陈志武称养儿防老绑架家庭 现代金融解构传统孝道

再见马云!昔日首富为何选择“隐身”?看完终于看懂商业游戏规则!#财富逻辑 #投资 #经济洗牌 #保命法则 #社会规律 #窦文涛 #圆桌派 #梁文道 #经济 — 纪实万象

纪实万象

传统儒家孝道本质上是抵御生存风险的经济保险,唯有依托现代金融工具跨期配置财富,才能终结家庭依附并赋予子女真正的人身自由。

AI-assisted summary of 再见马云!昔日首富为何选择“隐身”?看完终于看懂商业游戏规则!#财富逻辑 #投资 #经济洗牌 #保命法则 #社会规律 #窦文涛 #圆桌派 #梁文道 #经济 — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Key ideas

  • 前沿科技正从解决效率转向追求“人类永生”,3D生物打印心脏、脑机接口与CRISPR基因编辑逐步突破,但也伴随着昂贵商用疗法与民间低成本DIY生物黑客的分野。 (1:23)
  • 传统“养儿防老”与包办婚姻在经济学本质上是缺乏金融工具时的家庭风险对冲机制;现代养老金、长期护理险与跨期金融配置才是子女与女性摆脱人身依附、获得人身自由的前提。 (30:56)
  • 当代独生子女面临寿命延长带来的双重照料挤压:父母漫长的医疗救治与看护账单无兄弟姐妹分担,待送终完成时自身亦步入老年且难依附下一代。 (39:00)
  • 现代商业与消费主义通过制造“稀缺感”和社交平台“出片率”绑架审美,但生活品质与快乐体验并不等同于高消费,审美阈值的拉高反倒可能剥夺低成本的纯粹快乐。 (68:15)

Detailed notes

## Background 该视频由 YouTube 频道“纪实万象”于 2026 年 10 月 20 日发布。根据页面简介,内容汇集了窦文涛主持的《圆桌派》与《锵锵行天下》江南之行未播素材,邀请梁文道、陈志武、吴晓波等学者嘉宾围坐一堂,在嬉笑言谈中探讨商业规律、生命科技、社会伦理与人生认知等广泛话题。

## TL;DR 节目围绕技术进步与现代社会结构的巨变展开深层探讨。上半场聚焦基因编辑、器官打印与人类延寿技术,辩证反思了科技异化、认知鸿沟以及“技术并未减轻劳碌反让人更忙”的现实困境。下半场由陈志武教授引出对“养儿防老”与传统儒家伦理的经济学解构,指出金融工具对个人与家庭的解放作用,并进一步延伸至养老院困局、婚姻经济功能的瓦解以及现代人追求“生活品质”时快乐阈值被拉高的深层反思。

## Atmosphere & style 全片洋溢着典型的窦式文化沙龙氛围,松弛幽默而不失思想锋芒。对谈在宏大叙事与市井烟火间自如切换,嘉宾们既有对前沿科技伦理的严肃警惕、对代际养老痛点的冷峻剖析,又穿插着分床写作、网购便宜仿汝窑、深夜报复性熬夜等充满烟火气的自嘲逗趣。整场交流既透着洞察世事的通透与苍凉,又保留了市井闲聊般的温暖与快意。

## Bulletin - [01:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=83s) 前沿科技正从解决效率转向追求“人类永生”,3D生物打印心脏、脑机接口与CRISPR基因编辑逐步突破,但也伴随着昂贵商用疗法与民间低成本DIY生物黑客的分野。 - [30:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1856s) 传统“养儿防老”与包办婚姻在经济学本质上是缺乏金融工具时的家庭风险对冲机制;现代养老金、长期护理险与跨期金融配置才是子女与女性摆脱人身依附、获得人身自由的前提。 - [39:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2340s) 当代独生子女面临寿命延长带来的双重照料挤压:父母漫长的医疗救治与看护账单无兄弟姐妹分担,待送终完成时自身亦步入老年且难依附下一代。 - [01:08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4095s) 现代商业与消费主义通过制造“稀缺感”和社交平台“出片率”绑架审美,但生活品质与快乐体验并不等同于高消费,审美阈值的拉高反倒可能剥夺低成本的纯粹快乐。

## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=0s) 马云设想未来机器替代人力后人类每日只需工作两三小时,但窦文涛反驳指出人类天然缺乏知足基因,体力被替代后仍会寻找新事物将自己累死。 - [01:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=83s) 雷·库兹韦尔在《奇点临近》中预测的人类长生三条路径(AI脑芯片、纳米与3D生物打印、基因与神经提取)正逐步变为现实技术。 - [06:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=406s) 基因编辑若被用于优生学与智力/专注力外挂,将引发根本性的生物学不平等,且因不可逆改变人类基因库而绝不能诉诸少数服从多数的公投。 - [11:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=705s) 大量都市人陷入“报复性熬夜”以拖延状态结束,或逃遁入虚拟世界以避开现实压力,日本足不出户的隐蔽青年已超150万人。 - [16:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=991s) 吴晓波分享个人专注法则:在多元投资与生活娱乐之外,始终将商业财经写作视为人生不可动摇的唯一核心主轴。 - [21:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1303s) 纯粹的工程师思维与唯技术论往往只关注极限效率与物理指标,容易漠视基因编辑或毁灭性武器背后的伦理灾难与“人的工具化”。 - [24:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1473s) 消费主义的底层逻辑是“制造稀缺感”而非提供真正的品质,普通消费者常因缺乏感官鉴赏能力而陷入“越贵越好”的名气误区。 - [28:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1716s) 陈志武在家书中明确不要求女儿为父母养老,提倡父母应通过购买商业保险与养老基金自行承担晚年,赋予子女完全的人生自由。 - [30:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1856s) 古代儒家孝道与三纲五常在经济学上是缺乏社会保障时的制度替代,子女作为父母唯一的“养老基金”,其婚姻与人身自由因而被严格管控。 - [40:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2443s) 独生子女在面临父母重病时承受巨大的经济负担与无法床前尽孝的道德负疚感,医疗延长寿命的背后是沉重的照护成本。 - [43:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2624s) 真正的代际独立需要父母克制将子女据为己有的占有本能,而个体的经济金融独立是一切人身自由与权利的物质前提。 - [48:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2899s) 数字化时代长者的知识与经验壁垒被打破,社会价值与家庭话语权面临贬值,但人伦底线始终制衡着功利主义的“弃老”思维。 - [53:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3199s) 婚姻与家庭制度随生产方式变迁而演进:母系源自狩猎高死亡率,父系起于农耕土地继承,现代社会中家庭的生产、抚养、避险功能正被外部机构层层剥离。 - [01:00:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3638s) 顺德“自梳女”历史上通过行业互助、雇主立约存金与合资修建“姑婆屋”,展现了民间早期的自主抱团互助养老智慧。 - [01:08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4095s) 现代餐饮通过计算把及格水准卡在利润最佳点,追求极致品质会面临边际成本暴增,平台“好出片”成了迎合虚荣面子的营销捷径。 - [01:18:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4728s) 追求所谓高阶生活往往伴随着快乐阈值的飙升,懂行与挑剔使得对简单美味和幽默的感知力丧失,而在懵懂无知时探索反而能享受纯粹快乐。

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=0s) The Future of Labor, Extreme Longevity, and the Hype Cycle of Immortality

The conversation opens with reflections on Jack Ma’s statements about the future of education and work. Jack Ma observed that while humans historically worked like machines, machines will soon work like humans, potentially reducing human labor to just two or three hours a day and leaving abundant leisure time. However, this optimistic outlook is met with immediate skepticism.

The panel contrasts everyday survival with the radical ambitions of cutting-edge tech conferences. While ordinary people wonder whether they will make it past age 50, elite science forums are actively debating whether human lifespan can be extended to 150 or even 900 years, alongside reports that Silicon Valley executives are already experimenting with blood transfusions and genetic alterations. One panelist references Gartner’s hype cycle—which tracks emerging technologies from AI to 5G and IoT—noting that while cloud computing sat at the very top of the curve around 2019, the new frontier dominating attention has shifted entirely to engineering eternity:

> “So I asked, what’s at the very top now? It’s four words: 'Human Immortality.' That's your understanding of new tech.”

While real estate tycoon Wang Shi recently dismissed such claims as outright nonsense, the group notes that major technological milestones are quietly arriving.

---

[01:23](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=83s) 3D-Printed Organs, Brain Interfaces, and Kurzweil’s Three Paths

Concrete technological developments are accelerating past conventional expectations. In June, science journals reported that Japanese researchers successfully 3D-printed a functioning heart that resolved the blood backflow issue that had stymied American researchers two years earlier. When asked whether printed organs such as lungs are genuinely usable, the panel affirms that 3D-printed biological structures are functional, though donor shortages persist largely due to extreme financial and logistical barriers.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Ray Kurzweil Singularity Paths to Immortality accDescr: Three technological paths outlined by Ray Kurzweil to achieve human immortality. subgraph Kurzweil["Ray Kurzweil: Singularity Paths"] A["Artificial Intelligence"] --> A1["Brain-implanted chip lasting decades; survives biological death"] B["Nanoscience & 3D Bio-printing"] --> B1["Synthetic printing of functional biological organs (heart, lungs)"] C["Gene Science & Neural Extraction"] --> C1["Targeted gene editing and brain-computer interfaces"] end ```

The discussion connects these advancements to Ray Kurzweil’s predictions in *The Singularity Is Near*, which mapped out three core routes to overcome mortality: - **Artificial Intelligence**: Brain-implanted microchips that record and sustain human cognition for decades, surviving long after the biological body dies. - **Nanoscience and Bio-printing**: Replicating and replacing complex organ systems on demand. - **Gene Science and Neural Extraction**: Rewiring fundamental biology and decoding neural signals.

As an example of neural interfaces, the speakers highlight a Harvard-trained Chinese scientist who demonstrated a brain-controlled robotic arm in Las Vegas. The device captured the user’s deliberate mental intention—akin to trained telekinesis—allowing an amputee to play a piano duet alongside Lang Lang. The panel compares the current exorbitant cost of these life-extending technologies to the early history of penicillin, which initially cost over $100,000 before manufacturing scaled down prices to mere pocket change within a decade.

---

[03:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=194s) Digital Uploads and *Unnatural Selection*: The Battle to Democratize Gene Editing

The panel reflects on cultural depictions of consciousness transfer, citing a British television series where a young woman announces she is traveling to Zurich to upload her mind to the cloud. Her mother assumes she is seeking assisted suicide, to which the daughter responds that what previous generations called death is, in reality, digital immortality.

From speculative drama, the conversation turns to the Netflix documentary series *Unnatural Selection*, which unpacks CRISPR gene-editing technology. The tool functions like molecular scissors made of protein molecules, capable of cutting and splicing DNA to treat genetic diseases and cancers. Over 3,000 babies have already been born using mitochondrial replacement and related reproductive gene interventions. However, commercial treatments developed by pharmaceutical giants carry multi-million-dollar price tags, leaving desperate parents entirely reliant on charity to save sick children.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: The Gene Editing Divide accDescr: Commercial genetic treatments versus the grassroots DIY biohacker movement. subgraph Commercial["Big Pharma Track"] CP["Massive R&D Investments"] --> CD["Multi-million-dollar therapies"] CD --> CE["Exclusive access for the ultra-wealthy"] end subgraph Grassroots["Biohacker / DIY Track"] BP["Open-source protocols & cheap supplies"] --> BD["Kitchen-table kits (7-Eleven / Supermarket)"] BD --> BE["Fluorescent pets & myostatin cosmetic hacking"] end ```

In response to this inequality, a counter-culture of Western biohackers and volunteers is deliberately trying to break the corporate monopoly: - **Democratizing CRISPR**: Developing cheap, open-source gene kits intended to be sold over the counter at neighborhood convenience stores or supermarkets. - **DIY Biohacking**: Demonstrating home genetic modification by engineering dogs with fluorescent, glowing fur. - **Enhancement over Therapy**: Targeting the genes that inhibit muscle growth (myostatin) to let people build lean muscle without exercising, or altering genes to choose cosmetic traits like green eyes.

---

[06:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=406s) The Slippery Slope: Diagnostic AI, Eugenics, and Cognitive Training

The medical application of computational genetics has already shown immense lifesaving potential. The speakers recall a landmark 2016 IBM Watson case in Japan, where a patient suffered from an exceedingly rare gene-linked cancer. Identifying the responsible mutation would have required a human doctor to read a stack of medical research papers taller than the Shanghai Tower—exceeding 300 meters. The AI processed the entire corpus in less than a day, correctly diagnosed the mutation, and saved the patient's life.

Yet the transition from curing disease to human enhancement triggers deep ethical dangers. Modifying traits is complicated by biological pleiotropy: editing gene A might trigger unforeseen consequences in gene B because scientific knowledge remains bounded. More insidiously, deciding what counts as a defect echoes the darkest chapters of historical eugenics:

> “In different eras and places, they’ve always targeted certain groups—what kind of groups might these be? People with speech impediments like me shouldn't reproduce; perhaps they should be wiped out, or even segregated, right?”

Historically, regimes rationalized purging individuals with speech impediments, lower measured intelligence, or specific skin colors under the pretext that they were "dragging down the level of the whole population." Once technology grants the power to design oneself or one's offspring, the question becomes: who gets to decide what constitutes an improved human?

The panel concludes by examining cognitive inequality. A speaker recounts visiting the Harvard Brain Science Center, where researchers are collaborating with NASA and Olympic teams to push human attention spans far beyond their natural limits—training subjects to maintain deep focus for over four hours instead of the usual one hour. With such techniques demanding massive capital investments, the speakers warn that cognitive and biological divides will manifest early in childhood, leaving standard school systems and underprivileged children permanently behind.

[09:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=589s) 基因编辑的伦理困境与“自我找虐”的人性

在谈及生命科学与基因改造时,嘉宾们提到了一个令人警惕的现实:某些原本设想的前沿生物技术,实际上已经基本具备了临床应用的条件,这可能导致部分经过基因改造的人从童年起就变成“超人”,甚至十岁就能读哈佛,造成人与人之间根本性的生物学不平等。窦文涛向吴晓波抛出了一个深刻的人性疑问:纵观整个人类历史,人类是否曾拥有一种强大的能力却选择弃之不用?核武器被发明出来后,虽然二战中投下了两枚原子弹,随后人类竭尽全力制定规则防止核战争再次爆发,但在缺乏绝对约束的领域,人类往往“根本管不住自己”。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 技术解放与人类劳碌闭环 accDescr: 展示科技原本旨在省力,但因缺乏知足基因导致人类陷入更深劳碌和虚拟沉溺的循环。

subgraph TechPromise["技术的初始承诺"] A["技术进步与自动化"] --> B["旨在节省体力、让人变懒"] end

subgraph RealityTrap["现实的演化困境"] B --> C["人类工作时间反被拉长"] C --> D["过度依赖手机、智能终端"] D --> E["陷入虚拟空间与宅文化沉溺"] end

TechPromise -.-> RealityTrap ```

窦文涛提到前几天听到马云谈未来教育,马云认为过去人类像机器一样干活,未来则是机器像人一样干活,人类每天可能只需要工作两三个小时,其余时间全用于休闲娱乐。但窦文涛对此深表怀疑,直言:“所有科技发明本来是让我们更省劲儿,结果你更懒了吗?你更忙了不是吗?”他分析称,手机本是为了更高效地处理事务,却导致大家睡得越来越晚。正如窦文涛所总结的那样:“就算替代了体力,你放心,人是一个给自己找事的动物,就算把体力替代了,最后他们会找别的把自个儿累死。”

- 窦文涛针对技术解放劳动的乐观设想提出反驳:“就算替代了体力,你放心,人是一个给自己找事的动物,就算把体力替代了,最后他们会找别的把自个儿累死。” - 人类一旦掌握某种技术能力,很难主动选择彻底封存不用,核武器的控制已是极其罕见的克制特例。

---

[11:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=705s) 虚拟避难所、“知足基因”的缺失与人体的自知

讨论进一步转向技术异化下的生存形态。随着现实压力的转移,越来越多的人选择逃遁入虚拟世界。如同好莱坞科幻电影描绘的场景,未来许多人可能整天戴着AR眼镜生活在虚拟帝国中,在虚拟世界里扮演帝王将相、呼风唤雨,而在现实生活中却只是一个足不出户的“宅男”。在日本,这种几乎不与外界接触的隐蔽青年已超过150万人,他们一个月内唯一接触的人可能只有便利店的店员,仅靠政府最基础的低保维持温饱;而在中国,人们每日在智能手机和快手等短视频应用上的消耗时间也已极其惊人。

面对这种技术与人性的冲突,嘉宾感叹人类或许在进化中天然缺失了一种“知足基因”,所有的技术改良都源于对自身不够完美的焦虑,但人类实际上远未真正看清自己。嘉宾分享了在沈阳新松机器人工厂的震撼见闻:车间里巨大的机械臂正在组装机器人自己。当被问及为什么同一种机械手臂既能捏起一根针在纸上写字,又能举起巨大的重物时,工程师解释道,人类的手臂拥有三个关节和六个自由度,这本身就是自然界最完美的机械设计,只需替换末端的夹具就能实现所有功能。这让人猛然意识到,人类往往对自身天赐的精妙构造缺乏足够的认知与感恩。

- 日本的“宅男”(隐蔽青年)群体数量已达150万人以上,许多人长达一个月除了去便利店外完全不与外界发生任何社会交往。 - 中国用户在手机上的平均日使用时间已达5小时左右,在快手等短视频平台上的单日逗留时间也相当可观。 - 新松机器人手臂的设计灵感源自人体手臂的结构,其依托于“三个关节、六个自由度”的精妙组合,兼具毫米级的精细操作与巨大的抓举力量。

---

[14:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=854s) 分床写作的幽默自嘲与深更半夜的“拖延哲学”

谈及技术的诱惑与自律的难度,吴晓波现场分享了一段令人捧腹的家庭生活趣事。为了不受干扰地专注写作,他曾与妻子达成协议分房睡,因为两人感情太好,每天晚上躺在床上总有说不完的话,经常不知不觉就海阔天空地聊到凌晨两三点。妻子不堪其扰,直呼“每天跟你聊天,我写书的精力都没了”,于是二人决定分床睡。然而吴晓波自嘲道,分床睡不仅没能让自己早睡,反而睡得更晚了——“一分床以后,我觉得自由了,没人管我了,我拿起手机来跟别人老婆聊天聊得更晚”。窦文涛随即在一旁调侃拆台:“你老婆可能也正跟别人聊呢,一翻手机原来是文涛!”

