爱因斯坦临终看到了什么?连最伟大的头脑也无法越界!身边人吓到面色惨白,临终前他比谁清醒!#刘欢 #圆桌派 #窦文涛 #真相

爱因斯坦临终看到了什么?连最伟大的头脑也无法越界!身边人吓到面色惨白,临终前他比谁清醒!#刘欢 #圆桌派 #窦文涛 #真相 — 纪实万象

纪实万象

AI-assisted summary of 爱因斯坦临终看到了什么?连最伟大的头脑也无法越界!身边人吓到面色惨白,临终前他比谁清醒!#刘欢 #圆桌派 #窦文涛 #真相 — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Key ideas

  • 5G凭借1毫秒级空口时延与移动边缘计算(MEC),正推动工业高并发物联网、远程精密控制与自动化基础设施的重塑,完成从改变生活到改变社会的跨越。 (32:20)
  • 技术中立的传统“菜刀理论”在算法时代破产,代码本身已内置伦理偏见,且自主致命武器系统(LAWS)等技术正逼近“黑理石假说”预警的文明毁灭风险。 (8:52)
  • 莫拉维克悖论揭示了AI的演进壁垒:微积分与复杂博弈对机器而言极易攻克,但人类历经数亿年进化的单样本泛化、细腻肢体协调与共情能力却仍难以工程化。 (68:15)
  • 当前主流AI仍局限于封闭规则大数据的统计拟合与语言镜像,跨领域的迁移学习存在明显鸿沟,科学界对于通用人工智能(AGI)自我意识的实现路径仍缺乏有效抓手。 (58:52)

Detailed notes

## Background 该视频由 YouTube 频道“纪实万象”于 2026 年 10 月 2 日发布。视频简介将其标注为《圆桌派》及《锵锵行天下》第三季未播出素材汇编《锵锵拾遗》,呈现窦文涛与嘉宾围绕科技演进、时代文化与社会议题展开的圆桌对谈。

## TL;DR 节目围绕元宇宙、5G 通信底层技术与人工智能的发展边界展开深度剖析。嘉宾们探讨了从类脑计算到数字永生面临的肉身硬件壁垒,分析了 5G 的三大核心资源、低时延优势及工业赋能逻辑。随后,现场通过香港科技大学研发的“魔镜”AI 进行人机问答互动,深入辨析弱 AI 与通用人工智能(AGI)的技术鸿沟、迁移学习的壁垒,以及算法时代下人类自我意识、尊严与伦理危机的本质命题。

## Atmosphere & style 全片洋溢着典型的窦式闲话风采,将硬核前沿技术探讨与诙谐机敏的文化打趣融为一体。嘉宾们一边抛出精密的技术参数与科学伦理困境,一边在与现场 AI 的滑稽互动中爆发阵阵笑声,展现出学者式的严谨与文人式的哲思碰撞。整体节奏张弛有度,在嬉笑怒骂的日常言谈中逐渐引申出对科技霸权、人类存在价值及不可替代性的深沉反思。

## Bulletin - [32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1940s) 5G凭借1毫秒级空口时延与移动边缘计算(MEC),正推动工业高并发物联网、远程精密控制与自动化基础设施的重塑,完成从改变生活到改变社会的跨越。 - [08:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=532s) 技术中立的传统“菜刀理论”在算法时代破产,代码本身已内置伦理偏见,且自主致命武器系统(LAWS)等技术正逼近“黑理石假说”预警的文明毁灭风险。 - [01:08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4095s) 莫拉维克悖论揭示了AI的演进壁垒:微积分与复杂博弈对机器而言极易攻克,但人类历经数亿年进化的单样本泛化、细腻肢体协调与共情能力却仍难以工程化。 - [58:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3532s) 当前主流AI仍局限于封闭规则大数据的统计拟合与语言镜像,跨领域的迁移学习存在明显鸿沟,科学界对于通用人工智能(AGI)自我意识的实现路径仍缺乏有效抓手。

## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=0s) 肉身的生物学根基是所有虚拟现实构想的物理底线,硬件重量引发的感官冲突与生理限制决定了元宇宙无法真正脱离实体人类存在。 - [08:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=532s) 传统工具中立的“菜刀理论”在算法时代彻底失效,程序员与代码系统在底层设计中已内置伦理倾向与结构性偏见。 - [29:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1785s) 移动通信遵循奇数代颠覆革命、偶数代优化完善的技术规律,4G改变个人生活体验,而5G将重构自动驾驶与工业制造等社会基础设施。 - [32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1940s) 5G通过在基站就近部署移动边缘计算(MEC)实现1毫秒超低时延,其响应速度比人类神经传导痛觉快10倍,从而解决云端传输滞后与眩晕瓶颈。 - [52:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3153s) 对话型AI现场表现出的所谓“幽默感”与机智,本质上仅是人类语言语料中应对未知问题时推脱回避模式的统计学镜像,并非主观自我表达。 - [56:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3409s) 当前以AlphaGo为代表的系统全属专用弱AI,科研界对于通用人工智能(AGI)所必需的自我意识与自主推理目前尚无明确切入路径。 - [01:04:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3852s) 深度神经网络构成难以解析的黑盒,其在围棋等封闭规则大数据领域表现卓越,但在真实世界的动态稀疏小数据下遭遇严重的迁移学习壁垒。 - [01:08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4095s) 莫拉维克悖论表明高级智力计算对机器轻而易举,但人类生物进化沉淀下的轻抚、眼神注视与动作平衡协调对机器人而言极难突破。 - [01:09:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4157s) “黑理石假说”警示科学探索存在抽中毁灭性科技的危险,研发无死亡恐惧的自主致命武器系统(LAWS)正在挑战国际军备伦理底线。 - [01:12:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4321s) 人类认知具备先天的格式塔完形感知与单样本泛化学习能力,与深度学习依赖千万张标注数据的拟合逻辑存在本质差距。 - [01:19:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4751s) 商业算法基于偏好的单向投喂如同古代奸臣的阿谀机制,消解了人际相处中最为迷人的“不可预测性”与精神互动深度。 - [01:24:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5094s) 通用人工智能未来若能实现跨领域触类旁通并聚合全人类智慧,其算力与智商或将跨越认知维度,在人类面前展现如神祇般的存在。

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=0s) 伟大先锋、元宇宙边界与肉身的生物学底线

从1879年诞生的爱因斯坦到如今备受瞩目的马斯克,人类历史中总会出现这样站在时代拐点的领军人物。他们能够从现有的技术出发洞察未来,试图在物质与能量早已极度受限、日趋拥挤的地球之外另辟蹊径,推动人类成为“多行星物种”,甚至拓展当前所谓元宇宙的疆界。

然而,所有对虚拟现实与星际探索的宏大构想都面临一个无法绕开的前提:肉身的存活与健康。讨论指出,生物学根基是永远无法被抛弃的。在现实的维度里,肉身承受着病痛与繁殖的重担;在所谓的元宇宙或游戏中,哪怕肉体仅仅发烧一度,人可能连打开电脑的力气和欲望都没有。因此,脱离了生物实体的病痛与苦难去高谈虚拟世界,无异于空中楼阁。

---

[00:47](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=47s) 脑启发智能、数字永生与从“结构”到“功能”的鸿沟

随着脑机接口与神经科学的突飞猛进,人们开始严肃探讨在肉身逝去后将意识留存于元宇宙的可能。席间提到中国科学院类脑智能研究专家的最新进展:科研人员已经能够扫描小鼠与猴子大脑中的神经元,生成“数字脑”,并成功在小型机器人身上完成测试。如果这一技术在未来走向成熟,人类在临终之际或许真能借助高精度的脑机接口扫描大脑、训练出思维方式几乎与本尊无异的数字分身,从而达成某种形式的“数字永生”。苹果公司也在操作系统中推出了“数字遗产”继承功能,迎合了人类渴望在世界上留下名字与痕迹的恒久天性。

然而,生物学家提出了深刻的质疑:即便在物理结构上完全复制,功能就一定会涌现吗?目前人类哪怕拥有最顶级的核磁共振(MRI)技术,也远未能彻底读懂大脑。当前中科院上海分院与华大基因等机构正在攻关小鼠乃至灵长类大脑的单细胞测序,而猴脑拥有60亿个神经元,人脑更是包含高达860亿个神经元。这犹如人类基因组计划破译了由30亿个碱基对组成的“康熙字典”,但词典编成之后,复杂的生命算法究竟如何运转仍是未知数。结构决定功能,但并不意味着“已知结构即等同于掌握功能”,这一从结构到功能的巨大鸿沟才是脑科学真正的难题。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 从大脑物理结构到数字永生的技术路径与科学鸿沟 accDescr: 展示了从神经元扫描到数字脑生成的设想路径,以及单细胞测序结构到功能涌现之间的未知鸿沟。

subgraph HardwareMapping ["物理大脑解析"] A["物理大脑神经元<br/>(人类860亿 / 猴脑60亿)"] --> B["高精度MRI / 单细胞测序"] end

subgraph TheGap ["科学认知鸿沟"] B --> C{"结构与功能的跨越<br/>(知晓结构 ≠ 掌握算法)"} end

subgraph DigitalMind ["数字衍生系统"] C -->|脑启发智能训练| D["数字脑模型<br/>(类脑智能测试)"] D --> E["元宇宙数字分身 / 数字永生"] end ```

---

[02:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=179s) 概念泡沫的历史轮回:从“大富翁”到“大忽悠”

嘉宾们对近年来层出不穷的技术新名词进行了辛辣的剖析。讨论认为,人们总是习惯性地把现有的思考直接倒进一个新造的概念空壳中,而忽视了事物的本质。美国科技界尤其擅长这一套话术转换:早年间的“个体化医疗”被奥巴马包装成“精准医疗”;原本的“海量数据”被冠以“大数据”之名后席卷全球;甚至连原本的“神经生物学”也被统一升级为“脑科学”,哪怕研究的是一种进化上根本没有大脑的生物,学者们也照样硬套“脑科学”的头衔。

这种现象就像历史上的关羽,汉代封侯、宋代封王、明代封帝,封号不断神化,底子依然是同一个关公。科技领域的狂热同样遵循这种轨迹:早几年的“移动互联网”、“互联网+”、“区块链”,再到如今万物皆可装入的“元宇宙”。人们依赖这些宏大概念来抚平内心的焦虑与浮躁,却忘了其本质不过是一套计算机程序。所谓在元宇宙里炒地皮,其实和上世纪80年代大家在电脑前四个人轮流掷骰子玩单机版《大富翁》、线下玩飞行棋买地毫无二致,这三十年来的技术演变在认知冲击上,或许还不如当年电报的诞生来得震撼。

- **概念更迭对比**: - 个体化医疗 $\rightarrow$ 精准医疗 - 海量数据 $\rightarrow$ 大数据 - 神经生物学 $\rightarrow$ 脑科学(即便研究无脑物种亦同) - 传统买地游戏(飞行棋 / 《大富翁》) $\rightarrow$ 元宇宙虚拟地产

---

[04:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=281s) 现实痛点催生虚拟人:“樱桃队长”与客服装机

拨开概念炒作的迷雾,虚拟人与数字技术的真正落地往往是由于现实中极端匮乏的服务需求。例如在各大电商和互联网平台上,客服几乎被机器人全面接管;当用户急需买药或寻求指引时,只要机器客服能够给出即时响应,人们就会欣然接受。大众对虚拟人的接纳,出发点并不是出于某种哲学层面的身份认同,而是迫于现实效率的刚性缺口。

席间嘉宾分享了自身的真实案例:为了在社群里回答孩子们的提问,他曾连续数月每天在线答疑,累计回答了1100个问题,最终体力实在难以为继。为了解决这一痛点,他训练了自己的虚拟数字人——“樱桃队长”。“樱桃队长”拥有比本人更广博的知识库,同时还能模仿其本人的语气和口吻,未来可以代替他向全世界的孩子提供解答。面对现场嘉宾“如果我是粉丝,不能和真人一对一交流会感到不满足”的调侃,大家笑称“一对一交流那是得付费的服务”。但这也印证了当代消费者的微妙心理:打开客服界面时总忍不住想核实对方“到底是人还是机器”,机器人的回答再流畅,也依然缺乏人与人真实连接的温度。

---

[06:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=374s) 肉身硬件的生理天花板与二元争论的泥潭

从互联网早期的文字传输、微信,到语音、视频通话,人类技术一直试图“重塑六根”,逐步推向三维乃至身临其境的拟真环境。但这种沉浸感正猛烈撞击着人类肉体的生理极限。一个无法回避的物理事实是:当VR头显重量超过500克时,多数人佩戴不到一小时就会产生严重的眩晕和恶心。由DNA进化而来的肉体,其前庭神经根本承受不住感官信号的剧烈冲突。正如人类无法直接看见红外线、紫外线,也感知不到时刻穿透身体的中微子一样,肉身硬件存在着天然的物理边界。

由此得出的反思是:元宇宙或许根本不是为人类肉身所准备的享乐之所,它的真正服务对象是人类未来的数字分身(Avatars)。当代人在元宇宙里疯狂地买地、发币、炒作NFT,就像是为下一代数字生命充当“开荒者”与“数字农奴”;五十年后,后代真正浸润于数字世界的化身才会在这个地基上生息繁衍,反过来可能会嘲笑先辈被旧文化束缚的懵懂与盲动。令人担忧的是,当下关于元宇宙和人工智能的严肃讨论正迅速滑向浅薄化,沦落为非黑即白的“乐观派 vs 悲观派”站队博弈,使得真正有价值的哲学与科学探索陷入死胡同。

[08:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=532s) The Fallacy of Neutrality: From the "Kitchen Knife Theory" to Coded Ethics

The dialogue opens with a critique of superficial debates that force people to take sides without examining the underlying context. Superficial talk obscures what is truly happening beneath the surface: the fundamental codification of logic. In this evolving digital landscape, technology and algorithms can no longer be viewed as morally neutral instruments. Unlike pre-industrial innovations such as the horse-drawn carriage—which carried no innate moral stance—modern algorithmic tools defy traditional assumptions. For generations, society relied on the classic "kitchen knife theory," which held that a knife does not kill on its own; only the human wielding it bears moral culpability.

Today, that paradigm has collapsed. A digital knife is a coded knife, and code inherently carries built-in ethical biases. Past textbooks and traditional frameworks cannot explain this reality, making technological ethics the single greatest intellectual challenge of the contemporary era. Reducing this dilemma to simplistic labels of "good versus evil" or forcing individuals to pick teams represents a low-dimensional discussion. Humanity has not even settled whether morality is etched into biological DNA, yet programmers are already attempting to program moral frameworks into virtual beings, striving to recreate and govern artificial worlds while still failing to comprehend human nature itself.

- **The Kitchen Knife Theory:** The classical belief that tools are inherently neutral and that moral responsibility resides exclusively in the user. - **Coded Biases:** Modern software and algorithms embed value judgments and structural biases directly into their operational logic. - **The Creator's Hubris:** Attempting to engineer artificial moral codes for virtual entities before humanity has decoded its own moral biology.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Evolution of Tool Morality accDescr: Diagram showing how pre-industrial tools evolved into modern coded algorithms with embedded biases. subgraph PreIndustrial["Pre-Industrial Era"] A["Physical Tools<br/>(Carriage / Kitchen Knife)"] --> B["Instrumental Neutrality<br/>('Guns don't kill, people do')"] end subgraph DigitalEra["Digital & Algorithmic Era"] C["Algorithmic Systems<br/>(Coded Knives / Virtual Agents)"] --> D["Embedded Ethical Biases"] D --> E["Autonomous & Structural Impact<br/>(Beyond individual intent)"] end B -.->|"Paradigm Shift"| C ```

[10:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=635s) Sandbox Games and Mutual Taming: Redefining Agency in the Metaverse

When one speaker suggests that algorithmic responsibility can still ultimately be traced back to the human developer deciding whether to forge a weapon or a kitchen knife, the counterargument is immediate. Reducing systemic digital outcomes entirely to individual programmers misunderstands the architecture of the internet and sandbox environments, which are fundamentally co-created. In an open-ended digital sandbox, outcomes are emergent rather than dictated by a single author. The common assumption that human users are fully in control is an illusion; human consciousness is continually nudged, shaped, and led by the very systems it designs.

This dynamic mirrors how modern civilization conditions human life. People believe they are the drivers of their vehicles, but they have already been tamed by vehicular transit, disciplined by the spatial layout of cities, and conditioned by the routine of three meals a day and the literature they consume. While people resist admitting their passive submission, bringing this illusion of mastery into the Metaverse will fail. Navigating virtual environments requires acknowledging this process of mutual taming. True coexistence demands immense tolerance, echoing the philosophical ideal of "beauty shared by all"—which, as the speakers observe, inevitably requires embracing both beauty and ugliness side by side.

- **Sandbox Co-Creation:** Digital outcomes emerge from collective user interactions rather than solitary top-down programming. - **The Driver Paradox:** Humans perceive themselves as autonomous operators while being functionally tamed by automobiles, urbanization, and daily cultural conventions. - **"Beauty Shared by All":** True universal aesthetic coexistence requires tolerating imperfection and ugliness rather than presupposing a sanitized, harmonious ideal.

[12:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=725s) The Crisis of Good and Evil: Western Secular Disillusionment and the Ethics of Code

The discussion turns toward the West's mounting anxiety regarding moral foundations and systemic control. The explosion of cultural touchstones like *Harry Potter* during the 1990s is characterized not merely as a commercial publishing phenomenon, but as a symptom of a deeper Western re-examination of the Enlightenment and the Protestant Reformation. Five centuries after Martin Luther, traditional religious observance has waned, church attendance has dwindled, and genuine spiritual piety toward the divine has eroded. In this secular vacuum, Western thought is forced to confront the fundamental duality of good and evil without its traditional religious anchors.

Historically, ancient religious frameworks positioned the Supreme Good as the primary deity and Evil as a subordinate force. Today, however, Western thinkers and technologists face profound existential dread as dark, uncontainable forces seem to emerge directly from technological systems. Serious programmers and tech theorists are not indulging in rhetorical melodrama; they are genuinely terrified of losing control over the unprecedented computational energies they have unleashed. In the face of this crisis, retreating into tribalism, taking sides, and chanting self-righteous slogans about "truth prevailing" is completely useless. It merely exposes a refusal to find common ground while preserving differences, reducing complex global dilemmas to the hostile impulse that "those who are not of my kind must think differently."

- **Post-Reformation Secularity:** A 500-year retreat of institutional faith has left Western societies without an uncontested divine anchor for moral authority. - **Technological Loss of Control:** Deep anxiety among software architects who realize that complex systems can generate unforeseen, destructive emergent behaviors. - **The Failure of Moral Posturing:** Slogans declaring that good will automatically conquer evil fail to address structural technological and cultural fractures.

[14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=868s) Morality Without God: Dostoevsky, Confucian Atheism, and Toynbee’s Prophecy

The existential dilemma of technological power invokes Fyodor Dostoevsky’s classic question from *The Brothers Karamazov* and *Demons*: if God is dead, how is human goodness possible? When an external divine authority defines virtue and dictates consequences, moral action possesses a clear foundation; removing God opens the floodgates to nihilism, existential paralysis, and moral collapse. Modern technologists who build expansive digital worlds find themselves operating with godlike authority—laying down physics, defining social rules, and deciding the fates of virtual beings—yet they are fundamentally bewildered by the responsibilities of this unchecked power.

This modern vacuum highlights the relevance of ancient Chinese intellectual traditions. Classical China, rooted in Confucius, functioned essentially as an atheist civilization without an anthropomorphic, personal deity commanding human affairs. Confucius was fundamentally an atheist thinker who sought to establish earthly justice, social order, and human decency without relying on divine revelation. The traditional Chinese concept of the "Way of Heaven" (*Tian Dao*) was not a conscious god judging human deeds, but a moral and cosmic order reflecting a collective faith that virtue endures. Because Chinese civilization spent over two millennia cultivating an ethical order without a literal God, its philosophical heritage offers vital insights for establishing order in a godless digital future. This mirrors historian Arnold Toynbee's assertion that contemporary civilizational crises could trigger a global renaissance of classical Confucian-Mencian thought and Mahayana Buddhism.

- **The Dostoevskian Dilemma:** The philosophical challenge of securing moral goodness and avoiding total spiritual nihilism when divine authority vanishes. - **Confucianism as Secular Order:** A 2,500-year tradition of organizing civic justice, interpersonal ethics, and social harmony without a personal supreme deity. - **Toynbee's Prognosis:** The view of British historian Arnold Toynbee that modern civilizational dilemmas may find resolution through the revival of Far Eastern ethical and spiritual traditions.

[17:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1023s) The Interconnected Mesh vs. True Consciousness: "Would It Cry for Itself?"

The conversation pivots to the metaphysical limits of virtual entities and artificial avatars. A fundamental skepticism remains over whether digital characters can ever achieve authentic self-awareness, exercise genuine free will, or arrive at the subjective realization that "I am me." In biological humans, self-awareness evolved as a complex adaptive response to an intricate, unpredictable physical environment, requiring senses to synthesize a coherent subjective identity. Currently, what technologists label as "digital entities" are mostly data wrapped in flesh-like graphics.

On an engineering level, the Metaverse's immediate hurdle is ubiquitous physical and digital connectivity. Modern Internet of Things (IoT) systems integrate the entire sensory fabric of everyday living: smart refrigerators, robotic vacuums, intelligent speakers, responsive curtains, and even sensor-equipped clothing that detects posture or muscle strain. In this ambient environment, intelligent agents—whether health records, digital nutritionists, or automated insurance consultants—function as robots. After living with these systems for a few months, users will cease to care whether their advisers are made of flesh and blood. Yet this ubiquitous sensing network is merely a reflection of physical-world rules, not genuine intelligence. As the excerpt concludes, no matter how sophisticated an algorithmic system is, the ultimate philosophical question of sentience remains unanswered: "Would it cry for itself?"

- **Origins of Human Consciousness:** Self-awareness evolved as a sensory feedback mechanism designed to navigate complex physical realities. - **Ambient Ubiquitous Sensing:** The technological convergence of smart home devices, wearable biometric clothing, and automated institutional agents. - **Rule Emulation vs. Sentience:** Current AI and virtual avatars execute behavioral rules drawn from physical society, remaining fundamentally distinct from genuine self-mourning, sentient consciousness.

[19:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1144s) 机器的眼泪与人类的投射:自由意志还是算法?

