任正非全家出逃美国,谁在偷偷做空华为?背后利益链太黑了!#任正非 #华为 #做空 #美国 #窦文涛 #梁文道 #圆桌派

任正非全家出逃美国,谁在偷偷做空华为?背后利益链太黑了!#任正非 #华为 #做空 #美国 #窦文涛 #梁文道 #圆桌派 — 纪实万象

纪实万象

AI-assisted summary of 任正非全家出逃美国,谁在偷偷做空华为?背后利益链太黑了!#任正非 #华为 #做空 #美国 #窦文涛 #梁文道 #圆桌派 — original source. Check the original for full context.

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Key ideas

  • 经济跃升与竞争模型:丹佛大学基于世界银行数据的长期模型显示,中国GDP于2010年超越日本跃居世界第二,并预测中国将在2028年左右超越美国、到2049年经济规模达到48万亿美元(美国为27万亿美元)。 (50:20)
  • 深圳反超与产业入无人区:深圳GDP在2018年正式超越香港,实现从改革开放初期香港五百分之一的逆转;同时华为电信基础设施领先思科与诺基亚3至5年,步入缺乏前行参照的“无人区”。 (44:22)
  • 对等外交交涉:2008年中国国防大学代表团访美期间遭遇机场苛刻安检,金一南通过坚持以“对等原则”严查美方访华将领展开交涉,促使美国国防部助理部长在一个月后于北京正式道歉。 (54:27)
  • 算法压迫与生活效率代价:外卖平台对一次催单施加两三百元重罚的极端案例表明,国内极致的生活便利高度依赖苛刻算法对底层劳动力的数字施压,折射出社会高效运转背后的生活焦虑。 (16:03)

Detailed notes

## Background 该视频由YouTube频道“纪实万象”于2026年9月24日发布。尽管视频标题采用了涉及任正非与华为的夸张吸睛字眼,但简介主要说明其汇编了窦文涛主持的《圆桌派》与《锵锵行天下》等节目素材,旨在通过圆桌漫谈与文化拾遗,展现横跨人性、社会认知、科技与经济历史等多重视角的海阔天空之论。

## TL;DR 视频前半部分由窦文涛、陈丹青与许子东等文化学者展开漫谈,回顾改革开放初期的留美潮,解构“美国梦”神话与海外华人代际撕裂,并对比中美基础设施演化及国内超高效背后的算法压迫与社会阵痛。后半部分转向大国崛起与企业发展史,梳理深圳超越香港的奇迹、陶华碧的草根商业韧性以及中国经济体量的全球跃升轨迹。最后通过金一南将军亲历的五角大楼对等外交交涉,以及任正非对余承东个性的包容支持,深入探讨了在科技“无人区”中坚持自主研发、对外开放合作与激发实战创新力的重要性。

## Atmosphere & style 全片呈现出从知识分子沙龙式的沉潜漫谈向大国叙事演讲过渡的复合基调。前半程在窦文涛与陈丹青的对坐闲聊中充满自嘲、幽默与对基层个体命运的人文关怀,流露出冷峻的时代反思;后半程则融入金一南等学者铿锵有力的演讲风格,军旅外交的硬朗回击与华为突围的昂扬叙事交织,令整场视听体验在从容省思与自立自强的振奋感之间形成鲜明张力。

## Bulletin - [50:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3020s) 经济跃升与竞争模型:丹佛大学基于世界银行数据的长期模型显示,中国GDP于2010年超越日本跃居世界第二,并预测中国将在2028年左右超越美国、到2049年经济规模达到48万亿美元(美国为27万亿美元)。 - [44:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2662s) 深圳反超与产业入无人区:深圳GDP在2018年正式超越香港,实现从改革开放初期香港五百分之一的逆转;同时华为电信基础设施领先思科与诺基亚3至5年,步入缺乏前行参照的“无人区”。 - [54:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3267s) 对等外交交涉:2008年中国国防大学代表团访美期间遭遇机场苛刻安检,金一南通过坚持以“对等原则”严查美方访华将领展开交涉,促使美国国防部助理部长在一个月后于北京正式道歉。 - [16:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=963s) 算法压迫与生活效率代价:外卖平台对一次催单施加两三百元重罚的极端案例表明,国内极致的生活便利高度依赖苛刻算法对底层劳动力的数字施压,折射出社会高效运转背后的生活焦虑。

## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=0s) 改革开放留美潮与华人社群撕裂:早期文化精英赴美亲历美国兴衰,而近年来围绕特朗普政策的分歧加剧了美国华人精英阶层与基层移民之间的政治认知撕裂。 - [05:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=322s) “政治正确”缓冲垫破裂与美国梦祛魅:克林顿时代的多元包容在9/11后转向反恐与海外干涉,国内深层治理危机延宕,维系族群和平共处的文明规范破裂导致排外情绪加剧。 - [10:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=617s) 移民命运的周期决定论与“公交车理论”:移民的境遇往往由其抵达时美国的宏观经济周期决定而非单纯的代际差异,老移民面对新移民普遍存在筑墙防卫与过河拆桥心态。 - [12:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=730s) 基建老化与人本尺度的哲学差异:中国硬件规模在后发优势下迅速超越欧美老牌帝国,但欧洲小型枢纽具备更高的人本便利度,中国超大枢纽在带来震撼的同时也增加了通行压迫感。 - [16:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=963s) 超高效背后的算法重罚与确定性缺失:西方老旧城市依附于稳定的社会确定性,而国内极致便利的生活方式则建立在严苛考核底层的算法平台之上,放大了年轻人的焦虑。 - [22:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1332s) 自费留学演进与人才逆向回流:中国留学生已从老一辈艰苦谋生转向自费消费,与此同时,海外二代华裔与西方专业人士开始反向涌入国内寻求发展机遇。 - [30:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1834s) 现代化与城市化野蛮代价的反思:光鲜的城市天际线与经济奇迹背后伴随着剧烈的社会冲突(如贾敬龙案),暴露出狂飙突进中程序正义与个体权益保护的缺失。 - [37:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2264s) “斜杠青年”概念辨析与舍弃哲学:当代社会常将底层维持生计的兼职零工浪漫化为“斜杠青年”,而真正的跨界与创新依赖于主动放弃稳定成就的勇气与财务自主权。 - [44:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2662s) 深圳崛起与粤港澳大湾区双引擎格局:深圳经济规模从改革开放初期的香港五百分之一跃升至2018年全面超越,推动区域发展从香港单核驱动转向深港双引擎标杆。 - [47:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2838s) 华为进入“无人区”与战略跃升:华为基础电信设施领先西方同行3至5年并进入自主领跑的“无人区”,呼应了近代中国从救亡图存到富强复兴的历史跨越。 - [50:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3020s) 中美博弈动能与“大成功需要对手”:国际机构的测算模型引发了美国战略焦虑,而外部施压反而促使中国在竞争中暴露出制度与技术短板并加快自我修正。 - [54:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3267s) 大国交涉中的对等原则:金一南回顾2008年访美代表团安检风波,强调基于对等原则的坚决交涉是打破不公对待的关键,并促使美方正式道歉与保证。 - [57:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3470s) 对外开放交流与包容性创新机制:面对外部签证封锁,中国绝不能闭门造车;而在企业内部,任正非包容余承东个性与直觉式探索的经验表明,真正的创新需要试错空间。

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=0s) The Urge to Go West: From Ah Cheng to the Study Abroad Wave

Dou Wentao opens the conversation by questioning why so many prominent Chinese cultural figures—including writer Ah Cheng, novelist Wang Shuo, and painter Chen Danqing—all left China to live in the United States around the same time during the early Reform and Opening-up era. In the first three decades of the People’s Republic, the cultural and ideological gaze was directed toward the Soviet Union, even if actual travel there was virtually impossible. After the opening of China, that collective fascination pivoted entirely toward America. When asked what drew him across the Pacific, Chen Danqing recalls that his motivation was disarmingly simple: he just wanted to see original Western masterworks in person. At that time, leisure tourism was completely out of the question, international flights to the United States departed perhaps once a week, and going abroad was synonymous with the grueling, highly competitive wave of overseas study.

Dou Wentao reflects on his own limited exposure to the United States, having visited only twice as a tourist, but notes that the recent American presidential election revealed deep underlying tensions. He brings up a prior episode featuring Professor Rao Yi, whose impassioned defense of "political correctness" sparked an immediate controversy online. Dou recalls that Rao seemed almost possessed with indignation, railing against Chinese immigrants who supported Donald Trump:

> "You guys are voting for Trump, you idiots! You don't understand at all. He's a man who wants to kick the Chinese out, yet Chinese people are still so happy for him."

While Rao conceded there was nothing inherently wrong with conservative or Republican politics, he argued it was self-defeating for an ethnic minority to back a figure whose rhetoric targeted them directly. This provocation leads Dou to question whether the United States is in genuine decline, recalling how Chinese families historically weighed sending their children to the United Kingdom versus the United States, while immigration data as late as 2014 still placed America as the undisputed top destination for Chinese emigrants.

---

[01:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=90s) Thirty-Four Years of American Shift: From Reagan's Glory to Post-9/11 Malaise

Chen Danqing offers an eyewitness perspective spanning thirty-four years of American social and political life, dating back to Ronald Reagan's election. When Reagan took office, the country was emerging from the trauma of the Vietnam War, internal economic chaos, and the peak of the civil rights movements, pivoting sharply toward conservatism in tandem with Margaret Thatcher's United Kingdom. Reagan’s presidency set the stage for the end of the Cold War, and shortly after George H. W. Bush took office, the Soviet Union collapsed in 1990, ushering in an era of unilateral American primacy.

Danqing recalls living through recurring economic cycles and structural market adjustments that became central battlegrounds in subsequent presidential elections. However, the defining inflection point was the unexpected shock of September 11, 2001. After 9/11, national priorities abruptly shifted toward counter-terrorism and foreign intervention. While the United States projected unilateral power overseas, critical domestic concerns were repeatedly deferred and neglected. Having observed this entire trajectory firsthand, Danqing traces a line from the self-confident, prosperous Reagan era to the current backlog of unresolved domestic crises and foreign entanglements.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Evolution of Modern American Political Landscape accDescr: Timeline of American domestic and foreign shifts from the Reagan era through the post-9/11 era. subgraph ColdWar["End of Cold War Era"] A["Reagan Era (1980s)<br/>Return to Conservatism & Economic Reset"] B["Bush Administration (1990)<br/>Collapse of the Soviet Union"] A --> B end

subgraph Unilateral["Unilateral Era"] C["1990s Cultural & Economic Boom<br/>Clinton Era Artistic High Point"] B --> C end

subgraph Shift["Post-9/11 Realignment"] D["September 11 Attacks<br/>Counter-Terrorism & Overseas Wars"] E["Domestic Neglect & Polarization<br/>Shattered Consensus & Social Strife"] C --> D D --> E end ```

---

[03:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=222s) The Fractured Diaspora: Elite Sorrow, Grassroots Trumpism, and Generational Gaps

Xu Zidong observes that the recent election created unprecedented divisions among the Chinese diaspora in the United States, fracturing communities and social circles into opposing factions. Chinese residents who have assimilated into mainstream elite circles—such as academia, high culture, and white-collar institutions—showed unyielding opposition to Donald Trump and expressed visible grief and despair when he secured victory. In stark contrast, ordinary working-class and newer first-generation immigrants openly rallied for him, pooling resources and spending significant sums of money to charter campaign flights and organize ground rallies.

The conversation touches upon sociological research into the Chinese-American demographic, distinguishing between three distinct groups: - **First generation (new immigrants):** Adults who emigrated directly from China and often maintain strong ties to native cultural perspectives. - **1.5 generation:** Individuals who moved to the United States as young children, growing up bilingual and bicultural. - **Second generation:** Those born and fully raised on American soil.

Xu highlights a compelling statistic from diaspora demographic studies: the 1.5 generation consistently reports the highest per capita income among all three tiers, successfully bridging the cultural literacy of the West with the intense educational discipline of their immigrant parents.

---

[05:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=322s) Liu Sola on 1990s New York, the Collapse of the Buffer, and Street Racism

Composer and writer Liu Sola shares her personal experience living in New York during the Clinton presidency in the 1990s on an artist contract. She describes the mid-to-late 1990s as the absolute peak of contemporary American artistic vitality, carrying forward the counter-cultural momentum that had been building since the 1960s hippie movement. New York teemed with innovative thinkers, musicians, and creators. Following the 9/11 attacks, however, that vibrant energy receded, leaving behind a pervasive cultural and economic desolation that made creative risk-taking far more difficult.

Sola reflects that while small-time immigrant artists like herself were largely insulated in the 1990s, the United States was already deeply embroiled in foreign military actions across the Balkans, the Middle East, and Africa. What held the domestic fabric together was the prevailing ethos of "political correctness." Sola emphasizes that, far from being an empty slogan, political correctness served as an indispensable civil buffer. It enforced an unwritten code of mutual respect, ensuring that diverse ethnic groups shared an equal, protected public space. With that consensus dismantled in the current political climate, that vital buffer has broken down, leaving minorities vulnerable.

Dou Wentao notes that immediately following the election, disturbing public incidents began surfacing, with Asian Americans harassed on public streets and told:

> "F*** you, Chinese, go back to your own country."

He points out that hostility has manifested in extreme private actions, such as individuals traveling to the Mexican border to build sections of the border wall independently or offering private donations of millions of dollars before federal funds are even appropriated.

---

[08:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=488s) "A Native of Beijing in New York," New Oriental, and the Disenchantment of the American Dream

Dou Wentao poses a broader cultural question: has the longstanding "Chinese American Dream" finally shattered? He recalls the intense aura surrounding America in the late 1980s and early 1990s, when cultural luminaries left China one after another. For Dou's generation, their window into that reality was the 1993 television series *A Native of Beijing in New York*, starring Jiang Wen, which immortalized the city as simultaneously "a heaven and a hell."

The panel reviews an excerpt from Peter Chan’s film *American Dreams in China* (loosely based on Yu Minhong and the founding of the New Oriental English training school). The scene depicts an intense classroom debate between an English teacher and an ambitious student:

- **The Teacher's Cynicism:** The teacher insists that racial discrimination in America is permanent and systemic, arguing that if a white person sees three Black men enter an elevator, they will step out before the doors close. He warns that despite Chinese immigrants being diligent and clever, locals will merely accuse them of stealing domestic jobs. - **The Student's Idealism:** The student counters that the teacher’s pessimism is merely drawn from books, insisting that "time is the only standard to judge the truth here" and that the American Dream represents the only system on Earth where every individual enjoys equal opportunity to chase their aspirations.

Reflecting on the clip, the speakers observe that neither extreme is entirely accurate. The Chinese idealization of the United States has roots stretching back to World War II, when American forces aided China against Japanese aggression and temporarily stationed troops there, cementing an enduring national myth that was later magnified during the Reform era.

[10:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=617s) Generational Timing, Economic Cycles, and the Immigrant Experience

The discussion begins with a reflection on how the image of America has loomed large across generations in China, particularly during the three decades following the Reform and Opening-up. As millions of Chinese emigrated to the United States, debates emerged regarding the distinctions between "first generation" and "1.5 generation" immigrants (those who arrived as young children). However, one speaker pushes back against this rigid labeling, arguing that an immigrant's fortunes depend far less on generational categorization than on the economic cycle of the United States when they arrive. Hitting a booming economy offers abundant jobs and a bright future, whereas arriving during an economic downturn leaves newcomers stranded, regardless of their background or whether they settle in immigrant hubs like California or New York.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Immigrant Experience and Economic Cycles accDescr: Flowchart illustrating how macroeconomic timing and generational arrivals shape immigrant outcomes and anti-immigrant sentiment.

subgraph MacroTiming["Macroeconomic Timing"] A["Immigrant Arrival"] --> B{"U.S. Economic Stage"} B -->|"Boom Period"| C["Abundant Jobs & Upward Mobility"] B -->|"Recession / Stagnation"| D["Diminished Wages & Dim Outlook"] end

subgraph SocialTension["Social & Political Dynamics"] E["Established Immigrants & Locals"] -->|"Economic Anxiety"| F["Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric ('Go Back')"] F --> G["Pushback Against New & Undocumented Arrivals"] end

D -.->|"Fuels"| SocialTension ```

To illustrate that this dynamic affects all immigrant communities rather than just the Chinese, a speaker shares a personal anecdote from two years prior when his younger brother had a son. While waiting in the hospital maternity ward, he struck up a conversation with an elderly Italian immigrant. The Italian man was himself a "1.5 generation" immigrant who had arrived as a boy, his child was second-generation, and that child was now having a baby. The elderly man expressed deep, genuine worry, explaining at length that the solid wages, stable careers, and abundant opportunities his generation enjoyed would never be available to his grandchildren's generation.

The panel observes that the current climate of racism, Trump-era rhetoric, and xenophobic demands that immigrants "go back" are not brand-new phenomena created by the internet. Historically, earlier waves of immigrants have routinely allied with native-born locals to pull up the ladder behind them, targeting newer arrivals and undocumented immigrants.

- Over the 30 years following Reform and Opening-up, Chinese immigration surged dramatically, creating pronounced generational cohorts. - Immigrant outcomes are heavily dictated by the specific U.S. state (primarily New York and California) and the timing of national economic cycles. - Generational downward mobility is an anxiety shared across older European immigrant communities, such as Italian-Americans, not just recent Asian arrivals.

---

[12:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=730s) "National Destiny" and the Infrastructure Contrast: Old Empires vs. The Latecomer

The conversation pivots to the broader concept of "national destiny" (国运) and how perceptions of power have shifted. One speaker candidly admits his longstanding tendency to "admire foreign things," yet notes that overseas Chinese have become visibly more patriotic and confident as China's global standing has risen. Recalling his initial visits to the United States, he remembers being shocked to find that American locations of well-known international hotel brands were rundown and dated compared to their pristine, brand-new counterparts in China. Driving across the vast American expanse, he was struck by how much of the country felt like a desolate "wilderness," where highways outside of mega-cities like New York were lined with dilapidated metal shacks.

The panel frames this contrast through the lens of developmental timing. Western nations are "old empires" whose foundational infrastructure was built decades or even a century ago. Britain was constructing its underground transit network during the late Qing Dynasty; New York was opening subway lines around the time of the 1911 Xinhai Revolution; and the U.S. built out its interstate highways and international airports during the 1970s while China was in the throes of the Cultural Revolution. China, by contrast, is a latecomer whose modern takeoff occurred over the last 20 to 30 years through its "second modernization." Latecomers naturally possess newer, flashier hardware.

One speaker recounts visiting Europe during the U.S. presidential election. Arriving in Paris, he felt the city had degraded significantly compared to ten years prior, noting with some humor that certain areas now felt chaotic and crowded, resembling the environs outside the Beijing railway station. The consensus is that the West hasn't necessarily collapsed overnight; rather, China's rapid transformation has completely recalibrated travelers' expectations.