这一话题迅速引爆了关于当代人“报复性熬夜”的心理共鸣。大家发现许多人一到深夜明明无事可做,却死活不愿上床睡觉,宁愿漫无目的地刷短视频、网购或看无聊的电视节目。针对这种现象,现场分析这本质上是对死亡或终结的隐秘恐惧:“人为什么老熬夜呢?你不愿意去睡觉,是因为你老想延长前面的状态,你不愿意它结束……好像你睡了,这一段就画了句号,所以你想把最后这一截拉长,就像宴席不散一样。”而另一位嘉宾则认为,熬夜纯粹是为了享受白日喧嚣过后的彻底宁静,白天被各种电子设备绑架、疲于应付各种琐碎事务,唯有在深夜四下无声时,灵魂才能真正属于自己。

- 吴晓波关于自律困境的生动自嘲:“为了避免跟我老婆聊天,我拿起手机来跟别人老婆聊得更晚,只能怪自己不自律。” - 嘉宾们解析报复性熬夜的心理动因:“你不愿意去睡觉,是因为你老想延长前面的状态,你不愿意它结束,它在本质上跟怕死是一样的道理,想拖长。”

---

[16:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=991s) 基因红线不可公投与吴晓波的“一书一房”人生主轴

窦文涛将话题重新拉回基因技术的严肃边界。他强调,基因编辑技术绝不能简单地诉诸民主公投来做决定,在当前的全球法律与伦理框架下属于绝对禁区。因为这关乎全人类的基因库,一旦有人越过红线打开了潘多拉的魔盒,人类的基因池就会被永久性、不可逆地改变,这将直接影响到子孙后代的所有人类。因此,这种根本性的技术应用不能遵循少数服从多数的原则,而是必须在获得全人类一致共识前被严格禁止。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 吴晓波的人生聚焦与精力分配 accDescr: 展示以写作为核心主轴,周边衍生商业投资与日常休闲的精力管理架构。

subgraph Core["核心主轴 (必须坚守)"] W["商业财经写作<br/>(一年写一本书)"] end

subgraph Periphery["周边延伸与生活乐趣 (自由发散)"] P1["商业经营与投资"] P2["每年买一套房 (资产配置)"] P3["打麻将、旅行与上节目"] P4["出版业务与多元尝试"] end

W --- P1 W --- P2 W --- P3 W --- P4 ```

对比大多数人在科技时代的迷茫与失控,窦文涛赞赏吴晓波在人生规划上具有极强的自律与章法,并提起吴晓波当年的发家之道——“回国后一年买一套房”。吴晓波坦然承认,当年确实保持着“一年写一本书、一年买一套房”的节奏。针对大家对自己人到中年未来IP规划的好奇,吴晓波坦陈了自己的核心生存哲学:桌上的菜肴虽然琳琅满目,但对自己而言最重要的永远只有一盘——那就是写作。他解释道,自己不可能一年365天全扑在枯燥的写作上,投资、办企业甚至遭遇挫折,都是为了丰富自己的商业观察,为财经写作提供养分。吴晓波直言:“只要把这一件事情管住了,其他事情我都可以放任它自由。”看到吴晓波脸上毫无岁月痕迹且容光焕发的状态,窦文涛与嘉宾们忍不住打趣追问他到底喝了什么“养生不老药”,惹得现场笑声一片。

- 窦文涛谈基因编辑的伦理边界:“这不能靠少数服从多数,一旦有人开了头,人类的基因库被永久改变,影响的是整个人类,所以必须严格禁止。” - 吴晓波阐述自己的人生核心定位:“桌上的菜很多,但对我来讲只有一盘菜最重要,写作是对我最重要的一件事……只要把这一件事情管住了,其他事情我都可以放任它自由。” - 吴晓波明确表示自己不会转行去写小说或话剧,而是牢牢扎根于商业财经这一核心主干,将周边的投资、企业起落以及休闲娱乐(如打麻将、旅行、做出版)视为写作的滋养与外延。

[19:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1158s) 生命的“滋味”与对延寿的渴望

窦文涛与嘉宾们探讨人对活着的眷恋,指出贪睡或贪恋日常细节,归根结底都是人对活着的热爱与留恋。窦文涛分享了自己父母的例子:母亲常年卧床后,父亲感叹生活一下子失去了“滋味”。老人日常的乐趣其实非常简单——曾经两人结伴散步,互相商量穿哪件衣服、哪个颜色好看,甚至平日里的拌嘴打架,全都是生活的滋味。他提到陈丹青曾在上海街头看到一对身体极差的老夫妇坐在那里喝稀饭,在外人眼里他们的生活质量或许已经很低,但看他们喝那碗稀饭的神情,依然能真切感受到他们觉得生活有滋有味,迫切地想活着、想活得更久。

围绕生物科技延长寿命的话题,嘉宾提及“马爷”(马未都)曾说自己“其实挺怕死的”,想等着看现代科技能不能让人真正大幅延寿。窦文涛感叹,相比二十年前,如今社会似乎遗失了许多人文色彩,过去人们看重的文学、戏剧、琐碎情感,现在正逐渐淡出大众的核心视野。但同桌嘉宾对此并不悲观,并举出当年上海戏剧学院音乐剧系的招生为例:音乐剧原属极冷门的专业,全院只招收17人(全上海仅2个名额),却吸引了多达2700人报考。人类对于精神与艺术的追求并未消失,年轻一代展现出了完全不同于以往的生命选择。

- 窦文涛引述陈丹青观察上海街头病弱老夫妇喝粥的细节,展现生命本身对“滋味”的执着追求。 - 上海戏剧学院音乐剧系报考比例极度悬殊:全国报名2700人,仅录取17人,上海本地录取名额仅2人。

---

[21:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1303s) 科技主义、5G就业与工程师思维的异化

对谈转入未来科技对社会结构的影响。有嘉宾提出诙谐的设想:“未来工厂里都是机器人在干活,全人类都搞文娱了。”甚至援引马云(“马老师”)的说法:未来每个人每天最多工作两个小时,想多干还得花钱买工时,其余时间大家只能去画画、玩乐、拍戏。面对大众普遍担忧5G与机器人会剥夺人类工作,嘉宾指出技术演进往往具有自我平衡的能力,例如5G的落地首先需要庞大的基础设施建设与运营支持,预计首先就会创造多达2200万个就业岗位,因此不必低估人类的适应与学习机制。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Technology Progress and Human Alienation accDescr: Diagram showing how technological advancement leads from production shifts to human alienation. subgraph S1["技术发展预期"] A["5G/机器人普及"] --> B["自动化生产替代人工"] A --> C["基建衍生新岗位<br>(如5G新增2200万就业)"] B --> D["文娱与艺术繁荣"] end subgraph S2["技术异化风险"] E["唯技术论/工程师视角"] --> F["专注效率与物理突破<br>(如原子能热量/裂变)"] F --> G["漠视伦理与人文后果<br>(基因编辑/核武器伤害)"] end ```

谈及长寿科技时,窦文涛表达了现实的困惑:“如果技术让你活到80岁再续100年,做100年的80岁老头,不如做个20岁的小伙子。”有嘉宾认为未来基因工程或许能让肉体状态可逆,并坦言自己正逐渐变成一个技术决定论者(Technocrat),坚信科技具有不可逆性,从移动支付消灭银行网点到智能手机普及,人解决不了的问题最终都得靠技术解决。但另一方随即指出,技术是冰冷且具有工具理性的,正如马克思所言技术代表不可阻挡的生产力。德国哲学家的反思也表明,原子弹制造者在实验室里计算的是裂变能释放多少热量与卡路里,完全没有顾及炸弹投下瞬间会杀死10万人。面对基因编辑或克隆技术,技术人员往往只专注极限效率,直至造出成果后才被动反思伦理,这正是典型的“人的异化”与“人的工具化”。

> “我慢慢变成一个唯技术论者。人解决不了的问题,交给技术去解决;技术解决不了,咱们就等。”

---

[24:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1473s) 消费主义的虚妄:贵即是好,还是审美缺失?

对话随后切入商业社会的消费心理。嘉宾指出大众普遍陷入“越贵越好”的认知误区,但事实上价格超过一定门槛后,品质与价格往往已经脱钩。从经济学角度看,商品在市场上的定价核心在于“稀缺性”,而稀缺的东西并不等同于好东西。品牌运作的本质并非要把东西做得多完美,而是利用营销手段“制造稀缺感”,让大众误以为自己迫切需要它;其核心逻辑不是东西真的好,而是“让你觉得它好”。

绝大多数消费者其实缺乏判断好坏的鉴赏能力,只能把价格和名气当作衡量品质的唯一标尺。许多人喝昂贵的红酒却不懂酒的风味,买名贵的衣物却看不懂面料与做工,消费完全是被品牌符号牵着走。如果人能提升自身的审美与认知,真正搞懂物件背后的工艺与材质,反而能避免大量无谓的支出,实现“审美省钱”。窦文涛补充道,一位开高端精品酒店的朋友曾因亏损将酒店转让,原因是能体会设计细节与材质用心的住客寥寥无几;许多暴富的客人自幼生活粗放,无论床垫软硬或桌椅木料有多讲究,他们既体会不到也毫不在意。

面对消费主义的陷阱与商家的诱惑话术,嘉宾总结道:消费者必须建立自己与物体之间的真实感知与信任关系。如果一个人不相信自己的感官体验,就会被商家与网络宣传牵着鼻子走;唯有沉淀下来,用自己的感官去真实触摸、品味一件物品,厘清自己内心真实的需要,才能摆脱被制造的消费欲望。

> “在做品牌——因为我做过品牌相关的事情——我知道做品牌的人最重要的一点,就是让大家觉得这个东西是稀缺的,大家都要的。它不用好,它只要让你觉得它好就行。”

[28:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1716s) 逛街治愈消费主义与写给女儿的信

众人由逛街购物的心理机制展开调侃。购物时需要反复对比、试穿衣物、付出真金白银,在与物品建立真实连接的过程中体会好与一般的差距;窦文涛打趣说这简直是为继续逛街找到了“治疗消费主义”的绝佳借口。

随后话题转入陈志武教授作为经济学家的生活侧面。窦文涛提及多年前读过陈志武写给女儿的一封家书,深感触动。陈志武透露自己有两个女儿,现均已大学毕业,大女儿在旧金山工作了两年半,小女儿回国在北京工作了半年,而他自己在香港,一家人分居三地。

窦文涛指出,这封信最能让当下的“80后”与“90后”独生子女感到宽慰,因为信中体现了极为纯粹的“经济学家式关怀”:父母并不把孩子当作未来的保障。

> “女儿,你们大学毕业以后,想回来我们当然很高兴,但不要为了给我们养老而回来。你们回来只能是因为自己想回来。留在美国我们也高兴,想留就留,想跟谁谈恋爱就跟谁谈恋爱。” ——陈志武(由窦文涛转述)

陈志武在信中向女儿交底,自己早已购买了养老保险、长期护理险,并配置了养老基金,晚年生活完全可以依靠商业养老院或护工来解决。“我们有钱,所以你们是自由的。”窦文涛与嘉宾一致感叹,父母能够自己照顾好自己,在经济和生活上不给下一代施压,就是送给子女最好的礼物。

---

[30:56](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=1856s) “养儿防老”与传统儒家伦理的经济学本质

谈及当年的心境,陈志武坦言自己到了55岁之后,随着年岁渐长,愈发能够体谅传统儒家为何会对子女提出绝对服从与孝道的要求。过去在问卷调查中,往往年纪越大的人,对“孩子必须孝顺听话、不能强调个性”的认同感就越强烈。这背后存在着极为现实的利益冲突:年老体衰后,个体的生存需求越迫切,就越倾向于依赖“三纲五常”和等级秩序来强制规范下一代。

陈志武向年轻人演讲时常强调,传统社会缺乏自由、人权、法治与民主,追根溯源都与“养儿防老”机制息息相关:

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 传统“养儿防老”与现代金融替代机制对比 accDescr: 对比传统社会中依靠子女作为人身投资与现代社会依靠金融市场工具实现养老自由的逻辑差异。

subgraph Traditional["传统社会逻辑(人身依附)"] T1["生养子女(高额人力资本投资)"] --> T2["抵御生老病死(子女即股票/保险)"] T2 --> T3["剥夺婚姻/人身自由(包办婚姻防亏损)"] T3 --> T4["道德宗法约束(三纲五常/绝对孝道)"] end

subgraph Modern["现代社会逻辑(金融工具)"] M1["金融市场(养老险/护理险/基金)"] --> M2["跨期风险分散与财富配置"] M2 --> M3["个体经济独立与养老自理"] M3 --> M4["子女与女性获得人身自由与选择权"] end ```

陈志武将子女比作父母的“保险、股票和养老基金”。父母在孩子身上投入大量资源,晚年的生老病死全系于其身。如果子女长大后追求自由恋爱,嫁娶了一个毫无前途、无法成为“马化腾或李嘉诚”的伴侣,父母的巨额投资便面临血本无归的风险。因此,“包办婚姻”成了维系投资回报的必然制度;虽然“牛郎织女”的浪漫传颂了两千年,但现实中父母必须为子女挑选家境优渥、能承担保障责任的配偶,以防自己老无所依。

> “在现实生活当中,在养儿防老的体系之下,你是不能有选择的……我要是生病了、动不了了,我靠谁?那不行,你必须嫁一个我能接受的人。” ——陈志武

---

[34:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2064s) 金融市场对个体与家庭的解放

窦文涛追问,这种旧式观念究竟是出于自私还是无奈。陈志武强调这纯粹是现实所迫:传统社会缺乏能够分担养老压力的社会化支持,家庭只能被迫承担一切救济功能。

现代社会的文明特征——包括人权、法治、个人尊严——其底层根基在于高度发达的金融市场。正是由于保险、借贷、养老金、股票和债券等工具的出现,人们才得以跨时间、跨空间配置风险,从而把子女从沉重的赡养工具属性中解救出来,尤其是解放了历来处于家庭附属地位的女性。在缺乏金融市场的旧社会,极端贫困时卖妻鬻女,本质上就是将妻女视作变现以求生存的“最后保单”。

梁文道补充指出,恩格斯在论述家庭、私有制和国家的起源时就曾揭示,传统的婚姻制度本质上是家庭财产的继承与交换,欧洲历史上同样依靠养儿防老。但华人社会的特殊之处在于,即便经历了资本主义发展、全球化与金融工具普及,东亚文化中“养儿防老”的观念依然根深蒂固。

- **家庭分担与小政府支出**:在20世纪80年代探讨“儒家伦理与资本主义”时,学者便指出台湾、新加坡乃至中国大陆,政府在个人养老和照护上的公共投入相对较低,很大程度上依赖家庭内部消化,从而压缩了财政开支。 - **香港的“生果金”现象**:香港特区政府发放的高龄津贴被称为“生果金”,数额极小,仅够老人每月买些水果,无法真正承担养老功能;但包括李嘉诚在内的富豪同样有权领取,李嘉诚认为自己依法纳税,领取是公民的基本法定权利。

窦文涛结合自身经历感叹,直到母亲重病后,才深刻领悟到长辈常说的“父母身体健康就是子女最大的福气”。对于如今的独生子女而言,若未来夫妻双方四位老人陆续患病卧床,在现实照料和经济上几乎是不可承受之重。“久病床前无孝子”这句古老而残酷的俗语背后,隐藏着现代家庭面临疾病照护时难以言喻的情感撕裂与现实无奈。

[39:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2340s) 独生子女的双重养老挤压与医疗寿命成本

圆桌围绕中国当代独生子女面临的现实困境展开深入探讨。嘉宾们指出,许多八零后、九零后群体正陷入极其无奈的夹心状态:一方面本身生育意愿低迷或选择少生,另一方面头顶上却承受着赡养老人的沉重负担。随着现代医疗手段与健康水平的跃升,人类的平均寿命显著延长,但这背后的代价是巨大的经济开销与漫长的时间精力投入。过去父母一辈照顾祖辈的周期相对短暂,而如今独生一代需要投入比以往多得多的金钱与照料资源,因为医疗救治与生命延续的各项开销无一免费。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 独生一代双重养老压力与晚年困局 accDescr: 展示独生子女一代在预期寿命延长背景下,面临的上下两端挤压与自规划困境。

subgraph S1["代际压力与长寿成本"] A["医疗进步与寿命延长"] --> B["赡养周期拉长、医疗支出激增"] C["独生子女一代无兄弟姐妹分担"] --> D["独力承担父母晚年看护"] end

subgraph S2["自身晚年规划困境"] E["不生或少生后代"] --> F["无法依赖养儿防老"] F --> G["多重自我投资、商业养老与政府保障"] B & D --> H["父母离世之时,自身已步入老年"] end ```

更残酷的现实在于自身的晚年规划。如果这一代人选择不生孩子,就必须从年轻时便开始多层次布局自身的养老金与投资,依赖社会制度或商业投资度日;而更大概率的现实轨迹是:在倾尽半生精力照顾父母直至双亲离世时,独生子女自己也早已白发苍苍,落入无人照拂的境遇。假若生了孩子,而孩子又践行陈志武教授所提倡的个人自由主义精神、拒绝顺从父母意愿,父母的晚境在传统观念对照下会显得更加凄凉。

- 八零后、九零后普遍面临抚养周期与看护压力拉长的代际结构性难题。 - 医疗技术的进步并非免费福利,而是转化为高昂的照护账单与家庭财务负担。 - “父母走的时候,自己也已经老了”,成为独生代在时间序列上面临的生理与经济双重宿命。

---

[40:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2443s) 上有老下有小的道德重压与张爱玲式的冷眼解构

窦文涛感同身受地结合自身经历剖析了“上有老下有小”的生活实感。他坦言父母如今身体欠佳,自己又因工作无法常伴床前;虽然经济上的支持尚能应付,但心理上的道德焦虑最为折磨人。雇佣护工照料时只要出现一点闪失,或者母亲随口一句抱怨,内心便立刻升起深深的负罪感,总怀疑长辈在暗暗责怪自己不孝。而在子女抚养方面,恋爱结婚时的浪漫憧憬往往在有了孩子后被击得粉碎——人生从自由的流浪模式骤然切换为选择极少、代价极高的硬性轨道,学区房与落脚点成为绕不开的枷锁。

窦文涛由此联想到张爱玲的苍凉视角。许多人看世界带着温情,张爱玲却总以一种近乎冷酷的锐利洞穿人情世故,留下“生命是一袭华美的袍,上面爬满了虱子”的断语。她笔下的母女关系与家庭算计,揭示出传统中国在缺乏社会养老保险的农耕时代,很多所谓的“母爱”与“孝道”本质上不过是出于经济生存机制的制度安排。当今公园相亲角屡见不鲜的父母逼婚现象,以及父母在激烈争吵时脱口而出的杀手锏——“你吃我的喝我的,你就得听我的”,生动暴露了亲情外衣下经济依附关系的残酷底色。

> 窦文涛一针见血地指出:“后来父母讲,说爸妈这是为了你好,我们爱你,既然你吃我的喝我的,你怎么能不听我们的呢?你讲这家伙……一团烂账。确实,在这背后我体会到,人与人之间的经济扶持关系,那真是一个要命的关系。”

- 现代成年子女在养老中承受的非物质压力,更多来自“未能床前尽孝”的道德审判与心理负疚。 - 育儿选择大幅压缩了成人的生活机动性,学区房与阶层资源竞争彻底打破了个人自由生活幻觉。 - 亲情伦理背后常交织着隐蔽的经济抚养账本,经济依赖往往直接剥夺个体的意志自主权。

---

[43:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2624s) 经济自由是终极底气与陈志武的克制式育儿

针对两代人因依附关系产生的伦理纠葛,嘉宾们形成了一个坚定的共识:年轻一代不能仅凭嘴上标榜后现代价值观、空谈九零后的个性与权利,若缺乏切实的经济自立,终究只能受制于资助方的意志。窦文涛随即向陈志武教授提出质疑:当年林语堂自西方归国时,曾极力盛赞中国四世同堂、儿媳向公婆晨昏定省的传统天伦之乐,认为西方那种老年人独居养老院的冷冰冰模式无法与之相比。如果陈教授的两个女儿完全遵从他的自由主义教导,将来只由护士照料晚年,内心难道不会感到一丝凄凉与冷清?

陈志武教授坦诚回应,要真正做到不把子女捆绑在自己身边,父母必须经历漫长而痛苦的心理调适与自我克制。他承认自己内心当然也极度渴望两个女儿能时刻陪伴在侧,但必须压抑这种本能的占有欲:“我当然喜欢我今天两个女儿能够跟我们住在一起,我肯定很喜欢的,但是我不能这样子做,因为她们有她们的人生。”他批评许多中国式家长的自私之处就在于不愿付出这种克制的努力,非要子女放弃自我追求来满足长辈的掌控欲。周轶君与梁文道对此展开了中西文化与家庭边界的对比:

| 维度 | 中国传统家庭互动 | 西方现代家庭互动(以英法为例) | |:--- |:--- |:--- | | **代际边界** | 普遍模糊,父母倾向全面介入子女生活甚至管控财务 | 边界清晰,父母做客喝一听啤酒也会客气征询子女许可 | | **独居态度** | 追求儿孙绕膝的热闹,单独生活常被视作凄凉与不孝 | 习惯独立居住,部分老人甚至厌烦子女长期借住带来的家务负担 | | **晚年社交** | 依赖宗族与街坊广场舞等自发群体生活,充满烟火气 | 崇尚私人空间,但也常常艳羡中国老年广场舞的欢腾与生命力 | | **敬老底层逻辑** | 古代社会知识积累缓慢,长者垄断经验智慧(如古代只许老人吃肉) | 现代信息扁平化,老年人在经验与技能上的垄断壁垒被彻底瓦解 |

> 陈志武教授就代际自由与独立作出了标志性论断:“个人的经济金融自由,是其他一切自由的基础和前提。”

- 个体若无法摆脱对家庭的经济依附,关于自由与权利的讨论在现实权力结构面前都会沦为泡影。 - 真正的现代父母之爱,体现为克制将子女据为己有的天性,为其独立人生主动让渡空间。 - 古代敬老制度(如独享肉食待遇)本质上源于传统熟人社会中知识与经验随年龄单向累积的垄断结构。

[48:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2899s) 长者价值的贬值与“弃老”的社会心理

传统农业社会中,老人往往等同于“智囊团”,是经验与知识的象征,家庭乃至社会遇到重大问题都要依赖长者决断。然而,现代科技与电子设备的普及彻底剥离了这一传统功能,老年人往往成为最不懂技术、最边缘化的群体。窦文涛与梁文道指出,长辈经验一旦失去现实功能,其客观社会价值便不可避免地下降,甚至引发一个残酷的历史命题——“弃老”习俗是否会死灰复燃。历史上很多残酷的恶劣环境都曾催生过“楢山节考”式的弃老习俗,将年迈失去劳动力的老人背上高山任其自生自灭。

窦文涛分享了自己在街头偶遇两个中老年妇女聊天的真实经历。两人谈到古人背老人上山等死的故事,其中一人说道:“背爷爷上山的儿子在下山时对父亲说,‘等你老了,我也这么背你上去’。”窦文涛借此感慨,人类社会的道德约束与孝道伦理绝不可能完全向所谓最经济、最高效的功利安排低头,因果循环与人伦底线始终在制衡单纯的功利计算。

- 传统社会的长者角色:智囊、知识与生存经验的集大成者,家族重大决定的仲裁人。 - 现代社会的剧变:长者沦为数字鸿沟的弱势群体,实用经验在快速迭代中被解构。 - “楢山节考”现象:资源极度匮乏环境下,残酷的人类社会淘汰机制。 - 窦文涛总结伦理对功利的抵制:“Their traditions won't allow it; our values still cannot accept your so-called most economical arrangement.”(传统观念不允许,我们的价值观也无法接受所谓的‘最经济安排’。)

