Jason Cohen Urges Startups to Ditch Low Prices for Upfront B2B Cash

Designing the Ideal Bootstrapped Business with Jason Cohen — Rob Walling

Rob Walling

Bootstrapped software founders must target business buyers at premium rates with annual prepayments because upfront cash flow, rather than customer volume, generates the liquidity needed to survive.

AI-assisted summary of Designing the Ideal Bootstrapped Business with Jason Cohen — original source. Check the original for full context.

Source published:

Key ideas

  • Self-funded startups should be designed as predictable cash machines, targeting 150 customers paying an average of $70 per month rather than pursuing Kevin Kelly's flawed '1,000 True Fans' model. (3:22)
  • Collecting annual upfront payments creates a negative 30-day cash conversion cycle that provides day-one working capital and enables effectively infinite marketing budgets. (13:21)
  • Bootstrappers should strictly avoid consumer markets and fleeting pain points, focusing instead on B2B software where costs naturally recur and businesses willingly pay premium rates. (24:03)
  • Building aftermarket software on established platforms like WordPress, Salesforce, or Basecamp de-risks acquisition by tapping existing customer intent and marketing budgets. (37:09)

Detailed notes

## Background Published on YouTube by Rob Walling on December 4, 2019, this video features Jason Cohen's presentation from MicroConf 2013. The talk focuses on designing a sustainable self-funded business foundation by assessing natural founder constraints and advantages to deliberately reverse-engineer pricing, market selection, and business models.

## TL;DR Jason Cohen outlines a practical framework for engineering self-funded software businesses to operate as predictable, cash-generating engines. He advises against common pitfalls like pursuing consumers, building two-sided marketplaces, or chasing low-margin volume models like Kevin Kelly's '1,000 True Fans.' Instead, Cohen demonstrates how targeting 150 B2B customers at substantial price points, securing upfront annual prepayments, raising prices aggressively, and tapping into established aftermarkets creates sustainable growth under limited time and capital.

## Atmosphere & style The talk carries the energy of an engaging, unfiltered masterclass driven by analytical rigor, dry humor, and authentic founder-to-founder transparency. Cohen combines relatable war stories from building Smart Bear and WP Engine with crisp whiteboard math, briskly dismantling conventional startup myths with pragmatic unit economics. The resulting vibe is both sobering and deeply empowering, blending sharp operational blueprints with candid reflections on founder psychology, hiring regrets, and long-term fulfillment.

## Bulletin - [03:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=202s) Self-funded startups should be designed as predictable cash machines, targeting 150 customers paying an average of $70 per month rather than pursuing Kevin Kelly's flawed '1,000 True Fans' model. - [13:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=801s) Collecting annual upfront payments creates a negative 30-day cash conversion cycle that provides day-one working capital and enables effectively infinite marketing budgets. - [24:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1443s) Bootstrappers should strictly avoid consumer markets and fleeting pain points, focusing instead on B2B software where costs naturally recur and businesses willingly pay premium rates. - [37:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2229s) Building aftermarket software on established platforms like WordPress, Salesforce, or Basecamp de-risks acquisition by tapping existing customer intent and marketing budgets.

## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=0s) Bootstrapped startups fail primarily from structural mismatches with low-capital, low-time constraints rather than product-market failure. - [03:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=202s) One-off software licenses reset revenue to zero every month, creating perpetual payroll stress and financial panic regardless of company size. - [06:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=406s) Pre-code customer discovery via targeted cold outreach can validate demand and secure paying customer commitments before writing any code or setting up infrastructure. - [12:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=720s) Founders should embrace a boutique identity to charge premium rates, leveraging personal craft and startup authenticity instead of discounting due to small team size. - [13:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=801s) Offering discounts for annual prepayments solves cash flow bottlenecks by funding customer acquisition costs immediately rather than enduring multi-month payback lags. - [17:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1060s) Early-stage software companies should aggressively raise prices by 50% to 100% until conversion volume breaks, as ARPU provides more immediate leverage than churn reduction. - [21:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1265s) Replacing free trials with upfront billing supported by a generous money-back guarantee boosts conversion rates and eliminates unrecoverable cash leaks. - [24:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1443s) Selling to consumers is structurally disadvantaged for bootstrappers due to price sensitivity, low support tolerance, and high churn compared to B2B buyers. - [28:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1697s) Subscription products succeed when tied to recurring financial, infrastructure, or operational cycles rather than temporary, one-time pain points. - [31:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1910s) Viral loops and two-sided marketplaces are mathematically mismatched with self-funded startups lacking massive capital and initial user volume. - [40:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2410s) Targeting large, established markets and parent aftermarkets provides validated demand, multiple sub-niches, and built-in search intent. - [43:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2614s) The Rule of 25 provides a reliable heuristic for early-stage paid acquisition by capping cost-per-click at ARPU divided by 25 when sample sizes are too small for attribution. - [54:55](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3295s) Bootstrapped enterprise sales can bypass procurement hurdles and cash-flow lags by executing a land-and-expand strategy via small, paid pilot teams. - [01:00:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3607s) Experienced founders consistently identify delayed termination of cultural misfits and ethical compromises as their deepest long-term managerial regrets.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=0s) Rethinking Bootstrapping as "Self-Funded" Cash Machines

Jason Cohen opens his talk by setting out to define the ideal structure for a bootstrapped startup: how it makes money, goes to market, and acquires customers. He argues that most companies fail not simply because they fail to build something people want—echoing Hiten Shah’s point—but because their business structure is fundamentally incompatible with the realities of bootstrapping. Small founders operate under severe constraints of low time and low capital, and attempting to run a model that requires massive upfront investment or scale sets them up to fail. Cohen points to his own background: he has bootstrapped four separate companies to over $1 million in annual revenue, all of them profitable, selling two of them. Even with WP Engine, although he later raised outside capital to “swing for the fences,” the company was initially bootstrapped to sustainability under these exact principles.

Addressing terminology, Cohen brings up a conversation he had the previous evening with Hiten Shah. Shah expressed frustration with the word "bootstrapping" as vague and diluted, while both agreed that the term "lifestyle business" carries an unfair, pejorative connotation. Shah suggested adopting the label **self-funded**, which Cohen strongly endorses:

> “Eaton said let's call it self-funded I said yes that's good self-funded and maybe that means little friends and family maybe that means a little bit a little debt but not the kind that you're giving up any significant amount of your company for self-funded so let's call it that” — Jason Cohen

To Cohen, a self-funded company must be conceptualized as a "cash machine"—a business that produces predictable monthly profit. He tests the room by asking how many attendees run a business where, if they abandoned work for a month to go crazy in Las Vegas, they would still reliably generate $10,000 in monthly revenue. Fewer than 20% of the audience raise their hands. Cohen emphasizes that $10,000 per month per founder is essentially the baseline threshold required to quit a full-time job and dedicate oneself completely to a venture, especially for founders with families.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: The Self-Funded Cash Machine Concept accDescr: A diagram illustrating the core goal of a self-funded startup: generating predictable baseline revenue. subgraph Mindset["Core Model"] direction TB A["Self-Funded Constraints"] --> B["Predictable Cash Machine"] end subgraph Milestone["Primary Goal"] direction TB B --> C["$10k+/mo per Founder"] C --> D["Quit Day Job / Full Focus"] end ```

[03:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=202s) The Flaw of One-Off Sales and the Myth of 1,000 True Fans

Reflecting on business models, Cohen contrasts recurring revenue with his experience running his third company, Smart Bear. Smart Bear sold downloadable, one-off software licenses where customers did not continuously return, save for an occasional 20% annual maintenance fee squeezed out of enterprise clients. Consequently, on the first day of every month, revenue reset to zero. Even after reaching millions in revenue and employing a team of 12 seven years later, Cohen found himself waking up panicked in the middle of the night wondering how he would make payroll. He emphasizes that the stress of starting from scratch every single month never diminishes, calling it “a horrible way to live.”

While recurring revenue is the clear remedy, Cohen argues that founders misunderstand how to target that customer base, specifically critiquing the widely popularized concept of "1,000 True Fans." Kevin Kelly initially proposed that independent creators and musicians could bypass major labels if just 1,000 dedicated fans bought $100 to $200 worth of merchandise and concert tickets per year. The romantic narrative took off after Seth Godin amplified it on his blog, but the math falls apart under scrutiny:

> “The problem is that a couple of weeks later kevin kelly redacted the whole idea he said you know i was inundated with information from actual artists and they said this is completely not true and first of all you can't even get people to give you 100 200 dollars a year it's hard you can't get a thousand rabid fans you can get like 30 or 50 of your you know your friends and family and stuff but actually a thousand fans super hard to get a thousand people at any price point is really hard” — Jason Cohen

When Kelly realized $200,000 gross revenue does not cover touring overhead, band member salaries, and living expenses, he publicly retracted the theory. Godin, however, did not retract his endorsement, leaving the broader entrepreneurial community chasing an unrealistic benchmark. Cohen asks the audience how many have 1,000 customers, and drops hands further when asking how many pay $10 or $100 per month, driving home just how difficult it is to reach that volume.

[06:46](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=406s) The 150-Customer Rule and Validating Pain Before Building

Instead of chasing 1,000 fans, Cohen advocates targeting **150 customers**. Acquiring 150 customers at meaningful price points is an achievable target that can fully sustain a self-funded founder. The initial 30 to 50 customers can be acquired through sheer grit, personal networking, and direct outreach.

To illustrate how to secure early validation, Cohen shares the exact playbook he used to validate WP Engine before writing code or buying infrastructure. He searched LinkedIn for WordPress consultants—his ideal target audience—and sent personalized cold emails:

- He introduced himself as the founder of a new WordPress hosting service designed explicitly for professionals like them. - He asked for customer development interviews to understand their operational bottlenecks and headaches. - Crucially, he respected their time: *“I know your time is valuable you're a consultant and so I absolutely do not want you to feel like I'm just trying to grab time from you I am very happy to pay whatever you think is fair for an hour of your time even if that's more than your normal hourly rate.”*

Cohen sent 40 of these emails and achieved a 100% positive response rate. He completed calls with 38 of them. Not a single consultant took him up on the offer to be paid; honoring their professional value made them eager to assist for free. Through these discovery conversations, Cohen secured agreements from 30 to 40 individuals willing to pay $50 a month for the proposed hosting service before WP Engine had a name, a slide deck, a single employee, or a functioning server. He notes that at Capital Factory, the Austin incubator he co-founded, founders who rigorously apply this pre-validation approach routinely secure 20 to 30 commitments or checks before building anything, proving the problem is acute enough to sustain a business.

[08:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=530s) Reaching 150 Customers and the Imperative of High Pricing

Getting the initial trickle of traction requires piecing together multiple modest acquisition channels. A founder can scrape together roughly 50 customers through direct networking, scratch and claw a bit more through guest posts on relevant blogs and social media activities, and pull in the rest through mundane paid marketing like Google AdWords or targeted niche display ads. If a founder cannot scrape together 150 customers over several months through these methods, building a viable, lasting company will be exceptionally difficult. Once those 150 customers are within reach, the financial math dictates the pricing model: to hit a target of $10,000 per month in recurring revenue, the business must charge an average of around $70 per month.

многих self-funded founders shy away from higher price tags because of imposter syndrome and an acute awareness of their own product's flaws. When an early-stage tool lacks features, support is sluggish because it is run by a solo operator, and “everything about it is kind of shitty,” the instinct is to undercharge at $9 or $19 a month with the naive rationalization that volume will compensate. As Jason Cohen puts it:

> “And so you know you feel like a home and in charge 19 dollars a month, nine dollars a month, and often that's coupled with but I'll get thousands of customers which is of course again very hard so my argument to you is that that's that is not a good idea that's a difficult way to go and the easy ways to decide how it is valid to charge a lot of money.”

Pricing structures should reflect customer tiers and perceived value rather than self-doubt. At WP Engine, tiered packaging allowed the company to realize an average revenue per user (ARPU) exceeding $100 per month from early on. Founders can also employ pricing optics: list a product at $79 or $99, cross it out, or distribute discount codes. Cohen notes that crossing out a $79 price tag to offer a plan at $49 caused sales to jump immediately, despite the net price remaining identical. Similarly, offering a 30% annual discount via bloggers preserves an effective $66 monthly rate while giving buyers the psychological reward of a substantial bargain.

- Hitting $10,000/month with ~150 customers requires an average price of roughly ~$70/month. - Low-price models ($9–$19/month) force the founder to acquire thousands of customers, creating an operational trap for bootstrappers. - WP Engine used tiered pricing segmentation based on volume and feature sets to drive an ARPU of over $100/month.

---

[12:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=720s) Embracing the "Boutique" Identity

To feel comfortable charging premium rates for an imperfect product with a tiny staff, founders should adopt the mental model of a "boutique" business. Outside the software world, people routinely pay three times the standard rate at independent clothing shops, specialized law practices, or consultancy firms staffed by only one or two people. These businesses may have limited hours and slow response times—resembling a solo software company that cannot reply to emails instantly because the founder is busy working—yet customers value the personal touch, high craftsmanship, and distinct relationship.

Customers actively enjoy supporting small, dedicated teams and recognize the prestige and bespoke nature of boutique services. In the tech ecosystem, figures like Patrick McKenzie demonstrate how single-operator boutique consulting commands premium pricing. Rather than apologizing for being small, solo founders should celebrate it openly in their sales narrative; startups carry cultural cachet, and buyers are frequently eager to pay more to back an individual who is genuinely pouring themselves into the craft.

> “And so I think this is a nice positive way to say yeah this is why it is ok to spend money and this this now dovetails with this with the talk I did last year about saying you know if you say I am just one person who's really making a go of it that's the kind of thing that actually lets you charge more money because people go that's awesome because startups are cool right now aren't they and so people want to give you more money Boutique.”

---

[13:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=801s) Unlocking Cash Flow with Annual Prepays

Cash flow is the lifeblood of a bootstrapped business, and the single most powerful mechanism to secure it is the annual upfront prepay. Cohen polled the MicroConf room and noted with surprise how few attendees were utilizing prepays, emphasizing that upfront collection should be treated as practically mandatory. When a bootstrapped business relies solely on month-to-month subscriptions, growth consumes cash; offering annual prepayments flips that dynamic on its head by turning customer acquisition into an immediate cash-generating engine.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Monthly Billing vs Annual Prepay Cash Flow accDescr: Diagram contrasting slow monthly payback against immediate upfront cash surplus from annual prepayments.

subgraph Monthly["Monthly Billing Model"] M1["Spend $300 CAC"] --> M2["Collect $50/month"] M2 --> M3["6-Month Payback Lag"] end

subgraph Annual["Annual Prepay Model (2 Months Free)"] A1["Spend $300 CAC"] --> A2["Collect $500 Upfront (10 Months)"] A2 --> A3["+$200 Immediate Net Cash"] A3 --> A4["Reinvest into CAC, Design, or Hiring"] end ```

Consider a hypothetical customer acquisition cost (CAC) of $300 to bring in a $50-per-month subscriber—a very attainable threshold via targeted AdWords or sponsored blog posts. To reach a $10,000 monthly run rate (200 customers), spending $60,000 upfront would take a full year to yield $120,000 under standard monthly terms. However, by incentivizing an annual subscription with two months free (collecting 10 months, or $500 per user upfront), the founder brings in $100,000 in cash instantly upon acquiring those customers. After covering the $60,000 marketing expenditure, the business pockets $40,000 in liquid capital on day one to reinvest into development, professional design, or expanded marketing.

> “So having 40 K today now no cash flow problems is always worth that what you would have had you would have had 60 K over the next 12 months always every single time that's actually true of almost any SAS business period but in particular it's true of self-funded businesses so you have to do this.”

- Offering 2 months free trades roughly 16% of annualized revenue for immediate liquidity. - Day-one cash removes working capital bottlenecks and funds further engineering or acquisition immediately.

---

[15:37](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=937s) Real-World Prepay Dynamics and "Infinite Marketing"

At WP Engine, real-world data demonstrates how annual prepays alter the financial trajectory of a company. Exactly 25% of all inbound signups through the website elect to pay annually by revenue. Even though 75% of new signups pay only one month upfront, the remaining 25% paying 10 months upfront lifts the blended day-one cash intake to over three times what standard monthly billing would generate. Because this upfront haul exceeds the blended acquisition cost per user, marketing effectively pays for itself before the bills are even due.

> “And so we literally operate with an infinite marketing budget the marketing budget at W engine is not limited by money because we'll make it back in fact we make its negative one months because I make the money in credit cards today gets deposited in the bank right and then the credit card for stuff like Adwords doesn't hit till next month does it actually a negative one months of cash flow on that it's okay and so can you I'm saying now look maybe the ratios won't be the same but any number of people that elected annually is a lot a lot better and lets you deploy that money right away.”

Under this negative working capital cycle, WP Engine's expansion was bounded not by cash, but by operational human constraints. At one stage, customer acquisition had to be intentionally throttled because incoming ticket volumes overwhelmed technical support personnel, leading to declining service quality. To boost the proportion of annual signups, Cohen recommends tactical promotions: founders can furnish affiliates, bloggers, and influencers with custom codes offering three months free instead of the standard two months free on annual plans, delivering high perceived value to readers while securing immediate lump-sum cash for the company.

- WP Engine observed that 25% of customers opted into annual upfront billing. - Negative 30-day cash conversion: revenue settles into the merchant account immediately, while ad network credit card bills are settled 30 days later. - Marketing constraints shifted entirely from working capital availability to human support bandwidth.

[17:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1060s) Pricing Experiments, Discounting Hacks, and ARPU

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Pricing Strategies for Bootstrappers accDescr: Three pricing tactics illustrating how higher prices and aggressive annual discounting improve cash flow and revenue.

subgraph MonthlyVsAnnual["Monthly vs. Annual Discounting"] A["Original: $99/year"] --> B["Introduce: $49/month"] B --> C["Offer steep annual discount (e.g., 6 months free)"] C --> D["Signups remain steady; cash flow surges"] end

subgraph DirectConversion["Converting Annual to Monthly"] E["Original: $50/year"] --> F["Change to: $50/month"] F --> G["Zero drop in conversions; 12x revenue expansion"] end

subgraph TierOptimization["Packaging Tactics"] H["Three-tier packaging"] --> I["Highlight middle tier"] H --> J["Anchor with high-end enterprise tier"] H --> K["Label top tier 'Business' to capture corporate spend"] end ```

Offering annual prepay creates an immediate cash bump, and simple adjustments in pricing presentation can yield dramatic results without depressing signup volume. Cohen recounts advising a startup at Capital Factory that initially charged $99 per year with no monthly billing. He instructed them to introduce a $49-per-month rate and discount the annual package so aggressively that it felt almost absurd—effectively offering six months free. The founders implemented the change, and signup volume remained completely unaffected: customers were unfazed by the higher monthly anchor and perceived the annual lump-sum option as an unbeatable bargain. If founders fear an annual price tag looks too steep, the solution is straightforward: bump up the monthly rate significantly, discount the annual tier deeply, and let customer perception work in your favor. If they choose monthly, the business makes significantly more money; if they select the annual option, they walk away convinced they secured a massive bargain.

Cohen applied an even bolder experiment to another Capital Factory portfolio company that was charging $50 per year. His instruction was simple: make that same $50 a monthly charge instead and watch what happens. The company made the switch, and conversion rates did not dip in the slightest. With a massive portfolio of roughly a hundred early-stage startups flowing through Capital Factory, Cohen treats the incubator as an empirical testing ground for bootstrapping hypotheses. When another team charging $19 per month hesitated to test pricing elasticity, Cohen nudged them to run a low-risk, one-week experiment: double the price to roughly $49. Because the product only generated one or two signups daily, the downside was negligible. Conversions held steady, immediately doubling their top-line revenue. When the thrilled founders declared plans to plow the unexpected windfall into Google AdWords, Cohen stopped them cold, advising them to raise prices another 50% to 100% until conversion volume actually broke: “You're gonna double it again or at least fifty percent or something until something bad happens, right? And we just raised the damn prices.”

Cohen stresses that Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)—a term borrowed from the telecommunications industry—remains the single most vital metric for an early-stage company, carrying far more operational leverage than churn or cancellation rates. Borrowing techniques directly from fellow software entrepreneur Erica Douglass, Cohen highlights structural packaging changes that reliably inflate ARPU: - Visually emphasizing the middle pricing tier on a marketing page to draw the majority of standard buyers away from entry-level plans. - Adding an ultra-premium high-end tier on the far right to capture customers whose corporate budgets or personality make them default to spending the maximum available. - Naming the highest tier the “Business Plan,” which automatically funnels professional and corporate credit cards into higher monthly spending.

---

[21:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1265s) Eliminating Free Trials and the Problem with "Picking Up Pennies"

Free trials, typically 15 to 30 days, are industry standard because prospective buyers harbor natural skepticism toward unknown software products. However, Cohen argues aggressively against offering free trials in a bootstrapped context, noting that delayed billing forfeits revenue a company can never recover. If an onboarded user enters a credit card and experiences a high likelihood of retention, giving away two to four weeks of free service simply leaves valid cash on the table. If an application fails to retain users who hand over payment details, the underlying product is toxic and must be repaired before worrying about marketing nuances.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Trial vs Guarantee Model accDescr: Comparison of a standard 15-day free trial versus a 60-day money-back guarantee.

subgraph FreeTrial["Traditional Free Trial"] T1["Collect Card upfront"] --> T2["15-day delay: No charge"] T2 --> T3["Lost revenue window; lower urgency"] end

subgraph MoneyBack["Paid Upfront Guarantee"] G1["Charge immediately"] --> G2["60-day money-back window"] G3["Higher perceived value; cash in bank immediately"] end ```

To eliminate this dynamic at WP Engine, Cohen replaced their 15-day free trial with an immediate charge paired with an expansive 60-day money-back guarantee. Instead of delaying billing, the customer’s card was charged on day one, accompanied by a generous refund window. The operational outcome was striking: gross sales surged. Customers actively reached out to explain that a 15-day trial had felt too brief to migrate their workflow, whereas 60 days gave them the psychological runway to commit. Displaying a customer growth chart from WP Engine showing an inflection point around January of the prior year, Cohen emphasizes that adopting the 60-day guarantee alongside redesigned tiers and the Erica Douglass-inspired “Business” tier produced an across-the-board lift in raw account signups and revenue. Founders frequently paralyze themselves worrying that pricing increases will cannibalize conversion rates, but the data repeatedly proves the opposite.

Cohen rounds out his revenue philosophy by warning bootstrappers against business models that rely on "picking up pennies"—marketplaces, processing engines, donation portals, or transaction-skimming platforms: - Transaction fee models rely on massive volumes to collect 1% to 5% slices off transactions, generating insufficient margin for a company without massive venture reserves. - Kickstarter serves as a stark case study: despite orchestrating over $100 million in campaign funding in a single year, their take-rate generated roughly $6 million in gross revenue, which failed to cover operating overhead and forced them into the venture capital market. - High-volume, razor-thin fee models are fundamentally ill-suited for self-funded businesses: “I like it when you go get customers and charge them lots of money, that's what I want.”

---

[24:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1443s) The Case for B2B over B2C

Leaving revenue tactics behind, Cohen shifts the conversation to target market selection, evaluating which customer profiles create a dependable “cash machine.” While acknowledges that outliers exist in every market, consumer-facing software (B2C) presents structural headwinds that make bootstrapping unnecessarily punishing. Consumers demonstrate an extreme unwillingness to pay for digital utilities, expecting premium software to cost nothing or near nothing.

Cohen illustrates this consumer mentality through two telling examples: - **Google Apps / Gmail:** Widely acknowledged as one of the best webmail clients ever engineered, yet Google struggled to convince everyday consumers to spend even $5 per month for it. - **Mobile App Store Dynamics:** Cohen cites reviews of $1.99 smartphone apps where users award a single star, complaining that missing features might be excusable at $0.99, but are completely unacceptable at a $1.99 price point.

Consumers routinely balk at consumer software pricing while grudgingly paying $70 per month for their Time Warner cable bills. This behavioral reality prevents bootstrapped consumer businesses from charging the baseline $50 to $70 monthly subscriptions necessary to survive without external venture funding. Backupify attempted to sell unlimited cloud backup services directly to consumers for a meager $40 per year, but quickly discovered the model was unsustainable, forcing an immediate pivot to B2B enterprise backup.

A survey of influential bootstrapped software successes underscores this point: 37signals, Fog Creek Software, and Atlassian, along with virtually the entire MicroConf speaker roster, operate entirely within B2B markets. Even speakers known for early consumer ventures, such as Patrick McKenzie (famous for Bingo Card Creator), explicitly warn founders against treading that path. McKenzie himself transitioned to building appointment scheduling tools for businesses, leaving consumer software behind. Cohen summarizes his rule for market selection with an unequivocal directive: “I want to make a very strong argument that you should absolutely never not not not sell to consumers.”

[26:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1579s) Why B2B Beats B2C and the Pitfalls of Temporary Pain

Jason Cohen opens by reiterating the necessity of targeting B2B over consumer markets. He points to Rob Walling's evolution across various ventures: while Walling previously experimented with consumer-facing projects online, he abandoned that track entirely to build invoicing software, HitTail, and subsequent projects—every single one strictly B2B. As Cohen summarizes the pivot: “So it's B2B, that's the deal, all right, that's all I got.”

Moving into specific business profiles to target and avoid, Cohen stresses that he rejects any market defined by a temporary customer pain where you must catch the buyer at an exact, fleeting moment in life. He illustrates this with a startup funded through Capital Factory that took users' wedding photos and turned them into polished, inexpensive video keepsakes:

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: The Temporary Pain Trap accDescr: Diagram showing how temporary pain products receive high satisfaction but fail to generate recurring revenue.

subgraph Acquisition["Fleeting Window & Intense CAC"] A["Engaged Couples Planning Wedding"] -->|"Fierce Competition & Ad Spend"| B["Single Video Purchase"] end

subgraph RetentionFailure["No Retention Engine"] B --> C["100% Glowing Testimonials"] C --> D["Churn / No Recurring Need"] D -->|"Zero LTV Expansion"| E["Back to Expensive Re-Acquisition"] end ```

Every customer who used the service raved about it, gave glowing testimonials, and insisted they would use it again. Yet as Cohen points out, “And who cares, because you only get married, what, twice, three times? So it's not that's not enough of recurring revenue, right?” The marketing dynamic was brutal: massive corporations with deep pockets spend fortune after fortune targeting prospective brides, forcing the startup into a cutthroat, non-recurring acquisition grind.