---

[13:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=829s) Human-Scale Convenience vs. Dazzling Scale: From Berlin Airport to Beijing Nightlife

The speakers delve into specific everyday comparisons between European and Chinese urban environments, focusing on the stark differences in airport and nightlife design. One guest recounts a recent departure from Berlin: after clearing security, he eagerly looked around for a sprawling duty-free shopping mall, only to find nothing more than a lone boarding gate and a tiny convenience store. "This is Berlin?" he asked in disbelief. A similar dynamic emerged when local European friends took them to popular nightclubs; the speaker looked at the modest venue and jokingly wondered, "Is this a nightclub in Huairou?" He points out that Beijing's mega-clubs now boast world-class lighting, sound systems, and lavish interiors that far outstrip European venues, with the only real difference being the patrons inside and the Western music being played.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Infrastructure Philosophy: West vs. China accDescr: Diagram comparing the legacy human-scale model of European infrastructure with the modern mega-scale model of China.

subgraph WestModel["Legacy Western Infrastructure (e.g., Berlin)"] W1["Human-Scale / Compact"] --> W2["Fast Transit to City Center"] W2 --> W3["Minimalist Amenities & Aged Hardware"] W3 --> W4["Rooted Lifestyle Security"] end

subgraph ChinaModel["Modern Chinese Infrastructure (e.g., Beijing T3, Mega-Hubs)"] C1["Massive Architectural Scale"] --> C2["Brand-New Duty-Free & Luxury Malls"] C2 --> C3["World-Class Tech & High Efficiency"] C3 --> C4["Anxiety & High-Pressure Pace"] end ```

However, another panelist mounts an immediate defense of European infrastructure. He argues that older facilities like Berlin's airport are actually fantastic precisely because of their compact, human-centric scale. Instead of traversing cavernous terminals, passengers step off the plane, immediately clear the gate, and find themselves right inside the city without having to drive or sit on an express train for hours.

The speakers acknowledge that their changing perceptions reflect an evolving mindset. Earlier in their travels, they generously interpreted peeling paint and aged architecture as "European charm" and deep historical culture, contrasting it favorably with China’s "nouveau-riche" fixation on glitz. Today, however, that romantic veneer has worn off, leaving many Western facilities looking merely worn-out, neglected, and outdated.

- Western infrastructure timelines: British subways date back to the late Qing period; New York subways to the 1910s; U.S. interstates and airports to the 1970s (40–50 years old). - Chinese airports, commercial hubs, and nightlife venues represent cutting-edge modern hardware, creating a striking visual contrast with legacy European hubs. - Compact European airports trade commercial grandeur for practical speed and immediate proximity to downtown city centers.

---

[16:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=963s) The Dilemma of Progress: Systemic Security, Cultural Sensitivity, and Hyper-Efficiency

The panel examines why aging, "worn-out" Western societies can still offer an underlying psychological comfort that ultra-modern China often lacks. A panelist suggests that the physical age of Western cities is anchored in a long-standing, predictable social system and a lifestyle refined over generations. While Chinese youth today enjoy peerless material abundance and futuristic cities, they frequently suffer from an acute sense of insecurity, anxiety, and instability because the underlying societal systems are still evolving at breakneck speed.

This triggers a frank exchange about public discourse and nationalism. One speaker admits he feels hesitant to openly praise foreign systems or express admiration for human-centric European airports in Berlin, the Netherlands, or Brussels: > "Nationalism. We like to hear that we are the best... I just don't dare to. There are many things I don't dare to say anymore."

He explains that popular discourse has been reduced to a crude binary of "new versus old," where China automatically wins on hardware. On a personal level, he insists he actively dislikes Beijing Capital Airport's massive Terminal 3, preferring the older, smaller Terminal 2 or even the original Terminal 1 from the early Reform and Opening-up era, instructing travel bookers: "Do not book Terminal 3." What an individual values—grandeur and novelty versus human-scale convenience—is ultimately subjective.

To illustrate how hardware shapes perceptions, a speaker shares a story about a Chinese couple in Vancouver whose second-generation, Canada-born child visited Shanghai. Expecting the child to appreciate North American suburban life, the parents were stunned when the child was completely dazzled by Shanghai’s futuristic skyscrapers, returning with the firm conviction that China was immensely more powerful and prosperous than Canada. This represents an astonishing reversal from thirty years ago, when visitors from Hong Kong and Taiwan visited mainland China only to complain about dim, dingy airports and the lack of hot water for showers.

The segment concludes by examining the dizzying rise of domestic service efficiency. While China was once synonymous with bureaucratic inertia and sluggish service, it has transformed into a hyper-efficient society where anything can be delivered to one's doorstep in minutes—a level of convenience that outstrips even Hong Kong or Western capitals. Yet this efficiency carries a poignant human cost. A speaker recounts ordering food delivery in Beijing and clicking the app's "urge delivery" button when his meal was slightly delayed. When the delivery driver finally arrived at his door out of breath, the worker apologized profusely and repeatedly: "I'm so sorry, there was a traffic jam, I tried my best, I was rushing as hard as I could." The speaker was left feeling deeply conflicted by a hyper-efficient system that exacts such intense pressure from everyday workers.

[19:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1174s) 外卖算法的残酷与早期资本主义的鞭策

嘉宾分享了一段令自己极为难过的心酸经历:在一次点外卖时,送餐的是个二十岁出头的年轻小伙子,竟然当场委屈得掉下眼泪。小伙子带着哭腔恳求客人:“能不能再点一下那个催单键把它取消掉?”客人完全不知所措,问他到底怎么了,小伙子解释说,因为系统记录了那一下“催单”,平台直接罚了他两三百块钱。客人惊骇不已——整顿饭点下来总共才几十块钱,而一次系统判定竟然要扣掉外卖员两三百元。

席间众人感叹,这种现象不仅解释了为何服务行业从业者承受着巨大重压,更暴露出平台与技术系统极度残酷、甚至称得上“邪恶”的一面。算法将底层劳动者逼入一种近乎早期资本主义原始积累时期的残酷境地,用无形的数字皮鞭时刻抽打着他们疲于奔命。

[20:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1211s) 留学热潮的利弊:国内应试高压与海外教育环境

话题由此引申到国人的流动与选择。窦文涛向许子东提问:如果回到当年的时代,是否还会有去美国的渴望?许子东坦承自己骨子里是个极其保守的人,从一开始就没有任何非去美国或定居海外的执念。虽然喜欢旅游,但去过的地方屈指可数,喜欢的城市会反复去,探索未知的新环境反而会感到恐惧。随后,大家探讨起如今许多家庭依旧前赴后继送孩子赴美留学的现象:把孩子送出国,究竟还是不是一条好出路?

家里有孩子在美留学的嘉宾坚决认为“出国读书依然是件好事”。他直言不讳地指出当前国内教育的弊端: - **学业负担过重却缺乏实质深度**:课业繁重压抑,教学细节却往往缺失。 - **信息滞后与师资保守**:教学理念和掌握的信息更新慢,部分教师思想保守,往往迫使学生把精力耗费在“表面上完成指标”的形式主义中,无法触及知识内核。 - **厌学叛逆与身心损耗**:长期处于高压之下,孩子学到最后甚至会产生恶心、呕吐般的生理厌恶与强烈的逆反心理,极度损害身心健康。健康的成长环境本应充满快乐,学习的过程也应当是愉悦的。 - **科研领域狭窄**:国内高校许多专业在具体的科研分支和细分课题上仍显得过少、受限过重。

[22:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1332s) 中美反差:自费留学日常与回流中国的时代拐点

针对“留学读完后留在美国生活是否仍是良选”,席间指出这一现象折射出的其实是中国社会的复杂心态:一方面舆论场上不断有人在“唱衰美国”,言论甚嚣尘上;但另一方面,赴美留学的热潮从未真正退却。三十多年前中国赴美留学生人数远少于台湾及其他地区,而如今大陆留学生人数早已稳居第一。如今的留学生多为自费出国,日常流连咖啡馆、享受高品质生活,与老一辈半工半读、艰苦省钱的留学生截然不同——他们不以赚钱为目的,主要是在海外消费。

然而,时代风向已经发生剧烈逆转。嘉宾举例提到,他在德国遇到一个当地出生长大的华裔二代孩子,如今一心想要“回北京发展”,原因竟是觉得“欧洲实在太无聊了”。不仅是海外华人子女,越来越多的西方人也纷纷涌入中国谋求生计。一位嘉宾分享,他前一天陪父亲路过密云时,惊奇地发现司机家孩子上的高端幼儿园里,外教老师居然来自加拿大;北京的国际学校和高水准外教更是不计其数。中国已成为充满机会与希望的土地,只是由于移民政策并未对外彻底放开,这一回流与外来务工的潮向早已悄然成势。

[24:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1457s) 美国底色、特朗普新政与“中国梦”的初显

谈及是否愿意重回美国定居,有嘉宾表示依然愿意,因为美国社会底层依然保有一种高度的人性化与宁静。关于特朗普当选对美国造成的冲击,席间分析认为,一个社会的长期基底和制度架构是有底线的,并不会因某一任总统上台而发生天翻地覆的根本崩塌。尽管外交、战争局面、经济政策每届政府都会提出宏大口号,但制约白宫的深层力量依然巨大。

众人进一步探讨起中美“国运”与战略收缩的问题: - **美国的向内收缩**:美国开始逐渐显露出战略收缩的姿态,试图摆脱过多的道德说教与对外干预,转而专注于自身过日子。 - **经济总量的追赶**:中国经济在GDP指标上追赶甚至超越英美的大势所趋,成为改写世界格局的大事件,中国的全球影响力正与日俱增。 - **美国梦与中国梦的对照**:所谓“任何人哪怕身无分文、毫无背景,只要来到美国就能体面生活”的传统“美国梦”,如今在某种程度上已经显得过时;反倒是“中国梦”——即中国在世界上确立应有的大国地位——已经实现了初步落地。

[26:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1570s) 公交车理论、金色冒险号与海外老华人的落差感

针对特朗普时期的移民紧缩政策,嘉宾用“公交车理论”形象概括了移民社会的心理机制:未上车的人拼尽全力想要挤上去,而一旦挤上了车的人,往往最希望司机立即关紧车门,不再让任何人上来。这种驱逐非法移民的恐慌从里根时代就已存在,但实际上涌入的人口从未停止。嘉宾回忆起20世纪90年代轰动一时的“金色冒险号”(Golden Venture)在长岛海滩搁浅事件:300多名中国非法移民跳入冰冷的海水中,美国移民局立即展开救援,分发毛毯并在岸边安置,随后依照法律程序严格甄别处理。在拘留期间,他们被允许打牌、画画、打乒乓球以等待听证审查。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 早期移民心态演变 accDescr: 展示从面子驱使偷渡出国到面对国内腾飞产生落差的心理路径

subgraph 动因阶段 ["出国动机与遭遇"] A["家乡面子文化<br/>(有车有公司也必须出去)"] --> B["偷渡或赴美<br/>(如金色冒险号事件)"] end

subgraph 现实反差 ["现实落差与困局"] B --> C["美国底层拼搏<br/>(生活未达崇高预期)"] C --> D["国内同侪腾飞<br/>(原不如己者成高官大老板)"] D --> E["心理失落与错失时代窗口<br/>(年岁渐长、难以回流)"] end ```

这种移民潮背后往往夹杂着畸形的面子文化。在福建等地,有的家庭即便在国内有房、有车、开公司,迫于乡里“每家都得有人出国,不出国就是混得差”的舆论压力,也要变卖资产远走他乡。然而,真正到了美国才发现现实并非想象中那般美好。

徐贲随后提到身边朋友赴美探访旧识的经历:那些多年前赴美、昔日在国内甚至已官至局级干部的老移民,如今在见到国内老友时心态最为失落。当年中美两国的物质条件差距悬殊,但随着中国几十年的迅猛发展,国内原本能力不如他们或平起平坐的同僚,如今许多已经位居要职或成为大老板;反观早年出国的这批人,在美国的生活并未实现阶层跃升,如今回国又早已错失了时代的风口与年龄的机遇,沦为时代变迁中最落寞的旁观者。

[28:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1724s) 留美华人的落差感与时代轮回:从台湾到大陆

谈话从第一代留美华人普遍遭遇的心态失衡切入。许多人当年为了追逐“美国梦”,毅然放弃了国内既有的体制内身份、社会地位和深厚的人脉背景,孤身在美打拼二十年。然而随着国内经济飞速腾飞,他们突然发现留在家乡的昔日同窗早已坐拥巨额财富或身居要职,这种原本不可逆的优势瞬间被时代抹平,巨大的心理落差令人措手不及。

席间嘉宾指出,这种历史心理的重演在台湾早在1980年代就已发生过。当时台湾仍处于戒严时期,许多人因缺乏安全感而拼尽全力赴美,能出国的无一不是顶尖精英。然而到了美国,许多顶尖人才最终只能开个中餐馆谋生;反观留在台湾的大学同学,随着台湾经济起飞,早早当上大公司老板,年薪与分红极为丰厚,引发海外学子一片叹息。如今大陆只是把台湾走过的路在十至二十年后以极其庞大的体量重演了一遍。

三十年前人们出国前,只要有华侨或外来客归国,亲友们晚上总会围坐在一起打听“外面世界到底怎样”;如今再聚会,整桌人反过来围着归国者打听“大陆现在发展得怎样、北京现在变化多大”。随着互联网的发展,海外华人与母国文化的连接被彻底重构。许多嘉宾提到,在海外走在街头十有八九会被华人认出,大家不论政治立场如何,都通过网络平台同步收看节目,海外华人的信息壁垒早已被时代彻底打破。

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[30:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1834s) 城市化速度背后的残酷代价:贾敬龙强拆案与发展伦理

在肯定物质飞速发展的同时,窦文涛提出了内心深处挥之不去的刺痛感与困惑。虽然从摩天大楼和基建外表来看,中国很多地方的发展速度已经全面超越美国,但背后付出的代价和某些“不讲理”的野蛮生长却令人心悸。他特别提到了当年轰动一时的石家庄北高营村“贾敬龙案”。

北高营村原是个普通村庄,后来换了一位雷厉风行、极有能力的村支书(何建华),大搞拆迁改造,硬是把城中村彻底变成了高楼林立、设施齐备的现代化城区,外貌与石家庄大都市毫无二致。但在这一激进的拆迁进程中,村民贾敬龙与村里产生了尖锐利益纠纷。贾敬龙执意守着自家老房子打算当婚房,拒绝搬迁,最终婚房还是被强行推倒砸毁。

- **婚约破裂与报复行凶**:婚房被拆后未婚妻离开了他,心怀怨恨的贾敬龙网购了射钉枪并进行改装。在村里一次盛大演讲大会散场之际,贾敬龙从背后近距离射杀何建华致其身亡。 - **司法裁决与法理争鸣**:该案后来报请最高人民法院复核死刑,在法律界曾引发剧烈争论。众多法学专家联名呼吁“刀下留人”,认为本案系激化于违法暴力强拆,被害人有过错;但最终最高法仍核准并执行了死刑。 - **高楼林立下的荒诞感**:窦文涛感慨,虽然城市天际线早已把许多欧美城市甩在身后,但隐藏在现代化水泥森林背后的极端冲突与程序正义缺失,依然让人感到不寒而栗。

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[32:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1950s) 两代人的价值蜕变:第一代的房车焦虑与二代华人的“DJ梦”

谈话进一步探讨了华人精神世界底层的执念。老一辈中国人无论是留在国内卷还是漂洋过海,身上始终背负着极度沉重的“人生模板”——出人头地、买房买车、衣锦还乡。这种过度功利化与世俗攀比的价值体系,压得第一代人喘不过气来。相比之下,在海外土生土长的第二代华裔(ABC),思维方式已经发生了根本性的质变。

一位母亲曾焦虑地找到嘉宾求助,抱怨自己在美国出生的儿子完全不考虑读法律、当律师等体面体面的传统路径,成天一心只想当夜店DJ,不知该如何管教。嘉宾后来亲自与男孩交谈,从生理层面提醒他:“你每天在夜场身体承受极高频率的声波震动,半夜脚底穴位和双腿难道不酸痛吗?”男孩坦言确实很痛,但他坚定地表示自己极其享受这种生活状态,“如果不这么活,我根本觉得活不下去”。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 华人生存价值观代际演进对比 accDescr: 展示第一代移民功利生存观与第二代移民注重体验追求个性化的对比路径。

subgraph Gen1["第一代华人移民 (生存与攀比)"] A1["背负传统模板"] --> A2["追求社会地位/买房买车"] A2 --> A3["与故土同窗比收入差距"] A3 --> A4["终身紧绷、身心俱疲"] end

subgraph Gen2["第二代华裔群体 (体验与松弛)"] B1["抛弃传统精英幻象"] --> B2["遵循身体直觉与兴趣"] B2 --> B3["如热爱DJ、进入俱乐部从业"] B3 --> B4["生活松弛、自我实现"] end ```

嘉宾对男孩说:“只要你的身体不怕,那就去做。”如今这个孩子已经成为美国当地颇有名气、能够自食其力的优秀DJ。大家一致感叹,新一代孩子之所以松弛,是因为摆脱了与人攀比收入的枷锁,他们由衷希望今天国内的年轻人也能拥有这种不必为了买房买车而透支人生的松弛环境。

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[34:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2094s) 面对“美帝要内战”的质问:陈丹青的“我投降”与出国求学的本质

节目组整理了一批网友提问,其中一条犀利指向陈丹青:“陈老师,您过去这么多年一直在说美国这好那好,批评中国体制压抑孩子;可如今留学生大批回流,特朗普上台后美国社会撕裂得快要打内战了,您现在怎么看?”对此,陈丹青显得极为云淡风轻,直接笑称“我投降”——他表示自己绝不愿在网上和人争辩这些宏大叙事;如果对方坚信某种结论,大可保留自己的看法,没必要非得争个高下。

当被窦文涛追问“如果换作今天,你还愿意让自己的孩子去美国读书或定居吗”,大家达成了更深层次的共识:去哪里定居完全是孩子成年的个人自由,但在受教育阶段,依然毫无保留地鼓励年轻人走出国门去见识世界。在当今全球化时代,国际化视野已经成为一个人的基本标配。

- **去更大世界的朴素本能**:从河南到北京、从陕北小县城到延安、从延安到广州,家长送孩子去更大的地方读书,本质上与送出国门别无二致,都是一种希望下一代“去见大天地”的天然向往。 - **摆脱羽翼的独立成长**:求学最重要的意义不是盲目崇洋,而是让孩子真正脱离父母羽翼,在陌生的环境中培养独立解决问题、应对复杂社会的能力。 - **求学地的多元务实选择**:眼界不一定非要锁定在昂贵的名校体系中,哪怕去物价相对便宜的苏格兰,那里的环境同样能将年轻人培养得极有教养和自立能力。去往远方的核心,永远是促成个体生命的独立与舒展。

[37:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2264s) "Slash Youth" vs. Moonlighting: Survival Instinct or Personal Pursuit?

The dialogue begins with reflections on culture and social decorum, noting how living within an unfamiliar language environment and community overseas provides a point of comparison that reshapes a person's demeanor—returning children often seem noticeably well-mannered. Yet this observation prompts a broader social question: no matter how rapidly an economy expands or how tall skyscrapers grow, personal refinement seems harder to cultivate than material wealth. The speakers contrast this with China in the 1980s, an era when the public's hunger to improve personal income was completely unstoppable. Back then, "moonlighting" (走穴 / 搞副业) became the defining buzzword of the decade. Because state-run workplaces and *danwei* strictly forbade outside work, employees had to find side income secretly on the sly—a practice akin to the Hong Kong notion of taking on part-time shifts.