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[49:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2992s) 精神生活的独立与中美养老模式的反思

讨论转入现代养老的困境。社会虽然在进步,物质生活得到保障,但精神维度的失落愈发凸显。像北京大学钱理群教授这样拥有独立精神生活、习惯于阅读写作的知识分子,能够泰然选择住进养老院;但现实中绝大多数普通中国父母,晚年生活的精神支柱完全附着在子女身上,“老两口唯一的谈资就是你”,一旦因子女忙碌而缺少探望与联络,他们便陷入巨大的精神真空与心理荒漠。

陈志武教授结合自己在耶鲁大学任教多年的海外生活经验指出,养老绝非仅仅依赖金融市场就能解决,它需要庞大的社会支持体系与经济配套设施协同发力。陈志武回忆,当年开车路过康涅狄格州小镇上的养老院,常看到八九十岁甚至百岁老人独居其中,场景令人心酸。虽然美国老人同样渴望子孙绕膝,但欧美个人主义文化中“你是你,我是我”的个体边界早已确立:

> “They have their freedom, their rights, and their own lives; I cannot impose my own preferences or demands on them.”(他们有自己的自由、权利和生活,我不能把自己的偏好或需求强加给他们。)

陈志武认为,这种看似“无情”的人际界限,本质上是现代文明将每个公民视作独立个体给予尊重的社会进步,摆脱了单纯基于宗族血缘的道德绑架。

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 养老模式演变对比 accDescr: 对比传统血缘反哺养老与现代独立个体养老的区别

subgraph Traditional["传统宗族血缘模式"] A["父母付出全部"] --> B["子女承担反哺赡养"] B --> C["晚年精神依赖子女<br/>缺乏独立社交与生活"] end

subgraph Modern["现代社会个体模式"] D["金融与社会配套支持"] --> E["个人自主选择机构养老"] E --> F["承认代际独立权利<br/>尊重彼此生活边界"] end ```

---

[53:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3199s) 婚姻制度演变:从母系猎食到父权农耕与职场天花板

谈及家庭契约与婚姻制度的本质,陈志武与梁文道从产业结构的历史变迁切入分析。在原始狩猎采集社会,男性外出狩猎的死亡率极高,一年中可能有一季度甚至三分之一的男性丧命。如果当时按照父系确立血缘并承担抚养,幼童丧父后将无法生存;因此由留守部落、安全系数更高的女性主导繁衍与抚养,普遍形成了母系与一妻多夫制(polyandry)。

当人类转入定居农业社会后,土地生产与重体力劳动使父系继承制占据主导,进而广泛衍生出一夫多妻制(polygyny)。梁文道补充道,例如中东游牧民族的一夫多妻,起初也是为了安置和再分配战争留下的大量寡妇,婚姻制度本质上就是各个时代的社会福利与财富分配安排。即便在表面上父权严密的传统家庭中,女性也往往实际执掌家政大权;反观今日看似追求男女平等的社会,女性在家庭之外的职场中仍面临极为严苛的“玻璃天花板”。

窦文涛则生动补充了商界商务谈判中的常见职场镜像:在许多商务对接中,表面上的男性总裁往往不是最精明强干的,真正思维敏锐、思路清晰且掌控细节的,往往是他身旁那位精明干练的女性助理或副手,谈合作往往需要先过女副手这道硬关。

- 原始狩猎社会:男性年死亡率达 25% 至 33%,催生以母系为核心的安全繁衍模式。 - 定居农业社会:土地资产与父权绑定,私有制兴起,转向父系氏族与一夫多妻制。 - 制度本质:婚姻形式随经济基础与生存环境迭代,是资源配置与弱者救济的社会安排。 - 职场与家庭的反差:家庭地位的上升并不意味着职场玻璃天花板的完全打破。

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[57:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3466s) 秩序重塑下的代际心理适应

社会演进与经济转型的洪流倒逼各种人际与家庭制度变革,但个体的观念调整却往往滞后。现代中国社会正快速从工业制造向数字化与现代服务业迁徙,家庭中代际关系与性别权力结构正在被重塑。然而,中国绝大多数中老年人在心理上根本没有做好接受“老无所依”或“机构养老”的准备。面对未来极大概率进入养老机构、与子女生活彻底物理切割的前景,如何完成心理调试与精神自洽,已成为摆在当代社会转型期每个人面前的一道紧迫课题。

[58:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3506s) 养老院与孤独:群居生活还是“下地狱”?

窦文涛与嘉宾们探讨起进养老院所需的心理准备。对于像陈志武教授这样精神独立、不把全部寄托放在子女身上的老人而言,生活或许好过得多。但在家养老与在养老院之间存在着一道残酷的鸿沟:居家养老极容易走向与社会的彻底脱节。窦文涛感慨道,许多老人晚年最悲哀的就是孤独,“他的天地越活越小,到最后就不出门了”,只能蜷缩在自己的卧室与方寸之地。相反,养老院是一个高度密集的小型社交圈。

面对这种社交环境,窦文涛提出疑问:到了七老八十的高龄,一个人是否还具备结交新朋友、适应陌生圈子的心力和社交技能?他以自己的父亲为例坦言:“他是一个极度内向、孤僻的人,连楼都不下”,如果把这样的老人强行塞进全是陌生人的养老院逼着去社交,“那就像是下地狱一样”。

梁文道随后提到欧美与瑞士非常流行的“老年公寓”模式。这种模式不同于传统养老院,而是一群志同道合的老朋友凑在一起合伙买房或做邻居,结伴养老。梁文道笑称自己见过十几个七十多岁的老人一起开着车结伴自驾游,场面十分欢乐;而窦文涛则打趣道,老哥几个坐在摇椅上聊天,话题往往变成:“我刚才又漏了几滴尿”、“我今天都换了三条裤子了”。

---

[01:00:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3638s) 顺德自梳女与互助养老的历史智慧

谈及结伴抱团养老,梁文道提到了中国民间的古老传统,以自己的祖籍广东顺德为例。顺德历史上有一群特殊的女性——“自梳女”(即早年香港电影《桃姐》中叶德娴饰演的那类“妈姐”):

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 顺德自梳女终身互助养老体系 accDescr: 展现顺德妈姐发誓不婚、雇主设立养老金池、晚年合资建姑婆屋抱团养老的生命闭环。

subgraph 青年与中年阶段 A["立誓终身不嫁<br/>(自梳女/妈姐)"] --> B["进入富裕家庭帮佣<br/>(建立长期人身信任)"] B --> C["雇主定期存入养老积蓄<br/>(合约性保障)"] end

subgraph 晚年归宿阶段 C --> D{"晚年去向选择"} D -->|"遇仁厚雇主<br/>(如刘德华饰演的少爷)"| E["由雇主家庭赡养送终"] D -->|"雇主无法照料/自主退休"| F["集体出资购置房产<br/>(合建'姑婆屋')"] F --> G["整村结盟互助终老<br/>(自主型女性社区)"] end ```

梁文道指出,这群自梳女发誓终生不嫁,在雇主家恪尽职守,彼此之间却维系着极其紧密的行业联结。当时的雇主有一项道德契约,必须为妈姐定期存下一笔养老银钱。到了年老体衰做不动时,若遇上好雇主(如戏里的“少爷”刘德华)固然可以养老送终,但若没有,她们便会拿出毕生积蓄,姐妹们合资建房,形成所谓的“姑婆屋”。整条街、整座村落都是退了休的老妈姐,守望相助,构建出一种高度自治的晚年互助共同体。

---

[01:02:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3736s) 银发族的社会新角色与香港高龄就业的辛酸

窦文涛将话题引向互联网时代下老年人角色的转变。他提到韩国曾利用老年人坐公交半价、时间充裕的优势,安排老人去跑腿送快递;如今国内也兴起了各类“代排队”软件,年轻人的时间稀缺,老年人的闲暇时间正好构成补充。陈志武教授对此持保留态度,认为送快递对腿脚不便的老年人来说并非良策,但这类时间错配确实孕育着服务业的新可能。

随后,陈志武谈及自己对高龄劳动的观察。初到香港时,他十分不习惯看到七八十岁的老头老太还在开出租车或在酒楼茶餐厅端盘倒水,这在欧美国家颇为少见。后来他才明白其背后的经济现实:“香港的退休与养老保障实在太薄弱了,迫使他们不得不活到老干到老。”

---

[01:03:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3817s) 婚姻经济功能的瓦解与“原子化个人”

家庭和婚姻的本质究竟是什么?陈志武指出,家庭、宗族与婚姻并非天经地义、神圣不可侵犯的固定制度,而是随着经济形态的变迁而不断演进的产物。窦文涛感叹,婚姻关系里“谁养谁”至关重要,男女收入的消长在暗中决定着地位与权力,眼下婚姻越来越不稳定,大家戏称“男不缺性、女不缺钱”,传统婚姻的根基已然动摇。

陈志武分析,传统农耕文明的婚姻就像黄梅戏《天仙配》唱的“你耕田来我织布,我挑水来你浇园”——夫妻二人合伙办了一家互补性极强的“微型生产公司”,其经济生产力远胜单打独斗。但现代社会的剧变在于:

- **经济协作功能外包**:日常所需的生活与劳务已被外部多元化的商业机构完全替代,无需靠婚姻捆绑。 - **生老病死避险功能剥离**:传统依靠子嗣与宗族应对疾病、衰老和死亡的保障功能,正被现代金融市场与专业养老机构瓜分。 - **情感与两性纽带松绑**:越来越多都市男女开始反思,是否真有必要通过一张纸来锁定两性关系。

陈志武由此总结道:“所有人都最终意识到,你唯一真正能指望的只有你自己。”现代人不可避免地退回到了孤独的“原子化”状态,如同彼此漂移疏离的孤星。

---

[01:06:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3997s) 经济尊严与家庭职能被剥离的百年简史

面对传统的瓦解,窦文涛依然看到了旧观念的顽强惯性。他观察到一种奇特的现实:在女方收入远高于男方的家庭中,出轨的往往不是女方,反而是男方因为心理失衡跑去偷腥。年轻时谈恋爱总讲究“只看人品、不图钱财”,如今年岁渐长才看清:“一个男人不一定赚大钱,但有一份体面的工作和稳定收入,对家庭稳定至关重要,因为这直接关系到男人的自尊、品格与底气。”

在对话的最后,梁文道与陈志武拉开更宏阔的视角:人类过去近百年的历史,本质上就是一部家庭职能被社会制度不断剥夺、瓦解的简史。

- **出生与死亡**:六十年前的中国人大多是在家中接生、在家中离世,如今两头全被医院承包。 - **教育与养育**:过去没有幼儿园的概念,启蒙与教育全然在宗族与庭院之内完成,而现在早已全面移交给学校与托幼机构。

家庭这一古老的人类堡垒,其原本承担的生产、生育、教育、避险等厚重职责,正在被现代工业文明一层层剥离净尽。

[01:08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4095s) 餐饮的“出片率”与资本的精算逻辑

对谈从生活场景与品质标准的变化展开。以前人们在家里出生、在家里离世,如今出生在医院,幼年进托儿所、幼儿园,家庭角色与社会标准都在不断拉高。嘉宾们半开玩笑地探讨“露馅”对生活品质带来的面子负担:比如平时习惯天天吃麦当劳,若被熟人撞见便觉得跌了面子,许多平价小馆子也因所谓的身份包袱而不敢踏足。窦文涛与嘉宾们剖析道,大众所谓的“品质生活”很大程度上是为了“面子”与“调性”。现代餐饮培训课程甚至专门研究消费者的心理弱点,餐馆爆满的核心卖点往往不是环境或味道本身,而是“好出片”,在大众点评等平台上,“出片”已成为关键标签,让食客只花 85 元就能在心理上获得仿佛消费了 250 元的虚荣满足。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 商业标准化与品质成本悖论 accDescr: 展示餐饮商业在追求利润最大化时设定的标准线,以及突破标准线后所需付出的超额成本。 subgraph S1["商业标准化模型"] A["投入成本 (如50元)"] --> B["达成及格线 (60分/麦当劳水准)"] B --> C["利润最佳平衡点"] end subgraph S2["追求极致品质"] C --> D["边际效益递减<br/>(再加50元仅升至65分)"] D --> E["跨越门槛溢价<br/>(追求70分需付200元甚至翻倍)"] end ```

这种现象令从业者感到无奈,感叹“餐饮”与“美食”正背道而驰。提高品质原本是一种向内的审美体验,但商业社会里提升品质往往变成了“给别人看”。嘉宾指出,现代商业高度精算化: - 企业在计算人员配置、工时与食材成本时,最合理的赚钱区间往往卡在类似麦当劳的及格水准(60分)。 - 一旦打破这种标准化,边际成本会急剧飙升:花 50 元达到 60 分,再砸 50 元可能只能达到 65 分;若消费者想获得 70 分的品质,往往得付出 200 元甚至翻倍的代价。 - 席间有人分享挑选高性价比衣服的偏门诀窍:“买衣服就看刚开张的店,看什么店?富二代开的店,为什么?料子不要钱。”

> “判断品质是一个审美的过程,提升品质是对方为了让我看。”

---

[01:12:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4344s) 美育焦虑、顶层设计与极简的内在丰盈

当品质被进一步绑定至审美与艺术教育时,社会层面的焦虑感被迅速放大。嘉宾提到,如今艺术教育已被纳入中考,家长们无论懂与不懂,都争相给孩子报培训班、排长队看美术馆大展,生怕下一代输在起跑线上。但嘉宾反思,许多孩子虽然从小练钢琴、学画画,却未必懂得音乐和美术的真谛,只是机械地应试,缺乏真正的灵魂触动。

对谈借此引出日本经典儿童美育节目《啊!设计》(*Design Ah*)。该节目集结了原研哉、佐藤卓等日本顶尖设计大师,每集仅约十分钟,拆解日常物件的构造与设计理念。其主创表示,制作该节目的初衷是“为了培养六十年后的设计师”。嘉宾感慨,顶尖艺术家理应弯下腰为基础教育服务,引导大众审美的底层进化。

然而,面对绝大多数现实中租住在几平米逼仄房间的年轻人,过度强调物质维度的品质往往过于沉重与残酷。对谈转而指出,当人的追求走向自我实现阶段时,品质生活可以剥离物质的堆砌: - 生活水平相较四十年前大幅提升后,人们的追求由“吃饱”转向“吃少、吃精”。 - 很多人沉迷于研究豪车品牌与奢侈消费,但真正令人羡慕的反而是物质欲望克制、内心充实丰盈的状态。 - 内在的自洽与个人设定的标准,才是摆脱物欲绑架的关键。

> “培养六十年后的设计师,有时候我们觉得,最顶级的艺术家或者某一个领域最棒的人,不应该去服务孩子。”

---

[01:16:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4581s) 烟火气里的技术含量与多元价值观

话题随后转回街头巷尾的市井日常:吃烤串究竟算不算有品质的生活?有人认为吃烤串拿着签子喝酒缺乏精致感、技术门槛低,但随即引发了反驳。嘉宾们以许子东教授曾提过的排队牛肉面馆为例,论证真正的品质藏在不易察觉的手艺与工夫里: - 那家老面馆半夜甚至天不亮就开火熬制牛肉汤底; - 清晨切大块牛肉二次炖煮,做到肉质酥烂入味却块型不散; - 这种扎扎实实的时间与工夫沉淀,任凭食客暗访抽查也经得起考验。

至于市场上宣称“一碗牛肉面集合了澳大利亚、巴西等五国牛肉”的噱头,大家一致笑称纯属营销讲故事:“我都吃不出那牛肉拿哪国护照。”

嘉宾们总结,价值评价体系绝非单向度的阶梯: - 追求米其林大餐是一种生活,平民百姓起早排队、充满烟火气的地方小吃同样极具品质。 - 世上没有任何一道昂贵的靓汤能胜过母亲亲手煲的那碗家常汤(尽管席间笑称弹幕里肯定会有人吐槽“我妈不会煲汤”)。 - 在穿衣与日常生活里,每个人都不必按照社会预设的鄙视链去追逐虚妄的标准,唯独在住房问题上,受现实成本制约显得尤为艰难。窦文涛最后反问身边的年轻人(晓新):回想当年比现在穷十倍的时候,那时的日子到底算不算有品质?

> “我也吃不出那牛肉拿哪国护照。”

[01:18:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4728s) 追求品质的代价:快乐门槛的提升

嘉宾们谈及生活的“品质感”与快乐的本质。窦文涛与嘉宾聊到,追求所谓的高品质生活往往伴随着某种隐秘的代价。以身边老友老李为例,二十年前在东四十条桥边,他光着膀子吃烤串、大口喝酒,口中谈论着那些听过名字却未曾读过的大哲学家与哲学命题,整个人快乐得纯粹而炽热。然而到了今天,他喝着极其昂贵的红酒,出入高档餐厅,快乐却肉眼可见地变少了。他的要求变得愈发苛刻挑剔,吃饭时不仅对菜品的细微口感吹毛求疵,更把注意力全放在了摆盘、氛围与仪式感上。在深圳某家餐厅就餐时,明明厨师手艺很正、菜做得很好,他却处处挑剔。嘉宾感叹:“你在追求一个东西的时候,你可能就在丧失另一个东西。”

当一个人一无所有、囊中羞涩时,在街头巷尾寻找一碗五块钱的面条,那是极具精气神的探索。即使贫穷,这种不愿将就、寻觅最好味道的劲头本身就是一种珍贵的品质;可一旦随着财富增长,这种精神形态便会演变。当一个人习惯了喝五百块钱的昂贵红酒,便永远失去了喝一百块钱红酒时所能获得的纯粹快感。这种状态就像职业脱口秀演员,因为把所有笑话的结构、包袱和机制都拆解分析透了,反倒失去了像普通人一样轻松大笑的低笑点,不得不牺牲掉对简单幽默的感知力。

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 审美门槛与快乐体验的变化 accDescr: 展示从低阈值单纯快乐到高标准苛求品质的心理转变路径 subgraph 初级阶段 A["街头五块钱面条 / 百元红酒"] --> B["门槛极低、容易满足"] B --> C["纯粹的惊喜与快乐"] end subgraph 进化代价 D["阅历增长 / 追求极致品质"] --> E["分析拆解 / 阈值拉高"] E --> F["挑剔摆盘与氛围 / 丧失简单快乐"] end C -.->|"追求更高品质"| D ```

---

[01:21:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4866s) 二十块钱的汝窑瓷器与网购的纯粹之乐

窦文涛分享了自己最近的新爱好——他很晚才体会到年轻人热衷的网购乐趣,最近甚至深陷其中无法自拔。他上网搜寻的目标是宋代瓷器、汝窑相关的器皿。网上这类商品琳琅满目,从二十多块、九十多块到九百多块钱的都有。因为自知对瓷器鉴定一窍不通,窦文涛干脆只买二十多块钱的仿品。他享受在各家网店之间对比图片、查看描述、与掌柜在线沟通互动的整个过程。

在那些二十块钱的商品里挑挑拣拣,反复对比釉色与器形,琢磨着“这件比那件漂亮”“这个碗可能更靠谱”,这种自得其乐的过程让他非常珍惜。窦文涛深知,像马未都(马爷)这样的行家才是真正的陶瓷专家。他感慨道,或许过几年自己的眼界与鉴赏水平真正提高了,回头再看这些二十块钱买来的小玩意儿,就会觉得它们不过是一堆粗制滥造的碎瓷片;而那种因为懵懂无知而产生的纯真快乐,以后再也无法复制了:“我现在这二十块钱的快乐,就是因为我不懂,才独属于我。”

- 网购宋代汝窑仿品的价格区间跨度极大,涵盖二十多元、九十多元乃至九百多元。 - 不懂行时的“低门槛探索”往往伴随着最大的探索欲,眼界和审美的成熟反倒会彻底打破这种初期的快乐。

---

[01:22:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=4962s) 提高“吃商”的秘诀与川菜馆的隐藏菜单

随后话题转入饮食鉴赏的“吃商”。有人向嘉宾请教如何提升自己的“吃商”、学会挑到真正好吃的餐馆,得到的建议是“必须要不怕麻烦,多交学费,多踩坑”。只有吃得足够多、踩过的雷足够多,才能练就一双慧眼,仅仅扫一眼店面门道就知道这馆子行不行。此外,普通人提升品鉴能力还有两个关键路径: 1. 自己要懂一点厨艺。如果自己会做菜,尝一口便知厨师的火候、调味与用料是否到位;而完全不下厨的人往往辨别不出优劣,只能依赖网络上的网红评分和榜单,极易被花钱刷出来的好评蒙蔽。 2. 结识懂做饭、开餐馆的朋友。

