Nvidia's Huang Rejects AI Pause as China Eyes 2030 Lithography Parity

Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump) — All-In Podcast

All-In Podcast

Catastrophic AI extinction fears are unscientific operational excuses by frontier labs, and regulatory slowdowns will surrender American technological leadership to China as it nears native semiconductor parity.

AI-assisted summary of Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump) — original source. Check the original for full context.

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## Background Published on YouTube by the All-In Podcast on September 14, 2026, this special episode preempts regular programming to feature Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang alongside hosts Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, and David Friedberg. According to the description, the conversation covers industry reactions to Dario Amodei's essay, AI doomerism, sensible regulation, the future of open source and competition with China, Nvidia's capital allocation strategy, and Elon Musk's Terafab, highlighted by a live call-in from President Donald Trump.

## TL;DR Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang forcefully rejects existential AI 'doomer' narratives, framing catastrophic predictions as ungrounded distractions from the routine engineering growing pains of frontier labs transitioning into commercial production. He details Nvidia's capital and infrastructure orchestration across global energy, land, and neo-clouds, while arguing that open-source models and multi-auditor governance frameworks are vital to national competitiveness. An unscheduled live phone call from President Donald Trump underscores this pro-growth posture, branding the safety panic as a hoax and data centers as foundational economic assets akin to modern oil reserves. Huang concludes by projecting that China will attain native advanced lithography by 2030, urging the United States to accelerate industrial execution while asserting that domain-specific superintelligence is already here.

## Atmosphere & style The episode crackles with the high-stakes, celebratory energy of an arena keynote, opening with standing ovations and playful tech reverence for 'GPU Jesus' dressed in his trademark leather jacket. The banter between Huang and the hosts is sharp, collegial, and intensely focused, shifting rapidly from granular semiconductor supply chain logistics to sweeping historical analogies about the Industrial Revolution. The spontaneous live phone call from President Trump injects a jolt of unpredictable political theater into the room, creating an electric, forward-charging atmosphere that blends boardroom gravitas with unyielding techno-optimism.

## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=0s) Jensen Huang frames advanced GPUs as computational 'time machines' that allow humanity to foresee and shape the future early, while Nvidia experiences 97% year-over-year revenue growth. - [01:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=99s) Frontier lab doomerism is largely ungrounded catastrophism; safety and rapid technological progress are not mutually exclusive, and lab anxieties stem from the chaotic transition from research labs to commercial engineering shops. - [04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) Apocalyptic extinction odds thrown around by researchers lack empirical rigor and follow a long line of failed AI catastrophe predictions, such as claims that radiologists or white-collar entry jobs would be eliminated within months. - [07:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=442s) Enduring technology enterprises should be built 'in silence' rather than through chaotic public spectacles; Nvidia strictly enforces quiet execution and keeps politics out of the workplace. - [10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=602s) AI regulation must target real, observed engineering failures rather than speculative doomsday scenarios, relying on sandboxing, runtime monitors, and sound engineering practices. - [13:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=815s) Recursive self-improvement (RSI) is not an uncontrollable runaway threat, but an established suite of modular software engineering workflows like reflection, synthetic data, and LoRA governed by standard verification testing. - [16:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=965s) The AI ecosystem requires both open and closed models—analogous to free municipal tap water versus convenient bottled water—with open weights powering roughly 80% of venture-backed AI startups. - [19:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1173s) Historical revolutions demonstrate that global dominance belongs not to those who invent foundational discoveries, but to nations that most aggressively commercialize and exploit them across society. - [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) In an unscheduled call, President Donald Trump labels AI safety panic a manufactured 'hoax' and calls data centers 'the oil of the next 20 to 25 years' essential to American re-industrialization. - [29:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1759s) Frontier lab oversight should emulate corporate financial auditing, utilizing multiple competing third-party evaluators rather than a single monolithic body to avoid ideological capture. - [31:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1864s) The AI boom is catalyzing domestic re-industrialization and job creation, but abundant and scalable domestic energy remains the fundamental physical bottleneck. - [32:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1973s) Nvidia acts as the 'Bank of AI' by proactively syndicating capital, power, land, and critical supply chains to eliminate bottlenecks upstream and downstream before silicon hits data centers. - [35:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2127s) Nvidia adheres to a platform rule of thumb to 'go up as far as we need to, and as low as possible,' building foundational layers like cuDNN and Megatron without competing directly against customer application layers. - [38:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2330s) Centralized hyperscalers struggle with hyper-local grid negotiations, creating an opening for decentralized regional 'neo-clouds' to secure land, power, and sovereign infrastructure globally. - [39:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2391s) Nvidia operates frontier foundation models across specialized domains—such as reasoning-based autonomous driving (Alpamayo) and digital biology—to solve fundamental industry bottlenecks for partners. - [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) Mainland China is projected to master native advanced lithography by 2030, making any strategy to intentionally slow down American AI innovation a dangerous geopolitical miscalculation. - [44:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2686s) Domain-specific superintelligence is already operational in narrow fields where AI dramatically outperforms peak human capability, including molecular drug screening and autonomous vehicle safety.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=0s) Preempting the Show for "GPU Jesus"

The All-In Podcast opens with an extraordinary preemption of their regular weekly programming, an honor the hosts note is reserved for only three people: "President Trump, Jesus, and Jensen." Described as arguably the most important executive in modern business history helming the market's most critical stock, Jensen Huang walks onto the stage to a full standing ovation from the audience. The hosts playfully christen him "GPU Jesus," marveling at Nvidia's staggering financial performance—highlighted by revenue exploding 97% year-over-year—and the reality that demand for compute is not merely high, but visibly accelerating.

Taking the stage in his iconic leather jacket, Jensen immediately sets an energetic tone, declaring that while the group has convened to dissect weighty, consequential matters, serious topics still demand vigor and conviction. He reflects on his foundational philosophy of technology and vision, remarking that an advanced GPU functions like a "time machine" because it enables researchers to glimpse computational futures ahead of schedule. By bringing tomorrow into view early, humanity gains the opportunity to shape and engineer the best possible version of that future.

- **Nvidia Performance Metric**: 97% year-over-year revenue growth alongside accelerating demand across global data centers. - **Computing Definition**: Framing Nvidia as the industry's singular full-stack "AI factory" platform rather than a mere chip designer.

[01:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=99s) Dario Amodei's Essay and Frontier Lab Doomerism

The discussion moves straight into the tech world's most heated weekend controversy: Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's extensive essay and the sudden coalescing of frontier AI labs around calls to slow down, pace, or regulate advanced models. Chamath Palihapitiya asks Jensen to break down his reading of the essay and the broader industry reaction. Jensen unpacks the piece methodically, separating legitimate corporate concerns from what he views as unscientific alarmism. He stresses that safety and American technological leadership are a false dichotomy—nations and companies can innovate with extreme speed while maintaining rigorous safety standards.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Dissecting the Frontier Lab Narrative accDescr: Jensen Huang categorizes frontier lab claims into legitimate internal operational issues versus unscientific doom predictions.

subgraph Legitimate ["Legitimate Operational Concerns"] A["Whistleblower Courage"] B["Research-to-Engineering Transition"] C["Voluntary Pauses & Internal Governance"] end

subgraph Unscientific ["Ungrounded Catastrophism"] D["10% to 70% Extinction Odds"] E["Scientific Disclaimers Lacking Empirical Rigor"] F["Premature Calls for Blanket Federal Regulation"] end

Legitimate --> G["Internal Company Discipline"] Unscientific --> H["Doomer Hoax & Impeded U.S. Leadership"] ```

Jensen points out that beneath the high-minded rhetoric lies a tension around internal organizational control. Addressing high-profile lab whistleblowers (such as Daniel Kokotajlo and other researchers raising alarms), Jensen commends the individual courage required to speak out, noting that any whistleblower claim must be taken seriously. However, he diagnoses the underlying friction as a clumsy, turbulent growing pain: frontier labs are attempting to transition from freewheeling academic research environments into disciplined, high-stakes engineering production shops. If executives feel their companies are spinning out of control, Jensen argues, pacing and pausing are voluntary operational remedies they can implement internally, rather than conflating management struggles with existential civilizational doom to invite sweeping federal intervention.

- **The False Choice**: Rapid innovation and leadership versus safety and responsibility. - **Root Cause of Lab Anxiety**: The difficult, chaotic organizational pivot from academic frontier research to rigorous commercial systems engineering.

[04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) The Track Record of Failed AI Catastrophe Predictions

Chamath raises the broader societal anxiety created by researchers throwing around apocalyptic numbers like a "10% chance of human extinction," asking how anyone can sensibly explain that to a regular parent or citizen. Jensen responds bluntly: "We shouldn't... because it's made up." He argues that granting scientific legitimacy to speculative, ungrounded doomsday odds simply because the authors hold technical degrees is deeply irresponsible and poisons public understanding.

To anchor the debate in reality, Jensen rattles off a litany of past high-profile AI predictions that utterly failed to materialize: - **Radiology Replacement**: The widely cited expert forecast from years prior claiming AI would completely replace human radiologists within five years, rendering the profession obsolete. The outcome: while automated scan reading has become widespread, the healthcare system needs more radiologists today than ever before. - **Code Generation**: Bold prognostications made just twelve months earlier asserting that 90% of all software code would be fully machine-generated within 6 to 12 months, which has proven false. - **Entry-Level Labor Collapse**: Claims that 50% of white-collar entry jobs would be wiped out in 6 to 9 months. - **Release Censorship**: Historic claims that models like GPT-2 or Llama 3 were "too dangerous" to be released into open circulation.

The Besties compare the doomer wave to the "trust the experts" orthodoxies seen during COVID, where claims delivered with asymmetric authority eventually collided with contradictory empirical facts. Jensen insists the community must hold doom-mongers accountable for their poor predictive track records, reminding the panel that such alarmism actively undermines America's imperative to lead and win the global AI race.

[07:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=442s) Company Culture: Silence, Execution, and Keeping Politics Out

Addressing why lab leaders and employees continuously fuel public hysteria, Jason Calacanis and Chamath ask Jensen about the psychological and financial incentives behind the behavior. Jensen observes that while frontier labs house some of the most consequential minds and brilliant engineers in history, it is a tragedy that these disputes are litigated in chaotic public spectacles. He contends that enduring technology enterprises ought to be built the way they used to be: "in silence."

Jensen draws a sharp contrast with Nvidia's corporate ethos. Nvidia explicitly bars individual employees from speaking for the enterprise, venting on social media after a bad weekend, or engaging in workplace rage-quitting spectacles. Employees enter the company understanding clear cultural boundaries: - **Quiet Execution**: Nvidia focuses on consistent, stable operations where staff can perform their life's work without drama, contributing behind the scenes to the broader ecosystem's triumphs. - **Apolitical Workplace**: Political, racial, and religious discourse is strictly banned from internal company channels and kept at home. - **National Competitiveness**: Nvidia remains strictly bipartisan and a-political, dedicating its full engineering weight to helping the United States and whichever administration is in office succeed.

[10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=602s) Regulation, Frontier Compute, and Engineering Control

The discussion opens on the topic of AI regulation, contrasting Dario Amodei’s calls for sweeping oversight with Demis Hassabis’s proposal for a FINRA-style self-regulatory body. Jensen Huang firmly grounds his position in first-principles engineering: before rushing into heavy-handed regulations that stifle innovation, the industry must master the basics—proper measurement, standardized benchmarks, and sound engineering practices. AI safety research must be translated into predictable engineering systems rather than speculative fear-mongering. Regulation, Huang argues, should only exist to solve real, observed problems rather than hypothetical doomsday narratives.

When examining where incidents actually originate, Huang points out that they almost exclusively stem from frontier labs. This is not due to negligence, but simply because frontier labs command the vast compute clusters required to push technological boundaries. A high school student or an early-stage startup cannot trigger a catastrophic model failure because they lack the necessary infrastructure. Frontier labs are currently undergoing a chaotic, "hair on fire" transition from academic research labs to commercial engineering enterprises, simultaneously building company culture, product infrastructure, and core technologies.

Referring to past safety breaches—such as four notable incidents at one lab and a major incident at another—Huang insists these are standard engineering challenges requiring disciplined root-cause analysis:

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Frontier Lab Incident Resolution Flow accDescr: Visualizing the transition from incident occurrence to institutional engineering control. subgraph IncidentAnalysis["Incident Response"] A["Lab Incident"] --> B["Root-Cause Analysis"] end subgraph Safeguards["Engineering Mitigations"] B --> C["Continuous Runtime Monitors"] B --> D["Sandboxed Environments"] B --> E["Verification & Evals"] end subgraph Outcome["System Stability"] C --> F["Zero Regressions"] D --> F E --> F end ```

The labs have the talent and tooling—ranging from sandboxes and runtime monitors to continuous evaluation harnesses—to guarantee these specific failures do not recur. The idea that researchers would throw their hands up, confess they do not understand their systems, and plead for government intervention strikes Huang as completely divorced from reality: "They have extraordinary people. They got this handled."

[13:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=815s) Demystifying Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI)

David Sacks brings up news from China, noting that the creators of the GLM models at Zhipu AI reportedly raised billions of dollars, allocating substantial capital toward recursive self-improvement (RSI)—creating automated systems where AI trains subsequent generations of AI. While doomers portray RSI as an existential threat that could rapidly spiral out of human control, Huang demystifies the concept, describing it as a sensible and established suite of modular engineering techniques:

* **In-Context Adaptation & Reflection:** Equipping agents with scratchpads, intermediate reasoning skills, and self-evaluation steps. * **Synthetic Data Generation:** Leveraging models to curate high-quality targeted datasets for specialized tasks. * **Reinforcement Learning (RL):** Guiding model outputs through feedback loops without necessarily retraining base weights. * **LoRA (Low-Rank Adaptation):** Adapting weights modularly and cost-effectively prior to baking learnings into new base foundation models.

Huang emphasizes that RSI is simply automating the software optimization workflow inside an organization. The fear of an uncontained recursive intelligence explosion overlooks standard software quality assurance. No matter how many recursive loops run internally, releasing an external product still requires rigorous regression testing, verification, and evaluation gates. As frontier labs mature from experimental setups into disciplined engineering organizations, these verification frameworks will ensure that systems stay tightly governed.

[16:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=965s) Open Source, Closed Models, and the Commodity Analogy

Addressing discussions around Nvidia's relationship with Hugging Face and open-source software, Huang outlines his philosophy on open versus closed models, arguing that an ecosystem requires both to thrive. He makes a direct comparison to public utilities and consumer goods: closed frontier models are like bottled water—polished, specialized, and convenient—while open models resemble municipal tap water.

> "Water is free, you guys. I don't know if I've told you guys, but water is free. I don't want to burst everybody's bubble, but water's free. And this morning, I used a lot of free water taking a shower... You use the right water in the right places."

Closed commercial APIs offer high-end turnkey capabilities, but open-weight models are vital for digital sovereignty, enterprise data privacy, and custom on-premise intellectual property. Huang underscores the sheer market pull of open architectures:

* Over the prior six months, roughly **$400 billion** in venture capital poured into AI-native companies. * Approximately **80%** of those startups build directly on top of open-weight foundation models. * Winning the broader AI competition requires empowering every layer of the economy—researchers, universities, enterprise sectors, and startups—rather than concentrating power within a small cartel of hyperscalers.

[18:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1102s) Open Source and the Strategic Balance with China

Jason Calacanis questions whether it poses a national security risk if many leading open-weight foundation models originate from Chinese labs. Huang contextualizes this dynamic within the historical norms of open-source software development. China produces massive numbers of engineering, mathematics, and computer science graduates from elite institutions like Tsinghua University, naturally resulting in massive contributions to global open-source codebases.

Huang argues that software distribution inherently benefits the user once the code is in hand. Western technology infrastructure already relies heavily on global open source, running universally on Linux and Kubernetes—projects with thousands of contributions from Chinese developers. Open-weight models follow the exact same paradigm: the moment weights are downloaded locally, they can be inspected, sandboxed, fine-tuned, and forked. The intellectual asset becomes the property and operational leverage of whoever adapts it to create value.

[19:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1173s) Exploiting Industrial Revolutions and the Pragmatism of China

Jensen Huang argues that global technological supremacy is rarely determined by who invents a foundational breakthrough, but rather by who exploits it most effectively across society. Drawing a direct parallel to the Industrial Revolution, he notes that foundational pioneers like James Clerk Maxwell, Alessandro Volta, and André-Marie Ampère were all Europeans, not Americans. Despite inventing none of the underlying physics, the United States leveraged and commercialized their discoveries more aggressively than any other nation, resulting in unprecedented American economic dominance. Jensen insists that the United States must adopt the exact same aggressive adoption posture with artificial intelligence.

When asked why Chinese messaging around AI appears far more cohesive and unburdened by domestic opposition, Jensen points to their deeply pragmatic mindset. In China, the discourse is entirely centered on using AI to elevate industrial productivity, advance society, and grow the economy. Nobody there discusses cataclysmic existential threats, civilizational extinction, or "doomer" scenarios. Jensen voices deep frustration with Western doomerism, arguing that it is demonstrably divorced from empirical science and peer-reviewed research. He emphasizes that if genuine catastrophic risks existed, the duty of engineers would be to build tangible technical safeguards rather than terrorize the general public with unscientific apocalyptic warnings.

- **Historical Precedent**: Major electrical breakthroughs originated in Europe with Maxwell, Volta, and Ampère, yet American industrial exploitation captured the resulting social and economic value. - **Divergent Narratives**: Chinese state and industry narratives treat AI purely as an economic engine, avoiding apocalyptic doom-mongering entirely. - **Scientific Foundation**: Jensen argues that frontier lab doomer claims run counter to observable technical research and fail to present actionable engineering solutions.

[21:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1287s) Engineering After Typing and the Philosophy of the Backspace Key

Reflecting on the psychological origins of modern software fear, Jensen recounts his early days as a young engineer. When he graduated, software had not yet taken over the industry; his generation had to physically design and fabricate microchips and computer hardware so that software could exist. Today, however, an entire generation of engineers equates their profession strictly with typing code into a laptop from morning to evening. He reminds the audience that substantial engineering existed long before typing, and a massive mountain of engineering will continue to thrive long after manual coding disappears.

Jensen frequently jokes with Nvidia's own software teams that what they do all day is "just typing." His favorite key on the keyboard remains "backspace," because in his eyes, "the best software is the smallest software." He encourages engineers to minimize bloat and focus on foundational logic rather than excessive line counts. As the hosts begin shifting gears to deconstruct Nvidia's comprehensive full-stack strategy from the silicon layer up, an unexpected ringtone suddenly interrupts the conversation on stage.

[22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) President Trump's Surprise Call: Data Centers as the New Oil and the "Doomer Hoax"

An unscheduled live phone call disrupts the session as Jensen glances down at his buzzing phone and exclaims, "Oh no, this is not planned, but we know who it is." Jensen answers and greets President Trump, explaining that he is currently on stage before thousands of attendees alongside the Besties—David Sacks, Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, and David Friedberg. As Jensen fumbles to switch his device to speakerphone while Jason holds a stage microphone over the handset, Trump immediately roasts him to the roaring delight of the crowd: "The great thing about life is that Jensen can develop the most complex computer chip in the world that nobody can copy for 10 years, but he can't figure out how to put me on the speaker."