This historical hustle mirrors today’s gig economy, where office workers clock off from their day jobs only to jump straight onto electric motorbikes to deliver takeout and parcels late into the night. This contrast highlights two fundamentally different realities: one driven by basic survival, and the other by personal fulfillment. The panel unpacks how modern buzzwords like "slash youth" (斜杠青年) have become blurred with mundane side hustles, moonlighting, job-hopping, and boundary-crossing. While a true "slash" lifestyle is romanticized as earning a living through diverse personal passions and operating across distinct social and professional circles, for countless working-class people, working multiple jobs is merely a grueling requirement to make ends meet.

- In the 1980s, unauthorized side jobs were heavily restricted by work units, forcing workers to moonlight covertly to improve household finances. - In Hong Kong terminology, taking on ad-hoc side hustles is commonly termed "part-time" or freelance work (*chao saan* / 炒散). - The discussion draws a clear line between necessity-driven secondary labor (such as office workers doing food delivery at night) and authentic "slash" identity driven by self-actualization.

[40:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2407s) The Fragmentation of Crossover Startups and the Art of "Always Giving Up"

Reflecting on personal entrepreneurial ventures, one of the speakers recalls the exhausting, fractured reality of running a startup. Far from feeling like an empowered, multifaceted "slashie," the daily experience felt like being ripped between parallel universes. In running an independent publishing house, the daytime was consumed by the grit of practical commerce: dealing with print shop bosses, coordinating with factory laborers, and forcing oneself to master technical minutiae like ink viscosity and paper weights. Only late at night could the speaker retreat into writing and literature—a stark psychological shift from corporate survival to creative solitude.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: The Slash Lifestyle vs Real Startup Fragmentation accDescr: Contrasts romanticized multihyphenate identity with the reality of entrepreneurial trade-offs and letting go. subgraph Romanticized["The Romanticized 'Slash'"] A["Single Individual"] --> B["Pursuing Multiple Passions"] B --> C["Creative Balance & Broad Circles"] end subgraph Reality["The Entrepreneurial Reality"] D["Daytime: Business Grind"] --> E["Printing, Ink, Supply Chains"] F["Nighttime: Solitary Craft"] --> G["Writing & Literature"] E -.->|"Parallel Universes"| G H["The Hardest Decision"] --> I["Refusing a Predictable Path"] I --> J["Letting Go / Giving Up ('舍弃')"] end ```

This leads to a sharper philosophical definition of the "slash" identity: it cannot simply mean having a collection of experiences. Rather, it requires the conscious determination to refuse a singular, specialized, predictable corporate trajectory. An individual might build a publishing venture that could comfortably carry them through their thirties and forties, yet choose to walk away simply because success along a single track feels "not enough." As the speakers observe, when people are young, they assume the hardest task in life is making a choice—choosing a career, a role model, or a book. With age, however, it becomes clear that the hardest part of life is not choosing, but giving up (舍弃) and intentionally letting go of secure achievements. This prompts mutual laughter around a self-deprecating motto from earlier broadcasting days: while motivational posters urged people to "Never give up," the host had placed a cynical question mark after it and scribbled "Always give up."

- Running a boutique publishing business required operating across two disconnected worlds: blue-collar printing factories by day, and solitary literary composition by night. - True multihyphenate identity is framed not by dabbling, but by possessing the courage and financial agency to walk away from an established, predictable career path. - The panel concludes that the defining struggle of maturity shifts from the difficulty of *making choices* to the emotional burden of *giving things up*.

[42:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2560s) Grassroots Business Wisdom: Tao Huabi's Guerilla Pragmatism and Xu Xiaoping

The conversation shifts into a seminar on the raw temperament of Chinese entrepreneurship, highlighting a stark reality of human nature: "When you are weak and small, you have many enemies; when you are powerful, you have many friends." This dynamic is epitomized by Tao Huabi, the unlettered founder of Lao Gan Ma (老干妈) chili sauce. When she first launched her business, she faced relentless intimidation and bullying from local thugs. Instead of capitulating, she fought back with feral ferocity, famously declaring: "I’m going to fight it out. Even if I face a bandit, I will fight you to the end. If you want to kill me, I want to kill you too."

The speaker points out that Tao Huabi's operating philosophy would never find a place in elite Western MBA textbooks or Harvard Business School case studies, yet authentic Chinese entrepreneurs were forged precisely through this unvarnished, bloody struggle. Western theory routinely fails to capture the visceral realities of China's economic ascent. This contrast is illustrated by ZhenFund founder Xu Xiaoping: - Xu Xiaoping openly cited Tao Huabi as the entrepreneur he revered most across China. - While Xu could easily arrange meetings in Shenzhen with tech giants like Ren Zhengfei of Huawei—even giving lectures on Huawei's campus—he was repeatedly rebuffed by Tao Huabi. - Xu only reconciled his bruised ego after discovering that Tao Huabi consistently refused audiences with provincial governors and municipal mayors; she agreed to meet only grassroots village chiefs and individuals capable of directly solving immediate production or supply problems.

Tao Huabi rejected lofty corporate rhetoric and theoretical posturing, living out Goethe's famous maxim (frequently cited by Engels): theory is perpetually gray, but the tree of practical life remains ever green.

[44:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2662s) The Shenzhen Miracle: From Luohu Hillside to Surpassing Hong Kong

The discussion turns to the sheer speed of China's economic transformation, using Shenzhen as the supreme benchmark. In 1980, Shenzhen was little more than a string of rural fishing hamlets administered under Bao'an County; today, it stands as an unprecedented miracle in global urban development. A pivotal moment in this trajectory occurred during Deng Xiaoping’s 1992 Southern Tour (*Nanxun*). Upon arriving in Shenzhen, Deng stood atop a hillside at the Luohu checkpoint, gazing out across the border at Hong Kong through a cold drizzle. Guangdong provincial officials later recalled standing beside him in absolute silence, none daring to step forward to hold an umbrella over the aging leader for fear of interrupting his thoughts. For five or six minutes, Deng stared fixedly into the mist at the Hong Kong skyline.

Deng's cherished wish was to set foot on Hong Kong soil after its historic handover in July 1997, a milestone he missed by only months when he passed away in February 1997. Yet Shenzhen’s subsequent explosion repaid Deng’s expectations on a staggering scale: - At the outset of reform, Shenzhen's total economic output stood at approximately 1/500th of Hong Kong's. - By 2018, Shenzhen's GDP officially overtook Hong Kong's economy. - In strategic national planning, the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area evolved from having Hong Kong as its sole core engine to a dual-engine architecture anchored by Shenzhen, with Beijing designating Shenzhen as a global benchmark for innovation and competitiveness. - The speaker critiques regional protectionism, citing how the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge was constructed without a direct link to Shenzhen out of competitive fear, arguing that attempting to sideline Shenzhen is entirely futile given its momentum.

This transformation fulfills a prophetic statement made in 1977 by Xi Zhongxun, then First Secretary of Guangdong. When confronted with the rampant waves of mainlanders risking their lives to flee across the border into British Hong Kong (*taogang chao* / 逃港潮), Xi asserted: "We must build our mainland better, so they come running to our side." What seemed unimaginable in the late 1970s has materialized into a reality where mainland economic dynamism draws cross-border traffic in reverse.

[47:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2838s) Huawei in the "No-Man's Land" and Modern China's Two-Century Arc

The narrative turns to technological sovereignty and the high-stakes position of Chinese tech pioneers, specifically Huawei. Citing industry metrics, the speaker notes that Huawei's foundational telecommunications infrastructure surpassed American competitors like Cisco by roughly three years, and European rivals like Ericsson and Nokia by around five years. Yet this very dominance introduces a terrifying strategic vulnerability: Huawei has officially ventured into what company leadership terms a "no-man's land" (*wu ren qu* / 无人区).

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: The Catch-Up Phase vs The No-Mans Land Dilemma accDescr: Shows the shift from following industry benchmarks to navigating uncharted territory alone. subgraph Past["The Catch-Up Era"] A["Western Industry Leaders"] -->|"Set the Pace & Standards"| B["Huawei Follows Track"] end subgraph Present["The 'No-Man's Land' Era"] C["Huawei Out in Front"] -->|"No Map / No Track"| D["Uncharted Frontier"] E["Global Competitors"] -->|"Following Behind"| C end ```

In the catch-up era, the path forward was straightforward: Chinese firms simply sprinted behind established foreign benchmarks. Now, with no one ahead to set the pace or clear the trail, and with competitors trailing behind, Huawei faces the profound existential crisis of having to invent the future and chart its own course without a map.

The speaker frames this industrial milestone within China's grand historical macro-cycle spanning two centuries: 1. **The Century of National Salvation (1840–1949):** A hundred-year struggle against collapse sparked by the First Opium War, where pioneering Southern leaders led successive movements to preserve the nation—Lin Zexu's opium destruction at Humen, Hong Xiuquan's Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, Zeng Guofan's Self-Strengthening Movement, Kang Youwei's Hundred Days' Reform, Sun Yat-sen's 1911 Xinhai Revolution, and Mao Zedong's New Democratic Revolution. 2. **The Century of Rejuvenation (1949–Present):** A hundred-year phase dedicated to modernization, technological frontier leadership, and national revitalization, where progress is forged not through theoretical cynicism, but through the hard labor, sweat, and entrepreneurial breakthroughs currently playing out on the front lines.

[48:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2896s) Two Centuries of Transformation: Salvation to Rejuvenation

The overarching historical trajectory of modern China is framed by two distinct century-long missions. For the first century leading up to 1949, the entire driving force of the Chinese people was distilled into three words: "Save China" (救亡图存). While that national salvation mission was initiated across generations before the Communist Party, it was the founding of New China in 1949 that brought that century of struggle to a close and launched the next century-long endeavor: developing China and achieving national rejuvenation, spanning from 1949 to 2049. Both centuries were defined by extreme hardship and the sacrifices of multiple generations, but today those efforts have produced unprecedented global shifts.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: China's Economic Ascent Timeline accDescr: Progression of China surpassing major global economies based on the Denver University model. subgraph S1["Initial Rise"] Y1971["1971: Top 16"] --> Y1990s["Late 1990s: Canada & Brazil"] end subgraph S2["Overtaking Europe"] Y1998["1998: Surpasses Italy (Top 5)"] --> Y2000["2000: Surpasses France (Top 4)"] Y2000 --> Y2004["2004: Surpasses Germany (Top 3)"] end subgraph S3["Global Tier"] Y2010["2010: Surpasses Japan (No. 2)"] --> Y2028["2028 Projection: Surpasses US"] Y2028 --> Y2049["2049 Projection: $48T vs $27T"] end S1 --> S2 S2 --> S3 ```

To illustrate this rise, the speaker presents a long-term global economic growth model developed by the University of Denver using World Bank data, mapping economic performance from 1960 all the way to 2099. In the 1960s, China was entirely absent from the upper ranks, failing to even place among the top six economies. By 1971, China finally entered the top 16. Following the launch of reform and opening up, alongside seismic geopolitical shifts like the dissolution of the Soviet Union, China accelerated dramatically, systematically leapfrogging established powers in a way Western observers perceived as "cutting in line" and ignoring the established queue of global hierarchy:

- **1990s**: Overtook Canada to enter the global top ten, followed by surpassing Brazil into the top seven and the United Kingdom into the top six. - **1998**: Surpassed Italy to enter the top five. - **2000**: Surpassed France to enter the top four. - **2004**: Surpassed Germany to claim the number three spot. - **2010**: Surpassed Japan to become the second-largest economy in the world.

---

[50:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3020s) Economic Trajectories, American Anxiety, and the Value of an Opponent

Addressing contemporary geopolitical friction, the speaker dismisses claims that the United States was provoked merely by Chinese promotional films like *Amazing China* or domestic industrial policies like *Made in China 2025*. What truly alarmed Washington was the unyielding, quantifiable speed of China's growth—figures derived not from Chinese propaganda, but from American institutional models. Based on real historical data through 2017 and predictive simulations factoring in demographic talent, resources, and structural capacity through 2099, the model projects China surpassing the United States around 2028, fulfilling key milestones set during the 18th and 19th National Congresses.

Looking out to the centennial of the People's Republic of China in 2049, the model projects China's economic output to reach approximately $48 trillion compared to the United States' $27 trillion—a projected lead exceeding $20 trillion. Over the same long horizon, the projection shows the United States falling behind China while being forced to confront a rapidly ascending India from behind.

Reflecting on this geopolitical rivalry, the speaker offers a philosophical conclusion: "Small success requires friends. Great success requires an opponent." Achieving ordinary progress requires cooperative partners, but true national rejuvenation requires a formidable rival. External pressure prevents complacency, exposes institutional shortcomings, forces rapid self-correction, and serves as an indispensable catalyst for growth:

- External hostility serves as a forcing function, compelling China to examine internal weaknesses and build resilient countermeasures. - Living through this era of dramatic shifts in the balance of power makes the current generation both eyewitnesses and active builders of a once-in-a-century transformation. - The United States, by treating China as an adversary, has inadvertently accelerated China's trajectory into a rival it cannot easily overcome.

---

[53:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3185s) Student Q&A: National Sensitivity and the 'Sick Man of East Asia'

The lecture transitions into an interactive question-and-answer session with an energized student audience. A student steps forward, deeply stirred by the lecture's theme of transitioning "from the Sick Man of East Asia to National Rejuvenation." The student recounts a personal anecdote from a summer academic research trip abroad: while working in a laboratory alongside an Italian peer, the Italian playfully teased him during an experiment, calling him "weak."

To the Italian student, the comment was a throwaway joke about physical exertion. To the Chinese student, however, the word "weak" immediately triggered associations with the historic, humiliating label "Sick Man of East Asia" (东亚病夫). Angered, the student lashed out: "I am better than you, because you are a stupid Italian." The Italian colleague was visibly bewildered, hurt, and bewildered, having had no malicious historical intent.

Reflecting on the confrontation, the student poses a dual dilemma to General Jin: - Why do many Westerners still cling to deep-seated condescending stereotypes about Chinese people? - Are modern Chinese youth suffering from historical hypersensitivity, prone to overreacting defensively to casual banter?

---

[54:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3267s) The 2008 Pentagon Delegation Incident: Dignity, Reciprocity, and Inner Strength

Responding to the student's dilemma, General Jin emphasizes that in cross-cultural and diplomatic engagements, one must vigilantly avoid two opposite extremes: being overly hypersensitive on one hand, and being completely insensitive or spineless on the other. True dignity is neither petty emotional outbursts nor passive submission; it is grounded, reciprocal boundary-setting. To illustrate this, Jin recounts a high-stakes protocol clash from 2008, when he accompanied the General serving as President of the PLA National Defense University (NDU) on an official military delegation visit to the United States.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Protocol Incident and Reciprocal Resolution accDescr: Escalation and resolution of the 2008 Chinese military delegation security incident in the US. subgraph Dispute["Protocol Breach"] A["TSA subjects PLA General delegation to SSSS search & window isolation"] B["US Attachés claim DHS and DoD are 'separate systems'"] A --> B end subgraph Pushback["Diplomatic Counter-pressure"] C["Jin Yinan threatens reciprocal 'separate system' airport checks for US generals in China"] D["US naval attaché offers 2 token gifts; Jin rejects them demanding formal institutional report"] B --> C C --> D end subgraph Resolution["Formal Apology"] E["One month later: Bilateral Defense Working Meeting in Beijing"] F["US Assistant Secretary of Defense opens session with formal state apology"] D --> E E --> F end ```

Upon attempting to board their domestic flights, the PLA General and his delegation were stripped of diplomatic courtesy by airport security: - Delegates were forced to remove their belts and submit to exhaustive, aggressive luggage searches. - Their boarding passes were stamped with "four A's" (the SSSS selectee designation), isolating every Chinese officer in window seats next to American passengers, barring them from sitting together. - Because the NDU President did not speak fluent English, Jin attempted to sit beside him to assist with communication, but security officials barked: "No, you must sit in the back."

Furious, Jin sought out the accompanying U.S. Naval and Air Force Attachés, who had actively avoided eye contact and tried to hide. Confronting them directly, Jin demanded how a delegation of senior foreign generals could be treated with such indignity. The attachés deflected blame, claiming the Department of Homeland Security operated entirely independently of the Department of Defense. Jin countered immediately: "Our airport security and our military are also two separate systems. We will also treat your generals with the same 'separate system' treatment when they visit China in the future." Alarmed by the prospect of American flag officers being publicly searched at Chinese airports, the attachés promised to escalate the complaint.

The following morning, the assistant naval attaché arrived with two small presentation boxes, hoping to sweep the dispute under the rug: "This one is for General Wang, and this is for you. Two small gifts, please let it go." Jin flatly rejected the gifts: - "First, we represent six people. If you're giving gifts, you should give six. Giving two is meant for whom?" - "Second, we expect a formal response, not just ending it with gifts." Jin demanded that the protest be officially recorded with the Pentagon.

The stand bore fruit. One month later, during a formal China-U.S. defense ministry working meeting in Beijing regarding maritime conflict avoidance mechanisms, the U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense immediately interrupted the planned agenda to make a statement: "The U.S. side would like to formally apologize to China regarding the incident one month ago involving the President of the National Defense University; our handling was inappropriate, and we formally apologize. We guarantee that similar issues will not happen again in the future."

Jin concludes that rights are neither granted as charity nor won by childish insults. When faced with slights, one should not lose emotional control or shout insults like calling an opponent "stupid," but rather demand respect through measured, reciprocal strength: "If you treat me this way, I will treat you that way—an eye for an eye." Even when national power is still developing, matching the other side with equal inner confidence and institutional resolve is what commands genuine respect on the world stage.

[57:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3470s) Aerospace Dreams, Visa Roadblocks, and Robot-Assisted Dental Implants

Following up on a student’s reflection about confidence and self-defense, Jin Yinan takes a question from Lu Haoyi, an aerospace engineering sophomore. Lu explains that he had hoped to pursue his studies at Purdue University—the American alma mater of China’s "Two Bombs, One Satellite" pioneers Deng Jiaxian and Liang Sili—but was thwarted by visa restrictions under the tense international climate. Lu asks whether, in this geopolitical environment, young scholars should remain in China or continue seeking opportunities to study abroad to advance the nation’s aerospace capabilities.

In response, Jin Yinan offers an unexpected medical analogy from his personal life. Having recently needed a dental implant—which he jokes is essentially "getting a third set of teeth in your life"—he found the waitlists in Beijing unbearably long and traveled instead to the Fourth Military Medical University in Xi'an. The university president reflected on the evolution of Chinese dentistry: thirty or forty years ago, the country lagged decades behind global standards. Today, however, the institution performs robot-assisted dental implants. Foreign peers initially dismissed the achievement as fake because no one else had automated the process. International skepticism finally melted after a 2017 BBC feature and a subsequent report in *The New York Times*. Because the oral cavity is narrow and forcing patients to hold their mouths open is painful, robotic probes can navigate the space with immense precision. Jin points out that the Fourth Military Medical University reached this frontier precisely because of relentless international exchange with leaders like Sweden (the pioneer of implants), the United States, and Japan. He strongly urges students never to shut their doors, emphasizing that China must stay connected to the cutting edge and absorb foreign expertise to fuel domestic growth.

