SignalFire Automates Founder Support to Secure 100% Follow-On Wins

The New VC Fund: Using AI to Scale VC Value With SignalFire — Ai4

Ai4

Replacing manual venture services with automated data platforms prevents portfolio neglect and secures pro-rata access to competitive follow-on rounds.

AI-assisted summary of The New VC Fund: Using AI to Scale VC Value With SignalFire — original source. Check the original for full context.

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## Background Published on YouTube by the Ai4 channel on August 28, 2025, this presentation features Ilya Kirnos, Co-Founder and CTO of SignalFire. According to the page description, the talk examines why capital alone is insufficient for venture differentiation, detailing how SignalFire engineered scalable software value-adds and operational infrastructure to effectively serve founders and scale portfolio support.

## TL;DR Ilya Kirnos breaks down how SignalFire was architected from first principles as a technology company to overcome the manual, artisanal limitations of traditional venture capital. The firm operates an enterprise data platform tracking 80 million companies and 600 million profiles to power early sourcing, rigorous competitive diligence, and automated post-investment support. By delivering proprietary recruiting and go-to-market software directly to portfolio companies, SignalFire eliminates portfolio orphanage and maintains a 100% pro rata win rate in competitive follow-on rounds. Case studies of Horizon3.ai and EvenUp demonstrate how combining scalable programmatic tools with human-in-the-loop executive advisory creates a compounding flywheel for startup growth and investor returns.

## Atmosphere & style The presentation carries a crisp, pragmatic, engineering-first tone that systematically deconstructs legacy venture practices with analytical clarity. Kirnos presents with the calm, measured authority of a veteran systems architect, blending personal anecdotes from Google and Silicon Valley with concrete operational frameworks. Listening to the talk feels less like a standard promotional pitch and more like an insider technical post-mortem on modernizing an outdated financial industry.

## Key takeaways - [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) Traditional venture capital historically operates with high manual overhead, intuition, and personal networks, lacking the proprietary technology and automation standard in other software-driven sectors. - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=4s) SignalFire was designed from inception as an engineering-driven firm, currently managing approximately $3 billion in AUM with an emphasis on Seed through Series B investing. - [02:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=164s) Venture success relies on a four-pillar lifecycle—Sourcing, Diligence and Selection, Winning the Deal, and Post-Investment Support—anchored by a reputational flywheel driven by founder advocacy. - [05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) SignalFire built an enterprise data engine tracking roughly 80 million companies and 600 million professional profiles to detect real-time signals like engineering hiring spikes, app download velocity, and web traffic inflection points. - [05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) Despite deep algorithmic sourcing and benchmarking, early-stage VC remains an inherently human-in-the-loop discipline requiring partners to evaluate founder vision, resilience, and recruiting charisma. - [07:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=454s) The proprietary data infrastructure used for deal sourcing is exposed directly to portfolio founders at no cost to power go-to-market prospecting, competitive intelligence, and technical recruiting. - [07:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=454s) Operational platform support dynamically shifts with market cycles: the 2021 bull market demanded heavy technical hiring assistance, while higher interest rates shifted founder focus to capital-efficient GTM acceleration. - [09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) Talent needs naturally split into self-serve programmatic tools for volume individual contributor hiring and high-touch in-house advisory for executive leadership placement. - [12:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=770s) Traditional manual platform teams suffer from linear staff bottlenecks, forcing firms to triage and orphan struggling startups during non-linear pivot phases. - [12:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=770s) Automating baseline platform services through software ensures universal portfolio access, eliminating portfolio orphanage and enabling a 100% win rate on competitive pro-rata follow-on rounds. - [16:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=968s) For cybersecurity portfolio company Horizon3.ai, SignalFire leveraged its executive network to recruit roughly 75% of the C-suite and evaluate engineering leadership candidates. - [19:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1154s) For legal intelligence startup EvenUp, which began with non-technical founders, SignalFire acted as the primary recruiting engine through Series B, helping scale the company toward a valuation well over $1.25 billion. - [20:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1252s) Building scalable software infrastructure within VC shifts the firm from a passive capital allocator to an operational partner, compounding advantages for both founders and limited partners.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=4s) Ilya Kirnos and the Origins of SignalFire

Ilya Kirnos brings an engineering-first perspective to the venture capital ecosystem. After completing an undergraduate double major in Computer Science and Mathematics on the East Coast twenty-five years ago, he moved directly to Silicon Valley to begin his career on Oracle's database team. In 2003, Kirnos transitioned to Google, where he spent nine years architecting core infrastructure across AdWords, Gmail, and Gmail monetization. In mid-2012, he departed Google for a startup that was quickly acquired by Twitter; he left prior to the acquisition to co-found SignalFire as its technical co-founder and Chief Technology Officer.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Ilya Kirnos Career Path to SignalFire subgraph Career["Engineering Background"] A["Oracle\nDatabase Team"] --> B["Google (2003–2012)\nAdWords & Gmail"] B --> C["Startup\nAcquired by Twitter"] end subgraph Venture["Venture Capital"] C --> D["SignalFire\nCo-Founder & CTO"] end ```

SignalFire was established as the first venture capital firm designed and engineered from the ground up like a modern technology company. The firm currently manages approximately $3 billion in assets under management (AUM), with its current active fund totaling roughly $1 billion. While SignalFire participates across multiple stages up to Series C, its primary investment engine focuses squarely on Seed, Series A, and Series B rounds.

- **Founder Background:** CS/Math undergrad; Oracle database engineer; 9-year tenure at Google (AdWords infrastructure, Gmail monetization). - **Firm Scale:** ~$3 billion total AUM; ~$1 billion current vehicle. - **Stage Focus:** Primarily Seed through Series A and B, scaling up to Series C.

---

[01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) The Irony of Venture Capital and First-Principles Thinking

A glaring paradox sits at the heart of traditional venture capital: while venture capitalists allocate billions into cutting-edge technology companies, the VC sector itself has historically operated in a deeply tech-deficient, manual manner. When SignalFire was founded twelve years ago, nearly every established fund operated purely on manual services, intuition, and personal networks. Kirnos often framed this as a thought experiment: if a VC firm were forced to pitch other venture capitalists to raise capital, it would fail the very diligence tests it applies to startups. Firms had no proprietary software, zero automation, and virtually no product differentiation beyond legacy brand reputation.

When SignalFire proposed applying data engineering and software infrastructure to venture capital—mirroring transformations across virtually every other industry vertical—the idea was met with widespread industry skepticism. The prevailing dogma held that venture capital was an artisanal, "apprentice industry" governed by art rather than science. Skeptics questioned how data could possibly evaluate early-stage seed companies that possessed nothing more than a founding team and an unproven idea. SignalFire addressed this by breaking venture investing down to its foundational first principles.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Four Pillars of VC and the Reputational Flywheel subgraph Pillars["Core Operating Pillars"] S["1. Sourcing\nIdentify companies early"] --> D["2. Diligence & Selection\nBenchmark 1-of-1 vs. 1-of-many"] D --> W["Intermediate: Winning the Deal\nSharp calling card & founder value-add"] W --> P["3. Post-Investment Support\nRecruiting, GTM, & Competitive Intel"] end subgraph Flywheel["Reputational Flywheel"] P --> F1["Portfolio Founder Reference Checks"] F1 --> F2["High Founder Advocacy"] F2 --> W end ```

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[02:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=164s) The Four Pillars of VC and the Reputational Flywheel

SignalFire deconstructed the venture lifecycle into four core pillars required to consistently outperform the market: 1. **Sourcing:** Identifying nascent startups before they appear on the broader market's radar and establishing relationships as the first institutional investor. 2. **Diligence and Selection:** Evaluating whether a prospective startup is truly "one of one" or merely "one of many" in a crowded vertical. Kirnos illustrates this with the historical ride-sharing boom: an investor looking at Uber, Lyft, and eight other competing startups needed rigorous mechanisms to pick the enduring winners while avoiding the forgotten competitors. 3. **Winning the Deal:** High-potential founders inevitably receive multiple competing term sheets; a fund must offer a sharp, differentiated "calling card" to become the founder's investor of choice. 4. **Post-Investment Support:** Accelerating portfolio growth through operational scale, which directly fuels the firm's overarching reputational flywheel.

When founders evaluate prospective lead investors, their primary due diligence involves backchanneling with current portfolio founders. If a fund reliably delivers on its operational promises, those founders become enthusiastic advocates. This advocacy directly increases the firm's win rate on subsequent competitive deals, spinning the flywheel faster and compounding the firm's brand equity over time.

---

[05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) Big Data, Machine Learning, and Sourcing Architecture

To power early sourcing and competitive benchmarking, SignalFire constructed an enterprise-scale data platform that tracks approximately 80 million companies in real time alongside over 600 million individual professional profiles. The engineering platform ingests fragmented data across disparate external silos, cleanses and normalizes the incoming streams, and resolves classic entity-resolution challenges at scale. Proprietary machine learning models continuously evaluate these datasets to detect breakout momentum signals: - Accelerated high-caliber talent migration and key engineering hires. - Rapid revenue trajectory inflection points. - Spikes in web traffic and digital engagement. - Surges in mobile application store download velocity.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: SignalFire Data Pipeline and Human-in-the-Loop Funnel subgraph DataLayer["Data Platform (80M Companies / 600M Profiles)"] D1["Disparate Silos & Web Data"] --> D2["Data Cleansing & Entity Resolution"] D2 --> ML["ML / AI Models\nTalent Flow, Revenue, Web Traffic, App Downloads"] end subgraph DecisionLayer["Human-in-the-Loop Selection"] ML --> Sigs["Momentum Signals & Benchmarking"] Sigs --> Human["Investment Team Diligence\nVision, Passion, Selling & Recruiting Ability"] Human --> TermSheet["Investment Decision"] end ```

Despite extensive automation, Kirnos emphasizes that venture capital remains fundamentally a "human-in-the-loop" problem. Algorithmic signals bubble up the top percentile of opportunities, but human investment partners must lead qualitative diligence. Data cannot replace direct human evaluation of a founder's vision, charisma, resilience, salesmanship, and ability to attract elite talent. Once a target is engaged, the platform provides immediate comparative benchmarking against its closest peer set across core operating dimensions.