窦文涛和嘉宾聊起一位开川菜馆的朋友。每次大家去店里聚餐都觉得菜品惊为天人,兴高采烈地发到微博上推荐,结果不少普通食客慕名前往后却抱怨“根本没有那么好吃”。究其原因,是因为老板根本没有亲自为普通食客下厨。每当大家光顾时,老板拿出来的都是私房定制的“非卖品”或隐藏菜单:“这道菜在菜单上是没有的。”这种吃私房定制的状态,逗得席间打趣说这简直就像去逛古董店挑“非卖古董”一样,普通人吃到的不过是标准流水线,真正的精妙滋味全藏在这些不公开的私厨小炒之中。

## Notable quotes > [43:44](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=2624s) 个人的经济金融自由,是其他一切自由的基础和前提。 — 陈志武

> [09:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=589s) 就算替代了体力,你放心,人是一个给自己找事的动物,就算把体力替代了,最后他们会找别的把自个儿累死。 — 窦文涛

> [01:03:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4&t=3817s) 所有人都最终意识到,你唯一真正能指望的只有你自己。 — 陈志武

## Mentioned 窦文涛, 吴晓波, 陈志武, 梁文道, 周轶君, 马未都, 马云, 王石, 雷·库兹韦尔, 郎朗, 陈丹青, 卡尔·马克思, 李嘉诚, 马化腾, 弗里德里希·恩格斯, 张爱玲, 林语堂, 钱理群, 刘德华, 叶德娴, 原研哉, 佐藤卓, 许子东, 圆桌派, 锵锵行天下, 特异选择, 奇点临近, 桃姐, 天仙配, 啊!设计, 楢山节考, IBM Watson, Gartner, 沈阳新松机器人, 快手, 哈佛大学, 耶鲁大学, 美国国家航空航天局, 上海戏剧学院, CRISPR, 大众点评, 麦当劳

## Video description 💡订阅我们,换个视角看懂万象: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwiWVn-hZq3_zuOk570kyGA

简介:《圆桌派》节目以圆桌为名,旨在体现圆桌席上人人平等,每期由窦文涛携手三位嘉宾,还原在生活中发生在圆桌旁、海阔天空的精彩聊天。延续真实不“装”的窦式主持风格,立足网络,放眼世间,神侃包罗万象的话题,嬉笑言谈中彼此迸发出智慧火花。 《锵锵行天下》第三季江南烟雨,一路如一副徐徐铺开的画卷。访名山,赏奇石,寻妙缘。窦文涛与老友们浸润在江南的诗情画意中。数十天的路程,在十三集的正片中难以完整展现,有太多的行程与内容难以取舍,所以借由本次《锵锵拾遗》,再次将未播出的素材进行汇编拾遗,将此次江南之行的更多精彩内容奉献给观众,让观众重温江南烟雨中的谈笑风生。 主持人:窦文涛 嘉宾:陈坤 / 周迅 / 蒋方舟 / 王晶 / 梁文道 / 马家辉 / 周轶君 / 武志红 / 马未都 / 张亚东 / 严歌苓 / 汪海林 / 金宇澄 / 李玫瑾

【圆桌派 窦文涛】人性 · 社会 · 认知:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLYxKs_Kmt18U 【鸿观·宋鸿兵】金融 · 权力 · 逻辑:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLcTh2pbxeb-o 【观复嘟嘟 马未都】历史 · 收藏 · 人生:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLOBX8CQ3IYr0 【第一人称复数 周轶君】青年 · 女性 · 世界:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLE0SKDns16wY 【风马牛书房 冯仑】财富 · 经济 · 规律:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLBtYaSLkGpag 【百家新说 尹烨】科技 · 生命 · 未来:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIUyn5AuyYUo 【众生 蔡永康】人物 · 命运 · 社会观察:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIOgZ1dPF0JA 【锵锵行天下 窦文涛】世界 · 文明 · 思想:https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIJzYJ5gZ-HA

#中国未来 #中国社会 #植物 #生态 #大自然 #经济 #推荐 #热门 #经济 #圆桌派 #纪实 #时间 #历史 #文化 #聊天 #新闻 #心理健康 #中美关系 #科技 #经济 #金融 #香港 #台湾 #hongkong #taiwan #民生 #纪实 #纪录片 #窦文涛 #周轶君 #马未都 #许子东 #尹烨 #圆桌派第七季 #圆桌派 #中国经济 #中国内卷 #中国危机 #地方债 #新能源车 #光伏 #经济危机 #中国房地产 #中美竞争 #科技创新 #制度决定一切 #民营经济 #企业家精神 #AI时代

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mTUfRj-jum4)

中文简报

陈志武称养儿防老绑架家庭 现代金融解构传统孝道 传统儒家孝道本质上是抵御生存风险的经济保险,唯有依托现代金融工具跨期配置财富,才能终结家庭依附并赋予子女真正的人身自由。 节目围绕技术进步与现代社会结构的巨变展开深层探讨。上半场聚焦基因编辑、器官打印与人类延寿技术,辩证反思了科技异化、认知鸿沟以及“技术并未减轻劳碌反让人更忙”的现实困境。下半场由陈志武教授引出对“养儿防老”与传统儒家伦理的经济学解构,指出金融工具对个人与家庭的解放作用,并进一步延伸至养老院困局、婚姻经济功能的瓦解以及现代人追求“生活品质”时快乐阈值被拉高的深层反思。 前沿科技正从解决效率转向追求“人类永生”,3D生物打印心脏、脑机接口与CRISPR基因编辑逐步突破,但也伴随着昂贵商用疗法与民间低成本DIY生物黑客的分野。 (1:23) 传统“养儿防老”与包办婚姻在经济学本质上是缺乏金融工具时的家庭风险对冲机制;现代养老金、长期护理险与跨期金融配置才是子女与女性摆脱人身依附、获得人身自由的前提。 (30:56) 当代独生子女面临寿命延长带来的双重照料挤压:父母漫长的医疗救治与看护账单无兄弟姐妹分担,待送终完成时自身亦步入老年且难依附下一代。 (39:00) 现代商业与消费主义通过制造“稀缺感”和社交平台“出片率”绑架审美,但生活品质与快乐体验并不等同于高消费,审美阈值的拉高反倒可能剥夺低成本的纯粹快乐。 (68:15)

Reading summary

本期对谈围绕前沿科技变革、家庭伦理演化与消费主义心理展开,嘉宾们指出生物科技与延寿工程正重塑人类认知,传统“养儿防老”与婚姻机制本质上是抵御风险的经济契约,正在被现代金融与社会分工全面剥离,而消费社会对品质的病态追求亦在推高个体的快乐门槛。 技术狂想与劳动解放的异化悖论 (0:00) 对谈首先审视了马云关于“机器如人干活、人类每天仅需工作两三小时”的乐观预言。嘉宾们将其与硅谷追逐150至900岁寿命、雷·库兹韦尔(Ray Kurzweil)在《奇点临近》中提出的三条永生路径(AI脑机接口、3D生物打印与CRISPR基因编辑)并置考量。虽然日本成功3D打印解决回流问题的心脏,IBM Watson早在2016年便能一天内处理相当于300米高论文量的罕见癌症基因诊断,但高昂的商业门槛也催生了地下DIY生物黑客运动。窦文涛等嘉宾警惕指出,若允许基因定制或注意力强化技术滥用,将从童年期拉开根本性的生物学阶层不平等,重演优生学阴影。 针对技术替代劳动是否会带来闲暇,窦文涛深表怀疑并指出人类缺乏“知足基因”,手机与自动化不仅未使人变懒,反而拉长了工时并滋生出过度沉溺虚拟帝国的现象(如日本超150万隐蔽青年)。技术理性往往只专注物理极限突破而漠视伦理与人文关怀,人类总会通过“报复性熬夜”或自我找事陷入新的劳碌闭环。 “养儿防老”解构与现代养老困局 (30:56) 经济学家陈志武从金融学视角解构了传统儒家孝道与婚姻制度。他指出,在缺乏金融工具的传统农耕社会,生养子女实际上是父母购买的“保险、股票与养老基金”,以对冲生老病死风险;为了防止这项沉重投资亏损,宗族必须依托“三纲五常”剥夺子女的择偶与人身自由以维系经济依附。现代金融市场(商业养老金、长期护理险等)的发展,在底层逻辑上承担了跨期风险分散功能,从而将子女从赡养工具的属性中解救出来,赋予两代人真正的独立自由。 然而,制度转型中的独生子女一代正遭遇残酷的双重挤压。随着现代医疗拉长预期寿命,照料成本急剧飙升,“父母走时自己已步入老年”成为现实宿命。窦文涛结合自身经历指出,即便经济上尚能应付,因无法床前尽孝而产生的道德负疚与心理焦虑依然极为沉重,东亚文化中的情感惯性使得纯粹依靠金融和机构养老难以抚平成年子女的内心撕裂。 家庭功能剥离与原子化生存的孤独 (63:37) 梁文道与陈志武拉开历史维度分析指出,人类近百年的历史本质上是一部家庭职能被社会制度不断剥夺的简史:出生与临终移交医院,启蒙教育托付托幼与学校,婚姻原本具备的“男女互补微型生产公司”功能被商业化服务替代,生老病死的避险职能则归于金融与养老机构。现代人不可避免地退回至孤独的“原子化”状态,且现代信息迭代彻底解构了传统长者的经验壁垒,使得老年人面临价值贬值与数字鸿沟。 面对老龄化带来的精神真空,窦文涛提出让极度内向的老人强行融入陌生的养老院社交无异于“下地狱”。梁文道借此回顾了广东顺德“自梳女”(妈姐)的历史经验——她们年轻时建立行业信托、立誓不婚,晚年则合资修建“姑婆屋”守望相助。陈志武则坦言,欧美社会虽以清晰的个体边界换取了代际自由,但也必须承受养老院独居的凄凉,如何在家庭解构后完成晚年精神的自洽,是转型期无法回避的命题。 商业稀缺陷阱与生活品质的审美代价 (68:15) 转入日常生活维度,对谈剖析了消费主义塑造的品质陷阱。嘉宾指出,商品的昂贵往往只代表制造出来的“稀缺感”而非绝对优质,现代餐饮培训甚至将“容易出片”列为首要指标,以迎合消费者发社交圈的虚荣心理。从商业精算角度看,企业在及格线上利润最合理,追求极致品质往往伴随边际成本急剧飙升,若大众缺乏真正的感官鉴赏能力,便只能任由品牌溢价收割。 追求高品质生活同时伴随着隐秘的心理代价:当一个人习惯了昂贵的红酒与精致摆盘,其快乐阈值被大幅拉高,反而永远失去了喝百元红酒或吃街头小吃时纯粹、简单的快乐。窦文涛分享自己网购二十元宋瓷仿品自得其乐的体验,感叹“不懂”反而保留了纯真探索的乐趣;过度追求分析与极致,有时反而会剥夺个体对生活烟火气与微小滋味的感知力。 本场对话揭示出技术飞跃与资本分工给人类带来的深层悖论:现代科技与金融工具虽逐步击碎了传统宗族对个体的严苛控制,实现了人身与阶层的解放,但同时也剥离了家庭温情纽带,将个体推入原子化的养老孤独与被推高的欲望阈值中;如何在效率至上的工具理性之外重构精神自洽与伦理底线,仍是当代社会悬而未决的课题。

精炼阅读摘要

本期节目围绕前沿生物技术伦理、现代家庭与养老制度的经济学解构,以及消费主义与审美体验的异化展开深入对谈。嘉宾们指出,科技演进与金融工具虽在重塑个体自由与社会结构,却也加剧了阶层鸿沟、伦理风险与精神孤独,真正的品质与解脱取决于内在的认知自洽而非外在符号的绑架。 技术狂热与永生伦理的边界 (0:00) 对话首先审视了人工智能、脑机接口与基因编辑等前沿技术的加速发展。从日本团队成功3D打印解决回流难题的人工心脏,到雷·库兹韦尔提出的硅基永生假说,长寿科技正吸引巨额资本布局;但嘉宾强调,昂贵的商业化基因治疗动辄数百万美元,加剧了生物学层面的不平等,甚至催生以DIY生物黑客为代表的去中心化对抗。窦文涛与嘉宾警示,技术的工具理性往往忽视人文学科与伦理约束,基因编辑一旦越界便可能造成不可逆的基因库污染,甚至滑向历史优生学的危险泥潭;且技术并不能如马云预言般自动让人类摆脱劳碌,反而可能在缺乏约束的情况下让人陷入更深的精力虚耗与虚拟沉溺。 养儿防老的瓦解与金融解放 (30:56) 陈志武教授从经济学视角对传统儒家孝道与婚姻制度进行了深刻解构,指出传统社会的“养儿防老”与包办婚姻本质上是由于缺乏社会化避险机制,父母不得不将子女视作抵御生老病死风险的“保险与股票”,其代价是对后代人身自由与个性的全面压制。现代金融市场提供的商业养老险、长期护理险及养老金工具,实现了跨期与跨区域的风险分散,才真正将子女和女性从沉重的家庭依附工具属性中解脱出来。然而,梁文道与窦文涛指出,独生子女一代正遭遇空前的结构性夹击:医疗进步大幅拉长了看护周期,独生一代既要承担沉重的高额医疗照护账单与伦理负疚,自身晚年又面临少子化背景下的机构养老难题。 家庭职能剥离与原子化孤独 (58:26) 对谈进一步梳理了家庭制度演进的历史轨迹,从原始狩猎社会的母系抚养,到定居农耕时代以生产合作为核心的父系家庭,直至现代工业文明将生育、教育、医疗与养老等功能全面外包。梁文道以广东顺德“自梳女”合资修建“姑婆屋”抱团养老为例,阐述了民间互助共同体的历史经验;但现代都市中家庭核心功能的剥离,正将个体推向彼此割裂的“原子化”状态。陈志武强调个人的经济金融自由是一切权利的前提,但也坦言追求代际独立要求父母主动克制占有欲;对于精神无法自立的老人而言,无论是脱离社会的居家孤居,还是强行融入养老院的密集社交,都可能演变为晚年深重的孤独困境。 消费主义陷阱与审美品鉴代价 (68:15) 围绕日常生活与商业逻辑,嘉宾们剖析了大众对“品质生活”的认知误区。商业营销的核心在于利用虚荣心理和信息差“制造稀缺感”,现代餐饮甚至为了大众点评等平台的“出片率”而牺牲味道本身,企业出于成本收益精算往往止步于标准化的及格线,而追求更高层次的品质则需要付出指数级飙升的边际成本。窦文涛与嘉宾们反思,追求高门槛的品鉴能力虽然能避免被商家忽悠,但同时也会拉高感知阈值、丧失简单的快乐,如同习惯昂贵酒食后便再难体会街头小吃的纯粹乐趣;真正的生活品质不在于追逐昂贵符号与阶层鄙视链,而在于建立敏锐真实的感官体验与克制知足的内在自洽。 无论是面对生命科技的激进突破、传统伦理与家庭契约的瓦解,还是商业消费主义的精巧包装,核心挑战均在于人类如何在技术与资本的工具理性中守住伦理底线与精神自律,避免在追求效率与极致的过程中走向异化。

Source quotes

[43:44] 陈志武: 个人的经济金融自由,是其他一切自由的基础和前提。 [9:49] 窦文涛: 就算替代了体力,你放心,人是一个给自己找事的动物,就算把体力替代了,最后他们会找别的把自个儿累死。 [63:37] 陈志武: 所有人都最终意识到,你唯一真正能指望的只有你自己。