He sees the exact same flaw in event software: startups frequently try to sell tools to event planners, but events typically happen only once a year, making sustained engagement and retention an uphill battle. Cohen also highlights a subtler trap from his own background at SmartBear. After selling the company, they began acquiring other tools, including a code profiler designed to pinpoint performance bottlenecks: - Developers encountered a performance slump, searched for a code profiler, and activated a free trial. - They diagnosed and fixed their codebase's performance bottleneck within days. - Because the issue was resolved while still inside the free trial window, the underlying pain vanished before conversion occurred: “Except I'm still in my free trial period, and now we don't have the pain anymore, so you can't buy, and it's very difficult to get them to get recurring or something because the thing isn't recurring.”

[28:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1697s) Natural Drivers of Recurring Revenue

Conversely, Cohen looks for businesses where value or costs naturally recur, making an ongoing subscription price feel logical and uncontested:

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Archetypes of Natural Recurring Value accDescr: Flowchart detailing the four key drivers for sustainable recurring software revenue.

A["Recurring Software Value"] --> B["Inherent Infrastructure Costs<br/>(Hosting, servers, bandwidth)"] A --> C["Financial & Compliance Cycles<br/>(Taxes, invoicing, payroll, HR)"] A --> D["Dynamic External Platforms<br/>(SEO, Google algorithms, AdWords)"] A --> E["Priority / Escalated Support<br/>(Queue management, SLA guarantees)"] ```

The first clear category is services tied to ongoing structural costs. WP Engine serves as the primary example: customers recognize that running web infrastructure requires dedicated servers, bandwidth, spinning fans, and continuous electricity. Because the business visibly incurs ongoing infrastructure costs, charging a monthly fee is universally accepted without question: “There's no like 'it should be free'—like it's not even it doesn't even come up, because the costs themselves are ongoing.”

Another proven avenue is software tied directly to recurring financial cycles. Processes like invoicing, account reconciliation, tax filings, compliance reporting, metrics, and HR administration must occur on rigid monthly, quarterly, or annual schedules. To highlight the commercial power of finance software, Cohen cites a survey examining mobile application revenue across thousands of developers: - 30% of surveyed mobile app developers reported earning exactly $0. - Another 30% answered, "I don't know." - IT-focused mobile apps averaged $1,500 per month in revenue. - Finance-based mobile apps averaged $6,000 per month in revenue.

Cohen also favors software operating in environments where the problem itself continuously mutates, particularly in digital marketing. Search engine optimization provides a reliable engine because Google frequently changes algorithms and competitors constantly alter strategy. Because the underlying ecosystem never settles, tools for AdWords, competitive analysis, email delivery, social media, and A/B testing retain persistent utility: founders do not need to invent reasons for customers to stay subscribed because the problem space never stays still.

Finally, Cohen examines support as a recurring upsell. While warning that human labor can become a resource drain for bootstrapped teams, low-touch support can be monetized intelligently without ballooning headcounts: - WP Engine established a premium support tier priced at $500 per month for enterprise-level SLAs. - A bootstrapped company can replicate this mechanism by charging $100 per month for priority ticket queuing. - Support teams still answer the exact same pool of support inquiries, but paying subscribers skip to the front of the line, creating an effortless revenue stream with minimal operational disruption.

[31:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1910s) Real-Time Traps, Virality, and the Two-Sided Marketplace

Cohen identifies viral distribution models as a dangerous mismatch for bootstrapped founders. Relying on organic virality rarely works mathematically, and even a solid viral coefficient cannot sustain an early-stage startup without an existing mass audience. If a startup has only 100 users and 1% invite a peer each month, the business gains at most one single user (or zero, falling into a rounding error). Amassing the baseline user corpus required for virality typically demands substantial venture capital and offering free access, which runs directly counter to self-funded fundamentals: “So to me, it doesn't fit the model of the self-funded startup, so I don't I don't like it at all.”

Instead, Cohen strongly advises choosing software products that are not real-time in nature:

| Product Model | Real-Time Urgency | Downside of Downtime | Bootstrapper Lifestyle Impact | |:--- |:--- |:--- |:--- | | **Mission-Critical Real-Time** (e.g., Hosting, WP Engine) | Immediate; every second counts | High alert; catastrophic site outages | Late-night emergency escalations; disrupted sleep | | **Decision Support & Finance** (e.g., Invoicing, Analytics, HR) | Decoupled; buffered schedules | Low; an invoice or report can wait 24 hours | Minimal; issues can be resolved during normal work hours | | **Project Management** (e.g., Trello) | Low to moderate operational friction | An hour of downtime is annoying, but users do not cancel accounts | High retention cushion; switching costs prevent churn | | **Content Delivery** (e.g., S3-hosted assets) | Low technical barrier to uptime | Negligible; storage is cheap to make redundant | Low stress, high reliability |

Cohen points to his own sleepless nights fixing server crashes at WP Engine as an argument against real-time operational dependencies: “Imagine how many times we wake up in the middle of the night to fix something, and that's because when a site is down in the middle of the night, we have to go fix it because it's a real-time, right? We can't wait till the morning—not okay.” By comparison, decision-support tools, financial workflows, and internal project trackers allow ample buffer time. If Trello suffers an outage for an hour, customers may be frustrated, but they will not tear up their software stack and switch products overnight.

Finally, Cohen cautions founders against building two-sided marketplaces such as Etsy, Kickstarter, or eBay, or retail models like Amazon. Marketplaces are extraordinarily difficult to build because the founder must tackle the chicken-and-egg dilemma of operating two businesses simultaneously: onboarding sellers to supply goods while independently assembling an audience of buyers.

[35:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2111s) The Trap of Two-Sided Marketplaces

Launching a two-sided marketplace creates a brutal chicken-and-egg dynamic that forces a founder to run two separate companies at the exact same time. On one side, you have to recruit sellers, educate them, handle their payment setups, and keep them engaged. On the other side, you have zero buyers to show them; to get those buyers, you must independently advertise, build awareness, and persuade people to show up to an empty marketplace. While successful marketplaces eventually become exceptionally defensible, reaching that state without massive outside funding is extraordinarily unlikely.

If a company like Etsy were to open-source its entire codebase tomorrow, an entrepreneur still couldn't successfully compete against them. The moat does not live in the software; it lives in the fact that users habitually type `etsy.com`, `ebay.com`, or `kickstarter.com` into their browsers. That built-in consumer habit and brand awareness represents the actual asset. For a self-funded founder with scarce resources, taking on the structural risk of two interdependent businesses simultaneously is needlessly punishing.

> “So that's cool, it's great, but again, for a self-funded startup, I feel like two companies are—have a much, much lower risk of succeeding than one, you know, two that have to both be successful in a way, and it's just hard.” — Jason Cohen

[36:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2167s) Software That Can Be "Done" vs. Feature Wars

A bootstrapped founder should actively seek out markets where a product can actually reach a state of completion, rather than entering categories dominated by never-ending feature wars. Competing against well-funded incumbents on feature volume is fundamentally suicidal for a small team, because bootstrappers inherently lack armies of developers, expansive design resources, and large capital reserves. If customer choice is driven purely by checklist comparisons, the bootstrapper loses by default.

A classic illustration of software that reached completion is WinZip, created by Nico Mak. In the 1990s, Mak built a shareware utility that was essentially finished; even by WinZip 9, very little had changed or needed to be added. Even though the vast majority of copies were pirated and users had to physically mail in postcards and checks in the era of shareware and "beerware," the product generated a million dollars a year. A product that can be "done" does not mean abandoning it forever, but it frees the business from an endless sprint just to maintain parity with well-resourced competitors.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Two Paths of Product Scope accDescr: Comparison showing why products that can reach completion favor bootstrappers over feature wars.

subgraph FeatureWar["Feature War Model (Avoid)"] FW1["Market demands endless features"] --> FW2["Requires large teams & VC capital"] FW2 --> FW3["Bootstrapper is outmatched"] end

subgraph DoneModel["'Done' Product Model (Ideal)"] D1["Scope has a clear finish line"] --> D2["Solves a single, bounded pain point"] D2 --> D3["Cash machine with low dev overhead"] end ```

[37:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2229s) The Power of Aftermarkets and Ecosystems

Aftermarkets represent one of the most reliable grounds for a bootstrapped business: building a tool or service that attaches directly to an incumbent platform with a large, passionate user base. In these spaces, customer pain points are already obvious, discovery keywords are straightforward, and the target audience already spends money on the parent platform.

Examples of thriving aftermarket businesses include: - **Smart Bear Software:** Integrated code review tools with existing version control systems like Perforce, Subversion, CVS, and a dozen others. - **Balsamiq Mockups:** Originally started as an add-on built specifically for Basecamp. - **WooThemes:** Built a thriving commercial theme business exclusively on top of WordPress. - **WP Engine:** Capitalized on the massive global adoption of WordPress by offering dedicated, premium managed hosting. - **Alien Skin Software:** Bootstrapped for over a decade, generating significant revenue solely by making Photoshop plugins rather than attempting to build an image editor. - **QODBC:** Operating continuously since 1984 as a bootstrapped company whose core offering simply places an ODBC database query interface on top of QuickBooks files.

In many cases, the platform vendor actively supports aftermarket developers without requiring financial deals. During his time building Smart Bear, Jason regularly spoke at Perforce user conferences about code review; Perforce welcomed the integration because it strengthened their own core platform, handing Smart Bear a continuous stream of new customers.

Even stronger opportunities exist within deliberate, structured partner ecosystems like Salesforce (AppExchange / Force.com) or Heroku (Add-on Marketplace), where the platform owner intentionally restricts their own feature development to let third-party developers build profitable businesses. While developer ecosystems like the Apple App Store carry platform risks such as sudden rejections or first-party feature replication, platforms like Salesforce and Heroku treat partner tools as built-in marketing, sales, and billing distribution engines.

> “And so, like Salesforce, people complain like, 'They haven't added features in years.' That's exactly right, because they want other people to make money adding features, because that's part of their ecosystem and they know that's part of what makes them strong, and they act that way.” — Jason Cohen

[40:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2410s) Why Bootstrappers Need Big Markets

Contrary to typical advice that reserves large markets for venture capital, bootstrappers should deliberately target large, established markets where customers are already spending billions of dollars. VCs pursue massive markets because their business model requires a portfolio company to reach a billion-dollar valuation. Bootstrappers do not share that financial requirement, but big markets offer them critical survival advantages: abundance of niches, safety valves, and optionality.

A tiny market leaves no room to pivot if your initial slice fails. If you build specialized invoicing software targeting the 462 businesses in Wichita Falls that invoice out-of-state with sales tax, you can easily walk down the street to speak with every single prospect. However, if that niche falls flat, there are no adjacent segments left to capture. In a huge market—such as CRM, project management, time tracking, or general invoicing—hundreds of competing tools survive and make healthy profits simultaneously because the ocean is massive. Your software does not need to be the absolute best product in the world to sustain an incredible business; furthermore, the presence of competitors proves that paying demand exists, validating the pain point immediately. Operating in a massive market also preserves the ultimate optionality: if a bootstrapper decides, as Jason did with WP Engine, to transition from a lifestyle cash machine into an aggressive, venture-backed enterprise swinging for the fences, the ceiling is high enough to accommodate that pivot.

> “In a big market, there's so much space, that it's okay if it's not the number one best thing for everything; you can still have a business.” — Jason Cohen

[42:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2556s) The Myth of Social Media for Customer Acquisition

When it comes to customer acquisition, social media marketing is one of the least effective, most over-hyped channels available for building a repeatable bootstrapped company. It consumes enormous amounts of personal time and ongoing cognitive effort, yet rarely translates into an automated, predictable funnel that reliably compounds every month.

A healthy acquisition channel should behave like a mathematical machine where you put in one dollar and reliably make four dollars back within the year (or immediately through annual upfront prepayments). Social media algorithms shift unpredictably, cutting through the noise is grueling, and audience attention is fickle. Even having an established online following is no guarantee of product sales: despite running a personal blog with 40,000 active readers, Jason discovered that launching WP Engine—a product aimed directly at bloggers and website owners—did not magically convert those readers into paying customers merely because they recognized his name.

> “Probably the most controversial thing I will state is that I do not like social media in any form for getting customers. I don't think it works very well, I think it's a lot of time, I think people don't acknowledge how much time and cost it actually is, and it often does not result in a repeatable business where it's a cash machine and every month it does it and every month you can acquire customers.” — Jason Cohen

[043:34] Audience Audiences vs. Paid Acquisition and the Rule of 25

Reflecting on his own attempts to leverage audience attention, Jason Cohen admits to a humbling failure. He launched a project expecting his personal blog readership to convert, fully acknowledging his own ego in the process: “maybe that's egotistical well it definitely is egotistical but that's what I wanted to do so I did and I got two signups this many out of tens of thousands of readers”. Perplexed, he turned to Hiten Shah, asking why an “internet-famous” founder launching small companies could seed them so easily while his own effort fell flat. Shah's blunt assessment was immediate: “no it's always like that it doesn't work move on”. Cohen acknowledges that some companies, such as Buffer, excel at social media and organic marketing because they dedicate massive amounts of time and talent to it. However, he prefers a straightforward, mechanical business dynamic over unpredictable social mechanics: “I want to know I spend money and make money that's what I want”.

Because online marketing generally boils down to paying for visits—whether via Google AdWords or other direct channels—founders need an actionable benchmark for what a click is worth. To answer this without getting bogged down in empirical edge cases, Cohen presents a baseline rule of thumb: take your average monthly revenue per customer (ARPU) and divide it by 25. For a product earning an average of $50 per month per customer, you can afford to pay roughly $2 per click. While a mature company would rely on granular metrics—conversion rates, traffic quality, market segmentation, and landing page optimization—early-stage bootstrappers simply do not possess enough statistically significant data. Cohen published a blog post outlining the mathematical derivation of the formula so founders can adjust the underlying assumptions for their own products.

- **The Rule of 25 formula**: $\text{Affordable CPC} = \frac{\text{Average Monthly Revenue per Customer}}{25}$. - **Example calculation**: A SaaS product with a $50/month ARPU supports an estimated maximum ad spend of $2.00 per click. - **Data scarcity in early SaaS**: Even with a few hundred customers, founders lack the statistical significance required for reliable multi-variable conversion calculations, making simple heuristics essential.

---

[045:42] The Success Dilemma: When Growth Breaks the Lifestyle Business

Cohen turns to what he calls “the bad news”: the inevitable crisis that occurs when everything actually works according to plan. A founder might successfully build a calm, highly profitable lifestyle business generating $30,000 to $40,000 a month in profit with few or no employees. But success introduces an inescapable momentum: “What happens next? It keeps growing. That's what it does. That's what companies that are successful do they don't stop.” Unchecked growth forces an operational reckoning. If you refuse to hire customer support staff, support quality plummets, creating an inferior service that founders hate operating. Yet if you do hire, your daily role fundamentally transforms: instead of writing code or tinkering with marketing campaigns, you suddenly find yourself managing employees and overseeing an organization you never intended to build.

Founders caught in this trap typically explore a handful of imperfect exit routes:

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Growth Dilemma Resolution Paths accDescr: Pathways available to a bootstrapped founder whose business outgrows its original lifestyle scope.

Growth["Business Hits $30k–$40k/mo Profit<br/>Growth Continues Unchecked"]

subgraph Options["Strategic Choices"] Sell["Sell the Business<br/>(External broker or employee buyout)"] RaisePrice["Raise Prices Dramatically<br/>(Filters volume, shifts clientele)"] RaiseVC["Raise Venture Capital<br/>(Commit fully to scale)"] end

Growth --> Sell Growth --> RaisePrice Growth --> RaiseVC

Sell --> SellCon["Hard to close; lose ownership; earnouts delay cash"] RaisePrice --> PriceCon["Fundamentally alters target market"] RaiseVC --> VCCon["Sub-optimal if not planned from day one"] ```

Selling the business is harder than it appears, often yielding lower valuations than founders anticipate. While selling to a key employee or business partner via an earn-out structure—such as $5,000 to $10,000 a month or a revenue percentage over three years—can work, the founder still walks away from their asset. Cohen recalls his second company, IT Watchdogs, which designed an embedded device for a contract client in Lincoln, Nebraska. When the client realized IT Watchdogs had no exclusivity agreement and could sell the exact same hardware to a hundred other power strip manufacturers, they preempted the threat by buying the company four months later.

Raising prices is another common tactic to restrict customer volume while expanding revenue, but it alters the business's identity. Cohen compares this to MicroConf ticket pricing: charging more intentionally filters out casual attendees, but raising prices to $10,000 would completely alienate the core bootstrapping community and transform it into an entirely different event. Finally, founders can surrender the bootstrapped mindset and accept venture capital, as Cohen did with WP Engine. However, he warns that pivoting mid-stream is an operational sub-optimization: “if you wanted to go do you know if that was your goal in the first place then you should have just been on that path and optimizing yourself and your time and going to market and all that in the first place and not sort of gone too slowly at first”.

---

[049:52] "Know Thyself": The Hardest Problem in Business

Cohen addresses the existential malaise that frequently strikes founders after liquidity events or rapid growth. Outsiders often mock these struggles as empty complaints—dismissing founders who make ten million dollars and then lament that money did not bring them fulfillment. Yet Cohen stresses that these psychological challenges are authentic and unavoidable: “and then it won't feel like you know oh that's a high-class problem like yes and it's your problem and so what you can do it's hard”. Entrepreneurs cannot easily walk away to a comfortable corporate post at IBM because the drive to create is ingrained in their DNA.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Thales' Paradox of Entrepreneurship accDescr: The ancient Greek philosophical paradox contrasting the hardest personal task with the easiest public action.

subgraph Hardest["The Hardest Thing"] KT["'To Know Thyself'<br/>Figuring out personal fulfillment<br/>Changes continuously over time"] end

subgraph Easiest["The Easiest Thing"] GA["'To Give Advice'<br/>Lecturing, consulting, speaking<br/>Leaves execution to others"] end

Hardest -.->|"Addressed via mentorship & founder therapy"| Easiest ```

To illustrate the nature of this struggle, Cohen invokes the ancient Greek philosopher Thales of Miletus, an early businessman-turned-philosopher. When Thales was asked to identify the single hardest thing in life, he responded simply: “to know thyself”. For Cohen, this is the core challenge every founder must confront:

> “Oops, I thought building the company was the hardest thing. Nope, it's this. That's the hardest thing.”

Understanding what you truly want out of your venture—and recognizing that your personal goals will continuously evolve as the company matures—demands candid, ongoing reflection. Cohen suggests that founders seek regular peer discussions that mirror therapy sessions with entrepreneurs who have previously walked that road.

By contrast, when Thales was asked to identify the easiest thing, his reply was equally trenchant: “to give advice”. Cohen laughs at the parallel with his own talk: “which is what I've been doing for an hour so I'm doing the easiest thing by telling you do the hardest thing great easy for me to say because then I can just wrap and leave and it's up to you to do all the hard stuff”. He concludes by summarizing the primary operational engine for building a resilient enterprise: engineering predictable customer acquisition, securing recurring subscription revenue, and utilizing annual upfront prepayments to eliminate cash flow constraints before they materialize.

[52:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3155s) Concluding the Talk and Taking Audience Questions on Enterprise SaaS

Jason Cohen wraps up his presentation by urging the audience to design businesses that align with their personal constraints and inherent advantages—such as operating a boutique firm without having to grind out an unsustainable million hours a week. Designing intentionally around those factors is how founders build a true "cash machine." He finishes to audience applause: “I hope everyone here does exactly that and thanks for your time.”

The session immediately opens up for Q&A. An attendee asks for advice regarding a B2B SaaS model that relies on transactional sales rather than low-touch, recurring monthly subscriptions driven by website clicks. The attendee notes that enterprise sales feature larger revenue per customer, but most SaaS literature focuses entirely on click-driven self-serve models. Cohen counters the premise that enterprise deals are not recurring: “first of all you said it's not recurring yes it is it's an annual contract mostly in enterprise right maybe quarterly but usually can do annual and that's good because that's the annual prepay too”. Enterprise clients operate on annual budgets, so paying for a full year upfront is completely normal to them; it is simpler for their procurement process to issue a single purchase order (PO) and invoice per year with an auto-renewal clause requiring advance notice to cancel.

Cohen cautions that enterprise deals come with distinct administrative headaches: - Founders must deal with Master Services Agreements (MSAs), extensive legal reviews, and long payment terms. Cohen shares a recent example where WP Engine received a purchase order stipulating "net 130" terms. - Bootstrapping enterprise sales without a dedicated sales team is entirely feasible. Cohen points to his previous company, SmartBear Software, where almost all sales were enterprise, yet they employed zero dedicated sales reps. - Cohen personally ran every product demo and sales call. Back-office employees were required to be multi-talented—capable of writing code, talking to prospects, handling tech support, and addressing post-sale questions. - Although these multi-skilled employees were expensive, the model generated $1 million of revenue per head. This allowed SmartBear to operate in an exceptionally lean, profitable fashion and pay team members generous compensation rather than sinking cash into an enterprise sales force.

[54:55](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3295s) Bootstrapping Enterprise Sales and the Land-and-Expand Strategy

Cohen explains that bootstrapping an enterprise software company is inherently difficult because of the severe time lag before cash arrives. Between cold calling, attending conferences, publishing white papers, enduring lengthy discovery phases, and waiting on corporate legal departments, the sales cycle drags out. The founder absorbs all human and operational costs upfront before ever receiving a purchase order, only to wait further for corporate check runs. However, the retention upside is massive: once closed, enterprise accounts often stick around for five years or more. To survive the long cash cycle, founders must charge large sums.

If a bootstrapped founder does hire salespeople, Cohen notes they typically cannot afford the standard compensation package of $100k base / $100k commission or $150k base / $150k commission. Instead, founders are forced into a commission-heavy or commission-only structure, telling the rep, “well I hope you drag in a lot of sailfish and then you can eat a lot”.

To bypass long enterprise procurement cycles, Cohen recommends selling paid pilots: - Offer a lower-friction trial, such as a 30-seat pilot, which clients can approve rapidly under smaller discretionary department budgets. - This lands the software inside the organization, establishes working relationships, and kickstarts immediate cash flow. - Cohen cites SmartBear’s metrics: the initial transaction averaged $12,000, but lifetime account value averaged $60,000 as clients added more seats, with some expanding into six- or seven-figure contracts over 18 months. - Cohen highlights this classic sales technique: “And so that kind of like get in there and then go get more which sales people call land and expand is not a bad model either and helps you get a little more cash flow”.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Land and Expand Enterprise Sales Cycle accDescr: Visual flow showing the low-friction entry through pilot sales leading to long-term contract expansion.

subgraph Entry ["Initial Land"] A["30-Seat Paid Pilot"] -->|"Fast Budget Approval"| B["First Contract (~$12,000)"] end

subgraph Growth ["Expand"] B -->|"Seat Expansion & Renewals"| C["Multi-Seat Adoption"] C -->|"12-18 Month Ramp"| D["Enterprise Scale ($60k - 7 Figures)"] end ```

[56:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3417s) Using Affiliate Programs to Build a Predictable Acquisition Channel

An audience member asks about affiliate programs, noting that developer-founders often overlook them. Cohen agrees that affiliate marketing can be a remarkable channel for certain products—particularly in hosting or WordPress—though it does not fit high-touch enterprise software. WP Engine struggled with its initial affiliate program launch, but found immense success after rebooting it through ShareASale, personally reaching out to top affiliates, and supplying them with bespoke discount coupons.

Cohen outlines key economics and tactical lessons for affiliate programs: - Affiliates must be paid aggressively to gain their attention. Top-tier affiliates ignore standard $30 bounties; they respond when payouts reach $200 to $300 per conversion. - High affiliate payouts create an intense working-capital strain because networks pay out rapidly (often within 45 days). Cohen stresses pairing affiliate offers with annual prepay discounts: “See isn't that better to charge a lot of money it opens up options but also you need that annual prepay because it's so much money that you're paying so quickly to them and so again I would couple that with special coupons for them to encourage the annual”. - When the economics work, affiliates become an engine of steady growth: “And that's great that's that's exactly the kind of predictable cash machine that you want so in that sense I really like affiliate sales”. - Cohen warns about the dark side of the affiliate industry, remarking that leaving an affiliate marketing conference makes one feel like they “need to take a bath afterwards”. - Without tight vetting and strict controls over promotional methods, unscrupulous affiliates will use questionable marketing tactics that degrade brand equity. WP Engine actively guards its reputation for premium service, to the point of avoiding gray-hat SEO techniques entirely.

[01:00:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3607s) Business Regrets and the Failure to Fire Quickly

When an audience member asks about his biggest regrets or mistakes across his entrepreneurial journey, Cohen remarks that anyone looking back at their career and claiming zero mistakes is simply lying: “man all kinds of stuff all of the time I think you're not honest if you don't say that right”. He separates ordinary one-off mistakes from genuine regrets. Making an error the first time is simply doing the best one can with incomplete information; the true regrets come from repeated behavioral patterns where one fails to learn and adapt.

Cohen singles out his recurring failure in people management: “I guess two things there one is not getting rid of someone fast enough that needed to go almost always culturally based very rare that it's skills based it's usually cultural based because people do poison that well”. Whether dealing with a toxic full-time employee or an outside contractor/consultant, holding onto bad cultural fits poisons the entire work environment. He stresses that in retrospect, no founder ever looks back and wishes they had waited longer to let someone go.

[01:01:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3681s) The Regret of Delaying Tough Personnel and Moral Decisions

Jason Cohen reflects on one of the most recurring management mistakes founders make: failing to let people go as soon as they realize there is a poor fit. As he points out, no founder ever looks back and laments having acted too fast; the regret is always having waited too long. This dynamic applies beyond full-time employees to external relationships as well, such as keeping on a consultant who feels like they are taking advantage of the company or simply failing to deliver, yet staying in the contract out of inertia or awkwardness.

