Mecka Sensorizes Humans to Close AI Robotics Training Deficit

Inside the Robot Data Factory: Mecka's Josh Gao on Sensorizing Humans to Train Robots — Sequoia Capital

Sequoia Capital

Physical AI will bypass a single breakthrough moment in favor of progressive commercial task unlocks as developers blend egocentric human demonstrations with tactile force data.

AI-assisted summary of Inside the Robot Data Factory: Mecka's Josh Gao on Sensorizing Humans to Train Robots — original source. Check the original for full context.

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Key ideas

  • Robotics is converging on a standard baseline training recipe comprising roughly one million hours of multi-modal egocentric human demonstrations, tens of thousands of hours of handheld UMI gripper data, and a few hours of targeted, in-domain teleoperation. (32:04)
  • Unlike autonomous vehicles, which spent over a decade mapping two degrees of freedom, manipulation robotics must solve dozens of interacting degrees of freedom and requires dedicated tactile force data that vision models alone cannot infer. (19:33)
  • Commercial viability will not hinge on an all-or-nothing 'GPT-3 moment,' but rather a progressive unlock of constrained industrial Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) before expanding to unconstrained domestic environments. (20:55)
  • To capture physical interaction dynamics at scale, Mecka AI manufactures custom sensorized baseball caps and tactile force gloves, ingesting hundreds of petabytes of demonstration data over dedicated 100-gigabit lines. (11:55)

Detailed notes

## Background Published by Sequoia Capital on October 20, 2026, on their podcast RSS feed, this episode features host Sonya Huang in conversation with Mecka AI founder and CEO Josh Gao. The episode explores the operational realities of running a massive robot data factory, detailing how Mecka manufactures training data using sensorized wearables, tactile gloves, and custom quality gates to teach robots about carbon life.

## TL;DR Josh Gao details Mecka AI's approach to breaking the robotics data bottleneck by turning humans into wearable-sensor fleets that capture first-person pixels, actions, and force data across domestic and industrial settings. He unpacks the emerging training recipe converging on roughly a million hours of egocentric data, tens of thousands of hours of handheld gripper demonstrations, and targeted teleoperation, while emphasizing that tactile vectors and simulation must also join the mix. Rather than banking on an immediate, singular GPT-3-style leap, Gao outlines an incremental commercial unlock that begins with structured industrial SOPs and eventually scales toward long-tail, unconstrained real-world tasks. Along the way, the discussion contrasts the dozens of degrees of freedom in robotic manipulation with Tesla's decades-long autonomous driving push, explores the role of world models and frontier AGI labs, and highlights the modernized systems integrators diffusing these models into production.

## Atmosphere & style The conversation carries an energetic, pragmatic, and intellectually adventurous tone, blending high-level venture strategy with grimy operational shop talk about hardware iterations, petabyte-scale data pipelines, and contributor fraud. Sonya Huang plays an incisive and skeptical counterweight, continually probing the long-term defensibility, margin profile, and capital viability of brute-force physical data collection. Josh Gao balances grounded, first-principles systems thinking with infectious sci-fi idealism, casually shifting from the mechanics of tactile gloves and 100-gigabit pipes to playful discussions of mining asteroids, robotic panther-dog-horses, and Hitchhiker's Guide-style absurdity.

## Bulletin - `32:04` Robotics is converging on a standard baseline training recipe comprising roughly one million hours of multi-modal egocentric human demonstrations, tens of thousands of hours of handheld UMI gripper data, and a few hours of targeted, in-domain teleoperation. - `19:33` Unlike autonomous vehicles, which spent over a decade mapping two degrees of freedom, manipulation robotics must solve dozens of interacting degrees of freedom and requires dedicated tactile force data that vision models alone cannot infer. - `20:55` Commercial viability will not hinge on an all-or-nothing 'GPT-3 moment,' but rather a progressive unlock of constrained industrial Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) before expanding to unconstrained domestic environments. - `11:55` To capture physical interaction dynamics at scale, Mecka AI manufactures custom sensorized baseball caps and tactile force gloves, ingesting hundreds of petabytes of demonstration data over dedicated 100-gigabit lines.

## Key takeaways - `00:00` Robotics lacks the open web's vast pre-existing corpus of free text and images, making physical interaction data the primary scaling bottleneck for embodied foundation models. - `07:03` Existing academic first-person datasets like Ego4D were too unfocused and sparse for commercial policy learning, prompting the shift toward high-volume, task-driven egocentric video. - `07:03` Because human and humanoid physical morphologies are closely aligned, sensorizing humans provides a scalable, fleet-style alternative to costly teleoperation warehouses. - `10:42` Pure computer vision cannot capture physical force, requiring custom-engineered tactile gloves and sensor suites to register torque, squeeze, and resistance in Newtons. - `11:55` Operating a physical data factory entails severe infrastructure challenges, including deploying custom hardware, installing 100-gigabit upload lines, and filtering real-world edge cases. - `15:42` Data collection engines face novel adversarial challenges, such as contributors trying to pass off YouTube POV videos as fresh sensor recordings to collect bounties. - `17:44` Data intermediary margins are defended through end-to-end operational, verification, and hardware infrastructure rather than the raw cost of contributor labor. - `20:00` A robot hand introduces dozens of interacting degrees of freedom, meaning manipulation robotics remains orders of magnitude behind the data volume accumulated by autonomous vehicle fleets. - `20:55` Commercial deployment follows a staged rollout where base pre-training establishes scaling laws, while localized post-training closes the final gap to 99.99% reliability. - `22:02` Home environments are the easiest to film but the hardest to automate safely, ensuring initial deployments remain locked into structured factory and hospitality workflows. - `26:42` Traditional systems integrators will evolve into data-driven partners that deploy open models and continuously expand robotic capability through ongoing fine-tuning cycles. - `32:04` The industry training mix is settling into a blended 'pot of soup' combining egocentric human video, UMI gripper demonstrations, in-domain teleoperation, and emerging tactile feeds. - `33:54` Reaching an AlphaGo 'Move 37' breakthrough in robotics requires combining imitation learning with self-play across both physical testbeds and high-fidelity physics simulators. - `36:02` World models trained on web-scale pixel prediction allow policies to mentally simulate physics and forecast failure modes without damaging physical hardware. - `39:05` Frontier AGI labs will accelerate rather than destroy pure-play robotics by integrating physical sensor streams directly into foundational omni-modal architectures. - `42:44` The long-term robotics market will expand beyond utilitarian humanoids into tens of billions of specialized and unconventional form factors operating across earth and space.

## Detailed walkthrough ### `00:00` Teaching Robots About Carbon Life

Robotics does not share the luxury of the internet’s vast, pre-existing corpus of free human text and images that powered the early large language model boom. Sonya Huang notes that robotics is entering what many expect to be a golden age, yet it is fundamentally data-constrained. Because physical data does not exist as trillions of free tokens sitting on the open web, Mecka AI positions itself as a data and deployment company for physical AI, creating, processing, and licensing the foundational data required to train robot models. Josh Gao outlines the core components of robot data: it is fundamentally composed of pixels, actions, and logic. Without existing clean datasets that capture real physical interaction, Mecka builds custom hardware—sensorizing wearables for humans—runs field operations to capture data across businesses and environments, and enforces post-processing quality gates to render that data useful for robot learning.

When asked whether paying for and manually manufacturing all of this physical data is economically viable, Gao points out that robotics is not starting completely from ground zero; the field benefits immensely from prior internet-scale pre-training across vision-language models (VLMs) and world models. Rather than requiring infinite upfront capital before delivering value, the economic viability hinges on a staged unlocking of commercial utility:

> “And our strong belief is along that journey that we will be able to unlock a lot of the simple pick and place tasks along the beginning rating and towards that long tail that is going to be many orders of magnitudes larger than it is today.”

The whimsical mission statement on Mecka’s website—declaring that they are “teaching robots about carbon life”—draws directly from classic science fiction. Gao, who wrote the copy the night before their first public announcement, references works by Isaac Asimov, *Ender's Game*, and *The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy*, where the ultimate planetary computer was an organic system trying to compute the meaning of life. Gao connects this directly to biological efficiency: the human brain runs on a mere 20 watts and is capable of self-healing. To achieve true generalization in machines, the path involves exposing robots step by step to what carbon-based life is capable of doing in the physical realm.

`05:27` From Cloud Kitchens to Robotics

Josh Gao and his co-founder took an unconventional path into robotics, having roots in consumer applications, fintech, and crypto rather than classical academic mechanical engineering. Prior to Mecka, Gao built software that served as a “Toast for cloud kitchens,” managing everything from back-of-house order logistics to hardware kiosks. During his fourth year of university, he frequently skipped classes to travel to rural Rochester, New York, pulling all-nighters in restaurant kitchens to install and replace front-of-house systems. His co-founder had previously built a stablecoin company that was acquired by Coinbase, and brought a fiercely obsessive, competitive mindset to the table, having ranked among the top 1,000 players globally in four competitive video games, including *League of Legends*.

The two Canadian founders bonded over a shared grounding in science fiction. Having experienced payments as a grinding, difficult domain, they decided that their next venture had to be something exciting and future-defining. Visiting Mecka’s office reveals that persistent childhood fascination, from mechatronic robot hardware to artwork of the Kawasaki Corleo lining the walls.

- Gao's operational background involved deploying kitchen order management software and installing kiosk hardware on-site during overnight shifts. - His co-founder brought high-level competitive gaming discipline (*League of Legends*) and a crypto background from building a stablecoin startup acquired by Coinbase. - Both founders sought out a field where the future felt undeniably grand, choosing robotics as the ultimate frontier.

`07:03` A Fresh Lens on Robotics and Egocentric Data

Entering robotics from the outside in late 2024 allowed the team to assess the landscape without the baggage of traditional robotic paradigms. At the time, generative AI was exploding while robotics was still slowly transitioning out of its classical control systems era. Gao and his co-founder embarked on a rigorous discovery tour, reading every paper available, touring prominent robotics labs, and interviewing hundreds of practitioners. They quickly deduced that data and compute would inevitably become the central bottlenecks of the field, just as they had in LLMs.

Looking at benchmark datasets like Ego4D (which contained around 4,000 hours of first-person human demonstration video), they realized the data was far too broad and unfocused for training commercial robot policies—capturing random daily activities such as bowling rather than structured, task-driven work. By approaching the problem from first principles and iterating directly with leading researchers, Mecka chose to place an early, heavy bet on egocentric data: first-person POV video of humans executing physical manipulation tasks.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: The Egocentric Data Pipeline Concept accDescr: Flow diagram showing how human first-person data bridges into physical robot control. subgraph HumanInput["Human Fleet Collection"] A["Sensorized Humans (Wearables / First-Person POV)"] --> B["Capture Pixels, Actions & Logic"] end subgraph Processing["Data Factory Processing"] B --> C["Mecka Quality Gates & Filtering"] C --> D["Task-Oriented Physical Demonstrations"] end subgraph ModelTransfer["Policy Training & Deployment"] D --> E["Bridge Vision Gap to Robot Embodiments"] E --> F["Fleet-Style Learning for General Manipulation"] end ```

Gao explains that at the time, the dominant paradigm for collecting robot data was teleoperation, where human operators directly drove physical robots. Teleoperation was notoriously difficult and expensive to scale. Mecka recognized that because humanoids and humans share analogous physical forms, humans could be turned into a scalable data capture fleet, directly closing the visual and physical representation gaps:

> “Humans and humanoids look the same. Why couldn't we turn humans into this fleet style learning that Tesla has to be able to all contribute into understanding and ground the physics of the world?”

`10:00` Sensorizing Humans and the Necessity of Force Data

Sonya Huang asks Josh Gao what egocentric data collection actually looks like on the ground: whether it involves strapping an iPhone to someone’s forehead and letting them wander through their day. Gao explains that Mecka’s very first pilot was scrappy: they built a mobile app and enlisted "all the Chinese aunties and uncles to record themselves cooking, cleaning, doing tasks." From there, they experimented with standard robotics capture techniques like UMI (Universal Manipulation Interface) data before realizing they needed custom hardware and deep industry partnerships. As Gao frames it, “ultimately, we're sensorizing humans,” and that framing defines the broader category they operate in.

The conversation turns to the physical limitations of purely visual data. Huang points out a fundamental contrast between autonomous vehicles and manipulation robotics: self-driving cars rarely need force data, whereas a robot manipulating the world must know how hard it is squeezing an egg or turning a door handle—nuances video alone cannot capture. Gao acknowledges that the industry has relied on clever workarounds, such as wrist-mounted cameras that estimate force based on the contact duration between hands and objects. He dismisses this as "kind of a hacky way, ultimately, to get to understanding how much force in Newtons it takes to pull open a chair or twist a bottle cap."

To address the problem head-on, Mecka partners with foundation model labs to engineer dedicated hardware. Because nothing off the shelf exists to reliably measure everyday forces, Mecka manufactures sensor-laden tactile gloves that people wear while performing tasks, turning raw physical effort into clean training data.

`11:55` Inside the Operations and Logistics of a Robot Data Factory

Huang notes the billions poured into data pipelines for large language models and asks how the operational engine of a physical robot data factory actually functions. Gao explains that Mecka relies on a two-pronged collection strategy:

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Data Collection Pipeline accDescr: Two ingestion paths feeding into specialized hardware, high-bandwidth upload, and quality processing. subgraph Sourcing["Sourcing Channels"] D2C["Direct-to-Consumer App<br/>(Everyday home chores)"] B2B["B2B Enterprise Engine<br/>(Bakeries, PCB lines, manual trades)"] end subgraph Ingestion["Ingestion & Infrastructure"] HW["Custom Hardware<br/>(Tactile gloves, sensor suites)"] Pipe["100 Gbps Upload Lines<br/>(Hundreds of petabytes)"] end subgraph Quality["Quality & Output"] Gates["Automated Quality Gates<br/>& Fraud Detection Engine"] CV["Computer Vision Processing<br/>(Model-ready training sets)"] end D2C --> HW B2B --> HW HW --> Pipe Pipe --> Gates Gates --> CV ```

The first channel is direct-to-consumer: anyone across the globe can download Mecka's mobile app, register their profession, and receive a stream of tasks like making a bed, cooking breakfast, or tidying up. This tier delivers broad baseline diversity for pre-training. The second channel is an enterprise B2B engine built to map the vast taxonomy of physical labor outside domestic spaces—spanning commercial bakeries, printed circuit board (PCB) assembly lines, and countless other trades. When Huang jokingly suggests podcasting as an untamed domain, Gao quips that there is "not too much handwork in podcasting just yet," joking that the cameras in the studio were secretly Mecka’s way of sensorizing her.

Beneath the recruitment layer lies a brutal logistical and hardware reality. Gao emphasizes that because reliable data-collection hardware did not exist, Mecka had to establish its own rapid engineering and product cycles: - Running three to four hardware iteration cycles to invent, test, and manufacture tactile gloves and body rigs. - Managing the physical supply chain and distributing sensor kits to thousands of households and businesses. - Installing dedicated 100-gigabit upload lines at field operational hubs to ingest hundreds of petabytes of raw visual and sensor data. - Running heavy downstream computer vision and validation pipelines to convert messy sensor recordings into structured, model-ready datasets.

`14:41` Taxonomy Heat-Mapping, Edge Cases, and Combatting Fraud

To determine where collection crews should focus, Mecka maintains an active heat map across industries, job functions, and diversity metrics. When a specific cell on the grid is undersaturated—whether donut bakers or specialized craftspeople—they deploy outreach teams directly to those sectors.

Huang raises the pervasive problem of quality control in robotics, noting that an enormous percentage of recorded hours in the industry gets rejected. Gao reflects on the early days of teleoperation warehouses, where operators performed the same task on robot rigs over and over, only for researchers to find that models quickly oversaturate when exposed to repetitive, low-diversity robot data. Human data introduces the opposite extreme: an endless distribution of unexpected real-world edge cases. Mecka must constantly update its heuristic quality filters because, as Gao notes, "we will learn new things about quality and diversity that weren't true a week ago, even."

The hardest quality challenge is human fraud. Because Mecka pays for novel physical demonstrations that do not exist anywhere on the web, contributors invent bizarre ways to cheat the system: - Contributors trying to pass off screen recordings of YouTube first-person perspective clips—such as "POV working at McDonald's"—as original sensor contributions. - The need to build strict verification gates into the software stack while keeping field staff physically present where data is recorded to audit workflows. - Refining contributor compensation and incentive structures so participants are rewarded for genuine physical variance and fidelity rather than easily fabricated volume.

