## Key takeaways
- [00:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=0s) The robotics industry faces a stark contrast between high public hype surrounding humanoid robots and real-world revenue generated by task-specific enterprise solutions.
- [01:40](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=100s) Tesla's Optimus team maintains a strictly human form factor under Elon Musk's direction due to the belief that the ultimate market for humanoids will be enormous.
- [03:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=210s) Large language models are enabling universally capable humanoids because they can speak 'fluent robotics' by treating physical world interactions as contiguous text to generate actions.
- [06:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=360s) For B2B enterprises, task-specific robots are vastly superior to humanoids because they are cheaper, more reliable, and offer a clearer ROI for long, continuous tasks.
- [08:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=480s) Achieving mass adoption of robotic hardware requires breaking cost bottlenecks, as demonstrated by a high-degree-of-freedom dexterous hand utilizing a cable tendon-driven architecture for only $300.
- [09:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=599s) A modular, open-source software architecture is critical for scaling robotics and debugging complex systems rather than relying entirely on fine-tuning massive end-to-end AI models.
- [13:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=810s) The single biggest bottleneck to mass deployment of robots in the real world is operational maintenance and uptime, rather than software or hardware design constraints.
- [15:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=930s) While mass production could plausibly drive humanoid hardware costs down to $20,000–$30,000, regulatory barriers like liability insurance for consumer environments remain a massive hurdle.
- [19:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1199s) The introduction of specialized liability insurance products like Munich Re's 'AI Sure' marks a major shift from validating hardware/software capability to establishing real-world business models.
- [19:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1199s) Deploying robots in corporate, defense, and high-security sectors introduces extreme difficulties regarding strict data security, privacy risks, and legal compliance.
- [22:15](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1335s) A massive cash flow gap exists for robotics startups between Series A and Series B because customers prefer a $1,000/month RaaS model over a $50,000 upfront hardware purchase.
- [22:15](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1335s) An innovative $800 million fund addresses the capital gap by utilizing a banking consortium to offer low-interest underwriting (3-4%) to finance robot manufacturing without diluting equity.
- [24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) Robot hands are expected to mature within 2 to 3 years, but full-body bipedal reliability will take longer due to systemic engineering challenges.
- [24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) Living with robots highlights overlooked domestic friction points, such as disruptive 24-hour cooling fans and loud footsteps on wooden floors.
- [24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) Open-source software combined with local, secure HIPAA-compliant data hosting acts as a strategic mechanism for international hardware manufacturers to gain trust in sensitive US public sectors.
- [27:45](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1665s) Hand utility depends heavily on finger count: three fingers suffice for simple pick-and-place tasks, but at least four fingers are essential for complex tool manipulation like pulling triggers.
## Detailed walkthrough
### [00:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=0s) Hype vs. Revenue in Robotics
Jing Wu opens the afternoon session of Alignment 2025 by welcoming the audience to the robotics panel. She shares a "lucky charm" success story about panelist Anand, who attended the event the previous year and subsequently saw his company secure an $800 million fund dedicated to robotics startup financing. Jing contrasts this massive financial backing with the current state of the robotics industry, which is heavily hyped around humanoid robots. She asks Anand how he stays so poised and motivated to work on cleaning robots when most public demos focus on flashy tasks like folding laundry or picking fruits.
Anand delivers a blunt, crowd-pleasing punchline: "because I make money." He explains that his company focuses on solving real, high-value problems for large enterprises with "a crap ton of money." In his view, the robotics landscape is split into two distinct camps: "You can either get revenue from customers by solving problems or raise millions from VCs by chasing hype."
[01:40](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=100s) Inside the Tesla Optimus Team
Jing turns to Evan, who recently completed a live demo, to ask about his background working on the Tesla Optimus team under Elon Musk. Evan describes Musk as a "one-of-kind entrepreneur" driven by a deep, tech-focused mindset and a strict adherence to first principles. Because Optimus is currently Musk's primary focus, the team held weekly meetings with him to review updates and receive direction. Musk consistently pushed the team to maintain a human form factor, despite knowing it would be a long, challenging, and arduous path, because he believes the ultimate market for humanoids will be enormous.
The work culture under Musk was famously intense. Evan recalls instances where Musk would walk into the office at 11:00 PM to personally review the robot, requiring the entire team to stay late. When Jing asks if Evan's current startup also works until 11:00 PM, Evan jokes, "We are building humanoid, but we are human," hinting at a healthier work-life balance for prospective hires.
Jing introduces Jan, a former Stanford professor who founded Open Mind. She points out that Open Mind has put Asimov's Law and robot identity on the blockchain—a combination of buzzwords that sounds like ultimate hype. However, she asks Jan what real-world developments in humanoids convinced him to leave his prestigious academic position to start a company. Jan explains that the long-standing dream of having a clear line of sight to "universally capable humanoids" is finally becoming a reality because "most large language models speak fluent robotics."