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Trump AI Industrial Doctrine accDescr: Flowchart illustrating the components of the Trump administration AI strategy outlined on the call.

subgraph Drivers["Core Catalysts"] DC["Permit Massive US Data Centers"] Capital["Accelerate Domestic Capital Flow"] end

subgraph Stance["Narrative Stance"] Reject["Reject AI Doomer Hoax"] Compete["Outpace Geopolitical Rivals"] end

subgraph Goals["Strategic Outcome"] Win["Whoever Wins AI Wins"] Econ["Reindustrialize Communities"] end

DC --> Econ Capital --> Econ Reject --> Compete Compete --> Win Econ --> Win ```

Speaking directly to the arena, President Trump denounces the entire AI safety panic as a manufactured "hoax" designed by political opponents and exploited by foreign rivals like China to hamstring American progress. He rails against regulatory delays and permitting gridlock that drove Google to pursue a massive data center installation in Finland rather than domestically. Calling data centers "the oil of the next 20 to 25 years" and an asset class far larger than the original internet, Trump asserts that the infrastructure will revitalize struggling American communities and generate vast regional wealth. He dismisses sci-fi takeover fears outright, stating, "the robots are not going to be taking over the world." Citing his late uncle, Dr. John G. Trump, who served as a legendary MIT professor for over four decades, Trump jokes that his own tech instincts stem from strong family genetics. His administration's doctrine remains unambiguous: "Whoever wins AI wins."

- **Data Centers as Infrastructure**: Trump classifies hyperscale data centers as foundational national assets equivalent to oil reserves for the next quarter-century. - **Permitting Criticisms**: Decries bureaucratic permitting friction that forces major tech companies like Google to build multi-gigawatt facilities abroad in locations like Finland. - **MIT Pedigree**: Invokes his uncle, John G. Trump, an MIT professor for 41–42 years, as proof of his technological intuition and common-sense perspective. - **Capital Investment Claim**: Claims the administration has stimulated $20 trillion in incoming national investment over a single year, contrasting it with less than $1 trillion accumulated across four years under the prior administration.

[28:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1706s) Behind the Call: Defying -80 Polling on AI

After President Trump concludes the call to loud audience applause, the Besties express disbelief, initially suspecting the interaction was an elaborate stage bit before realizing it was entirely authentic. The hosts note that Trump frequently calls Jensen at all hours, recounting an Oval Office dinner-planning session where Trump noticed Jensen was absent, learned he was taking a vacation postponed for five years, and demanded aides get him on the phone anyway. The hosts highlight the political audacity of Trump's unvarnished pro-AI, pro-data-center stance: while AI infrastructure and perceived threats currently poll at an abysmal minus 80 with the broader public, Trump openly defies conventional political playbooks by prioritizing aggressive technological dominance over populist polling numbers.

[29:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1759s) Reframing the Doomer Narrative: From National Security to Independent Auditing

Reflecting on the ongoing political and media rhetoric around AI, the hosts examine how the public narrative has shifted toward shutting down data centers and halting AI progress. Jensen Huang observes that the underlying arguments keep moving: initially, the opposition anchored their panic on national security, but once that angle fell apart, the debate quickly pivoted to AI safety. While Jensen acknowledges the valid concerns surrounding safety, he argues that the solution is straightforward operational governance rather than an existential moratorium.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI Lab Safety and Oversight Model accDescr: Diagram depicting independent third-party auditor oversight for frontier AI labs similar to financial auditing.

subgraph Governance["Governance & Oversight"] Auditor1["Independent Auditor A"] Auditor2["Independent Auditor B"] AuditorN["Independent Auditor N"] end

subgraph Labs["Frontier AI Labs"] Test["Rigorous Internal Safety Testing"] Deploy["Model Training & Deployment"] end

Auditor1 -->|"Objective Evaluations"| Test Auditor2 -->|"Avoid Regulatory Capture"| Test AuditorN -->|"Cross-Verification"| Test Test --> Deploy ```

To Jensen, overseeing frontier AI labs should mirror standard corporate financial auditing. Independent auditors do not need to possess deeper domain engineering expertise than the builders themselves; rather, their function is to ask the right questions, verify controls, and evaluate testing protocols. Crucially, he stresses the necessity of having multiple competing third-party evaluators rather than a single monolithic oversight body, preventing any single auditor or interest group from becoming ideological, biased, or "pilled."

- **The shifting narrative**: The initial pushback against frontier AI was anchored on national security; after being dismantled, it pivoted entirely toward safety concerns. - **Auditing framework**: Frontier AI testing should follow the model of financial accounting, where independent evaluators verify that labs maintain rigorous controls and protocols. - **Multi-evaluator necessity**: Having a distributed set of independent evaluators prevents regulatory capture and ensures no single firm or ideology dominates AI safety standards.

---

[31:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1864s) Job Creation, Energy Demands, and the Next Industrial Revolution

Recalling his interactions with Donald Trump, Jensen jokes about how difficult it is to get a word in edgewise during a call with the former president, quipping that he will probably get into trouble when Trump phones him back about the comment. Jensen emphasizes that the core message the administration and the tech sector share is the re-industrialization of the United States. Far from destroying employment, the AI boom is catalyzing widespread job creation across software, manufacturing, civil engineering, and infrastructure.

The foundational prerequisite for this industrial expansion is abundant, scalable domestic energy. Jensen notes that without vast energy growth, industrial growth is mathematically impossible. With venture capital deploying $400 billion into the AI sector in just six months, capital expenditure is driving unprecedented demand for compute and physical data center construction across the country. Addressing local impact, Jensen recounts a recent conversation with Texas Governor Greg Abbott, who urged tech leaders to exercise empathy and actively listen to smaller rural communities when siting massive data center footprints.

- **Venture capital scale**: Approximately $400 billion in venture financing entered the AI industry over a recent six-month stretch, driving massive hiring and infrastructure demand. - **The energy bottleneck**: Jensen notes that every prior industrial revolution required a power breakthrough; without continuous domestic energy expansion, compute and re-industrialization stall. - **Community relations**: Texas Governor Greg Abbott appealed to data center developers and hyperscalers to be good neighbors and work cooperatively with local communities during rapid construction.

---

[32:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1973s) Nvidia's Ecosystem Capital Allocation: Land, Power, and the "Bank of AI"

As the physical footprint of computing surges, Chamath Palihapitiya points out that Nvidia has effectively assumed the role of the "Bank of AI," engineering financial mechanisms and infrastructure partnerships alongside institutions like BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and Cloverleaf to secure land, power, and shell space. Jensen explains that this matches Nvidia's historic approach to managing ecosystem bottlenecks. To build a modern computing paradigm where users can query an ambient digital ether to "ask and know anything," massive physical production capacity must precede the intelligence layer.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Nvidia Upstream and Downstream Ecosystem Strategy accDescr: How Nvidia addresses bottlenecks upstream with suppliers and downstream with physical infrastructure and deployment.

subgraph Upstream["Upstream Hardware Supply Chain"] TSMC["TSMC (Silicon)"] Corning["Corning (Optics)"] Lumentum["Lumentum (Photonics)"] Memory["HBM / Memory Makers"] end

subgraph NvidiaCore["Nvidia Core"] Engineers["Hardware & Software Co-Design"] Capital["Ecosystem Financing"] end

subgraph Downstream["Downstream Deployment"] Infra["Land, Power, Shell (Cloverleaf)"] Finance["Capital Underwriting (BlackRock/Goldman)"] Compute["Neoclouds & Hyperscalers"] end

Upstream --> NvidiaCore NvidiaCore --> Downstream ```

Whenever supply chain friction threatens the pace of deployment, Nvidia intervenes directly upstream and downstream. Long before the recent explosion in generative AI, Nvidia spent years coordinating tightly with key upstream suppliers—such as Wendell Weeks at Corning for advanced fiber and optics, Lumentum, TSMC for advanced packaging, and specialty high-bandwidth memory manufacturers. Now, Nvidia applies that identical proactive planning downstream, assembling the capital, land, and utility interconnections required to ensure compute can be plugged in the instant chips roll off assembly lines.

- **Capital infrastructure syndication**: Collaborations with major financiers like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs help underwrite capital-intensive land, power, and shell requirements. - **Upstream supply chain coordination**: Nvidia systematically engaged long-term partners—TSMC, Wendell Weeks at Corning, Lumentum, and HBM memory vendors—years in advance to avoid physical manufacturing bottlenecks. - **Holistic ecosystem view**: Value creation is not confined to model weights or silicon chips; it spans construction, utilities, electrical equipment, and downstream consumer applications.

---

[35:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2127s) Platform Posture: "Go Up as Far as We Need To, and as Low as Possible"

Addressing questions about whether Nvidia plans to move up the software stack to capture margin—potentially competing directly with model routers, managed orchestration platforms like Amazon Bedrock, or serving layers following its acquisition of Hugging Face—Jensen outlines a strict platform philosophy. Just eighteen months earlier, OpenAI was effectively the only frontier model driving massive volume on their architecture. Today, Nvidia powers an expansive frontier ecosystem, running Meta’s models, xAI's Grok, Google's Gemini, Anthropic's Claude, and models from emerging labs like Physical Intelligence and Reflection.

Jensen explains that Nvidia intentionally limits its ambitions up the software stack to avoid competing with its own customers: "Our strategy is go up as far as we need to and as low as possible." Nvidia invents fundamental foundational software layers only when industry-wide bottlenecks demand it. Had Nvidia not developed cuDNN, modern deep learning frameworks would not exist; had it not created Megatron-LM and Megatron-Core, large-scale distributed training would have stalled. Once foundational layers are established, Nvidia steps back to "let a thousand flowers bloom" so the entire ecosystem can build viable businesses on top.

- **Expanding model ecosystem**: Nvidia's workload diversified from primarily serving OpenAI eighteen months prior to powering models from Meta, xAI (Grok), Google (Gemini), Anthropic, and new frontier labs. - **Strategic rule of thumb**: Nvidia builds higher-level software only to resolve foundational industry blockers (e.g., cuDNN for deep learning primitives, Megatron-Core for distributed scaling). - **Ecosystem preservation**: By refraining from carving out software application slices for itself, Nvidia maintains its role as a neutral, trusted infrastructure layer for competing labs.

---

[37:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2274s) Neoclouds, Hyperscalers, and Structural Market Volatility

When the conversation turns to cloud market concentration and the need for dozens or hundreds of specialized "Neoclouds" to challenge the major hyperscalers, Jensen responds with a surprising admission: he is personally and strategically "uncompetitive." He remarks that Nvidia would be completely content operating within a market that only featured five major hyperscalers, provided the industry's compute needs were being fulfilled smoothly.

However, market realities forced an alternative path. Jensen reveals that the earliest anchor customers for the emerging class of Neoclouds (Nvidia Cloud Partners or NCPs, such as Nscale, CoreWeave, and Nebius) were none other than the established hyperscalers themselves. Traditional hyperscalers operate on rigid, annual capital expenditure and capacity planning cycles. Faced with the extreme volatility and exponential demand spikes of the AI boom, the hyperscalers turned directly to specialized Neocloud providers to purchase external capacity and backstop their own immediate supply shortages.

- **NCP adoption dynamic**: The initial customers driving volume into Neocloud partners were hyperscalers seeking off-balance-sheet or rapidly deployable capacity. - **Planning cycle friction**: Hyperscalers plan capex and data center builds once a year, while generative AI demand fluctuates month-to-month, opening a market window for nimble GPU-native cloud operators.

[38:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2330s) Sovereign Infrastructure and the Global Rise of Neo-Clouds

Jensen explains how the geopolitical and physical landscape of data center deployment has shifted toward agile regional cloud providers, often referred to as "neo-clouds." Because centralized tech giants headquartered in Seattle or Palo Alto cannot easily navigate local zoning, municipal politics, and energy grids across the globe, localized operators have seized the initiative. These regional players intimately understand their individual states, nations, and regional regulatory environments, enabling them to secure land, electrical power, and facility shells far faster than distant hyperscalers. Consequently, Nvidia now coordinates with an expansive distributed network of local operators that act as boots on the ground, securing the physical foundations of AI compute worldwide.

This decentralized footprint directly intersects with the rise of sovereign AI. As national governments realize that compute and power infrastructure are vital strategic assets, many have begun restricting domestic grid capacity exclusively to domestic entities. Rather than being boxed out, Nvidia operates as a localized partner to domestic providers. Jensen points to recent massive expansions, such as Firmus Technologies in Australia, which recently came online with two additional gigawatts, alongside telecommunications giants like Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (IOH) scaling up multi-gigawatt footprints across Southeast Asia.

- **Hyperscaler Blindspots:** Centralized tech giants in Seattle and Palo Alto struggle to orchestrate hyper-local utility negotiations and land acquisitions worldwide. - **Sovereign Energy Mandates:** Foreign nations increasingly restrict domestic power allocations to native champions, necessitating partnerships with local neo-clouds. - **Global Deployments:** Notable sovereign buildouts include Firmus bringing on two gigawatts in Australia and IOH scaling massive power capacity across Southeast Asia.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Decentralized Sovereign AI Infrastructure Strategy accDescr: Visual mapping of how local neo-clouds capture power and land to build sovereign AI infrastructure with Nvidia.

subgraph Local["Regional Agility"] A["Local Neo-Clouds"] --> B["Secure Land, Power & Shells"] B --> C["Sovereign AI Mandates"] end

subgraph Scale["Nvidia Full-Stack Deployment"] C --> D["Nvidia Hardware & Platform"] D --> E["Firmus: 2+ GW in Australia"] D --> F["IOH: Multi-GW in Southeast Asia"] end ```

---

[39:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2391s) Nvidia’s Open-Source Ambition: Frontier Reasoning in Driving and Biology

Jason pushes Jensen on Nvidia's aggressive push higher up the software stack. Between its high-performing open-source Nemotron models, heavy engagement with ecosystems like Hugging Face and Poolside, and open autonomous stacks, Jason asks whether Jensen is gunning for the absolute gold medal in open-source AI and whether open weights can truly overtake proprietary frontier labs. Jensen responds that Nvidia is already operating as the "frontier model in five domains," insisting that the company's software efforts are driven purely by customer necessity rather than a desire to disrupt incumbents: "We don't wake up in the morning try to disrupt anybody. We just wake up in the morning try to help everybody."

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Nvidia Frontier Model Domains accDescr: Diagram illustrating Nvidia's domain-specific foundation models addressing enterprise needs across physical reasoning and biological synthesis.

subgraph Autonomous["Physical AI & Mobility"] AV["Alpamayo AV Model"] AV --> Reason["Chain-of-Thought Reasoning"] Reason --> Fleet["Trucking, Agriculture & Auto Fleets"] end

subgraph Bio["Digital Biology & Life Sciences"] BioModels["ESM2, ESMFold & AlphaFold 2"] BioModels --> Tools["cuEquivariance & Proteina Complexa"] Tools --> Pharma["Eli Lilly, Merck & Virtual Screening"] end ```

Jensen illustrates this philosophy through two primary pillars: autonomous driving and digital biology. In autonomous vehicles, Nvidia developed the Alpamayo architecture as a reasoning-based, thinking autonomous vehicle model. Rather than relying solely on brute-force training across billions of road-driving hours, a reasoning system decomposes novel edge cases logically by comparing them to known road conditions. Because auto manufacturers, trucking fleets, and agricultural equipment makers lack the scale to build complete end-to-end foundation models from scratch, Nvidia provides the foundational open-source stack, leaving partners to execute only the last-mile customization. Similarly, in life sciences, Jensen notes that critical tools like ESM2, ESMFold, OpenFold, AlphaFold 2, cuEquivariance, and complex protein synthesis models like Proteina Complexa would not exist without Nvidia stepping in to fill foundational research gaps for pharmaceutical partners like Eli Lilly and Merck.

- **Frontier Positioning:** Nvidia currently maintains frontier models across five distinct industry domains. - **Reasoning-Driven Autonomous Vehicles:** The Alpamayo autonomous stack replaces purely statistical imitation with reasoning, drastically reducing the required raw training drive time. - **Last-Mile Enablement:** Autonomous foundation models are licensed outward so agricultural, trucking, and regional automotive companies do not have to build proprietary stacks from scratch. - **Bio-Foundations:** Core life-science contributions include ESM2 protein language models, ESMFold, OpenFold, cuEquivariance acceleration libraries, and generative protein binders.

---

[42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) Elon’s Terafab and China’s 2030 Native Lithography Horizon

The conversation shifts toward macro-competitive threats, specifically Elon Musk’s ambitious plans to construct the "Terafab"—a projected 100-million-square-foot semiconductor fabrication facility. Jensen shares that he and Elon recently spent hours dissecting the concept while sharing a flight aboard a private jet with a high-profile mutual acquaintance. While acknowledging that Nvidia designs chips rather than fabbing them, Jensen emphasizes that Nvidia's deep expertise in process limits, advanced packaging, and massive-scale memory topologies gives him tremendous respect for the challenge. While fab construction is notoriously complex, Jensen refuses to bet against Musk: "You can't discourage Elon from doing it, which is one of his... that's his superpower. And once he decides to go do something, it's hard to stop him."

When David Sacks asks for Jensen's evaluation of China’s native advanced lithography timeline, Jensen provides an unhedged projection: China will master domestic advanced lithography systems by 2030. In semiconductor engineering terms, 2030 is right around the corner, and China’s unparalleled capability in rapid, high-volume production means mainland fabs will scale output almost the instant the technology matures. Operating on decade-long product cycles, Jensen views China’s parity not as an "if," but as a foregone conclusion that requires America to accelerate rather than slow down.

- **The Terafab Initiative:** Elon Musk's planned 100-million-square-foot fab project aims to expand domestic manufacturing capacity at an unprecedented physical scale. - **Musk's Tenacity:** Jensen affirms that once Elon commits capital and focus to an engineering endeavor, it is virtually impossible to deter him. - **China Native Lithography by 2030:** Jensen forecasts that mainland China will successfully deploy native advanced lithography within the decade. - **High-Volume Execution:** Because China excels at rapid high-volume manufacturing, the transition from functional lithography tools to mass-scale mainland fab output will occur almost immediately. - **The American Imperative:** Given China's rapid progress, Jensen warns that "slowing down is definitely the wrong strategy"—the United States must actively "speedrun" innovation.

---

[44:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2686s) Superintelligence in the Real World and a Call to Unity

As the conversation concludes, Jason brings up the transition from artificial general intelligence (AGI) to superintelligence. Jensen counters that by any practical measure, domain-specific superintelligence is already here. Evaluating superintelligence as a broad, monolithic omni-capability misses how utility actually works in the physical world: "My self-driving car—I don't want you to make me an omelette, I just want you to drive the car." When an autonomous vehicle operates with one-tenth the accident rate of an attentive human driver, or an AI model performs virtual molecular screening and synthesizes novel therapeutic proteins beyond the ability of human chemists, that system is already operating at a superhuman level.

Jensen reflects warmly on being stationed at the absolute frontier of human progress. He dismisses early retirement or resting on his laurels, joking about peers who might otherwise go out and "ride the bike," explaining that the current transformation is simply too captivating to abandon. He closes with an impassioned plea to lower the temperature around AI panic, abandon alarmist doomer narratives, and rally the entire country behind the technology.

- **Narrow Superintelligence Defined:** Superintelligence is already operational in narrow verticals where machines vastly exceed peak human capability, such as autonomous safety metrics and molecular drug design. - **Accident Reduction:** Modern autonomous reasoning systems consistently demonstrate one-tenth the crash and fatality rates of human drivers. - **Dismissing Retirement:** Jensen stresses that despite having the financial freedom to step away, working on AI at this historical inflection point is "too good not to be" actively involved. - **A Call to De-escalate:** Jensen urges the tech industry and political leaders to tone down internal drama, focus on the monumental work being built, and ensure that all of America moves forward together.