Original transcript

[0:00] Let’s take a question; for example, I [0:02] heard Mr. Jack Ma the other day. Mr. Ma [0:06] is questioning education now, saying [0:08] that in the past, humans worked like [0:11] machines, right? In the future, [0:14] machines will work like humans. He [0:19] meant that people might only need to [0:21] work two or three hours a day, leaving [0:23] plenty of leisure time. But I have a [0:28] doubt; I don't really believe it. Why? [0:32] >> I was at a future science conference [0:34] hosted by another company this morning, [0:36] and what were they talking about? They [0:37] were discussing whether humans will [0:39] live to be 150 or 900. While we are [0:41] here talking about whether we can make [0:43] it past 50, they are discussing how to [0:45] live to 150. Right, I’ve heard some [0:46] Silicon Valley moguls have already [0:48] changed their genes and blood? [0:50] >> There is a curve called the hype cycle [0:52] from Gartner. It tracks all the new [0:56] tech—AI, 5G, IoT—all on that curve. [0:59] They showed it to me the other day, and [1:01] in 2019, the very top of that curve was [1:03] cloud computing. [1:04] >> You said, "Teacher Wu, let's not invest [1:06] in that anymore; it's full of big [1:08] players like Google, Microsoft, and [1:10] Alibaba." So I asked, what’s at the [1:12] very top now? It’s four words: "Human [1:14] Immortality." That's your understanding [1:16] of new tech. [1:18] >> Wang Shi was even saying the other day [1:20] that this is total nonsense. [1:23] >> But have you seen the report in a [1:25] science magazine this June? The [1:27] Japanese have printed a heart. [1:29] >> Printed? [1:30] >> 3D printed. Americans did it two years [1:32] ago, but couldn't solve the backflow [1:34] problem. The Japanese did it in a [1:36] simulated state where the blood doesn't [1:38] flow back. In 1904, Ray Kurzweil wrote [1:40] "The Singularity Is Near." He said [1:42] there are three paths for the future. [1:44] One is called...Artificial Intelligence [1:46] . Implanting a chip in your brain that [1:48] stays with you for 20 years. When you [1:49] die, the chip remains. That’s human [1:52] immortality in an engineering sense. [1:54] The second is nanoscience, where any [1:56] biological structure can be printed. [1:58] The third is gene science. [2:00] >> Can you actually use what's printed? [2:01] >> Yes, everything is usable now. [2:03] >> Everything is usable? [2:04] >> Yes, everything is usable now. [2:06] >> It's all usable. Isn't a printed lung [2:08] usable now? If so, why would people [2:10] still need to donate organs? It’s not [2:13] about that; organ donation is just very [2:15] expensive. [2:16] >> The third is gene science, where you [2:19] extract genes. Regarding brain science [2:21] gene extraction, I heard about a [2:23] Chinese scientist born in the 80s from [2:25] Harvard in Las Vegas. They created a [2:29] robotic arm for amputees that's [2:30] controlled by the brain, even allowing [2:32] them to play piano with Lang Lang. Oh, [2:36] I think I've seen that clip. It’s [2:37] brain-controlled, it’s quite [2:39] fascinating. You mean you still have to [2:41] train to use it, right? You need a [2:46] clear intention in your mind; it's [2:48] almost like telekinesis, forming the [2:49] right signals to trigger the device. [2:53] >> Exactly. [2:54] >> Actually, saving money is really [2:56] important right now. [2:57] >> It really feels like that now. [2:58] >> Isn't it like how penicillin dropped [3:00] from $ 100,000 to a few thousand? It [3:02] was once more expensive than gold, but [3:04] ten years later, it became very cheap. [3:07] Right now, it's like penicillin hasn't [3:09] been invented yet, or it's still in the [3:11] lab. If he lives a bit longer—what [3:13] were you trying to say? [3:14] >> Nothing, I was just thinking about a [3:15] British show I watched recently where a [3:17] little girl tells her mom, "I'm going [3:19] to Zurich to upload my brain," and her [3:21] mom asks, "Are you going for assisted [3:23] suicide?" Because usually, when people [3:24] go to Switzerland, they go for assisted [3:26] suicide, right? She said, "No, I'm [3:27] achieving immortality." [3:29] >> Basically, she had her entire brain [3:30] digitized. Yeah, she... [3:32] >> She said what we used to call death, [3:34] she calls immortality. [3:36] >> Oh, I've seen that series on Netflix. [3:40] You know, I also recently watched a [3:42] real documentary—not a drama—about [3:44] gene editing technology. I forget the [3:48] name. * [3:48] >> Unnatural Selection*. [3:49] >> Yes, it had four or five episodes. We [3:52] could really talk about this, Xiao Bo, [3:54] because it’s explained in a way that [3:56] even someone at our station would [3:58] understand. It means we already have [4:01] the technology; your genes can actually [4:03] be edited. [4:04] >> They can be edited. [4:05] >> It is possible to edit them. [4:06] >> Many cancers are just a matter of [4:08] genetics. [4:08] >> And this film showed that there are [4:10] already 3,000 such babies born. If a [4:12] couple has hereditary diseases and [4:14] can't have children, this is what's [4:16] happening now. So what is it exactly? [4:18] They used another woman, and the baby [4:20] has already been born. This is it. But [4:24] the film explores an ethical dilemma [4:26] that I find really interesting. [4:29] >> He said it's like some kind of protein [4:31] molecule, acting just like scissors. He [4:34] said, but why are countries around the [4:35] world so cautious right now? The issue [4:38] is that humanity has arrived at a [4:40] threshold, where [4:41] >> how can we modify ourselves, [4:44] >> how can we become better? You know, his [4:46] film actually addresses this very [4:47] question. [4:48] >> Some big pharmaceutical companies have [4:50] already used this biology and genetics [4:51] to develop treatments for certain [4:53] genetic diseases, yes. [4:54] >> Millions of dollars. When children get [4:56] these diseases, their parents cry [4:58] pitifully. Without donations, you might [5:00] ask, how can these big drug companies [5:02] be so heartless? But they have no [5:04] choice; their R&D costs are so high. So [5:08] , there are these volunteers in Western [5:10] countries now doing this, which is, to [5:12] some extent, quite bizarre, you know? [5:16] They are saying, we are determined not [5:18] to let a situation arise in the future [5:20] where only the rich can use this gene [5:22] technology, this gene-editing [5:23] technology, to upgrade themselves. So [5:28] they are now saying they want to [5:30] develop this technology and make it [5:32] democratic, making it very cheap, so [5:34] that in the future, you could just go [5:36] to a 7-Eleven or a supermarket, buy a [5:38] few vials, buy some supplies, and do it [5:40] yourself. And then, the documentary, [5:45] the documentary shows a group of young [5:47] guys, you know what they're doing? [5:51] They're modifying their dogs to have [5:53] fluorescent, glowing fur. [5:56] >> Because all they have to do is find the [5:58] gene that determines hair color, [6:00] >> the color of the fur, [6:01] >> he even said, "Oh, I think this is [6:03] terrifying." They describe that, right [6:05] now, for example, if you want to build [6:07] muscle, in the future, you won't even [6:09] need to go to the gym. You just modify [6:11] the gene responsible for inhibiting [6:13] muscle growth, and you can grow muscle [6:14] while lying in bed, or rather, not grow [6:16] long life, but grow lean muscle while [6:18] lying in bed. My God! So he says, [6:21] humanity has reached this tipping point [6:23] , where the technology exists, though [6:25] it is certainly very immature. Right [6:28] now, there are no ethical issues with [6:30] using it for medical treatment, but [6:32] using it for, say, human enhancement, [6:34] >> that definitely has problems. So they [6:37] say in the future, plastic surgery [6:38] won't be needed either. Want green eyes [6:41] ? It’s easy. [6:42] >> Yes, this is an ethical problem right [6:44] now, [6:44] >> it’s an ethical issue. [6:46] >> Back in 2016, IBM had a case where a [6:48] Japanese patient had a very rare type [6:50] of cancer related to their genes. To [6:55] find that specific gene, you’d have [6:57] to read a stack of research papers as [6:58] tall as the Shanghai Tower. The papers [7:02] would be over 300 meters high; no human [7:04] could read them all. But then a robot [7:06] read them, and in less than a day, it [7:08] identified the gene, which saved the [7:09] woman’s life. That was a very famous [7:12] case in 2016, involving gene editing [7:14] for medical treatment. But when you [7:15] talk about changing eye color to green [7:17] or blue, or growing a third arm, I [7:19] don’t know if that’s possible, but [7:20] it’s definitely an ethical issue. No. [7:23] >> But there is an ethical issue behind it [7:25] . First, we need to consider... [7:28] >> The problem is, what you’re changing, [7:30] we don’t necessarily fully understand [7:31] . You think a trait is only related to [7:34] A, but it’s actually related to B, [7:35] and we don’t know. Human knowledge [7:38] has its boundaries. But regardless of [7:41] what it’s related to, we first have [7:42] to define it as a disease. It’s more [7:47] acceptable if we define those [7:48] conditions you mentioned as diseases; [7:50] that makes it easier to handle. However [7:54] , the whole set of ethical questions [7:56] behind this isn't new. In different [8:01] eras and places, they’ve always [8:02] targeted certain groups—what kind of [8:04] groups might these be? People with [8:10] speech impediments like me shouldn't [8:12] reproduce; perhaps they should be wiped [8:14] out, or even segregated, right? [8:19] Actually, their reasoning sounded [8:21] sufficient to them; otherwise, they’d [8:23] claim we were dragging down the level [8:25] of the whole population. [8:27] >> Dragging it down—that’s the [8:28] argument. Exactly. And some people said [8:31] those with lower intelligence, or even [8:33] people with certain skin colors, should [8:35] be exterminated. The logic behind it is [8:38] the same. In the end, who has the right [8:41] to decide? [8:42] >> Exactly, that’s why... [8:45] >> Right, in the past, animals or humans [8:47] couldn't cross that barrier. But now, [8:52] with technology at this stage, looking [8:54] to the future, you might very well gain [8:56] the ability to design yourself, or even [8:58] your children. [9:01] >> You could transform yourself while [9:02] you're still alive, but can you? But [9:04] how do we decide what direction [9:06] transformation should take? That's hard [9:08] to understand. And from a democratic [9:10] perspective, didn't I mention the [9:12] Harvard Brain Science Center I visited [9:14] earlier this year? They are currently [9:16] working on something, which is [9:17] cognitive focus training. [9:19] >> For example, one of their techniques [9:21] allows average people—our attention [9:23] span usually doesn't exceed an hour [9:24] when working on a draft. After an hour, [9:27] you lose focus, or if you need to [9:29] concentrate again, they are currently [9:31] training with NASA and Olympic teams to [9:33] enable a person to maintain focus for [9:35] over four hours. This requires a [9:36] massive investment of money and [9:38] technology. So, what kind of problem [9:40] does that create? We all have children [9:42] who start elementary school at five or [9:43] six. Some kids lose interest in a task [9:45] after ten minutes, while others can [9:47] focus for an hour. [9:48] >> Which means they might be able to [9:49] attend Harvard by age ten. Yes, exactly [9:51] . From the very beginning of their [9:53] education, some are already becoming [9:55] superhumans. Some are human, but this [9:58] is worth worrying about. [10:00] >> This is a technology that is already [10:02] essentially ready to be applied in [10:04] clinical settings. [10:06] >> But let me ask you, Xiaobo, there is [10:08] something very worrying, what is it? [10:12] Given human nature, have you ever seen [10:14] humanity throughout its long history [10:16] possess such potential? That is, once [10:19] they gain an ability, they choose not [10:21] to use it. Two atomic bombs were [10:24] dropped, but look, they came up with [10:26] more ways to prevent more from being [10:28] dropped, or at least tried to prevent [10:30] it. The problem now is that, for [10:32] instance, I still want to ask you. [10:34] >> People can't control it, people just [10:36] can't control it. [10:37] >> I still want to consult you on a [10:38] question. For example, the other day I [10:41] heard Jack Ma—Jack Ma is involved in [10:44] education now—say that in the future, [10:46] in the past, people worked like [10:48] machines, right? In the future, [10:51] machines will work like people. He [10:56] meant that people might only need to [10:58] work two or three hours a day—I don't [11:00] recall exactly—leaving plenty of [11:02] leisure time. But I have a doubt, I [11:07] don't quite believe it. Why? All our [11:10] technology was originally intended to [11:12] make our lives easier and save us [11:14] effort. [11:15] >> To make us lazier. [11:16] >> Lazier, but look at the results, have [11:18] you actually become lazier? Haven't you [11:21] become even busier? [11:22] >> For example, mobile phones were [11:23] supposed to help you process things [11:25] more quickly. Yet this very thing has [11:26] caused us to go to sleep even later. [11:28] Have you thought about this? Have you [11:30] considered this problem? So I think [11:31] there is a question of human nature [11:33] here. Even if labor is replaced, rest [11:35] assured, humans are just animals that [11:37] create trouble for themselves. Even if [11:39] their labor is replaced, [11:40] >> eventually, [11:41] >> they will find something else to work [11:43] themselves to death with. Do you think [11:45] there’s a virtual space? Like in [11:47] Hollywood movies, it’s very likely [11:49] that many people in the future will [11:50] live in a virtual realm. Sitting there [11:53] wearing an AR headset. Building their [11:55] own kingdom, playing emperor or pirate [11:57] king, killing and burning as they [11:59] please, while in real life they are [12:01] just a, a, a [12:02] >> shut-in. [12:02] >> Yes, a shut-in. There are over a [12:04] million shut-ins in Japan now. What is [12:06] a Japanese shut-in? Someone who, for an [12:08] entire month, speaks to no one except [12:09] the person at 7-Eleven. There are over [12:11] 1.5 million in Japan now. How many do [12:13] you think there are in China? They have [12:14] nothing, the state provides a basic [12:16] stipend for food, and then they [12:18] disappear into another world. Today, [12:20] Chinese people already spend five hours [12:21] on their phones. Just like you [12:23] mentioned, people already average an [12:25] hour on Kuaishou alone. But what kind [12:26] of knowledge is that? It's better to [12:28] listen to the original works, hear them [12:30] a couple more times. [12:31] >> But you don't need to worry about the [12:33] time being occupied. People will simply [12:36] divide into two categories. [12:38] >> Think about it. [12:38] >> I’m wondering if humanity is missing [12:40] a gene, what you might call a " [12:42] contentment gene." All of our current [12:44] technology, these human modifications [12:46] —whether you call it genetic [12:47] modification or whatever—are based on [12:49] the belief that we aren't perfect [12:51] enough. But how much do we actually [12:54] understand about humanity itself? In [12:55] reality, we haven't reached that level [12:57] of self-awareness yet. We don't even [12:59] know where that understanding stands. I [13:01] remember the most shocking scene I [13:03] witnessed this year: I was at the [13:05] Siasun robot factory in Shenyang. [13:08] >> You walk in and it’s just massive [13:10] robotic arms everywhere. I asked, "What [13:11] are they doing?" [13:13] >> They told me the robots were building [13:14] themselves. [13:15] >> I asked, "Do they know they are [13:16] building themselves?" They said, "Not [13:18] yet, they don't." [13:21] >> But I asked, why do they say this [13:23] arm-like thing can lift a needle to [13:25] write on paper, and also exert great [13:27] force to grab heavy objects? So I asked [13:31] , why is it all the same arm? They said [13:34] , our human arm is designed with three [13:36] joints and six degrees of freedom. [13:39] It’s the most perfect design; just [13:41] change the palm or add anything, and it [13:43] can do everything. Oh, it suddenly made [13:46] me realize we didn't even know that [13:48] what we have is actually quite amazing. [13:51] Why are we built like this? Why are we [13:53] like this? We haven't seemed to fully [13:55] grasp it. Le Corbusier once drew a " [13:57] perfect human body," but in his drawing [13:59] , the head was quite small and the [14:01] hands were very, very large. It shows [14:04] they were studying the structure of the [14:06] human body itself, and I wonder how [14:08] much we really know about ourselves. [14:11] Actually, people do know. So, you could [14:14] say it's being unsatisfied, or put [14:16] another way, it's the drive to improve, [14:18] constantly moving upward. The problem [14:21] is how to use it; that’s very hard. [14:23] The more technology there is, the more [14:25] it demands your self-discipline. Many [14:29] people know that for a while, in order [14:31] to write, my wife and I slept in [14:32] separate rooms, in separate beds, so I [14:34] could focus on my writing. [14:37] >> Otherwise, I would always go to bed [14:38] very late. Because I love chatting with [14:40] my wife, often until two or three in [14:42] the morning. She said, "This won't do, [14:44] I chat with you every day and have no [14:46] energy left to write." So we slept in [14:49] separate rooms. I thought sleeping [14:52] separately would help me sleep, but I [14:54] ended up sleeping even later. Because [14:58] when I was alone, I felt free, with no [15:00] one watching me, so I’d just grab my [15:02] phone and chat with other people's [15:03] wives until even later. So, to avoid [15:07] chatting with my wife, I ended up using [15:09] my phone to chat with other people's [15:11] wives. I can only blame myself; I just [15:13] don't have self-discipline. [15:14] >> Your wife might have been doing the [15:15] same with others. [15:16] >> Chatting with you? Later, I checked my [15:18] wife's phone, and it turns out she [15:20] knows this person quite well. It was [15:22] all Wentao, right? [15:24] >> I recently discovered that my friends [15:25] have a common habit—do you have it? [15:27] It's when it's late at night and you [15:29] don't want to sleep, even though [15:30] there's nothing important to do. You [15:31] just watch boring TV, shop online, or [15:33] do something else, but you just don't [15:35] want to go to bed. [15:36] >> Do you know what I mean? We should [15:38] include this in our roundtable analysis [15:40] , perhaps the fear of death. [15:42] >> Why do people keep staying up late? You [15:45] don't want to go to sleep because you [15:47] keep wanting to extend the previous [15:49] state, refusing to let it end. It’s [15:52] basically the same principle as the [15:54] fear of death—trying to prolong [15:56] things. It feels like falling asleep [16:00] marks the end of a state, so you want [16:02] to drag the last state out, like a [16:04] feast that never ends. We all want the [16:07] feast to last forever. [16:09] >> That's not really the reason why people [16:10] don't sleep at night, is it? I don’t [16:12] think so. For me, it's about the [16:15] silence. During the day, with all these [16:19] tech devices in our hands, we feel our [16:21] entire state of being is chaotic. There [16:25] are so many things you normally [16:26] wouldn't need to respond to, right? [16:28] Then, at night, you suddenly feel very [16:30] ... [16:31] >> So, look at what we’re saying. Now [16:35] that we have all this biological [16:36] technology, it’s not just about [16:38] individuals anymore; it’s about [16:40] humanity as a whole. For instance, I [16:43] was watching someone talk about [16:45] gene-editing technology, and they said [16:47] this can’t be decided by democracy. [16:50] Currently, it’s illegal—you can’t [16:52] just go around modifying genes. The [16:55] question is, why shouldn't we open that [16:57] door? They said it’s because this [17:01] isn't something you can vote on. It’s [17:06] not about the majority ruling; once [17:09] someone starts, the human gene pool is [17:11] permanently altered, affecting all of [17:13] humanity. So, you can't just go by [17:17] majority vote; it requires the consent [17:20] of everyone. It is strictly prohibited [17:22] right now. [17:23] >> It’s very complicated, truly [17:24] complicated. Mm. [17:26] >> But in comparison, I think Xiaobo has a [17:28] method; he’s self-disciplined. I [17:32] remember Xiaobo saying how he built his [17:34] wealth; he said after returning to [17:36] China, he bought one property a year. I [17:40] ... [17:40] >> Is that what you said? [17:41] >> Yes, yes, I bought a house every year [17:43] and wrote a book every year. [17:44] >> When are you going to declutter your [17:45] houses? [17:46] >> No, I’m asking you now. [17:47] >> No, you’re in your prime years now, [17:50] surely you still want to continue? Have [17:52] you thought about your life plan? Your [17:55] personal IP. [17:57] >> I think I see things quite clearly; [17:59] there are many dishes on the table, but [18:01] to me, only one really matters. For [18:03] instance, writing is the most important [18:05] thing to me, but I can't spend my whole [18:07] life just writing about finance, and if [18:09] I only focused on that, I wouldn't be a [18:11] good financial writer either. So, [18:12] whether I'm running a business, making [18:14] an investment, failing today, or rising [18:16] tomorrow, I feel it's all related to [18:18] this. Look, I don't write fiction, [18:20] plays, or do anything else; I stick to [18:22] this, but there are things around it. [18:25] Writing a book a year, or maybe three [18:27] years from now as I get older, is very [18:28] important to me. [18:30] >> But I can't do this 365 days a year; [18:32] that would be too boring. I still play [18:34] mahjong and go traveling when I should. [18:36] I still appear on your show as I should [18:38] . [18:38] >> I do some publishing; that's how I [18:40] think about it. As long as I keep this [18:41] one thing in check, I can be free with [18:43] everything else. That’s how I view it [18:45] . Do you think you’re living a [18:46] healthy life? [18:47] >> Look at him, he doesn't even have any [18:48] wrinkles, how could he not be healthy? [18:50] >> True, he really is, look at this... [18:54] >> Right, and his spirit is very good, I [18:56] mean... [18:58] >> He’s not wearing any makeup; I [18:59] actually thought he was wearing some. [19:01] >> I feel that for me, this... [19:02] >> Actually, what have you been drinking? [19:04] >> I don't care about this; I don't care [19:05] about that. It doesn't really matter [19:07] whether other things happen or not; [19:08] that's how I think about it. [19:09] >> Right now, I am... [19:10] >> Writing this matters, whether other [19:12] things happen or not doesn't. I'm just [19:14] thinking that the reason people love [19:16] staying up late and stalling before [19:18] sleep is actually a form of wanting to [19:20] live; it's the joy of life. Oh, of [19:24] course, everyone wants to live—living [19:27] is so flavorful! You know, for example, [19:31] my parents—they really understand [19:33] this flavor of living, you know? For [19:37] instance, my mother is bedridden now, [19:39] right? My father feels that life has [19:41] lost its flavor. You know, I asked, [19:44] what kind of enjoyment do old people [19:46] like them have? He said, you know, he [19:48] feels lonely now. He said they used to [19:53] go out for walks together, discussing [19:54] whether to wear this outfit or that one [19:56] , or which color looked better. [20:00] >> Even bickering and arguing. [20:01] >> Yes, bickering and arguing are all part [20:03] of the flavor of life. Sometimes, I [20:06] remember Teacher Chen Tianjin once said [20:09] , that he saw an elderly couple in [20:11] Shanghai, who were in very poor health, [20:13] sitting there drinking porridge. From [20:17] his perspective, their quality of life [20:19] was already quite poor, but watching [20:21] them drink that porridge, you could [20:23] still feel that they found life [20:25] flavorful, eager to live, and wanting [20:27] to live longer. So I was just