- **Lu Haoyi's Dilemma**: Sophomore studying aerospace engineering, blocked by U.S. visa restrictions from attending Purdue University (alma mater of Deng Jiaxian and Liang Sili). - **The Xi'an Dental Breakthrough**: The Fourth Military Medical University developed autonomous robot-assisted dental implants, authenticated globally after coverage by the BBC in 2017 and *The New York Times*. - **The Core Lesson**: Progress comes from "exchange and opening up." Jin urges students: "Get close to the cutting edge whenever possible. Learn as much as you can, fully exert Chinese learning, and make full use of it."

---

[01:00:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3616s) Immigration, Diaspora, and the Jewish Example of Spiritual Cohesion

A student raises the contentious subject of emigration, asking whether the popular domestic accusation that "once you emigrate, you are no longer patriotic" holds water. The student notes that overseas Chinese frequently mobilize spontaneous protests and relief donations whenever the motherland faces natural disasters or geopolitical criticism. Jin Yinan rejects the blanket stigma against immigrants, arguing that ordinary citizens should have complete freedom to move if they have the desire and the means.

Jin reinterprets emigration not as a dispersal or weakening of the nation, but as expanding China's global presence: "Wouldn't it be great if there were Chinese people everywhere?" To illustrate how identity transcends physical borders, he points to the Jewish people. Exiled from their ancestral lands in the 1st and 2nd centuries and scattered across the globe for 1,800 years, the Jewish diaspora suffered the murder of six million people during the Holocaust. Despite lacking a sovereign state for millennia, their collective self-esteem and cultural coherence remained intact, culminating in the eventual rebirth of Israel. Jin asserts that as long as overseas Chinese remember their heritage and speak of their homeland, physical relocation does not sever their connection, expressing his hope that the Chinese nation maintains the same unbreakable spiritual cohesion across the globe.

---

[01:01:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3718s) Cyber Sovereignty, Warfighting Spirit, and Lu Xun’s Friction

The Q&A rapidly moves through modern military theory and human agency. When asked about the role of online public opinion in warfare, Jin references two core tenets articulated by President Xi Jinping: without networkization there is no modernization, and without cybersecurity there is no national security. He emphasizes that personal liberty in cyberspace cannot be limitless; whenever individual freedom crosses the line into infringing upon others, it must be regulated and restrained.

Next, a student asks whether collective ideological willpower can still triumph in modern technological and information warfare, evoking the Chinese experience during the Korean War. Jin explains that while automated war machines have reduced the raw physical labor and brute-force bravery once demanded of soldiers, the human spirit cannot be made obsolete. A formidable military requires the seamless combination of high-tech modernization and unyielding mettle. Addressing another student on cultivating personal resilience in an era of material comfort, Jin cites Lu Xun’s maxim: "Dissatisfaction is the wheel of progress." He warns that comfortable, unchallenged environments breed stagnation, noting that because humans typically utilize only 12% to 13% of their brain capacity, young people must actively pursue intense intellectual collisions and friction to trigger their adrenaline and unlock their potential.

---

[01:03:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3822s) The Pragmatism of Foreign Aid and Battlefield Proving Grounds

A student questions the necessity of China’s ongoing foreign aid to Third World nations, particularly when Western powers adopt self-centered "America First" stances and domestic critics complain about outbound capital. Jin dispels common internet and social media rumors regarding the sheer scale of Chinese aid, clarifying that China does not simply scatter money indiscriminately. Much of today's aid involves strategic conditions, sovereign loans, and repayments with interest.

To demonstrate how aid serves concrete national interests, Jin points to military aid provided to Pakistan. China delivered Z-10 attack helicopters to Pakistan free of charge for practical combat use. Because domestic Chinese forces did not have an active combat theater, Pakistani forces deployed the helicopters against ground targets and counter-terrorist operations, exposing critical operational flaws under battlefield stress. Pakistani feedback allowed Chinese engineers to immediately modify and upgrade the aircraft. Similarly, the deployment of the JF-17 Thunder fighter jet by the Pakistan Air Force—culminating in the reported shoot-down of an Indian MiG-21—turned the aircraft and its manufacturer, Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group, into an international commercial success, generating lucrative export interest from countries like Egypt. Jin concludes that Chinese aid is a calculated instrument of mutual benefit rather than reckless financial patronage.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Tactical and Commercial Loop of Chinese Military Aid accDescr: Flowchart showing how military equipment aid to partner nations leads to battlefield testing, iterative engineering improvements, and global export deals.

subgraph Deployment ["1. Aid Deployment"] A["Supply Military Hardware<br/>(e.g., Z-10 Helicopters, JF-17)"] --> B["Active Combat Operating Environment<br/>(e.g., Pakistan Counter-Terror Operations)"] end

subgraph Feedback ["2. Iteration Loop"] B --> C["Identify Flaws & Operational Defects Under Fire"] C --> D["Direct Technical Feedback to Chinese Defense Engineers"] D --> E["Rapid Modification & Hardware Upgrades"] end

subgraph Commercial ["3. Strategic & Commercial Return"] E --> F["Combat-Proven Track Record<br/>(e.g., JF-17 Shoots Down MiG-21)"] F --> G["Enhanced Global Reputation<br/>(Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group)"] G --> H["Increased International Arms Exports<br/>(e.g., Inquiries from Egypt & Others)"] end ```

---

[01:05:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3938s) Individual Liberation in Corporate Culture: Richard Yu and Ren Zhengfei

Addressing a question on whether the older generation’s ethos of self-sacrifice and collectivism clashes with modern youth’s quest for individuality and self-actualization, Jin argues that the pursuit of thought liberation is a universal human trait across all generations. To make his point, he recounts the rise of Richard Yu (Yu Chengdong), head of Huawei's Consumer Business Group.

Early in his career, Yu's headstrong mentor warned him: "Yu, your personality is not suited for government agencies. It's not suited for traditional enterprises either; you won't succeed there, so just stay in university and teach." Burdened with a fiercely individualistic "I am the only one who matters" temperament, Yu seemed unsuited for bureaucratic institutions until he walked into Huawei. Yu immediately fell in love with Huawei on his very first day: upon entering the office, he spotted a female employee doing a handstand in the corner and a young man lounging with his legs crossed, feet propped up higher than the desk. Seeing this unfiltered environment, Yu knew he had found his home. Jin explains that Yu flourished because Huawei's founder, Ren Zhengfei, tolerated his eccentricities. Even when Yu presented radical product ideas without exhaustive feasibility studies or concrete supporting data, Ren backed him unconditionally, telling him: "Old Yu, if you have an idea, I'll fund it."

[01:07:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=4031s) Intuition Over Bureaucracy: Cultivating Individuality and Innovation

Reflecting on how exceptional talent thrives under the right leadership, the speaker shares a telling anecdote about Yu [Yu Chengdong] and the environment that enabled his success. Yu admitted that what he loved most was receiving the mandate to simply take an idea and see if he could make it work. By his own admission, Yu’s creative process does not fit into traditional corporate molds: "I just have ideas; I can't produce a feasibility analysis or a 1-2-3-4-5 step-by-step plan. I just estimate it will work, and I have to feel my way across the river." Instead of forcing him to conform to rigid corporate rituals, his boss gave him the freedom and trust to test his hunches in real-time, letting him navigate uncharted waters through practical trial and error.

Drawing a broader lesson for modern society and corporate culture, the speaker argues that the genuine expression and release of individual personality remains one of the most powerful assets available. Rather than suppressing personal quirks, instincts, and bold impulses to fit bureaucratic expectations, the key challenge facing young people today is learning how to effectively harness and channel that distinct individuality into meaningful action.

- **Instinct over paperwork:** Yu's breakthrough style relied on intuitive judgment and rapid execution rather than exhaustive, predetermined five-step feasibility reports. - **Managerial trust:** True innovation depends on leaders who grant leeway for talent to "feel their way across the river" rather than micro-managing the journey. - **Advice for youth:** Young professionals should focus on channeling and releasing their unique personal drive constructively, as genuine personality is an indispensable asset that should not be suppressed.

## Notable quotes > [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=0s) You guys are voting for Trump, you idiots! You don't understand at all. He's a man who wants to kick the Chinese out, yet Chinese people are still so happy for him. — 饶毅

> [19:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=1174s) 能不能再点一下那个催单键把它取消掉?

> [34:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2094s) 我投降 — 陈丹青

> [42:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2560s) I’m going to fight it out. Even if I face a bandit, I will fight you to the end. If you want to kill me, I want to kill you too. — 陶华碧

> [44:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=2662s) We must build our mainland better, so they come running to our side. — 习仲勋

> [50:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3020s) Small success requires friends. Great success requires an opponent. — 金一南

> [54:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3267s) Our airport security and our military are also two separate systems. We will also treat your generals with the same 'separate system' treatment when they visit China in the future. — 金一南

> [54:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3267s) If you treat me this way, I will treat you that way—an eye for an eye. — 金一南

> [57:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3470s) Get close to the cutting edge whenever possible. Learn as much as you can, fully exert Chinese learning, and make full use of it. — 金一南

> [01:01:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3718s) Dissatisfaction is the wheel of progress. — 鲁迅

> [01:05:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=3938s) Old Yu, if you have an idea, I'll fund it. — 任正非

> [01:07:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw&t=4031s) I just have ideas; I can't produce a feasibility analysis or a 1-2-3-4-5 step-by-step plan. I just estimate it will work, and I have to feel my way across the river. — 余承东

## Mentioned 阿城, 王朔, 陈丹青, 窦文涛, 饶毅, 唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump), 罗纳德·里根 (Ronald Reagan), 玛格丽特·撒切尔 (Margaret Thatcher), 乔治·H·W·布什 (George H. W. Bush), 比尔·克林顿 (Bill Clinton), 许子东, 刘索拉, 俞敏洪, 新东方, 陈可辛, 《中国合伙人》, 姜文, 《北京人在纽约》, 柏林机场, 北京首都国际机场3号航站楼 (T3), 金色冒险号 (Golden Venture), 徐贲, 贾敬龙, 何建华, 石家庄北高营村, 陶华碧, 老干妈, 徐小平, 真格基金, 任正非, 华为, 歌德, 恩格斯, 邓小平, 习仲勋, 思科, 爱立信, 诺基亚, 林则徐, 洪秀全, 曾国藩, 康有为, 孙中山, 毛泽东, 丹佛大学, 世界银行, 金一南, 中国人民解放军国防大学, 卢浩毅, 普渡大学, 邓稼先, 梁思礼, 空军军医大学(第四军医大学), BBC, The New York Times, 习近平, 鲁迅, 直-10, 枭龙战机(JF-17), 成都飞机工业集团, 米格-21, 余承东

## Video description 💡订阅我们,换个视角看懂万象: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwiWVn-hZq3_zuOk570kyGA

简介:《圆桌派》节目以圆桌为名,旨在体现圆桌席上人人平等,每期由窦文涛携手三位嘉宾,还原在生活中发生在圆桌旁、海阔天空的精彩聊天。延续真实不“装”的窦式主持风格,立足网络,放眼世间,神侃包罗万象的话题,嬉笑言谈中彼此迸发出智慧火花。 《锵锵行天下》第三季江南烟雨,一路如一副徐徐铺开的画卷。访名山,赏奇石,寻妙缘。窦文涛与老友们浸润在江南的诗情画意中。数十天的路程,在十三集的正片中难以完整展现,有太多的行程与内容难以取舍,所以借由本次《锵锵拾遗》,再次将未播出的素材进行汇编拾遗,将此次江南之行的更多精彩内容奉献给观众,让观众重温江南烟雨中的谈笑风生。 主持人:窦文涛 嘉宾:陈坤 / 周迅 / 蒋方舟 / 王晶 / 梁文道 / 马家辉 / 周轶君 / 武志红 / 马未都 / 张亚东 / 严歌苓 / 汪海林 / 金宇澄 / 李玫瑾

【圆桌派 窦文涛】人性 · 社会 · 认知:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLYxKs_Kmt18U 【鸿观·宋鸿兵】金融 · 权力 · 逻辑:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLcTh2pbxeb-o 【观复嘟嘟 马未都】历史 · 收藏 · 人生:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLOBX8CQ3IYr0 【第一人称复数 周轶君】青年 · 女性 · 世界:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLE0SKDns16wY 【风马牛书房 冯仑】财富 · 经济 · 规律:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtYaSLkGpag 【百家新说 尹烨】科技 · 生命 · 未来:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIUyn5AuyYUo 【众生 蔡永康】人物 · 命运 · 社会观察:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIOgZ1dPF0JA 【锵锵行天下 窦文涛】世界 · 文明 · 思想:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIJzYJ5gZ-HA

#中国未来 #中国社会 #植物 #生态 #大自然 #经济 #推荐 #热门 #经济 #圆桌派 #纪实 #时间 #历史 #文化 #聊天 #新闻 #心理健康 #中美关系 #科技 #经济 #金融 #香港 #台湾 #hongkong #taiwan #民生 #纪实 #纪录片 #窦文涛 #周轶君 #马未都 #许子东 #尹烨 #圆桌派第七季 #圆桌派 #中国经济 #中国内卷 #中国危机 #地方债 #新能源车 #光伏 #经济危机 #中国房地产 #中美竞争 #科技创新 #制度决定一切 #民营经济 #企业家精神 #AI时代

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zn1c4RI2Hfw)

中文简报

任正非全家出逃美国,谁在偷偷做空华为?背后利益链剖析 视频前半部分由窦文涛、陈丹青与许子东等文化学者展开漫谈,回顾改革开放初期的留美潮,解构“美国梦”神话与海外华人代际撕裂,并对比中美基础设施演化及国内超高效背后的算法压迫与社会阵痛。后半部分转向大国崛起与企业发展史,梳理深圳超越香港的奇迹、陶华碧的草根商业韧性以及中国经济体量的全球跃升轨迹。最后通过金一南将军亲历的五角大楼对等外交交涉,以及任正非对余承东个性的包容支持,深入探讨了在科技“无人区”中坚持自主研发、对外开放合作与激发实战创新力的重要性。 经济跃升与竞争模型:丹佛大学基于世界银行数据的长期模型显示,中国GDP于2010年超越日本跃居世界第二,并预测中国将在2028年左右超越美国、到2049年经济规模达到48万亿美元(美国为27万亿美元)。 (50:20) 深圳反超与产业入无人区:深圳GDP在2018年正式超越香港,实现从改革开放初期香港五百分之一的逆转;同时华为电信基础设施领先思科与诺基亚3至5年,步入缺乏前行参照的“无人区”。 (44:22) 对等外交交涉:2008年中国国防大学代表团访美期间遭遇机场苛刻安检,金一南通过坚持以“对等原则”严查美方访华将领展开交涉,促使美国国防部助理部长在一个月后于北京正式道歉。 (54:27) 算法压迫与生活效率代价:外卖平台对一次催单施加两三百元重罚的极端案例表明,国内极致的生活便利高度依赖苛刻算法对底层劳动力的数字施压,折射出社会高效运转背后的生活焦虑。 (16:03)

Reading summary

本期内容围绕改革开放以来中美实力消长与社会心态变迁展开,探讨了从早年对“美国梦”的盲目崇拜到如今留学生回流、硬件赶超背后的心理逆转,同时剖析了高速现代化进程中的体制张力、技术“无人区”挑战及个体创新机制。 移民神话的祛魅与华人代际落差 (0:00) 改革开放初期,陈丹青、阿城等文化精英赴美,折射出当时国人对西方的集体向往;然而随着历届美国大选引发的社会撕裂与“政治正确”共识弱化,亚裔在美生存环境呈现两极分化。学者许子东与饶毅观察到,早期融入精英圈层的华人多支持自由派,而新移民与工薪阶层则出现倒向特朗普的现象。宏观经济周期深刻左右了移民的命运,早年放弃国内体制内身份、赴美打拼的老移民,在中美发展格局倒转后面临巨大的心理落差,重演了20世纪80年代台湾地区精英留美后的时代轮回。与此同时,土生土长的二代华裔(ABC)正逐步摆脱第一代人执着于买房买车、阶层攀比的传统枷锁,转向追求个性化与身心体验。 硬件跃进的辉煌与社会运转的隐痛 (12:10) 在基础设施建设上,欧美等“老牌帝国”由于建设年代久远(如纽约地铁建于20世纪初、美欧干线与机场建于20世纪70年代),硬件设施日趋老化,呈现出紧凑、低效或破旧的面貌;相比之下,经历“二次现代化”的中国在高铁、航站楼与商业消费硬件上全面反超。然而,这种高歌猛进的物理扩张也伴随着深刻的系统代价。一方面,以超高效率著称的生活服务网络高度依赖算法对底层劳动者的严苛惩戒;另一方面,在城市化进程中暴露出规则与程序正义的欠缺,如轰动一时的石家庄北高营村贾敬龙强拆杀人案,反映出激进改造与个体权益之间的尖锐冲突。 百年国运推演与技术“无人区”博弈 (47:18) 学者金一南从近代历史的宏观周期切入,将1840年以来的历程划分为以“救亡图存”为核心的第一个百年,以及1949年开启的走向现代化的第二个百年。从1980年深圳仅为香港经济体量的五百分之一,到2018年深圳GDP正式反超香港,丹佛大学运用世界银行数据建立的长期增长模型预测,中国经济总量将在2028年前后超越美国。在科技领域,华为在电信基站等基础核心技术上已跨越跟跑阶段,领先思科、爱立信等欧美对手数年,正式进入前无领跑者、需自主探索技术标准的“无人区”。金一南指出,“大成功需要对手”,外部打压与地缘竞争反而成为迫使中国正视短板、加速体制纠错的催化剂。 对等外交尊严与企业个性的包容释放 (54:27) 面对跨国交往与外部偏见,金一南通过2008年带队访美遭遇美方违规安检、最终通过“对等反制”原则迫使五角大楼高层在双边防务会议上正式道歉的案例指出,真正的国家与个人尊严既非狭隘的过度敏感,亦非被动屈从,而是基于理性制度的对等施压。同时,他以第四军医大学自主研发机器人种植牙技术为例,强调中国即便遭遇海外签证壁垒,也必须坚持对外开放以吸收前沿知识。这种不拘一格的包容理念在企业文化中同样关键,如华为任正非力排众议重用余承东,打破按部就班的官僚汇报流程,通过给予顶尖人才试错空间来激活个体的创新冲动。 纵观中美几十年的力量消长,中国在硬件基建与前沿科技上实现了追赶甚至局部领先,但如何在追求超高效与大国地位的同时,建立更加完善的人文保障、制度包容与松弛的成长空间,仍是现代化进程中尚未完全解答的命题。

Source quotes

[0:00] 饶毅: You guys are voting for Trump, you idiots! You don't understand at all. He's a man who wants to kick the Chinese out, yet Chinese people are still so happy for him. [19:34] 能不能再点一下那个催单键把它取消掉? [34:54] 陈丹青: 我投降 [42:40] 陶华碧: I’m going to fight it out. Even if I face a bandit, I will fight you to the end. If you want to kill me, I want to kill you too. [44:22] 习仲勋: We must build our mainland better, so they come running to our side. [50:20] 金一南: Small success requires friends. Great success requires an opponent. [54:27] 金一南: Our airport security and our military are also two separate systems. We will also treat your generals with the same 'separate system' treatment when they visit China in the future. [54:27] 金一南: If you treat me this way, I will treat you that way—an eye for an eye. [57:50] 金一南: Get close to the cutting edge whenever possible. Learn as much as you can, fully exert Chinese learning, and make full use of it. [61:58] 鲁迅: Dissatisfaction is the wheel of progress. [65:38] 任正非: Old Yu, if you have an idea, I'll fund it. [67:11] 余承东: I just have ideas; I can't produce a feasibility analysis or a 1-2-3-4-5 step-by-step plan. I just estimate it will work, and I have to feel my way across the river.

