DOT Antitrust Exemptions Shield Transatlantic Airline Joint Ventures From Competition Laws

The Cartels Running Up Transatlantic Airfares — Wendover Productions

Wendover Productions

The systematic grant of antitrust immunity to major airline alliances has legally eliminated price competition over the North Atlantic, driving up international airfares through authorized revenue-pooling cartels.

AI-assisted summary of The Cartels Running Up Transatlantic Airfares — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Detailed notes

## Background This video was published on YouTube by the channel Wendover Productions on January 27, 2026. According to the page description, the episode includes a sponsorship promotion to try Rocket Money for free, alongside links to the creator's social media platforms and production credits.

## TL;DR The video exposes how a handful of major airlines operate legalized business cartels across the Atlantic, effectively eliminating price competition through joint venture agreements and antitrust immunity. While airlines argue these alliances seamlessly integrate global flight networks, historical evidence shows that deep cooperation is entirely possible without revenue pooling and price-fixing. Passengers ultimately pay the price through inflated fares on routes with low competition, exemplified by steep ticket price disparities between highly competitive and isolated European destinations. Furthermore, dominant airline alliances actively use their massive market power to aggressively squeeze out independent, low-cost competitors like Norwegian Air to maintain their lucrative market supremacy.

## Atmosphere & style The presentation is analytical, deeply investigative, and revelatory, systematically dismantling the illusion of choices presented to travelers at major airports. The host guides the audience with a sharp, grounded narrative style that transitions from macro-level economic critiques to precise, data-driven case studies. It carries an undercurrent of frustration regarding regulatory failures and bureaucratic inertia, making the viewer feel like they are uncovering a massive corporate secret hiding in plain sight. The tone wraps up with a candid, transparent pivot as the creator shares a vulnerable personal anecdote about their own financial oversight to seamlessly introduce the sponsor.

## Key takeaways - The North Atlantic is the world's largest and most lucrative long-haul aviation market due to tight cultural and economic bonds between Europe and North America. - The apparent vibrant competition among 33 airlines operating 126 routes from New York to Europe is merely a facade covering identical pricing on key routes. - Airlines like United, Lufthansa, Brussels Airlines, Swiss, and Austrian explicit collude on routes, capacity, and fares through legalized business cartels. - The big three transatlantic joint venture entities (Star Alliance, SkyTeam, and oneworld) control a staggering 75% of all Europe-bound flights from New York. - Regulators in both Europe and the United States have officially granted these airlines exemptions from antitrust laws, legally authorizing market consolidation. - Delta and Virgin Atlantic secured antitrust immunity by arguing that coordinating schedules was required to overcome London Heathrow's severe slot restrictions and compete effectively. - A regulatory domino effect has occurred since 1996, with the Department of Transportation repeatedly approving new joint ventures to help airlines rival pre-existing immunized cartels. - The core operational goal of these joint ventures is the seamless integration of transatlantic hub-and-spoke networks, funneling passengers into connecting short-haul flights. - Historical and modern examples (like American and Qatar, or United and Emirates) prove that deep network integration and through-ticketing do not legally require antitrust immunity. - Increased airline competition directly correlates with lower airfares, as seen in highly competitive Italian and Spanish markets compared to those dominated by fewer legacy carriers. - On a per-mile basis, transatlantic routes rank among the highest-cost long-haul flights globally, serving as core profit pools for major airline groups. - Dominant airline alliances leverage their immense market power to aggressively match routes and pricing of low-cost independent competitors like Norwegian Air to drive them out of business. - Once independent low-cost competition is eliminated, legacy carriers promptly cancel their defensive matching routes rather than maintaining them for genuine market demand. - The ongoing approval of antitrust immunity represents a regulatory failure driven by bureaucratic inertia rather than a logical benefit to consumers.

## Detailed walkthrough ### The Facade of Transatlantic Competition

Europe and North America share the tightest cultural and economic bonds of any two continents, turning the North Atlantic into the world’s largest and most lucrative long-haul aviation market. At a glance, places like JFK Airport present a picture of vibrant, healthy competition. Travelers can watch dozens of distinct European airline logos glide down the runways. On paper, 33 different airlines operate 126 routes connecting New York to Europe. This spans global giants like British Airways, Air France, and KLM flying into massive hubs like London, Paris, and Amsterdam, alongside smaller carriers like Air Serbia, High Sky, or Azores Airlines servicing niche destinations like Belgrade, Bucharest, or Ponta Delgada.

However, looking beneath the surface reveals that this colorful variety of logos is "merely a facade." If a passenger wants to fly from New York to Brussels, they might think they have a competitive choice between a 6:10 p.m. departure on Brussels Airlines from JFK or a 6:30 p.m. flight on United Airlines out of Newark. In reality, the traveler lacks any choice on what price to pay. Almost every single day, both airlines charge identical fares because they effectively operate as a single carrier. The same dynamic plays out for flights to Munich; United runs a 5:15 p.m. flight from Newark, Lufthansa runs a 5:30 p.m. flight from JFK, and another United flight departs Newark at 8:30 p.m.—all priced down to the dollar identically.

- **Total Market Scope (NY to Europe):** 33 airlines running 126 distinct routes. - **Identical Pricing Example (Brussels):** Brussels Airlines (6:10 p.m. from JFK) and United (6:30 p.m. from Newark). - **Identical Pricing Example (Munich):** United (5:15 p.m. Newark / 8:30 p.m. Newark) and Lufthansa (5:30 p.m. JFK).

The Legalized Business Cartel

This complete lack of price variation is driven by a business cartel. Airlines like United, Lufthansa, Brussels Airlines, Swiss, and Austrian Airlines are explicitly colluding. Together, these corporate groups dictate how often they fly, which routes they service, and exactly how much they charge. Because they pool their transatlantic revenue and distribute it according to strict joint venture agreements, they are indifferent to which specific airline a passenger flies. United earns the exact same amount of money whether a traveler books a seat on a United aircraft or takes a Lufthansa flight to Frankfurt. From a standpoint of competition economics, these five separate brands operate as a singular entity.

This tight collusion directly challenges legal frameworks. Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union explicitly prohibits agreements that "directly or indirectly fix purchase or selling prices." While this blatant price-fixing would normally land any ordinary corporation in severe legal jeopardy, these airlines openly discuss the practice with investors. They are protected by an official European Commission document that grants them an exemption from antitrust laws. Regulators in both Europe and the United States have legally authorized these cartels to collude against the consumer, severely concentrating the market.

- **The Big Three Transatlantic Entities:** - **Star Alliance JV:** United, Lufthansa, Brussels Airlines, Swiss, and Austrian. - **SkyTeam JV:** Delta, Virgin Atlantic, KLM, and Air France (controls roughly 26% of the New York-transatlantic market). - **oneworld JV:** American Airlines, Aer Lingus, British Airways, Finnair, Iberia, and Level (controls roughly 18% of the New York-transatlantic market). - **Market Dominance:** These three entities control a staggering 75% of all Europe-bound flights departing from New York. - **Smaller Market Impact:** In smaller regions like Washington D.C., the big three joint ventures command 85% of all transatlantic flights, a figure projected to hit 89% once SAS and ITA Airways secure approval to integrate into SkyTeam and Star Alliance.

The Schedule Loophole and London Heathrow's Slot Deficit

The legal mechanism allowing this consolidation is managed right by Dulles Airport at the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT). American law allows the DOT to grant antitrust immunity, provided the airlines can prove that the public benefits of collusion "outweigh the negative consequences of reduced competition." This prompts airlines to file exhaustive, winding legal arguments. A prime example unfolded between 2012 and 2019 when Virgin Atlantic sought entry into Delta's transatlantic joint venture. Operating under the core legal claim that "the joint venture will be a more effective competitor on US-UK routes," Delta and Virgin argued they needed to pool resources to offer a "meaningful competitive alternative" to the dominant American Airlines and British Airways alliance.

Delta and Virgin based their plea on schedule frequency and time-of-day coverage. London is a premier destination dominated by lucrative business travelers who buy premium business class seats and last-minute tickets. These corporate travelers are fiercely schedule-dependent; if a meeting finishes at 2:00 p.m., they demand a 5:00 p.m. flight home from Heathrow to minimize time away from family. Companies looking to sign large corporate travel contracts rejected Delta, explicitly telling the airline that its service frequencies and time-of-day coverage between New York and London Heathrow were "inadequate."

Adding more flights independently was impossible because London Heathrow is one of the world's most severely slot-restricted airports. Operating with just two runways, every single landing slot is fully utilized, pushing slot values into tens of millions of dollars. The highly sought-after early morning arrival slots for overnight transatlantic flights rarely go up for sale. By forming an immunized joint venture, Delta and Virgin explained they could strategically shuffle their westbound schedules to eliminate overlapping departure times and stagger flights throughout the day. This schedule coordination minimized their longest service gap to just three hours between Virgin's 5:00 p.m. and 8:00 p.m. flights, a pitch that ultimately convinced the DOT to waive antitrust rules.

- **Corporate Dissatisfaction:** Corporate buyers flatly refused to commit business travel accounts to Delta due to poor time-of-day slots at Heathrow. - **Heathrow Infrastructure Bottleneck:** Only two operational runways force an extreme supply deficit, making individual slots worth tens of millions of dollars. - **Westbound Schedule Solution:** Coordinated staggering of flights to guarantee consistent coverage, narrowing the widest service gap down to a single 3-hour window.

The Domino Effect of Hub Integration

The DOT's approval of Delta and Virgin's venture carried a quiet, ironic admission: if the public benefit was creating a tool to fight American Airlines and British Airways, then that pre-existing American-British joint venture must have established a public detriment. Tracking this regulatory logic backward reveals a historical domino effect. The DOT approved American and British Airways in 2010 because Delta already held immunized partnerships. Delta's earlier joint venture with Air France was approved in 2002 to help them compete against the United-Lufthansa cartel, which originally won approval all the way back in 1996.

The original 1996 vision for these joint ventures focused on expanding the classic "hub-and-spoke" network model across an ocean. Following aviation deregulation in the 1970s and 1980s, carriers organized their flights around central hubs. They timed big banks of flights to land simultaneously, allowing passengers from small towns to catch tightly synchronized connecting flights out to major cities. While this revolutionized domestic short-haul travel, it did not fully translate to international long-haul flights. United could easily fly you to London or Paris, but if your final destination was a smaller city like Bilbao, Lyon, or Stuttgart, booking the entire journey through an American carrier was incredibly difficult.

The joint venture aimed to seamlessly stitch these networks together. Today, this integration forms the bedrock of international aviation. Every morning, eight United wide-body aircraft land at Lufthansa's Frankfurt hub, pouring well over a thousand passengers into the terminal. The majority of these travelers navigate the airport's maze of terminals to board connecting short-haul Lufthansa flights. Lufthansa carefully coordinates its capacity to align with destinations popular with American travelers that United doesn't serve directly—such as Stockholm, Vienna, or Istanbul. Because they pool their revenue, it is in both airlines' shared financial interest to make sure their joint network offers a faster, cheaper, and more streamlined itinerary than competing hubs in Amsterdam or Paris.

- **Historical Chain of Antitrust Immunity Approvals:** - **1996:** United and Lufthansa (The foundational transatlantic joint venture). - **2002:** Delta and Air France (Approved to rival United/Lufthansa). - **2010:** American Airlines and British Airways (Approved to rival Delta/Air France). - **2012–2019:** Delta and Virgin Atlantic (Approved to rival American/British Airways). - **Daily Frankfurt Exchange:** 8 United wide-body jets deliver over 1,000 daily passengers directly into Lufthansa's connecting network.

Proving Antitrust Immunity is Unnecessary

While this cross-continental network integration has injected connectivity into global travel, a major question remains: was antitrust immunity actually required to achieve it? Historical evidence suggests otherwise. United and Lufthansa did not wait for their 1996 antitrust waiver to link their networks; they began deep integration three years earlier, in 1993. By 1993, travelers from towns like Tampa, Orlando, Philadelphia, New Orleans, and Phoenix could seamlessly book single-ticket itineraries through Dulles Airport straight to Frankfurt, connecting onto eight different German cities and Vienna. The airlines avoided antitrust violations by completely steering clear of price-fixing and revenue pooling. Instead, they simply paid each other for the individual seats utilized on each other's schedules.

