Why our generals were more successful in World War II than in Korea, Vietnam or Iraq/Afghanistan

Why our generals were more successful in World War II than in Korea, Vietnam or Iraq/Afghanistan — UC Berkeley Events

UC Berkeley Events

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Key ideas

  • During World War II, relieving division and corps commanders was a standard management tool rather than career suicide, with 16 out of roughly 165 combat division commanders replaced for underperformance and several later restored to subsequent division commands. (18:27)
  • The institutional practice of relieving battlefield commanders collapsed following the Korean War due to domestic political sensitivities and the introduction of fixed one-year combat rotation tours, disincentivizing superiors from firing ineffective officers. (37:29)
  • Post-Vietnam military reforms spearheaded by General William DePuy rebuilt tactical doctrine, training, and equipment, but deliberately avoided reforming generalship, leaving strategic command accountability untouched. (53:18)
  • The elimination of performance-based reliefs bred systemic risk aversion and managerial conformity among flag officers, leaving modern four-star dismissals almost exclusively in the hands of civilian authorities. (40:34)

Detailed notes

## Background Published on YouTube by UC Berkeley Events on March 23, 2011, this video presents the 27th annual Chester W. Nimitz Memorial Lecture. It features Pulitzer Prize-winning military journalist and author Thomas E. Ricks, then a Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) and contributing editor for Foreign Policy.

## TL;DR Thomas E. Ricks investigates why American generalship succeeded in World War II but struggled in Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. He argues that George C. Marshall established a decisive system of ruthless accountability where underperforming commanders were routinely relieved without career-ending stigma, enabling rapid adaptation and bold risk-taking. In contrast, post-WWII reforms, one-year combat rotations, and institutional defensiveness fostered risk aversion, conformist managerial cultures, and an unwillingness to fire failing generals. Consequently, modern strategic failures were allowed to persist until civilian leaders were forced to intervene.

## Atmosphere & style The lecture carries an engaging, analytical, and provocative tone, driven by Ricks's investigative curiosity and dry wit. Rather than delivering a dry academic paper, Ricks speaks with the candid storytelling of a seasoned combat reporter, peppering sharp institutional critiques with vivid historical anecdotes. The audience Q&A sharpens this edge, creating an atmosphere of sober reflection on military accountability, strategic failure, and the human cost borne by enlisted troops when senior leaders are shielded from scrutiny.

## Bulletin - [18:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1107s) During World War II, relieving division and corps commanders was a standard management tool rather than career suicide, with 16 out of roughly 165 combat division commanders replaced for underperformance and several later restored to subsequent division commands. - [37:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2249s) The institutional practice of relieving battlefield commanders collapsed following the Korean War due to domestic political sensitivities and the introduction of fixed one-year combat rotation tours, disincentivizing superiors from firing ineffective officers. - [53:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3198s) Post-Vietnam military reforms spearheaded by General William DePuy rebuilt tactical doctrine, training, and equipment, but deliberately avoided reforming generalship, leaving strategic command accountability untouched. - [40:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2434s) The elimination of performance-based reliefs bred systemic risk aversion and managerial conformity among flag officers, leaving modern four-star dismissals almost exclusively in the hands of civilian authorities.

## Key takeaways - [09:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=549s) General George C. Marshall modernized the U.S. Army by expanding it from 190,000 to approximately 9,000,000 personnel while prioritizing the ruthless weeding out of unpromising senior leaders. - [11:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=710s) Marshall pre-emptively retired around 200 senior colonels and generals before U.S. entry into WWII because they lacked the physical vigor and stamina required for modern mechanized warfare. - [14:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=842s) Marshall established seven core leadership traits in 1920, placing a premium on cheerfulness and optimism to counteract the inevitable setbacks of an unprepared democracy entering war. - [18:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1107s) Relief in WWII was not treated as a career-ending humiliation; commanders were frequently reassigned or given second commands once they refreshed or fit a different operational need. - [22:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1370s) Inter-service parochialism and poor teamwork were the fastest routes to immediate dismissal under Marshall and Dwight Eisenhower's coalition warfare doctrine. - [28:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1686s) Eisenhower's command philosophy paired broad operational autonomy for field commanders with zero tolerance for failure, replacing unsatisfactory subordinates rather than micromanaging them. - [31:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1888s) Even victorious commanders like Terry Allen at Troina were relieved when their operational style or unit discipline clashed with higher command's broader strategic framework. - [37:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2249s) Fixed one-year combat tours introduced during the Korean War and expanded during Vietnam caused command churn and led superiors to simply wait out incompetent leaders instead of firing them. - [37:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2249s) During the Vietnam War, only one Army division commander was formally relieved, signaling a major institutional shift toward protecting the careers of flag officers over operational efficacy. - [40:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2434s) The collapse of commander accountability produced an unimaginative operational culture prone to brute-force frontal assaults while neglecting post-conflict stabilization. - [40:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2434s) Modern general officer dismissals occur almost entirely via civilian intervention rather than internal military accountability mechanisms, as seen with Stanley McChrystal and Douglas MacArthur. - [43:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2600s) Command failures in the post-9/11 era, such as the operational dysfunction at Abu Ghraib under Ricardo Sanchez, went uncorrected because the military refused to replace struggling three-star leaders. - [53:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3198s) The military establishment after Vietnam adopted a defensive narrative blaming politicians and the press, thereby shielding flawed generalship from necessary audit and reform. - [55:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3319s) Without the threat of relief for failure, modern officers lack incentives to take bold operational risks, fostering safe mediocrity across senior command.

## Detailed walkthrough ### [00:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=11s) Introduction by Captain Phil Roos

Captain Phil Roos, Director of Military Affairs at UC Berkeley and Commanding Officer of the Naval ROTC unit—a role he calls “the best job in the Navy”—opens the 27th annual Chester W. Nimitz Memorial Lectureship. Established by endowment in 1983, the lecture series brings nationally recognized public figures to campus to educate students and the wider community on critical national security issues, reflecting what Roos describes as a shared civic obligation to maintain an informed public.

Roos introduces the 2011 lecturer, author and journalist Thomas E. Ricks. Originally from Massachusetts, Ricks grew up in New York, attended the American International School in Kabul, graduated from Yale, taught for two years in Hong Kong, and served as an assistant editor at *The Wilson Quarterly*. He then spent 17 years at *The Wall Street Journal*, ultimately serving as its Pentagon correspondent, before joining *The Washington Post* from 2000 to 2008 as its military correspondent. Over his journalism career, Ricks shared two Pulitzer Prizes: one in 2000 with the *Journal* for coverage of military adaptation to 21st-century defense needs, and another in 2002 with the *Post* for reporting on the beginnings of the post-9/11 counter-offensive against terrorism. He is also a Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), writes *The Best Defense* blog for *Foreign Policy*, and is the author of several influential military studies, including *Making the Corps*, *Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq*, and *The Gamble: General David Petraeus and the American Military Adventure in Iraq, 2006–2008*.

- **Lecture Series**: 27th Annual Chester W. Nimitz Memorial Lectureship, endowed in 1983. - **Speaker**: Thomas E. Ricks (Senior Fellow at CNAS, contributing editor and blogger for *Foreign Policy*). - **Key Works**: *Making the Corps*, *Fiasco*, and *The Gamble*. - **Honors**: Two Pulitzer Prizes for national reporting (2000 with *The Wall Street Journal*; 2002 with *The Washington Post*).

---

[03:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=215s) The Writer’s Drive: Questions, Not Answers

Taking the podium, Ricks jokes about the persistent California rain that had greeted him since his arrival on Sunday, remarking that given the weather, he wasn't sure he would have come out to hear himself speak. He surveys the audience by a show of hands—asking who belongs to the military, who is affiliated with the university, and who represents the general public—before projecting an unidentified photograph on the screen and promising that by the end of the evening, everyone in the hall will recognize the man pictured.