When asked to clarify what speaking "fluent robotics" means, Jan explains that large language models are essentially highly advanced story-completers. If you represent the physical world as a contiguous block of text, the LLM can continue that "story" by generating actions. By connecting this model to a physical shell that can move, explore, interact, show emotion, or even bark, developers can create an interactive object that learns in ways never before possible in traditional robotics.
[06:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=360s) The Case for Task-Specific Robots
Anand challenges the humanoid-first narrative, arguing that the choice between task-specific robots and humanoids depends entirely on the target sector. For B2B enterprises with substantial budgets, task-specific designs are vastly superior because a single task can easily take more than 24 hours for a single machine to complete. He uses a historical analogy: if Henry Ford had tried to design a better transportation system by building a mechanical horse or a human-shaped driver, he would have failed. Instead, Ford built a car, which is far more efficient at moving goods from point A to point B.
Anand asserts that a dedicated vacuuming robot will always "far out compete any vacuuming humanoid or humanoid trying to vacuum with a Dyson." He notes that vacuuming the venue's building alone would require four or five specialized robots operating simultaneously. Deploying task-specific hardware is cheaper, more reliable, and offers a much clearer return on investment (ROI) for enterprise clients, which include major tech giants like Apple.
[08:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=480s) Designing a $300 Dexterous Hand
The discussion shifts to hardware engineering and the physical roadblocks to mass adoption. Jing highlights Evan's robotic hand demo, noting that the hand costs only $300 to produce yet manages to squeeze in degrees of freedom and features that typically cost thousands of dollars. Evan explains that their success comes from focusing on the actual functionality of a human hand and how humans interact with objects, rather than just trying to make joints move.
To achieve this, Evan's team chose a cable tendon-driven architecture over alternative designs like linkages or direct actuator drives. While linkage-based hands might move smoothly in controlled demos, they are not built to truly replicate the adaptive, compliant way a human hand works in the real world.
[09:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=599s) Open Source, Modular Software, and the Manual Labor Economy
Jing asks Jan why he believes robot operating systems must be open source and how modular software can solve industry bottlenecks. Jan points out that the modern internet and the vast majority of the world's smartphones run on open-source software like Android. He frames the economic opportunity of robotics by stating that about one-third of the global economy—roughly $30 trillion a year—is based on manual labor, and about a third of that labor specifically involves human hands. For high-precision tasks like iPhone assembly, exquisite robotic hands are critical, but they require massive computational power to process physical environments and manage high degrees of freedom.
Jan advocates for a modular, Lego-like software architecture, a path also being explored by companies like Intrinsic, OpenAI, NVIDIA, and Foxconn. He argues that it is far easier to debug and scale smaller, modular pieces of software than to rely on fine-tuning massive, end-to-end AI models. Evan agrees with this open-source philosophy, noting that their $314 hand is fully open-source in both hardware and software to allow researchers, hobbyists, and industrial players to build a collaborative ecosystem without "breaking the bank."
[13:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=810s) The Real-World Bottleneck: Maintenance and Reliability
Anand brings a dose of operational reality to the conversation, drawing from his experience deploying about 35,000 robots in the real world alongside his partners. His client list includes massive corporations like Walmart, Amazon, Apple, NVIDIA, Meta, Hilton, Marriott, and MGM. According to Anand, the single biggest bottleneck to mass adoption is not software, hardware, or initial manufacturing—it is maintenance. "Robots break down all the bloody time," he states, asking Evan how often his robotic arms fail.
Anand reveals that he has broken robots in almost every one of the 48 states they operate in, making uptime his biggest daily headache. To combat this, his company is hiring and training thousands of military veterans to serve as field technicians. Additionally, he points out the financial hurdles of robotics: hardware is expensive, yet many of the tasks people want robots to do, like folding laundry, are minimum-wage jobs, making it incredibly difficult to make the ROI math work.
- **Deployed Robots:** Approximately 35,000 robots in the field with partners.
- **Key Enterprise Clients:** Walmart, Amazon, Apple, NVIDIA, Meta, Hilton, Marriott, MGM.
- **Geographic Reach:** Active deployments across 48 US states.
[15:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=930s) Pricing Humanoids and the Liability Insurance Barrier
The panel concludes this segment by discussing pricing and market viability. Jing mentions Elon Musk's claim that the Tesla Optimus will eventually cost between $20,000 and $30,000. Evan expresses strong belief in this price point, explaining that mass production naturally optimizes manufacturing processes down to the basic bill of materials (BOM) and raw material costs. He notes that while cars are massive and heavy, they only cost around $40,000 to $50,000, making a $20,000 humanoid highly plausible. To compete with giants like Tesla, Evan believes startups must focus on specialized form factors and diverse hand designs, as humans are not naturally optimized for every single industrial task.