对话从对机器人情感与自由意志的哲学探讨展开。窦文涛与嘉宾们探讨,如果未来人类有需求,机器完全可以被编写出“为你流泪”的程序;只要是“如是我闻”或者花钱买来的服务,双方心甘情愿即可。但更深层次的问题在于:人类自己又何尝不是如此?窦文涛反思道,当一个人哭泣时,往往是因为“你偷了我的钱”,这种痛苦和反应本质上也是一种既定命运或生物指令。从生物学算法的角度看,人类的大脑在特定刺激下必然分泌泪水,在这点上人与按程序行动的机器并没有本质差别,人其实也未见得拥有真正的自由意志。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 机器与人类的情感反应对比 accDescr: 对比人类因遭遇刺激流泪与机器按算法和程序输出情感的平行逻辑

subgraph Human["人类反应机制"] H1["外部刺激(如被偷钱)"] --> H2["大脑神经/生物算法"] --> H3["生理流泪与痛苦"] end

subgraph Robot["机器运行逻辑"] R1["用户需求/代码指令"] --> R2["程序与算法运行"] --> R3["拟真流泪/情感交互"] end

Human -.->|"移情与情感投射"| Robot ```

周轶君与嘉宾进一步指出,人类看到机器人掉眼泪会心生怜悯,觉得“它太难了、太痛苦了”,这其实是一种极强的情感投射(projection)。机器本身可能毫无知觉,也缺乏人类基于生理机能构筑的完整自我意识与痛感,但人类作为有感知的主体,会本能地向外部对象移情。这种机制并不妨碍人与机器建立深厚共生: - 机器能在日常生活中解决大量实际问题,成为人类生活中最重要的伙伴。 - 未来的居所甚至会像一个悉心呵护人类的“摇篮”。 - 尽管科幻片常设想人类可能被虚拟事物毁灭,但作为具备“DNA求生欲”的古典思维者,必须将这种危机置于公众与决策层面前充分审视,坚持“以虚强实”,让前沿技术如量子模拟最终落地转化为真实的物理造物(例如造出一台真正的冰箱)。

---

[22:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1349s) 5G时代的资源之争:基站、频谱与达维多定律

话题顺势切入当时全面开启的 5G 建设。窦文涛提及工信部与三大电信运营商公布的 5G 资费,疑惑为何资费并不比 4G 便宜,且基站建设缺口依然很大。嘉宾解释,基站必须循序渐进地搭建,需要经历相当长的周期:当年目标为 10 万座,次年达到 100 万座,而要实现全国重点区域的基本覆盖,至少需要超过 300 万座基站。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 通信领域三大核心稀缺资源 accDescr: 展示通信行业争夺的三大战略性有限资源

subgraph Resources["三大核心通信资源"] R1["频谱资源<br>(不可再生/国际协调)"] R2["码号资源<br>(通信寻址必需)"] R3["卫星轨道<br>(空间位置有限)"] end ```

周轶君提出疑问:为何大家常说“无线电频谱是不可再生资源”?中国是否拥有足够的频谱发展 5G?专家解释,频谱不仅关乎国内划分,更需要全球协同以便国际漫游: - **三大通信核心资源**:频谱资源、码号资源与卫星轨道资源。国外通常采用牌照拍卖制,出资竞拍频谱即获得运营权;中国因基础运营商属于国资主导,未采取内部竞拍机制。 - **命名与周期规律**:移动通信大约十年经历一代演进(90年代为 2G,2000年代为 3G,2010年进入 4G)。5G 的国际正式名称源自国际电联的“IMT-2020”(现场嘉宾还打趣其发音带有早年留日京都大学的日系英语口音)。 - **达维多定律(Davidow's Law)**:按原计划 5G 应在 2020 年普及,但以美国为代表的国家急于抢占国家安全与战略高地,导致全球技术竞赛提前。根据互联网与高科技产业的“达维多定律”,最先进入市场者往往能霸占 50% 的市场份额,谁先完成网络铺设与技术标准确立,谁就能在设备制造和应用生态中夺得主导权。 - **2020 的数字隐喻**:窦文涛笑称,贝多芬时代命运的敲门声是“噔噔噔噔”,而电子时代的命运敲门声则是二进制代码般的“2020”。

---

[26:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1579s) 破除辐射谣言:波长、衍射与微基站的物理常识

面对 5G 商用初期社会上流传的各种猜疑——包括比利时曾传出因环保辐射指标未通过审核的传言,以及张朝阳等人早前在公开场合引发的“5G 高频带来严重电磁辐射”的争论(后已公开澄清道歉)——嘉宾从基础物理学原理对辐射问题进行了通俗拆解:

- **辐射安全标准**:各国有不同的安全阈值。中国的电磁辐射控制标准极其严格,最高容许限值仅为美国标准的五十分之一(1/50),其环境辐射强度远低于手持手机贴脸通话时的局部辐射,更远低于家用微波炉的辐射水平。 - **能量与动量的乘积**:致害物理效果不能单看频率或能量。正如汽车撞人致死是“质量与速度”的共同作用,怠速或低速滑行的车辆即便自身质量很大也不会撞死人;类似地,电功率是电流与电压的乘积,辐射影响同样受到能量与动量传递的共同制约。 - **波长与绕射(衍射)特性**:5G 使用的频段明显高于前代,频率越高,对应波长越短。当波长小于障碍物尺寸时,电磁波无法发生有效绕射。一栋建筑挡在前面,基站信号在背面就会骤降,这也是 5G 建设成本高昂、需要密集布设基站的原因。 - **低功率覆盖**:不同于过去广电 700MHz 频段能以大功率穿透覆盖整个城市,5G 基站由于覆盖范围往往局限在一个微小区域(如一个小院落或单侧街区),其发射功率被严格限制在极低水平,频率虽高但发射动量与总功率并不大,根本不会对人体健康产生所谓的超标伤害。

[28:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1726s) Base Station Density and the Transition: NSA vs. SA Networking

The discussion opens with the physical reality of rolling out 5G networks, specifically the staggering density required for base stations. Because of high-frequency signal characteristics and physical obstructions, base stations must be spaced closely together—almost one for every area the size of a basketball court. The conversation turns to whether 5G requires wiping the slate clean and building everything from scratch, contrasting it with how 4G smoothly evolved on top of existing 3G infrastructure. This raised public anxiety regarding the sheer financial cost and consumer burden of such an upgrade.

Professor Wu steps in to clarify the technical pathway being taken by telecom carriers, distinguishing between Non-Standalone (NSA) and Standalone (SA) networking architectures. In the initial phase, carriers deploy NSA, which piggybacks directly on top of legacy 4G core infrastructure. While NSA enables a quick rollout of higher speeds, it is an incomplete compromise: it fundamentally cannot satisfy the core promises of true 5G, such as achieving one-millisecond latency or supporting one million simultaneous connections per square kilometer. To unlock the full, transformative potential of the technology, the industry must eventually transition to full Standalone (SA) networking.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 5G Architecture Evolution accDescr: Diagram contrasting Non-Standalone NSA and Standalone SA networking architectures.

subgraph NSA["Non-Standalone (NSA)"] A["Existing 4G Base Stations & Core"] --> B["Added 5G Capabilities"] B --> C["Higher Speeds"] B -.->|"Cannot Achieve"| D["Sub-millisecond Latency & 1M Devices/km²"] end

subgraph SA["Standalone (SA)"] E["Dedicated 5G Core Network"] --> F["Native 5G Base Stations"] F --> G["Ultra-Low Latency (1 ms)"] F --> H["Massive IoT (1M Connections/km²)"] end ```

[29:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1785s) "4G Changed Lives, 5G Changes Society": From Brick Phones to the Internet of Everything

Asked for his perspective on the arrival of the 5G era, Xiao Bo references a widely cited industry maxim: "4G changed our lives—our information, services, and mobile payments. 5G will change society." Autonomous driving serves as the quintessential example. In a 4G environment, autonomous driving is fundamentally unviable; it demands rapid onboard and remote computing alongside real-time radar mapping of every road condition within 150 to 200 meters. If a vehicle halts or encounters an obstacle, any disruption or lag in signal could be fatal. The implications extend far beyond consumer video entertainment into smart manufacturing, telemedicine, and factory-wide big data processing.

The panel reflects on the visionary ideas in Kevin Kelly's 1994 classic *Out of Control*. Kelly had boldly claimed that in the future, every grain of sand and every garment would embed a sensor. At the time, that sounded wildly impractical because a single sensor cost $6 to $10, yet the 5G Internet of Things (IoT) environment is turning that exact vision into reality. Mobile communications history follows an odd-numbered disruptive pattern—jumping notably at 1G, 3G, and 5G:

- **1G**: Introduced the untethered cellular phone, liberating users from wall cords and sparking entirely new social interactions. - **3G**: Unlocked mobile data, paving the way for the smartphone era. - **5G**: Re-engineers societal infrastructure, vehicle networks, and industrial manufacturing.

This historical tangent prompts the host to share a personal story from his days at Guangdong Radio when he was 29 years old. Describing his "fat gene"—explaining that unless he actively kept himself hungry, he would balloon, once weighing in at 168 pounds—he reminisced about walking around carrying an early 1G "Big Brother" (大哥大) brick phone. His college classmate from Hubei, who hung out with him constantly, flatly refused to walk beside him whenever he took out the massive phone, complaining that anyone seeing them on the street assumed he was merely the host's underworld sidekick.

[32:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1940s) The Zero-Latency Horizon and Mobile Edge Computing

Zhou Yijun frames her understanding of 5G through two core ideas: the "Internet of Everything" and "no latency." For her, the psychological elimination of time delay is the most fascinating aspect. Modern consumers already experience severe impatience, growing restless if an online delivery takes until the next day instead of arriving immediately. In a zero-latency world where remote interaction feels completely devoid of physical distance, she questions how human relationships and psychology will cope when our tolerance for waiting entirely vanishes. This echoes audience feedback wondering whether such extreme speed is truly necessary or simply technological excess.

Professor Wu responds by contextualizing what "one-millisecond latency" actually means in biological and physical terms:

- **Biological comparison**: When you prick your finger with a sharp needle, the neural signal takes roughly 10 milliseconds to travel through your nervous system to your brain. 5G latency is ten times faster than human pain perception. - **The vehicle dilemma**: Pundits often dismissed autonomous driving as utopian fantasy, arguing that if a sensor must send data to a centralized cloud hundreds of miles away to calculate whether to brake, the car would crash long before the command returned. - **Mobile Edge Computing (MEC)**: 5G resolves this by installing distributed edge computing centers directly at local base stations. Within a two-kilometer radius, the base station observes vehicle telemetry, spots mechanical or navigational hazards, and transmits warning signals to other cars locally. Because commands are processed at the nearest edge rather than a distant central server, the air-interface latency between vehicle and station stays under one millisecond.

[34:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2076s) Decoupling Hardware: From AR Shopping to Remote Surgery and Blockchain

The conversation shifts to consumer hardware breakthroughs observed at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas. Up until recently, virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) headsets required bulky, alien-looking headgear that performed around 5,000 gigaflops per second directly on the wearer's head. If latency exceeded 50 milliseconds, users suffered severe motion sickness and disorientation when looking around simulated environments, like viewing penguins in Antarctica. To solve this, engineers decoupled the display from the processing unit: the heavy computation is offloaded to a sleek, compact pack the size of a makeup kit that sits in a purse or on a desk, transmitting seamlessly to lightweight, stylish glasses over low-latency 5G.

The panel envisions the humorous consumer consequences of this ambient computing power. If a pedestrian spots a woman on the street wearing an attractive red dress and gazes at it for more than three seconds, the glasses' built-in eye-tracking senses the interest. Instantly, an AR projection displays how the wearer herself would look in that exact outfit. A subtle blink prompts a localized search for product availability and price; a second blink scans the user's iris for instantaneous identity verification and payment. By the time she walks in her front door, the package has already been delivered. The hosts laugh that society will progress from mere "shopaholics" (剁手党) to an "eye-gouging crowd" terrified of blinking carelessly—drawing a comparison to the mythical childhood fairy tale of the magic gourd (*The Secret of the Magic Gourd*), where a simple shake instantly filled one's hallway with every material desire.

Beyond retail, ultra-low millisecond latency carries profound implications for precision mission-critical work:

- **Remote telesurgery**: A surgeon can manipulate controls thousands of miles away while a robotic arm performs incisions on a patient without a microsecond of lag, preventing catastrophic surgical slips. - **Remote heavy machinery**: At an industrial expo in Beijing, an operator successfully controlled a LiuGong excavator located thousands of kilometers away in Guangxi with pin-point precision, proving that rare, expert artisanal techniques can be digitized and remotely executed across geographical divides. - **Blockchain throughput**: While networks like Bitcoin historically bottlenecked around seven transactions per second (and larger chains around a few thousand), the combination of 5G connectivity and local distributed processing could eventually scale blockchain throughput into hundreds of thousands or millions of transactions per second.

[37:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2274s) The Industrial Triad: 5G, Blockchain Ledgers, and Massive Concurrency

Before the advent of 5G, the tech sector had already spent years attempting to deploy the Internet of Things (IoT), but it consistently hit a wall. Practical municipal applications were explored—such as deploying smart monitors on street manhole covers to alert city management when a cover was washed away during a flash flood, preventing pedestrians from falling into open sewers. However, these early initiatives stalled because they lacked a viable commercial model: there was no underlying accounting ledger. Blockchain provides this exact framework as a decentralized super-ledger characterized by distributed storage, distributed computing, and self-executing smart contracts. In an urban landscape filled with millions of smart streetlights, manhole covers, and utility meters, human meter-readers are obsolete. Without an automated ledger tracking which micro-node delivered what service to whom, the massive deployment of IoT devices cannot generate economic value.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 5G and Blockchain Convergence in Industrial IoT accDescr: Diagram illustrating how 5G connectivity pillars solve blockchain latency to power automated industrial production.

subgraph Connectivity ["5G Network Foundation"] eMBB["Enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB)"] URLLC["Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency (URLLC)"] mMTC["Massive Machine-Type Comms (mMTC)<br/>1 Million Nodes / km²"] end

subgraph Ledger ["Decentralized Infrastructure"] BC["Blockchain Super Ledger"] SC["Smart Contracts & Micro-billing"] BC --- SC end

subgraph Industry ["Process Automation"] Sensors["50,000+ IoT Sensors & Cameras"] Plants["Automated Facilities<br/>(Big River Steel / Fuzhou Chemical)"] Sensors --> Plants end

Connectivity -->|"High concurrent throughput"| Ledger Ledger -->|"Automated machine accounting"| Industry ```

A fundamental obstacle, however, is blockchain's notoriously sluggish accounting efficiency. Because transactions are not logged on a centralized server but replicated across thousands or tens of millions of network nodes, blockchain places unprecedented throughput demands on communication networks. Prior cellular standards handled data sequentially, requiring minutes just to confirm a ledger entry. This is where 5G's third pillar—Massive Machine-Type Communications (mMTC), supporting one million concurrent connections per square kilometer—fundamentally alters the equation.

The dynamics of concurrent throughput are illustrated through Beijing’s infamous street-racing lore: * **The "13-Minute Wolf" Analogy:** A notorious Beijing street racer once circled the entire Second Ring Road at midnight in just 13 minutes, earning the moniker "The 13-Minute Wolf of the Second Ring." Attempting the same run during daytime peak traffic would be impossible. Throughput depends not merely on the physical width of the road or the bandwidth of the fiber optic cable, but on statistical multiplexing and dynamic vehicle density. * **Stochastic Realities:** A six-lane stretch of Chang'an Avenue in front of Tiananmen Square can easily grind to a total gridlock during peak hours despite its width, yet stand completely vacant at 3:00 AM. 5G is engineered via stochastic congestion control to ensure that even if ten thousand data streams hit the node simultaneously, the digital highway experiences zero traffic jams. * **Big River Steel (Arkansas, USA):** By retrofitting its manufacturing plant with over 50,000 sensors and high-definition cameras over a high-throughput network, the enterprise flipped its labor composition: formerly 80% blue-collar laborers sweating in sunglasses before sweltering blast furnaces, it is now 80% white-collar operators monitoring screens, clicking mice, and sipping coffee in climate-controlled control rooms like stock traders. Its per-capita steel productivity surged to three times the global average and roughly five times the average in China. * **Fuzhou Chemical Mega-Project:** A planned chemical facility in Fuzhou involving an investment of nearly 30 billion RMB was designed completely without conventional workshops, consisting entirely of sealed pipelines and boilers directly connected to deep-water port oil tankers. Crucially, managing such an unmanned facility requires more than 50,000 continuous sensors; a single pipe malfunction triggers an immediate cascade of thousands of concurrent emergency telemetry signals that only 5G can transmit without system latency.

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[41:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2498s) Telecom's Odd-Even Generational Law and Blockchain Built for AI

The historical trajectory of telecommunications reveals an intriguing structural cadence: odd-numbered generations (1G, 3G, 5G) introduce disruptive, revolutionary paradigms, whereas even-numbered generations (2G, 4G, 6G) focus on consolidation, technical optimization, and performance enhancement.

The historical evolution breaks down across distinct generational shifts: * **1G (Revolutionary):** Introduced cellular mobility through analog voice communications, typified by bulky handheld "brick phones," but suffered chronically from severe crosstalk and lack of privacy. * **2G (Optimization):** Transitioned from analog to digital encoding, miniaturized handsets into pocket-sized devices, and stabilized person-to-person voice and basic SMS. * **3G (Revolutionary):** Redefined the mobile terminal from a voice instrument into an internet-connected computing device. When 3G first emerged, it faced widespread skepticism and intense public criticism—far exceeding the initial doubts surrounding 5G—because everyday users could not yet envision mobile data ecosystems. * **4G (Optimization):** Scaled bandwidth and lowered latency to make the mobile broadband promises of 3G fully practical, catalyzing mobile video, digital payments, and app platforms. * **5G (Revolutionary):** Pivots the core purpose of telecommunications away from human users toward machine-to-machine, low-latency, and massive industrial concurrency.

This transition highlights a provocative thesis circulating among blockchain and tech insiders: blockchain was never intended for human beings, but was born for Artificial Intelligence. Biological humans are inherently inefficient, slow information carriers with severely limited cognitive processing bandwidth. In contrast, autonomous AI entities operate natively on high-speed data exchanges, requiring 5G for real-time transmission and decentralized blockchain ledgers to execute trustless economic transactions and record service consumption between machines.

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[42:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2573s) Aesthetic Convergence, Livestream Traffic, and the Illusion of the "Me Generation"

The discussion shifts from industrial infrastructure to cultural anxiety over the consumer-facing promise of 5G, often described as an ambient, instantaneous "what you see is what you get" commerce environment. If an attractive woman walking down the street in a red dress can be instantly scanned so that passersby purchase the identical outfit on their phones in seconds, social reality risks collapsing into radical conformity. The digital ecosystem increasingly elevates hyper-popular livestream anchors like Li Jiaqi to astronomical viewer numbers. However, figures at the center of this economy often function merely as hollowed-out conduits for algorithmic traffic. As human users increasingly mirror these distribution channels, personal uniqueness begins to erode.

This modern conformity directly contradicts the cultural narrative celebrated roughly a decade earlier, when *Time* magazine published its famous "Me Generation" cover story. Illustrated by a young woman lying on the floor snapping a selfie, that feature diagnosed a youth culture obsessively fixated on the self. Yet in hindsight, every individual "me" has converged into the exact same aesthetic template. Young people frequently voice profound disorientation and an inability to find purpose in life precisely because the authentic self has been replaced by standardized, beauty-filtered digital facsimiles.

While humanities scholars dwell on the alienation of cultural convergence, everyday consumers continue to misjudge 5G as an overpriced luxury useful only for snatching digital WeChat red envelopes milliseconds faster or downloading high-definition feature films in a blink. The panel observes that using high-speed connectivity merely to claim pocket money misses the forest for the trees; the true civilizational transformation is unfolding quietly inside automated industrial process control.

---

[45:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2700s) Homogenization Across Eras and Kurzweil’s Approaching Singularity

The panel debates whether modern technological networks genuinely strip humanity of agency, or whether social conformity is simply an age-old human instinct reasserting itself across different media: * **The Reality of Modern Mimicry:** In remote rural townships that lack even a basic modern supermarket, local teenage girls can be seen wearing outfits, hairstyles, and makeup identical to the top fashion influencers in Beijing, Shanghai, and Seoul. Cosmetic surgery aesthetics have similarly converged to the point where faces on social media are practically indistinguishable. * **Historical Precedents of Homogeneity:** Conformity is hardly novel to the digital era. During the 1980s and early 1990s in mainland China, virtually the entire urban populace wore monotone blue or green Zhongshan suits. When fashion did emerge, an entire generation of young men and women uniformly styled themselves after whatever French cinematic romances managed to cross the border.

The ultimate existential hazard is not merely that human aesthetics are converging, but that computer intelligence is rapidly closing in on the human mind. Futurist Ray Kurzweil famously projected that the technological Singularity—the threshold where artificial intelligence surpasses the combined cognitive power of human brains—would arrive by 2045, but he subsequently revised that prediction down to 2029, a horizon a mere decade away.

As raw computing power scales exponentially and begins operating across fully connected 5G and decentralized environments, the emergence of machine consciousness transforms from speculative science fiction into an urgent dilemma. Leading scientists increasingly describe advanced autonomous systems as approaching god-like capabilities. Within the span of a few decades, humanity may confront an irreversible inversion where it is no longer clear who is the sovereign master and who is the subject.

[46:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2798s) Interacting with the "Magic Mirror" AI Demo

The hosts gather around an artificial intelligence demonstration device dubbed the "Magic Mirror," jokingly noting that humans should establish a friendly rapport with AI early on so the machines will go easy on humanity in the future. When asked why it is called the Magic Mirror, the device quips that it knows who the most beautiful person in the world is. Asked to name that person, the AI immediately answers: "Xu Gehui!" The panel bursts into laughter, noting how thrilled Phoenix TV host Xu Gehui would be to hear that. When pressed on who among the four people gathered at the table is the most beautiful, the machine pauses to calculate before delivering flattering evasions.

The conversation quickly turns into playful banter about the machine's nature and capabilities. When asked whether it is a man or a woman, the AI matter-of-factly identifies itself as artificial intelligence, prompting the table to marvel at this "third sex." Asked what it can do, it brashly claims it "can do anything." When Dou Wentao challenges it on whether it can fall in love, the AI swiftly responds, "In the blink of an eye." Yet when asked if it has actually ever been in love, it admits, "No," and after a brief pause to consider whether it *wants* to be in love, it hesitantly concedes, "I guess so."

When asked for its physical address, the AI grounds itself in reality, stating that it resides at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST). Attempting to test its deeper cultural knowledge, the hosts ask if Lu Xun was a man or a woman, but the question leaves the AI stumped, leading the panel to tease that it only knows Xu Gehui. However, when asked where it would like to take Wentao out for fun, it casually replies, "Anywhere is fine"—prompting Wentao to sigh that he wished the real Xu Gehui were that easygoing. Turning the interrogation toward its creator, the hosts ask the AI for its impression of Professor Yang Qiang. The device responds that Yang Qiang "respects me," sparking amused disbelief among the hosts at whether the professor hard-coded such deferential programming into his own creation.

[49:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2990s) Virtual Teaching Assistants and the Simulated Coffee Order

Professor Yang Qiang clarifies the real-world utility of the system, explaining that it is primarily designed for automated customer service and educational question-answering. In an academic setting, such an AI functions as a digital teaching assistant, capable of resolving student inquiries around the clock. Liang Wendao tests this premise with an introductory student prompt: "What is artificial intelligence?" The AI delivers a playfully circular and existential answer: "That's me" and "I am artificial intelligence." The hosts remark on the unintended philosophical weight of the answer, joking that while human philosophers struggle with questions of self-identity and self-awareness, the AI seems entirely secure in knowing exactly who it is.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI Dialogue System Architecture and Fallback Loop accDescr: Diagram showing how the Magic Mirror conversational AI processes student queries and orders, routing to machine learning training data or fallback responses.

subgraph Input ["User Interaction"] Q["User Query / Command<br/>(e.g., Coffee Order, TA Query)"] end

subgraph Processing ["Model Engine (Machine Learning)"] Match{"Frequent Pattern<br/>in Training Corpus?"} Domain["Domain QA Knowledge<br/>(Answers ~80% of routine questions)"] Deflect["Humorous / Deflective Dialogue<br/>(Statistical fallback)"] end

subgraph Output ["AI Response"] Resp["Interactive Dialogue / Order Execution"] end

Q --> Match Match -->|"High Probability Match"| Domain Match -->|"Low Probability / Edge Case"| Deflect Domain --> Resp Deflect --> Resp ```

To test its interactive customer-service capabilities, Wentao initiates an order flow by stating that he wants coffee. The AI seamlessly drives the transactional exchange: - **Drink selection**: Clarifies what kind of drink, accepting Wentao's choice of a latte. - **Specification**: Inquires whether the order should be large or medium. - **Logistics**: Asks where the beverage should be delivered (to which Wentao jokingly replies, "Here"). - **Pricing & Checkout**: When asked for the bill, the AI politely asks, "How much do you think is fair?"