Ricks reflects on his craft, explaining that he is in the middle of his fifth book. He describes book writing not as an exercise in delivering predetermined conclusions, but as an all-consuming detective novel driven by unsolved mysteries. He admits to waking up in the dead of night from vivid dreams about obscure historical conferences—such as a spring 1970 meeting between General William Westmoreland and General Creighton Abrams—compelling him to climb out of bed and scribble notes. As Ricks explains his underlying philosophy of research:

> “I don’t write books because I have answers at least at the beginning of them; I write books because I have questions.”

---

[05:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=342s) The Sicily Revelation: Why Don’t Modern Generals Get Fired?

The central mystery of his new book crystallized for Ricks after covering the Iraq War. Having published two critical volumes on the conflict, he found himself haunted by how senior American military leaders could have gotten the war so fundamentally wrong. The intellectual fuse had been lit earlier, in the summer of 2005, while attending a military staff ride in Sicily studying the July–August 1943 Allied invasion.

Standing on the battlefield of Troina, just north of the town of Enna in central Sicily, Ricks listened to a retired colonel recount the culminating engagement of the campaign. Major General Terry de la Mesa Allen Sr. had led the 1st Infantry Division to victory against stubborn German resistance. Yet immediately after prevailing in that battle, Allen—the U.S. Army's most successful division commander in the European theater during the first year of the war—was abruptly relieved of command by Lieutenant General Omar Bradley. Ricks was stunned by the contrast:

> “Here I was just coming from Iraq in ’05; we had generals who were screwed it up to a fare-thee-well, nobody was firing them; why in World War II would a successful general have been fired when nowadays nobody got fired?”

Ricks stresses that the issue with modern generalship was never a lack of character or basic talent. The flag officers he encountered were hardworking, determined, courageous, and smart. While reporting, Ricks had even been the first journalist permitted to attend the Army's "Charm School" at Fort Leavenworth—a week-long orientation for newly promoted brigadier generals from the active duty, Reserve, and National Guard. Initially, the attendees gave the lone journalist a wide berth, leaving empty chairs on either side of him. But midway through the first day, Army Chief of Staff General Dennis Reimer entered, greeted Ricks warmly by name, and sat directly beside him. The icy isolation instantly vanished into eager networking during the next coffee break. Among Ricks’s classmates at that session was Raymond T. Odierno, who later rose to four-star rank and commanded Multi-National Force – Iraq. These officers were impressive, dedicated public servants, yet their generation of military leadership presided over profound strategic failures, convincing Ricks that the breakdown lay in the military institution's systemic accountability rather than individual incompetence.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: The Accountability Contrast accDescr: Diagram contrasting command accountability in World War II with accountability in modern conflicts like Iraq.

subgraph WWII["World War II System"] A["Gen. Terry Allen leads 1st ID"] --> B["Wins Culminating Battle at Troina (1943)"] B --> C["Relieved by Gen. Omar Bradley"] C --> D["Accountability for organizational friction / fresh leadership"] end

subgraph Modern["Modern System (e.g., Iraq War)"] E["Generals oversee strategic failures"] --> F["Zero public accountability / firings"] F --> G["Culture protects 'good guys' and peer relationships"] end ```

---

[09:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=549s) George C. Marshall and the Transformation of the US Army

Searching for the roots of high command performance, Ricks traced the modern American generalship standard back to General George C. Marshall. Marshall is largely remembered today only for the postwar Marshall Plan—crafted during his subsequent tenure as Secretary of State—which earned him the Nobel Peace Prize as the first professional soldier ever to receive the honor. Yet his most remarkable accomplishment lay in the preceding decade of military stewardship.

Marshall was sworn in as Army Chief of Staff on September 1, 1939—the very day Nazi Germany invaded Poland to spark World War II. Though Marshall had served as acting chief of staff for several months and anticipated the crisis, he inherited what he later termed a severely neglected force. The United States Army, which then encompassed the Army Air Forces, numbered just 190,000 personnel. It possessed a meager collection of tanks and largely antiquated bombers, making it numerically smaller than the Bulgarian military. Recalling Marshall’s bleak assessment of the nation's readiness on the day he took command:

> “He later wrote that the military he commanded was, quote, ‘not even a third-rate military power.’”

By the time Marshall stepped down at the end of the war, he had overseen an unprecedented institutional transformation, expanding the U.S. Army into a 9-million-man fighting force and turning a fourth-rate military establishment into the preeminent superpower on Earth. Marshall designed the mobile, mechanized doctrine and force structure that still underpins modern American arms—down to durable hardware like the.50-caliber M2 Browning machine gun, which Ricks notes remains an infantry favorite. Above all, Marshall's defining preoccupation was generalship: obsessively studying, testing, selecting, and holding commanders accountable.

- **Date Marshall took office**: September 1, 1939 (the day Nazi Germany invaded Poland). - **Initial size of the US Army**: 190,000 troops (smaller than the army of Bulgaria). - **Peak size under Marshall**: Approximately 9,000,000 troops. - **Key focus**: Selecting, cultivating, evaluating, and ruthlessly weeding out division and corps commanders.

[11:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=710s) Marshall Prepares for War and Purges the Peacetime Officer Corps

Examining historical documents, including papers marked with George S. Patton’s handwriting and pencil tactical maps from the Tunisia and Sicily campaigns, sheds light on how George C. Marshall methodically prepared to assume the role of Army Chief of Staff. Knowing that World War II was approaching and that the United States would inevitably enter on its heels, Marshall boarded the cruiser USS *Nashville* in May 1939 for a voyage to South America. His objective was to secure critical lines of communication across the South Atlantic, anticipating that direct entry into Europe would initially be blocked.

Marshall brought along a smart young officer he admired for his managerial and leadership skills: Colonel Matthew Ridgway. For ten days as the ship steamed toward Rio de Janeiro, Marshall sat on the bow of the *Nashville* detailing his vision to Ridgway. Marshall had observed during World War I that General John J. Pershing, the commander of the American Expeditionary Forces in France, spent far too much time relieving ineffective generals in the field. Marshall resolved to weed out unsuitable commanders before they ever left the United States. He appeared gentle on the surface, but he had an iron interior. As he told Ridgway on that voyage, he intended to clean house immediately by retiring approximately 200 senior colonels and generals, telling them directly that while their interest in national defense was appreciated, they were simply too old to lead troops into modern combat.

Beyond this initial purge, Marshall instituted a second screening mechanism: generals could train divisions at home, but they were not guaranteed to lead them overseas. Overseas theater commanders retained absolute veto authority over all incoming division leaders. Both Dwight D. Eisenhower and Douglas MacArthur exercised this right repeatedly, rejecting nominees and even striking down Marshall’s personal protégés.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Marshall's Two-Stage Commander Selection Process accDescr: Diagram showing how George C. Marshall screened, trained, and filtered division commanders prior to combat deployment.

subgraph Phase1["Screening & Retirement (1939)"] A["Peacetime Senior Officers"] -->|"Marshall's initial purge (~200 colonels & generals retired)"| B["Retained Cadre"] end

subgraph Phase2["Training & Veto"] B --> C["Division Training in U.S."] C --> D{"Overseas Theater Veto<br/>(Eisenhower / MacArthur)"} D -->|"Rejected"| E["Reassigned Stateside"] D -->|"Approved"| F["Combat Command Overseas"] end ```

---

[14:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=842s) The 1920 List: Essential Qualities of an American General

A persistent myth suggests that Marshall maintained a little "black book" tracking promising candidates for high command. Historical research disproves this; Marshall had no need for a secret ledger because the peacetime army was small enough that he already knew the talent intimately. During his tenure running the Infantry School at Fort Benning, his staff included Joseph "Vinegar Joe" Stilwell as the tactics expert and Omar Bradley teaching machine guns. However, Marshall did maintain an authentic, overlooked set of criteria for senior leadership. Marshall famously refused to write a World War II memoir, even rejecting a $1,000,000 offer from Time Inc. publisher Henry Luce because he felt telling the full story would embarrass too many colleagues. Yet, during idle moments in November 1920, Marshall documented what he had learned as a rising staff colonel and aide-de-camp to Pershing, creating a explicit list of the essential qualities of a general:

- Good common sense - Professionally educated - Physically strong - Cheerful and optimistic - Energetic - Extreme loyalty - Determined

This list was deliberately non-Clausewitzian. While Carl von Clausewitz emphasized intuitive battlefield vision (*coup d'œil*), Marshall tailored his requirements to the specific strategic realities of the United States. Marshall recognized that unlike Britain—which maintained a large navy and a small army, requiring generals to conserve their forces and avoid unnecessary engagements—America would perpetually pursue a "policy of unpreparedness for war." Marshall believed officers had to accept this reality rather than complain about it, treating national unpreparedness as an unalterable condition like the weather.