---

[07:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=454s) Repurposing Platform Data for Portfolio Operations and Market Cycles

The identical data infrastructure that drives investment sourcing is exposed directly to portfolio founders free of charge as a decisive value-add to win deals and accelerate portfolio growth. Founders leverage the platform to gain granular competitive intelligence on market rivals, conduct deep go-to-market (GTM) prospecting, and solve mission-critical recruiting challenges.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Macro Market Shifts and Portfolio Needs subgraph Peak2021["2021 Bull Market"] A1["Capital Abundant\nLoose Spending"] --> B1["Primary Bottleneck:\nTechnical Recruiting"] end subgraph Modern["Higher Rate Environment"] A2["Tech Layoffs\nCapital Discipline"] --> B2["Primary Bottleneck:\nEfficient GTM & Prospecting"] end ```

Kirnos highlights how portfolio needs dynamically shift across macro market cycles: - **The 2021 Market Peak:** Capital was abundant and customer spending was loose. Go-to-market was rarely a constraint; the primary bottleneck to company growth was hiring top-tier technical and engineering talent in an intensely competitive labor market. - **The Higher Interest Rate Regime:** As tech giants executed layoffs and capital contracted, talent availability eased while the mandate shifted from "growth at all costs" to capital efficiency. SignalFire adjusted its platform support toward deep GTM acceleration—enabling companies (such as B2B data platforms) to query the database, map exact corporate tech stacks, and systematically generate high-conversion prospect lists.

[09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) Applying Data and AI to Post-Investment Support: Talent, GTM, and Intelligence

SignalFire applies proprietary data and software to venture capital with a heavy emphasis on post-investment support. All early-stage portfolio companies face massive operational hurdles across three core pillars: talent acquisition, go-to-market (GTM) acceleration, and competitive intelligence.

Recruiting needs naturally bifurcate into two operational models: - **Volume Recruiting (Individual Contributors):** As seed-stage startups grow to Series B and C, hiring shifts from adding one or two engineers to needing a scalable "machine for getting talent in the door." SignalFire services this via scalable, self-serve software products. - **Executive Recruiting (Leadership):** Hiring point-in-time executive roles (such as a Chief Revenue Officer or Chief Marketing Officer) requires high-touch advisory. SignalFire maintains an in-house executive search team staffed with talent alumni from Facebook, Google, and Waymo.

For go-to-market acceleration, SignalFire provides specialized prospecting datasets designed specifically for early-stage technical startups, functioning like a "ZoomInfo on steroids" without attempting to compete directly with broad-market commercial vendors. For competitive intelligence, data pipelines deliver granular market analysis to help founders allocate capital efficiently.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: SignalFire Post-Investment Support Architecture subgraph Talent["Talent Acquisition"] A["Volume IC Hiring"] --> B["Self-Serve Software Platform"] C["Executive Search"] --> D["White-Glove In-House Team"] end

subgraph Growth["Commercial Intelligence"] E["Proprietary Technical Graph"] --> F["Targeted GTM Prospecting"] G["Granular Market Signals"] --> H["Competitive Intelligence"] end ```

- **Uber vs. Lyft Case Study:** During Uber's market battles with Lyft, market dynamics varied drastically by geography (e.g., Lyft maintained high strength in Los Angeles compared to New York). SignalFire used granular data to slice and dice rider revenue, retention rates, and customer lifetime value (LTV) across specific metropolitan areas, allowing Uber to optimize marketing and customer acquisition spend.

---

[12:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=770s) The Pitfall of Traditional VC: Eliminating Portfolio Orphanage

In traditional venture capital firms, platform support is delivered entirely manually. As a consequence, portfolio expansion directly degrades service quality: a team of 10 recruiters can provide deep support when managing 10 companies, but the model collapses when the portfolio scales to 100 companies. Traditional firms are forced to triage resources, allocating human capital exclusively to top-performing breakout investments while neglecting struggling bets.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Scalable vs Traditional Support Comparison subgraph Traditional["Traditional Venture Model"] T1["Portfolio Growth"] --> T2["Staff Bottleneck"] T2 --> T3["Triage Resources"] T3 --> T4["Orphan Struggling Startups"] end

subgraph SignalFire["SignalFire Software Model"] S1["Portfolio Growth"] --> S2["Automated Data Platform"] S2 --> S3["Universal Base Access"] S3 --> S4["No Company Left Behind"] end ```

Early-stage startups rarely follow a linear growth trajectory; they frequently pivot and search for product-market fit. Because SignalFire delivers platform support through automated software and data products, "no company gets left behind" or orphaned during transitional phases.

- **The Discord Precedent:** Discord initially launched as an early-stage gaming company and was effectively orphaned by its original seed investors during lean times. After successfully pivoting to its communication platform, the relationship was fractured, and the founders refused to accept follow-on capital from their original seed backer. - **SignalFire's 100% Pro Rata Win Rate:** When portfolio startups break out and encounter intense multi-term-sheet competition at Series A and B, founders consistently prioritize investors who provided real utility. SignalFire maintains a **100% success rate** doubling and tripling down into its best-performing companies across competitive follow-on rounds.

---

[16:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=968s) Case Studies: Scaling Horizon3.ai and EvenUp

Real-world portfolio engagements highlight how SignalFire blends programmatic data access with targeted technical and executive guidance:

#### 1. Horizon3.ai (Autonomous Penetration Testing) Horizon3.ai provides autonomous, AI-driven penetration testing by using software to impersonate state-level threat actors (such as Russian or North Korean state hackers). The tool acts as a sparring partner inside enterprise environments to expose, remediate, and continuously verify security vulnerabilities. - **Founder Background:** Snehal Antani previously served as CTO of Splunk and later completed four years of government service as the inaugural CTO of the Joint Special Operations Cyber Command (JSOC). - **Hiring Support:** Because the founder already possessed deep access to engineering talent exiting the national security and military sectors, the startup did not need IC hiring support. Instead, SignalFire focused on executive leadership, sourcing roughly **75% of the company's executive team** (including their CRO and Head of People) and directly participating in VP of Engineering technical interviews.

#### 2. EvenUp (AI Legal Intelligence) EvenUp operates within the personal injury legal market, serving an industry of approximately 40,000 U.S. law firms. The platform uses AI to predict the settlement value and probability distribution of personal injury claims by digesting raw inputs such as police reports and medical records, enabling attorneys to benchmark case values accurately before entering settlement negotiations.

[19:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1154s) EvenUp: Transforming Legal Workflows and Scaling with SignalFire’s Talent Engine

In personal injury law, determining the true market value of a settlement has traditionally been a guessing game. While any individual law firm only has visibility into its own narrow slice of cases, roughly 95% of personal injury cases settle out of court. Because settlement terms remain strictly private, no single firm has ever possessed a comprehensive view of the entire market.

Portfolio company EvenUp solved this structural information asymmetry by establishing what functions as an anonymous "data sharing co-op." Member law firms contribute their proprietary case settlement data into the platform and, in return, gain aggregated access to peer benchmarks to understand the real-time market value of any given case. Building on top of this unique dataset, EvenUp utilizes generative AI to draft comprehensive demand packages and reports detailing the facts of a case for judges or mediation panels—effectively automating the heavy labor historically handled by paralegals.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: EvenUp Workflow Architecture subgraph S1["Data Layer"] A["Private Law Firm Data"] --> B["Anonymous Data Co-Op"] B --> C["Market Valuation Benchmarks"] end subgraph S2["AI & Deliverable"] C --> D["GenAI Analysis Engine"] E["Case Facts"] --> D D --> F["Automated Legal Reports & Mediation Packages"] end ```

Despite having deep industry domain knowledge, EvenUp's founding team consisted of lawyers who originally lacked a technical co-founder. SignalFire stepped in to bridge this technical gap using its proprietary talent platform:

- **Key Technical Hires**: SignalFire sourced and placed one of the former heads of data science at Quora to serve as EvenUp's first Head of Data Science. - **Full-Stack Recruiting Support**: SignalFire helped build out EvenUp's entire engineering and technical team from inception through their Series B round. For the first two years of the company's existence, all recruiting was executed entirely through SignalFire's internal tools. - **Valuation Trajectory**: EvenUp subsequently reached a valuation of approximately $1.25 billion, followed by a subsequent financing round at a multiple of that figure.

---

[20:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1252s) Delivering Scalable Value to Founders and Limited Partners

In closing, this operational approach highlights how modern venture capital is evolving beyond passive capital allocation. By building proprietary AI, data pipelines, and scalable software tools, venture firms can systematically solve core operational bottlenecks—like executive hiring, technical recruiting, and strategic intelligence—for their portfolio companies. This model creates a compounding flywheel that not only accelerates startup growth but also drives superior, repeatable returns for limited partners (LPs).

## Notable quotes > [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) if a VC firm were forced to pitch other venture capitalists to raise capital, it would fail the very diligence tests it applies to startups. — Ilya Kirnos

> [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) apprentice industry — Ilya Kirnos

> [02:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=164s) one of one — Ilya Kirnos

> [02:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=164s) one of many — Ilya Kirnos

> [02:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=164s) calling card — Ilya Kirnos

> [05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) human-in-the-loop — Ilya Kirnos

> [09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) machine for getting talent in the door — Ilya Kirnos

> [09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) ZoomInfo on steroids — Ilya Kirnos

> [12:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=770s) no company gets left behind — Ilya Kirnos

> [19:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1154s) data sharing co-op — Ilya Kirnos

## Mentioned Ilya Kirnos, SignalFire, Oracle, Google, AdWords, Gmail, Twitter, Uber, Lyft, Facebook, Waymo, Discord, Horizon3.ai, Snehal Antani, Splunk, Joint Special Operations Cyber Command (JSOC), EvenUp, Quora, ZoomInfo

## Video description Ilya Kirnos, Co-Founder & CTO, SignalFire

Abstracts

Are you wondering how venture capital firms can truly differentiate themselves and provide lasting value in today's competitive landscape? The talk will explore why simply having capital or a data engineer isn't enough to stand out or become a genuine AI-driven fund. I will explain our strategy building a firm specifically designed with scalable software value-adds to ensure robust support for our growing portfolio companies. You will learn what founders prioritize beyond just funding and why operational excellence is becoming increasingly critical for VCs. Attend this session to understand how to build a future-proof venture model that genuinely serves founders and scales effectively.