Modern global aviation offers plenty of evidence that deep, non-immunized partnerships work exceptionally well without sacrificing consumer competition:

* **American Airlines & Qatar Airways:** American runs a flight from Philadelphia to Doha that arriving at 4:30 p.m., perfectly positioning passengers to catch Qatar’s massive 6:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. eastbound flight bank. In reverse, Qatar shapes its American routes directly around American Airlines' major hubs in Los Angeles, Dallas, Chicago, New York, and Miami. * **United Airlines & Emirates:** United runs a New York to Dubai route explicitly designed to feed Emirates' onward global network, while Emirates flies directly into major United hubs to funnel passengers deep into the United States. * **Delta Air Lines & Riyadh Air:** Delta has established a nearly identical arrangement with the upcoming Riyadh Air, aligning hub operations across hemispheres.

None of these modern partnerships hold antitrust immunity. They deliver all the consumer perks of network integration, schedule coordination, and through-ticketing while forcing the airlines to remain fierce standalone competitors. For example, a traveler looking to fly from Boston to Delhi is presented with two distinct routing options at two entirely different price points: American Airlines via New York, or Qatar Airways via Doha. Because neither carrier can lean on an immunized revenue pool, they are forced to offer superior pricing and better service to actively win the traveler's dollar.

The Cost of Low Competition in the Italian Market

The explicit downside of granting antitrust immunity is plain to see when looking at ticket prices on routes that lack strong, independent competitors. Italy stands out as a massive destination for American tourists. From New York, major markets like Milan and Rome feature four genuine, unaligned competitors fighting for travelers' business. This fierce competition keeps average airfares relatively low, sitting at a modest $566 for Milan and $486 for Rome during the peak travel month of August.

In sharp contrast, smaller Italian markets with less competition see their pricing power tilt heavily back toward the airlines. On routes to Venice, Naples, Bari, and Palermo, only two competitors go head-to-head, driving ticket prices up significantly. Furthermore, the specific competitive dynamics on these routes dictate just how high those prices climb. In Venice and Naples, the matchup is United versus Delta—two massive, well-matched legacy carriers. But in Bari and Palermo, United faces off against Neos, a small Italian carrier operating just six long-haul aircraft on a limited weekly schedule. Because Neos has minimal brand recognition in the United States, it struggles to pose a serious threat to United for American-origin traffic. Rather than launching a price war, United simply lets Neos undercut its fares by a couple hundred dollars to capture a tiny slice of the market, keeping United's average ticket prices highly inflated.

- **August Peak Pricing Comparison (High vs. Low Competition):** - **Milan (4 Competitors):** $566 average fare. - **Rome (4 Competitors):** $486 average fare. - **Venice (United vs. Delta):** $579 average fare. - **Naples (United vs. Delta):** $578 average fare. - **Bari (United vs. Neos):** $860 average fare. - **Palermo (United vs. Neos):** $819 average fare. - **The Indirect Exception:** Delta's route from New York to Catania bucks the trend slightly with a $600 average price tag, but it faces indirect geographic competition from the United and Neos routes into nearby Palermo, anchoring its rates. - **The Spanish Market Parallel:** Spain mirrors this exact economic trend. Highly competitive hubs like Barcelona and Madrid consistently showcase the lowest average airfares, while lower-competition destinations like Santiago de Compostela, Bilbao, Malaga, and Palma de Mallorca command the absolute highest prices on the map.

Pricing Power and the Transatlantic Fare Premium

A clear economic trend emerges when analyzing Italian and Spanish destinations operating out of New York: increased competition directly correlates with lower airfares. Conversely, when airlines face fewer competitors, they gain immense pricing power, allowing them to charge passengers higher rates without risking the loss of their business. Over the Atlantic, the systematic erosion of competitiveness—driven by antitrust immunity waivers—has granted major carriers unprecedented pricing power, driving up overall airfares.

This phenomenon is vividly illustrated by comparing JetBlue's operations from Boston. San Diego and Dublin are relatively close in distance from Boston, with Dublin being only about 400 miles (650 km) further. JetBlue utilizes similarly configured Airbus A321 aircraft for both routes, yet their August pricing reveals a staggering disparity. The transcontinental flight to San Diego costs an average of $186, while the transatlantic route to Dublin commands $476—two and a half times more. Remarkably, JetBlue remains the lowest-cost operator on the Dublin route, likely because it stands outside the major transatlantic joint ventures. For comparison, Delta Air Lines charges slightly more at $485, and Aer Lingus pushes ticket prices up to $536.

Admittedly, comparing domestic and international routes is imperfect. Transatlantic operations incur legitimate additional costs, including Extended-range Twin-engine Operational Performance Standards (ETOPS) certification, international taxes, and government fees. Furthermore, airlines deploy unique pricing strategies that inherently inflate the cost of one-way tickets to Europe. Nevertheless, on a per-mile basis, transatlantic routes rank among the highest-cost long-haul flights globally. Airlines openly, if indirectly, acknowledge this reality to their investors. Lufthansa recently touted the transatlantic market as its "core profit pool" in an investor presentation, and International Airlines Group (IAG), the parent company of British Airways, echoed the exact same sentiment in a separate briefing.

- **Boston to San Diego vs. Boston to Dublin comparison:** * **Distance difference:** Dublin is only 400 miles (650 km) further than San Diego. * **Aircraft type:** Similarly configured Airbus A321s for both. * **JetBlue average August fares:** $186 for San Diego (transcontinental) vs. $476 for Dublin (transatlantic). - **Competitor pricing for Boston to Dublin:** * **JetBlue:** $476 (lowest-cost operator, non-joint venture). * **Delta Air Lines:** $485. * **Aer Lingus:** $536.

The Aggressive Tactic to Bleed Norwegian Air Dry

The issues surrounding transatlantic travel extend beyond mere consolidation into larger singular entities. These dominant airline alliances routinely leverage their massive market power to aggressively drive genuine independent competition completely out of business. In the late 2010s, Norwegian Air made a major push into long-haul operations. They rapidly expanded to become the largest foreign carrier serving the New York market and the fifth-largest transatlantic airline overall, trailing only United, Delta, American, and British Airways. By operating a low-cost model, Norwegian severely undercut the legacy carriers' prices, posing a direct threat to their market supremacy.

This threat was felt most acutely by British Airways, whose primary base at London Gatwick Airport overlapped directly with Norwegian's operations. In response, BA's parent company, IAG, executed an aggressive strategy designed to bleed the upstart carrier dry. Every time Norwegian launched a new long-haul route, IAG immediately matched it to saturate the market and undercut prices. When Norwegian began flying from Gatwick to New York, British Airways launched identical Gatwick to New York flights—even though BA's only other long-haul flights out of Gatwick were traditionally restricted to warm-weather leisure destinations.

This aggressive mirroring pattern repeated across the United States and Europe: * When Norwegian launched Gatwick to Oakland, California, BA launched its own Oakland flights, completely ignoring the fact that they already operated robust services to San Francisco International Airport just 10 miles (16 km) away. * When Norwegian started Gatwick to Fort Lauderdale, British Airways added Fort Lauderdale flights, despite already serving Miami International Airport a mere 20 miles (32 km) away. * When Norwegian expanded with flights from Barcelona to Oakland and Los Angeles, IAG went so far as to establish an entirely new low-cost subsidiary called Level to mimic those exact routes.

The strategy ultimately worked. Flooded by artificial capacity and aggressive pricing, Norwegian's long-haul operations began to falter in 2019, forcing them to frantically reshuffle their network. Following a total operational shutdown during the COVID-19 pandemic, Norwegian chose never to reactivate its Boeing 787 Dreamliners, permanently abandoning long-haul service. Proving that these routes were launched purely out of anti-competitive intent rather than genuine market demand, IAG promptly canceled almost all of its matching routes. Today, with the sole exception of Barcelona to Los Angeles, none of the defensive routes launched by IAG remain in operation. While it is not guaranteed that Norwegian's long-haul model would have survived indefinitely on its own, IAG's expensive, defensive behavior proved they viewed the low-cost carrier as a lethal threat.

Regulatory Failure and the "Snowball" Effect

It remains profoundly difficult to understand the logic of American and European regulators regarding the continued approval of antitrust immunity over the Atlantic. The public-facing justification that these alliances benefit consumers is clearly faulty. Even attempting to read between the lines reveals a glaring lack of regulatory rationale. It is entirely possible that the initial approvals in the 1990s were simply a genuine mistake, born during a tumultuous post-deregulation era when long-term consequences were poorly understood, and market stability was heavily prioritized over open competition.

However, that foundational mistake has snowballed over the decades. In recent years, the primary logic driving regulatory approvals appears to be nothing more than bureaucratic inertia: "that's the way it's always been done." Regulators seem to blindly grant more antitrust immunity waivers as long as the proposed corporate collusion mirrors the structure of existing collusion. By actively choosing not to rock the boat, regulatory bodies are directly failing the consumers they are designated to protect. Instead of fostering fair pricing, they are helping legacy airlines charge more, rendering a trip across the pond increasingly inaccessible for everyday travelers.

Personal Finance Wake-Up Call with Rocket Money

Shifting gears to a slightly embarrassing personal story, the creator shares a recent financial revelation brought about by the video's sponsor, Rocket Money. Candidly admitting to not always being on top of personal finances, the creator explains that while fortunate enough to have sufficient savings to avoid tracking every single penny, a recent drop in account balances had caused some confusion. There was no noticeable drop in income or spike in everyday spending, leaving the root cause a mystery until the creator downloaded Rocket Money and linked bank and credit card accounts to test the app before endorsing it.

Upon opening the recurring payments tab, a major anomaly came to light. The two largest monthly automated withdrawals were both going to the bank holding the creator's mortgage. Because that specific account is used exclusively for mortgage payments, the creator only manually intends to transfer the exact payment amount once a month. However, Rocket Money revealed that an automated transfer was mistakenly occurring twice a month. Roughly six months prior, the creator had accidentally duplicated the auto-transfer protocol. While this money wasn't lost—it was simply accumulating unnoticed in a separate bank account—the app also identified numerous smaller, forgotten subscriptions that were actively draining funds.

By identifying and canceling these unwanted subscriptions, the creator instantly cut back on approximately $100 of wasteful monthly spending. Having immediately proven its practical value, the app has become a staple in the creator's financial routine. Beyond subscription tracking, the automated spending reports offer an effortless breakdown of cash flow, predictably revealing that the creator's highest discretionary expense is travel. The app also features customizable budgeting tools that track progress dynamically over time. Viewers looking to take control of their own financial tracking can get started for free by scanning the on-screen QR code or clicking the link provided in the video description.

## Notable quotes > merely a facade.

> directly or indirectly fix purchase or selling prices.

> the joint venture will be a more effective competitor on US-UK routes

> meaningful competitive alternative

> inadequate

> outweigh the negative consequences of reduced competition.

> core profit pool — Lufthansa

> that's the way it's always been done.