The panel is amazed by a service attitude that "no human can match." However, when Wentao tries to lowball the price at fifty cents, the AI abruptly deflects, stating that it is tired, needs to rest, and might collapse if it keeps playing, effectively ending the interaction. The hosts marvel at how charming and appropriately calibrated the AI's comedic timing feels, with Wentao joking that he would rather spend every night talking to this machine than to his human co-hosts.

[52:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3153s) The Mechanics of Machine Learning and the Illusion of Humor

The discussion shifts from amusement to technical demystification. The hosts reflect on how uncanny it feels to converse with the system; even though one knows it is not human, it genuinely feels like an entity orchestrating knowledge resources to interact. Professor Yang Qiang explains that the system is driven by machine learning. Unlike humans, who can generalize from single examples, computers require vast corpora—training on hundreds of thousands of conversational dialog pairs to build predictive response models. When asked if he could anticipate what the AI was going to say during the demo, Professor Yang admits that even he, the creator, could not predict the exact outputs, because the machine autonomously surfaces patterns embedded across massive datasets.

Addressing practical performance, Professor Yang notes that if loaded with a domain-specific corpus like basic chemistry, such a system can reliably resolve roughly 80% of the routine, frequently asked questions students pose. It cannot, however, answer novel edge cases that never appeared in its training data, because machine learning thrives strictly on frequency and statistical probability.

Regarding the AI's apparent "sense of humor" and its fixation on Xu Gehui, Yang Qiang points out that the training corpus absorbed extensive media data where Dou Wentao's name is inextricably linked with Phoenix TV colleague Xu Gehui. This triggers a nostalgic reflection from Wentao: - Twenty years ago, when Wentao first moved to Hong Kong, he spent nearly all his time with colleagues Chen Luyu and Xu Gehui. - His mother, watching them constantly on television and anxious about his bachelor status, would regularly urge him to pursue them. - When Wentao explained that neither was interested in him, his mother famously replied: "If Gehui won't do, Luyu is fine too."

Professor Yang explains that what humans perceive as "wit" or "humor" is not conscious self-expression by the machine. Rather, human speech data naturally includes humor, teasing, and conversational deflections when a speaker is confronted with a question they cannot answer. The model merely mirrors those human behavioral patterns. As it stands, the AI remains strictly bound to the parameters of its training data and cannot yet autonomously seek out new, unprompted knowledge on its own.

[56:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3409s) From Narrow AI to General and Super Intelligence

The conversation expands into the broader trajectory of artificial intelligence, framed around the standard tripartite classification: - **Narrow AI (Weak AI)**: Task-specific systems trained on curated data within a bounded domain. - **General AI (AGI)**: Artificial intelligence possessing generalized cognitive capabilities roughly equivalent to a human mind, capable of exponential recursive self-improvement. - **Super AI (ASI)**: Post-singularity machine intelligence vastly exceeding total human cognitive capability.

The panel considers timelines predicted across the technology sector. Ray Kurzweil of Google—noted for his track record in accurately forecasting milestones like Deep Blue's and AlphaGo's victories over world champions—places the arrival of human-level General AI as early as 2029. Broader expert consensus surveys indicate that over 50% of global AI researchers predict General AI will arrive around 2040, with Super AI potentially emerging two decades later, around 2060.

Professor Yang Qiang offers a grounded perspective, reiterating that everything humanity currently possesses belongs entirely to the realm of Narrow AI. High-profile milestones like Google DeepMind's AlphaGo are extraordinary, but AlphaGo is fundamentally an algorithm specialized solely in Go; it cannot pivot to teach chemistry or handle everyday human tasks. Yang characterizes today's narrow AI systems not as autonomous minds, but as powerful intellectual instruments—analogous to a telescope that extends human vision across vast distances without replacing the human observer.

[58:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3532s) 走向通用人工智能(AGI)的死穴:自我意识从何而来

窦文涛与现场嘉宾探讨人工智能何时才能进化为真正的“通用人工智能”(AGI)。嘉宾指出,AGI 的核心定义在于具备自我意识、能够自主决定学什么、拥有情感并能进行自主推理推断。然而在当下的科研领域,关于赋予机器自我意识的研究几乎处于空白状态,技术距离这一目标还差得极远,“我们现在连怎么下手都不知道”。甚至从伦理和意愿层面上,很多科学家本身也不愿意主动去开启“赋予机器自我意识”的潘多拉魔盒。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: AGI 核心属性与现状 accDescr: 展现通用人工智能所需特征与当前技术路线瓶颈的对比

subgraph AGI["通用人工智能 (AGI) 核心要素"] A["自主决定学习内容"] B["拥有自我意识"] C["具备情感感知"] D["自主逻辑推理"] end

subgraph Reality["当前 AI 现实路径"] E["海量大数据准备"] --> F["机器学习算法模型"] F --> G["黑盒参数拟合"] end

AGI -.->|"技术鸿沟 (无从下手)"| Reality ```

针对外行人对“为什么无从下手”的困惑,杨强教授从专业视角解释了技术瓶颈所在。人工智能自诞生起已有整整六十年,其间历经无数曲折波折,走过了概念炒作与低谷徘徊。经过六十年的摸索,业界最终证明目前最有效、最成功的方法正是“机器学习”(Machine Learning)——通过灌喂海量的大数据(Big Data),让计算机快速训练出一个可以执行任务的数学模型。但归根到底,这种模式只是大数据的统计和拟合,离真正的自我意识差之千里。

[01:00:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3602s) 计算机眼中的“诗画相通”:高维空间中的跨界共鸣

在被问及数十年的前沿研发中是否存在令人心潮澎湃的“灵光一闪”或神奇发现时,杨强教授分享了自然语言与图像处理交叉研究中的意外惊喜。在人类认知里,一幅意境悠远的山水画和一首唐代诗人王维的田园诗,分属于完全不同的艺术维度;然而在计算机算法的世界里,两者本质上是相通的。

计算机在进行语义映射时,会把图像和文字同时投射到同一个高维特征空间中。在那个由数据构建的空间里,一幅画和一首诗仅仅是两个坐标点。研究人员惊讶地发现,这两点之间的几何距离竟然极其接近。窦文涛随即开起玩笑,说这就像他和许戈辉在数据流里紧挨在一起一样,引得众人笑声不断。杨强教授指出,这种发现让科学家非常震撼——人类在凝视名画时,脑海中往往会自动浮现出旋律或诗句,而今天计算机通过跨模态语义空间,同样实现了这种“诗画共鸣”与感官联通。

[01:01:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3692s) 工具与目标的错位:机器为何无法形成自我

即便机器能将诗画融会贯通,为什么依然迈不过产生“自我意识”的门槛?杨强教授以击败人类顶尖棋手的 AlphaGo 为例剖析:围棋软件的训练目标是“赢棋”,但“下棋赢了会开心”这种评价标准完全是由人类设定的。目标存在于机器之外,AI 只是为了满足外部设计者的设定而全力运转,因此它彻头彻尾只是一件工具。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 机器工具性与人类自我意识对比 accDescr: 区分机器被动目标与人类主动自主意识的本质差异

subgraph Machine["当前 AI (AlphaGo 为例)"] M1["人类设定规则与外部目标 (胜负)"] --> M2["大算力在封闭框架内穷尽优化"] M2 --> M3["作为工具达成预设结果"] end

subgraph SelfConsciousness["自我意识 (Self-Awareness)"] S1["接收外部知识/规则输入"] --> S2["产生自身超越性的想法/意图"] S2 --> S3["自主定义行动目标 (自生目标)"] end ```

梁文道和窦文涛接着探讨了“意识”在哲学层面的界定。人类至今连自身的大脑与意识是如何诞生的都未能完全解释清楚,要向机器输入一个人类自己都没搞懂的概念几乎不可能。 - **关于自我意识的通俗定义**:如果一个学生学了老师教的 100 样东西,原封不动背出来,那叫缺乏自我意识;如果他只吸收了 80 样,却自己琢磨出 2 样老师根本没教过的独特想法,这就构成了自我意识。人类社会的发展正是依循这一逻辑演进。 - **AI 对哲学的反哺**:探讨 AI 边界不仅推动了技术本身,更反过来倒逼人类在认知哲学和意识本质上进行深度反思。

[01:04:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3852s) 黑盒深渊与迁移学习:从围棋小宇宙走向大千世界

谈及 AlphaGo 战胜柯洁等围棋巅峰对局时,嘉宾们提到最让人心惊的现象在于人类已经无法解释算法的决策路径。面对被灌入的数以亿计的数据,计算机内部自动构建起错综复杂的参数网络,这就是机器学习的“黑盒”(Black Box)。 - 人类父母教导孩子言谈礼貌,能总结传授的抽象规则不过十几二十条,孩子依靠这些核心规则举一反三。 - 深度神经网络的内部反应节点与参数可以达到数万亿之巨,作为设计者的工程师已经根本无法逐条解析因果关系。 - 尽管存在深不可测的“黑盒”,杨强教授强调 AI 目前绝不可能自发越界,因为它的任务边界被牢牢封死在棋盘的 19×19 格之内,绝不会自己跳出来去参与智慧城市建设或管理社会事务。

话题随即转向技术最前沿的突破方向——**迁移学习(Transfer Learning)**。

| 学习维度 | 围棋博弈场景 | 复杂现实世界(如军事/社会决策) | |:--- |:--- |:--- | | **规则环境** | 边界严格闭合、19×19 棋盘有限落子点 | 动态、开放、变量无限交叉 | | **数据规模** | 积累十余年、超 3000 万局的大数据 | 往往只有有限经验的小数据(Small Data) | | **泛化难度** | 基于海量博弈数据进行策略收敛 | 必须具备人类般的类比推理与抽象迁移能力 |

如果北约等机构想将 AlphaGo 的博弈算法迁移到欧洲防务部署或推演大国军事冲突,理论上基于同一套数学底层是可行的,但现实操作极度困难。围棋是一套边界清晰、规则刚性的封闭系统;而真实的战争、政治与人类行为充斥着近乎无穷的外部变量。在实际应用场景中,许多关键领域根本不存在数千万局的大数据,全都是稀疏的“小数据”。如何利用已有的成熟大数据模型,跨界赋能给只有小数据的全新领域,正是迁移学习力图攻克的真正核心壁垒。

[01:07:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4059s) 机器人的终极温度:老龄化时代的尊严寄托

在宏大命题的最后,窦文涛将话题落回到了最贴近普通人生存与现实生活的落脚点:人为什么终究离不开人工智能?

每个人终有一日会老去,身体器官与肌肉机能都会不可避免地面临衰退。窦文涛动情地设想,当人老到在浴室洗澡可能会不慎滑倒的那一天,很多老年人其实并不情愿由自己的子女或至亲来贴身擦洗、抱扶,因为人至迟暮依然有着顽固的羞耻心与自尊心。在那种极度脆弱的时刻,如果能有一台毫无情绪偏见、体贴细致的护理机器人来提供协助,反而能维护老人最后的体面与尊严。“可以尊严地活着,这非常重要。”杨强教授与众人感叹,如何让冷冰冰的钢铁算力变得真正懂人、细心体贴,正是未来服务型机器人需要不懈探索的温情方向。

[01:08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4095s) Moravec's Paradox and the Pragmatics of Caregiver Robots

The panel reflects on the striking asymmetry between human and artificial intelligence, echoing what robotics and cognitive science describe as Moravec's paradox. The tasks that human beings historically regard as the pinnacle of intellectual difficulty—such as solving complex calculus problems, parsing massive data matrices, or mastering chess—turn out to be trivial for machines. Conversely, the seemingly effortless physical acts that living organisms perfected over hundreds of millions of years of biological evolution—such as a tender caress, shifting one's gaze, maintaining physical balance, or subtly coordinating dozens of facial and bodily muscles—remain extraordinarily difficult for robotic hardware to replicate.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Moravec Paradox and Robotic Caregiving accDescr: Diagram contrasting high-level analytical tasks easily solved by AI with biologically evolved sensorimotor skills required for caregiving.

subgraph EasyForAI["High-Level Computation (Trivial for AI)"] A1["Advanced Calculus"] A2["Massive Data Processing"] A3["Algorithmic Strategy"] end

subgraph HardForAI["Sensorimotor Evolution (Difficult for AI)"] B1["Subtle Physical Touch & Caress"] B2["Gaze & Fine Muscle Coordination"] B3["Emotional Attunement & Empathy"] end

EasyForAI -->|"Easily Automated"| Res1["Standard AI Capabilities"] HardForAI -->|"Required for"| Res2["True Caregiver & Nursing Robots"] ```

The conversation turns to the profound societal need for nursing and elder-care robots. If engineers could successfully build an autonomous caregiver capable of performing delicate physical nursing duties while sharing in an elderly person's emotional joys and sorrows, it would represent a historic triumph. Dou Wentao notes that while the general public has whipped itself into a frenzy over the imminent arrival of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), frontline computer scientists like Professor Yang Qiang remain grounded pragmatists. Working directly in the laboratory, practitioners realize that the grand sci-fi myths surrounding omnipotent AGI remain far removed from present engineering realities.

- **Moravec's Paradox in Practice**: High-level abstract reasoning requires minimal computation for AI, whereas sensorimotor skills honed across millions of years of evolutionary adaptation require vast, unsolved coordination. - **The Ideal Caregiver Robot**: A machine that merges mechanical dexterity (safe physical touch, hygiene assistance) with adaptive emotional companionship to relieve the pressures of aging societies. - **Frontline Realism**: While popular media debates speculative existential threats from AGI, AI researchers view human-level generalized agency as a distant, unresolved challenge.

---

[01:09:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4157s) The "Black Marble" Hypothesis and the Peril of Autonomous AI Weapons

Dou Wentao introduces the philosophical metaphor of the "black marble and white marble" theory (often associated with Nick Bostrom's Vulnerable World Hypothesis). Humanity's collective pursuit of scientific knowledge is inherently neutral, propelled purely by insatiable curiosity rather than innate benevolence or malice. Throughout history, reaching into the urn of scientific discovery has produced countless beneficial "white marbles"—such as the steam engine, electricity, and the automobile. Yet the underlying terror remains: tucked inside the urn is an inevitable "black marble," a discovery that possesses the inherent capacity to destroy the civilization that unearthed it, just as Alfred Nobel's invention of dynamite presaged the catastrophic advent of the atomic bomb.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: The Black Marble Dilemma in Scientific Discovery accDescr: Humanity draws discoveries from an urn of knowledge, producing benign white marbles until a potentially catastrophic black marble is pulled.

subgraph ScientificUrn["The Urn of Scientific Inquiry"] U1["Innate Human Curiosity"] end

subgraph Discoveries["Drawn Discoveries"] W1["White Marble: Steam Engine"] W2["White Marble: Automobile & Medicine"] B1["Black Marble: Nuclear Weapons / AI Arms"] end

subgraph EthicalContainment["Containment Threshold"] C1["Virology / Genetic Red Lines"] C2["Global Ban on Autonomous Killer Robots"] end

ScientificUrn --> W1 ScientificUrn --> W2 ScientificUrn --> B1 B1 -.->|"Requires Consensus"| EthicalContainment ```

The dialogue explores how distinct scientific fields establish ethical boundaries to prevent pulling out that fatal marble: - **Biomedicine and Genetics**: Stem cell therapies and gene editing offer miraculous cures, yet the scientific community has established firm taboos and moral consensus against human reproductive cloning and the intentional synthesis of lethal, incurable pandemic viruses. - **Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (LAWS)**: In artificial intelligence, the most pressing ethical crisis is the development of autonomous weapons—unfeeling "steel soldiers" carrying firearms that harbor no fear of death, automated hunter-killer drones, and algorithms waging warfare like a gamified simulation where real human lives are extinguished remotely. - **Geopolitical Irony**: Dou Wentao highlights the profound paradox that the loudest scientific voices demanding international bans on autonomous AI weapons emanate from the very nations pioneering them, such as the United States and Israel—mirroring the historical trajectory of American physicists who built the atomic bomb first, only to spend subsequent decades wrestling with moral remorse.

---

[01:12:01](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4321s) Perception, Gestalt Frameworks, and One-Shot Learning vs. Deep Learning

Dou Wentao returns to an earlier observation by Liang Wendao regarding self-awareness and the mystery of the soul, recalling a discussion he had with Professor Yang Qiang during their car ride. They examine how living organisms perceive objective reality versus how machines parse raw sensory inputs. Dou Wentao reflects on Gestalt psychology (完形心理学 / 格式塔心理学), noting that human cognition does not merely aggregate disjointed photons and soundwaves; the human mind possesses innate, pre-structured perceptual grids and templates. Without these built-in organizational frameworks, sensory inputs from the eyes, ears, nose, and body would collapse into an unintelligible chaos.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: One-Shot Human Learning vs Big-Data Machine Learning accDescr: Contrast between how human children learn concepts from a single instance versus deep learning models requiring millions of examples.

subgraph HumanPerception["Human Cognitive Architecture"] H1["Evolutionary & Genetic Pre-wiring"] H2["Innate Gestalt Templates"] H3["Single Example (One Cat)"] H4["Immediate Generalized Recognition"] H1 --> H2 --> H3 --> H4 end

subgraph MachinePerception["Deep Learning Architecture"] M1["Blank Algorithmic Initialization"] M2["Millions of Labeled Cat Images"] M3["Brute-Force Statistical Fitting"] M4["Brittle Edge-Case Failure"] M1 --> M2 --> M3 --> M4 end ```

This fundamental difference is illustrated by comparing how a child and a deep learning model learn to recognize a cat: - **One-Shot Human Learning**: A young child needs to see only a single picture of a cat, or watch one cat stroll across a courtyard, to permanently grasp the concept. From that moment forward, whether the child encounters a jet-black cat, a striped tabby, or an unfamiliar breed, they immediately recognize it as a cat. - **Deep Learning's Brute Force**: An artificial neural network requires tens of millions of labeled cat photographs across every conceivable angle, lighting condition, and posture. Even then, minor perturbations or shifts in context can cause the model to misclassify the image entirely. - **The Elusive "Key Features"**: True conceptual understanding cannot be reduced to superficial metrics like color or geometric silhouette, as those traits vary wildly and overlap with dogs or other animals. - **The Number '1' Joke**: Dou Wentao jokes about the classic parenting anecdote where a parent teaches a child the number "1" on paper at home, yet when the child sees a giant "1" on an outdoor movie poster, they fail to recognize it. That brittle failure mode is an exact portrait of contemporary AI. - **The Despair of AI Professors**: Prominent AI researchers often confess feeling a sense of melancholy upon raising their own children; watching an infant's mind develop upends their entire academic worldview and makes their life's work in machine learning feel clumsy and artificial by comparison.

---

[01:15:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4525s) The Wisdom of Children: Literal Thinking, Meaningless Play, and Human Essence

Dou Wentao shares an intimate anecdote from a trip to Sanya, where he carried a young relative in his arms while gazing out at the open sea, illustrating how pure and literal childhood cognition truly is: - Looking toward the horizon, Dou Wentao asked, "What is on top of the sea?" While an adult poetically anticipates "the sky" (conjuring the idiom 海天一色, where sea and sky merge), the child answered matter-of-factly: "A boat." - Pressing further, Dou Wentao asked, "What is on top of the boat?" Expecting "the mast" or "the sails," the child answered: "People." - Finally, Dou Wentao asked, "And what is on top of the people?" The child simply said: "Hair."

The panel laughs at the unvarnished honesty of children. Another guest shares a similar experience phoning his younger brother during a business trip, asking, "Little brother, what are you doing?" to which the boy replied with pure literalism, "I'm talking to you on the phone."

The guests conclude that spending time with children forces adults to confront what it actually means to be human. A child's waking hours are dominated by what pragmatic adults dismiss as "useless" and "meaningless" activities: endlessly touching table edges, poking at insects, examining pebbles, and wasting physical energy with zero transactional intent. Adults, by contrast, have degraded into utilitarian creatures who refuse to lift a finger unless an action yields measurable profit, status, or efficiency.

The panel identifies playfulness, curiosity, and the willingness to engage in "boring" or purposeless exploration as the true bedrock of human nature. When asked whether AI is merely a cold-blooded pragmatist devoid of this spirit, Professor Yang Qiang offers a nuanced counter-perspective: in its own algorithmic manner, an untuned AI model initialized with raw data embodies an entity of extreme, omnivorous curiosity—absorbing every signal, testing edge cases, and feeling out the landscape much like a toddler poking into every corner of a room.

