AstraZeneca Cuts Cancer AI Annotation Hours to Zero with Foundation Models

Transformation of Oncology R&D through AI With AstraZeneca — Ai4

Ai4

AstraZeneca deploys pathology foundation models across its drug portfolio to eliminate manual tissue slide annotations and accelerate targeted oncology trial transitions.

AI-assisted summary of Transformation of Oncology R&D through AI With AstraZeneca — original source. Check the original for full context.

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## Background This talk titled "Transformation of Oncology R&D through AI With AstraZeneca" was presented by Jorge Reis-Filho (Chief of AI for Science Innovation at AstraZeneca), published on YouTube by Ai4 on August 20, 2026. The page description highlights how multimodal foundation models and autonomous agents are accelerating oncology drug design and clinical development, emphasizing the need for fit-for-purpose data, rigorous benchmarks, and grounding in biological reality.

## TL;DR Jorge Reis-Filho outlines AstraZeneca's strategy to transform oncology R&D by integrating multimodal foundation models, agentic frameworks, and causal AI across the drug development pipeline. Rather than pre-training models from scratch, AstraZeneca augments domain-specific foundation architectures with 15 years of proprietary clinical and translational data to solve key challenges in patient selection, trial transition, and combination design. Real-world case studies—such as Quantitative Continuous Scoring (QCS) in pathology and the ESMO Delphi consensus on AI biomarkers—demonstrate how foundation models drastically reduce annotation bottlenecks, establish prospective validation standards, and reshape clinical decision-making.

## Atmosphere & style The presentation carries a highly authoritative, visionary, and intellectually rigorous tone, blending deep biomedical expertise with forward-looking artificial intelligence strategy. Jorge Reis-Filho speaks with measured confidence and urgency, framing current technological shifts not as incremental improvements, but as a paradigm shift redefining oncology R&D. Watching the talk feels like an insider look into the executive scientific strategy of a major pharmaceutical leader, where complex theoretical frameworks are grounded in pragmatic clinical applications and regulatory realities.

## Key takeaways - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) The AI paradigm shift in oncology R&D moves from handcrafted annotations on single-use cases to multimodal foundation models leveraging unstructured raw data. - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) Single-vector patient representations created across temporal trajectories serve as the technical equivalent of clinical digital twins. - [03:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=203s) Agentic frameworks and continuous model improvements are driving rapid domain-specific intelligence, rendering generic benchmarks quickly obsolete. - [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=409s) AstraZeneca's core strategy emphasizes data augmentation and fine-tuning external foundation models with proprietary datasets over expensive pre-training from scratch. - [12:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=742s) Quantitative Continuous Scoring (QCS) uses computer vision to evaluate tumor tissue at a subcellular level, unlocking novel biomarkers like the Normalized Membrane Ratio for ADCs. - [18:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1101s) Adopting pre-trained pathology foundation models dramatically reduced required manual annotation time from 40,000 hours down to zero. - [20:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1253s) Combining multimodal foundation models with causal AI architectures is essential for counterfactual reasoning and predicting patient responses to novel drug combinations. - [25:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1534s) A successful AI transformation strategy requires a multi-layered framework separating the Model, Solution, and Application layers across an ecosystem of partners. - [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) The ESMO Delphi Consensus classifies AI biomarkers into three tiers and establishes that multi-dataset validation takes precedence over model explainability. - [34:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2082s) Regulatory submission for multimodal foundation models focuses on domain-specific task applications rather than the broad base model itself. - [36:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2198s) Overcoming pathology adoption barriers requires addressing digital slide infrastructure, establishing clear reimbursement codes, and conducting extensive multi-center validations. - [38:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2284s) Multimodal models applied to spatial biology and multiplex imaging compress weeks of manual slide analysis into hours of automated, reproducible insights.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) Reimagining Oncology R&D and the AI Paradigm Shift

Jorge Reis-Filho opens by emphasizing that the AI transformation of clinical development at AstraZeneca extends far beyond simple system automation or operational optimization. The core thesis at AstraZeneca is that AI will fundamentally transform every stage of the pipeline—accelerating drug discovery, revolutionizing clinical development, optimizing operations, and delivering seamless, impactful patient journeys. The evolution of oncology R&D directly mirrors the rapid advancements made in computer science and data science over recent years.

Historically, biomedical R&D required highly curated, standardized, and harmonized data to build predictive tools. Today, the field can leverage unstructured, multimodal raw data. Models previously depended on manual, handcrafted human annotations to solve single indications or isolated use cases. The industry has now shifted to self-supervised learning, enabling foundation models to extract representations, logic, and patterns directly from vast quantities of unlabeled data.

``` HISTORICAL APPROACH MODERN AI PARADIGM +-------------------------------+ +-------------------------------+ | Highly Curated & Standardized | | Unstructured Multimodal Data | | Raw Data | | (Raw Inputs) | +---------------+---------------+ +---------------+---------------+ | | v v +-------------------------------+ +-------------------------------+ | Handcrafted Annotations | | Self-Supervised Learning | | (One Model per Use Case) | | (Foundation Models) | +-------------------------------+ +-------------------------------+ ```

- Foundation models extract patterns and reasoning directly from raw, unlabeled patient data. - Over the last three years, the industry evolved from domain-specific, single-modality models to multimodal foundation models that construct a single vector representing a patient's entire temporal trajectory. - These single-vector patient representations serve as the closest technical approximation to true "digital twins."

[03:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=203s) Agentic Frameworks and the Emergence of Domain Intelligence

In parallel with foundation models, agentic frameworks have emerged, allowing autonomous models to interact, delegate tasks, and perform complex operations. In software engineering, the standard for continuous agentic execution jumped from a few minutes to 30 consecutive hours of autonomous coding within two years. Looking forward from 2026, advances like automated alignment researchers allow weaker models to train stronger ones, alongside delegated awareness and recursive self-improvement.

This rapid acceleration underpins AstraZeneca's strategic planning. Back in late 2024, the team presented a premise to executive leadership: between October 2024 and December 2028, frontier AI models would outperform humans at reasoning and cognitive tasks. At that time, frontier models taken offline were already scoring above 140 on standard IQ tests and improving by an order of magnitude every eight months on complex benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam.

- Domain-specific superintelligence is already a reality in narrow fields like software engineering, coding, and mathematics. - Rapid model capability gains mean generic benchmarks quickly become obsolete, requiring weekly benchmark updates. - The National Cancer Institute (NCI) spearheaded a specialized initiative in oncology to build task-specific benchmarks to evaluate clinical model performance. - "If two years ago, getting a few minutes of agentic work in coding was a prowess, now 30 hours of work for coding... is table stakes."

[06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=409s) AstraZeneca’s Core Strategy: Data Augmentation Over Pre-Training

AstraZeneca's overarching strategy leverages its primary competitive advantage: 15 years of rich, intentionally built clinical and translational data across a diverse drug portfolio. Rather than engaging in the capital-intensive task of pre-training base models from scratch, AstraZeneca partners with frontier AI developers to reinforce, fine-tune, and augment external domain-specific foundation models using its proprietary datasets.

``` ASTRAZENECA ONCOLOGY PORTFOLIO +----------------------------------------------+ | TARGETING CANCER CELLS | | - Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs) | | - Radioconjugates | | - DNA Damage Response (DDR) Agents | | - Driver Inhibitors (ER, EGFR) | | - Epigenetic / Genetic Regulators | +----------------------------------------------+ | LEVERAGING THE IMMUNE SYSTEM | | - Immuno-Oncology (Bispecifics) | | - T-Cell Engagers | | - Cell Therapy (Solid Malignancies) | +----------------------------------------------+ ```

AstraZeneca prioritizes four critical clinical development challenges:

1. **Patient Selection:** Applying the principle of maximum parsimony to post-train models, determining the minimal set of multimodal parameters required to identify the largest patient group that will benefit from a drug. 2. **Accelerating Phase I/II Transitions:** Utilizing the inherent ability of foundation models to generalize from small sample sizes, ensuring high-confidence transitions into Phase III trials without needing expanded 60-patient cohorts. 3. **Optimizing Phase III Success:** Deriving robust predictive insights from sparser data matrices typical of late-stage global trials to improve the probability of technical success. 4. **Designing Combination Regimens:** Moving past modest single-agent response rates toward transformational curative combinations tailored to specific patient populations.

- Pre-training success scales with data volume and diversity across modalities; leveraging external base architectures optimizes resource allocation. - Maximum parsimony constraints ensure models select the simplest diagnostic panel needed for accurate patient stratification.

[12:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=742s) Case Study: Quantitative Continuous Scoring (QCS) in Pathology

AstraZeneca pioneered AI-driven patient selection prior to 2020 under the leadership of Susan Galbraith, formalizing the project around 2022–2023. While Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs) represent cutting-edge targeted chemotherapy—delivering potent payloads via targeted antibodies—the industry paradoxically assessed target expression using 19th-century technology: pathologists visually eyeballing tissue slides under a microscope.

