本期内容重点聚焦两大核心议题：
1. 深度解析即将到来的财报季风暴，并前瞻六只核心标的在未来30天的走势：AMD、Meta（戏称“Mata”）、Celsius（“Celsius the wealthiest”）、e.l.f. Beauty（“Elf on a Shelf”）、SoFi（“SoFi So High”）以及亚马逊（“AmazingZone”）。
2. 分享三只适合未来数年持有的“送钱级”（Easy Money）优质股票。这些标的目前个人并未持有，但其极具吸引力的估值和确定性让人难以忽视。
期权市场上近期出现了一个引人瞩目的危险信号：纳斯达克100指数（NASDAQ 100）的看跌期权（Put）购买量出现了爆炸式增长（"Holy smokers, this ain't no dang jokers"）。对于普通散户而言，看到华尔街机构如此疯狂囤积看跌期权，很容易解读为极度看空的信号，认为大资金正在提前为未来数周内的大崩盘抢跑布局。
[10:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=600s) AMD's Revenue Acceleration Phase and Massive Operating Leverage
AMD is entering what could be a historic acceleration phase for top-line revenue growth. While Wall Street consensus currently models roughly 41% revenue growth for the upcoming quarter, the expectation here is that AMD is positioned to "smash that number." What makes the setup particularly compelling is the projected multi-quarter trajectory: moving from 41% to 57%, then onward to 75%, 77%, and potentially 80%. Drawing a direct comparison to Nvidia's historic run, AMD possesses the momentum to deliver not just five consecutive quarters of accelerating growth, but potentially nine or ten quarters of accelerating expansion over the next two years.
```mermaid
flowchart LR
accTitle: AMD Growth and Margin Expansion Engine
accDescr: Diagram illustrating AMD top-line acceleration translating into disproportionate bottom-line EPS gains through operating leverage and higher margin chips.
subgraph TopLine ["Top-Line Acceleration"]
Q1["Near-Term: 41%+ Beat"] --> Q2["Next Phase: 57% Growth"]
Q2 --> Q3["Peak Run: 75% - 80%+ Growth"]
end
subgraph Leverage ["Operating Leverage"]
Rev["Accelerating Revenue"] --> Margins["Expanding Margins per Chip"]
Cost["Disciplined Operating Costs"] -.-> Margins
end
subgraph BottomLine ["Bottom-Line Explosion"]
Margins --> EPS["EPS Surges 150% - 200%+"]
end
```
The real mispricing, however, lies in bottom-line earnings per share (EPS), where sell-side analysts are described as being "a mile and a half off." Because AMD's corporate overhead and headcount will not expand anywhere near the pace of a 60% top-line surge, incremental revenue flows directly to the bottom line. Coupled with substantial gross and operating margin expansion over the next one to two years as higher-margin next-generation chips ship, the profit realized per unit is climbing rapidly. Under this dynamic, a 60% increase in revenue can easily translate into an explosive 150% to 200% jump in EPS, creating a massive gap between actual earnings power and Wall Street's overly conservative forecasts.
- **Consecutive Acceleration Windows**: Potential for 5 to 10 consecutive quarters of accelerating revenue growth, echoing Nvidia's multi-year AI cycle.
- **Projected Growth Milestones**: Sequence modeled to ramp from an initial 41% beat up to 57%, 75%, 77%, and roughly 80%.
- **Operating Leverage Dynamic**: Fixed operational costs remain largely stable while top-line revenue scales, amplifying net margin gains.
- **EPS Outperformance**: Margin expansion per unit creates conditions where bottom-line earnings grow at more than double or triple the rate of top-line revenue.
---
[12:28](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=748s) Meta's Range-Bound Dilemma and the Trillion-Dollar Potential of AI Assistant Muse
Meta shares have remained range-bound between $575 and $775 for nearly the entire year, caught in an ongoing tug-of-war between aggressive capital spending and investor sentiment. The stock is unlikely to decisively break out past $775 until one of two conditions is satisfied: either Mark Zuckerberg demonstrates that the multi-billion-dollar CapEx cycle has peaked and infrastructure spending is coming under control, or Meta introduces groundbreaking products and services that convince Wall Street to look past a potential "$150 billion" annual infrastructure spend. That catalyst now hinges on the commercial reception and monetization strategy of Meta's proprietary AI assistant, Muse.
Early real-world feedback on Muse has been remarkably strong, with users consistently granting the assistant far deeper system and personal data access than initially anticipated. Rather than cluttering the conversational interface with disruptive ads—a pitfall facing pure-play AI competitors—Meta is deploying a sophisticated multi-pronged monetization framework:
```mermaid
flowchart TD
accTitle: Meta Muse Monetization Architecture
accDescr: Flowchart displaying the three monetization streams of Meta's Muse AI assistant and its feedback loop into core ad targeting.
Muse["Muse Conversational AI (Clean, Ad-Free UI)"]
subgraph EcosystemRev ["Ecosystem Ad Monetization"]
Signals["Rich Contextual Intent & User Data Signals"]
Family["Family of Apps (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Threads)"]
Ads["Hyper-Targeted High-Converting Ads"]
end
Muse --> Sub
Muse --> Fees
Muse --> Signals
Signals --> Family --> Ads
```
- **Subscription Tiers**: Beyond the widely adopted free tier, Meta offers dedicated power-user tiers priced at $20 per month and $100 per month.
- **Autonomous Commerce Integration**: Meta takes a cut of transaction fees whenever Muse autonomously completes purchases or bookings through third-party partners, including travel via Expedia, grocery delivery via Instacart, and retail checkouts via PayPal.
- **Contextual Intent Engine**: By analyzing conversational intent data in an ad-free chat interface, Meta feeds high-intent signals back into its core Family of Apps (Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, and Threads) to serve hyper-targeted ads that dramatically increase click-through and purchase conversion rates.
- **Breakout Condition**: For Meta to sustain a valuation above $775, investors must develop the same level of generational confidence in Muse that the market currently holds for OpenAI's ChatGPT or Anthropic's Claude, treating it as a legitimate "trillion-dollar plus opportunity."
---
[16:38](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=998s) Celsius: International Expansion, Alani Nu Surge, and Long-Term Asymmetry
Celsius Holdings presents a highly asymmetric short-term risk/reward profile heading into its early-to-mid November earnings release. With the stock hovering near $28, the perceived near-term downside sits around $25, while a strong report could readily trigger a rally to $35 or higher. Although the position in the speaker's public portfolio currently reflects a modest gain of around $13,000, the long-term conviction remains anchored on a target of "$100 plus." The core requirement on the upcoming earnings call is management's ability to prove to institutional investors that Celsius remains a durable double-digit revenue growth asset quarter after quarter.
Pessimism surrounding Celsius stems largely from myopic interpretations of domestic scanner data ("not seeing the forest for the trees"). While US retail numbers and Nielsen scanner data have softened as the company rationalizes and cuts underperforming SKUs, critics are overlooking two massive structural growth drivers:
1. **Global Footprint Replicating Proven Playbooks**: International expansion represents an underappreciated catalyst. Feedback from European community members confirms that brand availability is ramping quickly overseas, following the lucrative international playbooks pioneered by Monster Beverage and Red Bull.