Jan raises a final, overlooked practical barrier to deploying robots in American homes: liability insurance. He notes that if a startup approaches an insurance company to insure humanoids deployed for home healthcare, education, or security, "they'll laugh." This lack of regulatory and insurance infrastructure remains a massive hurdle for consumer robotics, regardless of how advanced the hardware or software becomes.
[19:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1199s) Real-World Deployment: Insurance, Security, and Lipstick
Jan highlights a major milestone in the commercialization of robotics: Munich Re is now offering "AI Sure," a liability insurance product specifically for humanoids to cover failures in performing tasks. This shift shows that while the hardware and software are becoming "basically good enough," the real challenges lie in business models, leasing structures, and subscription services. Jan shares a touching and humorous anecdote about deploying handless humanoids into memory care facilities solely for emotional engagement. The residents became so attached to the robots that nurses had to "wipe lipstick off the head of the humanoid" in the evenings, illustrating the unexpected maintenance tasks that arise in real-world human settings.
Anand agrees, emphasizing that the "real world" of deployment is vastly different from academia or the startup bubble. In the corporate and industrial sectors, success hinges on navigating Certificates of Insurance (COIs), legal compliance, and strict data security. He notes the extreme difficulty of getting large language models approved by major corporations or deploying Chinese-made robots (like Unitree) due to fears of backdoors and privacy risks. Anand admits to his own paranoia when his company's robots cleaned Jamie Dimon's personal office or operated in high-security environments like SpaceX and military bases, emphasizing that reliability and rapid repair services are what companies actually spend their time solving.
- Munich Re's "AI Sure" provides liability coverage if a humanoid fails to perform a task.
- Security clearances and data privacy are massive hurdles for deploying robots in defense sectors, SpaceX, and corporate offices.
- Emotional attachment in memory care facilities leads to unique maintenance needs, such as cleaning makeup off the machines.
[22:15](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1335s) The Capital Gap and the $800 Million Robotics Fund
Anand explains the origin of his $800 million fund, which was created after speaking with over 30 robotics CEOs who raised a Series A but could never secure a Series B. This "wave two" of robotics companies—including legendary names like Willow Garage and Savioke—frequently failed due to the high cost of capital. Startups traditionally had to choose between expensive venture debt from banks like Silicon Valley Bank or giving up precious equity to VCs, who offer "gated capital" tied to strict, hard-to-reach benchmarks.
Because robots are expensive to build (often costing $20,000 to manufacture), and customers prefer paying a subscription of "$1,000 a month" rather than a $50,000 upfront fee, robotics startups face a massive cash flow gap. To bridge this, Anand's fund partnered with a consortium of 18 different banks to underwrite contracts and end-customers. This allows them to provide capital at interest rates of "3%, 4% compared to what Silicon Valley Bank gives it at 18%," enabling startups to manufacture and deploy hundreds of robots without destroying their margins or diluting their equity.
- Robotics startups face a funding gap between Series A and Series B due to high hardware R&D and manufacturing costs.
- Customers prefer a Robotics-as-a-Service (RaaS) model of around $1,000/month over high upfront hardware purchases.
- The $800 million fund utilizes a consortium of 18 banks to offer low-interest underwriting (3-4%) to bypass expensive venture debt (18%).
[24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) Reliability, Bipeds, and the Reality of Living with Robots
When discussing hardware reliability, Evan predicts that robot hands will reach a high level of maturity within the next two to three years due to concentrated societal resources. However, achieving full-body reliability for bipedal robots will take longer because it requires systemic, whole-system improvements. Jan, who actually lives with robots named Iris and Franchi, shares the stark contrast between lab testing and household reality. He notes that minor details like loud, 24-hour cooling fans make it "literally impossible" to sleep near a humanoid, and their heavy steps on wooden floors create a loud "clunk clunk clunk" that is highly disruptive.
To foster trust and safety, Jan strongly advocates for open-source software in home robotics. As a parent, he wants his children to be able to "look into the brain of thinking machines" to understand data flows, spot bugs, and contribute fixes. This open-source approach also serves as a brilliant business strategy for international manufacturers trying to sell into sensitive US markets like police departments, hospitals, and schools. By using "open source software brewed with love in San Francisco" and hosting data on US-based HIPAA-compliant servers, foreign hardware companies can bypass intense security scrutiny and secure lucrative revenue-sharing deals.
- Evan estimates robot hand hardware will mature in 2 to 3 years, while bipedal systems will take longer.
- Living with robots reveals overlooked domestic issues, such as loud cooling fans and heavy footsteps on wooden floors.
- Open-source software helps international robotics companies gain trust in US public sectors by keeping data on local, secure HIPAA servers.