To modernize target assessment, AstraZeneca developed the **Quantitative Continuous Scoring (QCS)** system using computer vision. Initial QCS iterations relied on fully supervised computer vision models trained on handcrafted annotations to evaluate tumor tissue at a single-cell level across subcellular compartments (nucleus, cytoplasm, and cell membrane).

``` QUANTITATIVE CONTINUOUS SCORING (QCS) PIPELINE +-----------------------+ +----------------------------------+ | Tumor Area | --> | Subcellular Target Quantification| | Automated Segmentation| | (Nucleus, Cytoplasm, Membrane) | +-----------------------+ +----------------------------------+ | v +----------------------------------+ | Normalized Membrane Ratio | | Membrane / (Membrane + Cytoplasm)| +----------------------------------+ ```

When applied to the TROP2-targeting ADC program in clinical trials (such as TROPION-Lung01 and TROPION-Lung02), QCS uncovered an unexpected biomarker. Instead of raw membrane expression, the predictive biomarker was the **Normalized Membrane Ratio**—the target expression on the cell membrane divided by the total expression in the membrane plus cytoplasm. Preclinical data confirmed this ratio acts as a surrogate for target internalization, reflecting the drug's true mechanism of action.

- QCS provides a dynamic measurement range far exceeding human visual perception. - The QCS TROP2 biomarker became the first predictive AI pathology biomarker for a therapeutic agent to receive FDA Breakthrough Device Designation (April 2024). - Developing the initial supervised QCS model for a single indication required an astounding 40,000 pathologist annotation hours. - "Can you believe that we are developing antibody-drug conjugates... but then we are using 19th-century technology to do target assessment?"

[18:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1101s) Foundation Models Break the Annotation Bottleneck

Faced with executive requests to scale QCS across the entire oncology pipeline, relying on 40,000 manual annotation hours per indication was unfeasible. The team established a benchmark sandbox to test pre-trained foundation models for zero-shot and single-shot target quantification and tumor segmentation.

By leveraging pre-trained pathology foundation models, AstraZeneca slashed required annotation time from 40,000 hours to 4,500 hours, and ultimately to zero hours. QCS models were deployed across the entire portfolio for all targets involving cell-surface proteins, including multi-cancer cross-indication QCS tools used across R&D sites.

- Transitioning to pre-trained foundation models enabled rapid deployment of QCS across all cell-surface protein targets in the portfolio. - AstraZeneca built end-to-end evaluation frameworks, benchmarks, and real-time leaderboards to monitor agent and model drift. - Insights from evaluating foundation model downstream performance led directly to AstraZeneca's partnership with and acquisition of Modella AI.

[20:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1253s) Causal AI, Counterfactuals, and the Future of Clinical Interception

Multimodal models are rapidly advancing outcome predictions. At the AACR conference, researchers presented **Apollo**, a multimodal foundation model trained on 7.2 million patients across 28 data modalities using a BERT backbone, utilizing time as a primary dimension to build unified patient vectors.

While outcome prediction within learned training distributions is now achievable, the next frontier requires early clinical interception and counterfactual reasoning. To answer "what-if" questions—such as predicting how a specific patient will respond to an unstudied novel drug combination—foundation models must integrate with causal AI architectures.

``` +------------------------------------+ +------------------------------------+ | Multimodal Foundation Models | | Causal Inference Engines | | - High-dimensional pattern matching| + | - Counterfactual reasoning | | - Outcome prediction | | - "What-if" treatment simulations | +------------------------------------+ +------------------------------------+ | v +------------------------------------------------+ | Predictive Causal Models for Novel Combinations| +------------------------------------------------+ ```

- Outcome prediction models excel at historical distributions, but novel therapeutic interventions require true causal reasoning. - Current causal models lack the massive data scale necessary to combine seamlessly with foundation models, representing a major open challenge in AI-driven oncology R&D.

Here is a detailed, faithful walkthrough based on the transcript provided:

### [22:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1373s) Building an Ecosystem of Partnerships To create actionable causal models in drug discovery, organizations must establish continuous feedback loops between predictive modeling and testing spaces, whether in the wet lab or the clinic. Without these active learning loops, AI initiatives remain stagnant. Understanding every intricate phase—from target identification and drug design to clinical development, operations, commercialization, and patient journeys—exceeds the capacity of any single institution or pharmaceutical firm.

To address this challenge, AstraZeneca has constructed an interconnected partner ecosystem structured around five core pillars: * **Hyperscalers:** Providing foundational computing infrastructure. * **Frontier AI Labs:** Supplying cutting-edge base models and algorithm research. * **Specialized AI Companies:** Delivering domain-specific technical capabilities. * **Academic Partnerships:** Exploring frontier science to anticipate future developments. * **Patient Advocates:** Integrating real-world patient perspectives and priorities directly into AI strategy.

``` +-------------------------------------------------+ | AstraZeneca Innovation Ecosystem | +-------------------------------------------------+ | | | | | v v v v v Hyperscalers Frontier Specialized Academic Patient Labs Techs Partners Advocates ```

### [25:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1534s) A Multi-Layered AI Strategy and Stakeholder Alignment To move beyond presentation slide decks and deliver operational clinical solutions, AI strategy must operate across a three-layered framework:

``` +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Model Layer | Large-scale pre-training via partnerships | +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | v +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Solution Layer | In-house domain specialization & task adapt | +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | v +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Application Layer | External delivery with diagnostic/tech bios | +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ ```

- **Model Layer:** Focuses on pre-training large models. Because the required volume and diversity of training data exceed what a single company holds, this layer relies heavily on external partnerships, alongside robust internal evaluation and benchmarking suites. - **Solution Layer:** Adapts and connects these base models to specific domain areas to answer defined scientific questions, developed internally at pace. - **Application Layer:** Brings AI applications directly to external clinical users, diagnostic companies, tech bio partners, and patients.

Realizing this framework requires bringing all key industry stakeholders together. Academic partners help recognize and solve biomedical benchmarking challenges, alongside initiatives like the National Cancer Institute's AI benchmark efforts. Tech bio, biotech, and pharmaceutical companies supply industry execution. Payers address structural hurdles such as diagnostic billing codes, while regulators collaborate on forward-looking evaluation standards.

### [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) The ESMO Delphi Consensus on AI Biomarkers Translating AI concepts into clinical reality is already underway. Led by academic partners like Jakob Kather from Heidelberg, the European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) convened a 37-panelist Delphi consensus to establish practical requirements for deploying AI in clinical decision-making.

``` +-------------------------------------------------------------+ | ESMO AI Biomarker Framework | +-------------------------------------------------------------+ | | | v v v [Class A] [Class B] [Class C] Pathological Inference Prognostic / Quantification Biomarkers Predictive | | | Technical Genetic Validation Alignment Comparison Required ```

- **Class A (Pathological Quantification):** Automates standard routine pathology tasks, such as quantifying PD-L1 levels or identifying cancer types. Technical validation requires demonstrating concordance with pathologist consensus. - **Class B (Inference Biomarkers):** Extracts hidden features directly from standard H&E stains to predict specific genetic mutations. Validation requires comparing AI predictions directly against gold-standard molecular or genetic testing. - **Class C (Prognostic and Predictive Biomarkers):** Forecasts patient disease trajectories or specific treatment responses. Prognostic features can be validated retrospectively using prospective study datasets, whereas predictive claims require prospective clinical trial validation.

A critical conclusion of the ESMO panel is that validation across multiple, sufficiently powered datasets is mandatory, whereas model "explainability" is no longer considered a strict prerequisite. Prioritizing explainability can encourage human "abductive thinking" and post-hoc narratives. Ensuring consistent performance across diverse real-world datasets provides a more reliable foundation for patient care.

### [32:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1969s) Acceleration of AI Timelines and Closing Ambition The development pace of biomedical AI models has accelerated rapidly:

``` Decades Months to Weeks Immediate +------------+ +-----------------+ +------------+ | Big Data | ---------> | Foundation | ----> | Recursive | | Insights | | & Multimodal | | Self- | +------------+ +-----------------+ | Improvement| +------------+ ```

While early big data insights required decades to mature, the transition from single-modality foundation models to domain-specific multimodal architectures unfolded over months or weeks. Upcoming recursive self-improvement paradigms will compress these development cycles further. Succeeding in this evolving environment requires cross-disciplinary teams, open collaboration, and comfort with rapid change. The ultimate goal remains leveraging AI to generate novel biological insights that help eliminate cancer as a cause of death.