## Notable quotes > [04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) We shouldn't... because it's made up. — Jensen Huang

> [10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=602s) They have extraordinary people. They got this handled. — Jensen Huang

> [16:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=965s) Water is free, you guys. I don't know if I've told you guys, but water is free. And this morning, I used a lot of free water taking a shower... You use the right water in the right places. — Jensen Huang

> [21:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1287s) the best software is the smallest software. — Jensen Huang

> [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) The great thing about life is that Jensen can develop the most complex computer chip in the world that nobody can copy for 10 years, but he can't figure out how to put me on the speaker. — Donald Trump

> [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) the robots are not going to be taking over the world. — Donald Trump

> [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) Whoever wins AI wins. — Donald Trump

> [35:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2127s) Our strategy is go up as far as we need to and as low as possible. — Jensen Huang

> [39:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2391s) We don't wake up in the morning try to disrupt anybody. We just wake up in the morning try to help everybody. — Jensen Huang

> [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) You can't discourage Elon from doing it, which is one of his... that's his superpower. And once he decides to go do something, it's hard to stop him. — Jensen Huang

> [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) slowing down is definitely the wrong strategy — Jensen Huang

> [44:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2686s) My self-driving car—I don't want you to make me an omelette, I just want you to drive the car. — Jensen Huang

## Mentioned Jensen Huang, Donald Trump, Dario Amodei, Daniel Kokotajlo, Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks, David Friedberg, Demis Hassabis, James Clerk Maxwell, Alessandro Volta, André-Marie Ampère, John G. Trump, Greg Abbott, Wendell Weeks, Elon Musk, Nvidia, Anthropic, All-In Podcast, Hugging Face, Zhipu AI, Tsinghua University, Google, MIT, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Cloverleaf, TSMC, Corning, Lumentum, OpenAI, Meta, xAI, Physical Intelligence, Reflection, Nscale, CoreWeave, Nebius, Firmus Technologies, Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (IOH), Eli Lilly, Merck, Amazon, GPT-2, Llama 3, GLM, LoRA, Linux, Kubernetes, cuDNN, Megatron-LM, Megatron-Core, Nemotron, Alpamayo, ESM2, ESMFold, AlphaFold 2, OpenFold, cuEquivariance, Proteina Complexa, Terafab, Gemini, Claude, Grok

## Video description (0:00) Jensen Huang joins The Besties! (1:39) Thoughts on Dario's blog, Frontier Labs calling to slow down AI, and Doomer psychology (9:58) Sensible AI regulation and RSI (16:05) Hugging Face acquisition, future of Open Source, and the race with China (22:58) President Trump calls in live to discuss the Doomer Hoax (31:29) The AI boom and Nvidia's capital allocation strategy (40:21) Nvidia's Open Source model ambitions, thoughts on Elon's Terafab

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[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA)

中文简报

英伟达黄仁勋拒绝暂停AI发展:中国放眼2030年实现光刻技术对等 对AI毁灭性灭绝的担忧是前沿实验室不科学的运营借口,且随着中国本土半导体逐渐接近对等水平,监管导致的放缓将把美国的技术领导地位拱手让给中国。 英伟达CEO黄仁勋坚决反对有关AI生存威胁的“末日论”,认为灾难性预测毫无根据,掩盖了前沿实验室向商业化生产转型过程中的常规工程阵痛。他详细阐述了英伟达在全球能源、土地和新型云领域的资本与基础设施布局,同时指出开源模型和多重审计治理框架对国家竞争力至关重要。唐纳德·特朗普总统的一通突发现场连线进一步印证了这种支持增长的姿态,他将安全恐慌斥为骗局,并将数据中心视作堪比现代石油储备的基础经济资产。黄仁勋最后预测,中国将在2030年实现本土先进光刻技术的对等,并敦促美国加快产业执行步伐,同时断言特定领域的超级智能已经来临。 黄仁勋将先进GPU定性为计算“时间机器”,使人类能够提前预见并塑造未来;与此同时,英伟达实现了97%的营收同比增长。 (0:00) 前沿实验室的末日论很大程度上是毫无根据的灾难论;安全与快速技术进步并非互斥,实验室的焦虑源于从科研机构向商业工程实体转型过程中的混乱。 (1:39) 研究人员抛出的末日毁灭概率缺乏实证严谨性,延续了一系列落空的AI灾难预言,例如声称放射科医生或初级白领岗位将在数月内被彻底取代。 (4:24) 长青的科技企业应当“在沉默中”建立,而非依赖混乱的公开炒作;英伟达严格贯彻低调执行,并将政治排除在工作场所之外。 (7:22) AI监管必须针对真实、观察到的工程故障,而非推测性的末日假想,应依托沙盒、运行时监控和健全的工程实践。 (10:02)

Reading summary

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang argues that existential AI catastrophism distracts from solvable engineering hurdles, contending that American leadership depends on rapidly scaling physical compute infrastructure, domestic energy, and open-source ecosystems rather than imposing regulatory slowdowns. Rebutting Catastrophism Through Disciplined Engineering (1:39) Huang dismisses apocalyptic claims—such as estimated 10% to 70% odds of human extinction—as ungrounded speculation, comparing them to past predictive failures such as forecasts that radiologists would be fully replaced within five years or that 90% of software code would be automated within twelve months. In Huang's assessment, anxieties and whistleblower controversies at frontier labs stem from the turbulent transition from academic research environments into commercial production engineering. When operational missteps occur, he argues that companies should implement internal testing, sandboxing, and voluntary pacing rather than seeking federal intervention. To address safety concerns without stalling progress, Huang demystifies concepts like recursive self-improvement into standard optimization workflows, including synthetic data generation, reinforcement learning, and modular low-rank adaptation. Rather than establishing a single centralized regulatory authority, he advocates for an oversight framework modeled on financial accounting, utilizing multiple independent, competing third-party evaluators to audit internal lab controls without ideological capture. Geopolitical Strategy and China's Lithography Horizon (19:33) Huang warns that slowing domestic progress risks forfeiting technological supremacy to geopolitical rivals. Drawing an analogy to the Industrial Revolution—where European scientists like Maxwell, Volta, and Ampère discovered core electromagnetic principles while the United States captured economic dominance through aggressive commercialization—Huang stresses that societal exploitation matters more than invention alone. He notes that Chinese industry treats AI purely as an industrial productivity engine without public existential panic, and he projects that mainland China will master native advanced lithography by 2030, scaling production quickly. Reinforcing this aggressive deployment posture, President Donald Trump joined the program via phone, characterizing the AI safety panic as a manufactured "hoax" that risks driving capital offshore, citing regulatory delays that prompted Google to build data center capacity in Finland. Trump classified domestic data centers as an asset class equivalent to oil reserves for the next 20 to 25 years, claiming his administration stimulated $20 trillion in national investment to accelerate industrial power and compute development. Physical Infrastructure, Energy Constraints, and Neoclouds (32:53) The rapid expansion of AI—highlighted by roughly $400 billion in venture capital deployed across six months—faces a hard physical ceiling in power generation and utility interconnections. To prevent capacity bottlenecks from delaying silicon deployment, Nvidia has taken on the role of ecosystem orchestrator, partnering with asset managers like BlackRock and Goldman Sachs to secure land, utility hookups, and data center shells. Because centralized hyperscalers operate on rigid annual capital expenditure cycles and struggle to negotiate hyper-local zoning and energy grids globally, agile regional "neo-clouds" have emerged to secure localized capacity. Huang highlights that foreign governments increasingly mandate that domestic power grids serve sovereign entities, prompting Nvidia to deploy infrastructure through regional partners such as Firmus Technologies in Australia (scaling two gigawatts) and Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison across Southeast Asia. Open Architecture and Domain Superintelligence (16:05) Huang outlines a platform philosophy designed to avoid competing with Nvidia's customers: the company builds foundational layers like cuDNN and Megatron only when necessary to solve industry-wide blockers, leaving application layers open. He compares closed commercial APIs to bottled water and open-weight models to municipal tap water, observing that roughly 80% of new AI startups build directly on open foundation models to protect intellectual property and data sovereignty. Rejecting theoretical debates over artificial general intelligence, Huang asserts that domain-specific superintelligence is already functional in production. In autonomous mobility, Nvidia's Alpamayo reasoning model replaces brute-force training with chain-of-thought logic to handle edge cases, demonstrating accident rates at one-tenth the level of human drivers. In life sciences, models like ESMFold and AlphaFold 2 perform molecular screening and protein synthesis at speeds surpassing human researchers, providing critical infrastructure for pharmaceutical partners like Eli Lilly and Merck. Huang frames AI governance as an internal engineering testing problem and views rapid infrastructure scaling as a geopolitical imperative. However, this thesis relies on the premise that independent audits and localized runtime safeguards can sufficiently manage systemic risks, while assuming regional power grids and municipal communities can absorb massive, multi-gigawatt energy demands without sustained regulatory or environmental friction.