## Mentioned JFK Airport, British Airways, Air France, KLM, Air Serbia, High Sky, Azores Airlines, Brussels Airlines, United Airlines, Newark, Lufthansa, Swiss, Austrian Airlines, Star Alliance, SkyTeam, oneworld, Delta, Virgin Atlantic, American Airlines, Aer Lingus, Finnair, Iberia, Level, SAS, ITA Airways, U.S. Department of Transportation, London Heathrow, Qatar Airways, Emirates, Riyadh Air, Neos, JetBlue, Airbus A321, International Airlines Group, Norwegian Air, London Gatwick Airport, Boeing 787 Dreamliner, Rocket Money

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U)

中文简报

DOT反垄断豁免保护跨大西洋航空合资企业免受竞争法制约 向主要航空联盟系统性授予反垄断豁免权,在法律层面上消除了北大西洋航线的价格竞争,并通过获得授权的收益共享卡特尔推高了国际机票价格。 该视频揭露了少数主要航空公司如何在大西洋航线上运营合法的商业卡特尔,通过合资协议和反垄断豁免实质上消除了价格竞争。尽管航空公司坚称这些联盟无缝整合了全球航线网络,但历史证据表明,即使不进行收益共享和价格串通,深度合作也完全可行。乘客最终为竞争不足的航线中虚高的票价买单,高竞争度目的地与闭塞欧洲目的地之间悬殊的票价差距便充分证明了这一点。此外,占据主导地位的航空联盟还积极利用其庞大的市场支配力,大力排挤挪威航空(Norwegian Air)等独立低成本竞争对手,以维持其利润丰厚的市场霸权。 由于欧洲与北美之间紧密的文化和经济纽带,北大西洋航线成为全球规模最大、利润最丰厚的长途航空市场。 在纽约至欧洲运营126条航线的33家航空公司表面看似竞争激烈,实则不过是一层表象,掩盖了关键航线上统一定价的事实。 美联航(United)、汉莎航空(Lufthansa)、布鲁塞尔航空(Brussels Airlines)、瑞士国际航空(Swiss)和奥地利航空(Austrian)等航司通过合法商业卡特尔,在航线、运力和票价上公开串通通谋。 跨大西洋三大合资实体(星空联盟、天合联盟和寰宇一家)控制了从纽约飞往欧洲所有航班中惊人的75%。 欧洲和美国的监管机构均正式给予这些航空公司反垄断法豁免,从法律上批准了这种市场集中行为。

Reading summary

Transatlantic aviation presents an illusion of competition, but legal antitrust immunity allows three major joint ventures to operate as cartels that fix prices, limit capacity, and inflate fares across the North Atlantic. Legalized Price Collusion Among Major Alliances Despite dozens of airline brands operating routes between North America and Europe—such as 33 carriers serving 126 routes from New York—actual pricing is heavily centralized. Through immunized joint ventures within the Star Alliance, SkyTeam, and oneworld groupings, legacy carriers openly coordinate flight schedules, pool transatlantic revenues, and set identical ticket prices. For instance, flights from the New York area to Brussels (on United and Brussels Airlines) or Munich (on United and Lufthansa) frequently post identical fares down to the dollar because revenue sharing eliminates economic competition between partners. Regulators on both sides of the Atlantic have formally exempted these arrangements from antitrust laws, such as Article 101 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. Together, the three immunized joint ventures control roughly 75% of Europe-bound flights departing New York, with Delta's SkyTeam holding about 26% and oneworld controlling 18%. In smaller hubs such as Washington, D.C., these entities command 85% of transatlantic service, projected to reach 89% as carriers like SAS and ITA Airways integrate. Regulatory Dominoes and Non-Immunized Precedents Antitrust immunity from the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) legally requires proof that public benefits outweigh the anti-competitive harms. When Delta and Virgin Atlantic sought joint venture approval between 2012 and 2019, they argued that slot restrictions at London Heathrow prevented independent expansion, requiring schedule coordination to offer a viable alternative to American Airlines and British Airways. This argument revealed a regulatory cycle of defensive approvals: American and British Airways received immunity in 2010 to match Delta and Air France (approved in 2002), which in turn had been granted immunity to challenge United and Lufthansa's foundational 1996 alliance. The premise that antitrust immunity is necessary for seamless international network connectivity is contradicted by past and current airline partnerships. In 1993, United and Lufthansa established integrated passenger connections across German cities and Vienna without revenue pooling or price-fixing, simply paying each other for utilized seats. Today, major carriers run extensive, highly coordinated global networks without antitrust immunity, including American Airlines with Qatar Airways, United with Emirates, and Delta with Riyadh Air, demonstrating that schedule synchronization and through-ticketing do not require price coordination. Pricing Power and the Transatlantic Fare Premium Route-level data shows that lower competition directly correlates with higher airfares. In Italy, highly contested destinations like Milan and Rome, served by four genuine competitors, saw average August peak fares of $566 and $486 respectively. Conversely, routes with limited competition experienced dramatic price hikes: New York to Bari and Palermo averaged $860 and $819, where United faced only minor competition from niche carrier Neos. Similar patterns exist across Spain, where competitive hubs like Madrid and Barcelona feature significantly lower fares than secondary destinations such as Bilbao or Palma de Mallorca. This pricing leverage creates an outsized premium on transatlantic flying compared to domestic long-haul routes. JetBlue's August flights from Boston to Dublin averaged $476, while a transcontinental flight of similar distance to San Diego on the same Airbus A321 aircraft cost $186. Even with added regulatory and operational expenses, transatlantic flights generate exceptional margins per mile, leading parent companies Lufthansa and International Airlines Group (IAG) to publicly describe the transatlantic corridor as their core profit pool. Aggressive Strategies Against Low-Cost Disruptors Dominant airline alliances have actively leveraged their capacity to suppress independent low-cost competition. In the late 2010s, Norwegian Air emerged as the fifth-largest transatlantic carrier and the largest foreign carrier in New York, threatening legacy pricing power. British Airways' parent company, IAG, responded by directly matching Norwegian's point-to-point routes out of London Gatwick, adding flights to New York, Fort Lauderdale, and Oakland—despite already serving Miami and San Francisco nearby. IAG went further by creating a low-cost subsidiary, Level, specifically to counter Norwegian's flights from Barcelona to Oakland and Los Angeles. This artificial influx of capacity forced Norwegian into operational distress by 2019, culminating in the permanent abandonment of its long-haul Boeing 787 fleet following the COVID-19 pandemic. Once Norwegian withdrew, IAG canceled nearly all of its defensive overlapping routes, showing they were operated primarily to extinguish a low-cost rival rather than meet baseline consumer demand. The continued expansion of transatlantic joint ventures reflects bureaucratic inertia among American and European regulators rather than sound competition policy. By repeatedly granting immunity to mirror existing pacts, regulatory authorities have entrenched an oligopoly that inflates fares and restricts genuine market competition for consumers.

