Corteva Cuts Crop Breeding Time in Half as AI Replaces Field Trials

Farming Smarter: AI's Role in Feeding the Future — Ai4

Ai4

Predictive AI models and robotic weeders are replacing decades-old synthetic agrochemicals, shifting agriculture from maximizing raw crop yield toward optimizing nutrient density and human health.

AI-assisted summary of Farming Smarter: AI's Role in Feeding the Future — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Detailed notes

## Background Published on YouTube by the Ai4 channel on August 21, 2026, this panel session examines how artificial intelligence, robotics, and biotechnology are transforming the global food value chain. Featuring industry leaders Evan Harrison (Kiss the Ground), Ryan Rapp (Terrana Biosciences), and Hoda Helmi (Corteva Agriscience), the discussion explores how machine learning, digital twins, and biological innovations are enabling sustainable, profitable operations across agriculture.

## TL;DR The panel explores agriculture's paradigm shift from purely maximizing raw yields toward multi-objective optimization centered on nutrient density, soil health, and human wellness. Corteva Agriscience illustrates how AI predictive modeling and digital twins cut crop breeding cycles from ten years to five while saving $150 million, while Terrana Biosciences details how beneficial plant RNA molecules replace legacy synthetic pesticides. The speakers also examine emerging hardware like autonomous laser-weeding robots and protected greenhouse structures that buffer crops against climate extremes and disease. Ultimately, transforming the global food system requires aligning farm profitability with supply chain transparency, precision nutrition, and growing consumer demand for regenerative practices.

## Atmosphere & style The panel maintains an optimistic, pragmatic tone that balances high-level computational biology with the grounded realities of working farm operations. Evan Harrison's collaborative moderation and relatable anecdotes—drawing parallels from digital media transitions to childhood farm labor—create an engaging, conversational rhythm among the speakers. The discussion shifts seamlessly from technical breakthroughs in RNA design and drone phenotyping to broader societal impacts, culminating in a hopeful, lighthearted close centered on eradicating hunger and restoring ecological health.

## Key takeaways - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=4s) Agriculture is shifting from a single-minded pursuit of maximum crop yield toward multi-objective optimization that balances nutrient density, human health, soil vitality, and farmer profitability. - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=4s) Agricultural labor has dropped from 90% of the U.S. population in 1800 to under 2% today, redirecting technological priorities from raw labor reduction toward biological quality and resilience. - [07:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=464s) Corteva uses AI predictive models and digital twin simulations to cut seed development cycles from 10 years to 5, generating $150 million in COGS savings and accelerating response to climate shifts. - [14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=868s) Harnessing beneficial native plant RNA allows crops to naturally resist fungal and bacterial pathogens, providing non-chemical alternatives for heavily sprayed crops like strawberries. - [14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=868s) Developing RNA-based agricultural biologicals requires specialized AI architectures capable of learning from sparse data sets, as only around 1,500 RNA structures are resolved compared to over 20,000 protein structures. - [17:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1054s) Storytelling and public education expanded U.S. consumer awareness of regenerative agriculture from 4% to 13% in three years, catalyzing market demand for healthier cultivation practices. - [21:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1295s) With only ~10 new active chemical compounds commercialized over the past decade compared to ~800 legacy chemicals, AI-guided laser weeders and micro-torches are emerging as practical physical replacements for broad-spectrum herbicides. - [25:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1507s) Protected culture and greenhouse production are expanding rapidly for horticultural crops to shield vulnerable produce from severe weather and pathogen outbreaks while localizing fresh food supply chains. - [27:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1679s) Operational digital twins are moving agriculture toward autonomous farming, allowing daily AI models to dispatch robotic machinery and calibrate resource inputs with minimal manual intervention. - [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) End-to-end data traceability and retail AI assistants will empower 'food as medicine' initiatives, allowing consumers to verify farm-to-shelf provenance and match groceries to personalized health profiles. - [36:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2182s) The long-term scaling of regenerative agriculture hinges on closing the farm profitability gap so sustainable, nutrient-dense food remains affordable to consumers while keeping growers financially viable. - [41:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2497s) Panelists measure agricultural transformation by three core outcomes: reversing diet-related chronic illness, ending global hunger with nutrient-dense food, and actively regenerating soil health.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=4s) Rethinking Agriculture: Moving from Max Yield to Human Health

Evan Harrison (CEO of Kiss the Ground) kicks off the panel by reflecting on his 30-year career in the music industry, leading transitions from mixtapes to CDs to digital streaming, which gave him deep insight into shifting consumer demand. Transitioning into agriculture, Harrison highlights Kiss the Ground's core mission: revealing the direct link between healthy soil, nutrient-dense food, and human health. He sets the stage for a panel exploring how cutting-edge technology—from AI-driven seed decision science at Corteva Agriscience to RNA plant biotech at Terrana Biosciences—can reform a broken food system where one in three people is unwell, two-thirds are overweight, and ultra-processed foods dominate.

```mermaid accTitle: Transition from Yield Maximization to Multi-Objective Agricultural Optimization flowchart LR A["1800s–1900s: Industrial Focus"] --> B["Maximize Crop Yield & Reduce Farm Labor"] B --> C["Rise of Heavy Machinery & Synthetic Inputs"] C --> D["Modern Crisis: Depleted Soil & Rising Ill-Health"] D --> E["AI & Biotech Evolution"] E --> F["Multi-Objective Optimization: Health, Soil & Resilience"] ```

Harrison poses a fundamental question: for decades, agriculture obsessively optimized for "yield"—producing the maximum output for the lowest cost and effort. Can we now direct that same intensity toward nutrient density and human health? Hoda Helmi (Director of AI and Decision Science at Corteva Agriscience) agrees enthusiastically, noting that early agriculture was constrained by limited compute power, sparse data, and primitive analytics, forcing a narrow focus on yield and basic logistics. Today, AI allows decision systems to evaluate complex, conflicting objectives simultaneously—balancing nutritional quality, environmental footprint, farmer profitability, and climate resilience without sacrificing one for another.

Ryan Rapp (CEO of Terrana Biosciences) provides historical context on labor efficiency: - **1800:** 90% of the U.S. population worked in agriculture to feed the nation. - **1900:** Farm labor dropped to 40% as mechanization began. - **Today:** Less than 2% of the U.S. population produces the entire food supply.

While industrial advances, chemistry, and early genetics drastically freed up human labor, Rapp argues that the next century must leverage AI, robotics, and biotechnology to optimize the *quality* and health impact of our food rather than merely pushing raw volume.

---

[07:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=464s) Shortening Breeding Cycles and Building Digital Twins

Addressing Corteva's achievements, Harrison asks Helmi to explain how AI halved their crop development cycle from 10 years down to 5 while generating $150 million in savings. Helmi breaks down the traditional breeding pipeline, explaining that commercializing a single seed variety traditionally requires planting and physically testing thousands of genetic combinations across multiple geographical locations and growing seasons over a decade.

```mermaid accTitle: AI-Accelerated Seed Breeding and Digital Twin Workflow flowchart TD A["Raw Genetic & Environmental Data"] --> B["AI Phenotyping (Drones & Remote Sensing)"] B --> C["Digital Twin Virtual Farm Environment"] C --> D["In-Silico Scenario & Combination Testing"] D --> E["Accelerated Commercialization (5-Year Cycle)"] E --> F["Reduced Waste, Cogs & Environmental Footprint"] ```

By employing AI predictive models, Corteva can now simulate and forecast performance outcomes *in silico*, skipping unnecessary field trials and cutting the development cycle in half. Additionally, precision phenotyping—using drones and advanced sensors—captures high-fidelity field data to continuously refine these predictive algorithms.

Helmi clarifies what a "digital twin" means in an agricultural context: a comprehensive virtual replica of the real-world farming system. Instead of testing decisions via trial and error in physical fields, agronomists run digital scenario analyses to evaluate seed selection, planting locations, and localized input needs.

- **$150 Million Saved:** Helmi emphasizes that these cost-of-goods-sold (COGS) savings are directly linked to sustainability—preventing seed waste, optimizing land usage, and eliminating unnecessary transport fuel. - **Rapid Adaptation:** Shortening the breeding cycle allows scientists to deploy resilient crops much faster in response to emerging plant diseases and climate shifts.

---

[14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=868s) Harnessing Beneficial Plant Viruses via Targeted RNA

Shifting focus to plant biotech, Harrison asks Rapp to explain how Terrana Biosciences works with nature rather than attempting to override it, requesting a simple breakdown of RNA technology. Rapp uses the human gut microbiome as a parallel: just as humans have beneficial and harmful bacteria, plants host both harmful and beneficial viruses (many of which are RNA-based). Historically, science focused almost exclusively on bad viruses due to the crop damage they inflict, largely ignoring beneficial native viruses.