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc)

中文简报

SignalFire通过自动化创始人支持实现100%后续轮跟投胜率 用自动化数据平台取代人工创投服务,既能避免被投企业遭到忽视,又能在竞争激烈的后续轮次中锁定按比例跟投权。 Ilya Kirnos 深入剖析了 SignalFire 如何遵循第一性原理将自身构建为一家科技公司,以克服传统风险投资过度依赖人工与作坊式运作的局限。该机构运营着一个追踪 8000 万家公司和 6 亿份档案的企业级数据平台,全面赋能早期项目挖掘、严谨的竞品尽调以及自动化投后支持。通过直接向被投企业提供专有的招聘与进入市场(GTM)软件,SignalFire 消除了投后企业无人问津的现象,并在竞争激烈的后续轮次中保持了 100% 的按比例跟投胜率。Horizon3.ai 和 EvenUp 的案例研究进一步表明,将可扩展的程序化工具与“人在回路”的高管咨询相结合,能够为初创企业的增长和投资者的回报带来持续复合的飞轮效应。 前 Google 架构师 Ilya Kirnos 联合创办的工程驱动型风投机构 SignalFire 目前管理约 30 亿美元资产,主要专注于种子轮至 B 轮投资。 (0:04) SignalFire 构建了追踪约 8000 万家公司和 6 亿专业档案的数据引擎,利用机器学习监测人才流动、网络流量与应用下载等突破信号,同时坚持人工参与核心尽调。 (5:25) 该专有数据平台免费开放给被投企业用于获客拓展与招聘,不仅消除了传统风投因精力不足导致企业被“孤儿化”的弊端,还实现了 100% 的优质项目后续跟投胜率。 (12:50) 在实际赋能案例中,SignalFire 为网络安全公司 Horizon3.ai 寻聘了约 75% 的高管团队,并从零帮助法律 AI 公司 EvenUp 组建工程团队,推动其估值突破 12.5 亿美元。 (16:08)

Reading summary

SignalFire co-founder Ilya Kirnos argues that traditional venture capital operates with an ironic deficiency of technology, asserting that firms must engineer proprietary data pipelines, AI, and software to scale sourcing, diligence, and post-investment operational support. Engineering First Principles and the Venture Flywheel (1:15) SignalFire co-founder and CTO Ilya Kirnos, an engineer with backgrounds at Oracle and Google, founded the firm on the premise that venture capital was ripe for first-principles modernization. While allocating capital to cutting-edge technology companies, traditional VC firms historically operated via manual workflows, personal networks, and subjective intuition. Kirnos observed that if venture firms were forced to pitch other VCs to raise capital, they would fail the diligence tests applied to startups due to a lack of proprietary software or defensible product differentiation. To address this gap, SignalFire—which manages approximately $3 billion in assets under management, including an active $1 billion vehicle focused on Seed through Series B—deconstructed early-stage investing into four core pillars: sourcing, diligence and selection, winning deals, and post-investment operational support. Kirnos maintains that delivering measurable post-investment utility triggers positive founder backchannel references, creating a self-reinforcing reputational flywheel that steadily increases win rates on competitive deals. Data-Driven Sourcing with Human-in-the-Loop Diligence (5:25) To identify breakout companies early, SignalFire built an enterprise-scale data infrastructure tracking roughly 80 million companies and more than 600 million professional profiles in real time. The platform ingests external datasets, resolves identity fragmentation, and applies machine learning algorithms to detect early momentum indicators, including engineering talent migration, revenue inflection points, web traffic surges, and mobile application download velocity. Despite this level of automation, Kirnos stresses that early-stage venture capital remains fundamentally a human-in-the-loop discipline. While algorithms surface the top percentile of candidate startups and benchmark them against immediate peers, human partners must evaluate qualitative founder attributes that software cannot measure—such as vision, charisma, resilience, salesmanship, and the personal ability to recruit top-tier talent. Software-Driven Support and Eliminating Startup Orphanage (12:50) In traditional venture firms, operational support relies on human teams that degrade as the portfolio expands, forcing funds to triage resources toward breakout winners while effectively orphaning struggling or pivoting investments. Kirnos points to Discord's early experience as a cautionary precedent where initial seed investors neglected the company prior to its pivot, permanently damaging relationship equity. SignalFire claims its automated, software-delivered support provides universal baseline utility, enabling the firm to report a 100% success rate in winning competitive pro rata allocations across follow-on rounds. SignalFire structures its operational support to bifurcate individual contributor hiring into self-serve software and executive search into a white-glove in-house team. The firm also repurposes its sourcing database into go-to-market prospecting tools for founders. Kirnos notes that portfolio needs shift alongside macro cycles: during the capital-abundant 2021 peak, support focused heavily on engineering recruiting, whereas the higher-interest-rate regime shifted priority toward capital efficiency, tech-stack mapping, and targeted GTM conversion. Portfolio Deployments: Horizon3.ai and EvenUp (16:08) Real-world engagements illustrate how programmatic data access is paired with targeted operational assistance. For Horizon3.ai, an autonomous penetration-testing startup founded by former Splunk and JSOC Cyber CTO Snehal Antani, the company already possessed deep access to technical talent exiting the national security sector. SignalFire bypassed individual contributor hiring to focus on leadership, sourcing approximately 75% of the startup's executive suite, including the Chief Revenue Officer and Head of People. In the legal technology vertical, EvenUp addressed the lack of visibility into private personal injury settlements by building an anonymous data-sharing cooperative among law firms, pairing proprietary data with generative AI to draft mediation reports. Because EvenUp's lawyer founders initially lacked a technical co-founder, SignalFire sourced the company's first Head of Data Science from Quora and powered its engineering hiring through internal tools through Series B, supporting the startup's ascent to a valuation of approximately $1.25 billion. Kirnos concludes that replacing artisanal venture practices with proprietary software and data platforms creates compounding advantages for founders and limited partners alike. However, the model requires continuous calibration between automated signal detection and qualitative human diligence, particularly as market cycles dynamically alter what portfolio founders require to survive.