精炼阅读摘要

Wendover Productions指出,跨大西洋航空市场表面上的多元竞争实为假象,美欧监管机构长期授予三大航空联盟的反垄断豁免权构建了合法的跨国卡特尔,导致市场集中与高额票价溢价。 航线繁荣假象与合法的价格卡特尔 从表面上看,纽约至欧洲的航空网络拥有33家航司和126条航线,呈现出多元竞争的外观。然而,星空联盟、天合联盟与寰宇一家旗下的三大跨大西洋联合营运体(JV)实际控制了纽约赴欧航班总量的75%,在华盛顿特区该比例高达85%(在北欧航空与ITA航空完成整合后预计达89%)。在布鲁塞尔航空与联合航空飞往布鲁塞尔、联合航空与汉莎航空飞往慕尼黑等航线上,相关航司每日公布的票价几乎分文不差。 这种缺乏价格差异的现象源于合法的卡特尔机制。联合航空、汉莎航空、布鲁塞尔航空、瑞士国际航空及奥地利航空等公司在联合营运协议下共享跨大西洋营收,这使航司对旅客选乘哪家成员公司的航班持无所谓态度。尽管《欧洲联盟运作条约》第101条原则上禁止直接或间接固定价格,但欧美监管部门出台的反垄断豁免文件为这些联盟提供了法律庇护,允许它们公开协同定价、航线布局与运力投放。 监管多米诺效应与非豁免合作先例 美国交通部(DOT)核准反垄断豁免的法定前提,是航司必须证明联营带来的公共利益“超过减少竞争的负面后果”。达美航空与维珍航空在2012至2019年间获批联营时辩称,伦敦希思罗机场仅有两条跑道且起降时刻价值数千万美元,二者必须错开时刻表以弥补时刻空缺,从而为时间敏感的商务旅客提供抗衡美航与英航的替代方案。这引发了监管逻辑的多米诺效应:2010年美航与英航获批联营以抗衡达美与法航(2002年获批),而达美与法航最初又是为了抗衡1996年获得豁免的联航与汉莎联盟。 节目分析强调,航网整合在技术上并不依赖反垄断豁免。早在1993年(即获得豁免前三年),联合航空与汉莎航空就已通过单纯的座位结算和航班衔接实现了多城市一票到底服务。当今航空业中,美航与卡塔尔航空、联航与阿联酋航空、达美与利雅得航空均在未获反垄断豁免的情况下开展深度枢纽衔接;这些合作既保留了中转便利,又迫使航司在跨洋路线上维持独立定价与真实竞争。 市场集中度与跨大西洋高额票价溢价 航线竞争程度与机票价格呈现出直接的相关性。以8月旅游旺季纽约赴意大利航线为例,米兰和罗马航线拥有4家独立竞争航司,平均往返票价保持在566美元与486美元的较低水平;而在仅有两家竞争者的航线上,票价显著上升:威尼斯(579美元)、那不勒斯(578美元)、巴里(860美元)与巴勒莫(819美元)。在巴里和巴勒莫航线上,联航的对手是仅有6架远程客机的意大利小型航司Neos,联航在缺乏同体量竞争对手制约的情况下坐享高昂票价。西班牙市场亦呈现相同格局,马德里与巴塞罗那航线票价低廉,而毕尔巴鄂、马拉加等缺乏竞争的航点价格居高不下。 波士顿出发的航线数据进一步印证了跨大西洋溢价。捷蓝航空执飞波士顿至都柏林的距离仅比波士顿至圣迭戈多约400英里(650公里),机型同为A321,但其8月份都柏林航线均价达476美元,是圣迭戈航线(186美元)的2.5倍以上。汉莎航空与英航母公司IAG均在面向投资者的简报中将跨大西洋航线明确标榜为其核心利润池。 针对独立低成本航司的防御性挤压 传统联盟除了通过合资协议固化高票价,还倾向于利用支配性市场力量排挤独立的低成本挑战者。2010年代末,挪威航空(Norwegian Air)以廉价长途模式扩张成为纽约市场第五大跨大西洋航司及最大外国航司。对此,英航母公司IAG在伦敦盖特威克机场采取了针锋相对的增班与低价策略:在挪威航空开通盖特威克至纽约航线后,英航随即在非核心枢纽跟进该航线;挪威航空开辟盖特威克至奥克兰和劳德代尔堡航线后,英航便在临近旧金山和迈阿密既有服务的基础上同步跟进这两个机场,甚至创立低成本子公司Level在巴塞罗那进行贴身防守。 该防御策略最终导致挪威航空长途业务陷入财务困境并在疫情后彻底退出波音787机队运营。挪威航空退出后,IAG迅速停飞了几乎所有跟进设立的防御性航线(仅保留巴塞罗那至洛杉矶),这表明上述运力投放的核心意图在于压制低价竞争对手,而非满足真实的长期市场需求。 Wendover Productions认为,欧美监管机构继续维持跨大西洋反垄断豁免很大程度上源于官僚决策的路径依赖。监管机构习惯性批准与既有模式类似的合资申请,未能有效打破既得利益寡头对航线与时刻的垄断,最终使跨大西洋航线的出行成本长期由消费者承受。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本视频由知名深度科普与商业分析频道 Wendover Productions 于 2026 年 1 月 27 日发布在 YouTube 平台。视频简介提供了个人财务管理应用 Rocket Money 的推广链接,并附带了由 Sam Denby、Tristan Purdy 等人组成的制作团队名单及频道官方社交媒体主页。 ## TL;DR 跨大西洋航空市场表面上航司林立,实质上却被星空联盟、天合联盟及寰宇一家三大深度联营集团瓜分,掌控了高达 75% 至 89% 的运力并进行协同定价与收入联营。欧美监管机构以促进航网整合与公共利益为由向其颁发反垄断豁免,但历史证据以及美航与卡航等现代合作表明,无缝中转根本无需以牺牲价格竞争为代价。航司将大西洋航线作为核心利润池坐地起价,甚至通过恶意运力倾销绞杀挪威航空等长途廉航搅局者,而监管部门则陷入体制惯性持续闭眼放行,最终将高昂票价全部转嫁给了普通旅客。 ## Atmosphere & style 全片保持了 Wendover Productions 标志性的沉稳、严谨与条理分明的视听风格,通过精准的航线数据对比、流程图解与生动案例,层层揭穿航空业“充分竞争”的光鲜假象。主讲人语调平静客观却暗藏锋芒,在拆解监管机构荒唐的循环批准逻辑以及各大航空集团残酷围剿廉航的商业行径时,带有鲜明的批判与讽刺色彩。整部视频极具调查性新闻的厚重感与说服力,让观众在理解复杂航空经济运作的同时,对自身沦为航司卡特尔与官僚惯性牺牲品的现实产生强烈的共鸣与无奈。 ## Bulletin - [01:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=92s) 跨大西洋航线表面由数十家航司运营,实则已被星空联盟、天合联盟与寰宇一家三大联营卡特尔垄断,其控制了纽约至欧洲75%、华盛顿杜勒斯85%的直飞运力,并通过收入联营实现统一定价。 - [09:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=540s) 航空公司坚称航网整合必须依赖反垄断豁免(ATI),但美联航与汉莎早在1993年未获豁免前就已实现中转协同,美航与卡塔尔航空等现代伙伴关系亦证明无需协同定价即可实现无缝联程。 - [12:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=777s) 市场票价与航司数量直接挂钩:在有四家承运人竞争的纽约至罗马、米兰航线上,8月往返均价约为500美元左右,而在仅有巨头独飞或不对称弱小对手的巴里、巴勒莫等航线,票价飙升至800美元以上。 - [17:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1058s) 跨大西洋航线被各大巨头视为“核心利润池”,英航母公司IAG此前通过在相邻机场恶意对标开航、倾销运力及创立新航司Level等手段,成功将低成本搅局者挪威航空的长途业务拖垮出局并随即停运了多数防御性航线。 ## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=0s) 跨大西洋航线表面展现出极高的品牌多样性,但在主流干线上,各大全服务航司的起飞时刻与机票定价高度一致,完全失去了价格对抗。 - [01:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=92s) 三大航空联盟旗下的深度联营体(Joint Venture)通过航线收入统一汇入资金池并按比例分成的机制,在经济学实质上已经合体为垄断实体。 - [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 欧美监管部门批准反垄断豁免时陷入循环论证陷阱:监管层每次都以“扶持新同盟以抗衡上一个卡特尔”为由,批准制造出下一个更大的卡特尔。 - [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 伦敦希思罗等极度饱和枢纽的稀缺起降时刻,被航司包装为必须通过合谋联营才能优化航班密度的核心说辞。 - [07:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=448s) 跨大西洋联营模式始于1996年美联航与汉莎航空合作,初衷是将美国本土的“枢纽-辐射”网络向欧洲延伸,但随后演变成了锁死两岸票价的合法机制。 - [09:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=540s) 航司所谓“只有反垄断豁免才能实现航网深度整合”的论点并不成立,美联航与汉莎在1993年尚未获得豁免时便已完成了航网无缝联运。 - [11:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=664s) 美航与卡塔尔航空、美联航与阿联酋航空等现代合作证明,航司完全可以在不申请反垄断豁免、维持独立自主定价的前提下实现高效的航网与时刻协同。 - [12:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=777s) 意大利与西班牙等旅游市场票价数据证实:直飞承运人数量越少,航司攫取超额利润的定价能力越强,竞争削弱直接导致消费者出行成本攀升。 - [12:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=777s) 面对弱小且缺乏品牌影响力的独立小型航司,大型传统航司倾向于维持超高票价以榨取利润,而非主动展开价格战。 - [15:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=917s) 跨大西洋长途航线单位里程收益极高,航程仅多出400英里的跨大西洋航班票价可达美国国内横跨大陆航线的2.5倍,被航企公认为“核心利润池”。 - [17:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1058s) 面对低成本挪威航空的低价挑战,IAG与英航通过在相邻机场恶意复制航线、向市场过量倾倒运力等掠夺性手段,不惜承受短期亏损将其现金流耗尽。 - [17:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1058s) 挪威航空被迫彻底退出长途市场后,IAG随即停运了绝大部分防御性航线,彻底暴露了此类开航纯属排挤竞争的反竞争属性。 - [19:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1145s) 反垄断监管机构陷入了严重的体制惯性与路径依赖,沿用数十年未经严格检验的审批惯例持续为航企卡特尔开绿灯,损害了普通公众的出行利益。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=0s) 繁荣竞争表象下的跨大西洋航线 欧洲与北美是全球在文化和经济上联系最为紧密的两个大洲,横亘在它们之间的大西洋见证了极其庞大的人口流动——无论是为了商务、探亲还是度假,这使得北大西洋成为全球规模最大、利润最丰厚的长途航空市场。按照正常的市场规律,这里理应也是全球竞争最白热化的长途航线网络。坐在纽约肯尼迪国际机场(JFK)的候机厅里,眼前滑行而过的各种欧洲航司涂装似乎印证了这一点:表面上看,有多达 33 家航司在纽约与欧洲之间运营着 126 条不同航线。这里不仅有英国航空(British Airways)、法国航空(Air France)和荷兰皇家航空(KLM)等飞往伦敦、巴黎和阿姆斯特丹的传统巨头,还有塞尔维亚航空(Air Serbia)、HiSky 或亚速尔群岛航空(Azores Airlines)等服务于贝尔格莱德、布加勒斯特或蓬塔德尔加达等小众目的地的小型航司。 然而,机身上的缤纷涂装不过是一层精心粉饰的幻象。一旦旅客开始订票并深入细节,健康竞争的假象就会瞬间破灭。以纽约飞往布鲁塞尔为例,旅客看似有两个选择:傍晚 6 点 10 分从 JFK 出发的布鲁塞尔航空,或者 6 点 30 分从纽瓦克出发的美联航(United Airlines)。但旅客唯一没有的选择就是票价——几乎在每一天,这两家航司的定价都分毫不差。飞往慕尼黑也是同样的情形:美联航下午 5 点 15 分从纽瓦克起飞,汉莎航空(Lufthansa)5 点 30 分从 JFK 起飞,随后美联航在晚上 8 点 30 分还有一班纽瓦克航班,三趟航班的票价完全一致。两家航司并不是在相互竞价,而是在作为同一家航司步调一致地协同运作。 - 纽约与欧洲之间拥有 33 家航空公司运营的 126 条航线,表面展现出极高的多样性。 - 在主流航线上(如纽瓦克/JFK 至布鲁塞尔或慕尼黑),美联航、汉莎航空与布鲁塞尔航空保持着高度重合的班次安排与完全一致的机票定价。 --- ### [01:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=92s) 合法垄断:三大联营集团瓜分北大西洋 这种无视市场规律的统一定价背后是一个不折不扣的商业卡特尔(Cartel)。美联航、汉莎航空、布鲁塞尔航空、瑞士国际航空(Swiss)和奥地利航空(Austrian Airlines)彼此串通,共同决定航班频次、执飞航点,最关键的是统一定价。它们根本不在乎旅客究竟买的是谁家的机票,因为所有跨大西洋航线的收入都会被统一汇入一个资金池,随后按照深度联营协议(Joint Venture)的条款进行利益分成。对美联航来说,旅客坐自家飞机还是汉莎飞机的法兰克福航班毫无区别,收益完全一样。在竞争经济学视角下,这五家航司实际上已经合体为一家垄断实体。 正常情况下,这种行为直接触犯了最严厉的反垄断红线。《欧洲联盟运作条约》第 101 条明确规定:"所有直接或间接固定采购或销售价格的协议……均应作为与内部市场不相容而予以禁止。"航司甚至毫不掩饰这种价格协同,公开向投资者宣讲。