listening [20:30] to what you said earlier. [20:32] >> Regarding the fact that biotechnology [20:34] has reached a threshold, I find that [20:36] what Ma-ye said might not have been a [20:38] joke after all. Ma-ye said, "I'm really [20:41] afraid of death." He said, "I want to [20:43] wait; I'm waiting to see if technology [20:45] can truly, at least, make me live [20:47] longer and significantly extend my [20:49] lifespan." Do you think we should wait? [20:52] We should [20:52] >> You, I, I just said humanity [20:55] >> How much to wait. [20:56] >> Right, among human insatiability, don't [20:58] you feel that compared to 20 years ago, [21:00] we have lost a lot of humanistic things [21:02] ? The trivial aspects of life and [21:05] emotion that you just mentioned, we [21:07] used to value those things quite a lot. [21:10] In the past, if you liked literature, [21:12] drama, or writing, those were things [21:14] held in high regard; now these things [21:16] are slowly...No need to worry. Let me [21:18] tell you, this year in Shanghai, at the [21:20] Shanghai Theatre Academy, there's a [21:21] very small department called the [21:23] Musical Theatre Department, where Wang [21:24] Yong is the director. Musicals are [21:26] considered small, right? They only took [21:28] 17 people, but 2,700 applied. Would our [21:31] generation have signed up for musical [21:32] theatre 20 years ago? Who knows what [21:34] they'll do later; 2,700 people applied [21:37] for 17 spots, only two spots for the [21:39] whole of Shanghai. And then we look at [21:41] our own generation. [21:43] >> In the future, the ones working in the [21:45] factories will be robots, and all of [21:47] humanity will be in the entertainment [21:48] industry. [21:49] >> Teacher Ma says you'll get at most two [21:51] hours of work a day and have to spend [21:53] extra money to buy more; what else is [21:54] there to do? Paint what you should [21:56] paint, play what you should play, watch [21:58] what you should watch, and creating an [21:59] "Inception" would be quite...hmm. I [22:01] think you don't need to worry, humanity [22:02] will balance itself out. You remember [22:04] everyone saying robots would replace [22:06] humans after 5G arrived? They told me a [22:08] couple of days ago not to worry, that [22:10] after 5G arrives, it will first create [22:12] 22 million jobs. It will first create [22:14] 22 million jobs, because this work [22:15] requires a lot of people to carry it [22:17] out. [22:17] >> Right, don't underestimate human [22:19] learning ability. Right, right, don't [22:21] underestimate it. Nature will still [22:23] find a balance. I believe that when [22:26] humans truly live to an average age of [22:28] 150, a 150-year-old state of survival [22:30] and a new equilibrium will emerge. [22:33] That's what I'm thinking about, but... [22:36] >> You know what the saddest thing is? I [22:39] wish I were younger. You talk about [22:42] future technology, like if technology [22:44] can preserve you. If you're 80 now and [22:46] it gives you 100 more years, living 100 [22:48] years as an 80-year-old man—I'd say [22:50] that's not as enjoyable as living as a [22:52] 20-year-old. Maybe it could revert you [22:55] to that state. [22:57] >> Will it be reversible in the future? [22:59] >> You can't imagine it now. Things you [23:01] can't conceive of today might become a [23:03] research topic for scientists. If an 80 [23:05] -year-old asks, "Can I have a [23:06] reversible body?" do you think no one [23:08] would study it? I think they would. [23:10] >> I've noticed you're a bit of a [23:12] proponent of scientific omnipotence. [23:13] I'm a liberal arts student, but I [23:15] really think technology brings about [23:17] tremendous changes. I truly believe in [23:18] technology itself now. Technology is [23:20] irreversible. Once the internet arrives [23:22] and you're buying things online, what [23:24] are you going to do? Since mobile [23:25] payments arrived, it doesn't matter how [23:27] many bank branches there are. With [23:28] smartphones, you go out whenever you [23:30] want. I think—I'm slowly becoming a [23:32] technocrat. Things that can't be solved [23:34] by people will be solved by technology; [23:36] if technology can't solve them, we wait [23:38] . [23:38] >> The so-called technocracy depends on [23:40] how you define it. Technology is very [23:42] cold, potentially. [23:43] >> Of course, and it's irreversible. [23:45] >> As Marx said, what does technology [23:46] represent? Productive forces. [23:48] Productive forces will definitely move [23:50] forward, and the engineer's mindset [23:51] regarding technology is different from [23:52] ours. I've also read a book by a German [23:54] philosopher. He said those who built [23:56] the atomic bomb didn't think about the [23:58] fact that dropping it would kill [23:59] 100,000 people. They surely didn't [24:01] think about that. They felt that wasn't [24:03] important. What was important was how [24:04] much heat and calories could be [24:06] generated when it fissioned. That was [24:07] the most important thing to them. [24:09] >> Right, exactly. It was only after they [24:11] created it that they thought about it, [24:12] but then it was too late. [24:13] >> You know? [24:13] >> They were bound to build it. [24:14] >> This is called human alienation, human [24:17] instrumentality. When they invented the [24:19] nuclear reactor, they only thought [24:20] about how to maximize its efficiency. [24:22] >> But where it would be used... [24:23] >> Yes, he started opposing it, opposing [24:25] his own actions, yet he still saw it [24:27] through. Take cloning or gene editing, [24:29] for example; he never considered the [24:30] ethical issues. If he had, he wouldn't [24:32] have been able to proceed. [24:33] >> Regarding whether things are expensive [24:35] or cheap, and why people care so much [24:37] or seem to like expensive things, I [24:39] have a different take. First of all, I [24:41] don't believe that more expensive [24:42] necessarily means better. [24:44] >> It usually does, but once it passes a [24:45] certain threshold, I’ve found that [24:47] price and quality have nothing to do [24:49] with each other. A product's price in [24:51] the market is usually, from an economic [24:53] perspective, just a matter of scarcity. [24:56] And scarce things aren't necessarily [24:58] good; they're just things everyone [25:00] wants. So, in branding—and I’ve [25:02] worked in fields related to brands—I [25:04] know that the most important thing for [25:07] brand builders is to make people feel [25:09] that a product is scarce and that [25:10] everyone needs it. It doesn't have to [25:13] be good; it just has to make you think [25:15] it's good. Those are two different [25:17] things, because I’ve increasingly [25:19] realized that the vast majority of [25:21] people don't actually know what "good" [25:23] is. That is absolutely true. [25:25] >> They really don't know the difference; [25:27] they can only rely on the price to [25:29] decide. To them, price is the primary [25:31] indicator for judging the quality of [25:33] something. I've seen too many people [25:36] drink expensive wine who don't actually [25:38] understand wine, and too many people [25:40] buy expensive clothes without knowing [25:42] the first thing about fabrics or [25:44] materials. Too many people spend a lot [25:47] of money on things, yet you’ll find [25:49] they don't understand the process [25:50] behind why that item is worth that [25:52] price. They just want it because it's [25:55] expensive, or it's that brand, and [25:57] everyone knows it's pricey, so there's [25:59] that. [26:01] >> Well, I sometimes feel that I don't [26:03] mind if someone likes buying nice [26:05] things, but if everyone could put in a [26:07] little effort to understand what they [26:09] are doing and buying, and if they could [26:11] learn a bit more about it, it might be [26:13] better—and you might not end up [26:15] spending so much money. So, improving [26:18] one's aesthetic sense and appreciation [26:21] can actually save money. [26:23] >> Absolutely. [26:24] >> Right? It can ensure you get more value [26:26] for your money. [26:27] >> I really do think that, like some of my [26:29] peers who are successful bosses, they [26:31] actually stay in quite simple hotels. [26:34] >> Uh, I have a friend who runs a hotel. I [26:37] told him, "I think your hotel is the [26:39] best in the country; it has such great [26:41] taste." But later, he sold it to [26:43] someone else. He said it wasn't very [26:45] profitable. I asked, "Why?" There [26:48] aren't many guests who understand my [26:49] inner thoughts the way you do. You know [26:53] , many wealthy guests are used to a [26:55] rather rough lifestyle from childhood. [26:59] They don't really notice how soft or [27:01] hard a bed is. We've seen many rugged [27:03] people in life; if you tell them about [27:05] the materials I used for this table or [27:07] this chair, they'll just think, "I [27:09] don't need to stay in such an expensive [27:11] hotel, even if I have the money," right [27:14] ? That's it. [27:15] >> That’s actually correct, because if [27:16] you can’t tell the difference anyway, [27:18] why bother? Right, we can continue; I [27:21] like to summarize, let me make a [27:23] summary. See, the marketplace implies [27:26] one thing: although there is a real [27:28] part, there is a lot of temptation and [27:30] deception, mostly just temptation. You [27:34] see, businesses try to entice consumers [27:36] , saying their product is better, to [27:38] get everyone to consume. But there is [27:41] still a problem here. For instance, [27:45] between the two of us—you are the [27:47] vendor, the developer—you tell me [27:49] this thing is great, and you want me to [27:51] buy it. [27:55] >> At that moment, should I believe your [27:56] words, or believe the relationship I [27:58] build with this object? If I don't [28:02] trust myself, I’ll just believe [28:04] whatever you say, or whatever the [28:06] internet says is good, and I’ll just [28:07] chase that. But if I can settle down, [28:11] build a relationship with this item, [28:13] truly savor it, feel it, start from my [28:15] own perspective, and really open my [28:17] senses, I can experience these things [28:19] and ask myself what I truly need. [28:22] That’s when you slow down. You really [28:24] start wanting what you actually need. [28:25] So, I think it still comes down to the [28:27] issue of building a relationship. So, [28:30] would you say the best way to cure [28:32] consumerism is to go shopping? Because [28:36] if you want to go shopping, you have [28:38] comparisons, you try on clothes, you [28:40] have the act of paying, and you learn [28:42] what is good and what is average. By [28:47] building a connection with the object, [28:49] could shopping actually be a better way [28:51] to cure consumerism? You finally found [28:54] a justification for yourself; I guess [28:56] you'll be shopping more from now on. [28:58] Shopping. [28:59] >> Let’s shop, thanks. [29:00] >> Thank you, thank you. Professor Chen, I [29:03] think he is quite an extraordinary [29:05] person among economists. I’ve had an [29:08] impression of him for a long time. For [29:12] instance, I saw a letter the other day [29:13] that Professor Chen wrote to his [29:15] daughter. [29:17] >> A letter he wrote. [29:18] >> I believe you have two daughters, right [29:20] ? [29:20] >> Yes, that’s right. [29:21] >> Are they both in the United States? Yes [29:23] . [29:23] >> What is their current situation? [29:25] >> Now, both of them have graduated from [29:27] college; one is working in San [29:28] Francisco. [29:29] >> She's been working for two and a half [29:31] years. The other one is in Beijing, [29:33] working in Beijing. [29:34] >> Oh, she returned? [29:35] >> For half a year now, she's been working [29:36] for half a year. [29:37] >> Is she with you then? [29:38] >> Uh, I am in Hong Kong and she is in [29:40] Beijing, so... [29:41] >> We are in three different places. [29:42] >> Mm. I found his letter quite moving. I [29:45] think the only children of today, the [29:47] post-80s and 90s generations, should [29:49] read it; they would likely feel very [29:51] comforted. Why? Because in his letter, [29:55] I saw an economist's approach. [29:58] >> What do you mean? [30:01] >> He said, "Daughters, after you graduate [30:03] from college, of course, if you want to [30:05] come back, we would be very happy, but [30:07] don't come back just to support us in [30:09] our old age.""You should come back only [30:14] because you want to. We would also be [30:17] happy if you choose to stay in the U.S. [30:19] Stay if you want, and date whoever you [30:21] want to date." He said, "You don't need [30:25] to worry about us, because we have [30:27] already bought retirement insurance, [30:29] long-term elderly care insurance, and [30:30] invested in funds, in elderly funds."" [30:35] We have already secured our later years [30:37] ; we can go to nursing homes or hire [30:39] long-term care. We have the money, so [30:44] you are free." Oh, I think... [30:47] >> This is the best gift for children. I [30:48] think parents being able to take care [30:50] of themselves is truly the best gift [30:52] for their children. [30:52] >> Of course, I know it's easier said than [30:55] done. [30:56] >> I mainly feel this way because I am 55 [30:58] now. I can feel that as I get older, I [31:03] am better able to understand why those [31:06] traditional Confucians had such demands [31:08] for children, such as that sons and [31:10] daughters must be filial, and so on. Of [31:14] course, I wouldn't act like that myself [31:16] . But my own growth and the changes in [31:22] my psychological journey allow me to [31:24] understand why, for instance, in many [31:26] surveys we’ve conducted, the older [31:28] the generation, the more strongly they [31:30] react to questions about whether [31:32] children should be obedient or have [31:34] their own personality. [31:38] >> The reaction is very strong. [31:41] >> The reaction was very strong—the [31:42] requirement that children have no [31:44] choice, that they must be filial to [31:46] their parents and take care of the [31:47] elderly. [31:49] >> Of course, I later realized that there [31:51] is indeed an actual conflict of [31:53] interests here. As people age, their [31:55] individual needs grow stronger, and [31:57] they are naturally more likely to favor [32:00] the non-negotiable nature of the [32:02] Confucian social hierarchy and the " [32:04] Three Bonds and Five Constants" in [32:06] terms of values, behavior, and moral [32:08] norms. It means that everyone must [32:11] regulate themselves according to this [32:13] method, find their place, and behave in [32:15] this specific way. Of course, when I [32:18] was writing that letter... [32:21] >> These beliefs and viewpoints haven't [32:22] changed a bit. Even now, when I give [32:25] lectures, I constantly talk about this [32:27] to the post-90s and post-00s [32:29] generations. [32:30] >> The original idea of raising children [32:32] for old-age support. Hmm. [32:34] >> We often say that traditional Chinese [32:36] society was an old society without [32:38] freedom, human rights, rule of law, or [32:40] democracy. I tell them that, in reality [32:44] , many of these things fundamentally [32:46] stem from this system of raising [32:47] children for old-age support. [32:49] >> Raising children for old-age security. [32:51] >> Raising children for old-age security; [32:53] the reasoning is quite simple. I raise [32:55] my sons and daughters, right? And for [32:58] all my future aging, sickness, and [33:00] death...I have to count on them. They [33:04] are my insurance, my stocks, my pension [33:06] fund. [33:10] >> If they grow up and, after I’ve [33:12] invested so much in them, they want [33:14] their own freedom and individual [33:16] choices, and they just go and marry [33:18] whoever they want—what happens to my [33:20] investment in them? This is why [33:24] arranged marriages, by necessity... [33:26] >> Arranged marriages were a must. It’s [33:28] not that people in the past were so [33:30] foolish that they didn't want [33:31] individual freedom or to choose their [33:33] own partners—that would be great, [33:34] wouldn't it? The story of the Cowherd [33:37] and the Weaver Girl has been told for [33:39] over 2,000 years and is still seen as [33:41] our highest ideal. But in real life, [33:45] under the system of raising children [33:47] for old-age support, you cannot have a [33:49] choice. If you marry someone who has no [33:53] future, someone who won't become the [33:55] next Ma Huateng or Li Ka-shing, then [33:57] after I’ve invested so much in you [33:59] and I get old and can no longer move... [34:01] ...and I get sick, what will I rely on? [34:04] It won’t do. You must marry someone I [34:07] can approve of. Who is someone I can [34:10] approve of? Someone who has a promising [34:13] future, and ideally, someone whose [34:14] family has money. We aren't the Ma [34:17] Huateng family, but it would be best if [34:19] they were from the Ma Huateng family. [34:21] Is this—is this considered selfish? [34:23] Or is it perhaps out of helplessness? [34:24] Because you just mentioned telling your [34:26] daughter that a portion of your [34:27] retirement burden can now be shifted to [34:29] the social system, right? You can buy [34:30] stocks, buy funds, and take care of [34:32] yourself. So, our traditional notions [34:34] from the past only existed because [34:36] society couldn't provide those [34:37] functions. You, you said that very well [34:39] . So, in many of the books, articles, [34:43] and lectures I’ve produced, I try to [34:46] explain one core point: the reason [34:48] modern society is modern—with human [34:50] rights, democracy, and the rule of law [34:52] —is fundamentally because we now have [34:54] financial markets. [34:58] >> We have insurance. We have various [35:01] lending products, pension funds, stocks [35:03] , and bonds. There is a wide array of [35:07] financial instruments that allow you to [35:09] manage any foreseeable risk or life [35:11] necessity by arranging them through [35:13] these products. Consequently, this [35:17] liberates your children, and [35:19] particularly liberates women. That’s [35:24] why, over the years, after finishing my [35:26] lectures, I’ve found that the people [35:28] who enjoy these topics most are women, [35:31] because...Because I tell them, look, in [35:33] the old society without markets, wives [35:35] and children... [35:40] >> When in need, you could sell these [35:42] people or sell your daughters, because [35:44] otherwise—in other words, the [35:45] daughter... [35:48] >> Or the wife, in reality, acted as an [35:50] insurance product. [35:51] >> When necessary, you could sell them off [35:54] . [35:54] >> He studies finance, so he views the [35:55] human world from that perspective. But [35:57] in fact, besides China, I suspect that [35:59] most parts of the world followed [36:01] similar systems in the past. [36:05] >> All societies must have been like that; [36:07] otherwise, why would Engels have said [36:08] that the marriage system is actually an [36:10] issue of family property inheritance [36:12] and exchange? In Europe, it was the [36:15] same in the past; raising children was [36:17] for old-age security, because the [36:18] entire social system was structured [36:20] that way. However, what’s unique [36:24] about Chinese-speaking regions is that [36:27] even now, with the rise of capitalism [36:29] and globalization, and the availability [36:31] of the many financial tools you [36:32] mentioned, Professor Chen—or the [36:34] social systems many countries use to [36:36] cover aging, illness, and death— [36:38] people in Chinese regions still firmly [36:40] believe in "rearing children for old [36:42] age." Even back in the 80s, when [36:47] discussions about the relationship [36:49] between Confucian ethics and capitalism [36:51] were popular, many pointed this out: [36:53] why do Taiwan, Singapore, and, to some [36:56] extent, we could say mainland China, [36:58] still count as such? The reason [37:04] government or state investment in [37:05] personal retirement insurance and [37:07] elderly care is relatively low is [37:09] mainly because these responsibilities [37:10] are shifted onto individual families. [37:17] Some scholars even argue this is [37:19] actually a good thing. So this reduces [37:22] government spending. Yes. [37:24] >> Lowering government spending and [37:26] shrinking the scale of government; for [37:28] example, in Hong Kong, there is a type [37:30] of welfare we know as... [37:31] >> Yes, the "fruit money" for the elderly. [37:34] >> The name "fruit money" itself is [37:36] actually quite funny. It is supposed to [37:39] be the equivalent of the retirement [37:40] pension concept in Europe, but it [37:42] serves no such purpose because the [37:44] amount is so small—so small that [37:45] people in Hong Kong gave it a nickname. [37:49] This money is only enough for the [37:50] elderly to buy some fruit each month, [37:52] which is how it got the name "fruit [37:53] money." But even Li Ka-shing receives [37:55] it, or rather, he is eligible to. [37:57] People criticize him for taking it, but [37:59] I think he’s right. He says, "I pay [38:01] taxes in Hong Kong." [38:02] >> Given how much tax he pays, this is a [38:04] right that every Hong Kong citizen [38:06] should legally and reasonably receive. [38:07] Why shouldn't he take it? So, Li [38:09] Ka-shing collects it too. I really [38:12] resonate with this, especially now that [38:14] my own mother has fallen ill. I’ve [38:18] truly come to understand what parents [38:20] always used to say when they’d nag us [38:22] : that your parents 'health is the [38:24] greatest blessing for you children. [38:27] >> Mhm. You can really sympathize with [38:31] Chinese children, especially me, being [38:33] an only child. I think to myself, if [38:36] all four elderly parents were to fall [38:38] ill one after another in the future, oh [38:40] my goodness, how would one even manage? [38:42] It’s simply impossible. And think of [38:45] how much emotional tearing apart [38:47] happens in such situations. You know, [38:50] there’s that cold saying from the [38:52] past, right? "There are no filial sons [38:55] by a sickbed." But once you’ve [38:58] experienced it yourself, you understand [39:00] that this saying isn't meant to be [39:02] derogatory; it’s just a helpless [39:03] situation. Furthermore, we must [39:07] consider that these only children, [39:08] apart from having to carry the burden [39:10] alone, face another issue. That is, [39:12] whether they have children of their own [39:14] . I see many people born in the 80s and [39:16] 90s who don't really want to have [39:18] children, or they are having fewer. [39:21] Just think about what that means: they [39:23] have to support the elderly above them, [39:24] and we must also keep in mind that the [39:26] average life expectancy is increasing. [39:31] In other words, their generation— [39:33] actually starting with mine—requires [39:35] much more time, energy, and money to [39:36] support our parents than my parents did [39:38] for their parents, because lifespans [39:40] have increased. Right. [39:44] >> And what does this longer lifespan [39:45] actually mean in today's society? Why [39:48] are we able to live longer now? Because [39:50] of advancements in various medical [39:52] treatments, but none of these are free. [39:54] So that adds to your expenses, right? [39:56] Looking further, if you don't have [39:58] children yourself, what else does that [40:00] involve? It means you have to start [40:02] planning for when you reach your [40:03] parents' age. So you have to make [40:07] multiple layers of investments; you [40:09] need to prepare for your own old age, [40:10] since I won't have children to take [40:12] care of me, I'll have to rely on other [40:14] investments or the government. But it's [40:17] very likely that for my parents ' [40:19] generation, or the "post-80s" and "post [40:21] -90s" generations now—who I think [40:23] have it the worst—by the time their [40:25] parents no longer need them and pass [40:27] away, they themselves will already be [40:29] old. Yes, they'll be old, and then they [40:32] have...plus, if you have a child of [40:33] your own, and then that child has a [40:35] different mindset and doesn't want to [40:37] follow your ideas—like the freedom [40:39] Professor Chen encourages—then you're [40:41] in an even more miserable position. [40:43] >> Exactly. Exactly. When I heard you [40:45] talking about "having