[27:45](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1665s) Open Source Trust and the Anatomy of Robot Hands
The panel concludes with a fascinating dive into hand anatomy and utility. Anand asks Evan to explain the practical difference between three-fingered and five-fingered robot hands. Evan explains that while three fingers are perfectly adequate for simple "pick and place tasks" using tripod support, tool operations require more complexity. For instance, operating a vacuum cleaner requires at least four fingers: three to securely grip the tool and an index finger to pull the trigger.
Without this fourth finger, a robot would have to hold the vacuum with only two fingers while using the third for the trigger, resulting in an unstable and unsafe grip. While the fifth finger (the pinky) is not strictly necessary for most industrial tasks, a four-fingered hand is essential for tool manipulation. The session wraps up with a lighthearted joke from the panel about needing a fifth "ring finger" if one ever plans to propose to a "robot girlfriend," bringing a humorous end to a deep dive into the "impossible trinity" of robotics: technology, cost, and reliability.
- Three fingers are sufficient for basic tripod-grip pick-and-place tasks.
- Four fingers are necessary for tool operations (e.g., holding a vacuum with three fingers and pulling the trigger with the index finger).
- The panel summarizes the core challenges of robotics as the "impossible trinity" of technology, cost, and reliability.
## Notable quotes
> [00:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=0s) because I make money. — Anand
> [00:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=0s) You can either get revenue from customers by solving problems or raise millions from VCs by chasing hype. — Anand
> [01:40](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=100s) We are building humanoid, but we are human — Evan
> [03:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=210s) most large language models speak fluent robotics. — Jan
> [06:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=360s) far out compete any vacuuming humanoid or humanoid trying to vacuum with a Dyson. — Anand
> [13:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=810s) Robots break down all the bloody time, — Anand
> [15:30](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=930s) they'll laugh. — Jan
> [19:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1199s) wipe lipstick off the head of the humanoid — nurses
> [22:15](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1335s) 1,000 a month — customers
> [22:15](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1335s) 3%, 4% compared to what Silicon Valley Bank gives it at 18% — Anand
> [24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) clunk clunk clunk — Jan
> [24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) look into the brain of thinking machines — Jan
> [24:59](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1tb1rBCEfG?t=1499s) open source software brewed with love in San Francisco — Jan
## Mentioned
Anand Lalwani, Evan Tao, Jan Liphardt, Jing Wu, 张君武, 硅谷101, Alignment 2025, Tesla, Optimus, Elon Musk, OpenMind, Asimov's Law, Henry Ford, Apple, Dyson, Intrinsic, OpenAI, NVIDIA, Foxconn, Android, Walmart, Amazon, Meta, Hilton, Marriott, MGM, Munich Re, AI Sure, Jamie Dimon, SpaceX, Unitree, Willow Garage, Savioke, Silicon Valley Bank, Iris, Franchi
[0:00] Anand: because I make money.
[0:00] Anand: You can either get revenue from customers by solving problems or raise millions from VCs by chasing hype.
[1:40] Evan: We are building humanoid, but we are human
[3:30] Jan: most large language models speak fluent robotics.
[6:00] Anand: far out compete any vacuuming humanoid or humanoid trying to vacuum with a Dyson.
[13:30] Anand: Robots break down all the bloody time,
[15:30] Jan: they'll laugh.
[19:59] nurses: wipe lipstick off the head of the humanoid
[22:15] customers: 1,000 a month
[22:15] Anand: 3%, 4% compared to what Silicon Valley Bank gives it at 18%
[24:59] Jan: clunk clunk clunk
[24:59] Jan: look into the brain of thinking machines
[24:59] Jan: open source software brewed with love in San Francisco
Original transcript
[0:00] All right. Welcome to the afternoon session of Alignment 2025. And I hope you guys had a great lunch. And welcome to the robotics panel. I'm your host, Jing Wu, and I just introduced our three amazing guests over here. The fun story I said I was going to tell is, you know, Anand was here last year. And after he came here, this year his company actually had an $800 million fund used for robotics startup financing. So I guess my point is I really hope our event can be a lucky charm. So I hope all our panelists can also raise more money after coming to our event. So we saw a really amazing demo, man. I think part of what Chen introduced is we have different ideas in this panel. So Anand, let's actually start with you. You're going to be our X factor here because it is an amazing demo. But honestly, I can't remember when's the last time that a robot demo does not have folding laundry or picking fruits. So I guess in an environment so hyped up about humanoid robots how can you still stay so poised and motivated to work on cleaning robots That because I make money Okay That the punchline I have large enterprises a crap ton of money to solve real problems And you can in my opinion you fall into two camps You can either get revenue from customers by solving problems or raise millions from VCs by chasing hype. Yeah, that's cool. So if real application or task specific robots can make money, so I'm not sure if we mean human or robots cannot make money down the road, right? And that's a sharp perspective. I guess, Evan, you just did the demo. How is it like working with Elon at Tesla Optimus? Because your background, you are from the Optimus team. How is it like working with him, and how did that experience influence you to do your own startup as well? Yeah, absolutely. I think Elon is definitely a great and one-of-kind entrepreneur. and he's also has this deep tech-driven mindset and he is a true believer of first principle. So we, from day to day, basically as Optimus, since it's his main focus these days, we had a kind of weekly meeting with him to go through the updates and his directions Overall he always tell us to always trying to get a human form factor even though it going to be a long