然而,它们并没有面临牢狱之灾或天价罚单,因为欧盟委员会和美国监管机构直接为它们签发了反垄断豁免(Antitrust Immunity),让这套卡特尔摇身一变成为了"合法联合体"。 大西洋上空的合谋远不止这一家。三大联营卡特尔几乎彻底瓜分了这片天际: ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 跨大西洋三大航空联营卡特尔市场格局 accDescr: 展示控制绝大部分跨大西洋运力的三大联合体及其航司成员 subgraph StarAlliance ["星空联盟联营体 (Star Alliance JV)"] UA["美联航 (United)"] LH["汉莎航空集团 (Lufthansa/Swiss/Austrian/Brussels)"] end subgraph SkyTeam ["天合联盟联营体 (SkyTeam JV - 约26% 纽约市场)"] DL["达美航空 (Delta)"] VS["维珍大西洋航空 (Virgin Atlantic)"] AFKLM["法航-荷航集团 (Air France / KLM)"] end subgraph Oneworld ["寰宇一家联营体 (oneworld transatlantic JV - 约18% 纽约市场)"] AA["美国航空 (American Airlines)"] IAG["IAG 集团 (英国航空 / 爱尔兰航空 / 伊比利亚航空 / LEVEL)"] AY["芬兰航空 (Finnair)"] end MarketShare["控制纽约至欧洲 75% 的直飞运力\n在华盛顿特区更是垄断了 85%(即将升至 89%)"] StarAlliance --> MarketShare SkyTeam --> MarketShare Oneworld --> MarketShare ``` - 仅达美航空、维珍大西洋、荷航与法航组成的联营体就控制了纽约跨大西洋市场约 26% 的份额。 - 美国航空、英国航空、爱尔兰航空(Aer Lingus)、芬兰航空(Finnair)、伊比利亚航空(Iberia)及旗下 LEVEL 组成的联营体占有另外 18% 的份额。 - 这三大实体合计霸占了纽约飞往欧洲所有航班的 75%。而在航司选择更少的华盛顿杜勒斯国际机场(IAD),三大集团控制的跨大西洋运力高达 85%;随着北欧航空(SAS)和意大利航空(ITA Airways)申请加入相应联营,这一垄断比例预计将进一步飙升至 89%。 --- ### [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 循环论证:美国交通部与反垄断豁免的推手 允许航司串通定价的核心法律战场,位于距离华盛顿杜勒斯机场仅几站地铁车程的美国交通部(DOT)。美国法律确实授权交通部豁免航空公司的反垄断审查,但存在一个绝对前提:监管机构必须认定"合谋带来的公共利益,超过削弱市场竞争所导致的负面后果"。因此,航司们会提交洋洋洒洒的长篇法律陈词,用复杂的逻辑向交通部证明这种串通如何能让公众受益。 在 2012 至 2019 年间维珍大西洋航空寻求加入达美联营体系的案例中,其核心抗辩理由被浓缩成了一句话:"该联营体将在美英航线上成为一个更强有力的竞争者。"它们声称,公共利益的精髓在于"为目前主导美英市场的美国航空与英国航空联盟创造一个真正有意义的竞争替代方案"。双方将以往竞争乏力的根源归咎于班次与时刻劣势。作为商务旅客含金量极高的枢纽,伦敦航线的大批商务客极度依赖时间表——会议下午 2 点结束,高管们就想赶乘下午 5 点希思罗机场(LHR)的航班回国。大企业在签署航司差旅大单时要求极为苛刻,达美曾向交通部诉苦称,企业客户"屡次向达美表示,其在纽约至伦敦航线上的班次密度和全天时刻覆盖不足,因此拒绝在这一航线上向达美承诺业务"。 但由于希思罗机场极度饱和、仅有两条跑道在满负荷运转,起降时刻(Slot)往往价值数千万美元,且几乎一票难求(尤其是清晨跨大西洋红眼航班进港的高价值时刻),达美根本无法通过自行开航来补齐短板。联营成为了唯一的捷径:达美与维珍向交通部承诺,东向飞往英国的夜间航班时刻保持不变,而西向回美航班则错开重叠时刻,实现全天候阶梯式覆盖,将最大航班间隔压缩至 3 小时。交通部最终被这一说辞打动并批准了豁免。 然而,这种批准暴露出监管逻辑上荒谬的连锁反应:如果达美与维珍结盟的理由是为了对抗美航与英航的垄断,那等于默认美航与英航在 2010 年获批的联营损害了公共利益;而美航与英航在 2010 年能够获批,正是因为它们声称达美早在 2002 年就联合法航成立了联营体;再往前追溯,达美与法航在 2002 年获批,依据的同样是美联航与汉莎航空早在 1996 年就获得了首个反垄断豁免。监管机构每一次都在以"促成抗衡上一个卡特尔"为由,批准制造下一个更大的卡特尔。 - 伦敦希思罗机场起降时刻严重供不应求,极具价值的清晨进港时刻拍卖价格高达数千万美元。 - 维珍与达美通过联营整合白天的西向离港时刻,消除了内部自相竞争的时段重叠,将航线班次最大空档期锁定在 3 小时内(如维珍原有的下午 5 点与晚上 8 点航班之间)。 --- ### [07:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=448s) 枢纽辐射的初衷:1996 年联营模式的最初逻辑 要理解这一系列卡特尔的起源,必须回到看似合理的最初起点:1996 年美联航与汉莎航空开启的破冰联盟。大西洋联营最初的蓝图,实际上是为了将 20 世纪 70 至 80 年代美国民航放松管制(Deregulation)后大获成功的"枢纽-辐射"(Hub-and-Spoke)网络扩展至大洋彼岸。当时各航司重构航线,通过特定的枢纽机场集中调度大量航班,形成早晚集中的进港波与出港波,从而为各大中小城市的旅客提供无缝中转。 这一模式虽革新了本土短途出行,但面对跨大西洋的长途需求却显得无能为力。美联航虽然拥有飞往伦敦、巴黎、苏黎世、罗马等欧洲一线大都市的干线,但如果一名来自美国中小城市的乘客想前往毕尔巴鄂、里昂或斯图加特等没有美联航航点的地方,就只能订购欧洲航司的联程客票;反之,从欧洲中小城市前往美国腹地的旅客,也面临缺乏廉价快速换乘路线的困境。 美联航与汉莎航空当时向监管层描绘的合作蓝图,正是将大西洋两岸的枢纽网络彻底打通,把汉莎庞大的欧洲支线与美联航深厚的美国本土网络融为一体,创造出一个规模更大、转机更顺畅且票价更具竞争力的无缝旅行网络。历经数十年演变,如今这项合作已成为两家公司的命脉所在:每天清晨,多达 8 架美联航的宽体客机满载着上千名旅客降落在汉莎的法兰克福枢纽,其中绝大多数旅客直接穿过法兰克福机场迷宫般的航站楼,走向换乘飞往欧洲腹地各大中小城市的汉莎短途航班。当年为了促进跨洋中转网络建设而撕开的反垄断豁免口子,最终演变成了彻底锁死大西洋两岸长途航线价格竞争的超级卡特尔。 ### [09:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=540s) “公共利益”神话:反垄断豁免并非航网整合的前提 联合航空(United Airlines)与汉莎航空(Lufthansa)通过深度合作,紧密协调航班时刻表,确保飞往斯德哥尔摩、维也纳或伊斯坦布尔等美国旅客热门目的地的航班运力充足且中转顺畅。由于两家公司跨大西洋航线实行收入联营(Revenue Pooling),汉莎航空自然有动力提供比阿姆斯特丹、巴黎或伦敦等竞争枢纽更快捷、更实惠的行程方案。这种航线网络的整合无疑给消费者带来了实质好处,不仅扩大了出行选择,还让联合航空能够间接参与自身原本未直飞的欧洲城市竞争。美国交通部(DOT)正是以此类“公共利益大于对竞争造成的损害”为由,批准了航空公司的反垄断豁免(Antitrust Immunity, ATI)。 然而,这一论点最致命的漏洞在于:反垄断豁免根本不是实现航网整合的先决条件。历史事实表明,联合航空与汉莎航空早在1993年就已经完成了航网整合,而反垄断豁免直到1996年才获批。早在1993年,来自坦帕、奥兰多、费城、新奥尔良和菲尼克斯的旅客,就已经可以通过华盛顿杜勒斯国际机场(Washington Dulles)中转飞往法兰克福,进而无缝换乘至德国八座城市及维也纳;芝加哥和旧金山枢纽也设立了完全相同的联运机制。当时两家公司并未联营收入,也没有协同定价,仅仅是通过互相购买对方航段的座位来销售联程客票,在完全不触碰反垄断红线的前提下实现了网络协同。 三年后两家航司提交反垄断豁免申请时,却言之凿凿地声称,只有获得豁免才能做到他们“三年前就已经实现的事情”。即便航司坚称免责能提供“更充分的激励机制”,但不可否认的是,航线网络的整合本就符合航司自身的商业利益。将原本无需政策特许就能自发落地的商业合作粉饰为反垄断豁免换来的“公共利益”,逻辑上完全站不住脚。 - **1993年合作模式**:联合航空与汉莎航空在杜勒斯、芝加哥、旧金山建立联程中转,覆盖德国本土及维也纳,未进行联合定价或收入联营。 - **1996年反垄断申请**:航司以“推动航网整合、带来公共利益”为由换取豁免,而这一利益在三年前便已存在。 --- ### [11:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=664s) 无需豁免的现代合作样本:中东航司与竞争共存 这种所谓“只有反垄断豁免才能实现无缝换乘”的托词,在当今民航市场上更是不攻自破。美国航空(American Airlines)与卡塔尔航空(Qatar Airways)之间的深度伙伴关系就是一个典型的反例。美国航空开通了费城直飞多哈的航线,该航线如果仅凭点对点客流很难盈利,但其降落多哈的时间精准卡在下午4:30左右,旅客刚好能够赶上卡塔尔航空下午6点至9点向东飞往中东各腹地及印度的航班波。反之,卡塔尔航空的美国航线网络也是围绕美航的枢纽展开,密集中转至洛杉矶、达拉斯、芝加哥、纽约和迈阿密。 美航与卡航建立的是极其深度的商业合作,构成了美航布局中东与印度市场、卡航向美国腹地渗透的生命线。但最关键的是:**这种合作并未申请反垄断豁免**。它拥有航空联盟宣称反垄断豁免所能带来的所有“公共利益”——航网协同、时刻匹配、行李直挂与联程出票,同时两家航司在市场上依然保持独立竞争。以波士顿飞往德里的乘客为例,美航提供纽约中转方案,卡航提供多哈中转方案,二者定价不同、产品各异。由于双方都能独立提供中转联程,谁也不能靠出售劣质或高价机票敷衍乘客,必须拿出更好的价格与服务来争夺市场份额。 这种未被豁免却运行流畅的伙伴关系并非孤例。联合航空与阿联酋航空(Emirates)之间也有几乎完全一样的安排(美联航飞纽瓦克至迪拜,阿联酋航空飞美联航各大枢纽);达美航空(Delta Air Lines)近期也与即将起航的沙特利雅得航空(Riyadh Air)宣布了类似架构。这些合作在运作层面与反垄断豁免合资企业毫无二致,却完整保留了价格竞争。如果反垄断豁免毫无负面代价,这种制度或许无可厚非;但现实恰恰相反,消除竞争的代价极为高昂。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 航空合作模式对比图 accDescr: 对比未受反垄断豁免的伙伴关系与获得反垄断豁免的合资企业在运营及定价上的机制差异 subgraph NonImmunized["未获豁免的合作模式 (如 美航 + 卡塔尔航空)"] A1["航网时刻协同 / 联程客票"] --> B1["保持各自独立核算与定价"] B1 --> C1["波士顿-德里:美航纽约方案 vs 卡航多哈方案"] C1 --> D1["票价透明竞争,消费者获益"] end subgraph Immunized["反垄断豁免合资企业 (ATI Joint Ventures)"] A2["航网时刻协同 / 联程客票"] --> B2["航线收入联营 (Revenue Pooling)"] B2 --> C2["协同统一定价 / 瓜分跨大西洋利润"] C2 --> D2["丧失实质竞争,拥有绝对定价权"] end ``` --- ### [12:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=777s) 航线竞争与票价现实:意大利与西班牙市场的直观证据 缺乏竞争的代价在具体航线票价上表现得淋漓尽致。以美国赴欧洲第一大旅游目的地之一的意大利为例,在8月份出行需求最高峰期间,纽约直飞米兰与罗马等高度竞争的大型枢纽市场时,有四家互不相让的真正竞争对手同台打擂,促使往返机票均价被压制在566美元和486美元的亲民水平。 然而,一旦视线转向竞争较少的中小城市航线,比如威尼斯、那不勒斯、巴里(Bari)和巴勒莫(Palermo),市场上仅剩下两家承运人正面交锋。竞争对手一旦减少,航司的定价权便显著增强,机票均价随即飙升至579美元、578美元、860美元乃至819美元。细看这四个市场的竞争构成,定价梯度的成因更加耐人寻味: - **真正的巨头肉搏**:在威尼斯和那不勒斯航线上,是联合航空与达美航空这两大美国全服务巨头正面对决,票价维持在570多美元区间; - **巨头对阵弱小独立航司**:在巴里和巴勒莫航线上,则是联合航空对阵意大利本土小型航司Neos。Neos仅有六架远程宽体机,每周仅执飞一至两班,在美国旅客中几乎没有品牌知名度,对美联航在美客源构不成真正威胁。美联航根本懒得与Neos打价格战,甚至默许Neos以低两三百美元的低价分食极小一杯羹,自己则稳坐800多美元的高位; - **唯一的独飞航线**:达美航空独飞的卡塔尼亚(Catania)航线均价虽略有反常地维持在600美元左右,但由于巴勒莫同处西西里岛,分流了相似的客源腹地,美联航与Neos的竞争仍对其构成了间接约束。 同样的经济学铁律在西班牙市场再度上演。竞争最为激烈的马德里与巴塞罗那航线均价垫底,而竞争对手寥寥的圣地亚哥-德孔波斯特拉(Santiago de Compostela)、毕尔巴鄂(Bilbao)、马拉加(Malaga)以及马略卡岛帕尔马(Palma de Mallorca)等航线,票价均处于高位区间。将纽约飞往意大利与西班牙各目的地的8月票价绘制成图,清晰展现了经济学最基础的供求与竞争法则:航线上竞争对手越少,航司攫取超额利润的定价能力就越强。跨大西洋反垄断豁免本质上消灭了同行间的价格对抗,全面推高了大洋两岸的出行成本。 - **充分竞争航线(4家承运人)**:纽约-罗马(486美元)、纽约-米兰(566美元) - **双雄竞争航线(美联航 vs 达美)**:纽约-威尼斯(579美元)、纽约-那不勒斯(578美元) - **不对称竞争航线(美联航 vs Neos)**:纽约-巴里(860美元)、纽约-巴勒莫(819美元) --- ### [15:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=917s) “核心利润池”与巨头对竞争对手的围剿 跨大西洋高昂票价的不合理性,从与美国国内横跨大陆航线的对比中可见一斑。