2. **The Alani Nu Growth Engine**: The performance of Alani Nu is described as "off the charts ridiculous," with volume expansion tracking near 70%, becoming an increasingly significant driver of combined corporate volume.
For long-term investors operating on a multi-year horizon, temporary quarterly fluctuations between 7% and 15% revenue growth are secondary to the ten-year secular adoption trend in functional energy beverages.
- **Current Valuation Setup**: Stock trading around $28; short-term downside estimated near $25 versus upside potential targeting $35+.
- **Long-Term Target**: Multi-year fundamental target maintained at $100+ per share.
- **Private Community Demographics**: Approximately 60% US-based and 40% international members, with European participants highlighting accelerating on-shelf brand presence.
- **Key Catalysts**: Rapid overseas distribution gains, strategic SKU pruning in the US core line, and explosive ~70% volume growth from Alani Nu.
[20:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1200s) Celsius: Long-Term Brand Building vs. Short-Term Noise
When evaluating consumer brands like Celsius and Alani Nu, obsessing over whether growth in a given period is 6%, 9%, 10%, or 20% misses the bigger picture. Building a beverage powerhouse is a multi-decade journey rather than a trade measured in weeks. The goal of management is not to juice sales for the next "10, 20, 30 weeks," but to foster a generational consumer base that stays loyal to Celsius and Alani products for the next "10, 20, 30 years." Getting bogged down in minor quarterly fluctuations ignores the ten-year-plus compound runway in front of the company.
Trading around $109, e.l.f. Beauty remains well on track to hit its projected year-end exit range of $100 to $140, pointing to an implied midpoint of $120 and solid upside from current levels. While the immediate upcoming earnings release is anticipated to show strong topline growth, Wall Street analysts have turned unreasonably bearish on the quarters that follow. Consensus estimates predicting revenue growth to decelerate into the 8% to 10% range completely disregard e.l.f.'s ongoing retail expansion. The brand remains significantly underpenetrated across major retailers, consistently outselling its allocated shelf space, which reliably triggers additional retail doors and expanded shelf footprints in subsequent quarters.
Furthermore, international distribution is ramping aggressively, and recent additions like Naturium continue to deliver astronomically high sell-through rates. Having tracked e.l.f. Beauty since its IPO and owned shares directly since 2019—likely longer than any Wall Street analyst currently covering the stock—the underlying retail velocity tells a vastly different story than Wall Street models. Analyst consensus calls for adjusted EPS to drop precipitously by 15% in the upcoming report, followed by contractions of 31% and 34% in subsequent quarters.
Amid discussing these EPS projections, an amusing distraction occurs when a random couple casually wanders through the backyard past the home office window, brought in by the swarm of ongoing landscaping and renovation projects. Returning to the stock, if Wall Street's dismal estimates prove accurate, the downside for ELF at these compressed valuation levels is minimal; but if the company's real-world shelf velocity persists, the stock presents substantial upside.
- **Current Share Price**: ~$109
- **Year-End Target Range**: $100 – $140 (midpoint: $120)
- **Consensus Revenue Growth Expectations**: Projected at an overly conservative 8% – 10%
- **Analyst Consensus EPS Projections**: Down 15% (current quarter), down 31% (next quarter), down 34% (following quarter)
- **Growth Drivers**: Systematic shelf-space expansion, Naturium brand momentum, and early-stage international rollout
---
[23:39](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1419s) SoFi: Stellar Digital Banking Execution Held Hostage by Treasury Yields
SoFi sits up roughly 65% from its cost basis in the public portfolio, illustrating a massive sentiment divergence across retail investors. Investors who entered the position two years ago are sitting on massive profits, while early SPAC-era buyers who bought at $28, $30, or $31 "absolutely despise the stock." Underneath the sentiment divide, SoFi's underlying quarterly metrics have been exceptional: rapid member growth, deepening product cross-selling per user, expanding total deposits, and an asset-light digital banking model that sidesteps the heavy physical overhead of legacy financial institutions.
The primary systemic tail-risk for any financial institution remains balance-sheet leverage during severe recessions; if CEO Anthony Noto ever over-leveraged the bank into an economic crash, the equity could theoretically be sold for pennies ($2 to $4 per share). However, Noto has managed capitalization and the balance sheet conservatively. Ahead of SoFi's upcoming earnings in roughly 15 days, customer acquisition and execution are virtually guaranteed to impress, yet the stock remains mechanically chained to macro interest rates. Should 10-year Treasury yields march higher, SoFi faces immediate headwinds regardless of fundamental execution; if yields ease, SoFi has clear fundamental justification to exit the year above $20 per share.
```mermaid
flowchart TD
accTitle: SoFi Operational Engine vs Treasury Yield Macro Headwind
accDescr: Diagram illustrating how SoFi's internal digital banking metrics contrast with external pressure from US Treasury yields.
subgraph Operations ["Internal Execution (15 Days to Earnings)"]
A["Rapid Member Acquisition"] --> D["Asset-Light Digital Banking"]
B["Product Cross-Selling"] --> D
C["Surging Balance Sheet Assets"] --> D
end
subgraph Macro ["Macro Sentiment Gatekeeper"]
E["10-Year Treasury Yields"]
E -->|"Yields Spike"| F["Multiple Compression / Tough Sledding"]
E -->|"Yields Decline"| G["Rally Toward $20+ Exit Target"]
end
D -.->|"Performance Overlooked by Market"| E
```
---
[26:46](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1606s) Amazon (AMZN): E-Commerce, Ads, and the All-Important AWS Re-Acceleration
Amazon ranks as the third or fourth largest position in the public portfolio, valued at over $403,000 with unrealized gains surpassing $184,000. The investment thesis rests on three core pillars, two of which provide a steady long-term foundation. First, the core e-commerce business has embedded itself into daily habits for everything from household tape to groceries; convenience has supplanted brick-and-mortar runs, making consumers happy to pay slightly higher prices online rather than endure a "mile-and-a-half hike" through a warehouse club like Costco. Second, the digital advertising segment is a cash-printing machine, powered by Prime Video ads and sponsored pay-per-click product placements.
Yet, despite the immense scale of retail and advertising, Wall Street currently ignores both when pricing the stock short term: "It's 100% dependent upon AWS." Billions in capital expenditure are deployed exclusively to expand cloud and AI infrastructure, and AWS is the engine that generates high-margin operating cash flows. In the prior reported quarter, AWS growth surged from 28% to 37%—a dramatic acceleration of 900 basis points. Because expectations have ratcheted up so rapidly, delivering cloud growth between 39% and 44% in the upcoming report could actually be perceived by the market as a disappointment, since even the top end of that range represents only a 700-basis-point sequential uptick.