pass and challenging experience to get there But he truly believes like once the technology there, eventually human will get there. And also the market will be enormous. And yeah, that's and we sometimes even it was him at like 11pm. So he comes to the office to review the robot at 11 p.m. Everybody stays. So he's a really hardcore startup founder, I would say. Wow, that's amazing. Does that mean your company also works until 11 p.m.? We are building humanoid, but we are human. That's a perfect answer. If you guys are hiring, then I'm sure the folks will be happier to know you're not 996 or whatever. But, yeah, coming to you, Jan, I know, well, speaking of hype, right, And I read somewhere that Open Minds actually, your company Open Mind, they put Asimov's Law and the robot identity actually on blockchain. So if those words coming together is not hype I don know what is But I actually I know you saw the real deal though because you were already a professor at Stanford So I was wondering what do you see in humanoids now that actually make you so excited to come out and start your own company when you already have so much prestige and resource at Stanford already? Well, there's a lot to unpack in your question. But what's exciting to me as someone who loves robots is that the longstanding problem in robotics, which is to have a clear line of sight to, quote unquote, universally capable humanoids, is now there. And that's because most large language models speak fluent robotics. So this old perspective on how to build software for robots, which is either sort of deterministic task focused or end to end AI. Now we have another set of tools that allow us to rapidly repurpose robots for a diverse array of tasks in hospitals, homes, schools, workplaces. And that's the really exciting part is that large language models, many of them speak fluent robotics already.
[4:59] What do you mean by speak fluent robotics? Do you mean like they have good connection with the code API or do you mean humans can use language to command the robots better? Well, one way to think about this is that large language models are very good at completing stories. If I give a large language model the first chapter of a book, I can ask it to write the next 11 chapters. And if I represent the world as a contiguous block of text, I can then ask a large language model to continue the story. If I then connect the large language model to a physical shell that allows it to move, explore, interact, bark, ask, show emotion, then all of a sudden I have this object in front of me that is much more interactive and much more engaging and can also learn in ways that really hasn't been true before for robotics. I see. That's a good point. So the interaction side of things. Anand is there anything any quick comment back or anything quick to add after you hear from two folks that are you know both slightly bullish on humanoids Maybe do we need like both task specific robots and humanoids in the long term Depends on what part of the sector or industry you going after is what I would argue. If you're going after B2B enterprises where people have enough money, task-specific is far better because just that single task alone will take more than 24 hours for a single robot to complete. And then I don't need a general purpose robot that's overbuilt. An analogy I like to make is if Henry Ford was asked, okay, how are you going to design a far better transportation system? He's not going to take a horse or a human being and make that into a system. No, he's going to take a car. Cars are far better at transporting goods from A to B. My vacuuming robot will far out compete any vacuuming humanoid or humanoid trying to vacuum with a Dyson. So this building alone, if I had to vacuum this entire space, I'd need about four or five different vacuuming robots to to be able to take care of that. It's far cheaper, far more reliable, far easier to be able to get that done than to have a single humanoid trying to do, or a team of humanoids trying to do the same thing. So it all boils down to what are we going after. And in enterprises, tasks are meaningful enough, large enough that an application specific gets you to your ROI far more reliably Yeah that a perfect point And I believe you because some of Ana clients actually include some really big names that we know Big tech companies like Apple or these companies in the Valley are your clients, so definitely. So it seems like the key is how do we roll out robots to its proper applications? What are the roadblocks to the mass adoption of robots? So I guess on the mechanical side, coming to you, Evan, So kind of, you know, your hand is really amazing because we might not know it only cost $300. And it squeezes in the features and the degrees of freedoms of hands that usually cost thousands of dollars. So I wonder how you guys are able to make it. Are there any recent breakthrough? And what still makes it so hard for you guys to, you know, do some of these complicated tasks? Sure, absolutely. So I think coming to robotic hand design, especially human form factor, it's not only about, you know, like we just need to get this joint to move this many degree of freedom. It's more about understanding the end result, the functionality of a human hand, why it such a form factor and how people are interacting with objects around you So that why we are sticking with this cable tendon driven architecture And I know there are some other different architectures like linkages or direct actuator drives. Those are like you see them move smoothly and nicely, but they are not built to really work like a human hand. So that's kind of very important. That's why we picked this cable-driven architecture. Yeah, that's my two cents from a mechanical design perspective. Yeah, yeah, that's great. So I guess then from the software perspective, because Evan just said, right, we have different software based on different type of hardware. So that's also kind of what companies usually do. If Figure or if NVIDIA, their robots is built in a specific way, They're going to have a specific model for that. But, Jan, you believe in open source and modular software. You believe in different types of hardware might be able to work with the same open source software that you have. So I guess why do you believe the robot operating system needs to be open source? And how does that help solve some of the bottlenecks in software?