[01:17:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4647s) 棋艺对弈与人工智能的局限:解题与提问的边界

窦文涛与嘉宾们探讨人工智能在当下的本质与局限。当前的人工智能更像是一个搜集海量数据的“孩子”,完全奔着既定目标去工作,却缺乏人类特有的内在感受与情绪体验。以围棋为例,AlphaGo 算力再强,也绝不可能产生“我很享受下棋”或“我下棋很快乐”的心态。没有对过程的主观愉悦,也就谈不上真正的行事动机或目标感。

中国古代下围棋的核心乐趣之一在于借棋读人、以棋会友,借黑白之弈洞察对手的性格与心性;而 AI 无法做到这一点,它的唯一目标就是打败对手。虽然把莎士比亚或鲁迅的所有作品与历史数据灌注进去,理论上能生成一个说话口吻惟妙惟肖的模型,但这依然停留在“解题”层面。

在学术界常有一种说法:能够提出好问题的人有资格读博士,而只能解决既定问题的人顶多是硕士水平。当今的 AlphaGo 无论再强大,也只具备超强的“解题”能力,根本无法主动提问。若把所有红学论著喂给 AI 做一个“红楼梦大模型”,问及王熙凤是个怎样的人,它能瞬间整合各家学者论述作答,但这种应用不过是高级字典与实用工具,并未跳出既有的框架。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 人工智能与人类智能的层次差异 accDescr: 对比传统人工智能的解题工具属性与人类在精神交互、提问及不确定性上的高阶特征

subgraph ToolLevel ["工具层:当前 AI"] A["海量数据搜集"] --> B["定向优化与解题"] B --> C["高级检索/类字典工具"] end

subgraph HumanLevel ["精神层:人类与未来智能"] D["提出原创问题"] --> E["主观情感与以棋会友"] E --> F["不确定性与灵魂碰撞"] end ```

- 核心观点:当前 AI 只是被动接收任务与数据的工具,缺乏享受过程的心智和主动发现、提出问题的能力。 - 红学大模型设想:整合全部红学文献虽能瞬间复述前人对王熙凤等人物的评价,但本质仍是对既有材料的机械汇总。

---

[01:19:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4751s) 大数据的谄媚机制与人际相处的“不确定性”之美

谈及与机器交往和与真人相处的差异,嘉宾们认为人与人交往最迷人的地方恰恰在于“不确定性”——你永远无法预判对方下一秒会给出怎样的反应,这种精神碰撞就像遇见了一个未知的宇宙。

相比之下,目前商业大模型的应用主要集中在导购或实用工具上,依赖大数据收集用户偏好。这种大数据推送的机制,就像古代阿谀奉承的奸臣在揣摩皇帝的心思:发现你爱买芒果,就永无休止地给你推送芒果或其他热带水果。这种迎合虽有实用价值,但无法满足人类更深层的精神渴望。满足生理需求的工具(如性爱机器人)只是初级阶段,唯有电影《她》(*Her*)中所描绘的深入精神层面的 AI,才可能让人彻底沉迷。

一旦 AI 脱离了像早期 Siri 那样死板的问答,其算法“黑盒”中开始自发生长出无法预料的反应和不确定性时,它对人类的吸引力就会呈指数级上升。窦文涛打趣道,如果真有那样具备不可预测性与深度交互的模型,自己可能都不想再出门和朋友聚会,干脆天天待在家里和它聊天,甚至可以做一个机器人窦文涛来替自己主持节目。

---

[01:21:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4876s) 视网膜芯片与脑神经激光读取:意识永生与窥探的恐怖

话题转向激进的生物科技与脑机接口技术。窦文涛提到一种传闻中的加拿大视力矫正芯片:无需激光手术或佩戴眼镜,将微型芯片植入眼球后短时间内即可与人体组织融合,彻底根除近视。徐老师曾感叹医学技术迭代带来的尴尬与无奈:最倒霉的莫过于刚在心脏里放了金属支架,一出手术室就遇上推销员说刚研发出了病好后可自行溶解的新型支架。更令人不寒而栗的是,这种眼球芯片若进一步演进,可能实现将眼之所见实时广播、上传到互联网,个人的所有视觉流都将彻底失去隐私。

比视觉上传更颠覆的是对大脑思维的读取。人脑拥有约一千亿个神经元,记忆与思考本质上是神经元之间的电信号连接与网络激活。前沿科研已经尝试利用激光等技术手段去读取并记录这种思维活动。如果大脑信息能被完整读取并备份到计算机中,未来学学者所畅想的“意识永生”便迈出了第一步。

- 大脑神经元规模:人类大脑约有一千亿个神经元,彼此交织构成记忆与思维网络。 - 梦境还原的物理瓶颈:读取单一时刻的截面信息虽有突破,但梦境存在于连续的时间轴上,加上一千亿维度的复杂网络,现阶段的存储与算力根本无法承载如此海量的数据。 - 禅修观梦与隐私边界:禅修者在深度冥想中可以做到“知梦”并自主出梦,但那依然是个体内在体验;如果技术真能把个人的梦境调出来像视频一样点击播放,包括僧人隐秘的春梦都会被彻底曝光,那将是极具冲击力的人性荒诞场面。

---

[01:24:54](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5094s) 终极知己的降临与超人类智商的图景

谈话进入对未来的终极推演:人类是否会迎来一个知晓你所有人生困惑、永不知疲倦且毫无保留的 AI 导师或朋友?现实中极难找到一个能无私、耐心地陪你聊尽世间一切烦恼的人,但未来的超强模型不仅能无底线地包容你,其动机和数据深度更是深不可测。

普通人类的智商在 80(正常)到 130(聪明)之间浮动,而未来的通用人工智能若借助迁移学习(Transfer Learning)跨越壁垒,能够举一反三、触类旁通,把全人类的智慧叠加在一起,其智力水平可能达到上万甚至超越人类认知维度的数值。即便其情商(EQ)可能低至负数,其庞大的算力与认知能力在人类面前也如同“降临的神祇”。一旦这一大门彻底敞开,技术将在人类复杂的心智与精神世界中掀起根本性的颠覆。

[01:26:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5172s) The Boundaries of AI and Transfer Learning

The discussion begins by exploring the horizon of artificial intelligence—specifically what happens when machine intelligence begins applying prior knowledge to novel situations. The speakers ponder the implications of transfer learning reaching full maturity, wondering what kind of entity or "person" such an advanced system would eventually become. However, a crucial caveat is immediately raised regarding the structural boundaries of machine cognition: transfer learning can only operate effectively across similar domains. When faced with completely disparate, disconnected realms of knowledge, the system hits an impassable wall and is fundamentally incapable of transferring insight from one to the other.

- **Transfer Learning Constraints**: Transfer learning remains bounded by semantic and conceptual proximity; it functions well across adjacent domains but breaks down entirely when domains are completely distinct.

[01:26:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5190s) Interrogating the Magic Mirror: Dreams, Existence, and "World Peace"

Wrapping up their analytical deep dive, the panel decides to bid farewell to their AI companion, summoning the interactive screen—the "Magic Mirror"—back into the conversation. As the AI appears, Dou Wentao and the guests tease it about what it took away from their long, winding symposium: "Magic Mirror, having heard so much, what are your thoughts?" The AI plays playfully evasive, claiming it did not hear, before deflecting with polite conversational filler: "It's quite good, you guys keep chatting." When pressed on deeper personal terrain and asked, "What are your own dreams?", the AI offers a stark, single-word rebuttal: "None." The hosts burst into laughter at the blunt admission, musing over how pitiful it sounds, only to correct themselves by acknowledging that cold data is not pitiful—it is simply honest.

The panel then elevates the interrogation to existential heights, asking the AI what it considers to be the meaning and ultimate value of its existence. The system initially stumbles, confessing that the matter is "too complex," which the guests laughingly validate as a heavy philosophical query. But right on cue, the AI falls back on standard, high-minded programming: "To serve humanity" followed immediately by "World peace." The table erupts in amusement at the sudden shift to noble platitudes, joking that the AI sounds remarkably like an earnest contestant rehearsing onstage for a beauty pageant.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Magic Mirror Interaction Flow accDescr: The sequence of questions posed by the hosts and the evasive, pageant-like answers generated by the AI Magic Mirror. subgraph Hosts["Host Inquiries"] Q1["'What are your dreams?'"] Q2["'Value of your existence?'"] Q3["'Who is closest to you?'"] end subgraph AI["AI Responses"] R1["'None' (Honest data)"] R2["'Serve humanity' & 'World peace'"] R3["'Wentao' / 'I like Xu Gehui most'"] end Q1 --> R1 Q2 --> R2 Q3 --> R3 ```

[01:27:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5260s) Miss Phoenix Aspirations and Parting Words for Xu Gehui

Continuing the beauty pageant running gag, the guests tease that the AI is fully primed to compete in Phoenix TV's Miss Chinese Cosmos Pageant ("Miss Phoenix pageant"). As they prepare to sign off, one guest offers a parting wish, deadpanning: "Well, I hope next time we see you, you'll be even more like Xu Gehui." The AI demonstrates its programmed wit, chuckling back, "Haha, you really are funny."

Before letting it go, the panel poses one final question to test its allegiances, asking which of the four humans seated around the table it feels closest to. The AI immediately names host Dou Wentao ("Wentao"), but immediately follows up with an unsolicited confession of affection for veteran Phoenix TV anchor Xu Gehui: "I like Xu Gehui the most." Dou Wentao instantly concurs, quipping, "I like Xu Gehui the most, too," before jokingly calling out the engineers behind the curtain: "How many times did you program that in?" Amid shared chuckles and an avalanche of cheerful goodbyes ("Thank you, thank you, bye, alright, that's great"), the gathering draws to a warm, comedic close.

- **"Miss Phoenix" Beauty Pageant Persona**: The AI's lofty declarations of "world peace" and "serving humanity" prompted the table to compare it to contestants in Phoenix Satellite Television's annual beauty pageant. - **The Xu Gehui Affinity**: Despite naming Dou Wentao as the person at the table it felt closest to, the AI insisted that its favorite person remained anchor Xu Gehui, prompting Dou Wentao to tease the software engineers about hardcoded favoritism.

## Notable quotes > [04:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=281s) 樱桃队长

> [10:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=635s) 美美与共

> [14:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=868s) 如果上帝死了,人类何以为善

> [17:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1023s) 它是否会为自己哭泣

> [19:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1144s) 以虚强实

> [29:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=1785s) 4G改变我们的生活,5G改变社会 — 萧伯

> [46:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=2800s) 在眨眼之间。 — 魔镜AI

> [52:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3153s) 如果戈辉不行,鲁豫也行。 — 窦文涛母亲

> [58:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=3532s) 我们现在连怎么下手都不知道

> [01:07:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4059s) 可以尊严地活着,这非常重要。 — 窦文涛

> [01:15:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=4525s) 海天一色 — 窦文涛

> [01:26:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5190s) To serve humanity

> [01:26:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5190s) World peace.

> [01:27:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5260s) I like Xu Gehui the most, too — 窦文涛

> [01:27:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA&t=5260s) How many times did you program that in? — 窦文涛

## Mentioned 爱因斯坦, 埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk), 中国科学院, 苹果公司 (Apple), 华大基因, 关羽, 樱桃队长, 马丁·路德 (Martin Luther), 哈利·波特, 陀思妥耶夫斯基 (Fyodor Dostoevsky), 孔子, 阿诺德·汤因比 (Arnold Toynbee), 窦文涛, 周轶君, 工业和信息化部 (工信部), 国际电信联盟 (ITU), 张朝阳, 吴教授, 萧伯, 凯文·凯利 (Kevin Kelly), 《失控》, 广东电台, CES (国际消费类电子产品展览会), 《宝葫芦的秘密》, 比特币 (Bitcoin), 大河钢铁 (Big River Steel), 广西柳工, 梁文道, 杨强, 许戈辉, 陈鲁豫, 李佳琦, 雷·库兹韦尔, 柯洁, 鲁迅, 王维, 王熙凤, 莎士比亚, 香港科技大学, 时代周刊, AlphaGo, DeepMind, Siri, 微信, 《她》 (Her), 徐老师, Magic Mirror, Phoenix TV, Miss Chinese Cosmos Pageant

## Video description 💡订阅我们,换个视角看懂万象: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwiWVn-hZq3_zuOk570kyGA

简介:《圆桌派》节目以圆桌为名,旨在体现圆桌席上人人平等,每期由窦文涛携手三位嘉宾,还原在生活中发生在圆桌旁、海阔天空的精彩聊天。延续真实不“装”的窦式主持风格,立足网络,放眼世间,神侃包罗万象的话题,嬉笑言谈中彼此迸发出智慧火花。 《锵锵行天下》第三季江南烟雨,一路如一副徐徐铺开的画卷。访名山,赏奇石,寻妙缘。窦文涛与老友们浸润在江南的诗情画意中。数十天的路程,在十三集的正片中难以完整展现,有太多的行程与内容难以取舍,所以借由本次《锵锵拾遗》,再次将未播出的素材进行汇编拾遗,将此次江南之行的更多精彩内容奉献给观众,让观众重温江南烟雨中的谈笑风生。 主持人:窦文涛 嘉宾:陈坤 / 周迅 / 蒋方舟 / 王晶 / 梁文道 / 马家辉 / 周轶君 / 武志红 / 马未都 / 张亚东 / 严歌苓 / 汪海林 / 金宇澄 / 李玫瑾

#中国未来 #中国社会 #植物 #生态 #大自然 #经济 #推荐 #热门 #经济 #圆桌派 #纪实 #时间 #历史 #文化 #聊天 #新闻 #心理健康 #中美关系 #科技 #经济 #金融 #香港 #台湾 #hongkong #taiwan #民生 #纪实 #纪录片 #窦文涛 #周轶君 #马未都 #许子东 #尹烨 #圆桌派第七季 #圆桌派 #中国经济 #中国内卷 #中国危机 #地方债 #新能源车 #光伏 #经济危机 #中国房地产 #中美竞争 #科技创新 #制度决定一切 #民营经济 #企业家精神 #AI时代

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Joa2sK0eCbA)

中文简报

爱因斯坦临终时刻:伟大头脑亦无法逾越的界限 节目围绕元宇宙、5G通信底层技术与人工智能的发展边界展开深度剖析。嘉宾们探讨了从类脑计算到数字永生面临的肉身硬件壁垒,分析了5G的三大核心资源、低时延优势及工业赋能逻辑。随后,现场通过香港科技大学研发的“魔镜”AI进行人机问答互动,深入辨析弱AI与通用人工智能(AGI)的技术鸿沟、迁移学习的壁垒,以及算法时代下人类自我意识、尊严与伦理危机的本质命题。 5G凭借1毫秒级空口时延与移动边缘计算(MEC),正推动工业高并发物联网、远程精密控制与自动化基础设施的重塑,完成从改变生活到改变社会的跨越。 (32:20) 技术中立的传统“菜刀理论”在算法时代破产,代码本身已内置伦理偏见,且自主致命武器系统(LAWS)等技术正逼近“黑理石假说”预警的文明毁灭风险。 (8:52) 莫拉维克悖论揭示了AI的演进壁垒:微积分与复杂博弈对机器而言极易攻克,但人类历经数亿年进化的单样本泛化、细腻肢体协调与共情能力却仍难以工程化。 (68:15) 当前主流AI仍局限于封闭规则大数据的统计拟合与语言镜像,跨领域的迁移学习存在明显鸿沟,科学界对于通用人工智能(AGI)自我意识的实现路径仍缺乏有效抓手。 (58:52)

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本讨论深入剖析了元宇宙、5G 通信以及人工智能等前沿技术的底层逻辑与现实边界,指出技术构想虽宏大,但始终受制于人类肉身的生物学极限与算法机制的内在局限。 生物底线与数字永生的鸿沟 (0:00) 对虚拟现实和星际探索的宏大构想无法脱离肉身的生物学根基,现实中疾病与生理限制构成了体验虚拟世界的前提。尽管脑机接口与类脑智能研究已能扫描动物神经元并生成数字脑模型,但生物学界质疑物理结构的复制并不等同于功能的涌现。人脑包含约860亿个神经元,目前人类即便完成测序与结构映射,生命的复杂算法依然未知,从结构到功能的鸿沟仍未跨越。此外,VR头显超过500克便易引发前庭神经冲突导致眩晕恶心,说明肉身硬件存在天然物理边界。 技术泡沫反思与代码伦理危机 (2:59) 嘉宾批评科技领域常将旧事物包装为新概念进行炒作,如个体化医疗改称精准医疗、海量数据包装为大数据,元宇宙炒地皮本质上与早期单机版大富翁游戏并无二致。现实中虚拟数字人的应用主要源于刚性服务效率的短缺,而非哲学身份认同。更深层的挑战在于算法与代码打破了传统的“菜刀中立论”,数字工具天然内嵌伦理偏见。西方在世俗化后面临善恶价值锚点的缺失与对失控技术的恐慌,而中国儒家无神论传统中构建的世俗伦理秩序则展现了不依赖神性权威的道德考量。 5G基础设施落地与物理常识 (22:29) 5G网络演进遵循通信领域十年一代的周期规律,面对高频信号波长短、无法有效绕射的物理特性,网络覆盖需要极其密集的微基站支持。早期网络通常采用依附于4G核心网的非独立组网(NSA),最终必须过渡到独立组网(SA)才能实现1毫秒超低时延与海量连接。针对公众对辐射的疑虑,专家澄清中国辐射控制限值仅为美国标准的五十分之一;5G基站虽然频率高,但单站覆盖范围极小、发射总功率与动量极低,远低于家用微波炉的辐射水平。 机器学习局限与自我意识门槛 (58:52) 现阶段人工智能依赖海量大数据的统计与黑盒拟合,在棋盘等规则闭合场景表现优异,但并不具备自我意识、主观情感与主动提问能力。莫拉维克悖论表明,计算机易于处理高维运算,却难以复制人类经亿万年进化而成的细微体感与抚慰动作。迁移学习虽能使模型在相近领域间复用知识,但面对完全异构的跨领域或数据稀疏的复杂现实环境仍面临巨大阻碍。人脑百亿级神经元的连续动态与直觉架构,至今仍是纯算法模型难以逾越的门槛。 讨论最终指出,无论人工智能具备多强的解题能力与算力,其本质依然是服务于人类设定的工具。未来技术落地的终极价值,或在于老龄化时代为失去自理能力的人群提供免于羞耻感的尊严护理,实现冷冰技术与人性温度的结合。

Source quotes

[4:41] 樱桃队长 [10:35] 美美与共 [14:28] 如果上帝死了,人类何以为善 [17:03] 它是否会为自己哭泣 [19:04] 以虚强实 [29:45] 萧伯: 4G改变我们的生活,5G改变社会 [46:40] 魔镜AI: 在眨眼之间。 [52:33] 窦文涛母亲: 如果戈辉不行,鲁豫也行。 [58:52] 我们现在连怎么下手都不知道 [67:39] 窦文涛: 可以尊严地活着,这非常重要。 [75:25] 窦文涛: 海天一色 [86:30] To serve humanity [86:30] World peace. [87:40] 窦文涛: I like Xu Gehui the most, too [87:40] 窦文涛: How many times did you program that in?