- **Public Account Position**: ~$403,000+ total value (unrealized gain: ~$184,000+)
- **Portfolio Rank**: 3rd or 4th largest holding (behind AMD and Meta)
- **AWS Historical Acceleration**: Rebounded from 28% growth to 37% (+900 bps)
- **Near-Term AWS Benchmark**: 39% – 44% growth risks being treated as a modest disappointment by short-term traders expecting a runaway re-acceleration
[30:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1800s) Amazon's AWS Growth Benchmarks and the "Always a Buy" Thesis
Looking ahead at Amazon's upcoming earnings, AWS cloud revenue growth is the sole critical metric that will dictate market reaction. Coming off the prior year's comparable quarter where revenue grew only 20%, an AWS growth rate between 39% and 44% simply "is not going to cut it"—a print in that range would likely drive the stock price lower. A growth rate between 44% and 47% would trigger a muted or mixed reaction, fluctuating within roughly a 5% band in either direction. However, if AWS posts 48% or higher, the stock is poised to surge past $275 per share:
```mermaid
flowchart TD
accTitle: AWS Growth Scenarios and Market Impact
accDescr: Flowchart illustrating three AWS growth rate brackets and their anticipated effect on Amazon stock price.
Crossing that 48% threshold would lead Wall Street to model growth rates accelerating well beyond 50%. Considering AWS is already generating tens of billions of dollars per quarter, sustained 50%+ growth would be staggering, prompting analysts to debate whether cloud growth could top 60% or 70%. In that scenario, AWS alone could scale into a trillion-dollar annual revenue business, yielding between $250 billion and $400 billion in annual bottom-line net income—entirely separate from e-commerce and advertising cash flows.
Investors must avoid getting bogged down in incremental noise over whether quarterly AWS growth clocks in at 46% versus 48%. Amazon remains one of the rarest compounders on Wall Street, carrying a simple long-term truth:
> "Amazon is always a buy. It was a buy last year. It was a buy the year before. It was a buy 10 years ago. It was a buy 20 years ago. It was a buy at the tech bubble peak. It was a buy before the tech bubble peak. It was a buy after the tech bubble went pop. It's always a buy. It's one of the very few stocks in the stock market that is always a buy."
[31:54](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1914s) The Investing Process vs. Short-Term Price Fixation
A major pitfall among newer investors is letting short-term price fluctuations dictate their mood and conviction. In the early days of running a private investment community, earnings seasons proved deeply frustrating: when a stock jumped, members celebrated euphorically, but when it dipped, depression set in. Almost no one examined the actual 10-Q filings, income statements, gross margins, or management commentary on the earnings conference calls. Real investing relies on following a disciplined process—digging into guidance, assessing margin trajectories, running bottom-up financial projections, and understanding why metrics shift—rather than declaring oneself a genius after a 10% gain or panicking after a 10% pullback.
Portfolio balances should be viewed merely as temporary scoreboards. With the public portfolio standing at roughly $5.22 million in late 2026, a swing over the next 30 days down to $4.2 million or up to $6.2 million changes nothing about long-term execution. A rally to $6.2 million will not prompt selling everything to stuff cash under a mattress. The overarching multi-year goal remains compounding the portfolio past $10 million and into the tens of millions of dollars. Maintaining perspective and staying grounded in rigorous financial analysis is the core focus emphasized within the private group.
[35:34](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=2134s) Why High-Conviction "Exciting" Stocks Dominate the Portfolio
Addressing recurring YouTube viewer complaints about repeatedly covering the same basket of roughly 20 core holdings, Jeremy explains his investment philosophy. Tracking thousands of publicly traded equities does not mean allocating capital across all of them. In fact, he reviews and grades far more earnings statements and attends more conference calls for companies he does not own than for those currently held in his portfolio, constantly surveying the broader macro environment for future opportunities.
Capital naturally concentrates into the best risk-reward setups in the entire market:
- **High-Growth compounders:** Previous heavy allocations into names like AMD ahead of its massive run, Palantir (yielding up to 2,700% gains), Meta, and Tesla generated life-changing returns because those businesses possess massive, evolving catalysts.
- **The trouble with mature stalwarts:** Established dividend names like Coca-Cola or Yum! Brands (parent of Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut) offer steady predictability, but their underlying growth rates remain uninspiring, making in-depth ongoing analysis relatively dull.
- **Speculative garbage:** Zero interest exists in chasing pre-revenue, cash-burning companies lacking viable business models that risk bankruptcy.
- **Market influence reality check:** Discussing mega-caps is not an attempt to move share prices; retail commentary does not manipulate a $2 trillion valuation on Meta or a trillion-dollar capitalization on AMD. Coverage simply follows where the real growth stories and substantial long-term wealth creation reside.
The first attractive "easy money" setup outside of current personal holdings is PepsiCo (PEP). The stock has dropped more than 20% over a five-year stretch, presenting a rare valuation discount for an entrenched consumer staple cash cow. A deep review of PepsiCo's latest quarterly income statement earned it a solid "A" grade:
The quarter fell just short of an "A+" grade purely because mid-single-digit top-line revenue growth cannot command the highest tier. Nonetheless, pairing double-digit operational profit growth with a beaten-down valuation and an attractive dividend yield makes PepsiCo a standout defensive value opportunity.
## Notable quotes
> [00:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=0s) Your Portfolio is about to GO INSANE‼️
> [02:35](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=155s) Holy smokers, this ain't no dang jokers
> [10:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=600s) smash that number
> [10:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=600s) a mile and a half off
> [16:38](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=998s) not seeing the forest for the trees
> [16:38](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=998s) off the charts ridiculous
> [23:39](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1419s) absolutely despise the stock
> [26:46](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1606s) It's 100% dependent upon AWS.
> [30:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1800s) is not going to cut it
> [30:00](https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1ZDWc68E4B?t=1800s) Amazon is always a buy. It was a buy last year. It was a buy the year before. It was a buy 10 years ago. It was a buy 20 years ago. It was a buy at the tech bubble peak. It was a buy before the tech bubble peak. It was a buy after the tech bubble went pop. It's always a buy. It's one of the very few stocks in the stock market that is always a buy.
[0:00] Your Portfolio is about to GO INSANE‼️
[2:35] Holy smokers, this ain't no dang jokers
[10:00] smash that number
[10:00] a mile and a half off
[16:38] not seeing the forest for the trees
[16:38] off the charts ridiculous
[23:39] absolutely despise the stock
[26:46] It's 100% dependent upon AWS.
[30:00] is not going to cut it
[30:00] Amazon is always a buy. It was a buy last year. It was a buy the year before. It was a buy 10 years ago. It was a buy 20 years ago. It was a buy at the tech bubble peak. It was a buy before the tech bubble peak. It was a buy after the tech bubble went pop. It's always a buy. It's one of the very few stocks in the stock market that is always a buy.