Terrana utilizes naturally occurring, beneficial plant RNA molecules that have co-evolved with plants over millions of years. By adding targeted molecular instructions, they prime the plant's natural immune system to defend against destructive pathogens (fungi, bacteria, or insects) without relying on harsh chemical pesticides.

```mermaid accTitle: Structural AI Data Gap Between Proteins and RNA flowchart LR A["Protein AI Models (e.g. AlphaFold)"] --- B["20,000 Resolved Structures in Training Sets"] C["RNA Biotech Models"] --- D["1,500 Resolved Structures in Training Sets"] D --> E["Requires AI Trained on Sparse Data Models"] ```

Rapp highlights key insights regarding chemical usage and structural biology challenges: - **The "Dirty Dozen" Vulnerability:** Strawberries consistently top pesticide contamination lists because growers rely heavily on synthetic fungicides to combat soil-borne root diseases. RNA technology offers a pathway to protect such crops naturally. - **Sparse Data Challenge:** While protein design models like AlphaFold were trained on roughly 20,000 structural data points, science has resolved only ~1,500 RNA structures. Terrana relies on specialized AI models designed for sparse datasets to engineer these RNA molecules accurately.

---

[17:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1054s) Bridging Consumer Awareness & Targeted Field Interventions

Harrison shares data on public awareness surrounding regenerative farming and soil health, noting that Kiss the Ground’s research showed only 4% of U.S. adults understood regenerative agriculture four years prior. Through dedicated storytelling across media platforms, that number grew to 13% within three years. Harrison emphasizes that as public understanding of gut health and soil nutrition expands, storytelling serves as the critical bridge to driving consumer demand for healthier food systems.

Turning back to the technical panel, Harrison asks how chemical inputs can realistically be reduced on working farms over the next five years. Helmi outlines two main technological pathways:

1. **AI & Laser Weeding:** Drones equipped with computer vision fly over fields to detect weeds in real time. Rather than spraying broad-spectrum herbicide across entire fields, targeted lasers burn the weeds instantly. 2. **Precision Application:** Where chemical intervention remains necessary, smart sprayers target only the exact weed or infected plant, reducing overall chemical volumes exponentially.

When Harrison questions whether high-tech tools like laser-weeding drones are financially accessible for mid-sized farmers today, Helmi acknowledges that while early-stage technologies carry higher upfront costs, rapid hardware deflation—similar to drone adoption—is bringing precision weed management toward broad, practical affordability across the industry.

[21:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1295s) Replacing Legacy Agrochemicals with AI Lasers and Biologicals

Humanity currently relies on approximately 800 active chemical compounds to manage pests, diseases, and weeds across global agriculture. The vast majority of these synthetic chemistries were discovered during the late 1950s, 1960s, and early 1970s. Since that golden age of discovery, the pipeline of novel chemical inputs has dramatically tapered off, with only about ten new chemical actives introduced in the last decade. While moving away from chemical reliance is a positive shift for human health and ecology, these legacy inputs solved critical real-world problems that secured the global calorie supply. Replacing them requires viable, scalable technological alternatives.

Encouragingly, emerging biotechnological and physical solutions are stepping in to fill the void. These include RNA-based biocontrols and agricultural biologicals—leveraging native plant microflora to combat pathogens naturally. In horticultural crops, artificial intelligence combined with high-speed robotics is enabling non-chemical weed removal. Computer vision and pattern recognition models can identify individual weed species in real time and guide high-precision lasers or directed micro-torches to eliminate them without harming the crop. These automated implements look like something out of science fiction, but they are already deployed in commercial fields. Backing this up, Evan Harrison recounts how an acquaintance from the music industry transitioned into agricultural robotics to run a chemical-free farm, eventually building an expanding service business with precision field robots operated directly from an iPhone app.

- **Legacy Agrochemical Base:** Roughly 800 active compounds discovered primarily between the late 1950s and 1970s protect global food crops. - **Innovation Drought:** Only around 10 new active chemistries have been commercialized over the past decade. - **Targeted Robotics:** Computer vision models deploy sub-inch laser zapping and directed heat torches to destroy weeds mechanically instead of using broad-spectrum herbicides.

---

[25:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1507s) The Rise of Protected Culture and Local Horticultural Production

Looking ahead ten years, crop production is shifting rapidly toward "protected culture"—transitioning high-value horticultural crops from exposed open fields into structures covered by specialized plastics or into mid-tech and advanced greenhouses. Growing produce under protective cover shields crops from extreme weather swings, regulates moisture, and prevents bacterial and fungal infestations, resulting in far higher pack-out quality. Open-field leafy greens, by contrast, remain vulnerable to severe foodborne contamination, as illustrated by recent *Cyclospora* outbreaks in lettuce.

Scaling protected culture is far more feasible for fresh fruits and vegetables than for row crops because horticultural crops require significantly less acreage to feed populations. For instance, the entire commercial strawberry footprint in the United States spans only about 40,000 acres. Bringing a large percentage of this acreage under protected structures allows growers to extend regional seasons, buffer against temperature extremes on both ends of the calendar, and establish more localized, resilient food supply chains. Achieving widespread adoption requires an integrated approach that converges advanced seed genetics, tailored crop biotechnology, optimized hardware, and AI-managed climate controls to bring production costs down.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Protected Culture System Flow A["Predictive AI & Climate Controls"] --> B["Protected Structure / Greenhouse"] C["Engineered Biotech Seeds"] --> B B --> D["Reduced Pathogens & Water Control"] D --> E["High-Quality Year-Round Local Produce"] ```

---

[27:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1679s) Predictive Seed Breeding and Digital Twins for Autonomous Farming

In broad-acre row crops such as corn and soy, artificial intelligence is transforming seed development pipelines. Historically, breeding improved crop varieties required years of multi-environment physical field trials across diverse geographies. By applying machine learning models to predict how specific genetic traits and seed varieties will perform under various climatic and soil conditions, seed companies can bypass extensive physical trials. This compresses breeding cycles, accelerates time-to-market for high-performing, resilient traits, and substantially cuts the acreage required strictly for experimental seed production.

For the farmer, AI is evolving into operational digital twins that streamline daily farm logistics. Instead of reacting to unpredictable daily conditions, a grower will begin the morning with an AI-generated operational plan:

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Farm Digital Twin Decision Engine A["Real-time Weather & Field Data"] --> B["AI Digital Twin Engine"] C["Equipment & Seed Inventory"] --> B D["Commodity & Financial Data"] --> B B --> E["Autonomous Tractor & Harvester Dispatch"] B --> F["Prescription Seed & Resource Allocation"] B --> G["Automated Enterprise Financial Optimization"] ```

Autonomous tractors, robotic harvesters, and humanoid field robots are already moving into commercial reality, reducing the need for constant human supervision and allowing farmers to run more sustainable, resource-efficient, and autonomous enterprises.

---

[31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) The Future Supermarket: Transparency, Biodiversity, and Food as Medicine

Supermarkets in the coming decade will undergo a massive transformation in labeling, product diversity, and personalized nutrition. Currently, 75% of consumers express a desire to buy healthier foods, yet 88% respond primarily to unstandardized marketing buzzwords like "natural" and "fresh" that carry no verified agronomic meaning. AI-driven end-to-end data pipelines will bring unprecedented transparency to retail shelves. Consumers will be able to scan products with their smartphones to instantly review the verified history of a food item—where the seed was sourced, what inputs were applied, and how and when it was harvested.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Farm-to-Shelf Traceability Flow A["Farm IoT & Input Records"] --> B["Connected Enterprise Data Engine"] C["Processing & Cold Chain Logs"] --> B B --> D["Dynamic On-Package Label / QR"] D --> E["Consumer Smartphone: Full Lineage & Nutrient Profile"] ```

Retail shelves will also feature greater crop biodiversity. Humans possess remarkably robust digestive systems and internal filtering organs—as Ryan Rapp jokes, "we are like raccoons, right? We can eat anything"—yet commercial supermarkets stock a narrow spectrum of edible plants. Companies like Pairwise are utilizing gene-editing and breeding tools to introduce unique, nutrient-dense seasonal crops (such as the Pacific Northwest black raspberry) into year-round commercial availability.

Furthermore, supermarkets will integrate "food as medicine" paradigms. As precision medicine enables physicians to prescribe specific micro- and macronutrient profiles tailored to an individual's biology, retail AI assistants will analyze shoppers' digital grocery carts in real time, steering food choices to match personal wellness goals while eliminating the confusion between organic, regenerative, and conventional claims.

- **Consumer Disconnect:** 75% of shoppers want food that improves health, but 88% rely on unregulated marketing terms like "natural" and "fresh". - **Crop Innovation:** Gene editing and predictive breeding are turning niche, highly nutritious seasonal plants like black raspberries into shelf-stable, year-round staple crops. - **Precision Nutrition:** In-store and digital shopping carts will incorporate real-time AI feedback loops that balance individual nutrient prescriptions against household food choices.

---

[36:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2182s) Shifting Supply Chains and the Tipping Point of Regenerative Agriculture

Transforming the broader food system relies on achieving a cultural and economic tipping point. While consumer demand for regenerative agriculture is climbing, the current certification landscape remains fragmented, confusing, and financially prohibitive for many growers who practice low-disturbance tillage, multi-crop rotations, cover cropping, and biological soil management.

For real system-level change to take hold, consumer awareness must align with supply chain modernization and supportive government subsidy structures. The fundamental bottleneck for modern growers remains farm-level profitability: regenerative and nutrient-dense food must remain accessible and affordable to everyday consumers while ensuring that farmers and supply chain operators run profitable enterprises.

---

[38:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2308s) Sources of Optimism: Youth Mobilization, Farm Labor Relief, and Consumer Connection

The panelists conclude by sharing the primary reasons they remain optimistic about the future of agriculture:

1. **Generational Passion for Environmental Solutions:** Evan Harrison highlights the younger generation's dedication to climate and planetary health, citing his daughter's career path in environmental communications following her involvement with the Surfrider Foundation. Hoda Helmi reinforces that corporate incentives are shifting precisely because youth-led consumer demand insists on radical transparency, environmental stewardship, and nutrient-rich food. 2. **Relieving the Physical Toll on Farm Labor:** Having grown up working on a vegetable farm, Ryan Rapp emphasizes that farm labor is inherently "backbreaking work" even with conventional mechanization. The primary promise of AI and robotics is not displacing human beings, but eliminating grueling manual tasks and dramatically improving the daily quality of life and safety for farmworkers. 3. **Reconnecting People to Food Systems:** A cultural resurgence is underway where consumers actively seek to understand the origins, ecological footprint, and biological journey of what they eat, providing the market mandate needed to drive agricultural technology forward.

[41:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2478s) Aligning Farm Profitability with Consumer Expectations

The dialogue surrounding the food supply chain is reaching a more constructive balance between two critical forces: ensuring farmers remain economically viable and profitable, and addressing consumer demands to have an active voice in how their food is cultivated. The speaker underscores the vital need to continue getting accurate facts and education directly to the public. Building this mutual understanding is essential to transforming the agricultural landscape into a win-win system that benefits growers, consumers, and distributors alike.

[41:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2497s) Defining Success: Health, Zero Hunger, and Environmental Regeneration

To close out the session, the panel transitions into a rapid-fire fill-in-the-blank game prompted by the phrase: *"We'll know we succeeded when..."* Each panelist shares their core metric for meaningful transformation across agriculture and the broader food ecosystem:

* **Human Health and Disease Prevention:** Success is defined by a fundamentally healthier population. Pointing back to critical baseline statistics, the moderator notes that two out of three people are currently overweight and one out of three is heading toward diet-related chronic illnesses. Rebuilding the food system means reversing these health crises. * **Global Food Security and Nutrition:** A successful food system ensures that no one in the world goes to sleep hungry, guaranteeing that every individual has reliable access to food that is both sufficient in quantity and nutritious in quality. * **Ecological and Soil Restoration:** True success requires agricultural practices that cease degrading the environment, evolving toward regenerative models that actively rebuild soil health and ecological resilience every time food is produced.

The panel wraps up on a humorous and lighthearted note, joking that the closing music is about to start playing them off the stage, before thanking the audience and each other for a lively and insightful discussion.

## Notable quotes > [07:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=464s) in silico — Hoda Helmi

> [07:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=464s) digital twin — Hoda Helmi

> [14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=868s) Dirty Dozen — Ryan Rapp

> [25:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1507s) protected culture

> [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) we are like raccoons, right? We can eat anything — Ryan Rapp

> [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) food as medicine

> [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) natural

> [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) fresh

> [38:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2308s) backbreaking work — Ryan Rapp

> [41:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2497s) We'll know we succeeded when... — Evan Harrison

## Mentioned Evan Harrison, Ryan Rapp, Hoda Helmi, Kiss the Ground, Terrana Biosciences, Corteva Agriscience, Ai4, AlphaFold, Pairwise, Surfrider Foundation, Cyclospora

## Video description Evan Harrison - CEO, Kiss The Ground Ryan Rapp - CEO, Terrana Biosciences Hoda Helmi - Director of AI and Decision Science, Corteva Agriscience

From drones to data models, AI is changing how food is grown and moved. In this panel, leaders from agriculture, CPG, and logistics explore how AI is enabling sustainable, profitable operations across the food value chain. Learn how growers are using machine learning to monitor soil health, how producers are using AI to cut waste, and how tech is making global food systems more resilient.

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg)

中文简报

AI替代田间试验,Corteva将作物育种周期减半 预测性AI模型与除草机器人正在取代使用数十年的合成农化产品,推动农业从单纯追求作物产量转向优化营养密度与人类健康。 该专家小组探讨了农业的范式转变,即从单纯追求原始产量最大化,转向以营养密度、土壤健康和人类福祉为中心的多目标优化。Corteva Agriscience阐述了AI预测建模与数字孪生如何将作物育种周期从十年缩短至五年并节省1.5亿美元,而Terrana Biosciences则详细说明了有益植物RNA分子如何替代传统合成农药。发言者还探讨了自主激光除草机器人和保护性温室结构等新兴硬件,这些技术有助于缓冲极端气候和病害对作物的影响。最终,全球粮食系统的转型需要将农场盈利能力与供应链透明度、精准营养以及消费者对再生农业实践日益增长的需求相结合。 现代农业正从单纯追求产量的工业化模式转向兼顾营养密度、土壤活力与农户收益的多目标优化;在农业劳动力占比降至不足2%的背景下,技术重点已转向提升生物品质与生态韧性。 (0:04) Corteva 利用 AI 预测模型与数字孪生农场模拟将种子育种周期从10年压缩至5年,不仅节省了1.5亿美元的销售成本,还大幅加速了对气候变暖与病害爆发的响应。 (7:44) Terrana Biosciences 探索利用植物本土有益 RNA 增强作物抗病能力,针对已解析 RNA 结构仅约1,500个的行业短板,专门采用适用于稀疏数据的 AI 架构进行研发。 (14:28) 过去十年间全球仅商业化约10种新型农用化学活性成分,由计算机视觉驱动的 AI 激光除草机器人与定向喷枪正成为替代传统广谱除草剂的重要物理手段。 (21:35) 受控环境与温室设施栽培正在高价值园艺作物中快速铺开,结合端到端 AI 数据追溯体系,既能有效隔绝极端天气与病原体,也为零售端精准营养与本土供应链提供了保障。 (25:07)

Reading summary

Agricultural leaders argue that farming must transition from solely maximizing caloric yield to optimizing human health, environmental regeneration, and operational resilience through artificial intelligence, RNA biotechnology, and robotics. Reorienting Agriculture Beyond Raw Caloric Yield (0:04) Ryan Rapp notes that U.S. agricultural labor dropped from 90% of the population in 1800 to 40% in 1900 and under 2% today, driven by mechanization and synthetic inputs that solved labor constraints and boosted sheer volume. However, Evan Harrison emphasizes that this historical focus on yield has left a broken food system where two-thirds of adults are overweight and one in three suffers from diet-related chronic conditions. According to Hoda Helmi, early agronomic models were constrained by primitive analytics and limited computing power, forcing a narrow focus on volume. In contrast, modern AI decision systems can now evaluate multi-objective trade-offs simultaneously, balancing nutritional density, soil biology, farmer profitability, and climate resilience. Compressing Seed Development Cycles via Digital Twins (7:44) Commercializing a new seed variety has traditionally required planting thousands of experimental genetic combinations across diverse geographies over a decade. Helmi explains that Corteva halved this breeding timeline from 10 years to 5, generating $150 million in cost-of-goods-sold savings by running predictive machine learning models and gathering drone phenotyping data to simulate crop outcomes in silico. Beyond lab breeding, AI models are evolving into operational digital twins—virtual farm environments that simulate weather swings, soil variations, and resource requirements. These digital twins can automate daily farm logistics, such as dispatching autonomous tractors and robotic harvesters, reducing wasted seed and unnecessary chemical transport while speeding adaptation to emerging pathogens. Substituting Legacy Agrochemicals with Biologicals and Lasers (21:35) Global crop production currently relies on roughly 800 active synthetic compounds discovered primarily between the late 1950s and 1970s, with only about ten new chemical actives commercialized over the past decade. To address this innovation drought, Terrana Biosciences uses native, beneficial plant RNA molecules to prime natural crop immunity against pests and fungal diseases without chemical fungicides. Rapp notes a significant data bottleneck: while protein models like AlphaFold rely on roughly 20,000 structural data points, science has resolved only around 1,500 RNA structures, requiring specialized AI models trained on sparse datasets. In parallel, computer vision and robotics are replacing broad-spectrum herbicides with targeted field interventions. Drones and robotic implements identify individual weed species in real time, neutralizing them with sub-inch laser strikes or micro-torches. Helmi acknowledges high initial hardware costs for mid-sized growers, but points to rapid hardware deflation making precision management increasingly accessible. Scaling Protected Culture and Transparent Supply Chains (25:07) Panelists forecast a transition toward protected culture—moving high-value horticulture into plastic-covered structures or greenhouses to guard against extreme weather and pathogens such as Cyclospora. Rapp observes that this transition is particularly feasible for fresh produce because horticultural crops require modest land footprints, noting that the entire U.S. commercial strawberry supply occupies only about 40,000 acres. At the retail level, AI is positioned to address a persistent consumer disconnect: while 75% of shoppers desire health-promoting food, 88% rely on unverified marketing buzzwords like 'natural' and 'fresh.' Emerging systems will leverage IoT farm records and dynamic packaging to verify crop provenance, inputs, and harvest times, while gene editing expands biodiversity by turning niche seasonal crops like black raspberries into year-round commercial staples. Realizing systemic agricultural transformation requires aligning consumer demand with supply chain modernization and farm economics. Panelists emphasize that fragmented certifications and adoption costs remain significant bottlenecks, warning that sustainable and nutrient-dense production will only succeed if technological innovations protect farm profitability while keeping healthy food accessible to the broader public.

精炼阅读摘要

来自Kiss the Ground、Corteva Agriscience与Terrana Biosciences的行业专家指出,现代农业正在由单纯追求产量的工业化模式,转向兼顾营养密度、土壤健康与气候韧性的多目标优化,而人工智能、靶向RNA生物技术及农田自动化装备正成为支撑这一系统性变革的关键动力。 农业目标重塑:从产量至健康与生态 (0:04) Evan Harrison(Kiss the Ground首席执行官)指出,当前全球食品系统面临严重失衡:全球约三分之二的人口超重,三分之一正滑向与饮食相关的慢性疾病。数十年间,传统农业始终高度围绕“最大产量”进行单向优化。Ryan Rapp(Terrana Biosciences首席执行官)援引美国劳动力演进数据说明:1800年全美约90%的人口从事农业,1900年因机械化普及降至40%,而如今不足2%的人口便供应了整个国家的食物。尽管化学农药、化肥和早期育种技术大幅解放了劳动力,但也带来了土壤退化与超加工食品泛滥的后遗症。 Corteva Agriscience的AI与决策科学总监Hoda Helmi表示,早期农业受制于有限的算力与匮乏的数据,只能采取粗放的产量导向策略;而现代AI使复杂的多目标协同决策成为现实。决策系统能够在不牺牲单一指标的前提下,同步测算作物营养品质、环境碳足迹、农场盈利水平以及气候变化下的适应力。专家们一致认为,下阶段农业必须将技术重心由单纯追求卡路里绝对规模,转移到全面提升食物质量与人体健康水平上。 育种与管理创新:AI模型与数字孪生 (7:44) 在作物育种领域,Helmi阐释了Corteva如何运用AI预测模型将商业种子研发周期从10年缩短至5年,并节省约1.5亿美元的销售成本(COGS)。传统育种流程需要长达十年在不同气候与地理区域进行数千种基因组合的田间实地试种。通过无人机与高精度遥感传感器收集精细表型数据,AI算法可以在虚拟环境(in silico)中推演预测不同品系的田间表现,大幅减少不必要的实地试种轮次,在节约用地与运输燃料的同时,使育种科学家能够针对新型植物病害和气候变迁快速推出具备韧性的种质资源。 在日常农事决策层面,AI正逐步演化为涵盖气象、土壤墒情、农机状态和财务指标的农场“数字孪生”系统。农场主清晨即可接收到AI生成的全天候精准农事方案,自动调度无人驾驶拖拉机、智能收割机等装备,实现处方级播种与变量作业。Helmi与Rapp强调,自动化设备的核心价值并非单纯削减人力,而是消除极端繁重、危险的田间重体力劳动,改善农场作业者的生存环境与作业安全性。 替代传统化学品:RNA防御与激光除草 (21:35) 全球农业目前仍依赖约800种活性化学化合物控制病虫草害,其中绝大部分源自20世纪50年代末至70年代初的传统化学发现;过去十年间商业化的全新化学活性成分仅约10种。在传统化学创新枯竭的背景下,草莓等易感病的高价值经济作物因长期依赖合成杀菌剂防范根部病害,频繁登上农药残留风险榜单。为此,Terrana Biosciences尝试利用与植物共生演化的有益植物病毒(多为RNA形态)开发生物防线。Rapp类比人体肠道微生态指出,通过向天然有益RNA植入特定分子指令,能够激发作物内源免疫系统抵御真菌、细菌或害虫。不过,结构生物学面临严重的数据稀缺:与拥有约2万个解析结构训练集的蛋白质AI模型相比,科学界目前仅测定约1500个RNA结构,必须依靠针对稀疏数据优化的专用AI模型进行分子设计。 在物理除草领域,搭载计算机视觉与模式识别算法的自动化农机已经走向商业化田间作业。高分辨率摄像头在实时识别杂草种类的同时,能够引导亚英寸级精度的激光束或定向微型火焰直接将其灼除,而无需向整片农田盲目喷洒广谱除草剂。针对中型农场的采购门槛,Helmi分析指出,伴随类似无人机行业的硬件成本快速摊薄,高精度激光与变量喷洒技术正迅速走向大众化平价区间。 设施农业扩张与零售端精准营养溯源 (25:07) 着眼未来十年的种植格局,高价值果蔬正加速转向包含专业塑料大棚与先进温室的“保护性栽培”(Protected Culture)。以全美约4万英亩的商业草莓种植规模为例,较小的土地占用使园艺作物比大田粮食更易实现设施化。受控环境不仅能抵御极端气象波动、精确调控水肥,还能杜绝土壤真菌侵染并规避大肠杆菌或环孢子虫等食源性病原体爆发风险。这套体系需要工程化种子、AI动态环控系统与智能硬件深度整合,在压降生产成本的同时构建就近供应的本地化韧性供应链。 在消费与零售端,端到端数据链将重构透明度与营养标准。数据显示,75%的消费者倾向选购健康食品,但88%仍受制于“天然”、“新鲜”等缺乏农艺验证的标准营销说辞。未来结合物联网与区块链的数据架构将使消费者扫描包装即可查验种源产地、施肥施药记录与采收时间。同时,Pairwise等公司正利用基因编辑将太平洋西北部黑树莓等季节性高营养小众浆果培育为四季常供的货架商品。结合精准医疗的发展,未来零售AI助手甚至可依据个体生理指征或医生开具的营养处方,实时筛查消费者的数字购物车并提供动态饮食建议。 尽管AI、机器人与合成生物学展示出巨大的技术潜力,但与会专家指出,整体食品系统变革的核心瓶颈依然在于农场端的商业盈利性与社会认知对齐。Kiss the Ground的调研显示,美国公众对再生农业的认知度已由四年前的4%提升至13%,但当前的认证标准依然繁琐割裂且对种植者成本高昂。专家们强调,唯有在政策补贴支持、供应链透明化及保障种植者经济收益的前提下,使高营养食物兼顾大众可负担性,才能最终达成消除饥饿、逆转饮食慢性病以及实现土壤生态全面再生的系统性愿景。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 该内容由 Ai4 频道于 2026 年 8 月 21 日发布在 YouTube 平台。