Tech Stock Bloodbath, Binance Hacked, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN

Tech Stock Bloodbath, Binance Hacked, The Mansion Section | Diet TBPN — TBPN

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Key ideas

  • Alphabet wiped out roughly $500 billion in market value during its worst single trading session on record as search disruption concerns reignited broad AI monetization anxieties. (5:00)
  • North Korea-linked hacking group TraderTraitor breached Binance for $6.3 billion, leaving an estimated $3.3 billion under attacker control after stablecoin issuers froze roughly $3 billion. (6:30)
  • U.S. Q3 GDP expanded at an annualized rate of 3.4%, beating analyst expectations of 3.1% ahead of midterm elections, yet the Nasdaq tumbled 3.34% amid severe big-tech earnings fallout. (3:27)
  • Intel plunged 30% in a single day down to $63 per share, wiping out a year's worth of CHIPS Act and foundry optimism following a disastrous earnings call. (12:26)
  • Reddit CEO Steve Huffman warned that Google AI search overviews ingest Reddit data without sending referral clicks, accelerating Reddit's push toward a login-only walled garden. (26:41)

Detailed notes

## Background Published on YouTube by TBPN on October 31, 2026, this episode of Diet TBPN presents a 30-minute condensed cut of the daily live tech talk show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays. According to the page description, the episode tackles major headlines across the tech landscape, including a brutal market selloff, a massive hack on Binance, and the extravagant real estate of Minecraft creator Notch.

## TL;DR Dressed in elaborate prosthetics as Berkshire Hathaway executives for Halloween, the hosts unpack a severe tech market downturn that saw Alphabet lose $500 billion and Intel plunge 30% despite a stronger-than-expected 3.4% U.S. GDP report. They investigate a catastrophic $6.3 billion Binance exploit attributed to North Korean cyber operatives and a vendor breach at Polymarket. The conversation also explores Notch's $70 million Beverly Hills mansion, examines Warren Buffett's 48-year water-free Cherry Coke diet, and critiques the adoption limits of autonomous AI agents across corporate law, DoorDash, and Reddit's battle with Google AI overviews.

## Atmosphere & style The broadcast pairs sharp market commentary with deadpan visual absurdity, as the hosts deliver heavy financial and geopolitical news while buried under hours of Hollywood-grade prosthetic makeup. The dynamic is loose, fast-paced, and irreverent, swinging rapidly from grim statistics about market selloffs and state-sponsored crypto heists to playful debates about mansion candy rooms and soda consumption. Watching the episode feels like dropping into an energetic, chaotic morning trading desk that uses theatrical satire to cope with digital and economic turmoil.

## Bulletin - [05:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=300s) Alphabet wiped out roughly $500 billion in market value during its worst single trading session on record as search disruption concerns reignited broad AI monetization anxieties. - [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) North Korea-linked hacking group TraderTraitor breached Binance for $6.3 billion, leaving an estimated $3.3 billion under attacker control after stablecoin issuers froze roughly $3 billion. - [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) U.S. Q3 GDP expanded at an annualized rate of 3.4%, beating analyst expectations of 3.1% ahead of midterm elections, yet the Nasdaq tumbled 3.34% amid severe big-tech earnings fallout. - [12:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=746s) Intel plunged 30% in a single day down to $63 per share, wiping out a year's worth of CHIPS Act and foundry optimism following a disastrous earnings call. - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) Reddit CEO Steve Huffman warned that Google AI search overviews ingest Reddit data without sending referral clicks, accelerating Reddit's push toward a login-only walled garden.

## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=0s) Berkshire Hathaway stood out as a rare gainer at a $1.17 trillion valuation while the broader tech market endured a severe multi-trillion-dollar selloff. - [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) U.S. GDP growth clocked in at an annualized 3.4% driven by consumer spending and business investment, but market sentiment deteriorated sharply due to tech margin compression. - [05:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=300s) Alphabet's historic $500 billion single-day valuation drop highlighted growing investor anxiety over whether heavy AI infrastructure spending can offset search ad business disruption. - [05:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=300s) The bull thesis for Alphabet remains supported by its unified AI stack, including proprietary TPU silicon, frontier models, and rapidly expanding cloud computing revenues. - [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) Binance suffered the largest exploit in crypto history at $6.3 billion, originating from the compromised laptop of a single engineer and bypassing its $1 billion SAFU emergency reserve. - [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) The $3.3 billion in unfrozen assets secured by North Korean state hackers represents more than 10% of the entire country's $26.6 billion annual GDP. - [10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=600s) Bitcoin displayed notable structural resilience compared to the 2014 Mt. Gox incident, falling only about 4% versus the 25% to 27% collapse seen a decade earlier. - [12:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=746s) Intel cratered 30% on the day and dropped over 50% from its $140 peak as executive communication on its third-party foundry strategy failed to reassure Wall Street. - [12:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=746s) Polymarket experienced a $2.7 million to $3 million theft across roughly 700 user wallets traced to a compromised UK-based vendor rather than an underlying smart contract bug. - [15:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=937s) Markus 'Notch' Persson's 2014 purchase of a $70 million Beverly Hills spec home exemplifies how sudden solo-founder liquidity reshape luxury real estate expectations. - [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1200s) Warren Buffett maintains an extreme diet consisting of Cherry Coca-Cola providing roughly 25% of his daily caloric intake, with Bill Ackman recounting that Buffett claims not to have drank water in 48 years. - [23:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1425s) Autonomous legal AI agents proved capable of drafting filings and securing monetary settlements within 10 days, demonstrating tangible micro-litigation utility. - [23:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1425s) DoorDash reported negligible order volume driven by autonomous consumer AI agents, highlighting that routine, low-friction habits resist immediate agentic disruption. - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) Reddit is adapting to Google AI's zero-click search environment by walling off access behind strict login requirements to preserve user and ad value. - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) The Invesco QQQ trust experienced a rare Friday gap-down exceeding 2.5%, matching severe market stress events seen only during the dot-com bust, 2008 financial crisis, and early COVID-19 pandemic.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=0s) Halloween at the Desk: Prosthetics, Greg Abel, and Berkshire’s Green Day

The hosts open the morning broadcast in full, elaborate Hollywood-grade prosthetics to celebrate Halloween, transforming the set into Berkshire Hathaway leadership. While joking that they “phoned it in a little bit this year” compared to past efforts, they marvel at the quality of the practical effects. John and Jordi point out Tyler seated at the table, transformed into Warren Buffett’s hand-picked successor, Greg Abel, complete with gleaming, unnervingly white teeth that Tyler insists are all-natural. Tyler attempts a flat, deadpan Greg Abel impression for the crew, prompting the hosts to warn him that walking around the neighborhood dressed like that for trick-or-treating later will genuinely terrify people. Tangents fly immediately, including the calculation that there are exactly 55 days between Halloween and Christmas, which matches the age of last year's guest, Marc Andreessen.

Behind the humor, the visual transformation took serious dedication: the team arrived at the studio at 6:00 a.m., spending nearly four full hours in makeup chairs. Taking pride in using practical effects over digital trickery, they joke that artificial intelligence could never replicate it, though advancing tech might make audiences skeptical of real footage in the coming years. Turning to the markets, John notes a stark divergence: while the broader market is suffering an outright bloodbath, Berkshire Hathaway sits in the green at a $1.17 trillion valuation. Embodying the Oracle of Omaha, John reaches out to strike the studio gong, groaning in mock agony as if throwing his back out, noting that while the young whippersnappers in tech are bleeding, old-school value investing is having its moment.

- The team spent nearly four hours in makeup starting at 6:00 a.m. to get fitted with prosthetics. - Marc Andreessen is 55 years old, matching the 55-day countdown from Halloween to Christmas. - Berkshire Hathaway was the lone bright spot on the hosts' boards, trading higher at a $1.17 trillion market capitalization.

[03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) GDP Beats Expectations Amid a Tech Stock Bloodbath

The hosts transition to the latest macro figures, contrasting robust top-line economic data against an ugly market reality. The Commerce Department’s latest reading showed U.S. gross domestic product expanded at an annualized rate of 3.4%, soundly beating consensus analyst expectations of 3.1%. The growth was driven primarily by resilient consumer spending and robust business investment, marking the fastest economic expansion recorded in a year. The report arrives as the final major economic checkpoint ahead of the Tuesday midterm elections, setting up a debate over whether voters will cast their ballots based on strong GDP figures or their shrinking investment portfolios.

Jordi argues that despite glowing headline metrics, public sentiment is driven far more by day-to-day emotion: “Well, and of course, I think voters care more about vibes than anything else.” At the moment, those vibes are decidedly grim across Wall Street. The tech-heavy Nasdaq tumbled roughly 3.34% on the day, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.13%. The immediate catalyst stems from bruising earnings reports across mega-cap tech, led by sudden skepticism over whether artificial intelligence infrastructure investments can translate into immediate, bottom-line search and advertising profit.

- **U.S. Q3 GDP growth:** 3.4% annualized rate (versus 3.1% expected by analysts). - **Nasdaq performance:** Down 3.34%. - **Dow Jones Industrial Average:** Down 1.13%. - **Political timing:** The GDP report serves as the final comprehensive economic check before Tuesday's midterm elections.

[05:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=300s) Google’s $500B Wipeout: Search Struggles vs. the Full AI Stack

A massive drag on the broader market came courtesy of Alphabet, which suffered its worst single trading session on record, wiping out roughly $500 billion in market value. The hosts cite the front page of *The Wall Street Journal*, which warned that Google search struggles are reigniting AI anxiety among institutional investors. John reflects that while headlines warning of AI disruption have circulated for three years, the corporate inertia of cash-printing monopolies masked the threat until hard financial data forced the issue into earnings reports.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Alphabet AI Stack and Market Tensions accDescr: Diagram illustrating the conflict between Alphabet's legacy core search business and its integrated AI capabilities.

subgraph Headwinds["Market Anxieties ($500B Drop)"] A["Search Ad Business"] --> B["AI Transition Tradeoffs"] B --> C["Margin Compression"] end

subgraph Tailwinds["The Bull Case (One-Stop Shop)"] D["Frontier AI Models"] E["Fast-Growing Cloud Business"] F["In-House Custom Silicon (TPUs)"] end

Headwinds -.->|"Offsets"| Tailwinds ```

At the same time, the hosts observe the stark contrast presented within the very same newspaper. While the front page sounded the alarm on Alphabet’s search headwinds, the back of the Business & Finance section laid out a compelling bull case for why Alphabet remains positioned to win in an AI-driven pullback:

> “On the front page of the journal, you got Google search struggles, reignite AI anxiety, they're losing 500 billion, and, you know, their earnings analysis is here, but on the back of the business section, business and finance section, you have Alphabet can still win in an AI pullback, more of a bull case, saying it's the closest thing in tech to a one-stop AI shop with a frontier model, a fast-growing cloud computing business, major in-house chip effort and large core advertising businesses.”

The hosts note that Berkshire Hathaway had recently "backed up the truck" to buy Alphabet shares. Even if immediate search margins face tradeoffs, Alphabet remains unusually diversified across every layer of the modern computing stack—boasting proprietary silicon, high-margin cloud infrastructure, proprietary research labs, and an entrenched advertising engine.

[06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) The $6.3 Billion Binance Heist: North Korea, SAFU Reserves, and Single-Engineer Vulnerabilities

The conversation turns to what is being called the largest heist in cryptocurrency history: a staggering $6.3 billion cyberattack against Binance. According to reports in *The Wall Street Journal*, the attack blew completely past the exchange’s emergency safety net, the Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU), which held approximately $1 billion in assets under management. The hosts express astonishment at the sheer scale of the breach and the apparent lack of internal security friction, pointing out that the initial compromise occurred via the laptop of a single Binance engineer. Jordi emphasizes that moving that volume of capital should require complex multi-signature authorization and strict protocols, comparing it to traditional retail banking where wire transfers routinely demand multi-factor authentication, administrative hurdles, and phone confirmation.