精炼阅读摘要

SignalFire联合创始人兼首席技术官Ilya Kirnos指出,传统风险投资高度依赖直觉与人脉的手工作坊模式存在结构性缺陷;通过以科技公司形态自研大数据与AI工程底座,风投机构能够将项目发掘、尽调筛选与投后运营全面系统化,建立起可规模化的赋能飞轮。 风投行业的传统悖论与四支柱飞轮 (1:15) 传统风险投资行业虽然向尖端科技公司注资数十亿美元,但其机构自身的运作方式历来缺乏技术支持且极度依赖人工。Kirnos指出,如果迫使传统风投机构像初创企业一样向其他投资人路演募资,它们很难通过自身惯常执行的尽职调查,因为绝大多数机构既无专有软件,也缺乏自动化工具与品牌名气之外的产品差异化。在SignalFire十二年前创立并提议引入数据基础设施时,行业普遍认为早期投资是高度依赖学徒制的手工艺术,坚信数据无法评估仅有创始团队和未经证实想法的种子期项目。 为应对这一挑战,SignalFire将跑赢市场的风投运作解构为四大支柱:首先是早期发掘(Sourcing),在市场普遍建档前抢先发现标的;其次是尽调与筛选(Diligence and Selection),用于分辨企业属于赛道中唯一的领跑者(1-of-1)还是同质化竞争者(1-of-many),例如在早期网约车爆发期甄别Uber、Lyft与其他竞争对手;第三是赢得交易(Winning the Deal),凭借独特的工具与赋能手段成为创始人的首选资方;第四是投后支持(Post-Investment Support)。机构兑现投后承诺将促使组合企业创始人在背景调查中提供强力背书,从而持续推高后续核心项目的竞标胜率,形成不断加速的声誉飞轮。 八千万企业数据平台与人在回路筛选 (5:25) 为了支撑前瞻性发掘与对标分析,SignalFire搭建了一套实时追踪约8000万家企业及逾6亿名专业人士档案的企业级大数据平台。工程平台持续吸纳分散在各类外部孤岛中的碎片化数据,完成数据清洗、标准化以及大规模实体消歧(entity resolution)。其专有的机器学习模型在此基础上不间断分析动量信号,包括顶尖技术人才的流动轨迹与关键工程招聘、营收拐点爆发、网站流量激增以及应用商店下载速率的快速上升。 尽管部署了深度自动化系统,Kirnos明确表示风险投资本质上依然属于“人在回路”(human-in-the-loop)的决策体系。算法模型负责挖掘出排名前列的潜在标的,并为对标研究提供运营维度的横向参考,但无法替代投资合伙人的定性尽调。数据无法测算创始人的战略愿景、个人魅力、逆境抗压韧性、销售推介水平以及吸纳顶尖技术人才的领导力,最终投资决策仍由人类投资人主导。 软件化投后支持与化解项目遗弃困境 (9:35) SignalFire将驱动项目发掘的数据底座免费开放给被投企业,以协助解决人才招募、市场拓展(GTM)与竞争情报三大瓶颈。这种赋能能够适应不同宏观周期的需求演变:在资本宽裕、支出激进的2021年市场高点,初创企业的主要障碍在于争夺高端工程技术人才;而在高利率、科技大厂裁员与资本收紧的环境下,平台支持迅速转向资本效率与销售拓展,帮助B2B企业精准测绘潜在客户的企业技术栈以生成高转化率线索。在招聘支持上,机构采取分层交付:对规模化研发人员(IC)招聘提供自助式软件系统,对关键高管(如CRO或CMO)则由前Google、Facebook和Waymo猎聘专家组成的内部团队提供定制化猎聘。 这种软件化投后模式解决了传统VC人工交付导致的服务质量衰退难题。传统机构依赖有限的人工投后团队,在管理组合扩展至上百家企业时被迫进行资源分流(triage),往往只向领跑企业倾斜资源,而遗弃正处于业务转型或探索产品契合度(PMF)的起伏企业(如早期由游戏转型的Discord)。通过软件工具的全覆盖,SignalFire避免了被投企业在转型阶段被边缘化,并凭借扎实的运营支持,在被投企业后续各轮竞争激烈的融资中保持了100%的同比例跟投(pro rata)成功率。 标杆案例:Horizon3与EvenUp的赋能 (16:08) SignalFire的技术赋能模式在具体企业中展现了针对性成效。自主AI网络渗透测试平台Horizon3.ai由前Splunk首席技术官兼联合特种作战司令部网络司令部(JSOC)前CTO Snehal Antani创立。鉴于创始人本身具备深厚的军工与国家安全工程人才网络,无需普通研发招聘支持,SignalFire将其投后重心放在商业化高管搭建上,帮助该企业招募了约75%的高管团队(包括首席营收官和人力负责人),并直接深度介入工程副总裁的技术面试。 在法律AI智能服务商EvenUp的案例中,全美约4万家个人伤害诉讼律所长期受困于95%案件庭外和解且协议保密所带来的估值信息不对称。EvenUp构建了匿名的“数据共享合作社”,聚合律所私有和解数据建立实时价值基准,并结合生成式AI自动化撰写法律诉求书与调解报告。面对由律师组成且初期缺乏技术合伙人的创始团队,SignalFire为其物色了前Quora数据科学主管出任首任数据科学负责人,并在其成立前两年的工程团队组建中全盘提供技术招聘支持。EvenUp的估值随后达到约12.5亿美元,并在后续轮次中实现了估值倍增。 SignalFire的实践展示了风险投资从被动资本分配向软件化运营服务转型的路径。然而,构建并维护覆盖千万级企业与人才数据管道需要极高的前期工程研发成本,且非标准化数据的清洗精度与多领域适用性仍是风投行业全面转向数据驱动时需要长期应对的现实挑战。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 该内容由频道 Ai4 于 2025 年 8 月 28 日发布在 YouTube 平台上。视频记录了 SignalFire 联合创始人兼 CTO Ilya Kirnos 的主题演讲,探讨了 VC 机构如何超越单纯的资金供给或基础数据工程,通过构建可规模化的专有 AI 软件与运营赋能体系,打造真正服务于创始人的新型风投模式。 ## TL;DR SignalFire 联合创始人兼 CTO Ilya Kirnos 从第一性原理出发,剖析了传统风险投资极度缺乏技术、依赖纯人工导致的规模不经济与“伤情分类”抛弃转型期企业的弊端。作为第一家以科技公司模式构建的 VC,SignalFire 依托追踪 8000 万家公司与 6 亿人才画像的底层数据资产,将数据智能与投资人决策(Human-in-the-loop)结合,贯穿项目发掘、筛选、赢单与投后赋能全流程。机构通过自助化招聘软件与白手套高管寻访双轨机制,以及精准的 GTM 和竞品情报,打破人工瓶颈并达成 100% 后续轮次加码成功率。演讲结合网络安全平台 Horizon3.ai 与法律科技独角兽 EvenUp 的实战案例,系统展现了专有 AI 与软件平台如何赋能无技术团队并重塑风投价值闭环。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场演讲呈现出浓厚而理性的工程师叙事风格,逻辑缜密、务实且充满第一性原理的思维底色。Ilya Kirnos 褪去了传统风投合伙人惯常的宏大叙事与空洞话术,以平实从容的语调将自身在 Google 等大厂的工程沉淀与投资实践层层拆解。整场分享既有对风投资本“作坊式”现状的辛辣反思,又有凭借数据与软件打破规模天花板的实操底气,带给听众一种风投行业正从手工艺术向工业化软件赋能深刻跃迁的笃定与前瞻感。 ## Key takeaways - [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=4s) SignalFire 是业内首家以科技公司模式构建的风投机构,管理规模约 30 亿美元,核心投资覆盖种子轮至 B 轮。 - [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) 风投行业长期投资尖端科技却极度匮乏自身技术应用,SignalFire 坚持从第一性原理出发,用软件与数据重塑风投运营。 - [02:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=161s) 风投致胜依赖四大支柱:早期发掘(Sourcing)、竞对筛选(Diligence)、赢得标的(Winning)与投后赋能(Post-investment Support),四者协同形成声誉飞轮。 - [05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) SignalFire 建立了追踪全球 8,000 万家公司与 6 亿人才画像的数据平台,坚持通过人机协同(Human-in-the-Loop)做出最终投资决策。 - [07:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=453s) 投后赋能重点随市场周期切换:牛市狂热期侧重人才招聘支持,而在注重人效与增长质量的周期中则转向 GTM 客户拓展分析。 - [09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) 在人才获取上采取双轨制:高频批量基础员工招聘依托自助化软件平台解决,低频关键高管寻访则由顶尖大厂背景团队提供白手套服务。 - [12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=768s) 传统 VC 纯人工投后服务在管理规模扩大后面临伤情分类(Triage)瓶颈,容易遗弃转型期企业;而软件驱动模型能做到无差别长期赋能。 - [16:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=968s) 在 Horizon3.ai 案例中,SignalFire 通过定制化高管寻访为其组建了约 75% 的高管团队,有效弥补了技术型创始人的管理与销售短板。 - [19:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1154s) 法律科技公司 EvenUp 创新性建立数据共享合作社打破庭外和解信息壁垒,并结合 GenAI 自动化生成索赔报告替代繁重的律师助理工作。 - [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1200s) SignalFire 为缺乏技术背景的 EvenUp 团队从零搭建技术班底并引入前 Quora 数据科学主管,助力其估值实现数十亿美元的爆发式增长。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=4s) 工程师背景与 SignalFire 的创办初衷 SignalFire 联合创始人兼首席技术官(CTO)Ilya Kirnos 首先分享了自己的职业背景。他本科主修计算机科学与数学(CS/Math),大约 25 年前在美东读完大学后立即来到硅谷。他的职业生涯始于甲骨文(Oracle)的数据库团队,数年后于 2003 年加入 Google。在 Google 的 9 年时间里,他先后负责 AdWords 基础设施、Gmail 核心及 Gmail 商业化变现等业务。2012 年中,Kirnos 离开 Google 加入一家初创公司,该团队不久后被 Twitter 收购,而他在收购前离职并共同创立了 SignalFire。Kirnos 进入风投行业的路径非常特别——他是以技术联合创始人兼 CTO 的身份入局。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Ilya Kirnos 职业发展路径 subgraph Career["职业历程"] A["Oracle (数据库团队)"] --> B["Google (AdWords/Gmail)"] B --> C["初创公司 (被 Twitter 收购)"] C --> D["创立 SignalFire (CTO)"] end ``` SignalFire 的独特之处在于,它是**第一家以科技公司模式构建的风险投资机构**。目前公司资产管理规模(AUM)约为 30 亿美元,最新一期基金规模约为 10 亿美元。投资阶段覆盖从种子轮(Seed)一直到 C 轮,核心主要集中在种子轮、A 轮和 B 轮。 - **管理规模(AUM)**:约 30 亿美元 - **当前基金规模**:约 10 亿美元 - **核心投资轮次**:Seed 到 Series A、Series B(最远延伸至 Series C) --- ### [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) VC 行业的科技缺失与第一性原理思考 Kirnos 指出风投行业存在一个巨大的讽刺:**风投机构投资于最尖端的前沿科技公司,但风投自身行业却极度匮乏技术**。回溯到约 12 年前 SignalFire 刚成立时,绝大多数 VC 几乎不使用任何现代技术,完全依赖纯人工的线下服务模式。 Kirnos 常常做一个思想实验:如果一家 VC 也像初创企业一样,去向其他 VC 募资路演,被问及那些常规问题时会发生什么? - “你们使用了什么核心技术?”——回答往往是“完全没有,全靠人工”。 - “你们的产品差异化是什么?”——除了品牌声誉(Brand and Reputation)之外,很难给出真正的产品级答案。 尽管当时市场上充满怀疑,许多人认为风投是“师傅带徒弟的学徒制行业”(an apprentice industry),是一门“艺术而非科学”,特别是在早期阶段面对仅有团队和想法的种子期项目,根本无从谈起数据应用。但 SignalFire 坚持从**第一性原理(First Principles)**出发,认为数据与软件必然能像改造其他所有行业一样,深度重塑风险投资。 --- ### [02:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=161s) 风险投资致胜的四大支柱与飞轮效应 从第一性原理拆解,要在风投行业取得长期成功,必须做好四个核心环节(四大支柱): 1. **项目发掘(Sourcing)**:在初创企业刚起步时精准识别它们,并争取成为第一家与创始人对话的投资机构,从而建立先发投资优势。 2. **尽职调查与优选(Diligence and Selection)**:判断标的是行业内“独一无二(one of one)”还是“泯然众人(one of many)”。如果存在众多竞对,如何确保精准押注最终赢家?就像早期网约车大战中,在 Uber、Lyft 以及其他 8 家竞品中挑中胜者,而不是投给如今无人知晓的淘汰者。 3. **赢下标的(Winning)**:优秀公司的创始人往往有多个 Term Sheet 可选,机构必须拥有极其鲜明的价值主张(sharp calling card)才能成为创始人的首选。 4. **投后赋能(Post-investment Support)**:资金到位后全力协助企业成长。这不仅直接为投资带来回报,更重要的是能转动机构的**声誉飞轮(Reputational Flywheel)**。因为后续创始人做反向背调(Reference Checks)时,最看重现有被投创始人的真实反馈;老项目对赋能效果赞不绝口,就会让机构在未来的项目争夺战中更加无往不利。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 风投致胜四大支柱与声誉飞轮 subgraph Pillars["投资四大支柱"] S1["1. Sourcing<br/>项目早期发掘"] --> S2["2. Diligence & Selection<br/>竞对对标与筛选"] S2 --> S3["3. Winning<br/>赢得核心交易"] S3 --> S4["4. Post-Investment Support<br/>投后数据赋能"] end S4 -->|"产生优秀口碑与背调验证"| Flywheel["声誉飞轮 (Reputational Flywheel)"] Flywheel -->|"提升后续优质案源胜率"| S3 ``` --- ### [05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) 数据智能与人脑决策结合(Human-in-the-Loop) 在底层数据与技术能力上,SignalFire 建立了大规模的企业与人才数据资产平台,将原本分散在各处数据孤岛的信息整合、清洗,并运行专有的机器学习与人工智能模型: - **追踪覆盖量**:实时追踪全球约 **8,000 万家公司**。 - **人才库规模**:收录超过 **6 亿个个体画像**,打上多维信号标签。 - **早期增长信号抓取**:监测顶级人才流动聚集、营收快速增长、网站流量暴增或应用商店(App Store)下载量激增等异动。 当数据平台发现高潜力企业时,系统会将其自动上浮推送到投资团队手中。Kirnos 强调,风投绝不可能 100% 完全自动化,核心在于**数据智能与人类智慧的结合(Human-in-the-loop)**。数据负责从数千万标的中筛选出信号、提供横向 5 家同类竞品的量化对标基准(Benchmarking),而面对面感知创始人的激情、远见、融资能力、销售能力与团队招募号召力,依然需要经验丰富的投资人去判断。 --- ### [07:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=453s) 投后赋能:随周期演进的招聘与 GTM 赋能 SignalFire 将其数据资产全免费开放给被投企业,作为吸引创始人入局的杀手锏。这套数据不仅用于投资前评估,更深度服务于投后核心诉求: - **竞品情报(Competitive Intelligence)**:让被投企业看清自己在市场中所处的位置与竞对动态。 - **招聘与人才获取(Talent Acquisition)**:解决初创企业最头疼的顶尖技术和工程人才招募难题。 - **市场拓展与获客(Go-To-Market / GTM)**:帮助企业构建深度客户潜客名单(Prospecting Lists)。例如为数据平台类初创公司精准匹配潜在企业客户。 投后需求也会随着宏观市场周期发生显著切换: - **2021 年市场狂热期(疫情泡沫顶峰)**:资金充裕、客户采购意愿强烈,公司的最大瓶颈在于招不到足够的人,因此**招聘赋能**需求极度迫切。 - **加息与大厂裁员周期**:大厂(如 Google、Meta/Facebook 等)裁员使得人才供给增加,“不惜代价追求增长(growth at all costs)”的时代结束,被投企业转向追求**高质量且高效的增长**,机构的数据化 GTM 获客赋能因此成为最关键的支持手段。 ### [09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) 投后赋能体系:双轨招聘、定制 GTM 与竞争情报支持 SignalFire 将数据和软件深度嵌入到风险投资的全生命周期中,其中最具变革意义的体现之一便是投后赋能(Post-investment Support)。对于初创企业而言,人才获取(Talent Acquisition)始终是核心诉求,SignalFire 将其划分为两大差异化场景: 1. **批量基础人才招聘(Volume Recruiting / IC 招聘)**:针对普通员工和独立贡献者(IC)。