`17:44` Data Defensibility, Margins, and Moving from Baseline to Michelin Star

Huang challenges the long-term economics of Mecka's role as a data broker, asking what prevents competitors from bypassing them, bidding up contributors, and squeezing Mecka’s margins. Gao argues that paying the human contributor is actually a relatively modest portion of the overall cost profile. The real barrier to entry lies in the end-to-end infrastructure: > "Even though that baseline is always going to be there and maybe it becomes more and more competitive, there will be ways to differentiate and make sure that your data is verifiably high quality at very large scale with the right hardware, the operations, and the software."

Gao views individual data categories simply as stock-keeping units (SKUs) that mature and climb the value chain over time. The company’s trajectory is to move from coarse, everyday baseline tasks to ultra-high-skill domain expertise. Instead of merely logging prep work at a roadside diner, the goal is capturing the micro-movements inside a Michelin-starred kitchen: “Can you get more and more closer into what it means to be Federer than it means to be an average tennis player?”

`19:33` The True Scale of Data: Millions of Hours vs. Tesla's Decade

Putting the state of the industry into perspective, Huang asks what scale of data has been unlocked to date and where it needs to go. Gao explains that the field has undergone a seismic shift: just two years prior, landmark academic efforts like Ego4D represented the cutting edge with roughly 4,000 hours of video. Today, the robotics industry has finally broken into millions of hours of egocentric data.

Yet Gao stresses that robotics remains in its infancy compared to the decade-long investment behind autonomous vehicles. Tesla spent over ten years gathering vast fleets of driving miles to solve what is fundamentally a two-degree-of-freedom challenge: steering direction and acceleration. By contrast, a dexterous human or robotic hand introduces dozens of interacting degrees of freedom, underscoring how much more physical data the robotics sector still has to accumulate to reach parity.

`20:00` Millions of Hours vs. Tesla’s Decade

The conversation turns to the sheer volume of data required to train physical models. Sonya Huang points out that self-driving cars on the road already possess far more than a few million hours of video data, meaning robotics is still many orders of magnitude away from where it needs to be. For a robot data factory like Mecka, that represents a massive revenue opportunity; however, as an investor in foundation models, she wonders if the industry can ever reach the "promised land." A car operates with only two or three degrees of freedom, whereas a robot hand alone has dozens of degrees of freedom. Factoring in the need for tactile force data and far more complex environments, the required data might run into billions, trillions, or quadrillions of hours, leading Huang to question whether there is even enough global GDP to support that acquisition cost.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Data Scaling and Commercial Unlock Progression accDescr: A pipeline showing the base training foundation leading through post-training refinement to gradual commercial deployment.

subgraph Base ["Foundation Layer"] A["Base Data Pyramid<br/>(Scaling laws & generalizations)"] end

subgraph Refine ["Targeted Adaptation"] B["In-Domain & In-Task Data<br/>(e.g., room-specific podcast demo)"] C["Post-Training Refinement<br/>(Bridging to 99.99% reliability)"] end

subgraph Delivery ["Commercial Execution"] D["Incremental Task Unlocks<br/>(Constrained industrial & service SOPs)"] end

A --> B B --> C C --> D ```

Josh Gao challenges the framing that progress must be an all-or-nothing binary event. Instead of waiting for a single breakthrough moment where robotics is suddenly unlocked, he sees the field making steady, progressive inroads into commercial use cases:

> “I think it's about unlocking commercial use cases as we go. So it doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world.”

He explains that establishing a base data pyramid demonstrates that scaling laws and generalization actually function, giving practitioners the confidence to scale up. From there, companies can close the remaining performance gap through post-training by gathering task-specific, in-domain data—such as recording the exact podcast studio room they are sitting in—to achieve the four nines (99.99%) of reliability required for production deployments.

`22:02` Home Data is Plentiful; Home Robots Are the Hardest

Sonya Huang highlights a paradox in data collection: home data is the most plentiful and easiest for anyone to record on a phone, yet the home represents one of the most perilous, unstructured environments to deploy physical systems. Gao agrees, emphasizing that domestic spaces require the highest degree of diligence. Benchmarking and evaluations are only just beginning to mature to ensure basic safety—such as guaranteeing a system will never drop an object or fall onto an infant.

Because unconstrained domestic environments are so difficult, initial commercial deployments will focus on tightly bounded tasks with well-established Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) where teams can easily hill-climb performance: - **Laundry folding:** A problem Mecka spent over a year and a half working to solve, which Gao predicts will be fully solved in the near term. - **Assembly line manipulation:** Pick-and-place and packaging tasks requiring dexterous manipulation that traditional, rigid factory automation cannot handle, expected to reach viability within the next one to two years.

`23:24` Useful Robots Can Be Deployed Today

When asked about his statement that useful robots can already be deployed today, Josh Gao observes that the industry often gets distracted by humanoid form factors. While humanoids represent an exciting terminal state, a wide variety of specialized form factors are already operating commercially across international markets: - **Service and hospitality bots:** Widely adopted in hotels across China and Southeast Asia to run indoor deliveries—transporting meals brought by couriers from the front desk directly to guest rooms—as well as performing automated floor cleaning. - **Industrial cleaning systems:** Thematic, purpose-built mobile units handling commercial floor maintenance, which are only now starting to see broader adoption across North America.

Deployments will advance along an incremental spectrum, beginning with specialized mobile and cleaning platforms, progressing into early manipulation tasks, and ultimately culminating in general-purpose humanoids capable of performing open-ended tasks out of the box.

`24:35` When Robotics Gets an FSD-Style Flywheel

Turning to autonomous driving parallels, Sonya Huang asks when robotics will experience a continuous improvement flywheel similar to Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD), where real-world fleet deployments automatically surface failures and stream data back to the training cluster. Gao expects that transition to take significant time. It will happen gradually as fleets saturate specific domains, capturing in-deployment failures and human corrections to fuel iterative fine-tuning.

As this flywheel takes shape, Gao does not see Mecka remaining solely an egocentric collection company. Mecka views itself as a provider of the broader "data soup," which may include generating elite "Michelin star data" to teach obscure corner cases about the physical world that deployed fleets fail to encounter. Furthermore, Gao envisions Mecka acting as an enterprise enablement platform:

> “Can we actually be the platform where we collect that domain data, we post-train, we help support the enterprises and white glove hold them into what it means to be in a world filled with robotics? We see Mecka maturing into that.”

`26:42` Deployment Diffusion and the Modern Systems Integrator

Huang draws an analogy to the large language model ecosystem, which scaled commercial adoption through vertical-specific applications, foundation model sales teams, and forward-deployed engineering (FDE) service firms. Gao sees robotics developing through both vertical and horizontal paths, featuring a rich ecosystem of diverse hardware form factors paired with open models.

The primary bridge to enterprise adoption will be a modernized version of the traditional systems integrator. Historically, systems integrators worked under tight margins simply bolting fixed hardware to factory floors. A modern robotics integrator, however, will be continuously data-driven: - **Continuous functional expansion:** Systems will receive ongoing model updates, allowing a bot deployed a week prior to tackle new tasks that were previously impossible. - **Scope expansion:** Enterprises will expand their operational footprint as models ingest operational edge cases and improve over time.

`28:21` Favorite Vertical Robot Categories; Mining an Asteroid

When pressed for investment guidance, Gao endorses backing both general-purpose platforms and vertical-specific applications. For near-term commercial traction, his preferred category is industrial automation. Industrial facilities feature controlled environments with existing automation infrastructure where one does not have to engineer around unpredictable edge cases like an infant wandering into the workspace. Beyond industrial automation, early opportunities include hospitality service bots capable of dexterous handoffs at hotel room doors, as well as machines designed for tasks beyond human capability.

Gao shares a running company aspiration:

> “A joke that we make in some of our all hands in the company would be if one day Mecka was able to help deploy a robot that mines an asteroid, we've probably done a pretty good job.”

Huang compares this ambitious vision of deploying machines into hazardous environments to Gecko Robotics, which uses specialized climbing robots to inspect and maintain critical infrastructure like naval ships and industrial tanks. The discussion then turns toward the physical sensor and capture hardware Mecka uses to record human demonstrations.

`30:00` The Hardware Slate: "Waymo-fying" People

When Mecka began its collection efforts, the team relied heavily on a standard mobile application. While the smartphone setup scaled quickly and offered clear operational advantages, Josh Gao explains that it ultimately fell short of providing the rich, high-fidelity physical context required to train manipulation models. To capture the full nuances of human interaction with the real world, Mecka had to engineer its own bespoke hardware and turn data collectors into walking sensor rigs—essentially "Waymo-fying people."

The hardware suite centers around a proprietary core hub that interfaces with a range of modular peripherals. Data collectors don baseball caps embedded with multi-angle cameras and sensors to record precise egocentric views, supplemented by external observer cameras and custom tactile sensing gloves. Gao emphasizes that the express goal of this setup is to document how everyday humans engage with physical objects from dawn to dusk, producing data that models can use to clone human behavior accurately.

- **Mobile App Limitations**: Simple to deploy across thousands of collectors, but failed to capture dense environmental geometry and physical interaction forces. - **Sensor Rig Architecture**: A lightweight central recording hub linked to sensorized caps, external cameras, and custom tactile gloves. - **Behavior Cloning Goal**: Capturing multi-modal, first-person demonstrations to enable end-to-end behavioral imitation in robotic embodiments.

`30:55` EgoVerse: Building an Open Common Ground for Robot Data

Sonya Huang asks about EgoVerse, prompting Gao to recount its origins as an industry-wide collaborative effort. Founded alongside early academic pioneers of egocentric research—including Professor Danfei Xu and Ryan Simmer—EgoVerse was conceived to overcome the robotics community's chronic data deficit by establishing shared benchmarks, tooling, and datasets.

Mecka served as an early contributor to the consortium, donating diverse, multi-environment egocentric data spanning corporate workflows, heavy industries, and residential settings. Beyond raw video footage, Mecka contributed the complete post-processing toolchain: annotated action trajectories, computer vision evaluation pipelines, quality-filtering gates, and data-loading web infrastructure. Gao explains the philosophy driving this openness: “Ideally we can bring together a lot of the robotics industry because hopefully we can lift up everybody in this wave and share the tooling, the data and the lessons just because we are so far behind as an industry to get there.”

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: EgoVerse Data and Tooling Architecture accDescr: Pipeline showing data collection, Mecka processing, and community distribution through the EgoVerse platform.

subgraph Collection["1. Data Ingestion"] A["Commercial Workplaces"] B["Industrial Sites"] C["Home Environments"] end

subgraph Processing["2. Mecka Processing Pipeline"] D["Computer Vision Filtering"] E["Action Trajectory Extraction"] F["Automated Quality Gates"] end

subgraph Distribution["3. EgoVerse Open Platform"] G["Data Loaders & Web Infrastructure"] H["Consortium Labs & Robotics Startups"] end

A --> D B --> D C --> D D --> E E --> F F --> G G --> H ```

`32:04` The "Data Pot of Soup": Converging on the Training Mix

Huang asks whether the robotics ecosystem has settled on a standard training recipe—a data pyramid blending vast internet video (like YouTube), egocentric human video, Universal Manipulation Interface (UMI) captures, and targeted teleoperation, referencing a diagram Jim Fan shared at a Sequoia event. Gao confirms that the intense debates of the prior year—where researchers dogmatically argued that UMI or egocentric data alone was the magic bullet—have subsided into a pragmatic consensus.

Gao describes the emerging curriculum as a "data pot of soup" requiring specific ratios of varied ingredients. Today's baseline recipe roughly consists of one million hours of multi-modal egocentric human demonstrations, tens of thousands of hours of handheld UMI gripper data, and a few focused hours of in-distribution, in-domain teleoperation demonstrations to finish out the task. However, Gao warns against dogmatism: “And why we don't subscribe aggressively to even one religion here is that things like tactile data haven't even entered the mix yet. And if there is this belief that these models ultimately will need to learn how much force it takes to apply towards the door handle, for example, these will have to come into the data pot of soup.”

- **Converged Baseline Mix**: - ~1,000,000 hours of diverse egocentric human data across varied modalities. - Tens of thousands of hours of handheld gripper (UMI) demonstration data. - A few hours of direct, in-domain teleoperation for specific target tasks. - **Missing Ingredients**: High-precision tactile/force vectors and scalable synthetic simulation data are slated to enter the mix next.

`33:54` Move 37 for Robotics: AlphaGo, Roger Federer, and Physical Rules

Huang raises a common counterargument to scaling human imitation: watching a million hours of professional tennis will not give an amateur the skill to defeat Roger Federer. Gao responds by drawing an analogy to DeepMind’s AlphaGo breakthrough, dissecting how systems move from standard imitation to superhuman performance.

AlphaGo's path unfolded in two distinct phases: it began with large-scale behavior cloning on expert human Go matches, followed by self-play driven by the rigid, deterministic rules of the board. That self-play phase generated Move 37—an uncanny, transcendent move that defied traditional human Go theory. In Go, the 19×19 board represents the entire universe of rules. In robotics, however, the playing field is the real world in all its chaotic physical richness, and the industry still lacks an accurate world simulator to power pure synthetic self-play.

Until that fidelity exists, large-scale egocentric data remains indispensable for grounding basic Newtonian mechanics and imitation policies in models. When asked if self-play will occur in simulation or reality, Gao predicts a hybrid approach: models will self-play across both physical testbeds and progressively higher-fidelity simulations until they can reach a "Roger Federer" level of mastery.

`36:02` World Models, Pixel Prediction, and Dreaming Physics

The discussion turns to world models—a concept increasingly used in tandem with large video generation models. Huang asks how these models fit into the training workflow. Gao views them as essential engines for physical imagination, allowing an embodied policy to anticipate outcomes without risking physical hardware.

He highlights the immense leverage gained by training world models on pixel prediction across billions of internet and YouTube clips: “The potential and possibility to have what we just talked about in terms of self-play—to even just dream what it means to drop a cup and have it shatter without actually doing it—is incredibly valuable for what could happen.” If models can accurately forecast pixel transitions, researchers can invert those visual predictions back into actionable motor trajectories, accelerating learning cycles without requiring hardware to suffer real-world damage.

`36:58` Scaling the Pyramid vs. The Dream of the Plug-and-Play Generalist

Huang questions whether scaling the current data recipe by another order of magnitude will deliver the field's "promised land"—not an abstract "GPT-3 moment," but practical utility like a robot folding laundry or cooking a family dinner without human intervention.

Gao offers a grounded perspective: simply multiplying the existing data pyramid will deliver enormous commercial value, but primarily in structured, bounded domains. Scaling up will reliably automate repetitive Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs), factory workflows, and tightly defined business operations. However, an unconstrained plug-and-play robot capable of stepping into unfamiliar outdoor weather, navigating complex home clutter, and performing at world-class levels out of the box will require new modalities.

Future architectures will need to incorporate dynamic tactile and force sensing, alongside omni-modal inputs. Gao envisions an omni-model framework capable of ingesting any conceivable observation—pixels, continuous force, and even nascent experimental inputs like digital olfactory data—and outputting coherent physical actions, natural language, and low-level joint controls.

- **Near-term Yield of Scaling**: Reliable automation of structured enterprise tasks and constrained factory/back-office SOPs. - **The Generalist Frontier**: Handling chaotic real-world edge cases requires sensory inputs beyond vision, especially tactile force feedback and emerging sensory modalities like electronic olfaction chips.

`39:05` The AGI Labs and the "Bitter Lesson"

Huang closes the segment by pointing out the remarkable out-of-the-box generalization seen in state-of-the-art multimodal foundation models like GPT-4o (Astra), asking whether frontier AGI labs will inevitably clobber pure-play robotics startups by brute-forcing Rich Sutton’s "Bitter Lesson."

Gao acknowledges the formidable position of the frontier labs. He notes that these organizations possess the institutional culture and balance sheets needed to bet heavily on data collection despite incomplete technical roadmaps: “It takes a lot of courage to scale up data with imperfect information. And I think a lot of these labs have the DNA in themselves to take on that courage early on.”

Gao views the fusion of dense robotics data directly into the pre-training mixtures of frontier foundation models as a major unlock rather than a fatal threat to the ecosystem. By introducing tactile force values, spatial action vectors, and dense egocentric video into unified omni-models, the broader field inherits broad generalization capabilities that single-purpose robotics companies could never afford to compute on their own.