视频记录了一场由农业、消费品及物流科技领袖参与的专题圆桌论坛,探讨无人机、数据模型及 AI 决策系统如何赋能全产业链,助力农户监测土壤健康、减少生产浪费并增强全球粮食系统的可持续性与韧性。 ## TL;DR 论坛深入剖析了现代农业如何从过去单一追求“产量”转向利用 AI 算法平衡营养品质、生态影响与农户盈利的多目标决策体系。嘉宾们重点分享了 Corteva 借助数字孪生技术将作物育种周期减半并节省 1.5 亿美元研发成本的实践,以及 Terrana 利用 AI 稀疏数据建模设计有益 RNA 分子来替代传统化学农药的前沿路径。此外,讨论还涵盖了无人机与激光除草机器人、保护性栽培设施、全链路透明追溯供应链以及“食物即药物”的个性化精准营养愿景。与会者一致认为,唯有将前沿技术与合理的商业回报、政策补贴及公众认知紧密结合,才能实现粮食生产从“消耗自然”到“滋养地球”的系统级转型。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场对谈节奏紧凑且充满思辨张力,既有严谨硬核的分子生物学与决策科学探讨,又穿插着主持人幽默风趣的跨界视角与生动比喻。三位嘉宾在直面现代慢性病蔓延、化学品依赖及土壤退化等严峻现实时保持着清醒反思,而在展示数字孪生、激光除草和青年觉醒浪潮时又洋溢着饱满的科技乐观主义。对话在对消除全球饥饿与重建生态平衡的终极愿景探讨中走向高潮,整体给人一种兼具科学厚度与人文关怀的启发性体验。 ## Key takeaways - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=4s) 现代食品系统正面临系统性危机:全球三分之一人口处于亚健康或患病状态、三分之二人口超重,超加工食品泛滥与土壤退化倒逼农业向营养与健康导向转型。 - [02:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=149s) 农业决策正告别过去对“产量”与劳动力效率的单一追求,转向利用 AI 算法在营养品质、环境生态、农户利润及气候韧性等多目标冲突间寻找最优平衡点。 - [05:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=315s) 美国农业人口占比从 1800 年的约 90% 骤降至现代不足 2%,在工业化解决了卡路里产量之后,现代农业生物技术与 AI 的核心任务转向攻坚“食物品质”。 - [07:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=474s) Corteva 借助 AI 预测与表型采集将育种周期从 10 年减半至 5 年,并通过“农业数字孪生”进行虚拟演算,实现了高达 1.5 亿美元的研发与运营成本节省。 - [13:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=783s) 降本增效与 ESG 环保目标已深度合流:通过数据模型减少种子流转浪费、优化仓储与运力,商业成本的压降直接转化为了碳排放与环境足迹的实质性削减。 - [14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=868s) Terrana Biosciences 利用稀疏数据 AI 模型设计植物有益 RNA 病毒,以生物靶向方式激活作物自身免疫机制,有望从根本上替代高残留的传统化学杀菌剂。 - [17:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1054s) 从微观土壤微生物到人体肠道菌群,生态健康认知普及让美国公众对“再生农业”的认知率在三年内从 4% 跃升至 13%,正从需求端倒逼农业生产转型。 - [18:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1132s) 低空无人机结合实时 AI 计算机视觉与高能激光/定向喷雾,实现了杂草的物理灼灭与厘米级变量微量喷施,加速告别全田大水漫灌式打药模式。 - [21:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1286s) 全球农业长期依赖的 800 种核心化学化合物面临研发枯竭,AI 驱动的田间除草机器人与生物制剂正成为保障卡路里供应同时实现“去化学化”的关键破局点。 - [25:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1512s) 极端天气频发推动高价值园艺作物转向塑料大棚与温室等“保护性栽培”,在显著降低病害、延长产季的同时,也需面对塑料废弃物与初始投入成本等现实挑战。 - [28:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1688s) 农场数字孪生与全自主无人农机正在重塑日常生产,系统可根据实时天气、土壤墒情与财务预期全自动规划选种、物料调度与实地作业。 - [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) 面对“天然”、“新鲜”等模糊营销词汇与混乱的认证标签,AI 推动的端到端全链路数据网将让消费者扫码即可清晰追溯食品从育种到货架的完整生命历程。 - [33:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1995s) “食物即药物”(Food as Medicine)理念加速落地,未来 AI 伴侣可结合个人专属健康处方,在超市选购食材时动态分析并实时推荐高营养密度的多样化食材。 - [37:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2220s) 再生农业的大规模推广亟待解决认证门槛高与供应链流转不畅等痛点,唯有确保农户能够从中切实盈利,生态修复实践才具备商业可持续性。 - [41:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2498s) 科技重塑农业的终极成功标准在于:实现全人类身体健康、彻底消除全球饥饿,并使农业从对大自然的掠夺式索取转变为对生态系统的滋养与修复。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=4s) 音乐产业转战农业:粮食系统与健康的断裂 主持人 Evan Harrison 开场便幽默地表示自己今天打算少说点,把聚光灯留给两位台上的“摇滚巨星”。他分享了自己独特的职业跨界履历:在加入专注再生农业的非营利组织 Kiss the Ground 之前,他在音乐行业摸爬滚打了 30 年,亲历并引领了从混合卡带(mixtape)到 CD,再到全面数字化的消费浪潮。因此,他深谙消费者需求与市场转型的逻辑。而在 Kiss the Ground,核心使命正是探索“健康的土壤、健康的食物与人类健康”之间的深层关联。 Evan 指出,今天我们将从更上游的科学维度来审视整个食物系统。在与 Corteva Agriscience 的决策科学与 AI 总监 Hoda Helmi 沟通时,Evan 坦言自己甚至需要临时查阅大量生僻词汇才跟上思路——Hoda 站在 AI 的前沿,致力于将决策科学应用于“种子创制”,而种子正是绝大多数消费者在餐桌前鲜少思考的源头;而 Terrana Biosciences 的 CEO Ryan Rapp 则是农业生物技术(Biotech)领域的资深领袖,正在通过 AI 与前沿生命科学直接影响植物行为。 Evan 严肃地指出了当前食品系统不得不面临的重构时刻(a redo moment): - 现代农业食物系统与人类健康恶化直接挂钩,当前每 3 个人中就有 1 人处于不健康状态,每 3 个人中就有 2 人超重。 - 超加工食品(ultra-processed foods)泛滥成灾,曾经肥沃健康的土壤如今退化枯竭,亟需具备远见的技术领导力来推动系统级重塑。 --- ### [02:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=149s) 从单一追求“产量”到多目标优化平衡 Evan 抛出第一个核心议题:在过去很长一段时间里,整个农业产业链都将核心精力和资本聚焦于单一目标——“产量(yield)”。四年前他刚进入该领域时对这个词还很陌生,通俗而言,就是以最少的时间和金钱投入换取最大化的产出。Evan 提问:如今面对健康危机,我们是否能以同样的力度,将 AI 与科技聚焦在健康与“营养密度(nutrient density)”上? ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 农业优化目标的演进 subgraph 传统农业模式 ["传统阶段:算力与数据受限"] A["追求高产量 (Yield)"] --> B["压缩生产成本 (Cost)"] B --> C["优化物流运输 (Logistics)"] end subgraph AI决策系统 ["AI驱动阶段:多目标冲突平衡"] D["营养品质 (Nutrition)"] E["环境与生态影响 (Environment)"] F["农户盈利能力 (Profitability)"] G["气候变化韧性 (Resilience)"] end C -.->|算力飞跃与多模态数据采集| AI决策系统 ``` Corteva 的 Hoda Helmi 随即接话,风趣地说道:“AI、拉斯维加斯,再加上探讨美食,还有比这更棒的组合吗?”她的答案是斩钉截铁的:完全可以。Hoda 剖析了农业历史优化的演进路径:最初的目标是单亩产出最大化(产量),随后逐步叠加了成本控制和物流优化。过去之所以只能追求极其有限的单一目标,根本原因在于**数据匮乏、算力不足以及分析能力有限**。 农业数据本质上是高度复杂的“多模态”体系(气象、土壤、基因、表型等),虽然至今业界依然面临数据短缺挑战,但现代 AI 正在以几何级的速度加速数据采集。AI 带来的革命性转变在于支持“多目标优化决策”: - 不再仅盯着产量,而是将**营养品质、环境影响、农户盈利性、气候适应韧性**同时纳入同一个算法框架。 - 这些目标往往存在天然冲突(例如极致追求某种营养素可能会牺牲单产利润)。AI 决策系统可以通过海量情景模拟(scenario analysis),量化权衡取舍(trade-offs),最终在冲突目标之间锁定那个既不牺牲健康、又能保障农户收入的最佳平衡点(sweet spot)。 --- ### [05:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=315s) 农业人口骤降至 2%:技术红利下的新转向 Terrana Biosciences 的 CEO Ryan Rapp 接着梳理了一段令人震撼的百年农业人口迁移史,指出农业此前优化的不仅是产量,更是劳动力效率: | 历史时期 | 农业人口占比 | 生产力特征与核心驱动力 | |:--- |:--- |:--- | | **1800 年** | 约 90% | 极度低效,仅 10% 人口在城市,绝大多数人靠农田勉强糊口 | | **1900 年** | 降至 40% | 机械化初步推进,工业革命拉开序幕 | | **现代当下** | **< 2%** | 不足 2% 的人口养活全美;拖拉机普及、农药化学合成、高校与种子公司遗传育种推动 | Ryan 总结道,过去仅凭工业革命时期的早期工具,人类就创造了如此惊人的生产力奇迹;而在当下,面对 AI、现代生物技术和新型种质开发工具,我们完全有能力把过去百年来对单一规模的偏执,转向未来百年的“食物品质”攻坚。例如农户面临几千公顷黑莓(blackberry)时,可能全场只有寥寥数名工人巡护,根本无法人工察觉每株作物的病虫害迹象。借助机器视觉、农业机器人与 AI 决策,农户能实现病害早筛早治,从而在保障生产的同时大幅减少化学农药喷洒。 Evan 赞叹这些数据的冲击力。二战及工业革命后,为了养活爆炸式增长的人口,以玉米、大豆和小麦为代表的大宗作物产出达到了极致,但付出的代价是农残污染、土壤退化与营养流失。当下的新挑战,是如何保证端上餐桌的食物不仅管饱,更是高营养密度的健康基石。 --- ### [07:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=474s) 育种周期减半与节省 1.5 亿美元的“数字孪生” Evan 将话题切入商业与技术实效:Corteva 借助 AI 成功将原本长达 10 年的作物育种周期缩短到 5 年,并节省了整整 1.5 亿美元的研发资金。他追问 Hoda:这背后究竟是如何实现的?这在未来又会怎样改变普通消费者在超市货架上的体验? Hoda 详细拆解了传统育种的复杂现实。在公众刻板印象中,育种往往被简化为“把种子埋进土里”,但现实中,每一款商业化优良种子的诞生,背后是成千上万种基因组合、跨越多年份、多地域的大规模严苛田间试验。团队必须对产量、农艺性状、抗病性、经济收益等数十项指标进行层层筛选。 AI 缩短育种漏斗(breeding funnel)的关键在于: - **前置预测与虚拟淘汰**:AI 模型能够在海量组合尚未进入昂贵的实体田间试验之前,精准预测其未来性状,直接砍掉表现不佳的组合,让长达 10 年的培育漏斗急剧收窄至 5 年(不同作物品种周期各异)。 - **极速应对生态危机**:育种周期减半意味着能够迅速响应环境恶化与突发性新型病害,以最快速度将兼具优异基因抗性和高品质的新种交到农户手中。 - **精准表型采集(Precision Phenotyping)**:利用无人机等先进感知技术替代低效的人工测量,采集高精度的田间表现数据,反哺算法模型,使 AI 预测越来越敏锐。 针对那笔惊人的 1.5 亿美元开支节省,Hoda 揭开了背后的技术功臣——**农业数字孪生(Digital Twin)**。不同行业对数字孪生的界定各不相同,而在农业中,它代表着整个农业物理系统在虚拟数字空间的完整映射与镜像。研发团队无需在现实农田里耗费重金做试错性施药或种植,所有复杂的决策情景都可在数字孪生体内率先演算: - 精确评估不同种质在特定地块上的生长表现; - 颠覆传统“全田漫灌式”农药喷洒,精算病虫害发病坐标与用量配比,仅在需要处进行靶向处理; - 从源头上遏制过量化学品施用对生态和健康的破坏,同时为企业带来数以亿计的降本增效成果。 ### [13:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=783s) 降本与环保的双赢:1.5亿美元节省背后的可持续逻辑 Corteva Agriscience 的 AI 与决策科学总监 Hoda Helmi 强调,在企业决策中,降本与环保绝非相互对立的平行线。通过 AI 优化决策所带来的 1.5 亿美元成本节省(COGS saving),其核心本质是推动全链条的可持续性,而非单纯追求纸面利润。如果缺乏这些精准的数据决策模型,大量种子将在生产和流转环节被白白浪费。这一巨大数额的节省,直接转化为种子利用率的大幅提升、仓储浪费的大幅压降,以及跨区域运输频次的锐减,进而直接减少了燃油消耗与碳排放。 在传统企业叙事中,团队往往习惯将“商业盈利目标”与“ESG/可持续发展目标”割裂开来探讨,而 Corteva 当前的策略已将两者深度融合。Hoda 反复阐明,降低销货成本的举措与降低环境足迹的行动已经彻底合流——效率的极致化正是绿色农业的基石。主持人 Evan Harrison 对此深表赞同,指出这精彩地拆解了两个看似不同维度的共性,归根结底一切都落脚在运营效率(Efficiency)的提升上。 - **1.5 亿美元节省的环保乘数效应**:该节约并非剥削供应链或挤压利润,而是通过减少种子浪费、规避无效物流运力、削减化石燃料消耗而实现的生态与经济双赢。 - **目标合并演进**:告别“盈利指标 vs 环保指标”的二元对立,将 COGS 优化与全生命周期减碳指标绑定。 --- ### [14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=868s) 解锁植物微生态:利用 RNA 与 AI 颠覆化学农药 随着讨论转向大自然数十亿年演化出精妙系统的深层机制,Terrana Biosciences 首席执行官 Ryan Rapp 深入阐述了他们如何“师从自然,顺势而为”。他借用大众熟悉的肠道微生态作比喻:过去十到十五年里,公众逐渐意识到人体肠道中存在“有益菌”与“有害菌”的微生态平衡;这一规律在植物界同样存在,且延伸到了 RNA 病毒层面。长期以来,人类倾注海量资源疯狂研究那些破坏庄稼、造成毁灭性经济损失的“有害病毒”,却几乎彻底忽略了那些数亿年来与植物和平共处、维持寄主健康的“有益 RNA 病毒”。 Terrana 的技术路径正是提取这些天然存在的有益分子,保留其历经亿万年演化出的共生特性,再通过生物工程赋予其极小段额外指令。这些指令能激活植物自身的免疫防御系统,抵御真菌、细菌与其他烈性病毒,或促使植物产生微量特定蛋白以击退害虫。相比传统化学合成农药,RNA 分子展现出了无可比拟的安全性。以美国知名的果蔬农药残留排行榜“肮脏果蔬名录”(Dirty Dozen)为例,草莓几乎常年“拔得头筹”,其根源就在于种植者必须依赖倾倒大量化学杀菌剂来遏制草莓根系真菌;而 RNA 靶向技术的落地,有望彻底将草莓从该名录中除名。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: RNA 生物靶向防御与 AI 设计机制 subgraph NaturalEvolution["自然演化基底"] A["植物体内有益 RNA 病毒"] --> B["保留原生共生与保全特性"] end subgraph Engineering["AI 辅助工程化"] B --> C["注入靶向免疫指引代码"] D["AI 稀疏数据模型设计"] --> C end subgraph FieldApplication["农田防护呈现"] C --> E["激活植物原生免疫系统"] C --> F["表达微量特定抗虫蛋白"] E --> G["替代高毒化学合成杀菌剂"] F --> G end ``` 然而,要在分子设计层面取得突破,必须依靠 AI 的强力介入。Ryan 对比了蛋白质设计与 RNA 设计的技术代差:AI 在蛋白质设计领域的突破(如 AlphaFold 等生成模型)建立在人类此前通过冷冻电镜和晶体衍射等苦力手段积累的约两万个已知结构数据之上;相比之下,人类迄今解析出的 RNA 空间结构仅仅只有约 1,500 个。在如此稀疏、匮乏的数据集上构建高精度生成模型,必须依赖新型 AI 架构。这也正是 Terrana Biosciences 的研发重心所在——借助稀疏数据模型预测并设计复杂分子构型,在保留亿万年进化特征的同时实现精准植保。 - **微生态认知迁移**:植物体内同样存在有益与有害 RNA 病毒体系,技术关键在于开发有益分子的防御潜能。 - **草莓与农药残留榜单**:草莓常年位居“肮脏果蔬名录”榜首,主因是高频施用抗根系真菌药剂,RNA 靶向技术为其提供了去化学化的可行路径。 - **蛋白质 vs RNA 结构数据鸿沟**:AlphaFold 等模型受惠于约 20,000 个蛋白质已知结构数据集,而人类目前仅解析了约 1,500 个 RNA 结构,RNA 的 AI 辅助设计高度依赖稀疏数据(Sparse Data)建模技术。 --- ### [17:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1054s) 讲好再生农业故事:从微观土壤到宏观认知的跨越 Evan Harrison 结合自身在非营利机构 Kiss the Ground 的履职经历,谈到了公众认知滞后带来的产业挑战。四年前他刚加入组织时,行业内部交流言必称“再生农业”(Regenerative Agriculture),仿佛这已是全社会的常识。然而调研数据却给出了冷酷的现实:当时全美成年人口中,仅有 4% 能准确将再生农业与土壤健康、环境修复和生态农业系统联系起来。通过连续三年在全媒体平台进行高密度、场景化的叙事推广与科学普及,这一认知比例在三年内攀升至 13%。 这种认知的建立路径与公众理解“肠道健康关乎全身机能”的过程如出一辙。大众从完全陌生到建立日常饮食感知,往往需要漫长的心智培育。Evan 指出,诸如 Terrana 和 Corteva 所做的底层前沿研发,在时间线上其实远远领先于普通消费者的直观感知。此时,具有感染力的内容叙事便成为了不可或缺的桥梁,它能够有效激发终端消费者的自主选择倾向,引导大众优先购买以生态健康方式种植的食品,从而由需求端倒逼农业生产方式转型。 - **认知拐点**:美国成年人对“再生农业”概念的认知率在三年内从 4% 跃升至 13%,公众科学普及与故事化传播在其中起到催化作用。 - **健康认知的同频共振**:从肠道菌群关联人体系统健康,到土壤微生物关联作物与地球健康,微观生态叙事正在重构现代健康消费观。 --- ### [18:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1132s) 告别大水漫灌式施药:无人机、AI 视觉与激光除草的交汇 针对未来五年内如何切实削减农用化学品用量的问题,Hoda Helmi 指出,行业对化学药剂负面效应的共识已经形成,当务之急是通过技术替代加速减量化。她重点拆解了“无人机机载 AI 巡检 + 激光靶向清除”的物理防除范式:无人机在农田上空低空掠过,通过机载高清视觉系统与实时深度学习算法,在毫秒级时间内完成观察、识别与空间分类,瞬间锁定哪些地块滋生了特定杂草。 锁定了杂草位置之后,传统模式下需要整片喷洒大剂量的除草剂,而如今前沿设备直接联动高能激光器,精准聚焦将杂草彻底灼烧碳化。针对主持人 Evan 提出的现实拷问——“这类集成无人机与激光的高端科技,当下的中等规模多品种种植户能否负担得起?”——Hoda 坦承,该技术目前尚处在探索与试验阶段,整套方案确实尚未达到大规模平价推广的拐点。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 农田智能化精准除草路径 subgraph Detection["田间监测感知"] A["低空无人机巡检"] --> B["实时 AI 计算机视觉识别"] end subgraph Intervention["靶向作业执行"] B --> C{"除草决策分流"} C -->|"物理方案"| D["高能激光精准聚焦灼烧"] C -->|"化学方案"| E["分米/厘米级精准变量喷施"] end subgraph Outcome["环境与经济效益"] D --> F["零化学药剂残留"] E --> G["化学除草剂用量大幅削减"] end ``` 不过,无人机单机的硬件成本正在快速下探,许多农户已将其日常化运用于不同农事环节。Hoda 补充道,技术的演进并不局限于“激光烧草”这一种终极形态;在短期内更易落地的过渡形态是“超精准化学喷施”(Precision Application)——即使仍然使用药剂,系统也仅向被 AI 圈定有杂草萌发的厘米级狭小区域微量施药,从源头上斩断大面积盲目喷洒造成的土壤面源污染。 - **物理灼杀 vs 精准变量施药**:AI 视觉结合激光直接物理灭杀杂草可实现“零药剂”;退一步采用精准变量喷淋,亦能大幅度削减农药总用量。 - **农户经济承受力现状**:消费级与工业级无人机在农户群体中已趋于普及,但无人机搭载高精激光除草系统目前因综合成本较高,仍处于产业化验证前夕。 --- ### [21:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1286s) 800种化合物的黄昏:AI 驱动的物理除草机器人新纪元 Ryan Rapp 从全球农化工业演进史的宏观视角,为化学品减量提供了深层次背景。全人类现代农业的正常运转,实际上仅仅维系在约 800 种活性化学化合物(Active Chemistries)之上。令人震惊的是,这绝大部分化合物几乎都是在上世纪 50、60 年代及 70 年代初被发现并投入使用的。此后的半个世纪里,人类全新合成化合物的发现速率急速断崖式下行,在过去十年间,全行业总共才引入了约 10 种能够解决实际农田问题的新化合物。 这种化合物枯竭呈现出复杂的双刃剑格局:一方面,社会正迫切希望摆脱对传统化学品的病态依赖;另一方面,正是这几百种传统化学品在数十年来承担了保产稳产、确保数十亿人摄入足够卡路里与基础营养素的刚性重任。如果在没有可靠替代方案的情况下仓促淘汰它们,粮食供应安全将面临空前威胁。因此,行业正在多轨并行寻找替代基石:以 RNA 分子与植物有益共生微生物构成的生物制剂(Biologicals)是其一;而由 AI 与计算机视觉驱动的智能除草机械则是另一大破局利器。 在园艺经济作物(Horticultural Crops,即人类食用的果蔬等高价值作物)领域,利用激光瞬间爆头杂草或采用定向微型喷灯(Directed Little Torches)定点消杀的田间机器人已经走出实验室。Ryan 兴奋地建议听众务必上网搜索相关实操视频,因为其场景“极具科幻色彩”:这些设备在泥泞田间飞驰,依靠强大的图像与模式识别网络,在行进中实时锚定杂草轮廓,旋即指令多自由度机械臂展开毫厘级的精准抹杀。资本与研发资源的迅速向该赛道靠拢,标志着农业正迈向软硬件协同的去化学化拐点。 Evan Harrison 随后分享了一个跨界创业的生动案例印证这一浪潮。四年多前他刚入职 Kiss the Ground 时,一位同样曾深耕音乐工业的技术界好友为了让自己自营的农场摆脱化学药剂,亲自下场研发了一款全自主智能除草机器人。如今该项目已蜕变为规模庞大的农业自动化服务公司,机器在田间的作业精度令人叹为观止,而操作者仅仅使用一部 iPhone 应用程序就能远程调度整个机器人机队。在向未来十年的农业形态眺望时,随着单一作物连作(Monoculture)模式暴露出越来越严重的生态弊端,嘉宾们开始探讨智能化浪潮将如何自下而上重构未来的耕作范式。 - **农化基石面临断层**:全球农业赖以生存的约 800 种核心化合物大多发现于 1950 至 1970 年代初;过去十年间全球新面世的有效农用化合物仅约 10 种。 - **卡路里供应与替代焦虑**:在摒除高残留农药的同时,必须建立以生物制剂(RNA / 有益微生物)与智能农机(激光器 / 微型喷火枪)为代表的复合替代生态。 - **极客治田现实范式**:从音乐科技跨界农业的机器人创业者,已实现通过移动端 iPhone App 远程控制集群除草机器人,全自主替代传统打药作业。 ### [25:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1512s) 设施农业与保护性栽培的兴起及其现实权衡 随着气候变暖加剧、极端天气频发,传统大田种植面临越来越大的环境不确定性。Ryan Rapp 指出,农业领域正在出现一个不可逆转的趋势:越来越多的生产正在转向所谓的“保护性栽培”(protected culture)。所谓保护性栽培,本质上就是不再完全依赖露天农田,而是利用塑料薄膜覆盖、大棚乃至中等技术温室(mid-tech greenhouses)搭建物理屏障。通过这种方式,种植者能够精准控制作物受到的降雨量,大幅减少真菌与细菌的滋生,从而在收获时获得品质更高、更稳定的农产品。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 保护性栽培的优势与现实挑战 subgraph Drivers["环境压力与应对"] A["极端天气频发"] --> B["保护性栽培 (设施农业)"] B --> C["阻隔降雨/控温控湿"] B --> D["减少真菌与细菌病害"] end subgraph Impacts["产业影响与挑战"] C & D --> E["提升果蔬品质与延长产季"] E --> F["促进本地化供应"] B -.-> G["塑料制品污染增加"] B -.-> H["高昂的前期与运营成本"] end ``` 当主持人打断并追问究竟哪些作物适合这种环境、又该如何规模化时,Ryan 解释道,如今几乎所有高价值园艺作物都可以走这条路线。比如消费者在超市透明折叠盒(clamshell)里见到的草莓、黑莓、树莓以及包装生菜,绝大部分早已不是露天种植,而是在塑料棚或温室中长成的。他顺便提及了当年夏天全美爆发的环孢子虫(Cyclospora)感染事件,戏称大家正是通过这种惨痛教训意识到大田露天种植生菜的卫生隐患。 然而,保护性栽培的大规模推行也伴随着现实挑战: - **环境负担**:设施农业大幅增加了农用塑料的使用,目前欧盟等监管机构已在积极研发替代材料以应对白色污染。 - **土地占用差异**:相比于动辄上亿英亩的玉米和大豆等饲料作物,园艺作物的占地面积极小。全美草莓种植总面积仅约 4 万英亩(40,000 acres),因此将绝大部分草莓转移到保护性栽培下在工程和经济上是完全可行的。 - **延长产季与本地化**:通过设施控温,可以有效削减早春倒春寒或晚秋早霜的影响,从而拉长本地生长季,提高本土自给率并减少对外地或跨国进口的依赖。 - **多技术协同破局**:Ryan 提到他们正在合作的一家室内农业初创公司,正在努力攻坚降低成本,目前技术已逼近从“仅能种生菜”向更多样化作物扩展的临界点。这需要生物育种、种子改良、硬件自动化与 AI 决策形成合力。 --- ### [28:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1688s) 种业研发大提速与农场数字孪生、自主作业 从大田作物(row crops)和大型种业公司的视角切入,Hoda Helmi 展示了另一幅智能化图景。在育种与种子生产端,AI 带来的最大颠覆在于“压缩研发周期”。过去,想要培育出具备特定抗逆性或优良性状的新品种,需要耗费数年在分布于不同气候带的物理试验田中进行反复试种与表型筛选。如今借助高精度预测模型,研究人员可以直接模拟并预测种子在各种复杂环境下的表现,几乎无需开展漫长且浪费土地的物理实验。这不仅使得种子公司可以用更少的土地生产出更优质的品种,还将整个育种管线的周期缩短了一大半。 而在农户操作层面,AI 正在通过“数字孪生”(Digital Twin)彻底重构日常农事。农户无需再凭经验艰难决策,每天清晨开启系统时,AI 就已经为他们规划好全局: - **实时作业规划**:系统自动结合当天气象,清晰提示何处有合适的地块墒情、所需特定种子存放在哪里、拖拉机与农具目前调度停放在何处,以及需要准备多少化肥和物料。 - **农场财务与选种决策**:AI 会直接基于农场往年产量和市场走势进行财务模拟,向农户推荐最适合采购哪家公司的何种种子,实现“无痛选种与预算规划”。 - **全自主物理作业**:硬件机器人与智能农机的发展早已不是十年后的遥远幻想。无人驾驶拖拉机和联合收割机已经在田间投入使用,未来农机将具备更高的自主权,不仅不需要专人驾驶,连远程监督的需求都在急剧下降,真正实现高度自主化、资源消耗极低的农场运作。 --- ### [31:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1863s) 标签乱象与未来 10 年的超市透明供应链 主持人将话题引向消费端的一个尖锐矛盾:据统计,约 75% 的消费者渴望购买能让自己更健康的食品,但食品包装上的标签却混乱到令人无所适从;甚至有 88% 的人最容易被“天然”(natural)和“新鲜”(fresh)这两个词打动,而这两个词本质上只是没有任何法律或科学依据的营销修辞,根本无法反映食材的真实培育方式与种植环境。面对大企业将海量资源投入改造食品系统的现状,主持人提出了一个问题:十年后的超市会变成什么模样? Hoda 认为,未来的超市将迎来前所未有的“信息透明革命”。目前种子公司和食品加工企业在合规与标签审核上耗费了巨大人力,而 AI 将从根本上解决标签造假与模糊定义的问题: - **端到端可追溯**:消费者只需拿出手机扫描包装,就能实时查阅食品的完整生命履历——从种子是在哪里培育的、在什么环境下生长、何时被采收,到中途经过了怎样的冷链运输。 - **打破数据孤岛**:过去食品供应链各环节的数据是割裂破碎的,而 AI 模型的落地倒逼着整个农业与物流产业链将孤立的数据系统打通,形成统一透明的端到端数据网。 - **终结标签认知混乱**:针对消费者常年困惑的“有机与非有机”、“不同等级禽蛋/肉类”的区别,AI 能够清晰直白地解释特定标签背后的生产标准,详细列出使用了哪些肥料或植保投入品,让消费者明明白白消费。 --- ### [33:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1995s) 食物即药物:个性化营养推荐与生物多样性回归 Ryan 接着描绘了他对未来超市的两个核心期许。首先是**饮食多样性的回归**。他风趣地把人类比作“浣熊”(raccoons):“我们简直就像浣熊一样,什么都能吃。自然界中绝大多数动物的肝脏和肾脏代谢能力非常有限,稍有毒素就无法承受,而人类非常幸运地演化出了强大的代谢器官,能够消化地球上的绝大部分植物。”然而现代商业超市却将作物品种简化到了极其单一的程度。他以美国本土特有的“黑树莓”(black raspberry)为例:这种富含极高抗氧化物的水果过去通常只能在太平洋西北或新英格兰的路边农夫市集短暂买到,但他此前供职的 Pairwise 公司通过基因编辑和育种技术,成功培育出了能像普通黑莓一样实现全年稳定供应的品种。他希望未来超市中能摆满这类营养密度极高的新型多样化作物。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 食物即药物与个人健康智能闭环 A["个人生物体质/处方需求"] --> B["数字化营养目标 Profile"] B --> C["超市智能购物车 / AI 伴侣"] D["挑选食材放入购物车"] --> C C --> E["实时比对营养成分"] E --> F["即时反馈与动态调整建议"] ``` 其次是**践行“食物即药物”(food as medicine)理念**。每个人本质上都是一个持续运转的生物生化系统,每天都在通过肝肾和血液循环代谢各种物质。Ryan 展望道,在不久的将来,医生开具的处方可能不再仅仅是药丸,而是一份针对个人专属体质的深度营养素摄入方案。当消费者在超市选购食品时,车载或随身 AI 会实时分析放入购物篮的食材成分,即时反馈:“这道菜谱是否能达成今日的微量营养素指标?离你的处方目标还差多少?”这种动态即时建议,将彻底终结人们凭感觉列晚餐清单的落后方式,把个性化精准营养无缝融入日常采买中。 在片段的尾声,主持人感慨道,虽然在场三位嘉宾分别来自系统科学、产业研发与叙事倡导三个完全不同的视角,但大家都在试图解开同一个死结。他引用马尔科姆·格拉德威尔(Malcolm Gladwell)的《引爆点》(*The Tipping Point*)理论指出,自己的机构 Kiss The Ground 正试图用故事的力量打破信息隔阂——一方面高达 74% 的消费者渴望吃得更健康,但另一方面消费者与食品生产端之间却横亘着深深的信任鸿沟与虚假宣传。 ### [37:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2220s) 再生农业的供应链瓶颈与系统性破局 关于农业转型的探讨从生产端延伸到了更广泛的商业与社会系统。消费者对健康、高营养密度食品的需求正在日益攀升,越来越多人开始主动寻找带有“再生农业”(Regenerative)标签的商品。然而,这类标签目前仍处于定义混乱的初期阶段,各种认证机制五花八门,甚至由于高昂的认证费用,直接阻碍了那些坚持以最艰苦、最正确方式耕作的农户——他们尽量减少对土地的翻耕打扰,减少或杜绝化学投入品,推行多种作物轮作与覆盖作物,以培育肥沃健康的土壤。 解决这一矛盾的核心动力在于市场传导:随着消费者意识的觉醒,整个供应链开始倒逼重构。目前企业与科研团队正紧锣密鼓地优化供应链流转环节,但政府补贴政策仍是一道巨大的制度门槛。如今农民面临的最现实难题在于“如何维持盈利”;在整个食物网络中,唯有消费者买得起高营养密度的食物、企业能获得合理的商业回报、耕作者也能依靠良性耕作维持生计,这种复杂的系统性重塑才具备真正的可持续性。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 再生农业系统正向循环机制 subgraph Market ["消费与制度驱动"] Demand["消费者追求营养与透明度"] Labels["明确且平价的再生农业认证"] Subsidies["政策性补贴倾斜生态保护"] end subgraph Farm ["田间实践与技术赋能"] Practices["减耕 / 覆盖作物 / 多样轮作"] Tech["AI 决策、数字孪生与自动化"] end subgraph Outcomes ["共赢目标"] FarmerProfit["农民收益得到保障"] Ecosystem["土壤修复与零饥饿"] end Demand --> Labels Labels --> Practices Subsidies --> FarmerProfit Practices --> Tech Tech --> Ecosystem FarmerProfit --> Practices ``` ### [38:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2301s) 为何对未来保持乐观:青年一代与 AI 赋能的双重希望 在梳理完转型痛点后,圆桌转向了充满希望的未来展望。谈及支撑信心的基石,Evan Harrison 动情地分享了关于年轻一代的观察。他回忆自己早年在音乐产业工作,当时与大自然最紧密的纽带是担任冲浪者基金会(Surfrider Foundation)的董事。每次组织环保公益活动,他都会带上女儿。如今他的女儿已从圣地亚哥州立大学(San Diego State University)毕业,全职从事环境公益倡导与传播工作。新一代年轻人展现出前所未有的行动力与澎湃热情,"他们被彻底点燃了,对寻找治愈地球与增进人类健康的解决方案充满渴望。" Hoda Helmi 对这一观点深表赞同,并指出青年群体对气候变化、食品品质与供应链透明度的极致追求,正在迫使食品巨头重构生产目标。当这种社会诉求与 AI 技术、全链路数据流通以及农田数字孪生相结合时,科技便能真正发挥出正向价值。AI 固然具有双刃剑的属性,但只要引导得当,它能最大程度减少食物浪费、遏制气候恶化,并为全社会创造切实的生态与健康红利。 紧接着,Ryan Rapp 结合自己的成长经历给出了两个具体的乐观理由: - **减轻农作重负、提升生活品质**:Ryan Rapp 从小在蔬菜农场长大,深知即便拥有现代化的拖拉机和农机,农田劳作依然是极度繁重且摧残身体的苦活("backbreaking work")。AI 与农业机器人的应用初衷绝非盲目替代农民,而是大幅减轻体力负担,提升他们的工作环境与生活质量。 - **重塑人与食物的信任连接**:公众正掀起一股重新理解“食物从何而来、如何种植”的探索热潮。尽管农户在追求产量与收益时常与消费者的严苛诉求产生拉扯,但基于真实事实与透明数据的理性对话正在增多,农业正朝着各方共赢的方向稳步迈进。 ### [41:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2498s) 终极填空游戏:成功的标准到底是什么? 在论坛尾声的最后几分钟,三位嘉宾以一个简短而发人深省的填空题为讨论收尾——“当我们______时,便标志着我们真正取得了成功”: - **Evan Harrison 的答案是:全人类恢复健康。** 他重申了论坛开场时令人揪心的严峻数据:目前有三分之二的人面临超重困扰,三分之一的人正滑向各类由饮食引发的慢性疾病深渊。"当我们变得更加健康、整个食品体系真正被重塑之时,我们就迎来了真正的成功。" - **Hoda Helmi 的答案是:消除世界上的每一处饥饿。** 在她看来,真正的胜利是世界上再也没有任何一个人必须饿着肚子入睡,让每一个人都能获得充足且健康的食物供应。 - **Ryan Rapp 的答案是:农业实践不再掠夺自然。** 他强调,当人类每一次进行粮食生产时,不再是对生态系统的破坏与降级,而是反过来滋养、修复并壮大生态网络,完成从“消耗自然”到“重建自然”的彻底转变。伴随着背景散场音乐的响起,整场围绕 AI 与农业未来的深度对话在对共赢图景的掌声中圆满落幕。 ## Notable quotes > [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=4s) 现代农业食物系统与人类健康恶化直接挂钩,当前每 3 个人中就有 1 人处于不健康状态,每 3 个人中就有 2 人超重。 — Evan Harrison > [02:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=149s) AI、拉斯维加斯,再加上探讨美食,还有比这更棒的组合吗? — Hoda Helmi > [05:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=315s) 在当下,面对 AI、现代生物技术和新型种质开发工具,我们完全有能力把过去百年来对单一规模的偏执,转向未来百年的“食物品质”攻坚。 — Ryan Rapp > [13:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=783s) 降低销货成本的举措与降低环境足迹的行动已经彻底合流——效率的极致化正是绿色农业的基石。 — Hoda Helmi > [21:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1286s) 全人类现代农业的正常运转,实际上仅仅维系在约 800 种活性化学化合物之上。令人震惊的是,这绝大部分化合物几乎都是在上世纪 50、60 年代及 70 年代初被发现并投入使用的。 — Ryan Rapp > [33:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=1995s) 我们简直就像浣熊一样,什么都能吃。自然界中绝大多数动物的肝脏和肾脏代谢能力非常有限,稍有毒素就无法承受,而人类非常幸运地演化出了强大的代谢器官,能够消化地球上的绝大部分植物。 — Ryan Rapp > [38:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2301s) 新一代年轻人展现出前所未有的行动力与澎湃热情,他们被彻底点燃了,对寻找治愈地球与增进人类健康的解决方案充满渴望。 — Evan Harrison > [41:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2498s) 当我们变得更加健康、整个食品体系真正被重塑之时,我们就迎来了真正的成功。 — Evan Harrison > [41:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2498s) 真正的胜利是世界上再也没有任何一个人必须饿着肚子入睡,让每一个人都能获得充足且健康的食物供应。 — Hoda Helmi > [41:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg&t=2498s) 当人类每一次进行粮食生产时,不再是对生态系统的破坏与降级,而是反过来滋养、修复并壮大生态网络,完成从“消耗自然”到“重建自然”的彻底转变。 — Ryan Rapp ## Mentioned Evan Harrison, Ryan Rapp, Hoda Helmi, Kiss the Ground, Corteva Agriscience, Terrana Biosciences, Pairwise, AlphaFold, Surfrider Foundation, San Diego State University, Malcolm Gladwell, 《引爆点》(The Tipping Point) ## Video description Evan Harrison - CEO, Kiss The Ground Ryan Rapp - CEO, Terrana Biosciences Hoda Helmi - Director of AI and Decision Science, Corteva Agriscience From drones to data models, AI is changing how food is grown and moved. In this panel, leaders from agriculture, CPG, and logistics explore how AI is enabling sustainable, profitable operations across the food value chain. Learn how growers are using machine learning to monitor soil health, how producers are using AI to cut waste, and how tech is making global food systems more resilient. [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmgfYw9yjIg)

Source quotes

[0:04] Evan Harrison: 现代农业食物系统与人类健康恶化直接挂钩,当前每 3 个人中就有 1 人处于不健康状态,每 3 个人中就有 2 人超重。 [2:29] Hoda Helmi: AI、拉斯维加斯,再加上探讨美食,还有比这更棒的组合吗? [5:15] Ryan Rapp: 在当下,面对 AI、现代生物技术和新型种质开发工具,我们完全有能力把过去百年来对单一规模的偏执,转向未来百年的“食物品质”攻坚。 [13:03] Hoda Helmi: 降低销货成本的举措与降低环境足迹的行动已经彻底合流——效率的极致化正是绿色农业的基石。 [21:26] Ryan Rapp: 全人类现代农业的正常运转,实际上仅仅维系在约 800 种活性化学化合物之上。令人震惊的是,这绝大部分化合物几乎都是在上世纪 50、60 年代及 70 年代初被发现并投入使用的。 [33:15] Ryan Rapp: 我们简直就像浣熊一样,什么都能吃。自然界中绝大多数动物的肝脏和肾脏代谢能力非常有限,稍有毒素就无法承受,而人类非常幸运地演化出了强大的代谢器官,能够消化地球上的绝大部分植物。 [38:21] Evan Harrison: 新一代年轻人展现出前所未有的行动力与澎湃热情,他们被彻底点燃了,对寻找治愈地球与增进人类健康的解决方案充满渴望。 [41:38] Evan Harrison: 当我们变得更加健康、整个食品体系真正被重塑之时,我们就迎来了真正的成功。 [41:38] Hoda Helmi: 真正的胜利是世界上再也没有任何一个人必须饿着肚子入睡,让每一个人都能获得充足且健康的食物供应。 [41:38] Ryan Rapp: 当人类每一次进行粮食生产时,不再是对生态系统的破坏与降级,而是反过来滋养、修复并壮大生态网络,完成从“消耗自然”到“重建自然”的彻底转变。

Source quotes

[7:44] Hoda Helmi: in silico [7:44] Hoda Helmi: digital twin [14:28] Ryan Rapp: Dirty Dozen [25:07] protected culture [31:03] Ryan Rapp: we are like raccoons, right? We can eat anything [31:03] food as medicine [31:03] natural [31:03] fresh [38:28] Ryan Rapp: backbreaking work [41:37] Evan Harrison: We'll know we succeeded when...

Original transcript

[0:04] I have the privilege of doing way less of the  talking. We're going to hear from some really [0:10] really inspirational what I consider rock stars.  My background is in the music indust industry. I [0:17] spent 30 years leading change when from when  people were making mixtapz to CDs. Then I [0:24] uh helped lead the change to digital to digital.  So I understand consumer demand a bit. At Kiss the [0:31] Ground, we focus on regenerative agriculture and  our purpose is all about the correlation between [0:41] healthy soil, healthy foods, and our health. And  that's a lot of what we're going to be talking [0:48] about up here today. And we're going to be coming  at from a slightly different upstream angle. [0:54] You'll hear directly from Hoda. But my assessment  when I talked to Hod after having to look up a lot [1:01] of terms that I didn't understand was we have  a leader in the AI space who is using AI for a [1:08] decision science and how that affects creating  seeds. Not many of us when we think of the food [1:15] we eat think about the seeds that help grow the  plants. And Hoda is going to be talking quite a [1:20] bit about that. and Ryan, a longtime leader in the  agricultural space. What I really summized there [1:27] was uh biotech and I think we're pretty familiar  with that term. He is going to be talking to us [1:33] about how through science and AI we can actually  affect plant behavior. Fascinating stuff. So why [1:43] are we talking about our food system? because  there is a direct correlation with our food [1:49] system today and our poor health. One in three of  us is um is not well and 23 of us are overweight. [2:00] So with the tie to ultrarocessed foods, soil  that is no longer healthy, we've got to do [2:09] we've got to have a bit of a redo moment here. And  that's what we're going to be talking about. So, [2:16] it really takes leadership to drive change. We've  got two great leaders here. So, I'm going to come [2:22] join you and ask some questions and then we'll  probably have time for audience questions as well. [2:29] All right, kicking it off. I don't want to be  blocked. Okay. Yep. Nobody bites here. We're gonna [2:36] come close. All right. So, first up, we have spent  a lot of time in energy as an industry optimizing [2:46] farming for yield. And I wasn't very familiar with  the term yield when I joined Kiss the Ground four [2:54] years ago and how it pertains to farming. Simply  put, how do we spend at have the most efficient [3:00] process in time spent and money spent for the  greatest output of product? The question is, [3:08] can we apply that same intensity for an outcome  that focuses on our health and nutrient density [3:16] in our food system? Jump on in whoever wants to  go first. Sure. Well, exciting to be here. Like [3:22] what's the better combination than AI Vegas and  talking about food, right? So, um, and the short [3:29] answer to that is absolutely. Um so I'm going back  historically in agriculture we have been trying to [3:36] optimize for few objectives yield one of the main  important objectives that we wanted to optimize [3:43] having more products out of one acre right and  then we added okay let's uh minimize cost now [3:50] let's um optimize the logistics now with AI and  and and let me also give the context of why that [3:58] was because limited data limited compute power,  limited um analytical capabilities. Now with AI, [4:08] we have all of those. Well, data, you can  still argue that we don't have a lot of it, [4:13] specifically in agriculture, which is multimodel,  very very complex. We need a lot of data, but AI [4:19] is helping us actually to capture the data faster  and more efficient as well. So now with AI, we can [4:26] have multiple different objectives. Now it's not  just about yield. It's about nutritional quality, [4:32] right? It's about environmental impact. It's about  obviously farmer profitability. We cannot ignore [4:39] that. Um it's about uh resiliency to um climate  change. So combining all of those obviously they [4:47] are um conflicting objectives as well. But AI this  decision systems that we are building is helping [4:54] us create so many different scenarios and put  those tradeoffs in the context and understand how [5:01] we can optimize them finding that sweet spot that  optimize all of them not just well compromising [5:08] for nutritional quality for profitability right  so Ryan what can you add to that yeah no I think [5:15] that those are a lot of great points there when I  think back about where agriculture has Um and what [5:20] we've optimized it really has been yield. It's  also been the number of people that are involved [5:25] in agriculture. So if you go back to 1800 uh 90%  of the US population was involved in agriculture, [5:32] right? 