### [34:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2082s) Q&A: Regulatory Frameworks for Multimodal Foundation Models In response to an audience question regarding regulatory approval for general multimodal foundation models within disease-specific frameworks, the speaker clarified that base models are pre-trained for broad capability rather than zero-shot deployment.

``` +------------------+ +-------------------+ +------------------+ | Pre-trained Base | --> | Task Application | --> | FDA Submission | | Foundation Model | | (Domain-Specific) | | & Review | +------------------+ +-------------------+ +------------------+ ```

Developers build task-specific applications on top of foundation models and submit those specific applications to regulators like the FDA. Much like replacing older supervised computer vision backbones (such as ResNet-50) with foundation models, applicants must document pre-training data provenance, pre-training methodologies, and validation metrics. Demonstrating regulatory readiness, PathChat received Breakthrough Device Designation from the FDA in January 2025.

### [36:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2198s) Q&A: Overcoming Adoption Barriers in Pathology When asked how to address caution among pathologists regarding AI adoption, the speaker described the journey as a "formidable" task requiring extensive education and change management. Pathologists must transition from traditional light microscopy to trusting digital screens and machine embeddings. Key operational hurdles being actively addressed through early access programs and key opinion leader engagement include: * Lack of digital slide scanners and underlying digital infrastructure. * Absence of standardized billing and reimbursement codes. * Need for extensive multi-center performance validations to ensure clinical safety.

### [38:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2284s) Q&A: Future Data Sources and Spatial Biology Addressing a question on future data modalities beyond standard 2D H&E slides—such as spatial genomics, tissue clearing, or 3D imaging—the speaker noted rapid progress in spatial biology. Recent multimodal foundation models handling spatial proteomics and multiplex immunotyping (such as work from Faisal Mahmood's lab and Sizun Jiang at Harvard) can compress three to four weeks of manual image analysis into a couple of hours. These models provide automated, reproducible cell segmentation, tissue division, and semantic feature extraction across tissue sections.

## Notable quotes > [03:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=203s) If two years ago, getting a few minutes of agentic work in coding was a prowess, now 30 hours of work for coding... is table stakes. — Jorge Reis-Filho

> [12:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=742s) Can you believe that we are developing antibody-drug conjugates... but then we are using 19th-century technology to do target assessment? — Jorge Reis-Filho

## Mentioned AACR, Ai4, Apollo, AstraZeneca, ESMO, FDA, Faisal Mahmood, Heidelberg, Jakob Kather, Jorge Reis-Filho, Modella AI, National Cancer Institute (NCI), PathChat, QCS (Quantitative Continuous Scoring), ResNet-50, Sizun Jiang, Susan Galbraith, TROP2, TROPION-Lung01, TROPION-Lung02

## Video description Jorge Reis-Filho - Chief of AI for Science Innovation, AstraZeneca

The AI transformation of drug design and clinical development is already under way.

Multimodal foundation models and increasingly capable agents are increasing R&D capabilities at a scale that were inconceivable not a few years ago. Realizing their potential will require fit-for-purpose data, rigorous evals and benchmarks and deep grounding in biology and clinical reality.

Getting this right will help us to not only move faster, but also generate novel insights to enable us to ask better questions, design more discriminating experiments, and deliver more meaningful advances for patients.

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10)

中文简报

阿斯利康利用基础模型将癌症AI标注工时降至为零 阿斯利康在其药物管线中部署病理学基础模型,以消除人工组织切片标注并加速靶向肿瘤试验推进。 Jorge Reis-Filho概述了阿斯利康通过在整个药物研发流程中整合多模态基础模型、智能体框架和因果AI来变革肿瘤研发的战略。阿斯利康并非从零开始预训练模型,而是利用15年积累的专有临床与转化医学数据增强特定领域的基础架构,以解决患者筛选、试验过渡及联合用药方案设计等关键挑战。真实世界案例研究——例如病理学中的定量连续评分(QCS)以及关于AI生物标志物的ESMO德尔菲(Delphi)共识——展现了基础模型如何大幅消除标注瓶颈、确立前瞻性验证标准并重塑临床决策。 肿瘤研发的 AI 范式正从针对单一场景的人工特征标注,转向利用非结构化原始数据的多模态基础模型,构建贯穿患者全时序轨迹的单向量表征以逼近真实“数字孪生”。 (0:04) 阿斯利康采取数据增强而非从头预训练的基础战略,利用其积淀15年的专有临床数据微调外部前沿模型,专注于精准患者筛选、加速 I/II 期向 III 期的推进及联合疗法设计。 (6:49) 定量连续评分(QCS)利用计算机视觉在亚细胞层级评估组织,为抗体偶联药物(ADC)发掘出关键生物标志物“标准化细胞膜比率”并获 FDA 突破性认定;病理基础模型的应用更使人工标注耗时从4万小时降至零。 (12:22) 突破既有训练分布以预测患者对全新联合疗法的反应,要求将多模态基础模型与因果 AI 架构结合,通过反事实推理模拟不同治疗假设。 (20:53) AI 战略落地依托模型层、解决方案层与应用层的多层生态体系;ESMO 共识亦明确指出,跨多中心充足数据集的泛化验证是临床落地的核心前提,而模型可解释性已不再是硬性要求。 (29:09)

Reading summary

AstraZeneca argues that oncology R&D is shifting from handcrafted, single-task models to multimodal foundation models and causal frameworks, enabling biological target discovery and compressed clinical development cycles. From Handcrafted Annotations to Multimodal Foundation Models (0:04) Historically, biomedical machine learning relied on heavily curated, standardized datasets and human-annotated labels tailored to individual use cases. According to AstraZeneca's Jorge Reis-Filho, the sector has transitioned to self-supervised learning on raw, unstructured multimodal data. Pre-trained foundation models can now capture patterns directly from unlabeled inputs and represent a patient's temporal trajectory within a unified vector, approximating a digital twin. Fine-Tuning Strategy and the QCS Biomarker Case (6:49) Rather than pre-training base models from scratch, AstraZeneca's strategy focuses on fine-tuning external foundation models using its 15 years of proprietary clinical trial and translational data. The company applies this approach to four priorities: patient selection via parsimonious diagnostic panels, accelerating Phase I/II transitions without expanding cohorts to 60 patients, optimizing late-stage trial success, and designing combination therapies. Eliminating Annotation Bottlenecks in Computational Pathology (12:22) To modernize visual target evaluation for antibody-drug conjugates, AstraZeneca developed Quantitative Continuous Scoring (QCS) to measure target expression across subcellular compartments. In TROP2 trials, QCS identified the Normalized Membrane Ratio as an internalization surrogate, earning an FDA Breakthrough Device Designation in April 2024. While the initial supervised model required 40,000 pathologist annotation hours, adopting foundation models cut required annotations to 4,500 hours and ultimately zero, allowing cross-indication deployment and prompting the acquisition of Modella AI. Causal Modeling and Multimodal Clinical Trajectories (20:53) Multimodal models such as Apollo, trained across 7.2 million patients and 28 data modalities, can predict patient outcomes within historical data distributions. However, Reis-Filho emphasizes that evaluating novel drug combinations and counterfactual scenarios requires pairing foundation models with causal inference architectures. A major ongoing technical barrier is that existing causal inference models currently lack the large-scale data required to integrate seamlessly with foundation models. Delphi Standards and Clinical Translation Hurdles (29:09) Translating models into clinical adoption requires cross-sector alignment among hyperscalers, frontier labs, regulators, and diagnostic partners. A 37-panelist ESMO Delphi consensus led by academic researchers classified AI biomarkers into pathological quantification (Class A), genetic inference (Class B), and prognostic/predictive indicators (Class C). The panel determined that validation across sufficiently powered independent datasets is mandatory, whereas model explainability is not an absolute prerequisite. Routine adoption still faces operational hurdles, including slide scanner availability, reimbursement codes, and digital workflow changes. AstraZeneca's long-term objective is deploying autonomous, recursively improving models to uncover novel cancer biology. However, realizing this potential requires resolving data-scaling constraints in causal AI, establishing standard diagnostic reimbursement codes, and conducting multi-center clinical validations.

精炼阅读摘要