精炼阅读摘要

英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋与前总统特朗普在访谈中提出,围绕人工智能的“毁灭人类”末日论缺乏科学实证,本质上前沿实验室从学术探索转向商业工程过程中的组织管理阵痛;美国绝不应因虚构的风险而放慢步伐,而应通过大力扩建本土电力与数据中心基础设施、发挥开源与主权生态优势,以积极的产业落地赢得全球技术竞赛。 反思末日叙事与构建工程审计标准 (1:39) 黄仁勋明确批驳了部分前沿实验室高管关于“AI有10%至70%几率毁灭人类”的灾难论调,直言此类缺乏严谨科研支撑的数据纯属捏造,并回顾了以往破产的专家预测——例如五年前断言放射科医生将被完全取代、一年前宣称90%的软件代码将在半年到一年内全由机器编写,以及早期因恐慌而拒绝开源GPT-2或Llama 3等。他强调,实验室内部举报人引发的动荡,实际上反映的是从宽松学术研究向高标准系统工程转型中的管理摩擦;如果企业感到失控,应主动在内部推行暂停或进度控制,而非将其上升为文明危机以寻求联邦层面的全面管制。 针对模型事故与递归自我改进(RSI)引发的技术恐慌,黄仁勋指出RSI本质上由思维链推理、合成数据生成、强化学习及低秩适应(LoRA)等成熟工程模块构成,最终发布仍受制于回归测试与质量验证。他反对设立垄断性政府监管机构,主张借鉴金融审计模式:由多家相互竞争的独立第三方审计机构对前沿实验室的测试协议与控制流程进行客观核查,同时运用沙盒、运行时监控和持续评估工具从工程底层杜绝系统故障复发,避免单一监管实体陷入意识形态偏见。 工业革命先例与中美技术竞赛节奏 (19:33) 在探讨全球技术竞争格局时,黄仁勋援引工业革命的历史指出,麦克斯韦、伏特与安培等电磁学奠基人均为欧洲学者,但美国通过最为激进的工业化开发和商业转化,最终确立了经济霸权;人工智能的发展同样取决于全社会的落地应用速度而非单纯的发明归属。他观察到中国在AI讨论中展现出高度的实用主义,聚焦于提高工业生产率与推动社会经济,完全摒弃了末日恐慌叙事。结合半导体行业长周期规律,黄仁勋预估中国将在2030年前掌握本土先进光刻技术,并凭借强大的高产能制造实力迅速扩增芯片产出,因此美国采取“减速”策略将是致命错误。 前总统特朗普在突发电话连线中亦强调“赢得AI竞赛者赢得一切”,痛批AI安全恐慌是削弱美国竞争力的“骗局”,并指责繁冗的审批官僚机制迫使谷歌等科技巨头远赴芬兰建设大型数据中心。特朗普宣称其政策已带动20万亿美元国内投资流入,将未来20至25年的大型数据中心类比为“新时代的石油”,认为其能够振兴衰退的美国社区并创造巨大区域财富,坚决否定所谓机器人接管世界的科幻式臆想。 能源基建瓶颈与主权算力重塑基建 (32:53) 伴随近六个月内约4000亿美元风险投资注入AI原生企业,硬件部署对物理资源的需求迎来爆炸式增长。黄仁勋与对话嘉宾指出,每一次工业飞跃都必须以能源突破为先决条件,缺乏可规模化的本土电力扩张,算力再工业化在数学上便无法成立;得克萨斯州州长格雷格·阿博特也已呼吁科技领袖在乡村地区建设大型设施时注重社区协商。为化解算力交付瓶颈,英伟达扮演起“AI银行”的角色,不仅在供应链上游提前数年锁定台积电先进封装、康宁光纤与高带宽内存,更在下游协同贝莱德(BlackRock)和高盛等金融机构,为土地、电力及厂房基础设施提供资本承销。 在基础设施交付模式上,面对传统超大规模云厂商按年规划资本开支的周期迟滞,以及各主权国家要求电力配额优先供给本土实体的监管趋势,英伟达转向扶持灵活的区域性“新兴云”(Neoclouds,如CoreWeave、Nebius与Nscale)。集中于西雅图或帕洛阿尔托的科技巨头难以跨国协调本土市政与电网博弈,而分布式区域运营商能够快速落地并满足主权AI诉求,例如澳大利亚Firmus上线超过2吉瓦的算力设施,以及印尼IOH在东南亚快速扩张多吉瓦级别的基础设施。 开源生态价值与垂直领域超智能落地 (16:05) 在模型生态层面,黄仁勋将闭源前沿模型比作包装精美的瓶装水,而将开源权重模型视为城市自来水。统计显示过去半年获风投资金支持的初创企业中,约80%直接基于开源权重模型构建;且西方技术设施长期运行在包含大量全球及中国工程师贡献的Linux和Kubernetes基础之上,开源权重的本地化下载使机构能够自主沙盒化、微调并掌握数字主权。英伟达自身坚持“尽量往底层走、仅在必要时向上延伸”的平台中立定位,仅在行业遭遇cuDNN或Megatron-Core等底层瓶颈时介入,避免与下游客户争利。 针对通用人工智能(AGI)向超智能的演进,黄仁勋断言垂直领域的“狭义超智能”早已成为现实。评估智能应立足于物理现实的具体效用,而非虚无缥缈的万能机器:英伟达开发的Alpamayo自动驾驶架构通过逻辑推理替代暴力模仿,使车辆事故率降至人类专注驾驶员的十分之一;在生命科学领域,英伟达联合礼来与默克推进的ESM2、ESMFold与AlphaFold 2等模型,在分子虚拟筛选与合成全新治疗性蛋白质方面的能力已全面超越人类化学家极限,证明超人类水平的应用已经深入核心产业。 本期对话展现了英伟达管理层与政界保守势力在力挺AI工业化上的高度共识,试图将公众关切由“存在性灭绝风险”转移至破除审批壁垒、扩充能源供给与加速产业落地。然而,该立场对于数以吉瓦计的能耗激增对地方电网构成的现实冲击、万亿资本开支的长远投资回报率,以及完全依赖去中心化第三方审计能否足以防范前沿大模型越轨等核心治理难题,仍留下了有待实践检验的空白。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本期节目由知名科技商业播客《All-In Podcast》于 2026 年 9 月 14 日在 YouTube 平台发布。节目简介显示,英伟达 CEO 黄仁勋做客节目,与主持团队深入探讨了 Dario Amodei 的博客长文、前沿实验室呼吁放缓 AI 的风波与末日论心理、AI 监管与 RSI 技术、Hugging Face 收购、中美开源及科技竞赛,期间特朗普总统意外现场连线就“末日骗局”发声,随后黄仁勋进一步拆解了英伟达的资本配置战略、开源垂直模型雄心以及对马斯克 Terafab 的看法。 ## TL;DR 黄仁勋在节目中犀利驳斥了硅谷蔓延的“AI 灭世论”,指出许多前沿实验室的恐慌源于从科学研究向工程化落地的阵痛,主张以类似财务审计的独立工程规范代替扼杀创新的严苛监管。访谈中途特朗普总统突发连线,直斥末日论是一场让竞争对手受益的“骗局”,强调算力数据中心是未来数十年的“新石油”。黄仁勋系统阐述了英伟达在打通电力、土地等全链条基建瓶颈中的角色,重申其“扎根底层开放赋能”的哲学,并断言垂直领域的超级智能早已到来,面对中国在先进制程等领域的迅猛追赶,美国唯一的可行策略唯有全速向前奔跑。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场节目张力拉满且极富戏剧性,开场主持团队以起立鼓掌和“GPU 耶稣”的戏谑盛赞将气氛迅速炒热,黄仁勋标志性的皮夹克与充沛精力贯穿始终。当台上的个人手机意外响起、特朗普现场接入免提大放厥词又幽默调侃时,现场情绪瞬间被推向高潮,既有顶层政治与商业博弈的震撼秘辛,又有硅谷硬核工程哲学的深度交锋。整场谈话兼具快节奏的幽默交锋与宏大严肃的时代使命感,散发出一种身处新工业革命风暴眼、让人热血沸腾却又不得不争分夺秒的时代紧迫感。 ## Bulletin - [04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) 黄仁勋痛批 AI 末日论纯属毫无科学根据的捏造,指出从放射科医生失业到代码生成替代等激进预言已被事实反复打脸,呼吁前沿实验室通过工程根因分析和沙盒监控自查问题,而非诉诸政府强监管。 - [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) 特朗普突发现场连线,怒斥 AI 毁灭论是损害美国算力基建并让中国得利的“彻头彻尾的骗局”,强调“谁赢得 AI 竞赛谁就赢得一切”,算力中心将取代石油成为未来 20 至 25 年的核心财富引擎。 - [32:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1973s) 英伟达定位为 AI 新工业革命的全产业链赋能者,正从上游 TSMC、HBM 协同延伸至下游电力、土地与机房基础设施,并在自动驾驶、计算生物学等五个垂类打造世界第一梯队的开源前沿模型。 - [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) 黄仁勋直言人类已身处特定垂类的超级智能时代,并预测中国在 2030 年前必然突破自主先进制程光刻机,美国唯一的应对策略唯有全力“加速快跑”。 ## Key takeaways - [01:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=99s) 前沿实验室的舆论焦虑本质上源于从纯科研向大规模工程化落地的组织阵痛,若内部感觉失控应自行减速调整,而非寻求政府过度监管扼杀创新。 - [04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) 历史反复证明针对 AI 灭绝风险(p(doom))及短期岗位大清洗的预测均已落空,行业需要建立问责机制以破除恐慌叙事对竞争力的损害。 - [07:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=442s) 英伟达信奉“在沉默中做大事”的工程文化,严格禁止员工在公司内部展开政治辩论或凌驾于组织在社交网络上情绪化发声。 - [10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=602s) 安全监管应聚焦于真实发生的技术隐患,提倡借鉴现代财务审计模式引入多方独立的第三方安全测试,防止监管机构被单一意识形态绑架。 - [13:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=815s) 递归自我改进(RSI)并非失控自展的黑盒热词,其技术路径涵盖上下文学习、强化学习合成数据及 LoRA 微调,配合严格评估机制完全在工程掌控之中。 - [16:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=965s) 开源模型与闭源模型如“自来水与瓶装水”互为补充,过去半年涌入原生 AI 的 4000 亿美元风投资本中,80% 的初创团队均依赖开源模型构建私有核心竞争力。 - [19:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1173s) 技术竞争的胜负核心不在于技术的最早发明者,而在于谁能最快、最彻底地将技术全面产业化并赋能社会运转,这正如电气革命中美国对欧洲发明的承接。 - [21:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1287s) 写代码只是工程实现的手段之一,优雅的软件往往具备最精炼的代码量,AI 接管基础编码后工程师依然有大量更底层硬核的工程架构任务去攻坚。 - [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) 特朗普突发连线抨击反 AI 情绪为骗局,反对严苛审批将算力数据中心逼往海外,将其视作支撑偏远社区重振和带来万亿投资的国家级战略基建。 - [32:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1973s) 英伟达扮演 AI 世界的基建“央行”,不仅提前锁定 TSMC、高带宽内存等上游供应链,还携手华尔街顶级金融机构共同打通土地、电力和数据中心外壳等下游物理约束。 - [35:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2127s) 英伟达奉行“尽可能向上突破工程难题,尽可能扎根最底层保持开放”的生态原则,攻克底层算力与训练框架后向全行业赋能而非与下游客户争利。 - [37:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2274s) 新兴 GPU 专有云厂商(Neoclouds)与传统超大规模云厂商形成动态共生,敏捷的本地云厂商凭借对本土地缘、电力配额的掌控力正在加速推进主权 AI 基础设施部署。 - [39:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2391s) 英伟达在自动驾驶推理架构以及蛋白质语言模型(ESM2、Proteina Complexa)等垂类打造开源标杆,为无力自研基础大模型的各行业玩家抹平研发鸿沟。 - [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) 中国凭借庞大的工程人才储备与恐怖的大规模制造交付能力,预计将在 2030 年前突破先进制程光刻系统,西方在先进制程上的领先窗口十分有限。 - [44:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2686s) 在特定细分垂直领域(如事故率仅为人类十分之一的自动驾驶及蛋白质分子虚拟筛选),超级智能(Superintelligence)实际上已经提前兑现落地。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=0s) “GPU 耶稣”入场:All-In 播客破例插播与英伟达的狂飙 节目开场气氛热烈非凡。主持人开玩笑称,《All-In》播客为此破例中断了常规节目排期,而历史上能让他们这么做的只有三个人:“特朗普总统、耶稣,以及黄仁勋(Jensen Huang)”。黄仁勋入场时赢得了全场起立鼓掌(Standing O),主持人更是高呼其为“GPU 耶稣(GPU Jesus)”。黄仁勋身着标志性的新皮夹克亮相,笑着回应称自己感受到大家需要点激情与活力,尽管今天要探讨非常严肃的技术与商业命题,但必须带着充沛的能量来交流。 主持团队盛赞英伟达是当今市场上最重要的股票,黄仁勋本人亦堪称商业史上最卓越的企业掌舵者之一。节目回顾了英伟达惊人的商业战绩:公司营收同比暴增 97%,市场需求不仅持续强劲,更在进一步加速爆发。正如黄仁勋此前所言,英伟达是全球唯一能够提供全栈“AI 工厂(AI Factory)”的计算平台,而 GPU 就像是一台“时间机器”,让人类能够更早预见未来,从而有机会亲手将未来塑造成最好的版本。 --- ### [01:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=99s) 评 Dario 长文与吹哨人风波:前沿实验室从科研向工程的阵痛 话题迅速切入当周科技界最具争议的焦点——Anthropic 创始人 Dario Amodei 发表的长篇宏论,以及各前沿实验室(Frontier Labs)围绕该文形成的抱团呼吁放缓 AI 发展的浪潮。主持人追问黄仁勋如何解读这篇充斥着末日论警示的文章。黄仁勋首先明确指出,安全至关重要,但“确保安全与保持领先并非非此即彼的伪命题”;美国完全有能力在保持高速创新和迅猛执行力的同时确保系统安全。 谈及此前实验室内部员工(如 Kokotajlo 等吹哨人)揭露安全失控隐患的风波,黄仁勋直言吹哨人的勇气值得肯定,但他指出当下的舆论将“合法的内部治理关切”与“缺乏科学依据的末日预测”混为一谈。他犀利地分析道,许多前沿实验室当前正经历从纯科学研究(Research)向工程化落地(Engineering)的剧烈转型;研究人员极其优秀,但工程体系的构建与科研探索截然不同,这种转型的笨拙与阵痛往往容易导致管理失控感。然而,如果一家公司内部感觉失控,应该自己主动选择降速或暂停,而不是直接跳跃到要求政府实行全面严苛的监管。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 前沿实验室转型困境与争议归因 accDescr: 展示前沿实验室从科研转向工程时产生的失控感及其引发的外部监管诉求 subgraph Labs["前沿实验室现状"] R["学术科研驱动 (Research)"] E["大规模工程落地 (Engineering)"] R -->|"组织转型阵痛"| E end subgraph Issues["反应与外溢"] E --> F["内部失控感 / 吹哨人发声"] F --> D["非科学性的末日预言 (p(doom))"] F --> P["呼吁政府外部强监管 / 强制放缓"] end subgraph Nvidia["英伟达观点"] V["自主调整节奏 (非外部封死)"] S["快速创新与安全并存 (非伪二选一)"] D -.->|"应当依据事实反思"| S P -.->|"企业内部问题自行解决"| V end ``` --- ### [04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) 戳破“末日论”假象:被历史事实反复打脸的技术预言 针对硅谷精英频频向公众灌输的“人类有 10% 概率走向灭绝(p(doom))”等末日论调,主持人提出普通公众根本无法理解这种毫无依据的定量恐慌。黄仁勋对此直截了当地予以驳斥:“我们根本不应该去帮他们圆谎,因为这完全是捏造出来的(It's made up)。”他批评许多受过良好教育的研究人员顶着“科学家”的光环,发表脱离严谨科学实证的末日预言,这是极不负责任的行为。 黄仁勋逐一列举了近年来被现实无情打脸的一系列激进预测: - **放射科医生失业论**:曾有著名学者断言 5 年内放射科将被 AI 完全取代、不再需要医生,结果现实恰恰相反,全球对放射科医生的需求比以往任何时候都更加迫切,AI 仅扮演了辅助读片的效率工具角色; - **代码生成神话**:去年有人断言 6 到 12 个月内 90% 的代码都将由 AI 自动编写,如今证明完全失实; - **入门岗位大清洗**:宣称 6 到 9 个月内 50% 的初级岗位将彻底消失,同样被事实证伪; - **过度恐慌的模型封锁**:从当年声称 GPT-2“太危险不能开源”,到 Llama 3、o1 的所谓失控危机,以及所谓的白领就业大浩劫,无一应验。 黄仁勋强调,社会必须对这些荒谬的预测进行问责。如果任由这种缺乏事实根据的恐惧蔓延,不仅误导大众,更会从根本上损害美国赢得全球 AI 竞赛的竞争力。 --- ### [07:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=442s) 信任专家 vs 尊重事实:英伟达“低调做事”与远离政治的组织哲学 当主持人谈到当下的社会撕裂——一派盲目主张“盲信专家”(类似于疫情期间的专家垄断言论),另一派主张回归历史事实理性思考——并询问这些前沿实验室制造恐慌的底层心理和商业动机时,黄仁勋给予了意味深长的回应。他承认这些实验室聚集了顶尖人才,也是英伟达紧密的合作伙伴,但他非常遗憾看到这些公司习惯把内部争议公之于众。 黄仁勋强调:“伟大的公司应当像过去那样建立——在沉默中踏实做事(built in silence)。”他借此阐述了英伟达独特的企业文化与组织准则: - **禁止个人凌驾于公司发声**:英伟达绝不允许任何员工因为周末情绪不佳或愤而离职,就在社交网络上代表全公司发推表态; - **稳定与长期主义的核心价值观**:英伟达员工拥有极高的满意度与归属感,因为公司提供稳定的环境,照顾员工家庭,让每个人在此完成一生的代表作(Life's work),并尽可能低调地为客户的成功赋能; - **公司内部绝对远离政治**:英伟达坚决不欢迎在公司内部进行政治辩论。黄仁勋要求员工将政治、种族、宗教等敏感社会议题留在家里探讨。英伟达是一家超越党派(Apolitical & Bipartisan)的企业,核心目标只有全力帮助美国取得技术与产业的成功,而非卷入意识形态的内耗。 ### [10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=602s) AI 监管与工程化:从根本解决安全隐患 讨论从 AI 监管的现实路径切入。主持团队提到,在出台可能扼杀技术创新的监管政策之前,行业首要任务是把基础工作做好:理清度量标准、建立规范化体系,并将工程化落地落到实处。研究人员应当以更可预测的方式将学术成果转化为工程实践,而不是一味煽动恐慌情绪,未成熟的技术应当先留在内部验证。面对 Demis Hassabis 提出的类似金融业监管局(FINRA)式的自律组织构想,以及 Dario Amodei 提出的某种跨国监管机制,黄仁勋被问及当下的监管诉求究竟该落在何处。 黄仁勋明确指出:“监管应当解决的是现实存在的问题。”他反问道,行业目前究竟遇到了哪些真实的麻烦?纵观所有已发生的安全事件,几乎全部源自顶尖的前沿实验室(Frontier Labs)。黄仁勋为这些实验室辩护道,这并非因为他们轻率,而是因为只有前沿实验室才拥有解决前沿课题所需的庞大算力。高中生或早期初创公司根本无法引发这类风险,因为全球绝大多数团队都不具备足够的算力规模。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 前沿实验室工程化治理闭环 accDescr: 前沿实验室从学术研究过渡到工程化落地,通过根因分析与工程控制消除安全风险。 subgraph LabTransition["实验室转型痛点"] A["巨额算力投入与前沿突破"] --> B["多线并行:技术、工程、产品与企业文化"] B --> C["突发安全事件 / 意外隐患"] end subgraph EngineeringRemedy["工程化控制手段"] C --> D["工程根因分析 (Root Cause)"] D --> E["沙盒隔离 (Sandboxes)"] D --> F["运行时与持续监控 (Monitors)"] D --> G["系统验证与评测机制 (Evals)"] end E & F & G --> H["实现全面可控并防止复发"] ``` 前沿实验室目前处于从学术研究向工程系统艰难转型的阶段,如同在“火烧眉毛”的状态下一边构建世界上最具影响力的技术,一边同步搭建组织架构、工程流程与商业产品。针对此前某实验室暴露的 4 起事件以及另一家实验室出现的重大事故,黄仁勋强调,首要应对方式是从工程角度进行严格的根因分析(Root Cause Analysis):彻底查清发生了什么、当初有哪些环节可以改进,并在制度和流程层面建立起技术沙盒、运行时监控和持续跟踪机制,从源头杜绝再次发生。他坚信这些实验室聚集了行业顶尖人才,完全有能力凭借工程控制解决这些问题,根本不需要像外界渲染的那样“两手一摊向社会求救”。 ### [13:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=815s) 递归自我改进(RSI)与炒作陷阱 大卫·萨克斯(David Sacks)引出前一天晚上的重要消息:中国 AI 公司智谱(Zhipu AI,GLM 模型的开发方)刚刚完成 50 亿美元融资,并宣布计划斥资 30 亿美元投入一项递归自我改进(Recursive Self-Improvement, RSI)计划,力图实现用 AI 自动化训练下一代 AI。 针对外界对 RSI 技术可能引发“失控螺旋”的末日恐慌,黄仁勋直言这不过是一个“被武器化的性感热词”。从技术本质拆解,RSI 绝非神秘黑盒,而是一套早已被广泛采用的思想体系: - **上下文与技能积累**:利用上下文学习(In-context Learning)与反思机制(Reflection)不断纠偏。 - **强化学习与合成数据**:借助高质量的合成数据生成(Synthetic Data Generation)与强化学习(RL)持续增强求解能力。 - **参数微调与模型迭代**:通过 LoRA(低秩自适应)等技术在不重训基座模型的前提下微调权重,随后再结合积累的经验周期性地重训基础模型。 黄仁勋表示,用 AI 工具来提升包括“构建下一代 AI”在内的各类工作生产力,是完全合乎逻辑的技术演进。各家实验室内部都在使用这种方法,但所谓“AI 会失控自展”纯属无稽之谈。即便内部进行成百上千次 RSI 迭代,产品在发布前仍必须经历严格的评估(Evaluation)、回归测试(Regression Testing)与质量验证。“实验室越是迈向成熟的工程化,掌控力就会越强。”强大的评测、规范的方法论与系统工具,能够确保 RSI 在内部高效运转的同时,对外交付高度受控且高质量的产品。 ### [16:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=965s) 开源与闭源的生态平衡:瓶装水与自来水 在谈及涉及 Hugging Face 的重大生态动向时,主持人邀请黄仁勋从第一性原理出发,剖析闭源模型、开源模型与开放权重(Open Weights)之间的生态关系。黄仁勋用极为形象的“水资源”比喻化解了这一对立争论: > “世界既需要闭源模型,也需要开源模型。我自己也是闭源模型的高频用户,刚过去的周末我就用了 4 种闭源模型,体验非常出色且在不断进化。闭源模型就像‘瓶装水’;但朋友们,水本身是免费的。我早上冲澡就用了大量免费的水。在对的场景使用对的水,这和电力或大宗商品没有任何区别。” 黄仁勋列举了开源不可或缺的关键原因,包括国家主权(Sovereignty)、数据隐私以及构建专属私有技术: - **创业公司的现实支撑**:过去 6 个月内,全球有 4000 亿美元风险投资涌入原生 AI 初创企业,其中 80% 的企业都在使用开源模型。如果没有开源模型,绝大多数初创公司根本无法将独特愿景转化为现实。 - **创新的泛化与普惠**:美国的核心优势在于源源不断的自下而上式创新,赢得 AI 竞赛的定义绝不是“仅有少数几家超级科技巨头获胜”,而是要让全美的每一家企业、每一个行业、每一位研究员、教师、学生和创业者都能享受到红利并取得成功。 ### [18:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1102s) 中美开源竞争与 AI 竞赛的本质 当被问及“开源模型究竟是来自中国还是美国是否重要”时,黄仁勋给出了非常务实而开明的技术视角。他直言,中国作为一个人口和工程师体量极为庞大的国家,能够源源不断地培养海量数理人才,像清华大学这样的顶尖学府正在大规模输送顶尖工程师。因此,当今全球开源社区的巨大贡献实际上很大一部分来自中国。 黄仁勋阐述了开源软件的普世流动逻辑: - 长期以来,全球工程师下载 Linux、Kubernetes 等关键基础设施,其中都有大量中国开发者的代码贡献。 - 开源的核心在于代码与权重的可控性:“一旦你把模型下载下来,它就是你的了。我们可以 Fork 它、改进它、将其改造成属于我们自己的工具。” - 即便某个优秀的模型最初是由中国杰出的研究人员打造的,一旦下载部署在本地,用户就可以完全自主支配,进而构建属于自己的上层应用与核心竞争力。讨论至此,黄仁勋进而引发了大家对“这场 AI 竞赛到底是在争夺什么”的深层反思。 ### [19:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1173s) 工业革命的启示:技术竞争的本质与中美叙事差异 黄仁勋(Jensen Huang)开门见山地指出,任何重大技术竞赛的核心,从来不是“谁先发明了它”,而是“谁能最好地利用并转化这项技术”。他回顾了上一次工业革命的历史:无论是麦克斯韦(James Clerk Maxwell)、伏特(Alessandro Volta)还是安培(André-Marie Ampère),这些奠定电磁学基础的伟大发明家无一例外全来自欧洲,但美国在社会与产业层面以远超世界其他地区的力度全面消化并利用了电气技术,最终铸就了美国的世纪繁荣。黄仁勋强调,面对当下正在发生的人工智能革命,他希望美国能够重现这种利用技术彻底赋能社会的历史轨迹。 当主持人问及为何当前“末日论”在西方舆论场甚嚣尘上,而中国的叙事却截然不同时,黄仁勋分析认为,中国的技术叙事要务实得多。在那里,没有哪个群体在大肆渲染“文明即将终结”或“一切都将走向毁灭”的灾难主义(Doomerism);相反,中国将 AI 视为推动经济社会向前发展的强大现实工具。黄仁勋坦言,最令人沮丧的是,西方许多人编造并极力宣扬这些末日言论。退一步讲,即便技术真存在某种极端风险,产业界和科学家也应当把精力放在实际解决问题上,而不是整天恐吓那些根本无能为力的普通公众,“去把技术建造好、掌控好,这才是我们的本职工作”。 大卫·萨克斯(David Sacks)对此深表共鸣,质疑人类历史上是否曾有过如此多的人,群情激愤地去坚信一件被事实证明完全错误的事情。所有的科学依据与严谨研究都在反驳“AI 灭世”的假说,但大众似乎天生对未知的“技术前沿”怀有恐惧,正因为人类从未涉足过超级智能的领域,恐慌情绪才被某些别有用心者轻易煽动和放大。 ### [21:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1287s) 从敲代码到退格键:工程学的本质与英伟达拆解前奏 黄仁勋借用个人经历进一步消解外界对 AI 取代工程师的盲目恐惧。他回忆自己刚从大学毕业成为工程师时,日常工作其实很少需要打字或敲代码,因为当时处于软件时代普及之前,那一批工程师的核心任务是亲手建造出能运行软件的物理计算机系统。然而,过去几十年里,整个软件工业的工程师一入行就领到一台笔记本电脑和一把椅子,从早到晚机械地敲击键盘打代码。黄仁勋提醒大家,在打字写代码出现之前,伟大的工程学早就存在;当 AI 接管了大部分代码敲击工作之后,工程师们依然有海量真正硬核、富有价值的工程任务要去攻坚。 在黄仁勋看来,写代码只是实现工程目标的手段。他甚至经常在英伟达内部开玩笑地对软件工程师说:“你们不过是在打字而已。”他幽默地透露自己键盘上最喜欢的按键其实是“退格键”(Backspace)——因为在软件工程哲学中,“最优秀、最优雅的软件,永远是代码量最小的软件”,学会删减远比疯狂堆砌代码重要得多。随后,主持人准备对英伟达的战略架构进行深度拆解,正当他们要从最底层的技术堆栈切入讨论时,现场却突然发生了一场戏剧性的意外插曲。 ### [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) 突发连线:特朗普总统的现场电话与“末日骗局” 黄仁勋放在台上的手机突然响了起来。这不是排练好的节目桥段,来电者正是唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)。现场观众与主持群瞬间沸腾,黄仁勋接起电话并笑着向电话那头解释,自己正在《All-In Podcast》大会的舞台上,与萨克斯、查马斯(Chamath Palihapitiya)、杰森(Jason Calacanis)和大卫·弗里德伯格(David Friedberg)四位“好兄弟”(The Besties)同台,台下还坐着数千名现场观众,而且大家刚才恰巧就在聊起特朗普在 AI 议题上的决策。黄仁勋当面称赞特朗普眼光敏锐,穿透了复杂的政治迷雾,洞悉了背后的本质。 随后现场工作人员火速递上麦克风,把手机调成免提并直接对准话筒,特朗普的声音瞬间响彻整个会场。特朗普一开口就展现出标志性的幽默,调侃道:“生活最奇妙的地方就在于:仁勋能造出全天下最复杂、整整十年都没人能抄袭出来的尖端芯片,但他却搞不定手机免提怎么开!”全场顿时爆发出哄堂大笑。 