Original transcript

[0:00] You were so popular and famous, but why [0:02] did everyone, including Mr. A-Cheng and [0:04] even Wang Shuo, go to the U.S. to live [0:07] for a while? Why did you all head to [0:09] the U.S. at roughly the same time? [0:11] In China's first 30 years, people [0:12] looked toward the Soviet Union, even if [0:14] few could actually go there. [0:16] After the Reform and Opening-up, people [0:17] headed to the U.S. I really don't know [0:19] how things turned out that way. [0:20] What were you thinking at the time? [0:22] My reason was simple: I just wanted to [0:23] see the original works, very simple. [0:25] Couldn't you just go as a tourist to [0:26] see the original works? [0:27] Back then, where would you even find [0:29] tourism? Flights to the U.S. were rare, [0:32] maybe once a week. Back then, it was [0:35] all about the wave of studying abroad. [0:38] Regarding my impression of the U.S. now [0:40] —I've only been there twice as a [0:42] tourist—but I'm starting to feel... [0:45] Because of this election, I seem to [0:48] have realized something. You see, a [0:51] professor named Rao came on our show a [0:54] while ago, and it practically exploded. [0:57] It was mainly because his way of [1:00] speaking was so... "politically correct [1:03] ," right? [1:03] At first, many people scolded him for [1:06] speaking that way, hmm. [1:07] But as the host, I started to [1:09] understand him a bit. He was [1:11] practically possessed, saying things [1:13] like, "You guys are voting for [1:15] Trump, you idiots! You don't understand [1:17] at all. He's a man who wants to kick [1:19] the Chinese out, yet Chinese people are [1:21] still so happy for him." That group of [1:23] people—because there’s nothing [1:25] wrong with supporting the Republican [1:26] Party, but you can't support a racist [1:28] who opposes you. That is the problem [1:30] with that group of Chinese. I'm just [1:33] wondering, is the U.S. in decline? I [1:36] feel that whenever we ask this question [1:39] online, people used to ask whether [1:41] their kids should study in the UK or [1:43] the U.S. You've lived in both places, [1:45] so it’s like asking, should we send [1:48] the kids to study in the UK or the U.S. [1:50] ? [1:51] Even now, they say the U.S. still holds [1:54] the largest stock of Chinese immigrants [1:56] . [1:57] Right. [1:59] And according to a survey around 2014, [2:01] the main destination for Chinese [2:04] wishing to immigrate......was also the [2:06] United States. Hmm. [2:10] But do you think the U.S. is not doing [2:12] so well right now? [2:14] Yes, I believe so. I've watched the [2:17] whole process. Look back 34 years ago [2:20] when Reagan took office, it was a new [2:22] era. The Vietnam War was over, the [2:24] economy was in chaos, domestic civil [2:26] rights movements had passed, and it [2:28] returned to conservatism. At the same [2:30] time, there was Thatcher in the UK, and [2:32] especially during his tenure, the Cold [2:34] War was nearly coming to an end. Once [2:36] he paved the way, as soon as Bush took [2:38] office, the events of 1990 happened. [2:40] The Soviet Union was gone, just like [2:43] that. It was completely different from [2:46] today, but it was immediately followed [2:48] by economic adjustments. I've been [2:50] through several economic adjustments, [2:52] I’ve forgotten them, but they talked [2:54] about these adjustments openly, saying [2:56] we’re entering an adjustment, which [2:57] you could see in the market, and it [2:59] immediately became a topic in every [3:01] election. [3:02] Then, most importantly, 9/11 happened [3:04] unexpectedly after the turn of the new [3:06] century. A new factor emerged; the Cold [3:09] War was gone, and a unilateral world [3:12] appeared. After 9/11, the focus shifted [3:15] to counter-terrorism. So domestic [3:17] issues were constantly sidelined; [3:19] that’s why I witnessed everything [3:21] from what they considered the glorious [3:23] Reagan era to the heap of domestic and [3:25] foreign problems we have today. [3:27] So, [3:29] No, but the election process itself, [3:31] with all the commotion and arguments, [3:33] and all the dramatic twists and turns, [3:35] it’s like that every single time. So, [3:38] I didn't use to care about elections; I [3:40] didn't watch the programs. [3:42] Then Xu, why do you feel you care this [3:45] time? [3:46] Well, it's everywhere online, and in my [3:48] social circles, I have different [3:50] Chinese friends living in the U.S. [3:52] Their attitudes seem quite different. [3:55] It feels like the Chinese people there [3:56] are all at each other's throats. [3:57] They are not the same. Those with [4:00] relatively higher social status, for [4:02] instance, those Chinese in the U.S. who [4:04] have entered elite circles, hmm, [4:07] they are absolutely dead set against [4:10] Trump, refusing to support him at all, [4:12] and even after he won, they showed [4:15] looks of deep sorrow, which is so [4:17] different from... [4:21] It's completely different from the way [4:23] ordinary Chinese people living there [4:26] react. Completely different. This time, [4:30] it seems the Chinese community actually [4:33] organized things like planes and groups [4:35] to go campaign, which must have cost a [4:38] lot of money. [4:40] And this time, I saw some surveys, and [4:43] I learned a concept about Chinese in [4:45] America, called the first generation, [4:48] or what should we call it? Let's call [4:51] them new immigrants, that's the first [4:53] generation, but there is also another, [4:55] called the 1.5 generation. What is the [4:58] 1.5 generation? It refers to those who [5:00] came to the U.S. as children; that’s [5:02] the 1.5 generation, while the second [5:03] generation are those who were born and [5:05] raised in the U.S. [5:06] And when looking at how they are doing, [5:08] it turns out that the 1.5 generation [5:10] has the highest per capita income. [5:12] Hmm. [5:13] It is the highest. Well, are you asking [5:16] whether Chinese people are doing well [5:18] or not in the U.S. now? Sola, do you [5:20] have any insight? He [5:23] Since I was there strictly under [5:25] contract to pursue music, I didn't [5:27] think much beyond that. But I lived [5:29] through the Clinton era, and I know [5:31] that, for example, in New York in the [5:33] 90s, an incredible amount happened in [5:36] the arts—like you asked, whether [5:38] America was "finished," it was during [5:40] the 90s. [5:41] From 1993 onwards, the American art [5:44] scene was at its most active. It’s [5:47] like, from the hippie movement in the [5:50] 60s all the way to the 90s, things kept [5:52] rising and evolving, with all sorts of [5:55] interesting people still around. But [5:57] after 9/11, it suddenly felt like [5:59] things took a downturn; it started to [6:02] feel increasingly desolate because it [6:05] became very hard for many things to [6:07] happen. Plus, there's the issue of the [6:09] wars the U.S. is involved in—the ones [6:11] they started themselves, and all kinds [6:13] of others. But honestly, when we were [6:17] in the U.S. in the 90s, we were just [6:20] small-time artists, or just small [6:22] immigrants, so we didn't really know [6:24] that wars were already breaking out [6:27] everywhere—even back in the 90s. We [6:31] were too far removed; we only saw the [6:34] art and such, but in reality, at that [6:36] time, with the wars in Serbia, the [6:38] Middle East, and Africa, the U.S. was [6:41] already involved in wars everywhere. So [6:43] , I actually think perhaps the U.S. has [6:46] been like this for many years—as [6:48] Danqing said, it never really stopped. [6:50] But there was a certain public [6:52] sentiment back then, when we were there [6:54] , because of what everyone now calls " [6:56] political correctness"; no matter what, [6:58] there was that political correctness [7:00] acting as a buffer, so people of all [7:02] ethnic groups there—even if things [7:04] were chaotic outside— [7:06] In that country, when all ethnic groups [7:09] were together, you still had a sense of [7:11] equality, because everyone knew they [7:13] had to maintain that equal space. So, [7:17] it is deeply saddening that this space [7:19] for equality has finally been broken. [7:22] And now, with people talking about [7:24] things like a "Cultural Revolution," I [7:27] think that's definitely a different [7:29] matter entirely, but the sense of fear [7:31] — [7:31] But ever since Trump was elected, [7:33] I’ve seen reports over the last [7:34] couple of days about Chinese people [7:36] actually being stopped on the street by [7:38] people shouting, "F***you, Chinese, go [7:40] back to your own country," as if [7:41] they've gained some kind of authority. [7:43] And you know what? A lot of people are [7:46] actually doing it. Many people are now [7:47] literally heading to the Mexican border [7:49] to build the wall themselves, even [7:50] before Trump has allocated the funds. [7:52] Lots of Americans are saying, "I'll [7:53] donate $ 5 million myself to build this [7:56] wall and keep them out." So what I mean [7:58] is, we’ve always had this particular [8:00] fantasy about this number-one [8:02] superpower. I think we could discuss a [8:05] topic: Has the Chinese American Dream [8:07] been shattered? [8:08] Hmm. [8:10] For me, back when you guys were all [8:12] heading to America, we were just [8:14] watching you. You were all major stars [8:16] back home, and one by one, you left. To [8:19] America. And do you remember that time, [8:21] Jiang Wen? That TV series they filmed, [8:24] "A Native of Beijing in New York," that [8:26] was my window into that world. Growing [8:28] up, I imagined that New York was [8:30] simultaneously a heaven and a hell; [8:32] I’ve always held onto that image. [8:34] It's a myth, a total myth. [8:37] I'll show you a clip from a film— [8:39] it’s actually about New Oriental and [8:42] the story of Minhong and his team. But [8:45] in this English classroom scene, you [8:47] can see how different Chinese people [8:49] imagined America back then. Take a look [8:52] . [8:52] Racial discrimination in America will [8:55] never disappear. If a white person sees [8:59] three Black men enter an elevator, they [9:01] will jump out the moment before the [9:03] doors close. In the eyes of white [9:06] people, Black people will always be [9:08] seen as a lazy, ignorant, and barbaric [9:11] race. So, surely Chinese people in [9:13] America must be considered smart and [9:15] hardworking, right? But they say the [9:17] Chinese are stealing jobs from the [9:20] locals. Teacher, have you ever been to [9:23] America? You must have learned about [9:26] America from books, right? [9:27] That’s right, Teacher. [9:29] Time is the only standard to judge the [9:31] truth here. [9:31] Where are you two from? [9:33] The so-called American Dream is that, [9:34] in the face of dreams, everyone has an [9:36] equal opportunity. It's the only place [9:38] in the world where that's possible. [9:40] You are both still too young and naive. [9:43] Teacher, I will definitely go to [9:46] America to find out for myself. That's [9:52] the clip. How do you feel after [9:54] watching it? [9:55] Neither side is entirely right. I think [9:58] the American myth definitely exists for [10:01] China because, since the Reform and [10:03] Opening-up, everyone in China suddenly [10:05] developed this fantasy about America, a [10:07] myth that actually started around the [10:09] time of World War II. During World War [10:11] II, they helped China defeat the [10:13] Japanese and occupied parts of the [10:15] country for a time. So, from the [10:17] previous generation down to ours, the [10:19] image of America has always been there; [10:20] it's just that after the reform and [10:22] opening up, we were finally able to go, [10:24] and in just 30 years, there were [10:26] suddenly so many Chinese in America, [10:28] leading to the "1.5 generation" and " [10:29] first generation" issues you mentioned. [10:31] Well, going back to what I said earlier [10:34] , it doesn't have much to do with being [10:36] 1.5 or first generation; it’s about [10:38] what stage of America's national [10:40] development each generation happened to [10:42] encounter. If you hit a good economy, [10:45] you get a good job and a bright future; [10:47] if not, you're out of luck. [10:49] Or which state the child happens to be [10:51] in. [10:51] And the reasons specific to that state. [10:54] For Chinese people, it's mostly New [10:56] York and California. It’s not just [10:58] the Chinese; all immigrants are like [11:00] this. We always focus on our own group, [11:02] but actually, all immigrants are in the [11:04] same situation. What is it? It’s [11:06] simple. The year before last, my [11:08] younger brother had a son, and I went [11:09] to the hospital to wait for the birth. [11:11] There, I was sitting next to an elderly [11:14] Italian immigrant. He himself was a " [11:16] 1.5 generation"—he came to the U.S. [11:18] when he was young—and his child was [11:20] second generation, and that second [11:22] generation was already having children. [11:24] He told me with great concern that the [11:27] wages and job opportunities our [11:29] generation had would never be available [11:31] to his generation again, and he gave me [11:34] many reasons why. But this wasn't the [11:36] first time I'd heard that. So. [11:39] And there's another issue, which is the [11:41] racism you mentioned, people telling [11:43] the Chinese to "go back." The various [11:45] attitudes toward immigrants, like the [11:47] messages revealed in Trump's rhetoric. [11:49] It’s been happening since I went [11:51] there. Those who arrive earlier always [11:53] join the locals in wanting to deal with [11:56] later immigrants and illegal immigrants [11:58] ; it has always been like this. [11:59] It has always been this way. So, our [12:02] discussions about the U.S. seem like a [12:04] new problem because of the internet and [12:06] the growing number of Chinese there, [12:08] but it's all an old problem. It’s [12:10] always existed. But do you think there [12:13] is such a thing as "national destiny"? [12:16] Right, because I, you know, I admire [12:18] foreign things, right? That's me, but [12:20] lately, I've gradually felt that, just [12:22] a couple of years ago, I heard that [12:24] overseas Chinese are the most patriotic [12:26] . As China grows stronger, you can [12:27] clearly see that they are becoming less [12:29] discouraged. I didn't really feel it at [12:32] first, but I remember my first time in [12:35] the U.S., I said, wow, why is this [12:38] hotel of the same brand so run-down? In [12:41] China, right, the same brand of hotel [12:44] is brand new, you know? And then, as I [12:46] traveled around the U.S., driving [12:48] everywhere, I thought, this is a [12:50] wilderness of a country. Honestly, [12:52] except for a few major cities like New [12:55] York, the roads are filled with these [12:57] dilapidated metal shacks, a profound [12:59] sense of desolation. [13:00] An old industrial nation with old [13:02] highways, old airports, and old train [13:05] stations. In China now, we have all new [13:08] airports. China is a latecomer; it only [13:10] took off after its second modernization [13:13] . Latecomers are always newer than old [13:16] empires. However, for instance, when I [13:18] found out about the U.S. election [13:20] results, I was in Europe. This time I [13:23] went, let's say I went to Paris [13:25] recently, and I felt Paris was quite [13:27] different from when I visited ten years [13:30] ago; it’s a bit like the Beijing [13:32] railway station, you know? There was [13:34] even this one guy, who you could tell [13:36] was an immigrant. [13:37] It’s not so much that the West has [13:39] changed, but that China has changed; [13:40] primarily, China has changed. You see, [13:43] China has become incredible. If you [13:45] just compare airports, all the airports [13:47] in China now are brand new. [13:49] That's right, just this time, I flew [13:51] back from that Berlin airport. I was [13:54] thinking, after going through security [13:57] and getting inside, I'd go to the [13:59] duty-free shop to buy something. Once I [14:02] got in, [14:03] there was just the boarding gate, not [14:04] even a duty-free shop, just a small [14:06] convenience store. I said, this is [14:08] Berlin? And then in London or wherever, [14:11] I saw the same thing. Let me tell you, [14:13] take these nightclubs, for example. Our [14:15] local friends took us out, and after we [14:17] went, I said, is this a nightclub in [14:20] Huairou? You can't help it, right? Hey, [14:22] they asked, where are the best [14:24] nightclubs in the world now? Beijing. [14:26] They say they are world-class, the [14:28] lighting and everything, mm. [14:30] The only difference is probably the [14:32] people inside. [14:33] I actually think that Berlin airport is [14:35] great; it's an old airport, after all. [14:37] You get off the plane and you're [14:39] already in the city; it's so convenient [14:40] , really. [14:41] And don't you think it’s super fast [14:43] to get in? You don’t have to drive or [14:45] take a train for ages to get to the [14:48] center. That’s why I think that [14:50] Berlin airport is great; as soon as you [14:52] arrive, you’ve basically entered the [14:54] city. It just doesn't have all that [14:57] complexity. [14:57] During my last two trips to the West, [15:00] even someone like me who tends to [15:01] admire things abroad has started to [15:03] feel differently. Before, I thought [15:05] this was just European charm—that [15:07] they had so much culture, unlike our [15:10] own nouveau-riche ways. But now, some [15:12] places just feel worn out and [15:14] dilapidated. Including the service [15:16] industry. For instance, in the past, we [15:18] felt that China’s service sector [15:19] wasn’t up to par, right? We assumed [15:21] the West was better, but now I’ve [15:22] realized that while Beijing has traffic [15:24] jams and its own inconveniences, you [15:26] can just stay home. You make a call, [15:27] and they deliver everything—even in [15:29] Hong Kong they don't have this—you [15:30] just make a call and it’s at your [15:32] door. It’s just, it’s just amazing. [15:35] They are old empires, after all. Think [15:37] about it: Britain already had a subway [15:38] system back during China’s late Qing [15:40] Dynasty. And by the time of the Xinhai [15:42] Revolution, New York already had its [15:44] subway. While China was going through [15:46] the Cultural Revolution, they had [15:47] already built their international [15:49] airports and highways. Think about the [15:51] timeline—that was the 70s, which is [15:53] 40 or 50 years ago now. So naturally, [15:56] things are going to be old, worn, and [15:58] outdated. China has risen over these [16:00] past 30 years, mainly in the last 20. [16:02] But that sense of being old and worn [16:04] out actually provides a kind of, a kind [16:06] of security. Just now we skipped over [16:08] the point about young people. You say [16:10] our youth have everything today, it [16:12] seems they have it all, but why do they [16:14] feel less secure than the young people [16:16] over there? It’s because that sense [16:18] of being "old and worn" comes with a [16:20] system, a way of life—a lifestyle [16:22] that has been sustained over a long [16:24] period, which gives you a certain [16:25] feeling. [16:26] I don’t really dare to agree with him [16:28] on this topic. Why? [16:30] Nationalism. We like to hear that we [16:32] are the best. [16:33] I wasn’t talking about nationalism, I [16:35] was talking about the foreign side. [16:37] Of course, I think the airports in [16:38] Berlin, the Netherlands, and Brussels [16:40] are all excellent—very human-centric [16:41] airports. [16:42] But I don't really dare to say such [16:44] things now. [16:44] Why? [16:45] We can only compare the old with the [16:47] new. If we are talking about what's new [16:49] , China is the newest. Why wouldn't you [16:50] dare to say the Berlin airport is good? [16:52] I just don’t dare to. There are many [16:54] things I don't dare to say anymore. You [16:55] can talk about Terminal 2 or Terminal [16:57] 3. When I fly, I prefer arriving at [16:59] Terminal 2. [17:00] Mhm. [17:01] It's more convenient to pick people up. [17:03] Mhm. Mhm. [17:04] I even like Terminal 1 more, the very [17:06] first airport from the early days of [17:08] Reform and Opening-up. [17:10] That is my favorite airport. I tell [17:12] everyone who books my tickets: do not [17:15] book Terminal 3. [17:16] But this is just a kind of, what you [17:18] consider to be "good" actually depends [17:20] on your own