从波士顿飞往爱尔兰都柏林,航程仅比波士顿飞往加州圣地亚哥多出大约400英里(约650公里)。捷蓝航空(JetBlue)在这两条航线上均使用相同客舱配置的空中客车A321机型执飞,但在8月份,其美国国内横跨大陆航线的平均票价仅为186美元,而飞往都柏林的跨大西洋航线平均票价却高达476美元,暴涨了整整2.5倍。 值得注意的是,捷蓝航空甚至还不是大西洋合资联营集团的成员,它在都柏林航线上已然是全场票价最低的一家;同一航线上,加入反垄断豁免合资联盟的达美航空收费485美元,爱尔兰航空(Aer Lingus)的座位售价更是高达536美元。固然跨大西洋飞行存在双发延程运行(ETOPS)认证、国际税费等合规刚性成本,且航司跨洋航线的单程定价逻辑与国内有所不同,但从每英里平均收入来看,跨大西洋航线依然稳坐全球长途航线盈利能力的金字塔顶端。各大航企甚至在投资者交流会中直言不讳:汉莎航空在投资者演示文稿中大方宣称,跨大西洋业务是其绝对的“核心利润池”(core profit pool);英国航空母公司IAG在财报电话会中表达了几乎完全相同的观点。 更严重的危害在于,这些凭借豁免政策组装而成的超大型航空联合体,不仅坐地起价,还凭借垄断地位残忍绞杀任何试图进入市场的独立竞争者。在2010年代末期,挪威航空(Norwegian Air Shuttle)进军长途低成本航空领域,迅速扩张为纽约市场最大的外国航司,一跃成为仅次于美联航、达美、美航和英航的跨大西洋第五大巨头。挪威航空推行超低票价模式,对既得利益航企的价格垄断构成了致命威胁。 这种威胁对主基地位于伦敦盖特威克机场(London Gatwick)的英国航空尤为刺眼。为了将这家羽翼渐丰的“搅局者”赶尽杀绝,英航母公司IAG采取了针对性的围追堵截策略:当挪威航空开通盖特威克至纽约的直飞航线时,原本在盖特威克仅运营阳光度假航线的英国航空,立刻跟进增开一条盖特威克至纽约航线;当挪威航空试水开通盖特威克直飞加州奥克兰(Oakland)时,英航同样火速跟进开辟奥克兰航线进行运力饱和轰炸,利用深厚财力与跨大西洋联营集团的利润补贴,不计代价地挤压新入局者的生存空间。 ### [17:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1058s) IAG 对挪威航空的精准绞杀与跨大西洋廉航的溃败 面对挪威航空(Norwegian)跨大西洋低成本航线的进攻,英国航空(British Airways)及其母公司国际航空集团(IAG)采取了针锋相对且极具破坏性的反击策略。当挪威航空开通伦敦盖特威克至奥克兰的航线时,英航随即跟进开通奥克兰航线,尽管他们早已在仅相距 10 英里(约 16 公里)的旧金山国际机场运营着密集航班;当挪威航空开辟盖特威克至劳德代尔堡的航线,英航也立刻开通劳德代尔堡航线,哪怕他们早就在距离仅 20 英里(约 32 公里)的迈阿密机场扎根深厚;而当挪威航空进一步布局西班牙,开通巴塞罗那飞往奥克兰及洛杉矶的航线时,IAG 甚至火速孵化了一家全新的低成本航空公司 Level,精准对标开通了从巴塞罗那至奥克兰和洛杉矶的相同航线。 这一系列操作背后的战略意图昭然若揭:IAG 意图彻底“榨干挪威航空的血”("bleed Norwegian dry")。凭借自身的庞大体量与雄厚资本,IAG 通过亦步亦趋地复制挪威航空的新航线、向市场恶意倾倒过量运力,并实行极具进攻性的超低票价策略,直接分流挪威航空的客源。在承受短期航线亏损与守住核心跨大西洋利润池之间,IAG 毫不犹豫地选择了前者。事实证明,这一策略极其奏效。到 2019 年,挪威航空的长途业务已摇摇欲坠,不得不频繁重组航线网络以求自保;随后暴发的新冠疫情则给其致命一击,挪威航空停飞了旗下所有的波音 787 梦想客机,在疫情后重组时彻底放弃了所有长途航线。极具讽刺意味的是,挪威航空退出后,除了巴塞罗那至洛杉矶这一条航线外,IAG 当初为了实施围剿而设立的所有对标航线均在不久后停航,彻底印证了这些航线纯粹是出于排挤竞争对手的反竞争目的。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: IAG对挪威航空的围剿策略 accDescr: 展示挪威航空开辟新航线后IAG采取对标跟进降价并最终导致挪威航空长途业务清零的流程 subgraph NorwegianActions ["挪威航空破局尝试"] A["开辟点对点跨大西洋低价航线<br/>(如盖特威克-奥克兰/劳德代尔堡)"] end subgraph IAGResponse ["IAG/英航报复反击"] B["复制相同航线并创立新航司 Level"] C["倾倒运力并压低票价<br/>掠夺客流并耗尽对手现金流"] end subgraph Outcome ["最终市场结果"] D["挪威航空长途业务承压并在疫情后清零"] E["IAG随即撤销多数跟进航线<br/>维持跨大西洋寡头垄断定价"] end A --> B B --> C C --> D D --> E ``` - **重合航线布局**:英航在旧金山已有航线的情况下跟进奥克兰(相距仅 16 公里),在迈阿密已有航线的情况下跟进劳德代尔堡(相距仅 32 公里)。 - **设立新品牌防御**:IAG 专为巴塞罗那市场创建了长途廉航 Level,正面阻击挪威航空。 - **航线命运印证动机**:在挪威航空彻底放弃长途业务后,IAG 当年跟进设立的防御性航线中,仅有巴塞罗那至洛杉矶航线保留至今,其余全数停运。 --- ### [19:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1145s) 监管机构的制度惯性与跨大西洋航线反垄断豁免的沉疴 欧美反垄断监管机构在跨大西洋航线联合体(Joint Venture)豁免问题上的逻辑令人匪夷所思。监管层给出的公开辩解本身漏洞百出,而即便尝试探究其深层意图,也根本找不到合理的政策依据。这一现象的源头,很可能是上世纪 90 年代航空业管制放松(Deregulation)初期的严重政策失误——彼时监管机构对结盟的长期反竞争后果缺乏预判,在市场剧烈动荡下片面追求航线服务的稳定性。然而,当年的权宜之计如今已演变成滚雪球般的巨大体制盲区。 在近年的审查中,监管机构的核心逻辑实际上变成了僵化的“向来如此”("that's the way it's always been done")。只要航空公司的勾结联营结构与过往批准的合资模式类似,监管官员往往直接闭眼放行,盲目批准更多反垄断豁免。监管部门害怕打破现状、“不愿惹是生非”,但这种不作为的代价却全部转嫁到了消费者头上。本应受到监管保护的普通旅客成了最大受害者——航司卡特尔在缺乏强力竞争的温床中肆意推高票价,让飞越浩瀚大西洋的旅程对普通大众而言变得愈发昂贵和遥不可及。 - **历史根源**:1990 年代航空市场化初期监管者对稳定性的过度倾斜,为后续跨大西洋卡特尔的形成埋下了祸根。 - **监管审查现状**:监管层陷入制度性路径依赖,只要现行申请参照已有联盟的合资框架,即可轻松过审。 - **消费者受害**:反竞争联营不仅没有带来宣称的效率提升,反而导致跨大西洋航线票价持续高企、普通旅客出行成本显著增加。 --- ### [19:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1199s) 赞助环节:Rocket Money 帮创作者追回的乌龙房贷支出 在视频末尾的赞助环节,主讲人讲述了一段发生在自己身上的真实又略带尴尬的个人财务小插曲。他在接到个人财务管理应用 Rocket Money 的合作邀请后,为了确认产品是否值得推荐,便下载并绑定了自己的银行账户和信用卡进行试用。他坦言自己平日里并不善于精细打理财务,由于有一定积蓄,平时很少逐笔核对开销;但近来他隐约察觉到银行账户余额下降得比平时快,尽管收入和日常花销并没有明显起伏。 当他打开 Rocket Money 的“定期扣费”(Recurring Payments)标签页时,软件迅速帮他揪出了异样:列表中金额最大的两笔每月自动扣款,居然全部流向了他办理房屋贷款的那家银行账户。因为该账户仅用于归还房贷,他原本每月只转账一笔固定金额以供扣款,但记录显示系统每月竟自动转账了两次。原来早在半年前,他就误操作设置了一笔重复的每月自动转款,导致大量资金不知不觉沉淀在了还贷备用账户中。虽然这笔钱实际上属于“转给自己”并无实际损失,但这款工具同时帮他清理出了大量早已遗忘但仍在扣费的小额流媒体订阅,直接帮他每月省下了约 100 美元的无谓开支。此外,软件生成的自动化消费分析报表也清晰揭示了他的最大开支项其实是旅行,并提供了实用的预算制定与进度追踪功能。主讲人以此呼吁观众通过视频简介链接或屏幕二维码免费体验该应用,理顺个人财务状况。 ## Notable quotes > [01:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=92s) 所有直接或间接固定采购或销售价格的协议……均应作为与内部市场不相容而予以禁止。 — 《欧洲联盟运作条约》第 101 条 > [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 合谋带来的公共利益,超过削弱市场竞争所导致的负面后果 — 美国交通部 > [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 该联营体将在美英航线上成为一个更强有力的竞争者。 — 维珍大西洋航空与达美航空 > [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 为目前主导美英市场的美国航空与英国航空联盟创造一个真正有意义的竞争替代方案 — 维珍大西洋航空与达美航空 > [03:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=233s) 屡次向达美表示,其在纽约至伦敦航线上的班次密度和全天时刻覆盖不足,因此拒绝在这一航线上向达美承诺业务 — 达美航空 > [09:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=540s) 公共利益大于对竞争造成的损害 — 美国交通部 > [09:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=540s) 更充分的激励机制 — 联合航空与汉莎航空 > [15:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=917s) 核心利润池 — 汉莎航空集团与IAG > [17:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1058s) 榨干挪威航空的血 — 国际航空集团 (IAG) > [19:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1145s) 向来如此 — 反垄断监管机构 > [19:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U&t=1145s) 不愿惹是生非 — 反垄断监管机构 ## Mentioned 美联航 (United Airlines), 达美航空 (Delta Air Lines), 美国航空 (American Airlines), 汉莎航空集团 (Lufthansa Group), 英国航空 (British Airways), 国际航空集团 (IAG), 维珍大西洋航空 (Virgin Atlantic), 法国航空-荷兰皇家航空集团 (Air France-KLM), 爱尔兰航空 (Aer Lingus), 伊比利亚航空 (Iberia), 芬兰航空 (Finnair), 布鲁塞尔航空 (Brussels Airlines), 瑞士国际航空 (Swiss), 奥地利航空 (Austrian Airlines), 挪威航空 (Norwegian Air Shuttle), 捷蓝航空 (JetBlue), LEVEL, Neos, 卡塔尔航空 (Qatar Airways), 阿联酋航空 (Emirates), 利雅得航空 (Riyadh Air), 北欧航空 (SAS), 意大利航空 (ITA Airways), 星空联盟 (Star Alliance), 天合联盟 (SkyTeam), 寰宇一家 (oneworld), 美国交通部 (DOT), 欧盟委员会 (European Commission), 空中客车 A321, 波音 787 梦想客机, Rocket Money, Sam Denby ## Video description Try Rocket Money for free: https://RocketMoney.com/Wendover Youtube: http://www.YouTube.com/WendoverProductions Instagram: http://Instagram.com/sam.from.wendover Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/WendoverPro Sponsorship Enquiries: wendover@standard.tv Other emails: sam@wendover.productions Reddit: http://Reddit.com/r/WendoverProductions Writing by Sam Denby, Tristan Purdy, and Christine Benedetti Editing by Alexander Williard Animation by Sara Stoltman, Gabriel Ferreras, Austin Glass, and Kate Ermolenkko Sound by Manni Simon and Dony Bullen Thumbnail by Simon Buckmaster [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XcbAhYQ49_U)