[9:59] Okay. Well, again, there's loads going on in your question. There's why is open source useful? And of course, the internet runs on open source software and most phones on earth run on open source software. It's called Android. So there's certainly a lot of examples for how open source software powers really important things. The other thing you alluded to is the optimal architecture to use for thinking machines. And as we've already heard, in robotics, it's extremely important to be extremely specific. When people throw around things like robotics or humanoids, it is vital to be specific about the task you're trying to accomplish. For example, if you're building a humanoid sex robot, obviously you're trying to accomplish a very different set of like it's a very different business case and form factor compared to a vacuum cleaner compared to something BMW would like to use to put torx bolts into their engine control units If you think about the global economy something like a third of that is based on manual labor like people doing things It's something like 30 trillion a year is based on humans doing stuff in the physical world. And something like a third of that third involves hands. So obviously, if you're going after something like iPhone assembly, then exquisite hands are critical. So then with respect to your question, what is the right architecture for humanoid robots? There's no simple answer. Again, it depends on what you're trying to do. if you're physically manipulating things, that requires exquisite technology like we saw earlier today with hands, but it also requires amazing compute. The difficulty of making sense of your physical world, deciding what you should do with the hand, and then being able to deal with all those degrees of freedom to accomplish a task is a big compute problem With respect to what a lot of companies are doing right now, which is exploring the possibility of modular Lego block like architectures for humanoid, including intrinsic, including OpenAI's robotics, including NVIDIA Foxconn humanoid, including everyone else who's currently working on software for humanoids. The central idea is that it's much easier to debug smaller pieces of software rather than like fine-tuning some end-to-end AI or something like that. So it's not only us that is thinking about modular architectures. It's many other people in the industry as well. Yeah, yeah, that's a great point. I guess, Evan, coming back to you very quickly because you're working on hands before, you know, right now on robotic hand. We probably saw the demo succeeded one time today, but yesterday, you know, there's like a number of tries. And we were talking about how difficult it is with the tactile sensors or there maybe a lack of force feedback on the hand So what are your thoughts on some of these hardware working with the smaller modular software like Professor Yang mentioned Okay, so I think your question is about some hardware sensing. Yeah, like software working with different types of hardware. Do you guys write specific software for your hardware or do you see it being able to work with other types of software in the future? Absolutely. So with the hand we showed today, It's a total pure open source hand, including the hardware and also software. We are going to rely on industrial and academic people and even hobbyists trying to contribute to this whole thing and to create this ecosystem around the hardware to make it better and better. That's why we just marketed at $314. So it's really easy to enter this dexterous manipulation world without breaking the bank. Yeah, that's a good point. Adan, I guess come to you. You've seen robot deploying in the real world. What do you feel like is the bottleneck to the mass adoption of robots? Is it on the hardware side or on the software side, or maybe it's something else? So between us and our partners, we have
[14:59] about 35,000 robots deployed in the real world. Clients include Walmart, Amazon, Apple, NVIDIA, Meta, Hilton, Marriott, MGM, et cetera. The challenges that we see, the biggest challenge today that we are actually overcoming is not building the robot, it's not the software, it's not even the hardware. It's the fact that robots break down all the bloody time. Question for you, Evan. How often do your robotic arms break down? So yeah, I would imagine once we really deployed it, that's quite a big issue at this moment. So in the 48 states we are deployed in today, pick any state, I will tell you a city right now, I have a broken robot. And that is my biggest headache, is uptime, being able to make sure my robots are operating. To that end, we are hiring thousands of veterans to go out and train them and be a robot technician. But that is the real-world challenges that need to be overcome. Along with that, there's the entire finance aspect to this. Like, how do you actually get the capital to be able to do all of these systems? Robots aren't cheap. Hardware is not cheap. And then a lot of the tasks people go after, such as laundry folding, is this is minimum wage tasks. Most parts of the country we are still at per hour So how do you make the math work on that front Yeah absolutely So you talk about business model and reliability and that actually are two more talking points that we're going to get into. I guess in terms of business model, Evan, Elon last year said the Optimus robot will cost only around $20,000 to $30,000. Do you feel like that's feasible? And if it is, how can startups like you guys to compete with companies like Tesla because they have so much more manufacturing capacity. Yeah, totally. First of all, with the price point, Elon brought up $20,000, $30,000. I am truly believing that. Once anything getting to mass production, we are basically optimizing all this process. And so the cost down to basic bomb costs and pure material costs. And talking about the cars, cars have such a high mass of material around there, but it's still maybe around $40,000, $50,000. But so the humanoid robot eventually, I totally believe we will get down to $20,000, $30,000. However so talking to how we