阿斯利康(AstraZeneca)计算病理与AI研发负责人 Jorge Reis-Filho 指出,人工智能正从局部自动化工具升级为重塑肿瘤全流程研发的底层范式;其实践核心在于依托自身15年积累的临床与转化数据微调外部前沿基础模型,而非高成本从头预训练,以攻克患者精准筛选、临床试验加速及新型联合用药设计等研发瓶颈。 数据范式转变与“数据增强”研发策略 (6:49) 传统生物医药研发高度依赖人工深度清洗、标准化与手动标注的单模态数据,导致模型往往局限于单一适应症或孤立场景。当前AI范式已转向自监督学习驱动的基础模型,能够直接从海量无标注的多模态原始数据中提取生物表征与时序规律,构建能够代表患者完整病程轨迹的单一向量,实现技术上最接近“数字孪生”的形态(例如行业展示的Apollo模型便基于BERT架构整合了720万名患者跨越28种模态的数据)。 面对高昂的基础模型预训练成本,阿斯利康确立了“数据增强而非从头预训练”的战略取向:充分利用自身涵盖抗体偶联药物(ADC)、放射偶联物、DNA损伤修复(DDR)抑制剂及细胞疗法等多元管线的临床资产,与前沿AI实验室和超大规模云服务商合作,对其基础模型进行下游微调与增强。该战略重点攻坚四大临床难题:基于最大简约原则以最少多模态参数锁定最大获益人群、利用基础模型的小样本泛化能力加速I/II期向III期试验的过渡(规避繁冗的扩展队列招募)、在晚期稀疏数据下提升III期临床成功率,以及从单药微弱疗效跃升至治愈性联合用药方案的设计。 病理学QCS系统与标注效率的跨越 (12:22) 在靶向化疗药物ADC的研发中,行业曾长期陷入依赖病理医生显微镜目视评估靶点表达的传统模式。为此,阿斯利康在Susan Galbraith的领导下自2020年前后启动AI患者筛选,并在2022至2023年间确立了“定量连续评分”(QCS)计算机视觉系统。早期QCS依赖全监督学习,在单细胞水平对肿瘤细胞核、细胞质及细胞膜进行亚结构分割与定量。在TROP2靶向ADC的临床试验(如TROPION-Lung01和02)中,QCS揭示了突破性预测标志物——“归一化膜比率”(膜表达量占膜与胞质总表达量的比值)。临床前数据证实该比值反映了靶点内吞活性与真实药理机制,该标志物于2024年4月获得FDA突破性医疗器械认定。 然而,第一代监督学习QCS为单一适应症标注样本耗费了病理专家多达40,000小时,无法直接横向推广。为此,团队搭建基准沙盒引入预训练病理基础模型,通过零样本与少样本迁移能力,将单适应症标注时间大幅压缩至4,500小时并最终实现零标注。这使得QCS能够以工业化速度扩展至研发管线中所有细胞表面蛋白靶点,并直接促成了阿斯利康对Modella AI的投资与收购。 智能体框架演进与因果AI的前沿挑战 (3:23) 伴随基础模型的成熟,自主执行复杂任务的智能体(Agentic)框架正展现出指数级加速。在软件工程领域,智能体连续自主编码的时长在两年内从数分钟跃升至30小时;更高级的模型对齐与递归自我改进机制逐步涌现。阿斯利康团队曾在2024年末向高管层预测,前沿AI模型将在2024年10月至2028年12月期间在认知与推理任务上超越人类水准。彼时测试中的前沿模型在标准IQ测试中已突破140分,且在复杂基准上的表现每8个月呈现数量级提升,促使美国国家癌症研究所(NCI)等机构启动专用基准建设以应对通用评测快速过时的问题。 然而,当前多模态预测模型的核心短板在于其主要擅长在历史训练数据分布内进行结局预测,而在探索未经临床试验的新型联合疗法时,无法胜任“假设模拟”(What-if)的反事实推理任务。Reis-Filho强调,若要实现临床早期间谍式干预与疗法推演,基础模型必须与因果推断架构相融合。目前因果模型仍缺乏与巨量参数基础模型相匹配的大规模数据支撑,建立湿实验与临床之间的主动学习反馈回路,是突破因果AI应用瓶颈的关键路径。 临床转化共识、监管路径与应用壁垒 (29:09) 为推动AI从算法验证走向临床决策,欧洲肿瘤内科学会(ESMO)召集了由海德堡大学Jakob Kather等牵头的37位跨学科专家德尔菲共识,将AI生物标志物划分为三类:A类(自动化常规病理量化,需与病理专家共识保持一致)、B类(通过H&E切片直接推断基因突变,需与分子检测金标准对照验证)及C类(预后与疗效预测,预后特征可采用前瞻性研究数据集进行回顾性验证,而疗效预测则必须经过前瞻性随机临床试验确认)。共识特别指出,跨多中心、充分样本量数据集的稳健性验证具有强制性,而模型的可解释性已不再被视作先决条件,以避免诱发人为的事后归因偏见。 在监管与落地执行层面,基础模型通常不作为通用工具直接报批,而是针对特定临床任务应用向FDA提交申报(例如PathChat在2025年1月获批突破性医疗器械认定),申报材料须清晰披露预训练数据溯源与下游验证表现。尽管空间生物学等多模态模型已能将传统3至4周的复杂图像分析压缩至数小时,但AI全面落地仍面临医院数字化扫描硬件匮乏、医保计费代码缺失,以及推动病理医生从传统光学显微镜向数字化屏幕决策转变的艰巨文化阻力。 阿斯利康的AI肿瘤研发图景已从局部单点突破迈向覆盖全生命周期的工业化体系,其最终愿景在于借助算法发现全新生物学机制以消除癌症死亡。然而,将因果推断引擎与多模态基础模型大规模结合的技术架构仍未完全成熟;在临床终端,医院数字化基础设施不足、标准化医保报销支付路径缺失,以及病理工作流的惯性阻力,仍是AI研发成果转化为常规诊疗方案必须面对的现实瓶颈。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本内容由 Ai4 频道于 2026 年 8 月 20 日在 YouTube 平台上发布,主题为阿斯利康(AstraZeneca)科学创新 AI 首席官 Jorge Reis-Filho 博士的专题演讲。视频简介指出,AI 驱动的药物设计与临床开发变革已经开启,通过多模态基座模型与智能体框架,阿斯利康正在重新定义肿瘤学 R&D 的规模与效率。 ## TL;DR 演讲深入探讨了 AI 如何从简单的“流程自动化”演化为重塑肿瘤学研发的全链条范式变革。针对前沿 AI 模型性能呈指数级增长的趋势,阿斯利康确立了不从零预训练大模型、而是利用自身独特临床与平移医学数据进行 Post-Training 赋能的差异化战略。此外,演讲介绍了科学 AI 创新的三层系统架构与五大协作生态,并分享了欧洲肿瘤内科学会(ESMO)关于 AI 生物标志物验证的新范式及前沿空间生物学在临床落地的最新进展。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场演讲呈现出极其严谨、前瞻且务实的学术与产业前沿交融氛围。发言人以深厚的医学背景与敏锐的科技洞察力,将复杂的 AI 技术架构与真实的临床肿瘤学挑战紧密结合,既展现了“消除癌症作为死亡原因”的宏大愿景,又保持了对监管合规、病理学家采纳度及数据实证的冷静思考。听众能清晰感受到一场处于医学与人工智能最前沿交叉点上的深度对话,充满理性创新与践行落地的力量。 ## Key takeaways - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) 阿斯利康认为 AI 在肿瘤学 R&D 中的核心价值不仅在于自动化或效率提升,而是根本性地重新想象药物交付与临床研发的全流程。 - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) 医疗 AI 数据范式正经历三大转变:从结构化数据转向原始非结构化多模态数据,从单一场景人工标注转向自监督基座模型,从单模态转向跨模态特征向量。 - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) 基座模型技术快速演进,已出现能够将单个患者的所有轨迹数据压缩编码为统一特征向量的跨模态模型,成为“数字孪生”的雏形。 - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) 阿斯利康领导层预测,前沿 AI 模型将在 2024 年 10 月至 2028 年 12 月期间在所有认知与推理任务上超越人类。 - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) 为应对基准测试被快速“刷爆”的问题,NCI 等机构正在建立按周更新、贴合实际临床任务的肿瘤学专属测试集(Oncology Benchmarks)。 - [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=409s) 阿斯利康的 AI 战略不盲目从零预训练大模型,而是利用自身的临床与平移医学数据去强化、微调和增强前沿模型与领域基座模型。 - [22:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1373s) 为构建因果模型持续学习的闭环,阿斯利康打造了包含超大规模云厂商、前沿 AI 实验室、专业 AI 公司、学术合作伙伴和患者倡导团体的五大协作生态支柱。 - [25:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1534s) 阿斯利康提出了“科学 AI 创新”的三层架构:模型层(依靠外部合作与内部评估)、解决方案层(内部自主开发连接领域知识)和应用层(与诊断及 TechBio 公司合作落地)。 - [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) ESMO 共识将临床部署的 AI 生物标志物分为三类:A类(替代/量化日常病理工作)、B类(直接从 H&E 切片推断基因突变)和 C类(预测预后与疗效响应)。 - [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) ESMO 专家组认为,相比于追逐虚假的可解释性(Explainability),高质且充分代表性的数据集验证以及模型跨数据集的一致稳定性更为关键。 - [34:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2082s) 监管机构对预训练多模态基座模型的临床应用持开放态度,例如病理基础模型 PathChat 已于 2025 年 1 月获得 FDA 突破性医疗器械认定。 - [34:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2082s) 空间生物学 AI 工具的最新突破,已成功将原本需要 3 到 4 周的人工微调与细胞/组织分割处理时间压缩至 2 小时以内。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) AI 重新定义肿瘤学 R&D:从自动化到范式变革 在演讲开场,发言人明确了阿斯利康(AstraZeneca)在 AI 领域的核心信念:AI 的价值绝非仅仅局限于现有系统的自动化或效率优化,而是要从根本上重新想象药物交付与临床研发的全流程。阿斯利康的整体战略旨在通过 AI 贯穿全链条——从加速药物发现(Drug Discovery)、变革临床开发(Clinical Development)、优化临床运营(Clinical Operations),到最终为患者打造更具意义、更有影响且无缝衔接的诊疗体验。 回顾肿瘤学的发展历程可以发现,肿瘤学的关键突破始终与计算机科学及数据科学的发展并行相随。近年来,医疗数据与 AI 技术经历了极其深刻的范式演变: - **数据形态转变**:行业已从高度依赖人工精细清洗、标准化和协调的结构化数据,跨越到能够直接利用多模态、非### AI 驱动阿斯利康的临床研发变革 Jorge Reis-Filho 博士(阿斯利康科学创新 AI 首席官)开宗明义地指出,AI 在临床开发中的应用绝不应仅停留在“自动化”或“系统优化”的层面。更核心的价值在于**重新想象向患者交付药物的流程与体验**。阿斯利康的战略核心命题是:AI 将彻底重塑从加速药物发现、变革临床开发、优化临床运营,到打造更顺畅、更有价值的患者全旅程管理(Patient Journeys)的每一个环节。 在过去数年中,肿瘤学研发与数据科学/计算机科学的发展轨迹形成了高度呼应。这种技术演进体现在三大根本性范式转变上: ``` 传统范式 现代 AI 范式 ┌─────────────────────────┐ ┌─────────────────────────┐ │ 高度清洗、标准化数据 │ ──> │ 非结构化、原始多模态数据 │ └─────────────────────────┘ └─────────────────────────┘ ┌─────────────────────────┐ ┌─────────────────────────┐ │ 单一场景手工标注 │ ──> │ 自监督学习 / 基座模型 │ └─────────────────────────┘ └─────────────────────────┘ ┌─────────────────────────┐ ┌─────────────────────────┐ │ 领域专属单模态模型 │ ──> │ 跨模态、含时间维度的向量 │ └─────────────────────────┘ └─────────────────────────┘ ``` 演讲者特别强调,当前基座模型技术已迎来爆发:2026 年已有 3 款能够将单个患者的所有轨迹数据压缩编码为统一特征向量(Single Patient Vector)的跨模态模型发布,这正是医疗领域梦寐以求的“数字孪生”(Digital Twins)的雏形。此外,智能体框架(Agentic Frameworks)正以前所未有的速度接管复杂任务,例如在软件工程领域,智能体持续协同编程的能力已从两年前的几分钟飙升至现在的 30 小时,并进一步迈向“递归自我提升”(Recursive Self-Improvement)的阶段。 - **前沿模型性能预期**:阿斯利康领导层早在 2024 年就提出预测,在 2024 年 10 月至 2028 年 12 月期间,前沿 AI 模型将在**所有**认知与推理任务上超越人类。 - **基准测试的危机与重构**:针对大模型在基准测试(如 Humanities' Last Exam)中每 8 个月性能提升一个数量级、快速“刷爆”现有测试集的情况,美国国家癌症研究所(NCI)等机构正在发起专属的肿瘤学测试集(Oncology Benchmarks),以实现按周更新、高度贴合实际临床任务的精准评估。 --- ### [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=409s) 阿斯利康的数据资产与 Post-Training 赋能策略 针对前沿 AI 模型的迅猛发展,阿斯利康确立了极其明确的差异化战略:**不盲目跟风从零预训练(Pre-train)大模型,而是利用自身独特的临床与平移医学数据,去强化、微调(Fine-tune)和增强(Augment)前沿模型与领域基座模型**。 这一决策的逻辑极其清晰:模型的泛化与推理能力高度依赖于预 ### [22:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1373s) 构建因果模型循环与五大合作生态支柱 要真正发挥 AI 在药物研发中的潜力,必须在湿实验(Wet Lab)或临床测试环节中为因果模型(Causal Models)建立一个持续学习的反馈闭环。如果无法实现这种持续演进的闭环,研发就会停滞不前。目前没有任何单一机构或公司能够独自涵盖从靶点发现、药物设计、临床开发、临床运营、商业化到患者全旅程(Patient Journeys)的每一个复杂环节。为了应对这种跨领域的复杂性,阿斯利康(AstraZeneca)选择打造一个涵盖五大核心支柱的协作生态系统: * **超大规模云厂商(Hyperscalers)** * **前沿 AI 实验室(Frontier AI Labs)** * **专业 AI 公司(Specialized AI Companies)** * **学术合作伙伴(Academic Partnerships):** 学术界位于技术突破的最前沿,能帮助企业“洞察未来的盲区”。 * **患者倡导团体(Patient Advocates):** 该支柱由 Nathan 引入,患者倡导团队开发的高质量解决方案以及他们希望通过 AI 解答的切实问题,为研究带来了极其独特的视角。 ``` +-----------------------------+ | AstraZeneca AI Ecosystem | +--------------+--------------+ | +-----------------+-------+-------+-----------------+ | | | | +--------v-------+ +-------v-------+ +-----v--------+ +------v--------+ | Hyperscalers | | Frontier AI | | Specialized | | Academic | | & Cloud Tech | | Labs | | AI Companies | | Partnerships | +----------------+ +---------------+ +--------------+ +------+--------+ | +--------v-------+ | Patient | | Advocates | +----------------+ ``` - 在阿斯利康参加的学术交流会议数量,甚至超过了演讲者此前在纪念斯隆-凯特琳癌症中心(MSK)担任实验病理学主管时的频率。 --- ### [25:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1534s) 科学 AI 创新的三层架构与多方协作机制 阿斯利康在“科学 AI 创新”(AI for Science Innovation)部门中,总结出了一套三层系统架构战略: 1. **模型层(Model Layer):** 预训练模型所需的数据量与多样性超出了单一公司的积累,因此主要依赖外部合作,内部则侧重于建立评估标准(Evals)与基准测试(Benchmarks),以便快速消化并内化这些模型。 2. **解决方案层(Solution Layer):** 将这些通用模型与具体的领域知识连接起来,用以解答特定的科学问题,这一层主要由内部快速自主开发。 3. **应用层(Application Layer):** 面对外部团队、诊疗环节或患者落地。此环节通常与诊断公司及生物科技公司(TechBios)合作推进。 要把这些方案落到实处而非仅停留在 PPT 上,必须让所有利益相关方共同参与:**学术界**尽早发现了生物医药研究中的基准测试危机,并与阿斯利康及美国国家癌症研究所(NCI)合作建立了覆盖全行业的肿瘤 AI 基准;**行业伙伴**(科技公司、TechBio、生物技术公司与制药企业);**支付方(Payers)**,解决计算病理学中的报销代码(Billing codes)等推广阻碍;以及**监管机构**,过去 18 个月里与监管部门的前瞻性思想合作取得了显著成效。 ``` +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ | Application Layer | | (Deploy to patients & clinical teams via TechBios & Diag) | +--------------------------------+--------------------------------+ ^ | +--------------------------------+--------------------------------+ | Solution Layer | | (In-house domain-specific connection & QA) | +--------------------------------+--------------------------------+ ^ | +--------------------------------+--------------------------------+ | Model Layer | | (External partner pre-training + internal evals) | +-----------------------------------------------------------------+ ``` - 将患者置于创新生态系统的核心,才能把 AI 的市场预期转化为真正改善患者预后的临床成果。 --- ### [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) ESMO 共识:AI 生物标志物的分类与验证新范式 在海德堡大学 Jakob Kather 等学术伙伴的倡导下,欧洲肿瘤内科学会(ESMO)召集了 37 位顶尖专家,通过德尔菲法(Delphi process)制定了针对临床 deployment 的 AI 生物标志物实用框架,将其划分为三类: * **A 类(Class A - 替代/量化):** 复制病理学家的日常工作(如 PD-L1 量化或肿瘤诊断)。验证方式相对直接,只需在技术层面上达到或超越病理学家的准确率,并对差异进行裁定。 * **B 类(Class B - 推断/预测):** 直接从 H&E 切片推断基因突变。验证需要将 AI 提取的特征与基因检测“金标准”进行对比并裁定。 * **C 类(Class C - 预后与疗效预测):** 利用病理或多模态数据预测患者预后(Prognosis)或治疗响应(Treatment Response)。预后评估可通过对前瞻性研究的 retrospective 分析完成;而预测特定药物在特定人群中是否有效,仍需前瞻性研究(Prospective study)。 专家组得出的核心结论是:**使用高质、充分代表性的数据集进行反复多轮的验证是绝对必需的;而曾经被视为不可或缺的“可解释性”(Explainability)不再是强制要求**。人类大脑非常擅长将不完备的数据通过归纳推理(Abductive thinking)编造出听起来合理的叙事(Human slop)。相较于追逐虚假的可解释性,临床医生和患者更关注模型能否在不同数据集间保持一致且稳定的性能表现。 - 阿斯利康的终极雄心是“消除癌症这一死亡原因”(eliminate cancer as a cause of death)。 - 随着递归自我改进(Recursive self-improvement)技术的出现,AI 模型的演进周期已从过去的数十年缩短至数周甚至数天。 --- ### [34:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=2082s) 现场问答:监管路径、病理学家采纳度与空间多组学前沿 在演讲后的问答环节中,现场听众与演讲者就监管、落地阻碍及前沿数据源展开了探讨: * **多模态基础模型的监管合规性:** 尽管监管体系按疾病和单模态进行划分,但基础模型作为底座,其上层针对具体应用(Application)开发的工具依然可以按传统流程申报 FDA。例如,病理基础模型 PathChat 已于 2025 年 1 月获得了 FDA 的“突破性医疗器械认定”(Breakthrough Device Designation),这表明监管机构已准备好接受预训练基础模型的临床应用。 * **病理学家的文化与工作流阻碍:** 推动病理学家从显微镜观察转向接受计算机屏幕上无法直观看到嵌入向量(Embedding)的 AI 决策,是一项艰巨的工作。除了文化与观念转变,还需要克服缺乏扫描仪、缺少基础IT设施、无报销代码以及早期验证不足等硬性障碍。通过早期访问计划(Early Access Programs)以及与 Key Opinion Leaders(KOL)和基层临床医生的持续沟通,正在逐步突破这些瓶颈。 * **空间生物学(Spatial Biology)与未来数据源:** 空间蛋白质组学(Spatial Proteomics)和多重免疫分型等高度复杂的空间生物学数据处理正迎来突破。