10% were in cities and everybody  was basically making a living out on the [5:36] farm. Very inefficient process. By uh that was  1800. By 1900 that was down to 40%. Today we're [5:44] down to less than 2%. So less than 2% of the US  population was involved in actually making all the [5:49] food we eat each day. And that was done through an  amazing feat of engineering through the industrial [5:54] revolution like bringing tractors in finding  uh new chemistries that dealt with diseases, [6:00] right? Uh better genetics and seed developments  from the seed companies and the universities. [6:05] And so that was sort of the first focus that  took all of our energy. If we can do that with [6:10] that set of tools, to me it seems like today  we should be able to use AI and biotechnology [6:16] and seed development processes and be able to  focus on the things that are actually going [6:22] to bring us back to a healthier state overall.  So back to those ideas about nutrient density, [6:27] about the ability to reduce pesticide use um a lot  of that I think can come through AI helping the [6:33] farmer to actually manage day-to-day operations.  Right? So now you have this thing where you've got [6:37] like just a couple people looking at, you know,  maybe a giant uh maybe they're farming about a [6:42] thousand hectares of blackberry, right? And how  do you tend to all the plants and know what to do [6:47] in all those situations? Where can robotics  and AI help you make those better decisions [6:52] during that process so that you don't have to  use pesticides as often? I think AI can give us [6:57] a really good foothold in that space and help  us make the, you know, the next hundred years, [7:01] uh, the focus really being on the the quality  portion of the food. amazing perspective with [7:06] those statistics. And I think a lot of us wonder  how did we get to where we are today where we [7:16] need chemicals that are not good for our health on  our food to aid the farming process. Our soil has [7:23] become unhealthy. Uh you mentioned the industrial  revolution. That's when we really started pumping [7:30] out a lot more corn and soy and wheat in the  United States much more efficiently because we [7:37] had a growing population that we had to feed. And  now the next big challenge is and how do we make [7:44] sure that is nutrient-dense healthy foods that we  are feeding them. So, Kota, AI helped you reduce a [7:54] um a a build cycle from 10 years down  to five years. Talk about how, you know, [8:02] break that down for us as well as the savings  that you were able to generate of $150 million, [8:08] not a small number. So, anything we're working  on that can be brought from 10 years to 5 years [8:14] and save $150 million uh deserves a little bit  of attention. So please break that down for us [8:20] and kind of end with how will that eventually  change what we experience at the grocery store. [8:29] Well um a lot there you um have like multiple  points to your question that I'm going to tackle [8:36] one by one breeding cycle how we are shortening  that and what does that mean even right well to [8:44] many people breeding is just planting seed  but in reality for getting one variety to a [8:51] commercial seed it means we are testing thousand  and thousands of different combinations through [8:58] going through a lot of different experimentations,  multiple years, multiple locations to make sure [9:04] the seed that then is becoming commercial is the  best seed that we could uh get to our customers [9:12] from the yield standpoint, from the different  traits standpoint, uh disease susceptibility [9:18] standpoint, profitability standpoint, there are  so many different aspects that we are checking [9:24] throughout the breeding pipeline. So now we are  talking about shortening that funnel assuming [9:31] that it takes 10 years from the first time that  you're starting looking at those royal varieties [9:37] to when you are basically ready to commercialize  that seat. Well, AI is helping us to predict a [9:46] lot of those combinations without even going to  those experimentation phase, right? And that is [9:52] how we are shortening that funnel from 10 years  to different uh years for different varieties. [9:59] Obviously, it's not just one um number that  it takes for the funnel. [snorts] Also I need [10:07] to add that when we are shortening the funnel it  means that we are reacting faster to environmental [10:14] changes to different disease that are um being  created appearing in the environment. We are [10:21] giving the innovation faster to the farmers to our  customers so they can use better seed with better [10:28] genetic qualities and so on so forth. That is the  how AI is helping us with shortening the funnel [10:34] and I should mention that is not just predicting  of those varieties on how are their traits and [10:40] then selecting the best of the best to go to spend  those experimentations but is also we are using AI [10:46] to do uh prestigious uh precision phenotyping  which means okay all those experimentation [10:53] let's get all those um phenotypes using drones  using a lot of different technologies that is [10:59] available to us getting better data to be able to  create these AI systems that are predicting for [11:05] us more accurate. Okay, this is the part for the  reading uh funnel. You want to uh chime in or do [11:13] you want me to just go on and subscribe? Yeah.  Okay. So, the next part is that 150 million of [11:19] uh savings. So I now I need to talk about  digital twin and um it's good to level set [11:27] what is digital twin because you may have heard  that term in different context but that means many [11:34] different things right depending on what industry  you're talking about what scale and scope we [11:40] are talking about but when we are talking about  digital training agriculture you can think of a [11:47] um digital virtual copy of the agriculture system.  This is the broadest definition for digital twin [11:55] in agriculture. So now what we are trying to do,  we are trying to build that digital twin so that [12:05] we wouldn't need to go to the physical environment  to test. We can basically having that digital [12:13] twin doing a lot of testing in the digital  environment doing a lot of scenario analysis [12:20] to understand what are the impact of different  decisions that we are making in the farm for what [12:28] um products we are uh selecting where we are  planting those products what um chemicals if we [12:36] have to apply what chemicals we have to apply and  where we need to apply apply them instead of like [12:42] applying them to the whole field that it doesn't  need all of those chemicals that is also going [12:48] back how we can reduce those chemical impacts um  and effects on health. So building that digital [12:55] twin um in our organization now has helped us to  made a lot of decision more optimally and that [13:03] has result in 150 million savings and that saving  is not profit is not cog saving right it's saving [13:12] that is basically helping with sustainability  right a lot of minimizing the waste creating a [13:20] lot of more seed that if we couldn't make these  optimal decisions would go to waste. Right? So [13:27] basically this 150 million is helping us to  send to create more seed to have less of of [13:37] waste to have less transportation for example just  basically saving on fuel and uh the impact of that [13:44] on environment. So this is not I want to f um say  it multiple times that when we are talking about [13:52] these cog saving a good portion of that is helping  with the sustainability. No longer this is the [14:00] conversation about well these are sustainability  goals and these are our uh profitability goals. [14:07] We have merged those so that when we are saving  those um cogs basically we are helping with the [14:15] environmental impact and sustainability. Very  encouraging and you did a great job unpacking [14:20] those two distinct points which really comes down  to efficiency when all is said and done. So Ryan, [14:28] we're going to shift gears a little bit. The  evolution of nature's system has been I mean if [14:36] we think about how many billions of years nature  has worked out its systems are you attempting to [14:46] engineer nature to work in tandem with nature and  or um you know and please explain to us a simple [14:55] understanding of RNA. Sure. Yeah. So I think to  the to your your middle question there I think [15:01] that at Toronto we are trying to work with nature  um and learn a lot from it. Um so what we do is um [15:07] if you the the best analogy I have is that we all  have become aware over the last 1015 years that [15:12] you can have good bacteria and bad bacteria in  your stomach right good microbio bad microbio same [15:18] is true in plants except uh in plants also there  are good viruses and bad viruses humans have and [15:24] these are RNA based viruses humans have studied  the hell out of the bad ones because they cause [15:29] a lot of economic damage and we lose a lot of our  crops through them. Um, turns out we pretty much [15:34] ignored the beneficial and the good ones. So, what  we do at Tana is we take those uh molecules and we [15:41] use all the natural features that they've already  evolved like how to co-live with the plant, [15:45] how to keep the plant healthy. And what we then  do is give them a little bit of added instructions [15:50] that help the plant either prime its immune system  to defend against a different virus or bacteria [15:56] or fungus um or produce a little protein that can  protect it from an insect or something like that. [16:02] So, um, the couple features of it are great. So,  one, um, these RNA molecules are way safer than, [16:09] uh, the chemistries that we use to control these  pests today. So, this is something where you can [16:14] think about like, um, I don't know if you're  familiar with like the dirty dozen list. This [16:18] is where they go into grocery stores and they're  got they sample off of all the different produce [16:22] in there. Strawberries come out at the top of  that list almost every year because you need a [16:26] ton of chemistries to control the root fungus that  attack those plants. And uh I think there's a real [16:33] possibility with RNA technology we can get them  off that list. But um I don't think we're going [16:37] to do it without RNA or without RNA without AI.  Um specifically because uh RNA is a very different [16:44] place than proteins. So u I'm sure a lot of you  have heard of alpha fold and now there's a whole [16:49] bunch of different models uh that use AI to do  generative design of proteins. Um so that was [16:54] done and the training data set for that was about  um 20,000 proteins that humanity had discovered [17:00] the structures of like just through sheer brute  work. Now compare that with RNA molecules. We've [17:06] elucidated the structure of about 1,500, right?  