Because American troops would inevitably enter conflicts ill-trained and poorly equipped, leading to demoralizing early setbacks, Marshall concluded that the army required a specific temperament to endure and overcome initial shock. “The dashing, optimistic, and resourceful type, quick to estimate, with relentless determination, and who possessed in addition a fund of sound common sense, which operated to prevent gross errors due to rapidity of decision and action.” Conversely, pessimistic officers who anticipated defeat were viewed as a toxic liability. Marshall warned that such men must be excised like a cancer, noting that when put in charge, they “quickly infected their units with the same spirit and grew ineffective, unless a more suitable commander is found and given charge.”

---

[18:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1107s) The Missing Mechanism: Relief Without Career Ruin

While Marshall's leadership template remains famous, the modern U.S. military has abandoned its central operational engine: swift relief. During World War II, successful commanders were retained and elevated, while unsuccessful ones were promptly relieved and reassigned. When an institution ceases to punish failure, it effectively stops rewarding genuine success. Retaining underperforming leaders fosters a culture of mediocrity where officers aim for the safe middle rather than the top. When failure incurs no removal, officers avoid risk-taking and keep their heads down. This dynamic was exacerbated by the individual officer rotation policies introduced late in the Korean War and maintained through Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan—producing an officer corps designed for operational stalemate rather than decisive victory.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: The Operational Divergence in Command Accountability accDescr: Flowchart contrasting the dynamic WWII relief system with the modern rotation system that leads to mediocrity.

subgraph WWII["World War II System"] W1["Combat Command"] --> W2{"Operational Performance"} W2 -->|"Success"| W3["Retained & Promoted"] W2 -->|"Failure"| W4["Swift Relief & Reassignment"] W4 -->|"Rehabilitated"| W1 end

subgraph Modern["Post-Korea / Modern System"] M1["Combat Command"] --> M2{"Risk Aversion / Mediocrity"} M2 -->|"No Relief for Failure"| M3["Protected Tenures"] M3 -->|"Timed Rotation"| M4["Stalemate-Oriented Officer Corps"] end ```

World War II commenced with a sweeping purge that would shock modern observers. Within two weeks of the attack on Pearl Harbor, Admiral Husband E. Kimmel and Lieutenant General Walter Short were sacked. Kimmel was replaced in late December 1941 by Admiral Chester W. Nimitz, while Major General Frederick Martin, Short's air commander, was also removed. In North Africa, following the initial clashes with German forces, Major General Lloyd Fredendall was unceremoniously relieved as senior American tactical commander. Back in Washington, Marshall's winnowing continued. Of all the senior generals who led the army during the 1930s and directed the Louisiana Maneuvers, only Walter Krueger survived to hold a combat command in the war (aside from Douglas MacArthur, who was serving in the Philippines outside the regular army establishment).

- Out of roughly 165 men who commanded U.S. Army divisions in combat during World War II, 16 division commanders were relieved for performance after having already cleared the rigorous pre-war selection screens. - Another four to five corps commanders were relieved in the field. - Relief was rarely a permanent career ender; it served as a temporary reset. At least four division commanders relieved in the European theater were given command of another division within twelve months. - Brigadier General Robert "Hanging Sam" Williams was relieved, demoted to colonel, yet managed to rise again and ultimately retired as a lieutenant general (three-star). - Another colonel was marched off the battlefield in Normandy under armed escort and still managed to conclude his military career as a major general (two-star).

---

[22:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1370s) The Ultimate Disqualification: Disrupting the Team

While Marshall expected commanders to embody energy, common sense, and optimism, the quickest route to immediate relief was failing to be a team player. Marshall held zero tolerance for personal vanity or inter-service squabbling, repeatedly emphasizing that operations were about institutional mission, not individual egos.

This principle was tested early in the war through the eccentric behavior of Brigadier General Simon Bolivar Buckner Jr., then commanding the military forces in Alaska. Buckner wrote a poem mocking the U.S. Navy, alleging that it was terrified of operating in the stormy waters of the Bering Sea. Buckner unwisely read the verses aloud directly to his local Navy counterpart. Outraged, the naval commander forwarded the poem up the chain to Admiral Ernest J. King in Washington. King stormed into Marshall's office, confronting the Chief of Staff over the insult. Marshall took the incident deadly seriously, viewing such behavior as an intolerable violation of joint service cohesion.

[23:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1432s) The Merry-Go-Round of Reliefs: From the Aleutians to Okinawa

After deciding against firing Simon Bolivar Buckner Jr. in the Aleutians, superior commanders left him in place and later promoted him. The relief carousel continued when an admiral subsequently relieved Army Major General Albert E. Brown, replacing him with Eugene M. Landrum—who was himself relieved roughly a year later in Normandy. Buckner moved on to the Pacific theater, where he was tasked with investigating one of the war’s most infamous inter-service controversies: the sacking of Army Major General Ralph C. Smith (commander of the 27th Infantry Division) by Marine Lieutenant General Holland M. "Howlin' Mad" Smith. Buckner’s Army board naturally concluded that Howlin' Mad Smith was in the wrong, though in reality the Marine general was dead right: the 27th Division had simply moved too slowly.

Buckner carried an extraordinary military pedigree and a bizarre personal fate. His father, Confederate General Simon Bolivar Buckner Sr., had surrendered Fort Donelson to Ulysses S. Grant during the Civil War. When Buckner Sr. inquired about surrender terms, Grant famously issued the blunt ultimatum that earned him the moniker "Unconditional Surrender": no terms except immediate and unconditional surrender, proposing to move upon his works immediately. Buckner Sr. replied that Grant was no gentleman, to which Grant answered with gunfire. Decades later, Buckner Jr. became the highest-ranking American officer killed by enemy fire during World War II. While standing on an observation ridge on Okinawa, he was warned by a Marine officer to remove his shiny, three-starred helmet because it invited enemy fire. Buckner scoffed, “Nonsense,” only to be killed instantly when an artillery shell struck next to him. To fill his post, the Army called in Joseph "Vinegar Joe" Stilwell, who had himself been relieved of command in China in October 1944.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Pacific and European Relief Merry-Go-Round accDescr: Sequence of reliefs and reassignments among US commanders in World War II.

subgraph Aleutians ["Aleutians & Normandy"] Brown["Maj. Gen. Albert E. Brown (Relieved)"] --> Landrum["Maj. Gen. Eugene Landrum"] Landrum --> NormandyRelief["Relieved 1 Year Later (Normandy)"] end

subgraph PacificChain ["Pacific Theater"] HMSmith["Lt. Gen Holland 'Howlin Mad' Smith (USMC)"] -->|"Relieves for slow pace"| RSmith["Maj. Gen. Ralph Smith (27th ID)"] Buckner["Lt. Gen. Simon Bolivar Buckner Jr."] -->|"Investigates & defends Army"| RSmith Buckner -->|"Killed on Okinawa (1945)"| Stilwell["Gen. Joseph Stilwell (Previously relieved China, 1944)"] end ```

- **Fort Donelson Connection:** Simon Bolivar Buckner Jr.’s father surrendered to Ulysses S. Grant in February 1862. - **Highest-Ranking Combat Death:** Buckner was killed by Japanese artillery shrapnel on Okinawa on June 18, 1945. - **The Carousel Dynamic:** Commanders cycled repeatedly; Stilwell assumed Tenth Army command on Okinawa despite his high-profile removal from China eight months earlier.