In response to the exploit, stablecoin issuers Tether and Circle coordinated with blockchain security firms to freeze roughly $3 billion of the stolen tokens. However, that still left an estimated $3.3 billion under the absolute control of the attackers. Market observers also suspect the hackers leveraged decentralized protocols to take out liquid loans against the stolen collateral prior to the freezes taking effect, effectively extracting untraceable capital in real time.

The incident also provoked high-profile drama on social media. Binance’s founder entered an exchange on X with Elon Musk, who bluntly labeled the breach a total disaster. The Binance founder countered by claiming the exchange could weather the crisis and asserted he holds assets like private SpaceX equity that could be liquidated to cover depositors.

Cybersecurity researchers have traced the attack to North Korea’s state-sponsored TraderTraitor hacking syndicate. The macroeconomic implications of the heist for North Korea are staggering:

> “So if 3 billion does make it to North Korea, that's like 5% of, or almost 10% of their GDP. Their GDP in 2025 for all of North Korea was 26.6 billion. So that's pretty material to the country, which is pretty crazy to think about.”

Compounding the exchange’s trouble, the broader crypto selloff triggered by the hack instantly devalued Binance’s remaining SAFU emergency reserve by an estimated $100 million. John and Jordi question why an emergency recovery fund would be held in volatile crypto assets rather than fiat currency like U.S. dollars, noting that catastrophic hacks predictably crash token valuations precisely when emergency liquidity is needed most.

- **Total sum exploited:** $6.3 billion. - **Binance SAFU reserve:** ~$1 billion AUM prior to the attack (depreciated by $100M during the market crash). - **Frozen funds:** ~$3 billion frozen by stablecoin issuers (Tether, Circle) and partners. - **Funds under attacker control:** ~$3.3 billion. - **Attributed actor:** TraderTraitor (North Korean state-sponsored cyber group). - **Economic impact:** The $3.3 billion haul represents more than 10% of North Korea’s entire $26.6 billion GDP.

[10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=600s) Crypto Resilience, CZ vs. Elon Musk, and North Korean Cyber Warfare

Comparing the recent Binance security incident to past catastrophes, the hosts note how remarkably resilient Bitcoin has remained. When Mt. Gox was hacked back in 2014, the price of Bitcoin collapsed roughly 25% to 27% in the two weeks following the breach; by contrast, Bitcoin dipped only around 4% after this latest attack. This muted reaction suggests that the median crypto investor today is far more insulated from centralized exchanges, leaning into self-custody and largely unfazed by turmoil at major trading hubs. Meanwhile, social media exploded with reactions. Solana developer Mert Mumtaz tweeted that he just wanted "one boring day," while Changpeng "CZ" Zhao publicly pleaded with Elon Musk to stop trolling with emojis, reminding Musk that Binance holds over a billion dollars worth of SpaceX stock and would appreciate some backing. A Binance representative chimed in to assure everyone that annual company revenues are more than sufficient to cover the exploit's damages without needing to liquidate their SpaceX stake.

The scale of the attack prompted Mert to declare that the public is living through a real-world cybersecurity movie—an unrelenting "revenge of the machines." However, the hosts emphasize that this was not some autonomous rogue AI swarm gone wild, but an orchestrated assault run by North Korean state-sponsored hackers. On-chain graphics tracking the movement of the stolen crypto show an intricate, incomprehensible spiderweb of transactions that only specialized analytics software could unravel. As one host put it:

> “Mert goes on to say, normies aren't aware yet, but we're actually living through the movie for cybersecurity without exaggeration.”

- **Historical context:** Mt. Gox’s 2014 collapse triggered an immediate ~25%–27% plunge in Bitcoin over two weeks; the latest Binance exploit shaved off just under 4%. - **CZ’s message to Elon Musk:** Asked Musk to stop posting troll emojis, noting Binance’s SpaceX equity is valued in excess of $1 billion. - **On-chain analysis:** Security firms like Chainalysis face massive workloads tracing the spiderweb-like laundering networks engineered by North Korean cyber operatives.

---

[12:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=746s) Intel's Historic Plunge and the Polymarket Security Breach

Turning to legacy tech, Intel suffered a devastating collapse that looked as catastrophic as a multibillion-dollar heist. The stock cratered 30% in a single day and 27% over a five-day stretch, wiping out a year’s worth of optimism driven by US government CHIPS Act subsidies and hopes for its third-party foundry services. After peaking near $140 per share, the stock plummeted to $63, coming dangerously close to round-tripping back to its March levels around $43. The brutal selloff followed an abysmal earnings call that left analysts stunned; tech commentator Nick Dorsey posted that Intel director Lip-Bu Tan sounded completely lost on the line, while CNBC's Jim Cramer confessed he was outright furious. The hosts observe that despite the deep disappointment, the broader tech industry genuinely wants Intel to succeed as an American semiconductor powerhouse, making its continuous stumbling all the painful to watch.

In the middle of the conversation, the hosts break into laughter over their elaborate prosthetic old-man makeup—having dressed up as Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger for Halloween—joking that this is exactly what they will look like when they are still doing the show in their 80s and 90s. The broadcast then shifts to a breaking security breach at Polymarket, where roughly $2.7 million to $3 million was drained from approximately 700 user wallets. Reporting from *Wired* clarified that Polymarket's core platform was not compromised directly; instead, hackers breached a UK-based third-party vendor. While international trading was briefly halted for several hours to conduct an investigation and notify UK law enforcement, the disruption caused severe headaches for traders holding fast-expiring contracts.

> “The craziest time ever to be operating any kind of financial institution.”

- **Intel selloff numbers:** Dropped 30% on the day, down 27% across five days, and sitting down over 50% from its $140 peak. - **Polymarket attack details:** An estimated $2.7 million to $3 million stolen across 700 affected user wallets via an exploited UK third-party vendor rather than the prediction protocol itself.

---

[15:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=937s) Notch's $70M Beverly Hills Compound and the Tech Market Selloff

The conversation pivots to lavish tech fortunes, focusing on *Minecraft* creator Markus Persson (better known as "Notch"). After selling his solo-developed indie phenomenon to Microsoft for $2.5 billion, Notch famously outbid Jay-Z and Beyoncé in 2014 to purchase an extravagant $70 million spec mansion in Beverly Hills, California. While $70 million has become almost commonplace for ultra-luxury Los Angeles real estate today—with speculative builds frequently listing between $200 million and half a billion dollars—at the time, it set a jaw-dropping record. Notch turned the mansion into an entertainment palace, throwing themed spectacles such as an elaborate Mars party where guests walked around in astronaut suits. One host recalls visiting the home in person and marvelling at its outlandish amenities, most notably a dedicated "candy room" equipped with giant silver dispensers packed with sweets, a 16-car showroom garage behind viewing glass, a massive wine cellar, and a private gym.

The hosts, still in character as elderly Omaha billionaires, debate where the mansion ranks on a tier list. While one rates it "S tier" for its prime hillside location, the other jokes that an authentic Warren Buffett disciple would consider it "F tier," tear the mega-mansion down, and replace it with a modest 1,500-square-foot house mirroring Buffett's humble, decades-old Omaha residence. Wrapping up the hour, a look at the live market ticker reveals a brutal day across big tech: Tesla slid 2%, Microsoft dropped 2%, Amazon slipped nearly 3%, and Nvidia took the brunt of the hit, falling almost 6%.

> “He outbid Jay-Z and Beyonce and paid a record at the time, $70 million for Beverly Hills, California spec home.”

- **Notch's 2014 purchase:** Set an LA real estate record at $70 million after outbidding Jay-Z and Beyoncé. - **Mansion features:** Giant wall-mounted candy tubes, a 16-car glass-walled garage, a home gym, a screening area, and panoramic city views. - **Market selloff snapshot:** - **Nvidia (NVDA):** Down nearly 6% - **Amazon (AMZN):** Down almost 3% - **Microsoft (MSFT):** Down ~2% - **Tesla (TSLA):** Down ~2%

[20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1200s) Warren Buffett’s 48-Year No-Water Story + The Cherry Coke Diet

The hosts check the market tickers, noticing SpaceX up 6% while Meta holds up relatively well, down only 2%. Pitching Buffett-style ad copy for their sponsor CrowdStrike, they joke about protecting businesses from "mumbo-jumbo." They quickly pivot to breaking news published by *Business Insider* regarding the 96-year-old Berkshire Hathaway legend Warren Buffett and his lifelong hydration habits.

According to an anecdote recounted by Pershing Square founder Bill Ackman on a podcast, Buffett once visited Ackman’s house for dinner. Prepared for the visit, Ackman stocked up on Buffett’s staple drink: Cherry Coca-Cola. When Buffett sat down, Ackman offered still or sparkling water before serving the soda, but Buffett declined both. As Ackman recalled the exchange:

> “Bill, I haven't had water in 48 years.”

The hosts reflect on Buffett's famous 2015 quip that he is roughly "one quarter Coca-Cola," with the soda accounting for 25% of his daily caloric intake. Meanwhile, the broadcast cuts to the show's producer Tyler, who is fully costumed in prosthetics and makeup as Berkshire Hathaway's successor Greg Abel. Abel retired as Berkshire's CEO after six decades, passing the reins to Abel. Tyler jokes that he feels ready to run Berkshire for another 40 years, despite feeling intense physical pressure beneath the heavy prosthetic layers—comparing the sensation to being trapped under deep ocean water in Hollywood. Tyler resolves to keep the disguise on through his dinner plans with friends later that evening, even planning a quick drive-by visit to the local gym valet.

---

[23:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1425s) AI Agents File Lawsuits + DoorDash’s AI Adoption Reality Check

Turning back to online discourse, the hosts examine a viral post by Philip Jackson showcasing autonomous AI agents acting in real-world legal capacities. Jackson recounted hiring an AI agent called Muse to sue someone on his behalf: within 20 minutes of papers being served, the opposing company offered a settlement; within 10 days, payment and expense compensation arrived, leading Muse to file a motion to dismiss. The hosts joke about a dystopian micro-transaction future where friends' personal AI agents instantly sue each other and trade micropayments whenever someone takes a sip of another person's drink. They suggest DoorDash could monetize this workflow by certifying Dashers as official process servers via an API.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: AI Agent Litigation Flow accDescr: Sequence showing how an AI agent executes legal action from filing to settlement. subgraph Action["Autonomous Filing"] A["Agent (Muse) Files Suit"] --> B["Papers Served on Target"] end subgraph Settlement["Resolution"] B --> C["Opponent Offers Settlement (20 Mins)"] C --> D["Damages & Expenses Paid (10 Days)"] D --> E["Agent Files Motion to Dismiss"] end ```

Despite the explosive capabilities of autonomous AI agents in legal disputes, corporate adoption tells a much more modest story. Reviewing DoorDash's earnings call commentary, the hosts highlight management's tempered assessment of AI ordering agents:

> “My take on all things technology is you never want to fight gravity. That's why DoorDash has an API, a CLI, right? They're leaning in like a Walmart, like a Shopify. But at the same time, you do not want to be delusional. If you look at where AI agents are today, we are seeing maybe several hundred orders in total from some of these third-party agents...”

The hosts note that having an AI push the "Get Burrito" button simply is not a compelling consumer value proposition yet, because ordering food via DoorDash is already frictionless and driven by habitual re-ordering behaviors.

---

[26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) Reddit’s Google AI Traffic Problem + The Historic Market Selloff

The conversation moves to Reddit’s stock selloff and commentary from its recent earnings call regarding Google's integration of AI overviews. Reddit CEO Steve Huffman reported that although Google crawls Reddit content aggressively, Google's "AI mode" does not drive referral clicks back to the platform. Users who previously appended "site:reddit.com" to queries now absorb answers directly inside Google’s AI interface without visiting Reddit or viewing ads. Reddit stated it is not banking on search traffic returning and is moving toward strict "login-only" access walls, effectively walling Reddit off as an intranet and private social network.