[40:00] 清醒一点吧，普通人的现实生活根本不是那样的
[40:00] 甩开其他出行方式整整一条街
Original transcript
[0:00] The calm before the storm. That is the phase we're in right now. Look at the public count here today. A .01% move, a $700 move on a $5 million plus portfolio. That's the calm before the storm. We are about to go into a phase where rapid wealth is created or destroyed. And that's going to happen over the next 30 days. And depending upon how you're positioned, you are going to come out of this either looking very, very good or very, very bad. Okay, so there's two core subjects we're going to get into in this video here today, okay? One, we're going to get into what is coming here, okay? I want to explain this, what's going to happen. And we're going to talk about what's about to happen to AMD stock, Mata, Celsius the wealthiest, Elf on a Shelf, SoFi So High, and AmazingZone. We're going to talk about all six of those stocks, where all six of those are headed in this next 30 days, in my opinion. Second subject we're going to get into here today is I want to talk about three stocks that are easy money right now. Easy money buys, if you want to hold these for the next few years, that I don't own. And so I thought that would be intriguing because obviously I talk so much in the channel about stocks I already own or I interested in buying But what about three stocks that I look out there right now and I like I don have any money invested in these but they just easy money We get into that in this video here today We got an action one for you All I need from you is just to smash that like button. If you could just hit that thumbs up icon, that's all I need from you. I appreciate every single person that does that. Thank you, everybody. Subscribe to the channel. Obviously, we're well over 950,000 subscribers. I don't care if you're number 952,005. I appreciate you in a huge way for being subscribed here to the channel. Also, big congrats. Last week, I went ahead and signed awards for 18 people that hit six figures plus in their portfolio. And then we had 10 members of the private group hit a million dollars plus in their portfolio in the last two weeks. And so I signed those awards last week. We sent those out. You guys should be receiving those in the next week or two. And all the people that hit the seven-figure plus club sent you 1,000x. Nike had as well. Congrats to all you guys. Big, big accomplishments. If you're looking to join my private group, you want access to everything that the private group members get access to in there. That's going to be the pinned comment down there today. Access to all my course curriculums. Access to my private Discord chat, 1000xdocs.com. See the moves I'm making on my now $5 million plus fidelity account. This graphic is a little outdated from many months ago It was million at that time Now we well 5 million So that would be the pinned comment down there Okay You ready Listen have you guys seen what going on with put buying? Holy smokers, this ain't no dang jokers. The NASDAQ 100 has seen an explosion in put buying here recently, right? So you look at something like this and now this can sound very scary. Like, oh boy, like why is also on Wall Street loading up on put options on the NASDAQ 100. Nesdaq 100, let's be very clear, that's ran by NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, all those big dog stocks that really can move the market up and down in a huge substantial way, right? So you can look at something like that and be like, oh, they're prepping for a big downward move in this market in this next few weeks, next month, right? You could view it that way, like lots of bearishness, or you could view it as, hey, guess what everybody's the most invested in, especially in terms of Wall Streeters, they're most invested. Bless my soul. They're most invested into NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google, McDougal, right? Tesla, all these sorts of stocks. And so it could be they're just hedging their portfolios because they're extremely long, all those different stocks, right And what if this earnings season goes bad What if things go south over the next month What that mean for the NASDAQ 100 Could the NASDAQ 100 fall 5 or 10 maybe 15 between now and a month from now And so hedging could definitely be. And you could say, well, why are they hedging? Well, they're hedging because of guess what's coming. It's starting right now. Earnings season, right? It starts literally tomorrow. Tomorrow, JPMorgan Chase is reporting, the biggest financial institution, the financial institution that matters the most in the world, Black Miles, JPMorgan. They report earnings hours from now. Goldman Sachs. Goldman Sachs is reporting, the second most important financial institution in the entire world, is reporting tomorrow morning. You've got Wells Fargo reporting. You've got Citi reporting. Then you have ASML. You have Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock, all reporting on Wednesday. Fastenal. You have TSMC. Who do you think is making all these chips? that all these semiconductor companies are making fortunes and money off of. TSMC is making those. So you get those earnings on Thursday, right? It's starting earning season. So it's about to be a gauntlet of earnings. And this means that you're going to have incredible amounts of wealth being made or lost in the next 30 days, right? And so the public account, you know, that's
[5:00] $5.2 million portfolio as of right now. Like that could make a million dollar plus move, a million dollar plus move. in the next 30 days. In the next 30 days, a million dollars plus, right? That's an incredible amount of money. And so you've got to understand, like, there's going to be People that walk away in the next 30 days that are just like, you know, flying high and just like in the best financial situation ever. And then I go, oh, my gosh, man, this is amazing. And there's going to be other people that are just in a really rough spot. Right. And it really depends on how you're positioned into this earning season. So with that being said, let's get into AMD, Mata, Celsius, Elf, SoFi, Amazon. What's going to happen with these stocks, in my opinion? Are we going to see massive moves up for these stocks, massive move downs? And we're going to talk about each one individual. Let's start out with the big dog, right? Let's start out with AMD. Here's what's going to happen with AMD, in my opinion. Listen. AMD is going to be reporting earnings on November 3rd, right? November 3rd, right after market close. So this is a huge earnings report for AMD. We know AMD is going through a phase of rapid acceleration of revenue growth right now. We know Lisa Su is out there selling these chips to all the big customers out there. And we know AMD's importance in regards to GPU market is increasing rapidly right now and especially with this new generation of chips they have out. So we're going to see a huge benefit of that. But additionally, now CPUs are going from like a, you know, one to eight ratio to a one to one ratio. So we know the CPU demand is now accelerating way faster than most people had anticipated, right? Even a lot of it. experts on this industry and no one's no one's like suddenly amd's gone from A company that a year and a half ago, two years from now, people like Stacey Rask on, were saying like we don't even know if we need them. To now all of a sudden it's like, oh my gosh. AMD is the most well-positioned semiconductor company in the world to really benefit over this next three to five years. And now people are like, oh, man, like we might have missed this one. And people had an opportunity to invest in the stock when it was $100 a year or two ago. And now you're looking at that same stock, and now it's $600 to invest into that stock. And it's about to be a lot more expensive to invest in that stock very shortly. So AMD earnings are coming. out 30 days from now this is a $675 to $775 stock okay now I Personally, listen, am I going to be making any bet on AMD stock that it's going to be a certain price? 30 days from now? Absolutely not. I'm not doing that. I'm not messing around with that. Because at the end of the day, regardless of what AMD's earnings come in at, I can't control whether Wall Streeters buy into that stock or sell that stock off the next 30 days. I can't control what happens to the stock market in general over the next 30 days. The market could you know, tank down, that market could go flying higher. The NASDAQ 100 could go flying higher. I can't control any of that. So although I believe, and for certain reasons I'm about to share with you, this stock is $675 to $775 in the next 30 days, I'm not going to buy extra shares. I'm holding my massive multimillion dollar positions in AMD, right? And I'm not going to go out there and buy call options. There's no sense in trying to be greedy in regards to Thank you. That's when you wind up in major, major trouble. I keep it simple. I say... Is a stock great opportunity? Do I have a lot of upside ahead over the coming years because revenue is going to this, earnings per share is going to this, margins are going to this? I keep it simple right there, okay? Now, when it comes to AMD, Here's the deal. If you look at the revenue estimates from analysts on average, they're just over $13 billion. Now, that's a very important number because Lisa Su guided for $13 billion plus or minus $300 million. Now, based on me tracking Lisa Su's projections and the team's projections over the years, I don't think they're going to put out a number that they're not confident they're going to come in and probably beat handily. $15.35 billion, essentially. Because I do not... Like they're going to at least have when they put out that projection, they're going to at least wanted to have beat. the the you know best case scenario essentially right and since that time you got to ask yourself have we gotten more confident or less confident about amd's ability to sell cpus and gpus and the much more confident with AMD's ability to sell CPUs and GPUs. So the highest probability is they're going to come in and beat that. And not only beat that, but beat it by a pretty substantial margin. And we've been kind of waiting on this shock and awe and