---

[26:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1570s) The Eisenhower Anomaly and the High Stakes of Coalition Command

Anticipating questions about why Dwight D. Eisenhower was never sacked despite early mistakes, the speaker explains that Eisenhower was a distinct anomaly. In the spring of 1940, Eisenhower was still an obscure lieutenant colonel serving as executive officer (XO) of an infantry regiment in Washington state. George C. Marshall catapulted him forward because he foresaw an overseas coalition war requiring a collaborative team player who could suppress his fiery temper and work effectively with allies. Marshall recognized that widespread anti-British sentiment inside the officer corps would derail alliance cohesion, whereas Eisenhower possessed the diplomatic patience to hold a disparate coalition together.

Even Eisenhower was not completely immune to relief anxiety. In late 1942 and early 1943 during the North African campaign, he weathered intense political fallout from the Darlan Affair—a pragmatic deal made with the Vichy French Admiral François Darlan, who had actively collaborated with Nazi Germany. The arrangement provoked public outrage back in Washington, prompting Eisenhower to write to his son that he might well be removed, advising him not to worry because personal careers were secondary to the larger cause. Ultimately, senior commanders holding three- or four-star rank enjoyed far greater security, primarily because the military simply lacked qualified replacements capable of filling massive theater-level positions.

```mermaid flowchart LR accTitle: Eisenhower Rise and Coalition Command accDescr: Eisenhower's rapid advancement under Marshall based on temperament for coalition warfare.

LtCol["Spring 1940: Lt. Col. & Regimental XO"] --> MarshallChoice["Selected by Gen. George C. Marshall"] MarshallChoice --> KeyTrait["Required Traits: Suppress temper, team player, counter anti-British bias"] KeyTrait --> SupremeCmd["Theater & Coalition Commander"] SupremeCmd --> Crisis["1942-1943 Darlan Affair Crisis (Near-relief)"] ```

---

[28:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1686s) Coalition Accountability: Orlando Ward and Eisenhower’s Relief Doctrine

Operating inside a genuine coalition—unlike modern operations where foreign partners often serve as political window dressing—demanded dual accountability. American field officers had to satisfy both their domestic superiors and British high command. When Major General Orlando Ward, commander of the 1st Armored Division in North Africa and a favored former secretary of Marshall's General Staff, drew the ire of British leadership, Eisenhower fired him the very next day. Yet the system did not destroy Ward; he was reassigned, commanded the 20th Armored Division by 1944, and briefly led V Corps before war's end.

Reflecting on the hard-fought victory in Tunisia in the spring of 1943—the first major Allied overland victory against Axis forces—Eisenhower articulated a definitive philosophy regarding the necessity of rapid relief. He saw immediate removal not as a bureaucratic punishment, but as the indispensable prerequisite for decentralized mission command:

> “Immediate and continuous loyalty to the concept of unity and Allied commanders is basic to victory. The instant such commanders lose the confidence of either government or of the majority of their principal subordinates, they must be relieved.”

> “The American doctrine has always been to assign a theater commander a mission, to provide him with a definite amount of force, and then to interfere as little as possible in the execution of his plans. If results obtained by the field commander become unsatisfactory, the proper procedure is not to advise, admonish, and harass him, but to replace him.”

- **The Battlefield Clock:** In World War II, a frontline combat division commander had approximately 60 to 90 days to succeed, be killed, or be relieved. - **Mission Command Trade-off:** Autonomy and the prevention of micromanagement required ruthless accountability; commanders who failed to produce results were removed outright rather than coached.

---

[31:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1888s) The Sacking of "Terrible Terry" Allen

The friction between the Marshall-Bradley template of corporate managers and old-school fighters came to a head with Major General Terry de la Mesa Allen, known as "Terrible Terry," commander of the legendary 1st Infantry Division (the "Big Red One"). Born in an Old West military fort, Allen was a hard-drinking, dice-shooting cavalryman who once beat a civilian cowboy in a heavily publicized cross-Texas horse endurance race from San Antonio to Dallas. Allen was fundamentally out of step with the buttoned-down, cautious managerial mold championed by Omar Bradley, whose guiding operational instinct was caution.

Allen repeatedly demonstrated brilliance in combat. In Tunisia, ordered to attack at dawn, he attacked at midnight instead, seizing all his objectives early. When George S. Patton arrived and began screeching in his high-pitched, squeaky voice—demanding to know why Allen was idling instead of attacking—Allen calmly pointed out that his troops had already taken all assigned positions. During the invasion of Sicily, German panzers counterattacked to within a kilometer of the invasion beaches, forcing American infantrymen to crouch in foxholes as tanks rolled over them. Allen halted the counteroffensive by preemptively assaulting the assembling German armor at 4:00 a.m. instead of waiting for daylight.

Despite leading the 1st Division through six weeks of brutal combat and winning the battle of Troina, Allen was summarily relieved by Bradley in August 1943. Bradley replaced him with Major General Clarence R. Huebner, a classic corporate-style soldier who had himself just been fired as deputy chief of staff to British General Harold Alexander. In keeping with the era's operational logic, Allen was not banished from the service; he returned stateside, trained the 104th Infantry Division ("Timberwolves"), and commanded it from Normandy across Western Europe into Germany.

- **Cavalry Stigma:** Senior infantry leaders in the European theater deeply distrusted cavalry officers, citing J.E.B. Stuart’s ride away to Carlisle during the Gettysburg campaign as proof that cavalrymen abandoned coordinated lines. - **Patton's Escape:** The enduring puzzle of the Sicilian campaign was not the dismissal of Terry Allen, but how Patton avoided being cashiered himself after the hospital slapping incidents, saved largely by his long-standing personal relationship with Eisenhower.

[35:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2114s) Eisenhower’s Management of Patton and the Culture of World War II Reliefs

George S. Patton Jr. maintained a complex view of command, simultaneously mocking his superiors for their frequent sackings while ruthlessly applying the axe himself. Dwight D. Eisenhower kept Patton in place because he recognized Patton's unique operational value: although Patton was deficient in defense and poor at broad coordination, he was peerless in the pursuit. By mid-1942, Eisenhower foresaw that Allied forces would eventually spend two to three years chasing German armies across Europe, making Patton indispensable despite his volatility. While Patton ridiculed Eisenhower and Omar Bradley for constantly relieving subordinates—insisting they were far too quick to sack officers—Patton did not spare his own men. In late 1944, he dismissed John S. Wood, the widely respected and admired commander of the 4th Armored Division, bluntly telling him he was sick and ordering him home.

Removals occurred throughout World War II at a staggering rate. John P. Lucas was relieved after Anzio, and Normandy saw an extraordinary turnover: Terry de la Mesa Allen Sr. was replaced, Roscoe B. Woodruff lasted mere days, and commanders like Eugene M. Landrum and Leroy H. Watson were cashiered weeks later. Meanwhile, two prominent commanders who arguably deserved relief went untouched: Douglas MacArthur and Bernard Montgomery. Eisenhower even drafted a cable in late 1944 demanding Montgomery’s removal, though he circulated it among colleagues rather than sending it, knowing the political impossibility of sacking the British field marshal.

The defining characteristic of this wartime doctrine was that relief functioned as a routine, practical administrative instrument rather than a career-ending condemnation. Because it happened so frequently, removal did not carry the stigma of cowardice or personal failure; it simply indicated an officer was out of step with his superiors, the strategic environment, or allied partners. Crucially, relief was rarely terminal, as officers were routinely reassigned to alternative positions or given second chances elsewhere.

“The point here though to remember, the takeaway, is that relief was very common; the more common it was, the less extreme it seems — it becomes a normal management tool.” — Thomas E. Ricks

- **George S. Patton Jr.**: Preserved by Eisenhower specifically for operational pursuit across Germany despite poor defensive skills. - **John S. Wood**: Relieved by Patton from command of the 4th Armored Division in late 1944 under the guise of medical exhaustion. - **Normandy Casualties**: Extensive leadership turnover among division commanders shortly after entering combat (e.g., Landrum, Watson). - **Montgomery & MacArthur**: Major senior theater commanders whose political stature shielded them from deserved dismissal.

---

[37:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2249s) The Erosion of Accountability: Rotation, Churn, and the Demise of Relief

The institutional custom of removing underperforming field commanders—a standard practice spanning the American Revolution, Abraham Lincoln's search for battlefield leadership in the Civil War, World War I, and World War II—rapidly collapsed following the Korean War. Although Matthew Ridgway relieved five division commanders in early 1951 upon taking charge of the Eighth Army, dismissals ground to a halt by the end of the conflict. This shift stemmed from two core dynamics: the domestic political friction of sacking commanders during unpopular wars, and the introduction of institutional troop rotation policies in 1951–1952. In World War II, soldiers and officers remained for the duration—encapsulated by the adage that "the road home went through Berlin"—giving commanders a vested interest in fixing leadership deficiencies immediately. Under fixed-length tours, superiors adopted an attitude of running out the clock, choosing to wait out an ineffective officer's impending rotation rather than undergoing the unpleasant administrative ordeal of a formal sacking.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: Impact of Rotational Tours on Command Climate accDescr: Diagram tracing how one-year tours and six-month command rotations led to officer churning, lack of trust, and micromanagement.