Beyond personnel, Cohen emphasizes the deeper emotional cost of compromising on core principles. Particularly in a self-funded venture, where the founder’s personal identity is intrinsically tied up in the business, failing to enforce high moral standards creates lasting regret. Whether it involves dealing with a “skeevy” affiliate whose promotions feel off, failing to call out an unacceptable joke or remark in the office, or tolerating subpar standards in customer treatment and product quality, avoiding the immediate conflict leaves lingering remorse. As Cohen puts it: “I always regret not following what I think is the right thing how to treat people how to treat people coming in coming out um the standards that you set up inside the company for yourself the customers for the product for other people that you work with for hearing something that someone says and not like and not kind of standing up for it and saying no that's not acceptable here it's not it's not funny it's not okay not doing that often enough the all kinds of things like that of I know I feel right now this is wrong and I'm not acting strong enough to in to make this known to everyone and to say no this is what I'm building this is what we're doing this is who we are I always regret not doing that after the fact.”

- **The Firing Asymmetry:** Founders never say, “I fired that person too quickly,” but nearly every seasoned founder has a story about waiting far too long to terminate an unproductive or toxic relationship. - **Contractor Inertia:** The same hesitation plagues relationships with freelancers and consultants when founders think, “Well, but they're engaged so I'll just...” instead of ending an ineffective arrangement. - **Cultural Integrity:** In bootstrapped companies, personal values and company culture are inseparable, making it critical to actively establish what is acceptable and reject what feels wrong.

---

[01:02:55](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3775s) Measuring CAC and the Reality of Paid Acquisition at Scale

An audience member asks about Cohen’s earlier rule of thumb regarding advertising affordance, noting the hypothetical calculation produced around a $2 cost-per-click (CPC), and asks how that compares to WP Engine’s actual spending. Cohen explains that WP Engine can spend significantly more than that because of granular measurement and high volume. At WP Engine’s scale—adding four figures of new customers each month—they have sufficient sample sizes to empirically track full-funnel performance. They segment customer acquisition cost (CAC) by specific marketing channels, affiliate partners, sales assistance, and discount coupon usage, while also factoring in per-customer server costs, support utilization, payback periods, and long-term retention.

Furthermore, Cohen highlights the strategic leverage of blended acquisition. Because WP Engine generates massive organic growth through word-of-mouth, social media, and consultant referrals without direct ad spend, their average blended CAC remains low. This organic cushion gives them the financial flexibility to aggressively overspend on paid channels to "shoot the moon" and capture market share. Even if they initially lose money on a specific paid campaign, bringing a customer through the door yields compounding downstream value: they upgrade tiers, remain on the platform, and refer colleagues. However, Cohen stresses that early-stage founders cannot operate this way because they lack the statistical significance needed to optimize complex multi-touch models. Week-to-week fluctuations obscure real trends until a business achieves hundreds or thousands of monthly signups, which is precisely why early bootstrappers must rely on logical heuristic formulas and conservative rules of thumb.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Growth Channels and CAC Dynamics at WP Engine accDescr: Flowchart illustrating how high-volume organic signups subsidize aggressive paid acquisition spending.

subgraph AcquisitionSources["Acquisition Channels"] A["Organic Channels<br/>(Word of mouth, social, consultants)"] B["Paid Advertising Channels<br/>(Affiliates, PPC, sales-assisted)"] end

subgraph Economics["Unit Economics & Blended Cost"] C["Near-$0 Marginal Acquisition Cost"] D["High Allowable CAC / Aggressive CPC Spend"] E["Low Blended CAC Across Entire Customer Base"] end

subgraph LongTermValue["Downstream Compound Value"] F["Platform Upgrades & Retention"] G["Secondary Word-of-Mouth Referrals"] end

A --> C B --> D C --> E D --> E E --> F E --> G ```

- **Granular Funnel Attribution:** WP Engine monitors individual customer profitability across affiliates, coupons, sales touchpoints, infrastructure overhead, and ongoing support tickets. - **Scale Unlocks Statistical Modeling:** Sign-ups in the thousands per month allow for true empirical data science; without that volume, conversion numbers fluctuate too wildly week-to-week to draw reliable conclusions. - **The Organic Arbitrage:** A dominant organic acquisition engine allows a company to spend far above direct payback thresholds on paid ads because blended CAC remains safely profitable. - **Why Heuristics Matter:** “And so until you have enough data to actually use data I had this sort of assumptions in process which actually came from other surveys and other things so that these assumptions themselves seem correct in the main and and and so so I that's why I like that formula but it's only because without data you have to have some rule of thumb and this is my best effort at providing anyone with one that that's it's logical,” Cohen explains to close the session.

## Notable quotes > [40:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2410s) In a big market, there's so much space, that it's okay if it's not the number one best thing for everything; you can still have a business. — Jason Cohen

> [42:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2556s) Probably the most controversial thing I will state is that I do not like social media in any form for getting customers. — Jason Cohen

## Mentioned Jason Cohen, Rob Walling, Hiten Shah, WP Engine, Smart Bear Software, Kevin Kelly, Seth Godin, LinkedIn, Capital Factory, Patrick McKenzie, Erica Douglass, Google AdWords, Google Apps / Gmail, Kickstarter, Backupify, 37signals, Fog Creek Software, Atlassian, Bingo Card Creator, HitTail, WinZip, Perforce, Balsamiq Mockups, Basecamp, WooThemes, WordPress, Alien Skin Software, Photoshop, QODBC, QuickBooks, Salesforce, Heroku, ShareASale, Thales of Miletus

## Video description Starting a business is hard enough. The last thing you need to do is set up a foundation that works against you. A better approach is to take stock of your natural advantages, disadvantages, goals and needs, and "back in" to what that has to mean about your business model, pricing, market, product, approach, advertising, etc...

Watch These Next: From Idea to Billion Dollar SaaS Business with Jason Cohen: https://youtu.be/JleTJKIGHGg Bootstrapping VS Venture Capital - What's The Right Move?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3OKVj4PA3Pk How To Start a SaaS Business with No Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=huyDp-zWpxg&t=3s

Presented by Jason Cohen at MicroConf 2013.

Check out Jason’s MicroConf speakers page for more talks → https://microconf.com/speakers/jason-cohen

https://microconf.com #microconf #microconf2013

Join our exclusive community for SaaS founders → https://microconfconnect.com Twitter → https://twitter.com/MicroConf E-mail → support@microconf.com

MicroConf 2020 Headline Partners ► Stripe https://stripe.com Twitter → https://twitter.com/Stripe ► Hey https://hey.com Twitter → https://twitter.com/heyhey

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw)

中文简报

Jason Cohen敦促初创企业放弃低价,转向B2B预付现金模式 自筹资金的软件创始人必须以高客单价和按年预付费锁定企业买家,因为生存所需的流动性来自预付现金流,而非客户规模。 Jason Cohen提出了一个实用框架,旨在将自筹资金的软件业务打造成可预测的现金流机器。他告诫创业者避免陷入常见陷阱,如追求C端消费者、构建双边市场,或追逐凯文·凯利(Kevin Kelly)“1,000名铁杆粉丝”这类低利润的走量模式。相反,Cohen展示了如何通过锁定150家支付高额费用的B2B客户、收取按年预付款、果断提价以及切入成熟的售后生态市场,在时间和资金有限的情况下实现可持续增长。 自筹资金的初创公司应被设计为可预测的现金机器,瞄准150名平均每月支付70美元的客户,而不是去追求凯文·凯利存在缺陷的“1,000名铁杆粉丝”模式。 (3:22) 按年收取预付款能够产生负30天的现金转换周期,这从第一天起就提供了营运资金,并使营销预算在实际运作中几乎不受限制。 (13:21) 自筹资金者应严格避开消费者市场和短暂的痛点,将精力集中在成本自然复发、且企业愿意支付高额溢价的B2B软件上。 (24:03) 在WordPress、Salesforce或Basecamp等成熟平台上构建售后软件,可以通过利用现有的客户意向和营销预算来降低获客风险。 (37:09)

Reading summary

Jason Cohen argues that bootstrapped founders should design their companies as self-funded 'cash machines' focused on high-priced B2B recurring revenue, avoiding low-cost consumer models and premature pursuit of massive scale. Targeting 150 Customers with High-Priced Subscriptions (6:46) Cohen contends that attempting to replicate the '1,000 True Fans' benchmark is unrealistic for most founders, noting that Kevin Kelly retracted the concept after artists pointed out that gathering 1,000 paying supporters is extremely difficult. Instead, Cohen recommends aiming for roughly 150 customers paying an average of $70 per month to reach a baseline run rate of $10,000 monthly, which he identifies as the minimum threshold required for a founder to leave full-time employment. Rather than undercharging out of imposter syndrome over unpolished software, self-funded operators should embrace a 'boutique' identity. Cohen observes that clients routinely pay premium rates to small consultancies and specialty shops for high-touch service and craftsmanship. Before writing code for WP Engine, Cohen validated demand by emailing 40 WordPress consultants on LinkedIn, completing 38 discovery calls, and securing 30 to 40 pre-commitments at $50 per month. Cash Flow Optimization via Upfront Billing (13:21) Relying purely on month-to-month subscriptions forces growth to consume cash. Cohen advocates for mandatory annual prepay incentives, such as offering two months free, which shifts customer acquisition into immediate cash generation. In an example where a founder spends $300 to acquire a $50-per-month subscriber, an annual prepay collects $500 on day one, yielding an immediate $200 cash surplus rather than enduring a six-month payback lag. At WP Engine, 25% of inbound website signups elected annual billing, which tripled day-one cash collections and created a negative 30-day working capital cycle where ad costs were paid after customer payments settled. Additionally, Cohen advises against traditional 15-day or 30-day free trials because delaying charges forfeits unrecoverable revenue. When WP Engine replaced its 15-day trial with immediate billing backed by a 60-day money-back guarantee, sales increased as buyers felt they had adequate runway to migrate workflows. Market Selection Around B2B and Recurring Utility (24:03) Cohen urges bootstrappers to avoid consumer (B2C) applications, citing consumer resistance to paying even modest fees for high-quality utilities like email or mobile apps. Furthermore, founders should avoid markets defined by fleeting, temporary pain points—such as wedding keepsakes or annual event software—because they yield zero recurring retention and require non-stop, costly re-acquisition. The ideal model attaches to ongoing recurring utility, including infrastructure with physical overhead (hosting), rigid financial and compliance cycles (invoicing, taxes, payroll), or constantly shifting platforms (SEO). Cohen also cautions against two-sided marketplaces, organic virality models, and real-time mission-critical software, preferring products that can reach a defined state of completion or thrive as add-ons in established aftermarkets like WordPress, Salesforce, or QuickBooks. Acquisition Realities and the Rule of 25 (42:36) Cohen dismisses organic social media as an unpredictable, time-intensive customer acquisition channel that rarely produces a dependable funnel, recounting that his personal blog of 40,000 readers generated only two signups when he launched a project. For paid acquisition, early-stage founders lack the sample sizes required to model complex multi-touch attribution. Cohen proposes a practical heuristic: divide average monthly revenue per customer by 25 to establish an affordable cost per click (for example, a $50 monthly ARPU allows approximately $2.00 per click). When deploying affiliate programs, Cohen emphasizes that high bounties of $200 to $300 are necessary to attract serious promoters. Because affiliate networks pay out quickly, these campaigns must be paired with annual prepay offers to prevent working-capital shortfalls, alongside strict partner vetting to prevent brand dilution. Managing Unchecked Growth and Management Debt When a self-funded venture succeeds and reaches $30,000 to $40,000 in monthly profit, growth often continues automatically. Founders face a dilemma: refusing to hire compromises support quality, while hiring shifts the founder's daily responsibilities into people management. Cohen notes that exiting via external acquisitions or employee buyouts can be difficult and often yields lower valuations than anticipated. Reflecting on leadership lessons, Cohen highlights that his most consistent operational regrets stemmed from delaying tough personnel decisions, emphasizing that managers rarely regret parting ways with toxic cultural fits too quickly. Ultimately, he cites Thales' philosophical maxim that knowing oneself is the hardest challenge, noting that founders must continuously evaluate whether their evolving personal priorities match the operational reality of the business they have created. Cohen acknowledges that while a high-scale company like WP Engine can afford to absorb higher customer acquisition costs and complex enterprise sales cycles through blended organic referrals, early-stage self-funded ventures must rely on conservative heuristics, strict cash-flow mechanics, and disciplined product scoping to survive.

精炼阅读摘要

Jason Cohen认为,自筹资金(self-funded)初创企业失败的主因并非做不出用户需要的产品,而是商业模式与小团队资源匮乏的现实相冲突;创始人应将业务设计为可产生稳定现金流的“提款机”,通过高客单价、预付款以及B2B大市场建立起可持续机制。 重构自筹模式与150名客户法则 (0:00) Cohen主张用“自筹资金(self-funded)”替代含贬义的“生活方式型业务”或含义模糊的“Bootstrapping”。自筹企业必须是一台可预测月度利润的“提款机”,创始团队全职投入的基本收入基准约为每位创始人每月10,000美元。针对Kevin Kelly提出的“1,000名铁杆粉丝”理论,Cohen指出该概念已被作者本人收回,因为让1,000人持续付费极其困难,且毛利难以覆盖运营开支。相比之下,自筹团队更应追求“150名客户法则”。 预先验证痛点与高溢价精品定位 (6:46) 在WP Engine尚未写下任何代码或采购服务器前,Cohen向LinkedIn上的40位WordPress顾问发送付费咨询邀请,最终获得100%积极回复并完成了38次访谈,且顾问均主动免去咨询费。他在产品上线前就获得了30至40位客户每月50美元的预付费承诺。Cohen强调,自筹创始人常因冒名顶替综合征将产品低估为9至19美元,而达到10,000美元月收入需要约70美元的平均月客单价。早期团队应当拥抱“精品(boutique)”定位,买家不仅愿意为独立团队的手工感和专属服务支付溢价,小团队身份甚至能转化为信任资产。 年付预收策略与取消免费试用 (13:21) 现金流是自筹业务的生命线,Cohen强烈建议推行年度预付款(如买10个月送2个月)。以300美元获客成本(CAC)和50美元月费为例,按月付费需要6个月才能打平获客支出,而年付能在第一天直接产生500美元现金,扣除获客成本后立即结余200美元净流动资金用于再投资。在WP Engine,25%的客户选择年付,促成了负一月的现金转换周期,使获客不再受流动资金约束。此外,Cohen主张彻底取消15至30天的免费试用,转为“首日全额扣款加60天无理由退款保证”,这不仅能消除账款拖延,还能赋予客户充足的心理迁移周期,带来总销售额的显著增长。 聚焦B2B成熟大市场与非实时业务 (24:03) 在市场选择上,Cohen告诫创始人切勿涉足B2C软件,因为个人消费者对微小数字支出极其敏感,却能坦然接受高昂的生活账单。企业软件应优先选择具备自然周期性价值的赛道:例如服务器托管等存在刚性基础设施成本的领域、报税和薪酬核算等刚性财务合规流程,或是SEO等持续变动的外部平台。同时,初创团队应远离需要半夜紧急抢修的实时系统,选择决策支持、财务报表等非实时业务以维持正常生活节奏;避免陷入开发双边市场与无休止的“功能军备竞赛”,转而构建可以达到“完工”状态的产品,或依托Salesforce、Heroku等成熟生态打造售后插件。大市场能为细分定位提供充足的容错空间和未来转型弹性。 获客杠杆与规模扩张中的管理挑战 (42:36) Cohen指出社交媒体营销是自筹业务中最被高估且难以自动规模化的渠道,连他自身拥有4万读者的博客也未能在新产品发布时有效转化。在付费获客上,早期由于缺乏大样本数据,他提出了“25法则”基准(最高可承受点击成本等于平均每用户月收益除以25)。当业务成功实现每月3万至4万美元的利润后,持续的增长往往会打破生活型业务的平衡:创始人若不招人,服务品质会崩塌;若招募员工,自身角色则被迫转为全职管理者。回顾创业历程,Cohen认为最大的管理遗憾往往不是行动过快,而是在文化不契合的员工或承包商处理上犹豫不决、未能及时解雇。 Cohen引用古希腊哲学家泰勒斯的名言总结道,创业中最困难的事是“认识你自己”,最容易的事则是“给出建议”。自筹创始人必须在业务设计初期就结合自身限制设定目标,在增长与个人愿望相冲突时持续审视内心追求。