`40:00` Vertical Models vs. Generalized Foundation Models

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Robotics Model Architecture Spectrum accDescr: Comparison between generalized frontier models and vertical robotics foundation models.

subgraph Frontier["Generalized Frontier Models"] A["Massive Multi-Modal Training Mix<br/>(Vision, Text, Robot Data)"] --> B["Broad Generalization<br/>Across Diverse Tasks"] end

subgraph Vertical["Targeted Robotics Models"] C["Domain-Specific Data & Architectures"] --> D["High-Reliability Execution<br/>('Four Nines' / 99.99%)"] end

Frontier -.->|"Tradeoff: Breadth vs. Extreme Precision"| Vertical ```

Josh Gao discusses the tension between generalized foundation models and vertical, task-specific architectures. While a fully generalized system that handles everything will be quite capable across many broad domains, strong commercial and technical arguments favor building specialized, vertical foundation models. In industrial and commercial deployments, the goal is often extreme reliability—reaching four nines of capability and reliability on specific workflows—rather than mediocre performance across an endless variety of tasks.

Sonya Huang reads between the lines of the recent breakthroughs in general foundation models handling robotic actions, noting that their competence is not pure magic or a surprise, but rather the direct consequence of massive amounts of robotic data quietly being incorporated into the training pipeline. Josh agrees with that characterization, remarking:

> "It's actually quite expected when you think about it."

`40:50` Sci-Fi Roots, Absurdity, and the Kawasaki Corleo

Sonya steers the conversation back to Josh's original inspiration for launching Mecka: a lifelong fascination with science fiction and an ambition to see a world saturated with robots. Josh recalls Sonya’s visit to Mecka’s New York office, where the main conference room features a picture of the Kawasaki Corleo hanging on the wall. He describes the Corleo as an utterly ridiculous robotic quadruped—a blend of a panther, a dog, and a horse—featured in an equally absurd concept trailer.

The team even pulled a prank on a colleague named Anas using the video clip, which features an Asian woman and her child joyfully riding the quadruped across a lush green meadow and leaping over a creek. Josh told Anas that the footage was an AI-generated clip of him and his mother when he was a kid. Channeling *The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy*, Josh explains that he embraces the inherent absurdity of what the technological future might look like:

> "I very much love the philosophy of hitchhikers and just how absurd the world could be and how absurd the future could be. And in this world that is full of robots, I would love to believe that there's going to be such crazy entrepreneurs and people that believe that form factors like this would be interesting."

He expects the robotics landscape to expand far beyond utilitarian humanoids into wacky, unforeseen form factors engineered for unexpected jobs, from household oddities to mining asteroids in deep space.

`42:44` The Scale of the Future: 100 Billion Robots and an Unboxing

When Sonya asks for an order-of-magnitude projection of how many robots will exist globally in ten-plus years, Josh predicts the robotic population will vastly outnumber biological humanity. He affirms that the count will be many orders of magnitude larger than the human population, agreeing that a figure around 100 billion robots is well within reach, and joking that panther-dog-horses alone could surpass that number by another order of magnitude.

Sonya commends Josh on the massive operational feat of scaling data collection to usher in this sci-fi future. To mark the milestone, Josh presents Sonya with a gift wrapped in custom Mecka stickers. Sonya unboxes the present on air:

- It is a custom figurine of the Kawasaki Corleo, complete with the riders from the meadow video. - Josh shares that Mecka plans to release an entire series of collectible figurines inspired by human-piloted mechas and giant robots. - Sonya laughs as she unwraps the figure, calling it completely absurd and declaring that it will find a permanent home either in the Sequoia podcast studio or on her personal office desk.

## Notable quotes > `07:03` Humans and humanoids look the same. Why couldn't we turn humans into this fleet style learning that Tesla has to be able to all contribute into understanding and ground the physics of the world? — Josh Gao

> `20:00` It doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world. — Josh Gao

## Mentioned Mecka AI, Josh Gao, Sonya Huang, Sequoia Capital, Tesla, Full Self-Driving (FSD), Isaac Asimov, Ender's Game, The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy, Coinbase, League of Legends, Kawasaki Corleo, Ego4D, Universal Manipulation Interface (UMI), Waymo, Gecko Robotics, Danfei Xu, Ryan Simmer, EgoVerse, Jim Fan, DeepMind, AlphaGo, Roger Federer, GPT-4o (Astra), Rich Sutton

## Video description Robotics never got the internet's gift of free training data, so someone has to manufacture it. Josh Gao, founder and CEO of Mecka AI, runs one of the largest robot data factories, and he explains what that actually involves: custom baseball caps and tactile gloves because nothing off the shelf captures force, 100-gigabit upload lines to move hundreds of petabytes, and custom quality gates. Josh lays out the training recipe the industry is converging on (roughly a million hours of egocentric human data, tens of thousands of hours of robot data, and a few hours of in-domain teleop ) and why tactile and simulation data still have to enter the "data pot of soup." He argues the field is still orders of magnitude behind Tesla's FSD, which spent a decade on two degrees of freedom while a robot hand has dozens. His take: there won't be a single GPT-3 moment for robotics, but a steady unlock of commercial tasks, starting with constrained industrial work and ending, he hopes, with robots mining asteroids.

Hosted by Sonya Huang, Sequoia Capital

0:00 – Introduction

1:46 – What Mecka is: pixels, actions and logic

2:45 – Is robot data economically feasible without the internet?

4:15 – Teaching robots about carbon life

5:27 – Cloud kitchens, stablecoins and the path to robotics

7:03 – Entering robotics with a fresh lens

8:45 – What egocentric data is and why Mecka bet on it

10:09 – The first pilot: aunties and uncles with a mobile app

10:42 – Force data and tactile gloves

11:55 – Inside the operations of a data factory

14:41 – Heat-mapping the taxonomy of human work

15:42 – Quality gates, fraud and the McDonald’s POV videos

17:44 – Earning a margin as a data intermediary

19:33 – Millions of hours vs. Tesla’s decade

20:55 – Why it isn’t binary: unlocking commercial tasks along the way

22:02 – Home data is plentiful; home robots are the hardest

23:24 – Useful robots can be deployed today

24:35 – When robotics gets an FSD-style flywheel

26:42 – Deployment diffusion and the modern systems integrator

28:21 – Favorite vertical robot categories; mining an asteroid

30:08 – The hardware slate: Waymo-fying people

30:55 – EgoVerse

32:04 – The data pot of soup: the converged training mix

33:54 – Move 37 for robotics: AlphaGo and Federer

36:02 – World models and the training mix

36:58 – Will scaling the current mix get us to the promised land?

39:05 – Will the AGI labs steamroll robotics?

40:50 – Sci-fi roots and the Kawasaki Corleo

42:44 – How many robots in a decade?

[Source](https://pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.megaphone.fm/CPUAI3718185378.mp3)

中文简报

Mecka为人体加装传感器以弥补AI机器人训练数据缺口 随着开发者将第一人称视角的人类示范与触觉受力数据相结合,实体人工智能将不会经历单一的突破性时刻,而是逐步解锁商业任务。 Josh Gao详细介绍了Mecka AI如何通过将人类转化为可穿戴传感器网络来打破机器人数据瓶颈,从而在家庭和工业环境中捕捉第一人称像素、动作和受力数据。他剖析了目前正在形成的标准训练方案,该方案主要整合了约100万小时的第一人称视角数据、数万小时的手持夹爪示范以及针对性的远程操作,同时强调触觉矢量和仿真模拟也必须纳入其中。Gao指出,与其寄希望于类似GPT-3那样即时、单一的技术飞跃,不如通过渐进式的商业解锁路径推进,即从结构化的工业标准作业程序(SOP)起步,最终扩展到长尾、无约束的真实世界任务。在此过程中,讨论还将机器人操作中数十个自由度与特斯拉长达数十年的自动驾驶探索进行了对比,探讨了世界模型和前沿AGI实验室的作用,并重点提及了将这些模型推广到生产中的现代化系统集成商。 机器人领域正在趋向于一种标准的基准训练方案,该方案包含约100万小时的多模态第一人称视角人类示范、数万小时的手持UMI夹爪数据,以及数小时针对性、特定领域的远程操作。 (32:04) 与花费十余年时间映射两个自由度的自动驾驶汽车不同,操作机器人必须解决数十个相互作用的自由度,并且需要视觉模型单凭自身无法推断出的专用触觉受力数据。 (19:33) 商业可行性将不取决于孤注一掷的“GPT-3时刻”,而是在扩展到无约束的家庭环境之前,逐步解锁受约束的工业标准作业程序(SOP)。 (20:55) 为了大规模捕捉物理交互动态,Mecka AI制造了定制的传感器棒球帽和触觉测力手套,并通过专用百吉比特(100G)线路摄取数百PB的示范数据。 (11:55)

Reading summary

Robotics faces a fundamental data deficit compared to internet-scale AI, requiring real-world physical data spanning vision, action, and force. Mecka co-founder Josh Gao argues that scaling physical intelligence depends on sensorizing human labor to generate structured training data alongside an incremental rollout of commercial automation. Turning Humans into a Scalable Fleet (0:00) Unlike large language models that train on trillions of free web tokens, robotics lacks pre-existing corpora of physical interaction. Traditional teleoperation—where human operators manually drive robot rigs—proves difficult and capital-intensive to scale. Because humans and humanoids share analogous physical forms, Mecka captures egocentric, first-person demonstrations to ground physical reasoning. The pipeline captures pixels, actions, and logic by sensorizing human workers as they complete standard physical tasks across domestic and industrial environments. Operations, Hardware, and Fraud Prevention (11:55) Mecka operates a dual-engine data factory using a direct-to-consumer mobile app for domestic chores and an enterprise B2B collection engine targeting commercial bakeries, printed circuit board assembly lines, and skilled trades. Because standard video alone cannot convey mechanical forces in Newtons, Mecka developed bespoke hardware rigs, including multi-angle camera caps and sensor-laden tactile gloves. Data hubs rely on 100-gigabit upload lines to ingest hundreds of petabytes of multi-modal streams. The operational challenge also requires strict fraud detection to filter out low-effort submissions, such as contributors attempting to submit screen recordings of YouTube first-person POV videos as original sensor data. The Training Mix and Move 37 (32:04) Gao describes the converging training recipe for manipulation models as a mixed "data pot of soup." Current baselines roughly combine one million hours of multi-modal egocentric human data, tens of thousands of hours of handheld Universal Manipulation Interface (UMI) gripper data, and targeted hours of in-distribution teleoperation demonstrations for task refinement. Drawing an analogy to DeepMind's AlphaGo, Gao notes that while initial imitation learning bootstraps baseline mechanics, unlocking superhuman dexterity ("Move 37") requires self-play. Because accurate real-world physics simulators do not yet exist, robotics will initially require a hybrid of physical testbeds, simulated environments, and predictive world models. Incremental Unlocks Over All-or-Nothing Generalization (22:02) Rather than waiting for a single breakthrough moment of generalized domestic autonomy, Gao projects steady commercial progress within structured domains. While home environments remain high-risk due to safety concerns around children and clutter, constrained tasks with clear Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs)—such as laundry folding and assembly line pick-and-place—are approaching near-term viability. Deployments are projected to advance through specialized industrial platforms, mobile service bots, and modern systems integrators delivering continuous, over-the-air model updates before general-purpose humanoids scale. A major unresolved challenge remains whether physical data collection can scale economically to the billions of hours needed for full generalization, or whether frontier foundation models will absorb dense physical datasets to solve broad tasks before specialized robotics startups reach four nines of reliability.