values, but [17:21] it’s an endless debate. Your, your [17:25] values. [17:26] For instance, I once went to Vancouver, [17:28] and I found the people in Canada quite [17:30] interesting. [17:31] A couple in Vancouver told me, their [17:33] child was second-generation and born [17:35] there, but once the child went back to [17:38] Shanghai, well, [17:39] wow, they felt that China is the one [17:41] that's truly prosperous. Fine, we try [17:44] to tell them, I say European towns [17:46] don’t build skyscrapers, they’re [17:48] all little old houses, quaint and old, [17:50] how charming, but in the children's [17:52] eyes, Shanghai is just dazzling. [17:54] Right. [17:55] They really feel that my motherland is [17:57] much more powerful than where I am now. [17:58] They really do have that feeling. Yes, [18:00] exactly. China is changing too fast, [18:03] extremely fast. Just 30 years ago, all [18:05] my friends from Taiwan and Hong Kong I [18:07] met in New York wanted to visit the [18:09] mainland, but after coming, they [18:11] couldn't stand it—the airport was dim [18:13] , there was no hot water for showers, [18:15] things like that. We never imagined [18:17] back then that Chinese streets would be [18:20] filled with cars and traffic jams. [18:22] Totally unthinkable, twenty years ago [18:24] you couldn't even imagine it. Look, let [18:27] me give you an example, and I used to [18:30] say that for hardware, [18:32] we’ve surpassed them, but now for [18:34] software, like if you take the same [18:36] kind of bar, the decor is far worse [18:39] than in Beijing, but the only [18:40] difference is the people inside and the [18:42] music they play is Western. [18:44] As I said just now, it's the details. [18:46] This, this, this spirit. [18:48] It’s not just about the music being [18:50] Western, it's the details, the details. [18:52] Just the details. [18:53] But now I feel that China’s, for [18:55] instance, this kind of service, you [18:57] gradually start to feel that, whereas [18:59] in the past, China was synonymous with [19:01] low efficiency. But now I feel [19:03] China’s efficiency is incredibly high [19:05] , and this level of efficiency makes me [19:08] feel a bit, well, you know, yesterday, [19:10] usually in Beijing, I order food [19:12] delivery. [19:12] Ah, that, ordering a meal, getting it [19:15] delivered. [19:16] You know there’s that "urge delivery" [19:18] button? Because it hadn't arrived yet. [19:20] I, I, I clicked on that "urge delivery" [19:22] option. [19:23] Uh-huh. As it turned out, the delivery [19:25] guy arrived at my door, handed it to me [19:27] , and apologized intensely, saying "I'm [19:29] so sorry, there was a traffic jam, I [19:30] tried my best, I was rushing as hard as [19:32] I could." I told him, "It's fine, it's [19:34] fine, go on," and I felt so bad for him [19:36] . [19:36] A young man in his twenties. Wasn't he, [19:39] wasn't there... [19:40] Crying? [19:41] I was in tears, I said, I said why, I [19:42] said I'm not blaming you, [19:44] He has to frame it as the system, maybe [19:45] . No, seriously, delivery guy, can you, [19:47] can you just click that "urge" button [19:49] again to cancel it? What did I do? He [19:51] said it costs me 300 yuan, he said [19:53] because you urged me like that, 200 or [19:55] 300. My goodness, the meal I ordered [19:57] only cost a few dozen yuan, yeah, [19:58] exactly. [19:59] I just, I just feel, like, you say this [20:00] is how the service industry can't do [20:02] well, but doesn't this also reveal a [20:03] kind of... [20:04] Very interesting, very terrifying, yeah [20:06] . [20:06] Very wicked, forcing people into a kind [20:08] of early-stage capitalism, [20:09] This whip-cracking pace, right. [20:11] Right. Tell me, Xu, if you could go [20:15] back to the era they were in, would you [20:17] want to go to America? [20:19] Everyone nowadays... [20:21] I, from the very beginning, never had [20:24] that, never had the desire to go to [20:26] America, or to live abroad, that kind [20:28] of... [20:28] That kind of inclination. [20:31] Uh, visiting is fine, I think I'm still [20:33] a conservative person; I haven't [20:35] actually been to many countries, but [20:38] the ones I like, I'll go back to [20:40] several times. Yeah, exploring [20:42] something brand new, I'd be scared. Ah, [20:45] then you say, with people now flocking [20:48] to study in the US, sending their [20:50] children abroad, is this still a good [20:52] approach? Is it definitely still good [20:55] for the child? [20:56] You, you have children in the US. [20:59] I think, I think it is good. I don't [21:02] care if you think this should or [21:04] shouldn't be said, I think it's good to [21:06] study abroad. Because our schoolwork [21:09] here, to be honest, is extremely heavy, [21:12] but the teaching lacks detail, that's [21:14] the reality. From what I understand, [21:16] right, so, there's, it's missing, it's [21:19] missing a lot of things, and our kind [21:21] of, our...Our teaching information is [21:23] scarce, the information isn't fast, and [21:25] then, teachers are relatively [21:27] conservative, and because teachers are [21:29] conservative, they put a lot of [21:31] pressure on students, like you must [21:33] seem to be completing things on the [21:35] surface. [21:35] Right, and then you don't actually [21:37] learn the material. Because to really [21:39] learn something, first of all, in the [21:40] end, you won't even want to learn [21:41] anymore, you'll actually feel sick, [21:43] like you're going to throw up. Kids end [21:44] up having a rebellious mentality if [21:46] they keep studying like this, and the [21:48] pressure is too great, it affects the [21:50] children's health. I think because for [21:52] children to grow, they need a, a [21:54] healthy environment, a happy [21:56] environment; the process of learning [21:58] should be a happy one, so I think the [22:00] current teaching methods here in China [22:03] have major problems. And, and the [22:05] research topics available are really [22:07] too few; in universities, the specific [22:09] research subjects are just too limited. [22:12] Okay, so the next question is sending [22:14] kids to study in the U.S., and now [22:16] people still think that after finishing [22:18] their studies, they should stay in the [22:21] U.S. to live. Is this still a good path [22:24] ? [22:24] This has nothing to do with the U.S.; [22:26] it’s about China’s mentality. [22:29] It’s that on one hand, we keep trying [22:31] to talk down the U.S., and it’s [22:33] getting to the point where it sounds [22:35] like it’s actually falling; on the [22:37] other hand, this never really stopped. [22:39] Currently, the number of Chinese [22:41] students in the U.S. is the highest. [22:43] More than 30 years ago when I went, it [22:46] wasn't as high as Taiwan, nor as high [22:48] as other countries, but 30 years later, [22:50] China is at the top, and this trend [22:52] won't stop. [22:53] It’s that you guys go down [22:55] There’s a reason why so many parents [22:57] are willing to send them. Now they all [22:59] pay their own way, hanging out in cafes [23:02] and eating good food; it’s different [23:04] from our generation of international [23:06] students. They don't earn money, but [23:08] they spend it. But look at this, why I [23:12] met a kid in Germany this time who was [23:15] born there, as his parents moved to [23:17] Germany, so he grew up in Germany. [23:19] What he is thinking now is that he is [23:21] planning, he said, "I'm planning to go [23:22] back to Beijing." [23:23] Mmh. [23:24] I asked why? He said this Europe is too [23:27] boring, at least for a kid. [23:29] Never mind Chinese kids, even [23:30] Westerners now want to come to China to [23:32] make a living; this situation is [23:33] becoming more common. [23:34] I think, I think after finishing their [23:36] studies, they will come back to work. [23:37] It started a long time ago. Yesterday, [23:40] while accompanying my father from [23:42] Gubeikou Water Town, I passed through [23:44] Miyun County—it’s already a big [23:46] city. It turns out the kindergarten [23:48] teacher for the driver's child is from [23:51] Canada. Just a kindergarten teacher in [23:52] Miyun County—of course, it’s a [23:54] high-end kindergarten—is already [23:56] taught by a foreigner; there are even [23:57] more foreign schools in Beijing. I have [23:59] met many foreigners who have come to [24:01] China to make a living. Their caliber [24:04] isn't low either; China is already a [24:06] place with great prospects. China just [24:08] hasn't opened up its immigration policy [24:10] , so the situation has changed a long [24:12] time ago. Then, for example, if you [24:14] were asked to go back to live in the [24:15] U.S. now, would you still be interested [24:17] ? [24:17] I’d still be interested, I’d be [24:19] willing. Like he said, it’s a very [24:22] humane society, very quiet. Speaking of [24:25] which, after this Trump election, do [24:28] you still think it’s very reasonable? [24:31] The long-term form a society has taken [24:34] won't see major changes. It’s a [24:36] situation above a certain baseline; [24:38] there won't be major changes. But [24:40] national policies will certainly change [24:42] , the economy will change, the war [24:43] situation, and the political landscape [24:45] —all these will surely see major [24:47] changes, yet they won't be too drastic. [24:48] Every term, they promise, "When I take [24:51] office, I will do this or that." But [24:52] the changes are never that big. There [24:55] are greater forces shaping America, [24:56] whether it’s being talked down or [24:58] whatever else, through and through. I [25:00] don’t quite understand this, but [25:02] speaking of national destiny, do you [25:05] feel that America is slowly beginning [25:07] to contract? Maybe we should just focus [25:09] on living our own lives and stop being [25:11] so moralistic or interfering in others [25:13] 'affairs, and then slowly, our economy [25:15] ... [25:16] He said that long ago. [25:17] It’s just that China's economy is [25:19] clearly on the verge of overtaking [25:21] theirs to become the largest economy. [25:23] Surpassing the UK and catching up to [25:24] the US, at least in terms of GDP. [25:26] There shouldn't be a need to surpass [25:28] them. Yes, and what does this mean? [25:32] It means a major world event. [25:35] It means China’s influence is growing [25:37] . [25:38] Yes, indeed. [25:39] Right? [25:40] It's actually not about how the [25:42] American Dream is doing, but that the [25:44] Chinese Dream is slowly being realized. [25:46] At the very least, having a status in [25:48] the world—that has been realized. [25:50] It has already been initially realized. [25:52] Then what would you say the American [25:54] Dream is? [25:54] The American Dream is actually a bit [25:56] outdated; it’s the idea that anyone [25:59] penniless or without background could [26:01] go to America and live a good, [26:03] dignified life. That dream is actually [26:05] still true today, but isn't what Trump [26:08] is saying that this no longer works? [26:10] Yes, he has allowed too many people to [26:12] realize the American Dream. Once [26:14] realized, it becomes like the bus [26:15] theory: everyone wants to squeeze on, [26:17] but those who are already on prefer [26:19] that no one else gets on. It’s always [26:21] been like this. America is just the [26:23] largest space, and it has already [26:25] accommodated too many people. They’ve [26:27] long talked about deporting immigrants, [26:30] starting from the Reagan era, which [26:31] caused panic among immigrants who [26:33] thought the policy meant they couldn't [26:35] stay or work anymore and would be [26:37] deported. But I only saw more and more [26:40] people coming. Even in the 90s, I [26:42] opened the paper and the headline was [26:44] about the "Golden Venture" running [26:46] aground off Long Island. Over 300 [26:48] Chinese illegal immigrants jumped into [26:50] the freezing water. The immigration [26:52] bureau rescued them immediately, [26:54] everyone got a blanket, they were [26:56] spread out on the shore, and then [26:58] handled according to their immigration [27:00] laws—very humane, yet very strict. It [27:02] depends; if you have relatives who call [27:04] , they can come and get you. If not, [27:06] you’re detained. While detained, you [27:09] can play cards, draw, play ping-pong, [27:11] or anything like that, while waiting [27:13] for the immigration office to process [27:14] your case. It’s always like that; for [27:17] any illegal or criminal behavior, they [27:19] enter the legal process immediately. In [27:21] reality, many people who come out know [27:23] how to draw or make little crafts, and [27:25] of course, they would rather not go [27:27] back, as being inside isn't good. [27:29] I have personally met people like that, [27:30] and some are very regretful, saying, "I [27:31] already had a car and a company back in [27:33] Fujian," but mostly people back home [27:34] would criticize you, saying, "How can [27:35] you be doing so poorly that you still [27:37] haven't gone abroad?" [27:37] Every family has to send someone out. [27:40] Every family must have someone go [27:41] abroad, so many Chinese people don't [27:42] leave due to poverty or having no [27:44] options, but for the sake of face. Once [27:45] they go and discover America isn't like [27:47] that, this process had already begun; [27:49] it didn't just start today. What do you [27:51] say, Xu Lai? [27:52] Hmm. [27:53] I have a friend who went to the U.S. [27:55] and visited some old friends—some [27:57] even worked in government agencies back [28:00] then and had become directors—because [28:02] the standard of living and all aspects [28:04] of life between China and the U.S. were [28:06] quite different back then. Now China [28:09] has gradually risen, so the gap between [28:11] them isn't as large. So I asked him, [28:14] what was his biggest takeaway? He said [28:16] the biggest takeaway is that those who [28:18] went to the U.S. back then are actually [28:20] the most disillusioned. [28:21] Right. It’s because they never [28:23] imagined China would develop like this; [28:25] the people who were originally worse [28:27] off than them, or about the same, have [28:30] now attained high positions or become [28:32] major bosses. They haven't achieved [28:34] what they wanted in their America. [28:36] Exactly. [28:37] They are most disillusioned by this [28:39] situation, and after coming back, [28:40] they’ve lost their window of [28:41] opportunity. Yes. [28:43] With age and other factors, they no [28:44] longer have those opportunities, so [28:45] their mindset is particularly... [28:47] They just didn't anticipate this kind [28:48] of disparity. [28:49] Exactly, it’s all leveled out. [28:51] Their former classmates stayed put, [28:52] right? While I’ve been struggling in [28:54] the U.S. for 20 years. [28:55] They gave up a lot of things back then. [28:58] Right. [28:58] They gave up their existing social [29:00] status and all their established [29:02] backgrounds. [29:02] So, for the Chinese American dream, you [29:05] want to succeed in the U.S., [29:06] Right? [29:07] Hmm. [29:09] This process started even earlier in [29:11] Taiwan. In the 80s, I saw many people [29:13] from Taiwan sighing, saying, "My [29:15] college classmate is now the boss of [29:17] such-and-such company in Taiwan; look [29:19] at their annual salary and income." [29:21] Because Taiwan was still under martial [29:23] law at that time, everyone felt [29:25] insecure and wanted to leave. Those who [29:27] could make it to the U.S. were the best [29:29] of the best, but they soon found they [29:30] could only open a restaurant, or [29:32] perhaps not even that, while their [29:33] classmates back home had already struck [29:35] it rich. Since Taiwan's economy was [29:36] taking off, the mainland is just going [29:38] through the same process a step later [29:40] —ten to twenty years behind—but on [29:42] a much larger scale. My most [29:43] interesting memory from thirty years [29:44] ago, before I went abroad, is that [29:46] whenever an overseas Chinese or someone [29:48] from outside visited, we would all [29:49] gather in the evening and ask, "Tell us [29:51] , what is it like out there?" I say [29:52] that now, my main task every time I go [29:54] back is just to have a meal with a [29:56] table full of people. Everyone asks, " [29:58] What's the mainland like now? How's [30:00] Beijing?" You ask if the overseas [30:02] Chinese still look down on their [30:04] motherland? [30:05] No, no, there’s another very [30:07] important factor—the internet is very [30:09] , very important. If I’m recognized [30:11] abroad, ten out of ten people say they [30:13] saw me on "Behind the Headlines." [30:15] Right, right, right. [30:16] Ever since "Behind the Headlines" went [30:18] online and could be viewed by overseas [30:19] Chinese, you have no idea how many [30:21] viewers you have out there, regardless [30:22] of their political stance. [30:23] Yes, yes. [30:25] Everyone knows you, they know your show [30:27] . For many people overseas, my overseas [30:29] life is quite active, but there’s one [30:31] point you mentioned that I also find [30:33] quite interesting, which is— [30:34] You look at China, just as I said [30:36] before, everything makes me feel like [30:38] it’s getting stronger than them in [30:40] every aspect. But even so, you always [30:42] get the sense that there are things [30:44] that make you feel particularly [30:45] distressed. For example, I saw that [30:47] delivery guy crying. And that day, I [30:49] was thinking about how you talk about [30:51] being reasonable. In America, no matter [30:53] what, they are reasonable. But in China [30:55] , many times development happens [30:57] without being reasonable. For instance, [30:59] there’s this guy named Jia Jinlong [31:01] recently. [31:02] It’s just in our Shijiazhuang, a [31:05] village called Beigaoying. Okay. The [31:08] Party Secretary who came, the village [31:10] chief, was very capable. He really [31:12] changed the appearance of the village, [31:14] turning it urban. Now, when you go to [31:17] Beigaoying Village, it’s no different [31:19] from a district in our major city of [31:21] Shijiazhuang. Because of the relocation [31:23] —they tore down your old house and [31:25] built you a new one. [31:27] But a dispute arose during this process [31:29] , and there was a young man named Jia [31:31] Jinlong. It’s not necessarily that he [31:34] was in the right, but a dispute [31:35] occurred and he said, "I’m staying in [31:37] my old house, I’m not moving, I even [31:39] want to get married here." [31:40] In the end, his old house was bulldozed [31:43] . [31:43] Hmm. [31:44] It was demolished. [31:46] After that, his fiancée refused to [31:48] marry him, so Jia Jinlong went and [31:50] bought a shotgun. Hmm. [31:52] Then one day, the unit secretary, [31:54] after giving a speech to the whole [31:56] village, [31:56] walked off the stage, and he shot him [31:58] in the back of the head. [31:59] He was killed. Just recently, the [32:02] Supreme Court approved the death [32:04] sentence. Some legal experts argued he [32:06] didn't necessarily deserve death, [32:08] saying "spare his life under the blade" [32:10] because he was a victim of forced [32:12] demolition, but in the end, the [32:14] execution was carried out. I just feel, [32:17] look, [32:18] our landscape has changed, [32:20] hey, it has even more high-rises than [32:22] the US. But behind this, there seem to [32:25] be things that I find truly terrifying. [32:27] It’s not to say that anyone is [32:29] definitely right. [32:30] There are too many, yeah. It’s just [32:34] that I think it comes back to what we [32:36] were saying about what Chinese people [32:38] worry about—whether I'm working here [32:40] or what I'm doing—I think it’s [32:42] still the underlying ideology of life. [32:46] It’s that I must go out and succeed, [32:49] I must become someone abroad, I must [32:51] buy a house, I must buy a car. We carry [32:54] so many of these values with us that [32:57] it’s just exhausting. But these kids [32:59] later on, like the second generation, [33:02] they don’t have that feeling. They [33:04] don’t think they have to make money [33:06] to buy a house or car; they just want [33:08] to enjoy life, which is more natural. [33:10] For example, I met a mother who told me [33:13] , and this is about music too, she said [33:16] , "My son just likes being a DJ, what [33:18] should I do?" Because he's second [33:20] generation, born in the US, he has no [33:22] interest in good things like studying [33:24] law, or becoming