在种子轮阶段,团队往往只有创始人与几位核心工程师,多招一两位工程师就意味着团队规模翻倍;但一旦进入 B 轮、C 轮等成长期阶段,持续招聘就变成了沉重的运营负担,企业必须建立起一套源源不断吸收人才的“机器”。SignalFire 针对这种高频、长期的需求开发了专属软件产品,让被投企业通过自助化(Self-serve)工具规模化获取技术人才。 2. **高管寻访(Executive Recruiting / 白手套服务)**:高管聘用(如招聘 CRO、CMO、VP of Engineering)属于低频但影响重大的特定时间节点需求。SignalFire 为此组建了一支专属的专业团队,成员均来自 Google、Facebook、Waymo 等顶级科技企业的高管寻访部门,为被投企业提供极具深度的“白手套”定制服务。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: SignalFire 投后赋能双轨机制 subgraph TalentAcquisition["人才获取体系 (Talent Acquisition)"] IC["基础员工招聘 (Volume IC)"] -->|软件与数据驱动| Product["自助化人才软件平台"] Exec["高管寻访 (Executive Search)"] -->|专属专家团队| WhiteGlove["白手套专家服务<br/>(来自 Google/Meta/Waymo)"] end subgraph DataServices["差异化数据服务"] GTM["GTM 与获客分析"] --> GTMDesc["面向早期技术创投的针对性客群名单<br/>(加强版 ZoomInfo)"] CI["竞争情报分析"] --> CIDesc["精细化多维度拆解<br/>(收入/留存率/LTV 等)"] end ``` 在市场拓展(Go-to-Market)层面,SignalFire 拥有的数据能力宛如“加强版 ZoomInfo”(ZoomInfo on steroids)。与市场上泛化的通用数据供应商不同,该系统极度专注于早期技术型创业公司,能够输出通用工具无法提供的精准潜在客户画像(Prospecting Lists)与洞察。 在竞争情报(Competitive Intelligence)方面,SignalFire 曾投资 Uber,当时 Uber 与 Lyft 在各地展开激烈竞争,而共享出行业务在每个城市的格局截然不同——例如 Lyft 在洛杉矶占据绝对优势,但在纽约渗透率较低。SignalFire 利用底层数据,按不同城市精细拆解两者的营收、用户留存率以及单客终生价值(LTV),并将分析结果共享给 Uber,助力其精准优化在各地区的营销预算投入。 - **批量 IC 招聘与高管寻访定位**:高频 IC 需求交由软件产品自动化解决;低频重磅高管招聘由专业团队进行深度一对一咨询与面试把关。 - **差异化竞争**:避免与会议现场的通用 SaaS 软件厂商同质化竞争,专注技术初创企业的垂直数据与高价值洞察。 - **Uber vs Lyft 案例**:通过区域级数据切片,帮助 Uber 量化各城市的获客成本与 LTV,实现资本与营销效率的最大化。 --- ### [12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=768s) 传统风投的规模瓶颈与软件驱动的“不抛弃”模型 传统风险投资机构依靠纯人工进行投后支持,当投资组合扩张时,往往会遭遇严峻的边际效用递减瓶颈。如果一家机构拥有 10 名内部招聘专员,在管理 10 家被投公司时能提供极其细致的服务;但当投资组合膨胀到 100 家公司时,整个服务体系就会彻底崩溃。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 传统 VC 筛选机制与 SignalFire 软件赋能对比 subgraph TraditionalVC["传统 VC 模式 (纯人工)"] T_Pool["管理 100+ 被投企业"] --> T_Triage{"人工精力有限<br/>启动伤情分类 (Triage)"} T_Triage -->|全力支持| T_Star["头部领跑企业"] T_Triage -->|资源归零| T_Orphan["转型/挣扎期企业 (沦为孤儿)"] end subgraph SignalFireModel["SignalFire 模式 (软件驱动)"] S_Pool["管理 100+ 被投企业"] --> S_Platform["标准化数据与软件工具"] S_Platform --> S_Every["全员无差别赋能<br/>'不抛弃任何一家公司'"] end ``` 在资源受限的情况下,传统 VC 必然会采取“伤情分类”(Triage)策略,将全部精力和资源倾斜给当前表现最好、能够拉动基金回报的明星项目,而将暂时陷入挣扎或转型期的企业边缘化甚至直接“遗弃”(Orphan)。然而,早期创业从来不是一条平滑向上的直线,绝大多数公司都需要经历漫长的探索甚至业务转型(Pivot)才能找到产品市场匹配(PMF)。 典型的代表就是 **Discord**。Discord 最初是一家游戏开发公司,在早期陷入困境时遭遇了种子轮投资者的冷落与抛弃;随后团队转型切入游戏语音与聊天工具,最终蜕变为独角兽,但因早期被放弃的经历,创始人与原投资方的关系彻底破裂,后续融资坚决不再接受该机构的投资。 SignalFire 借助软件与数据平台,彻底打破了人工服务的规模天花板,实现“没有一家公司会被抛弃”: - **全方位覆盖**:无论企业当前处于爆发期还是转型探索期,均可无差别享有平台的数据与招聘产品支持,无需依赖合伙人的个人英雄主义。 - **极高的 NPS 与创始人满意度**:在针对被投企业创始人的股东价值调研中,SignalFire 屡次被评为股东名册(Cap Table)上最具价值的投资机构。 - **100% 后续轮次加码成功率**:当被投公司完成突破性进展并迎来 A 轮或 B 轮融资时,往往会收到多达 10 份投资意向书(Term Sheets)。得益于早期在艰难时刻提供的扎实支持,SignalFire 在竞争最激烈的后续轮次中追加投资(Double down / Triple down)的成功率达到了惊人的 100%。 --- ### [16:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=968s) 赋能实战案例:Horizon3.ai 的高管组建与 EvenUp 的法律科技预测 为了具体展现软件与数据在实际运作中的威力,Ilya Kirnos 分享了两个代表性投资案例: #### 1. 网络安全自动化渗透测试平台:Horizon3.ai Horizon3.ai 打造的是一款“AI 黑客”驱动的自动化渗透测试工具。软件利用 AI 模拟国家级黑客组织(如俄罗斯或朝鲜黑客)的攻击手段,作为企业网络安全防御的“实战陪练”(Sparring partner),主动潜入系统寻找漏洞漏洞并生成整改报告,随后验证漏洞是否被彻底修复。 - **创始人背景**:该创始人曾担任 Splunk 的 CTO,之后加入政府机构担任美军联合特种作战网络司令部(JSOC Cyber Command)首任 CTO,在国家安全与军方体系中拥有庞大的人脉网络。 - **赋能切入点**:他在初创期招募一线技术专家毫不费力,但在业务扩张后无法继续亲自抓销售与人事。SignalFire 全程介入其高管寻访,为其搭建了高管团队。 - **赋能成果**:Horizon3.ai 现存高管团队中约 75% 的人员(包括 CRO、Head of People 等)均由 SignalFire 协助招聘引入。甚至至今,Ilya Kirnos 本人仍在亲自参与该公司 VP of Engineering 等核心岗位的面试评估。 #### 2. 法律科技理赔预测平台:EvenUp EvenUp 专注于美国规模庞大的人身伤害(Personal Injury)诉讼市场。在美国,这类律所数量高达约 4 万家,经常在机场高速路旁投放诸如“遭遇事故,请拨打 1-800”的大型广告牌。 - **核心业务机制**:人身伤害案件极少真正走入法庭审判阶段,绝大部分都以庭外和解告终。 - **AI 赋能场景**:当受害者遭遇车祸等意外向律所求助时,EvenUp 能够通过解析警方事故报告、医疗诊断记录等客观事实数据,运用算法自动评估该案件达成和解的概率,并精准预测合理的理赔金额。这一能力彻底颠覆了传统律所完全依赖人工经验评估案件价值的低效模式。 ### [19:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1154s) 法律科技独角兽 EvenUp:数据共享合作社与生成式 AI 赋能 在人身伤害赔偿(Personal Injury)诉讼领域,长期存在严重的信息不对称问题。任何一家律所通常只能掌握自己所承办案件的局部市场行情,根本无法窥见整个市场的全貌。更关键的是,高达 95% 的人身伤害案件最终都是在庭外和解,相关协议与和解金额数据完全保密且极度分散,整个行业缺乏一个透明、统一的参照坐标。SignalFire 投资的法律科技公司 EvenUp 正是抓住了这一痛点,打造了一个创新的“数据共享合作社”(Data Sharing Co-op)。在这个机制下,各家律所能够以匿名方式贡献自己过往的案件数据,并换取查看同行共享数据的权限,从而精准评估当前案件在市场上的真实公允价值。 除了构建底层的数据飞轮,EvenUp 还深度结合了生成式 AI(GenAI)技术。系统能够自动整合案件的事实细节与参考判例,直接生成提交给调解委员会或法官的专业报告与索赔请求书(Demand Packages)。这套自动化流程直接替代了以往必须由大量律师助理(Paralegals)手工耗时完成的繁重文字劳动,让办案效率和索赔成功率均大幅提升。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: EvenUp 业务模式与数据闭环流程图 subgraph S1["数据共享合作社"] A["各大独立律所"] -->|"匿名贡献和解数据"| B["私有案件数据库"] B -->|"同行数据比对分析"| C["案件公允市场估值"] end subgraph S2["GenAI 自动化交付"] C --> D["GenAI 报告生成引擎"] E["案件具体事实"] --> D D --> F["调解与审判裁决报告"] end F -.->|"替代律师助理繁重工作"| G["大幅提升律所人效"] ``` - **庭外和解比例极高**:约 95% 的人身伤害诉讼通过庭外和解结案,导致真实的案件价值数据被封闭在单一律所内部。 - **数据共享合作社**:律所在确保数据匿名的前提下共享样本,从而穿透私有数据的壁垒,建立起行业级的市场基准。 - **重塑律师助理职能**:通过 GenAI 自动化撰写呈交给调解小组或法庭的案件报告,彻底改变了传统律所劳动密集型的工作方式。 --- ### [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1200s) 赋能无技术合伙人团队:从 Quora 招揽人才到数十亿估值的蜕变 EvenUp 随后迎来了迅猛的业务扩张,但在初创阶段,这家公司面临着一个极其典型的软肋——团队中缺乏一位真正懂行的技术联合创始人。最初的创始团队基本全是由传统法律行业走出来的专业律师,“他们对行业业务领域了如指掌”,但对于如何在工程架构、数据算法和技术团队搭建上起步,却完全无从下手。正是在这个关键节点,SignalFire 的自研软件平台与赋能网络发挥了决定性作用。SignalFire 迅速介入,直接为 EvenUp 物色并挖来了 Quora 前数据科学负责人出任其首任数据科学主管,并依托自身的投后招聘工具包,全程协助团队组建起了直至 B 轮融资阶段的整个技术与算法班底。 在创立的前两年时间里,EvenUp 团队几乎完全依靠 SignalFire 提供的自研招聘软件系统来推进人才招募与团队扩张。得益于技术壁垒与业务的高速协同,公司的资本市场表现极为亮眼:大约 18 个月前,EvenUp 就已完成了一轮投后估值高达约 12.5 亿美元(a billion and a quarter valuation)的融资;而近期更是完成了一轮估值在此基础上实现数倍跃升的新融资(尚未正式对外公开)。 在演讲的结尾,Ilya Kirnos 总结指出,这就是新型风险投资机构的核心进化逻辑:投资机构已不能仅仅依靠资本开支票,而是必须利用自身沉淀的 AI 能力、专有数据资产以及工程化软件平台,在人才招募和运营层面为被投企业提供可规模化放大的实质性支持,唯有如此才能在赋能创业者的同时,为出资人(LP)创造出超额的长期投资回报。 - **弥补核心短板**:创始人均为行业背景深厚的律师,SignalFire 从零协助其搭建技术体系,引入了前 Quora 数据科学负责人担当重任。 - **全程系统化直聘**:EvenUp 在创立的前两年里,所有技术人才招募均直接依托 SignalFire 的自研人才工具完成,一路护航至 B 轮。 - **估值爆发式跃升**:在约一年半前以 12.5 亿美元估值跻身独角兽行列后,EvenUp 刚敲定了一笔新融资,估值较上一轮翻了数倍。 - **新型 VC 的价值闭环**:通过 AI、数据与专业软件平台实现投后赋能的工业化交付,从根本上重塑基金对企业与有限合伙人(LP)的回报能力。 ## Notable quotes > [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) 风投机构投资于最尖端的前沿科技公司,但风投自身行业却极度匮乏技术。 — Ilya Kirnos > [01:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=75s) 风投是师傅带徒弟的学徒制行业,是一门艺术而非科学。 — Ilya Kirnos > [02:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=161s) 判断标的是行业内‘独一无二(one of one)’还是‘泯然众人(one of many)’。 — Ilya Kirnos > [05:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=325s) 风投绝不可能 100% 完全自动化,核心在于数据智能与人类智慧的结合(Human-in-the-loop)。 — Ilya Kirnos > [09:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=575s) SignalFire 拥有的数据能力宛如‘加强版 ZoomInfo’。 — Ilya Kirnos > [12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=768s) 在管理 10 家被投公司时能提供极其细致的服务;但当投资组合膨胀到 100 家公司时,整个服务体系就会彻底崩溃。 — Ilya Kirnos > [12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=768s) 传统 VC 必然会采取‘伤情分类’(Triage)策略,将全部精力和资源倾斜给当前表现最好的明星项目,而将暂时陷入挣扎或转型期的企业边缘化甚至直接遗弃。 — Ilya Kirnos > [12:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=768s) 借助软件与数据平台,彻底打破人工服务的规模天花板,实现没有一家公司会被抛弃。 — Ilya Kirnos > [16:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=968s) 软件利用 AI 模拟国家级黑客组织的攻击手段,作为企业网络安全防御的‘实战陪练’。 — Ilya Kirnos > [19:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1154s) 打造了一个创新的‘数据共享合作社’,各家律所能够以匿名方式贡献自己过往的案件数据,并换取查看同行共享数据的权限。 — Ilya Kirnos > [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc&t=1200s) 投资机构已不能仅仅依靠资本开支票,而是必须利用自身沉淀的 AI 能力、专有数据资产以及工程化软件平台,在人才招募和运营层面为被投企业提供可规模化放大的实质性支持。 — Ilya Kirnos ## Mentioned Ilya Kirnos, SignalFire, Oracle, Google, AdWords, Gmail, Twitter, Uber, Lyft, ZoomInfo, Meta (Facebook), Waymo, Discord, Horizon3.ai, Splunk, JSOC Cyber Command, EvenUp, Quora ## Video description Ilya Kirnos, Co-Founder & CTO, SignalFire Abstracts Are you wondering how venture capital firms can truly differentiate themselves and provide lasting value in today's competitive landscape? The talk will explore why simply having capital or a data engineer isn't enough to stand out or become a genuine AI-driven fund. I will explain our strategy building a firm specifically designed with scalable software value-adds to ensure robust support for our growing portfolio companies. You will learn what founders prioritize beyond just funding and why operational excellence is becoming increasingly critical for VCs. Attend this session to understand how to build a future-proof venture model that genuinely serves founders and scales effectively. [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X0TcxgFvAnc)