So we do not have nearly the data set to work off [17:13] of. Um and I really think that AI working with  these sparse models is going to be how we're [17:18] going to get to that. And that's one of our big  focuses at uh Toronto is actually bringing AI in [17:24] um to use this in the design process so that we  can understand the structure of these molecules [17:28] and make sure that we're keeping all the things  that they've evolved with over those years. Again, [17:34] incredibly encouraging. Um, at Kiss the Ground  when I joined four years ago, everybody was [17:43] talking about regenerative agriculture as if  everybody knew what we were talking about. We [17:50] did some research and what we found was only  4% of the US adult population could connect [17:58] regenerative agriculture, healthy soil, healthy  environment and ecosystem approach to farming. [18:05] That number is now 13% in only three years of  now telling more stories across platforms. And [18:13] Ryan brought up something which is incredibly  important. The connection between our gut health [18:19] and our overall health. That's also a pretty newly  understood conversation in the in the mass market. [18:28] So, it's pretty wild how far in advance the work  you're doing is from where people will truly feel [18:36] the effect of it. And storytelling helps bridge  that gap a bit as we try and bring consumer [18:43] demand to focus on foods that are produced in a  way that can make us healthier. So, as we um as [18:52] we move down this path and you've both mentioned  chemical inputs, talk a little bit about chemical [19:02] inputs today and how you see that lessening in  a practical sense over the course of the next [19:08] call it five years. Yeah, very good question  and actually this is a topic for the industry, [19:14] right? So um and I mentioned very briefly how  now AI technology is helping us in different [19:23] ways to tackle that problem. Well, I think it's  obvious to everyone that chemicals are not good, [19:29] right? We we want to avoid applying those  chemicals at all cost if we can, right? And um [19:35] Ryan mentioned there are different ways for coming  up with solutions that is helping um us do that. [19:42] But just simply from the drone technology and AI  technology combined and basically just think about [19:52] it flying drones over the fields and predicting  real time not predicting looking and observing and [20:00] uh distinguishing that okay this part of  the field has this herbicide and needs to be [20:06] uh removed. Well, now with um laser technology,  those can be burned, right? Combination of these [20:14] technologies is basically reducing the need for  those chemicals, the herbicides that we would [20:20] need, right? So from a practical sense, is the  cost for practicing with those drones and with [20:29] those lasers affordable by your midsize farmer  today who may have multiple crops? Good question. [20:37] when the technology is still new where still we  are experimenting in those obviously not is not [20:43] very scalable but as we are advancing and these  are becoming cheaper like drone actually now is [20:50] accessible to a lot of farmers they're using in  different capacities but then combining that with [20:55] AI and with that laser burning that is yet to  come to you know um affordable kind of solution [21:02] for the farmers but these are what the industry  is working on right now And this was just one. It [21:08] doesn't need to be laser. It can be uh precision  application of those chemicals, right? You're um [21:15] finding those herbicides and the the areas in the  field that they need to be applied those chemicals [21:20] and you're just going and applying that very  precisely to that part. Right. Great followup, [21:26] Ryan. You talked about the dirty dozen. Um the  dirty dozen uh is a published list and you know [21:35] these chemicals that make them classified as the  dirty dozen are being applied to solve a problem. [21:42] Right. So how do you look at the work you do and  you already referenced one example really helping [21:49] us cut back on um chemical inputs. Yeah. I mean so  to set a little context for it too. So, you know, [21:57] humanity, like all of us in here, we rely on  about 800 active compounds, active chemistries to [22:03] basically control all of the problems that we have  in agriculture. And most of those compounds were [22:09] discovered in the late ' 50s, '60s, and early '7s,  like large far away. And since then, um the amount [22:16] of these that we have discovered has tapered off,  right? um to the point where you know in the last [22:23] 10 years I think we've brought in only like about  like 10 new chemistries to solve problems that we [22:29] have. So there's there's two points about this.  One point is that okay that's good. We seem to be [22:35] moving away from the bringing in new chemistries  and the use of chemistries. The other problem is [22:40] well those chemistries were solving real world  problems right that actually still got food [22:44] to our table and made sure we got calories and  nutrients. So what do we have to replace them? [22:50] And so I'm really encouraged by today that we've  got technologies like RNA, we have biologicals, [22:55] right? So this is using like other little microbes  that are already on the plants that can help fight [23:00] off other microbes that are on the plants. Um  taking advantage of that. Um working to remove [23:05] some of the herbicides for the systems like that  she was just talking about. There's now systems [23:09] out there for um what we call horicultural crops,  which is basically everything we eat. Uh that use [23:16] lasers to zap the weeds in the field. There's ones  that use directed little torches. And these things [23:21] are number one, you got to Google these and watch  the videos of it because it looks like science [23:25] fiction. But these things are all being driven by  AI, right? So this is all uh image recognition, [23:30] pattern recognition for the weeds that are in  the field. And then that's directing the robotics [23:35] with a very very targeted response. Um, so I'm I'm  very hopeful that we're on the upswing in the sort [23:41] of like the bigger pool of solutions the other  way. We still have a long way to go to get these [23:45] chemistries out of there, but I think that um the  research is really going in the right direction. [23:50] The funding is really being aligned with it now.  So my hope is that, you know, we're going to get [23:54] there sooner rather than later. Well, we're going  to talk about um predicting the future in just [24:00] a second, but I will add a lot of what's being  talked about right now is happening and you can [24:07] watch these videos that are really inspirational.  When I joined Kiss the Ground uh four years ago, [24:14] an acquaintance who I knew from the music industry  who was in technology at the same time I was doing [24:20] um you know all sorts of stuff in the  music industry created an auto automated [24:25] uh robotic company to solve a problem because he  wanted to go chemical free on his farm. He turned [24:32] into a service business and uh they're expanding  massively. So watching his creation on the fields, [24:40] the precision and the accuracy of these little  robots that he controls with an app on his iPhone, [24:46] it's pretty miraculous. So now looking out about  10 years, tell us what you believe farming will [24:53] look like compared to what it is today with the  majority of farming farming today being a singular [25:00] crop. You start this one. Sure. Maybe I can I can  talk about it from the uh sort of the horicultural [25:07] crop perspective a little bit. Yeah. So I mean I  I think in 10 years one of the big things you're [25:12] going to see and this is a trend that's happening  right now is there's more and more production [25:16] moving into what we call protected culture. And  so protected culture is just that instead of it [25:21] being grown in an open field, it at least has some  piece of plastic and a structure over it where you [25:26] can control the rainfall, you can control the  rain that's getting to it. You can then control [25:31] uh the fungus and the bacteria that are growing on  it so you have a higher quality crop at the end. I [25:36] think we're going to see a lot more of that as the  environment tends to throw more and more swings at [25:40] us. Um so I think that will be common. Um, other  things that I think are going to be more common is [25:46] Ryan, can you slow down on the protective? Sure.  Like what will be grown and how can that scale in [25:54] that environment? Yeah. So almost everything  can be grown in that environment. So today, [26:00] uh, when you're getting your strawberries,  blackberries, raspberries, um, if you're [26:05] getting lettuce at, anything that shows up  in like a a clamshell in the grocery store, [26:09] all that stuff is either being grown under a piece  of plastic in a greenhouse or in what we call like [26:14] midtec green houses. Um, you know, there's still  giant open fields of lettuce, and we're we're all [26:19] learning about that together this summer through  the wonderful cycllosporia outbreak. Um, but the [26:26] uh the the crux of all that is that uh there's  a bunch of pieces that go with it, right? So, [26:32] one that's a lot more plastic in the environment,  which they already is a problem and the EU is [26:37] working to come up with some alternatives to that.  But the other thing to remember is that we don't [26:43] grow, it doesn't take nearly as many acres to feed  people the horicultural crops as it does to grow [26:49] some of the feed stock crops like corn and soy. So  in the US where you get most of your strawberries, [26:55] there's only about 40,000 acres of strawberries in  the US, right? And so it is a much more manageable [27:00] situation to say that oh a large fraction of that  could be under some sort of protected culture. And [27:05] that's true for almost all the horicultural crops.  So will that change the percentage of imports [27:12] versus grown regionally locally? Yeah, it does  give the ability to have longer growing seasons [27:19] locally um because you can mitigate some of the  heat and you can mitigate some of the coolness [27:24] that comes on either end of your season. So, there  could be more stuff local. I mean, we're working [27:29] with a company that does indoor agriculture uh and  they're getting really really good at doing this [27:35] and trying to get the cost down. um they're very  very close to being able to grow things other than [27:40] lettuce. But I think that that's where there's  going to be this interplay between can you bring [27:44] in some biotechnology that can help them? Can  you bring in better seeds that can help them? [27:48] Can you bring in better hardware and AI that  can help them? And getting all these things [27:52] together can give us a better sort of more local  food supply. Excellent. Sure. Well, I'm going to [27:59] take another angle, right, for row crops and like  the um crop seeds that we are um producing. Well, [28:08] from the seed production standpoint, I would  say the production is going to be so fast and [28:16] those trace that we want to see on the seeds, it's  going to be very easy to actually make sure that [28:23] we are selecting for those faster, way faster than  what we are doing now. those experimentations that [28:30] I mentioned all the selection process that we  are going through trials in different locations [28:35] different environments we wouldn't have to do all  of those physical experimentations um we can do [28:42] more of the prediction of those seeds in different  environments so accurately that that would reduce [28:50] the need for that like long breeding cycle that we  have and we can have better varieties as uh at the [28:58] output of those pipelines. Well, the production  system for these um seed production companies is [29:06] going to be way more sustainable, efficient. We  don't have to use acres and acres to produce the [29:13] seed that um the farmers are going to. So that  is from the um the seed business standpoint. But [29:21] from the farmer's side, it's going to be also very  interesting what AI can create with that digital [29:28] twin concept and the AI all those decisions that  the farmers are making every day, right? That they [29:35] have to react to they wouldn't have to do any  of that. They they um started the their day by [29:42] knowing exactly what is the weather, how is the  weather today, where the seed is that they need [29:48] to start uh planting, where are the tractors and  how much of those um resources they would need [29:54] for that. They can do their finances through AI  for what variety from what companies we need to [30:02] um h they need to have for their operations,  right? So, think about it. No difficult decisions [30:08] anymore. So this is about the decision making  part of it. Now let's talk about the actual [30:13] physical work in the farm. Think about humanoid  the robots that they can have the tractors that [30:21] basically can do most of the things without  needing a driver. Right? So and that is not [30:28] 10 years it's actually now. Right? So, but it can  be more autonomous, less needing um supervision, [30:38] right? So think about it like from the farmer's  standpoint, it's very exciting to see where how [30:45] they can use AI now and then how they can use AI  as robotics and tractors and the harvesters to [30:53] make their their whole operation basically needing  less resources but more autonomous. Right? So so [31:03] bad pun. This is a chicken and egg conversation  here. Uh, most consumers, 75% want to buy food [31:13] that will make them healthier. Yet, the confusion  of food labels is overwhelming. 