subgraph Policies ["Personnel Policies"] A["One-Year Rotational Tours<br>(Introduced 1951-1952)"] B["Westmoreland's 6-Month<br>Command / Staff Splits"] end

subgraph Effects ["Tactical & Institutional Outcomes"] C["High Turnover & Rapid Churning<br>(e.g., Americal Division)"] D["Erosion of Relief as an<br>Administrative Tool"] E["Commanders Do Not Know<br>or Trust Subordinates"] F["Systemic Micromanagement<br>(Helicopter Hovering)"] end

A --> D A --> C B --> C C --> E E --> F D --> F ```

This personnel rotation was heavily exacerbated in the Vietnam War by William Westmoreland's policy of splitting one-year combat tours into six months of command and six months of staff duty. Compounded by combat casualties, wounds, and rapid promotions, this generated severe churning across the ranks. In units such as the troubled Americal Division, an infantry company could cycle through seven distinct company commanders in the span of six months. This rapid turnover destroyed trust between officers and their subordinates, fostering rampant micromanagement, typified by battalion and brigade commanders hovering in helicopters over engagements to direct low-level maneuvers.

The definitive collapse of commander relief arrived within the 1st Infantry Division in 1966. Its commander, William E. DePuy, aggressively purged failing subordinates, relieving 11 battalion commanders or their equivalents within a single calendar year. This prompted Army Chief of Staff Harold K. Johnson to visit DePuy's hooch at Christmas to reprimand him for sacking officers instead of mentoring them.

“Harold Johnson says, ‘Why are you firing all my battalion commanders? You're supposed to train them.’ The assistant division commander pipes up and says, ‘Funny, I thought we were supposed to fight them.’” — Thomas E. Ricks

- **The Rotation Paradigm**: Commenced in Korea in 1951, replacing the "duration of the war" service model and disincentivizing formal removals. - **Westmoreland's Split Tours**: Six months in command followed by six months on staff produced institutional instability. - **Americal Division Example**: Severe organizational turnover resulted in an average of seven company commanders over a single six-month stretch. - **DePuy's Dismissals**: 11 battalion-level commanders relieved in 1966, provoking pushback from Army Chief of Staff Harold K. Johnson. - **Vietnam General Officer Immunity**: Only one division commander was relieved during the entire Vietnam War; the commander overseeing the division responsible for the My Lai massacre was promoted to superintendent of West Point before facing charges.

---

[40:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2434s) Modern Consequences: Risk Aversion and Civilian Intervention

The abandonment of relief transformed the institutional culture of the officer corps, fostering risk-averse, conformist managers rather than bold operational thinkers. A direct intellectual lineage runs from Omar Bradley's frontal assault on Omaha Beach, through Norman Schwarzkopf’s early plans for the 1991 Gulf War, to Tommy Franks's operational plan for the 2003 invasion of Iraq. All three exhibited an unimaginative approach that can be summarized as "hey diddle diddle, straight up the middle," obsessing over the mechanics of initial breach while neglecting post-assault strategic consolidation.

Because military hierarchies refuse to hold their own senior ranks accountable through administrative relief, four-star generals are now relieved almost exclusively by civilian authorities. General Douglas MacArthur's firing by Harry S. Truman in the Korean War established this dynamic at the exact moment the military ceased disciplining its own general officers. To restore operational vigor, modern armed forces must reclaim the historic tradition of relief as an internal instrument of professional standards.

“My concluding thought is, if the Army won't fire generals, civilians will.” — Thomas E. Ricks

Following the conclusion of the lecture, the host opened the floor to audience questions while clarifying logistics regarding the post-event reception at the Faculty Club. Ricks invited direct critiques, humorously remarking that his career as an investigative reporter provided him with thick skin against personal offenses.

- **Conformist Officer Corps**: The elimination of performance sackings selected for cheerful, risk-averse managers over creative tacticians. - **Frontal Assault Mentality**: Bradley, Schwarzkopf, and Franks shared a fixation on initial kinetic thrusts over planning for downstream stabilization. - **Four-Star Accountability**: Modern general officer dismissals are executed almost exclusively by civilian executives rather than uniform leadership.

---

[43:20](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2600s) Q&A: Stanley McChrystal, Abu Ghraib, and Ricardo Sanchez

In the opening question of the Q&A session, an attendee named Ronald Winter asked whether General Stanley McChrystal had engineered his own dismissal in Afghanistan through deliberate insubordination or if he was relieved due to basic incompetence. Ricks assessed that while McChrystal was not seeking an exit, he suffered from a fatal lack of political acumen. While matching or exceeding David Petraeus in technical warfighting competence, McChrystal completely lacked Petraeus's sophistication in dealing with the press. McChrystal allowed a reporter from *Rolling Stone* open, alcohol-fueled access while traveling through Paris without setting strict ground rules, reflecting severe operational indiscipline among his inner circle and a catastrophic failure by his public affairs staff to vet the reporter.

“I always thought that McChrystal had all the war-fighting ability of David Petraeus and more, but none of the political savvy.” — Thomas E. Ricks

The discussion turned to the institutional failures surrounding the Abu Ghraib scandal. When critics suggest that officers are still fired by citing Brigadier General Janis Karpinski, Ricks countered that Karpinski was an outsider: a female Army Reserve officer serving in a non-combat branch. The true failure of accountability lay with the active-duty chain of command, notably Lieutenant General Ricardo Sanchez. Ricks asserted that Sanchez was fundamentally miscast as the senior commander in Iraq, a judgment shared by senior military leaders prior to the deployment.

“I know of one senior Army general who went to John Abizaid and said, ‘Don't put Sanchez in there; he's a lightweight, he's the most junior three-star in the Army, he is not capable of this job’ — an opinion, by the way, I utterly endorse.” — Thomas E. Ricks

Ricks recalled his personal experience being embedded with Sanchez's headquarters during the invasion of Iraq. Sitting through daily morning briefings, Ricks viewed Sanchez as an out-of-depth, "jumped-up battalion commander" who fixated on minutiae and took pride in berating junior staff over trivial logistical accounting—such as discrepancy counts of missing tires—rather than grasping the strategic and operational catastrophe unfolding around him.

- **Stanley McChrystal**: Possessed elite operational warfighting skills but lacked political awareness; undone by basic public affairs failures and poor ground rules with *Rolling Stone*. - **Janis Karpinski**: Singled out for public discipline at Abu Ghraib due to her status as an institutional outsider (female, Reserve, non-combat branch). - **Ricardo Sanchez**: Promoted beyond his competence as the most junior three-star general; cautioned against by senior peers to CENTCOM Commander John Abizaid. - **Micro-Focused Leadership**: Sanchez's command style centered on public browbeating over small logistical errors rather than addressing broader counterinsurgency dynamics.

[47:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2826s) Alternate History: Relieving Commanders and the WWII Parallel of Joe Collins

Reflecting on the early mismanagement in Iraq, Thomas E. Ricks describes an officer micromanaging minor logistics—obsessing over whether two tires were found—and thinking, “My God, this is not the way you take over a country.” That task belonged to a brigade executive officer, marking the leadership approach as a profound mistake from the beginning. In an alternate universe where the U.S. military still practiced rapid relief without political embarrassment, Ricks envisions how different the spring of 2004 could have been. In World War II, senior leaders would have surveyed the division commanders in theater and asked who was actually doing a decent job. The obvious answer was the commander up north, David Petraeus. Yet institutional peers resented him, viewing him with suspicion: he was an intellectual with a Princeton Ph.D. who liked reporters—which amounted to “three strikes, man.”

Ricks points out that World War II leadership handled talent far differently, pointing to J. Lawton "Lightning Joe" Collins. Collins had performed exceptionally well on Guadalcanal, but General Douglas MacArthur insisted he was too young for corps command. Collins immediately flew to Washington, walked into General George C. Marshall’s office, and declared: “Get me out of the Pacific; I ain't working for MacArthur.” Marshall, who understood MacArthur’s temperament and could barely stand him either, reassigned Collins to the European theater. There, Collins became the premier corps commander the Allied command leaned on, famously spearheading the breakout at Saint-Lô during Operation Cobra and eventually rising to Army Chief of Staff after Omar Bradley. Ricks argues that had the military possessed the flexibility to elevate Petraeus in a similar manner in 2004, the course of the war would have changed dramatically. However, the existing structure was too rigid, viewing rapid reassignments as destabilizing turbulence rather than merit-based adaptation.