the elderly above [40:46] and the young below," wasn't that just [40:48] describing me? I feel that, regarding [40:51] my parents, their health isn't great [40:53] right now, and I’m not there by their [40:55] side. Beyond the financial arrangements [40:58] you mentioned—which are actually [41:00] manageable—it’s more about the [41:02] emotional side of things. [41:05] >> Whether you find someone to care for [41:06] them or hire help, whenever the [41:08] slightest problem arises, the moment my [41:10] mom complains, I think, "Are you [41:12] blaming me?" Because I'm not there. But [41:15] this is so hard to arrange; it's a kind [41:17] of moral pressure. And when it comes to [41:20] children, you realize that when we were [41:22] dating or getting married, it was all [41:24] about emotions and romance, everything [41:25] was great. But once you're married and [41:27] have kids, you suddenly realize, "My [41:29] god, I've chosen a completely different [41:31] way of life," a lifestyle with very few [41:33] choices but an extremely high price. [41:35] Because once you have children, you can [41:37] forget about the idea of the two of you [41:38] living a carefree, nomadic life— [41:40] that’s just not going to happen. You [41:41] have to find a place to live, whether [41:43] it's in a good school district or [41:44] whatever else. You will definitely take [41:46] it into consideration, regardless of [41:47] the different tiers or levels, you'll [41:49] surely think about these things because [41:50] you can't just ignore your kids. [41:51] >> But if you don't have children, there [41:53] are different circumstances, just like [41:54] I mentioned earlier. Some people don't [41:56] have kids now, so you can't rely on [41:57] raising children to provide for your [41:58] old age. [41:58] >> That’s why I’m telling you, [42:00] Professor Chen is isolated. [42:01] >> Professor Chen's theory—my mind likes [42:03] to wander, you know? When I look at his [42:05] theory, I often think of a female [42:07] writer, Eileen Chang. Yeah. [42:09] >> It gives me a chilling feeling, you [42:11] understand? If you look at Eileen [42:13] Chang's famous quotes, some people look [42:15] at the world with warmth, but Eileen [42:17] Chang views the world with a cold eye. [42:20] She has a famous saying: "Life is like [42:22] a gorgeous robe,"" [42:23] >> full of lice." And she wrote about her [42:27] own family relationships. Many things [42:31] we consider love, maternal love, or [42:33] filial piety, if you look at it from an [42:35] economic perspective, it was just a [42:37] method used in ancient China when there [42:39] was no pension insurance. And then, [42:43] look at how Eileen Chang describes the [42:44] relationship with her mother. I can't [42:47] help but think of some children today [42:49] who have this problem; there was a time [42:50] when they couldn't be controlled. Do [42:53] you know there’s a new phenomenon now [42:54] ? Some children, I think it’s truly [42:57] something—parents go to the [42:58] matchmaking corner in the park to find [43:00] you a match, saying you must marry them [43:02] , right? They say that for only [43:05] children, I saw them write online, the [43:07] one sentence you can't argue with. [43:10] It’s when parents get into a heated [43:12] argument and say, "You're eating my [43:13] food and drinking my water, so you have [43:15] to listen to me." When you hear that, [43:18] you feel a bit defeated. Are you really [43:20] just a child living off your parents? [43:22] You're living in their house, and [43:24] you're even still spending their money. [43:26] Sigh, the logic behind this...sigh... [43:28] earlier, the parents say, "Dad and Mom [43:29] are doing this for your own good, we [43:31] love you, and since you're eating and [43:33] drinking on us, how can you not listen [43:35] to us?" You say this guy is...it's a [43:37] mess. Indeed, behind this, I realized [43:39] that the relationship of financial [43:41] support between people is a truly [43:43] critical one. [43:44] >> Regardless of what school of thought [43:46] we're talking about. [43:47] >> And so, that is why in the end [43:50] >> Individual economic and financial [43:51] freedom is the foundation and [43:53] prerequisite for all other freedoms. [43:56] >> Mm. Don't just say, "I'm part of the [43:59] post-90s generation, I need to have my [44:02] own personality; we are the new [44:04] generation, modern people, and you post [44:06] -50s, 60s, and 70s are all too old, you [44:09] don't understand these rights and [44:11] freedoms." But if these young people [44:16] don't have their own way of achieving [44:18] financial and economic freedom, in the [44:20] end, they obviously have to do whatever [44:22] their parents want them to do. [44:26] Listening to your words, I still have [44:28] one question. For instance, I remember [44:31] Lin Yutang, back in the Republic of [44:33] China era, he praised China after [44:35] returning from the West. He felt that [44:38] while Western elderly people might end [44:40] up in nursing homes, nothing could [44:42] compare to the warmth of a Chinese [44:44] family where four generations live [44:46] together and a daughter-in-law has to [44:48] greet the elders. So, for example, as [44:50] you said, if your two daughters really [44:52] listen to your inner thoughts, then in [44:54] your old age you will indeed have [44:56] nurses taking care of you. Don't you [44:59] find that bleak? [45:02] >> Ah, so for everyone to truly achieve [45:04] this, one needs to do a lot of their [45:07] own... [45:09] >> Psychological. [45:10] >> Psychological adjustments and personal [45:12] reflection. Do I like the idea of my [45:14] daughters living with us today? Of [45:16] course, I certainly would. But I can't [45:20] do that, because they have their own [45:22] lives. They are still so young, with [45:25] decades or even a hundred years ahead [45:27] of them; how are they supposed to live? [45:31] I can't just say, according to my [45:33] preferences, you must forget who you [45:35] are, forget your own interests, forget [45:37] the kind of life you want to lead, and [45:40] just come here and follow the path I [45:42] think is best for you. This is [45:45] something I know many Chinese parents [45:47] are. [45:48] >> Very selfish, and they put in too [45:50] little effort [in that regard]. [45:52] >> Yes, that's very interesting. [45:53] >> Because I originally thought it was [45:55] just a difference in personality; I [45:56] thought some parents could truly manage [45:58] without needing their children's care, [46:00] but now hearing you say this, it's [46:01] actually that you are restraining [46:02] yourself from interfering. [46:03] >> Of course. Is that so? Because I— [46:06] because I—sometimes I see, for [46:07] example, in Europe, some elderly people [46:09] I see have very strong personalities, [46:12] like my mother-in-law, for instance; [46:14] she lives alone in a large house, and I [46:16] always assumed she really didn't need [46:18] us to take care of her. It’s not [46:20] really that; I’m just used to [46:21] foreigners. I have a friend who married [46:24] a French man, and his parents—or [46:26] rather, his in-laws—traveled a long [46:28] way for the holidays, driving two hours [46:30] to visit them. When they arrived and [46:33] opened the door, even to have a beer, [46:35] they would ask their son, "May I have a [46:37] beer?" It’s always like that; [46:39] there’s a sense of distance, though [46:41] perhaps that’s not entirely how they [46:43] feel deep down. As I just heard, and [46:45] it’s quite interesting, they do [46:46] sometimes envy the liveliness of the [46:48] Chinese people. Take square dancing, [46:50] for example; to them, it looks like, " [46:52] Wow, their evening life is so joyful." [46:54] >> They really like that. [46:55] >> That’s true. I’ve taken foreigners [46:57] to see square dancing in Beijing, and [46:59] they were so excited, saying, "Oh my [47:01] God, I want to join in." They even [47:03] asked me, "Can you let me out of the [47:04] car to go in?" I told them, "Are you [47:06] sure?" And they all backed away. But I [47:08] want to circle back to the fact that [47:10] sometimes it really comes down to [47:11] personality. Just as you mentioned, [47:14] there are boundaries; I’ve even met [47:16] parents who actually get annoyed when [47:18] their children come to visit. They feel [47:23] their life is just fine, and when the [47:25] kids say they want to come back for a [47:26] month, they think, "Oh my God, the [47:28] daughter-in-law or son-in-law is coming [47:30] ," and they find it troublesome to have [47:32] another person in the house. But others [47:38] are the complete opposite—they want [47:40] to control everything, even demanding [47:41] that you hand over all the money you [47:43] earn. Personalities really vary. But [47:47] what I want to say is that beyond the [47:49] differences caused by personality, [47:51] there are some institutional and [47:52] historical arrangements in human [47:54] history that I find quite unique. For [47:56] instance, why raise the next generation [47:58] ? Why respect the elderly and support [48:00] them in their old age? The elderly— [48:02] for example, China has revered the [48:03] elderly since ancient times, right? In [48:05] the past, sometimes only the elders [48:07] were allowed to eat meat. So, why did [48:09] they do that? Often, it’s because in [48:11] past societies, the accumulation of [48:13] knowledge was purely related to age. [48:15] Experience is wisdom, isn't it? [48:17] Knowledge is accumulated over time, so [48:19] the older you live, the wiser you are; [48:21] at the very least, the more knowledge [48:23] you possess. A think tank—they were [48:26] like a think tank. That’s why elders [48:28] are called elders; you rely on them to [48:30] solve many of the problems that arise [48:32] in our society or our families. But the [48:34] problem is, today that function has [48:35] been completely stripped away. Elders [48:37] aren't necessarily the wisest; they are [48:39] often the least tech-savvy, and they [48:40] don't always know how to use various [48:42] electronic devices. [48:43] >> Right, and their experience has become [48:45] meaningless. [48:45] >> In this situation, the objective value [48:47] of the elderly themselves is declining. [48:50] So, a question arises: could " [48:52] abandoning the elderly" happen again? [48:56] Could it re-emerge? To put it brutally, [48:58] throughout human history, there have [49:00] been societies where the value of [49:02] elders' experience wasn't important [49:03] because the environment was too harsh [49:05] and conditions too cruel, much like the [49:07] "Narayama" story. [49:09] >> So, their society developed a custom— [49:11] a practice that actually existed—of [49:13] carrying the elderly up a mountain. [49:15] >> To wait for death. [49:16] >> To wait for death. Let me interject [49:17] here: one night on the street, I heard [49:19] two people talking behind me, probably [49:21] two middle-aged or elderly women. They [49:23] were discussing this very thing—they [49:25] didn't know where they saw it—and [49:26] they asked, "Have you heard this story? [49:28] ""They say when people got old, they [49:30] would carry them up a mountain and let [49:31] them wait to die." [49:32] >> Then they added, "But do you know what? [49:34] " It was about a son and his father [49:35] carrying the grandfather up the [49:37] mountain, and on the way down, the son [49:39] said to his father, "When you get old, [49:40] I'll carry you up just like this." The [49:42] point is, don't think that just because [49:44] a society does that, you won't face [49:46] karma. Their traditions won't allow it; [49:48] our values still cannot accept your [49:49] so-called most economical arrangement. [49:52] >> Death is one thing, but there's also [49:54] the issue of elder care. Actually, like [49:57] Professor Chen said that day, many [49:59] problems today, when viewed from [50:00] another angle, show that society is [50:02] improving. Mm. [50:04] >> It's improving. People's needs—caring [50:06] for the elderly, providing a peaceful [50:09] end, fulfilling filial piety—and the [50:11] bonds between parents and children, all [50:13] these things... [50:15] >> How should I put it? For instance, I [50:18] feel that today's parents in China, [50:20] like Professor Qian Liqun from Peking [50:21] University, I've found that those like [50:23] you... [50:25] >> Who are well-educated and have their [50:26] own reading habits—who actually have [50:28] their own spiritual lives—can say, " [50:30] I'll go to a nursing home; I don't need [50:32] my children." Mm, it's fine, because [50:34] they can live their own lives. But you [50:37] know, what are many of the parents [50:39] around us like? When they reach their [50:43] twilight years, the only topic of [50:44] conversation for an old couple is you. [50:46] >> Right. [50:47] >> Nothing else. [50:48] >> They have nothing else independent. [50:49] >> There is nothing else in their world. [50:51] So, if they are bedridden and dependent [50:53] on each other, but don't see their [50:55] children for a long time, and you don't [50:57] even get a phone call—I mean, I [50:58] wouldn't even say a phone call, they [51:00] rarely call at all—then you could say [51:02] their physical needs are being met, but [51:04] what about their psychological needs? [51:07] >> Yes, yes, so, that's why, having lived [51:09] in the United States for so many years. [51:15] In the small town where I used to live, [51:17] I would drive past a nursing home every [51:19] day on my way to the office at Yale. [51:24] After passing it so often, I started [51:26] thinking that besides the financial [51:27] market, there needs to be a lot of [51:29] supporting infrastructure throughout [51:31] the social and economic sectors. [51:33] >> Right. [51:34] >> Every single link has to be in place; [51:36] otherwise, what we talk about regarding [51:38] moving away from "relying on children [51:40] for old age" is very difficult to [51:42] achieve. [51:43] >> So, in those nursing homes, there are [51:45] people living there who are eighty, [51:47] ninety, or even over a hundred years [51:49] old. Sometimes when I went in to take a [51:52] look, it seemed quite pitiful. So I [51:54] also thought, wow, if it were Chinese [51:55] parents, they certainly wouldn't be [51:57] able to accept this, and even now, many [51:59] people still can't accept it. Most of [52:01] them, I think, wouldn't want to. [52:04] >> But if you ask these elderly people, do [52:06] you think Americans don't want to see [52:08] their children, grandchildren, and [52:10] other relatives? Of course they do. [52:17] >> They all say they still miss them very [52:19] much, it's just that average Americans [52:21] understand that I am me. [52:25] >> My son and daughter are themselves. [52:28] >> They have their freedom, their rights, [52:30] and their own lives; I cannot impose my [52:32] own preferences or demands on them. So, [52:37] this is something that the whole [52:39] society, including culture—as we just [52:41] mentioned—needs to go through some [52:43] transformation and constant change. [52:47] People have to change, right? I mean, [52:49] from ancient times to modern times, are [52:51] people...... [52:52] >> becoming more and more heartless? [52:54] >> It's just that you can't be too [52:56] emotional. [52:58] >> On one hand, you could say that on the [53:00] surface it looks heartless, but in [53:02] reality, I think that respecting every [53:04] individual as a person represents [53:06] progress in society. Right, this is [53:11] different from ties based on kinship or [53:13] family; it is about the respect for [53:15] every individual citizen. But for [53:19] example, let's say a marital [53:20] relationship—as Wendao just mentioned [53:22] —back in the early days, it was also [53:24] a kind of family transaction or origin [53:26] of property. But by today, has that [53:30] reason disappeared? [53:32] >> Uh-huh. [53:33] >> It hasn't completely disappeared, it [53:35] hasn't completely disappeared. In fact, [53:41] regarding what Wendao just mentioned [53:43] about the early days of humanity, if we [53:45] look at it through the lens of marriage [53:48] , primitive societies—not just in [53:50] Asia, but in Europe and Africa as well [53:52] —were more akin to matriarchal [53:54] societies with polyandry. [54:00] >> Men were secondary, and women were the [54:02] most important. One of the main reasons [54:04] , of course, was that in primitive [54:06] societies, men had to go out to hunt. [54:08] >> Uh-huh. [54:10] >> Within a year, a quarter to a third of [54:12] the men would die. [54:14] >> Uh-huh. [54:18] >> So, in that kind of environment, if [54:20] descendants were defined by the [54:22] paternal line to determine whose child [54:24] it was, [54:29] >> in a society where many of these [54:31] children had a one-quarter to one-third [54:33] probability, Yeah. [54:35] >> of losing their father within a year, [54:37] who would be left to provide for them? [54:40] >> But because the mothers at that time [54:42] remained within the tribe, [54:46] >> doing light work, not going out to face [54:48] the life-threatening challenges of [54:50] hunting, they naturally became the [54:51] primary guardians of the children, [54:53] which greatly increased the probability [54:55] of continuity. However, once we entered [55:00] a settled agricultural society, [55:03] >> everything changed completely. Hmm. [55:05] >> Every agricultural society adopted this [55:08] >> patrilineal [55:09] >> or patrilocal system, more or less. [55:14] >> As a result, a widespread phenomenon of [55:16] polygynous marital relationships [55:18] emerged. [55:19] >> Of course, later on, after the advent [55:21] of industrial society, [55:23] >> Hmm. [55:24] >> in pre-industrial Christian societies, [55:26] monogamy eventually continued. So, this [55:30] is a change resulting from shifts in [55:32] industrial structure. [55:37] >> Looking at it from the perspective of [55:38] industrial structural shifts, the [55:40] changes in human marital relationships [55:42] and the power dynamics within families [55:43] are actually quite interesting. This [55:48] can also help us understand why Chinese [55:50] society today, which is undergoing a [55:52] digital transformation and shifting [55:54] further toward the service sector, will [55:56] actually see these things have a [55:58] significant impact on family [55:59] relationships. [56:00] >> Gradually, it will bring about major [56:02] changes. [56:03] >> Yes, this is why women's status in the [56:04] home is getting higher and higher. [56:06] Actually, not really. I think it's [56:08] possible that in many societies which [56:10] appear on the surface to be dominated [56:12] by patriarchy, women actually still [56:13] hold a fair amount of status within the [56:15] home. For example, you mentioned how it [56:17] eventually turned into polygyny. In the [56:19] Middle East, for instance, nomadic [56:21] tribes allowed men to take multiple [56:23] wives largely because war created so [56:25] many widows. Initially, it was about [56:27] providing for and integrating those [56:29] widows, so marriage systems are [56:30] basically just social arrangements. [56:32] Exactly, it’s about how, as a society [56:34] , you arrange for these people. Even in [56:37] those polygynous households, women [56:39] actually held quite a bit of status; [56:41] they were still in charge of managing [56:43] domestic affairs. Conversely, in some [56:46] societies that appear quite [56:48] gender-equal, women still face a very [56:50] severe glass ceiling outside the home, [56:52] like in the workplace. [56:54] >> True, I’ve heard from Chinese [56:55] business people who say that when they [56:57] go out to negotiate, they often find [56:59] that the other company is structured [57:01] like this: a male boss, [57:02] >> and that male boss isn’t necessarily [57:04] the smartest one. In fact, he’s often [57:06] not the brightest, but the female [57:08] assistant by his side, [57:09] >> that person is guaranteed to be the [57:11] sharpest. [57:11] >> They usually say that if I want to [57:13] discuss something, I have to talk to [57:15] the female deputy first. She remembers [57:17] everything and is extremely organized. [57:18] That’s the typical setup. [57:20] >> Yes, I’ve had that exact experience. [57:22] >> Let’s take a break for a commercial. [57:26] We’ll be back to chat more after [57:28] these messages from Ford Edge. [57:33] >> The high quality we present comes from [57:35] countless scientific simulation tests. [57:39] 2018 New Ford Edge, new achievements. [57:42] Ford, Go Further. Getting back to it, [57:46] social needs and the environment [57:48] naturally drive many institutional [57:50] changes. How we handle [57:57] intergenerational or gender [57:58] relationships is the same, but the [58:00] problem is, as society changes, what we [58:02] as individuals can usually do is just [58:04] adapt personally. I think that’s a [58:10] huge issue in today’s changing order. [58:13] I feel that in China, especially many [58:14] older and middle-aged people haven’t [58:16] made the necessary psychological [58:18] adjustments yet. [58:19] >> Mm. [58:20] >> Speaking of eldercare, in the future, [58:22] it’s very likely you’ll face the [58:24] possibility of moving into a nursing [58:26] home. But people in nursing homes need [58:28] to have the right mental preparation [58:29] for living there. So, what does this [58:32] mental preparation include? Take you, [58:34] for example, Professor Chen—perhaps [58:36] you and your spouse both have enough [58:37] mental fortitude, having your own lives [58:39] , just as you said, not basing your [58:41] existence on talking about your [58:43] children. Aside from that, what else [58:45] counts? Let’s not forget that there [58:47] is a huge difference between living in [58:48] a nursing home and aging at home. When [58:50] you age at home, you become [58:51] increasingly disconnected from society. [58:54] We see many elderly people, and I think [58:56] the most miserable thing is loneliness. [58:58] What is that loneliness? The longer [59:00] they live, the smaller their world [59:02] becomes, until eventually, they stop [59:04] leaving the house altogether. They stay [59:07] in their own small bedroom or area, but [59:09] a nursing home is the opposite; it's a [59:11] social environment. Hmm. [59:14] >> Do you possess that kind of capability, [59:16] personality, and social skill? At such [59:20] an old age, you still have to adapt to [59:21] people you didn't know before, [59:23] interacting with them every day. Take [59:25] my dad, for instance—it would be [59:27] impossible, because he is a very [59:29] introverted, very withdrawn person who [59:31] never even goes downstairs. [59:33] >> So for him, being in an environment [59:35] with strangers and having to socialize, [59:38] >> that would be like going to hell. Right [59:40] , so other situations arise. For [59:43] example, I’ve seen cases—not [59:45] exactly nursing homes, but some kind of [59:47] elderly residential dorms. Or senior [59:50] apartments, which are very popular in [59:52] Europe and America. How do they work? [59:54] They aren't full-blown nursing homes; [59:56] it's more like, say, if we were friends [59:58] , we might decide that when we get old, [60:00] we'll buy a few houses together and [60:02] live side by side. You're actually [60:05] living with a group of friends. We've [60:09] seen it—I often saw it in Switzerland [60:11] . [60:11] >> It can be quite miserable in those [60:13] places too. [60:13] >> Yes, of course, but I've seen some [60:15] hilarious ones. I’ve really seen a [60:17] dozen seniors in their seventies [60:19] driving off on a road trip together. [60:22] >> That was my question, and it turned out [60:23] they all lived in that kind of place, [60:25] or in a nursing home, and it can [60:27] actually work. [60:28] >> A few old guys sitting in rocking [60:30] chairs, saying, "I just leaked a few [60:32] drops."" [60:33] >> I’ve had to change my pants three [60:35] times today." For instance, I think [60:38] China has had these kinds of [60:39] arrangements since ancient times. Let [60:41] me use my ancestral home, Shunde in [60:44] Guangdong, as an example. We have some [60:46] customs in Shunde that are different [60:48] from other places. For one, we have a [60:51] type of person like "Sister Tao" from [60:53] the movie starring Deanie Ip—these [60:55] are called "Ma Jie." What were Ma Jie? [60:58] They were just like the helpers many [61:00] people hire for