[10:00] number to come out of AMD and if there's a quarter when it looks like it's pretty probable it's this coming quarter right now the really exciting thing for AMD right now is they're in the acceleration phase when it comes to revenue growth so 41% expected like I said they're going to smash that number then the next quarter 57% and then 75% and 77% then 80% right so I'm going to say that You got many, many quarters ahead of acceleration. And this question is, do we keep accelerating it even after that particular quarter? Right. NVIDIA was able to do that for a long, long period of time. It's very possible AMD is able to do that in a in, you know, a very substantial fashion. And so we could be looking at. at least five quarters of accelerated growth, but we could be looking at maybe even nine or 10 quarters of accelerating growth over the next couple of years here. And so very, very exciting. Now, we're going to be looking at, Here's the other big thing. Listen. Thank you. This company is going to smash their earnings per share over the coming quarters in a way more substantial way than even revenue. Revenue, they're definitely in a position to beat and beat strongly future numbers. But the earnings per share, I think analysts are... a mile and a half off here. AMD, like one, you're going to assume, you know, whatever AMD's increase in their revenue, the earnings pressure is going to increase so much more rapidly for several reasons. One is, AMD is not in a position to like add massively their costs, their costs for the company, right? It's like if their revenue goes up 60% a quarter, it's not like they're going to be like, oh, let's increase – our expenses across our company and add, you know, to all our workforce, 60% more costs. That's not going to happen. It's going to be a very small percentage compared to the revenue growth, right? So you start getting a lot of the money coming in from the top line to actually reach the bottom line. Additionally, margins are increasing for AMD are going to increase substantially over the next one to two years. And so you understand the amount of profit they're making per chip sold or per item sold is going up substantially. So the earnings per share, say 60% rise in revenue you're gonna see that earnings per share up 150 200% it's gonna be a very very wide gap like a very wide gap okay and so all these EPS estimates you guys are looking at here all of them are way too low and not just low by like a little bit but low by a substantial margin there okay so that covers AMD where's meta headed from here What matter? Listen, this one's been running recently. This one I'm not as confident in. I've spoke about this stock kind of being stuck in a $575 to $775 range. I've been talking about this really like the past, at least this whole year pretty much, right? And I've talked about it being stuck in that range until what? I said until either the CapEx cycle breaks for Meta and Zuckerberg gets out under control or until... investor base is super confident that we've got some sort of product or service or multiple products and services that are going to make this whole thing pay off and so everybody looks the other way and they're like zuckerberg if you want to spend 150 billion dollars on chips next year and infrastructure We give you a pass on that because you have a product or a service in the market that is so substantial. It's beyond just like, oh, Facebook's running more ads and making more money from those ads and charging more and more than just, oh, Instagram's making money and WhatsApp. No, no, it's got to be a new product or service or multiple products and services that make everybody say, okay, like this is insane, right? So, Listen, there's a potential here if you want to talk about upside for meta, right? If if investors are very confident on this muse product now this has built a lot of excitement recently but we got to hear a lot more about it on the conference call if investors get excited enough then you could maybe push meta above that 775 right and so there's a few ways meta can make money from this muse right so they have a free tier that a lot of people are signing up for and by the way Basically, everybody in my real life that has tried this product all has great things to say. I haven't had one person try it yet, and they're like, oh, I don't like it, or it's not good, or something like that. Everybody has been very impressed by it, and everybody has ended up giving it way more access than they had planned going in. So something to kind of keep in mind there. So they got their free tier, but they also have monthly subscription tiers, such as $20 a month and $100 a month. So that's definitely a way they can make money there. commerce fees meta plans to earn a cut of transaction fees when muse autonomously completes purchases or book services through integrated partners, including Expedia for travel, Instacart for groceries, and retail integrations via PayPal. Now, this is probably the biggest opportunity that I don't think people understand, right? Like, this is cool. This is probably the biggest opportunity, right? Unlike pure play AI competitors that may be forced to stuff ads directly inside AI chat inference, Muse,
[15:00] features a clean ad-free conversational ui instead meta leverages the rich context and intense signals gathered from muse activity to serve highly relevant targeted ads across a broader family of apps facebook instagram and whatsapp listen we know how meta makes money They make money from getting all this data, right? And the more data Medica can get, the more relevant ads it's going to be able to serve you up. The more relevant ads it serves you up when you go on Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, any of its products, threads, right? The more money it's going to be able to make because the higher probability you're going to look at those ads. You're going to click on those ads. You might buy something right there. So when you are giving Muse all this data, more data, it's just going to allow Meta to make a lot more money by showing you more relevant ads in the end. And so that's been the whole name of the game for Meta. And like I said, obviously we just talked about there's other ways to make money. So if you're thinking about where's Meta stock price going, it really all depends upon investor confidence in this Muse product. excitement back in the product but if we're talking about going above that 775 range I've talked about We need everybody to be like this is a game changer this is a trillion dollar plus opportunity if it's a trillion dollar plus opportunity then everybody can look the other way on 150 dollar 150 billion dollars to spend a year right but we've got to have the sort of confidence that people have in claude for anthropic we have that sort of confidence in what people have with ChatGPT from OpenAI, right? That's the sort of opportunity we've got to be talking about here. So that's matter. Next up here, Celsius the wealthiest. So here's the deal with Celsius. Okay. If you're just thinking about risk reward short term with Celsius, there's a lot more reward potential than risk potential. I think if Things go well. In key mind, Celsius hasn't announced their earnings date yet. They'll likely report earnings of first or the second week in November. Celsius could go $35 plus. Right now it's $28, right? Worst case downside I see is $25 for Celsius. So I definitely see a lot more upside potential here with Celsius than downside potential. Let's just call it that. As of right now, Celsius is a small winner for the public accounts like $13K. That's nothing. I think long term Celsius is $100 plus stock. I've been on record with that. We'll see. following quarter six percent for the following quarter eight percent for the following quarter all celsius has to do is making investors confident that this is a double digit plus growth story every quarter. If they can make investors confident in the conference call that this is a double digit plus growth, revenue growth story quarter and quarter out. You don't even have to worry about that. The stock's flying, and we'll see the stock approach that $35 or go above that $35 level. Now, if Celsius leads on, like, hey, we could have some revenue – down numbers in future quarters then we're in trouble right? But what gives you the belief to have Celsius's revenues go up, right? One is more distribution of the brand. Second is international expansion. That's being very underrated right now. I got a lot of private group members that are outside the United States. So about 60% of the private group members roughly are United States citizens and then about 40% of our private group members are international, a lot of Europeans in the private group. getting here the international expansion was huge for monster over the years it was obviously huge for red bull over the years and it should be huge for celsius as well Additionally, Alani's growth is off the charts ridiculous. We're talking about volume growth of 70%. astronomically high numbers, right? So those Celsius in the United States, as far as numbers recently, have been very, very weak, right? And even down when it comes to Nielsen data, don't assume that just because that's going on, like Celsius doesn't have other ways to grow. And also Celsius has been cutting skews in the United States and kind of getting those skews right as well. So but I think a lot of people are just assuming like, "Oh, since the Nielsen data is bad for the Celsius brand in the United States, they can't grow." And it's like, "Well, have you seen Elanis grow?" And that's becoming a bigger and bigger component of the overall business. Are you understanding what's going on internationally? Just something to kind of factor in there with Celsius and like these numbers could end up being beat. And the other thing I'll say with a company like Celsius, right, is... This is one of those situations, right? Not seeing the forest for the trees. A lot of times people can get caught up in these short term numbers and did Celsius meet, beat or did they miss in regards to their numbers? Listen, man. Celsius is a 10-year opportunity here. So if Celsius comes in at 7% revenue growth, 15% revenue growth, and if next quarter's guidance is for 3%, 0%,