Detailed notes — zh

## Background 本内容由 Rob Walling 于 2019 年 12 月 4 日发布在 YouTube 频道,记录了 WP Engine 创始人 Jason Cohen 在 MicroConf 2013 上的经典演讲。视频简介指出,创业本身已足够艰难,最不该做的就是建立一个处处与自身作对的业务根基;更明智的做法是认清自身的天然优势、劣势、目标与需求,反向倒推设计出匹配的商业模式、定价、市场定位和获客方式。 ## TL;DR Jason Cohen 结合创办四家年营收超百万美元且实现盈利公司的亲身经历,系统拆解了如何打造一台每月稳定产生利润的自筹资金“现金机器”。他力劝创业者彻底避开面向个人消费者的“捡钢镚”模式与临时性痛点产品,坚决转向具备天然周期性的 B2B 市场,并通过 150 个客户的倒推模型制定约 70 美元的高月费客单价。此外,他详细阐述了利用“买 10 送 2”年付预收撬动负现金流周期、避开强实时性与双边交易平台的运维及冷启动泥潭,以及依附成熟巨头后市场快速获客的实操策略。 ## Atmosphere & style 整场演讲充满了一线连续创业者的务实、清醒与反常识洞察。Jason Cohen 语言直白干练、幽默辛辣,频繁通过扎心的现场互动直戳独立开发者不敢定高价、沉迷虚假流量的心理痛点。现场气氛热烈且极具启发性,既有对商业数学逻辑的冷静拆解,又有关于文化契合度、解雇拖延乃至成功后精神虚无的深邃自我审视,让听众在获得极高密度实战干货的同时感受到强烈的现实共鸣。 ## Bulletin - [04:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=272s) 自筹资金(Bootstrapped)企业应避免追逐“1,000个粉丝”,而应以150个客户、平均客单价(ARPU)70美元/月为目标,倒推构建出每月稳定产生1万美元经常性收入(MRR)的现金机器。 - [13:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=801s) 推行“买10送2”的按年预付(Annual Prepay)策略可直接创造负营运资本周期;在WP Engine,25%的客户选择年付使公司当月现金流入激增至月付模式的3倍以上,从而解锁理论上无限的营销复投预算。 - [22:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1336s) 自筹资金企业应彻底避开个人消费者(B2C)及双边撮合交易平台,转向具备天然持续性(如服务器运维、财务法定义务、动态营销追踪)的B2B高客单价市场。 - [43:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2614s) 在早期缺乏统计显著性数据时,创始人可采用“可承受CPC上限 ≈ ARPU / 25”的经验公式快速评估获客成本底线,切忌盲目依赖数据分析或社交媒体免费流量。 ## Key takeaways - [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=0s) 自筹资金(Self-funded)模式的核心是将公司打造为一台可预测产生净利润的现金机器,而传统一次性买断制软件因月初收入清零会带来长期的资金恐慌。 - [04:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=272s) Kevin Kelly的“1,000个铁杆粉丝”理论在现实中极难走通,自筹资金创始人更应将目标锁定在通过强执行力即可搞定的“150个高价值B2B客户”。 - [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=409s) 在尚未编写代码或购置服务器的零资产阶段,通过尊重对方时间的精准冷启动邮件即可拿下几十位种子用户的付费预订承诺。 - [12:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=720s) 小团队应建立“精品店(Boutique)”定位以获取溢价,并敢于持续提价测试上限,放弃靠低价走量的自卑心理。 - [13:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=801s) 年付预付款能打破前期获客成本(CAC)的垫资枷锁,利用信用卡账期与即时现金入账实现“-1个月”的负营运资本周期。 - [20:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1230s) 免费试用(Free Trial)会导致永久性的现金流损失,改用“先扣款后生效的60天无条件退款保证”不仅改善现金流,还能提升转化率。 - [22:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1336s) 绝不要面向C端消费者做生意,C端极端的付费敏感度与极高的客服成本会摧毁小团队的自造血能力。 - [26:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1579s) 避开备婚或单次性能排查等“临时性痛点”,优先选择底层成本持续发生、与财务周期绑定或应对外部动态变化的“天然持续性”需求。 - [31:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1910s) 小团队应远离依赖大用户基数的病毒式传播,同时避免类似托管运维这类需要7x24小时高压响应的强实时性业务。 - [35:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2111s) 双边市场(Marketplaces)存在买家与卖家的双重冷启动悖论,自筹资金团队应聚焦于功能明确、能够彻底完工的单点利基工具。 - [37:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2229s) 切入依附于成熟巨头的“后市场”(Aftermarket),能直接继承庞大的存量用户群并省去市场教育与销售渠道建设成本。 - [40:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2410s) 身处大赛道而非微型利基市场,能为自筹资金企业提供极高的试错容错率以及后续转向规模化扩张的“商业期权”。 - [43:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2614s) 在未达到月增上千名客户的统计样本量之前,切忌盲目依赖细分数据归因,而应采用“CPC上限 ≈ ARPU / 25”等经验法则进行快速决策。 - [52:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3155s) 大企业销售同样可以自给自足,关键在于利用“先试点后增购”(Land and Expand)降低审批门槛,并由高人均产能的全能型工程师主导销售。 - [57:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3420s) 联署营销必须绑定高额佣金与年付机制才能激活头部推广者,同时必须设立严格的合规准入机制以防止品牌商誉受损。 - [01:00:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3610s) 创始人最容易反复踩坑且代价惨重的管理误区,是面对文化价值观不合的员工或外包人员时迟疑不决、未能果断尽早解雇。 ## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=0s) 重新定义“自筹资金”创业与打造现金机器 Jason Cohen 开场直入主题,探讨他心目中所谓“完美的自筹资金创业”(bootstrap startup)应具备哪些特质。这不仅关乎如何赚钱,还涉及进入市场(go-to-market)和获取客户的底层逻辑。他指出,绝大多数创业公司之所以失败,正如 Hiten Shah 在之前的视频中所说,首先在于他们没有做出人们真正想要的东西。但 Jason 认为现实甚至更加残酷:“I think most companies for one don't build something people want, but I think it's even worse than that: I think they also maybe are building something people want, but not in a structure that lends itself to bootstrapping, that is not in a structure that lends itself for low money, low time, and all that kind of stuff either.” 很多项目的夭折,纯粹是因为其业务形态与小团队所拥有的有限资源、时间约束及天然优势根本不匹配。 谈及自身经验,Jason 提到正如主持人 Rob Walling 所介绍的,他此前通过自筹资金先后创办了四家公司。每一家的年营收都突破了 100 万美元大关,全部实现盈利,并且其中两家成功出售。即使是他当时正在运营的 WP Engine,在发展早期也是完全依靠自筹资金做起来的;虽然后期为了“全力放手一搏”(swing for the fences)而引入了风险投资,开启了截然不同的全新挑战,但在融资之前的阶段它依然是一门纯粹的自筹资金业务。 聊到词汇定义时,Jason 分享了前一晚与 Hiten Shah 的私下交流。Hiten 坦言自己非常讨厌“Bootstrapping”(自力更生/靴带起家)这个词,觉得它如今已被滥用、不知所云;同时他也排斥“Lifestyle business”(生活方式型企业),因为这个词在主流创投语境中带有明显的贬义色彩。于是 Hiten 提议将其统称为“自筹资金”(Self-funded)。Jason 对此极为赞同,并当场调侃自己抢了 Hiten 第二天演讲的风头。他认为“自筹资金”可能来自个人积蓄、少量的亲友借款甚至小额债务,但核心前提是绝对不出让公司的实质性股权。在心态上,创始人必须将自筹资金的企业视作一台“现金机器”(cash machine)——即每个月都能以一种高度可预测的方式持续产生净利润。 ### [02:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=127s) 一次性买断软件的噩梦与月入万美元的门槛 为了说明“可预测性”有多么罕见,Jason 向现场观众抛出了一个扎心的问题:如果下个月你什么都不做,跑到拉斯维加斯通宵狂欢整整一个月,在座有谁能百分之百确信自己的公司下个月依然能稳稳入账 10,000 美元的营收?台下举手的人寥寥无几,Jason 目测甚至不足 20%。他感叹道,在场的创业者都是能够自费买得起昂贵门票来到 MicroConf 的优秀群体,然而竟有超过八成的人无法达到这个标准。而月入一万美元,通常仅仅是一个创业者辞掉本职全职创业、满足养家糊口所需的最低及格线。因此,他整场演讲的核心诉求,就是帮助大家设计一种能稳定、持续、可预测地为每位创始人每月创造 10,000 美元营收的商业模式,并在此基础上逐步冲向两万、三万乃至四万美元。 在商业模式的选择上,Jason 现身说法对比了买断制软件与订阅制(SaaS)的区别。他的第三家公司 Smart Bear 采用的是传统的一次性下载买断制软件模式。客户付款下载后就很少再回来;虽然可能会有一些版本升级费用,或者在企业级方案中通过费尽心思的商务谈判收取 20% 的年度维保费用,但归根结底,每当新月份到来的第一天,公司的营收计数器都会直接归零,一切又必须从头开始。 这种模式彻底违背了“现金机器”的原则,给创始人带来了巨大的心理折磨。Jason 回忆道:“I literally would wake up in the middle of the night panicked, wondering how am I going to cover payroll this month. And I felt that way when it was just me for two years, and I felt that way seven years later when it was a team of 12 and all that. I still felt the same way; it never got better ever, and it's a horrible way to live.” 无论公司做到了几百万美元的年流水,还是团队扩张到了十几人,那种下个月可能发不出工资的恐慌感从未消退。正是这种痛苦的经历,促使他下定决心只做拥有经常性收入(Recurring Revenue)的业务模式。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 一次性买断制与经常性订阅制的营收模式对比 accDescr: 对比传统买断制月初清零的不可预测性与SaaS订阅制现金机器的累积复利效应 subgraph OneOff ["传统买断制软件 (Smart Bear)"] direction TB A1["每月 1 号营收清零"] --> B1["从零重新寻找新客户"] B1 --> C1["无尽的现金流焦虑与发薪恐慌"] end subgraph Recurring ["持续经常性收入 (现金机器)"] direction TB A2["月初已有存量订阅基底"] --> B2["可预测的稳定月度流水"] B2 --> C2["专注客户留存与业务叠加扩张"] end ``` ### [04:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=272s) 戳破“1000个铁杆粉丝”神话,转向“150个客户” 在确立了经常性收入的大方向后,Jason 进一步剖析了客户获取的现实难度。很多人都听过《连线》杂志创办人 Kevin Kelly 提出的“1,000 个铁杆粉丝”(1,000 True Fans)理论。该理论描绘了一幅极其浪漫的蓝图:独立音乐人或艺术家只要能找到 1,000 名狂热粉丝,每人每年购买一两百美元的周边或演出门票,就能获得数十万美元的收入,从而摆脱唱片公司的控制,全职过上周游全国做音乐的生活。营销大师 Seth Godin 随后大加推崇并广泛传播了这个观点,使其在创业圈风靡一时。 然而残酷的真相是,Kevin Kelly 在文章发布几周后就公开撤回并推翻了自己的观点。大量一线真实艺术家的反馈表明:这个模型在现实中根本无法跑通。首先,现实中你很难让普通人每年持续掏出一两百美元;其次,获取 1,000 个铁杆粉丝难如登天,普通人除了能发动三五十个亲朋好友之外,想在任何价格门槛下聚集 1,000 个铁杆用户都是极小概率事件;最后,即便真能凑齐 1,000 人乘以 200 美元得到 20 万美元年收入,这笔钱在扣除巡演差旅、乐手分成和设备开销后,也根本不足以支撑团队的生存。但 Seth Godin 后来并未跟进撤回这套说法,导致“1,000 个粉丝”的虚假神话依然误导着无数创业者。 现场互动再次印证了这一点:当 Jason 询问有多少人拥有 1,000 个以上的客户时,举手者寥寥无几;而当他进一步追问其中有多少人能让这 1,000 个客户每月支付 10 美元甚至 100 美元时,台下更是几乎无人应答。针对自筹资金团队资源匮乏的现实,Jason 提出了更务实的替代方案:不要去追逐虚无缥缈的 1,000 个粉丝,而是将目标锁定在“150 个客户”。 - Kevin Kelly 虽撤回了“1000 个铁杆粉丝”理论,但因 Seth Godin 未同步勘误,该理论仍被创投圈广泛误传。 - 对于微型团队而言,获取 1,000 个支付任意金额的客户都是极高的门槛。 - 150 个愿意支付合理月费的企业或个人客户,足以支撑起一位自筹资金创业者的核心生存线。 ### [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=409s) 如何通过冷启动邮件在无代码阶段获取前40位付费承诺 Jason 强调,150 个客户是一个完全可以通过创始人自身的人脉挖掘、面对面交流和主动外联(Scratching and clawing)来实现的目标。甚至在产品完全没做出来之前,仅凭创始人的执行力就能搞定前几十个客户。他以创立 WP Engine 时的真实经历为例,详细拆解了一套高效的 LinkedIn 冷启动开发技巧。 当时产品尚未成型,Jason 在 LinkedIn 上搜索专门从事 WordPress 业务的独立咨询顾问和自由职业者。他向这些潜在客户发送了一封措辞极其讲究的私人邮件: 1. **表明身份与意图**:介绍自己正在创办一家专门针对 WordPress 咨询顾问量身打造的主机托管服务,希望了解对方在工作中的真实痛点与需求; 2. **极度尊重对方时间**:明确表示“我知道您的时间极其宝贵,您是专业咨询顾问,我绝不希望让您觉得我是在白嫖您的时间;这是一次奇怪的单次交流,因此哪怕价格高于您的常规时薪,只要您觉得合理,我都非常愿意按小时付费购买您的一小时咨询”。 这封邮件的成效惊人:Jason 一共发出了 40 封,回复率达到了难以置信的 100%;最终他与其中的 38 人完成了深度电话沟通(仅有 2 人因时间未排开未能成行),更关键的是,这 38 个人中没有一个人真的向他收钱。因为邮件展现出了充分的尊重与坦诚,对方非常乐意提供帮助。 通过这套方法,Jason 在还没有公司正式名称、没有制作演示 PPT、没有雇佣任何员工、甚至连一台服务器都没有购置的绝对“零资产”阶段,就成功拿下了 30 到 40 位客户的书面付费承诺,答应一旦产品上线就每月支付 50 美元。而在创立 WP Engine 之前,他也曾构思过另一个创业点子,但当时因为无法在市场上找到足够多愿意提前买单的人,他便果断放弃了那个项目。作为奥斯汀孵化器 Capital Factory 的联合创始人,Jason 每年都会指导新入驻的孵化企业运用这套验证法:“And you'd be surprised how many times you can get 20 or 30 people to give you a check right there for something that does not exist if the idea is in fact solving a pain that they really have.” 只要产品真正切中了客户强烈的实际痛点,即使东西还不存在,人们也愿意当场掏出支票预订。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: WP Engine 早期客户验证与预售流程 accDescr: 展示 Jason Cohen 如何通过 LinkedIn 定向外联在未开发产品前获得40个付费意向的闭环路径 subgraph Outreach ["第一步:精准定位与尊重价值的外联"] A["在 LinkedIn 锁定 WordPress 咨询顾问"] --> B["发送定制邮件:说明产品意图"] B --> C["提出愿意按顾问标准全额付费购买一小时"] end subgraph Discovery ["第二步:客户深度访谈与痛点验证"] C --> D["40 封发出:100% 积极回复,完成 38 次电话沟通"] D --> E["零人收取咨询费(受尊重后乐意免费提供反馈)"] E --> F["深挖痛点:验证解决方案是否切中核心刚需"] end subgraph PreSale ["第三步:产品构建前的付费承诺"] F --> G["无代码/无服务器/无 PPT 阶段获得 30-40 人承诺"] G --> H["锁定 50 美元/月预售承诺,验证通过后正式开工"] end ``` ### [08:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=530s) 倒推定价模型:为什么必须定高价 Jason Cohen 强调,哪怕只靠在相关博客上发客座文章(guest posting)、做些基础的社交媒体推广,或者跑最不起眼的 Google AdWords 和垂直网站精准广告,数月之内死磕出 75 到 150 个客户是绝对可行的。如果连这都做不到,那它未来也根本不可能成为一家真正的公司。 然而,获取客户的前提是目标清晰:自给自足(Bootstrapping)的核心目标通常是做到每月 10,000 美元的经常性收入(MRR)。如果客户上限暂时设定在 150 人左右,根据数学公式倒推,平均每位客户每月就必须支付约 70 美元。很多自筹资金的独立开发者往往陷入自卑心理:产品功能简陋、到处是缺陷、自己一个人搞支持回复还慢,因而不敢定高价,只敢收 9 美元或 19 美元,并幻想着“以后能拿到几千个客户”。Jason 直言这是极其艰难且错误的路: > “很多自筹资金的创业者意识到自己的产品功能不多、品质一般,技术支持也很慢——因为只有你一个人——实际上方方面面都挺糙的,于是就觉得自己不配收很多钱……而这种想法通常还伴随着‘但我会拿下成千上万个客户’的幻想,可这显然极度困难;所以我认为这不是个好主意,是条难走的路,容易走的路是认定收高价是完全合理的。” 通过合理的价格分层(Tiering),高客单价并不难实现。Jason 分享了 WP Engine 起步时的定价策略:根据功能多寡、使用量或客户类型进行阶梯定价。借助这些分层,WP Engine 当时的每客户平均收入(ARPU)超过了每月 100 美元。此外,网络上还有很多经典的定价策略:比如直接标价 99 美元甚至 199 美元,但常年提供促销;或者像 WP Engine 曾做过的一个测试:把 49 美元的套餐原价写成 79 美元再划掉,旁边注上现价 49 美元,销量立刻上涨。开发者也可以给博主提供给读者的专属一年七折优惠券,折算下来依然能达到预期的 66 美元平均月费,但用户在心理上却觉得自己占了极大便宜。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 目标倒推业务模型 accDescr: 展示从月收入1万美元目标倒推至客户数量与高客单价的计算逻辑 subgraph Goal ["商业目标"] A["月经常性收入目标<br/>$10,000 / 月"] end subgraph Acquisition ["获客现实"] B["小规模早期获客能力<br/>约 150 个客户"] end subgraph Pricing ["定价必然选择"] C["平均客单价 (ARPU)<br/>约 $70 / 月"] D["避免错误路线:<br/>$9~$19 低价走量"] C -.->|"替代"| D end A --> B B --> C ``` - **获客下限判定**:几个月内若连 75 到 150 个早期付费用户都无法通过广告或推广获取,说明该产品方向难以立足。 - **划线折扣效应**:在页面上将 49 美元套餐标注原价 79 美元并划掉,产品本身毫无改变,但销售额即刻提升。 - **成长天花板**:即使在极小的细分利基市场,150 个客户也绝非上限;一旦以 70 美元均价跑到 1 万美元月收入,后续突破 1.5 万至 2 万美元便水到渠成。 --- ### [12:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=720s) “精品店”(Boutique)定位:小而贵的天然溢价权 针对“产品简陋、只有一人开发如何敢收高价”的心结,Jason 提出了一个破局的核心词汇——**精品店(Boutique)**。 在科技圈之外,这种商业模式比比皆是。比如街角只有一两个人的高档精品店,营业时间飘忽不定(因为店员得去处理杂务,就像独立开发者没空秒回邮件一样),商品售价可能是普通成衣的三倍以上,但顾客依旧心甘情愿掏钱。因为顾客能得到无微不至的专属关注、独一无二的高水准出品,同时用户天然抱有一种支持用心打拼的独立经营者的良好感觉。 这种精品定位在各行各业都成立,如独立执业的精品律师事务所,或是像 Patrick McKenzie 那样的精品独立顾问。Jason 认为,与其自惭形秽,不如坦坦荡荡地告知客户“我们是一家专注于极致服务的精品小团队”。如今初创企业带有独特的酷感,诚实展现个人的全力以赴反而能赋予业务更高的溢价空间。 --- ### [13:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=801s) 年付预收(Annual Prepay)策略:撬动无限营销预算 谈及收入,就绕不开现金流。对于没有任何外部风投资金的自筹企业,现金就是生命线。在现场调查发现极少有人采用年付时,Jason 强烈呼吁必须采用“年付预收”(Annual Prepay)策略。 Jason 举了一个理想模型:假设你花 300 美元获客成本(CAC)能搞定一个每月付费 50 美元的客户(这在 Google Ads 或优质赞助文章的转化中并不难做到)。如果想立刻达到 10,000 美元的月经常性收入(即 200 个客户),理论上需要预先砸出 60,000 美元的获客成本。自筹资金团队显然掏不出这笔巨款,但“年付预收”让这成为可能: - 推出“购买年付即送 2 个月”的优惠方案(年费为 10 个月单价,相当于折让 16.7%)。 - 客户如果全额年付,一次性支付 500 美元;获取 200 个年付客户立刻带来 100,000 美元瞬时现金流。 - 扣除 60,000 美元广告投入,账面上不仅直接实现了 1 万美元的月营运水准,还净落 40,000 美元即期现金。这些钱可以马上用来雇佣专业设计师改善界面,或者滚入下一波广告。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 年付预收与现金流正向循环 accDescr: 展示年付预付如何解决CAC资金垫付问题并实现无限营销预算 A["投放广告/营销获客<br/>支出 CAC (如 $300/人)"] --> B{"用户选择支付周期"} B -->|"月付 (75%)"| C["首月回款 1 个月费用<br/>现金流回本周期长"] B -->|"年付 (25%)"| D["买10送2 一次性回款 10 个月费用<br/>单客入账超出单客CAC"] D --> E["账面实现负营运资本周期<br/>(信用卡次月还款 vs 现金今日到账)"] E --> F["解锁‘理论上无限的营销预算’<br/>即期现金直接复投再获客"] ``` Jason 用 WP Engine 的真实经营数据验证了这个逻辑。在 WP Engine 官网注册的客户中,按收入计算有 25% 的用户会主动选择预付年费。虽然 75% 的客户首月只付 1 个月租金,但那 25% 的客户首日就付清了 10 个月的租金。简单算下来,公司每月拿到的即时现金流是纯月付模式的 3 倍以上。更关键的是,这部分即时现金直接覆盖并超出了全月的获客成本。 由于广告费走信用卡存在约 30 天的账期,而客户付款实时入账,现金周转周期实际上达到了“-1 个月”。这让 WP Engine 在资金层面拥有了“无限的营销预算”,规模扩张不再受制于账户余额。Jason 调侃道,他们后来甚至不得不主动暂停营销投放,因为唯一的瓶颈变成了团队人力——技术支持团队被海量工单彻底淹没,导致服务质量下滑。最后,Jason 分享了一个提高年付转化率的实用技巧:向合作博主和分销渠道提供“年付专属优惠券”,宣称通过其专属链接购买年付可额外获赠 3 个月免费;由于官方本来就会赠送 2 个月,边际成本极低,却能形成极大的转化吸引力。 - **年付普及率现实**:在 WP Engine,自然转化用户中有 25%(按收入计)会主动勾选年付。 - **现金杠杆效应**:25% 的年付比例能将企业整体的月度现金流入提升至月付模式的 3 倍以上。 - **负现金流周期**:先收回年付现金,次月再结算广告信用卡账单,形成“-1 个月”的净现金周转优势。 - **扩张真实瓶颈**:当获客资金瓶颈被年付现金流消除后,限制业务增长的不再是钱,而是技术支持与交付团队的人力负荷。 ### [17:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1060s) 年付策略与 ARPU 黑客:通过提高标价制造超值优惠 在探讨现金流时,Jason Cohen 分享了他在孵化器 Capital Factory 指导初创企业的几个经典定价案例。有一家公司原本按每年 99 美元收费,甚至完全没有按月预付的选项。Jason 建议他们改设为每月 49 美元,同时将年付方案打一个极具诱惑力的大折扣——比如直接打对折,相当于“买半年送半年”。公司照做后,注册转化人数完全没有下降。用户在看到较高的月费后,面对按年购买的大幅让利不仅毫无抵触,反而觉得占了大便宜。如果创始人担心直接给年付定一个高额净价会把人吓跑,最简单的解法就是顺势拉高月费标价,再把年付折扣做大;这样一来,选月付的人贡献了更高的单月现金,选年付的人则感觉自己赚到了。 另一家同样来自 Capital Factory 的团队最初年费仅收 50 美元,Jason 建议他们直接把这 50 美元改成“每月 50 美元”试试水。结果不出所料,注册转化量毫无波动。还有一家团队原先每月收费 19 美元,每天只有一两个注册量。Jason 劝对方先翻倍提到 49 美元观察一周,即便没人买也损失不大;结果翻倍后注册量纹丝不动,收入直接翻倍。当创始人兴奋地表示想把赚来的钱全砸去买 Google AdWords 广告时,Jason 当头浇了一盆冷水,告诉他们应该继续涨价,直到遇到阻力为止。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 定价翻倍与年费设计逻辑 accDescr: 展示将低定价提升并配合年费大幅让利的商业优化路径 subgraph Step1["提价测试"] A["月费低价标定<br>(如 $19 或 $29/月)"] -->|"直接翻倍提价测试"| B["注册转化量未受影响<br>(收入直接倍增)"] end subgraph Step2["年付让利包装"] B -->|"设定高额月费标价"| C["高额月费锚点<br>(如 $49/月)"] C -->|"提供超大幅度年付折扣"| D["年付巨幅优惠<br>(相当于送6个月)"] D -->|"用户锁定高客单年付"| E["巨额现金预付沉淀"] end ``` - ARPU(每用户平均收入)起源于电信行业,即单客收入指标;在初创企业规模尚小时,提高 ARPU 是最能撬动增长的核心杠杆,其影响力甚至超过了流失率(Cancellation Rate)。 - 对于日均只有一两个注册量的小产品,提价实验几乎毫无风险,即使一周没有转化也可以随时调回。 - 面对刚刚提价成功的创始人,Jason Cohen 的核心建议非常激进:“直到出现坏结果之前,你都应该再翻倍,或者至少再涨 50%。”(“No, you're gonna double it again, or at least fifty percent or something until something else until something bad happens, right? And we just raise the damn prices.”) --- ### [20:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1230s) 套餐陈列与试用陷阱:60 天退款保证胜过免费试用 在定价页面的视觉与心理学设计上,Jason 借用了 Erica(Erica Douglass)传授的定价黑客技巧:在多档套餐中,务必高亮中间一档,这会引导大多数用户自然放弃最便宜的入门档;同时,在最右侧设立一个价格极高的顶配档位,专门捕获那些“非最高规格不买”的客户。更巧妙的一招是将最贵方案命名为“商业版”(Business Plan),拥有真实业务的公司客户往往会不假思索地直接选购此项。WP Engine 自己的网站就严格执行了这些策略。 谈及产品试用,Jason 直言他极度厌恶自力更生(Bootstrapped)企业采用 15 天或 30 天的免费试用期(Free Trial)。这类试用意味着公司在用户输入信用卡后平白赠送半个月至一个月,这笔被让渡的现金永远无法收回。除非产品本身极度糟糕,否则大多数肯填信用卡的付费用户通常都会留存下来。WP Engine 将原本的 15 天免费试用改成了“60 天无条件退款保证”:从第一天起就直接从用户信用卡扣款,但承诺如果 60 天内不满意可随时全额退款。这一改动反而推动了销量上涨,许多用户主动发邮件反馈,称原本的 15 天根本来不及评估,延长到 60 天后他们才打消顾虑选择下单。 - 免费试用在用户愿意绑定信用卡的前提下白白丢掉了 15 到 30 天的现金流,属于永久性资金流失。 - 尽管“60 天退款保证”实际上让用户第一天就预先掏了真金白银,但更长的保障周期反而让客户获得了心理上的安全感。 - 这一改版配合套餐重命名与商业版推出,让 WP Engine 随后迎来了极为陡峭的客户数量增长拐点,且整体退款率极低。 --- ### [22:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1336s) 拒绝“捡钢镚”模式,聚焦 B2B 市场的高付费意愿 Jason 展示了一张 WP Engine 客户增长趋势图。虽然他幽默地抹去了 X 轴和 Y 轴的数据标签,但曲线在引入 60 天退款保证和优化套餐层级后出现了极为显著的陡增拐点。他强调,这不仅体现在总收入的暴增上,就连纯粹的注册用户总数也一同上升,打破了“涨价或先扣款一定会牺牲转化率”的教条。与此同时,Jason 告诫自力更生型创业者绝对不要触碰“捡钢镚”(Picking up pennies)模式——即靠撮合交易、众筹抽成或打赏抽佣来微薄变现的商业形态。典型代表 Kickstarter 即使一年撮合超过 1 亿美元的项目资金,作为平台仅提成 600 万美元,甚至无法覆盖运营成本,最终只能陷入连年亏损、被迫寻求外部融资的死循环。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 商业模式对比:B2C 捡钢镚 vs B2B 高客单 accDescr: 对比面向消费者的微薄抽成模式与面向企业的高客单自造血模式 subgraph PennyModel["“捡钢镚”与 B2C 模式"] A["海量低价交易 / 众筹"] -->|"1%~5% 微薄抽佣"| B["营收无法覆盖庞大成本"] B -->|"持续失血"| C["严重依赖风险投资 (如 Kickstarter)"] D["C端用户 ($1.99 差评 / $5 嫌贵)"] -->|"极高支持成本与敏感度"| B end subgraph CashMachine["B2B 现金机器模式"] E["面向企业客户 (B2B)"] -->|"痛点明确 / 预算充足"| F["高客单月费 ($70+/月)"] F -->|"充沛正向现金流"| G["自力更生健康运转 (WP Engine/Atlassian)"] end ``` 谈及目标市场选择,Jason 提出了极具辨识度的坚定主张:想要打造一台能够健康自造血的“现金机器”(Cash Machine),就必须彻底避开个人消费者(B2C),无条件扎根企业服务(B2B)。普通个人消费者对付费极度苛刻:Gmail 称得上是有史以来最出色的网页邮箱,当它尝试推行每月 5 美元的收费时,大众依然觉得不可思议;而在 App Store 里,用户会因为一款 1.99 美元的应用缺少某个小功能而打一星差评,甚至声称“要是卖 99 美分还凑合,1.99 美元简直不可理喻”。这种吝啬的消费心理根本无法支撑每单每月 70 美元的健康现金流。 - 备份服务商 Backupify 最初面向消费者按年仅收 40 美元提供全量备份,由于完全无法盈利,最终被迫放弃 B2C,全盘转向 B2B 市场。 - 独立开发界公认的成功典范——如 37signals、Fog Creek Software、Atlassian 以及 Jason 创办的所有公司,无一例外全都是 B2B 企业软件。 - 即使是曾以 Bingo Card Creator 闻名的独立开发者 Patrick McKenzie,也在转型中告诫大家不要做 C 端,并转向了面向企业的预约排班软件;当台下观众联想到 MicroConf 演讲嘉宾时,Jason Cohen 一针见血地给出了对个人消费市场的绝杀论断:“我想要提出一个极其强烈的论点:你绝对、千万、永远不要卖东西给消费者。”(“I want to make a very strong argument that you should absolutely never not not not sell to consumers.”) ### [26:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1579s) 临时性痛点市场的陷阱与一次性交易的局限 在明确了 To B 模式的优越性之后,Jason Cohen 谈到了创始人 Rob Walling 自身的转变:Rob 早年也做过面向普通消费者的产品,但后来果断放弃了那些尝试,转而做 B2B 的发票软件、HitTail 以及当时正在筹备的新项目(即后来的 Drip)。Jason 明确指出,选对市场是自给自足型企业(Bootstrapped Business)能否存活的第一步,而他最排斥的市场类型之一,就是“客户所承受的痛点是临时性的(Temporary Pain)”。在这类市场中,创业公司必须在客户生命周期的某个极其狭窄的特定时刻精准捕捉到他们,一旦错过这个窗口,客户就毫无价值;即便抓住了,也无法产生持续的经常性收入(Recurring Revenue)。 Jason 以他在孵化器 Capital Factory 见到的一个项目为例:该团队开发了一款将婚礼照片自动转成视频的工具,不仅价格亲民、视觉效果极佳,而且每一个体验过的客户都赞叹不已,全员留下极高评价的推荐语(Testimonial)。但商业逻辑的残酷之处在于,再好的口碑也无法挽救糟糕的商业模型。对于这个案例,Jason Cohen 尖锐地评价道:“Every single customer that used that everyone said it was awesome they would do it again and made a testimonial everyone and who cares because you only get married what twice three times so it's not that's not enough of recurring revenue right?”(每一个用过的客户都说它棒极了、愿意再次使用并且留下了好评,所有人都是如此——但谁在乎呢?