紧接着,特朗普直入主题,猛烈抨击所谓的“AI 毁灭论”: - 他直言这场弥漫在西方社会的末日恐慌本质上是“一场彻头彻尾的骗局(It's all a hoax)”,这种歇斯底里的反对情绪最大的受益者只有中国。 - 他谈到由于美国本土繁琐严苛的审批许可制度(Permitting),导致像 Google 这样的巨头不得不把耗资巨大的超大型数据中心建到芬兰去,这让他感到极其不满。 - 特朗普将算力数据中心比作“未来20至25年的新石油”,其重要性不仅超越传统能源,甚至远比当年的互联网革命还要宏大,这些基建本应为美国本土各州创造不可估量的财富。 ### [25:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1539s) 谁赢得 AI 谁就赢得未来:算力基建与白宫博弈 针对“机器人统治世界”的末日论调,特朗普斩钉截铁地予以驳斥:“机器人绝不可能接管世界,AI 也绝不可能摧毁人类,整套说法纯属骗局。”为了佐证自己的判断力,特朗普特意搬出了自己的家族渊源——他的叔叔约翰·特朗普(Dr. John G. Trump)曾在麻省理工学院(MIT)担任顶尖教授长达 41 至 42 年,被公认为全美最杰出的科学家之一。特朗普笑称自己继承了家族优秀的“遗传基因与常识”,虽然在技术研发中应当保持审慎,但这绝不能成为政客以此为借口、花上十年时间用监管法令亲手扼杀本土前沿产业的理由。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 特朗普的 AI 竞争与国家繁荣战略逻辑 accDescr: 展示从识破末日骗局到争夺全球霸权的因果链条 subgraph Ideology["认知突围"] A["识破'末日论骗局'<br/>(Doomer Hoax)"] --> B["破除繁琐行政审批<br/>留住本土数据中心"] end subgraph EconomicEngine["经济引擎"] B --> C["算力中心作为'新石油'<br/>重塑衰退社区为富裕中心"] C --> D["迎来20万亿美元海量投资"] end subgraph GlobalRace["战略终局"] D --> E["'谁赢下 AI 竞赛,谁就赢下一切'<br/>确保全美各行各业全面领跑"] end ``` 特朗普提出了一句掷地有声的核心战略判断:“谁赢下了 AI,谁就赢下了一切(Whoever wins AI wins)。”他指出,全美许多原本濒临破产衰亡的偏远社区,正是因为迎来了数据中心的落地建设,瞬间摇身一变成为了财政极其充裕的富裕城镇。黄仁勋随即在通话中附和强调,必须确保美国在这场竞赛中全方位胜出,让每个行业、每家企业、每个州以及每一位普通公民都成为 AI 浪潮的赢家。特朗普最后向全场数千名观众致意,盛赞黄仁勋和大卫·萨克斯的杰出工作,并声称在其领导下,美国正迎来高达 20 万亿美元的巨额外部投资涌入,远远甩开了拜登执政时期的疲软局面。 ### [28:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1706s) 现场余波:突发来电的幕后秘辛与政治决断 电话挂断后,全场仍沉浸在巨大的震撼之中,几位主持人面面相觑。杰森坦言,自己一开始以为这完全是一场安排好的即兴整蛊小品(Bit),直到黄仁勋真把手机贴到麦克风上,才意识到这是真真切切的总统突发查岗。萨克斯则笑着透露了背后的趣事:特朗普经常会在深夜任何时间直接给关键人物打电话。有一次在白宫椭圆形办公室商讨晚宴宾客名单时,特朗普追问黄仁勋怎么没来,萨克斯解释黄仁勋正在度过推迟了整整五年的罕见假期、此刻正在睡觉,特朗普当场雷厉风行地下令:“把他叫醒,立刻连线!” 节目的讨论随后转向了深层政治维度:在公众民调中,反技术、反 AI 的净好感度一度跌至惨烈的负 80 点(polling minus 80)。对于绝大多数政客而言,迎合民调的恐慌去打压创新才是阻力最小、最能拉选票的惯常策略。然而,特朗普却能够完全逆民调而行,公开将“AI 毁灭论”斥为骗局并全力押注算力基础设施建设,展现出了极其罕见的政治决断力。 ### [29:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1759s) 监管论调转向:从国家安全到安全审计体系 针对外界愈演愈烈、要求关停数据中心并放缓 AI 发展的声音,现场讨论直指这一波“末日论”情绪的内核。黄仁勋坦言,整件事情极其复杂,公众之所以容易被带偏,是因为叙事的主轴在发生转移。最初,反对或限制 AI 发展的论调牢牢锚定在“国家安全”上;但随着技术现实与全球竞争态势明朗,这套说辞逐渐被打破。现在的论点则迅速转向了“AI 安全(Safety)”。 关于如何真正确保 AI 处于受控状态,黄仁勋给出了非常务实的解法:这本质上就像现代商业中的财务控制一样,需要引入健全的第三方独立审计机制。 * **类比财务审计**:审计人员不需要比被审计公司的核心技术团队更懂业务细节,但他们必须懂得问出正确、关键的问题。 * **多方制衡体系**:黄仁勋赞同必须设立多个相互独立的评估与审计机构,以避免某一家机构被特定意识形态渗透、被“洗脑”(pilled)或受到外部利益操控。 * **非凡标准的约束**:前沿实验室打造的是非同寻常的突破性技术,因此整个社会理应对这些公司施加极其严格的高标准,而这些领先企业本身也普遍愿意接受这样的安全测试规范。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI 安全审计与合规模型 accDescr: 展示英伟达倡导的类似财务审计的 AI 独立多方安全测试框架 subgraph 研发层 ["前沿实验室研发"] A["前沿 AI 大模型训练"] --> B["企业内部安全控制与对齐测试"] end subgraph 审计层 ["多方独立监管体系"] B --> C1["独立第三方评估机构 A"] B --> C2["独立第三方评估机构 B"] B --> C3["专业审计团队(提出关键安全质询)"] end subgraph 落地层 ["安全交付与行业应用"] C1 --> D["符合标准的受控技术输出"] C2 --> D C3 --> D end ``` ### [31:13](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1873s) 与特朗普的通话回响:AI 驱动美国制造业与能源重振 刚刚挂断与特朗普总统的现场连线,黄仁勋忍不住打趣道,和特朗普同台连线的一大挑战就是“你很难插得上话”,甚至调侃自己说这话回头可能会惹麻烦、被特朗普打电话找上门。但他话锋一转,严肃阐明了自己原本想向总统以及所有人表达的核心观点:AI 正在为美国创造体量惊人的就业机会。 黄仁勋回忆,自己第一次与特朗普会面以及两人通电话时,对方最在意的核心诉求就是在美国本土创造就业机会、实现美国再工业化,并确保国家具备充足的能源去支撑下一轮工业革命。没有充足的能源,工业增长就无从谈起。当下正在发生的一切——包括软件岗位的爆发和供应链的再工业化——完全吻合这一方向。仅在过去六个月中,就有高达 4000 亿美元的风险投资涌入 AI 领域,不仅创造了成千上万的工作岗位,也激增了对算力和数据中心的庞大需求。 - **社区与民生考量**:黄仁勋特别提到,他最近与得克萨斯州州长格雷格·阿博特(Greg Abbott)交流时,阿博特呼吁 AI 产业在全美各地兴建大型数据中心的同时,必须保持对小型社区的同理心,深入倾听当地民众的声音。 ### [32:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1973s) 英伟达的资本配置哲学:打通新工业革命的全链条瓶颈 主持人查马斯(Chamath Palihapitiya)提出,英伟达如今的战略角色极为震撼——为了推动整个生态系统运转,它几乎变成了“AI 世界的中央银行”。英伟达不仅与 Cloverleaf 等合作解决“土地、电力与建筑外壳”(land, power, shell)问题,还联合贝莱德(BlackRock)、高盛(Goldman Sachs)等顶级金融巨头打通项目融资通道。面对这一全方位的资本布局,黄仁勋系统拆解了英伟达的资本配置逻辑。 黄仁勋强调,人类目前正置身于一场货真价实的新工业革命中。正如历史上电力驱动万物、互联网连接搜索万物一样,现在的 AI 让人类能够“向以太空间索取并理解一切”("ask and know anything")。然而,智能的产出本身是一个重工业生产过程,必须先完成底层物理设施的搭建。为了不让整条价值链脱节,英伟达必须站在全局视角审视瓶颈(bottlenecks)与约束条件: * **上游长期供应链协同**:由于英伟达规模巨大,它的增长需要上游关键伙伴的超前支撑。英伟达早在此轮算力爆发前很多年,就已深入与台积电(TSMC)、康宁(Wendell Weeks 领导下的 Corning)、Lumentum 以及各大高带宽内存(HBM)厂商深度绑定并扩充产能。 * **下游基建要素拓展**:当计算架构就绪后,下游瓶颈迅速卡在了电力供应、变电站建设、机房物理外壳与土地指标上。英伟达如今正把打通上游供应链的经验复制到下游基础设施建设中,协助整个产业生态扩容。 ### [35:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2127s) 向上走还是向下沉?英伟达的“尽量往上走,但扎根于最底层”战略 查马斯进一步追问:科技硬件与计算周期历史表明,行业长期利润往往会随着时间不断向上迁移到软件与应用层(Application Layer)。随着英伟达收购开源社区 Hugging Face,它已经实质性介入了模型托管与服务调度(Serving)业务,未来是否会顺理成章推出类似 OpenRouter 或 AWS Bedrock 的顶层产品,甚至直接下场收割高层价值? 黄仁勋给出了英伟达坚守的核心哲学:**“我们的策略是,根据需要尽可能向上走以解决工程难题,但尽可能扎根在最底层保持开放赋能”**("go up as far as we need to and as low as possible")。英伟达的目的不是与生态内的客户争夺果实,而是通过底层技术突破让生态内的所有人取得成功: * **从单一到全盘繁荣**:仅仅在一年半以前,英伟达的算力平台几乎只为 OpenAI 一家核心主力服务;而如今,英伟达支撑着 Meta(Llama 系列)、xAI(Grok)、Google(Gemini)、Anthropic 以及 Physical Intelligence、Reflection 等众多前沿 AI 实验室与新兴模型。 * **底层创新的外溢效应**:如果不是英伟达率先攻坚研发出 cuDNN 深度神经网络库,当今各种主流深度学习框架(PyTorch、TensorFlow 等)根本无法建立;如果不是英伟达打造了 Megatron-LM 与 Megatron-Core,现代超大规模分布式大模型训练就无法成为现实。英伟达攻克这些技术难关后将其开放给整个产业,从而“让百花齐放”("let a thousand flowers bloom")。 ### [37:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2274s) 超大规模云与新兴云(NeoClouds)的共生动态 面对主持人提到希望看到更多新型云服务商(如 CoreWeave、Nebius/Nscale 等被称为 NeoClouds 或 NCPs 的 GPU 专有云厂商)崛起以对抗现有几家超大规模云厂商(Hyperscalers)的垄断格局,黄仁勋展现出了独特的商业心境。 黄仁勋笑称自己其实“出人意料地缺乏好胜心”("surprisingly uncompetitive"),他的关注点从来不是一定要制造多少个竞争对手去扳倒谁,哪怕市场上只有五大 Hyperscalers 他也完全能够接受。但他透露了一个极其关键的市场微观动态:所有新兴 GPU 专有云(NCPs)在早期的最大种子客户,实际上恰恰就是这几大 Hyperscalers 自身。 造成这种反常现象的核心原因在于资本规划与市场周期的严重脱节:传统的超大规模云巨头(Hyperscalers)通常是以“按年”(once a year)为周期进行极其严谨而僵化的资本支出与数据中心容量规划;然而,当前 AI 市场的算力需求动态极其动荡、爆发迅猛,当自身规划无法及时跟上井喷的计算需求时,Hyperscalers 只能第一时间奔向各家新兴云厂商包下算力,从而形成了独特而紧密的共生关系。 ### [38:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2330s) 区域云厂商崛起与主权 AI 基础设施布局 谈到超大规模云厂商(Hyperscalers)往往难以精准预测本地需求时,黄仁勋(Jensen Huang)指出预测“几乎总是错的”。相比之下,敏捷灵活的区域性云厂商(Neoclouds)能够快速行动,因为他们深谙本地州情、国情与区域动态,能够以西雅图或帕洛阿尔托的巨头难以企及的洞察力去抢占土地、电力和机房外壳(Shell)。这使得英伟达(NVIDIA)在全球建立起了一个庞大且分布式的合作伙伴网络,由这些本地公司代表英伟达锁定基础设施资源。 与此同时,各国政府已经深刻意识到 AI 算力的战略意义,纷纷提出将本国电力优先保留给本国企业。黄仁勋表示,英伟达在这些国家同样有深入布局,能够直接赋能并扶持当地的 Neoclouds 崛起。例如在澳大利亚,英伟达通过与 Firmus 等机构合作,刚刚落地了两个吉瓦(GW)级别的新增项目;在东南亚,也与 Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison(IOH)等合作伙伴锁定了数个吉瓦的电力与算力部署。英伟达正以吉瓦级的规模在全球范围迅速扩张。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 区域云厂商与主权AI基础设施架构 accDescr: 展示英伟达如何通过赋能本地敏捷Neoclouds,抢占全球电力与机房资源并实现主权AI扩张 subgraph Central["硅谷/西雅图中心化视角"] Hyper["传统 Hyperscalers"] Predict["中心化预测 (时常误判本地资源)"] Hyper --> Predict end subgraph Regional["敏捷 Neoclouds 区域落地"] Local["本地 Neoclouds 运营方"] Resources["锁定土地、电力 (GW级) 与机房外壳"] Local --> Resources end subgraph Sovereignty["国家与主权 AI"] Policy["主权政策: 本土电力留给本土企业"] Global["英伟达全球技术赋能与芯片支持"] Policy --> Global end Predict -.->|"无法精细感知本地"| Resources Resources --> Global Global --> Hub1["澳洲生态 (Firmus 等, 2+ GW)"] Global --> Hub2["东南亚生态 (IOH 等, 数 GW)"] ``` --- ### [39:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2391s) 开源前沿模型布局与垂直领域赋能逻辑 杰森·卡拉卡尼斯(Jason Calacanis)切入英伟达的软件与模型战略,指出英伟达不仅硬件强大,而且正大举发力开源生态:不仅自研的 Nemotron 表现出众,还在大举并购并吸纳 Hugging Face、Poolside 以及 Laguna 等团队的技术人才,同时推出了颠覆性的开源自动驾驶技术栈。杰森发问:英伟达从不满足于只拿“银牌”,黄仁勋是否志在打造无可争议的全球最强开源模型,并以此带领开源体系反超闭源前沿实验室? 黄仁勋明确回应,英伟达已经在五个细分垂直领域打造出了世界第一梯队的前沿模型(Frontier Model)。英伟达构建这些模型的底层逻辑非常纯粹:第一,具备顶尖的技术研发能力;第二,下游客户迫切需要这些模型。他强调英伟达的初心绝非为了颠覆任何人,而是为了帮助所有人: - **Alpaca / 自动驾驶(Alpamo)**:世界首个具备“思考推理能力”的自动驾驶大模型。传统自动驾驶需在数十亿小时的行车数据上生硬训练,而具备推理架构的模型能拆解场景(“我见过类似场景,虽不完全相同但大体一致”),所需数据大幅减少。全球未来的农机、卡车、货车乃至所有乘用车都会走向自动驾驶,但中小车企缺乏全栈研发资金,英伟达打造底层开源栈,车企仅需做最后一英里的场景适配即可让万物具备自主移动能力。 - **计算生物学与蛋白质工程**:如果没有英伟达从零打造生物模型,许多基础技术根本不会面世。英伟达主导或深度参与了 ESM2 蛋白质语言模型、ESMfold、OpenFold、AlphaFold 2 优化加速以及 CuEquivariance 等底层架构;其自研的 Proteina Complexa 能合成下一代蛋白质并预测分子结合,直接为礼来(Eli Lilly)、默沙东(Merck)等缺乏从头训练能力的制药巨头提供关键支撑。 --- ### [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) 埃隆·马斯克的 Terafab 与中国先进制程光刻机进程 谈及核心业务面临的潜在竞争威胁,主持人询问黄仁勋如何看待埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)宣布建造的 1 亿平方英尺超级工厂“Terafab”。黄仁勋透露,他此前曾与埃隆在一架私人飞机上同行前往某国,当时还有一位经常打电话的“重量级人物”在座。旅途中埃隆热烈畅聊其半导体制造雄心,黄仁勋的评价是:“如果世界上有人能做成这件事,那一定就是埃隆。”他指出英伟达虽然自己不造晶圆,但因为一直在挑战芯片物理极限,公司内部积累了全球最顶级的先进制程洞察与系统集成(SIS)技术。埃隆的最大特质就是“一旦下定决心就没有任何人能劝阻”,其执行力令人惊叹。 随后话题转向中国本土半导体供应链与先进制程光刻机(Advanced Lithography Systems)的突破时间表: - **突破时间节点**:黄仁勋直言,中国在 2030 年前必然会实现自主光刻系统的突破,而“2030 年距今不过咫尺之遥”。 - **规模化量产能力**:中国的核心杀手锏在于极度恐怖的大规模制造与高产能交付能力(High volume production)。一旦技术突破完成,晶圆产能切换将以极快速度在本土晶圆厂铺开。 - **行业应对策略**:黄仁勋表示自己看行业习惯以“十年”为周期去思考布局,两到三年的领先优势转瞬即逝,“在他们(中国产业界)看来,目标其实已经近在眼前”。面对这种态势,美国绝不能选择放慢脚步,唯一的策略就是“加速快跑”(Speedrun)。 --- ### [44:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2686s) 超级智能(Superintelligence)已至与未来呼吁 在讨论 AGI(通用人工智能)与超级智能的演进时,杰森提出业界普遍认为当前正处于 AGI 的临界点(即 AI 达到普通人类智力水平),并好奇超级智能是否是下一个里程碑。黄仁勋给出了语出惊人的判断:**人类其实已经身处超级智能时代**。 只要把目标限定在具体的纵深领域,超人类智能早已实现: - 自动驾驶系统不需要像人类那样既会开车又会煎蛋卷,它的唯一任务就是开车,而其事故率已经降低至人类驾驶员的十分之一,这就是纯粹的超人类智能; - 在蛋白质虚拟筛选与分子合成领域,AI 的推理与设计速度同样远超任何人类生物学家。 在节目的最后,面对“身处人类技术前沿是否感到快乐”的提问,黄仁勋动情地表示,未来无比壮阔,尽管很多人早已实现财富自由不必再工作,但当下的变革“精彩到让人无法抽身旁观”。他呼吁业界放下内耗与末日悲观叙事(Drama),全力支持在前线拼搏的科研人员,并号召凝聚全美国乃至全人类的力量共同迈向这场技术跃迁。伴随着主持群全场的起立致敬与热烈掌声,访谈在黄仁勋由衷的感谢中圆满落幕。 ## Notable quotes > [01:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=99s) 确保安全与保持领先并非非此即彼的伪命题 — 黄仁勋 > [04:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=264s) 我们根本不应该去帮他们圆谎,因为这完全是捏造出来的(It's made up)。 — 黄仁勋 > [07:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=442s) 伟大的公司应当像过去那样建立——在沉默中踏实做事(built in silence)。 — 黄仁勋 > [10:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=602s) 监管应当解决的是现实存在的问题。 — 黄仁勋 > [16:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=965s) 世界既需要闭源模型,也需要开源模型。我自己也是闭源模型的高频用户,刚过去的周末我就用了 4 种闭源模型,体验非常出色且在不断进化。闭源模型就像‘瓶装水’;但朋友们,水本身是免费的。我早上冲澡就用了大量免费的水。在对的场景使用对的水,这和电力或大宗商品没有任何区别。 — 黄仁勋 > [18:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1102s) 一旦你把模型下载下来,它就是你的了。我们可以 Fork 它、改进它、将其改造成属于我们自己的工具。 — 黄仁勋 > [19:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1173s) 去把技术建造好、掌控好,这才是我们的本职工作 — 黄仁勋 > [22:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1378s) 生活最奇妙的地方就在于:仁勋能造出全天下最复杂、整整十年都没人能抄袭出来的尖端芯片,但他却搞不定手机免提怎么开! — 唐纳德·特朗普 > [25:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1539s) 机器人绝不可能接管世界,AI 也绝不可能摧毁人类,整套说法纯属骗局。 — 唐纳德·特朗普 > [25:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=1539s) 谁赢下了 AI,谁就赢下了一切(Whoever wins AI wins)。 — 唐纳德·特朗普 > [35:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2127s) 我们的策略是,根据需要尽可能向上走以解决工程难题,但尽可能扎根在最底层保持开放赋能 — 黄仁勋 > [42:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA&t=2545s) 如果世界上有人能做成这件事,那一定就是埃隆。 — 黄仁勋 ## Mentioned 黄仁勋 (Jensen Huang), 唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump), Dario Amodei, Kokotajlo, Demis Hassabis, 大卫·萨克斯 (David Sacks), 查马斯 (Chamath Palihapitiya), 杰森·卡拉卡尼斯 (Jason Calacanis), 大卫·弗里德伯格 (David Friedberg), 埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk), 格雷格·阿博特 (Greg Abbott), 约翰·特朗普 (Dr. John G. Trump), 麦克斯韦 (James Clerk Maxwell), 伏特 (Alessandro Volta), 安培 (André-Marie Ampère), 英伟达 (NVIDIA), Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta, Google, xAI, Hugging Face, 智谱 AI (Zhipu AI), 清华大学, 台积电 (TSMC), 康宁 (Corning), Lumentum, Cloverleaf, 贝莱德 (BlackRock), 高盛 (Goldman Sachs), CoreWeave, Nebius, Nscale, Firmus, Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison (IOH), Poolside, Laguna, Physical Intelligence, Reflection, 礼来 (Eli Lilly), 默沙东 (Merck), 麻省理工学院 (MIT), GPT-2, Llama 3, o1, GLM, Grok, Gemini, Nemotron, Alpaca, Alpamo, ESM2, ESMfold, OpenFold, AlphaFold 2, CuEquivariance, Proteina Complexa, cuDNN, Megatron-LM, Megatron-Core, PyTorch, TensorFlow, Linux, Kubernetes, Terafab, All-In Podcast ## Video description (0:00) Jensen Huang joins The Besties! (1:39) Thoughts on Dario's blog, Frontier Labs calling to slow down AI, and Doomer psychology (9:58) Sensible AI regulation and RSI (16:05) Hugging Face acquisition, future of Open Source, and the race with China (22:58) President Trump calls in live to discuss the Doomer Hoax (31:29) The AI boom and Nvidia's capital allocation strategy (40:21) Nvidia's Open Source model ambitions, thoughts on Elon's Terafab Thanks to our partners for making this possible! IREN is a vertically integrated AI Cloud platform, delivering data centers, compute and software for AI training and inference. https://iren.com/ Oracle connects the data, applications, and infrastructure that turn AI into business outcomes—with the flexibility, choice, and control to optimize as AI evolves. http://oracle.com/ai EY helps tech innovators scale from startup to exit to megacap. You build the future. We’ll handle the rest. http://www.ey.com Meta believes the future is for everyone. We're focused on giving every person the tools to reach their full potential and making sure the benefits of technology are distributed to all. http://www.meta.com Keel Infrastructure owns the power, land, and connectivity that HPC and AI run on - backed by secured energy assets and established grid interconnections across North America. https://keelinfra.com/ Airwallex - Agentic Global Business Accounts. Open local accounts in 70+ countries to accept payments, earn yield, pay globally, and manage spend. http://airwallex.com PayPal has been revolutionizing commerce globally for more than 25 years. Creating innovative experiences that make moving money, selling, and shopping simple, personalized, and secure, PayPal empowers consumers and businesses in approximately 200 markets to join and thrive in the global economy. For more information, visit https://www.paypal.com Google for Startups connects founders with the right people, products, and best practices to help startups build faster and go further. https://startup.google.com/ Explore ideas, industries, and technologies worth understanding with Chamath every week on Learn with Me: https://research.socialcapital.com/allin Follow Jensen: https://x.com/JensenHuang Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@allin Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg #allin #tech #news [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7CrlFLAmEA)