[20:00] percent six percent nine percent ten percent twenty percent right like let's not get too caught up into whatever's going on short term there because this is a 10 year plus opportunity when you're talking about building a drink brand You're talking about building that for generations. Like they're trying to make a customer base that loves Celsius for the next 10, 20, 30 years, right? They're trying to build a customer base for the Lonnie product that loves that product for the next 10, 20, 30 years, right? Not for the next 10, 20, 30 weeks. Something to kind of keep in mind there because a lot of times people get too caught up in all this stuff short term, okay? Next one up here, Elf on a Shelf. So Elf's 109 right now. Listen, what have I said with Elf? I said this stock, and I called this many, many months ago, right? I said this stock likely exit this year between 100 and 140, right? So we can call that $120 midpoint. So there's more, let's call it upside ahead for the stock if my midpoint is correct here, right? But I've said this stock exit 100, 140 this year. Now, when it comes to Elf, their quarterly numbers are about to report or supposed to be very strong growth. But, man, after that, like this is just like analysts are really bearish on Elf, in my opinion. revenue growth, like those numbers are too low. You understand Elf is still expanding distribution. They're way under penetrated in basically every single retailer out there that they're in, they oversell, right? versus their shelf space. So that's always that opportunity. in the coming quarters. Additionally, the road brand continues to expand and the sell-through and that is just astronomically high, right? Notorium continues to build out that business. I'm looking at the numbers that are expected here in these future quarters of 9%, 8%, 10%. I'm just like... I think analysts are way too low. I'm like, where are they giving these? Oh, by the way, Elf's expanding international right now. So I'm looking at the numbers and I'm like, what are the analysts looking at here? Um... Like I'm just like, you know, I don't know, maybe maybe I'm off on this one, but this is a stock I own for a long time. I go back on Elf all the way to 2019. So I've been tracking and owning this company for a long time. So if I feel probably a lot longer than any of these analysts are covering this company, right? And I tracked this company all the way since they went IPO, which is way before I owned the stock. So I've probably been tracking this company longer than anybody else has been tracking this company, at least in terms of these analysts. And so I don't know, maybe they're right on this, but I'm going to bet on myself. But before I bet on them, I can tell you that much. Right. Now, additionally here, what we're looking at is we're looking at EPS. So this is the earnings per share expected for this company here, right? Elf. And look at the low numbers. Like they got EPS going down 15% for this quarter they're about to report. EPS going down 31% for the following quarter. EPS going down 34%. I legit think a random couple just walked in my backyard. I'm not kidding. Thank you. I think a random couple just walked in my backyard. Because I've got so many projects going on right now, and they've got like a million landscapers here. Like I just saw like a husband and wife just like walking. Walk by my office while I'm recording this video, but whatever. I hope they got a good view of all the projects I got going on here so Earning per share, they got them going down, and not just down a little bit, down substantially. I'm like, I don't know where these analysts are getting their data, but whatever. The moral of the story is I don't agree with these analysts estimates. And so the good news is if I'm if I'm wrong. I don't think we have much downside in ELF. If I'm right, there's substantial upside here in ELF, right? So just something to kind of keep in mind there, right? Next one up here, SoFi going so high. So, SoFi so far up 65% on this stock. It's done me very, very well, right? Now, this SoFi is a very interesting stock because the company's reporting amazing numbers quarter in and quarter out. Everybody's caught up in interest rates in the short term, right? It's also a very interesting stock because you got people like myself that are like, this stock's amazing. I'm up 65% since I started investing in the stock a couple of years ago. That's great. Okay. You got other people that bought the stock at $28, $31, $30, right? And those people think SoFi is the worst stock in the world. So it's a very divided stock in regards to people loving the stock or people absolutely... Despising the stock. And personally, I love it. Why do I love it? It's not just because I've been making money on the stock, right? 65% up. But it's also from the standpoint of the numbers are extraordinary here with SoFi. They've been growing members. rapidly They've been selling more products to those members. Their assets in general continue to climb higher. They're doing everything you want to do if you're building a bank, a financial institution, right? And they're obviously doing it on a digital footprint versus a physical footprint, many of the old school banks did. And so I'm looking and I'm like, so far he's done. Like, and anything noticeable?
[25:00] and keeping the business relatively asset light, right? So I'm looking and I'm like, Like this is a extraordinary opportunity. It comes with risk. And as I've spoke about a million times with SoFi, right? If you own a financial institution, they get over leverage. If Anthony Noda ever over leverages them during a recession, you can – You know, either going under or you could be sold at very small amounts of money, like two, three, four dollars a share. Right. That's always a risk, but it's a small risk in regards to, you know, how Anthony Noda has really been positioned the balance sheet and the company in general. Right. But it was always a risk. So when I look at SoFi, here's a deal. Okay. Listen. 15 days from now, their earnings come out, right? 15 days from now. The numbers are going to be likely great. They're going to have great... new amounts of customers coming in, right? You're going to be selling those customers more products. They're going to be executed on a high level. But... The issue with SOFI is Everybody doesn't care about that right now. Everybody cares about what's going on with Treasury yields. And if Treasury yields are going higher, then people don't want to own SoFi in that environment. If Treasury yields can go lower, then maybe we can talk about SoFi. The stock should. should exit this year $20 plus. Just because it should exit $20 plus this year does not mean it will exit $20 plus this year. At the end of the day, a lot of what's going to dictate SoFi's stock price, For the remainder of this year is going to be whatever happens with these Treasury yields. If yields go higher, it's tough sledding for SoFi. If yields go lower, okay, now we can talk. Now, next one up here, amazing zone. Then we're going to get into three great easy money opportunities in the stock market right now for stocks I don't know. Amazon, amazing zone. So this is a huge position for me in the public account. It's... You can see the third or fourth biggest position in the public account, right? Because AMD is obviously the biggest and then Meta is the next. And I think Amazon is around the third or fourth biggest position, right? Amazon Amazing is on $403,000 plus position up $184,000 so far on this stock. It's done me very, very well, right? Now for Amazon... The thing you've got to understand here with Amazon is they've got a lot of big businesses, right? And they've got three core big, big businesses. One is the e-commerce business. All those packages you order all the time and your wife orders all the time and your husband orders all the time. Okay. Then they've got that business, which just grows bigger and bigger and bigger. And people get more and more accustomed to just... Oh, I need something. Let me go to Amazon. Oh, I need a roll of tape. Amazon. Oh, I need something even food related. A lot of people are starting to buy more and more food stuff. Even myself, I buy a lot of, Pre-packaged drink related stuff from the Amazon now because I'm like, oh, do I really want to go to Costco and walk around and it's like a mile and a half hike. I'm like, nah, I'll just order from Amazon. Yeah, I pay a little bit more money, but. The time spent, you know, doing that, I just don't enjoy that, that thing anymore. Right. Of like walking around a Costco store. And so a lot of drinks I'm even ordering on Amazon, but anyways, the e-commerce business continues to build. I don't need to explain that to you. Right. The second big business they have is advertising business that continues to build that rapidly as well. And specifically in regards to Amazon prime videos, uh, you know, video business and they continue to buy out more and more content. and make that a more and more relevant product that then they can serve you ads. And then obviously, additionally, they make a fortune of money from all those ads you see every time you go on Amazon. You see a sponsored post. Sponsored post, you search something, right? You search solar lights for your backyard and you're greeted with a bunch of sponsored posts there and things like that, right? They make fortunes of money off that because then you end up clicking on that and then you buy it. And then the company that makes that product ends up paying a fee for that click. Oh, it's beautiful, okay? So here's the deal though. Those two businesses I just took you through, those... Matter so much to the long-term future of Amazon, but they don't matter at all for the short-term stock price move. It's 100% dependent upon AWS. People don't even care about the e-commerce business right now. People don't even care about the ads business right now. People don't even care about the overall revenue or the earnings per share of the company. It's all about AWS. Why? What do you think Amazon's spending this fortune of money building out all this infrastructure? It's for the AWS business to explode higher, right? And the AWS business has traditionally been... a very profitable side of Amazon's business model. Okay. So... the most recent quarter, AWS growth, went to 37% growth. And that was from 28% growth. So we're talking about nine full percentage points, right? 900 basis points of higher growth on AWS. Okay. So... This next quarter, if they come in anywhere between about 39 and 44%, right? That's going to be seen as a disappointment because even on the highest end there, there will only be seven percentage points higher of AWS growth.