因为人一生也就结个两三次婚,这根本产生不了足够的经常性收入,对吧?)不仅如此,全天下的大品牌都在砸重金争抢即将步入婚礼殿堂的新娘,获客成本极其高昂。类似的还有面向展会与会议活动(Events)的创业项目,活动一年才举办一次,每次获客都异常艰难。 这种临时性痛点在 B2B 软件中同样普遍存在。Jason 回顾了自己创办的 SmartBear 在出售之后进行的一笔并购交易——他们收购了一款代码性能分析工具(Code Profiler)。该工具的作用是在软件运行缓慢时帮助工程师找出性能瓶颈。产品本身非常有用,并提供了免费试用期。但致命的问题在于其使用场景往往是一次性的:开发者的系统变慢了,于是通过搜索引擎找到该工具并开始试用;试用期间开发者成功排查并解决了性能问题,危机随即解除;此时试用期甚至还没结束,客户已经不再痛苦,自然绝不会掏钱购买付费版,更遑论产生按月续费的订阅收入。 - **临时性痛点特征**:客户生命周期极短,需求只在特定节点爆发(如备婚、单次系统故障排查)。 - **极高的获客壁垒**:必须与行业巨头在狭窄的时间窗口内竞价抢夺注意力,获客成本高昂且无复购。 - **免费试用反噬付费转化**:当核心痛点能在试用期内被一次性彻底根除时,软件很难转化为长期付费订阅。 --- ### [28:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1697s) 具备“天然持续性”的理想商业模型 与临时性痛点相反,Jason Cohen 青睐那些价值主张或业务痛点具有“天然持续性”(Naturally Recurring)的市场。当一种服务的价值或交付成本本身就是每月循环发生时,向客户持续收取月费就变得极其顺理成章,客户甚至不会产生“这为什么不能免费”的念头。 最典型的代表是底层成本持续存在的业务,比如 Jason 创办的 WP Engine。作为一家 WordPress 托管服务商,WP Engine 需要源源不断地投入服务器资源、网络带宽、电力和风扇散热,这些物理和运营成本是 7x24 小时真实消耗的。因此向客户按月收费不仅合情合理,而且客户完全理解并接受这种计费模式,双方唯一需要讨论的只是收费的具体金额。另一个天然具备周期性的是任何与财务周期紧密绑定的领域,例如发票管理、银行对账、报税、财务指标汇报、合规审核以及人力资源行政管理。企业每个月、每个季度和每年都必须重复履行这些流程,因此切入这些环节的工具天然就拥有极高的续费意愿。Jason 引用了一项针对数千名移动应用开发者的调研数据来佐证这一点:在这项调查中,有 30% 的开发者表示他们的 App 收入为 0 美元,另有 30% 表示自己根本搞不清楚赚了多少钱;但细分来看,面向 IT 类的应用平均月收入达到了 1,500 美元,而面向财务类(Finance-based)的应用平均月收入则高达 6,000 美元。 此外,当痛点本身的属性是动态演进的,客户就必须长期依赖工具以应对变化。数字营销领域(如搜索引擎优化 SEO、Google AdWords、竞品追踪报告、邮件营销、内容营销、社交媒体测量与 A/B 测试)就是典型的动态赛道。正如 Jason 所指出的,Google 会不断更改算法规则,市场竞争对手的打法每天都在变,这迫使营销人员必须年复一年地使用监控与优化工具跟上节奏。 客户支持也是一种天然持续的需求。虽然自给自足型公司需要警惕高昂的人力成本,但支持服务却可以通过轻量级的方式转化为高额利润。例如,WP Engine 曾设立了每月 500 美元的高级支持套餐,提供更高的 SLA 保障。对于小体量的独立开发者,Jason 建议完全可以提供一个每月 100 美元的“优先支持套餐”:后台只需简单划分出普通和优先两个工单队列,优先处理付费客户的工单。“这几乎是白赚的钱(pretty much free money),”Jason 解释道,因为团队本来就要解决所有工单,这种方案只是调整了处理顺序,却能换来客户持续支付的真金白银。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 天然持续性业务形态 accDescr: 归纳了四种具备自然经常性收入的业务模式及其对应特征 subgraph CostDriven["成本与周期驱动型"] A["物理成本持续发生<br/>(如服务器、带宽、存储)"] -->|"成本透明化"| M["极易建立按月订阅模型<br/>(客户不会质疑收费合理性)"] B["财务与行政周期<br/>(发票、报税、对账、合规)"] -->|"法定义务/刚性周期"| M end subgraph EnvironmentDriven["动态环境驱动型"] C["底层规则与竞争动态演进<br/>(SEO、AdWords、A/B测试)"] -->|"痛点持续变化"| N["客户必须长期保持使用"] D["工单排队优先权<br/>(轻量化高级客户支持)"] -->|"零增量成本调度"| N end ``` --- ### [31:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=1910s) 避开病毒式传播陷阱与强实时性业务的运维泥潭 在产品传播机制与系统架构的容错度上,Jason Cohen 提出了两点鲜明的避坑建议:远离依赖“病毒式传播”(Viral Growth)的产品,以及远离“强实时性”(Real-Time)的业务形态。 关于病毒式增长,Jason 认为它完全不符合 Bootstrapped 公司的生存法则。首先,从概率上看病毒式传播在绝大多数情况下根本无法跑通;其次,病毒式传播严重依赖巨大的初始用户基数。如果你只有 100 个初始用户,即便病毒系数设定为每月有 1% 的用户成功邀请一位新朋友,一个月下来也仅仅新增 1 个用户,甚至由于四舍五入直接沦为 0。没有庞大的种子用户基盘,裂变引擎根本无法启动,而建立这个初始基盘往往需要耗费巨资并且早期无法向用户收费,自筹资金的创业者根本承担不起。 在业务架构上,Jason 强烈偏好非实时性的业务,即“用户不需要在这一瞬间立刻得到响应,否则一切就彻底完蛋”的系统。WP Engine 恰恰是实时性业务的一个典型反面案例。由于网站托管关系到线上业务的实时可用性,一旦服务器在半夜宕机,团队就必须立刻惊醒并上线修复,绝对不能拖到天亮。Jason 坦言这种时刻处于被叫醒状态的运维工作非常痛苦,是启动业务时走过的弯路。 相比之下,决策支持类系统(如商业智能分析、数据指标监控)、财务软件以及项目管理工具都是理想的非实时系统。例如发票软件就算偶尔出现短暂故障,延后一天把账单发出去通常也不会造成致命后果;像 Trello 这样的项目看板如果宕机一小时,虽然体验糟糕,但客户绝对不会因此立刻退订并彻底更换整套工具体系。内容分发类产品同样具备天然的宽容度,既容易通过 Amazon S3 等基础设施做到高可用,即使遇到小规模故障也拥有足够的缓冲时间,创始人不必在深夜承受巨大的运维心理压力。 - **病毒式传播的数学困境**:在小样本量下,低转化率会导致用户增长被四舍五入归零,无法为小团队带来自然复利。 - **实时性运维的代价**:托管等业务的实时性要求 7x24 小时的待命响应,极度消耗个人精力与身心健康。 - **非实时业务的高容错缓冲**:数据分析、财务流程和内部协作工具在面临短暂故障时具有业务缓冲期,客户流失风险极低。 --- ### [34:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2070s) 双边市场(Marketplaces)的冷启动死局 在谈到需要极力规避的商业模式时,Jason Cohen 明确将“双边交易平台/集市(Marketplaces)”列为独立开发者的大忌。这类业务的核心逻辑是连接买家与卖家,例如 Etsy、Kickstarter、eBay 以及早期的 Amazon。 双边市场对自力更生型创业团队来说几乎是一条死路,其根本原因在于冷启动的复杂度呈指数级翻倍——创始人实际上并不是在做一份生意,而是在同时运营两家完全不同的公司:你不仅要想方设法把供给端的卖家吸引到平台上挂牌上架商品,还必须在同一时刻招揽来足够规模的买家进行消费。只要天平的任何一端缺失,整个商业闭环就会瞬间崩塌,这种极度依赖两端同时起量的网络效应模型,根本不适合资源受限的自筹资金团队。 ### [35:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2111s) 双边市场的陷阱与“能彻底完工”的软件产品 双边市场(Two-Sided Market)对自筹资金(Bootstrapped)的创业者来说极度凶险。在这类模式下,创业者面临着严重的“先有鸡还是先有蛋”的悖论:你必须同时说服买家和卖家两端使用你的支付方式与平台。虽然这种商业模式一旦成功便具备极强的护城河——即使 Etsy 将其全部代码开源,普通创业者也无法撼动它,因为用户脑海中根深蒂固的是“输入 Etsy.com 这个网址”这一品牌心智资产,Kickstarter 和 eBay 亦是同理。然而,对于没有资本支持的初创企业,Jason Cohen 明确表示: > “对于一家自筹资金的初创公司,我认为同时做两家公司成功率要比做一家低得多;你必须在某种程度上让两个轮子都运转起来,这太难了,所以我根本不喜欢这种模式。” 相比之下,他极力推荐那些“能够真正做完”(A product that can be done)的利基工具。初创企业天然缺乏充足的工程师和高水平设计师,一旦卷入与财大气粗对手的“功能军备竞赛”(Feature War),将毫无胜算。反观 90 年代 Nico Mak 开发的共享软件 WinZip,整个工具核心功能完成后基本定型,即便版本更新到了 WinZip 9 也没增加什么实质新特性,在当年许多人盗版、付费还需邮寄明信片与支票的艰难环境下,凭借一个“做完即止”的实用工具,作者每年就能躺赚 100 万美元。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Two-sided Market vs Self-contained Product accDescr: 对比双边市场的双重获客难题与单点成型产品的资源优势 subgraph DoubleTrouble["双边市场(双倍难度)"] A["卖家群体"] -->|"缺乏买家"| Platform["撮合平台"] B["买家群体"] -->|"缺乏卖家"| Platform end subgraph SingleFinished["做完即止的单点工具"] Feature["核心功能开发完毕"] --> Done["功能定型无需军备竞赛"] Done --> Cash["持续产生稳定现金流"] end ``` - **双边平台的核心护城河**:真正的资产并非后台源代码,而是用户的直接访问心智(如直接在浏览器输入 Etsy.com、eBay.com、Kickstarter.com)。 - **小团队资源劣势**:自筹资金团队天然面临开发人员少、资源不足、设计水准有限的现实,绝不能把“堆砌更多功能”当作核心差异化手段。 - **WinZip 的经典启示**:在 20 世纪 90 年代共享软件(Shareware)与“Beerware”盛行的时期,仅凭一款功能成型、无需无休止更新的解压缩软件,开发者便实现了每年 100 万美元的收入。 --- ### [37:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2229s) 依附于成熟巨头的“后市场”(Aftermarket)机遇 Jason Cohen 偏爱的另一个绝佳切入点是“后市场”(Aftermarket)——即直接依附于市场上已有海量追随者和存量用户的成熟平台。这种模式省去了教育市场的巨大成本,目标客户画像极其清晰,关键词搜索明确,连平台厂商本身往往都愿意给予流量支持。 Jason Cohen 列举了多个经典成功案例: - **Smart Bear**:自己早年创办的代码审查软件,全面接入 Perforce、Subversion、CVS 等版本控制系统,甚至因此每年受邀参加 Perforce 用户大会发表演讲,未付一分钱便源源不断获得高质量精准客户。 - **Balsamiq Mockups**:最初便是作为 Basecamp 的第三方插件崭露头角。 - **WooThemes**:建立在 WordPress 生态系统上的主题与插件供应商。 - **WP Engine**:依托庞大的 WordPress 用户群,为其提供专业的主机托管后市场服务。 - **Alien Skin**:依靠自筹资金稳健运营十余年,专攻 Photoshop 高级滤镜与插件,闷声赚取高额利润。 - **QODBC**:这家自筹资金企业自 1984 年便已存在,数十年来专注于做一件事情——为 QuickBooks 文件提供 ODBC 数据库查询接口,由此支撑起一门长盛不衰的生意。 平台生态之间也存在差异:Apple App Store 存在拒绝审核或官方下场抄袭的风险;而类似 Salesforce(Sforce.com)或 Heroku 的插件商店,其生态政策极为友好。用户常吐槽“Salesforce 很多年没更新某个基础功能”,但这正是平台方的刻意克制,旨在把赚钱的插件功能留给第三方开发者,进而巩固自身生态护城河。这种机制为创业者直接内置了营销渠道、销售通路和定价体系。 --- ### [40:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2410s) 大市场的容错率与“期权效应” 主流观点往往认为只有寻求风险投资(VC)的公司才需要追逐大市场,因为 VC 需要押注十亿美元级回报;但 Jason Cohen 指出,自筹资金企业同样应当进入大市场。大市场具备极高的容错率与“期权价值”(Optionality): > “大市场拥有巨大的活动空间和无数的利基市场,如果这个切入点失败了,你随时可以转战另一个;如果成功了,你还能向外扩张,你始终拥有选择权,而选择权永远意味着力量。” 在大市场中,你无需成为行业第一,甚至排不上前列也能过得很滋润。市场上存在着数百款 CRM、项目管理软件、工时记录系统或发票开具工具,大量没有做到龙头的普通产品依然利润丰厚。大市场本身就已经验证了“痛点确实存在且有人愿意真金白银付费”,彻底规避了打造无人问津产品的最高失败风险。更为关键的是,在大市场中创业者拥有调整企业航向的自由——就像 WP Engine 最初只是作为一门被动收益的“现金机器”(Cash Machine),但由于身处 WordPress 这个巨型大市场,当 Jason Cohen 日后改变主意想要“放手一搏干票大的”(Swing for the fences)时,广阔的市场空间依然能承载这一野心。 - **小市场的局限**:在小市场中切中细分赛道(例如“专门面向得州 Wichita Falls 跨州开具含税发票的 462 家小商户”)虽易于起步,但一旦该微型切片行不通,便缺乏其他有规模的退路。 - **验证痛点**:巨额资金流动的大赛道直接帮创业者免去了“是否存在付费意愿”的前期验证成本。 - **战略转型空间**:身处大市场让创业者随时保有从“小而美的赚钱工具”向“规模化龙头企业”转型的商业期权。 --- ### [42:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=2556s) 为什么社交媒体不是自筹资金企业的获客良药 在谈到获客手段时,Jason Cohen 抛出了他全场最具争议的鲜明观点:他极度反感并排斥依靠任何形式的社交媒体(Social Media)来进行早期客户获取。 > “在获客这件事上,我最具有争议的观点可能就是:我根本不喜欢用任何形式的社交媒体来获取客户,我认为它的效果并不好。” 他分析指出,社交媒体表面上看是免费流量,实际上吞噬了难以估量的时间与精力成本,而且其流量波动剧烈、算法规则瞬息万变,根本无法沉淀为可预测、可重复运转的获客飞轮。自筹资金创业者迫切需要的是一个确定的“现金机器”模型——比如“每投入 1 美元,就能确信今年能收回 4 美元,甚至通过按年预付立即回款”。社交媒体无法提供这种确定性。Jason Cohen 以自身经历现身说法:在创办 WP Engine 之前,他个人博客已拥有高达 40,000 名忠实读者;按常理推断,当他推出针对 WordPress 博客的主机服务时,仅凭个人名气和“支持 Jason”的心理,随随便便也能转化三五十个新客户,但实际转化结果却残酷地击碎了这种幻想。 ### [043:34] 放弃个人光环效应与每次点击成本(CPC)经验法则 在探讨获取客户的路径时,Jason Cohen 分享了自己曾经的教训:凭借个人博客的影响力去获客往往只是盲目自大。他曾以为凭借自己庞大的博客读者群就能轻松带起新业务,结果数万名读者中最终只有两个人注册。深感挫败的他甚至向网红创业家 Hiten Shah 请教原因,对方直截了当地告诉他:“事情向来如此,这根本行不通,赶紧翻篇吧(it's always like that it doesn't work move on)。”虽然像 Buffer 这样的团队通过全力深耕社交媒体获得了巨大成功,但 Jason 坦言自己更偏爱确定性的商业逻辑:“我想花钱买流量,然后把钱赚回来,这就是我想要的(I want I want to know I spend money and make money that's what I want)。” 在这种将所有线上营销行为本质归结为“为每次网站访问付费”的模型中,核心问题变成了:每次点击究竟该付多少钱?Jason 提出了一个简单易用的粗算法则:将每位客户的月平均收入(ARPU)除以 25,即为你能够承受的单次点击成本(CPC)。例如,若客户平均每月贡献 50 美元,那么你可以承担 2 美元的点击成本。 ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 单次点击成本估算公式 accDescr: 展现从每客户平均月收入计算每次点击成本的简单规则 A["客户平均月收入 (ARPU)"] -->|"除以 25"| B["最高可承受 CPC"] subgraph 示例["计算示例"] C["ARPU = 50 美元/月"] -->|"50 ÷ 25"| D["CPC 上限 = 2 美元/次点击"] end ``` - **博客转化现实**:数万读者仅带来 2 个注册转化,证明个人知名度很难直接变现为 SaaS 客户。 - **Buffer 模式的局限**:社交媒体营销确实可行,但前提是具备极强的内容能力并投入海量时间。 - **公式背后的假设**:虽然实际投放需要结合转化率、流量质量分群、着陆页优化等成百上千个数据指标,但在初期缺乏统计显著性数据时,这套经验法则是最实用的决策底线。完整的数学推导过程已发布在 Jason 的个人博客中。 --- ### [045:42] 成功的“坏消息”:增长带来的身份重塑与退出困境 当一家精益自筹资金(Bootstrapped)的公司步入正轨,每月净利润达到三四万美元,团队只有极少数合拍的伙伴时,真正的两难困境才刚刚开始。成功的公司不会停下增长的脚步,而持续增长意味着支持压力剧增:如果不招人,客户支持质量就会恶化;如果招募员工,创始人的日常角色就会彻底颠覆——从专注打磨代码或市场营销的技术极客,被迫变成整天处理人事、协调管理的职业经理人。 面对这种意料之外的转变,创始人通常有几种应对方式,但每一种都有代价: 1. **出售公司**:像一些专业指导出售网站的专家建议的那样卖掉业务,但找到买家并不容易,且售价往往不如预期。 2. **内部转让与分期偿付(Earn-out)**:卖给合伙人或核心员工。买方往往缺乏现款,通常采用未来两三年内每月支付 5,000 至 10,000 美元或按收入比例提成的方式。 3. **意外收购退出**:Jason 回忆自己的第二家公司 IT Watchdogs 时,曾为客户定制了一款嵌入式监控设备,该客户借此每年多赚数百万美元。在内布拉斯加州林肯市的会议室里,客户问他们:“有什么能阻止你们把同样的产品做出来,卖给其他 100 家排插制造商?”Jason 回答“什么也阻止不了”,四个月后,这家客户直接出资买下了 IT Watchdogs。 - **涨价的连锁反应**:通过提高客单价可以控制客户数量,但这会彻底改变客群属性。正如 MicroConf 提高门票价格过滤掉了不够认真的“空想创业家(wannapreneur)”,若门票暴涨到一万美元,整个会议的性质就会被彻底重塑。 - **转向风险投资**:如果最终因规模扩张而选择拿 VC 的钱(如 Jason 后期运作 WP Engine 那样),那么前期花费大量时间进行自筹资金慢速试错实际上是一种次优策略。 --- ### [049:52] 创业终极命题:认识你自己与成功后的虚无 面对“想要一家小而美的公司,但成功却会摧毁这种小而美”的怪圈,Jason 指出并没有完美的现成答案。许多创业者在以千万美元卖掉公司后陷入迷茫,外界往往会嘲讽这是“有钱人的无病呻吟”,但这种缺乏目标与幸福感的心态其实极其真实而痛苦。 为了化解这一难题,Jason 引用了古希腊哲学家泰勒斯(Thales)的名言: > “最困难的事情是认识你自己。” —— 泰勒斯(由 Jason Cohen 引用) 对于创始人而言,核心在于理清自己真正想要什么,以及什么样的事业才能带来持久的成就感。更残酷的是,个人的追求会随着时间推移不断变化,这意味着自我探索是一场无休止的修行。相比之下,泰勒斯口中“最容易的事情”则是“给出建议”——这恰恰是 Jason 在演讲台上所做的事。在总结演讲时,Jason 给出了他眼中能够掌控局面的成功基石:建立一套**可预测的客户获取机制**,获取**持续的经常性收入(MRR)**,并通过**按年预付**来彻底解决现金流短缺问题。 ### [052:35] 演讲结语与大客户企业销售(Enterprise Sales)的自给自足模式 Jason Cohen 在演讲结尾总结道,构建现金机器的核心在于认清自身的制约因素与独特优势(例如保持小而美的精品模式,同时避免每周工作一百万个小时)。随着全场掌声,问答环节(Q&A)随即展开。 一位现场观众提问,针对那些并非采用标准月度订阅制,而是依赖传统销售流程、客单价更高的 B2B 交易型或大企业级 SaaS,是否有适合自力更生(Bootstrapping)的建议,因为市面上绝大多数 SaaS 策略谈论的都是通过在线点击获取流量。Jason Cohen 首先纠正了一个认知误区:大企业销售本质上依然是经常性收入(Recurring Revenue),通常签订的是年度甚至季度合同。由于大企业的预算体系通常以年为周期,年度预付款(Annual Prepay)在此类客户中非常普遍且易于接受,他们甚至更倾向于每年只处理一张采购订单(PO)和一张发票,并附带自动续约条款。 然而,企业级销售也伴随着极高的难度与拖延风险。Jason Cohen 提到,企业级交易需要应对繁琐的主服务协议(MSA)谈判,且款项结算周期漫长,他调侃道:“就在前几天,我们收到了一张账期为 net 130(130 天付款期)的采购订单”,引发现场苦笑。对于没有外部资金垫付的自力更生型创业者而言,这种漫长的销售周期、法务介入以及等待付款批次的过程极具杀伤力。 针对如何不依赖庞大销售团队来做企业级销售,Jason Cohen 以自身创立 SmartBear 的经验为例展开了说明: “在 SmartBear,业务几乎全是企业级销售,但我们没有一名全职销售人员。”(“...at SmartBear it was almost all enterprise sales and there was no salespeople...”) 他的解决方式是招募多面手极客:员工不仅能写代码,还能接待客户、做产品演示、解决技术支持及售后问题。这类人才薪资昂贵,但人均产能极高,SmartBear 当时甚至做到了人均创收 100 万美元($1M revenue per head)。这让公司在不盲目花钱的意义上保持极度精简,并将丰厚利润回馈给员工。 如果必须雇用专职销售人员,自力更生型公司通常无法承受 10 万底薪加 10 万提成(100k/100k)或 150k/150k 的传统薪酬包,往往只能采取纯提成但高比例的分成机制,对销售人员直言:“希望你能捕到大鱼,这样你才能吃得饱。” 针对漫长的企业销售周期,Jason Cohen 推荐了“先试点后扩张”(Land and Expand)的战术: ```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: 试点与扩张策略 accDescr: 展示从低预算试点切入并最终扩张至高价值大合同的过程 subgraph S1["切入阶段"] A["30 个席位的小型试点"] --> B["快速交付与验证"] end subgraph S2["扩张阶段"] B --> C["首笔交易约 $12,000"] C --> D["持续追加增购"] D --> E["生命周期价值达 $60,000+ 或更高"] end ``` - **初始试点化解顾虑**:先向企业提供 30 个席位的小规模试点(Pilot),由于金额小、审批快,不仅能迅速产生现金流,还能快速建立信任关系。 - **客单价成长轨迹**:SmartBear 很多交易都依循该路径——初次成交流水平均约为 1.2 万美元,但由于后续不断增购席位,平均每家客户的总成交流水达到 6 万美元,部分客户在一年半内甚至累计贡献了六位数乃至七位数的收入。 --- ### [057:00] 联署营销(Affiliate Programs)的实操杠杆与风险防范 现场观众随后提问,许多程序员背景的产品创始人往往不重视甚至忽略联署营销(Affiliate Programs),Jason Cohen 对此怎么看。 Jason Cohen 表示,联署营销并非适合所有行业(例如通常不适合企业级大宗交易),但在主机托管(Hosting)以及 WordPress 这种已有大量成功先例的生态中,联署计划极具爆发力。WP Engine 在刚上线联署计划时表现并不好,后来通过切换到 ShareASale 平台,主动对头部核心推广者进行一对一人工触达,并为他们定制专属优惠券代码,最终取得了极佳的成效。 针对联署营销的财务模型与执行要点,Jason Cohen 给出了清晰的逻辑推演: - **提供高额佣金才有吸引力**:普通联署计划可能只给推广者 30 美元,但这根本无法吸引优质的大型推广渠道。要引起头部联署伙伴的关注,往往需要支付高达 200 到 300 美元的丰厚佣金。 - **必须绑定年度预付款以保卫现金流**:联署结算的周期非常迅速(通常在 45 天内必须打款结算)。如果客单价低或按月收费,高昂的联署支出会迅速榨干创业者的现金流。因此,必须将高单价产品与针对消费者的年付优惠券绑定,用提前收到的全额年费来覆盖联署成本。 - **低风险的确定性增长**:联署机制的核心优势在于“无成效则无需付款”(Pay-on-performance),数学模型极易闭环;一旦跑通,它会变成极其可预测的“现金机器”,因为推广者自身的本职工作就是拼命拉新来为他们自己赚钱。 与此同时,Jason Cohen 对联署领域的灰色地带提出了明确警告。他幽默地指出,参加联署营销行业大会甚至会让人产生“开完会必须立刻去洗个澡”的油腻感,充斥着大量不可靠的从业者。如果公司不严格审核联署会员资质,推广者可能会在网络上散布垃圾信息或进行灰色操盘,极大伤害品牌声誉。对于视服务口碑为生命的 WP Engine 而言,他们宁可放弃灰色灰帽 SEO 技巧,也坚持对联署渠道严格把关。 --- ### [01:00:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3610s) 创业历程中最惨痛的教训:未能尽早解雇文化不合者 最后,观众询问 Jason Cohen 在创业历程中是否有过做过或没做过的重大遗憾。Jason 坦言,任何人在回顾一年经历时如果宣称自己完美无缺、从未犯错,那绝对是不诚实的。对于第一次踩坑犯错,他通常看得很开,因为人在当时只能做出自认为最佳的决策;真正让他感到后悔的,是那些自己反复踏入、未曾真正吸取教训的重复性模式。 在这些反复出现的错误中,排在第一位且最让他痛心的,就是面对不合适的人时行动迟缓: “其中一个就是没能足够快地解雇那些本该离开的人——这几乎总是由文化不合引起的,极少是因为业务技能不足。”(“...one is not getting rid of someone fast enough that needed to go almost always culturally based very rare that it's skills based it's usually cultural based...”) 无论是正式全职员工还是外部咨询顾问,一旦价值观和文化不契合,其负面情绪与行为就会像“投毒污染井水”(poison that well)一样迅速破坏整个团队的氛围。在这类人事问题上犹豫不决、拖延割席,是创始人最容易反复陷入且代价极其惨重的管理误区。 ### [01:01:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3681s) 创始人的遗憾:解雇太慢与未能坚持原则 Jason Cohen 在回答关于“过去犯过哪些错误”时,坦诚地指出自己常犯的一个通病是解雇不够果断。他指出在商业世界中有一个几乎普遍适用的定律:“fired that person too quickly no one ever says that but everyone has a story of when they didn't fire someone soon enough”(从来没有人会说自己解雇某人解雇得太快了,但每个人都有一段没有及早解雇某人的惨痛经历)。即便对于没有全职雇员的自筹资金团队,这一法则同样存在——比如遇到一个感觉在占你便宜、或者明显配合不顺的外包顾问,创始人往往会因为“但他们已经投入工作了”而选择凑合将就,从而留下隐患。 除了解雇迟疑,Jason 表达的另一个深刻遗憾是没有始终坚守自己的直觉和价值观。在面对可疑的推广渠道(例如某些让人感觉不适、品行存疑的联属营销人员 Affiliate)时,内心明明在抗拒“让这种人来推销我的产品真的合适吗”,却因为利益妥协。特别是在做自筹资金公司(Bootstrapped business)时,创始人的个人身份与公司形象是高度绑定的。一旦在团队内部听到不妥的言论却选择沉默、没有立刻站出来划定红线并宣布“这在这里是不可接受的,这一点都不好笑,也不行”,事后往往会陷入自责。Jason 总结道,当内心已经明确意识到某事是错误的,却没有以强硬的姿态告知所有人“这就是我正在打造的事业,这就是我们的行事方式,这就是我们是谁”,这种妥协永远是他事后最深切的遗憾。 ### [01:02:55](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=3775s) WP Engine 的获客经济学与数据法则 现场观众随后提问:在之前的演讲中,Jason 给出了一个计算单次点击成本上限(CPC)的经验公式(当时算出的数字大约是每次点击 2 美元),观众好奇 WP Engine 目前实际能承受的单次点击费用是多少。Jason 直言,WP Engine 现在能承受的获客成本远高于 2 美元。在大规模运营阶段,标准做法是全面监测转化漏斗各环节的数据,将获客成本(CAC)按营销渠道、是否使用销售辅助、是否使用优惠券、是否通过 Affiliate 等维度进行严密细分,甚至精确计算单个客户带来的服务器成本与客服成本,从而计算出极其精准的营销活动回报率与投资回收期(Payback Period)。 之所以能承受更高的广告点击成本,核心原因有两点:第一,WP Engine 处于高速扩张、“直奔月球”(shooting the moon)的阶段,资金充足,更看重抢占市场份额与客户长远价值;第二,公司的口碑传播、社交媒体以及顾问推荐渠道极其强大,绝大部分新注册客户实际上根本不需要任何广告成本(纯有机获客)。由于自然流量拉低了混合获客成本(Blended CAC),他们可以在付费广告上投入更多资金,即便某些付费转化从单点上看略有亏损,但考虑到后续的升级转介绍等网络效应,在商业上依然是成立的。 ```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: 两种阶段下的获客决策模型 accDescr: 对比早期初创公司在无数据时使用经验公式,与规模化公司依赖多渠道细分数据的获客决策路径 subgraph EarlyStage ["早期阶段(无统计显著性数据)"] A["缺少海量样本 / 指标波动大"] --> B["采用经验公式估算 CPC 上限"] B --> C["设定基准假设:转化率与生命周期"] end subgraph ScaleStage ["规模化阶段(WP Engine 当前做法)"] D["每月新增四位数客户"] --> E["全链路漏斗分析与细分"] E --> F["高比例零成本自然流量 (口碑/社交)"] F --> G["承受更高付费广告 CAC,加速抢占市场"] end ``` 针对早期自筹资金创业者,Jason 提醒切忌盲目套用大公司的数据分析体系: - 在没有达到每月新增四位数(上千名)客户的规模之前,由于样本量严重不足,周与周、月与月之间的转化数据会出现剧烈波动,统计学上根本无法得出可靠结论。 - “until you are signing up a thousand people a month and are measuring all this stuff even if you are measuring it you still don't have enough data to really say and things are gonna fluctuate a lot week to week month to month and so on and so until you have enough data to actually use data I had this sort of assumptions in process”(在你每个月能获取上千名新客户并进行全盘度量之前,就算你在做测量,你也没有足够的数据下定论,数据在每周和每月之间波动会非常大;因此在拥有足够数据去指导决策之前,必须依赖一套合理的假设流程)。 - 演讲中提出的经验法则与公式,正是基于大量行业调研数据反推出来的经验基准,目的是在创业初期缺乏数据支持时,为创始人提供一个符合逻辑的行动指南。 ## Notable quotes > [06:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw&t=409s) And you'd be surprised how many times you can get 20 or 30 people to give you a check right there for something that does not exist if the idea is in fact solving a pain that they really have. — Jason Cohen ## Mentioned Jason Cohen, Rob Walling, Hiten Shah, Kevin Kelly, Seth Godin, Patrick McKenzie, Erica Douglass, Thales, WP Engine, Smart Bear, Capital Factory, IT Watchdogs, 37signals, Fog Creek Software, Atlassian, Backupify, Kickstarter, Etsy, eBay, Amazon, WinZip, Perforce, Subversion, CVS, Balsamiq Mockups, Basecamp, WooThemes, WordPress, Alien Skin, Photoshop, QODBC, QuickBooks, Salesforce, Heroku, Google AdWords, Buffer, ShareASale, HitTail, Drip, Trello, MicroConf, LinkedIn ## Video description Starting a business is hard enough. The last thing you need to do is set up a foundation that works against you. A better approach is to take stock of your natural advantages, disadvantages, goals and needs, and "back in" to what that has to mean about your business model, pricing, market, product, approach, advertising, etc... Watch These Next: From Idea to Billion Dollar SaaS Business with Jason Cohen: https://youtu.be/JleTJKIGHGg Bootstrapping VS Venture Capital - What's The Right Move?: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3OKVj4PA3Pk How To Start a SaaS Business with No Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=huyDp-zWpxg&t=3s Presented by Jason Cohen at MicroConf 2013. Check out Jason’s MicroConf speakers page for more talks → https://microconf.com/speakers/jason-cohen https://microconf.com #microconf #microconf2013 Join our exclusive community for SaaS founders → https://microconfconnect.com Twitter → https://twitter.com/MicroConf E-mail → support@microconf.com MicroConf 2020 Headline Partners ► Stripe https://stripe.com Twitter → https://twitter.com/Stripe ► Hey https://hey.com Twitter → https://twitter.com/heyhey [Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=otbnC2zE2rw)