The hosts then review historical market statistics shared by the social media account OddStats, contextualizing the brutal sell-off in the Invesco QQQ trust: - QQQ gapped down 2.5% or worse on a Friday (down nearly 3.5% that day, on top of an earlier 1% decline). - Prior instances of Friday drops this severe are exceedingly rare: occurred three times in 2001, once in June 2002, once in October 2008, twice at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, and on "Liberation Day."

Channeling classic value-investing tenets from Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, the hosts emphasize having a "margin of safety" and remembering that "when your favorite holding period is forever," market drawdowns are less terrifying. To wrap the episode, the crew displays a Greg Abel "money spread" with Tyler still in costume, praises Buffett and Munger as two of the business world’s finest role models, and urges listeners to enjoy a cold Coke, grab some See’s Candies, ship freight via BNSF Railway, and sign up for GEICO before signing off for the weekend.

## Notable quotes > [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) I think voters care more about vibes than anything else. — Jordi Hays

## Mentioned John Coogan, Jordi Hays, Tyler, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Greg Abel, Marc Andreessen, Elon Musk, Changpeng Zhao, Lip-Bu Tan, Jim Cramer, Nick Dorsey, Markus Persson, Jay-Z, Beyoncé, Bill Ackman, Philip Jackson, Steve Huffman, Mert Mumtaz, Berkshire Hathaway, Alphabet, Google, Binance, Tether, Circle, SpaceX, Intel, Polymarket, Minecraft, Microsoft, Tesla, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, DoorDash, Reddit, CrowdStrike, See's Candies, BNSF Railway, GEICO, TraderTraitor, Chainalysis, Muse, The Wall Street Journal, Business Insider, Wired, OddStats, Invesco QQQ

## Video description Sign up for TBPN’s daily newsletter at TBPN.com

Diet TBPN delivers the best of today’s TBPN episode in 30 minutes. TBPN is a live tech talk show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays, streaming weekdays 11–2 PT on X and YouTube, with each episode posted to podcast platforms right after.

Described by The New York Times as “Silicon Valley’s newest obsession,” the show has recently featured Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Mark Cuban, and Satya Nadella.

TBPN is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.com Public - https://public.com Cisco - https://www.cisco.com Console - https://www.console.com CrowdStrike - https://www.crowdstrike.com Figma - https://www.figma.com MongoDB - https://www.mongodb.com NYSE - https://www.nyse.com Railway - https://railway.com Shopify - https://www.shopify.com/

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Chapters: 00:00 Buffett & Munger’s Halloween Takeover + The Greg Abel Reveal 03:27 U.S. GDP Beats Expectations + The Tech Stock Bloodbath 06:30 Binance’s $6.3B Crypto Heist + North Korean Hackers 12:26 Intel Stock Plunges 30% + Polymarket Gets Hacked 15:37 Minecraft Creator Notch’s $70M Mansion + The Candy Room 20:03 Warren Buffett’s 48-Year No-Water Story + The Cherry Coke Diet 23:45 AI Agents File Lawsuits + DoorDash’s AI Adoption Reality Check 26:41 Reddit’s Google AI Traffic Problem + The Historic Market Selloff

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0)

中文简报

科技股遭血洗,币安被黑,豪宅专题 | Diet TBPN 主持人戴着精致的特效假体化装成伯克希尔·哈撒韦高管迎接万圣节,深入剖析了科技市场的剧烈下挫——尽管美国公布了强于预期的3.4% GDP报告,Alphabet仍损失了5000亿美元市值,英特尔暴跌30%。他们调查了被归咎于朝鲜网络特工、涉案金额达63亿美元的币安灾难性漏洞利用事件,以及Polymarket发生的供应商数据泄露。节目还探讨了Notch位于比弗利山庄价值7000万美元的豪宅,审视了沃伦·巴菲特48年来不喝水、专喝樱桃味可乐的饮食习惯,并批评了自主AI智能体在公司法、DoorDash中的应用局限,以及Reddit与Google AI概览之间的抗争。 Alphabet在有记录以来最惨烈的单日交易中蒸发了约5000亿美元市值,原因是外界对搜索业务受颠覆的担忧重新引发了广泛的AI变现焦虑。 (5:00) 与朝鲜有关联的黑客组织TraderTraitor入侵了币安并掠走63亿美元,在稳定币发行方冻结了约30亿美元后,攻击者手中估计仍控制着33亿美元。 (6:30) 美国第三季度GDP年化增长率为3.4%,在期中选举前超过了分析师预期的3.1%,然而纳斯达克指数却在大型科技巨头严峻的财报冲击下大跌3.34%。 (3:27) 在召开惨淡的财报电话会议后,英特尔单日暴跌30%至每股63美元,抹去了《芯片法案》和代工业务积攒了一年的乐观预期。 (12:26) Reddit首席执行官史蒂夫·霍夫曼警告称,Google AI搜索概览在抓取Reddit数据的同时却没有带来引流点击,这加速了Reddit转向仅限登录的“围墙花园”的进程。 (26:41)

Reading summary

TBPN highlights a sharp divergence across financial markets as resilient macroeconomic growth clashes with a historic selloff in mega-cap tech and semiconductor equities. The rout coincided with mounting skepticism over artificial intelligence infrastructure returns, alongside the largest reported cryptocurrency breach in history at Binance. Macro Resilience Collides with a Steep Tech Rout (3:27) The Commerce Department reported that U.S. gross domestic product expanded at an annualized rate of 3.4% in the third quarter, beating consensus analyst expectations of 3.1% behind strong consumer spending and business investment. Despite this solid economic print ahead of midterm elections, equity markets suffered severe losses: the Nasdaq tumbled 3.34% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.13%. Broad tech selling saw Nvidia drop nearly 6%, Amazon decline roughly 3%, and both Microsoft and Tesla slip about 2%. Intel suffered an acute single-day plunge of 30%—falling to $63, down over 50% from its $140 peak—following an earnings call that rattled investors despite previous federal CHIPS Act subsidies. Historical analysis highlighted by the hosts showed the Invesco QQQ trust suffered an opening gap-down of nearly 3.5%, a Friday decline magnitude witnessed in only a handful of extreme market periods such as 2001, 2008, and the March 2020 pandemic shock. By contrast, traditional value holdings proved stable, with Berkshire Hathaway trading in positive territory at a $1.17 trillion valuation. AI Disruption Anxieties Hit Search and Content Models (5:00) Alphabet recorded its worst single trading session on record, shedding approximately $500 billion in market capitalization amid investor anxiety that AI transitions could compress core search advertising profit margins. While Wall Street reports noted a bull case centered on Alphabet's vertical integration—spanning proprietary Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), expanding cloud computing, frontier AI models, and its advertising base—broader sentiment reflected growing impatience regarding the immediate monetization of heavy AI capital investments. This shift is concurrently impacting digital content platforms. During Reddit's earnings call, CEO Steve Huffman noted that while Google's crawler heavily indexes Reddit content, Google's AI-generated summaries fulfill user queries directly rather than directing referral clicks back to Reddit. To counter the loss of ad impressions, Reddit indicated plans to implement strict login-only walls, effectively transitioning the open platform into a closed network. Autonomous AI Hype Versus Enterprise Adoption Reality (23:45) The broadcast examined the gap between niche autonomous AI demonstrations and actual corporate uptake. A viral case study from Philip Jackson documented an autonomous agent called Muse independently filing a lawsuit against a counterparty, securing a settlement offer within 20 minutes, collecting damages and expenses within 10 days, and subsequently filing a motion to dismiss. Conversely, mainstream commercial usage shows far more modest progress. Reviewing DoorDash's earnings commentary, the hosts noted management's pragmatic assessment: although DoorDash supports developer APIs for automated purchasing, third-party AI agents currently generate only several hundred orders in total. DoorDash executives emphasized that conventional consumer ordering is already low-friction, cautioning against unrealistic near-term expectations for autonomous consumer agents. Binance's $6.3 Billion Heist and Platform Security (6:30) A cyberattack extracted $6.3 billion from cryptocurrency exchange Binance after an attacker compromised the laptop of a single engineer. Cybersecurity researchers traced the assault to North Korea's state-sponsored TraderTraitor syndicate. Stablecoin issuers Tether and Circle coordinated to freeze approximately $3 billion in stolen tokens, leaving an estimated $3.3 billion under hacker control—a sum equal to more than 10% of North Korea's estimated $26.6 billion GDP. The exploit breached Binance's $1 billion Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU), which lost an additional $100 million in value as token prices fell. Binance founder Changpeng Zhao defended the exchange's solvency, citing annual revenue and an equity stake in SpaceX exceeding $1 billion. Digital asset infrastructure faced broader operational strains, as prediction platform Polymarket suffered a $2.7 million to $3 million theft across roughly 700 user wallets via a compromised UK-based third-party vendor. Nonetheless, Bitcoin fell only about 4% following the Binance exploit, demonstrating structural resilience compared to the 25% to 27% crash recorded after the Mt. Gox collapse in 2014. While headline economic expansion remains durable, public tech markets and digital asset infrastructure face twin pressures: Wall Street is demanding quantifiable near-term returns on expensive AI infrastructure, while centralized platforms continue to expose critical operational vulnerabilities to sophisticated cyber attacks.