[30:00] That would be seen as an owl. uh no you can't do that right and especially coming off that quarter last year they only had 20% revenue growth in that that that particular quarter last year. So 39 to 44 is not going to cut it. If they come in around there, we're probably going lower on Amazon. 44 to 47, we'll kind of see a May reaction, maybe slightly up, slightly down. When I talk about slightly up, slightly down, I'm talking about like within a 5% move either way. You come in 48 plus on that AWS growth, we're going 275 plus. Because once you hit, let's say you hit a 48, percent plus growth, then people are going to be assuming we're going well, well above 50%. And if you could get AWS talking about 50% plus growth rates on AWS, that's insane because that business is so big. Look at the numbers they're doing. They're now doing multi, multi, multi, multi tens of billions of dollars a quarter on AWS. So if you could start talking about 50% plus growth rates on this business, And then people are going to be like, where's the top? Do we go 60%? Do we go 70% growth rates on AWS with how big this business is? And then what does that mean for Amazon's long-term margins? Profitability. Could we be talking about a trillion dollar a year business? Revenue. Which if you're talking about that, could we be talking about $250 to $400 billion a year in net income thrown off to the bottom line because of just AWS? We're not talking e-commerce. We're not talking ads business. At the end of the day though, with a stock like Amazon, once again, like I said with Celsius, like, you know, make sure you're not just getting caught up in the little, you know, did they grow 47%, 46%, 48%, 49%, 45% AWS, okay? Like, make sure you're understanding the big long-term opportunity there. And Amazon's – what do I always tell you guys about Amazon? For years and years and years I've said this in regards to Amazon. Listen. Amazon is always a buy. It was a buy last year. It was a buy the year before. It was a buy 10 years ago. It was a buy 20 years ago. It was a buy at the tech bubble peak. It was a buy before the tech bubble peak. It was a buy after the tech bubble went pop. It's always a buy. It's one of the very few stocks in the stock market that is always a buy. Okay. And it remains always a buy. Right. And the other thing I'll say to you guys before we move on to the next section here. Right. Is it's all about the process. Right. Right. And so like the thing that frustrates me sometimes, especially this happens with newer investors, is their mood is dictated by the short-term stock price moves. And I remember starting my private stock group many, many years ago. It was so disappointing to me when I was in that first few years of building that. because We, you know, when we had the discord chat, like a company earnings would come out and all people would be talking about is a stock price move. If the stock price was going up, people were like celebrating. It was the greatest thing. Stock price was going down. People were like depressed and no one would be posting the numbers. No one would be posting the income statement. No one would be talking about, whoa, did you see what happened? The margins are scored. Did you see what happened? The revenue earnings per share was just what's going on with the stock price, stock price, stock price, right? And that's not the process. When we talk about the process for being a great organization, investor. We're talking about doing the right things. Listen to conference calls, right? We're talking about looking over all those numbers, seeing where the company's revenues are projected to go, the margins, the earnings per share, understanding why they tell you all this. It's not like it's a secret. They explain it all in those 10 cues, why this is going up, why this is going down, why this is moving here, right? They tell you the whole story in the conference calls. They ask all these questions. And so that's the process, right? And then running your numbers and running your projections and understand these companies well. The process is not looking at the stock price and being like, oh, it's up 10%. I'm a genius. And I'm happy. The process is not, oh, the stock price just went down 10%. This stock's horrible. I'm horrible. It's all horrible. And so just understand, guys, the process is what matters. The public count today, 5.22 million. Listen, that's just a scoreboard. It's just a temporary scoreboard up there. It's 2026. We're only a few months away from 2027. Right. My plan is to build that portfolio for a long time. And long term, I want that portfolio to be $10 million, tens of millions of dollars long term. Right. So I don't even want to touch on 100 million, but the moral of the story is we're going to 10. We're going to tens in regards to public count. And so whatever it says short term, it's just a short term scoreboard number. Like if it's after this early season, let's say 30 days from now, it's 4.2 million. Okay. If it's $6.2 million, okay. If it's $6.2 million, am I going to magically sell and go put it all under the mattress? No, of course not. I'm building a portfolio for the next long, long period
[35:00] - The time, right? And so that's just something to kind of keep in mind there. Now, for those of you guys that like the process and you actually want to learn this level, you know, all this stuff on a high level, right? I teach the process inside the private group and I'll keep you focused on it. And so if you ask private group members, like, you know, I teach you this whole game, the whole process, and I always keep you guys focused on it. And just today I posted something in the private group to keep everybody focused because sometimes, you know, folks can get unfocused. And that's one of my biggest jobs. make sure you guys are on the right track right okay next up here let's talk about three socks that are easy money that i don't own okay so You know, I need to say this, right? Listen... Over the years, I've been on YouTube 10 years, right? If there's one complaint I get here and there on YouTube, it's, hey, Jeremy, you talk about the same stock so much, right? And I own like 20 stocks, right? And so... If there's a complaint I get sometimes like, oh, you talk about the same stocks too often, right? And like there's a thousand plus stocks let's talk about in the market and you talk about just, you know, First off, I'll say a few things, okay? One, we talk about different stocks in the market that I don't own as well and what's going on with those companies, those earnings. And you can ask the private group members. I grade income statements all the time from companies I don't even have a penny invested into. Right? So I'm always tracking all these different companies. What's going on with them? I listen to... I listen to more earnings calls of companies I don't have a penny invested into than the companies I actually invested into, right? Because I'm always trying to get – understanding of what's going on in different areas of the economy different areas of the market and stocks I might own someday right But... I'm going to always look for the best investment opportunities in the market. This is what I do every day, day in and day out. I'm going to look for the best opportunities, the best investment opportunities out there. I'm going to invest into those. Usually a lot of the stocks I'm investing into are going to be the most exciting stocks in the stock market. Like put the pieces together, right? AMD, I made that a massive investment a couple of years ago. And look at what's the most exciting stock for next year. AMD, right? Like of the trillion dollar plus companies, AMD is by far the most exciting next year, right? Look at one of the stocks that has been the most exciting stock last few years. Oh, what is it? Palantir, I was invested heavily into Palantir, right? It's still a position for me. And I made what, 2000, I don't know how much I'm up on Palantir, like 