38:13] smaller base. You know, you could count [38:15] on one hand, but you know, showing up [38:18] for the director and how well they do. [38:20] uh Spielberg, Scorsesi's [38:23] Spielberg and Scorsese, but yeah, those [38:26] movies, you know, kind of cap out at a [38:28] lower number. So, I think they they'll [38:31] get you something, but I think you need [38:33] a really good movie. You need the star [38:35] >> als [38:38] 2027 like I think Zelda is going to be a [38:40] monster. [38:41] >> Yeah, we I met um the I forget the [38:44] director's name. He's very cool. He's a [38:46] great guy. That's an example. The guy [38:48] called me out of the blue like about a [38:50] year ago and um he said it has to be an [38:53] IMAX and I [38:54] >> The Legend of Zelda which is the [38:56] Nintendo IP. [38:57] >> Exactly. That guy did the the um the the [39:00] Last Planet of the Apes movie I believe. [39:02] >> Yeah. It's a it's a great example and we [39:04] you know that's next year. [39:06] >> That's next year. [39:07] >> What else do you have? [39:08] >> We have the new um we have the [39:10] >> It'll make it easy for you. Thomas Crown [39:12] affair. [39:12] >> This is not an IMAX unfortunately. [39:14] >> Thomas Crown is film Primax. There's a [39:17] new Star Wars and I know you're rolling [39:19] your eyes because of Mandalorian, but [39:21] this one I was on set. Ryan Gosling. It [39:24] reminds me the the Harrison Ford kind of [39:27] Star Wars. I think it's going to be a [39:29] big movie. Frozen is out next year. [39:32] >> Minecraft will be big. [39:33] >> And then there's um the sequel to [39:35] Avengers is out next Christmas at the [39:38] end of next year. I think Dune's going [39:40] to play in to next year. Chinese New [39:43] Year. Um, this year a lot of movies [39:46] weren't made. Next year a lot of movies [39:48] were made. So I think we're going to do [39:50] very well. Um, [39:52] >> it's hard for me to read that thing. Um, [39:54] >> The Mummy, Frozen 3, Great Beyond. So [39:58] this is visibility. You don't know which [39:59] of these will be the biggest hits. [40:01] >> Strike five. Shrek five is going to be a [40:02] monster. [40:03] >> Yeah. You know, you don't know which of [40:05] these are the biggest hits. [40:06] >> Mana tomorrow, [40:08] >> but you know, you're going to have [40:08] product people want. [40:10] >> And most of them already signed up. We [40:12] know the dates. it's already dealt with. [40:14] That's why I was saying in response to [40:16] your question before that it's not a [40:18] predictable business. I think it's more [40:21] predictable than almost any business [40:23] because we know the theaters are in [40:24] backlog. We're installing. We know the [40:27] movies that are coming out. Um, you [40:29] know, we have great visibility. We don't [40:32] know the box office, but you guys are [40:34] like this. It's like the market. You [40:36] know, I have 120 pieces of content. If [40:38] you have enough diversification, [40:41] you know, you know, you're going to hit [40:43] on some and you're going to miss on [40:44] some, but you can, you know, last year [40:47] we guided to 1.2 billion and we came in, [40:51] I think, around 1.3 billion. Um, this [40:54] year we guided to 1.4 and I think at the [40:58] moment we're about 300 million away with [41:01] 7 months to go, maybe a little bit more. [41:03] So, but you know, we have good [41:04] visibility. So, I heard you respond to a [41:07] Bloomberg reporter earlier this year. [41:10] Uh, there were rumors going around about [41:12] IMAX being for sale or being acquired or [41:15] whatever the case may be. And, uh, you [41:18] said if there's something to say, I'll [41:20] say it, you know, but right now there's [41:21] nothing to say. I can't believe that you [41:24] haven't been bought out yet. Given how [41:26] long IMAX has been around, how big the [41:28] brand is, the point that Michael made, [41:30] the brand versus the market cap might be [41:33] one of the most lopsided situations like [41:35] that in the whole stock market. Um, I [41:39] know you're not going to tell us, yes, [41:40] we're selling the company, but like you [41:43] must get offers, I don't know, every [41:45] week, every month, or is it not that [41:48] way? There have been people kicking the [41:49] tires over a very long period of time. [41:53] Um, and you know, if someone puts the [41:56] right number out there, like I told [41:58] Bloom Bloomberg, you'll be the second [42:00] stop on the tour if you'd like. [42:01] >> Okay. But um you know we just don't talk [42:04] about I mean you know the best thing [42:06] that's happened to this company is that [42:08] it didn't sell 10 years ago because [42:10] we've said we have so much promise in it [42:13] and we run it to maximize shareholder [42:15] value and if someone comes along you [42:18] know at a blowway price we'll talk [42:21] >> but we're not actively to you know [42:23] seeking out anybody. [42:24] >> Okay. You're not asking people hey what [42:26] would you pay for this but you're [42:28] listening if people come to you. I think [42:31] I answered the question. [42:32] >> Yeah. Okay. Fair. No. Fair. Fair enough. [42:34] Understood. Uh would you ever get into [42:36] making your own content [42:37] >> now that you've had this taste of [42:39] working directly with Nolan? [42:40] >> Well, we do. I mean, as you know, we [42:42] make we used to make whale seals [42:46] documentaries. Now, um we did one with [42:48] Amazon, which is very interesting. We [42:50] did Blue Angels with Amazon and they we [42:53] opened it fairly wide and um then it [42:57] went on the streaming service later. But [42:59] then we brought it into the [43:01] institutional market after that. So we [43:03] make those kinds of movies. I think you [43:06] know your question was more about [43:08] commercial movies. I I think you'll be [43:11] very interested it'll be very interested [43:13] to see what happens with Cliff Booth cuz [43:16] it's being released exclusively in IMAX [43:20] theatrically. So, you know, like with um [43:23] alternative content, I like doing things [43:25] and seeing how the world reacts and then [43:29] we'll see. [43:30] >> Okay. Uh any anything else? [43:32] >> I'm good. [43:33] >> Which this has been so much fun for us. [43:34] We're uh fascinated by um the story, the [43:38] the obviously the stock price, um but [43:41] more importantly, uh the amazing content [43:44] that you guys continue to put out. We [43:45] just think it's such an interesting um [43:48] company, such a fascinating story, and [43:50] we really appreciate the chance to ask [43:52] you questions about it. So, [43:53] >> well, thanks. It's my pleasure. Uh [43:55] there's never been a better time to talk [43:57] about it. So, good timing, guys. Thank [43:59] you. [43:59] >> I agree. Thank you so much. Thanks [44:01] everyone for watching. Thanks for [44:02] listening. Uh I guess immac.com for more [44:06] information. [44:06] >> Sure. [44:07] >> All right. Go to iMac.com to learn more [44:09] and see that whole list of upcoming [44:11] films and more. So, thank you guys so [44:12] much.