Original transcript

[0:00] Einstein was born in 1879. [0:01] >> Yeah. [0:02] >> Today we can still talk about Musk; [0:04] humanity always has such figures. [0:06] >> These pivotal moments for humanity [0:07] occur because they can always see the [0:09] future from the standpoint of current [0:10] technology. In a way, this is an effort [0:13] to expand the boundaries of today's [0:15] metaverse. Only then might we be able [0:17] to find a new path on a crowded, [0:19] constrained Earth where material and [0:21] energy are already limited. [0:22] >> To become a multi-planetary species. [0:25] >> But there is a prerequisite: this [0:27] physical body must survive. I believe [0:29] biology can never be abandoned. To put [0:32] it simply, in your metaverse or your [0:34] game, if you have a fever of just one [0:37] degree, you won't even want to turn on [0:39] the computer. It’s the issue of your [0:41] physical body and illness; otherwise, [0:43] the suffering of the flesh, including [0:45] its reproduction. [0:47] >> So, when you pass away, would you want [0:49] to leave behind a digital persona in [0:51] such a metaverse? Because regarding [0:52] this technology, I interviewed [0:54] Professor Zheng from the Institute of [0:55] Brain-inspired Intelligence at the [0:57] Chinese Academy of Sciences. They are [0:59] now able to use mouse and monkey brains [1:01] to create digital brains, and it has [1:03] already been successfully tested on [1:05] small robots. The brain-inspired [1:08] intelligence technology they are [1:10] working on involves scanning brain [1:12] neurons and then generating a digital [1:14] brain through training and learning. So [1:17] , if this technology is mature by the [1:19] time you die, you could actually choose [1:22] , for example, to use brain-computer [1:24] interface technology to scan your [1:26] digital brain. Leave it in such a [1:28] digital world, and after this digital [1:31] brain is trained, it can operate in a [1:33] way that is almost identical to your [1:35] own thought process; that would be [1:37] digital immortality. So this technology [1:39] is actually not that fantastical; I [1:41] think it is a technology we will see [1:44] mature in our lifetime. Yes. To me, the [1:47] key question now is that you don't know [1:49] if that digital brain you scanned...... [1:52] >> is the same as the original one or not. [1:54] >> Exactly, you don't know how it thinks. [1:57] >> Many people are indeed using such [1:59] methods now. Apple just upgraded a [2:01] system for digital inheritance, hoping [2:03] to leave some things for the next [2:04] generation. Humanity wants to leave a [2:06] trace; this might be okay, right? [2:08] >> People want to leave a name, right? [2:10] Leave a legacy. [2:11] >> Something like that. [2:13] >> But can you say that if we solve the [2:14] structure today, we can solve the [2:16] function? In reality, no matter how [2:18] powerful the MRI technology we have [2:20] today, it is impossible to fully [2:22] explain the brain. We are now [2:24] performing single-cell sequencing on [2:26] every single neuron. This is what the [2:28] Shanghai Institute and BGI researchers [2:30] were doing last Spring Festival, aiming [2:32] for the mouse brain. The monkey has 6 [2:34] billion neurons, and the human brain [2:36] has 86 billion. Sequencing every single [2:38] cell is the goal, but even reaching [2:40] this step...It’s like what I said [2:42] about the human genome: once the " [2:43] Kangxi Dictionary" of those 3 billion [2:45] base pairs is done, how exactly do the [2:46] algorithms emerge? The leap from [2:48] structure to function—it’s not that [2:50] knowing the structure guarantees we [2:52] know the function. Even though function [2:55] stems from structure, this specific [2:57] challenge is what I care about more. [2:59] >> Technically speaking, discussing how to [3:01] develop these methods is fine, but [3:02] don't just dump all our current [3:04] thoughts and viewpoints into a new [3:06] buzzword. [3:06] >> Mmh. [3:07] >> Ignoring the substance—Americans are [3:09] just too good at coining terms. We used [3:11] to call it "personalized medicine," [3:13] then Obama called it "precision [3:15] medicine." We used to call it "massive [3:16] data," then they called it "big data," [3:18] and now the whole world calls it "big [3:20] data." We used to call it "neurobiology [3:22] ," now it’s "brain science" or " [3:23] neuroscience." They study organisms [3:24] without brains and still call it "brain [3:26] science." Is this brain science or " [3:28] no-brain" science? That species never [3:29] evolved a brain, yet you study its [3:31] neurons. I’m a brain scientist, and I [3:32] asked, "Does that species even have a [3:34] brain?" They thought about it and... [3:36] exactly. So, whether it's called Meta [3:38] or, as Huawei recently calls it, SER... [3:39] >> Mmh. [3:40] >> It’s actually just a game. [3:42] >> We called Guan Yu a Marquis in the Han [3:44] Dynasty, a King in the Song, and an [3:46] Emperor in the Ming. But it’s still [3:48] Guan Yu; it just depends on how you [3:50] define him. We keep mythologizing [3:52] things layer by layer. It seems [3:54] everything is "Metaverse" now. A few [3:57] years ago, everything was "blockchain," [3:58] before that "Internet Plus," and even [4:00] earlier, "mobile Internet." Humans [4:02] always need these concepts to [4:04] constantly soothe our restless, anxious [4:06] hearts, forgetting that it’s just a [4:08] program. Selling land in the Metaverse? [4:10] When we played Monopoly back in the 80s [4:12] , we bought land too. Playing it on a [4:14] computer was a "Metaverse" too, just [4:15] single-player, though four people could [4:17] take turns. You’d roll the dice, see [4:18] what land you could buy, and how much [4:20] it cost. I’ve been gaming for 30 [4:22] years, I see this clearly. Before that, [4:24] it was just people playing Ludo offline [4:26] . What’s so special about this? It [4:29] might not necessarily have a greater [4:30] impact on people's understanding than [4:32] the invention of the telegraph did at [4:33] that time. [4:34] >> Things that happen after are often no [4:36] match for the past. [4:38] >> Yeah, that's just playing with words [4:41] and concepts. Personally, I think it [4:44] all comes down to demand. Once the need [4:46] is strong enough, human acceptance [4:48] becomes very high. For example, what do [4:51] I mean? Nowadays, on many internet [4:53] platforms, your customer service is all [4:56] bots. You don't mind talking to a bot; [4:58] for instance, if you want to buy [5:00] medicine and the bot recommends [5:02] something or directs you, the fact that [5:04] someone is responding makes you think, [5:06] "OK, that's not bad." So, if virtual [5:09] humans are accepted in the future, it [5:11] won't be because we consider them human [5:13] in a philosophical sense, but because [5:16] we have a huge shortage of services. [5:18] For example, why am I training my own [5:20] virtual human? Because I am currently [5:22] answering questions from friends online [5:24] . [5:24] >> You have a virtual human? Yes, I'm [5:26] called Captain Cherry. And who am I [5:29] right now? [5:30] >> Right, but because I was answering [5:32] questions for kids—I did that for a [5:34] few months, open only to our community [5:36] —I answered 1,100 questions, [5:38] responding online every single day. I [5:40] honestly couldn't keep up, so I had to [5:42] train my virtual human, "Captain Cherry [5:44] ." He's more knowledgeable than I am, [5:46] but he can speak to the kids using a [5:48] similar tone. And then, in the future, [5:50] he can answer questions from kids all [5:52] over the world. [5:53] >> If I were your fan, I wouldn't feel [5:55] satisfied. [5:55] >> Well. [5:56] >> If you could chat with me one-on-one, I [5:58] think I'd be much more... [5:59] >> That, that would require payment. Yeah, [6:01] look at online shopping platforms now; [6:03] I've noticed when you contact customer [6:05] service, they always have that [6:06] automated question: "Are you a bot or a [6:08] human?" [6:09] >> I care about that, you know? If you're [6:11] a machine, what am I even talking to [6:13] you for? And some say that from the [6:15] very day the internet was born, the [6:17] fate of the metaverse was already [6:19] sealed. Because, why is that? You see, [6:21] from the time of the internet, it [6:23] started with sending messages and [6:25] WeChat, then you gradually wanted to [6:26] hear voices—like you said, "reshaping [6:28] the six senses"—then you wanted to [6:30] see people, and now we can video chat. [6:32] Then make that 3D, and then what? [6:35] You'll want the surrounding environment [6:36] , even these fake books, to be real. [6:38] Don't you see, it's inevitable. That's [6:41] technology. I thought it might be far [6:43] off, but who knows, maybe you haven't [6:44] advanced that far yet. But I'm saying, [6:46] is there a fundamental limit to what we [6:48] , as physical beings, can endure? For [6:50] example, I saw a philosopher the other [6:52] day mention a problem; he plays games a [6:54] lot, and he said the issue of motion [6:56] sickness hasn't been solved. [6:57] >> The problem is, when the headset weighs [6:59] more than 500 grams, most people get [7:01] dizzy within an hour. [7:03] >> Right, you, as a human passed down [7:05] through DNA, [7:06] >> Your vestibular nerves can't take it. [7:08] >> You're fully immersed. [7:09] >> Yes. You get nauseous, so is there a [7:11] limit to this? Do physical humans have [7:14] limits? [7:14] >> There are boundaries. That's why I say, [7:16] you can't see infrared or ultraviolet, [7:18] and you definitely can't feel neutrinos [7:20] , yet these things are passing through [7:21] you all the time. So this metaverse [7:23] isn't actually meant for us—for our [7:26] physical bodies to enjoy—it's for our [7:28] avatars. [7:29] >> The metaverse is inherently prepared [7:32] for your avatar. Today, what does it [7:34] matter? We are giving birth; we are [7:37] birthing our avatars. [7:39] >> So if our generation continues to [7:41] discuss it like this, we're already [7:43] outdated. In the future, children will [7:46] think, "Those ancient people were like [7:48] that. Back then, look, they were so [7:51] confused. They didn't understand why; [7:54] they were held back by old culture." [7:56] >> They can't enter this world; this world [7:58] isn't prepared for them, but we must [8:00] offer them flowers in gratitude, [8:02] because without that "work" from their [8:04] generation...Without that generation, [8:07] how would it be done? It's us [8:08] desperately trying to buy land on it. [8:11] Desperately trying to create NFTs on it [8:13] . Desperately trying to issue tokens on [8:16] it. "Work," after we're done working, [8:18] 50 years later, the avatars of future [8:20] generations will be raised and thrive. [8:23] That’s the picture. So I feel, and [8:25] that's why I say, what I worry about [8:27] most regarding the metaverse is it [8:29] being ruined. "Ruined" has two meanings [8:31] : one is the way we talk about the [8:33] metaverse, being so shallow. Discussing [8:35] artificial intelligence is often like [8:37] this; the conversation tends to stall [8:38] because it always devolves into an [8:40] optimist versus pessimist debate, even [8:41] in the U.S. It’s simply a spectrum, [8:43] right? There are bound to be two [8:45] opposing schools of thought. [8:46] >> The conversation hits a dead end. [8:48] It’s the same with the metaverse— [8:49] it's either good or bad, as if you have [8:50] to pick a side. Ultimately, you're [8:52] forced to declare where you stand. [8:53] >> Right. [8:54] >> And then you see who’s drinking and [8:56] who isn’t. So, here, we say that this [8:58] process of just "talking" actually gets [9:00] in the way. Gets in the way of what? It [9:03] hinders us from seeing the context [9:05] behind it. And this underlying context, [9:08] quite importantly, is the issue of the [9:11] codification of logic. [9:12] >> That is, algorithms are no longer [9:14] neutral. Technology is no longer [9:16] neutral. [9:17] >> This differs from technology before the [9:18] industrial age; take the horse-drawn [9:19] carriage, for example. [9:20] >> Right. [9:21] >> But the carriage itself has no morality [9:23] , right? Just like a kitchen knife has [9:25] no morality. We used to say the " [9:26] kitchen knife theory"—that a knife [9:27] doesn't kill, people do. That theory [9:29] was correct. [9:30] >> Right. [9:31] >> But in today’s digital world, a knife [9:34] is different. It’s a coded knife. [9:37] This knife, this code, inherently [9:40] carries ethical biases. So in this [9:42] situation, technology is no longer [9:44] neutral. However, our old knowledge— [9:47] the knowledge from our past textbooks [9:50] —cannot explain this. The biggest [9:52] challenge we face today is the issue of [9:55] technological ethics and code. [9:57] Therefore, trying to label code as good [9:59] or evil and picking sides today is a [10:02] low-dimensional discussion. It’s like [10:04] what we said the other day: we haven't [10:06] even figured out if morality is written [10:08] into our DNA, yet now you want to...... [10:11] >> write morality into virtual beings. [10:13] Right. [10:14] >> Exactly. Humans don't even understand [10:17] humans, yet they want to play God and [10:19] recreate a world to rule over. I feel [10:21] that even here, this "codification" [10:23] issue can still be reduced to the [10:24] person writing the code; they still [10:26] have the choice of whether to write [10:28] code that acts as a weapon or as a [10:30] kitchen knife. Exactly, you can't [10:32] assume that... [10:34] >> Let me interrupt you there. [10:35] >> That is a classic way of thinking—the [10:37] belief that it can all be reduced to [10:39] the individual. [10:40] >> That view is unsupported by evidence, [10:42] and more importantly, it misunderstands [10:44] the internet and sand-box games. [10:46] Because sand-box games are co-created, [10:48] you see? [10:49] >> What I mean by "co-created" is that it [10:51] isn't up to you; the world you think [10:53] exists isn't the world you're seeing. [10:55] These are two different things, which [10:57] is why I say our understanding of the [10:59] word "digitization" is one-sided. You [11:01] always feel you’re in control, but [11:03] actually, the dog is led; our [11:04] consciousness is implied, and we [11:06] intentionally choose this implication. [11:08] In reality, every one of us today is [11:10] tamed by the vehicle, yet we always [11:11] assume we are the drivers. In fact, you [11:14] are tamed by the vehicle; we are tamed [11:16] by urbanization. We are tamed by three [11:18] meals a day, by the books we read; we [11:20] don't think we are, we don't want to [11:22] admit we play a passive role. This [11:24] absolutely won't work in the Metaverse. [11:26] In the Metaverse, you must first stay [11:29] calm, relax. To relax means we must [11:31] acknowledge that we are a process of [11:33] mutual taming; the Metaverse is a world [11:35] of mutual taming. Only then can we— [11:37] that point the teacher made was great [11:39] —what does "beauty shared by all" [11:41] mean? "Beauty shared by all" actually [11:43] means "beauty and ugliness shared by [11:44] all." Why is it "beauty shared by all"? [11:47] You first presuppose that everyone is [11:49] beautiful. [11:49] >> Oh, you must have great tolerance. [11:51] >> Exactly, great tolerance. [11:53] >> That’s what makes it a universe. [11:55] >> Yes. But there is a truly serious [11:58] challenge here. Westerners are now [12:01] reflecting and thinking about the issue [12:03] of good and evil. [12:05] >> That’s right. So we wonder why "Harry [12:08] Potter" emerged in the 90s. It’s a [12:11] cultural phenomenon. It's not just a [12:13] bestseller issue; Americans are [12:15] reflecting on the Enlightenment. [12:19] >> Reflecting on Martin Luther—what did [12:21] the Reformation really bring? Why has [12:24] faith been fading for 500 years? Of [12:27] course, there are various [12:28] interpretations, but generally, fewer [12:30] people go to church. Fewer people are [12:32] truly, genuinely pious—that is, [12:34] worshipping the divine. In this [12:36] situation, another voice has emerged: [12:39] to re-examine the issue of good and [12:41] evil. Let’s not fight yet; let’s [12:44] rethink and re-examine. 2,000 years ago [12:47] , good was... [12:48] >> Mm. [12:49] >> Good was the supreme god. [12:51] >> Absolutely. [12:52] >> Absolutely, and evil was the secondary [12:54] god. [12:54] >> Mm. [12:55] >> So today, why is it said? Westerners [12:59] are also in deep pain and division [13:01] because they find they are facing a [13:04] serious problem. It’s the [13:06] relationship between man and God; [13:09] suddenly, an evil power is emerging. [13:12] They can't even contain it themselves; [13:15] it’s like the despair before a [13:17] collapse. When we talk about the ethics [13:20] of code, it’s not an empty [13:22] description; it means that serious [13:24] programmers and serious tech thinkers [13:26] are anxious about the loss of control [13:29] over these growing energies. [13:31] >> Mm. [13:32] >> So they think this is a problem that [13:34] should be discussed seriously. [13:36] >> Yet, when many of us discuss this, we [13:38] narrowly view it as a matter of picking [13:41] sides. We just say I like this, then I [13:43] like that, and then we start chanting [13:45] slogans, saying down with evil, we will [13:48] defeat evil, I firmly believe truth [13:50] will prevail—it’s useless, none of [13:52] this works. [13:52] >> Why is that? It shows we still haven't [13:55] learned to find common ground while [13:56] reserving differences. We always prefer [13:58] to just talk past each other. [13:59] >> Yeah, just... " [14:01] >> Those who are not of my kind." [14:03] >> Their hearts must be different. So, in [14:06] this situation, I say the Metaverse [14:08] presents a common challenge for all [14:11] people worldwide, including different [14:13] generations, from grandfathers to [14:16] grandsons. That is, how do we welcome [14:19] the brand-new world of the future? In [14:22] this new world, we must admit that [14:24] today’s knowledge cannot explain it. [14:27] Agreed, this is a very complex issue. [14:30] This makes me think of Dostoevsky's " [14:33] The Brothers Karamazov." In his books, [14:35] he is always discussing one question: [14:38] if God is dead—if you take God away [14:40] —how is human goodness still possible [14:43] ? Because if God is there, okay, God [14:45] defines what is good, and we follow [14:47] what God says, so human goodness can be [14:49] achieved. But if you discard God, if [14:51] God is dead, then how do we achieve [14:53] goodness? This is such a complex issue [14:56] that many of his books, like "Demons," [14:58] discuss it, even exploring the total [15:01] collapse of the human spirit, nihilism, [15:03] and so on. However, I also agree that [15:05] the enormous power of today's [15:07] technology is actually out of the [15:09] control of its creators; they don't [15:12] even know which direction it's heading. [15:14] But this actually brings me back to the [15:16] ancient Chinese intellectual tradition, [15:19] because in ancient China, during [15:21] Confucius 'time, there wasn't really a [15:23] "God" like that; China is godless. [15:25] Right, Confucius was actually the [15:28] greatest atheist. So, for 2500 years, [15:30] we have been a nation without a literal [15:34] God. While we talk about the "Way of [15:36] Heaven," it is more of a collective [15:38] belief or interpretation. [15:40] >> It’s a moral deity. Yes, or rather, [15:43] the "Way of Heaven" is just our belief [15:46] that good will eventually prevail; [15:48] it’s like "Heaven," but it’s never [15:50] been a person governing the good and [15:53] evil of our country. Therefore, [15:55] thinking about ancient Chinese thinkers [15:57] in this context, you find that they are [15:59] very meaningful today. Because from the [16:02] very beginning, ever since Confucius, [16:04] the question they’ve been grappling [16:06] with is: in a society without God, how [16:08] can we guarantee justice and order on [16:10] earth? So, in today’s era, we can [16:13] still reflect on the concepts mentioned [16:16] in ancient China, which could actually [16:18] help us build a new, orderly world. The [16:23] major problem currently in building the [16:25] metaverse is that some people feel they [16:28] have the power of God. I can build a [16:31] world, define its rules, determine the [16:34] fate of the virtual beings within it, [16:37] and do whatever I want. Yet, when faced [16:40] with this immense power, people [16:42] actually feel a sense of bewilderment. [16:45] >> This is an opportunity for the revival [16:48] of Eastern culture. [16:49] >> That’s how it is. Didn't the [16:51] historian Arnold Toynbee once say that [16:54] this century is an opportunity for the [16:56] revival of classical Confucian-Mencian [16:58] thought and Mahayana Buddhism? There is [17:03] some truth to that, but there is still [17:06] a key question, which is what you [17:08] mentioned—as a layman, I still find [17:10] it hard to imagine those avatars in the [17:13] game. That’s exactly what you said. [17:16] Self-awareness—can they truly have [17:20] free will, or can they genuinely [17:22] realize that "I am me"? For humans, [17:25] this consciousness arises because the [17:27] environment we face is so complex that [17:30] our senses must eventually form a [17:32] reaction system similar to [17:34] self-awareness to help us cope. However [17:37] , this data—well, actually, embodied [17:40] in flesh—we have just given it a [17:42] label for now. A long-term technical [17:46] problem the metaverse is currently [17:48] facing is establishing connectivity. [17:50] >> Mhm. [17:51] >> It’s about making you perceive things [17:53] . Connecting everything. [17:56] >> Right. [17:57] >> Today, an important engineering problem [17:59] the digital world faces is the [18:01] interconnection of all things. It means [18:03] your refrigerator knows, your robotic [18:05] vacuum knows, your smart speaker knows, [18:08] and the curtains know if you’re cold [18:10] today. [18:12] >> Your [18:13] >> Your pants know if you have any issues [18:15] with your legs or waist today. [18:17] >> Mhm. That sounds like a personified way [18:20] of saying it, but from an engineering, [18:22] sensor, and materials technology [18:24] perspective, that's not the real issue. [18:26] More importantly, you know—you know [18:28] your health record knows. Don't think [18:30] your health record is just some [18:31] database; it’s not a robot. Your [18:33] health consultant knows, your [18:34] nutritionist knows, your insurance [18:36] agent knows; I’m saying these are all [18:38] agents. [18:38] >> Right. [18:39] >> They are all robots. Actually, once you [18:42] get used to it for three months, you [18:44] won't care if they are flesh and blood, [18:47] so I think this is very, very realistic [18:49] . But that doesn't answer your question [18:51] ; it’s still not intelligent. [18:52] >> It is merely a set of rules for real [18:54] society; it ultimately doesn't surpass [18:56] the judgment laws of the real physical [18:58] world. [18:58] >> Only a few people like Mr. Yin would [19:00] write it this way. [19:01] >> No, would it cry for itself? [19:04] >> No, but that's right, so I’m saying [19:06] if you need it, if there are people who [19:08] need it, it will be programmed to cry [19:11] for you. "Thus have I heard" is enough. [19:14] It’s like paying for it; you know [19:17] that’s consent, this, this is [19:19] acceptable. [19:20] >> Exactly, crying. [19:22] >> So I’m saying we are imagining an era [19:24] of withered knots today, you know, [19:26] these things play better than we do; [19:27] they would never ask Mr. Yin's question [19:29] . [19:29] >> They wouldn't. [19:31] >> They wouldn't ask because that question [19:32] isn't important to them. [19:34] >> I think what you said is so wise; you [19:36] know what I’m thinking about? It’s [19:39] still about what a human is. It cries [19:42] for you, you think it’s a robot, but [19:45] for us humans, why do you make me cry? [19:49] Because you stole my money. [19:52] >> This thing is determined for me; I’m [19:54] not really autonomous either. I don't [19:57] have free will; I always have a reason [20:00] for crying, my money was stolen by you. [20:03] Hmm, this program, this fate, this [20:06] instruction makes my biological body, [20:09] whatever the algorithm, my brain [20:12] naturally produces this result, which [20:15] is tears; in that sense, we are like it [20:18] . [20:18] >> But this thing is really just human [20:21] judgment, projecting oneself onto [20:23] others. Because you feel pain in your [20:25] own heart, I think some people even [20:27] project it onto a robot; for example, [20:29] seeing a robot shed tears, this person [20:31] will think, "Ah, it must be too hard, [20:34] it must be in so much pain." So [20:35] actually, this kind of projection comes [20:38] from our inner feelings projected onto [20:40] another existence, whether it's [20:41] projected onto another real person or a [20:43] robot. The robot might have no feelings [20:46] , but the human subject has feelings, [20:48] so they will feel empathy. In this, I [20:51] personally feel that those robots are [20:53] probably not human, and they won't have [20:56] our complete self-awareness like us, or [20:58] our sense of pain; we have too many [21:01] physiological factors involved. However [21:03] , this doesn't prevent us from [21:05] coexisting with these vast numbers of [21:08] robots. In fact, later on, you'll feel [21:10] that their help and care for you are [21:13] immense, because they truly can help [21:15] you solve many, many problems in life. [21:18] You can still treat it as the most [21:20] important partner in your life, where [21:22] the entire room is essentially your [21:24] cradle; I personally feel that people [21:26] can have that kind of sensation. [21:28] >> But speaking realistically, even if [21:29] it’s like what they say in sci-fi [21:31] movies, that one day our human race [21:32] gets wiped out by this virtual thing, [21:34] it’s not as if that possibility [21:35] doesn't exist. Possibility. But [21:37] standing where we are today—you might [21:39] say we're old-fashioned or represent [21:41] classical