Source quotes

[6:49] Jason Cohen: And you'd be surprised how many times you can get 20 or 30 people to give you a check right there for something that does not exist if the idea is in fact solving a pain that they really have.

Source quotes

[40:10] Jason Cohen: In a big market, there's so much space, that it's okay if it's not the number one best thing for everything; you can still have a business. [42:36] Jason Cohen: Probably the most controversial thing I will state is that I do not like social media in any form for getting customers.

Original transcript

[0:00] so what I would like to do to kick this [0:01] off is talk about what I think a [0:03] so-called perfect the bootstrap startup [0:07] is and what are those attributes what [0:10] does it mean in terms of making money in [0:11] terms of going to market in terms of [0:13] acquiring customers and why could [0:15] because I think most companies don't [0:18] work and just like heat and said in the [0:20] in the video they're most companies for [0:22] one don't build something people want [0:24] but I think it's even worse than that I [0:25] think they also maybe are building [0:27] something people want but not in a [0:29] structure that lends itself to [0:30] bootstrapping that is not in a structure [0:32] that lends itself for low money low time [0:35] and all that kind of stuff either and I [0:38] feel like a lot of companies fail just [0:39] because it's not a good fit for the [0:41] resources and constraints and advantages [0:43] that you have having a small company and [0:45] as Rob alluded to I've built for [0:46] companies by bootstrapping and all of [0:49] them made more than a million dollars [0:50] all of them are a year all of them are [0:52] profitable two of them were sold even my [0:54] current one WP engine was the same and [0:56] then I went and joined the other side [0:58] and I raised some money and we're trying [1:01] to swing for the fences now which is a [1:03] whole new challenge but I did bootstrap [1:04] it to this point before raising money so [1:06] it still counts as far as this is [1:07] concerned so this is how I think about [1:12] um what it means to do this and by the [1:15] way we were talking to heatin last night [1:16] he says I don't like bootstrap I don't [1:18] even know what that means anymore it [1:19] sucks and I don't like it like it like [1:21] someone said in the video [1:22] I don't like lifestyle business because [1:25] there's just pejorative implied there [1:27] and I agree with that and so Heaton [1:29] suggests that see now I'm stealing [1:30] Heaton's thunder and he's gonna go talk [1:32] tomorrow and not have anything to say [1:33] but oh good he seemed happy though but [1:38] Eaton said let's call it self-funded I [1:40] said yes that's good self-funded and [1:42] maybe that means little friends and [1:43] family maybe that means a little bit a [1:45] little debt but not the kind that you're [1:47] giving up any significant amount of your [1:48] company for self-funded so let's call it [1:51] that I think self-funded anyway so this [1:53] is what I think of as a self-funded [1:54] company I think the right mind frame is [1:57] the frame of mine is to say that it is a [1:59] cash machine meaning a predictable way [2:02] in which you're going to make profit [2:04] every month and this is what I mean how [2:07] many people in here currently have a [2:08] business where if you did nothing next [2:10] month you stayed in Vegas and went crazy [2:13] business would make ten thousand dollars [2:15] in revenue next month for sure like [2:18] without any doubt at all how many oh not [2:20] bad but still not more than 20% I'd say [2:23] and that's that's kind of the point I [2:25] mean look at this audience of folks who [2:27] can afford a fairly expensive ticket and [2:29] all this to come out here and still it's [2:31] almost impossible to hit what I just [2:32] said which is barely really enough to [2:34] just quit your job which is maybe the [2:36] first kind of a goal you might have in a [2:38] self-funded startup just people to focus [2:40] on it full-time there's probably a [2:41] biggest goal and especially if you have [2:43] a family or something like that where um [2:45] it's it's especially you know it's [2:47] especially interesting to you to to make [2:51] this company work so this is this is [2:54] what I want to talk about building for [2:55] the whole rest of the time something [2:56] that predictably and repeatedly always [2:59] gives you $10,000 a month per founder in [3:02] revenue and hopefully more like 20 30 40 [3:04] that sort of thing and how I see [3:06] building that and to be fair um this is [3:09] exactly the constraints I put on myself [3:11] with WP engine and even the company that [3:14] I didn't do before that because I [3:16] couldn't find a way to make these [3:17] constraints fit and decided therefore [3:18] it's not a good way to self fund [3:19] something so first I want to talk about [3:22] revenue models and this might be pretty [3:24] obvious but um my third company smart [3:27] bear was what you might call one-off [3:30] software you bought it you downloaded it [3:32] and you don't really come back [3:33] maybe there's upgrades maybe for [3:35] enterprise plans you get 20% per year if [3:37] you really hackle them and they really [3:38] care about the features you added but [3:40] more or less every time the month turns [3:43] over you have to start from scratch for [3:45] revenue this is of course the opposite [3:47] of a cash machine as far as I'm [3:49] concerned and I can tell you that smart [3:51] bear even after having millions in [3:53] revenue and therefore probably should [3:55] have felt pretty comfortable each month [3:57] that we'd be ok I literally would wake [3:59] up in the middle of the night wake up in [4:01] the night panicked wondering how am I [4:03] gonna cover payroll in the this month [4:06] and I felt that way when was just me for [4:08] two years and I felt that way 7 years [4:10] later when was a team of 12 and all that [4:12] I still felt the same way it never got [4:13] better ever ever and it's a horrible way [4:15] to live I had it's horrible so I don't [4:18] like that so of course recruiting [4:21] revenue we don't have to gonna have to [4:22] compete you over the head about that no [4:23] kidding that's what it means to get much [4:25] to know I'm going to have money [4:26] is that it's recurrent but I think the [4:29] details around this are not obvious I [4:31] want to get into what specifically I [4:33] mean because you probably have heard of [4:34] this thing that Kevin Kelly first the [4:39] thought of called a thousand fans and he [4:41] said you know all these artists [4:44] especially especially musicians who want [4:47] to get away from the labels they they [4:50] could get away with labels if they could [4:52] just get a thousand rabid fans to to buy [4:54] like one or two hundred dollars a year [4:56] worth of merch and going to concerts and [4:59] stuff like that and that's all they need [5:01] and they wouldn't need labels or [5:03] anything it because what they really [5:04] want I mean sure they want lots of money [5:07] that'd be great but considering right [5:09] now they are have to have a full-time [5:11] job and barely can do the band versus [5:13] okay I don't have ten million dollars in [5:15] the bank but I'm doing what I love which [5:16] is just playing music and traveling the [5:18] country that's an amazing shift and all [5:20] you need is a thousand rabid fans this [5:22] isn't this is a really romantic [5:23] fantastic concept and so Seth Godin got [5:26] ahold of it and he's like that is and so [5:28] he posted it and then it got really [5:29] popular and that's where everyone heard [5:30] about it more or less the problem is [5:33] that a couple of weeks later kevin kelly [5:37] redacted the whole idea he said you know [5:39] i was inundated with information from [5:41] actual artists and they said this is [5:43] completely not true and first of all you [5:46] can't even get people to give you 100 [5:48] 200 dollars a year it's hard you can't [5:50] get a thousand rabid fans you can get [5:52] like 30 or 50 of your you know your [5:54] friends and family and stuff but [5:55] actually a thousand fans super hard to [5:57] get a thousand people at any price point [5:59] is really hard how many people in here [6:01] have over a thousand customers ooh not [6:04] bad how many of them give you $10 a [6:07] month or more $100 a month or more right [6:12] it's really hard to get 10,000 of [6:14] anything and really hard to get you know [6:16] a you know a decent amount of money and [6:18] the other thing was even if they did [6:19] have the the you know one or two hundred [6:21] dollars a year times a thousand so to [6:23] you know say call it $200,000 not enough [6:26] to cover all the expenses for traveling [6:28] around doing paying a couple of band [6:29] members and stuff it actually isn't [6:31] enough so unfortunately Seth it was it [6:34] was not in his interest to redact his [6:36] own thing so he didn't Seth didn't say a [6:37] thing and so it was stuck in everyone's [6:39] mind that [6:39] thousand rabid fans is a good idea and [6:41] no one read the thing that said actually [6:43] it's not so I'm gonna propose a [6:46] different thing instead that let's do [6:49] one hundred and fifty fans or really [6:51] hundred fifty customers right and you [6:52] can do one hundred fifty for sure and [6:54] because first of all you can get fifty [6:56] just by scratching and clawing and going [6:58] to these kind of things and talking to [7:00] people and you know I did things for [7:03] Debbie pangaean for example where I [7:04] literally called our sorry email people [7:07] I'll give you the exact technique I [7:08] would go to LinkedIn and I'd find people [7:11] who are consultants in WordPress because [7:12] we're WordPress hosting and I would send [7:15] them the following email I'd say hey I'm [7:18] a founder of this new WordPress hosting [7:19] company it's supposed to be designed for [7:21] folks like you so I'd love to talk to [7:23] you about your pain and your needs into [7:26] the you know customer development stuff [7:27] right and then I'd say now I know your [7:29] time is valuable you're a consultant and [7:31] so I absolutely do not want you to feel [7:33] like I'm just trying to grab time from [7:34] you I am very happy to pay whatever you [7:36] think is fair for an hour of your time [7:38] even if that's more than your normal [7:40] hourly rate because I appreciate this is [7:42] a weird one off thing so I I literally [7:44] don't care but I'm very interested and [7:46] here's what happened I set 40 of those a [7:48] hundred percent of them agreed to talk [7:51] to me on the phone and I actually talked [7:53] to you know thirty-eight the rest didn't [7:54] schedule or whatever but there's a [7:56] hundred percent positive response rate [7:57] and 38 of the 42 me and zero of them [8:01] asked for any money in other words I was [8:03] just respectful of them they were happy [8:05] to help so that's obviously only one [8:07] technique but it's a pretty easy one to [8:08] use for pretty much anything so this is [8:10] what I mean you can scratch and get [8:11] there with the with the idea for a [8:13] company I had before um WP engine I [8:15] couldn't find enough people to give me [8:17] money and so I gave up [8:18] both WP engine I was able to find 3040 [8:21] people who agreed to give me $50 a month [8:23] if I built this thing before I had a [8:25] company name before I had a PowerPoint [8:26] presentation before I had any employees [8:29] before I had a server invited anything I [8:30] already had 30 people doing that and a [8:33] capital factory which is an incubator in [8:35] Austin that I helped start I tell [8:37] companies every single year to do this [8:38] and usually about half of them try it [8:40] and you'd be surprised how many times [8:43] you can get 20 or 30 people to give you [8:44] a check right there for something that [8:47] does not exist if the idea is in fact [8:48] solving a pain that they really have [8:50] which of course is the measure anyway so [8:52] you can get 50 people [8:53] and you can you can do you know guest [8:55] posting on certain blogs and other [8:56] social media stuff I actually don't [8:58] think you can get a lot around that I'll [9:00] talk about that later but you can [9:02] certainly scratch and claw a little bit [9:03] out of that and then finally you're [9:04] gonna have some kind of marketing even [9:06] if that's as mundane as Adwords and or [9:09] special ads on a particular you know [9:11] particular sites that are relevant to [9:12] your thing or something like that you [9:14] can scrape that together again if you [9:15] can't scrape that together over a period [9:17] of months of course but if you can't do [9:19] that then I would argue that it's gonna [9:20] be hard to make this a company ever and [9:22] so if it could be a company ever in 75 [9:25] not not hard to do but the other trick [9:28] is okay great I can get 150 but the goal [9:31] remember is I want a ten thousand [9:33] dollars a month in revenue and so this [9:35] makes a very obvious formula that I need [9:37] to charge what is what may feel like a [9:40] lot of money seventy dollars a month say [9:42] on average and again a lot of people who [9:46] are self-funded realize that their [9:49] product that doesn't have a lot of [9:50] features and it's kind of shitty and the [9:52] support slow because it's just you and [9:53] like actually everything about it is [9:55] kind of shitty and so I'm not worth the [9:57] charging a lot of money and so you know [9:59] you feel like a home and in charge 19 [10:01] dollars a month [10:02] nine dollars a month and often that's [10:04] coupled with but I'll get thousands of [10:06] customers which is of course again very [10:07] hard so my argument to you is that [10:09] that's that is not a good idea that's a [10:11] difficult way to go and the easy ways to [10:13] decide how it is valid to charge a lot [10:16] of money and the good news is this is [10:17] something that Erica Douglas is going to [10:19] talk about for her entire talk and in [10:21] fact several other people I believe [10:22] we're going to touch on this and I'll [10:23] even throw out a few things you're [10:24] getting a ton of ways to do this so you [10:26] have no excuse not to so one example of [10:29] doing this is exactly the price points [10:31] that we did at WP engine we got started [10:33] which are those and just having [10:35] different tiers with crap and um you [10:37] know of course it'll vary by product but [10:39] more features or more a more volume of [10:41] stuff segmented by customer type that [10:44] sort of thing the usual tearing kind of [10:45] thing [10:46] those were our tears and our average [10:48] revenue per customer was more than $100 [10:50] a month with those particular tears [10:52] this is what I mean right another [10:54] example is charge a lot for the product [10:57] ninety nine even $1.99 but then have [10:59] coupons and specials all of the time one [11:01] thing we tried doing once is we it we [11:05] had that $49 one what we did is [11:07] wrote 79 and then crossed it out and [11:09] said 49 in sales went up right the same [11:12] thing it just kind of makes it feel so [11:13] that's what I mean right [11:14] or it make it ninety-nine a month and [11:16] that's fine except you go to you go to [11:17] bloggers and such and you give them a [11:19] coupon for their readers which will give [11:21] them 30 percent off for a year which [11:23] again just gets you back to the 66 [11:25] average that you need but everybody [11:27] feels like they're getting a lot more [11:28] value right so there all kinds of the [11:30] Internet's full of tricks like this I [11:32] suppose and you'll again you'll hear a [11:34] lot more but the point is you got to [11:35] charge more money there's lots of ways [11:36] to do that this is no excuse and then of [11:38] course the nice thing is if you do get [11:39] to 150 surely that's not the ceiling [11:42] even in a tiny niche and if 150 [11:44] baguettes up 10 grand then you can see [11:46] oh well yes that's a good that's a good [11:48] point to go for only because then it's [11:50] very clear that you could get to 15 or [11:52] 20 probably who knows about a million [11:54] and who knows if you even want to do [11:55] that but certainly you know you can get [11:57] a nice stable company that way and so [12:00] again I don't want to beat up the the [12:02] price thing too much because you'll get [12:03] more of that but what I do want to do is [12:05] is put one word in your mind about this [12:08] and that's Boutique because you think [12:10] about outside of the tech world what [12:12] does this mean what's a similar thing a [12:15] shop that's only got one or two people [12:17] in it and it's super expensive and it's [12:20] barely ever open because it's just them [12:22] it sounds like a micro business if any [12:24] kind of it can't answer the email we're [12:25] here at work so you're not open kind of [12:27] right and but you get incredible [12:31] attention and the work is amazing and [12:34] it's unique and it's special and you [12:36] feel good helping out people who are [12:38] really making a go of it and so you [12:40] don't mind that it's three times as [12:41] expensive as it should be for a dress or [12:44] whatever the hell it is right Boutique [12:45] so you can be a boutique consultant like [12:47] Patrick McKenzie you can be a boutique [12:50] anything right so this thing even a [12:53] lawyer right the independent boutique [12:54] lawyer is a thing and so I think this is [12:58] a nice positive way to say yeah this is [13:00] why it is ok to spend money and this [13:02] this now dovetails with this with the [13:04] talk I did last year about saying you [13:05] know if you say I am just one person [13:07] who's really making a go of it that's [13:09] the kind of thing that actually lets you [13:10] charge more money because people go [13:12] that's awesome because startups are cool [13:13] right now aren't they and so people want [13:15] to give you more money Boutique [13:17] okay so staying with the concept of [13:21] revenue but moving around a little bit [13:23] away from the model I want to talk about [13:24] cash flow obviously very important for [13:26] any company but in particular [13:27] self-funded one because you don't have [13:29] cash that's the deal [13:30] and you know cash is king we're not [13:32] going to talk about that but since cash [13:34] is king you have to use the annual [13:36] prepaid trick how many people have are [13:39] using annual prepays right now very few [13:43] that's interesting okay have to do it [13:45] you have to it's required by law it [13:47] turns out um because let's suppose you [13:51] figure out a way that you could spend [13:53] $300 and acquire a customer on average [13:56] that pays fifty bucks a month this is [13:58] actually pretty easy there's a lot of [14:00] clicks on Google ads or that you know [14:02] that's like one blog post that content [14:04] Lee writes that you post somewhere you [14:05] only need one sale from it you know this [14:07] is this is actually a pretty easy bar to [14:09] reach $350 a month but if that's true [14:13] you if you can spend that to do that [14:15] then if you've spent 60 grand right now [14:17] if this was a perfect little model if [14:20] you could you'd get to your ten grand a [14:21] month run rate right now just kind of an [14:24] interesting thought if you think of it [14:26] in that way and so what happens with [14:29] annual prepay is you can actually do [14:31] that because if you think about it if [14:33] you put up on the site and say alright [14:34] if you sign up now for annual then I'll [14:38] give you two months free so okay you [14:41] collect less money over the over the you [14:43] know imaginary course of a year that's [14:44] true you can collect sixteen percent [14:46] less money okay two months but the deal [14:49] is that you pay the 60 K for the for the [14:51] signups and you get 100 K in cash now of [14:54] course if you waited over course a whole [14:56] year you would eventually get 120 K [14:59] which is more but that means that right [15:02] now you get 40 K in the bank right now [15:05] you get your already to your goal and [15:06] you have 40 K in the bank to go deploy [15:08] on other stuff like more advertising or [15:10] developing something or hiring a [15:12] designer finally so it doesn't look like [15:13] ass or whatever it is you're gonna do [15:15] right like it's so having 40 K today now [15:19] no cash flow problems is always worth [15:22] that what you would have had you would [15:24] have had 60 K over the next 12 months [15:25] always every single time that's actually [15:27] true of almost any SAS business period [15:30] but in particular it's true of [15:31] self-funded businesses so you have to do [15:33] this now this is imaginary you can't [15:35] make everyone do this right and so I'll [15:37] give you some hard figures this is [15:39] exactly the numbers that we get at [15:40] wpengine so you can see what I mean [15:42] one quarter of our signups that come [15:45] through the website elect the annual [15:46] prepay by revenue so that means 75% of [15:51] the time it's true I only collect one [15:52] month of revenue from the customer that [15:54] first month and a quarter of the time [15:56] though I get ten times one month right [15:59] not twelve because it's they give us a [16:00] discount and so math is pretty simple I [16:02] get over three times the cash flow every [16:05] month that I would have had and in [16:08] particular the way that our with the [16:10] cost of our customer acquisition we [16:13] actually collect more money in cash [16:14] every month then it costs us to acquire [16:17] those customers just like the previous [16:18] math that is exactly what happens and so [16:21] we literally operate with an infinite [16:22] marketing budget the marketing budget at [16:25] W engine is not limited by money because [16:27] we'll make it back in fact we make its [16:29] negative one months because I make the [16:30] money in credit cards today gets [16:32] deposited in the bank right and then the [16:34] credit card for stuff like Adwords [16:36] doesn't hit till next month does it [16:37] actually a negative one months of cash [16:40] flow on that it's okay and so can you [16:42] I'm saying now look maybe the ratios [16:44] won't be the same but any number of [16:45] people that elected annually is a lot a [16:47] lot better and lets you deploy that [16:48] money right away so by the way we can't [16:51] do infinite marketing though because [16:53] we're constrained by other things like [16:54] human beings we actually stopped our [16:56] marketing at some point because our tech [16:58] support organization was so overwhelmed [17:00] with tickets that we were giving people [17:01] bad service which I suppose is a good [17:03] problem to have but it's a problem [17:05] anyway anyway so it's very realistic [17:07] that this is the case and I absolutely [17:09] think you have to do it and so let me [17:11] give you a couple of extra and tips and [17:13] hacks of how to get people to do annual [17:15] more as we do a really fun one is you [17:18] make a coupon again to give to other [17:19] sources like affiliates and bloggers and [17:22] stuff like that people who might send [17:23] you traffic and you give them a coupon [17:26] that says your readers can get three [17:28] months free you if they sign up for an [17:29] annual prepay and of course the coupon [17:31] has to only work in that case of course [17:33] you're giving them two months free [17:34] anyway so three months is not that much [17:36] more but it's a big incentive for people [17:38] to come up and do it and if it only [17:40] works on annual it's a big cash bump [17:42] so that's one see another one I told [17:48] this to a company a capital Factory um [17:51] so they were charging I believed $29 a [17:55] month and I said well and they were all [17:59] sorts and they had something else like [18:00] they didn't have annual prepay at all [18:02] and I said well no no I take it back [18:05] they were charging $99 a year and I said [18:08] oh okay well um why don't you charge $49 [18:11] a month and then make the annual [18:13] discount like half off like it's it's [18:16] six months free just make it ridiculous [18:18] so they did and signups didn't change at [18:20] all like the number of signups I mean [18:22] didn't change at all in other words [18:23] everyone was perfectly happy to see a [18:25] higher price monthly and then receive a [18:27] much much bigger price annually and all [18:29] of a sudden that happened so if you're [18:32] worried about that annual net number is [18:33] too big then just raise the monthly rate [18:36] a little bit and discount the annual lot [18:38] so that it feels like a terrific deal if [18:40] people pick the monthly fine you just [18:42] raise it a lot so great and if they pick [18:44] the annual they feel like it's a good [18:45] deal so he encouraged them to do exactly [18:46] that right another thing I did at a [18:49] capital factory and this is what I was [18:51] just confused with um is that the [18:53] company was charging I think it was $50 [18:55] a year and I said just make it per month [18:57] and see what happens and they did and [18:59] signups didn't change at all again this [19:01] is just like raising your price do it [19:03] and then he said okay well now do an [19:06] annual and again like you can give what [19:08] kind of discounting you want so I got to [19:10] do stuff like that I'll give you a [19:13] couple more hacks ARPU stands for [19:15] average revenue per user that comes from [19:17] telco that's just another way of saying [19:19] revenue per customer just a couple of [19:21] extra hacks on this because again this [19:24] amount of money that you're charging per [19:25] customer is the most important metric I [19:27] think in your company it's going to be [19:29] more important than things like [19:30] cancellation rate even and other things [19:32] like that when you're small this is the [19:34] most important thing that will move the [19:35] needle on stuff and again you'll hear a [19:37] lot more in this whole conference so [19:39] that's good so one thing is just raise [19:41] prices yet another story of here is [19:42] there was another capital factory [19:43] company because see there's a hundred [19:45] companies and have a factory to [19:46] understand so that's why have a lot of [19:47] stories in there but it's good it's a [19:49] corpus of lots of things lots of people [19:51] bootstrapping and [19:54] and they were charging 19 dollars a [19:56] month and I said well double it and see [19:57] what happens no no you understand like [19:59] just well do it for a week and if no one [20:01] signs up it's cool they're just the only [20:03] getting one or two sign ups a day [20:05] anyways like it won't really matter so [20:07] they doubled it to 49 or whatever it was [20:09] and signups didn't change at all they're [20:11] like this is great I just doubled [20:12] revenue yeah what are you gonna do now [20:13] they said oh I'm gonna buy a lot of [20:15] Adwords do all this stuff and it's like [20:16] no you're gonna double it again or at [20:21] least fifty percent or something until [20:22] something else until something bad [20:24] happens right and we just raised the [20:27] damn prices that's one of them there's [20:30] other things this is this is when Erica [20:32] taught me actually say so maybe I'm [20:33] stealing her stuff but you have the [20:35] tears highlight the middle you've seen [20:36] this on lots of websites right you [20:37] highlight the middle one and people tend [20:39] to get it instead of the lower one have [20:41] really big one on the end for people [20:43] that really want they just decide they [20:44] always want to spend the most money [20:45] people will do that it's nice another [20:48] one from Erica is called the most [20:50] expensive when the business plan and the [20:51] people with businesses will sign up for [20:53] that automatically it works and if you [20:55] go to our website you'll see exactly [20:56] that thanks Erica [20:58] and so there's lots of tricks and again [21:00] you'll see a lot more this this uh [21:01] during this conference another hack a [21:05] lot of people have free trials 15-day [21:07] free trial 30-day free trial that make [21:09] sense customers want to test stuff out [21:10] first no one trusts anyone that's fine [21:12] um but I hate free trials actually for [21:16] especially for bootstrap companies [21:18] because you never get that money back [21:19] most people that sign up with a credit [21:21] card will stay if that's not true by the [21:23] way something is incredibly poisonous [21:25] fix that part and don't worry about [21:26] there as this right but if that's true [21:29] then that means most of the time when [21:31] they give you their credit card you're [21:32] giving them fifteen or thirty days for [21:34] nothing and you're never gonna charge [21:35] them for it so you just lost the money [21:37] and that sucks so I don't like trials [21:39] but you have to give them something so [21:41] we switched to a 60-day money-back [21:42] guarantee instead of a 