2,700% or whatever, right? Like very, very exciting. Meta, like we can go down a list of them. Right? Tussle back in the day. So a lot of times I'm going to find the most exciting opportunities. And so then we're going to talk about them a lot because they're the ones that got the stories. Like... I could talk about Coca-Cola, right? But I'm just going to be honest. Coca-Cola doesn't have a lot of exciting things going on. I just don't know what to tell you, right? We could talk about Yum! Brands and what's going on with Taco Bell and KFC Pizza Hut. But I'm just going to be honest with you guys. There's not a lot of exciting things happening there that's going to be a whole lot of fun to talk about. And there's not some major growth and some major opportunity. And so that's what happens. And then sometimes people like want me to talk about some super speculative risky stocks. I'm like not willing to talk about those either. I don't want to talk about companies that, you know, could end up going bankrupt or whatever, like because they got some. They don't even have a business model and like pre revenue and like they're losing fortunes and money like that doesn't interest me either. And so I'm looking for the best opportunities in the market. And a lot of times those are also the most exciting opportunities. They got the most going on. They got the most to talk about. And we talk about them. That's why we do it, man. That's why we do it. So, you know, if you think I'm moving meta stock price at a $2 trillion market cap, I'm not. I think I'm moving AMD at a trillion dollar market cap, I'm not. Like, I don't have all that sort of power. I'm going to talk about whatever the best opportunities I find out there and we'll talk about the developments with those particular stocks and... That's going to be that, right? And we'll talk about some other stocks, but... I'm just, you know, it's not super interesting to talk about random stocks just to talk about random stocks. It's just not. Okay. Number one of these three stocks I don't own that is actually a great opportunity. Pepsi. Pepsi, great opportunity. This stock is down 20% plus over the past five years. This is a five-year chart, if I recall, I made here, right? Crazy downside for Pepsi. But it's actually a great opportunity as a buy right now. be horrible for this company. Look at this. I graded the income statement. It was an A grade. Revenue was up 6%. Cost of sales was up 4%, so that means your gross profit's going to be good. gross profit up 7%. Selling general administrative about 4%. Operating profit was up 19%. Income before income tax up 17%, net income up 17%, dilute EPS up 17%. Very, very good report for Pepsi. It was an A grade, right? Can't give it an A plus because they don't have enough growth to justify an A plus.
[40:00] percent or 20 percent, then I give them an A plus, but 6%, I'm not giving you an A plus for that, but still great report from Pepsi. So that's definitely one that is, I would say, a buy. Next one, number two. CCO Carnival Cruise Line. Right. I'm not sure if you guys ever been a Carnival Cruise Line. I've been on a couple. Even I went on one with the summer. Right. 11 for P on this one. And when it comes to carnival, here's the deal. Okay. They're really in a sweet spot in respect of they benefit from families wanting to go on vacation, right? Like kids want to go on a cruise. So we took them on a little small one of those carnival cruises. I live in Vegas, if you didn't know. So it's very easy to go over to Long Beach and take one of those like three, four day cruises out of Long Beach. So we did that this summer. And it's fun. in my opinion, pretty cheap, like very cheap compared to if you were to like fly places and things like that. Right. So it's one of those things, like as a family activity, it's actually a great value, like a great value compared to if you're going to fly somewhere and do all that. And you're going to keep in mind, like a lot of families don't have Like I have the money to fly anywhere in the world. A lot of people don't straight up. They don't have the money to just be like, oh, I'm going to fly to Paris. I'm going to take the kids to Italy. Like, no. Wake up. No. That's just not the way it works. And so if you're talking about like going on a family vacation and trying to do it on a budget. I'm just saying like Carnival Cruise Line is there for you. It's there for you. Like compared to hotel stays and airline stays and all that stuff, like you go on a Carnival Cruise for discount, right? And people generally have a great time on those cruise lines, right? They eat at the buffets and they have a grand old time doing all that stuff, right? And swimming in the pools and, you know, all the activities they have on those cruises. And you get off the ship and you do some stuff and it's just like it is actually a really great value. of vacations obviously over the years right and fancy vacations with just myself my wife and then i've done a lot of vacations with kids right which is like more normal vacations and i can tell you like the cruise vacations are the best value by a mile in my opinion for the overall experience where your kids are like gonna love it but that's just one side of it not everybody has kids right The other component is the baby boomer generation. The baby boomer generation has a lot of wealth. Everybody should know that, right? And the baby boomer generation is all retiring right now. And they're wanting to go travel and they're wanting to go do things. What do we know about folks that are 50 plus? They love to go on cruises. They love to go on cruises. And so when we're talking about this huge demographic with all this money and they love to go on cruises, that benefits all the cruise line. That benefits Royal Caribbean and the others. But you also got to remember Carnival Cruise Line, they own other cruise companies as well. So you're thinking like, oh, well, maybe a baby boomer that has a $2 million net worth, they're not interested in going on Carnival Cruise. That's probably false, but you could assume that. higher end brands as well that the baby boomer will probably end up booking on one of those other cruise lines. And so they benefit all the way around from like the families that are looking to go on a budget vacation that the kids will think is awesome. but also from the retirees that got money and they love to go on cruises. And so that's just something to kind of keep in mind there, ladies and gentlemen. So Carnival, definitely one. Yeah, as long as another once-in-a-hundred-year health event doesn't hit them, they should be fine. Now, the other thing you can say about Carnival is, well, fuel prices. Fuel prices have gone up a lot, right? And fuel prices are insanely expensive right now. Well, guess what? It's not just Carnival. What about airlines? They get hit by that as well. drive super far you know for a vacation that you that hits you as well so i don't really look at that as a as a pro or con like that just hits everything across the board at that particular time but fuel prices move up they move down there that is what it is right And the third stock of these three stocks I spoke about in this video here a couple weeks ago, 162,000 views so far. Legendary stock just entered by territory. If you want to find out about stock number 303, check out that video right there. I talk in depth about that stock because I figured that's better than spending another 10 minutes, 20 minutes talking about that stock in this video because we're already 44 minutes deep at this point in time. I appreciate you all for joining me as always. If you want to learn more about my process, how I play this game on a high level, please. and you want me to keep you focused on that process, Apply to join the private group. That'll be the pinned comment down there. Let's see if we can get you in there maybe, maybe this week. We'll see. Okay. All right, guys. Much love and have a great day.