精炼阅读摘要

红杉资本合伙人 Sonya Huang 对话 Mecka 联合创始人 Josh Gao,探讨物理 AI 时代具身智能的核心瓶颈与商业化路径。Gao 认为,机器人无法直接复用互联网的海量图文代币,唯有通过人体穿戴设备实现“人类传感器化”,采集第一人称视角与触觉力控数据,才能构建支撑通用物理操作的底层数据工厂。 第一人称视角与力数据瓶颈 (7:03) 大语言模型的爆发依赖互联网现成的万亿级图文代币,但机器人领域缺乏现成的高质量物理交互数据。早期遥操作方案因依赖操作员直接遥控实体机器人,面临极高的扩展成本与低多样性瓶颈。相比之下,学术界早期基准如 Ego4D 虽然积累了约 4,000 小时视频,却充斥着打保龄球等与商业操作无关的泛化内容。Gao 认为人形机器人与人体结构高度契合,可通过给人类佩戴传感器建立分布式数据采集网络,捕捉包含像素、动作与逻辑的第一人称操作数据。 然而,纯视觉数据无法传递操作关键的物理信息。Huang 指出自动驾驶很少需要力控,但机械手操作必须感知捏鸡蛋或拧把手的精确力度。行业过去依赖腕部相机根据接触时长估算力,被 Gao 视为一种粗糙的替代方案。为直接获取以牛顿为单位的力矢量,Mecka 绕过现成设备,自主研发并经过三到四轮迭代制造了集成传感器的触觉手套及多角度摄像头帽子,实现更精确的端到端行为克隆。 数据工厂的运营架构与反作弊 (11:55) Mecka 运营着一套软硬件结合的重资产采集网络。在数据来源上分为双轨推进:C 端构建移动应用,招募全球用户记录铺床、做早餐等日常家务以构建预训练基础多样性;B 端则深入商业烘焙工坊、PCB 组装线等专业工种。为支撑数百 PB 的高保真原始音视频与传感流输入,其线下枢纽铺设了 100 Gbps 专用上传带宽,后端配合计算机视觉流水线进行结构化清洗与筛选。 大规模物理数据生产伴随着严苛的质量管控与欺诈防范挑战。由于平台对高质量真实物理演示付费,部分众包人员甚至试图录制 YouTube 上的第一人称打工视频冒充采集输入。为此,Mecka 必须在软件层设置验证门禁,同时派遣现场人员驻点审计。此外,为了防止如同早期遥操作仓库那样因单一任务过度训练导致模型迅速过饱和,团队利用行业任务热力图动态调整采集配比,使数据结构从泛化日常逐步向精细化的领域操作演进。 数据配方演进与渐进商业化 (20:00) 行业对于训练配方的争论正逐渐收敛为一种“数据大杂烩”(data pot of soup)。目前基准配方大约由 100 万小时多模态第一人称人类数据、数万小时手持夹爪(UMI)数据,以及极少数特定场景的真机遥操作数据构成。Huang 质疑自动驾驶累计数十亿小时里程仍仅解决两到三个自由度,而具身手部拥有数十个自由度,所需数据规模或将超出经济承受力。Gao 回应称机器人的商业落地并非非黑即白的单点突变,而是分阶段逐步解锁。 在商业落地路径上,家庭虽然数据最易采集,但因非结构化环境与极高的安全容错门槛(如防止砸伤婴儿),反而是最难落地的场景。相反,拥有明确标准作业程序(SOP)且环境受控的工业制造、叠衣服、酒店配送与商用地面清洁正在率先实现交付。模型落地依靠基础数据金字塔打底,再结合特定房间或流水线的后训练(post-training),即可将特定受限任务推向 99.99% 的生产级可靠性。 世界模型自博弈与系统集成 (33:54) 类比 DeepMind 的 AlphaGo 从模仿人类棋谱迈向“第 37 手”(Move 37)的超人类表现,Huang 与 Gao 探讨了具身智能如何超越人类示范。围棋拥有 19×19 的确定性封闭规则,而现实物理世界极其复杂且缺乏高保真世界模拟器。因此,当前仍需大规模第一人称物理数据进行常识对齐;长远来看,基于视频预测训练的世界模型将充当“物理想象引擎”,允许模型在像素层预测打碎水杯的物理后果并反推电机轨迹,使实体测试与仿真环境结合的自博弈成为可能。 在交付生态层面,不同于传统系统集成商在流水线拧螺丝的低毛利模式,现代机器人系统集成商将由数据驱动,通过模型热更新持续扩展已部署硬件的功能外延。面对前沿 AGI 实验室依靠通用多模态基础模型(如 GPT-4o)带来的泛化压力,Gao 认为专用垂直机器人模型与前沿实验室并非零和博弈,将力控与具身动作矢量引入全模态模型反而会惠及整个行业,催生多样化硬件乃至地外采矿等长尾终端形态。 Josh Gao 预测十年后全球机器人总量将远超人类人口,或达到百亿乃至千亿规模。然而,在实现通用具身智能之前,行业仍受制于缺乏端到端触觉力控基准以及高质量仿真环境,如何在可承受的资金与运营成本内完成从结构化工业任务向复杂现实环境的跨越,仍有待市场检验。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本期内容由红杉资本(Sequoia Capital)于2026年10月20日在其播客频道发布,由红杉合伙人Sonya Huang主持。节目重点探讨了物理AI与机器人领域的训练数据瓶颈,专访了Mecka AI的创始人兼CEO Josh Gao,揭秘其如何通过“传感化人类”、搭建数据工厂、自研触觉手套及应对数据管道工程挑战,为机器人基础模型制造高保真训练数据。 ## TL;DR Josh Gao深入剖析了机器人行业因缺乏互联网海量免费语料而必须自行“制造数据”的底层逻辑,并系统介绍了Mecka通过定制棒球帽、触觉手套和双轨运营网络采集人类第一人称及受力数据的实践。他阐述了当前行业收敛的训练配方——即百万小时第一人称数据、数万小时UMI机械臂数据与少量真机遥操作的结合,并强调必须补齐触觉与仿真这两大关键成分。针对落地路径,Josh指出机器人不会迎来单一的GPT-3时刻,而是通过在受限工业场景到复杂长尾任务中的渐进式解锁逐步渗透现实世界,并最终在十年甚至更久后催生出数量远超人类总人口的多形态机器人繁荣生态。 ## Atmosphere & style 对谈整体兼具硬核工程的务实严谨与天马行空的极客浪漫主义。Sonya的提问直切商业模式、欺诈风控与缩放定律等行业痛点,而Josh的回答则展现出从底层硬件打磨到超大规模数据吞吐的冷静定力。两人的互动松弛而默契,不仅频频穿插关于麦当劳POV视频造假、录制播客防被替代的趣味调侃,更在尾声通过川崎Corleo手办开箱将《银河系漫游指南》式的荒诞科幻情怀展现得淋漓尽致,营造出一种在脚踏实地搬砖中奔向星辰大海的鲜活感染力。 ## Bulletin - `32:04` 机器人训练不存在互联网免费数据红利,当前行业已收敛出包含约 100 万小时人类第一人称数据、数万小时 UMI 机械臂数据与几小时域内真机遥操作的金字塔配方。 - `10:42` 现成视频无法捕捉关键受力参数,Mecka 通过自研触觉手套与定制感知帽子将人类“Waymo 化”,并在核心节点拉设 100 Gbps 专线以承载数百 PB 级传感器数据流。 - `19:33` 特斯拉深耕仅包含 2 个自由度的自动驾驶已耗时逾十年,而面对单手即有数十自由度的灵巧操作,机器人商业落地将是渐进式解锁特定商业任务,而非单一的 GPT-3 爆发时刻。 - `42:44` Mecka 创始人 Josh Gao 预计在未来十年左右,全球机器人数量将超过千亿台,达到全人类总人口的数倍甚至高出几个数量级。 ## Key takeaways - `00:00` 机器人与具身智能领域缺乏大语言模型的互联网免费冷启动语料,其本质由像素(Pixels)、动作(Actions)和逻辑(Logic)三要素构成。 - `02:45` 具身数据在商业上并非需要无限规模才能产生回报,而是随着数据量的数量级跃升,逐级解锁从结构化拾取放置到复杂长尾任务的商业落地。 - `08:45` 押注第一人称视角(Egocentric)数据能够最大限度消除机器人与真实世界的感知差距,并将遍布各行各业的人类直接转化为天然的数据采集舰队。 - `10:42` 视觉接触时间无法准确推算物理交互中的真实牛顿力,触觉手套等自研硬件成为采集高保真受力数据的必由之路。 - `11:55` 为了覆盖人类物理劳动全貌,Mecka 维护着行业职业热力图,并通过 C 端众包与 B 端专线渗透实现从家庭到制造产线的多样性覆盖。 - `15:42` 从零制造未曾存在的数据面临严峻反欺诈挑战,如众包用户上传 YouTube 视频充数,必须依赖严苛质量门控与底层激励机制防范边缘案例失真。 - `17:44` 数据中介的护城河不在于廉价众包,而在于超大规模下的硬件制造、专有清洗算法以及从“普通家务”向“费德勒级别”灵巧操作的数据 SKU 演进能力。 - `20:00` 机器人技术落地不是“非零即一”的二元状态,高危脆弱的家庭环境最难落地,而流水线分拣、包装及叠衣等高度受限的工业场景将率先突破。 - `23:24` 商业化不仅局限于人形机器人,专用移动底盘与清洁配送等不同构型的专有机器人已在多地商业化验证并逐步普及。 - `24:35` 真正的 FSD 式数据飞轮依赖现场部署数据与人工纠偏,物理世界的扩散催生出不仅负责机械安装、更能通过数据后训练使设备越用越聪明的“现代系统集成商”。 - `30:00` 通过“将人类 Waymo 化”采集多模态数据,并协同发起 EgoVerse 联盟开源动作轨迹与工具链,旨在弥补整体落后的行业基建。 - `32:04` 机器人训练像是一锅“数据大杂烩汤”,除了当前的主流配方外,触觉数据与真实仿真(Simulation)未来必须作为关键原料补充入锅。 - `33:54` 正如 AlphaGo 经由行为克隆再走向自我博弈创造第 37 手,第一人称数据不仅服务于动作克隆,更是在为构建物理世界的“世界模型(模拟器)”提供养料。 - `40:00` 通用 AGI 实验室正将机器人数据并入主流全模态模型预训练,但在工业级 99.99%(4个9)的可靠性要求下,垂直专精基础模型依然具备独特优势。 - `40:50` 受到科幻荒诞哲学的启发,未来的机器人形态不会千篇一律,将演化出从川崎 Corleo 四足骑乘形态到深空小行星采矿等各类超乎想象的构型。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### `00:00` 机器人数据工厂的定位:像素、动作与逻辑 红杉资本的 Sonya Huang 开场指出,整个生态系统都相信机器人正迎来“黄金时代”。然而,与拥有互联网上海量免费人类文本数据作为冷启动资产的大语言模型(LLM)截然不同,具身智能和机器人领域从本质上受到数据的严重制约。Mecka 作为为具身智能模型提供训练数据的“领先数据工厂”,正处在一个非常关键的位置。 Mecka 的创始人兼 CEO Josh Gao 解释了他们公司的定位:Mecka 是一家面向物理 AI(Physical AI)的数据与部署公司,核心业务涵盖机器人基础模型训练所需数据的采集制造、后处理清洗以及数据授权。Josh 强调,机器人数据并不存在互联网馈赠的免费语料库,在底层本质上它由三部分构成: ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 机器人数据的核心三要素 accDescr: 机器人数据由像素、动作和逻辑三个核心维度构成,共同用于模型物理世界理解训练。 subgraph Core["机器人数据三要素"] P["像素 (Pixels)<br/>视觉感知输入"] A["动作 (Actions)<br/>物理执行指令"] L["逻辑 (Logic)<br/>任务推理因果"] end Core --> Model["机器人基础模型<br/>(Physical AI)"] ``` 由于行业极其匮乏高质量、精细标注且清洗过的数据,Mecka 的日常运营主要分为三大支柱: 1. 研发定制化硬件,通过在人类身上穿戴传感器来采集物理交互信息; 2. 搭建运营网络,与个人贡献者及企业合作伙伴对接,进入各类实际环境采集多样化任务; 3. 构建严苛的数据质检关卡(Quality Gates)并进行深度后处理,使这些数据集能真正教会机器人理解物理世界。 正如 Josh Gao 所言:“机器人领域的重大难题在于,我们没有大语言模型凭借互联网所拥有的那种冷启动的奢侈条件。从根本上说,许多此类机器人数据就是三样东西:像素、动作和逻辑。”(“The big problem across robotics is that we don't have the luxury of the cold start that LLMs had with the internet. Fundamentally, a lot of this robotics data is three things. It's pixels, it's actions, and it's logic.”) --- ### `02:45` 缺乏免费互联网数据,具身数据在商业上成立吗? 面对 Sonya 提出的关键问题——在缺乏免费互联网语料(无数万亿甚至百亿亿 token)的情况下,全靠重度运营、自掏腰包制造数据,这在经济上究竟是否可行?Josh 给出了深思熟虑的解答。 他指出,具身智能其实并非从零起步。机器人研究正在深度复用过去互联网时代大模型(VLM、世界模型等)沉淀下来的成果,这继承了一定的先发红利。此外,大语言模型时代的预训练数据多由 AI 实验室通过爬虫等方式获取,并没有形成庞大的独立预训练数据交易市场;而在今天的机器人领域,预训练数据已经发展成为一个明确且规模庞大的商业市场。 在商业可行性与规模化路线上,Josh 认为核心在于数据规模与所能解锁的商业落地场景之间的匹配关系。行业不需要等到数据规模达到无限大才能产生回报;在数据积累的漫长旅程中,不同数量级的数据会逐级解锁不同复杂度的现实商业任务: - 在早期较小的数据规模下,就能解锁相对简单、结构化约束较强的“拾取与放置”(Pick and Place)等工业场景任务; - 随着采集规模实现几个数量级的跃升,机器人才能进一步向长尾、复杂的泛化任务渗透,而那部分的市场空间比当下大出好几个数量级。 --- ### `04:15` “教会机器人理解碳基生命”与科幻内核 Sonya 提到 Mecka 官网上有一句颇具浪漫主义色彩的描述——“教会机器人理解碳基生命”(Teaching robots about carbon life)。Josh 笑称那是自己在发布首条对外推文前一天晚上亲手写下的。 这句标语背后有着深刻的硬核科幻哲学。在阿西莫夫的作品、《安德的游戏》甚至《银河系漫游指南》的结局中,都反复探讨过一个命题:当机器人与人工智能最终彻底泛化、能够完成人类所能做到的一切任务之后,终极的前沿领域将回归到“有机”(Organic)与“生物”(Biological)。在《银河系漫游指南》中,整个地球最终不过是一台巨大的有机计算机,用来计算和理解生命的终极意义。 Josh 进一步把这一理念与人类生理机制做了具象对比:人类大脑的运行功耗仅约 20 瓦,而且身体具备自我修复(Self-healing)能力。因此,在训练机器人实现完全泛化的漫长探索中,Mecka 的使命正是逐步向硅基智能展示由碳基生命构建的物理现实。 正如 Josh Gao 总结道:“科幻小说中有一种设想:当机器人与人工智能最终彻底泛化并解决人类能做的一切任务时,最终的前沿将是有机的,最终的前沿将是生物的。”(“There's an idea in science fiction that is when robotics and AI has ultimately fully generalized and solved all tasks that humans can do, the final frontier is going to be organic. The final frontier is going to be biological.”) --- ### `05:27` 从云厨房、稳定币到机器人的跨界探索 谈到创始团队的背景,Josh 坦言他们并非机器人科班出身,而有着非常独特的跨界经历: - Josh 此前在做面向云厨房(Cloud Kitchens)的餐饮 SaaS 业务(类似云厨房领域的 Toast),涵盖后厨订单管理与前厅触屏点餐系统的软硬件部署。大四期间,他常常翘课驱车前往纽约州偏远的罗彻斯特乡村地区,通宵为餐厅拆除、替换并安装点餐自助终端(Kiosk)。 - 他的联合创始人此前曾打造过一个稳定币项目,该项目最终出售给了 Coinbase。其联合创始人拥有极其执着、高专注度的极客性格,在包括《英雄联盟》(League of Legends)在内的四款竞技游戏中均打入过全球排名前 1000。 两人都是加拿大人,且都是深度科幻迷。支付领域固然困难且复杂,但在寻找下一个创业方向时,他们希望能投身于一个令人兴奋、能让未来变得不可思议的领域,而机器人赛道正是这个最佳交汇点。Sonya 回忆起第一次走进 Mecka 办公室的场景,一进门就看到机械感十足的机器人以及墙上贴着的 Kawasaki Corleo 概念草图,充分展现了他们未泯的童心与对具身未来的狂热。 --- ### `07:03` 局外人视角:从第一性原理审视具身数据 作为一个“非机器人专业出身”的团队,Josh 认为这种背景在当时反倒成为独特的竞争优势。2024 年底团队初探行业时,大语言模型正在狂飙突进,而机器人学术与工业界仍深陷在传统控制算法和既有研究范式中。正因为没有历史包袱,他们能以“第一性原理”(First Principles)重新审视整个行业: - 他们与上百位资深从业者交流,翻遍所有能找到的论文,实地探访顶尖机器人实验室; - 当时显而易见的逻辑是:数据(Data)与算力(Compute)必将成为重塑整个机器人行业的关键变量。 团队在审阅学术界既有数据集时发现了明显的断层。例如在当时知名的第一人称人类行为数据集 Ego4D 中,总共只有大约 4,000 小时的人类演示视频。Josh 指出,仔细检查这 4,000 小时的数据内容,会发现其中充斥着像打保龄球这种琐碎且泛化的日常生活记录。虽然展示了广阔的泛化潜力,但在工业与商业任务的纵深上远远不足。这种局外人视角,让他们迅速抓住了“缺乏规模化、高质量行为数据”的行业痛点,并与前沿研究者密切迭代,构想出全新的数据工厂模式。 --- ### `08:45` 押注第一人称视角(Egocentric)数据 当被问及为何创业之初会全力押注“第一人称视角数据”(Egocentric Data)时,Josh 剖析了当时的技术瓶颈与核心逻辑。 第一人称视角数据,即人类以主观视角(POV)演示和执行任务时记录下的视频及多模态数据。之所以押注这一形态,原因在于: 1. **弥合感知鸿沟**:人类从主观视角感知世界,人形机器人同样从第一人称视角感知物理空间。采集人类第一人称数据,可以最大限度缩小视觉感知与物理交互的鸿沟,让机器人理解以主体视角与环境互动究竟意味着什么。 2. **摆脱遥操作的扩展瓶颈**:在 Mecka 入局前,主流的机器人数据采集完全依赖“遥操作”(Teleoperation),即由人类操作手通过操纵杆或 VR 设备实时控制机械臂完成示范。这种方式成本极高、极其笨重且极难指数级扩展。 3. **将人类转化为庞大的数据舰队**:伴随人形机器人(Humanoids)的兴起,人类与人形机器人在身体结构与运动构型上具备天然的同构性。Josh 与团队思考:既然特斯拉能依靠路上跑的百万级车队建立数据闭环飞轮,为什么不能把遍布各行各业的人类当成天然的“舰队”,通过穿戴式设备将人类的物理交互行为转化为大规模数据? 正如 Josh Gao 所解释的:“当时大体上的想法是,为了填补人类数据与机器人数据之间的鸿沟,你可以很大程度上消除视觉层面的差距。既然机器人是从第一人称视角来体验这个世界的,我们是否也能向它展示从第一人称与世界互动究竟是什么样的?”(“The high-level idea was that from the gap of human data to robotics data, you could close a lot of the vision gap. where robotics experience the world from POV, can we also show it what it is like to interact with the world from first person as well?”) ### `10:00` 传感化人类:从中国大爷大妈到自研触觉手套 当被问及第一视角(Egocentric)数据采集在现实中具体是如何运作的——是不是直接把 iPhone 绑在人的额头上让他们正常过日子时,Josh Gao 笑着回忆起了最初的摸索阶段。Mecka 最早期的试点项目非常草根,团队做了一个移动端 App,“找来很多中国大爷大妈,让他们一边做饭、打扫卫生、做家务,一边录制视频”。随后团队尝试了包括 UMI(Universal Manipulation Interface)在内的各种路线,但很快发现现成设备根本无法满足需求。随着业务扩展到各行各业的深度合作,这项工作的本质彻底清晰起来——Josh Gao 总结道:“归根结底,我们正在将人类传感化(sensorizing humans)。” ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Force Data Capture Evolution accDescr: Diagram showing the transition from hacky video approximations to custom tactile hardware. subgraph Proxy["早期替代方案(低保真度)"] A["腕部摄像头 (Wrist Cameras)"] --> B["观察接触时间 (Contact Time)"] B -.