```mermaid flowchart TD accTitle: WWII Merit-Based Command vs Iraq War Inflexibility accDescr: Comparison of WWII talent management via Joe Collins versus the rigid personnel system during the Iraq War.

subgraph WWII["World War II Model (J. Lawton Collins)"] A["Collins excels on Guadalcanal"] --> B["MacArthur blocks promotion: 'too young'"] B --> C["Marshall transfers Collins to Europe"] C --> D["Breakthrough at Saint-Lô & Army Chief of Staff"] end

subgraph Iraq["2004 Iraq War Model (David Petraeus)"] E["Petraeus excels in northern Iraq"] --> F["Establishment distrusts him (Intellectual/Ph.D.)"] F --> G["Rigid promotion structure prevents rapid elevation"] G --> H["Institutional inertia prolongs war"] end ```

[49:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2948s) The Failure of Command at Abu Ghraib and Clausewitz’s Dictum

When an audience member asks about the officer sent to reform detention operations, Ricks recalls how officials foolishly assumed that importing interrogation techniques from Guantánamo Bay would solve systemic failures. What Abu Ghraib actually needed was basic, thoughtful oversight. The prison sat directly on the vulnerable seam between the 82nd Airborne Division's area of operations to the west and another unit's sector to the east. It was guarded by an under-resourced Army Reserve military police unit that possessed no heavy firepower, failed to patrol its own exterior perimeter, and lacked both mobility and security. Insurgents repeatedly walked right up to the perimeter to fire mortars and small arms at the base, leaving the garrison terrified and overwhelmed.

Although Ricks has reservations about Major General Charles H. Swannack Jr., then commanding the 82nd Airborne, he credits Swannack with driving out to the prison one day and asking the commander, Brigadier General Janis Karpinski, what was going on. When Karpinski admitted she was getting hammered, Swannack pushed out combat patrols and cleared the seam. The broader scandal, Ricks emphasizes, was born of profound high-level inattention and wishful thinking—the false assumption that if everyone just holds hands and pretends conditions are good, reality will follow. This neglect violated the foundational rule of strategy: “Clausewitz says the first and really only task of the commander is to understand the nature of the conflict as in which he was engaged.” Ricks concludes that American forces on the ground failed to achieve that fundamental understanding until December 2006, a delay of nearly four years—longer than the entire duration of U.S. involvement in World War II.

[50:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3050s) Q&A: Navy vs. Army Traditions of Relieving Commanders

During the question-and-answer period, a UC Davis midshipman asks why the U.S. Navy frequently relieves ship commanding officers while the Army appears reluctant to fire commanders. Ricks clarifies that while his core research has focused on Army generals over the past decade, the Navy has historically maintained a distinct and rigorous tradition regarding command accountability. In past eras, facing disciplinary action did not automatically destroy a career. During World War II, two members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff—General Alexander Vandegrift of the Marine Corps and Admiral Ernest King—had both been court-martialed in their youth, as had Admiral William Halsey. An official reprimand was a setback an officer took in stride before moving forward.

Ricks strongly defends commander reliefs as an ethical necessity for protecting troops, contrasting it with bureaucratic career preservation. Whenever members of Congress badgered General George C. Marshall about why a particular division commander had been relieved during World War II, Marshall made his duty explicit: “Marshall when somebody comes and like some congressman complains constantly... he writes back again and again, 'This is a democracy, and the enlisted count for more in my mind than the officer corps; I am not going to let soldiers get killed just to help some officer's career along.'” While Ricks respects the Navy’s ongoing willingness to remove underperforming commanding officers, he adds an asterisk: the vast majority of dismissals occur within the Surface Warfare community. He cautions that this practice risks reflecting the toxic culture encapsulated by the naval adage "SWOs eat their young," rather than healthy operational accountability.

[53:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3198s) Q&A: Why the Post-Vietnam Army Never Reformed Generalship

An audience member asks whether the modern Army is adapting its leadership practices and becoming more open to relieving senior commanders in Iraq and Afghanistan. Ricks answers directly: “The short answer is no, I don't.” He explains that after Vietnam, the Army engineered a magnificent rebuilding campaign, overhauling how the force was trained, equipped, and ethically oriented. However, the post-Vietnam reform movement deliberately neglected the top brass: “The one thing they did not do—and I blame William DePuy for this—they did not revise generalship; they basically built this powerful new body and slapped a rotten old head on it.”

Rather than confronting the strategic failures of its leadership in Southeast Asia, the post-Vietnam military establishment embraced a defensive myth: they argued that the armed forces had performed brilliantly, only to be undermined by the press, civilian politicians, and anti-war activists. Because the Army never honestly audited its senior command performance in Vietnam, it carried those same unexamined flaws into Iraq and Afghanistan. Compounding the issue today, a decade of endless deployments has left senior officers utterly exhausted. Officers attend senior service colleges not to cultivate critical thinking, but simply to catch their breath, repair strained marriages, and spend time with their families before being deployed back into combat rotations.

- General William E. DePuy led the post-Vietnam doctrine overhaul via TRADOC, reforming junior officer tactics and equipment while leaving general-officer accountability untouched. - Institutional myth-making shielded Vietnam-era commanders from scrutiny by blaming external institutions rather than strategic command failures. - War College-level professional military education (PME) has deteriorated into a recuperation period for battle-weary officers rather than a rigorous crucible for strategic leadership.