精炼阅读摘要

本期节目聚焦于美国强劲宏观经济数据与科技股惨烈抛售之间的剧烈反差,重点讨论了币安(Binance)遭受历史性黑客袭击的深远影响,以及人工智能在搜索、商业落地与法律诉讼等领域面临的现实博弈。 科技股遭遇抛售潮与宏观数据背离 (3:27) 美国商务部最新数据显示,第三季度GDP按年率增长3.4%,显著高于分析师预期的3.1%,创下一年来最快增速,显示出消费与企业投资的韧性。然而,强劲的经济指标未能提振临近中期选举的市场情绪,纳斯达克指数单日大跌约3.34%,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.13%。市场动荡的主要诱因在于大型科技公司财报引发的AI投资变现疑虑,其中Alphabet市值单日蒸发约5000亿美元,创下有史以来最严重的单日跌幅。《华尔街日报》头条警示其搜索业务面临AI侵蚀,不过其内页报道也指出Alphabet拥有自研芯片(TPU)、云业务及前沿模型,仍具备全栈AI优势。 老牌芯片巨头英特尔(Intel)同日暴跌30%,五天内累计下挫27%,股价从此前140美元高位跌至63美元,抹去了美国《芯片与科学法案》(CHIPS Act)带来的乐观情绪。此外,英伟达(Nvidia)下跌近6%,亚马逊(Amazon)下跌近3%,特斯拉(Tesla)与微软(Microsoft)均下跌约2%。OddStats统计显示,QQQ在周五出现超过2.5%的跳空低开在历史上极为罕见。与科技股的血流成河形成鲜明对比的是,伯克希尔·哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)逆势飘红,总市值维持在1.17万亿美元,展现了传统价值投资的防御能力。 币安创纪录被盗与国家级网络威胁 (6:30) 加密货币交易所币安遭遇了该行业历史上最大规模的安全漏洞,损失金额高达63亿美元。报道称,初始攻击路径源自币安单个工程师的笔记本电脑,黑客轻易穿透了资产规模约10亿美元的用户资产安全基金(SAFU)。随后稳定币发行方Tether和Circle协同冻结了约30亿美元被盗代币,但仍有约3.3亿美元被攻击者彻底控制,且黑客疑似在冻结前通过去中心化借贷协议提取了无痕迹资产。雪上加霜的是,市场暴跌导致币安剩余的SAFU储备资产瞬间贬值约1亿美元,引发了主持人对该应急储备为何配置高波动加密资产而非美元法币的质疑。 网络安全研究人员将此次袭击归咎于朝鲜国家支持的黑客组织TraderTraitor。按朝鲜2025年预估的26.6亿美元GDP计算,流向该国的33亿美元收益相当于其全年国民生产总值的10%以上。尽管损失惨重,但与2014年Mt. Gox被盗导致比特币两周内暴跌25%至27%相比,本次比特币仅回撤约4%,反映出当前加密投资者对中心化交易所风险的耐受度显著提高。此外,去中心化预测平台Polymarket也因英国第三方供应商被攻击,导致约700个用户钱包被盗走270万至300万美元。 AI落地现实:自动化诉讼与流量争夺 (23:45) 虽然自主AI代理在特定专业流程中展现出惊人爆发力——例如网络公开案例中,名为Muse的AI代理在发出诉状后20分钟内促成对方提出和解、并在10天内完成赔偿和撤诉——但在主流企业服务中,AI代理的渗透依然处于早期摸索阶段。DoorDash财报电话会透露,第三方AI订餐代理带来的订单总量仅有数百笔;管理层明确表示,尽管公司在API等基础设施上积极布局以顺应技术重力,但当前不宜对AI代理的商业颠覆抱有过高幻想,因为消费者现有的点餐复购习惯本身已极其顺畅。 与商业应用的不温不火相比,AI对互联网分发机制的冲击已进入白热化。Reddit首席执行官史蒂夫·霍夫曼在财报沟通中指出,谷歌的AI概览(AI Overviews)在大量抓取Reddit内容的同时,并没有带来相应的回流点击。原本在搜索词后加上平台后缀的用户如今直接在谷歌页面获取答案,导致Reddit无法获得展示广告收益。为此,Reddit表态不再对搜索引流抱有期望,正全面转向严格的“需登录访问”壁垒,实质上正向封闭式内部网络演变。 硅谷巨富生活与传统价值投资哲学 (15:37) 节目通过《我的世界》(Minecraft)创始人马库斯·佩尔松(Notch)的财富故事,展现了科技财富的极致挥霍。Notch在2014年以创纪录的7000万美元买下比弗利山庄豪宅,内部配置包括定制糖果房、16车位玻璃展厅车库以及用于举办太空主题派对的娱乐设施。这种追求奢华的硅谷科技富豪生活方式,与沃伦·巴菲特几十年如一日坚守奥马哈旧居的朴素风格形成了剧烈反差。 对冲基金经理比尔·阿克曼此前在播客中透露,96岁高龄的巴菲特曾坦言自己“已有48年没喝过水”,其每日25%的热量摄入直接来自于樱桃可乐。针对当前大型科技公司的估值震荡与盈利阵痛,主持人回顾了巴菲特与查理·芒格关于“安全边际”与“最佳持有期限是永远”的投资理念,认为在市场剧烈回调和概念泡沫退潮之际,遵循经典价值投资规律与关注企业底层现金流依然具有长久意义。 本期节目揭示了科技行业当前面临的三重撕裂:一是宏观经济指标向好与科技巨头盈利焦虑之间的撕裂;二是庞大数字资产与薄弱网络防御架构之间的撕裂;三是生成式AI的巨大概念预期与企业实际变现难题之间的撕裂。在动荡周期中,高估值成长股正经历严苛的现实审视,而具备防御属性的价值资产再次获得市场重视。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 该内容由科技脱口秀频道 TBPN 于 2026 年 10 月 31 日发布在 YouTube 平台。根据页面介绍,本期为《Diet TBPN》30 分钟精简版,由 John Coogan 和 Jordi Hays 主持,聚焦播报当天硅谷核心科技动态与金融市场大事件。 ## TL;DR 节目正值万圣节,两位主播盛装化装为沃伦·巴菲特与查理·芒格,剖析了当天美股科技板块的惨烈抛售,包括英特尔单日暴跌 30%、Alphabet 市值蒸发 5000 亿美元以及 QQQ 遭遇历史罕见的周五跳空重挫。节目深度拆解了币安遭遇 63 亿美元的史上最大黑客盗窃案及其背后的朝鲜黑客组织,并讨论了 Polymarket 的安全事故。此外,主播们盘点了《我的世界》创始人 Notch 的 7000 万美元奢华豪宅与巴菲特 48 年不喝白水的逸闻。最后,节目深入对比了 AI Agent 自动维权与日常点餐落地遇冷的反差,剖析了 Reddit 遭 Google AI 模式截流的困局,并在重温巴菲特长期价值投资哲学中收尾。 ## Atmosphere & style 整期节目在万圣节高级特效倒模化妆的荒诞喜感与宏观科技股“血流成河”的肃杀情绪之间形成了奇妙的反差。两位主播顶着逼真的巴菲特与芒格老年面具敲锣调侃,团队成员客串的接班人格雷格·阿贝尔频繁制造即兴包袱,令沉重的百亿黑客案与爆雷财报变得极富戏剧性。节奏明快辛辣、谈笑风生,既有硅谷圈内熟稔的戏谑八卦,又有对商业本质与安全防线的硬核洞察,为在市场暴跌中感到焦虑的观众带来了一种充满冷幽默与定力的奇特解压感。 ## Bulletin - [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) 美国第三季度实际 GDP 增长率超预期达到 3.4%,但科技股遭遇惨烈抛售,纳指跌 3.34%,Alphabet 市值创纪录单日蒸发逾 5000 亿美元,英特尔暴跌 30%。 - [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) 币安发生史上最大加密黑客盗窃案,遭卷走 63 亿美元,多机构紧急冻结约 30 亿,但黑客依然成功套取约 33 亿美元,攻击疑似关联朝鲜黑客组织。 - [14:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=875s) Polymarket 因英国第三方服务商被黑导致 700 名用户被盗约 300 万美元,突显金融类去中心化平台第三方依赖的安全脆弱性。 - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) Reddit 披露 Google 搜索 AI 模式截流效应加剧,外部导流断崖式下跌,公司正被迫转向“全登录模式”筑起内容防御围墙。 ## Key takeaways - [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) 美国经济宏观增长亮眼(GDP 年化 3.4% 超预期),但选民与资本市场情绪严重脱节,科技权重股遭无情杀跌。 - [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) Alphabet 单日蒸发超 5000 亿美元,华尔街开始清算 AI 转型对传统搜索业务高利润率的侵蚀代价,尽管其全栈 AI 布局仍被长期多头看好。 - [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) 币安 63 亿美元巨额被盗案暴露出数十亿美元资金调拨仍存单点脆弱性,仅靠 10 亿美元的 SAFU 基金已完全无法覆盖黑天鹅损失。 - [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) 黑客成功带走的 33 亿美元黑金相当于朝鲜年度预估 GDP 的 10% 以上,网络攻击已具国家级战略经济影响力。 - [10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=600s) 相比 2014 年 Mt. Gox 暴跌 25% 以上,本次比特币仅回调约 4%,显示出自托管模式普及后底层持币者结构更加稳固与成熟。 - [12:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=746s) 英特尔单日暴跌 30%,一年内从 140 美元腰斩至 63 美元,惨淡的财报电话会与巨额亏损彻底击溃了代工厂乐观叙事。 - [14:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=875s) Polymarket 第三方供应商漏洞导致 700 名用户损失约 300 万美元,暴露出缺乏回滚机制的数字金融在遭遇停机审查时的高昂代价。 - [15:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=937s) 《我的世界》创始人 Notch 曾以 7000 万美元现金全款击败 Jay-Z 夫妇买下比弗利山庄豪宅,成为科技新贵巨额套现后消费主义的标志性代表。 - [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1200s) 比尔·阿克曼披露沃伦·巴菲特近 48 年未喝纯水、日常 25% 热量来自可乐,其特立独行饮食习惯成为商业传奇轶事。 - [23:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1425s) AI Agent 在法律维权和追索和解等高门槛场景展现出极高落地价值,成功在数日内完成诉讼谈判全流程。 - [23:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1425s) DoorDash 仅有数百单来自第三方 Agent,表明摩擦力极低的日常低频操作并不需要 AI 代理过度介入,落地存在场景伪需求。 - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) Google 搜索的 AI 概览功能严重拦截直接点击,倒逼依赖搜索分发的内容社区(如 Reddit)加速走向全封闭式登录围墙。 - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) QQQ 出现历史上罕见的周五跳空暴跌超 2.5%,此前该级别走势仅在互联网泡沫、次贷危机及疫情暴发等历史性崩盘周期出现。 - [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) 在极度恐慌的科技抛售潮中,巴菲特安全边际与永久持股理念再度印证其在对冲高估值脆弱性上的长远价值。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=0s) 万圣节特辑:巴菲特、芒格与格雷格·阿贝尔的全套化装 节目在一片欢脱的万圣节氛围中开场。主播 John Coogan 和 Jordi Hays 本期盛装出席,分别化装扮成了沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)与查理·芒格(Charlie Munger),甚至连制作团队的 Tyler 也被推到了镜头前,顶着一头逼真的假发与假牙,扮演巴菲特的指定接班人格雷格·阿贝尔(Greg Abel)。众人开玩笑说去年化装搞得太猛,今年虽然稍微“敷衍”了一点,但依然在清晨 6 点就赶到演播室,耗费了近四个小时才完成全套好莱坞级别的高级倒模特效妆容。Jordi 调侃这种效果“只有在好莱坞才可能实现,AI 绝对做不出来”,但随后又感慨也许到明年 AI 技术就会好到让人开始怀疑真假。John 靠在椅背上模仿老人的神态,逗得大家捧腹大笑,Tyler 甚至还现场模仿了格雷格·阿贝尔标志性的严肃打招呼:“Hey, guys. It's – it's me, Greg.” 随后大家还开玩笑提醒他今晚千万别穿这身去玩“不给糖就捣蛋”,否则走在大街上绝对会把路人吓个半死。 谈到万圣节的意义,众人打趣道,万圣节最棒的一点就是圣诞节马上要到了——从万圣节到圣诞节刚好还有 55 天,而他们去年的节目重磅嘉宾马克·安德森(Marc Andreessen)今年正好 55 岁。随后现场聊起了当天下跌惨烈的外围市场,John 模仿巴菲特的经典口吻调侃道:“Some people are being fearful. Most people, I would say, are fearful. It seems like that. That made me start feeling a little greedy.” 尽管整个大盘血流成河,但伯克希尔·哈撒韦(Berkshire Hathaway)的股价却逆势飘红,市值稳居 1.17 万亿美元。为了庆祝这个全场唯一的绿色亮点,化装成巴菲特的 John 颤颤巍巍、假装闪到腰一般猛力敲响了演播室的标志性铜锣,悠长的锣声在录播间回荡良久。 - 演播室特效化妆耗时近 4 个小时,于清晨 6 点开始制作。 - 万圣节至圣诞节倒计时 55 天,呼应去年嘉宾马克·安德森的 55 岁年龄。 - 伯克希尔·哈撒韦市值达 1.17 万亿美元,在当天科技股普遍暴跌的市场中逆势上涨。 --- ### [03:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=207s) 美国 GDP 增长超预期与科技股血流成河的现实撕裂 在宏观经济层面,美国商务部发布的最新数据显示,美国经济在商业投资和强劲消费支出的推动下实现了 3.4% 的年化增长率,大幅超出分析师此前 3.1% 的预期,创下一年来最强劲的单季扩张。