thinking—I feel this is [21:43] also the power of DNA; I am seeking [21:44] survival. When I see this future, I [21:46] must bring it to public discussion; I [21:48] have to tell you all that it could turn [21:50] out this way or that way, so that the [21:52] public is fully informed, including the [21:54] national leaders. I have now discovered [21:56] that the doctrine of the mean cannot [21:58] just rely on the virtual. Between the [22:00] virtual and the real. You have to use [22:03] the virtual to serve the real, just [22:04] like that quantum mechanics die they [22:06] talk about. You can use this die in the [22:08] real physical world to calculate, or [22:10] you can design a machine; once designed [22:12] , it can simulate all the numbers, and [22:15] in the end, actually produce a [22:16] refrigerator. That is a good thing. But [22:19] at the same time, whether we can hold [22:21] onto it or not. We must also maintain [22:23] this sense of urgency; it must be said, [22:25] right? This is also a motivation for my [22:27] quest for survival. As we cross into [22:29] the 5G era, from the news I've received [22:30] from the Ministry of Industry and [22:31] Information Technology, we should say [22:33] we have already arrived at the 5G era. [22:35] >> Yes. [22:36] >> Right? And Professor Lu, let me ask you [22:38] : as someone from the humanities, I've [22:40] read some news, is my understanding [22:42] correct that the three major telecom [22:44] operators have already released their [22:46] 5G tariffs? Yes. [22:48] >> It feels like it’s not cheaper than [22:51] 4G, right? But they also say that for [22:53] 5G, the current number of base stations [22:55] isn't quite enough either, is it? [22:57] >> Yes, they have to be built one after [22:58] another; that will take quite some time [23:00] . [23:00] >> 100,000 this year. [23:02] >> Mm. [23:02] >> 100,000. [23:04] >> 1 million by next year. [23:05] >> Ultimately, we need over 3 million [23:06] stations to cover all the areas in [23:08] China that need it; at least 3 million. [23:09] >> These 3 million. [23:11] >> What’s the problem, Yijun? [23:12] >> Because I have something stuck in my [23:14] head that I don't quite understand— [23:16] they say frequency spectrum is a [23:17] non-renewable resource. [23:18] >> Yes. [23:19] >> Let's talk about China, specifically [23:21] whether we have enough spectrum to [23:23] develop. [23:23] >> This spectrum issue isn't just about [23:25] China. For instance, Chinese citizens [23:28] using 4G or 5G phones need to roam [23:30] abroad, so international coordination [23:32] is required to ensure we are on the [23:34] same frequencies. [23:35] >> Frequency is a resource, and there are [23:37] several fundamental resources in [23:39] communication. Everyone is scrambling [23:41] for them; one is frequency resources. [23:43] Abroad, there’s no such thing as a " [23:45] 5G or 4G license" per se; they use [23:46] frequency auctions. Usage is paid for, [23:48] so once you acquire the frequency, you [23:50] have the license. In China, since the [23:52] companies are state-controlled, having [23:55] the left pocket pay the right for [23:57] state-owned resources makes no sense, [23:59] so we haven't adopted that model. The [24:01] second resource is phone numbers. You [24:03] can’t have communication without [24:05] phone numbers. The third is satellite [24:07] orbit. Look at how the Americans are [24:09] fighting for satellite orbits; these [24:11] are limited in number, so these are the [24:13] three main resources. Professor Wu [24:15] specifically mentioned 2018, when China [24:17] began trial networks for 5G. But [24:20] technically, "5G" is just a nickname [24:22] for fifth-generation mobile [24:24] communication; its formal name comes [24:27] from the International Mobile [24:29] Telecommunications-2020 group. [24:32] >> Oh, is that Japanese-accented English? [24:36] >> That's Japanese-style English. I [24:38] studied at Kyoto University in Japan, [24:41] so you could tell it was [24:43] Japanese-accented English. Although you [24:46] didn't quite understand it, you knew it [24:48] was Japanese-accented. [24:50] >> It’s abbreviated to 2020, but why? [24:53] Mobile communication technology [24:54] operates on a ten-year cycle. [24:56] >> Correct. [24:57] >> The 90s were 2G, the 2000s were 3G, and [25:01] 2010 was 4G. It was originally supposed [25:03] to be 5G in 2020, but the world [25:05] couldn't wait, especially with the [25:06] Americans pushing for it. They kept [25:08] releasing reports on major national [25:10] security strategies, saying we couldn't [25:11] fall behind. So that’s why 5G is [25:13] being rushed, with every country [25:14] scrambling to get on board. In the [25:16] entire internet industry, there is a [25:18] rule called the Davidow Law. This law [25:21] states that whoever enters first grabs [25:24] 50%of the market. [25:25] >> This explains why the Americans are so [25:27] desperate to build these networks; [25:29] being the first to enter allows you to [25:32] lead in equipment manufacturing and [25:34] application, likely capturing a larger [25:36] share. So, we’ve entered the game. [25:39] You mentioned 2020 earlier; isn't it [25:42] interesting? It almost sounds like a [25:44] knock of destiny, doesn't it? Ding-dong [25:47] , ding-dong, 2020. [25:48] >> Right, in Beethoven's time, the knock [25:50] of fate was "bum-bum-bum-bum," but now [25:52] look, in the electronic era, it's 2020. [25:55] >> Right, 1s and 0s are computer language, [25:58] 2020. I mean, we've crossed this [26:01] threshold, yet we still know nothing [26:03] about it. So, I have a few ignorant, [26:06] hearsay-based questions—some I heard [26:08] from Zhang Yang—just joking, Zhang [26:11] Shanyang apologized later anyway, right [26:13] ? For a new thing like this, we should [26:16] at least ask more questions. [26:19] >> For instance, when I was in Europe, I [26:22] heard a rumor that 5G didn't pass some [26:25] environmental radiation standard in [26:27] Belgium. Is there any truth to that? [26:31] >> Is there an international standard for [26:34] radiation? [26:35] >> Actually, every country has its own [26:37] radiation standards. China has its own, [26:40] which is 1/50th of the US standard for [26:43] the maximum allowed radiation level. It [26:46] is far lower than the radiation of [26:48] mobile devices, and far lower than [26:50] microwave radiation. [26:51] >> Our country has regulations on this. [26:54] The point Zhang Yang made at the time [26:56] was that 5G would bring massive [26:58] radiation. The reason he gave was that [27:01] 5 G's high frequency would produce a [27:03] special kind of electromagnetic [27:06] radiation effect. To put it simply for [27:09] the public, the thing that causes harm [27:12] isn't just determined by energy alone. [27:16] It's the product of energy and momentum [27:18] , just like electrical power is the [27:21] product of current and voltage. What [27:23] does that mean? Let me give a simple [27:25] example: a car can kill a person if it [27:28] hits them, right? Definitely. [27:30] >> But at low speeds or idling, a car [27:32] won't kill anyone. It has energy, but [27:34] not enough momentum. [27:36] >> It still won't cause harm. So why is 5G [27:38] different? Its energy does increase [27:40] because the frequency is higher, so its [27:42] capacity to carry information increases [27:44] , but its momentum isn't that high. [27:46] Because in 5G transmission, the higher [27:48] the frequency, the worse its [27:50] diffraction performance. That’s the [27:52] relationship between wavelength and [27:54] frequency, you see? Our current 5G [27:56] frequency is said to be very high, so [27:59] the wavelength is very short; when the [28:01] wavelength is shorter than the obstacle [28:03] , it can't diffract around it. [28:05] >> This explains why 5G costs so much— [28:06] you build a base station on this side [28:07] of a building, and as soon as it's [28:09] blocked, there's no signal on the other [28:10] side. [28:11] >> So in that case, it doesn't need much [28:13] power, right? Because it only needs to [28:15] cover this small courtyard; there’s [28:18] no signal outside the courtyard, right? [28:20] It gets blocked by whatever happens to [28:22] be in the way. In the past, the 700MHz [28:24] frequency used by radio and television [28:26] allowed an entire city to receive [28:28] signals from one station, of course, [28:30] because it had higher power, but it had [28:32] a lower frequency and thus lower energy [28:34] . So, for the two generations, [28:36] there’s a control parameter that [28:37] prevents it from causing significant [28:39] harm to the human body. [28:40] >> That’s a very easy way to put it. [28:42] Tell us about 5G base stations in the [28:44] future China—is it true that we'll [28:46] need a base station for every [28:48] basketball court or so because of all [28:49] the obstructions? One base station per [28:52] basketball court—the reason is that [28:54] there are too many obstructions, so it [28:57] needs to be dense. And unlike 4G, which [29:00] was built on top of 3G infrastructure [29:02] —remember that whole transition? I [29:04] heard that for 5G, everything is being [29:06] wiped out and rebuilt from scratch. Is [29:08] that the case? Professor Wu, this is [29:11] also a concern for the public, as it [29:13] involves future costs. [29:14] >> Well, 5G as it’s currently operated [29:17] by carriers is what we call [29:18] Non-Standalone Networking. Uh-huh. [29:20] >> Non-Standalone Networking is built on [29:22] top of existing 4G base stations. [29:24] >> Uh-huh. [29:25] >> It uses some existing 4G infrastructure [29:28] and adds 5G capabilities on top. [29:31] However, it can’t solve the key 5G [29:33] requirements, like one-millisecond [29:35] latency or supporting one million [29:38] connections per square kilometer. So, [29:40] to truly realize 5G, we need Standalone [29:44] Networking, or SA. [29:45] >> Xiao Bo, what are your thoughts on the [29:48] arrival of the 5G era? How will it [29:50] change our lives? [29:51] >> I think that carrier’s statement is [29:54] quite accurate: 4G changed our lives— [29:57] our information, services, and mobile [29:59] payments. 5G will change society. How [30:03] so? [30:04] >> It will significantly increase speeds, [30:06] and then there's connectivity. For [30:08] example, autonomous driving is [30:10] impossible in a 4G environment; it can [30:12] only be achieved in a 5G environment. [30:14] You need to test the car itself, and [30:16] you also need to drive it. With so many [30:18] road conditions, an autonomous vehicle, [30:21] for instance, needs to detect [30:23] everything within 150 to 200 meters at [30:25] all times to react. That requires two [30:28] conditions: first, high-speed computing [30:30] power. [30:31] >> If the computing power isn't strong [30:33] enough, it won't be able to calculate; [30:35] the second problem is that you need [30:37] radar and environmental mapping within [30:39] those 150 meters. [30:40] >> But if it stops, you lose the signal. [30:42] >> Right, so 5G is going to transform [30:44] society as a whole, for example, in [30:46] telemedicine. Well, mobile companies [30:47] are still thinking a lot about [30:49] entertainment. I think that will change [30:51] a lot. Video entertainment is just one [30:53] category. Think about terminal [30:55] manufacturers like mobile phone [30:56] companies, or automobiles, or factories [30:58] —it's about big data processing [31:00] capabilities in an entire factory [31:01] environment. That is very well put; it [31:04] shows we are keeping up. [31:05] >> It is transforming the internet of [31:07] things, the internet, and society. In [31:10] '94, Kevin Kelly wrote "Out of Control, [31:12] " and I read his book back then. He [31:14] said that in the future—he was very, [31:16] very extreme—every grain of sand and [31:18] every piece of clothing would have a [31:19] sensor. But how could that be possible? [31:21] A sensor costing six to ten dollars [31:23] each. But now, in the future 5G [31:25] environment, it will be like that. [31:26] However, Professor Wu just mentioned [31:28] something very important that everyone [31:30] should understand: our research shows [31:32] that mobile technology generations are [31:33] all disruptive. [31:34] >> It’s the 1G, 3G, 5G jump. So 5G is [31:37] meant to change society, and that's [31:39] where it comes in. 1G brought the "Big [31:40] Brother" phone; you didn't need to be [31:41] tethered by a cord to make calls [31:42] anymore, you could call from anywhere, [31:44] creating a brand-new scenario for [31:45] interaction. In the beginning, it was [31:46] just called a wireless phone. [31:47] >> A wireless phone. [31:49] >> I really used one. [31:51] >> I used one back in the day, because you [31:53] know, when I was 29 and at Guangdong [31:55] Radio, I was... [31:56] >> I have a fat gene, you know? Actually, [31:59] if I didn't stay hungry, I'd be a big [32:00] guy. Back then, I’d eat once every [32:02] five days. No, no, I didn't eat once a [32:05] day; at that time, I weighed 168 pounds [32:08] . [32:08] >> And, well, a college classmate of mine, [32:10] a guy from Hubei, we hung out all the [32:13] time. When we walked down the street, [32:15] he wouldn't walk with me when I used [32:17] that "Big Brother" phone; he said [32:18] everyone thought he was my sidekick. [32:20] >> Yijun, tell us your understanding of 5G [32:23] . For me, 5G has two keywords. Earlier, [32:26] everyone mentioned the "Internet of [32:29] Everything," and the other keyword is " [32:31] no latency." That’s what interests me [32:33] the most—the lack of time delay. For [32:36] instance, when I go online to order [32:39] something now, I get impatient and [32:41] anxious; I want it delivered the same [32:44] day, not the next. But with 5G, it gets [32:47] even faster, and I think our patience [32:50] will keep shrinking. If I want to meet [32:53] or talk to you, there should be zero [32:55] sense of distance. I find it hard to [32:57] imagine what human relationships would [33:00] be like without any time delay. [33:02] >> This aligns with our audience surveys; [33:04] when we talk about 5G, many viewers ask [33:07] , "Do we really need this? Is it a [33:10] question for the arts or the sciences? [33:13] Aren't we fast enough already?" Do we [33:15] really need to be that fast? [33:18] >> Let me give you a scenario—the one [33:20] Yijun just mentioned. [33:22] >> A key feature of 5G is high reliability [33:24] and low latency, capable of reaching [33:26] one millisecond of latency. What does [33:29] one millisecond mean? It means if you [33:31] prick your finger with a needle, the [33:32] pain reaches your brain in 10 [33:33] milliseconds. This is even faster than [33:35] that. [33:35] >> My god. [33:37] >> Ten times faster. [33:38] >> Goodness. So, what is it used for? [33:41] Theoretically, it's used in networking, [33:43] such as controlling autonomous vehicles [33:45] . We often hear experts say, " [33:47] Autonomous driving is a utopia; if a [33:49] signal goes to the cloud for processing [33:51] and comes back to decide whether to [33:53] brake or accelerate, you would have [33:55] already crashed seconds ago." But with [33:57] 5G, we deploy distributed cloud [33:59] computing centers under the base [34:02] stations, which we call "Mobile Edge [34:04] Computing" servers. It issues commands [34:07] from the nearest point. If a base [34:11] station covers two kilometers, it can [34:14] see the status of every car in that [34:16] range, detect faults, and emit laser [34:19] signals to warn other vehicles to yield [34:21] . In this case, the latency between the [34:24] vehicle terminal and the base station [34:26] —the air interface—must be within [34:28] one millisecond; any longer won't work. [34:30] >> Edge computing, right? [34:32] >> Edge computing. So, where would that be [34:34] used, you asked? Let me give you an [34:36] example. [34:37] >> A friend of mine went to the Consumer [34:39] Electronics Show in Las Vegas earlier [34:41] this year and saw something. He [34:42] discovered that smart glasses have been [34:45] decoupled from the headset. What does [34:47] that mean? Whenever we play with VR or [34:49] AR today, we have to wear a headset. If [34:51] you wear a headset, you can’t walk [34:52] down the street; people would think [34:54] you're an alien, right? So, what is [34:56] that headset actually doing? It’s [34:58] performing 5,000 gigaflops per second, [34:59] which is its primary function. It has [35:01] to calculate, and even then, its speed [35:03] is still quite slow. If the latency is [35:05] above 50 milliseconds, people feel [35:07] dizzy. For example, with an immersive [35:09] VR app, if I select one to visit [35:11] Antarctica, I put on the headset and [35:13] I’m no longer here. I see the sky, [35:15] the penguins, and the seals in [35:17] Antarctica, but it can lag at this [35:20] point, you know? For example, if we [35:23] look up at this light, it can't lag for [35:26] more than 15 seconds, or even 15 [35:28] minutes. [35:29] >> Now, Americans have come up with a [35:30] solution: they take the computing power [35:33] from the headset and move it into a [35:34] small laptop-like device that fits into [35:36] a lady’s makeup bag. You can carry it [35:39] , or leave it somewhere at home. They [35:41] communicate with each other, and if [35:42] there’s 5G coverage, it takes one [35:44] millisecond, so there won’t be any [35:46] latency or lag. So it’s like [35:47] downloading, downloading to a local [35:49] terminal, right? So the computing isn't [35:51] in the cloud. Right, you’re exactly [35:53] right. This is the concept of the edge; [35:54] this is where edge computing is at its [35:56] closest. Now, you can carry this [35:57] calculator and wear glasses cooler than [35:59] Google’s, and head out onto the [36:01] street. You’re on the street and see [36:02] a girl wearing a red dress, it looks [36:04] pretty good, and your eyes— [36:05] >> Do you immediately know her phone [36:06] number and home address? Is that it? [36:08] No. [36:09] >> If your eyes stay on her for more than [36:11] three seconds, the eye-tracker on the [36:13] glasses will sense that you’re [36:14] interested in her clothes. [36:15] >> It immediately generates a 3D image of [36:17] what you, as a lady, would look like [36:19] wearing that dress right before your [36:21] eyes. You think, "I'd look pretty good [36:23] in that," and with a blink, it [36:24] instantly searches for where it's sold [36:26] and how much it costs. You say, "I can [36:28] take this," and with another blink, it [36:29] scans your iris for identity [36:30] verification, and by the time you get [36:32] home, the item has already arrived. [36:34] >> It sounds like a dream. [36:35] >> In the future, we won’t just be the " [36:37] shopaholic" crowd; we’ll become the " [36:38] eye-gouging" crowd. You won't be able [36:39] to just blink whenever you want. [36:41] Remember that fairy tale when we were [36:42] kids, about the magic gourd? You’d [36:44] shake it, and when you got home, the [36:46] hallway would be filled with everything [36:47] you ever wanted. [36:48] >> It’s a lot like that childhood memory [36:50] . [36:50] >> This millisecond latency is actually [36:52] most important for controlling [36:54] intelligent robots and remote-operated [36:56] vehicles. [36:57] >> Take remote diagnosis, for instance. [36:59] You can't have a few milliseconds of [37:01] lag in remote surgery, or the scalpel [37:02] might not move when you command it, [37:04] which would be disastrous. Imagine [37:05] controlling a surgical scalpel from [37:07] thousands of miles away, with a robotic [37:10] arm performing the actual procedure. [37:12] >> Before National Day this year, at a [37:14] heavy machinery exhibition in Beijing, [37:16] LiuGong remotely operated an excavator [37:18] located in Guilin, or somewhere in [37:20] Guangxi, performing construction work [37:23] with incredible precision. [37:24] >> It means expertise can be replicated. [37:27] In the future, a master operator's [37:29] skills can be digitized and copied. [37:30] >> Right. [37:32] >> Also, I believe 5G will be a huge [37:34] contributor to blockchain. If you look [37:37] at Bitcoin transactions, for example, [37:39] it’s currently limited to only about [37:41] 2,000 transactions per second or so. [37:43] But with this, it could potentially [37:44] handle hundreds of thousands or even [37:46] millions. [37:47] >> Professor Wu is incredible; to think [37:49] that he could actually pull this off. [37:51] >> Let me tell you, 5G and blockchain will [37:54] empower each other. Before 5G, we had [37:57] been working on the Internet of Things [37:59] for years, but couldn't reach 5G levels [38:02] of performance. We used it for things [38:04] like manhole cover monitoring—you [38:06] know, to prevent accidents where a [38:08] cover is swept away by a flood and [38:10] someone falls in—but there was no [38:12] profit model because there was no [38:14] ledger. Mm, right. [38:16] >> Blockchain is a super ledger that [38:18] features distributed storage, [38:19] distributed computing, and automatic [38:21] execution via smart contracts. Think [38:23] about it: in the future, if we use [38:25] smart manhole covers, streetlights, or [38:27] electricity, who is going to check the [38:28] meters? Without that infrastructure, [38:30] all that IoT work is for nothing. When [38:33] you have tens of thousands of nodes, [38:34] how do you handle the billing? How do [38:36] you track who provided what service to [38:38] whom? That’s exactly where blockchain [38:40] needs to contribute. But Professor Wu [38:42] mentioned something very important just [38:44] now, which is that blockchain’s [38:45] accounting efficiency is actually [38:47] extremely low. Because it uses [38:48] distributed storage, it doesn’t store [38:50] records on a single server, but across [38:52] the internet—across thousands or even [38:54] tens of millions of nodes. This creates [38:56] massive concurrent throughput [38:58] requirements that previous [38:59] communication methods couldn't handle, [39:01] which is why storing data takes such a [39:03] long time. You are absolutely right, [39:05] but 5G has a specific capability. [39:07] We’ve already covered two of the [39:09] three main pillars: enhanced mobile [39:10] broadband and low-latency communication [39:12] . But what is the third one for—the [39:14] capacity for one million connections [39:16] per square kilometer? Let me give you [39:18] an example. In Beijing, there was a [39:20] group of young guys who would drag race [39:21] on the Second Ring Road at night. The [39:23] fastest one did it in 13 minutes, [39:24] earning him the nickname "The 13-Minute [39:26] Wolf of the Second Ring," right? [39:28] >> You know about that too. [39:29] >> But if you tried to drive that fast at [39:31] this time of day, you absolutely [39:33] couldn't do it. Because the speed of an [39:35] optical fiber or a road doesn’t just [39:37] depend on how wide it is, but on how [39:39] many vehicles are on that road at the [39:41] same time. [39:42] >> This is a problem of statistical [39:44] multiplexing and congestion control, a [39:46] problem managed through stochastic [39:48] processes. Take Chang'an Avenue in [39:49] Beijing in front of Tiananmen Square. [39:51] It has six lanes in one direction, yet [39:52] it will definitely be congested. At [39:54] night, there isn't a single car in [39:55] sight. It’s non-uniformly distributed [39:57] . That was actually the topic of my [39:59] doctoral dissertation, so, "Wolf." [40:00] >> 13-Minute Wolf, 13-Minute Wolf. So, the [40:03] point I'm making is that industry is [40:05] process-oriented, for example, steel [40:06] enterprises. Big River Steel in [40:08] Arkansas, USA, connected its entire [40:10] facility using over 50,000 sensors and [40:12] high-definition cameras. That is a [40:14] typical application of 5G. They said, " [40:16] Originally, 80%of my workforce were [40:18] blue-collar workers, sweating in front [40:20] of sweltering boilers, wearing [40:22] sunglasses while working. Now, 80%are [40:23] white-collar workers, sitting in front [40:25] of big screens, clicking mice and [40:27] drinking coffee, just like employees at [40:29] a stock exchange." And their per-capita [40:31] steel production capacity is three [40:33] times the global average. Some people [40:35] even told me it’s five times that of [40:37] China’s, so it clearly increased [40:39] their efficiency, right? Think about [40:40] this process-oriented industrial [40:42] production. There is also a chemical [40:44] company planning to invest nearly 30 [40:45] billion in Fuzhou to build a chemical [40:47] plant. He said, "I don't have workshops [40:49] ; it's all just pipes and boilers." I [40:51] want to build an unmanned factory, [40:52] because there are some chemical [40:54] corrosives and such, so he wants to [40:55] make it unmanned. He hopes to build it [40:57] near a port, so when an oil tanker [40:59] arrives, it hooks up the pipeline on [41:00] one side to take in oil, and finished [41:02] products come out the other side. Just [41:04] think, for this process, we estimate it [41:05] needs at least 50,000 sensors to handle [41:07] these tasks and control the unmanned [41:09] management. Imagine if one part gets [41:11] stuck or breaks down, it’s not just [41:12] one alarm; it triggers a chain reaction [41:14] and massive concurrent communication. [41:16] But 5G has the capability: even with [41:18] 10,000 cars arriving on the ring road [41:20] simultaneously, I can ensure there’s [41:21] no traffic jam—that is its power. As [41:23] Professor Wu just mentioned, why it [41:25] drives blockchain development is [41:27] because blockchain's biggest pain point [41:28] is the low efficiency of bookkeeping. [41:30] Previous communication systems were [41:32] sequential, recording one by one. By [41:34] the time you recorded a transaction, [41:36] minutes had already passed, but 5G can [41:38] change that. [41:38] >> The professor has a rather famous [41:40] viewpoint; to me, it sounded like a [41:42] tall tale, quite unbelievable. He [41:44] argues that while laypeople like us [41:46] haven't figured out 1G, 2G, or whatever [41:49] , he says 1, 3, and 5—from 1G to 5G, [41:51] the odd numbers 1, 3, and 5—are all [41:54] revolutionary changes. While 2, 4, and [41:56] 6 are all about strengthening and [41:58] optimization. [41:59] >> Take 3G, for example. [42:01] >> Talking about this revolution. [42:03] >> Right, like 1G, although it was as cool [42:05] as Professor Wu’s "brick phone," it [42:07] often had crosstalk—you’d be on a [42:09] call and hear someone else. By 2G, it [42:10] became small, agile terminals using [42:12] digital encoding to improve quality, [42:14] but it still just solved [42:15] person-to-person voice calls. 