can compete in this game versus Elon or Tesla I believe as Anana was saying in the future I also believe there will be many different form factors of robots. Elon is trying to build the Optimus, which is one SKU, one human form factor. But a human is not designed to be the most efficient form factor to do all kinds of tasks. So, but the hand, I believe, will have more compatibility to own different tasks. So, it will be different platform, but integrate all kind of hand shape. And as a hand focus company, we're also developing, you know, different skews kind of hand. Even the human hand, we build differently. Like, some people with very elegant hand can do, like, music instrument. hand, and some hands are more like strong and labor-driven hands. So where our robot hand will be. Yeah, maybe one day we'll see the chairs being carried on by robot hands, and with the robot themselves for sure Yan I know you mentioned Android and robotics I guess part of the reason why Android works is because it also integrates closely with the rest of Google ecosystem It drives people to Google ads revenue and all of that But for a startup who does not yet have that type of ecosystem, how do you see open source business models start to work out in robotics? To quickly comment on what we heard earlier, there's some really excellent points we're surfacing. One of them is the reliability, and I totally agree. That's probably the main thing right now is just we expect when we go outside, we expect our Tesla to just work. And most robotics deployments right now, except for things like in the gigafactory or in car factories, have nowhere near the robustness or reliability that one would like. The other thing we're seeing as a practical barrier to deploying humanoids and Quadruped into American households is as simple as liability insurance. Try to go to an insurance company and say, hey man, I'm deploying humanoids into U.S. households on October 15 for healthcare, math, education, and security. I need liability insurance, and they'll laugh. So the good news is that we're not going to be able to do that.
[19:59] Munich Ray, as of last week, is offering AI Sure, which is liability insurance for humanoids. And the point of that insurance is that if the humanoid fails to perform a task, Munich Ray will cover liability arising from that. And so I totally agree with Anad. For certain specific use cases, the technology, the hardware is basically good enough. If the software is basically good enough, it's really things like business models. Is this leasing? Is this a subscription service for add-on apps for your humanoid? Is this something that old people's homes purchase for their patients? So who's buying? How much are they paying for it? How are they paying for it? And how are you dealing with things like reliability and insurance? There's one new task for humans that blows my mind, and this is based on deploying humanoid into memory care facilities So that a situation of where the humanoid does not have hands because it not necessary The point of the humanoid is to engage with a human and make them laugh and cry and listen for people who been in memory care facilities for years and have almost no interactions with other humans. And humans in that situation get so attached to the humanoid that the nurses in the evening have to wipe lipstick off the head of the humanoid. And so this is part of the general, like, maintenance of robots deployed into human settings. Yeah, I see. Well, I was looking for different opinions, but I got a lot of agreements between you and Ana, so I guess that's a great point. Ana, you were smiling a lot before when Jan talked about insurance and all these problems. Do you have anything quick to add there? Yeah, that is what I'd say is the difference between the real world and the academia or the startup world. In the real world, insurance is a big thing. COIs, being able to comply legal. Good luck trying to get a large language model approved for any of these large companies. Good luck trying to get Chinese robots like a unit tree inside where you know there are so many back doors where the privacy is a big aspect. Data security is a massive aspect. How do you get them deployed in large industrial sectors How do you get offices We clean Jamie Dimon personal office with a robot I am paranoid because I was like holy shit that a huge security risk We are in multiple defense sectors. We have robots running around there at SpaceX and at military bases. So how do you get through the security clearance? How do you get through insurance? How do you get through reliability? How do you get through making sure that when the robot breaks down, someone can show up and fix it? That is the real world that needs to be solved far more importantly, and people are spending a lot more time trying to figure those portions out. Yeah, yeah, absolutely. And we're going to cover reliability very quickly. But first, more about your $800 million fund, I guess one thing is how did you even discover that as one of your business model? Where did you find that need? And why can't just robotic startup find customers and funding on their own? That's a great question. Longer story short is getting access. We spoke with 30 plus CEOs of robotic companies who all raised a series A and could never get to a series B. This was generally the wave two of robotic companies. This was the Willow Garage style, Savvy Oak Robotics, etc. Some of the most legendary robotic companies there are. One of the biggest reasons they fail is getting access to capital Capital is expensive Typically there are two ways of getting funding You can go to debt your bank Silicon Valley bank who not incredibly high rates because you are a startup you not profitable Or you can go to VCs. And VCs will take a portion of equity. But that's gated capital. If you don't hit certain benchmarks, they're not going to give you more money. Now, robots are expensive. They're not cheap. They're not easy to build. They require a lot of R&D. And most of my customers don't want to pay up front for $50,000 for a robot. What they would much rather do is $1,000 a month because that's what they're used to paying a human being to doing that particular task. So how do you bridge that particular bridge when if you get an order for 500 robots and that robot costs you, say, $20,000, you'd require $10 million worth of capital to be able to even go out and buy or procure or build so many robots. Who is going to give you that $10 million? The VCs? No, that's too expensive. Equity dollars don't exist for that. And banks, they will eat up your entire margin. So we created this fund with a consortium of 18 different banks to be able to actually underwrite the contract, underwrite the end customer, and do it at what, 3%, 4% compared to what Silicon Valley Bank gives it at 18%. Yeah, that's a good point. It sounds like a lot of effort trying to go in to enable