-> C["估算握持力度(间接且粗糙)"] end subgraph CustomHardware["自研硬件(高保真度)"] D["自研触觉手套 (Tactile Gloves)"] --> E["高频力传感器"] E --> F["精确牛顿数 (Newtons of Force)"] end Proxy -->|"升级演进"| CustomHardware ``` Sonya Huang 随即指出自动驾驶与具身智能的核心差异:在自动驾驶中,系统并不怎么需要“受力数据”(force data);但对于机器人操作(Manipulation)而言,抓取鸡蛋到底用了多大劲,或是拉门把手时用了多少力,是生死攸关的参数,而单纯的二维视频很难还原这些物理量。Josh Gao 赞同这一判断。他提到行业目前多采用在人或机器人手腕加装摄像头、通过观察手与物体的接触时间来估算力度的做法,但他直言这只是一种权宜之计:“这显然是一种相当凑合的方式,根本无法真正理解拉开一把椅子或拧开一个瓶盖到底需要多少牛顿的力。”为了攻克这一物理鸿沟,Mecka 与多家机器人基座模型实验室反复打磨,最终走向了自研可穿戴硬件的道路,开发出带触觉传感的手套,专门用来精确量化人类在日常工作与生活中施加的真实受力。 - **早期的试错方案**:从移动端 App 动员大爷大妈记录做家务,到采用斯坦福开源的 UMI 方案,早期采集手段经历了多次快速推翻与重构。 - **触觉与受力数据的不可替代性**:单靠视频只能近似估算接触时间,必须通过集成传感器的专用手套获取以牛顿(Newton)为单位的连续力学读数。 --- ### `11:55` 数据工厂的硬核运营:B端冷启动、100G专线与自研硬件 探讨数据工厂的实际运作时,Sonya Huang 感慨大语言模型(LLM)的数据工厂已经吸纳了海量资本,而机器人数据工厂更是充满未知与神秘感。Josh Gao 揭秘了 Mecka 双轮驱动的数据采集网络:在 C 端(消费者端),他们通过移动 App 建立全球众包网络,用户注册自身职业后,系统会向其下发结构化任务流(如收拾卧室、煎蛋做早餐再打扫干净),以此低成本获取基座模型预训练所需的大规模环境多样性;但在家庭场景之外,要覆盖现实物理世界的全部工种,就必须建立强悍的 B 端拓展能力。Mecka 构建了一套覆盖人类全部物理劳动的分类学(Taxonomy),主动拓展面包房、PCB 印刷电路板生产线等各行各业。Sonya 打趣说是否包括做播客,Josh 笑着附和说播客的手部动作还不够丰富,Sonya 随即调侃道:“我刚才还在想能不能借机捞点外快呢。” 但将设备铺设到真实世界只是一切挑战的开始,真正重度的工程瓶颈隐藏在硬件制造与数据物流之中。市面上没有任何现成的商用触觉手套能够既舒适耐用,又能稳定输出高保真受力数据并直接转换为模型可用的格式,Mecka 必须在内部搭建完整的硬件研发迭代闭环,经历三到四个产品周期的反复打磨,再组织量产并铺向数千个家庭和企业。更惊人的是随之而来的数据管道吞吐压力——数以百计的 PB 级多模态传感器数据在各地源源不断产生,迫使 Mecka 在多个核心运营节点专门拉设了 100 Gbps 的高速上传专线。随后,还要经过严苛的质量门控(quality gates)与计算机视觉算法处理,才能将粗糙的物理记录淬炼成模型能够消化的养料。 面对 Sonya 关于“如果训练集里缺某种工人是否需要去挨家挨户敲门”的疑问,Josh Gao 透露团队内部其实在动态维护一张人类职业与行业的“热力图”: > “我们通常会追踪一张覆盖不同工种、行业以及多样性维度的热力图。” 如果热力图显示某个垂直领域的数据分布不足,团队就会定向出击获取样本。他甚至开玩笑说今天坐在播客室录制,就是因为热力图检测到“Sonya 做播客”的数据不够充足,引得 Sonya 连忙笑称:“你们休想通过自动化把我的播客岗位给取代掉!” - **双轨采集机制**:C 端 App 负责标准化任务众包以保障场景多样性,B 端 BD 团队负责渗透工业、手工艺与制造业。 - **重型基础设施建设**:部署定制化触觉手套硬件,拉设 100 Gbps 数据专线以支撑数百 PB 级别的数据洪流与实时上传。 --- ### `15:42` 质量门控与反作弊:有人拿麦当劳YouTube POV视频充数 针对机器人数据采集行业中大量送审数据因质量不达标而被废弃的痛点,Sonya 提出了尖锐的质询。Josh Gao 分析指出,这一教训最早来自于行业内部的大型遥操作数据工厂:此前许多团队尝试在大型仓库中让操作员日夜重复相同任务以堆积遥操作时长,但前沿研究表明,数据的多样性存在阈值效应,过度单调的重复操作很快就会带来严重的收益递减甚至过饱和。而在第一视角的人类数据收集中,真实世界的长尾极端边缘情况(Edge Cases)层出不穷,质量标准本身就是一个高速变化的动态目标,每周对数据多样性和有效性的认知都在被刷新。 为了应对这一挑战,Mecka 搭建了高度敏捷的质检引擎与快速上报机制,而其中最棘手但也最容易被外界低估的阻碍正是“反欺诈”(Fraud)。与在大模型时代清洗互联网公开文本不同,机器人数据工厂是在从零制造世界上从未存在过的数据,这也激发了某些众包贡献者极其荒谬的作弊手段。Josh 举例说,曾有用户试图偷梁换柱,直接从 YouTube 上下载第一人称在麦当劳打工的 POV 视频,伪装成自己的采集贡献上传来骗取报酬。这让团队深刻认识到,单纯依赖算法门控远远不够: > “在数据行业,欺诈问题普遍被严重低估了。我们本质上是在制造以前根本不存在的数据,这与在互联网上做数据清洗完全不同。” Josh Gao 强调,要根治作弊并确保质量,团队必须深入采集一线实地考察,设计出既能精准识别恶意提交、又能真正激发高质量动作贡献的底层激励机制。 --- ### `17:44` 数据中介的护城河:从路边摊走向米其林与“费德勒”级别数据 随着竞争加剧,数据中间商是否会面临利润被上下游两头挤压的困境?面对 Sonya 提出的商业模式拷问,Josh Gao 展现出了极强的定力。他解释道,支付给数据贡献者的成本在端到端构建高价值数据集的整体成本结构中,其实并不是决定性的绝对大头;仅靠拉拢贡献者并不足以颠覆竞争格局。真正的护城河在于能否在超大规模下,结合自研硬件、极其复杂的地面运营与专有软件清洗算法,源源不断交付经过可信验证的高质量数据产品。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Data Product Tier Evolution accDescr: Progression of Mecka's data product portfolio from commodity home tasks to expert-level dexterous manipulation. A["基础 SKU<br>普通家务 / 路边中餐馆"] --> B["专业级 SKU<br>复杂装配 / 米其林后厨"] B --> C["大师级 SKU<br>灵巧极限 / '费德勒'网球击球"] ``` 更重要的是,数据工厂的产品形态绝非一成不变,而是会随着模型能力的发展不断演化和分层: > “随着时间的推移,产品形态本身会发生演变。你可以把播客的第一视角数据仅仅看作你的众多 SKU 之一;随后你会意识到其他类型的数据将变得至关重要——我们也许会从路边中餐馆的数据,逐渐升级到米其林星级餐厅后厨的数据。你能不能越来越逼近费德勒打球的姿态,而不是一个普通网球爱好者的动作?” 在谈到当前整个行业的数据积累规模时,Josh Gao 透露,具身智能领域终于跨越了里程碑,正式迈入了“数百万小时”级真实世界数据的全新时代。相比两年前学术界开源的 Ego4D 数据集仅有 4,000 小时的规模,如今的数据体量已经实现了质的飞跃。但他随即冷静地指出,如果拿机器人操作与自动驾驶相比,当下的数据量依然微不足道——特斯拉为了解决自动驾驶中仅仅包含加速度和方向这两个自由度(2 Degrees of Freedom)的问题,足足花费了超过十年的时间进行天量数据飞轮的打磨,而拥有几十个自由度的灵巧机器人操作,面临的物理空间复杂度要高出数个数量级。 - **产品分级演进策略**:将通用采集视为基础 SKU,逐步向上迭代至高精度装配、专业烹饪乃至“大师级”灵巧操作等高附加值 SKU。 - **量级对比的反差**:行业已从 Ego4D 的 4,000 小时跨越至百万小时级别,但相比特斯拉十年深耕二维平面控制所消耗的数据资源,通用具身智能的数据积累才刚刚起步。 ### `20:00` 机器人的商业落地不是“非零即一”,而是渐进式解锁 从特斯拉自动驾驶(FSD)所积累的上千万小时视频数据来看,机器人领域的数据储备在量级上仍远远落后。Sonya Huang 算了一笔账:汽车只有两三个自由度(Degrees of Freedom),而机器人仅单手就拥有数十个自由度,且需要触觉、受力等更高维度的数据输入,所处的操作环境也远为复杂。如果按此比例推算,训练出通用机器人可能需要数十亿甚至千万亿小时的数据,这甚至引发了“全球 GDP 是否支撑得起这种采集成本”的担忧。 Josh Gao 认为,机器人技术的爆发并非“某一天突然全部解锁”的二元状态(非零即一),而是随着商业场景被逐步攻克而缓慢渗透到现实世界中。当底层金字塔建立起来、让人看到泛化性与缩放定律(Scaling Laws)生效时,行业就会有信心加大投入。随之而来的策略是通过采集特定场景与特定任务的域内数据,在后训练(Post-Training)阶段消除差距,从而在特定真实环境中达到 99.99%(Four Nines)的可靠性。正如 Josh Gao 所言:“我认为核心在于随着我们的推进,不断解锁商业用例。因此它不必是一个非此即彼的二元状态,觉得‘要么哪天我们彻底搞定了机器人,要么完全没搞定’。它将是一个缓慢向真实世界渗透的过程。”(“I think it's about unlocking commercial use cases as we go. So it doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world.”) - **自由度差距**:汽车行驶只有两到三个自由度,而机器人的单手就包含数十个自由度。 - **高维数据挑战**:除了视觉外,机器人必须感知受力数据(Force Data),应对极为复杂的物理交互。 - **可靠性门槛**:商用部署往往需要达到 4 个 9(99.99%)的工业级可靠性,这依赖于针对特定房间、特定演示任务的在域(In-Domain)后训练数据。 ### `22:02` 最容易采集的家庭数据 vs 最难落地的家庭场景 Sonya Huang 提出了一个有趣的矛盾:目前最容易大规模采集的往往是家庭生活场景中的以自身为中心(Egocentric)的数据,因为每个人都可以在家拍;然而,家庭环境恰恰是机器人最难安全部署的场所。 Josh Gao 证实了这一点,指出家庭环境是安全要求最严苛的场景。机器人领域的基准测试和评估系统(Benchmarking and Evals)目前才刚刚起步,必须绝对杜绝“机器人摔倒砸中婴儿”等恶性事件。因此,最先落地的场景必须是高度受限的(Constrained),有既定标准作业程序(SOP)和可明确爬坡(Hill Climb)的目标任务。例如流水线上的抓取与放置(Pick and Place)、包装等传统自动化搞不定、但需要灵巧操作的任务,预计在一到两年内就会得到解决;而叠衣服这种 Mecka 投入了一年半以上去攻坚的任务,也即将在近期被攻关拿下。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 机器人落地难度与数据采集难度的反向分布 accDescr: 对比家庭场景与工业受限场景在数据获取难度和实际部署难度上的倒挂关系。 subgraph Home ["家庭场景 (Home)"] H1["数据易获取 (海量日常视频)"] H2["部署极难 (安全性高危/需防跌倒砸婴儿)"] H1 -.->|"反差"| H2 end subgraph Industrial ["受限工业场景 (Constrained Industrial)"] I1["数据难获取 (需专有环境与SOP)"] I2["部署较容易 (任务受限/分拣/包装/叠衣)"] I1 -.->|"反差"| I2 end ``` ### `23:24` 丰富多样的形态:有用的机器人今天已经随处可见 在讨论商业落地时,Josh Gao 强调大众严重低估了机器人的多样性。虽然人形机器人(Humanoid)极具吸引力,并且很有可能是终局形态之一,但现实中早已存在五花八门的形态。 在中国和东南亚的酒店里,服务机器人、清洁机器人以及把外卖从前台送至客房门前的配送机器人已经实现了大规模商业化运营,这些形态才刚刚开始在北美普及。最早规模化铺开的将是工业清洁等主题式专用机器人,接着演进到解决初级物体操控(Manipulation)任务,最后才会一步步演进到能开箱即用完成任意任务的人形通用机器人。 - **现有落地案例**:中国与东南亚酒店中的前台送餐机器人、客房清洁机器人等专有硬件形态。 - **推进路径**:从专用移动机器人(如工业清洁),到初级操作机械臂,再向通用人形机器人跨越。 ### `24:35` 机器人领域何时迎来“FSD 式数据飞轮”? 针对何时能出现类似特斯拉 FSD 那样的自我造血飞轮,Josh Gao 坦言行业距离那一刻“还有相当长的一段路要走”。只有当商业任务一个个被解决、机器人真正进入现场后,才能采集到现场部署数据(In-Deployment Data)、失败案例以及人工纠偏数据(Correction Data),从而启动这一飞轮。 当这个飞轮转起来时,Mecka 的定位也会发生进化。Mecka 并不局限于第一人称人类数据,而是关注由多种数据形态构成的“数据大杂烩”(Data Soup)。届时,Mecka 可能会专注于提供“米其林星级数据”,专门去教机器人那些尚未掌握的物理世界极端边缘案例(Edge Cases)。此外,Mecka 也会向现场部署赋能平台转型,负责为企业收集现场域内数据、执行后训练,并以“白手套(White-Glove)”式深度服务协助传统企业无缝引入机器人。正如 Josh Gao 所展望的:“如果我们相信这个世界无比广阔且细节极其丰富,那么永远不会缺少需要去教授的内容。”(“If we believe that the world is incredibly vast and rich in detail, there's gonna be no shortage of things to teach.”) ### `26:42` 物理世界的部署扩散与“现代机器人系统集成商” Sonya Huang 借用大语言模型(LLM)的推广路径作对比——LLM 的普及依靠垂直行业应用公司、基础模型厂商自身的销售团队,以及被称为 FDE(前线部署工程师)或“部署公司(Deploy Co.)”的大批实施服务商——询问物理世界里的机器人将如何完成部署扩散。 Josh Gao 认为垂直整合与水平开放生态会并存:一方面会出现从硬件、模型到数据全栈自研的垂类专精公司,另一方面也会涌现各种不同形态的硬件与开源模型。在这个生态中,将会诞生“现代机器人系统集成商”(Modern Robotics Systems Integrator)。传统的系统集成商利润微薄、竞争激烈,仅负责机械安装;而现代集成商则是数据驱动的,他们不仅完成安装,还会利用数据后训练让设备“越用越聪明”。客户上周安装的机器人,几天后就能学会此前无法想象的新技能,从而不断拓展企业的业务边界。 - **传统集成商 vs 现代集成商**:传统模式重交付、毛利低、功能固化;现代模式重数据迭代,机器人部署后功能可随时间动态生长。 - **生态结构**:从底层专用硬件、开源基础模型,到上层负责现场落地的实施与数据调优服务商。 ### `28:21` 从数据中心巡检到小行星采矿的垂直蓝海 谈及具体的投资赛道,Josh Gao 建议同时关注通用机器人与垂直机器人。在垂直品类中,首选是工业类机器人,因为它们往往脱胎于传统自动化,任务边界明确(Task Constrained),例如数据中心运维机器人——在机房里工作,完全不必担心突然爬出一个婴儿。 另一个兼具可行性与潜力的领域是酒店及前台交互场景,利用具备基础操控能力的机器人完成物品递送和交接。当谈到最具远景的赛道时,Josh Gao 分享了公司全员会上的一个内部玩笑:“我们公司全员会上常开的一个玩笑是:如果哪天 Mecka 能够协助部署一台去开采小行星的机器人,那我们就算干得相当不错了。”(“A joke that we make in some of our all hands in the company would be if one day Mecka was able to help deploy a robot that mines an asteroid, we've probably done a pretty good job.”)这种任务超越了人类肉身的能力极限,必须由机器人去完成。Sonya Huang 随即表示赞同,并联想到专注于船舶与工业设施维护的无损检测机器人公司 Gecko Robotics,认为这类让机器替代人类去执行极端危险环境作业的方向极具前景。 ### `30:00` 把人类“Waymo 化”与 EgoVerse 联盟 Sonya Huang 询问 Mecka 在硬件迭代中开发了哪些设备,以及当前各家 AI 实验室最渴望收集什么样的定制数据。Josh Gao 回顾道,团队最初从一款移动应用起步,虽然规模扩张极快且具备诸多优点,但最终的硬伤在于无法获取足够丰富、高质量的真实世界交互信息。为了解决这一痛点,Mecka 在极早期就必须自主研发硬件体系,Josh Gao 将这一过程形象地称为“把人类 Waymo 化(Waymo-fying people)”——即像 Waymo 为自动驾驶汽车装满传感器那样,把传感器全面部署到人体上。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Mecka 数据采集硬件架构 accDescr: 展示以中央集成 Hub 为核心,连接头戴帽子、触觉手套和外接摄像头的硬件感知体系。 subgraph Sensors["人体传感器套件 (Sensorization)"] A["定制棒球帽 (内置多路摄像头与传感器)"] B["触觉手套 (采集抓握力与受力变化)"] C["外部机位摄像头 (第三人称视角与环境参考)"] end Sensors --> D["中央集成 Hub (Central Hub)"] D --> E["行为克隆数据集 (日常世界物理交互)"] ``` 随后,Sonya 询问了什么是“EgoVerse”。Josh Gao 介绍,EgoVerse 是一个由早期坚信第一人称视角(Egocentric)数据潜力的顶尖学者与从业者组成的联盟,成员包括李飞飞(Fei-Fei Li)教授与 Ryan Summe 等人。Mecka 作为极早期的贡献者加入其中,为整个联盟输送了海量跨越不同商业场景、垂直工业以及家庭环境的第一人称视角数据。除了原始视频,Mecka 还开源了动作轨迹数据(包括后处理的计算机视觉分析与质量门控机制),并贡献了整套平台和 Web 工具链,涵盖数据加载与底层基础设施等,旨在通过共享工具与数据拉动整个落后的机器人行业共同前进。 - 硬件迭代的核心是构建一个中央集线器(Central Hub),串联起内嵌多路传感器与摄像头的定制棒球帽、触觉手套以及外接机位,完整记录人类日常与物理世界交互的细节。 - 面对行业现状,Josh Gao 强调了开源共享的初衷:“Ideally we can bring together a lot of the robotics industry because hopefully we can lift up everybody in this wave and share the tooling, the data and the lessons just because we are so far behind as an industry to get there.” --- ### `32:04` 机器人训练的“一锅大杂烩汤” 谈及当前机器人大模型的训练数据组合,Sonya 提出行业是否已经收敛到了一个类似金字塔的配方结构:底层是来自 YouTube 等互联网规模的海量视频,中层是第一人称视角数据和通用操作接口(如 UMI)数据,顶层则是极少量针对特定任务的人工遥操作(Teleoperation)演示。Sonya 提到英伟达的 Jim Fan 曾在红杉的活动中展示过类似的三角形结构。 Josh Gao 表示完全赞同。他笑着指出,仅仅在一年前,业内还在激烈争论究竟只有 UMI 数据能奏效,还是只有第一人称数据能奏效,但现在大家逐渐意识到所有数据其实是“一锅大杂烩汤(Data pot of soup)”,锅里的每一种原料在某个节点都会发挥作用。当前行业收敛出的通用食谱大约呈现为一种固定比例:底层是约 100 万小时跨越不同模态与场景的人类第一人称数据,中间是数万小时的 UMI 数据,而顶层只需要针对特定领域、特定分布进行几个小时的真机遥操作与示范。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 机器人训练数据金字塔配方 accDescr: 展示当前行业收敛的训练数据层级结构及规模分布。 Top["顶层:领域内遥操作数据<br/>(~几小时 In-Domain Teleop)"] Mid["中层:UMI 机械臂操作数据<br/>(~数万小时 Tens of Thousands of Hours)"] Base["底层:人类以第一人称视角的跨模态数据<br/>(~100 万小时 Egocentric Data)"] Top --> Mid Mid --> Base ``` 然而,Mecka 并不死板地拘泥于某一种技术信仰,因为当前的汤里还缺少至关重要的成分——触觉数据(Tactile Data)和仿真数据(Simulation Data)甚至还没真正大规模入锅。如果要让机器人真正懂得拉开一扇门到底需要施加多大的牛顿力,触觉和仿真必须最终被搅拌进这锅汤中。 - 行业当前收敛的配方比例:约 1,000,000 小时人类第一人称及多模态数据 + 数万小时 UMI 数据 + 仅需数小时的终端场景遥操作数据。 - 谈到行业不再各执一词的演变趋势,Josh Gao 总结道:“You slowly realize, to your point, all of this is essentially a data pot of soup. And in that pot of soup, all the ingredients are going to be important at some point.” --- ### `33:54` 第 37 手棋的启示与世界模型 针对目前的训练方式,Sonya 提出了一个行业内最常见的经典质疑:“一个人看上几百万小时的网球比赛录像,依然不可能学会怎么击败罗杰·费德勒(Roger Federer)。”机器人难道光靠看人类的第一人称视频就能学会行动吗? Josh Gao 借用围棋与 DeepMind 的 AlphaGo 做了极为深刻的反驳与拆解。击败李世石的 AlphaGo,第一步走的就是大规模专家棋谱的“行为克隆(Behavior Cloning)”;在掌握了人类走法后,第二步才是在明确的围棋规则下进行自我博弈(Self-play),最终在浩瀚的可能性中探索出了超越人类思维局限的神之一手——“第 37 手(Move 37)”。 | 维度对比 | 围棋(AlphaGo) | 物理世界机器人(Robotics) | |:--- |:--- |:--- | | **规则边界** | 规则极其明确,棋盘与规则即是整个世界的边界 | 物理世界具有无限丰富的连续细节,规则极端复杂 | | **模拟环境** | 拥有现成的、完美的围棋模拟器进行无限自我博弈 | 目前人类完全没有能够完美重构真实物理世界的世界模拟器 | | **第一人称数据的角色** | 不需要,棋谱符号清晰 | 锚定基础物理法则、建立行为克隆基础,并为构建世界模型提供养料 | Josh Gao 指出,机器人目前还没有一个能百分之百还原现实的世界模拟器,因此大量的第一人称数据不仅是为了完成基础行为克隆,更是在帮助人类构建这个“世界模拟器”。一旦世界模型成熟,机器人就能像 AlphaGo 一样,在现实与虚拟仿真中双管齐下展开 Self-play,最终诞生能像费德勒一样打网球的机器人。 Sonya 进一步探讨了当下大家常与视频生成模型混用的“世界模型(World Models)”。Josh Gao 认为其真正威力在于让 AI 拥有“做梦”和预演的能力——比如模型可以在脑海中预想一个玻璃杯掉在地上摔得粉碎的全过程,而无需在现实中真正砸碎一个杯子。通过利用 YouTube 和全网视频的像素预测能力,再将其映射回机器人的实际动作轨迹(Action Trajectories),将产生巨大的加速度。 - 谈到 AlphaGo 自我博弈打破人类常识的临界点,Josh Gao 动情地回顾道:“Then the next step was the self-play version of with the rules of the game, can you ultimately simulate all the different ways until you come up with the magic of move 37 ultimately, which was so out of scope of what humans could have thought in that moment on the Go.” --- ### `36:58` 机器人没有单个 GPT-3 时刻,走向全模态与 AGI 实验室冲击 当 Sonya 追问“如果单纯把现有的数据金字塔放大几个数量级,是否就能直接迎来机器人的 GPT-3 时刻,让机器人走进千家万户替人类叠衣服和做饭?”时,Josh Gao 给出了务实而冷静的判断:仅仅按比例扩大现有数据,确实能够解决沿途大量的特定商业任务(如在高度受限的环境中执行非常严格的企业标准作业程序 SOP),但这不足以实现那种“直接扔进一个陌生家庭、开箱即用、甚至能像费德勒一样顶着各种恶劣天气打网球”的终极通用机器人。 真正的质变需要把更多未开发的物理模态引入大模型,走向真正的全模态(Omni Model)架构: 1. **输入端(Observation)**:除了像素视觉,必须无缝融合触觉力(Force/Tactile)、甚至是极端前沿的嗅觉气味芯片传感器。 2. **输出端(Action)**:直接端到端映射并输出物理动作控制信号、语音或特定关节轨迹。 Sonya 进一步抛出尖锐问题:随着大型实验室的通用模型(如传闻中的 GPT-6 或 Astra 等)在机器人任务上表现出极其惊人的零样本泛化能力,那些纯做机器人的初创公司(Pure-play robotics companies)会不会被通用 AGI 实验室彻底碾压?这是否是“苦涩的教训(The Bitter Lesson)”在机器人领域的再次上演? Josh Gao 坦言,在信息不完全的迷雾中孤注一掷去大规模扩展(Scale up)数据,需要极大的魄力和勇气,而顶级 AGI 实验室骨子里就流淌着这种敢于豪赌的基因。看到机器人数据被正式纳入主流基础模型的预训练集中,并且已经在多个领域展现出强大的通用泛化能力,这令人非常兴奋;未来的核心趋势必然是走向能够消化一切物理世界输入(力的反馈、动作轨迹、环境观察)的全模态模型。 - 针对单纯扩大数据规模能否直接带来全能机器人的疑问,Josh Gao 给出了清晰的界定:“If we scale it up, some order of magnitude in that ratio, we will solve a lot of tasks along the way. So some of those tasks could be a lot more constrained environments.” - 谈及面对未知全力扩大规模的底气,Josh Gao 评价顶级大模型实验室:“It takes a lot of courage to scale up data with imperfect information. And I think a lot of these labs have the DNA in themselves to take on that courage early on.” ### `40:00` 专精模型与通才模型的博弈:为什么基础模型在机器人领域表现出色 在探讨通用人工智能实验室(AGI Labs)是否会在机器人领域碾压垂直企业时,Josh Gao 深入分析了技术路线的分野。一方面,把海量数据投入训练混合体并使其具备泛化能力,确实让全能型模型在许多任务上展现出强大的适应力;但另一方面,行业内部同样存在坚实的论据,支持走垂直深耕路线。Josh Gao 认为在未来的发展时间线上,全能型模型或许在广度上覆盖广泛,但那些更为针对性的机器人专精基础模型,在特定行业任务的能力和可靠性上将率先冲上“4个9”(99.99%)的工业级标准。正如 Josh Gao 所研判的:“Model that can do everything is going to be very good at a lot of things but some of these specialized models some of these more targeted robotics foundation models might become very excellent into four nines of capability and reliability in some of these tasks.” 针对 Sonya Huang 从言谈间推导出的判断——最新基础模型之所以在机器人控制上表现惊艳,并非凭空发生,很大程度上是因为开发者已经将大量机器人数据扔进了训练池——Josh Gao 毫不犹豫地给出了肯定回答。他指出,当你理解了数据配方的构成就会发现,这种看似突破性的能力“It's actually quite expected when you think about it.”(仔细想想其实完全在预料之中)。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 机器人模型演进路径对比 accDescr: 展示全能型模型与垂直机器人基础模型在能力泛化度与特定任务可靠性上的分化走向。 subgraph Mix["统一训练数据池"] D1["人类主观视角数据"] D2["机器人真机遥操作与轨迹数据"] D3["合成与触觉数据"] end subgraph Models["模型分化演进"] Gen["全能型通用模型 (AGI)"] Spec["垂直领域机器人基础模型"] end subgraph Outcomes["落地表现"] Out1["泛化能力极强<br/>涉猎广泛但难达极致稳定"] Out2["特定任务达到 99.99% (4个9)<br/>工业级超高可靠性"] end Mix --> Gen Mix --> Spec Gen --> Out1 Spec --> Out2 ``` --- ### `40:50` 科幻初心、荒诞哲学与川崎 Corleo“豹狗马” 对谈的尾声回溯到了 Josh Gao 创办 Mecka 的初心。他之所以踏入这个赛道,是因为他脑海中始终清晰地勾勒着一个机器人无处不在的未来图景。在描绘这个未来时,现场气氛变得十分欢快——Josh 提到了 Sonya 参观 Mecka 纽约办公室时的趣事:在他们主会议室的墙上,赫然挂着川崎重工(Kawasaki)推出的 Corleo 概念机器人海报。这个集“豹、狗、马”于一身的四足骑乘机器人,拥有极具戏剧性与违和感的宣传片。 Josh 甚至开玩笑说,他们一度让团队成员 Anas 相信海报里那位骑着机器人在翠绿草甸上跃过小溪的亚洲妇人与男孩就是他和他母亲童年的合成照片。Josh Gao 表达了自己对《银河系漫游指南》(Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy)式荒诞哲学的深切热爱:“I very much love the philosophy of hitchhikers and just how absurd the world could be and how absurd the future could be.” 他坚信未来的机器人世界不会是千篇一律的沉闷构型,而是会有各路狂热的创业者创造出各种稀奇古怪、超乎想象的形态,去胜任从地面日常到小行星采矿的一切任务。 - **川崎 Corleo 的荒诞设定**:一台集合了猎豹的敏捷、狗的忠诚与骏马的承载形态的四足机器人,在演示片中驮着母子在自然原野与溪流间跳跃。 - **机器人的形态想象力**:机器人未来的形态绝不仅限于人型双足,而是会根据深空采矿、极限探索等场景演变出超越当前认知范围的多元构型。 --- ### `42:44` 未来十年的百亿级机器人与神秘开箱 谈及数量级的预测,Sonya Huang 询问在十年之后全球将会有多少台机器人。Josh Gao 斩钉截铁地给出了极其激进的展望:机器人的总数量将达到人类人口总数的许多倍,甚至在十年甚至更长一点的时间跨度内,“Many orders of magnitude more than there are people, yes, in a decade plus.”(比全人类的总人口高出好几个数量级)。面对 Sonya 追问的“一千亿台机器人?”(100 billion robots?),Josh 不仅坦然认同,更笑着打趣说,光是像 Corleo 那样的“豹狗马”机器人,未来可能就会比这个数字还要再多一个数量级。 访谈在互赠礼物的欢声笑语中收尾。Mecka 团队现场为 Sonya Huang 准备了一个贴满 Mecka 品牌专属贴纸的神秘礼物盒。Sonya 兴奋地扮演起科技博主在播客现场进行实时开箱,揭晓后发现里面是一尊精致的川崎 Corleo 机器人手办模型,上面还按照团队之前的经典笑梗附带了 Josh 和他母亲的微缩形象。Josh 透露,Mecka 计划陆续制作一系列机甲与巨大机器人手办周边。Sonya 盛赞 Mecka 在数据工厂工程化扩展上的惊人执行力,正是这些扎实而庞大的底层努力,才让科幻电影中的机器人黄金时代一步步变为现实。 ## Notable quotes > `00:00` The big problem across robotics is that we don't have the luxury of the cold start that LLMs had with the internet. Fundamentally, a lot of this robotics data is three things. It's pixels, it's actions, and it's logic. — Josh Gao > `15:42` 在数据行业,欺诈问题普遍被严重低估了。我们本质上是在制造以前根本不存在的数据,这与在互联网上做数据清洗完全不同。 — Josh Gao > `20:00` I think it's about unlocking commercial use cases as we go. So it doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world. — Josh Gao > `24:35` If we believe that the world is incredibly vast and rich in detail, there's gonna be no shortage of things to teach. — Josh Gao > `36:58` It takes a lot of courage to scale up data with imperfect information. And I think a lot of these labs have the DNA in themselves to take on that courage early on. — Josh Gao > `04:15` There's an idea in science fiction that is when robotics and AI has ultimately fully generalized and solved all tasks that humans can do, the final frontier is going to be organic. The final frontier is going to be biological. — Josh Gao > `32:04` You slowly realize, to your point, all of this is essentially a data pot of soup. And in that pot of soup, all the ingredients are going to be important at some point. — Josh Gao ## Mentioned Mecka AI, Josh Gao, Sonya Huang, 红杉资本, 特斯拉, Tesla FSD, Waymo, DeepMind, AlphaGo, 李世石, 罗杰·费德勒, 李飞飞, Ryan Summe, EgoVerse, Ego4D, UMI, Coinbase, Toast, Gecko Robotics, Kawasaki Corleo, 川崎重工, 《银河系漫游指南》, 《安德的游戏》, 阿西莫夫, Jim Fan, 英伟达 ## Video description Robotics never got the internet's gift of free training data, so someone has to manufacture it. Josh Gao, founder and CEO of Mecka AI, runs one of the largest robot data factories, and he explains what that actually involves: custom baseball caps and tactile gloves because nothing off the shelf captures force, 100-gigabit upload lines to move hundreds of petabytes, and custom quality gates. Josh lays out the training recipe the industry is converging on (roughly a million hours of egocentric human data, tens of thousands of hours of robot data, and a few hours of in-domain teleop ) and why tactile and simulation data still have to enter the "data pot of soup." He argues the field is still orders of magnitude behind Tesla's FSD, which spent a decade on two degrees of freedom while a robot hand has dozens. His take: there won't be a single GPT-3 moment for robotics, but a steady unlock of commercial tasks, starting with constrained industrial work and ending, he hopes, with robots mining asteroids. Hosted by Sonya Huang, Sequoia Capital 0:00 – Introduction 1:46 – What Mecka is: pixels, actions and logic 2:45 – Is robot data economically feasible without the internet? 4:15 – Teaching robots about carbon life 5:27 – Cloud kitchens, stablecoins and the path to robotics 7:03 – Entering robotics with a fresh lens 8:45 – What egocentric data is and why Mecka bet on it 10:09 – The first pilot: aunties and uncles with a mobile app 10:42 – Force data and tactile gloves 11:55 – Inside the operations of a data factory 14:41 – Heat-mapping the taxonomy of human work 15:42 – Quality gates, fraud and the McDonald’s POV videos 17:44 – Earning a margin as a data intermediary 19:33 – Millions of hours vs. Tesla’s decade 20:55 – Why it isn’t binary: unlocking commercial tasks along the way 22:02 – Home data is plentiful; home robots are the hardest 23:24 – Useful robots can be deployed today 24:35 – When robotics gets an FSD-style flywheel 26:42 – Deployment diffusion and the modern systems integrator 28:21 – Favorite vertical robot categories; mining an asteroid 30:08 – The hardware slate: Waymo-fying people 30:55 – EgoVerse 32:04 – The data pot of soup: the converged training mix 33:54 – Move 37 for robotics: AlphaGo and Federer 36:02 – World models and the training mix 36:58 – Will scaling the current mix get us to the promised land? 39:05 – Will the AGI labs steamroll robotics? 40:50 – Sci-fi roots and the Kawasaki Corleo 42:44 – How many robots in a decade? [Source](https://pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.megaphone.fm/CPUAI3718185378.mp3)