15-day free trial [21:45] and in both cases we took the credit [21:48] card or originally and when we say but [21:49] we won't charge you until the trial is [21:51] over and the other one we just charge to [21:52] charge them anyway and said we'll give [21:53] you a refund and much more time and [21:55] sales went up and people would email us [21:59] and say you know that 15 days didn't [22:01] seem like enough time now that I have 60 [22:03] days I decided to sign up [22:06] but I'm charging you more like don't do [22:08] it like I did yeah they don't it's more [22:11] time and so you get more money and [22:12] actually it's it's a pretty interesting [22:14] and let me give you some data to back [22:16] this up I'm like I have no time access [22:19] and no X and y-axis isn't that nice [22:21] that's because it's not gonna give you [22:22] too much information of you fans and [22:24] works but this is our number of [22:26] customers graph and there's a pretty [22:29] obvious change point right there [22:31] and that was about January of last year [22:33] we added a 60-day money-back guarantee [22:35] instead of a trial we changed our tears [22:37] around a little bit like you saw a lot [22:39] of that again is due to Erica we added [22:40] that business here when you rename the [22:42] tears including business look right and [22:45] this is not even revenue is this number [22:46] of signups right revenue is even better [22:49] right but number of science in other [22:51] words no it's not like well we charge [22:53] more of a fewer people signed up in any [22:55] of that math no all of it went up now [22:57] again won't always be like this but the [22:59] point is people are so scared of [23:00] changing prices or did it it's like no [23:02] just do it and look at it and like that [23:04] and the final thing I'll say on revenue [23:07] is I don't like any kind of self funded [23:10] startups in which the the revenue model [23:13] is anything like what I call picking up [23:14] pennies which is stuff like Kickstarter [23:16] where I'm gonna have all this activity [23:18] and money's gonna move around and I'll [23:20] just I'll just scrape off the top or [23:22] I'll have a donation site and people [23:23] will send money and I'll get 1% and the [23:25] reason I don't like it is actually that [23:27] nicely demonstrated by Kickstarter they [23:29] did over a hundred million dollars of [23:31] funding of stuff last year which is [23:33] really cool except they only made six [23:34] million dollars and that wasn't even [23:36] enough to cover their cost so they lost [23:37] money and so they have to raise more [23:39] money and Kickstarter is one of the most [23:41] successful examples of a you know kind [23:43] of quick growing um you know picking up [23:46] any sort of a company and even they they [23:48] can't make money really add it I just I [23:50] don't like that maybe a scale at out [23:52] other things maybe for raising money [23:53] maybe all that but not not this kind so [23:55] I don't like anything like that I like [23:57] it when you go get customers and charge [23:59] them lots of money that's what I want so [24:03] so now I want to set revenue aside and [24:06] talk about markets what kinds of goat [24:08] what kinds of markets to me are [24:10] conducive to a cash machine company and [24:13] again everything you know there's [24:14] exceptions to all rules and stuff like [24:15] that but I feel like there are some [24:17] markets which are intrinsically [24:18] difficult to build a cash machine in and [24:20] markets where it's intrinsically easier [24:22] and so I just want to go through this [24:24] and the first thing is this question of [24:27] like should it be B to C or B to B [24:28] meaning do I sell to other businesses or [24:30] do I sell to consumers and I want to [24:33] make a very strong argument that you [24:34] should absolutely never not not not sell [24:36] to consumers people don't spend money on [24:39] stuff I mean Gmail is like one of the [24:41] best and perhaps the best you know [24:43] online mail thing that has ever existed [24:45] that ever ever and they started charging [24:47] people five dollars a month knowing what [24:48] did crazy I know five dollars a month [24:50] for the most amazing email that exists [24:53] App Store is a good example again I [24:55] remember reading a review of an app that [24:57] I was gonna buy it's a one dollar 99 [24:59] cent app and the review said this is [25:01] terrible it didn't have this feature [25:02] whatever maybe if it was 99 cents it [25:05] would have been worth it but not at a [25:06] dollar ninety-nine it's like that's the [25:09] consumer market that's the deal this is [25:10] not conducive to seventy dollars a month [25:12] right that's what people pay for their [25:13] time warner bill and even then they [25:15] complain about it like an suit it's too [25:17] hard to do this in consumer back up a [25:19] fly another good example they make they [25:21] make back they back up stuff that's a [25:23] good that's a good cell phone kind of [25:25] company right backing up stuff I think [25:26] so except they sold the consumers and [25:28] they only charge $40 a year to back up [25:30] everything couldn't be done damn it so [25:32] they switch to doing business um and if [25:35] you think about all the companies that [25:36] that you that you might um you know [25:38] follow or idolize in this in this sort [25:41] of self-funded thing like 37signals and [25:43] fog Creek and lassie and like in you [25:46] know all the all the people who spoke [25:48] last year and all that kind of stuff all [25:49] my companies they're all b2b there's not [25:52] a b2c one in there in fact on the [25:54] speaker list like right off the bat [25:55] every single person in here almost is [25:58] selling b2b and the thing about but not [26:00] Patrick right because he's got the be no [26:01] car crater that sells to consumers [26:03] except talked to Patrick about it and [26:05] see what he thinks about that [26:08] right please just don't do that is what [26:11] he says don't do that so now he's [26:13] telling scheduling software people that [26:14] have businesses so he's now in the b2b [26:16] camp - and then you have Rob and it's [26:17] true that robbed these cell towels and [26:19] online and stuff like that the consumers [26:20] like it fair enough [26:21] except he ditched all that and now he's [26:23] telling invoicing software that's b2b [26:25] and then hit and then hit tail which is [26:26] b2b and now a new thing which is B - B [26:28] so it's BV its b2b that's the deal all [26:31] right that's that's all I got all right [26:34] so let me give you some markets I like [26:36] and don't like so first of all I don't [26:41] like any market in which the pain that [26:43] the customer experiences is temporary [26:45] where we have to catch them in a certain [26:46] point in their life we had a company go [26:49] through capital factory that sold this [26:51] really neat thing we took your wedding [26:53] photos and it made videos out of it it [26:55] was inexpensive it was really cool every [26:57] single customer that used that everyone [26:59] said it was awesome they would do it [27:01] again and made a testimonial everyone [27:04] and who cares because you only get [27:05] married what twice three times so it's [27:08] not that's not enough of recurring [27:10] revenue right and the problem is you [27:12] have to catch them right like while [27:14] they're planning their wedding [27:15] well you and everyone else on earth [27:17] trying to sell things to Brides and you [27:19] know they spent a lot of money you know [27:20] a lot of big humming spending a lot of [27:21] money trying to get in front of Brides [27:23] right it's hard to go get in that point [27:25] of time and go sell the thing and it's [27:27] not recurring I don't like that events [27:29] is another one you constantly see ice [27:31] constantly see startups trying to sell [27:32] stuff to people who do events and they [27:34] it's hard to do that it's only once a [27:36] year and most it's difficult another [27:39] another kind of different example of the [27:41] same thing at my company smart bear [27:44] after we sold it we started acquiring [27:45] other companies and and one of them was [27:47] a code profiler which is a tool that [27:49] tells you how you're if your software is [27:52] running slowly why that's useful of [27:55] course and so what what happened is [27:57] there was a free trial so what happened [27:58] is there's suffering slowly and they [28:00] search for a profiler they get it they [28:01] go fix the problem hooray what a great [28:03] tool except I'm still in my free trial [28:05] period and now we don't have the pain [28:06] anymore so you can buy and it's very [28:09] difficult to get them to get recurring [28:11] or something because the thing isn't [28:12] recurring so temporary pain so if it's [28:14] not a continuous pain I like it [28:17] so sort of conversely I like things not [28:20] necessary pain or but they value is [28:22] itself somehow naturally recurring so [28:25] that it makes sense that you would [28:26] continue charging in a recurring manner [28:28] so one example is if the costs of the [28:30] service itself is recurring which is [28:32] like wpengine [28:33] are a hosting company because obviously [28:34] we have servers and bandwidth and stuff [28:36] like that and that sits there and fans [28:38] have to spin and amps have to move [28:39] around and stuff like that and so like [28:41] clearly there are costs and so it [28:43] clearly we charge you every month [28:45] there's no doubt about it and the only [28:46] question is how much there's no there's [28:48] no like it should be free like it's not [28:50] even it doesn't even come up because the [28:51] costs themselves are ongoing another [28:56] example are anything tied to financial [28:57] cycles invoicing reconciliation taxes [29:01] reporting metrics compliance HR admin is [29:04] like a ton of stuff that sort of [29:05] attached to financial cycles monthly [29:08] quarterly annual stuff all those again [29:10] there you have to do it and so anything [29:13] that goes into that role is good [29:14] invoicing software is is you know Rob's [29:17] invoicing software is a good example [29:19] another fun data point on this there was [29:21] a study of thousands of mobile apps that [29:23] somebody did and they asked how much [29:25] money they were making here's a here's [29:27] one I know most people here are doing [29:28] Web Apps but still there's a funny data [29:30] point they asked thousands of mobile app [29:32] developers how much money do you make in [29:34] your app and thirty percent of them said [29:36] zero dollars and another thirty percent [29:40] said I don't know so from that same [29:43] study that's interesting maybe a ward [29:45] away from from the mobile app thing for [29:46] recurring revenue maybe but in [29:49] particular apps that were IT focused [29:52] averaged a fifteen hundred dollars a [29:55] month in revenue and apps that were [29:57] financed based averaged six thousand [29:59] dollars a month so again finance cycles [30:02] good thing another one is um when the [30:05] nature of the pain or the challenge or [30:07] the value itself changes over time by [30:09] its nature so a lot of examples here are [30:12] like in digital marketing like SEO [30:14] changes Google changes its mind and [30:17] other competitors come up and you do [30:19] other stuff and then it's just it's just [30:21] ever-changing so whatever the tool is [30:22] that you use to track or improve SEO [30:24] sort of bites very nature you have to [30:26] keep using it because the theme [30:27] underneath it is moving so lots of [30:30] things in digital [30:30] Marketing are like this AdWords SEO [30:32] competitive reports email marketing [30:34] content marketing social media [30:36] measurement techniques a B testing like [30:38] kind of anything in that world is by its [30:40] very nature dynamic is an overused word [30:42] but it's true changing over time and so [30:45] you kind of need a tool over and over [30:46] again um to keep up with it so that's a [30:48] natural pattern [30:49] another one is support which may be a [30:51] dangerous place to go for a self-funded [30:54] company because that means human time [30:56] and that can be very expensive but the [30:58] fact is that support is something that [31:00] is again naturally recurring it's very [31:01] easy so for example we have a premium [31:03] support package that's $500 a month that [31:05] gets you some better essays and stuff [31:07] and so for example a simple version of [31:09] that is you could say for only $100 a [31:11] month you can have a you can have a [31:13] premium support package in which your [31:15] tickets get priority over the people who [31:16] are not and you just make two queues and [31:18] work them that way and so those people [31:19] simply have faster response times bla [31:21] bla bla at the front of the line and [31:22] it's pretty much free money because you [31:24] want to do all the tickets anyways and [31:26] it just changes the order in which you [31:28] do it in such a way that people are [31:29] giving you money so that's interesting [31:30] way to incorporate support in a way that [31:32] is actually conducive to a you know low [31:35] touch support kind of thing like we're [31:37] talking about we you know we now have [31:39] this big scaling support organization so [31:41] it's more complicated as account [31:42] management stuff but anyway that's a way [31:44] to do it in a small way so when I don't [31:50] like is products that are viral where [31:53] that's supposed to be how they grow and [31:55] the reason is number one they almost [31:56] never work [31:57] just by the numbers they almost never [31:59] work and so I just don't like it at all [32:00] because it's look it's low risk of [32:02] success and that sucks [32:03] another thing is even if the viola [32:06] coefficient is okay it's hard to get [32:08] going like the only have a hundred users [32:09] and every month one percent of them [32:12] invite a friend it's like right that's [32:14] one more user M or zero because now [32:16] we're in rounding error right like it's [32:18] really hard to get going unless you have [32:19] this big corpus to start with right and [32:21] so in that big corpus to start with is [32:23] often really difficult and expensive [32:25] like you often can't charge yet and it's [32:28] hard so to me it doesn't fit the model [32:30] of the cell phone at startup so I don't [32:33] I don't like it at all [32:36] kind of thing I do like is anything that [32:38] um that isn't a real time in its nature [32:42] by which I mean it is not [32:44] that the user absolutely gets something [32:46] out of you in this instant or else it's [32:48] over [32:48] so um Hosting is a bad is a counter [32:52] example so here's one example where the [32:54] attention was not a good fit in this and [32:56] and rightly so [32:57] I mean imagine how many times we wake up [32:59] in the middle of the night to fix [33:01] something and that's because when a site [33:02] is down and then all the night we have [33:04] to go fix it because it's a real-time [33:05] right we can't wait till the morning [33:06] not okay that's supposed to invoicing [33:09] software where it could wait till the [33:10] morning it's not ideal but you can you [33:12] can send that invoice out in a day it's [33:14] okay doesn't be today and that's [33:16] terrific that's what you want you don't [33:17] want to get up in the night that was a [33:19] mistake you don't want to do that so [33:22] anything that's sort of decision support [33:24] for a business so right analytics and [33:26] metrics and monitoring all these kind of [33:28] things are almost never real-time in [33:30] their nature and and/or they make the [33:33] data might be but the availability [33:34] doesn't necessarily need to be which is [33:36] kind of more to the point another [33:38] example is again anything in finance [33:40] because there's always lots of buffer [33:41] around when the finance folks have to do [33:43] their various things and so you have [33:45] time project management's another random [33:49] just just another random example these [33:50] are obviously far from exhaustive these [33:52] just sort of the you know getting your [33:54] juices flowing [33:55] project management again like if my if [33:57] Trello isn't available for an hour that [34:00] does suck no doubt about it like I saw [34:02] several Trello board so I was walking [34:03] around so for sure that's that's [34:05] something but you're not gonna cancel [34:07] you're not gonna go in that case I'm [34:09] gonna completely switch to different [34:10] problems just not gonna happen because [34:11] it's okay anything that's content is [34:14] obviously something that's easy and [34:16] content also is super easy to make [34:18] highly available anyway you put our an [34:20] s3 finished right or something like that [34:23] like contents easy to make always [34:25] available anyhow in it and anyway if [34:27] it's not available it's okay another [34:30] market kind of market I don't like is [34:32] marketplaces this is where I have buyers [34:34] and sellers and I bring them together so [34:35] that they have a marketplace of fun Etsy [34:39] is a marketplace Kickstarter is a [34:42] marketplace eBay is sort of the [34:44] quintessential it you know big [34:46] marketplace play Amazon oddly enough is [34:48] kind of a marketplace and that they're [34:50] they're you know Amazon doesn't make any [34:52] products okay now they make a few but in [34:54] general they don't right they just get [34:56] consumers to a website and get [34:57] products and sell it that's a [34:58] marketplace and the reason I don't like [35:01] it [35:01] again marketplace is very difficult to [35:03] build almost never work because you kind [35:05] of have two businesses you have the [35:07] business of getting the sellers to get [35:10] over here and put your products here and [35:11] use my method of payment and God knows [35:13] what else it is and you have to go do [35:14] that and pull them over and you have no [35:16] buyers you have to do that with and you [35:18] need two buyers you need to convince [35:19] them and advertise them whatever the [35:21] hell you do to get them over here and [35:22] you don't have sellers yet see this [35:24] chicken and egg kind of to business [35:26] Janus sort of thing going on it's hard [35:27] and the good news is if you're [35:29] successful it's very defensible we were [35:32] talking about this last night but [35:33] supposing Etsy right now open source [35:35] their whole environment so can you go [35:38] compete with Etsy no because people type [35:40] Etsy calm that is actually their asset [35:43] asset the fact that someone types at sea [35:45] calm the fact that someone types evades [35:46] fact that some of the types Kickstarter [35:48] is in fact the valuable asset of a [35:50] company not the code behind it right so [35:52] that's cool it's great but again for a [35:54] self-funded startup I feel like two [35:56] companies are have a much much lower [35:58] risk of succeeding than one you know two [36:00] that have to both be successful in a way [36:02] and it's just hard so I don't I don't [36:03] like it a market I do like going back [36:07] again is something that can be done and [36:10] I think there's a ton of kinds of things [36:12] that can be done but what I mean is you [36:13] don't want to be in a feature war with [36:15] another product where where your success [36:17] is tied to things like oh they have more [36:19] features than I just have to keep [36:21] writing because by your very nature you [36:22] don't have many developers and you don't [36:24] as many resources in general your [36:26] designers aren't as good whatever by its [36:28] very nature so why would you compete in [36:29] a space in which lots of features is it [36:32] is is a differentiator when that's not a [36:35] kind of a thing that you're gonna have [36:36] as a unique differentiator nico mac the [36:39] guy that made winzip with made a million [36:41] dollars a year in the 90s with shareware [36:43] and winzip was done right I mean sure [36:46] there was like WinZip nine and who even [36:47] knows what it did nothing right it's [36:49] it's winzip and most of us stolen anyhow [36:51] and he still made a million dollars a [36:52] year way back when that was actually [36:53] pretty hard and you were mailing [36:55] postcards with checks and stuff for the [36:57] shareware remember that beer ware and [36:58] all that um but that's what I mean a [37:00] product that can be done not that you [37:03] never work on it again of course that's [37:04] not really the case but it can be done [37:06] and there's a ton of kinds of products [37:07] like that I like that [37:09] another thing I like is an aftermarket [37:11] by which I mean there's already an [37:13] established incumbent product that has a [37:16] lot of following and you can tack onto [37:19] the end of it and so some examples right [37:21] here smart fair was like that so you [37:23] already have version control and now you [37:24] have code review so we integrated with [37:26] perforce and subversion and CVS and in [37:28] fact a dozen different things balsamiq [37:31] mockups started as add-ons to Basecamp [37:32] and so on woo themes obviously is is [37:34] themes on the platform of WordPress the [37:37] current company is based on the fact [37:39] that WordPress has a huge following and [37:40] they need a host somewhere that's an [37:42] often after market service for WordPress [37:44] alien skin is a company that's that kind [37:47] of well known for being around for over [37:49] a decade meaning making tons of money [37:50] bootstrapped and they make photoshop [37:52] plugins cool photoshop plugins they [37:55] don't make Photoshop they just make cool [37:56] plugins afterwards queue ODBC is a [37:59] company's been around since 1984 let me [38:01] say that again [38:02] and they're bootstrapped and all they do [38:03] is sell this product that takes a [38:06] QuickBooks file and puts an ODBC [38:09] interface on it so you can make database [38:11] queries against it pretty cool [38:13] aftermarket tool for QuickBooks so um [38:16] this is what I mean it so much is it's [38:20] easy to understand like this is the [38:22] product this is exactly how it works [38:23] these are the pain points a lot of [38:25] people with this product have this pain [38:26] point I know how to find those customers [38:28] because they use this particular product [38:29] so the keywords are obvious many times [38:32] the vendors are interested in supporting [38:34] you I gave a talk at the perforce that's [38:36] version control the perforce user [38:38] conference every year about code review [38:39] because we were an aftermarket tool on [38:41] perforce and we promoted perforce as [38:44] well um as a result just there was no [38:46] agreement we didn't change money we just [38:48] did because perforce was good and so our [38:50] tool worked well with it and so I got [38:52] customers all the time by being invited [38:53] to their user conference and to give a [38:56] talk which is bizarre because they [38:58] wanted to support it so even better are [39:00] the are the companies or what I would [39:02] say ecosystems meaning companies that [39:05] intentionally go make this after market [39:07] market and like Salesforce you can [39:10] there's literally s force com where they [39:12] help you make a product that you can [39:15] then sell the Salesforce customers and [39:17] Heroku does that with their plug-in [39:18] store and the Apple App Store is really [39:19] the same thing for the device you're an [39:21] aftermarket [39:22] for the device right now some of these [39:24] ecosystems are more friendly than others [39:25] like the App Store is well known for you [39:27] know not approving the app or maybe [39:29] competing with you eventually so that [39:31] one's a little bit trickier I mean not [39:32] to say that means you shouldn't do it [39:34] but it's a you know you have to look at [39:35] that risk but then you look at these [39:37] ecosystems like Salesforce and Heroku [39:39] and it's very clear that they are [39:40] committed to not doing that to you [39:42] and so like Salesforce people complain [39:45] like they haven't added features in [39:46] years that's exactly right because they [39:49] want other people to make money adding [39:50] features because that's part of their [39:52] ecosystem and they know that's part of [39:53] what makes them strong and they act that [39:55] way and so as Heroku that's good [39:57] that's the kind of ecosystem that's I [39:59] love because look it's a marketing [40:01] channel sales channel a pricing channel [40:03] like there's all kinds of stuff that you [40:05] sort of get built-in when it's like that [40:07] and I love built-in and the last thing [40:10] about market I want to talk about is I [40:11] think you should be in a big market and [40:13] this is typically something that a VC [40:15] you would tell you right you want to be [40:17] in a big market with lots where people [40:19] are spending billions of dollars and why [40:21] does a VC want that well because if you [40:22] see wants you to be worth a billion [40:24] dollars and that's not possible unless [40:26] people are spending billion dollars or [40:28] maybe you're making up a new market that [40:30] you think is gonna be worth a billion [40:31] dollars so that's why they care we don't [40:33] care about that at all but I still think [40:35] it you should be a big market because [40:36] first of all there's lots of niches that [40:38] you can be in so you've sliced out this [40:41] little customer segment of ok only [40:43] people from Wichita Falls who invoice to [40:46] other states with sales tax then we're [40:48] going to nail it [40:48] and there's 462 of them and we can find [40:51] them because it's Wichita Falls is how [40:53] we can just walk around and find them [40:54] and actually that's a pretty good idea [40:55] that's pretty good place to get started [40:57] and then you can get bigger right so [40:59] that's good except the problem with a [41:01] small market is that if that little [41:03] niche doesn't work there may not be [41:04] another thing to go do that's of any [41:06] interesting size and so your options are [41:08] limited and that's bad because obviously [41:10] at the front and even in the middle of [41:12] the business you're never sure exactly [41:14] what's going to work out and what's next [41:16] and all that kind of stuff a big market [41:17] has lots of playground lots of niches [41:19] that you could if this fails you're here [41:21] if this is successful you could expand [41:23] to there whatever you have optionality [41:24] and optionality is always power the [41:28] other thing is your product doesn't have [41:29] to be the number one best thing ever for [41:31] anything [41:31] how many CRM tools are there how many [41:34] project management tools [41:35] there how many time keepers software out [41:36] there how many invoice packages are [41:38] there like hundreds that are in each [41:40] category maybe more and not everyone's [41:43] making a bunch of money but actually a [41:45] lot of people are making enough money [41:46] and that's interesting in a big market [41:48] there's so much space the it's okay if [41:51] it's not the number one best thing for [41:52] everything you can still have a business [41:54] and that's good and not necessarily true [41:56] in a smaller market and of course just [41:58] the fact that it's big and people are [41:59] spending billions of dollars means there [42:01] is a market at all and like Heaton again [42:03] said earlier a many perhaps most [42:06] companies fail because they're not [42:07] building something where there is a pain [42:08] that people will pay for that you can [42:11] get to all this other stuff but in a [42:13] huge market there is a pain and people [42:15] are spending money and you probably [42:16] can't get to it right it validates that [42:17] off the bat and that's a huge thing and [42:19] it's easy to find those customers and if [42:22] you change your mind as I did with WP [42:24] engine and decided to change it from a [42:26] cash machine to screw it I want to swing [42:28] for the fences if been in a big market [42:30] you still have that option [42:32] that's all options good so the third [42:36] thing I want to get through is um how do [42:38] you acquire customers right so we talked [42:40] about charge a lot of money and how and [42:42] kinds of markets I like you don't like [42:43] and now what about getting customers so [42:47] probably the most controversial thing [42:48] out I will state is that I do not like [42:51] social media in any form for getting [42:52] customers I don't think it works very [42:54] well I think it's a lot of time I think [42:56] people don't acknowledge how much time [42:58] and and cost it actually is and I don't [43:01] think it it often does not result in a [43:03] repeatable business where it's a cash [43:05] machine and every month it does it and [43:07] every month you can acquire customers [43:09] I want to business where I can put in a [43:10] dollar and no I'll make four dollars [43:12] this