Source quotes

[1:15] Ilya Kirnos: 风投机构投资于最尖端的前沿科技公司,但风投自身行业却极度匮乏技术。 [1:15] Ilya Kirnos: 风投是师傅带徒弟的学徒制行业,是一门艺术而非科学。 [2:41] Ilya Kirnos: 判断标的是行业内‘独一无二(one of one)’还是‘泯然众人(one of many)’。 [5:25] Ilya Kirnos: 风投绝不可能 100% 完全自动化,核心在于数据智能与人类智慧的结合(Human-in-the-loop)。 [9:35] Ilya Kirnos: SignalFire 拥有的数据能力宛如‘加强版 ZoomInfo’。 [12:48] Ilya Kirnos: 在管理 10 家被投公司时能提供极其细致的服务;但当投资组合膨胀到 100 家公司时,整个服务体系就会彻底崩溃。 [12:48] Ilya Kirnos: 传统 VC 必然会采取‘伤情分类’(Triage)策略,将全部精力和资源倾斜给当前表现最好的明星项目,而将暂时陷入挣扎或转型期的企业边缘化甚至直接遗弃。 [12:48] Ilya Kirnos: 借助软件与数据平台,彻底打破人工服务的规模天花板,实现没有一家公司会被抛弃。 [16:08] Ilya Kirnos: 软件利用 AI 模拟国家级黑客组织的攻击手段,作为企业网络安全防御的‘实战陪练’。 [19:14] Ilya Kirnos: 打造了一个创新的‘数据共享合作社’,各家律所能够以匿名方式贡献自己过往的案件数据,并换取查看同行共享数据的权限。 [20:00] Ilya Kirnos: 投资机构已不能仅仅依靠资本开支票,而是必须利用自身沉淀的 AI 能力、专有数据资产以及工程化软件平台,在人才招募和运营层面为被投企业提供可规模化放大的实质性支持。

Source quotes

[1:15] Ilya Kirnos: if a VC firm were forced to pitch other venture capitalists to raise capital, it would fail the very diligence tests it applies to startups. [1:15] Ilya Kirnos: apprentice industry [2:44] Ilya Kirnos: one of one [2:44] Ilya Kirnos: one of many [2:44] Ilya Kirnos: calling card [5:25] Ilya Kirnos: human-in-the-loop [9:35] Ilya Kirnos: machine for getting talent in the door [9:35] Ilya Kirnos: ZoomInfo on steroids [12:50] Ilya Kirnos: no company gets left behind [19:14] Ilya Kirnos: data sharing co-op