哈佛大学 Faisal Mahmood 团队与 Sizun Jiang 团队等最新推出的多模态模型,能将原本需要 3 到 4 周的人工微调工作压缩至两小时以内,并实现高度可复现的细胞分割、组织分割与语义提取。 - PathChat 在 2025 年 1 月获得 FDA 突破性医疗器械认定。 - 空间生物学 AI 工具成功将细胞与组织分割的处理时间从 3-4 周缩短至 2 小时以内。 ## Notable quotes > [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=4s) AI 的价值绝非仅仅局限于现有系统的自动化或效率优化,而是要从根本上重新想象药物交付与临床研发的全流程。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=409s) 不盲目跟风从零预训练(Pre-train)大模型,而是利用自身独特的临床与平移医学数据,去强化、微调(Fine-tune)和增强(Augment)前沿模型与领域基座模型。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [22:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1373s) 如果无法实现这种持续演进的闭环,研发就会停滞不前。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [22:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1373s) 学术界位于技术突破的最前沿,能帮助企业“洞察未来的盲区”。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [25:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1534s) 将患者置于创新生态系统的核心,才能把 AI 的市场预期转化为真正改善患者预后的临床成果。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) 使用高质、充分代表性的数据集进行反复多轮的验证是绝对必需的;而曾经被视为不可或缺的“可解释性”(Explainability)不再是强制要求。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) 人类大脑非常擅长将不完备的数据通过归纳推理(Abductive thinking)编造出听起来合理的叙事(Human slop)。相较于追逐虚假的可解释性,临床医生和患者更关注模型能否在不同数据集间保持一致且稳定的性能表现。 — Jorge Reis-Filho > [29:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10&t=1749s) 阿斯利康的终极雄心是“消除癌症这一死亡原因”。 — Jorge Reis-Filho ## Mentioned Jorge Reis-Filho, AstraZeneca, Ai4, NCI, Humanities' Last Exam, MSK, ESMO, Jakob Kather, FDA, PathChat, Faisal Mahmood, Sizun Jiang ## Video description Jorge Reis-Filho - Chief of AI for Science Innovation, AstraZeneca The AI transformation of drug design and clinical development is already under way. Multimodal foundation models and increasingly capable agents are increasing R&D capabilities at a scale that were inconceivable not a few years ago. Realizing their potential will require fit-for-purpose data, rigorous evals and benchmarks and deep grounding in biology and clinical reality. Getting this right will help us to not only move faster, but also generate novel insights to enable us to ask better questions, design more discriminating experiments, and deliver more meaningful advances for patients. [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1e3Y-P9e10)

Source quotes

[0:04] Jorge Reis-Filho: AI 的价值绝非仅仅局限于现有系统的自动化或效率优化,而是要从根本上重新想象药物交付与临床研发的全流程。 [6:49] Jorge Reis-Filho: 不盲目跟风从零预训练(Pre-train)大模型,而是利用自身独特的临床与平移医学数据,去强化、微调(Fine-tune)和增强(Augment)前沿模型与领域基座模型。 [22:53] Jorge Reis-Filho: 如果无法实现这种持续演进的闭环,研发就会停滞不前。 [22:53] Jorge Reis-Filho: 学术界位于技术突破的最前沿,能帮助企业“洞察未来的盲区”。 [25:34] Jorge Reis-Filho: 将患者置于创新生态系统的核心,才能把 AI 的市场预期转化为真正改善患者预后的临床成果。 [29:09] Jorge Reis-Filho: 使用高质、充分代表性的数据集进行反复多轮的验证是绝对必需的;而曾经被视为不可或缺的“可解释性”(Explainability)不再是强制要求。 [29:09] Jorge Reis-Filho: 人类大脑非常擅长将不完备的数据通过归纳推理(Abductive thinking)编造出听起来合理的叙事(Human slop)。相较于追逐虚假的可解释性,临床医生和患者更关注模型能否在不同数据集间保持一致且稳定的性能表现。 [29:09] Jorge Reis-Filho: 阿斯利康的终极雄心是“消除癌症这一死亡原因”。

Source quotes

[3:23] Jorge Reis-Filho: If two years ago, getting a few minutes of agentic work in coding was a prowess, now 30 hours of work for coding... is table stakes. [12:22] Jorge Reis-Filho: Can you believe that we are developing antibody-drug conjugates... but then we are using 19th-century technology to do target assessment?

Original transcript

[0:04] It's such a distinct privilege to be here with you  today and to discuss with you the transformation [0:09] of clinical development through AI. I don't think  that we should be focusing only on automation and [0:15] optimization of systems. As a matter of fact,  there is so much that we can gain by reimagining [0:21] how we deliver our drugs to our patients. But to  begin with, at Astrazenica, our core thesis is [0:31] that AI is going to transform everything that we  do from accelerating drug discovery, transforming [0:37] clinical development, optimizing clinical  operations, and actually delivering journeys [0:43] for patients that are more meaningful, impactful,  and more seamless. Our uh core thesis here is [0:52] then grounded on the in an observation actually  that we've made that if we stop for a second and [0:59] think about oncology the critical developments in  oncology actually have mirrored developments in [1:07] data science and computer science. And if we think  about the way we make discoveries in oncology and [1:14] deliver the drugs, then we we we have to consider  that actually in the last few years we have gone [1:21] from needing extremely curated standardized and  harmonized data to being able to use unstructured [1:31] raw data that's multimodal in nature. That's has  that has happened already. Second, we have gone [1:39] from the perspective of the development of AI from  the needs of the need of handcrafted annotations [1:46] to develop one model for one indication, one use  case to actually doing self-supervised learning, [1:54] extracting the representations and creating  highly capable foundation models. And what [1:59] do I mean by a foundation model? It's  that very principle of having unlabeled [2:07] data and allowing the model to extract the  features, the representations, the patterns, [2:13] the logics and eventually create reasoning from  that process. or through that process and the very [2:20] development of self-supervised self-supervised  learning allowed us to move to a new space as [2:26] well that is that data no longer needs to be  labeled vast amounts of unlabeled data can [2:34] be extremely useful in the context of developing  foundation models and in the space of foundation [2:40] models what has happened over the last three years  is quite incredible. We went from the development [2:46] of the first generation of foundation models that  were domain specific and single data modality to [2:52] highly capable domain specific foundation models  in pathology to then multimodal foundation models [2:58] that create single patient representations with  time as a first dimension. And we've seen three [3:05] this year already being shipped that actually can  create a single vector that represents a patient [3:12] in its in his or her trajectory and this is the  closest approximation to a term that I don't [3:19] like very much that's digital twins that part of  the previous discussion but that's exactly what [3:23] it's beginning to create and in parallel with this  we have seen the birth of the agentic frameworks [3:30] where we get these models to interact with each  other in the ecosystem and perform increasingly [3:37] more complex tasks. And the tasks that we can  perform now are incredible in coding. If two [3:45] years ago, getting a few minutes of agentic work  in coding was a prowess, now [snorts] 30 hours [3:52] of work for coding under in within a highly  competent agentic framework is table stakes. [4:00] We are moving now to an age in 26 and forward with  the development of automated alignment researchers [4:08] that allow weaker models to train stronger models  to get a performance that's even higher. In the [4:15] agentic space, the idea of delegated awareness  where basically you drop the agent to figure out [4:21] the data that's available, the tools available  and starts actually integrating and asking the [4:27] right questions. has already come to become  a reality and we're moving into the space of [4:33] space of recursive self-improvement and this may  sounds all extremely bullish. Yeah. But again, [4:41] if we stop for a second and just accept that  domain specific super intelligence has already [4:49] come to become a reality in some domains, very  narrow domains like software engineering and [4:56] coding itself. often we're beginning to see this  happening in mathematics. So with that in mind, [5:02] back in 2024, this is a long time ago. Yeah, it  sounds like an eternity in AI years. Yeah, 2024 [5:10] we came to our leadership and that was our premise  on the basis of what was happening at that time [5:15] that between October 2024 and December 2028 the  frontier models would outperform us first at any [5:25] and eventually at every reason and cognition task.  