Source quotes

[1:32] 《欧洲联盟运作条约》第 101 条: 所有直接或间接固定采购或销售价格的协议……均应作为与内部市场不相容而予以禁止。 [3:53] 美国交通部: 合谋带来的公共利益,超过削弱市场竞争所导致的负面后果 [3:53] 维珍大西洋航空与达美航空: 该联营体将在美英航线上成为一个更强有力的竞争者。 [3:53] 维珍大西洋航空与达美航空: 为目前主导美英市场的美国航空与英国航空联盟创造一个真正有意义的竞争替代方案 [3:53] 达美航空: 屡次向达美表示,其在纽约至伦敦航线上的班次密度和全天时刻覆盖不足,因此拒绝在这一航线上向达美承诺业务 [9:00] 美国交通部: 公共利益大于对竞争造成的损害 [9:00] 联合航空与汉莎航空: 更充分的激励机制 [15:17] 汉莎航空集团与IAG: 核心利润池 [17:38] 国际航空集团 (IAG): 榨干挪威航空的血 [19:05] 反垄断监管机构: 向来如此 [19:05] 反垄断监管机构: 不愿惹是生非

Source quotes

merely a facade. directly or indirectly fix purchase or selling prices. the joint venture will be a more effective competitor on US-UK routes meaningful competitive alternative inadequate outweigh the negative consequences of reduced competition. Lufthansa: core profit pool that's the way it's always been done.