Source quotes

[1:39] 黄仁勋: 确保安全与保持领先并非非此即彼的伪命题 [4:24] 黄仁勋: 我们根本不应该去帮他们圆谎,因为这完全是捏造出来的(It's made up)。 [7:22] 黄仁勋: 伟大的公司应当像过去那样建立——在沉默中踏实做事(built in silence)。 [10:02] 黄仁勋: 监管应当解决的是现实存在的问题。 [16:05] 黄仁勋: 世界既需要闭源模型,也需要开源模型。我自己也是闭源模型的高频用户,刚过去的周末我就用了 4 种闭源模型,体验非常出色且在不断进化。闭源模型就像‘瓶装水’;但朋友们,水本身是免费的。我早上冲澡就用了大量免费的水。在对的场景使用对的水,这和电力或大宗商品没有任何区别。 [18:22] 黄仁勋: 一旦你把模型下载下来,它就是你的了。我们可以 Fork 它、改进它、将其改造成属于我们自己的工具。 [19:33] 黄仁勋: 去把技术建造好、掌控好,这才是我们的本职工作 [22:58] 唐纳德·特朗普: 生活最奇妙的地方就在于:仁勋能造出全天下最复杂、整整十年都没人能抄袭出来的尖端芯片,但他却搞不定手机免提怎么开! [25:39] 唐纳德·特朗普: 机器人绝不可能接管世界,AI 也绝不可能摧毁人类,整套说法纯属骗局。 [25:39] 唐纳德·特朗普: 谁赢下了 AI,谁就赢下了一切(Whoever wins AI wins)。 [35:27] 黄仁勋: 我们的策略是,根据需要尽可能向上走以解决工程难题,但尽可能扎根在最底层保持开放赋能 [42:25] 黄仁勋: 如果世界上有人能做成这件事,那一定就是埃隆。

Source quotes

[4:24] Jensen Huang: We shouldn't... because it's made up. [10:02] Jensen Huang: They have extraordinary people. They got this handled. [16:05] Jensen Huang: Water is free, you guys. I don't know if I've told you guys, but water is free. And this morning, I used a lot of free water taking a shower... You use the right water in the right places. [21:27] Jensen Huang: the best software is the smallest software. [22:58] Donald Trump: The great thing about life is that Jensen can develop the most complex computer chip in the world that nobody can copy for 10 years, but he can't figure out how to put me on the speaker. [22:58] Donald Trump: the robots are not going to be taking over the world. [22:58] Donald Trump: Whoever wins AI wins. [35:27] Jensen Huang: Our strategy is go up as far as we need to and as low as possible. [39:51] Jensen Huang: We don't wake up in the morning try to disrupt anybody. We just wake up in the morning try to help everybody. [42:25] Jensen Huang: You can't discourage Elon from doing it, which is one of his... that's his superpower. And once he decides to go do something, it's hard to stop him. [42:25] Jensen Huang: slowing down is definitely the wrong strategy [44:46] Jensen Huang: My self-driving car—I don't want you to make me an omelette, I just want you to drive the car.