And at that time the reason for us to believe that [5:32] was that the first models at that time when they  were taken offline they would perform in terms of [5:39] offline IQ tests incredibly well and would sit  comfortably above 140. It's it's a weak test. [5:48] I granted it's not a great way of of of showing  this but it's one piece of evidence. The second [5:54] is when we look at extremely sophisticated bench  benchmarks such as the humanities last exam. [6:01] Again, the the models were increasing one order of  magnit magnitude every 8 months and they continue [6:10] to break the destroy the benchmarks constantly to  the point that we have to be generating benchmarks [6:17] weekly now [laughter] and there's an an initiative  in oncology that the NCI has spearheaded to start [6:25] creating benchmarks that are really fit for  purpose because we need to be able to assertain [6:30] the performance of these these models really  well, not in a generic based way, but actually [6:35] in a task specific way that is representative  of what we need to execute and and then finally [6:41] as we discussed the agentic workflows are and  frameworks are becoming incredibly capable. How [6:49] do we translate that into then a strategy within  Astrazenica? So, Astrazenica has has been known as [6:58] a company that has many brought many breakthroughs  in in the form of novel classes of agents. So, [7:07] with the development in terms of frontier AI  models and domain specific foundation models, [7:14] our strategy was to leverage then our key  differentiator, our data. We have developed [7:22] over the last 15 years a uniquely diverse and  intentionally built portfolio that you can see [7:28] here on the left side of the slide with this color  wheel. On the right hand side of the color wheel, [7:34] um there are five classes of agents uh that  target the cancer cells directly. Antibbody [7:40] drug conjugates, radio conjugates, um agents  that target DNA damage response. Then we have [7:49] the agents that target drivers like ES like ER  signaling or EGFR mutations. And we also have [7:57] drugs that target the genetics. The way  the states that the cells get locked in, [8:02] they are all complimentary. And on the left side  of this color wheel, you can see the classes [8:09] of agents that we use to leverage the immune  system to target the cancer cells. traditional [8:14] imunoconcology approaches in the form of bi  specifics. We have engages to attracts the tea [8:21] cells and cell therapy that actually we are going  into cell therapy now even for solid malignancies. [8:29] So the idea is that we have all these these  agents we have been generating translational [8:35] and clinical data over the last 15 years. So what  if we use this data not to pre-train models? We're [8:43] not in the business of pre-training models, but  actually we use this data to reinforce, fine-tune, [8:50] augment frontier models and domain specific  foundation models to address questions that [8:57] are really critical to our clinical development.  And the way the reason for us not to pre-train [9:05] models was a really simple one. The performance  of these models depends upon the diversity of the [9:13] data and the volume of data. So if you have more  data across modalities that's really diverse. The [9:20] more diversity we have in terms of modalities and  the more diversity we have within a modality, the [9:26] better the performance of the model if we keep the  same architecture and training strategy. So we've [9:31] created partnerships with uh multiple companies  that are actually developing these frontier models [9:39] and we use our data to reinforce, fine-tune  and augment them. There are four flavors of [9:44] questions that we've have prioritized uh in terms  of creating those solutions. First the challenge [9:54] that we face in oncology in particular that  is patient selection. So the the way we phrase [10:01] framed it for ourselves was what would be the most  parsimonious set of multimodal parameters that [10:12] would be required and sufficient to identify the  largest patient population who would benefit from [10:17] a drug or combination. And actually it may sound  complex but applying the principle of maximum [10:23] parsimony to post- train a model is something that  has already been demonstrated in other contexts. [10:30] So we have borrowed from those examples to apply  to patient selection strategy and actually we [10:37] have already started seeing this in some of our  clinical development programs identification of [10:42] those populations. Second, to accelerate phase  one, phase two studies in particular to render [10:50] the transition from phase one, phase two to phase  three studies in a much more informed way using [10:55] one of the properties of these foundation models  that is to generalize from smaller sample sizes. [11:01] That's a one of the inherent properties of these  highly capable multimodal foundation models. Um [11:10] the last thing that I want to happen going forward  is to end uh an expanded phase one trial with 60 [11:16] patients and not having certainty in terms of what  the transition should be in terms of the patient [11:23] population in terms of probability of success.  The third application to revisit our phase three [11:31] studies and launch new phase three studies with  a much better probability of technical success. [11:38] And again here borrowing another property  of the foundation models that is to gen to [11:43] derive insights from sparser data in phase three  studies. We don't have the density of data that [11:49] we have in phase one, phase two and but all of  these three are to serve the ultimate goal here [11:56] that is to develop the combination regimens that  actually will be transformational for patients. [12:02] Uh we have to move away from the type of objective  response rates and clinical benefit rates that [12:10] we get with our single agents today to a a place  where we can actually transform patients journeys [12:17] on the basis of the patient selection strategy  that we take the way we deliver the combination [12:22] of treatments. This may all sound sci-fi. We may  sound really futuristic, but the reality is that [12:32] artificial intelligence for patient selection for  us as Astroenica is not something that we're not [12:37] familiar with. To be perfectly honest, thanks  to the visionary leadership of Susan Galbright, [12:43] we went into um AI for patient selection a number  of years ago, pre pre202. So it actually started [12:53] back in 2017 but it crystallized really around  22 23 just bear here with me for one second I [13:02] think all of us here or most of us here around  70% are into um biomedical research or here [13:08] or biomedical sciences okay u we did a show of  hands earlier today so antibbody drug conjugates [13:17] um where we have an antibbody a link and a payload  are transformational treatments. Antibbody drug [13:25] conjugates are targeted chemotherapy. Yeah.  So we have the antibbody and the payload. So [13:29] it should be targeted chemotherapy. If it is  targeted chemotherapy target assessment is a [13:35] critical question. Would you agree?  So if you start with that premise, [13:39] can you believe that we are developing antibbody  drug conjugates frontier technology in terms of [13:44] therapy development but then we are using 19th  century technology to do target assessment. It's [13:52] a microscope with someone like me a pathologist  eyeballing the slides. What if we reimagine how [13:59] we do target assessment using AI? And one of the  major developments for AI was the application of [14:06] AI to computer vision of pathology images.  Yes. So we went in with high uh convection [14:15] and we developed what we call our quantitative  continuous scoring system. Uh we at initially [14:24] um we utilized a fully supervised methods. So  handcrafted annotations to extract seven human [14:32] interpretable features in relation to the extract  extract expression of a target. So what does it [14:38] do? It identifies there are two steps. One, it  identifies the tumor areas by by itself and then [14:47] it quantifies the expression of the target  within subcellular components, the nucleus, [14:53] the cytoplasm and the membrane and it does it at  single cell level. It can assess the hetrogenity [14:59] of the target and it does with a dynamic range  that far exceeds what the human eye allows for. [15:09] It's computer vision. Yeah. Again I think we  all would all agree here. So the way we develop [15:15] it is first we develop a model okay trained with  specific data sets. This is for us to be able to [15:25] quantify the target really well sub at subcellular  level. And then we go to the second part. Once [15:31] the model is locked we go into the biomarker  development. Right? The biomarket development then [15:38] requires very specific uh prospective studies that  we analyzed retrospectively or even a prospective [15:47] trial testing than the biomarker itself. We  applied QCS first to our trop targeting ADC [15:56] and we did this with the first study that was  J101 and then with the tropion lung 01 trial [16:03] and actually we observed two things that we could  identify a biioarker for our trop target in ADC [16:14] but what was really interesting and I think most  surprising is that actually it was not the obvious [16:21] uh assessment rather than being the expression of  the target on this on the membrane itself. What [16:29] we found to be the biomarker was the normalized  membrane ratio which is the expression of the [16:36] target on the cell membrane divided by the  expression of the target on the membrane plus [16:40] cytoplasm. in our preclinical studies indicate  very strongly that this is a surrogate marker for [16:48] one of the properties that actually is related to  the mechanism of action of the the agent that is [16:55] the internalization of the target itself. So the  pull of the target that's internalized we tested [17:01] this also in the tropial lung O2 and [snorts] the  results held and actually it has come to become [17:09] the first AI applied to pathology biomarker that's  predictive of response to a therapeutic agent [17:19] uh our trop targeting ADC we received FDA  breakthrough device designation in April last [17:25] year for this But I'm afraid to say that we had a  challenge then we we presented this in September [17:34] 2024 got FDA breakthrough deviceation in April  2025 wonderful for us to develop that particular [17:42] biioarker for just for the model part the first  part yeah we needed handcrafted annotations. [17:50] Can can you guess how many hours of pathologist  annotating those slides we needed for one model [17:59] one indication one tumor type take a guess