Source quotes

[0:00] Josh Gao: The big problem across robotics is that we don't have the luxury of the cold start that LLMs had with the internet. Fundamentally, a lot of this robotics data is three things. It's pixels, it's actions, and it's logic. [15:42] Josh Gao: 在数据行业,欺诈问题普遍被严重低估了。我们本质上是在制造以前根本不存在的数据,这与在互联网上做数据清洗完全不同。 [20:00] Josh Gao: I think it's about unlocking commercial use cases as we go. So it doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world. [24:35] Josh Gao: If we believe that the world is incredibly vast and rich in detail, there's gonna be no shortage of things to teach. [36:58] Josh Gao: It takes a lot of courage to scale up data with imperfect information. And I think a lot of these labs have the DNA in themselves to take on that courage early on. [4:15] Josh Gao: There's an idea in science fiction that is when robotics and AI has ultimately fully generalized and solved all tasks that humans can do, the final frontier is going to be organic. The final frontier is going to be biological. [32:04] Josh Gao: You slowly realize, to your point, all of this is essentially a data pot of soup. And in that pot of soup, all the ingredients are going to be important at some point.

Source quotes

[7:03] Josh Gao: Humans and humanoids look the same. Why couldn't we turn humans into this fleet style learning that Tesla has to be able to all contribute into understanding and ground the physics of the world? [20:00] Josh Gao: It doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world.