[55:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3319s) Q&A: Why the Absence of Firings Breeds Risk Aversion

Midshipman 2nd Class Ray from UC Berkeley asks the final question, pointing out what seems like a contradiction: wouldn't firing more generals make officers overly cautious and afraid of sticking their necks out? Ricks quips that "counterintuitive" is just Berkeley talk for "wrong," but concedes the premise is natural. In practice, however, the exact opposite occurs: “When nobody gets fired, there's no incentive to take risk.” If an officer can quietly complete a tour without making waves and receive the exact same promotion and accolades as someone who takes bold, necessary risks, the institutional incentive directs everyone toward safe mediocrity.

Ricks recounts extensive discussions with David Petraeus while writing *The Gamble*. Petraeus frequently ordered his subordinates in commander conferences to “take some freaking risk around here.” Petraeus stressed that taking risks had to be a collective mandate across all commands; if only one commander stuck his head out like a solitary nail, that officer would get hammered down and defeated in detail. This unified risk-taking defined the 2007 Surge, which was distinguished less by troop numbers than by an aggressive tactical mindset. That shift came at a steep human cost; spring 2007 was the bloodiest phase of the entire war, with U.S. forces losing 215 soldiers in May 2007 alone.

Recalling an interview during that brutal month, Ricks describes Petraeus looking haggard, worn out, and visibly drawn—unaware at the time that he was also battling prostate cancer. Under the crushing pressure of escalating casualties, Petraeus lost his temper and threw Ricks out of his office, marking the only time that happened throughout the reporting of the book. Ricks later reviewed the general's schedule and told the staff: “Please do not schedule my one-hour interviews with Petraeus between a one-hour VTC with the president and a one-hour VTC with Admiral Fallon; this is just not a good time slot in his life.” Ricks wraps up the lecture by reiterating that without tangible institutional incentives for taking bold risks, officers simply will not take them.

[58:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3483s) Prudential Risk-Taking and the Patton Model

Concluding his thoughts on military command, Thomas E. Ricks reflects on the institutional need to foster calculated boldness among senior commanders. He clarifies that the military should not encourage reckless gambling, but rather build an organizational culture and structure geared toward prudential risk-taking. To illustrate this distinction, he points to General George S. Patton Jr., noting that while Patton possessed well-documented personal eccentricities, his battlefield approach was far from reckless. As Ricks observes, “Patton was crazy in a lot of ways but he was not a crazy warfighter except at the end of the war when he did this goofy mission to rescue his son-in-law and got a battalion wiped out.”

Setting aside that late-war misstep, Ricks emphasizes that Patton’s genius lay in his deep comprehension of operational dynamics and the psychology of the opposing force. Patton recognized that the adversary is almost always experiencing the exact same exhaustion, fear, and friction as one's own troops. By pushing past that threshold of fatigue and committing to aggressive, calculated action, a commander can break the stalemate. As Ricks concludes before thanking the audience to warm applause, “He understood his enemy and he took a lot of risk and he understood the enemy is almost always going to be as tired as you if you go the extra mile frequently that's the measure that wins you victory.”

- **Prudential vs. reckless risk**: Effective command requires calculated, informed operational risk rather than wild aggression. - **Patton's combat doctrine**: Outside of the controversial raid to rescue his son-in-law (Task Force Baum at Hammelburg), Patton operated on a clear-eyed assessment of enemy vulnerabilities and fatigue. - **The decisive edge**: Pushing troops the "extra mile" when both sides are exhausted is frequently the decisive factor that secures military victory.

## Notable quotes > [55:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3319s) When nobody gets fired, there's no incentive to take risk. — Thomas E. Ricks

> [28:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1686s) If results obtained by the field commander become unsatisfactory, the proper procedure is not to advise, admonish, and harass him, but to replace him. — Dwight D. Eisenhower

> [50:50](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=3050s) This is a democracy, and the enlisted count for more in my mind than the officer corps; I am not going to let soldiers get killed just to help some officer's career along. — George C. Marshall

> [40:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=2434s) My concluding thought is, if the Army won't fire generals, civilians will. — Thomas E. Ricks

> [28:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE&t=1686s) The American doctrine has always been to assign a theater commander a mission, to provide him with a definite amount of force, and then to interfere as little as possible in the execution of his plans. — Dwight D. Eisenhower

## Mentioned Thomas E. Ricks, Captain Phil Roos, Chester W. Nimitz, George C. Marshall, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Douglas MacArthur, Omar Bradley, George S. Patton Jr., Terry de la Mesa Allen Sr., William Westmoreland, Creighton Abrams, Raymond T. Odierno, Matthew Ridgway, John J. Pershing, Joseph Stilwell, Carl von Clausewitz, Husband E. Kimmel, Walter Short, Frederick Martin, Lloyd Fredendall, Walter Krueger, Robert Williams, Simon Bolivar Buckner Jr., Ernest J. King, Albert E. Brown, Eugene M. Landrum, Ralph C. Smith, Holland M. Smith, Simon Bolivar Buckner Sr., Ulysses S. Grant, François Darlan, Orlando Ward, Clarence R. Huebner, Harold Alexander, John S. Wood, John P. Lucas, Roscoe B. Woodruff, Leroy H. Watson, Bernard Montgomery, William E. DePuy, Harold K. Johnson, Norman Schwarzkopf, Tommy Franks, Harry S. Truman, Stanley McChrystal, David Petraeus, Janis Karpinski, Ricardo Sanchez, John Abizaid, J. Lawton Collins, Charles H. Swannack Jr., Alexander Vandegrift, William Halsey, William J. Fallon, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Center for a New American Security (CNAS), Foreign Policy, Rolling Stone, Making the Corps, Fiasco: The American Military Adventure in Iraq, The Gamble: General David Petraeus and the American Military Adventure in Iraq, 2006–2008, 1st Infantry Division, Americal Division, 82nd Airborne Division, Task Force Baum

## Video description The Fleet Admiral Chester W. Nimitz Memorial Lecture

Thomas E. Ricks is a Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Concurrently with his duties at CNAS, Ricks writes an online blog for ForeignPolicy.com called, "The Best Defense," serves as contributing editor for Foreign Policy.

http://nimitz.berkeley.edu/

[Source](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxZWxxZ2JGE)

中文简报

为何美军将领在二战中的表现优于朝战、越战或伊拉克与阿富汗战争 托马斯·E·里克斯探讨了为何美国将领在二战中表现卓越,却在朝鲜、越南、伊拉克和阿富汗战争中陷入困境。他认为,乔治·C·马歇尔建立了一套果断且冷酷的问责机制,表现不佳的指挥官会被常规撤换且不带有断送职业生涯的污名,这促成了快速适应与大胆冒险。相比之下,二战后的改革、为期一年的作战轮换制度以及体制层面的自卫倾向催生了规避风险的盲从管理文化,导致军方不愿撤换不合格的将领。其结果是,现代战略失误往往持续蔓延,直至文职领导人不得不介入。 在二战期间,撤换师长和军长是一种标准的管理工具而非职业自杀,在约165名作战师长中,有16人因表现不佳被撤换,其中数人后来重返岗位再度执掌师级指挥权。 (18:27) 朝鲜战争后,由于国内政治敏感性以及实行固定为期一年的作战轮换期,撤换战场指挥官的体制化做法走向瓦解,导致上级失去了撤换无效军官的动力。 (37:29) 越战后由威廉·德普伊将军主导的军事改革重构了战术条令、训练与装备,但刻意回避了对将领体制的改革,致使战略指挥层面的问责制原地未动。 (53:18) 废除基于表现的撤职机制在将官中滋生了系统性的风险规避和管理型盲从,导致现代四星上将的免职几乎完全落在文职当局手中。 (40:34)