perhaps  more 40,000 40,000 hours so when leadership came [18:09] to us and said oh now we would like to have  this across our portfolio I said chat is this [18:14] real [laughter] because it was very very very  hard So with the development in foundation models [18:22] then we saw an asymmetric opportunity because  those models are that are pre-trained um they [18:30] can perform multiple downstream tasks. So what we  did was we set up a set of benchmarks in a sandbox [18:38] and evaluated all the potential foundation models  back then that were available in terms of doing [18:44] the tumor segmentation and the quantification of  the targets single shot. And um there was a clear [18:53] set of foundation models that performed really  well. And what happened next was we went from [18:59] 40,000 hours to 4 and a half thousand to zero. And  basically we did we have now QCS models across our [19:09] portfolio of therapeutic agents all the all the  agents that have cells that target cells surface [19:17] proteins. And we've even developed now um multic  cancer cross indication QCS that we're using for [19:24] in our R&D site. Our idea now here is actually  to borrow from this concept and go from pathology [19:31] and the quantification of the target excuse me to  multimodel uh to address those four [snorts] types [19:39] of questions that I mentioned in the previous  slide and we are doing this also creating the [19:44] agentic framework to connect our data which is our  key differentiator with the models to address the [19:51] questions and to create these agents it has been  a labor of love because it's not only having the [20:00] results and I have to say AI is fantastic to  create AI hypothesis lop. It's fantastic. It [20:07] sounds really sophisticated. It sounds really cool  but once you start testing it breaks. So we had to [20:14] create a whole set of evaluation evaluations and  benchmarks in an end toend way task specific and [20:22] subtask specific. and we have leaderboards and we  we keep constant monitoring of the performance of [20:31] the models and agents. Um and in that process it  also informed us in terms of how we could assess [20:39] the most capable foundation models for specific  downstream tasks and that was one of the reasons [20:44] for the partnership with model AI that happened  earlier this year and the subsequent acquisition. [20:53] Now [20:56] this idea of using multimodal foundation models  for prediction is coming to become a reality. And [21:02] if we wind our clocks back in eternity again  ACR this year American Association for Cancer [21:09] Research meeting there was a presentation  of one um new multimodal foundation model [21:15] Apollo trained with 7.2 2 million patients, 28  data modalities using a a birth backbone. So, [21:25] and time as a first dimension to create single  patient representations. And I have to say [21:31] that the ability to predict outcomes of the  distributions that we have in the pre-training [21:37] data is is quite incredible. There are many  other um developments in academia and in the [21:44] tech bio space where they have developing  these models that are becoming incredibly [21:50] capable. The challenge that we face now is one  step further is if you can predict outcomes. [21:58] The next set of questions is can we intercept  earlier so that we can so that we can intervene [22:06] and once we get there we need to start asking  ourselves the questions about the counterfactuals [22:12] the whatifs and why the are the counterfactuals  important because we want to use these engines [22:20] to predict what will be the response of a patient  to a new treatment. It's not only to say that the [22:25] patient will have with the constraint probability  this as an outcome and to do that we need to move [22:32] into the space of causal models together with the  foundation models. This is a problem that has not [22:39] been solved yet. It's incredibly hard and most of  the causal models at present do not have the scale [22:46] of data to be able to get to that point. I would  submit another point here that's very important [22:53] when we consider this that is that when we think  about this causal models we need to create a loop [23:02] of the model in the testing space be it wet lab  or clinical that allows for the continual learning [23:11] because if you don't enable that you stuck in  the same at the same point that we are today. [23:19] This will require and I would submit here that  this will require much more than what we have [23:26] in a single institution company at present. I I  I am afraid to say that I I I cannot see anyone [23:37] at present that can comprehend all the intricate  complexities of every step required from target [23:47] identification, drug design, clinical development,  clinical operations, the commercial side and the [23:54] patient journeys in a single entity. So we talk  about end to end but we have to recognize that [24:01] there are int intricate complexities at each  one of the steps and here at Astroenica what [24:08] we decide to do was to create an ecosystem of  partnerships that would help us in our journey. [24:14] So we have partnerships with hyperscalers with  frontier AI labs with specialized AI companies. [24:22] The fourth pillar is really important, the  academic partnerships. And I have to say that [24:28] at Astroenica probably have had more meetings with  academics than I used to have when I was the chief [24:34] of experimental pathology at MSK. Yeah. Because  I need to see around the corner from around the [24:40] corner. So for us to understand what how we  can adjust our path going forward to develop [24:46] to derive new insights we need to be aware of  what is the bleeding edge of the bleeding edge [24:51] and it's been incredibly fruitful extremely  intellectually rewarding and impactful for [24:57] us and finally and I have to thank Nathan who is  here in the audience because he brought the fifth [25:04] pillar we realized that we needed to bring the  patient advocates into this ecosystem them. I was [25:12] really humbled by the quality and sophistication  of the solutions that they were making available [25:17] to patients and I also was really fascinated by  the types of questions that they wanted answer [25:25] through AI. So that type of um insight that  they bring to the discussion is really unique. [25:34] The other aspect that I we've learned in the  hardest possible way was that we needed to [25:40] approach AI strategy from a multi-layered  system. So from our perspective within AI [25:47] for science innovation what we we focus  on on three layers. first the model [25:53] layer um where actually as I mentioned to you  the volumes of data and the diversity of data [26:00] required for the pre-training of those models far  exceed what we have in within a single company. [26:08] So we are doing this largely through partnerships  creating the evals and benchmarks required for us [26:13] to internalize those solutions at base. We build  some models but we internalize many of them. [26:21] The second layer is the solution layer where  we basically connect those models to specific [26:26] domain areas to address specific questions.  Uh and this we basically develop inhouse at [26:34] pace. Then comes the the third layer that's the  application where we are going to bring this to [26:40] life to patients or to um specific teams that have  a surface area outside our company. And he here [26:49] we we also do it through partnerships through  diagnostic companies and through tech bios. [26:58] The other lesson that we learned from this  collaborative um ecosystem is that for us [27:06] to be able to bring this to real life not to be  a really nice slide deck that we present to our [27:13] board was that we needed to have all the different  stakeholders around the table. We as I mentioned [27:21] before the academics the academics provide some  of the models and frontier but also they have [27:26] they had recognized the benchmarking crisis in  the in biomedical research way earlier than we [27:32] did and actually we started building benchmarks  with them they cut across industry so it's a [27:39] really great opportunity and seeing the national  cancer institute now spearheading this initiative [27:45] of benchmarks for oncology AI and oncology simply  fantastic uh we need all the industry partners [27:53] from tech tech bio biotech and pharma. uh we need  to have the payers because one of the challenges [28:00] in the uh adoption of computational pathology is  that for instance the uh the building codes are [28:08] still very challenging and and fourth of course  the regulators and I have to say that the thought [28:14] partnership with the regulators over the last  18 months has been simply incredible uh they [28:21] have really forwardlooking they are asking us for  information we exchange insights it's it's been [28:26] incredible to be fruitful. And when we do that, we  have this ecosystem in place and we have the evals [28:33] and benchmarks that have really fit for their  purpose. Then we can move the patients to the [28:38] very center of this innovationdriven ecosystem and  start delivering the solutions that will be most [28:44] impactful for them because ultimately we change  patients patient the outcomes of patients. Then [28:50] we have the opportunity of actually um bringing  the solutions that AI has brought much promise [28:59] and hype to into real life into something that's  really impactful. And again you may say that this [29:09] is theoretical George it's a conceptual framework  actually it's already happening and thanks to [29:14] the leadership of one of our closest academic  partners Jakob Kata [snorts] from H Highleberg [29:21] um asmo the European Society of Medical Oncology  went back to leading academics and uh oncologists [29:31] in other settings and created created two deli  processes to evaluate what would be required and [29:40] sufficient for them to deploy AI solutions for  patient selection for treatment decision making [29:46] in the clinic. Let's stop with the discussion  of what's theoretical what actually is needed [29:52] and they had 37 uh panelists. They carried out  all those deli deli processes and they came up [30:02] with a conceptual framework that's actually  really pragmatic and applicable. So there are [30:08] three types of AI biomarkers. The class A is very  simple is to do what we pathologists do. Quantify [30:17] PDL1 or two or render a diagnosis of a a given  cancer type. For this basically the validation [30:27] is really technical. It's just matching the  accuracy of what pathologists do in AI and [30:32] then adjucate the differences and there you go.  