a lawyer, or anything [33:26] like that; he just wants to DJ. What [33:28] should be done? How, how to deal with [33:31] it? She asked if I could talk to him, [33:33] so I agreed to talk. I said, I told the [33:36] kid, "First of all, do you feel like [33:38] your feet hurt every night?" Because [33:40] DJing makes your feet hurt at night; [33:42] it's because your body's vibration [33:43] frequency is too high. I said, "Aren't [33:45] you afraid?" Because you're very young, [33:48] only in your 20s. He said, "I am, ma'am [33:50] , my feet do hurt." I said you will [33:52] have pain, and your body will feel [33:54] tired, because this vibration frequency [33:56] is too high. If you don't realize that [33:58] this is—because that high vibration [34:00] frequency is affecting your body, right [34:02] ? If you feel it's fine, he says I'm [34:04] fine, I enjoy it. I feel that every— [34:06] my feet ache, the acupuncture points, [34:08] just like he said, but I enjoy it. If I [34:10] don't live like this, I don't think I [34:12] can live at all. I said, then go ahead [34:14] and do it. This very thing, I’m [34:16] telling you, is the key: if your body [34:18] isn't afraid, then just do it. Now this [34:20] kid is a very successful DJ in the U.S [34:22] .;he makes his way by DJing in clubs. [34:25] This is the path for the second [34:26] generation of Chinese kids, they have [34:29] their own concepts. [34:30] Many families have this. [34:32] Older people are always talking about, [34:34] "Oh, should we compare our earnings to [34:36] those back home? We put so much [34:37] pressure on ourselves." But kids today [34:40] don't think that way; the second [34:42] generation doesn't think that way [34:44] anymore. Honestly, I hope the kids in [34:46] China today can also grow up like this, [34:49] just doing what they want to do and [34:51] being incredibly relaxed. Well, you [34:54] know, for example, we collected [34:55] questions online this time, and someone [34:57] asked Teacher Chen a question, saying: [34:59] "I want to ask Teacher Danqing, [35:01] you’ve been saying for years that [35:03] America is good, and that China’s [35:05] education system has problems, that [35:07] children are being stifled, and so on." [35:09] He said, "But look, everyone who went [35:11] abroad to study is coming back now, [35:13] right?""The whole world is watching our [35:15] China versus the U.S., American [35:17] imperialism. Look at the mess with [35:18] Trump now; it feels like American [35:20] imperialism is on the verge of a civil [35:21] war, right? Hmm?" Hmm, what is there to [35:24] say now? [35:25] I surrender, hmm. [35:26] I understand now. So that’s what [35:28] it’s all about after all this time. [35:30] That’s why I said he wouldn't dare [35:31] say it, he didn't dare speak. I never [35:32] understood why, but now I understand. [35:34] I won't argue these points; I don't [35:36] want to argue. [35:36] Well. [35:37] You go to school in the UK, at the [35:39] moment, going to the UK. [35:41] Surrender, hmm. [35:43] This means you have nothing left to say [35:45] . I don't want to argue this point. If [35:47] you insist on arguing, I surrender. OK, [35:50] if that’s how you feel, then that’s [35:52] what you believe. It’s like you [35:54] should let me hold my own view. I feel [35:56] it’s this way, so I say it, and if [35:58] you think it’s not, you say your [36:00] piece too. Then let me ask you this [36:02] question: if it were your child right [36:04] now, at the point where you have to [36:06] decide whether to go abroad for studies [36:09] , at this current historical stage, [36:11] this historical juncture, [36:13] Would you still let him go to school in [36:15] the U.S., or even settle down in the [36:17] U.S.? [36:17] Yes, I think I would. No, whether he [36:20] settles down or not is his own business [36:22] , his own choice. But I believe I would [36:24] be no different than 30 years ago, like [36:26] , okay, if you want to go abroad, then [36:28] go. I encourage kids today to go out if [36:30] they can, but I don't encourage them to [36:32] stay, nor is there a need to encourage [36:33] them to come back. China is better off [36:35] now, different from our time, at least [36:37] in terms of material life. [36:38] Looking at this development now, [36:39] internationalization is a fundamental [36:41] requirement. [36:42] I think [36:43] It is a fundamental requirement. Yes, [36:45] and I think if we look at it this way, [36:46] let's keep things simpler. If you have [36:48] a child in Henan, the mother definitely [36:50] wants them to go to school in Beijing. [36:52] Henan or the Netherlands? [36:53] Henan. [36:54] Henan. [36:56] A child in Henan wants to come to [36:57] Beijing for school, just like someone [36:59] in a small county, say in a rural area [37:01] of northern Shaanxi, wants to go to [37:03] Yan'an for school because they feel [37:05] they’ve reached a bigger place. [37:07] People born in Yan'an might want to go [37:09] to Guangzhou for school. Perhaps every [37:11] parent simply hopes their child goes to [37:13] a bigger place. It’s actually that [37:16] simple. I don't think you need to force [37:18] parents to send their kids abroad or [37:20] anywhere else. It’s just that a child [37:22] leaving your side to go to school is [37:24] definitely better than staying by your [37:26] side, because they have an independent [37:27] ...An independent environment to grow [37:29] in, where they learn to handle their [37:31] own surroundings. Actually, you could [37:33] go to school in England, or if England [37:35] is too expensive, go to Scotland. [37:37] Scotland is cheaper, and I’ve seen a [37:39] child who returned from Scotland who [37:40] was exceptionally well-mannered and [37:42] great. It’s mainly because they [37:44] entered another community, another [37:45] group, and experienced a different [37:47] sense of language—didn't we just talk [37:49] about language? That sense of language [37:51] gives them a point of comparison for [37:53] themselves. So when the child comes [37:54] back, when they return, they truly are [37:56] a different kid—they are just so [37:58] well-mannered. [37:59] I hear you. [38:00] I think that's how it is. [38:02] It means that no matter how developed [38:04] our economy is, or how beautiful the [38:06] buildings are, a person's manners still [38:09] seem to need to be cultivated abroad. I [38:13] remember that time, look, it was the [38:16] 1980s, the last century. You know, the [38:19] people's efforts to improve their own [38:22] income—did you notice? It was [38:24] unstoppable. I remember it was very [38:27] common at that time, so much so that " [38:29] moonlighting" became a buzzword of the [38:31] era. In my impression, everyone around [38:33] me was doing it, and because some of it [38:35] wasn't allowed by their workplaces, it [38:37] had to be done on the sly. It’s [38:39] basically finding an additional source [38:41] of income. Is that what you’d call " [38:43] part-time" in Hong Kong? Exactly. [38:46] I’ve heard of many office workers who [38:49] , right after getting off work, rush to [38:52] go where? They rush to work as couriers [38:55] , [38:55] riding motorbikes to deliver food and [38:58] whatnot, all just to earn a little [39:00] extra. I can immediately see two [39:03] concepts here: one high-standard and [39:05] one low-standard. You have to ask, is [39:09] this "slash youth" phenomenon born out [39:12] of a necessity to survive, [39:14] or is it a personal pursuit? [39:16] Right, so I think "slash youth" might [39:19] be confused with a few other terms, [39:21] like moonlighting, side jobs, changing [39:24] careers, or crossing boundaries. They [39:27] all seem related to being a "slash," [39:29] but they might have fundamental [39:31] differences. For example, are you [39:36] actually earning your living through [39:38] different interests, or are you facing [39:40] different client bases, social circles, [39:43] and professional fields? I think that [39:48] might be something we need to define. [39:51] Have you ever tried starting a business [39:53] or something? [39:54] I have tried starting a business. Right [39:56] , do you ever feel like you're living [39:58] in several parallel universes in a [39:59] single day? [40:00] When I was starting my business, I felt [40:02] very fragmented. I didn't feel like a " [40:04] slash" person at all. [40:05] Could you elaborate on that? [40:07] It’s like running a business during [40:10] the day and writing at night. The [40:13] people you have to deal with during the [40:15] day are completely different from the [40:17] people you interact with when you’re [40:19] writing. For example, my startup was in [40:23] publishing. I didn't just deal with [40:27] authors, which is a circle I’m very [40:29] familiar with—I don't think that’s [40:31] a huge crossover. But I had to face the [40:35] printing shop owners, the workers, and [40:38] force myself to learn about ink and [40:40] paper. For me, that turned into a huge [40:44] challenge; it was a process of learning [40:46] . No, I can define "slash youth," or " [40:49] slash" itself, from a different [40:52] perspective. Because we all want [40:55] different experiences during our growth [40:57] or development stages, defining a " [41:00] slash" just by the pursuit of different [41:02] experiences isn't enough. That’s the [41:06] first point; so what is the second [41:08] definition? You must refuse a fixed, [41:11] specialized, single job. You need the [41:14] will and determination to say no—that [41:17] is what a "slashie" really is. For [41:20] example, your publishing business could [41:23] clearly thrive. [41:24] You stay with it, moving forward [41:27] through your 20s, 30s, and 40s. You see [41:30] yourself becoming a very successful [41:32] publisher, so you keep heading down [41:34] that path. But at this point, you have [41:37] to make a decision. I give it up, yes, [41:40] I don't want it, but for what? What is [41:43] it that I don't want it for? It’s not [41:45] that it's bad, it’s just not enough. [41:48] Not enough, it’s not enough, so [41:50] I’ll go try other things. Having the [41:52] will and the ability to make that [41:55] choice is what being a "slashie" is. I [41:57] often think that when I was younger, I [42:00] felt the hardest part of life was [42:02] choosing—we have to choose who to be, [42:05] what job to have, what books to read. [42:08] The older I get, the more I feel that [42:10] the hardest part of life isn't choosing [42:12] . It’s giving up, actually letting go [42:14] of a certain part. [42:15] So, [42:16] Giving up is the hardest thing. So Jia [42:18] Hui, we have a meeting of minds, right? [42:21] It brings up a famous quote of mine [42:23] from back then. At the time, there was [42:25] a promotional card where every host had [42:27] to write a line, and I wrote this. I [42:30] said, "Never give up"—people usually [42:32] talk about "never giving up"—but I [42:34] added a question mark and followed it [42:36] with "always give up." [42:37] And my photo from that day is, well, " [42:40] always give up" means when you are weak [42:42] and small, you have many enemies. When [42:45] you are weak and small, you have [42:47] especially many enemies. Conversely, [42:49] when you are powerful, you have many [42:51] friends. Tao Huabi was so weak when she [42:53] first started; too many people bullied [42:55] her. Look at what Tao Huabi said: " [42:57] I’m going to fight it out. Even if I [42:59] face a bandit, I will fight you to the [43:01] end. If you want to kill me, I want to [43:03] kill you too." You have to fight to win [43:05] ; if you don't fight, you lose. Tao [43:08] Huabi's theories don't make it into our [43:10] MBA programs. They won't make it into [43:13] Harvard case studies, but Chinese [43:15] entrepreneurs are truly and solidly [43:17] forged through this kind of struggle. [43:19] We weren't created according to Harvard [43:21] or MBA case studies; look at how [43:23] Chinese entrepreneurs grow. Xu Xiaoping [43:26] says the person he admires most is Tao [43:28] Huabi. Ren Zhengfei, no problem, he met [43:30] him in Shenzhen, talked with him, even [43:32] gave lectures at Huawei, everything is [43:34] fine, but he just couldn't meet Tao [43:36] Huabi. Xu Xiaoping eventually felt [43:38] relieved about not meeting Tao Huabi, [43:41] saying he was rejected, but later [43:43] learned that she wouldn't even meet [43:46] provincial governors or mayors, only [43:48] village chiefs, and that finally [43:51] balanced his mind. That’s how [43:53] Taohuabi is. Don’t bring me all those [43:56] vague, confusing things. I only meet [43:58] whoever can solve problems for me. If [44:00] not, then forget it, I won't see them. [44:02] I don’t discuss theory. As I said, [44:05] Engels internalized that theory is [44:08] always gray, while practice is [44:10] evergreen. China’s economic [44:12] development and the entrepreneurial [44:14] practices of Chinese businessmen are [44:16] incredible; theory hasn’t caught up [44:18] yet. Our theories must be combined with [44:20] practice, otherwise, they are too far [44:22] removed. In 1980, Shenzhen was just a [44:25] small fishing village coming from [44:27] Bao'an. Today it has become a miracle [44:30] of world urban construction and [44:32] economic development. This photo was [44:35] taken during Comrade Xiaoping’s [44:37] Southern Tour. In 1992, Comrade [44:39] Xiaoping gave his Southern Tour talks. [44:42] Finally, he arrived in Shenzhen and [44:44] looked at Hong Kong from a hillside at [44:46] the Luohu checkpoint. Comrade [44:48] Xiaoping’s greatest wish was to step [44:50] onto Hong Kong soil and take a look [44:52] after its return. Guangdong provincial [44:54] leaders recalled that when Comrade [44:56] Xiaoping was looking at Hong Kong that [44:58] day, he stood on the hillside. It was [45:00] drizzling, and the Guangdong provincial [45:03] leaders said that none of them dared to [45:05] go up and hold an umbrella for Comrade [45:07] Xiaoping. They were afraid of [45:09] interrupting his thoughts. Comrade [45:11] Xiaoping stood in the mist, staring [45:13] blankly at Hong Kong for five or six [45:16] minutes. Comrade Xiaoping’s greatest [45:18] wish was to visit Hong Kong after its [45:20] return. Later, there wasn't enough time [45:22] . 1997, the return. Comrade Xiaoping [45:26] passed away in February 1997. Today, [45:29] Shenzhen’s development has repaid, [45:31] fully repaid, Comrade Xiaoping’s [45:34] expectations. Shenzhen’s total [45:36] economic output was one-five-hundredth [45:39] of Hong Kong’s. By 2018, Shenzhen’s [45:43] total economy had surpassed it. It [45:46] completely realized this speed of [45:48] development. You see, the central [45:52] government originally said the core [45:54] engine of the Greater Bay Area was Hong [45:57] Kong. Later, it became a dual-engine [46:01] with Shenzhen. The central government [46:03] hopes Shenzhen will surpass the Greater [46:05] Bay Area in competitiveness, innovation [46:07] , and influence, becoming a global [46:08] benchmark city. Look at the Hong [46:10] Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge; it doesn’t [46:12] connect to Shenzhen. They are afraid of [46:14] Shenzhen surpassing them. But what can [46:16] you do if you don't connect it? If you [46:17] don't connect it, can you just cast [46:19] Shenzhen aside? That still won't work. [46:21] I think Shenzhen’s development fully [46:23] uses its own reality to demonstrate the [46:26] vitality, innovation, and life force of [46:28] this city to the country and the whole [46:31] world. In 1977, the then-Secretary of [46:33] Guangdong, Secretary Zhongxun, said [46:36] something in the face of the trend of [46:38] fleeing to Hong Kong: "We must build [46:41] our mainland better, so they come [46:43] running to our side." Zhongxun can't [46:45] see it now, but we are actually [46:48] realizing "letting them come to our [46:50] side" today. Just look, the future will [46:54] be about this kind of competition. [46:57] There is a saying on the internet: " [46:59] Some Chinese people look down on their [47:02] own nation and country." But it doesn't [47:04] matter; China's future will not be [47:07] created by them. The future is built [47:09] through labor, sweat, entrepreneurship, [47:12] and innovation. This is where we are in [47:15] our entrepreneurship today, and the [47:17] state of us core Chinese people. Words [47:20] that people have said. We have entered [47:23] a "no-man's land." Huawei's [47:25] telecommunications technology is about [47:27] three years ahead of the U.S.'s Cisco [47:29] and about five years ahead of Ericsson [47:31] and Nokia. An elder once said that [47:33] today, Huawei faces a real danger [47:35] because we have entered a "no-man's [47:36] land." In the past, we followed others [47:38] —where they ran, we ran. Today, there [47:40] is no one in front of us, and they are [47:42] following us. Where should we run? This [47:44] is Huawei's true crisis. Look at how [47:47] opportunity and crisis coexist for us [47:49] today. We are ushering in a brand-new [47:52] era. Our Chinese nation has spent a [47:53] century in national salvation and a [47:55] century in rejuvenation. For the first [47:57] 100 years, from 1840 to 1949, many [47:59] forward-thinking Chinese started their [48:01] movements in Guangzhou, like Lin [48:02] Zexu’s opium suppression. Hong [48:04] Xiuquan’s Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. [48:07] Zeng Guofan’s Self-Strengthening [48:09] Movement. Kang Youwei’s Hundred Days' [48:11] Reform, Sun Yat-sen’s Xinhai [48:12] Revolution, and Mao Zedong’s New [48:14] Democratic Revolution—all advanced [48:16] Chinese people were driven by three [48:18] words: "Save China," to rescue the [48:20] nation's destiny. The mission of [48:21] national salvation was not started by [48:23] the Communist Party, but it was [48:24] concluded by them. In 1949, New China [48:26] was founded, marking the end of the [48:28] salvation mission and the beginning of [48:30] the next one. From 1949 to 2049: [48:32] developing China. The first 100 years [48:34] were for salvation. The next 100 years [48:36] are for rejuvenation. The first 100 [48:38] years were full of hardships, and our [48:40] next 100 years remain the same. But [48:41] through the struggles and sacrifices of [48:43] several generations, we have achieved [48:45] extraordinary results today. Let us [48:46] look at it from today's perspective. [48:48] This is a model created by Denver [48:50] University in the United States [48:51] regarding global economic growth. From [48:53] 1960 to 2099, global economic growth; [48:56] Denver University built this model [48:59] using World Bank data. Look at China. [49:03] In the 1960s, we were not even in the [49:06] picture—we weren't among the top six [49:08] in the world. By 1971, we finally made [49:12] it into the top 16. Then China began to [49:15] constantly accelerate, constantly [49:18] cutting in line. The world order was [49:20] settled like this: the United States as [49:22] the superpower in first place, Japan in [49:24] second, and other European countries [49:26] behind them. According to this ranking, [49:28] China and Asia were ranked further back [49:31] ; only Japan was ahead in Asia. Then, [49:33] as China progressed through reform and [49:35] opening up, it gradually rose. Finally, [49:37] the major world order changed [49:39] significantly with the dissolution of [49:41] the Soviet Union and the emergence of [49:43] Russia. Look closely at the others: not [49:46] only are we accelerating, not only are [49:48] we cutting in line, not only are we [49:50] overtaking—we are entering the top [49:52] ten in the world, surpassing Canada, [49:54] and moving up. One by one, what they [49:57] dislike most is that the Chinese people [49:59] don't follow the order or the rules of [50:01] the queue. Look, we surpassed Brazil to [50:03] enter the top seven, surpassed the UK [50:05] to enter the top six, and in 1998 [50:07] surpassed Italy to enter the top five. [50:10] In 2000, we surpassed France to enter [50:12] the top four. In 2004, we surpassed [50:15] Germany to enter the top three. In 2010 [50:18] , we surpassed Japan to become second [50:20] in the world. Some say we provoked the [50:22] US by making "Amazing China," or by [50:25] pursuing Made in China 2025. That's not [50:27] it; what provoked them is China's [50:29] development. These statistics all come [50:32] from the US. Look at this speed of [50:34] China's development—how could the [50:36] Americans not be afraid? We must [50:37] support, we must certainly support it. [50:40] There are actual figures up to 2017; in [50:43] 2017 we adopted actual figures. After [50:45] 2017, there is a simulation, a virtual [50:48] projection based on your resources, [50:50] your talent, and your development [50:52] prospects, creating a comprehensive [50:55] plan. After 2017, there is a [50:57] calculation and projection that goes [50:59] all the way to 2099. In 2049, for the [51:02] 100th anniversary of the founding of [51:05] New China, which is the goal of the [51:08] 18th and 19th Congresses—to realize [51:11] the great national rejuvenation—we [51:14] aim to surpass the US economy by 2028. [51:18] And continue to widen the gap after [51:20] surpassing them. Continue to widen the [51:23] distance from the US. Making it larger [51:26] and larger. Of course, in the end, [51:28] everyone can see that the US will have [51:30] to deal with India next, because India [51:32] is catching up. It's not that we are [51:34] chasing the US; the US won't be able to [51:35] catch up with us, and India will catch [51:37] up to the US, so they will have to [51:38] handle India next. By 2049, our economy [51:41] is projected to exceed the US by about [51:43] 20 trillion dollars. You can all see it [51:46] . This is by 2050, when we will have [51:49] about 48 trillion, and the US 27 [51:51] trillion. Let me conclude with this. [51:54] Small success requires friends. Great [51:56] success requires an opponent. If we [51:59] only wanted a small success. Just [52:01] making small successes requires friends [52:04] , but our national rejuvenation is a [52:06] great success, which requires an [52:08] opponent. By challenging us today and [52:10] tomorrow, they keep us from slacking [52:12] off, force us to examine our own faults [52:14] , and make us correct them. They point [52:16] out our problems, we fix them, and [52:18] after fixing them we become stronger, [52:21] so I think we really need such an [52:23] opponent. They have provided very [52:25] strong momentum for our development. I [52:28] say this is a century of change, a [52:31] dramatic evolution in the international [52:34] balance of power. The Chinese nation is [52:36] experiencing a historic journey of [52:38] national rejuvenation. We are moving [52:40] forward step by step. We are all [52:42] witnesses and participants in this [52:45] process, and this is our fortune. Of [52:47] course, future generations may be even [52:49] luckier, but where does our unique [52:51] fortune lie? You are living in an era [52:53] of great ups and downs for the Chinese [52:54] nation. The US is forcing China into an [52:56] opponent it may not be able to defeat. [52:58] For a century, our Chinese nation has [53:00] faced survival and destruction, rising [53:01] and falling; Chinese people are [53:03] inherited from the past and will be won [53:04] by the future. [53:05] I am truly surging with emotion right [53:07] now; that has opened up a huge gap. [53:09] There are many students on site who are [53:12] very excited, and they have prepared [53:13] many questions. Let's see what kind of [53:16] sparks will fly between the students [53:18] and Professor Jin. Is it necessary for [53:25] us to continue maintaining this kind of [53:27] foreign aid? General Jin, hello. [53:34] Today's topic is "From Sick Man of East [53:36] Asia to National Rejuvenation." The [53:38] term "Sick Man of East Asia" reminds me [53:40] of my summer research experience abroad [53:42] this year. During my research, I was [53:44] working on an experiment with an [53:46] Italian friend when he made a joke, [53:49] calling me "weak." We know that the [53:51] word "weak" not only means lacking [53:53] strength but also implies being frail. [53:55] At that time, I immediately associated [53:57] it with the insulting term "Sick Man of [53:59] East Asia" and was very angry. I [54:00] replied to him, "I am better than you, [54:03] because you are a stupid Italian." [54:05] Seeing my reply, he could tell that I [54:07] was angry. He was very confused and [54:10] even felt a bit wronged, because he [54:12] thought he was just making a joke. So I [54:14] started thinking: on one hand, why do [54:17] many foreigners still hold such [54:19] deep-seated stereotypes about our [54:21] people? On the other hand, are we [54:23] Chinese perhaps overreacting and being [54:25] too sensitive when it comes to similar [54:27] issues? [54:27] Well, this reminds me of an experience [54:30] we had in the US. In this regard, we [54:32] must avoid two extremes: being overly [54:35] sensitive on one hand, and being overly [54:37] insensitive on the other. We must avoid [54:40] both. In 2008, I accompanied the [54:42] President of our National Defense [54:44] University, a General, on a visit to [54:45] the US. Our President, a General, did [54:47] not receive the courtesies he should [54:49] have been given according to US [54:50] protocol. They made us take off our [54:51] belts during security checks. They [54:53] opened all our luggage and searched [54:55] through it very thoroughly. Our plane [54:56] tickets were all marked with four A's. [54:59] This meant that once any Chinese person [55:00] boarded the plane, they were assigned a [55:02] window seat. They ensured an American [55:03] sat next to you; they absolutely would [55:05] not let Chinese people sit together. If [55:07] you needed anything, you had to climb [55:08] over this American, so we were all [55:09] stuck by the window. Our President, a [55:11] General, didn't speak the language well [55:13] . I sat next to him and was told, "No, [55:15] you must sit in the back, you must sit [55:17] in the back," that's how it was. Later, [55:19] because of this kind of treatment, I [55:22] sought out the U.S. Naval Attaché and [55:24] Air Force Attaché who were [55:26] accompanying our visit; they hid as [55:28] soon as they saw us. I found them, and [55:31] I expressed my serious protest. We are [55:33] a delegation of generals; is this how [55:35] you treat us? They explained to us that [55:37] it was the U.S. Department of Homeland [55:38] Security, which the Department of [55:39] Defense couldn't control, claiming they [55:40] were two separate systems. I said, " [55:41] Fine, two systems!" I told them, "Our [55:44] airport security and our military are [55:45] also two separate systems. We will also [55:47] treat your generals with the same ' [55:48] separate system' treatment when they [55:49] visit China in the future." He said, " [55:51] Oh, we need to report this issue up." [55:54] The next day, the Naval Attaché [55:56] assistant found me with two small gifts [55:58] , saying, "This one is for General Wang [56:00] , and this is for you. Two small gifts, [56:03] please let it go." I said, "First, we [56:05] represent six people. If you're giving [56:07] gifts, you should give six. Giving two [56:10] is meant for whom?" I said, "Second, we [56:12] expect a formal response, not just [56:13] ending it with gifts. I said we are [56:15] going to report this formally when we [56:17] return." Done. I hope you also [56:19] officially report our opinions to your [56:21] Ministry of Defense. He felt quite [56:23] embarrassed and took the two gifts back [56:25] . After we returned to Beijing, about a [56:27] month later, there was a China-U.S. [56:29] defense ministry working meeting. I [56:32] attended it, where the U.S. Assistant [56:34] Secretary of Defense was present. The [56:36] meeting mainly focused on maritime [56:38] conflict avoidance mechanisms. However, [56:41] at the very beginning of the meeting, [56:43] the U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense [56:46] interrupted and said, "Let me address [56:48] one issue first.""The U.S. side would [56:50] like to formally apologize to China [56:52] regarding the incident one month ago [56:54] involving the President of the National [56:56] Defense University; our handling was [56:58] inappropriate, and we formally [56:59] apologize.""We guarantee that similar [57:01] issues will not happen again in the [57:03] future." I said, you see, for this kind [57:06] of situation, we must fight for our [57:08] rights. Of course, there is no need to [57:10] have a falling out to their face. If [57:14] they say you are Chinese, you can [57:16] respond with other words, but there is [57:18] no need to show anger. We can joke [57:21] around, but rights must be fought for; [57:24] they are not just waited for. Of course [57:27] , when we defend our rights, we show [57:29] our strength. If you treat me this way, [57:31] I will treat you that way—an eye for [57:33] an eye. Only then can we show that the [57:36] Chinese people also defend their own [57:38] rights. Even if your national power is [57:40] not as strong as theirs, if your inner [57:42] strength is equal to theirs, you can [57:44] effectively safeguard your own rights. [57:45] I feel that today, as Chinese, we walk [57:48] in the world with the nation providing [57:50] us full support, so we as individuals [57:52] shouldn't be overly...sensitive, [57:54] assuming everyone looks down on us. On [57:57] the other hand, if we find our rights [57:59] being harmed, we also have the right to [58:01] take up arms to defend them. [58:03] Okay, thank you. Jin Yao. Hello, [58:08] General. My name is Lu Haoyi, majoring [58:11] in aerospace engineering. In my [58:13] sophomore year, I wanted to apply to an [58:15] American university, Purdue, the alma [58:17] mater of our nation's "Two Bombs, One [58:19] Satellite" heroes Deng Jiaxian and [58:21] Liang Sili, but due to visa issues, I [58:23] couldn't go as planned. So I would like [58:25] to ask, in the current international [58:27] climate, do you think we should choose [58:29] to pursue further studies domestically, [58:32] or go abroad to better contribute to [58:34] our country's aerospace engineering? [58:36] Thank you. [58:37] All right. That's an interesting [58:39] question, and I'd like to give a small [58:41] example. I had some dental problems [58:43] recently, needing an implant—implants [58:44] are quite popular now, aren't they? [58:46] It's like getting a third set of teeth [58:48] in your life. The waitlist in Beijing [58:50] was too long, so I had no choice but to [58:51] go to Xi'an, to our Fourth Military [58:53] Medical University, which is top-tier [58:55] in the military and excellent. The [58:56] president of the university told me [58:58] about our dentistry. Thirty years ago. [59:01] Thirty years ago, our dental technology [59:03] in China, not to mention implants, was [59:05] far behind. It was behind foreign [59:07] countries by thirty or forty years, if [59:09] not more. Now, it's actually ahead in [59:11] some areas. He said, "Look at my [59:13] university." Robot-assisted implants. [59:16] He said foreign countries didn't [59:18] believe it, saying the Chinese were [59:19] faking it, because there were no [59:20] robot-assisted implants anywhere else [59:21] in the world. It wasn't until the BBC [59:23] reported on the university's robots in [59:25] 2017 and it was published in the New [59:27] York Times that the world finally [59:29] believed that the Chinese had created [59:32] robot-assisted implants. The oral [59:34] cavity is very small, and it hurts to [59:36] keep your mouth wide open. With robots, [59:38] you don't need to; a probe goes in and [59:40] sees everything clearly. Robot-assisted [59:43] implants ensure extremely high [59:44] precision. Don't underestimate the [59:46] Fourth Military Medical University. [59:47] They have extensive student exchanges [59:50] abroad. Sweden pioneered implants, [59:52] while the US and Japan are leaders in [59:54] dental technology. Today, we have [59:56] caught up with them all. Why are we so [59:59] ahead? Because of exchange and opening [60:01] up. Therefore, we must never close our [60:03] doors; we should go out whenever we can [60:06] . Get close to the cutting edge [60:07] whenever possible. Learn as much as you [60:09] can, fully exert Chinese learning, and [60:12] make full use of it. Only then can we [60:14] achieve full growth. [60:16] Thank you, General Jin. Hello, the [60:21] previous student asked about studying [60:24] abroad, so I would like to ask about [60:26] immigration. There is a saying that [60:28] once you emigrate, you are no longer [60:30] patriotic. However, we have observed [60:32] that when China faces controversy in [60:34] the international community, or when it [60:36] faces natural disasters, many overseas [60:38] Chinese spontaneously organize protests [60:41] and donations to support their homeland [60:43] . I would like to ask, how do you view [60:45] immigration? Are immigrants really [60:48] unpatriotic? I don't think that's the [60:50] case. For ordinary people, we cannot [60:52] impose any restrictions on immigration; [60:54] as long as they want to and have the [60:56] means, they can move. Today we talk [60:58] about having friends all over the world [61:00] ; wouldn't it be great if there were [61:02] Chinese people everywhere? Some see [61:04] immigration as a sign of being [61:05] scattered; I don't necessarily think so [61:08] . Moving abroad doesn't mean you are [61:09] just a loose end. If they speak of [61:11] China and remember their country, then [61:13] they aren't. For example, the best case [61:16] in the world is the Jewish people. The [61:18] Jews were not just immigrants; they had [61:21] no homeland. From the 1st or 2nd [61:24] century, they were driven out and [61:26] scattered across the world for 1,800 [61:29] years. During World War II, six million [61:31] Jews were killed in Europe, yet the [61:33] cohesion of the Jewish people remained [61:35] incredibly strong. You could say they [61:37] were immigrants, scattered worldwide. [61:39] But in the end, they rebuilt the state [61:41] of Israel. Even without a homeland or a [61:44] country, their collective self-esteem [61:47] was preserved. I hope our Chinese [61:49] nation can achieve this, that no matter [61:51] where we are in the world, we can [61:54] maintain this spiritual cohesion. That [61:56] is my answer. [61:58] We certainly can. Thank you, General [62:01] Jin. General Jin, hello. What is the [62:05] status of the online public opinion [62:06] space in modern warfare? [62:08] I think we should refer to two [62:09] statements by President Xi. The first [62:11] is that without networkization, there [62:13] is no modernization. The second is that [62:15] without cybersecurity, there is no [62:17] national security. Freedom is not [62:19] unlimited; freedom must not infringe [62:21] upon others. When individual freedom [62:23] expands without limit and causes harm [62:25] to others, it must be constrained. [62:27] Professor Jin, hello. Modern warfare is [62:30] often information and technology [62:32] warfare. I wonder if we can still use [62:33] collective ideology and inner strength [62:35] to overcome modern war, as we did in [62:37] the Korean War? [62:38] Modern war machines are becoming easier [62:40] to operate, so the proportion of [62:42] physical strength and bravery required [62:44] is declining, but it cannot be replaced [62:46] . The combination of our modernization [62:48] with this spirit and mettle is what [62:50] makes a complete army and a complete [62:52] soldier. General Jin, hello. For [62:55] contemporary Chinese students, how [62:57] exactly does the spirit of struggle [62:59] help us, and how should we cultivate [63:01] and maintain a sense of fighting spirit [63:03] ? [63:03] As Lu Xun said, dissatisfaction is the [63:06] wheel of progress. If college students [63:08] feel that their environment is too [63:10] comfortable and superior, lacking [63:12] intense challenges, I think you need to [63:14] seek out intense collisions and [63:15] challenges; these are the only things [63:17] that can fully stimulate a person's [63:19] adrenaline. A person uses at most 12%to [63:22] 13%of their brain in a lifetime. Why is [63:26] that? It hasn't been stimulated. Jin. [63:42] General, hello. Since the founding of [63:45] our country, we have continuously [63:47] provided aid to some Third World [63:49] countries. Of course, our demeanor as a [63:51] major power has won us much praise, but [63:54] some capitalist countries pursue an " [63:56] America First" policy. Do you think it [63:59] is necessary for us to continue [64:00] maintaining this kind of foreign aid? [64:02] Uh, as for foreign aid, as a major [64:04] power, it is actually essential. It is [64:07] something we should have the style for. [64:09] In fact, our aid is not as much as what [64:10] is circulated on the internet or WeChat [64:12] ; we don't have that much. Today, a [64:14] large portion of our aid is actually... [64:16] well, there are conditions. They all [64:18] require repayment of principal and [64:20] interest. Look at our Z-10 helicopters; [64:23] we provided them as aid. What does [64:27] providing them as aid mean? It means [64:29] letting them use two units free of [64:31] charge. Because weapons and equipment [64:33] need to be used. We don't have the [64:35] environment for it, but Pakistan does. [64:37] Giving them two to use, you call that [64:40] aid. They started attacking terrorists [64:41] and hitting ground targets, then [64:43] constantly identifying the problems [64:44] with our helicopters. Once they were [64:46] used, the flaws appeared. We needed to [64:48] know these flaws, and I would fix them [64:50] immediately. They would point out the [64:52] problems, and I would fix them right [64:53] away, modifying them based on the [64:55] battlefield. You see, this aid plays a [64:58] huge role. Including the JF-17 fighter [65:00] jets we recently provided to Pakistan, [65:03] didn't they shoot down India's MiG-21? [65:05] The JF-17 fighter jet became very [65:07] popular; that was the one we provided [65:09] to Pakistan as aid. With the JF-17 [65:11] becoming popular, Chengdu Aircraft [65:13] Industry also became popular. Our [65:15] exports have increased, and now [65:17] countries beyond Pakistan, like Egypt [65:19] and several others, are very interested [65:21] . In this regard, I think we will [65:23] definitely not be like the United [65:25] States, throwing money around [65:27] everywhere. We certainly won't, but we [65:29] will carry out this aid to achieve our [65:31] own utility. That is my answer. [65:34] Thank you, Professor Jin. [65:38] Hello Professor. My question is that [65:41] today's youth may pursue [65:42] self-actualization and individual [65:45] liberation more. Do you think the [65:47] dedication and collectivism promoted by [65:49] the older generation are still [65:51] applicable to them? [65:52] Actually, the older generation also [65:53] pursued the liberation of thought, [65:55] every one of them. They are all the [65:57] same; the liberation of thought is an [65:59] eternal human pursuit that has never [66:00] changed. For example, look at Richard [66:02] Yu at Huawei; he is exactly that kind [66:05] of person. Today, he is a big shot at [66:07] Huawei, the person in charge of [66:09] consumer products. Yu said his mentor [66:11] once told him, "Yu, your personality is [66:13] not suited for government agencies."" [66:16] It's not suited for traditional [66:17] enterprises either; you won't succeed [66:18] there, so just stay in university and [66:20] teach." With his "I am the only one who [66:22] matters" personality, he couldn't get [66:23] along anywhere. He couldn't go anywhere [66:25] else, so he ended up at Huawei. Yu said [66:27] that on his very first day at Huawei, [66:29] he fell in love with it. He walked into [66:32] the office and saw a girl doing a [66:34] handstand in the corner. There was also [66:37] a boy sitting with his legs crossed, [66:39] with his foot even higher than the desk [66:42] . Isn't this exactly the kind of [66:46] environment I wanted? He loved it so [66:49] much. Then at Huawei, he met a boss [66:52] like Ren Zhengfei, who was so great. Yu [66:55] had endless ideas—level two, level [66:58] three, so many new thoughts—but he [67:01] couldn't provide a feasibility report. [67:04] He couldn't provide a feasibility [67:05] analysis or new data, but Ren Zhengfei [67:07] just said, "I'll give you the money. [67:09] Old Yu, if you have an idea, I'll fund [67:11] it and see if you can make it work." Yu [67:14] said this was exactly what he loved. I [67:16] just have ideas; I can't produce a [67:18] feasibility analysis or a 1-2-3-4-5 [67:19] step-by-step plan. I just estimate it [67:21] will work, and I have to feel my way [67:23] across the river. He said the boss let [67:25] him feel his way across the river. I'm [67:28] saying, look at today, the release of [67:30] individual personality is still a great [67:33] asset for us. How to release it [67:35] effectively is something young people [67:37] today should focus on; there is no need [67:39] to suppress it.