88% respond most [31:23] to the term natural and the term fresh. Those  are marketing terms. They they don't tie to [31:29] the ingredients and to how and where the food was  grown. So, it's incredibly encouraging from where [31:35] I'm sitting to hear that companies are applying  massive resources into making this change. Uh, [31:44] which brings me to what will the supermarket  look like in 10 years versus where it is today? [31:53] Very very good question. Well, I would say  first of all those labels that you mentioned, [32:00] right? And as part of our production, we are  spending a lot of time on the labeling to [32:07] make sure everything is regulated. All the right  information are on those labels and that is very [32:14] big part of the operation as well. So I think  AI can help a lot with labeling with precision [32:22] with accurate information on the labels so that  every food that is going to the grocery stores is [32:28] very reliable. Those labels are reliable for the  consumers to look at. And even with their phones, [32:35] they can scan and get a lot more information  that is not just on the label, but about the [32:42] history of where that seed is coming from or that  food is coming from, how that has been produced, [32:48] where it has been produced, when it has been  produced. It should be very easy with this whole, [32:52] you know, connected systems, data systems  that should be accessible to everyone, right? [32:59] So that is just one aspect of the supermarket and  how we can provide way more transparency about the [33:08] food and where it's coming from. Yeah. Um so I  I think two things in the future I would hope [33:15] to see in the supermarket. So one um humans like  we're amazing. We are like the we're raccoons, [33:22] right? We can eat anything. If you look at any  other animal out there except maybe raccoon, [33:27] uh like they can't eat anything like their livers  can't process things, right? Their kidneys can't [33:31] handle certain things. Humans have amazing livers  and kidneys and we are very lucky to be able to [33:37] eat most of the plants that are on this planet.  And so what I would hope is that you know we are [33:42] we will start to see more and more diversity in  the types of produce that we have in the grocery [33:47] stores. Um to give you an example, you know, one  of the um things that's very unique to the United [33:53] States is the black raspberry. You can only get  it seasonally. It's typically in New England and [33:58] the Pacific Northwest. You tend to think of it  like a farmer stand. Uh last company I worked at, [34:03] Pairwise was actually making a version of this  where it is going to be available so it can be [34:08] grown like a blackberry year round, right? So this  is another example of some another nutrient-dense, [34:13] high antioxidant food that can be brought into our  food system. So, I hope more of that shows up. And [34:18] the other piece is is an additional version of  what Hodto was talking about is that um we do [34:23] start to have to treat food as medicine, right?  Um you're running you you are a biological system. [34:29] You're running stuff through yourself every day.  Your liver is working, your kidneys working, [34:33] your bloodstream's trying to, you know, move that  stuff around. And um at some point, you know, [34:38] hopefully you're going to get a prescription  from your doctor about what your nutrient profile [34:43] should look like, not just for the basics, but  for everything, right? For what you need. And the [34:47] hope would be that as you're going and you're  putting those things into your grocery cart, [34:51] there's some sort of AI system that is already  starting to understand, are you hitting that [34:55] goal or are you not, right? And you're getting  that feedback instantly instead of like sitting [35:00] down trying to make a dinner list. I'm going to  cook this on Tuesday, right? So, you're kind of [35:03] picking the things you like. you're kind of doing  it the same way you've always done it, but you're [35:07] getting that instant feedback that's going to help  steer you in the right direction towards what you [35:11] need on a personal level. So that's why I hope  we'll sleep. I love that. Can I add also one other [35:16] thing? So now we are going to supermarkets  and we are confused organic, non-organic, [35:22] like different types of you know eggs, different  types of meat. I think AI can definitely help us [35:30] with clarity of okay this is organic what it means  how it has been produced what has been applied or [35:37] not applied on this what's the difference between  this label of organic versus the other one I think [35:42] these are a lot of you know information that we  don't have access to it right now because up until [35:49] now we had fragmented data systems now with AI we  the the companies are forced into building those [36:00] data systems that are connected because AI needs  this data to provide that information. Right? So [36:07] a lot of what we are talking about is AI forcing  these organizations to make that data usable as [36:15] a system as a connected system from end to end.  Very very hopeful comments from both of you and [36:22] it's pretty funny. Uh there's a joke in here  somewhere. If a system scientist and like we [36:31] come at all of this from three very different  angles. We focus a lot on storytelling and our [36:38] theory of change is based on Malcolm Gladwell's  tipping point and the approach is very simply [36:46] okay 74% of the people pled want to buy food  that makes them healthier. Yet there's a big [36:53] disconnect and there's a big distrust and there's  a big misinformation between actually buying the [37:00] food that is going to make them healthier. So  the feeling is when we get that consumer demand, [37:06] consumers looking for regenerative labels and  yes, that's another confusing term and there [37:12] are certifications. Um it's earlier days of the  certifications all sorting themselves out and [37:19] it's also cost prohibitive for a lot of farmers  who are doing things the hard way and the right [37:25] way with least disturbance fewer chemicals or no  chemicals uh multicrop rotations cover crops and [37:33] really have rich you know rich healthy soil. So  the thinking is as consumer demand increases the [37:41] supply chain changes and already you're both  working extensively on issues in the supply [37:49] chain and they're being solved as we speak. And  then finally, government subsidy rewarding all [37:57] of the things that we're talking about here being  a big hurdle because the farmer today's biggest [38:02] hurdle is um making a profit and everybody you  know consumers have to be able to fi afford food [38:10] that is nutrient-dense uh and you know all the  companies need to make a profit and the farmer [38:16] needs to make a profit. So these are complex  systems we're looking to solve here. So with that, [38:21] let's shift to a very uh optimistic message  because there's a lot of optimism here. What is [38:28] it that makes you both optimistic about where it's  all going? I will start by saying it's the youth [38:36] generation that makes me optimistic. I was working  in the music industry. I was serving on the board [38:41] of the Surf Rider Foundation. That's my closest  connection to nature. and I was uh setting up [38:47] their events and bringing my daughter along. She  now graduated from San Diego State and she works [38:53] in communications on environmental causes. This  generation is lit up and they are excited about [39:03] finding solutions for a healthier planet and a  healthier human. That's what makes me optimistic. [39:10] Well, I want to actually second that, you know,  um and and our previous conversation was about [39:16] if society is asking for more nutrient food, the  companies are shifting their objective to produce [39:24] that, right? So, and and youth right now, the  new generation, they want that. They are caring [39:32] about the climate, they care about the food, they  care about transparency. And now combine that with [39:39] everything that we talked so far with AI having  all those data accessible having digital twins [39:45] and being able to respond to that need the  need of the society right so that is what is [39:54] keeping me hopeful because as all of us know AI  is a technology it's a very powerful technology [40:01] right we can use it in the wrong way but we can  definitely use it for a lot of good things to [40:08] build value for society to generate value for  society to make sure that we are not wasting a [40:15] lot of food and we are not um we are taking care  of the climate the environment right that we are [40:23] not doing that or doing a very good job the best  job that we can right now right yeah um so that I [40:31] would say two things so one um you know I grew  up working on a vegetable farm And uh it is it [40:38] is backbreaking work even with mechanization  and tractors and automation. So my first hope [40:43] that gives me hope is that uh AI and robotics  and everything it's not really going to replace [40:48] the people that are there but it's going to make  the work that they do better and the make their [40:53] quality of life better u and not so backbreaking.  That's hope number one. And then the second piece [40:57] is around not just youth but people in general.  there is a resurgence in um people wanting to [41:03] understand and connect with their food and where  it's coming from, how it's being produced. Um I do [41:08] think it's right that even though you know there's  sort of this tug and pull between the farmer [41:13] trying to say I got to grow the food how I can so  that I can get the most to the grocery store and [41:18] make the farm profitable and the consumer saying  I want to have input in how my food is produced. I [41:23] think that discussion is getting to a better place  and I hope that we continue to get the right facts [41:28] out in front of people so people can be educated,  understand and we can get to a system where [41:32] everybody is winning at the end of that. Amazing.  Okay, with a couple minutes left, we're going to [41:38] play a little fill in the blank game and I'll go  first. And the blank goes like this. We'll know [41:45] we succeeded when there's the blank. So I will say  we'll know we succeeded when we are healthier. The [41:56] stats that I started with, two out of three of us  are overweight. One out of three um are heading [42:03] towards diseases, chronic illnesses because of um  because of these issues. When we're healthier, the [42:11] food system has been rebuilt and we've succeeded.  Well, I would say when we don't have anyone in the [42:20] world that is a sleeping hungry, right, they all  have food enough and healthy enough as well. Yeah, [42:29] I would definitely echo that and then also say  that we'll have one when um our agricultural [42:35] practices are not also degrading the environment  so that we are building the system back up every [42:40] time we do our food production. And this is the  moment when the music starts playing during our [42:45] speeches. So, thank you very much for a lively  conversation. Thank you guys. Thank you all.