作为下周二中期选举前发布的最后一份重磅经济成绩单,这份亮眼的数据本应是提振信心的利好,但金融市场却呈现出冰火两重天的极端景象:纳斯达克指数当天暴跌 3.34%,道琼斯指数下跌 1.13%。科技股的大幅杀跌让账面财富缩水的选民们感到极其压抑,正如 Jordi Hays 所指出的那样:“Well, and of course, I think voters care more about vibes than anything else.” 市场的恐慌很大程度上源于科技巨头的财报现实撞击。在周四,谷歌母公司 Alphabet 遭遇了有记录以来最惨烈的一天,单日市值蒸发超 5000 亿美元。华尔街正在痛苦地消化一个事实:这家长期以来的盈利与增长引擎,在向人工智能(AI)转型的过程中正面临极其痛苦的权衡与折损。虽然这类警示早在三年前就曾见诸报端,但直到现在其对搜索引擎核心业务利润的侵蚀才真正以数据驱动的方式体现在财报中。不过,也有媒体在分析中指出了看多理由:伯克希尔此前已经大举建仓 Alphabet,因为谷歌依然是科技界最接近“一站式 AI 闭环”的公司——它坐拥顶尖的基础大模型、迅猛增长的云计算业务、自研的算力芯片体系,以及庞大的搜索广告底盘,其全栈式的 AI 布局意味着它在未来的 AI 周期中仍有可能胜出。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Alphabet AI Transition Tradeoffs accDescr: 展现Alphabet在强劲GDP背景下面临的市场抛售以及多空博弈逻辑。 subgraph Macro["宏观数据与市场情绪"] GDP["美国GDP年化增3.4%<br/>(预期3.1%)"] Vibes["选民与投资人情绪走弱<br/>Nasdaq暴跌3.34%"] GDP -.->|"情绪脱节"| Vibes end subgraph AlphabetLoss["谷歌财报冲击"] Search["搜索业务承压<br/>AI转型面临利润权衡"] MarketDrop["单日蒸发5000亿美元<br/>创历史最惨单日表现"] Search --> MarketDrop end subgraph BullCase["长期看多逻辑(伯克希尔建仓)"] Stack["全栈式 AI 布局"] Model["前沿大模型"] Cloud["高增长云计算"] Chips["自研专用芯片"] Stack --- Model Stack --- Cloud Stack --- Chips end MarketDrop -.->|"触底考量"| BullCase ``` - 美国第三季度实际 GDP 年化增长率录得 3.4%,高于市场普遍预期的 3.1%。 - 纳斯达克综合指数单日下挫 3.34%,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 1.13%。 - Alphabet 单日市值蒸发高达 5000 亿美元,创下该公司历史上单日市值下跌最高纪录。 --- ### [06:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=390s) 币安遭遇 63 亿美元史上最大加密黑客案与朝鲜黑客组织 加密货币圈爆出惊天大案,《华尔街日报》头版报道了全球最大加密货币交易所币安(Binance)如何争分夺秒填补史上最大加密盗窃案带来的巨额资金窟窿。黑客直接从币安的数字钱包中卷走了高达 63 亿美元的资产。币安原本设立了名为 SAFU(用户安全资产基金)的应急储备基金,资金规模约为 10 亿美元,专门用于应对极端突发情况。然而,这次现实中的黑天鹅事件直接将损失拉高到了应急准备金的 6 倍以上。根据币安官方的初步解释,黑客是通过攻破一名币安工程师的个人笔记本电脑等漏洞实现了横向渗透并完成了转移。Jordi 和 John 对此深感震惊与荒谬,在传统银行电汇哪怕一笔稍大的款项都需要多重电话核实和双因子认证,而动用数十亿美元的资金链竟然会存在单点故障(Single Point of Failure),仅凭极少数甚至单个工程师的权限就能被撬动。 事件发生后,稳定币发行商 Tether 和 Circle 协同其他加密机构紧急冻结了约 30 亿美元的链上资产,但仍有约 33 亿美元彻底落入黑客控制之下。更有消息称,黑客很可能在资产被冻结前就已经利用抵押借贷协议套取了更具流动性的资金。币安创始人甚至在社交平台 X 上发文称正在想办法处置资产(包括出售持有的 SpaceX 股票等)来填补亏空,而埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)也在评论区毫不留情地讽刺了这场漏洞百出的安全事故。网络安全研究人员已将此次攻击归咎于朝鲜臭名昭著的“TraderTraitor”黑客组织。这起巨额失窃案引发了整个加密货币市场的踩踏崩跌,甚至连币安留存的加密应急基金本身的市值也缩水了 1 亿美元,这也让主播们质疑为何应急储备不使用现金(美元)或高度分散的资产。更令人不寒而栗的是这笔黑金对朝鲜国家体量的影响:朝鲜 2025 年全年的国内生产总值(GDP)仅为 266 亿美元左右,这意味着这笔成功得手的 30 多亿美元黑客收入相当于该国 GDP 的 10% 以上,现代网络攻击的战略筹码之高令人咋舌。 - 币安被盗总金额达 63 亿美元,为加密货币行业有史以来规模最大的黑客盗窃案。 - 币安原设立的 SAFU(Secure Asset Fund for Users,用户安全资产基金)规模约为 10 亿美元,严重不足以覆盖此次 63 亿美元的窟窿。 - Tether、Circle 及相关加密机构联合阻击冻结了约 30 亿美元,但黑客依然成功卷走约 33 亿美元。 - 朝鲜 2025 年全国 GDP 预估为 266 亿美元,黑客得手的 33 亿美元相当于其全国 GDP 的 10% 左右。 ### [10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=600s) 加密货币失窃与市场反应:从门头沟到币安与马斯克的互动 主持人对比了本次币安巨额资金失窃与历史黑客事件对币价的冲击。在 2014 年 Mt. Gox(门头沟)交易所遇客攻击后的两周内,比特币价格暴跌了约 25% 至 27%;然而这次面对高达数十亿美元的盗窃,比特币价格仅仅下跌了约 4%。这种差异说明如今比特币的中位数持有者结构已经发生显著变化,更多人转向自我托管(Self-custody),对中心化交易所的风吹草动不再那么惊慌失措。 与此同时,社交平台 X 上的名流互动也引人注目。在黑客事件爆发后,埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)在相关推文下回复了表情包,引来币安前首席执行官赵长鹏(CZ)的直接喊话。CZ 表示此时并非恶搞的良机,并提到币安持有的 SpaceX 股份价值超过十亿美元,希望马斯克能给予支持。币安内部人员也表态称,公司当年的收入完全足以覆盖本次损失,根本不需要抛售看好的 SpaceX 股票。针对整体网络安全局势,知名加密分析师 Mert 直言不讳地指出当前机器反扑的严重程度。 > “普通人还没有意识到这一点,但毫不夸张地说,我们正切切实实生活在一部关于网络安全的电影里。” —— Mert 警告道。 然而在本次攻击中,这并非失控的野蛮机器群或意外事故,而是朝鲜黑客在幕后操控。网络上流传的资金洗钱路径图犹如一张错综复杂的巨大蜘蛛网,唯有机器算法才能理清脉络,这也给 Chainalysis 等链上反欺诈追踪团队带来了海量的工作。 - 2014 年 Mt. Gox 被黑后比特币两周内暴跌 25%–27%,而本次被盗后跌幅仅约 4% 左右。 - CZ 面对马斯克的表情包公开回应:“Elon, I have a lot of respect for you, but bad time to be a troll.”(埃隆,我非常尊敬你,但现在可不是当网络喷子恶搞的时候。) - 链上被盗资金流向被描述为只有机器才能解析的“疯狂蜘蛛网”。 --- ### [12:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=746s) 英特尔股价暴跌30%与灾难级财报电话会 芯片巨头英特尔(Intel)的股价表现同样惨烈,其走势仿佛自身刚经历了一场 60 亿美元的惊天劫案。英特尔单日暴跌达 30%,过去五个交易日累计下挫 27%,市值大幅蒸发。大约一年前,在美国政府补贴注入以及超大规模云服务商(Hyperscalers)订单预期的乐观情绪推动下,英特尔掀起过一轮强劲反弹,股价最高曾触及每股 140 美元;然而如今股价已跌回 63 美元,较峰值直接腰斩,几乎回吐了之前芯片代工厂(Fab)乐观叙事带来的所有涨幅。 市场对英特尔最新季度财报电话会的反应极为糟糕。投资人和分析师们对管理层的表现大失所望,科技从业者 Nick Dorsey 听完后直呼难以置信,认为高层在电话会中显得迷茫无措。甚至连知名财经主播吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)也难掩怒火。公众其实内心深处普遍希望英特尔能够振作并重回胜利轨道,但现实中巨额亏损与乏力的执行力让支持者倍感沮丧,董事会成员陈立武(Lip-Bu Tan)等人面临着极其艰巨的扭转任务。 > “是的,我对英特尔很失望。确切地说,是非常愤怒。” —— Jim Cramer 评价英特尔的表现时说道。 两位主持人在镜头前正化着老年特效妆,打扮成沃伦·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)与查理·芒格(Charlie Munger)的万圣节造型。看着对方满脸逼真的老年皱纹与假体,两人忍不住互相调侃,打趣说即便到了八九十岁, TBPN 节目也绝不退休,依然会像今天这样坐在摄像机前播报科技新闻。 - 英特尔单日重挫 30%,5 日累计下跌 27%。 - 股价从高点 140 美元腰斩至 63 美元附近,较今年 3 月 27 日的 43 美元低谷反弹后再度深幅回调。 - 市场普遍反映电话会表现糟糕,不仅亏损严重,管理层的沟通也未能给予投资者信心。 --- ### [14:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=875s) Polymarket 遭第三方黑客攻击与数字资产安全困境 去中心化预测市场平台 Polymarket 同样遭遇黑客突袭。《连线》(Wired)报道显示,大约有 270 万至 300 万美元的资金从部分交易者的钱包中被盗走。经调查,受害漏洞源自其位于英国的一家第三方供应商,而非 Polymarket 预测市场主站本身的代码被攻破。事件发生后,平台第一时间通报了英国执法部门,并暂停了数小时的交易以便进行安全调查,目前其旗舰国际平台已恢复运作。 这次长达数小时的交易熔断引起了诸多用户的不满。对于许多正在结算倒计时的竞猜合约而言,半小时内的价格变动就是生死之别,交易暂停让许多原本计划套现平仓的用户措手不及。据统计,共有约 700 名用户的钱包受到波及。 > “这是有史以来运营任何金融机构最疯狂的时期。” —— 主持人感叹道。 主持人指出,数字资产由于缺乏传统金融的追索与回滚机制,任何人在这个领域运作都必须时刻处于“彻底的恐惧”之中,安全防线容不得半点疏漏。 - Polymarket 约 700 名用户受影响,损失金额约为 270 万至 300 万美元。 - 攻击入口为英国第三方供应商系统,而非预测市场主协议。 - 平台经过数小时排查后已恢复旗舰交易业务。 --- ### [15:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=937s) 《我的世界》创始人 Notch 豪掷7000万美元买豪宅与糖果屋回忆 话题转向了硅谷与科技圈的传奇房产故事。《我的世界》(Minecraft)创始人马库斯·佩尔松(Markus Persson,网名 Notch)在当年凭借一己之力开发出这款现象级游戏后,以数十亿美元的天价将其卖给了微软。套现后的 Notch 决定买下全城最贵的住宅,于是在比弗利山庄的一套超级定制豪宅竞标中,他直接以 7000 万美元现金击败了巨星夫妇 Jay-Z 与碧昂丝(Beyoncé),创下了当时洛杉矶住宅地产的最高成交纪录。 虽然如今比弗利山庄挂牌两亿美元甚至五亿美元的豪宅已屡见不鲜,7000 万美元甚至接近某些顶级地段的中位数,但在 2014 年,这一手笔轰动了全美。主持人回忆自己曾亲自去过这套豪宅,称其为最顶级的派对娱乐用房: - 房内配备了能透过玻璃地面俯瞰名车的 16 车位车库、音乐工作室、超大酒窖与健身房。 - 最标志性的是专设的“糖果屋”(Candy Room),整面墙排列着银色的圆柱管道,装满了未拆封的各类糖果与原料,宾客可以自行调配混合装袋。 - Notch 当年经常在豪宅举办奢华的主题派对,例如全员身穿宇航服的火星主题派对。 在给这套豪宅评级时,两人展开了趣味争论。一位主持人毫不犹豫地给出“S级”(顶级),另一人则用其身上的“巴菲特人设”打趣道:真正的价值在土地本身,巴菲特只会把它推平,盖一栋 1500 平方英尺的两居室平房来复刻奥马哈的老宅。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Notch 豪宅交易与派对生活示意图 accDescr: 展示 Minecraft 创始人 Notch 从出售公司到购买比弗利山庄豪宅及屋内奢华配置的流转过程。 subgraph S1["财富变现"] A["独立开发 Minecraft"] --> B["数十亿美元卖给微软"] end subgraph S2["地产竞标 (2014)"] B --> C["7000万美元天价竞标"] D["竞争对手: Jay-Z & 碧昂丝"] -.->|出局| C end subgraph S3["比弗利山庄顶级豪宅配置"] C --> E["银色管道专属糖果屋"] C --> F["16车位透明观景车库"] C --> G["火星宇航服主题派对"] end ``` --- ### [19:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1180s) 科技股全线暴跌:血洗行情下的市场速览 在节目录制尾声,直播间的观众纷纷在弹幕中提醒主持人留意行情软件上的实时走势。主持人调出 Public 平台的行情看板,发现美股核心科技股正上演一场全面的“大屠杀”(Bloodbath)。不仅此前被热议的英特尔崩盘,整个巨头板块也全线下挫。 - 特斯拉(Tesla)下跌 2%。 - 微软(Microsoft)下跌 2%。 - 英伟达(NVIDIA)重挫近 6%。 - 亚马逊(Amazon)下跌近 3%。 整个半导体与科技巨头集群均出现深度回调,印证了本轮市场抛售潮的剧烈程度。 ### [20:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1200s) 沃伦·巴菲特 48 年不喝水传闻与万圣节变装插曲 主持人开场查看股市实时动态,讨论是否能把 Berkshire Hathaway(伯克希尔·哈撒韦)加到行情显示器上,并提到 SpaceX 涨了 6%,Meta 仅跌 2%,表现相当坚挺。随后两人开玩笑要模仿沃伦·巴菲特的语气念广告词:“你们的业务全是胡言乱语(mambo-jumbo),别人的业务也是胡言乱语,而 CrowdStrike 的业务就是保护你的胡言乱语不被入侵。”接着,他们转入当天《商业内幕》(Business Insider)报道的一则关于“奥马哈先知”的重磅趣闻:96 岁的商业偶像沃伦·巴菲特自 1970 年代以来就没喝过一杯白开水。 这则逸闻源自 Pershing Square(潘兴广场资本)创始人比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)在播客中的回忆。阿克曼提到,多年前巴菲特受邀去他家共进晚餐,阿克曼特意提前备足了巴菲特最钟爱的饮料——樱桃可乐(Cherry Coke)。两人在餐桌旁坐下后,阿克曼问巴菲特在喝苏打水之前是否想先来点纯净水或气泡水,巴菲特礼貌婉拒,只要他的樱桃可乐。阿克曼忍不住问:“你难道不喝水吗?”巴菲特回答道:“Bill, I haven't had water in 48 years.”(比尔,我已经 48 年没喝过水了)。巴菲特曾在 2015 年调侃过,自己身体里有四分之一都是可口可乐,因为可乐占了他每天卡路里摄入量的 25%。 在调侃巴菲特惊人饮食习惯的同时,节目切到了现场正万圣节变装扮成 Greg Abel(巴菲特接任者)的搭档 Tyler。Tyler 幽默回应称自己感觉棒极了,准备在这个岗位上再干 40 年。随后他诉苦说,去年的变装才穿了一小时就感到四壁逼仄,这种厚重的道具服装就像沉入深海一样压迫感极强,但为了演艺效果他决定硬撑到底,甚至产生了一种迷之自信,打算晚上跟朋友聚餐、甚至整个周末都穿着这身行头。尽管朋友在 FaceTime 里警告他“赶紧脱了,别穿成这样来吃晚饭,你会吓到大家的”,但他坚称要穿着这身行头开去健身房代客泊车区,跟老铁们打个招呼。 - 比尔·阿克曼在播客中披露,巴菲特自 1970 年代起便不再饮用白开水。 - 巴菲特曾笑称自己 25% 的日常卡路里来源于可口可乐。 - 演播室现场进行了万圣节 Greg Abel 的趣味变装联动与即兴互动。 --- ### [23:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1425s) AI Agent 帮人打官司与 DoorDash 的 AI 落地现实 话题转向科技动态,主持人注意到了社交平台上一则由 Philip Jackson 发布的帖子。Jackson 表示自己雇佣了名为 Muse 的 AI Agent(个人智能体)代表自己提起诉讼:“I hired Muse to sue someone on my behalf. I won while they caved.”(我雇了 Muse 替我起诉某人。他们认怂了,我赢了)。在传票送达被告后短短 20 分钟内,对方公司便提出和解,并在 10 天内结清了款项及追偿费用补偿,随后 Muse 提交了撤诉动议。主持人感叹这种全自动法律维权非常疯狂,并开玩笑说以后如果有人偷拿了别人的饮料,彼此的 AI Agent 就会立即对簿公堂并在后台自动划转小额赔偿款。两人还顺势脑洞大开:DoorDash 应该进军“送传票”业务,把所有外卖骑手认证为法律文书送达员,Agent 只要调个 API 就能线下送达,以满足必须“肉身现场签收”的法律认定。 然而,强悍的模型能力与现实中的落地规模之间存在巨大反差。DoorDash 最新的财报电话会显示,尽管核心业务增长良好,但来自 Muse 这类第三方个人 Agent 的订单总共仅有几百单。DoorDash 管理层在回应 AI Agent 相关提问时强调,这是一个非常动态的领域,虽然公司像沃尔玛、Shopify 一样主动拥抱技术,开放了 API 和 CLI,但绝不能脱离现实自欺欺人。 主持人深入剖析了这一现象:让机器人去点一个“来个卷饼”按钮根本算不上高价值的使用场景,把 DoorDash 点餐流程个案委托给 Agent 毫无意义。外卖平台上的操作本身已经极其简单,很多应用都有直观的“再来一单(Reorder)”按钮,加上用户点餐有很强的习惯性,因此哪怕某人是 Muse 这类先进智能体的核心重度用户,也完全没有动力用它来点外卖。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: AI 现实落地反差对比 accDescr: 对比 AI Agent 在法律诉讼与日常点餐两个场景中的实际价值与接受度 subgraph Legal ["高价值/高复杂度场景 (Muse)"] L1["用户委托 AI Agent (Muse)"] --> L2["自动起诉并送达法律文书"] L2 --> L3["被告 20 分钟内妥协求和解"] L3 --> L4["10 天内到账并自动提交撤诉"] end subgraph Delivery ["低价值/低摩擦场景 (DoorDash)"] D1["DoorDash 开放 API / CLI 接口"] --> D2["第三方 Agent 介入点餐流程"] D2 --> D3["实际订单量仅几百单"] D3 --> D4["用户习惯直接在 App 点击'再来一单'"] end ``` - Philip Jackson 借助 Muse AI Agent 全自动完成起诉、和解谈判与撤诉流程,10 天内收回欠款及补偿。 - DoorDash 财报电话会披露,来自第三方 Agent 的订餐量累计仅有“数百单”。 - 讨论指出,点餐行为摩擦力极低且存在惯性,Agent 在替代简单点餐上并没有明显的用户价值。 --- ### [26:41](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=1601s) Reddit 遭 Google AI 模式分流与历史级市场抛售 主持人随后讨论了 Reddit 股价遭遇抛售的情况,指出其财报电话会传递出的信号相当严峻。首席执行官 Steve Huffman 透露,虽然 Google 对 Reddit 内容的抓取依然频繁,但 Google 的搜索 AI 模式(AI Mode / AI 概览)根本无法给 Reddit 导流。以往网民习惯在搜索框输入“关键词 + site:reddit.com”并点击进入论坛查看广告,现在用户直接在搜索结果的 AI 概览里获取了答案。流量因此出现断崖式下跌,Huffman 明确表示 Reddit 不指望 Google 的流量能重新回来:“We don't control Google. We only control Reddit.”(我们控制不了 Google,我们只能控制 Reddit)。为了自救,Reddit 正在转向“全登录模式(log-in only)”,基本等同于建立内容围墙,退守为一个小圈子式的专属社交网络。 紧接着,主持人引用了数据账号 OddsStats 整理的历史异动统计:当天科技股标杆 QQQ 在经历前一天下跌 1% 后,周五再度跳空暴跌近 3.5%。在 QQQ 的历史长河中,周五跳空下跌 2.5% 或更深的情况极其罕见,此前仅发生过寥寥几次: - 2001 年互联网泡沫破裂期间发生过 3 次; - 2002 年 6 月发生过 1 次; - 2008 年 10 月次贷危机爆发时发生过 1 次; - 2020 年初新冠疫情暴发初期发生过 2 次; - 以及 2024 年 8 月的“解放日(Liberation Day)”和节目播出的当天。 面对惊心动魄的市场血洗,主持人直言现在是重温巴菲特和芒格价值投资哲学的最佳时机:“When your favorite holding period is forever, days like today aren't really that scary.”(当你最喜欢的持股期限是永远时,像今天这样的日子其实没那么可怕)。他们引用了巴菲特的名言“Price is what you pay, value is what you get”(价格是你付出的,价值是你得到的),告诫投资者必须拥有安全边际,买入具备真正现金流和内在价值的资产。 在节目尾声,他们满足观众要求,展示了万圣节 Greg Abel 变装版的“美钞炫富摆拍(money spread)”,并调侃这位接任 10 个月的新 CEO 也遭遇了“系统入侵”。最后,两位主持人由衷表达了对巴菲特和查理·芒格的崇敬之情,称赞他们是商业世界中最伟大的楷模,并向观众致意:“去喝瓶可口可乐,吃点 See's Candies 糖果,买一份 GEICO 车险,或者用 BNSF 铁路运点货吧”,随后在五星好评呼吁和周末祝福中结束了本期节目。 - Reddit 财报透露 Google 搜索的 AI 模式截流严重,Reddit 将采取登录限制以构建护城河。 - QQQ 历史上单周五跳空暴跌超 2.5% 的情形此前仅在 2001 年、2002 年、2008 年、2020 年及 2024 年 8 月等重大危机节点出现过。 - 节目在对巴菲特与芒格价值投资理念的致敬中收尾。 ## Notable quotes > [10:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0&t=600s) 普通人还没有意识到这一点,但毫不夸张地说,我们正切切实实生活在一部关于网络安全的电影里。 — Mert ## Mentioned John Coogan, Jordi Hays, Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, Tyler, Greg Abel, Marc Andreessen, Berkshire Hathaway, Alphabet, Google, Binance, SAFU, Tether, Circle, SpaceX, Elon Musk, TraderTraitor, Mt. Gox, CZ, Mert, Chainalysis, Intel, Nick Dorsey, Jim Cramer, Lip-Bu Tan, Polymarket, Wired, Minecraft, Markus Persson, Jay-Z, Beyoncé, Tesla, Microsoft, NVIDIA, Amazon, Meta, CrowdStrike, Business Insider, Bill Ackman, Pershing Square, Philip Jackson, Muse, DoorDash, Walmart, Shopify, Reddit, Steve Huffman, OddsStats, QQQ, See's Candies, GEICO, BNSF Railway, The New York Times, Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Mark Cuban, Satya Nadella, Ramp, Public, Cisco, Console, Figma, MongoDB, NYSE, Railway ## Video description Sign up for TBPN’s daily newsletter at TBPN.com Diet TBPN delivers the best of today’s TBPN episode in 30 minutes. TBPN is a live tech talk show hosted by John Coogan and Jordi Hays, streaming weekdays 11–2 PT on X and YouTube, with each episode posted to podcast platforms right after. Described by The New York Times as “Silicon Valley’s newest obsession,” the show has recently featured Mark Zuckerberg, Sam Altman, Mark Cuban, and Satya Nadella. TBPN is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.com Public - https://public.com Cisco - https://www.cisco.com Console - https://www.console.com CrowdStrike - https://www.crowdstrike.com Figma - https://www.figma.com MongoDB - https://www.mongodb.com NYSE - https://www.nyse.com Railway - https://railway.com Shopify - https://www.shopify.com/ Follow TBPN: https://TBPN.com https://x.com/tbpn https://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235 https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive Chapters: 00:00 Buffett & Munger’s Halloween Takeover + The Greg Abel Reveal 03:27 U.S. GDP Beats Expectations + The Tech Stock Bloodbath 06:30 Binance’s $6.3B Crypto Heist + North Korean Hackers 12:26 Intel Stock Plunges 30% + Polymarket Gets Hacked 15:37 Minecraft Creator Notch’s $70M Mansion + The Candy Room 20:03 Warren Buffett’s 48-Year No-Water Story + The Cherry Coke Diet 23:45 AI Agents File Lawsuits + DoorDash’s AI Adoption Reality Check 26:41 Reddit’s Google AI Traffic Problem + The Historic Market Selloff [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irzhgGKGKu0)