Original transcript

[0:00] There's an idea in science fiction that is when robotics and AI has ultimately fully generalized and solved all tasks that humans can do, the final frontier is going to be organic. The final frontier is going to be biological. And you see this in Asimov, you see this in Ender's Game, even in Hitchhikers at the very end. The planet ultimately was this giant organic computer trying to process and understand what the meaning of life was or what the question was. *music* Today I'm delighted to have Josh from Mecca on the show. Josh is founder and CEO of Mecca.ai. which is building a data and deployment company for robotics. I, and I think the whole ecosystem, think that robotics is about to enter a golden age. And unlike LLMs, where we had so much free human data from the Internet, robotics is fundamentally data constrained. And I think robotics. your position in the ecosystem as the leading data factory, to bring robotic data and physical data in distribution for models is just a really, really interesting perch. So I'm excited to use this conversation today to chat about how does ecocentric data and data collection work in robotics, what are the actual operations and economics of operating a data factory, and your overall thoughts on robotics research and deployments. Thanks for joining the show. Amazing. Thanks for having me. Awesome. Maybe to start off, for those who aren't familiar, what is Mecca and how are you looking to impact the world of robotics? So MECA is, like you said, the data and deployment company for Physically.I. What that means is today we create, we process, and ultimately we license a lot of the data that goes into training these robotics foundation models. The big problem across robotics is that we don't have the luxury of the cold start that LLMs had with the internet. Fundamentally, a lot of this robotics data is three things. It's pixels, it's actions, and it's logic. And so we don't have access to a large amount of this curated and processed and clean data to be able to then train these models to understand what it is to be in the physical world. So a lot of our job is pretty much to, one, create the different types of hardware, such as sensorizing and wearables for humans, the different operations to go and collect and partner with individual contributors, businesses, tasks across different environments, and then ultimately post-process and own the quality gates to make these data sets useful. and teach robots about the world. Without having been given the benefits of a giant, free, many trillions of tokens... maybe lots of trillions, trillions of trillions of tokens of internet corpus. Do you think that robotics... you know, having to pay for and operationally collect all the data that's going into the mix. Is it even a feasible... challenge like is it economically feasible without having had the gift of the internet. I think we still have the luxury of a lot of things. that was given from the internet. So we aren't starting from zero, ultimately. I think you can see it across LLMs and data across LLMs. Pre-training data was always driven by the labs, largely, across web crawlers, things like that. It didn't become a large market. Today in robotics, we do see pre-training as quite a large market. And that could be taken in several forms. So that realities of what the world looks like. And we get to leverage all the work that has gone into the BLMs and different types of world models before to make that possible. Is it possible and scalable to get to that volume of data? I think that ultimately comes down to what commercial use case can you unlock at which levels of scales of data? And our strong belief is along that journey that we will be able to unlock a lot of the simple pick and place tasks along the beginning rating and towards that long tail that is going to be many orders of magnitudes larger than it is today. I did a little homework for this. Your website is very whimsical. It says that you are teaching robots about carbon life. What does that mean? I actually made the website. I love it. Like the night before we did our first tweet announcement or something like that. There's an idea in science fiction that is when robotics and AI has ultimately fully generalized and solved all tasks that humans can do, the final frontier is going to be organic. Final Frontier is going to be biological. And you see this in Asimov, you see this in Ender's Game, even in Hitchhikers at the very end, the planet ultimately was this giant organic computer trying to [5:00] to process and understand what the meaning of life was or what the question was. And so I think in the same... vein for us. That is, the human brain runs on just 20 watts. We are self-healing. And so along the journey of teaching and getting robots to fully generalize, we'll slowly show them what carbon life is made of. Hmm. Love that. Okay, you come from an untraditional background for robotics. I think you started in the fintech world and the sneaker world, if I'm not mistaken. Tell me about how you and your co-founder found your way to robotics. It was quite an interesting journey. Yeah. So before this, I was building essentially a toast for Cloud Kitchens. This meant we did everything from back of the house order management. At one point in my fourth year of university, I was skipping class to go deploy and install kiosks into rural Rochester, New York, where we had to stay all nights replacing a lot of these different front of the houses for restaurants. My co-founder built a stablecoin. They ultimately sold to Coinbase, but he's been this very obsessive personality. He was a top thousand in four competitive games, including League of Legends. And I think... A big part of what brought us together, one, we're both Canadian, and two is we have this big science fiction grounding. And so the belief ultimately was that payment... was a hard and difficult problem, But whatever we worked on next, we wanted to be something that seemed exciting that the future was going to be incredible. and robotics seemed like a great space to get into. I remember walking into your office and then immediately seeing those like mechatronic robots and then the Kawasaki Corleos on the walleye. The inner child in you must be very happy about what you're doing these days. Yeah, absolutely. Coming from a non-robotics background, what do you think your advantages are in building this business? And where has it presented challenges? I think the... advantages is when we entered the space, we had to go and do this full discovery process. We reached out to hundreds of folks that were in the space that we appreciated. We read every paper that we get our hands on. We went to visit the different robot labs. And what we saw in late 24, roughly, GPT was taking off. Robotics was still evolving from this traditional, uh, robotics era. And it seems obvious to us at the very least that data and compute would become very important. across the industry. And so moving towards that, we got to read and see some of the papers like Ego4D from a fresh lens and say, hey, there's about 4000 hours of this human demonstration data. And when you actually went in to look at the data, you would realize some of the data sets would be daily life of folks like bowling, for example. There was very broad use cases and potential applications at the 4,000-hour scale. And so coming into that with like a fresh lens, we were able to, from the first principles approach, I'd say, have a general intuition of what would be important and then iterate very closely with people that were much smarter than us that had a... that had different views of what the future would be and be able to stay close to iterate on what the product would become. Yeah, interesting. It seems like robotics has just changed so quickly as a field that almost coming from the field can be an advantage and a disadvantage because people come from different eras of what's important in the training mix and things like that. Yeah. Maybe for our audience, just say a word on like, what is egocentric data? And I think you really started your company kind of making a bet behind it. Obviously, it's much more distributed now. But what is egocentric data? Why did you decide to bet the company on it at the beginning? Egocentric data is pretty much video data from humans demonstrating and doing tasks from a first-person POV. The high-level idea was that from the gap of human data to robotics data, you could close a lot of the vision gap. where robotics experience the world from POV, can we also show it what it is like to interact with the world from first person as well? Why we bet on it was pretty much when we explored the space. A lot of what we saw was robotics data at the time was teleoperation, which was humans controlling robots to do demonstrations. It was very hard to scale at the time. And from what we saw across GPT and a lot of the principles of scaling up, um, we had to find ways to scale up data much more significantly. And I think some of our early intuitions were that Humans and robots share a lot of similarities. Humanoids were just starting to take off. Humans and humanoids look the same. Why couldn't we turn humans into this fleet style learning that Tesla has? to be able to all contribute into understanding and ground the physics of [10:00] worlds. Hmm. And so what does that look like? You're like mounting an iPhone on somebody's forehead and just letting them go about their day? Or what does that look like in practice? Yeah, when we first started, our very earliest pilot was we created a mobile app. We got all the Chinese aunties and uncles to record themselves cooking, cleaning, doing tasks. That obviously evolved a lot. We tried a number of things. We did UMI data. We did all the sorts at the beginning. And that's evolved quite a bit into all the custom hardware that we have to produce now. and all the different partnerships that we have to have across different industries. And ultimately, we're sensorizing humans. And that's the broader category. How important is it to get forced data from the sensors? Because one of the things I've always thought about is in self-driving, you don't really need forced data as much, right? Whereas with robotics, especially with manipulation, You really care about how hard am I squeezing that door handle or picking up that egg? And it seems to me that video doesn't quite capture that. You might be able to approximate it, but it doesn't really capture it. How important is capturing forest data, and how do you think about getting that? I think some of the substitutes for force data that we've seen would be approaches like wrist cameras currently across both humans and robots, and being able to see the contact time between the hand and the different objects that you interact with. That obviously is kind of a hacky way, ultimately, to get to understanding how much force in Newtons it takes to pull open a chair or twist a bottle cap. I think force data will be incredibly important. It's actually one of the products that we've been building out in that when you iterate with many different robotics foundation labs, you realize that. To close this gap, one, we have to create new hardware. So we've been developing things like gloves for humans to wear. And in those gloves, being able to collect the information in how much force it takes to do your daily life and different tasks. I'd love to just spend a bit of time on the actual operations of a data factory, because I think it is, there's so much money that's gone into the LLM data factories. There's so much money that is starting to be poured into and I think will be poured into the robot data factories. And the way they work is just, you know, mysterious and intriguing to me. So I'd love to ask you a bit about the operations of it, if that's okay. Yeah, let's do it. sending you data or how does it work? So we actually have a lot of different approaches on the operator side. One would be we have a direct consumer approach. And so through direct mobile apps, can you sign up from anywhere in the world? Can you start contributing? Can you register which profession you're in? And can you get streamed a sequence of tasks to do such as Cleaning your bedroom. Cooking your breakfast. cleaning up afterwards. This is a very lightweight approach to get that diversity, ultimately, of this pre-training data. The second approach that you have to get into is ultimately, there is so much more beyond the home to collect. And so we had to build out a lot of this B2B engine and this muscle of being able to recruit businesses across this incredible taxonomy of all physical human work. which is across bakeries. It could be a PCB manufacturing line, everything to... Podcasting. Podcasting. There's not too much handwork in podcasting just yet. Trying to make a quick buck here. We should have equipped ourselves. And that's ultimately how contributors come into the mix. But the actual data engine for the data factory is so much more sophisticated and much more painful distribute into the world didn't exist until we designed and produced this hardware. Even across tactile gloves is a fantastic example. There is nothing off the shelf that you can purchase and that you can wear and that reliably tells you how much force you are applying day to day and turn that into ready data sets. for these different robotics foundation models. So we have to have that hardware iteration loop to have these three, four different product cycles, that engineering muscle to actually think and iterate what is going to be useful, and then scale that production into the world. And that becomes this logistics of distributing into these thousands of homes, thousands of businesses to collect that, to upload that. We've had to... set up these 100 gigabyte upload lines in a lot of the places that we operated just to sustain the hundreds of petabytes of data that we have to deal with at this point. And then you have to process, you have to make sure your quality gates are incredible, and then all of the computer vision to make it useful ultimately. So let's say you decide, okay, in my training mix, there's not enough podcasters. There's not enough, you know, I don't know, donut bakers. Do you go out and literally go knock on doors of donut bakers then to sign them out to the platform, or how does that work? [15:00] We'll generally track kind of like a heat map. across different jobs, industries, and ways we think about diversity. And across that heat map, if ultimately we think, oh, not enough Sonia's podcasting, and we have to go get that, that's actually why we're here today. This is our secret message. That's why there's cameras everywhere. No, you're never automating me out of this. No, I'm kidding. Please do. Okay. Interesting. Like, I've heard that, you know, there's a lot of quality issues in robot data collection generally, a lot of the hours of robot data sample that get sent in end up not being accepted. Why is that? And... What are you doing about that problem? This lesson came from... even originally, the different types of robot data. There have been these very large-scale robot factories that have spun up from just large-scale warehouses repetitively doing tasks, trying to scale out teleoperation data. Some of the learnings there came from the research in that there is some threshold of diversity where you oversaturate how much robot data you need or how much data in general you need. Across human data, quality, you can imagine is actually quite a bit of a moving target as we grow. The amount of edge cases that you have in the real world that you have to deal with are very extreme. And you will always see something new that you haven't seen. So for us, it's been about can you think about the heuristics? to be able to catch a lot of the different things as it's processed? Can you have the different engines to escalate very quickly? And ultimately, we will learn new things about quality and diversity that weren't true a week ago, even. And so the nimbleness to move very quickly to create and adapt your engine to catch that. What's an example of something that you would catch? Well, I think fraud is an underestimated one across data industries in general. We're ultimately creating data that doesn't exist yet. versus when you're filtering through the internet. And so when you are, you're coming across very creative and interesting. Like people are sending generated videos or what? Yeah, very creative people where I think at one point we have folks recording YouTube videos like POV working at McDonald's and trying to submit that as contribution pretty much. Wow, never underestimate how even like part of the painful lessons where yes, you have to create a lot of the gates, but ultimately you have to also be there where collection is happening. You have to go see how it's done. You have to figure out an incentive model that actually incentivizes people to create good contribution. How do you think about your right to earn a margin long term? And, you know, I can imagine a mecca competitor comes to Sony and says, Sony, I really want your podcast data. I could imagine that, you know, the margin that you're able to own as an intermediary ends up getting squeezed. I think the contributor... amount in terms of the margin cost is actually not the largest factor at play here in terms of the end-to-end making sure this data is useful. So even though that baseline is always going to be there and maybe it becomes more and more competitive, there will be ways to differentiate and make sure that your data is verifiably high quality at very large scale with the right hardware, the operations, and the software. I think when we think about these products, ultimately it is that we do want to scale up and mature these products. And just like any product that begins to scale up, you want to optimize it. Thank you. But over time, you may have different products that evolve. And so when you think about this egocentric data of podcasting as simply one of your SKUs. And you then realize that there is going to be different types of data that are going to be important, such as maybe we move from the Chinese restaurant from the side of the road. Can we start moving into the Michelin star restaurants over time? Can you get more and more closer into what it means to be Federer than it means to be an average tennis player? So these products will change. And how these products are created will also change. Really interesting. What scale of data has already been collected, do you think? And... How much data do you think is going to be collected over the next few years? I think we finally entered a world where we are in millions of hours of data. And coming from the world where Ego4D of 4,000 hours two years ago, where we were then, is a huge step up. But then comparatively, and you think about autonomous driving as an example, Tesla spent Over a decade, solving for two degrees of freedom, ultimately, of acceleration and direction, [20:00] cars on the road, they have a lot more than a few million hours of video data at this point. So relatively, we're still... many orders of magnitudes away. from who? where we have to be. ultimately. So on one hand, that sounds like opportunity for you. That sounds like a lot of revenue for the robot data factories. On the other hand, as a, you know, as somebody that, you know, invests in the robot foundation models, I look at that and I say like, oh, shoot. Are we ever going to get to the promised land? Because I've done the same math as you. And like a car has two or three degrees of freedom. A robot has... Even dozens in the hand. Yeah, exactly. And so you combine that with like, you probably need force data and there's... a way more... you know, it's just a way harder environment to operate in. And I get to like, You might need... billions, trillions, quadrillions of hours. Is there even enough GDP in the world to support the cost to bring that in? What do you think? I think it's about unlocking commercial use cases as we go. So it doesn't have to be so much binary in that, oh, one day we've unlocked robotics or not. It is going to be a slow creep up into the world. A great way to get there is that, with some of this base pyramid built up where we are seeing the generalizations, we are seeing the scaling laws at play, that gives... people the courage to scale up. And with that courage, can we, one, have some generalizability in some of these environments? Can we then also collect a lot of the in-domain, in-task data that closes that gap in post-training? So maybe I can collect data exactly from this room, exactly in this podcast demonstration to actually close the gap of what is in a lot of cases four nines of reliability. in these in these real world environments. That's a helpful framework. So it's not about a binary of getting from zero to one. It's about we're going to increasingly get you know, robots that can do An increasing set of capabilities. And we will unlock a lot of tasks along the way. One curiosity, though, is that, you know, the data that is most plentiful right now is like it seems like home data, right? Just like everyone. Everyone can film that. It's pretty easy to get. But a robot in the home almost seems like one of the most difficult environments to deploy in. And so I'm curious, what applications do you think will hit first in robotics? Because where the data is most readily available seems almost the opposite of of where robotics might be easiest to deploy. The home is going to be... some of the environments that we have to be most diligent on by far. And a lot of these benchmarking and evals that have just started to mature across robotics, making sure that the robot doesn't fall on the baby in the homes, for example. I think the initial tasks will be much more constrained. As we go along that spectrum in that very goal oriented where you can hill climb some of these tasks, where you have existing SOPs for what it means to do that job and that work. Like a laundry folding robot. It could be laundry folding. Laundry folding, we spent about a year and a half plus trying to solve. And I think it will absolutely get solved in the near term. A lot of these pick and place, these packaging tasks that you see on assembling lines that had to be manipulation bots that couldn't be solved by traditional robotics. will get there within the next year or two. It was a good transition to talking about deployments. I'd love to talk to you about you know, robot deployment overall as a concept. You've said that useful robots can already be deployed today. Where do you think that's the case? I think. People underestimate how diverse robotics can be. And if we constrain ourselves to... to one, humanoids are incredibly popular. It will be a very popular terminal state of robotics as well. But beyond that, there are so many different form factors that exist in robotics today. You could look at different markets, even across hotels in China or Southeast Asia, for example, where There are robots that are doing services, that are doing cleaning, that are delivering from after your Uber Eats gets to the door, from the front desk to your hotel room door that exists. Many of these bots are widely deployed across the world today. They are just starting to get popularized across the U.S. and North America. I think some of the... First bots that have to get deployed will be even just the industrial cleaning bots, for example. A lot of like thematic robotics that are out there. And then slowly stepping up and up from there where you start to solve early manipulation tasks along that spectrum all the way up until we get to that humanoid solving out of the box any task. in the future. You mentioned Tesla and FSD earlier in this show. When do you think we're going to get to the point where there is a little bit of an FSD-like flywheel And when we get to that point... How do you see your role as a company evolving? [25:00] When we will get there, um, I think we're a while away. but it'll be a slow transition. in that when you are slowly solving some of the commercial tasks, you will also be able to finally get some of these flywheels. Then you can get some of the in-deployment data where you get the failure cases, you get the correction data, That will be absolutely important in starting up this robot flywheel. How far that is depends on that spectrum and across saturating different types of tasks and domains that aren't completed or solved for yet. So it's quite a while's away. When we do get there, The thing is, I believe that Mecca will look very different. along that process. In that one, we're not fully subscribed to only egocentric data. We believe generally that a lot of different SKUs, the entire data soup is important. And so will we be producing the Michelin star data at some point in the future? Will we be teaching some sort of edge case about the real world that the robots haven't gotten to yet? If we believe that the world is incredibly vast and rich in detail, there's gonna be no shortage of things to teach. And then even in that world. we do have this angle where we believe that Mecca will very much contribute to the deployment of robots. And so in some of these environments, in closing that gap of being able to do that task in that domain, in that environment, can we actually be the platform where we collect that domain data, we post train, we help support the enterprises and white glove hold them into what it means to be in a world filled with robotics? We see Mecca maturing into that. I'd love to get your predictions on how you think deployment, diffusion is going to work out in the physical world. And maybe if I can analogize what's happened in the LLM world, there's like a few different ways that deploy codes have happened, right? There's vertical specific application companies. there's the foundation model companies themselves that are scaling up GoToMarket. And then there's all these FDE, Deploy Co., Service Co., whatever you want to call them, you know, just armies of people helping enterprises adopt AI scale. Those seem like the broad vectors that are disseminating tokens across the economy. What do you think the analog will be in the physical world? We believe very much in both the vertical and the horizontal. across robotics. So the full verticals that are very task specific all the way from hardware to models to data, the tackling, we also believe in an ecosystem where there's going to be very vast in different shapes and sizes of hardware of robotics. And there will be different types of open models that exist in the world. I think it will look something like a modern robotics version of a systems integrator, that in a traditional version, you are installing the product. It's incredibly competitive. It's tight margins. There is now a world where you can actually install and help make that product become more data-driven and productive over time. So can you actually have the bot you installed last week do something that you didn't think was possible a few days ago even? Can it help you start expanding the scope of what your business is capable of doing? That's ultimately the milestone that we're hoping to aim for. Okay, but you would tell me as an investor. Now give me some investing advice. You'd invest in both the general and the vertical robots then. Yeah. What are your favorite vertical robot categories? I think the best ones will be the industrial bots to start. Those are going to be ones that already have a lot of traditional robotics in the mix. They're task constrained, like we talked about. Like data center maintenance robots. Yeah, you just don't have to expect a baby to appear and have to think about that and not fall on it, for example. So the world is much more constrained than in the wild. Other categories we're excited about are... Or just... Spaces that are even feasible and possible. early on. And so some of the approaches in the hotels, for example, where you could actually start delivering from the front desk to the hotel rooms, be able to actually have some manipulation to hand off. Um, are exciting to us. and then places that just humans were not capable of. A joke that we make in some of our all hands in the company would be if one day... Mecha was able to help deploy a robot that mines an asteroid, we've probably done a pretty good job. It's just it's just it's a job and a task that completely doesn't exist, that humans can't do, that we have no idea how to do just yet. But it seems inevitable. Yeah, I love that. Reminds me of, you know, even... I'm not thinking interplanetary yet, but you know, like, have you heard of Gecko Robotics? What they do to help maintain ships and things like that? I think it's really cool. Absolutely. Can you say a word on, and whatever you're willing to share publicly, the slate of hardware? [30:00] that you've developed and where the labs currently are most interested in collecting bespoke data? Some of the Iteration came from When we started with the mobile app, We quickly were able to scale that. There were a lot of virtues in that product. The downsides ultimately were you don't get as much rich information about the world as you could have. And so some of the things that we had to develop very early on were things like Waymo-fying people, ultimately. And in this sensorization, can you build things like these baseball caps that are equipped with different cameras and sensors? We build a central hub that then connects to all these different accessories, such as the tactile gloves, external cameras, and more. all of which is trying to capture how do you interact with the world on a day-to-day. and hopefully be able to clone that behavior. Interesting. What is ego verse? Egoverse. So Professor Dan Fay, Ryan Simmer, these are some of the earliest cohorts of researchers that believed in egocentric data. We had the privilege to be an early contributor in that consortium, ultimately, of different folks that think scaling up human data would be important for robotics. And so one, we created a and contributed a large amount of different types of egocentric data across different businesses, industries, home environments. We shared all of the action trajectory data, so all of the post-processing, the computer vision, and the quality gates. And we contribute all the platform and web tooling pretty much. So the data loading, the infrastructure, the data loading, the infrastructure, the data And so it is ultimately going to be Tutu repeats their vision on this is ideally we can bring together a lot of the robotics industry because hopefully we can lift up everybody in this wave and share the tooling, the data and the lessons just because we are so far behind as an industry to get there. Is it fair to say that the robotics industry has kind of converged on a training data mix that is, you know, internet scale data from YouTube and the like, plus a bunch of egocentric data? plus tell me and then plus tell up. And like maybe there was like a triangle of like amount of data on each. I think Jim fan had like a really nice visual on this at a Sequoia event. Is that kind of like the mix that you see? And then amongst your customers? Has everybody kind of converged on a very, very similar mix? It's fun to see that even a year ago, many folks would argue and say, oh, no, it's only UMI data that's going to work. It's only egocentric data that's going to work. And you slowly realize, to your point, all of this is essentially a data pot of soup. And in that pot of soup, all the ingredients are going to be important at some point. I think what we're seeing is a convergence across what that recipe might be today. And that does look like some version of a million hours of human data across egocentric and different sources. different types of modalities, some tens of thousands of hours of UMI data, and then some last mile teleoperation data and in-domain in-distribution data in just a couple hours, even of that demonstration. I think we are seeing that, but over time, and why why we don't subscribe aggressively to even one religion here is that things like tactile data haven't even entered the mix yet. And if there is this belief that these models ultimately will need to learn how much force it takes to apply towards the door handle, for example, these will have to come into the data pot of soup. Simulation will come into the data pot of soup, and they all will be important to converge on. One of the, I guess, objections that I hear most frequently to the types of data being collected are, you know, You could watch millions of hours of tennis data and you still wouldn't. know how to beat Roger Federer. right? And I'm curious what you think of that and what it means for where we might be headed in terms of the way robots learn. I love the analogy of... AlphaGo ultimately when you talk about robots playing tennis you got to talk about robots playing Go. And I think with Lee So Dole and all the work that DeepMind did, at the very beginning, it was large scale. behavior cloning of different experts playing Go. Then the next step was the self-play version of with the rules of the game, can you ultimately simulate all the different ways until you come up with the magic of move 37 ultimately um which was so out of scope of what humans could have thought in that moment on the go. For us, though, in our case of robotics, for for go. The rules of the game... or the [35:00] is the entire... circumference of the world. that you will operate at. In robotics, you have the incredible rich detail that the physical world has, and we ultimately don't have a world simulator that can recreate that today. And so to close that gap, a lot of the egocentric data today is to, one, help us ground the basic physics and the basic behavior cloning that you have to get to. It is also contributing to creating what this world simulator might look like. And then somewhere along the way, I think we will be able to create and have robots playing tennis like Roger Federer. Hmm. Do you think they'll mostly be doing self-play? In simulation or in the real world? I could see a hybrid, ultimately. I think if we can get simulation and we don't have to fully reconstruct the world to its detail right away, But I see self-play both in the physical and in simulation. Use the word world simulator a couple of times there. What are your thoughts on... I guess, what's happening with world models, which I guess are being used somewhat interchangeably with video models as a term right now, but world models and like their contribution to the robot data training mix. I think... the potential and possibility to have what we just talked about in terms of self play to even just dream what it means. to drop a cup and have it shatter without actually doing it. is incredibly valuable. for what could happen. I see the value in that we get to leverage a lot of the work from the internet and YouTube, for example, in this pixel prediction, ultimately. And if we can translate that back into what these action trajectories would be, um, it could help us accelerate quite a bit. Yeah, yeah, interesting. So you mentioned that we've kind of converged on this pyramid of data mix. Do you think this pyramid will scale if we just scaled up? Do you think that takes us to the promised land? And to me, promised land is people like saying GPT-3 moment for robotics. I no longer like that. I just like... When will a robot actually fold my clothes or cook a meal for me? Do you think the current data mix will get us to that point? Or do you think we're like new breakthroughs and algos and data are going to be needed to get there? I think... If we scale it up, some order of magnitude in that ratio, we will solve a lot of tasks along the way. So some of those tasks could be a lot more constrained environments. They could be within business operation tasks, very specific SOPs you give. in that, ideal world where we have a drop in robot and it solves any task by just looking at it, can play tennis just like Roger Federer out of the box. In all of the crazy complexities of the actual world scenarios, like the weather, for example, I think it will be some way and I don't think this is what it will look like, ultimately. What will it look like? Well, we still have so much to add into the mix, though. And I think that is going to be how can we start introducing other modalities to into the mix this is going to be that tactile data i i like the approach a lot of the models converging towards an omni model approach and where you can feed it any type of input that is the observation, whether it is force, pixel, even smell in a very extreme case. and then have some sort of output... in whether it's action, voice, or different types of controls. Are there even chips that can sense smell? It's pretty early. This olfactor approach is very early. But I like to imagine that there's going to be an approach in the world where that gets unlocked. Yeah. The results of, you know, GPT-6, Astra is generalizing incredibly well. to robot tasks. I'm curious what you make of that and what it means for all these pure play robotics companies. Like, are they ultimately just going to get clobbered by the AGI labs and like the bitter lesson is just going to steamroll robotics as well? What do you think? It takes a lot of courage to scale up data. with imperfect information. And I think a lot of these labs have the DNA in themselves to take on that courage. early on. I think what we're seeing and what's exciting is that with the scale up of robotics data and even just adding into a lot of the pre-training mixes of these main LLMs and these foundation models, it really is that you can start to generalize in a lot of different domains. I'm excited about the Omni model approaches where you can introduce a lot of different types of observation, whether that's force or whether that's action trajectories [40:00] into the mix and allow it to generalize, Um, I think there are also going to be a lot of arguments where... you want to be much more vertical. than a fully generalized model that can do anything. So somewhere along that time horizon, Model that can do everything. is going to be very good at a lot of things but some of these specialized models some of these more targeted robotics foundation models might become very excellent into four nines of capability and reliability in some of these tasks. Okay. What I heard reading between the lines just now was... that the... You know, the fact that the latest foundation models are great at robotics is not actually that surprising, in part because there actually is quite a bit of robot data that's been now thrown into the training mix. Is that fair? It's actually quite expected when you think about it. Very interesting. I'd love to close by going back to your sci-fi roots. You started this company because... you know, you can imagine a version of the world with robots everywhere. Paint a picture of what you think the world looks like. I think this was a... The funniest moment was probably when you visited our New York office. And in our main conference room, we have hung up on the wall, actually, the Kawasaki Corleo. I love that. The robot panther dog horse, whatever it is. The panther dog horse. Exactly. So it's pretty much a robot panther dog horse. And it's the most ridiculous video and trailer you've ever seen, pretty much. My favorite part is that you guys convinced Anas that it was actually you and your mom on it. Yeah, there's a clip pretty much where this fantastical Asian lady and her son are riding this green meadow over a little river and the Corleo, this horse dog panther robot, is jumping over the river. And so we told Anas this was pretty much us when we were kids and we generated it. But... What is wonderful is how absurd it is. Thank you. I very much love the philosophy of hitchhikers and just how absurd the world could be and how absurd the future could be. And in this world that is full of robots, I would love to believe that there's going to be such crazy entrepreneurs and people that believe that form factors like this would be interesting. And I think that the shape and size of robotics will look something like a world where we come up with wacky robots that could do anything that you haven't even thought of yet. I love that. Like mining asteroids. Order of magnitude. How many robots will there be in the world in a decade? Many, many times more than there are people. Many orders of magnitude more? than there are people, yes, in a decade plus. 100 billion robots? Yeah. That's really cool. 100 billion panther dog horses. Panther dog horses, at least another order of magnitude more than that. Love it. Awesome, Josh. I think that what you're building is like operationally really impressive and very cool how you are scaling up the data collection efforts to enable data. kind of this robotics golden age and the sci-fi future that you've dreamed of since you were a kid. And so thank you for joining the pod today to tell us. both how you're building the business and how you see the future. It was really fun. Thank you so much for having us. Thank you, Sonia. So we actually brought you a present. I love presents! This is kind of like a full circle moment for us. Is this what I think it is? Who knows? Who knows? All right, you're going to have to open it up on the podcast. Okay, this is amazing. And look at the... Hold on. Can we... You know? I could be one of those YouTubers that does the unboxings. Look, I love this. The mecha stickers are A+. Okay, I think this is what I think it is. Let's see. We're going to actually come up with a series... of mecha figurines. Oh, I love that. Because they're all, like, giant robots... human pilot stuff's That'll be fun. I'm so excited. I'll see if this is working great. I love it. Oh, my gosh. Okay. This is the... This is the Corleo. This is the Kawasaki Corleo. I love this. This is the robot dog panther horse. This is me and my mom on the panther horse. That's right. This is going, we're either going to put it in the podcast room or in my office. This is incredible. I'm so happy. Do it. So absurd. I'm so happy. Thank you. So [45:00] Thank you.