Original transcript

[0:00] Some people call it vision. Vision is an [0:03] awfully big word to me because I I [0:04] believe first of all vision matters. [0:09] >> We preempted the weekly show. And [0:12] there's only three people we preempt the [0:14] show for. President Trump, Jesus, and [0:17] Jensen. [0:18] >> The number one podcast in the world. [0:20] >> That's Jensen Wong. [0:21] >> He's the founder, president, CEO of [0:22] Nvidia. [0:23] >> Whether you know it or not, his [0:24] decisions are shaping your future. [0:26] >> Nvidia is the most important stock in [0:28] this market. Jensen is arguably the best [0:30] executive in history. [0:31] >> Revenue exploded 97% year-over-year. [0:34] >> Not only is demand already strong, is [0:36] actually accelerating. Nvidia is the [0:38] only computing platform that is a full [0:41] stack AI factory. A GPU is like a time [0:43] machine because it lets you see the [0:46] future sooner. And if we could see the [0:47] future and we can predict the future, [0:50] then we have a better chance of making [0:52] that future the best version of it. [0:55] >> Please welcome Jensen Hang. [1:01] Oh, we got a standing O on the way in. [1:04] >> Oh, come on. [1:05] >> Standing O. [1:07] >> Standing O on the way in. [1:10] >> There's our guy. [1:12] >> Ladies and gentlemen, GPU Jesus. [1:19] >> They love you. [1:20] >> They love you. [1:21] >> Thank you. I love you back. Number one [1:23] podcast in the world. [1:25] >> In the world. [1:25] >> Absolutely. [1:26] >> Wow. We like the new jacket. [1:28] >> Well, you know, you auctioned the open. [1:30] >> I just I felt you guys needed some [1:32] energy. [1:33] >> Yes. This is the [1:34] >> I know we're talking about serious stuff [1:36] here, but we need to talk about it with [1:38] energy. Yes. [1:39] >> Let's uh let's start with this uh essay [1:42] from this weekend. [1:43] >> Which one? [1:46] >> Let's start with Daario's essay because [1:47] >> was Hemingway involved? [1:50] >> Actually, did anybody run it through [1:51] Pangram? I don't even know how much of [1:53] it was AI helped, but that was a pretty [1:57] incredible thing. And then I think what [1:59] a lot of people were surprised by was [2:01] the coalesing of the frontier labs [2:03] around the essay itself. Just Jensen [2:05] unpack what happened, how you read it, [2:08] how you interpreted it, and then we'll [2:10] get into some details that were inside [2:11] of it. But maybe just the highle [2:13] thoughts to kick it off. [2:14] >> Well, first of all, there were a lot of [2:15] stuff in there. [2:16] >> Yeah. and and uh uh first there is a [2:20] there's a part about about safety which [2:22] we have to take very seriously. Safety [2:24] is paramount. Obviously um uh safety and [2:28] leadership are not false. They're false [2:30] choices. You're you're able to innovate [2:33] quickly. You're able to execute quickly [2:35] and and uh America's able to lead and to [2:39] do it safely. I think those are those [2:40] are false choices but safety is [2:42] obviously important. Uh there's a matter [2:44] of of internal control that I think he [2:48] was speaking to. Uh obviously the the [2:50] coxin uh whistleblower is very serious [2:53] matter. When whenever you have a [2:55] whistleblower, you got to take it very [2:56] seriously. I thought Coxin had great [2:59] courage uh to uh put out put out uh uh [3:02] what his concerns were. Um and even then [3:05] there were some issues that were kind of [3:06] conflated within that. Uh I think the [3:08] the the whistleblowing is is fine. I [3:11] think the the uh scientific prediction [3:15] uh about the future uh is less aligned [3:18] because it's not grounded on science [3:20] obviously and um uh it it was expressed [3:23] by a scientist but it was obviously not [3:24] grounded on science and and so I take I [3:26] take issue with that but obviously the [3:28] whistleblower part of it uh you know I I [3:31] think there's just a whole bunch of [3:32] stuff uh pausing uh uh pacing [3:38] those are all the voluntary things that [3:40] they could do if they feel that their [3:41] company is out of control. Uh if Coxin [3:44] saw something, you know, obviously we [3:46] didn't we don't know what Coxin saw, [3:48] >> but he if he saw that the company was [3:51] out of control [3:52] >> and maybe it's a transition from uh uh [3:56] research to engineering. As you know, [3:58] these labs are research are [4:00] transitioning from research to [4:01] engineering. Extraordinary talent, [4:03] extraordinary engineering. Um but [4:05] obviously engineering is different than [4:07] research. Maybe that transition is [4:09] clumsy. you know, I don't we don't know [4:10] what what he saw and ultimately only he [4:12] knows. Um, but if there was a a matter [4:15] of lack of control, that's a different [4:16] topic. Um, how should the government [4:18] deal with it? Now all of a sudden, uh, [4:20] regulation and reg I mean it just covers [4:23] everything in one blog. [4:24] >> Can you just help us sort of unpack? We [4:25] we play we tried to play this game [4:27] actually this week on the pod and it was [4:28] difficult which is how do you describe [4:31] like you know my mom calls me and she's [4:33] like Jimoth what is this whole [4:35] civilizational death thing? I don't know [4:37] how to explain it to her. So when you [4:39] have very smart people like that [4:41] quantize it and quantify it, I think [4:43] that's probably what's perturbing to [4:45] some people. They're like, "What does [4:46] that mean, 10% of extinction?" Nobody [4:49] knows how to explain that to the average [4:51] person how that's even possible. Well, [4:53] first of all, we shouldn't [4:56] uh because it's made up. Uh first of all [4:58] I think that [5:03] we shouldn't because we it's made up and [5:05] these are these are well educated uh [5:08] they're called researchers um obviously [5:12] they're working in a lab and so the [5:14] confluence of these words and then and [5:17] then and then the prediction is alarming [5:19] and troubling and it shouldn't be done. [5:21] It's it's it's irresponsible. Now the [5:23] fact of the matter is let's go back and [5:24] look at the real facts. The facts are uh [5:27] there was a prediction that in 5 years [5:29] time radiology will be completely taken [5:32] over by artificial intelligence and [5:33] there'll be no radiologists in the [5:34] world. That has proven to be exactly the [5:37] opposite. We need more radiologists than [5:39] ever in the world. However, AI has taken [5:41] over radiology completely which is great [5:44] is automated scan reading which is [5:45] great. Um uh there was a prediction that [5:48] within 6 to 12 months, wasn't it just [5:50] last year? Within 6 to 12 months, uh 90% [5:54] of code would already be generated uh by [5:57] AI. That has turned out to be wrong. Uh [6:00] within 6 to9 months, that was predicted [6:02] last year, 50% of entry jobs will be [6:04] wiped out. That has proven to be wrong. [6:07] Uh let's see what else. What else has [6:08] proven to be wrong? I mean, all of these [6:10] predictions have been wrong, [6:12] >> right? Well, that GPT2 would be too [6:16] unsafe to release. That llama 3 would be [6:18] too unsafe to release. [6:19] >> Oh, one. [6:20] >> Yeah, we've heard the [6:21] >> half of white collar jobs would be gone [6:23] next year. [6:23] >> The jobs apocalypse. Yeah. [6:25] >> We have to take accountability. We have [6:28] to take account for all of the stupid [6:30] predictions that were made, [6:32] >> right? [6:33] >> Somebody has somebody has to take Yeah. [6:37] >> And and so we ought to just keep track [6:39] of all that. And of course people do and [6:42] remind us that those those predictions [6:45] are inconsistent [6:47] with ultimately America winning the AI [6:50] race. [6:51] >> The short form for that is some people [6:52] are saying you know they say trust the [6:54] experts and they used the analog of co [6:57] which again started with people that [6:59] were researchers educated people that [7:01] had an asymmetric awareness of the thing [7:03] that the rest of us did not saying [7:05] things that ultimately turned out we [7:07] find out in facts uh not to be true. Um, [7:10] and so there's this war that's happening [7:12] right now between the trust the experts [7:15] movement and the, you know, well, let's [7:17] just look at the actual history of these [7:18] predictions and let's just think more [7:20] methodically. [7:22] Where is this coming from? Because it's [7:25] coming from inside the places that's [7:26] actually making it. Like what do you [7:28] think is the psychological makeup or [7:29] what is the real incentive? Maybe it's a [7:31] business incentive, maybe it's a [7:32] political incentive. Can you just maybe [7:35] guess or how do you how do you think [7:36] about what's why they're doing this? [7:38] Well, first of all, I got to tell you [7:39] these are some of the most consequential [7:41] companies in history. Uh, uh, [7:44] extraordinary engineers, extraordinary [7:46] researchers, uh, really fantastic work. [7:48] Um, uh, on the one hand, uh, I work very [7:52] closely with them as companies to [7:53] companies. Uh, on the other hand, uh, we [7:57] have to have conversations like this in [7:59] public. And it's really unfortunate. And [8:02] I I think that that these these [8:04] companies um really ought to be built [8:06] the way that we used to build companies, [8:08] which is in silence, [8:10] >> right? You know, and [8:13] so wait, wait, Jensen, you don't allow [8:15] anybody in your organization to speak [8:17] for the entire organization, especially [8:19] when they're having like a bad weekend [8:21] or they rage quit. They're they're not [8:22] allowed to tweet on your behalf and the [8:24] organization's behalf. No, because well [8:27] that's that's what they decided when [8:29] they came to work for us and we told [8:31] them uh these are this is the way you [8:33] behave when you work in our company and [8:35] and uh if you would like if you like the [8:37] culture of our company um uh which as [8:40] you know the NVIDIA culture and the [8:41] NVIDIA employee base uh incredibly [8:44] happy. Yeah. uh they like the fact that [8:46] the company is consistent, that we're [8:48] stable, that our core values are [8:50] consistent with taking care of the [8:52] families and creating the conditions by [8:53] which they can do their life's work. Uh [8:56] that we do meaningful work, we do it we [8:58] do it as quietly as we can and uh we [9:01] contribute to everybody else's success, [9:02] which we're very proud of. And so those [9:05] kind of core values people are attracted [9:06] to. Um but when you come and work in our [9:09] company, there are also some things that [9:11] we don't appreciate that you do. Like [9:13] for example, we don't welcome uh [9:15] political discourse in our inside our [9:17] company. Take it home. You guys talk [9:19] about politics outside the company. Um [9:22] we [9:23] >> Yeah. [9:27] >> Uh we we are um the company is an [9:30] a-olitical company. You know, we're [9:32] bipartisan. We want America to succeed [9:35] and and um uh we want we want uh [9:38] whatever uh government is in place uh [9:41] we'll do everything in our power to help [9:42] America succeed. And so so the the [9:45] discourse about about uh about race and [9:50] religion and politics and all of that [9:53] stuff we tell people do it outside the [9:56] company. It's not not for us. [9:58] >> In terms of u maybe AI regulation then [10:00] more narrowly. Um Satya was here this [10:02] morning and what he said is you know [10:04] before we talk about regulation that [10:06] could really styy things why don't we [10:07] just get some basics right? Why don't we [10:09] get measurement right? Why don't we get [10:10] standardization right? Right. Um where [10:13] do you land on [10:14] >> get engineering right? [10:15] >> Get the engineering right. Right. [10:16] Translate the research in a more [10:17] predictable way so that we're not [10:18] fear-mongering. Keep it inside until [10:20] we're ready to expose it. Um what do you [10:22] think the right response is? You know [10:24] Demis had a proposal which was sort of [10:25] this more FINRA like organization. It's [10:28] not clear what Daria wants. This [10:30] transnational mutated thing that has [10:33] some sort of control. Where do you land [10:35] on this? The sort of perspective of what [10:37] what do we need right now? [10:38] >> You know, regulation should solve actual [10:41] problems. [10:42] And so the question is what actual [10:44] problems have we enjoyed, [10:45] >> right? And and um if you look at look at [10:49] the actual problems um all of the actual [10:52] problems so far have come from the labs. [10:55] And the reason for that, the reason for [10:57] that and and just in their defense, the [10:59] reason for that is because they have the [11:00] most compute, [11:01] >> right? [11:02] >> And the reason for that is because [11:03] they're trying to solve uh the frontier [11:06] problems. And so in their defense and so [11:09] it's sensible that that um the labs, the [11:13] frontier labs will be where the most [11:16] danger come from. It is unlikely that a [11:19] high school student uh did something [11:21] because they just simply won't have [11:23] enough compute, [11:24] >> right? And so uh it's unlikely that a [11:26] startup will be the reason because they [11:28] won't have enough compute. It's it's uh [11:30] they you know in fact you could look [11:32] across the planet and everybody won't [11:33] have enough compute with the exception [11:35] of the frontier labs. And so so now the [11:38] question is if you look at what actually [11:39] happened um and they're doing pioneering [11:42] work. It's really very hard. Um they're [11:44] transitioning from research to [11:46] engineering. Um, I could imagine and [11:48] they're they're they're they're [11:49] obviously building some of the most [11:51] consequential technology and companies [11:53] in the world. Uh, they're building their [11:55] company, they're building their culture, [11:57] they're building the technology, they're [11:58] building engineering, they're building [11:59] products all at the same time. And so I [12:01] I can understand it's a little bit hair [12:03] on fire. Um, uh, but nonetheless, [12:07] the four incidents from one lab, the one [12:09] giant incident from the other lab, um, [12:12] the first thing that you have to do is [12:14] just root cause the problem from an [12:15] engineering perspective. what happened, [12:18] >> what could we have done differently and [12:21] what are we going to in to implement and [12:23] institutionalize whether it's technology [12:25] or methods or processes and make sure [12:27] that we don't let it happen again. Now, [12:30] I would bet you money that in every [12:32] single one of those cases is within [12:34] their control [12:36] in the future to prevent it [12:39] because the alternative if it's not in [12:42] their control and I'm sure that they are [12:44] I'm sure I'm I'm sure that I'm sure [12:45] those four four incidents won't happen [12:47] again. Um they I'm sure they root caused [12:49] it and fixed it. I'm sure uh they have [12:52] now technology [12:54] for you know sandboxes and run times and [12:57] monitors and continuous in continuous [13:00] monitors and you know and so I'm I'm [13:02] certain they have much much better [13:03] technology now the alternative is also [13:07] unlikely which is for them to say look [13:10] we had these incidents after we're done [13:14] analyzing it we came to the conclusion [13:16] we don't know anything that happened and [13:18] we have no idea how to control it and [13:21] we're asking society for help. [13:23] >> Yeah. [13:23] >> Now, if that's the case, then we ought [13:25] to, you know, a bunch of bunch of [13:27] companies with engineers ought to send [13:29] engineers in. I mean, and we should [13:31] advise them if we can, but I doubt it. I [13:33] think they they have extraordinary [13:34] people. They got this handled. [13:35] >> But we we're not operating in a vacuum. [13:37] David, last night you informed me that [13:39] there is a Chinese lab, the makers of [13:41] GLM, who are going to put three billion [13:43] towards a recursive self-improvement [13:45] run. So, maybe you could tee that up for [13:47] J. [13:48] >> Well, that's what was announced. Yeah. [13:49] zpoo.com the founder just raised 5 [13:51] billion and said that one of their [13:52] priorities is going to be trying to get [13:54] to recurs you know uh AI that trains the [13:59] next AI and to try and automate as much [14:01] of that as possible. Um yeah I think [14:04] that I mean [14:04] >> well this is the new sexy phrase but as [14:07] you guys know RSI is a combination of a [14:10] system of ideas. [14:13] It's um it starts everything with in [14:15] context stuff. It starts with skills. It [14:18] starts with reflection. It starts with, [14:20] you know, reinforcement learning and [14:21] synthetic data generation. And these are [14:23] all very sensible ideas that causes AI [14:27] to get better at solving a problem, you [14:30] know, over time. And you could also have [14:33] uh low rank, you know, all of that stuff [14:36] doesn't include the weights. Uh you [14:38] could actually improve the weights and [14:39] it's called Laura. uh Laura could be [14:42] could be improved in synthet synthetic [14:44] data generation reinforcement learning [14:45] enhance it without training the the base [14:48] model itself and then over time uh you [14:50] could train the base model again with [14:52] all of that experience and and so I I [14:54] think I think it's a sensible thing that [14:57] that you're going to use the technology [14:59] uh to enhance productivity of all kinds [15:02] of tasks including building AI. I think [15:05] that's a very logical idea and and I'm [15:07] I'm certain that everybody is using it [15:09] in some degree. It's just this phrase is [15:12] now being used um to weaponize the [15:16] technology in some way and maybe to turn [15:18] the [15:18] >> as if it's going to spiral out of [15:20] control is the impression they're trying [15:23] to give. But you don't believe that's [15:24] real? [15:25] >> No. No, of course not. And the reason [15:26] for that is because you could RSI all [15:28] day long inside your company, but when [15:31] you release a product, you've got to [15:33] evaluate it, don't you? You have to test [15:34] it again, don't you? You have to make [15:36] sure that there's no regression, right? [15:38] And so the basic process of control. [15:43] These labs are going to as they move [15:44] from labs to engineering, they will have [15:46] much much better control, [15:48] >> right? And when they have much better [15:50] control that and control comes from [15:52] methods and knowledge and practice and [15:54] tools and technology all of those things [15:56] that leads to better control [15:58] verification and evals [16:00] >> it's going to enable RSI to be done [16:03] inside the company and for good products [16:05] to be released outside. [16:05] >> Let's talk about uh open source for a [16:07] second. I mean this hugging face we we [16:09] were communicating about this and I said [16:11] it's going to be one of the most [16:12] consequential [16:13] um [16:15] acquisitions. I don't even want to call [16:16] it a transaction because I think it's [16:18] more important than that. Um, give us [16:21] your first principles explanation of [16:23] open source versus closed source versus [16:25] open weights and how the ecosystem [16:26] should fit together over time. [16:28] >> The world needs both closed models and [16:31] open models. Um, you want you want to [16:33] use I use as much closed models as I [16:35] can. This weekend I I used four of them [16:37] and and uh they work terrifically. [16:39] They're frontier. They're great [16:41] experience. They right they work [16:42] incredibly well. They're getting better [16:43] all the time. Uh, and and the way I [16:46] think about closed closed closed models [16:48] is kind of like bottled water. You know, [16:52] water is free, you guys. I don't know if [16:54] I've told you guys, but water is free. I [16:56] I don't want to, you know, burst [16:57] everybody's bubble, but water's free. [16:59] And this morning, I used a lot of free [17:00] water taking a shower. And so, you use [17:04] the right water in the right places. And [17:06] this is no different than electricity. [17:08] This is, you know, this is no different [17:09] than all kinds of commodities that we [17:11] use in the world. You need both. Now in [17:13] the case of open the reason why that you [17:16] need it is because it could be for [17:18] sovereignty reasons, privacy reasons, um [17:20] proprietary technology reasons. Look at [17:23] the facts. The facts are in the last 6 [17:26] months [17:27] $400 billion of venture funding went [17:30] into AI native companies. [17:32] >> 80% of them use open models. If not for [17:35] open models, how could they build their [17:38] dream, [17:39] >> right? [17:39] >> Because their dream could be different. [17:41] Obviously, it'll be different than the [17:43] labs, the frontier labs dreams. And [17:45] there's America has so many different [17:47] ways to innovate. That's one of our core [17:49] strengths. Great ideas just coming out [17:51] of the fountain. And and so open models [17:54] enables that. Open models enables every [17:57] single if we want to win the AI race. [17:59] It's not about a few technology [18:01] companies winning the AI race. It's [18:03] about every company in America. Every [18:06] comp, every company, every industry, [18:08] every researcher, every teacher, every [18:12] student, every startup, everybody wins. [18:16] Some of them will use closed models. A [18:18] lot of them will use open models. [18:20] There's 10 million [18:22] >> Does it matter? [18:23] >> Well, let me just ask, does it matter if [18:24] the model the open models come from [18:26] China or the US? [18:28] >> Well, we're doing everything we can um [18:31] to make a contribution in open models. [18:34] However, the moment you download, like [18:37] for example, [18:39] probably the vast majority of the [18:41] world's contribution to open source [18:43] today is coming from China. They just [18:45] have a lot more engineers. They produce [18:47] everything in large scale because it's a [18:49] larger country. And so they produce [18:51] science and math students in volume, [18:53] >> right? [18:54] >> That's one of our disadvantages, right? [18:55] >> They're manufacturing them through [18:57] amazing universities like Chinua [18:59] University in high volume. Well, they [19:01] contribute to open source today. We [19:03] download Linux. We download Kubernetes. [19:06] We download all the software. A lot of [19:08] it has been touched by Chinese. And once [19:11] you download it, it's yours. We fork it. [19:13] We improve it. We make it ours. And so [19:16] we when you download one of these [19:18] Chinese models, it just happens to be [19:20] made by some really great researchers in [19:22] China, but it's now yours. Whatever you [19:26] want to do with it. [19:26] >> So what exactly is the race? [19:29] the race. [19:30] >> Yeah, [19:31] >> I think that's that's a really good [19:33] point. My point is the race is really [19:36] about who exploits the technology best. [19:40] You know, the last industrial [19:41] revolution, all of the inventors were [19:44] Maxwell, Volulta, Ampier. None of them [19:47] were American. [19:48] They were right. The last industrial [19:50] revolution came from Europe. But we [19:53] exploited it. We took advantage of it [19:55] socially better than anybody else in the [19:58] world. Look how it turned out for us. I [20:00] want to make sure that this next [20:01] generation happens just like this. [20:03] >> Yeah. Yeah. [20:04] >> So why why are the communists getting [20:06] their message out so successfully here [20:08] right now? [20:14] >> You know I I think first of all the [20:16] narrative is much more practical. [20:20] The narrative is much more practical. [20:22] Nobody's in China is saying that there's [20:24] end of this and end of that and you know [20:28] cataclysmic this and you know [20:30] >> doom or that [20:31] >> doom or that. [20:32] >> They're much more pragmatic about it. [20:33] They see AI as a technology that's going [20:35] to advance their economy, advance their [20:37] society and they don't have these these [20:40] groups who are basically saying it's [20:42] going to end civilization [20:43] >> and we're making it up. The part that is [20:45] frustrating is if it was true if it was [20:47] true then we ought to talk about it and [20:49] go do something about it, right? Even [20:51] even if it's true, we ought to spend [20:54] more time doing something about it than [20:56] worrying a bunch of people who can't do [20:58] anything about it. It's our job to build [21:00] it, right? [21:01] >> Has there ever been a point in history [21:03] where so many people have so vehemently [21:06] said something that is so untrue? [21:08] >> And they're measurably they're they're [21:10] actually demonstrably untrue and it [21:12] actually makes sense as untrue. It's not [21:15] based on science. It's not based on [21:17] research. Everything that's based on [21:18] science and research proves otherwise. [21:20] Is it a fear of the frontier? Humans [21:21] have never been there. We've never seen [21:23] it. Therefore, we're scared of it and [21:24] therefore it's easy to tell everyone to [21:26] be scared of it. [21:27] >> It could be life experience as well, [21:28] David. Um, so let me give you an [21:30] example. When I first graduated from [21:32] school, I was an engineer and I didn't [21:35] do that much typing. And the reason for [21:37] for that is because I was the first [21:39] generation before software software [21:40] became popular. We had to go build the [21:42] computers to make software pop possible. [21:45] Could you imagine [21:47] in this generation every single engineer [21:49] who came into the world of engineering [21:51] you spend all your time typing [21:54] literally that's what you do when you [21:56] get a job they give you a laptop they [21:58] give you a chair and you start typing [22:00] you you type all day long you type from [22:02] the moment you wake up to the m well [22:04] there was engineering before typing [22:06] >> right [22:07] >> and so so can you imagine that the world [22:10] has a mountain of engineering work to do [22:12] where most of it is not typing anymore [22:14] Sure, [22:16] we were we had busy engineers before [22:18] typing. I think we're going to do a lot [22:20] of great engineering after typing. [22:22] >> Yeah. [22:22] >> When I say typing, I mean coding. I [22:24] mean, and so even at NVIDIA when [22:27] software engineers talk to me, I I tell [22:29] them, you're just typing. I've been [22:32] saying that forever, but obviously for [22:34] fun. And I I tell them, my favorite key [22:38] is backspace. [22:40] And and the reason for that is because [22:42] the best software is the smallest [22:44] software. Yeah. So I I want you to use [22:46] backspace software. [22:47] >> Let's actually talk about Nvidia. I [22:49] let's let's do a little tear down of [22:51] Nvidia. So uh tear down meaning just [22:54] explain the pieces because there's a lot [22:55] of strategy at play. Let's start at the [22:57] absolute bottom. So [22:59] >> Oh no, [23:03] >> this is not planned, but we know who it [23:04] is. [23:05] >> Oh no. [23:07] No. [23:09] Mr. President. [23:12] Oh, yes, sir. Um, I gotta tell you [23:15] something. It I I uh if it wasn't [23:18] because of you calling, I would I'm on [23:21] stage with the besties. I'm on stage [23:23] with the besties. [23:25] I'm on stage with the besties. I'm on [23:27] stage with Sachs. And [23:29] >> yeah, [23:30] >> you know, the whole group. [23:33] Yeah. Jason's here. Chamat's here. David [23:36] and David is here. Yeah. I'm sitting in [23:38] front of a few thousand people [23:41] and we're talking as it turned out we [23:43] were we were talking about you. [23:48] Good job, sir. Good job. The fact that [23:50] you saw through all of that, I mean, [23:52] there's a lot of complexity and the fact [23:54] of the matter is you saw through