Source quotes

[10:00] Mert: 普通人还没有意识到这一点,但毫不夸张地说,我们正切切实实生活在一部关于网络安全的电影里。

Source quotes

[3:27] Jordi Hays: I think voters care more about vibes than anything else.

Original transcript

[0:00] Good morning. Thank you for being here. Everyone's dressed up. Jordy, of course. Look, and it was pretty hard to top last year. Yeah. We went pretty hard. Yeah. So we kind of, I know we phoned it in a little bit this year. Yeah. But we did our best. Yeah. People were saying like the tailoring wasn't perfectly identical, but I think we got close. Let's take a look over at Tyler. Did Tyler get a chance to put on? Is that Greg Abel? I know people recognize me. Of course people recognize you. You're the most iconic of everyone here around the table. The best part about Halloween? Yeah. Christmas is right around the corner. Exactly. Exactly. Every year between Halloween and Christmas, there are 55 days until Christmas. Mark Adresa is 55 years old. Our guest from last year, of course. Fantastic. Oh boy, we've got a fun show today. Chaos in the markets. Bloodbath. Bloodbath out there. Some people are being fearful. Most people, I would say, are fearful. It seems like that. That made me start feeling a little greedy. Let's leave it on this. Let's take a look at John here. I mean, John, lean back. If I lean back, it's really good. Just incredible, incredible work. This is only possible in Hollywood. I know. AI could never do this. No, no. And it is. Never. It feels like next year the AI will be so good, more people will be skeptical. We started in the pre-AI era, so you know it's real. You know we're sticking with it. We're sticking with it. We were here at the studio at 6:00 a.m. this morning. It took just under four hours to get suited up. But let's give it up for the team that helped us with this. It was really incredible. Look at that Greg. Let's give it up for Greg. Greg is looking great. He's looking good. Early white teeth, too. Did they give you veneers or are those your natural teeth? Looking good. That's just all natural. All natural. All natural. Looking serious. Greg, you look fantastic. And you've been working on your Greg Abel impression. Can you give us a little bit, a little taste? Hey, guys. It's – it's me great the the you nailed it yeah yeah you're gonna clean up and trick-or-treating later you go around in these well the markets all over the place they timed yeah a friend of the show and he said don't wear that out later you're gonna scare people yeah you look so it is just worn but it's just crazy It's unnerving. It really is so, so funny, especially when you get the moves going. Should we see how I can hit the gong? When you start moving like a young guy in there. Oh, your stock. Oh, his back's going out. There's an older guy, an older gentleman on the set. Let's see a gong hit for old Berkshire. The stock is up, by the way. Everything's down, but Berkshire's doing great. It's a $1.17 trillion company. everyone over in the berkshire hathaway universe absolute bloodbath these young whippersnappers bloodbath in the market today but berkshire doing well only company that i've found yeah that's looking green is this gong ringing longer than usual does it always i think it was just a strong hit strong hit strong hit from mr buffett uh well the u.s economy is up interestingly the the u.s spending, business investment power, the fastest expansion in a year, 3.4% annual rate, the latest reading of gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced across the economy, beat analysts' expectations. They were expecting 3.1, came in at 3.4. The report from the Commerce Department is the last major accounting of the U.S. economy before the midterm elections on Tuesday. So a big referendum on do you vote GDP numbers or do you vote stock market numbers? A lot of A lot of voters have their wealth in the stock market, and they're seeing a lot of red today. Well, and of course, I think voters care more about vibes than anything else. Yeah, true. And the vibes are down. The NASDAQ is down something like 3% today. Let's see. 3.34%. But the Dow is also down 1.13%. A lot of it has to do with earnings. We talked about it yesterday, but Google search struggles reignite AI anxiety. Worst day on record Thursday as investors confronted the reality that a company that has long been a dynamo of growth and profits faces painful tradeoffs in the artificial intelligence transition. [5:00] A headline that could have been written three years ago, but is now being digested in reality- in a data-backed way, because the first three years, everything's continued to look like business as normal. And that's the nature of these technology trends. It takes... for it to actually show up in earnings. There's a lot of inertia in every business in the economy, even if you're a high-growth tech company. The slide erased. Still got to be painful. Obviously, Berkshire recently. Backed up the truck. Backed up the truck. Yeah. For Alphabet, but for good reason. There's a lot of ways that they can be an AI winner. Yeah. They sell great chips. They have an incredible cloud business. Thank you. Um, they have a frontier-ish lab. Yeah. Um, but, um... Yeah, it'd be interesting to know what the business would be trading at if they had revenue ramp from-- their own model. Sure, sure. Yeah, yeah. So, yeah, on the front page of the journal, you got Google search struggles, reignite AI anxiety, they're losing 500 billion, and, you know, their earnings analysis is here, but on the back of the business section, business and finance section, you have Alphabet can still win in an AI pullback, more of a bull case, saying it's the closest thing in tech to a one-stop AI shop with a frontier model, a fast-growing cloud computing business, major in-house chip effort and large core advertising businesses. They are diversified across the AI stack. And so that could be a cause for optimism, even among some jitters in the market. Well, We got to talk about Binance. Okay. They had a rough one yesterday in the journal, How Binance is Racing to Cover Losses in the Biggest Heist in Crypto History. We will weather this storm, the company says, as it taps reserve funds and its founder gets into a confrontation on X. With Elon, Binance executives are racing to cover billions in losses from the biggest crypto heist in history, a breach that blew past everything the exchange had set aside to cover such an incident. So they've had a fund set up that had roughly a billion AUM. Is that the Safu fund? Safu. Secure asset fund for users. Yeah. They set it up for exactly this. They were sort of planning for a worst case scenario. Turns out the worst case scenario was three times or six times what they were planning for. Yeah, much, much greater. 6.3 billion from the exchange's digital wallets by breaking into a Binance engineer's laptop, among other breaches. Binance said. So yeah, I think a big question that everyone has is like, how is it possible that like, single engineer needs single point of failure, you would think it would be a number of You would think it would be a number of engineers that need to all sign off on something like this for that much money to move. You know, even sending a wire these days from a traditional bank is usually a couple phone calls, two-factor. There's a bunch of different stuff that needs to happen. It's rarely just one person signing off. But anyway, stablecoin issuers Tether and Circle, along with other crypto firms, managed to freeze about three billion of that sum, leaving roughly three point three billion under the hackers control. Binance has had has an there's some questions around that, too. It's possible that they were able to. take a loan out against those assets and so the assets are frozen now but they already got some more liquid. Oh, interesting. OK, yeah, yeah. So it's still happening in real time. He was live tweeting about it saying that, you know, he has some SpaceX stock that he can sell off. There's assets around. Well, he was saying that because Elon was-- not being the most friendly in the conference section. Yeah, kind of. I mean, Elon was calling it like it is a really bad hack. Yeah. But the hack attributed by cybersecurity researchers to North Korea's trader, trader hacking group has rattled the overall crypto market, knocking down Bitcoin's price. This means the emergency fund is already 100 million lower. You would think, you would almost think they would keep the emergency fund in good old fashioned terms. USD. USD, or a more diversified basket of assets, because it is kind of predictable that, like... You can go after that. If there's a massive hack, crypto will trade down. You don't also want your... Yeah. But if the market goes way up, and then you get hacked, you haven't actually appreciated. So yeah, it's trade off. Interesting. So if 3 billion does make it to North Korea, that's like 5% of, or almost 10% of their GDP. Their GDP in 2025 for all of North Korea was 26.6 billion. So that's pretty material to the country, which is pretty crazy to think about. High stakes in the modern cybersecurity era. Tyler, did you see anything else, any other interesting details about what happened with this hack, like technically or any other color that you want to add? I haven't seen anything specifically about how it actually happened, but I do think it was interesting that... [10:00] Bitcoin only went down like a few percent. So in 2014 when Mt. Gox got hacked, I think in like the two weeks after Bitcoin price went down, I think it was like 25, 27 percent. It's kind of surprising that it's really like, you know, yeah, it's like almost 4 percent. It kind of shows you that the median holder at this point is maybe more along self-custody, maybe more along, you know, less worried about what's going on at the centralized exchanges. What you got for me? Warren Anyways. Let's look at this response. Mert is saying he just wants one boring day. All he's asking for. CZ said, Elon, I have a lot of respect for you, but bad time to be a troll. He was commenting emojis back. Please stop. Our SpaceX shares are worth more than a billion. Would appreciate if you show a little support. Thanks. I think that's a fair stance. Wait, which one? I think the Elon reaction is a fair stance. I don't even think he's not. He's not doing crying laughing. He's not true. He's doing the, oh, this is really rough. He's doing the, I don't know. This doesn't seem like him totally grave dancing in this. Yeah, yeah. in this way. And then someone over at Binance says, reporting to the major shareholder, of course, talking about CZ, our company's revenue for the year is sufficient to cover the losses, so we don't need to sell the SpaceX shares you are bullish on. So I think, of course, I think CZ was making more of like a, a bit more like a, like a rat. That's what Mert called it, the full stack dump of his shares that helped him buy X. Mert goes on to say, normies aren't aware yet, but we're actually living through the movie for cybersecurity without exaggeration. Just absolutely relentless revenge of the machines. Revenge of the-- but North Korea is in charge of these machines in this case. Like this is not a rogue swarm. This is not an accident by someone. There are some pretty interesting people who have been posting graphics of like all the stolen funds, like how they've been moving. And it looks like an insane spider web. Yeah. Only a machine could understand, yeah. I mean, full employment for the Chainalysis team and some of the other folks, like the crypto fraud prevention groups. There's a bunch of these. Over in Intel, Intel looks like it's trading like they just had a $6 billion heist. Incredibly rough. They're down more than 22% now, right? Or have they bounced back a little bit? Where are they? They're down 30% today, 27% over the last five days. $336 billion company, but totally round-tripping. The big jump in Intel started about a year ago with the investment by the U.S. government and a lot of optimism around hyperscalers starting to buy from Intel, use their fabs, jump all at the same time to get the fab off the ground. The stock is Pretty close to where it was before all of that started. March 27th of this year, it was $43 a share. Now it's $63 a share. But that's down from a high of $140 a share. So it's down 50% since the peak. Nick Dorsey says, I actually can't believe how bad that Intel call was. I just finished listening to it. Lit boo sounded lost. I don't even know what to think after that. That seems to be resonating. Even Jim Cramer says, yes, I am disappointed in Intel. Actually furious. about it Yeah, Kramer's not happy. Yeah, no one's happy. Yeah, I saw some viral Instagram of someone being like... This is a company that people want Intel to win. Totally. It's losing money sucks, but also we want Intel to be a great company. And again... Lip boo. As his work cut out for him. He does. You laughing at me? I'm laughing at the way you look. It's ridiculous. You're laughing at the way I look. You're mocking me. It's just such a ridiculous thing to look at. You know, when John and I were facing each other this morning, and I was just having these visions of the future when we're 80s, 90s, et cetera, and we're still going to be here. We're still going to be doing this. We're not leaving. They're going to retire on... I believe the amount of money that was stolen from Polymarket wallets was 3 million. This is in Wired. Trading has resumed on Polymarket's flagship international platform already after a hack that drained money from wallets of some traders. Third party vendor based in the UK was breached, not the prediction markets website itself. Law enforcement in the UK have been notified of the incident. Trading [15:00] Initially paused while the company investigated for several hours. That's got to be really disruptive because some people are like, this is resolving right now. I would have sold it. I would have sold in the next 30 minutes, but not in the two hours point. So I'm sure there's going to be a lot of people that