Original transcript

[0:04] Hi everyone. Uh good to be here. Uh [0:06] before I dive into the presentation, [0:08] quick bio on me. Um software engineer by [0:10] background. CSMath undergrad. Came out [0:13] to Silicon Valley right after college. [0:15] Um I went to college in the east coast [0:17] 25 years ago now. Uh began my career at [0:20] Oracle in the database team and then [0:22] after a few years at Oracle, moved over [0:24] to Google in 2003. Uh at Google I worked [0:26] on uh several things. I was there for 9 [0:29] years uh AdWords uh infrastructure then [0:32] Gmail Gmail monetization left Google in [0:35] mid 2012 to join a startup that was [0:37] acquired by Twitter pretty quickly and I [0:39] left before the acquisition and [0:41] co-founded SignalFire uh and really my [0:43] path into venture capital uh was as a [0:46] technical co uh co-founder and CTO. Uh [0:49] SignalFire is unique in that we are the [0:52] first venture capital firm built like a [0:53] tech company. Uh currently we have about [0:56] three billion under management. uh [0:58] current fund is about a billion. We [1:00] invest across stages uh starting with [1:02] seed all the way to probably I would say [1:04] series C is where we uh kind of tap out [1:07] but really the core of the funds is [1:09] focused on series seed through A and B. [1:12] Um and um uh let me advance the slide [1:15] here. One interesting thing to me about [1:16] the VC industry is um you know there's [1:19] an irony in what we do in that we invest [1:22] in these cutting edge technology [1:23] companies and yet our own industry [1:25] itself is quite tech deficient. If you [1:28] look at most venture capital firms [1:29] especially when we started about 12 [1:31] years ago um most of them used zero [1:34] technology. it was all manual services [1:37] and um you know I always kind of did [1:39] this thought exercise of if I were a [1:42] venture capital firm and I went to pitch [1:43] other VCs to raise capital what would [1:46] that look like you know all the same [1:47] questions we ask our uh startups when [1:50] they pitch us I think most VC uh firms [1:53] don't have great answers to uh what [1:55] technology you use well none it's all [1:57] manual what's your product [1:59] differentiation not really any I mean [2:01] there's reputation and brand is probably [2:04] the biggest on um and so we thought that [2:07] there there was room to use data and [2:10] software and apply it to venture capital [2:12] in the same way that it was being [2:13] applied to basically every other [2:16] vertical, every other industry. Um and [2:19] uh there was a lot of skepticism around [2:21] this about 12 years ago when we started. [2:23] I think the perception was venture [2:24] capital is very much an apprentice [2:26] industry. It's an art. It's not a [2:28] science. And how would you use data uh [2:31] to um to uh how would you apply data to [2:34] early stage venture? Because you know [2:36] what is even the data at those early [2:38] stages when you have a sestage company [2:39] with nothing but a team and an idea. And [2:41] so we approach this very much uh from [2:44] first principles. And when you think [2:46] about venture capital, you can really [2:48] break it down into what I would say are [2:50] four pillars of success. You know, you [2:53] need to do four things well to win in [2:55] venture capital. The first one is [2:57] sourcing, right? You need to be able to [2:59] identify companies as they're getting [3:01] started and ideally identify them and be [3:04] the first investor to talk to them [3:06] because that gives you an edge uh in [3:08] investing in them. Uh the second piece [3:10] is diligence and selection. Right? Let's [3:13] say you can identify interesting [3:14] companies. The next question is okay is [3:16] this specific company one of one in its [3:18] space or is it one of many? All right. [3:21] And if it is one of many uh how does it [3:23] stack up against its competitors? So [3:25] imagine back in the day you're talking [3:26] to Uber, you're talking to Lyft, and [3:28] you're talking to the eight other [3:30] companies in the ride sharing space. How [3:32] do you ensure that you pick ideally Uber [3:35] or maybe Lyft uh but not the others, [3:37] right? Because the others nobody even [3:39] knows their names anymore. Um so that's [3:41] kind of the second pillar. The uh third [3:44] pillar here um uh is postinvestment [3:47] support, but I would actually insert an [3:49] intermediate stage which is winning. [3:51] Right? If you see a company and you want [3:53] to invest in the company, most startups [3:56] um that are doing well have their option [4:01] uh options as far as uh which investors [4:03] to take money from. And um you really [4:06] need a sharp calling card to be able to [4:08] win um and and kind of be the investor [4:11] of choice for founders. And that leads [4:13] me to number three here, which is post [4:15] investment support. Obviously, once the [4:18] company's inside your portfolio, you [4:20] want to be able to uh support them in [4:24] their growth as much as you can as a [4:25] venture capitalist because it benefits [4:27] you directly. But there's a secondary [4:29] benefit to supporting your portfolio [4:31] companies super well and that is winning [4:34] in the future, right? And the reason is [4:36] that when founders are doing reference [4:39] references on you as an investor, one of [4:41] the top things they do is talk to your [4:43] existing portfolio founders. You know, [4:44] founders talk to founders all the time. [4:47] And if your existing portfolio founders [4:49] say great things about you and say, you [4:51] know, Signal Fire promised us all this [4:54] stuff and they've really been able to [4:55] deliver, that makes it that much easier [4:57] for you to win in the future when you're [5:00] competing for that next investment, [5:01] right? And it really starts your [5:03] reputational flywheel spinning as a [5:05] venture capital firm because it makes it [5:07] easier for you to win that next deal. [5:09] And then what when that founder says [5:11] great things about you to other founders [5:14] then you can win the next deal the next [5:16] one the next one etc. And so that's how [5:18] we think about uh kind of breaking down [5:20] venture capital into kind of first [5:22] principles if you will and applying data [5:25] to each one. And so when it comes to [5:27] sourcing um we are tracking something [5:30] like 80 million companies in real time [5:33] um and 600 uh over 600 million [5:35] individual profiles of people um and [5:38] lots of signals lots of data points on [5:40] each one and from a technical [5:41] perspective you can think of us as [5:43] taking data uh that exists in disparate [5:46] silos bringing it all under one roof uh [5:50] organizing it cleansing it kind of like [5:52] the you know the classic data [5:54] engineering problems that uh are [5:56] encountered in dealing with lots of data [5:59] and then we um run ML AI models on top [6:03] to help us identify the fastest growing [6:06] companies, the most talented uh [6:08] individuals and given domains and [6:10] different uh different functional roles [6:12] etc. And that all comes together for [6:14] example for early identification, right? [6:16] And so you can basically say which [6:18] companies are attracting the best [6:20] talent, which companies are growing [6:22] revenue the fastest, which companies are [6:24] seeing a surge in uh traffic to their [6:27] website or in surge in downloads from [6:29] their um in the app store for their [6:31] apps, right? And those uh companies then [6:33] bubble up and then they're handed over [6:36] to our human investment team to kind of [6:38] take it to the next step in the funnel. [6:39] Not all of this can be automated. You [6:41] know, we believe that what wins in [6:42] venture capital is the best of data [6:45] intelligence and the best in human [6:47] intelligence because there's no really [6:49] substitute for talking to a founder uh [6:52] understanding their vision, their [6:53] excitement, their passion, their ability [6:55] to sell, raise capital, recruit, etc. [6:58] Right? So, it's very much a human in the [7:00] loop problem. And so, once you identify [7:02] a company, you can then um take a [7:04] datadriven decision on whether to take [7:06] it to the next stage in the funnel. [7:08] Right? That's where the humans come in. [7:09] and also gives you a lot of [7:10] benchmarking, a lot of context because [7:13] as I mentioned, you really want to know [7:14] as an investor, is this company one of [7:16] one or one of many. Um, and our data [7:19] allows us to basically say, you know, [7:20] for this given company, here are the [7:22] five other companies that are relevant [7:25] that are in that same space and here's [7:27] how this company benchmarks against [7:29] those other five on the dimensions that [7:31] we care about, right? And then of [7:33] course, post investment support comes in [7:36] uh using the same data. You know, if you [7:38] look at sort of our lens on this as an [7:41] investor, uh, when we're doing this [7:43] benchmarking, once the company is inside [7:45] our portfolio, founders like to get [7:48] competitive intelligence on their peers [7:50] in the space, right? So, the same data [7:52] is really interesting to them for [7:54] understanding how they're uh competing [7:56] out there in the market versus their [7:57] peers. Another way you can use this um [8:00] the same data that we have is for uh [8:03] recruiting. It's a huge pain point for [8:05] all of our portfolio companies. [8:07] Attracting the best talent, especially [8:08] technical talent, engineering talent is [8:10] a huge pain point. And then go to market [8:12] is another huge pain point that we've [8:14] seen. And you know, these things vary [8:16] with market cycles. If you think back, I [8:18] don't know 2021, you know, the uh as we [8:22] kind of in retrospect now know kind of [8:24] like the peak of the covid bubble, you [8:25] know, the the number one pain point in [8:27] our portfolio was attracting great [8:29] talent. Companies had plenty of capital. [8:32] uh customers were spending money freely. [8:34] You know, sales go to market was not the [8:36] biggest concern. The biggest um uh uh [8:38] bottleneck to growth was getting enough [8:40] people in the door, getting talent in [8:42] the door. So, there was a lot of demand [8:44] for talent and recruiting. Now, fast [8:45] forward just a couple of years was [8:47] rising interest rates. What happened [8:49] was, you know, companies started having [8:51] layoffs. You know, Google had layoffs, [8:52] Facebook laid people off, talent became [8:55] more plentiful. All of a sudden the [8:56] needs of our portfolio shifted and it [8:59] became much more um important to be [9:01] growing fast but efficiently. It was no [9:03] longer growth at all costs. And so to [9:05] the extent that we could help our [9:07] companies grow more efficiently uh using [9:09] our data that became super important. [9:11] And so we have offerings to our [9:13] portfolio and this is by the way this is [9:15] all free of charge. This is how we [9:17] compete and win. Um you know we say if [9:19] you go with signal fire you get access [9:21] to all this data to all these tools. So [9:23] we provided go to market support. For [9:24] example, you can uh build a prospecting [9:27] list using our data and go really [9:29] deeply. Let's say you are a uh data uh [9:32] data platform company, right? You want [9:34] to understand which companies are [9:35] growing their data science teams the [9:37] fastest. We can give you uh that [9:39] information. We have that data, right? [9:41] And so this is how we think about [9:43] applying data and software to venture [9:45] capital. And one of the things that I [9:47] want to delve deeper into is and I [9:49] started talking about this a little bit [9:50] is this um post-investment support. And [9:53] you can see that you know there are [9:55] really a a a few key areas where all of [9:58] our companies have um tremendous needs. [10:00] You know for talent acquisition you can [10:02] think of that as falling into two [10:04] buckets. One is what I would call volume [10:06] recruiting. You know individual [10:08] contributors where you're constantly [10:09] having to recruit. And in some ways the [10:12] bigger you get the more of a pain point [10:14] this becomes when you're a sestage [10:16] company when you have just the founders [10:18] and maybe the initial engineers uh you [10:20] know getting one or two engineers more [10:22] doubles the size of your engineering [10:23] team you don't need to hire an army as [10:25] you get to the series B series C growth [10:28] stage you need to be creating you know a [10:30] machine for getting talent in the door [10:32] because it's a continuous need um then [10:34] there's executive recruiting right and [10:37] so I I'd say that's more