[24:59] us deploying more robots in the real world without worrying too much about the underlying risk, because that's always a work in progress. So speaking of reliability, Anand, you've covered it a lot on the reliability side. I want to ask Evan as well. So, you know, how far away are we from reliable robot hands? And also, one thing extends from reliability is if the robot is reliable, it's safe. We can start to trust them. So Professor Ronnie Brooks actually said in one of his essays earlier this week that if the humanoid hands have tactile feedback, it can really help foster a better human-robot interaction. So just largely, how does robot hand all play into all this? I would say from my two cents, maybe in the next two or three years, we're going to see a lot of maturity on the hardware side, especially on the hand. But for the general whole body, especially the biped, right, that still takes maybe a little longer. Because to get to that level of maturity, you need a whole system improvement. But just by hand itself I totally believe with the whole resource from the whole society focusing on getting this better and better we believe we get there in the next two three years Wow that an optimistic look And I guess, Jan, in terms of reliability, like I said, is trust, is interacting with the robots. You're actually one of the only, maybe the only person I know that lives with robots. I wonder how are Iris and Franchi doing? And yeah, how do you ensure safety and trust when you actually interact with these robots that actually live in your home? Well, I encourage all the engineers and investors and bankers and scientists in this audience to get a robot and try to live with it, because that will immediately expose a long list of things that are irrelevant in the lab, but critical for deploying humanoid or quadruped into households. A great example would be cooling. A lot of the humanoids right now have these big fans going 24 hours. And if you've ever tried to sleep next to a humanoid with a loud cooling fan, it's literally impossible. That irrelevant if you a humanoid in a lab because no one cares about sound levels But the other thing is when the humanoid walks around your house it very loud on wooden floors It goes clunk clunk clunk And so those are little things that become only apparent when you try to live with a humanoid. And with respect to trust, the whole notion of building open source software for humanoid, for me personally, was a no-brainer. I have kids. I want my kids to be able to look into the brain of thinking machines around them and say, aha, I can kind of see what's happening here. I can see how the data are moving. I can see bugs. I can contribute, add, fix. And in retrospect, focusing on open source software for humanoid was not only meaningful for me as a parent, it also makes good business sense for reasons we heard earlier. Imagine you're a quote unquote international manufacturer of humanoids and you're trying to sell into U.S. markets. Like good luck. Imagine like you want to sell your humanoid into a U.S. police department, fire station, elementary school hospital And the first question you get is oh why should we trust the software Where are the data going somewhere I don want it to go And a good solution for that is that if you build good hardware why don you use open source software brewed with love in San Francisco and have the data stay in the U on HIPAA servers And so it turned out that building open source software for many, many different verticals is not only good for like all the parents in this room who care about where the technology is going, but make very good sense nuts and bolts for rev share deals with Chinese robotics companies. Well, Anand, we got like 30 seconds left. Anything quick to add on reliability or the safety trust side of things? I have one question for Evan, actually. Evan, where do you see the need for five fingers versus three? Like what task truly requires five fingers that three fingers cannot do? I kind of asked him the same question yesterday, actually. Yeah, that's actually a great question. I think when you're talking about basically pick and place tasks, right? Three fingers is totally enough for tripod support. However, once you start talking about doing tool operations, like using a vacuum, right? You need at least four fingers I would say.
[29:59] Four finger to hold your tool first and then use your index finger to pull the trigger. If you don't have this extra redundancy, your ring finger, only three, you're only picking up your vacuum with two finger now, and then one index finger for pulling the trigger, then that's not stable state. I will argue maybe fifth finger is not that important on the pinky, But four fingers definitely need. Yeah. This is cool. I love how this is turning into a biology and evolution theory class real quick. But yeah, today we covered robotics progress and challenges from the Trinity, the impossible Trinity, which is the technology and the cost and also the reliability side. So yeah, I really appreciate our guest here. And let's give it up for our panelists. Thank you. Thank you. I know. I have an answer for you. So if you have a robot girlfriend, you need the ring finger. How do you propose to the girlfriend without ring finger? That's right.