are upset, but still seems like they got through it. 700 users appear to have been affected with approximately 2.7 million stolen. So be safe out there if you're on one of those platforms. The craziest time ever to be operating any kind of financial institution. Like you have to be, I mean, especially digital assets, right? Because there's much less recourse. But yeah, you have to be operating in total fear right now. Yeah. And I look at this and even, you know, dress the way that I am, I don't even... Think about getting greedy. on a lot of these names. I love it. Well, Minecraft creator Marcus Person Notch, if you know him from Minecraft, he's Do you play Minecraft growing up? Yeah, of course. You're a big Minecraft guy? Yeah, yeah. That was like my – That was your childhood? That was peak, yeah. Yeah? Peak? 60 years ago. Something like that. The way Tyler laughs, there's so much on your face with the prosthetics. It's really fantastic. So the creator of Minecraft – Minecraft was kind of a solo dev story, sold it to Microsoft for billions of dollars, I'm buying the most expensive house in town. And so he outbid. Give me the castle. Give me the castle. Exactly. He outbid Jay-Z and Beyonce and paid a record at the time, $70 million for Beverly Hills, California spec home. I feel like The market in Beverly Hills, like 70 million is closer to median now at a certain tier. We've seen houses go up for 200 million. There was the one that was trying to get half a billion dollars. It's not uncommon to see properties up in this territory. But back in 2014, 70 million was record-breaking. And it made the headlines because he came in and swooped in. Jay-Z and Beyonce wanted it. And he said, nah, I'm outbidding you. So he got outbid. But, yeah, in the years that followed, it was a unique home because it was the most expensive. It kind of lost that superlative as developers came in and built bigger and pricier homes. I've actually been to this house. It's really, really crazy. There's a room dedicated just to candy. There's a music studio. But I don't know if they have the candy room here. Nothing, nothing. The candy room is one of the craziest things that it shipped with. Let's put a candy room in this thing. And it might have gotten taken out at some point. It doesn't look like it's in these. pictures. But it was very crazy. He would throw these huge parties in L.A. and they would all be themed. I went to one that was like Mars themed or something. Everyone was in like astronaut suits or something. It was like it's a perfect entertainer's house. And so he had a lot of fun. Had like the garage with the glass so you can see the cars through it. Tyler's asking in the chat, did you see any C's candy when you're in the candy room? No, not a lot of... Oh, maybe unbox these candy because the whole conceit of the candy room is that it has these silver tunnels. Let me see if I can actually find a notch candy room. Yeah, boom, right there, guys. Pull this one up. Yeah, it has these tubes that you fill with the raw ingredients or with the packaging. So you actually can't really see the brands. You see this, Jordy? On the left there. Maybe zoom in a little bit on the left and you'll see that's the wall of candy. So you can go there and just... create whatever bag of candy you want. There's a bar with a bunch of TVs down there. And I believe there's some other crazy feature where it has like something, giant wine cellar, home gym, 16 car garage, and then the enormous candy wall, of course. There's something else. But I don't remember. But anyway, this is where would you put this home? What tier are you going? Uh... S tier. S tier. It has beautiful views. You've got to tear it down. You've got to tear it down. How can it be S tier? Well, no, it's clearly, you know, incredible piece, you know, property. You calling it S tier makes no sense. You should call it F tier because you still live in your family home, remember? No, but I think that... The actual dirt. Matters more than anything. Okay. So you would build like a 1,500 square foot two bedroom Home to mimic your Omaha, Nebraska property? I think so. Okay. Something like that. Something a little more humble, but in the same footprint, maybe. Great. In the same footprint. John, take a look at that public ticker. They're calling it out in the chat. What do we got? It's a bloodbath out there. It is a bloodbath. Tesla down 2%. Microsoft 2%. NVIDIA almost 6%. Oof. Amazon... Almost three. [20:00] Is Berkshire Hathaway not on the ticker yet? Can we add Berkshire Hathaway to the ticker? SpaceX, 6%. And where is Meta at? Meta is only 2%. They're holding up. They're doing well. They are holding up. Yeah, I kind of want to do Buffett-themed ad reads. Your business is mambo-jumbo. Their business is mambo-jumbo. Their business is securing your mambo-jumbo. CrowdStrike secures mambo-jumbo and stops breaches. Warren Buffett, we got some breaking news here in Business Insider. This actually dropped today. It's not every day you get some breaking news about the Oracle of Omaha, but we do have one. Warren Buffett hasn't had a glass of water since at least the 1970s. Can you believe this? Is that real? This is real. So Business Insider is reporting on a conversation that happened between the 96-year-old business icon, Warren Buffett, and Bill Ackman. recall during an episode. So Bill Ackman and Warren Buffett had a conversation a long time ago, and then Bill Ackman brought it up on a podcast and said, oh, I remember I talked to Warren, and he said he hadn't had a glass of water since the 70s. So Ackman said that Buffett came over for a dinner at Ackman's house years ago, and he'd made sure to stock up on the legendary investor's favorite drink, Cherry Coca-Cola. Cherry Coke. The Pershing Square founder, that's Bill Ackman. Yeah, they're calling it Petey. Petey? Yeah, that's true. We said that once they were sitting at the table, he asked Buffett whether he'd like Stiller sparkling water. Like, I have your I have your cherry Coke, but do you want Stiller sparkling before you get into your soda? And Buffett politely declined opting for his preferred soda instead. But I said, you know, "Don't you drink water?" Ackman recalled. And he said, "Bill, I haven't had water in 48 years." That is remarkable. He quipped that in 2015, he was one quarter Coca-Cola, as it accounted for 25% of his daily calories. That is extremely peaty. Not drinking water might sound unbelievable, but Buffett, who retired as Berkshire Hathaway's CEO after 60 years, Greg Abel took over. Let's cut to Greg. There he is. Still going strong. Spitting image over there. How do you feel, Greg? I'm feeling great. I'm ready to be here for another 40 years, you know? Tyler on a personal level, I don't feel, because last year was about one hour in. I felt like the walls were closed. Like you really feel like-- you feel there's a lot of layers. Like one of these outfits is like a-- It's like a deep under water. There's a lot of pressure. Yeah, they're taking you to deep water here in Hollywood. It's a lot of pressure. It feels very intense. I almost had to get up and leave, but then I just powered through. At the same time, I feel like the fact that this is round two. Show business above all else. This is round two. I could wear this every day now. I'm feeling confident. No, I know. I'm getting cocky. I'm getting cocky. I'm kind of thinking I got dinner with some friends later. I'm kind of thinking. Keep it on. Why not keep it on? Maybe the whole weekend. Why not keep it on? That friend did tell me. I FaceTimed him before this. He said. Take it off. Do not come to dinner like that. He's testing you. You're going to scare people. He's testing you. He's clearly testing me. So if you're listening out there. I'm not taking it off. I'm going out like this. We got to surprise someone in person. Actually, so you know where I want to go? I want to go to... I want to go drive over real quickly to the valet at the gym and just pull up and just say what up to the boys. For sure. Our friends over there. I was explaining to him yesterday that we were going to dress up, and he's like, you know. Yeah, you're throwing a special shirt or something. Yeah, cool, cool. Cool stuff. We get things a little bit differently around here. Let's head over to the timeline. Yes, what do we got? Uh... DoorDash. Uh... Well, Maybe we start here. Philip Jackson. says, "I hired Muse to sue someone on my behalf. I won while they caved. within 20 minutes of being served papers, the company offered a settlement. Within 10 days, they paid me with additional compensation for recovery expenses. Muse filed the motion to dismiss. This seems crazy, actually, taking it all the way. I was joking about this, where if I steal your drink, our agents are just going to be suing each other to transfer micropayments. Immediately some guy just shows up. Maybe DoorDash should get into... It's the serving business. Oh, yeah. They could certify everyone as a process server, and you could just, with the click of a button, or over an API, an agent could dispatch a server. I still don't understand when you need to serve someone in person versus digitally. Like why is the other person necessary? Somebody has to accept it digitally. They have to physically accept it. Okay, so they can be like out of sight, out of mind, see no evil. [25:00] I believe like if it's in person and I'm like you've been served you can't be like I do not accept. Oh yeah I'm not aware that this court case is going on or something. Okay I have to. But oftentimes interesting like this. So incredible incredible model capabilities but DoorDash is not seeing incredible adoption is that is that the two to two sides of this coin right now. DoorDash earnings call. So DoorDash says they've only received several hundred orders in total from personal agents like Muse. They say, you're right, everything's going great with the core business. This only adds to it. Your second question was around AI agents. I would say that this is something that is still a very dynamic area. I'm reading that as, like, we're early. My take on all things technology is you never want to fight gravity. That's why DoorDash has an API, a CLI, right? They're leaning in like a Walmart, like a Shopify. But at the same time, you do not want to be delusional. If you look at where AI agents are today, we are seeing maybe several hundred orders in total from some of these third-party agents, and some of which you have cited in terms of whether or not paying customers or placing orders. DoorDash is interesting. The models might need another leg up because tell the robot to push the DoorDash, the Get Burrito button, is not a great use case. not valuable to hand over DoorDash to a personal agent on a case-by-case basis. I just think it's so incredibly easy. TO-- order food. Yes. And people are very habitual. Yeah. It's possible that you could be a power user of Muse and not even care to use it to order DoorDash. Yeah, totally, totally. At the same time, I think that there are certain buttons in all the delivery app. Yeah, just says like reorder. Reddit is down. You saw this. Reddit's selling off. I think Will mentioned it. The quotes from the earnings call are a little rough. Google is crawling us as hard as ever. The reality is AI mode does not drive traffic. So people go, they used to just say site Reddit, click on the Reddit, click, see some of those ads over there. Now, People are getting the answer directly in AI mode. Not for us and not to anybody as far as I know. So traffic is way down. Used to be a traffic driver. Now it's not. People still want Reddit. It's just Google is not sending them to Reddit the way they used to. Huffman says Reddit isn't counting on Google traffic returning. We don't control Google. We only control Reddit. And so they're going log in only. You can only... use the service if you're logged in. So they're putting up a paywall basically. It's a social network. Yeah, it's a social network. It's an intranet. It's probably the natural. form of this. The account OddsStats has some odd stats for us today. Give it to us. OddsStats says, "For absolutely no reason whatsoever, here's a list of every time in QQQ history where it gapped down 2.5% or worse on a Friday. It's currently down almost 3.5% following a negative 1% day. And it happened three times in 2001, once in June 2002. October... 2008 Twice at the beginning of COVID and then Liberation Day and possibly today. And of course, that has turned out. to be the case. Yeah. Crazy, crazy day in the markets. Yeah. You've got to have a margin of safety in this time. I think so. Yeah. Never been a better time to go brush up on your... your Buffett Munger, understand the greats. Yeah, when your favorite holding period is forever, Tastes like today. Not really that scary. When you're in the value investor mode, buy something that has cash flow, has value. Yeah, price is what you pay, value is what you get. Exactly. Couldn't have said it better myself. fantastic I think that's our show I think chat was asking for a Greg Abel money spread we wanted to see if Greg Abel was breached in fact he is you've never seen a Greg Abel money spread but now you have Ten months into the job. Breached. Yeah, the last thing I would say is, you know, we've been joking around today, but I think Buffett and Munger are two of the greatest... role model that the business community could ever have. And as, as much fun as we're having, we, um, we wanted to honor them in our own little TVPN way. We hope you enjoyed it. So go grab a Coca-Cola, go grab some Seas candy, enjoy yourself. Sign up for GEICO. Sign up for GEICO. 15 minutes could save you. 15% or more on car insurance. Send some freight on the Burlington Northern Railroad. Why not? Yeah. Why not? Why not? Tyler. or Greg, can you take us out with... with a truque. Oh, yeah. Leave us five stars on Apple Podcasts. Have a wonderful weekend. Be safe out there this weekend. [30:00] We love you. We'll see you Monday. And we will see you on Monday. Goodbye.