year or maybe even now cuz I've [43:13] annual prepay right that's what I want [43:16] and in social media does not give that [43:17] to me it's ever-changing it's hard to [43:19] have a voice it's hard to do stuff I [43:21] have a blog with 40 thousand readers and [43:24] when I launch WP engine a blogging [43:27] platform I was sure I'd get maybe 30 50 [43:30] new customers just out of people going [43:31] Oh Jason's doing that I'm gonna switch [43:33] to that and see what it is right that's [43:34] maybe that's egotistical well it [43:36] definitely is egotistical but that's [43:38] what I wanted to do so I did and I got [43:40] two signups this many out of tens of [43:45] thousands of readers and actually I [43:46] asked heating on my heating your [43:48] really huh your internet-famous and you [43:50] launched these little companies and see [43:52] them with your stuff what the hell am i [43:53] doing wrong means he just goes no it's [43:55] always like that it doesn't work move on [43:58] just like that but great the you know so [44:02] of course you can say well what about [44:04] buffer those guys are really good at [44:05] social media yes yes yes you know of [44:06] course it can be successful especially [44:08] if you're really good at it and spend [44:10] tons of time on it as they do yes of [44:12] course but in general I don't like that [44:13] I want I want to know I spend money and [44:15] make money that's what I want [44:16] and so since that's the model I like [44:18] that it's it's very important that you [44:20] know how much you're gonna you're gonna [44:21] pay per click that could be Adwords or [44:24] anything else but one way or another [44:25] you're paying for a visit to the website [44:27] that's how most online marketing stuff [44:29] can be boiled down to one way or another [44:31] so it's a good question how much should [44:32] I pay per click so this is my answer [44:35] which is sort of needs justification my [44:38] answer is that you can you take how much [44:40] average revenue you get per customer [44:42] divided by 25 and that's what you can [44:44] pay per click so if your average $50 a [44:46] month in revenue you pay $2 a click now [44:49] obviously it's like a ton of assumptions [44:50] and going on in here I like this is [44:52] not what is this so however I didn't [44:54] want to spend more time here going [44:55] through the math and stuff and besides [44:57] you might want to tweak my assumptions [44:59] and my numbers come up with your own [45:00] sort of better formula for you so I put [45:03] up a blog post which I hope is there [45:04] maybe someone can check and make sure it [45:05] really went up because I didn't oh it is [45:07] great [45:07] um and it has the whole derivation of [45:09] this and blah blah so I'll just move on [45:11] and let you look at that if you care but [45:14] the point is you know obviously this [45:15] needs to be a data-driven thing what's [45:16] my conversion rate how much you know [45:18] what's the quality of the traffic [45:19] segment by by market like there's a [45:22] landing page optimization like there's a [45:24] million [45:24] empirical data points you would actually [45:27] do to compute this but of course you [45:28] don't have any of those data points and [45:30] even if you have a couple hundred [45:31] customers you don't have enough data for [45:32] that to be statistically significant [45:34] anyway so you still need a rule of thumb [45:35] and so that there it is so now the bad [45:42] news so let's say all of this works you [45:48] create this little company and you have [45:51] no employees are just a few employees [45:53] you actually like working with and it's [45:56] chunking out 30 40 K a month in profit [45:59] maybe that'd be nice [46:01] and everything's going well what happens [46:05] next it keeps growing that's what it [46:08] does that's what companies that are [46:10] successful do they don't stop and so if [46:15] it keeps growing and you don't hire [46:16] people to work on support then you're [46:19] gonna give bad customer support is that [46:20] okay is that all right for you is that [46:23] the kind of company you wanted to build [46:25] that you enjoy working on and do you [46:28] hire more people and if you do what does [46:30] that mean in terms of your job and you [46:32] used to just worry about looking after [46:34] marketing or just looking after the code [46:36] but now you're managing people now it [46:38] becomes a thing that wasn't the thing [46:39] that you wanted to become that you [46:41] didn't set out for and so this is this [46:44] is kind of an issue and so so what some [46:46] people do there's various ways kind of [46:47] out of this you know you can you can [46:49] just sell the company for two big who's [46:51] the guy that has the the that that book [46:53] about selling your company where's where [46:55] is he selling your company online [46:58] yeah websites area so you go talk to [47:01] that guy about selling your website [47:03] online and it'll help you cuz he has a [47:04] book about so hooray but it's hard [47:07] obviously to sell that's easier said [47:09] than done and usually don't get that [47:10] much money for it sometimes you sell it [47:12] if you have a partner if you have an [47:13] employee sometimes you can sell to them [47:14] a nice trick there is a lot of times [47:17] people don't have like a bunch of cash [47:18] to give you and so you do some kind of [47:20] earn out like you're gonna get five or [47:21] ten grand a month or a percentage of [47:23] revenue for three years and in that way [47:26] the company can afford to pay you off [47:27] while you go off and that's not such a [47:29] bad thing but of course you also don't [47:31] have your company anymore [47:33] this is how this is what happened to my [47:36] second company IT watchdogs we were I [47:39] guess I'm probably running low on time [47:41] right Rob how am i doing that time okay [47:45] so um so we we had we had we had built [47:49] this amazing device for a customer of [47:51] ours on a contract basis and it was [47:55] wildly successful to them they were [47:57] immediately making millions of dollars [47:58] more money per year with this thing that [48:01] was embedded in their stuff and I [48:02] remember we were sitting there in their [48:04] conference room in Lincoln Nebraska and [48:06] they and they said hey what's stopping [48:09] you from building the same product and [48:11] selling it to the other hundred power [48:12] strip manufacturers [48:14] and we thought we said nothing I guess [48:16] we don't have an exclusive so yeah [48:18] that's not a bad idea it's a four months [48:23] later they bought the company that's it [48:26] so it happens of course but again it's [48:28] hard to it's hard to like make that [48:29] happen or plan for that common thing [48:33] people say is raise prices I mean shoot [48:34] if you don't want more customers and [48:36] make each of the customers pay more this [48:38] is good and that's true but they're you [48:40] know it does also change the nature of [48:42] the business so this conference is a [48:43] good example this year was more [48:45] expensive than last year and so some [48:47] people that were a little more of a [48:48] wanna preneur and not really you know [48:50] not really that serious just sort of [48:52] snooping around you charge more and some [48:54] of them will drop off and that was [48:55] something that was useful for the [48:57] conference but if this conference [48:58] retained grand like almost no one could [49:00] no one almost no one here could or [49:02] shouldn't show up for that kind of dough [49:04] and who would I don't know but it'd be a [49:06] different conference whatever that is be [49:07] different so just raising prices also [49:10] changes the clientele and that may or [49:12] may not be again okay for what you want [49:14] to do and again you can decide well [49:17] screw this bootstrapping thing I'm gonna [49:18] I'll go ahead and raise money that's [49:20] fine and that's what we did with WP [49:22] engine and so that's cool if you decide [49:24] you want to change your journey [49:25] completely that's fine [49:26] but if you knew this ahead of time then [49:28] all this bootstrapping was actually a [49:30] bad idea in other words if you wanted to [49:32] go do you know if that was your goal in [49:34] the first place then you should have [49:35] just been on that path and optimizing [49:37] yourself and your time and going to [49:38] market and all that in the first place [49:40] and not sort of gone too slowly at first [49:42] and then finally decide to accelerate so [49:45] it's a sub optimization anyway and you [49:47] should have kind of known that ahead of [49:48] time [49:48] maybe so this is but this is this is [49:52] this is kind of bad like so what is the [49:54] answer here I mean I want this little [49:55] company and then if I am successful then [49:57] it won't be that thing it's just like [49:59] this weird catch-22 and there isn't a [50:01] great there isn't a great answer [50:03] unfortunately this is one of those [50:05] dilemmas you know how you know people [50:07] sell their company and then you know Oh [50:09] boohoo money doesn't make you happy and [50:11] Oh boohoo you don't know what to do next [50:14] Oh boohoo like you made ten million [50:16] dollars shut up right but actually it's [50:18] very real and actually you know people's [50:20] happiness some fulfillment is very real [50:22] and this is this is going to happen in [50:25] some form or fashion to you if you're [50:27] successful [50:27] and then it won't feel like you know oh [50:29] that's a high-class problem like yes and [50:31] it's your problem and so what you can do [50:33] it's hard and so but it's supposed to [50:36] why like working at IBM we're not doing [50:37] this now it's in our DNA we have to do [50:39] this so the only thing I can tell you to [50:41] combated is this this guy fail ease was [50:45] a Greek business man but then he turned [50:47] philosopher which I suppose that's kind [50:50] of what people who are in tech now do [50:52] right like they get successful business [50:54] and then they get blogs and right same [50:56] thing anyway so they lease it was asked [50:58] famously um what is the hardest thing [51:01] and he said to know thyself hardest [51:06] thing to me that is the sort of answer [51:09] to this dilemma of what is it that I [51:11] want from this what am I trying to build [51:13] with this company I know trending money [51:15] yeah I know I don't want to date you up [51:17] right on but what what am I trying to do [51:20] for me what's gonna be fulfilling for me [51:22] and even that is gonna change over time [51:25] unfortunately which means you have to [51:26] keep figuring that out and it's the [51:28] hardest thing oops [51:30] I thought building the company was the [51:31] hardest thing nope it's this that's the [51:33] hardest thing and so that's again a very [51:36] difficult message because there's not [51:38] much of an answer in that other than [51:39] yeah it's really hard no other than [51:42] maybe talking about it and especially [51:43] talking about it with folks who have [51:44] trod that path before and maybe doing [51:47] almost therapy with them to do that [51:49] which I'm happy to do I know lots of [51:51] lots of other other people are very [51:53] happy to do that sort of thing it's a [51:55] nice conversation to have um the other [51:58] thing he was asked in that same [52:00] interview was what is the easiest thing [52:01] and he says to give advice which is what [52:05] I've been doing for an hour so I'm doing [52:08] the easiest thing by telling you do the [52:09] hardest thing great easy for me to say [52:11] because then I can just wrap and leave [52:12] and it's up to you to do all the hard [52:14] stuff and so people ask what's my [52:16] formula for success which is a stupid [52:18] question but if there is an answer then [52:20] I've just given it to you but as best I [52:22] can [52:22] in this past hour which is that you need [52:25] to have predictable acquisition of [52:28] customers which give you recurring [52:29] revenue that you're using an annual [52:31] prepaid to solve all your cash flow [52:33] problems with any market that's [52:35] conducive to the kind of company that [52:36] you're building and the constraints and [52:38] advantages that you have like being a [52:39] boutique but not not have [52:41] a million hours a week and that's how [52:44] you create a cash machine I hope [52:46] everyone here does exactly that and [52:48] thanks for your time you talk a little [52:51] bit about any advisor tips you have for [52:54] a SAS business that doesn't actually [52:56] have subscription revenue but rather a [52:59] transactional revenue it's a b2b model [53:02] acquisition is more traditional sales [53:07] with potentially larger revenue per [53:10] customer but much of what I see and read [53:13] about in SAS is focused on you know [53:15] getting business through clicks and and [53:18] writing the enterprise sales yeah an [53:21] enterprise SAS company in particular [53:22] okay great yes so first of all you said [53:25] it's not recurring yes it is it's an [53:27] annual contract mostly in enterprise [53:29] right maybe quarterly but usually can do [53:30] annual and that's good because that's [53:32] the annual prepay too and you can do [53:34] that in enterprise because their budgets [53:35] are typically annual as well so they [53:37] could care less and of course it's [53:38] easier to do one P o and one invoice per [53:40] year and do that with some kind of [53:41] automatic renewal that they have to [53:42] contact you if they don't want that kind [53:44] of thing right um obviously you gotta [53:46] charge a lot a lot and there's gonna be [53:48] you know you have to deal with M SAS and [53:50] all kinds of stuff there the purchase [53:52] orders gonna take forever to pay and all [53:54] that the other day we got a purchase [53:55] order with net 130 on it okay well so so [54:02] actually that that's you know rough in [54:04] that in that sense so um so obviously [54:08] you have a sales office often have a [54:09] sales force model with that but to be [54:11] clear at smartbear it was almost all [54:13] enterprise sales and there was no [54:16] salespeople and the way it worked as I [54:18] did all the demos and I went on the [54:19] sales calls and everybody who was back [54:22] at the office was competent in doing all [54:24] of those things and then when I had to [54:26] hire really competent people because [54:28] they had to be able to write code and [54:29] talk to customers and do tech support [54:31] and after sales questions which means [54:32] they had to be really smart and [54:33] multi-talented and they were expensive [54:35] but I also had a million dollars of [54:37] revenue per head because they were [54:39] really good and so we could be really [54:42] lean not in the lean startup sense I [54:43] suppose but in the not spending a lot of [54:45] money sense and so I could distribute [54:47] the money to them instead which is great [54:49] so that's an example of a bootstrap [54:51] company in the enterprise space where [54:53] you have terrific folks all around so [54:54] you don't go [54:55] haier haier out and build out a big [54:57] enterprise sales team you can do that of [54:59] course um it's much harder to it to me [55:02] to bootstrap that exactly because of [55:04] this time lag and money because to go [55:06] get them still you have to do cold calls [55:08] or some other kind of outreach or some [55:11] conferences or put white papers on stuff [55:13] and the sales cycle is often very long [55:15] especially because you catch them maybe [55:16] in a discovery phase and they're not yet [55:18] ready to buy and they're not ready to [55:20] select you and then the lawyers get [55:23] involved and it just takes a long time [55:24] and all that cost you're eating and [55:26] humans and time before you get the [55:28] purchase order and then still they don't [55:29] want to pay and then it'll go out in the [55:31] next check run and you know it can be a [55:32] long time before you get the dough the [55:35] good news of course is once you get it [55:36] you often keep those things for five [55:37] years [55:38] it was fantastic right but you got to [55:40] charge the Lots to sort of get over the [55:42] hump of all that other stuff if you do [55:45] hire salespeople you got to go to you [55:47] often will have to go to more of a like [55:49] Commission only but lots of commission [55:51] model because you don't have the cash to [55:53] float you know a great sales guy for [55:55] their you know one hundred hundred or [55:56] one fifty one fifty sort of a [55:57] compensation model that they might be [55:59] expecting you can't say you just have to [56:01] say well I hope you dragon a lot of [56:04] sailfish and then you can eat a lot [56:05] I don't know right so that's hard to get [56:07] going so it is harder because of these [56:08] constraints which aren't necessarily you [56:10] know working but um but you can do it I [56:14] did it [56:14] um the pilots are another good trick so [56:17] you say why don't we start with it often [56:19] they want to do pilots anyway depending [56:20] on the product but let's just try it [56:21] with thirty seats see how that goes [56:23] maybe you can turn that around a lot [56:25] faster with a smaller budget and um and [56:28] then you get some cash flow going and [56:29] some relationship going and then go many [56:32] of the transactions we did were like [56:33] that our average transaction was twelve [56:34] thousand dollars but on the first [56:37] transaction but our average total [56:39] transaction was sixty thousand because [56:40] over time they'd buy more sometimes even [56:42] six and seven figures over the course of [56:44] you know year and a half or so [56:46] and so that kind of like get in there [56:48] and then go get more which sales people [56:50] call land and expand is not a bad model [56:52] either and helps you get a little more [56:53] cash flow I mean this is a whole topic [56:55] really so I hope some of that helps or [56:57] answered your question I know I know a [57:00] lot of [57:02] I'm coders that have products don't [57:05] necessarily take advantage of affiliate [57:07] programs how do you feel about that um I [57:11] think there's a lot of products for [57:12] which affiliate programs are great not [57:15] Enterprise but um we do pretty well with [57:18] affiliates and at first we did not we [57:20] didn't do a good job when we first [57:21] launched them and then we relaunched it [57:23] with ShareASale and we kind of did a [57:25] better job and in reaching out [57:28] personally to affiliates and especially [57:30] some of the larger ones and so on to try [57:32] to make it work giving them special [57:33] coupons much like the ones I just said [57:35] those but I really like it and if you're [57:39] gonna do affiliates I think first of all [57:41] you need it you need to pay the [57:42] affiliate a lot because they encourage [57:44] them to do it and especially the bigger [57:45] affiliates do get paid a lot and so you [57:47] won't get their attention unless you're [57:48] spending a lot of money with them at the [57:50] same time that's a big cash flow thing [57:51] because they get their money quickly [57:53] like typically in 45 days so if you're [57:55] paying an affiliate two hundred three [57:56] hundred dollars there's a lot I mean [57:59] most affiliate programs are more like 30 [58:00] bucks and that's fine but you won't get [58:01] a lot of attention but if you're [58:03] charging a lot of money then you can pay [58:05] the affiliate a lot see isn't that [58:06] better to charge a lot of money it opens [58:08] up options but also you need that annual [58:11] prepay because it's so much money that [58:12] you're paying so quickly to them and so [58:14] again I would couple that with special [58:16] coupons for them to encourage the annual [58:18] and then you're back to good from a cash [58:20] flow perspective but in general I do [58:23] think it depends on the business there [58:24] are things like the one we're in and [58:26] hosting or in WordPress where the a ton [58:28] of companies who make a lot of money [58:29] through affiliate sales so it sort of [58:31] stands to reason that we could - and [58:33] there's other areas where it's not true [58:36] and so you'll just have to see but [58:38] certainly the affiliate doesn't get paid [58:39] unless you know they say you get a sale [58:41] so it seems to me you could certainly [58:42] make the math work and then either the [58:44] affiliate program will work or it won't [58:46] and either you'll get better at it or [58:47] not but either way you're not gonna pay [58:49] them till you get a sale so it's pretty [58:51] easy to make sure that equation works [58:52] and then you know then give it a try but [58:55] if it does work it's incredibly powerful [58:57] you want to talk about predictable [58:58] because those affiliates it's their job [59:00] to get more money every month right so [59:03] you have these people who themselves [59:05] it's it's in their interest to try to [59:08] send you new customers every month and [59:10] that's great that's that's exactly the [59:11] kind of predictable cash machine that [59:13] you want so in that sense I really like [59:14] affiliate sales [59:16] and one final note of fear on that is [59:18] there's a lot of shady affiliates and if [59:20] you ever go to Affiliate conference you [59:22] kind of feel like you need to take a [59:22] bath afterwards uh-huh there it's a lot [59:27] of them are are shady and so also you'll [59:29] get people if you're not if you're not [59:30] controlling who actually is able to do [59:32] the affiliate program and kind of [59:35] vetting them you'll be spread all kinds [59:37] of stuff that probably is not good for [59:38] your brand or even for sales or any of [59:41] those things and so you may or may not [59:43] care about that I mean may or may not be [59:45] interesting to us and it worked WP [59:46] engine we care about our reputation [59:48] quite a lot we trade on that reputation [59:50] of service and attitude and all that [59:52] kind of stuff and so it's important to [59:54] us that that not be the case we even [59:56] don't do certain SEO things even stuff [59:59] that's kind of gray hat just because [60:00] what if that kind of looked bad so [60:02] because we value that we are careful [60:06] about affiliates but you may or may not [60:07] care and we know one thing that you [60:10] regret doing or perhaps we're not doing [60:14] on your business journey man all kinds [60:19] of stuff all of the time I think you're [60:21] not honest if you don't say that right [60:25] doing or not doing I mean anybody that [60:28] looks back over you know a year and [60:30] can't and says like everything was [60:33] perfect I didn't make any mistakes [60:35] you know not true I guess one thing I [60:38] would say is if I look at a pattern that [60:44] I keep repeating that I have to be [60:46] careful about so the things I'm not [60:47] really learning about and therefore I [60:48] really regret it because if you make [60:51] that mistake the first time you can't [60:52] really regret it you say I made the best [60:53] choice I could at the time and let's [60:55] move on right but if you make it [60:57] repeatedly then maybe you start [60:58] regretting that you're not getting [60:59] better at it I guess two things there [61:02] one is not getting rid of someone fast [61:04] enough that needed to go almost always [61:07] culturally based very rare that it's [61:10] skills based it's usually cultural based [61:11] because people do poison that well and [61:13] that could just be a consultant it could [61:15] be employee it could be any of those [61:16] kinds of things but that's really [61:18] important and no one ever says well we [61:21] fired that person too quickly no one [61:24] ever says that but everyone has a story [61:26] of when they didn't fire someone soon [61:27] enough [61:28] so that's a mistake that I probably [61:30] continue to make um and it's a constant [61:34] thing and again even if you don't have [61:35] employees that could be true of a [61:36] consultant that you kind of feel may be [61:38] taking advantage of you or isn't really [61:40] working out but you're sort of well but [61:41] they're engaged so I'll just like [61:43] there's there's lots of examples of that [61:45] kind of thing I regret not staying true [61:48] to what I felt was the right thing to do [61:51] and that's in lots of different [61:52] situations [61:53] um yeah like the affiliates a weirdo [61:57] feel like I'm kind of I'm kind of skeevy [61:58] about having this person promoting my [62:01] thing should I do that or not and to me [62:03] especially when you're building a [62:06] self-funded company in which your [62:07] identity is so tied up in the company [62:09] itself I always regret not following [62:11] what I think is the right thing how to [62:14] treat people how to treat people coming [62:17] in coming out um the standards that you [62:20] set up inside the company for yourself [62:21] the customers for the product for other [62:23] people that you work with for hearing [62:26] something that someone says and not like [62:28] and not kind of standing up for it and [62:30] saying no that's not acceptable here [62:32] it's not it's not funny it's not okay [62:34] not doing that often enough the all [62:37] kinds of things like that of I know I [62:39] feel right now this is wrong and I'm not [62:42] acting strong enough to in to make this [62:45] known to everyone and to say no this is [62:48] what I'm building this is what we're [62:49] doing this is who we are I always regret [62:52] not doing that after the fact so you [62:55] mentioned earlier about the little [62:57] formula of calculating your how much you [62:59] can afford per click so I noticed that [63:01] was like a $2 $2 per click right so I'm [63:05] curious for wpengine or are you actually [63:08] being able to get that sort of cost per [63:10] click or what are you doing no we can [63:12] spend even more so again the real answer [63:15] there is you measure everything all [63:17] throughout the funnel and you can [63:20] segment you segment out the cost to [63:22] acquire a customer by by the marketing [63:24] channel and was that there was an [63:26] affiliate there was a sales assisted was [63:28] your a coupon because that makes it cost [63:30] more and that the customer stick around [63:32] or did they cancel and we even measure [63:33] stuff like and how much server costs are [63:35] they costing how much support costs I [63:36] think we have all of that and so for [63:38] every customer we have all of that is we [63:40] have all this analysis that's very [63:42] detailed and per philia and per channel [63:44] and jiù jiù jiù jiù right um and so [63:46] we're very precise about how the [63:49] marketing campaigns are working what's [63:50] the payback period and so on that is the [63:52] correct thing to do but you know we have [63:54] you know we sign we're in the four [63:56] figures of new customers per month so we [64:00] have a lot of data right so we can do [64:02] all that statistically and actually have [64:04] something also since we're shooting the [64:06] moon now also we're willing to spend [64:09] even more money than there might be you [64:11] know then you might think in order to [64:13] get customers and so we're that's even [64:15] more because we just want the customers [64:17] because we know what to do with them and [64:18] that's valuable to us another thing is [64:20] we are so good at word-of-mouth and [64:22] social media and the consultant channel [64:24] that most of our new signups are [64:27] actually without advertising at all but [64:29] what that means is we can spend that [64:31] much more acquiring through advertising [64:32] because on average it's still very cheap [64:35] and so we can afford against it so even [64:38] if we lose some money on some things [64:40] just the fact that we have the customer [64:42] they might tell a friend [64:43] they might upgrade later and so on just [64:45] having a customer is it has a value and [64:48] financial value even over time even if [64:51] it's a little more difficult to measure [64:52] all of that value it is true and so we [64:54] can spend even more so we measure all [64:56] this and we do it absolutely empirically [64:58] so that we know that and so with that [65:00] we're pointing out is until you are [65:02] signing up a thousand people a month and [65:03] are measuring all this stuff even if you [65:05] are measuring it you still don't have [65:06] enough data to really say and things are [65:08] gonna fluctuate a lot week to week month [65:10] to month and so on and so until you have [65:13] enough data to actually use data I had [65:15] this sort of assumptions in process [65:17] which actually came from other surveys [65:19] and other things so that these [65:21] assumptions themselves seem correct in [65:24] the main and and and so so I that's why [65:27] I like that formula but it's only [65:28] because without data you have to have [65:30] some rule of thumb and this is my best [65:31] effort at providing anyone with one that [65:34] that's it's logical