Original transcript

[0:00] Europe and North America are the two [0:02] most culturally and economically [0:03] interlin continents in the world. Yet, [0:06] an ocean stands between them. A colossal [0:08] number of people travel between the two [0:10] for work, for family, or for fun, making [0:12] the North Atlantic the largest and most [0:14] valuable longhaul aviation market in the [0:16] world. Logic would then follow that it's [0:19] the most competitive longhaul aviation [0:20] market in the world. [music] And while [0:22] it might look that way sitting at JFK [0:24] airport watching dozens of different [0:26] European airlines roll by, the logos [0:28] painted on the side are merely a facade. [0:32] On the surface, it appears that 33 [0:34] different airlines fly 126 different [0:36] routes between New York and Europe. [0:38] These are not only the big players like [0:40] BA, Air France and KLM flying to major [0:42] destinations like London, Paris and [0:44] Amsterdam, but also plenty of smaller [0:46] airlines like Air Serbia, High Sky or [0:48] Azorus Airlines serving smaller markets [0:50] like Belgrade, Bucharest or Ponta [0:52] Delgata. This appears like a healthy [0:54] competitive landscape until you look [0:56] closer. [music] [0:58] If you wanted to fly, say, to Brussels, [1:00] you'd have a choice between a 6:10 p.m. [1:02] departure from JFK on Brussels Airlines [1:04] or a 6:30 from Newark on United. But [1:07] what you wouldn't have is a choice on [1:08] how much to pay [music] because almost [1:10] every single day the airlines are [1:12] charging the same price. But there's a [1:14] good reason for this. Brussels Airlines [1:16] [music] and United are effectively [1:18] acting as a single airline. It's the [1:21] same thing for Munich. United operates a [1:23] 515 from Newark, Lufansza A 530 from [1:26] JFK, then another Newark frequency at [1:28] 8:30. All priced identically. This is a [1:32] cartel. Not a drug cartel, but a [1:35] business cartel. Brussels Airlines, [1:37] United, Lufansza, as well as Swiss and [1:39] Austrian Airlines are all colluding. [1:42] Together, they decide how often to fly, [1:45] where to fly, and crucially, how much to [1:48] charge individually. They don't care who [1:50] flies what because they pull [1:52] transatlantic revenue, then distribute [1:54] it according to the terms of their joint [1:55] venture agreement. It doesn't matter to [1:57] United whether a passenger takes them or [1:59] Lufansza to Frankfurt. They'll earn the [2:01] same amount regardless. This all means [2:03] that [music] from the perspective of [2:05] competition economics, these five [2:07] airlines are really acting as one. This [2:10] is intriguing. If you refer to article [2:13] 101 of the treaty on the functioning of [2:14] the European Union, it reads, [music] [2:16] quote, "The following shall be [2:18] prohibited as incompatible with the [2:19] internal market. All agreements that [2:21] directly or indirectly fix purchase or [2:23] selling prices." It's hardly a secret [2:25] that these airlines are price fixing. [2:27] They'll happily discuss it with their [2:28] investors. This would leave any normal [2:30] business in a world of legal trouble. [2:32] But the United and Lufansza cartel has [2:35] this. In this document, the European [2:38] Commission outlines their decision to [2:40] exempt these airlines from antitrust [2:42] law. This is a legally approved cartel. [2:46] European and American regulators have [2:48] allowed these airlines to collude [2:50] [music] [2:50] against the consumer. And it's not the [2:53] only such case. The next largest [2:55] encompasses Delta, Virgin Atlantic, KLM, [2:57] and Air France, representing about 26% [2:59] of the transatlantic market from New [3:01] York. Then the third major transatlantic [3:03] joint venture includes American [3:04] Airlines, Air Lingus, British Airways, [3:06] Finire, Iberia, and Levelville, [3:08] operating a further 18% of flights. [3:10] Together, this sums to 75% of all [3:14] Eurbound flights from New York. 75% of [3:17] all flights in the most lucrative [3:19] longhaul market in the world are [3:21] operated by just three entities. [3:24] Regardless, it is still true that New [3:26] York has perhaps the most robust [3:28] European competition of any US airport. [3:31] But that means that elsewhere, the [3:33] problem is even worse. In the smaller [3:34] market of DC, for example, these three [3:36] joint ventures encompass 85% of all [3:39] transatlantic flights, severely stifling [3:42] competition. And that stat will go up to [3:44] 89% soon if SAS and ITA Airways are [3:47] granted approval to join the Sky Team [3:48] and Star Alliance joint ventures as they [3:50] intend. Now, the majority of the legal [3:53] proceedings allowing for such collusion [3:54] have taken place just a subway ride away [3:56] from Dallas airport at the US Department [3:58] of Transportation. American law does [4:01] allow the DOT to grant antitrust [4:03] immunity to airlines, but there's one [4:05] key stipulation. They must deem that the [4:07] public benefits enabled by collusion [4:10] outweigh the negative consequences of [4:12] reduced competition. Therefore, airlines [4:15] submit long winding arguments to the DOT [4:17] explaining why, in their opinion, the [4:20] public would benefit so greatly from [4:22] their collusion. One of the most recent [4:24] cases took place between 2012 and 2019 [4:26] as Virgin Atlantic sought inclusion into [4:28] Delta's existing transatlantic joint [4:30] venture. [music] To start, they pursued [4:32] antitrust immunity on US UK routes. [4:34] Their legal argument was all in support [4:36] of this one line. Quote, "The joint [4:39] venture will be a more effective [4:41] competitor on USUK routes. They explain [4:44] that the crux of the public benefit [4:45] would be quote the creation of a [4:47] meaningful competitive alternative to [4:49] the alliance between American Airlines [4:50] and British Airways that presently [4:52] dominates the US UK market." The pair [4:55] characterized their flight frequencies [4:57] as a key cause of their ineffectiveness. [4:59] What makes London in particular such a [5:01] valuable destination to airlines is that [5:03] it's a top origin and destination for [5:05] business travelers. And business [5:07] travelers are more likely to purchase [5:08] costlier business class and lastminute [5:11] tickets. But business travelers tend to [5:13] also be very schedule dependent. They [5:15] want to be away from home for as little [5:17] time as possible. Meaning if their [5:19] meeting ends at 2 p.m., they want to be [5:20] on a 5 p.m. flight home from Heathrow. [5:23] Large companies that require lots of [5:24] business travel typically sign corporate [5:26] contracts with airlines in exchange for [5:27] reduced fairs and increased perks. But [5:30] according to Delta, these buyers have [5:32] quote repeatedly told Delta its service [5:34] frequencies and time of day coverage on [5:36] NYC to LHR are inadequate and have [5:38] refused to commit business to Delta on [5:40] the route. The trickiness was that Delta [5:42] couldn't simply just add more London [5:44] flights. Heathro is one of the most [5:46] heavily slot restricted airports in the [5:48] world. With just two runways, every [5:50] landing slot is used, and demand so [5:52] severely outstrip supply that these [5:53] slots sell for tens of millions of [5:56] dollars. The most valuable slots are the [5:58] early morning arrival times used by [6:00] overnight transatlantic flights, just [6:01] the type Delta needed. And even if the [6:03] cost was worth it to them, slots only go [6:05] up for sale every so often. [6:07] Alternatively, if Delta formed a joint [6:09] venture with Virgin, they told the DOT, [6:11] they could coordinate their schedules to [6:13] improve time of day coverage. They'd [6:15] keep the eastbound schedule the same. In [6:17] that direction, times don't matter as [6:19] much since they're almost all in the [6:20] evening. But for westbound flights, [6:22] they'd shift the schedule around to [6:23] remove competing departure times and [6:25] help improve coverage across the day so [6:26] that the longest gap would be the 3 [6:28] hours between Virgin's 5 and [music] [6:30] 8:00 p.m. flights. Ultimately, the DOT [6:33] was compelled by Delta and Virgin's [6:34] argument and approved their antitrust [6:36] immunity waiver. But that approval acted [6:38] as a tacit admission. If the public [6:41] benefit for Delta and Virgin's joint [6:43] venture was the creation of a strong [6:45] competitor to American and British [6:46] Airways' joint venture, that must mean [6:49] that American and British Airways' joint [6:51] venture created a public detriment. So [6:54] then why did the DOT approve American [6:56] and British Airways' joint venture in [6:57] 2010? Well, the crux of their argument [7:00] was that Delta already had their own [7:02] immunized transatlantic joint ventures [7:03] and that the formation of their own [7:05] would make them a stronger competitor. [7:07] So once again, why did the DOT approve [7:10] Delta and Air France's joint venture in [7:11] 2002? Of course, Delta argued that it [7:14] would make them a stronger competitor to [7:17] the already approved United Lufansza [7:19] joint venture. And why did the DOT [7:21] approve United and Lufansza's joint [7:22] venture all the way back in 1996? Well, [7:25] that's where things start to make at [7:26] least slightly more sense. The original [7:29] vision for transatlantic joint ventures [7:31] was to expand the hub and spoke network [7:33] model to both sides of the Atlantic. [7:35] After deregulation in the 70s and 80s, [7:37] airlines in the US and Europe rework [7:39] their route networks to operate most [7:40] flights to or from a limited number of [7:43] hub airports. They'd coordinate their [7:45] schedules to have a big bank of flights [7:46] arrive around the same time, then [7:48] another big bank leave shortly after, so [7:50] passengers from big cities to small [7:52] [music] towns could have a huge array of [7:54] conveniently timed connections. This [7:56] dramatically increased consumer choice [7:58] for short-haul travel, but it had less [8:00] of an impact for long haul. United, for [8:02] example, flew to major European cities [8:04] like London, Paris, Zurich, and Rome. [8:06] But if you're going to a smaller [8:07] destination that lacked United service, [8:09] Bilbao or Leon or [music] Stoutgart, you [8:12] were better off booking your flight with [8:13] a European airline since they'd offer [8:15] European side connections onto their [8:17] short hall flights. But this still left [8:19] some customers out. If someone was [8:21] traveling from a smaller US city without [8:23] service from a European airline to a [8:25] European destination without service [8:26] from an American airline, they'd have a [8:28] harder time getting a [music] fast and [8:30] cheap itinerary. The idea through [8:32] cooperation was to allow passengers to [8:34] connect through hubs on both sides, [8:36] combining the networks of Luanza and [8:38] United, and therefore creating a far [8:41] larger, far more competitive and [8:43] convenient network. [music] Today, this [8:44] partnership has grown into a critical [8:46] core of the two airlines's businesses. [8:49] Each morning, eight United wide bodies [8:51] bring well over a thousand passengers [8:52] into Lufansza's Frankfurt hub, and the [8:55] majority of them continue their journey [8:56] by making their way through the [8:57] airport's maze of terminals onto another [9:00] Lufansza flight. Through cooperation, [9:02] the German airline has coordinated their [9:04] schedule to make sure they have [9:05] well-timed capacity to the destinations [9:07] popular with US origin passengers, but [9:09] not otherwise serviced by United, like [9:11] Stockholm, Vienna, or Istanbul. After [9:14] all, it's in their interest. Since they [9:16] pull transatlantic revenue, they want to [9:18] be sure that their network offers a [9:20] better, faster, cheaper itinerary than [9:22] through Amsterdam, Paris, [music] [9:23] London, or any other competitor's hub. [9:26] This network integration has [9:27] unquestionably been a net positive for [9:29] consumers. It's expanded choice and even [9:31] injected more competition into the mix [9:33] as now United can compete to European [9:35] destinations it doesn't directly serve [9:37] as well. The benefits might even justify [9:40] the DOT's approval of their antitrust [9:41] immunity. They might represent the [9:43] public benefit that outweighs the public [9:45] harm if crucially the antitrust immunity [9:49] was what made this [music] public [9:51] benefit possible. But it's hard to find [9:53] the evidence of that. United and Luansza [9:56] did not start integrating their networks [9:58] in 1996 upon approval of their antitrust [10:01] immunity [music] waiver. They did so in [10:03] 1993. [10:05] Passengers from Tampa, Orlando, [10:06] Philadelphia, New Orleans, and Phoenix [10:08] could now connect through Dallas airport [10:10] onto a flight to Frankfurt. then from [10:12] Frankfurt to eight German cities in [10:14] Vienna. And similar arrangements were [10:15] set up for Chicago and San Francisco. [10:18] They didn't pull revenue or coordinate [10:19] pricing, but rather just paid each other [10:21] for the seats on each other's flights [10:23] sold as part of the other airlines [10:24] itineraries, steering clear of antitrust [10:27] violations. It was not until 3 years [10:29] later that the two airlines applied for [10:31] antitrust immunity with the argument [10:32] that it was needed to do the very thing [10:34] they had already started doing. Now, [10:37] they made arguments on why they'd be [10:38] better incentivized to continue to do [10:40] what they were already doing. But [10:42] regardless of the truth of that, their [10:43] antitrust immunity application presents [10:45] the network integration as the core of [10:48] the public benefit, the element that is [10:50] legally required to outweigh the harms [10:52] of reduced competition. This public [10:54] benefit, however, was clearly already in [10:56] the airlines's interests [music] [10:58] considering they were already [10:59] implementing it. Further evidence of the [11:01] feebleness of this so-called public [11:03] benefit can be found in the present. [11:05] American has a major partnership with [11:07] Qatar Airways. American operates flights [11:09] from Philadelphia to Doha, which is not [11:11] a route that would normally turn a [11:12] profit on its own merits, but it's [11:14] scheduled to arrive at the Middle [11:15] Eastern hub around 4:30 p.m. with just [11:17] enough time for passengers to transfer [11:19] onto Qatar's [music] 6 to 9:00 p.m. [11:21] eastbound bank and plenty do thanks to [11:23] the through ticketing offered by the [11:24] carriers. In the inverse, Qatar's US [11:27] network is formed around [music] [11:28] Americans network with flights to most [11:30] of their hubs, Los Angeles, Dallas, [11:32] Chicago, New York, and Miami. This is a [11:35] deep partnership. It's now the core of [11:37] how American serves the growing Middle [11:39] East and India markets. While it's the [11:41] primary way that Qatar expands [music] [11:42] its reach deeper into the US. What this [11:45] is not, however, is an antitrust [11:47] immunized joint venture. It's got all [11:50] the public benefits that airlines [11:51] purport come with antitrust immunity. [11:53] Network integration, [music] [11:54] schedule coordination, through ticketing [11:56] while keeping Qatar and American as [11:58] competitors. For a passenger going from [12:00] say Boston to Delhi, [music] the two [12:02] airlines offer two different itineraries [12:04] at two different price points. American [12:06] through New York, Qatar through Doha. [12:08] With both able to offer one-stop [12:10] itineraries that don't involve the [12:11] others flights, they don't offer junk [12:13] tickets on the route, [music] meaning [12:14] they must offer better pricing or [12:16] product to win the customer's business. [12:18] This is far from the only example of a [12:20] non-immunized partnership between [12:22] airlines. United has a near identical [12:24] arrangement with Emirates. They operate [12:26] a New York to Dubai flight to feed [12:27] onward connections while Emirates [12:29] [music] operates to most United hubs to [12:31] facilitate travel further into the US. [12:33] Deltas [music] announced a similar [12:34] arrangement with soon to launch Riad [12:36] Air. The US airline will operate flights [12:38] to the new airlines hub in Riad while [12:40] Riad Air is expected to serve major [12:42] Delta hubs. None of these partnerships [12:44] are antitrust [music] [12:45] immunized. All operate nearly [12:47] identically to immunized partnerships. [12:50] This wouldn't matter whether or not [12:52] antitrust immunity is needed for these [12:53] partnerships if antitrust immunity [12:55] didn't have a downside. But the downside [12:57] is not hard to find. Italy, for example, [12:59] [music] is a massive destination for US [13:01] travelers. From New York, there are [13:03] plenty of non-stops to the major markets [13:05] like Milan and Rome. Four genuine [13:07] competitors fight for business on these [13:08] routes, and pricing is therefore low. An [13:11] average of $566 and $486, respectively, [13:14] in the high demand month of August. Then [13:17] there are the less competitive routes to [13:19] smaller markets like Venice, Naples, [13:20] Bari, and Polarmo, where two competitors [13:23] duke it out head-to-head. But as you'd [13:24] expect, less competition means pricing [13:26] [music] power is stronger and airfares [13:28] are higher. $579, [13:31] $578, [music] [13:32] $860, and $819. [13:35] Between these four, the distinction in [13:37] pricing can be even further explained by [13:39] competitive dynamics. In Venice [music] [13:41] and Naples, it's United versus Delta, [13:43] true direct competitors. In Bari and [13:46] Polarmo, it's [music] United versus [13:48] Neos, a small Italian airline with just [13:50] six longhaul aircraft operating once or [13:52] twice [music] weekly service. With a [13:54] limited name recognition in the US, it's [13:56] hardly a strong competitor to United for [13:58] US origin [music] traffic, potentially [14:00] explaining the higher price point on [14:01] these routes. Rather than engaging in a [14:04] price war with Neos, United seems to [14:06] allow them to eat just a little bit of [14:08] their lunch, as Neos consistently [14:09] charges a couple hundred less than [14:11] United on these routes. The sole route [14:14] without head-to-head competition to [14:15] Italy, Deltas to Katana, does buck this [14:18] trend [music] slightly since its average [14:19] pricing is just $600, but this route [14:22] does have indirect competition [music] [14:23] from United Neos since Polarmo is also [14:25] in Sicily, meaning it likely pulls from [14:27] a similar pool of passengers. Looking [14:30] further, the Spanish market demonstrates [14:32] a similar trend. The most competitive [14:34] destinations, Barcelona and Madrid, [14:36] average the lowest, while the least [14:37] competitive, like Santiago de [14:39] Compostella, Bilbao, Malaga, and Pom [14:41] America, are the highest. [music] Taken [14:43] together, a graph of August airfares to [14:45] every Italian and Spanish destination [14:47] from New York [music] demonstrates a [14:49] clear trend, the exact trend economic [14:52] theory would predict. The more [14:53] competition a route has, the lower [14:55] [music] the airfares. What one could [14:57] infer from this is that when airlines [14:59] have fewer competitors, they have [15:00] stronger pricing power, meaning they [15:02] have greater ability to charge [15:04] passengers more without losing their [15:05] business. Therefore, one could infer [15:08] that over the Atlantic, the diminishment [15:09] of competitiveness due to antitrust [15:11] immunity waiverss has given airlines [15:13] more pricing power, [music] leading to [15:15] higher airfares overall. There's also [15:17] anecdotal evidence of this. For example, [15:20] Dublin is only 400 m or 650 km further [15:24] from Boston than San Diego. JetBlue [15:26] flies to both destinations [music] using [15:28] similarly configured A321 aircraft, but [15:30] their pricing between the two routes is [15:32] dramatically different. In August, [15:34] they're charging an average of $186 for [15:37] the transcontinental [music] route, but [15:39] $476 [15:41] for the transatlantic one, 2 and a half [15:43] times more. And even then, JetBlue is [15:46] the lowest cost operator on this route, [15:48] perhaps because it's not part of any of [15:50] the major joint ventures. Delta is [15:52] charging slightly more at $485 while [15:55] Airingus' seats are selling for $536. [15:59] Now, admittedly, this is imperfect [16:00] evidence. There [music] are some [16:02] legitimate additional costs for [16:03] transatlantic operations, like ETOP [16:05] certification, taxes, and fees. And [16:06] airlines do use different pricing [16:08] strategies between domestic and [16:09] transatlantic that inflate the cost [16:10] [music] of oneways to Europe. But [16:12] marketwide, transatlantic fairs are some [16:14] of the highest cost long haul routes in [16:17] the world on a per mile basis. And [16:20] airlines will even admit this, at least [16:21] indirectly. Here's Lu Tanza in an [16:24] investor presentation touting that [16:25] Transatlantic is their quote core profit [16:27] pool. And here's British Airways' parent [16:29] company saying essentially the same [16:30] thing in a transcript of an investor [16:32] presentation. This all tracks with [16:34] economic theory. When there's lower [16:36] competition, firms have stronger pricing [16:38] power, [music] enabling them to command [16:40] higher profits. And the problem goes [16:42] beyond the consolidation of these [16:43] airlines into larger singular entities [16:45] because these larger singular entities [16:47] have been able to leverage their [16:48] dominant market positions to drive [16:50] genuine competition out of business. [16:53] Back in the late 2010s, Norwegian [16:55] Airlines made a play at long haul and [16:57] grew into the largest foreign carrier [16:58] serving the New York market and the [17:00] fifth largest transatlantic airline [17:02] outright behind [music] United, Delta, [17:04] American BA. They were operating a [17:06] lowcost model, severely undercutting [17:08] their competitors' prices [music] and [17:10] therefore severely threatening their [17:11] supremacy. In particular, it was most [17:13] threatening to British Airways since [17:15] their main base was at London's [music] [17:16] Gatwick Airport. And so BA's parent [17:18] company, I AG did anything they could to [17:21] drive the upstart carrier out of [17:23] business. When Norwegian started Gatwick [17:25] to New York flights, British Airways [17:26] launched Gatwick to [music] New York [17:27] flights, even though the only other long [17:29] haul flights they operated from the [17:30] airport were to warm weather leisure [17:32] destinations. When Norwegian started [17:34] Gatwick to Oakland, California flights, [17:36] British Airways started Oakland flights, [17:38] even though they already operated [17:39] flights to San Francisco airport a [17:41] [music] mere 10 m or 16 km away. When [17:44] Norwegian started Gatwick to Fort [17:46] Lauderdale flights, British Airways [17:47] started Fort Lauderdale flights, even [17:49] though they already operated to Miami 20 [17:52] m or 32 km away. When Norwegian started [17:55] Barcelona to Oakland and LA flights, [17:57] British Airways' parent company IIG [17:59] started a [music] brand new lowcost [18:01] airline called Level and also launched [18:03] Barcelona to Oakland and LA flights. The [18:06] tactic here was obvious. I was [music] [18:08] trying to bleed Norwegian dry. They'd [18:11] match Norwegian's route launches, [18:13] saturate the market, price tickets [18:15] aggressively low, take passengers away [18:17] from Norwegian, and ultimately the [18:19] tactic worked. Norwegian's longhaul [18:21] operations started to falter in 2019. [18:23] [music] They reshuffled their network to [18:25] find routes that could work. But then [18:26] after a full shutdown due to CO, the [18:28] airline 787s were never reactivated and [18:30] Norwegian never flew a longhaul flight [18:32] again. Unsurprisingly, with the [18:34] exception of Barcelona to Los Angeles, [18:36] none of the routes [music] IG launched [18:38] to match Norwegian service still operate [18:40] today, further demonstrating their [18:42] [music] true intent. Given their scale, [18:44] it made plenty of sense for IEG to [18:46] launch and lose money on these routes if [18:48] it prevented Norwegian from getting a [18:49] foothold in their key markets. While [18:52] it's far from a given that Norwegian [18:53] Longhaul would have survived even [18:54] without this anti-competitive behavior, [18:56] IG's actions demonstrated that they were [18:59] genuinely threatened and they did not [19:00] consider it a given that Norwegian [19:02] Longhaul would die out on its own. It's [19:05] really hard to understand American and [19:06] European regulators' logic behind [19:08] antitrust immunity over the Atlantic. [19:10] The public-f facing logic is clearly [19:13] faulty. But even if one attempts to read [19:15] between the lines, there's little logic [19:16] there either. It's possible that it was [19:19] just a genuine mistake. That initial [19:21] approvals in the '90s happened in the [19:22] tumultuous time following deregulation [19:24] when consequences were less understood [19:26] and stability and air service was a [19:27] higher priority. But that mistake has [19:30] snowballed. In recent years, the [19:32] dominant [music] logic behind approvals [19:33] is that that's the way it's always been [19:35] done. Regulators appear to be blindly [19:37] approving more and more antitrust [19:39] immunity waiverss so long as collusion [19:41] mirrors the structure of existing [19:43] collusion. They don't want to rock the [19:45] boat, but by avoiding so, they're [19:47] helping the [music] consumers lose out, [19:49] the very people they're there to serve. [19:51] They're helping airlines charge more, [19:53] making it slightly less accessible for [19:56] everyone to hop across the pond. [19:59] Okay, so now I have a very real, [20:01] slightly embarrassing story to tell as [20:02] part of this ad re. [music] Basically, [20:04] the sponsor for this video is Rocket [20:05] Money, which I'd never actually used, [20:07] but to try them out and figure out [20:08] whether I should endorse them, I [20:10] downloaded the app and linked my bank [20:11] and credit card accounts. Admittedly, [20:13] I'm not always very on top of my [20:15] finances. I'm fortunate enough to have [20:16] enough savings that I don't need to keep [20:18] track of every expense, but I'd also [20:20] sort of noticed recently that my account [20:22] balance was getting lower than usual. I [20:24] didn't think I was spending more or [20:25] making less than normal, so I was a bit [20:27] confused, but hadn't really looked into [20:29] it. But when trying out Rocket Money, I [20:30] poked around and went to their recurring [20:32] payments tab, where they show you all [20:33] the recurring payments you make. And [20:35] that's where I noticed something weird. [20:37] Basically, my two biggest recurring [20:38] payments each month were to the account [20:40] of the bank that I have my mortgage [20:41] with. I only use that account for the [20:43] mortgage, so I only send enough to make [20:45] the mortgage payment [music] each month. [20:47] But I only pay my mortgage once a month, [20:49] and this auto transfer was happening [20:50] twice a month. Basically, it turns out [20:53] that about 6 months ago, I somehow [20:54] accidentally duplicated the auto [20:56] transfer and extra money had been [20:58] accumulating in this other bank account. [21:00] Ultimately, this worked out pretty well [21:01] since I was sending the extra money to [21:02] myself, but there were also plenty of [21:04] other smaller subscriptions in there [21:05] that I didn't realize it was still [21:06] paying. So, I was able to cut back on [21:08] about $100 of spending a month. As you'd [21:10] imagine, since Rocket Money immediately [21:12] proved itself, I'm now a legitimate [21:14] user. And there's more than just the [21:15] recurring payments feature that I find [21:17] worthwhile. I love their automated [21:18] spending reports as it makes it super [21:20] simple for me to see where I'm spending [21:21] too much money. Unsurprisingly, it's on [21:23] travel. They also help you reach your [21:25] goals as you can set a budget, then use [21:27] the app to track your progress sticking [21:28] to it through time. There are so many [21:30] more features beyond that, but all in [21:32] all, I've already found Rocket Money to [21:34] be a really useful, really simple way to [21:36] stay more on top of my finances with [21:38] basically no work at all. So, take [21:40] control of your finances today. Click [21:42] the link in the description or scan the [21:43] QR code on screen to get started for [21:45] free.