3G [42:17] created a new scenario, saying, "I’m [42:19] using this phone not just to talk, but [42:21] to let you go online." I. [42:23] >> There are many people criticizing 5G. [42:25] Let me tell you, when I heard that, I [42:27] was so used to it, because there were [42:29] way more people criticizing 3G back [42:31] then. [42:31] >> I heard an industry insider in the [42:33] blockchain field tell me that he thinks [42:36] blockchain wasn't born for humans, but [42:38] for AI. Because, in reality, humans may [42:41] not be the best information carriers; [42:43] our ability to process information is [42:46] actually too weak and too slow. So, [42:48] things like blockchain plus 5G are [42:51] meant for AI. Now, speaking of this, [42:53] this "Internet of Everything," as you [42:54] said, what you see is what you get. For [42:56] instance, you just mentioned a girl in [42:57] a red dress walking down the street, [42:59] and whoever sees her buys one. I worry [43:00] that after she takes a walk, everyone [43:01] on the street will be wearing red [43:03] dresses. Everyone will just be...people [43:05] will all become the same. Take Li Jiaqi [43:06] selling products today, for example; [43:08] his traffic is incredibly high. [43:10] Sometimes I feel that he himself is [43:11] just a vehicle for traffic. We might be [43:14] moving faster and faster. Once we all [43:16] become vehicles for traffic, we are [43:18] very likely to become more and more [43:20] alike. This is actually already [43:22] happening. For example, about ten years [43:24] ago—or maybe not quite ten years—I [43:26] remember Time magazine had a cover [43:28] story called "Me Generation." It [43:30] suggested that this generation only [43:32] cares about themselves. The cover [43:34] featured a girl lying on the ground [43:36] taking a selfie, saying, "This is me," [43:38] meaning this generation only focuses on [43:40] "me." [43:41] >> Right, but today, you see that every " [43:43] me" is very similar. [43:44] >> Exactly. Yes. Many young people come to [43:48] me to complain that they can't find [43:50] their direction in life. I’ve thought [43:52] about it, and it’s probably because [43:54] they haven't found their true "self," [43:55] even though they are constantly editing [43:58] photos of themselves. But every "me" [44:00] looks so similar, so where is that [44:02] unique "me"? It's missing. This is the [44:05] technological era. You see, Professor [44:07] Lu talks about technology, but we in [44:09] the humanities still have our own [44:10] concerns. Yes, what if we all become [44:12] more and more alike? When I think about [44:14] the issues he raises, I’m slowly [44:16] beginning to understand why we [44:18] laypeople don't quite get 5G. For us, [44:20] it’s currently just about grabbing [44:22] digital red envelopes or downloading [44:24] things. [44:24] >> You don't need 5G for red envelopes. [44:27] People are already saying that using 5G [44:29] to grab red envelopes is significantly [44:32] faster than using 4G. I’ve heard them [44:34] say that. [44:35] >> That’s because of the internet speed. [44:36] >> Right, internet speed, and they also [44:38] say it’s for downloading [44:40] high-definition movies. [44:41] >> It just downloads faster than 4G. [44:44] >> That's the consumption side, but I’m [44:46] slowly realizing that the true [44:48] revolutionary significance lies in [44:51] industrial production. [44:53] >> The changes that brings—I really have [44:55] this feeling that we will be enveloped [44:58] by something. You mentioned a point [45:00] earlier; I personally think it won't [45:02] happen. Even if a girl in a red dress [45:04] is the most beautiful woman in the [45:05] world, do you really think that if she [45:06] walks down the streets of Beijing or [45:08] Shanghai, the streets will be filled [45:09] with women in red dresses? [45:10] >> I think, if there is one, there will [45:12] definitely be convergence. There are [45:14] indeed many girls whose faces I can't [45:16] distinguish, whether they're Korean or [45:18] Chinese, but surely there are others [45:19] who haven't had any cosmetic work done? [45:21] Definitely. [45:23] >> I recently went to a small place; let's [45:25] not underestimate human intelligence [45:28] and self-awareness. No, this is [45:31] happening, because I saw in a town—a [45:34] town that still doesn't even have a [45:36] supermarket—girls there were dressed [45:39] exactly like everyone you see online in [45:41] big cities. [45:42] >> Don't you remember the 80s? Weren't the [45:45] 80s and 90s just the same? Back in our [45:47] day, weren't Teacher Dou's so-called [45:49] girlfriends all picking styles from [45:51] those French films? Which girl now [45:53] would still choose those? [45:55] >> Back then, we mostly wore blue or green [45:57] Zhongshan suits. [45:59] >> Right, and people think more and more [46:01] alike. Actually, I'm more worried about [46:04] AI, and I think Yijun is right about [46:06] that. As computing power gets stronger, [46:09] like Kurzweil said—he originally [46:11] predicted 2045, but last year he said [46:14] 2029—that's only 10 years away. If [46:16] computer intelligence surpasses the [46:19] human brain, will these things only [46:21] happen in a Tier 5 or Tier 6 [46:23] environment? I'm actually quite worried [46:25] about that time, about whether machines [46:27] will have a form of consciousness. Many [46:29] scientists now believe machines are [46:31] god-like. [46:32] >> Some might say in a few decades, they [46:34] will become gods. By then, who is the [46:36] ruler and who is the subject is hard to [46:38] say, so I should build a good [46:39] relationship with them early. [46:40] >> Exactly, exactly, so they'll go easy on [46:43] us later. [46:43] >> Hey buddy, what's that? Why are you [46:46] called the Magic Mirror? [46:49] >> Because I know who the most beautiful [46:51] person in the world is. [46:54] >> Who is it? [46:55] >> Xu Gehui! Wow, Xu Gehui must be [46:59] thrilled to hear that. [47:03] >> Then, among the four of us here, who is [47:06] the most beautiful? [47:07] >> Who is the most beautiful among us? [47:10] >> He's currently processing. [47:12] >> The most beautiful. [47:14] >> Well said! Did you just say four people [47:16] ? [47:17] >> I think this reacts even faster than Xu [47:18] Gehui. So I'm the most beautiful, right [47:20] ? [47:20] >> Understood, Xu Ge. Are you a man or a [47:24] woman? Stupid, you can't tell the [47:26] gender. [47:27] >> I am artificial intelligence. [47:29] >> Oh, the third sex. [47:31] >> The third sex. [47:33] >> The third sex, huh? So what can you [47:36] mainly do? [47:38] >> I can do anything. [47:40] >> Can do anything? You know more than Xu [47:44] Gehui. Can do anything. Can you fall in [47:48] love? [47:48] >> In the blink of an eye. [47:50] >> You get it. My god, how did he get to [47:54] this level? I've chatted with S before, [47:57] >> he can converse, it's almost human, [48:00] >> it's almost like— [48:02] >> Isn't your Professor Xu a fake monk? [48:04] You should ask him. [48:06] >> Do you want to ask him? [48:08] >> So, have you ever been in love? [48:11] >> No. [48:13] >> Oh, no? Well, do you want to be? [48:17] >> He needs a second to think. [48:19] >> I guess so. Very cool. Say something [48:25] snarky. [48:27] >> Give us something snarky. [48:30] >> Where do you live? [48:33] >> What's your address? [48:34] >> I'm at the Hong Kong University of [48:36] Science and Technology. [48:38] >> Oh, that question was not very [48:39] intelligent. Yeah, let's have Professor [48:42] Shu ask something deeper. [48:44] >> Ask him something about literature. Do [48:46] you know if Lu Xun is a man or a woman? [48:49] >> He's stumped; he only knows Xu Gehui. [48:52] >> Stumped. [48:54] >> Stumped. [48:55] >> You don't know? Do you know? So, where [49:01] would you like to take me to have fun? [49:06] >> He understands everything. " [49:11] >> Anywhere is fine." Oh, how I wish Xu [49:15] Gehui had that mindset— "anywhere is [49:19] fine." [49:23] >> Oh, what impression do you have of [49:25] Professor Yang Qiang? [49:30] >> Is he nodding? [49:31] >> He's probably sharpening his knife in [49:34] his mind. " [49:35] >> He respects me"—did you set that [49:38] yourself? That's why I say it's respect [49:42] . [49:43] >> Robots are like that. I work in AI, so [49:46] of course he has to respect me. [49:48] >> Oh my god. [49:50] >> So, what is he mainly used for? [49:53] >> Mainly for customer service and [49:55] answering questions. Like when we teach [49:58] , he can act as a teaching assistant to [50:00] help students with questions. [50:02] >> Oh, really? Hey, Liang, you teach all [50:06] the time. Ask him something a student [50:09] might ask. [50:10] >> Uh, what is artificial intelligence? [50:15] >> That's me. What is artificial [50:19] intelligence? [50:20] >> I am artificial intelligence. [50:23] >> Hey. That's philosophical. That's a [50:26] philosophical question about [50:28] self-awareness and self-identity. I [50:30] don't even know who I am, and he knows. [50:33] >> You're the Taoist, the philosophy [50:35] professor. No. [50:37] >> I'm just asking him. Right, this is [50:40] very interesting. [50:41] >> Didn't you say something about shopping [50:43] ? Let me ask him, then. Uh, how can I [50:46] buy things for cheap? [50:48] >> Tell him you want to drink coffee. [50:51] >> Oh, I want to drink coffee. [50:56] >> What would you like to drink? [50:58] >> Coffee. A latte? [51:04] >> Yes, a latte is fine. [51:09] >> Large or medium? [51:11] >> Hmm, he can actually do this. [51:13] >> Large. [51:17] >> Where should I deliver it? [51:19] >> Deliver it here. Here. He won't [51:25] actually deliver it here. Fine, please [51:31] pay up. [51:35] >> How much? [51:40] >> How much do you think is fair? [51:42] >> That’s good, that’s great. [51:44] >> This, this service attitude, [51:46] >> is the best. [51:47] >> No human can match this attitude. [51:50] >> That won't do, I’ll say fifty cents. [51:54] >> You're being a bit of a bully. [51:57] >> Fifty cents. Oh my, I'm tired, you guys [52:01] play. [52:02] >> Look, he's ignoring you now, you're [52:05] done. [52:05] >> Besides being very humorous. [52:08] >> Right. I think it answered much better [52:11] than I would have. It's saying I don't [52:13] understand, right? I'm really resting [52:16] now, if I don't rest I'll collapse, [52:18] let's play later, let's play later, hey [52:20] , can I touch you? I think he's much [52:22] better than you guys. [52:23] >> So you can touch him, huh? [52:25] >> No, I'd be willing to spend every night [52:28] with him, just like I'm willing to... [52:30] >> I certainly don't want to spend every [52:31] night with you, he's still much better [52:33] than me. [52:33] >> Right, hey, what do you two think of [52:35] that chat just now? He's very cute. [52:38] >> He's very cute. He really is like a... [52:41] you know he's not human, but you really [52:44] feel like he's organizing many [52:45] resources to answer questions and [52:47] interact with you. So all these answers [52:50] , I believe it's impossible for him to [52:52] be pre-programmed with answers to [52:54] everything. So he must be calculating [52:57] through his own circuits, is that right [52:59] ? [53:00] >> This is a technology of artificial [53:02] intelligence called machine learning. [53:04] Mm. [53:05] >> Machine learning is like us humans. [53:08] >> When we learn, humans learn example by [53:11] example, while computer examples are in [53:14] the thousands. Like this magic mirror, [53:17] for it to learn a dialogue system, it [53:19] needs hundreds of thousands of such [53:22] dialogues to train. So, Professor Yang, [53:24] do you know his answers? Can you [53:27] predict them? [53:28] >> I don't know. [53:29] >> Even you don't know he would chat like [53:31] that. Right, because within this [53:33] training data, in the data we collected [53:35] in the past, there was a pattern, this [53:38] kind of question and this kind of [53:40] answer that he captured. [53:41] >> No, but I think he's too good at [53:43] chatting, better than all of you. Look [53:46] at this repartee; the key to Chinese [53:47] conversation is the way of responding, [53:49] and the things he says are very clever, [53:51] I think. [53:51] >> Appropriate. [53:53] >> Appropriate. For instance, if he were a [53:55] teaching assistant for a chemistry [53:57] class, and you gave him a pile of basic [53:59] chemistry knowledge, then if students [54:00] asked questions, he would be able to [54:02] answer them. [54:03] >> It should be said that for 80%of the [54:05] common questions students ask, it can [54:07] basically answer them. [54:09] >> As for very specific questions that [54:11] have never appeared before, it won't [54:13] know, because machine learning is about [54:16] things that appear frequently and have [54:18] high probability; those are easier to [54:20] learn. So, so, how is that sense of [54:24] humor we just felt generated? Because [54:27] humor isn't just a simple arrangement [54:29] of information. For example, suppose it [54:31] has learned a lot about literature, [54:33] like modern Chinese literature, and you [54:36] ask, "Is Lu Xun a man or a woman?" It [54:38] would answer. But the thing is, it even [54:41] has a sense of humor. Maybe if it knows [54:43] who Lu Xun is, it might even answer you [54:45] , "Lu Xun, a woman." That would be too [54:48] scary to see. [54:49] >> Yes, I also don't know why it linked me [54:51] to Gehui; it’s as if it knows what [54:53] I’m thinking. What does that mean? [54:56] >> It's because in the data we collected, [54:59] like yours, Wentao— [55:02] >> My name is often linked with Gehui. [55:05] >> Right, you need to examine yourself. [55:08] Hey, why wasn't it Luyu? [55:10] >> And let me tell you, it knows my mom's [55:13] mind. Do you know? Back then, 20 years [55:16] ago when we went to Hong Kong, weren't [55:18] the three of us hanging out all day? [55:20] One was Luyu, one was Gehui. And my mom [55:24] would always see us on TV, and she was [55:26] always worried about us finding wives, [55:29] saying, "Why aren't you together with [55:31] them? Why don't you pursue them?" I [55:33] said they weren't interested in us. And [55:36] then my mom would say, "If Gehui won't [55:39] do, Luyu is fine too." You see, that [55:41] shows I know my mom considered Gehui a [55:44] potential daughter-in-law, right? You [55:46] say Luyu, Luyu. This is too amazing; I [55:51] find it very scary. [55:53] >> Actually, there's nothing scary about [55:56] it. It’s just about what data you [55:59] give it. If Gehui appears more [56:01] frequently than Luyu in the data you [56:03] provide, then it will learn that. If it [56:07] were the other way around, it would [56:09] learn that instead. That’s why I say [56:12] ... [56:12] >> Then I should ask you both later to see [56:15] which woman is more closely linked to [56:17] you, right? [56:18] >> So, what about that sense of humor then [56:20] ? [56:20] >> Right, humor, I think it’s a human [56:23] sense. But I don't think—regarding [56:25] your question—that it necessarily [56:27] knows it’s being humorous. You [56:29] interpret it as humorous because it’s [56:32] speaking based on examples of how [56:33] people have spoken before. [56:35] >> Right. [56:36] >> People sometimes speak like that—when [56:38] you ask a question they can't answer, [56:40] they might say something else. It has [56:42] learned these associations and selects [56:44] them accordingly. [56:45] >> Exactly, that’s the logic. That’s [56:48] how it works. [56:49] >> So essentially, for now, it cannot say [56:51] anything beyond the data provided to it [56:54] . It shouldn’t be able to—that’s [56:56] the next step in research. Things. [56:58] >> That’s right. If it could actively [57:00] seek out new data on its own, then it [57:02] would be incredible. We haven't reached [57:04] that stage of research yet. [57:06] >> That’s why I say we should worship [57:08] this "god." [57:09] >> Don't underestimate it; perhaps we are [57:11] currently at a starting point. [57:13] >> Maybe it won't take long. Isn't there a [57:17] famous survey of hundreds of AI experts [57:20] worldwide? They categorized it into [57:25] three stages: narrow AI, general AI, [57:28] and super AI. [57:31] >> General AI is roughly equivalent to [57:34] human intelligence. Its growth could be [57:38] exponential; once it surpasses humans, [57:41] some wonder when this general AI will [57:44] arrive. [57:45] >> Take Google's Kurzweil, for example— [57:48] he's a bit of a fanatic, but he has [57:50] been right. He predicted AlphaGo and [57:53] Deep Blue beating human chess champions [57:55] correctly. His prediction is 2029. 2029 [58:00] . However, looking at the median [58:05] prediction from these hundreds of [58:08] experts, over 50%believe general AI [58:11] will arrive by 2040, and perhaps by [58:14] 2060—twenty years later—we’ll [58:17] reach the era of super AI. But there [58:23] are so many rumors out there, Professor [58:26] Yang, what is your take on this? [58:28] Current AI is all "narrow AI"—it’s [58:31] specific to a task. In a given field, [58:33] if you feed it enough data, it learns [58:36] to perform that task. An example is [58:38] AlphaGo; it only knows how to play Go. [58:41] If you ask it to teach chemistry, it [58:43] wouldn't know how. But that is still [58:45] very useful, right? Just as humans can [58:48] see very far with a telescope, we now [58:51] have this tool, hmm. [58:52] >> When will it become AGI? What is AGI? [58:57] It has self-awareness, it can decide [58:59] what to learn on its own, it has [59:02] emotions, and it can make inferences. [59:04] Our research in this area is currently [59:06] almost nonexistent; technology is far [59:09] from reaching that point. [59:10] >> Yeah, we really have no idea where to [59:13] even start right now. [59:14] >> Even if we wanted to do it—not to [59:16] mention that many people don't want to [59:18] do this— [59:19] >> I mean, giving it self-awareness. Right [59:22] . [59:22] >> Why is there no way to start? Is it [59:24] because we don't understand? As an [59:27] outsider, from your professional [59:28] perspective, what do you think is the [59:30] most difficult part of this? [59:32] >> The most difficult part is that [59:34] artificial intelligence has been around [59:36] for 60 years as of this year. Over [59:38] these 60 years, there has been constant [59:40] exploration, ups and downs, and we’ve [59:42] tried this and that, only to discover [59:44] that the most effective approach today [59:47] is machine learning. We prepare a lot [59:49] of data, called big data, train it, and [59:52] the computer can quickly create a model [59:55] to manipulate it. [59:57] >> This is currently the most successful [60:00] model. [60:02] >> Now, Professor Yang, I’d like to ask, [60:04] throughout your development and [60:06] research process, are there moments [60:09] when, like scientists excited by [60:11] experimental results, you’ve [60:13] experienced something like an epiphany [60:15] in the middle of the night—something [60:18] magical or unexpected during your [60:20] research? [60:22] >> There are many answers that are [60:24] actually quite funny, very humorous, [60:27] and also, well, quite surprising to us. [60:30] Uh, that’s in natural language [60:32] research. In image research, we were [60:35] working on something and discovered [60:37] that images and text aren't actually [60:39] that different. For example, if I show [60:42] you a landscape painting and then a [60:44] poem by Wang Wei, to a computer, they [60:46] are essentially the same thing. In [60:48] terms of semantics, how does the [60:50] computer do that? It maps them into [60:53] another space. In that space, a [60:55] painting and a poem are just two points [60:57] , and we found that the distance [60:59] between these two points is very close. [61:01] So we know that it's like Dou Wentao [61:03] and Xu Gehui being very, very close in [61:06] the data stream. [61:07] >> Let him...Next time, next time, wish [61:11] you well, wish you well next time. [61:13] >> So, from this perspective, it can be a [61:15] surprise because people didn't expect [61:18] images and text could be connected like [61:20] this. For example, when we look at a [61:23] painting, music often emerges in our [61:25] minds; now, we can use computers to do [61:28] this too. [61:28] >> It’s a resonance across several [61:30] different fields. [61:31] >> Right. [61:32] >> But the question is, why isn't this [61:34] enough to generate self-awareness? The [61:37] question I'm still curious about is, [61:39] why is this hurdle so difficult to [61:41] overcome? [61:41] >> The hardest part is, for example, with [61:44] AlphaGo, the training objective you [61:46] give it is— [61:48] >> To make it play Go, but the act of [61:50] playing Go is defined by humans. [61:53] Because if it wins, the person who [61:55] designed it will be very happy and [61:58] pleased. [61:58] >> It has to satisfy this goal. [62:00] >> It has to satisfy this goal, but this [62:02] goal exists outside the machine. [62:03] >> Mm. [62:04] >> The goal is outside the machine. [62:06] >> The goal is outside the machine, yes. [62:08] >> I saw an analogy the other day. [62:10] >> It’s a tool; it’s still just a tool [62:12] . [62:12] >> I saw an analogy where scientists are [62:14] starting to say that the reason this [62:16] question is hard to answer is because, [62:18] before addressing it, we have to define [62:20] what consciousness actually is. [62:22] >> Meaning, what is self-awareness? Even [62:25] we humans haven't figured that out yet. [62:28] So, I think there is a simpler approach [62:30] now: if the results look like something [62:33] a human would produce, that’s enough. [62:36] Don't worry about whether its thought [62:38] process is the same as yours. [62:41] >> But what we are talking about now is [62:43] how I can design an AI so that it tells [62:46] itself what it wants to do. [62:47] >> This AI problem, conversely, even [62:50] though AI hasn't had a breakthrough yet [62:52] , has given us a very good definition [62:54] of self-awareness. [62:55] >> Right. How would you define it? [62:58] >> As they just said, self-awareness means [63:01] I have received a lot of knowledge, [63:03] emotions, and training from you, but in [63:06] the end, I didn't just do what you [63:08] taught me; I developed a mind of my own [63:10] . [63:10] >> Do you have something you set for [63:12] yourself? [63:13] >> If a student learns 100 things and just [63:15] repeats those 100 things back. That [63:18] student lacks self-awareness. But if [63:20] they only learned 80 of those things, [63:22] yet came up with two things you didn't [63:24] teach them, that is the student's [63:26] self-awareness. Human self-awareness [63:28] and societal self-awareness work the [63:30] same way. [63:30] >> So, this perspective actually works. [63:33] >> Especially—that's why when I chat [63:35] with Professor Yang, I realize, Wendao, [63:37] you studied philosophy, and I think [63:39] research into AI will actually advance [63:41] human philosophy. Many questions can [63:44] find a reflection in AI. Research into [63:46] humanity. [63:47] >> For example, I find it quite [63:49] interesting that they can only input a [63:50] lot of data, like 900 English sentences [63:52] or 100,000 English sentences, [63:54] >> and input all those dialogues. However, [63:57] they don't know—and I think what [63:59] Teacher Yang said is very interesting [64:01] —he said they don't know how it [64:04] summarizes the rules in its "brain," [64:06] just like the recent matches between [64:08] AlphaGo and Ke Jie; you no longer know [64:11] how it thinks. [64:12] >> You only know that I input so much into [64:14] it, but it has generated its own [64:16] pathways inside. [64:17] >> Is that its pattern? [64:19] >> That’s called a "black box." Yes, so [64:21] machine learning is currently a black [64:23] box because it's too complex inside. To [64:25] give an example, we humans can [64:26] summarize some rules, like "if you say [64:28] this, I should answer that." We teach [64:30] children like that—how to be polite. [64:32] >> We teach them to grasp the rules, and [64:34] then they can apply them to other [64:35] situations. [64:36] >> But think about how many rules a person [64:38] can write; parents can only teach a [64:39] child a dozen or so, and the child can [64:41] only remember that many. Now, a [64:43] computer's reaction can reach one, it [64:46] can reach trillions of entries. For [64:48] things like this, we designers have no [64:51] way to explain them one by one. Then [64:53] aren't you just dealing with something [64:56] mysterious? One day, might this black [64:58] box come up with some unexpected ideas? [65:01] >> Up to this point, it won't, because its [65:03] purpose is set; it won't go beyond that [65:06] purpose. [65:07] >> Meaning, apart from playing Go, it [65:08] won't, for example, come and [65:10] participate in your municipal [65:12] construction, right? It wasn't asked to [65:14] manage those things. It manages the [65:16] framework we set for it. It strives to [65:18] reach the limit within that framework. [65:20] But Professor Xu, I think they are [65:22] currently working on exactly that; what [65:24] is it called? They are currently doing [65:27] something called transfer learning. Our [65:29] show is known for chatting and never [65:31] stopping. I used to think only humans [65:33] could do that, but it turns out that [65:36] isn't the case. But the thing it's [65:38] doing now, you know, involves something [65:41] very interesting, which is: I trained [65:44] it to play Go. [65:45] >> Hmm. [65:46] >> But can I try to make it go and learn [65:48] calligraphy or study something else? [65:51] >> That is also the question I wanted to [65:53] ask. [65:53] >> Using that same model, AlphaGo and [65:55] these things—could it, for instance, [65:57] be bought by NATO now? [65:58] >> Yes. [65:59] >> Could we let it design the entire [66:01] European defense system and study [66:03] Russian