The second is the inference type of biomarker [30:41] with just extracting the features from H& you can  predict some types of mutations in cancer. So this [30:49] requires a different type of validation. You need  to compare what you derive with AI from pathology [30:56] with the gold standard the genetic test educate  the differences and come with your validation. [31:04] Now the third the class C is where I find really  interesting because we can now use pathology or [31:11] multimodal approaches to predict patient prognosis  or even treatment response prognostication and [31:19] prediction. And here the the validation is  really differentiated for prognostication. [31:25] You can do retrospective analysis of prospective  studies that suffices for predicted biomarkers. So [31:31] whether drug A is effective in a given population,  it requires a prospective study still. But I think [31:38] the biggest take-h home message which I found I  found really gratifying I have to say because it [31:44] was a discussion point from back in 2022 2023.  The conclusion of this panel was that validation [31:52] with sufficiently powered data sets that were  acred in the right manner is absolutely essential [31:59] and multiple times not a single validation. But  explanability that many had touted as a condition [32:07] that was cynical known for biomarkers is no longer  essential. It's no longer mandatory. It's perhaps [32:15] desirable. And I find this really important  for one reason. If you focus on explanability, [32:22] our brains are fantastic for human slop. We can  retrofit a a really great narrative and explain a [32:29] biomarker actually with really sufficient data  using abductive thinking that's fundamentally [32:34] flawed. Moving from that to one where it needs to  perform consistently across data sets, I find it [32:41] as as a physician and as a patient as well, I find  this much more palatable and much more impactful. [32:49] So we go back to the our very beginning the  very beginning of this discussion today. [32:55] AI is advancing at an unprecedented pace. I think  we could foresee some of the developments, but [33:02] I think the privilege of hindsight now grants us  something really phenomenal because this the pace [33:10] of development is incredible and the timelines  are being compressed every time. If it took us [33:18] multiple decades to go from that idea of big data  to generating insights multimodally. Now to go [33:25] from that to foundation models that were single  modality then domain specific then multimodal [33:34] uh has taken months to weeks. It's it's quite  incredible. With the advent now of recursive [33:43] self self-improvement, we'll see an even greater  acceleration. It behooves us to accept that we may [33:50] not have all the answers. We also we also need to  learn to be be comfortable in being uncomfortable [33:59] because it's evolving an incredible pace. But  if you assemble these multi-disiplinary teams, [34:07] if we focus on the collab, the the synergistic  impact of collaboration ecosystems, I'm certain [34:16] that AI will help us not only automate  tasks but actually derive new insights [34:22] and those new insights will help us advance  in our journey. That's our bold ambition [34:28] that is to eliminate cancer as a cause  of death. With that, I'd like to thank [34:33] you for your attention. I'll happily take any  questions you might have. Thank you. [applause] [34:42] Um it's great cover uh um introduction here.  So would you mind elaborate a little more on [34:47] this multimodel fundamental fund foundation  models because in the current system particular [34:55] regulatory perspective it's all condition like  disease-based. So if we move into that direction, [35:01] do you see the current framework is there to  support uh something like this even though [35:07] technically it's totally doable? The answer is  absolutely because remember you're pre-training [35:13] a model to make it the most capable. We not  going to use this model in a zero short manner. [35:20] You create then a solution on the base of this  model in an application. You go to the FDA with [35:26] the application. So still even it's a multimodel  one but you still deal with uh each modality one [35:33] by one regulations you create the application the  application eventually is is something that you [35:39] will deploy the model itself if you look at the  AI approved models that are imaging based okay [35:48] they includes ResNet or REGNET 50 or 23 just  imagine here you swap that model this general [35:56] supervised model that is used in most of the um  AI uh biomarkers into um a foundation model you [36:07] have to provide all the aspects related to the  pre-training of the model this data provenence [36:13] it's and so on so forth but is an entirely  doable process to be honest path chat uh received [36:21] breakthrough device designation in January 2025 so  you can see that the FDA is prepared to entertain [36:29] the utilization of pre-trained foundational  models. Okay, great to hear that. Thank you. [36:38] Pathologists traditionally are, I'll call  it, cautious in adopting new tool sets and [36:43] and in particular with AI. I'm curious, are  are you taking that into consideration? Are [36:48] you building that out? How are you getting the  adoption from them? It's it's been a labor of [36:53] love. Yeah. Okay. There are many barriers.  You may you made a very important point uh [37:00] here. That's the cultural barrier is an important  one. The cultural and actually the the directly [37:05] professional barrier because you have to go  from looking down the microscope and rendering [37:09] decisions uh by humans to a system where actually  the pathologist may not even comprehend the the [37:16] embedding that was used for that decision to be  made and rendered by a machine on a screen. Yeah. [37:23] So that required a lot of engagement, learn and  development and education. First um there were [37:31] four other types of hurdles including the lack  of scanners, the lack of adoption of the basic [37:37] infrastructure needed, lack of billing codes, lack  of sufficient validation for it to be sufficiently [37:45] performant to be introduced in clinical practice.  We've been addressing this head on through early [37:51] access programs, through engagement with key  opinion leaders and community practitioners and [37:58] it's been a phenomenal journey. Oh perhaps  I should qualify it better as a formidable [38:04] journey. Hello. Thank you so much for that talk.  Uh quick question. You a lot of these models are [38:11] built on a lot of existing traditional 2DHC  data. What do you think are the uh what do [38:17] you call future directions of data sources? Are  you thinking spatial genomics or more like even [38:22] tissue clearing type 3D approaches to this? Yes,  it's advancing so quickly and absolutely and we've [38:30] seen the first generation of the highly capable  uh multimodal models including spatial proteomics [38:39] or multiplex imenotyping just shipped in the  last three months and I have to say that I was [38:47] skeptic I was skeptical yeah I I thought spatial  biology will always remain extremely let's say [38:55] handcraft crafted in required human feedback. Um  what I've seen I'm not going to give commercial [39:02] names here but I've seen from two companies  and one academic partner academic partner I [39:06] can mention Pais Mahmood's team and Sizun Jang  both from Harvard what they've done is quite [39:12] incredible. It compresses three to four weeks  of work into a couple of hours stops and with [39:21] really repeatable patterns of cell segmentation,  tissue segmentation, semantic extraction of what's [39:30] represented on the section. Yes, absolutely.  The core registration is is still it's evolving [39:39] really quickly. I'd like to see even more capable  solutions to be honest. All right, thank you so [39:45] much for your time today, George. If we can give  him a round of applause. We appreciate your time.