their homes nowadays. [61:03] >> Or like the domestic helpers in Hong [61:04] Kong, it's a profession. Back in my [61:08] hometown, this profession had a unique [61:10] characteristic: they typically chose [61:12] not to marry for life, so they were [61:14] known as "self-combed women." [61:21] >> They took a vow of celibacy for life, [61:22] never married, and stayed with the [61:24] families they worked for. However, they [61:30] maintained very close ties within their [61:32] group. They also had a custom where the [61:37] employers were obligated to provide [61:38] them with a sum of money to save. What [61:42] was this money for? When they got too [61:45] old to work, if their employer was kind [61:47] like "Young Master" Andy Lau, they [61:49] might be supported, which is great. But [61:52] if not, they had to retire. What would [61:54] they do then? They would use the money [61:56] they had saved up all those years to [61:57] buy a small house. Usually, the "Ma Jie [61:59] "—these maids—would buy them as a [62:02] group. And these houses were what we [62:03] called "spinster houses." [62:05] >> An entire row, an entire village was [62:07] like that. The whole village consisted [62:10] of retired elderly women looking out [62:12] for one another. They were a community, [62:14] right? [62:14] >> Yes, a community. [62:16] >> Actually, Professor Chen, I’ve been [62:18] thinking... [62:19] >> Yes, you mentioned the internet's [62:20] transformation of the service industry. [62:23] I'm wondering if it might allow the [62:24] elderly to play a new role. For example [62:27] , years ago I heard that in South Korea [62:29] , they had seniors doing what? [62:30] Delivering packages, because seniors [62:32] get half-price bus fares, and they have [62:34] plenty of time anyway. [62:36] >> And now in China, there are apps where [62:37] you can hire people specifically to [62:39] stand in line for you. [62:41] >> It’s like hiring them for [62:42] time-consuming tasks. Since young [62:44] people have no time and the elderly do, [62:46] could this drive a new role for them? [62:47] >> Delivering packages, though, I don't [62:49] believe that's the best option. [62:51] >> They definitely aren't riding bicycles, [62:53] right? They can barely walk steadily, [62:55] let alone carry so many things. But [62:58] what you said is also a possibility. [63:01] >> There should be better ways, I suppose. [63:06] I wasn't used to it at first, but in [63:08] Hong Kong, I saw so many men and women [63:10] in their 70s or 80s still driving taxis [63:13] , or... [63:16] >> Working in restaurants. In the US, this [63:18] is rare. Of course, I didn't understand [63:22] it before, but now I do. Hong Kong's [63:25] retirement and pension security is just [63:27] far too little. [63:29] >> Far too little. [63:30] >> So that's what forces them to... [63:33] >> So many people are forced to stop [63:35] talking about this topic. [63:37] >> Right, but would you say that shifts in [63:39] economic relationships lead to many [63:41] changes in traditional family dynamics? [63:45] For example, what you just mentioned [63:46] about daughters—is that a product of [63:48] a specific economic structure? [63:53] >> In other words, can we think of it this [63:55] way: human systems like family, [63:56] marriage, and kinship are not inherent [63:59] or divinely ordained. [64:00] >> Of course not, absolutely not, they are [64:02] constantly changing. [64:03] >> They are always evolving. [64:05] >> Always evolving. So, can we anticipate [64:07] what’s next? Professor Chen, do you [64:08] have any predictions? What will it [64:10] become? For example, regarding what you [64:12] just said. I’ll say something a bit [64:16] crude: I’ve always found that who [64:17] supports whom matters a lot. Between a [64:23] married couple, frankly, who earns more [64:25] money has a subtle, underlying impact. [64:28] For instance, we’re now seeing a [64:30] clear trend where, as you said, [64:32] women’s status is rising. At the same [64:35] time, we see that marriage is becoming [64:37] increasingly unstable. A colleague told [64:43] me the other day that the reason it’s [64:44] unstable is because in today’s [64:46] society, men don’t lack for sex and [64:48] women don’t lack for...well, how do [64:50] you think traditional marriage will [64:51] change in the future? [64:56] >> It will certainly undergo massive [64:58] changes; in fact, it already has. We [65:03] used to talk about it like in that [65:04] Huangmei opera, "The Heavenly Match": " [65:06] You till the fields and I weave; I [65:08] carry water and you tend the garden." [65:15] The meaning was clear: by getting [65:17] married, two people formed a company of [65:19] sorts—you played to your strengths, I [65:21] played to mine—so that through this [65:23] union, the output was much higher than [65:25] it would be individually. [65:31] >> However, those economic functions are [65:33] now being replaced by all sorts of [65:35] companies and institutions, so there's [65:37] no need to rely on marriage for that. [65:41] And there's one last crucial function: [65:43] the risk protection we mentioned [65:45] earlier, like caring for the elderly. [65:49] The risk protection for birth, old age, [65:51] sickness, and death—all of these are [65:53] increasingly being replaced by [65:54] financial markets and nursing care [65:56] industries. Ultimately, some might ask [66:00] if marriage is even necessary to [66:02] stabilize a sexual relationship. [66:08] Nowadays, many Chinese men and women [66:10] are asking, "Is it really necessary to [66:12] go through marriage to solve this?" [66:16] >> So, when you think about it in the end, [66:18] >> About what? Everyone, everyone [66:21] eventually realizes that you can only [66:23] really count on yourself. [66:27] >> Oh, so this brings us back to the [66:29] individual as an atom, exactly. [66:32] >> In the end, we are all just lonely [66:34] stars; I feel like everything [66:36] >> is drifting apart. [66:37] >> But I feel that the momentum of [66:38] traditional values is still very strong [66:40] . Sometimes, for instance, in families [66:43] where the woman earns more, from the [66:45] examples I've seen, it's rarely the [66:47] woman who ends up cheating; it's the [66:49] man who feels psychologically [66:50] unbalanced. [66:52] >> Mhm. [66:52] >> They’ll go look for an affair. [66:54] Perhaps that’s a bit much to say. [66:55] That statement is too absolute, but I [66:57] have personally seen such cases, which [66:59] is quite strange. I feel that in the [67:02] past, when we talked about dating or [67:04] marriage, we always said the most [67:06] important thing was the person's [67:07] character—a very pure kind of [67:09] relationship. We'd say it's wrong to [67:12] just look at a woman’s beauty or a [67:14] man’s wealth; you should only care [67:16] about their character. But today, [67:18] I’ve realized it doesn't seem to be [67:20] that way. [67:20] >> This isn't just about money, everyone; [67:22] it's the truth. [67:24] >> Yeah, I realized it too late. I’ve [67:27] found that in a family, a man—not [67:29] necessarily earning a fortune—but [67:30] having a decent job and a stable income [67:33] is crucial for family stability. [67:35] >> Uh-huh. [67:36] >> Because [67:36] >> it involves the man's own character, [67:38] integrity, and dignity. [67:40] >> Exactly, including his confidence. [67:43] >> But on the other hand, looking back at [67:45] family functions, if you look at human [67:47] history, especially over the last 100 [67:49] years, I feel it’s a history of [67:50] family functions being stripped away or [67:52] roles being continuously eroded. [67:56] >> Right, can you give an example? [68:00] >> In China 60 years ago, most people were [68:02] actually born at home. Born at home, [68:07] and in the past, children died at home [68:09] too. And back then, you didn't need to [68:12] go to kindergarten; you were educated [68:13] at home. [68:15] >> So, I ask you, how many people today [68:17] are born at home and die at home? You [68:19] are born in a hospital, then during [68:21] your early childhood, you are in [68:23] daycare or kindergarten. So the roles [68:25] within the entire family are constantly [68:27] shifting. The standards have been [68:28] raised. Oh. [68:30] >> If you get exposed one day, it’s all [68:32] over. [68:32] >> Yes, if you don't get exposed, then... [68:35] >> This really has an impact; for instance [68:37] , you used to eat McDonald's every day, [68:39] but you're afraid of being exposed. [68:41] >> There are many places you used to go [68:42] that you can no longer comfortably [68:44] visit. [68:44] >> Exactly, if it’s all lost, right? [68:47] Look at me. [68:48] >> I thought he meant a miscarriage. [68:51] >> It doesn’t matter, does it hurt you [68:53] to eat at a regular place? [68:55] >> I'd lose face. Being exposed, hey, look [68:57] at that. Does "face" count as a quality [69:00] requirement? Is this high-quality life [69:02] actually just about face, or... [69:05] >> It’s exactly what I call "the vibe." [69:10] Right, many people go to eat somewhere [69:12] knowing they are there for the vibe, [69:14] not just the environment. Simply put, [69:23] many catering training courses tell you [69:25] to exploit people's psychological [69:27] vulnerabilities. For example, why are [69:35] those restaurants so crowded? They’re [69:39] good for photos. [69:41] >> Oh, right. [69:42] >> It's perfect to bring a selfie stick [69:43] when you go to eat. [69:44] >> I notice now that on review sites, they [69:46] all label places as "good for photos." [69:48] >> Exactly. [69:49] >> Is that so? [69:52] >> The most interesting thing is that you [69:55] only spend 85 yuan but get the feeling [69:57] of a 250 yuan meal. [70:02] >> That’s it, they give people a very [70:04] clear psychological suggestion. So [70:12] sometimes when I attend forums for [70:14] colleagues in the catering industry, I [70:16] feel a bit saddened, realizing that " [70:18] catering" and "gastronomy" are moving [70:20] in two different directions. Just now [70:29] we talked about improving quality; [70:31] judging quality is an aesthetic process [70:33] . [70:36] >> Right. [70:37] >> Right, and improving quality is for the [70:39] other party to see me. [70:40] >> Hey, that’s also true, you’re right [70:42] . [70:43] >> This is something that works the other [70:45] way around. We often improve quality to [70:48] just the right level. Simply put, [70:51] reaching the level of McDonald’s. [70:53] That is the optimal point for [70:55] profitability. [70:56] >> Mhm. [70:56] >> The energy I invest, the staff I hire. [70:59] They are... [71:00] >> The time I spend. [71:01] >> They have calculated it carefully. [71:02] >> Yes. Repeatedly calculated; this is the [71:05] most suitable, this is how I can make [71:07] money. [71:08] >> To the limit. [71:10] >> But, for example, if I spend 50 yuan to [71:13] reach this 60-point level, and I spend [71:15] another 50 yuan to reach 65 points. [71:19] >> It just feels... [71:20] >> It only gets you to 65 points. [71:22] >> Ah. [71:23] >> It's often like this; this is the [71:25] hardship modern society brings us. [71:27] >> Standardization. Right. [71:28] >> It restricts your quality requirements [71:30] to a certain limit. [71:31] >> Only within this. [71:33] >> So for those with high standards, if [71:35] you want something worth 70, you have [71:37] to pay 200. [71:38] >> Hmm. [71:41] >> I often find that if I want better [71:42] quality, I might have to pay two or [71:44] three times as much, or even more. Once [71:55] you pass that optimal line you [71:56] mentioned, any further improvement [71:58] requires double the effort. [72:01] >> So you have to find something slightly [72:03] better without the price being several [72:05] times higher. A friend told me— [72:07] >> He said, this is the same—our [72:09] methodologies are the same. [72:12] >> When buying clothes, he said, look at [72:14] shops that just opened. He said, what [72:16] kind of shop? Shops opened by rich [72:19] second generations. Why? The materials [72:21] don't cost them money. That said, [72:24] regarding what you mentioned about [72:25] quality—everyone is particularly [72:27] anxious about this now. Why? If you [72:30] link quality to aesthetics, to beauty [72:32] and art education, all parents are [72:34] anxious now. Why? Art education has [72:37] been included in middle school entrance [72:38] exams, did you know? [72:39] >> Oh, really? [72:40] >> It didn't exist before. Right, now [72:42] middle school entrance exams include [72:44] this, so everyone is...what happened? [72:46] You found this to be beautiful? [72:49] >> This clumsy action isn't— [72:51] >> I thought he suddenly found this cup [72:53] beautiful. [72:53] >> That's a lack of quality. [72:55] >> You see, look at art museum exhibitions [72:57] now—wow, parents, whether they [72:59] understand or not, they sign up for [73:00] classes, they must learn, they take [73:02] their kids to see them. Even if they [73:04] don't get it, they line up for the kids [73:05] to see it. And then, they try every [73:07] possible way to improve this. And then [73:09] I— [73:09] >> Because it counts for points, right? [73:11] Not just that; everyone genuinely hopes [73:13] the next generation has this. Perhaps [73:16] the educational belief of our [73:17] generation is to let children know [73:19] about beauty and ugliness from a young [73:21] age, hoping they will have taste when [73:22] they grow up. [73:24] >> Our society and economy have developed [73:26] to this point, where everyone hopes the [73:28] next generation can distinguish beauty [73:30] from ugliness from a young age. [73:32] >> Many children I’ve seen can play the [73:34] piano, but I don't think they [73:35] understand music. They can paint, but I [73:38] don't think they appreciate art. I just [73:41] feel they don't understand aesthetics. [73:43] >> Is it a matter of the soul? The spirit [73:45] —one part is what is experienced [73:47] through the eyes, and the other is the [73:48] soul. I...I...lately I’ve been quite [73:50] moved by a Japanese animated series [73:52] that’s been around for years called* [73:55] Design Ah*. It gathered Japan's best [73:58] designers—half the industry—people [74:00] like Kenya Hara and Taku Satoh, all [74:02] involved in planning and designing the [74:04] content for this show. It’s an [74:06] animated series with many, many [74:08] episodes, each about ten minutes long, [74:10] showing how things are disassembled, [74:12] designed, and so on. The director, who [74:16] started this early on, said he wanted [74:18] to cultivate the designers of sixty [74:19] years from now. Sometimes we feel that [74:24] the top artists or the absolute best in [74:26] a certain field shouldn't be serving [74:27] children. I’m saying, can these top [74:31] artists and designers do things that [74:33] start from the very foundation, to help [74:35] things evolve gradually? But I think [74:39] you can offer advice on this, yet for [74:41] most people's lives—even young people [74:43] renting a room, maybe just a few square [74:45] meters, barely enough space to stand— [74:47] how should they pursue quality? Well, [74:52] reality might be very cruel, but I [74:54] think everyone has a desire for the [74:56] good. From this perspective, I feel [75:06] that living a quality life, once you [75:08] reach the stage of self-actualization, [75:10] doesn't really have much to do with [75:12] material life; a rich inner world is [75:14] enough. I’m often with colleagues, [75:25] and they ask, "What brand of car is [75:26] that?""Oh, that must be very expensive. [75:31] " Then they’ll say to me, "Wow, your [75:35] inner world is truly fulfilling." [75:40] Actually, it’s related to material [75:42] desire, and also about setting [75:43] standards for yourself. China is much [75:49] wealthier than it was 40 years ago, or [75:51] rather, the standard of living has [75:53] improved significantly. In the past, [75:59] the goal was to be full, to be [76:01] satisfied, to be content. Now, it’s [76:05] more about...Eating smaller portions [76:10] and eating refined food. People like [76:15] that, I feel, are in my life in large [76:17] numbers—they are generally people of [76:19] taste, not like us eating skewers every [76:21] day, that doesn't really... [76:25] >> Is eating skewers not having taste? It [76:27] doesn't count as a quality life. [76:30] >> To be honest, eating skewers...what you [76:32] eat isn't important. I feel that [76:35] sitting there with a stick in hand, [76:37] drinking, it just doesn't require being [76:39] particularly refined. [76:42] >> You mentioned hearing about some " [76:44] Skewer King" or something. [76:46] >> It seems its technical complexity is a [76:48] bit lower. [76:49] >> You see, it still comes down to the [76:50] level of technical complexity. [76:52] >> Exactly. [76:54] >> All dining is related to technical [76:56] complexity. That beef noodle shop [76:58] Professor Xu mentioned where people [77:00] line up. Mm-hmm. [77:03] >> They start stewing the beef the night [77:05] before, well before dawn. In the [77:09] morning, they cut it into chunks and [77:11] stew it again until it’s perfectly [77:12] tender, yet the chunks stay intact. [77:16] Then they use that beef broth for the [77:18] noodles. It’s not just hype; it’s [77:21] really about...... [77:22] >> investing effort into the craft. [77:25] >> No matter who visits or goes undercover [77:27] , it’s always like that. There’s [77:31] this talk of a bowl of beef noodles [77:32] made with beef from five different [77:34] places—like from Australia, Brazil, [77:36] and so on. [77:38] >> That’s definitely just storytelling. [77:40] >> That’s certainly just a story. [77:41] >> They’re just trying to fool you. [77:42] >> No, there were reports on it. [77:45] >> But I can’t taste which country’s [77:47] passport that beef holds. [77:48] >> I think what he just answered confirms [77:50] that this applies to all fields. [77:52] >> Mm. [77:53] >> Meaning, values aren't just [77:55] one-dimensional. Right. [77:58] >> I mean, you can eat at very expensive [78:00] restaurants; that’s one way. But we [78:02] see very realistic, great stuff. Right? [78:05] The kind common people line up for, [78:07] with great local character. [78:09] >> And there’s home cooking. [78:11] >> No one makes soup more heartfelt than [78:13] Mom. Of course, I’m sure there are [78:16] people in the comments saying, "My mom [78:18] doesn't make soup." [78:22] >> So, in reality, it’s not like [78:23] everyone has to follow this social [78:25] ladder......to pursue their own [78:27] happiness. Even if there are many [78:30] stories told, many brands, and lots of [78:32] stuff—it’s the same with clothing [78:34] and life, only housing is a bit harder. [78:38] >> But, Xiao Xin, let me ask you: back [78:39] when you were ten times poorer than you [78:42] are now, did you consider your life to [78:44] have "quality"? It had no quality. My [78:48] life now doesn't really have much [78:49] quality either, but I often spend time [78:51] with people who do. For example? [78:55] >> For instance, us. [78:57] >> Like you and your colleagues. But do [79:00] you feel that in the process of [79:01] pursuing quality, people are losing [79:03] something? [79:05] >> Mm. [79:07] >> Take twenty years ago at Dongsi Shitiao [79:09] Bridge, old Li would be grilling [79:11] skewers, drinking, and discussing [79:13] philosophical propositions—mentioning [79:15] names of thinkers whose books I’d [79:17] heard of but never read. [79:22] >> He was so incredibly happy back then. [79:27] Now he drinks very expensive wine. [79:30] >> Oh, really? Mm. [79:32] >> Yeah. [79:35] >> But you often notice he isn’t as [79:37] happy, or he’s become very picky, [79:38] saying things like this dish should be [79:40] a bit different. Back in Shenzhen, I [79:46] took you to that place, and he [79:48] evaluated the restaurant...The food [79:54] wasn’t bad, the cooking was decent. [79:58] But now he’s all about the plating [79:59] and everything; it’s all about the [80:01] atmosphere. This is what happens when [80:06] you pursue one thing, you might be [80:07] losing another. [80:10] >> Oh, you put that perfectly. When you [80:14] can't afford anything, the way you look [80:16] for a bowl of noodles in a certain [80:17] place is completely different. I think, [80:21] when you are searching for the [80:23] best-tasting bowl of noodles, that is [80:24] your character at that time. I think [80:27] even if you're poor at that moment, if [80:29] you have that spirit, you won't just [80:31] settle. You'll keep searching, and even [80:35] if it's just a five-dollar bowl, you [80:36] want to find the best one. That spirit [80:40] is a quality, and this quality changes [80:42] later on. For example, when you start [80:45] drinking $ 500 red wine, you lose the [80:47] joy you had when drinking $ 100 wine. [80:50] It's just like stand-up comedians; you [80:52] sacrifice the ability to laugh at many [80:54] simple jokes. [80:55] >> Because you've analyzed them all; you [80:57] aren't like us, we have a lower [80:58] threshold for laughter, you know? I [81:00] mean, what you're saying is so [81:02] interesting. I... [81:03] >> We get amused so easily, it happens so [81:05] fast. [81:06] >> I get it now. Do you know I've started [81:08] shopping online recently? I was really [81:10] late to discover this joy. I've heard [81:13] young people talk about it for ages, [81:14] but I've only just gotten hooked on it [81:16] lately. I feel like every day... [81:18] >> What are you looking for? [81:20] >> I'll tell you what I'm looking for. I'm [81:22] looking for Ru ware. [81:23] >> Oh. [81:24] >> Ceramics. [81:25] >> Mm. [81:26] >> I've bought some that cost over 20 yuan [81:28] . There are some for over 90, and some [81:30] for over 900. Since I don't know, I [81:32] don't understand. So, I only buy the 20 [81:34] -yuan ones. And oh, the joy of it, you [81:37] know? The photos, the descriptions, and [81:40] sometimes you can even contact the [81:41] seller directly. [81:43] >> You can ask questions. [81:45] >> Because right now, regarding ceramics [81:47] or Song dynasty ware, I don't know much [81:49] , and they are mostly replicas anyway. [81:52] So I just pick and choose among the 20- [81:54] yuan items, comparing the pictures, [81:56] checking them against each other. [81:59] Comparing the colors and shapes, [82:00] thinking this one is better than that, [82:02] maybe that bowl is a bit more reliable. [82:05] I really cherish this joy, my friend. [82:08] People like Master Ma are real experts [82:10] in ceramics. Mm. [82:15] >> I think in a few years, one day when my [82:17] taste has gradually improved, I’ll [82:19] look at these 20-yuan items as if they [82:21] were just broken shards of pottery. [82:25] >> That happiness won't be able to be [82:27] recreated. [82:28] >> The joy of these 20-yuan items today is [82:30] uniquely mine, precisely because I [82:32] don't know much yet, do you understand? [82:35] I don't know much about it, it just [82:37] looks nice displayed there. That's [82:39] exactly the logic he's talking about. [82:42] >> It means you have to want good food. [82:43] You have to not be afraid of the [82:45] trouble. Only then can you find good [82:47] food. People ask me how to improve [82:51] their food IQ, and I tell them to ask [82:53] me what to eat. I say the best way is [82:56] to learn from your mistakes. [82:58] >> Oh. After you've eaten a lot, hit many [83:03] pitfalls, and encountered many duds, [83:05] you gradually learn to just take one [83:06] look at a restaurant and know if it’s [83:08] any good. Another tip for the average [83:15] person on how to find good places: you [83:16] need to know a little bit of cooking [83:18] yourself. If you have some skills, [83:23] you'll know if it's done well or not. [83:26] Many people have no idea at all. [83:29] >> They just have to rely on the internet. [83:31] Right, right, right. And a lot of those [83:34] are just bought reviews. The fake [83:38] ratings, for instance, make it very [83:40] difficult. Another thing is to make [83:44] friends who know how to cook. I have a [83:48] friend who owns a Sichuan restaurant. [83:52] Every time we eat there, we think [83:54] it’s amazing and post it on Weibo, [83:56] but others go and say it’s not that [83:57] good. It’s because he isn't cooking [84:01] for them. [84:04] >> Right, he always tells us directly that [84:06] this isn't for sale. [84:08] >> This isn't on the menu. [84:11] >> Why does that sound like an antique [84:12] shop? [84:15] >> It means what we’re eating are [84:17] actually off-menu dishes. Qu