of a white [10:38] glove service where you're not always [10:41] having to hire a new CRO or a new CMO. [10:44] That's a much more point in time need. [10:46] And for that, we actually have a [10:48] separate team that does more white glove [10:50] services. So, the volume uh recruiting [10:52] goes through our products. It's more [10:54] self-s serve because it's a constant [10:56] need. Um and it's uh it's something that [10:59] you you need to be able to scale. And so [11:01] products make sense there. For something [11:03] that's more white glove, we have a team [11:05] that comes from, you know, the executive [11:08] search team at Facebook and Google and [11:11] Whimo, etc. that helps our companies [11:13] think think through hiring their next uh [11:15] executive talent. Uh go to market. I [11:18] mentioned uh we look at uh think of the [11:21] data that we have as a little bit maybe [11:23] like uh Zoom info on steroids, right? We [11:25] are very specialized to early stage [11:28] startups in technical areas. And so we [11:31] can give them data and prospecting lists [11:33] and insights that they can't get out of [11:35] a generic solution out there in the [11:37] market. And we think about that all the [11:38] time because we don't want to go out and [11:40] compete with the myriad of vendors, some [11:44] of whom are at this conference. We want [11:46] to really focus on the things that we're [11:47] best at and that's where we really uh [11:49] kind of pinpoint our efforts. And then [11:53] uh I mentioned competitive intelligence. [11:55] You know if you were we were investors [11:57] in Uber, right? If you think about who [12:00] Uber was competing with day-to-day on [12:02] the ride sharing side, it was Lyft [12:04] companies like Lyft, right? And that [12:06] competition took the form of kind of [12:09] every market was its own entity, right? [12:12] Lyft in LA was very different from Lyft [12:14] in New York. You know, LA was a huge [12:16] area of strength for for Lyft. They [12:18] weren't as as prevalent in New York, for [12:20] example. And so using our data, we were [12:22] able to slice and dice kind of the the [12:25] revenue and the retention and the [12:27] customer uh lifetime value of um of a [12:31] rider by all these cities and share it [12:34] with Uber, our portfolio company, to [12:36] enable them to grow more efficiently and [12:38] figure out how to spend their marketing [12:40] dollars in these different geos. Um and [12:43] so um I know we're kind of uh running up [12:46] on time, so let me kind of keep going [12:48] here. Uh so one of the advantages that [12:50] you have here is with traditional VC [12:52] because everything is manual in some [12:54] ways the more portfolio companies a [12:57] venture capital firm gets the worse the [13:00] service is for any one company right if [13:03] you have let's say 10 recruiters on [13:05] staff that works great when you have 10 [13:07] portfolio companies because you can [13:08] really dedicate time and uh dive deep [13:11] into each one. when your portfolio grows [13:14] to 100 companies, all of a sudden that [13:16] breaks everything, right? And what [13:18] happens in most traditional venture [13:20] capital firms is you begin to triage. [13:22] You say, "Okay, this company is doing [13:25] really well. It's going to move the [13:26] needle on our portfolio. It's going to [13:28] be a driver of returns for us. Let's [13:30] focus all our efforts on that." And that [13:32] makes sense. You know, rationally, it [13:34] makes sense for traditional venture [13:36] firms to do that. However, what um we've [13:39] seen in our model is when you are able [13:41] to deliver support that scales uh [13:44] through products, through data, through [13:46] software, it means that no company gets [13:49] left behind. And one interesting thing [13:51] about the early stage of uh stages of [13:53] investing is uh companies pivot a lot. [13:58] You know, it's rare that a company sort [14:00] of goes in a straight line all the way [14:02] up. A lot of companies take some time to [14:04] get to product market fit, maybe pivot, [14:06] etc. And what this means is no companies [14:09] get orphaned. You know, in a traditional [14:10] venture firm model because you're [14:12] focused on the companies that are [14:13] performing the best, you tend to orphan [14:16] the companies that are struggling, [14:17] right? And those companies that are [14:18] struggling today may be uh uh the next [14:22] stars of tomorrow. And there are all [14:23] kinds of examples of companies like [14:25] that. For example, you know, if you look [14:27] at Discord, uh started out as a gaming [14:29] company, right? was orphaned by their [14:32] original investors. Then they pivoted [14:34] into chat uh kind of what they're known [14:37] for today and they that relationship was [14:40] fractured. You know, they never took [14:41] money from that seed investor again [14:43] because they felt like they'd been [14:44] abandoned when tough uh when times were [14:46] tough initially. That doesn't happen in [14:48] our model because every company feels [14:50] the love from Signal Fire because it's [14:52] scalable. our services are scalable and [14:55] you know we don't need to perform [14:56] individual heroics uh kind of manually [14:58] to be able to support our portfolio. [15:02] Uh as a result uh we get really high [15:05] marks from our portfolio. you know, we [15:06] do these surveys and try to understand, [15:08] ask them who's the most um valuable [15:11] investor on your cap table and we get [15:13] really high marks and one of the uh kind [15:16] of best ways that we track this is when [15:19] companies perform uh what happens is [15:21] they get a lot of investor interest. You [15:23] know, we've had any number of companies [15:24] that have broken out and on their you [15:27] know, when we lead the seed round and [15:29] they're raising their series A or their [15:30] series B, you know, they get 10 term [15:32] sheets, right? and we would love to [15:34] deploy more capital into the company [15:36] when it's performing. Uh you have all [15:38] this competition. Well, what happens is [15:40] if you've delivered for the company, [15:41] they will gladly take your money and if [15:43] you haven't, if your promises have gone [15:45] unfulfilled, they probably will go with [15:47] a different investor. And uh we have [15:50] never failed as a firm, 100% success [15:52] rate, doubling and tripling down into [15:54] our best performing companies in the [15:56] most uh competitive rounds. Um and that [15:59] really to me speaks to the our ability [16:02] to deliver value to these companies [16:04] through data software at scale. Um and [16:08] uh maybe a couple of uh in in closing a [16:10] couple of specific examples of companies [16:12] where we've been able to sort of uh [16:14] supercharge their growth. Uh the first [16:17] one I want to talk about talk about is [16:18] Horizon 3.ai. This company you can think [16:21] of it as an AI hacker. It's an AIdriven [16:24] penetration testing company. And what [16:25] they do is basically using software and [16:28] um and AI, they impersonate a state [16:32] level attacker, right? And so think of [16:34] them as a sparring partner for your [16:36] security posture. You know, you let them [16:38] loose in your environment. They go out, [16:40] find weaknesses much like a uh Russian [16:43] or a North Korean hacker might, and then [16:46] come back to you and report on the gaps [16:47] they have found, allowing you to fix [16:50] those gaps and then verify that they've [16:52] been fixed and they stay fixed. Right? [16:54] So this this company is interesting. The [16:56] founder of this company was previously [16:58] the CTO of Splunk. Then he went into uh [17:02] government service for about four years [17:04] and was the first CTO of JOCK which is [17:07] the joint special operations cyber [17:09] command. Um so he had a deep network in [17:11] cyber security had a lot of access to [17:14] talent from the national security [17:16] community. As they were leaving the [17:18] military he was able to get them into [17:21] Horizon 3. So in his case, he didn't [17:23] necessarily have a need for uh [17:26] individual contributor recruiting in [17:28] those initial stages because he had a [17:29] great network and access to talent. But [17:32] what he did need as the company evolved [17:33] was executive recruiting. Right? As the [17:36] company scaled up, he was no longer able [17:38] to do all the selling himself. We needed [17:40] to recruit a CRO. Um as the company [17:43] scaled up, he no longer was able to take [17:45] care of all the HR issues himself. We [17:47] need to find a a head of people, right? [17:49] And so, uh, if you look at his executive [17:52] team today, the company's executive team [17:54] today, uh, you're looking at, you know, [17:57] a team that was probably 75%, [18:01] uh, recruited through signal fires help. [18:04] And to this day, I still help interview. [18:06] So, right now, we're uh, looking for VP [18:08] engineering, for example, and I'm sort [18:10] of in the interviews doing those [18:11] interviews for the company. Now, in the [18:13] case of Evenup, uh, the situation was a [18:15] little bit different. So, Evenup is in [18:17] the legal space. They sell to personal [18:19] injury law firms. I'm sure many of you [18:22] as you took your Ubers or taxis from the [18:25] airport, saw those billboards up uh on [18:27] on the highway, you know, injured, call [18:30] 1800, better call Solid or whatever, you [18:32] know, the these injury law firms. Turns [18:34] out it's a huge industry in the United [18:36] States, about 40,000 law firms, [18:38] something like that. And what this [18:39] company does is it allows these law [18:42] firms to put a predicted value on a [18:46] case, right? So when you walk in the [18:48] door and you say, you know, I was riding [18:50] my bike and this uh, you know, bad guy [18:52] Ilia hit me with his car and now, you [18:54] know, I have pain and suffering. He owes [18:56] me a billion dollars. Right? Most of [18:58] these cases are settled. And looking at [19:00] the facts, kind of the police report, [19:01] the medical medical report, the in [19:04] personal injury firm will put a [19:07] probability on the likelihood that [19:09] you'll settle and not go to trial and [19:12] also what the likely amount of the [19:14] settlement will be. Well, any one [19:16] personal injury law firm has their [19:19] slice, their view of the market, but [19:21] they don't know the overall market. And [19:23] because this data is private, 95% of [19:26] cases settle out of court, no one has a [19:28] great view on the to totality of cases. [19:31] So what evenup has started uh has [19:33] enabled is effectively think of it as a [19:35] data sharing co-op where law firms they [19:38] contribute anonymously their data and [19:40] they're able to access their peers data [19:43] to understand the value current current [19:45] market value of a case and then uh this [19:48] company uses Genai to actually generate [19:50] the report that goes in front of a [19:52] mediation panel or a judge uh with the [19:55] facts of the case and really replaces [19:57] the labor of what parallegals would have [19:59] to do in the [20:00] Um, and so the company has been growing [20:02] super fast, but what was interesting [20:03] about it is the company didn't really [20:06] have a technical co-founder when they [20:07] started. Uh, it was a bunch of lawyers [20:10] kind of coming out of the industry. So, [20:11] they knew the domain super well, but [20:13] what they needed was help on um on the [20:15] technical side and talent uh and help on [20:17] recruiting their technical talent. And [20:19] so one of the first things we did was we [20:21] recruited um uh one of the heads of data [20:24] science of Quora as the first head of [20:26] data science for this company and then [20:27] helped them recruit their entire [20:29] technical team all the way through their [20:30] series B. You know this is a company [20:32] that recently or maybe uh 18 months ago [20:35] raised about uh a billion and a quarter [20:38] valuation. There's another round that [20:40] has not been announced that's been [20:41] raised that's a multiple of that. So [20:43] this company is doing very well. And so [20:45] the you know for the first two years of [20:46] their existence they were doing all the [20:48] recruiting through the tools that we [20:50] provided to them. Right? So um I know [20:52] I'm up on time super quickly. Uh thank [20:54] you for your time. Uh hopefully that [20:56] gives you a little bit of insight into [20:57] how venture capital works um and how [21:00] we're able to leverage AI data software [21:02] to uh really deliver value to our [21:05] companies and uh deliver value to our [21:07] limited partners, our investors as well [21:09] and provide great returns. Thank you so [21:10] much.