all of [23:55] that and and I you know, we're all just [23:57] really grateful. [24:00] >> Tell them I said hi. [24:04] >> Do you want to say hi to the crowd? [24:06] Jason would like Jason would like to put [24:08] you on the [24:08] >> even Jason [24:10] speaker mode. [24:12] >> How do we put How do we put on pus [24:15] >> on? Put him on speaker. [24:16] >> Speaker. Yeah. [24:17] >> Right into the microphone. [24:18] >> Here we're going to get a mic. [24:19] >> Hang on a second. [24:20] >> Hold on, sir. We're getting a [24:20] microphone. [24:21] >> Mr. President, [24:23] >> you're you're now talking to the planet. [24:25] >> You see, the great thing about life is [24:28] that Jensen can develop the most complex [24:30] computer chip in the world that nobody [24:32] can copy for 10 years. But he can't [24:34] figure out how to put me on SPEAKER [24:39] THING. We have to remember this one. So [24:42] interesting the AI. It's almost as [24:45] conspiracy [24:46] and the happiest group is China and [24:49] China is very happy. And I could even [24:51] say in the country a lot of states are [24:54] happy that weren't going to get anything [24:56] because they're being uh inundated by [24:58] people that want to be there. But now [25:00] all of a sudden you see they're building [25:01] in Finland. They want to build one. [25:03] Google wants to build a big one in [25:05] Finland, which I'm not happy about [25:07] because they were unable to get [25:08] permitting. And I'm telling you, it's [25:10] all a hoax. The data centers are great [25:13] and they make people wealthy and they [25:14] make states wealthy and it's the oil of [25:17] the next 20 25 years. It's bigger than [25:19] the internet and the AI, you know, much [25:22] more so. And uh they're just playing [25:25] right into the hands of a lot of people [25:27] that don't want to see it happen. And [25:30] that could be political people. It could [25:31] also be China. And we're not going to [25:34] let that happen. It's a It's a hoax. And [25:37] >> you're right. We're not going to let [25:38] that happen, sir. [25:39] >> No, we're not going to let it happen. [25:41] The uh the robots are not going to be [25:44] taking over the world. And that's not [25:46] going to happen. You know, my uncle was [25:48] a the top probably maybe the best of all [25:51] time, frankly. [25:52] professors at MIT for 41 42 years and [25:57] can known as being one of the most [26:00] brilliant men and he was he was there [26:02] for 41 years as the top he was like at [26:06] the top top of the ladder top of did [26:08] many things Jensen knows all about it [26:10] but did many things so I have a little [26:12] genetic uh a little genetic strength if [26:15] you believe in the resource theory but I [26:17] do I have genetic [26:18] >> that explains why you know so much about [26:21] AI I Yeah. [26:22] >> Well, I know about AI. I know I also [26:24] have common sense about AI. Uh the [26:26] robots will not be taking over. Uh the [26:29] AI will not be taking over the rest of [26:31] the world. The whole thing is a hoax. [26:33] Now, with that, we have to be a little [26:35] bit careful. We have to very be, you [26:38] know, we have to do things and we have [26:40] to do them prudently. But that doesn't [26:42] mean we're going to stop industry [26:44] because, you know, as we work on the [26:45] next 10 years about how to destroy it. [26:48] So, I'm with you all the way. I didn't [26:49] even know how you felt about it. And I [26:50] assumed you felt the same way as me. [26:52] >> Yes, sir. [26:53] >> And we if we're going to lead and I have [26:55] an expression, it's whoever wins AI [26:57] wins. That's how big it is. It's bigger [26:59] than the internet. And whoever wins AI [27:02] wins. And we can't let this kind of [27:03] stuff happen. And that includes very [27:06] much includes data centers. There are [27:08] communities that were dying that have [27:10] data centers right now. And now they're [27:11] wealthy communities. Really wealthy [27:14] communities. We're We're going to make [27:15] sure that We're going to make sure that [27:17] everybody We're going to make sure that [27:18] everybody wins in the AI race in [27:21] America. Every industry, every company, [27:23] every state, every people. [27:25] >> Good. Well, I feel strongly about it and [27:27] I have the position that can do [27:28] something about it. We're not going to [27:29] let that stuff happen. So, I have no [27:32] idea who's at the meeting. I have no [27:33] idea who the hell I'm talking to, but [27:35] I'll see. [27:38] >> Did you Did you hear that? Did you hear [27:40] that? Thousands of people are clapping [27:43] for you, sir. All I know if you're there [27:48] to listen to Jensen, but uh he's done an [27:50] amazing job and David has done an [27:52] amazing job and good luck to everybody [27:54] and uh we're going to stay with the [27:57] future. The country has never done [27:58] better. We have 20 trillion dollars of [28:00] investment coming into the country and [28:02] that's as opposed to much less than 1 [28:06] trillion under sleepy Joe Biden and that [28:08] was for four years. This is in one year. [28:11] So, you know, it's it's really the [28:13] country is there's ne the country has [28:14] never seen anything like it and we're [28:16] going to keep it going. And so, thank [28:18] you all very much. [28:19] >> Thank you, Mr. President. [28:20] >> Mr. President, [28:21] >> thank you. [28:22] >> I'll call you back later. Thank you, Mr. [28:24] President. Thank you. [28:26] >> Um I was unique. [28:28] >> I thought it was a bit. Did you know [28:30] that was happening? [28:31] >> I thought it was a bit. Yeah, that was [28:33] >> it was No, it was real. I thought it was [28:35] a bit at first when I was like, put him [28:37] on speakerphone. [28:39] Wow. [28:40] and he calls you. How do you how do you [28:42] think he calls you any hour of the [28:43] night, right? [28:44] >> Well, we we were we were in the uh we [28:45] were in the oval that time when he [28:47] called you [28:49] sleeping. [28:49] >> You were asleep and he like said, "Wake [28:51] him up." [28:52] >> I felt I felt so bad because he's like, [28:53] "Who's coming to this dinner?" And we go [28:55] through the list. He's like, "Well, what [28:56] about Jensen?" I said, "No, sir. We I [28:58] He's on vacation." Cuz he he had to [28:59] postpone this vacation for 5 years. [29:02] >> And he's like, "Get him on the phone." [29:04] >> What's vacation? [29:05] >> But what why do you think he sees [29:07] through the hoax? It's it's this is the [29:08] thing quite an extraordinary thing. [29:10] >> It was it's polling minus 80. [29:13] >> So for anyone else that's sitting in the [29:15] Oval Office. You're going to do what's [29:17] popular. You're representing the people. [29:19] This is what everyone wants. They want [29:20] to shut down the data centers and AI. It [29:22] seems to be the popular thing in the [29:24] moment. But he says it's a hoax and he [29:27] calls it. How does he do that? [29:29] >> I got to tell you, I'm not sure. And the [29:30] reason for that is because a lot of [29:31] people are falling for it. And so the [29:33] fact of the matter is it's complicated. [29:35] You know, at first, I mean, if you look [29:37] at the story, if you look at the [29:38] stories, it's all anchored on two [29:40] things. The first thing that it was [29:41] anchored on was national security. And [29:44] recently, that was all blown blown to [29:45] bits, right? [29:46] >> And so, no, that story is no longer [29:48] anchored on national security. Now, it's [29:50] anchored on safety. Now, if you want AI [29:53] to be safe, um the first thing is we [29:55] need to make sure that the the labs that [29:57] are building it are in control, that [30:00] they're they're good tests for them. uh [30:02] if we would like to have third parties [30:04] uh uh to to um uh make sure that a third [30:08] party evaluator third party evaluators [30:10] are available that's no different than [30:12] financial control. You guys know we have [30:13] auditors [30:14] >> and the auditors are quite quite um they [30:17] don't have to be as expert as we are in [30:19] our business but they just have to ask [30:21] the right questions and um I I think I [30:23] heard somebody say that it's good to [30:25] have uh independent auditors or [30:27] evaluators but they just have to have [30:29] multiple. I agree with that too. Just as [30:31] there's multiple evaluated and auditors, [30:34] it makes sure that one company doesn't [30:36] become, you know, pilled or somehow [30:38] influenced um for for whatever reason. [30:40] And so you, you know, there's a lot of [30:42] different ways that you could solve [30:43] this. Um and so I think the number one [30:45] thing is let's build the technology [30:47] safely. Let's make sure that the testing [30:50] of it is safe. And I I recognize [30:53] completely that that what what is being [30:55] built is extraordinary. Um but these are [30:58] extraordinary companies and and we ought [30:59] to hold them to to extraordinary [31:01] standards. Um and they want to be and [31:03] they want to be [31:04] >> I wanted to go back to open source for a [31:06] second. Um a year ago we weren't taking [31:10] it very seriously. It was two years 18 [31:13] months behind. [31:13] >> The one thing that you know one of the [31:15] as you guys know one of the challenges [31:17] when you're on the call with President [31:19] Trump is hard to say something. Um [31:24] I'm going to get in trouble for that. [31:25] I'm sure he's going to call me up up on [31:26] that. But anyhow, uh what I was going to [31:29] tell him and and and all of you is that [31:32] AI is creating an enormous number of [31:33] jobs. The the the thing that he wanted [31:36] more than anything at the beginning of [31:37] the the administration and that my first [31:39] phone call with him, my first time I met [31:41] him is that he wants to create jobs in [31:44] America. He wants to re-industrialize [31:46] the United States. He wants to make sure [31:48] that United States has the energy to [31:50] support the next industrial revolution. [31:52] Without energy, there's no industrial [31:54] growth. And so he wants to make sure [31:56] that there's energy growth, that there's [31:58] job growth, that they're [31:59] re-industrializing [32:01] the supply chain. Look at everything [32:02] that we're doing right now. All of it is [32:04] happening right now as we speak. We're [32:06] creating more jobs than ever. We're [32:08] creating software jobs. We were just [32:10] talking about earlier. $400 billion [32:12] dollar of venture financing went into [32:15] the AI industry just recently. Yeah. 6 [32:17] months. Well, that's created a ton of [32:20] jobs. That's created a ton of jobs. Um [32:22] it's created you know obviously enormous [32:25] amount of demand for compute which we're [32:26] I'm happy about. Um which is also which [32:29] is also creating a lot of demand for [32:30] data centers and we ought to talk about [32:32] that. I think I was just I was talking [32:34] to um uh Governor Abbott uh uh of uh [32:38] Texas and he was he was uh he wants to [32:40] appeal to the industry to make sure that [32:42] we are we are empathetic to the small [32:44] communities as we're building data [32:46] centers all of all across America just [32:49] to be better listeners. Let's actually [32:51] talk about that for a second. That's [32:53] >> what's incredible about Nvidia if you if [32:55] you break down the component parts is [32:57] you've effectively had to become the [33:00] bank of AI to get the ecosystem going [33:04] and you've had to do it at all the [33:05] levels. You know, you just did this [33:06] thing with Cloverleaf where you're doing [33:07] land powers shell. You did this great [33:09] thing with Black Rockck and Goldman and [33:12] all these folks to to essentially create [33:14] the financing capability. walk us [33:16] through your capital allocation strategy [33:18] like what has to happen to get a broader [33:22] ecosystem folks to be able to come in [33:24] and underwrite this next phase. [33:26] >> Well, we're we're creating as you guys [33:27] know this is a new industrial revolution [33:29] and and um every aspect of it is true. [33:32] Um this new industry [33:34] requires manufacturing just as just as [33:37] uh the the the um electricity, internet [33:40] and now AI. We power anything, we can [33:45] find anything. Now with AI, we can ask [33:49] and know anything. Isn't that right? And [33:51] so that's our future. We tap into the [33:52] ether and we can ask it of anything we [33:54] want and it could explain it to us. Now, [33:57] in order for that to happen, it's got to [33:58] produce the intelligence. And so that's [34:00] a production process which is the reason [34:02] why this infrastructure has to get [34:03] built. But once you get the [34:05] infrastructure built, the question is um [34:07] what about all of the other layers [34:09] across the United States? Uh this [34:11] industry isn't just about the model. [34:14] It's not just about the chips. It's [34:16] mostly about the applications on top. [34:19] It's mostly about the infrastructure [34:21] layer, the data centers and all the [34:23] infrastructure, the the the the [34:25] construction, the electricity, the power [34:27] generation that all of that is involved. [34:30] And so I look across the entire [34:32] ecosystem and look for bottlenecks and [34:34] if there are places where extraordinary [34:36] companies are being built [34:37] >> constraints [34:38] >> constraints extraordinary companies [34:39] being built uh maybe it's uh uh uh [34:43] supply chain that has to uh get scaled [34:46] up so that when we're ready to deploy [34:49] compute that they'll be ready for us [34:51] land power shell and so this is no [34:53] different than looking at the supply [34:54] chain upstream. You know, I I probably [34:57] uh think about the long-term supply [34:59] chain more than most because our [35:01] company's really large and and um in [35:03] order for us to succeed, a whole bunch [35:05] of companies has to support me. You [35:07] know, it's got to uh Corning has to, you [35:09] know, Wendle at at Corning has to [35:12] support me, Lumenum, and you know, TSMC [35:15] of course and memory companies and and [35:17] so we started working with all of these [35:18] companies long before the revolution [35:21] that the the growth came so that the [35:23] growth could happen. Now I'm got now I'm [35:26] doing a downstream. [35:27] >> The compet cycle tends to be though that [35:29] the earnings over time over long [35:30] stretches of time tends to move up the [35:32] stack right towards the application [35:34] layer where you can over earn for larger [35:36] periods of time. Um I mean you bought [35:39] hugging face now you're sort of in the [35:41] actively in the serving business. I mean [35:43] it seems pretty natural that products [35:47] like open router make a lot of sense. It [35:49] seems pretty obvious that you know there [35:51] are better versions of ways to build [35:52] things like bedrock. I'm sure you think [35:54] about it. What's the natural conclusion? [35:57] Because it seems like the folks up here [35:59] have no issue trying to move down. [36:01] >> Mhm. [36:02] >> And you have the best balance sheet, [36:03] these incredible engineers, and you have [36:05] the proven experience to make it right [36:08] and engineer the product and get it out. [36:10] So, how do you think about looking up [36:12] and saying, "I could probably do that." [36:14] >> The the reason why Nvidia runs every [36:16] single model in the world, we were the [36:19] only It's incredible. Last year about a [36:21] year and a half ago the only thing we [36:23] ran was open AI. [36:24] >> Yeah. [36:25] >> And now look at amazing models are [36:27] available. The Metamuse is available. [36:29] You got gro is available. Grockbots's [36:31] incredible. Um we now run Gemini. Uh and [36:35] anthropic is is uh scaling up on our [36:37] platform as well. Uh since a year and a [36:39] half ago, you got all these frontier AI [36:41] models that are now open that are [36:43] available. So the number of models that [36:45] are are are growing. Um there's a whole [36:47] bunch of companies that I won't mention [36:49] that are building uh frontier models as [36:51] well. And the the number of AI labs are [36:54] growing. Yeah. The the ineffables, the [36:57] uh the reflections, the right the list [37:00] goes on. The physical intelligence, the [37:02] list goes on. Okay. And so all of these [37:04] labs are building on NVIDIA. And the [37:06] reason for that is because as a company, [37:09] I rather for us to help everybody [37:12] succeed instead of taking a slice out. [37:16] And so we would go up as far as we need [37:19] to but as low as possible. [37:22] >> Our strategy is go up as far as we need [37:25] to and as low as possible. And the [37:26] reason for that is because if I do that, [37:29] if I solved the if if not for Nvidia [37:32] creating QDNN, all of the frameworks [37:34] wouldn't exist. If not for us creating [37:36] Megatron uh megatron core, uh then all [37:40] of the large scale training wouldn't [37:41] have happened. [37:42] >> Wouldn't exist. Um, so we we go and we [37:44] invent all the technology necessary as [37:46] far as we need to and then we let a [37:48] thousand flowers bloom. [37:50] >> And so that posture allows us to be [37:52] quite frankly the only [37:54] >> Well, look, let's be honest that I I [37:55] agree with you. The push back would be [37:58] that it really would be great to have [38:00] more competition at the hyperscare [38:02] layer. And I think you've done a great [38:04] job supporting the NeoClouds. There are [38:06] some. And by the way, I think you [38:07] introduced me to NBS. Superb, great, [38:09] everything. They're amazing. But we need [38:11] like 50 of these guys. We need a hundred [38:13] of them. We need a thousand of them. And [38:15] it just may take some [38:17] >> Yeah. You know, it's just I'm [38:20] surprisingly uncompetitive [38:23] >> really. Yeah. That's not my thing. You [38:27] know, my thing is kind of like for [38:28] example, I'd be more than happy with [38:30] five hyperscalers. However, um the [38:34] reason I noticed the early customers of [38:36] all the Neoclouds, all the what we call [38:38] NCPs, all the early customers were the [38:41] hyperscalers. [38:42] >> Exactly. [38:42] >> And the reason for that is because the [38:44] hyperscalers plan once a year, but the [38:47] market dynamics is so volatile right now [38:50] >> that they're always almost wrong. And so [38:53] with all these regional clouds who are [38:56] agile and they can move fast, um they [38:59] know their state or they know their [39:00] country, they know their region, they're [39:03] securing land, power and shell in a way [39:05] that's hard for somebody who sits in [39:07] Seattle or sits in Palo Alto to be able [39:09] to see the planet. [39:10] >> And so we now have basically a largecale [39:13] distributed network of companies that [39:15] are building securing land power shell [39:17] for us. and um uh and and now countries [39:20] realize it's strategic. [39:22] >> Yeah. [39:22] >> So many countries are saying I'm going [39:24] to take my power and only give it to my [39:26] own companies, [39:27] >> right? [39:28] >> Well, Nvidia is in that country as well [39:30] and we could help the Neoclouds in that [39:32] country grow and and so whether it's [39:34] whether it's Fermas and Australia, we [39:36] just did a whole bunch of stuff in [39:37] Australia. Um brought on two more [39:39] gigabytes. Uh Southeast Asia of course [39:43] IOH and others bring on a few gigabytes. [39:45] And so we're building gigawatts. So, [39:48] we're building, you know, we're we're [39:49] scaling up. You know, it's [39:51] >> pretty clear, though. I just want to get [39:52] this one thing in. It's pretty clear [39:54] that you're going pretty high up and [39:56] getting very focused on open-source. [39:58] Obviously, you have your Neotrons doing [40:01] exceptionally well. I use them often. [40:02] Hugging face poolside and Laguna uh very [40:06] very solid product that you're now uh [40:08] aqua hiring, hiring, whatever it is. Um [40:11] and then you have your open source stack [40:12] for self-driving also uh very [40:15] disruptive. So [40:16] >> we are the frontier model in five [40:18] domains. [40:19] >> Yeah. [40:19] >> Yeah. And so [40:21] >> you don't seem to build products to get [40:23] the silver medal. You seem to go for the [40:26] gold. So are you going for the gold? And [40:28] will you have the best hands-down [40:30] open-source model? And then [40:34] part B to that is can open source catch [40:36] up to frontier models and are you the [40:38] person to do it? So the logic the logic [40:40] Jason is that that um we will build it [40:44] because one uh we can we have the skills [40:47] to do it and because our customers need [40:50] us to do it [40:51] >> right. So, for example, Alpamo is the [40:54] world's first thinking self-driving car. [40:57] And by by thinking, by reasoning, you [40:59] don't need as much data as, you know, [41:01] you don't have to train on a few billion [41:04] hours of road data because you could [41:06] reason about it. Break down the problem [41:08] into I've seen this before. It's not [41:10] exactly the same, but it's largely the [41:11] same as that. Okay? And so, so Alpamo, [41:14] why is it necessary? Well, there's a [41:16] whole bunch of car companies. Every car [41:17] in the world is going to be autonomous, [41:19] but beyond that, every ag tech, every [41:23] truck, every van, and most of them [41:26] aren't big enough in scale to be able to [41:28] build that whole stack. So, I'll build [41:30] an extraordinary stack for them. They do [41:32] last mile adapting for their [41:34] application. Now, everything that moves [41:36] in the future could be autonomous. If [41:38] not for us building uh some of the some [41:41] of the biology models, the world [41:42] wouldn't have it. uh the the ESM2 uh [41:45] protein found language model we created [41:47] that ESM fold open fold alpha fold 2 um [41:51] all the stuff with with coup equavariant [41:53] um all of that stuff technology wouldn't [41:55] have existed if we didn't build it uh uh [41:58] one of my favorites uh proteina complexa [42:01] uh is you know synthesizing next [42:03] generation proteins and it's binding [42:05] it's groundbreaking stuff we built that [42:07] and so we'll build that because Lily [42:08] needs it and and uh you know Merc needs [42:11] it and others need it and they don't [42:12] have the capab ability to do it or they [42:14] they're not yet there and so we can make [42:15] a real contribution. So I do everything [42:18] out of need. I'm not trying to disrupt I [42:21] mean we don't wake up in the morning try [42:22] to disrupt anybody. [42:23] >> We just wake up in the morning try to [42:25] help everybody. [42:25] >> Jensen, what about what about [42:27] competitive threats that might be [42:28] emerging to your core business? Can you [42:30] just comment? [42:31] >> Just so nice. [42:32] >> Yes. Well, I know this is Well, I I [42:34] actually want I want to just get your [42:36] let's just call it a take. What's your [42:38] take on Terraab 100 million square foot [42:40] facility Elon's announced and um [42:43] >> if anybody could do it he can and the [42:45] two of us were on a flight together to a [42:48] country and um [42:51] >> with a person who sometimes calls you on [42:55] the phone. It was it was a nice plane [42:57] and and and we had like you know and you [43:02] know Elon likes to talk about these [43:04] things and and so uh we spent a lot of [43:06] time talking about it. [43:08] >> I I is that anybody could do it because [43:10] I mean you could you design chips you [43:12] don't fab them. Could your chips be fab [43:14] there or is it [43:15] >> Well, we know we we know a lot about [43:17] process technology because we're pushing [43:19] the limits of everything, [43:20] >> right? And you know because we scale at [43:22] such large scale uh we have incredible [43:25] memory technology inside the company. [43:27] We're the world's best sis company. You [43:29] know we got lots of amazing. [43:30] >> So your take is you've talked a lot [43:31] about it. [43:32] >> So we could just yeah we could talk [43:33] about it and and um you can't discourage [43:36] Elon from doing it which is one of his [43:38] incred that's his superpower and once he [43:40] decides to go do something it's hard to [43:42] stop him. And so I [43:43] >> And can can you give us your take on [43:44] where China is with advanced lithography [43:46] systems? Um native grown. [43:48] >> They're going to get there by 2030. [43:50] >> By 2030. [43:51] >> Yeah. And 2030 is just around the [43:53] corner. [43:53] >> Yeah. [43:54] >> Also, that's how long will all be dead [43:56] at that time. So, [43:58] >> and does and for China, does that mean [43:59] the switch is flipped and then that's [44:01] all going to go into um mainland fabs [44:05] >> almost immediately? [44:06] >> You know, the the way to think about [44:08] China is really good at high volume [44:10] production. [44:12] And this is just matter of time. [44:15] >> Yeah. [44:16] >> And I you know I I think in I I think in [44:20] decades as well you know I've been [44:22] around a long time and you know for [44:24] Nvidia I've got to think about what [44:25] happens next decade and decade after [44:27] that. So two or three years is it's just [44:29] a click. It's nothing. [44:31] >> And so as far as they're concerned [44:32] they're already there. [44:33] >> They're already there. [44:34] >> Yeah. [44:34] >> Jensen Elon uh and Gwen [44:37] >> we've got to run America. We got to run. [44:40] >> Yeah. speedun. [44:41] >> So, we got [44:42] >> speedun. [44:43] >> Slowing down is definitely the wrong [44:45] strategy. [44:46] >> Well, I mean it it feels apparent, I [44:48] think, to most of us in the industry [44:50] that we're kind of in the AGI moment. [44:52] And it's a definition obviously just as [44:54] smart as any other human. [44:55] >> I think we're already there. [44:56] >> We're there, right? And so then super [44:58] intelligence is the next way point based [45:01] on what you see, based on your customer [45:02] base, based on your history here. [45:04] >> But Jason, I think we're there, too. [45:05] >> You think we're at super intelligence? [45:06] >> Yeah. Yeah. When you when you when you [45:09] take a narrow segment [45:11] a narrow segment I mean my my [45:13] self-driving car I don't want you to [45:14] make me an omelette I just want you to [45:16] drive the car [45:17] >> right [45:18] >> that is super intelligent [45:18] >> super it's better it's better than a [45:20] human [45:20] >> yeah yeah [45:22] >> onetenth the the accident rate [45:24] >> exactly [45:24] >> uh synthesizing proteins you know uh [45:28] doing virtual screening of proteins [45:29] we're already there [45:31] >> are you having fun being on the frontier [45:33] of humanity [45:36] >> I like Yeah, [45:40] >> ladies and gentlemen. [45:41] >> Ladies and gentlemen, [45:42] >> I like it. I like it. And guys, guys, [45:44] it's it's it's great there. The future [45:47] is great and we want to get there. [45:50] Listen, ride the bike. A lot of us don't [45:53] have to work. But I got to tell you, [45:55] it's too good not to be. [45:56] >> So fun, [45:57] >> right? And so, so I want every we I want [46:00] to be there. I want all of you guys [46:01] there with me. We're all going to be [46:03] there. we're going to be enormously [46:05] successful together as a humanity. And [46:08] um and in the meantime, uh we got to [46:10] encourage them, urge them on. They're [46:12] doing really, really important work as [46:14] you guys know. And I want them to [46:16] succeed. Um I also would love for us to [46:19] tone down the the the the drama and most [46:23] importantly, we need all of America to [46:25] come with us. That's how we make it. [46:28] >> Ladies and gentlemen, Jensen Long. [46:31] >> Thanks, man. Appreciate you. Thank you. [46:35] >> Thank you. [46:36] >> That was awesome. [46:38] Only your part. [46:39] >> That was awesome. That was great. [46:41] >> Thanks, guys. [46:43] That was great, huh? Great time.