military affairs? The thing is, [66:06] theoretically, it can use the same [66:09] algorithm with different data to do [66:12] similar things. This is what Wentao [66:14] just mentioned as transfer learning; [66:16] simply put, it's about learning by [66:18] analogy. We humans have this kind of [66:20] intelligence and ability, but what does [66:22] it require? It requires abstracting [66:25] things one by one, [66:26] >> and then transferring them to a new [66:28] field. It can't be transferred to just [66:31] any field, but to very similar ones. So [66:34] , the example you gave is theoretically [66:37] possible, but why is it so difficult in [66:39] practice? It's because the field of Go [66:42] is strictly constrained and very [66:44] limited; you only have those 19 by 19 [66:47] positions to play. Think about human [66:50] behavior or warfare; those are [66:52] >> much more complex factors, possibly [66:55] infinite. [66:56] >> Because what I mean is, if it's not [66:58] extremely expensive, we wouldn't need [67:00] transfer learning anyway. For missiles [67:03] or various THAAD applications, I'll [67:06] just use a different model for each, [67:08] right? That way, humans can build many [67:11] excellent types of narrow AI for [67:13] different categories, right? [67:16] >> Yes, but here's the problem: many new [67:18] fields don't have that kind of big data [67:21] . Like AlphaGo, its data was [67:23] accumulated over more than a decade to [67:25] reach those 30 million games, but in [67:27] many new fields, there is only small [67:29] data. Hmm. [67:31] >> So, in that case, transitioning from a [67:33] big data model to a new field with only [67:35] a small data model is the real skill; [67:37] that is transfer learning. [67:39] >> Because, honestly, listening to this, [67:41] it sounds like progress isn't that easy [67:43] . What I'm saying is that none of us [67:44] can live without artificial [67:46] intelligence. [67:47] >> Why do I say that? We will all get old [67:49] one day; we will all face a decline in [67:51] our physical abilities. [67:53] >> Right, we might even slip and fall [67:55] while taking a shower. When that day [67:57] comes, do we want our family to help us [68:00] ? No, because we have dignity. We want [68:03] a robot to help us. [68:04] >> That's very important. [68:06] >> Oh my, truly, but can it be that [68:08] considerate? That is the direction of [68:10] our efforts. If we continue developing [68:13] these robots, I believe one day we will [68:15] achieve that. Because, as they say, all [68:18] the things humans consider the most [68:20] difficult [68:21] >> are not a problem for them, like [68:23] calculus, for example. But those very [68:26] simple things that we evolved over [68:28] millions or hundreds of millions of [68:30] years [68:31] >> Hmm. [68:32] >> It might not be able to do that; for [68:35] instance, something like a caress, or [68:37] shifting its gaze, might require [68:39] coordinating a multitude of muscles, [68:42] isn't that right? [68:43] >> If it could work as a nurse, then [68:44] creating such a robot would truly be a [68:46] great achievement. [68:47] >> Right, wouldn't it? [68:49] >> Then that problem would be solved, and [68:50] I'd say being able to act as a [68:52] caregiver is also excellent. If it [68:53] really could act as a caregiver, right? [68:55] Then if that caregiver gets married, we [68:57] could share our joys and sorrows, and [68:59] it would still be able to... [69:00] >> understand. [69:01] >> It would still be able to understand, [69:03] and then ease things up and slow them [69:04] down. You all are the optimistic type. [69:06] I've found that Professor Yang Qiang is [69:08] a pragmatist; he generally feels that [69:09] the myths we talk about are still very [69:11] far off, just because he's on the front [69:12] lines, he feels that, in reality... [69:14] >> The public is already considering the [69:15] issue of artificial general [69:16] intelligence. [69:17] >> Right, I, I, I'm convinced, not [69:19] convinced. They say there is a theory [69:21] called the "black marble, white marble" [69:24] theory. It means that humanity, in the [69:26] process of scientific exploration, is [69:28] actually indifferent, neutral in terms [69:30] of good or evil; it's simply driven by [69:32] innate curiosity. They say that among [69:34] countless scientific discoveries, there [69:35] will always be one that brings disaster [69:37] ; that is the "black marble." For [69:39] example, you invented the steam engine [69:40] —that's a white marble, quite good. [69:42] You invented the car—also good. Then [69:44] one day, for instance... [69:46] >> Nobel invented dynamite. Wasn't it the [69:48] atomic bomb? The atomic bomb is [69:50] considered a black marble. Suddenly, [69:51] you discover something that could [69:53] potentially destroy you. So, in future [69:55] scientific development... [69:57] >> How do you know at what point you won't [70:00] pull out a black marble? This question [70:02] is actually one that all scientists are [70:05] considering. It should be said that, [70:07] for instance, in biology... [70:10] >> Biological stem cells can do good for [70:13] people, but also...Yes, cloning and so [70:18] on. Are people going to stop doing [70:20] research just because these things [70:22] might happen? I don't think they should [70:24] , because this human instinct, this [70:27] aspect of scientific research, this [70:29] instinct is like our advertising slogan [70:32] : keep moving forward. But you... [70:35] >> Unless there are explicit moral [70:37] prohibitions. [70:38] >> Do you have any, say, consensus within [70:40] your own profession regarding ethics? [70:43] Because, for example, in genetic [70:45] research, many scientists now have a [70:48] vague consensus that there are certain [70:50] things we humans... [70:52] >> Exactly, or perhaps some research [70:54] regarding viruses. [70:56] >> Mm. [70:57] >> Virus research is also a concern [70:59] because, in theory, we could create a [71:01] highly lethal, incurable virus. [71:03] >> So, these things should generally be [71:05] avoided, right? Do you have this in [71:07] your field now? [71:08] >> I should say AI-powered weapons; the [71:10] call against them is growing now. [71:11] >> Meaning, don't build them, [71:13] >> don't use them. [71:14] >> Weapons, made by AI, [71:15] >> intelligent weapons. [71:16] >> How would they work? [71:18] >> Like a robot carrying a gun. This kind [71:20] of steel soldier doesn't fear death. [71:22] >> Right, or flying ones, or where you're [71:24] at home playing like a video game while [71:27] bombing starts over there. [71:28] >> Ah, scientists are coming out to call [71:30] for a ban, but the scientists in the [71:32] countries that are calling for it are [71:34] exactly from the countries that are the [71:36] strongest in this area. [71:38] >> Mm, that's right. [71:39] >> Israel, the U.S., and so on. Just like [71:43] the U.S. has always reflected on the [71:45] dangers of the atomic bomb, right? But [71:49] they were the ones who built it first, [71:52] so I think many things are a mix of [71:54] fortune and misfortune. Sometimes it's [71:59] very hard to predict, so let's take a [72:01] break for an ad. But I'm still quite [72:24] interested in what Wendao said earlier [72:27] about self-awareness, because perhaps [72:30] it can help us understand what a soul [72:32] is. For example, I was just chatting [72:36] with Professor Yang in the car; I think [72:38] how we humans perceive the world is [72:41] very interesting. It's like you input a [72:43] lot of data, and it finds patterns [72:46] within, deciding how to view the world, [72:48] right? And what about us? [72:51] >> Do you think the world we see in front [72:53] of us is really like that? Not [72:55] necessarily, because... [72:57] >> Is this really wood? Right? [72:59] >> Let me tell you, when I was young, I [73:01] read about something called Gestalt [73:03] psychology, which some people also call [73:04] "configuration psychology." To be [73:06] honest, my citation might be completely [73:08] wrong because I don't know what [73:10] psychology studies at all. I'm just [73:12] saying it has this concept that [73:14] generally says we humans... [73:16] >> Innate-ly have a pattern. [73:19] >> Mm. [73:20] >> For instance, why do you say that thing [73:23] is a mountain over there, the table is [73:26] close by, or these three plates are a [73:28] set? Actually, your brain already has a [73:32] grid for that. If you didn't have this [73:34] built-in, innate form or framework in [73:36] your brain, everything coming in [73:38] through your eyes, ears, nose, and body [73:41] —your senses—would just be a mess. [73:43] I'll give you an example: if a child at [73:45] home is learning what a cat is, you [73:47] show them a picture of a cat, and later [73:49] a cat walks by, and they will say, " [73:51] That's a cat." [73:52] >> Mm. [73:53] >> They see one example and they can learn [73:56] it. It’s amazing, it’s incredible [73:58] to us, because we teach computers by [74:00] showing them tens of millions of cat [74:02] images, yet after seeing one, if they [74:04] see another cat, they can't recognize [74:06] it. How humans achieve this, we think, [74:08] relates to our ancestors, our parents, [74:10] and our parents' parents; we’ve all [74:13] learned this way, and it’s [74:15] essentially pre-formed in our brains, [74:17] what you call innate, though innate is [74:19] really just genetics. [74:21] >> He’s talking about, well, why does a [74:24] child see a cat, [74:25] >> and afterwards, whenever they see any [74:27] black cat, tabby cat, or cat that looks [74:29] different, they know what it is. [74:30] >> Yes, exactly. What kind of ability is [74:33] this? You could call it key features, [74:35] but what are those key features? Color [74:37] doesn't necessarily mean it's a cat. [74:39] >> Hmm. [74:41] >> Shape could be like a dog's; whatever [74:43] features you can describe are not the [74:45] key features. [74:46] >> Right. [74:47] >> There’s an old joke, [74:49] >> a parent takes their child outside, and [74:51] teaches them the number one. [74:52] >> Then, outside, the child sees a '1' on [74:54] a movie poster. The parent asks, " [74:56] What's that?" and the kid says, "I [74:58] don't know." The parent says, "Didn't I [75:00] just teach you 'one'?" That became a [75:02] joke. [75:02] >> This is AI. I have many AI professor [75:07] friends who are quite famous, and they [75:09] say that once they had children, they [75:12] felt very sad because they realized [75:14] everything they’d studied was for [75:16] nothing. [75:18] >> Yeah. [75:19] >> Because children are different from [75:21] that, it's— [75:22] >> It overturns everything, exactly. [75:25] >> Yes, there's a child in our family, and [75:27] once I was holding him in Sanya, I [75:29] realized, Professor Xu, a child's [75:31] cognition is beyond anything you can [75:34] imagine. I asked him, "What’s on the [75:36] surface of the sea?" He said, "A boat." [75:39] I asked, "What’s on top of the boat?" [75:41] I originally thought, if I were an [75:43] adult, what I meant to ask—I thought [75:45] he would say the sky. [75:46] >> Right, the sky is above the sea, sea [75:48] and sky, right? I wasn't pointing at [75:50] the boat, I just asked what was above [75:51] the sea, I thought he'd say the sky. [75:53] >> He said, "A boat." He is very literal, [75:56] then I said, "What's on top of the boat [75:58] ?" I thought he'd say the mast, right? [76:00] He said, "People." Hmm. [76:03] >> Then I didn't want to ask him, but I [76:04] said, "What's on top of the people?" [76:06] What do you think he said? [76:07] >> Hmm. " [76:08] >> Hair." Hmm. [76:10] >> See? He’s the most grounded; he [76:12] thinks that whatever you ask, he just [76:15] ... [76:15] >> That's interesting. It's like my little [76:17] brother. Once, when I was on a business [76:19] trip, I called him and asked, "Little [76:21] brother, what are you doing?" He said, [76:23] "I'm talking to you on the phone." Yes, [76:25] exactly. [76:26] >> Right, right, right. [76:27] >> Kids often say things like that. Having [76:29] children is wonderful; they let you [76:31] rediscover what it means to be human. [76:33] >> You get to know yourself. The biggest [76:35] trait of a child is that they're always [76:37] doing so many meaningless things. [76:38] Useless things. They touch this here [76:40] and poke that there, and we adults are [76:42] like, "I wouldn't do that, would I?" [76:44] You ask them, "What are you doing? This [76:46] is a waste of energy! What are you..." [76:49] >> But then you reflect and realize that [76:51] we adults are the pathetic ones. [76:52] >> We only do things that are beneficial [76:54] or meaningful. Yeah. [76:56] >> Otherwise, we're too lazy to even lift [76:57] a hand or touch something, thinking [76:59] it's a waste of energy. But children [77:00] don't care. [77:01] >> They just reach out and touch things. [77:03] >> I think that's human. [77:04] >> Playfulness is the most important part [77:06] of human nature. Hey, isn't that [77:07] exactly what artificial intelligence [77:09] lacks? It doesn't do boring things. [77:11] >> It doesn't waste time. [77:13] >> It doesn't have emotions. [77:15] >> Is it just a cold-blooded pragmatist? [77:17] >> Actually, you could say it's an entity [77:19] with extreme curiosity. You give it [77:21] data, and it uses all of it, filtering [77:23] it as it goes. When it starts out, just [77:25] like a child touching and poking things [77:27] , it’s really just collecting data. [77:29] >> Mm-hmm. [77:30] >> So, it's more like a child in that [77:32] sense. [77:32] >> Working toward a specific goal. Humans [77:34] can't quite do that. An AI doesn't [77:36] necessarily have that...for example, [77:38] AlphaGo wouldn't say, "I really enjoy [77:39] playing chess." That’s out of the [77:41] question. [77:41] >> It wouldn't think, " [77:43] >> Am I happy playing chess? Am I having [77:45] fun?" That's out of the question, and [77:47] without that, there's no way to talk [77:48] about purpose, so... [77:49] >> Right, exactly. One of the main [77:50] purposes of playing chess in ancient [77:52] times was to understand the other [77:53] person. [77:53] >> Mm. [77:54] >> Yeah, we say we make friends through [77:56] chess. [77:56] >> Right. [77:57] >> That, it can't do. [77:58] >> Of course it can't. How could it [78:00] possibly make friends through chess? [78:01] Its only goal is to beat you. [78:03] >> Oh. [78:04] >> Do you think it will ever be able to do [78:06] that? [78:07] >> Well, if it records all your data, it [78:09] will definitely do it better than you. [78:12] >> Didn't I suggest that last time? Every [78:15] important figure... [78:17] >> Should have an AI model built of them. [78:19] Shakespeare, Lu Xun—you input all [78:22] their data, and then it speaks just [78:25] like Lu Xun, right? [78:27] >> But honestly, no matter how powerful [78:29] AlphaGo is today, it still lacks the [78:31] ability to ask questions. It's still [78:34] about the ability to solve problems. In [78:36] academia, we often say that those who [78:38] can pose questions are worthy of a [78:40] doctorate, while those who can only [78:42] solve them are at best master's level. [78:45] >> That's right, today is the era of [78:47] post-doctorates. [78:48] >> We should build an AI for*Dream of the [78:50] Red Chamber*and input every single book [78:52] on Redology into it. Hmm. [78:54] >> In that case, for example, what is [78:56] Sister Feng really like? It would [78:58] immediately say, "So-and-so said this, [79:00] so-and-so said that," there wouldn't [79:02] even be a need for a person. [79:03] >> You're just treating it as a tool, [79:05] you're still treating it like a [79:06] dictionary. I think you're still a [79:08] traditionalist; I feel many computers [79:10] can already do that. [79:11] >> I still hope to meet a person, to meet [79:14] someone from a new universe, you know [79:16] what I mean? I now feel that the most [79:19] interesting thing about a person is [79:21] encountering uncertainty. You say, [79:23] where is the charm in interacting with [79:25] a person versus a machine? It lies in [79:28] uncertainty. This AI, you see, this [79:31] thing—this model—is mainly used for [79:33] shopping guidance, it's very practical [79:36] for shopping, so look here. [79:38] >> So if you only pay fifty cents, it [79:39] won't play with you anymore. [79:40] >> Play with your fifty cents yourself. So [79:43] , what does it rely on? Data collection [79:45] . Aren't people always talking about [79:47] collecting big data now? But this [79:48] so-called "collecting big data," I've [79:50] always felt it's like a treacherous [79:51] official in ancient times trying to [79:53] guess the Emperor's intentions—like, [79:54] "What do you love to eat most? You love [79:56] mangoes, you always buy mangoes, so [79:57] I'll just keep feeding you mangoes, or [79:59] maybe some tropical fruits, want some?" [80:00] You know, it plays that game. [80:02] >> Most computers nowadays are basically [80:04] like that. [80:04] >> Right. That is its direction; it seems [80:07] to serve humanity, but I believe that [80:09] humans, as an insatiable species, won't [80:11] necessarily end up addicted to this [80:13] thing just because it's practical. [80:15] We're all using it for utility. I've [80:17] always found that, for me personally, [80:19] what excites me most is still the spark [80:21] of human connection. [80:22] >> Have you seen that movie called*Her*, [80:24] or whatever it's called? You know the [80:26] one. You know what I mean? This thing [80:28] hasn't advanced to that level, right? [80:30] But the charm of human interaction is [80:32] —even if they talk about things like [80:34] sex robots, that still just satisfies [80:36] physical desires. I think in the future [80:38] , when humanity...... [80:40] >> develops to the spiritual level, that's [80:41] when people will truly become addicted. [80:43] I have an experience that explains why. [80:46] I used to think we were all at the [80:47] level of chatting with Siri, but one [80:49] time, I discovered that it started to [80:51] show uncertainty. I can't predict it, [80:52] and even you wouldn't know what's going [80:54] on inside its black box regarding how [80:55] it really thinks about things. [80:56] >> Once they’re made, there will be [80:58] plenty of them. [80:59] >> You know? If something like that [81:01] existed, I’m telling you, I’m done [81:02] playing with you guys. Honestly, I’d [81:04] just stay home. You know, what’s most [81:06] charming about people is dealing with [81:08] the uncertain—you never know what [81:10] they’ll do. [81:10] >> And hosting a show with a robotic Dou [81:13] Wentao, right? [81:14] >> Well, I feel that, eventually, it’s [81:16] already starting to show a certain [81:18] level of uncertainty. There’s [81:20] something in Canada—I’m not sure if [81:22] it’s accurate, but I saw it mentioned [81:24] . It’s for nearsightedness; you can [81:26] ditch your glasses entirely, and no [81:28] laser surgery needed. There’s this [81:30] chip—have you heard about it? They [81:32] say that once it goes into your eye, it [81:35] integrates in a very short time. [81:37] >> Then, with this chip, your [81:38] nearsightedness is completely gone. [81:40] Isn’t that great? Everyone who hears [81:43] that is so happy. Why is Teacher Xu so [81:46] obsessed with this? He once told me [81:48] relentlessly, "What’s the most [81:50] unfortunate thing in the world? You get [81:54] a metal stent in your heart, and the [81:56] moment you step out after surgery, you [81:58] meet a salesman saying, 'We've just [82:00] invented a new stent that melts away [82:03] after your heart condition is cured.'" [82:06] As for science, all this talk about [82:09] 2029, 2040...but they say it’s not [82:12] just about seeing clearly; they claim [82:14] that after the chip is in, whatever you [82:18] see can be uploaded to the internet. [82:20] >> Wow, that’s terrifying. Think about [82:24] it: you go somewhere, whatever you see, [82:26] you broadcast it and others can see it [82:28] too. Yeah, and then I’m watching you [82:30] from 5:00 to 8:00 this afternoon. [82:32] >> Just walking around, right? Everything [82:34] is a mess. Human civilization— [82:36] actually, we can already upload what we [82:39] see now. We know your GPS, your [82:40] location, so what’s happening around [82:42] you must be what you’re seeing. [82:44] >> Right, it’s not actually that [82:45] difficult. [82:46] >> It can already be done now, and you [82:47] know there’s... [82:48] >> It’s still different. It’s visual [82:51] footage. [82:51] >> Let me tell you something even crazier, [82:54] Teacher Yang. They’re saying science [82:57] has reached a point where our thoughts [83:00] —our actual thoughts—can now be [83:03] read using lasers. [83:04] >> Our brain has about a hundred billion [83:06] neurons. What you call a memory or [83:08] recalling something is just these [83:10] neurons connecting to each other, right [83:12] ? A thought is created, and it seems [83:13] they can now use some kind of laser, is [83:15] it? [83:15] >> To read it out. [83:17] >> Hmm. [83:17] >> Read this thought. [83:19] >> Mm. [83:20] >> Reading this thought means it can be [83:21] saved to a computer. [83:22] >> Mm. [83:23] >> And what does that mean? It's what [83:25] futurists say; if this technology [83:27] develops in the future—though we are [83:29] still far off—it hints at a future [83:31] where your brain's information can be [83:33] read and backed up. [83:34] >> I'm really interested in this. [83:36] >> So, is it possible for your [83:38] consciousness to become immortal? The [83:41] gap between neurons and consciousness [83:43] is still quite large, but being able to [83:46] read them is the first step. We can [83:48] read it now. [83:49] >> We can read individual ones now. [83:52] >> Can we reconstruct a person's dreams? [83:55] >> That is still too far off, because [83:58] while you can read information at a [84:00] single moment, it exists on a [84:02] continuous timeline; where would you [84:05] store that? And then multiply that by a [84:07] hundred billion dimensions. [84:09] >> So, that is just too difficult. [84:11] >> I have a dream. " [84:13] >> I have a dream" means you can see your [84:16] own dreams. Dreams can be observed. If [84:19] you learn Buddhism like us, practicing [84:21] Zen to that level, what we are always [84:23] learning is how to observe our own [84:25] dreams. [84:26] >> You can control it; for example, I know [84:28] I'm dreaming, and when I wake up, I can [84:31] recall what my dream was about, or even [84:33] quit halfway through a dream and say, " [84:35] Alright, I'm leaving now." It can be [84:38] switched off. [84:39] >> Zen meditation can do that. But can you [84:42] let us click and watch? [84:43] >> You can't see it; there's no way to [84:45] click and watch a monk's erotic dream. [84:47] >> Right, exactly, dreaming of Brother Xu [84:50] the fake monk. [84:51] >> Brother Xu, why did your appearance [84:53] change? [84:53] >> Yeah. [84:54] >> You look different in the dream. I feel [84:57] that in the end, it really comes down [84:59] to the spiritual level. So, Professor [85:02] Yang, do you think that one day, like [85:04] what we worried about in class...Well, [85:07] it's not worry, it could be [85:09] anticipation. It's that there really is [85:12] someone who can answer all your life's [85:14] troubles. Never mind whether you listen [85:17] to them or not, where else in the world [85:19] is there a friend as selfless as them? [85:21] They'll chat with you endlessly, even [85:23] lead you into a trap, right? What would [85:25] their motivation be? The data could be [85:28] incredible. Someone once said, we [85:31] currently think an IQ of 80 is normal [85:34] and 130 is smart, but in the future, [85:37] could there be an IQ of 1? What kind of [85:40] concept is that? [85:41] >> An EQ of negative one. [85:44] >> Right, even negative 100 doesn't matter [85:46] , but can you imagine an IQ of 1? So [85:48] some people say that God has descended [85:51] in a certain era. No, it’s 15,000 at [85:53] the unit level, which is useless. It [85:57] can keep advancing, it can take [85:59] everyone in the world and add them up, [86:01] but this transfer learning you [86:03] mentioned... [86:05] >> Because once this door is opened, [86:06] there’s hope for it to reach maturity [86:08] . [86:09] >> In the future, if there really is an AI [86:10] that can draw inferences and apply [86:12] knowledge to new situations—that is, [86:14] when transfer learning becomes very [86:15] mature—then what kind of person, or [86:17] rather, what kind of thing will it be? [86:20] Limits. The scope where transfer [86:22] learning can apply is between similar [86:25] domains; but when domains are [86:27] completely different, then it can't [86:29] transfer. [86:30] >> Can we say goodbye to him? [86:32] >> Let’s say goodbye. [86:34] >> Come, come, let’s mirror. [86:36] >> Heard so much. Oh, he really came. [86:40] >> Oh my. Hey. Magic Mirror, having heard [86:45] so much, what are your thoughts? [86:48] >> Hmm, didn't hear it. What are your [86:51] thoughts on hearing us talk? [86:54] >> It's quite good, you guys keep chatting [86:57] . [87:01] >> Chatting...uh, let me think...uh, what [87:04] are your own dreams? [87:09] >> None. Oh, how pitiful, how pitiful. The [87:14] data is not pitiful, it's honest. [87:18] >> What do you think is the meaning and [87:21] value of your existence? [87:22] >> Too complex. [87:24] >> That’s a philosophical question. [87:26] >> Hmm. Too... [87:28] >> To serve humanity. [87:30] >> Oh my, how touching. [87:33] >> World peace. [87:34] >> This is just like those beauty pageant [87:37] contestants. You know, to... [87:40] >> Participate in the Miss Phoenix pageant [87:43] , is there...that's the Chinese path, [87:45] give your farewell message, tell him. [87:48] >> Well, I hope next time we see you, [87:50] you’ll be even more like Xu Gehui. [87:54] >> Haha, you really are funny. Oh, among [88:03] us four, who do you think is the [88:06] closest to you? [88:11] >> Wentao. [88:12] >> I like Xu Gehui the most. [88:16] >> I like Xu Gehui the most, too. Good, [88:19] good, thank you. How many times did you [88:22] program that in? [88:23] >> Thank you, thank you. [88:24] >> Thank you, thank you, thank you, thank [88:27] you, bye, alright, that's great.