Reading summary

Journalist and military author Thomas E. Ricks argues that American generals in World War II achieved superior strategic outcomes because the military operated an aggressive accountability system that swiftly relieved underperforming commanders without ending their careers. In contrast, post-Korean War personnel rotation policies created an institutional culture of risk aversion, managerial conformism, and general officer immunity. Marshall's System of Routine Relief and Second Chances (9:09) Under General George C. Marshall, who expanded the U.S. Army from 190,000 personnel in 1939 to nine million by war's end, command accountability was treated as an operational necessity rather than a personal condemnation. Marshall established aggressive pre-war filters, retiring roughly 200 senior officers deemed too old for modern combat and giving theater commanders such as Dwight D. Eisenhower and Douglas MacArthur veto power over incoming division leaders. During the war, approximately 16 out of 165 Army division commanders and four to five corps commanders were relieved in combat. Relief as an Administrative Tool Rather Than Ruin (18:27) Relief during World War II operated as a common administrative instrument rather than a career-ending verdict. Frontline division commanders were expected to succeed, be killed, or be relieved within 60 to 90 days. Because dismissals were routine, they carried little stigma: at least four relieved division commanders in Europe received another division command within a year. Officers like Terry de la Mesa Allen and Orlando Ward were removed when they clashed with superiors or allies, yet they were reassigned to lead new divisions later in the conflict. The Post-Korea Rotation Policy and Command Immunity (37:29) The practice of internal military accountability collapsed after the Korean War, accelerated by the introduction of individual rotation policies in 1951–1952. Unlike World War II, where personnel remained for the duration of the conflict, fixed-length tours encouraged superiors to wait out an ineffective officer's scheduled rotation rather than initiate a formal dismissal. In Vietnam, William Westmoreland's policy of splitting one-year combat tours into six months of command and six months of staff duty led to severe churning, destroying trust and fostering micromanagement. Consequences in Post-9/11 Conflicts (40:34) Ricks contends that post-Vietnam doctrinal reforms rebuilt the military's body while leaving generalship unexamined, leading to repeated strategic missteps in Iraq and Afghanistan. Flag officers such as Ricardo Sanchez presided over operational failures and micromanaged minor logistics while remaining immune to internal relief, while outsider figures like Army Reserve Brigadier General Janis Karpinski bore the public discipline for scandals like Abu Ghraib. Because the military stopped policing its own senior leaders, removals of four-star generals became the exclusive domain of civilian executives, exemplified by Harry Truman firing MacArthur and the later dismissal of Stanley McChrystal. How the Absence of Dismissals Fosters Risk Aversion (55:19) Contrary to the assumption that frequent dismissals cause timidity, Ricks maintains that an absence of firings eliminates any incentive for commanders to take calculated, prudential risks. When safe mediocrity guarantees the same promotion track as bold initiative, officers become cautious managers focused on avoiding mistakes. Ricks cites George S. Patton Jr. as a model of informed operational boldness, arguing that true combat leadership requires pressing through fatigue and friction to exploit enemy vulnerabilities. Ricks concludes that unless the armed forces revive internal mechanisms to remove underperforming senior commanders and reward prudential risk-taking, civilian leaders will continue to intervene, leaving the military trapped in managerial stalemate rather than decisive strategic execution.

精炼阅读摘要

军事记者托马斯·E·里克斯(Thomas E. Ricks)认为,美军将领在二战中的战绩远优于朝鲜战争、越南战争及伊拉克与阿富汗战争,关键在于二战时期建立了以乔治·C·马歇尔为代表的快速解职与问责机制,而战后该机制的消亡导致了军官阶层的平庸与避险文化。 马歇尔体系与二战指挥官筛选 (9:09) 马歇尔在1939年9月1日出任陆军参谋长时,美军仅有19万人,规模甚至小于保加利亚军队,被其评为“连三流都算不上”。为应对大战,马歇尔在上任前夕便计划退役约200名年长的高级军官,并在战前建立起严格的将领选拔与双重审核机制:师长在本土训练部队,但战区指挥官(如艾森豪威尔和麦克阿瑟)拥有绝对否决权。此外,马歇尔早于1920年便确立了将领标准,强调常识、体能、乐观、活力、极度忠诚与决断力,同时坚决淘汰具有悲观情绪的军官,以适应美军动员初期必然经历的物资与训练不足。 解职作为常规管理工具而非生涯终结 (18:27) 在二战期间,前线作战师长通常有60至90天的时间证明能力,否则便面临解职。在指挥过实战师的约165名陆军师长中,有16人因战绩不佳被撤换,另有4至5名军长被撤职。然而,解职在当时被视为正常的管理调整而非彻底的职业惩罚,至少4名在欧洲战场被撤换的师长在一年内重新执掌其他师。例如特里·艾伦(Terry Allen)在取得西西里特罗伊纳战役胜利后因管理摩擦被布拉德利解职,但随后返回本土训练第104步兵师并重返欧洲战场;奥兰多·沃德(Orlando Ward)在北非被解职后亦重获师长及军长职位。 轮换制度与战后问责文化的瓦解 (37:29) 自1951至1952年朝鲜战争后期引入固定任期轮换制以来,二战时期“服役直至战争结束”的模式被终结。威斯特摩兰在越战中推行的一年任期再拆分为“六个月指挥加六个月参谋”的政策,加剧了基层军官的频繁更迭,个别连队甚至在半年内换了7任连长,催生了严重的微观管理与信任危机。面对表现欠佳的军官,上级倾向于等待其任期结束自然轮换,而非启动繁琐的正式解职程序。在越战期间,整场战争仅有一名师长被撤职,军方甚至在战后将失败归咎于媒体与文官政客,从而回避了对高层指挥体制的内部审视。 缺乏问责催生战略避险与文官干预 (40:34) 由于不再对失败进行体制内惩戒,军官阶层逐渐被行事谨慎、墨守成规的技术官僚主导,并在战略规划上形成依赖正面强攻的保守倾向。在伊拉克战争初期,第三星级将领桑切斯(Ricardo Sanchez)深陷微观后勤琐事而无力把握战略全局,但军队未能像二战时期调动柯林斯(Joe Collins)那样快速提拔佩特雷乌斯(David Petraeus)等具备战役理解力的人才。与此同时,现代美军内部几乎不再撤换四星上将,导致类似麦克阿瑟或麦克里斯特尔(Stanley McChrystal)的高级将领撤换均只能由民选文官政府直接出手干预。 里克斯总结指出,缺乏解职机制不仅没有保护指挥官,反而剥夺了军官承担必要战术风险的制度动机,催生了平庸与避险倾向。美军若要重振战役层面的活力,必须在职业军官团内部重建审慎冒险与常规问责的传统,否则高级将领的任免权将不可避免地完全落入文官政治体系手中。

Source quotes

[55:19] Thomas E. Ricks: When nobody gets fired, there's no incentive to take risk. [28:06] Dwight D. Eisenhower: If results obtained by the field commander become unsatisfactory, the proper procedure is not to advise, admonish, and harass him, but to replace him. [50:50] George C. Marshall: This is a democracy, and the enlisted count for more in my mind than the officer corps; I am not going to let soldiers get killed just to help some officer's career along. [40:34] Thomas E. Ricks: My concluding thought is, if the Army won't fire generals, civilians will. [28:06] Dwight D. Eisenhower: The American doctrine has always been to assign a theater commander a mission, to provide him with a definite amount of force, and then to interfere as little as possible in the execution of his plans.

Original transcript

[0:11] well good [0:14] evening [0:16] welcome to the 27th annual nimit Lector [0:19] ship thank you so much for coming [0:20] tonight my name is Captain Phil Rose I [0:22] am the director of military Affairs here [0:25] at Cal and uh also the commanding [0:28] officer of the naval RC [0:30] unit it's the best job in the [0:34] Navy uh the Nimitz lecture series was [0:38] established by endowment to invite [0:40] prominent speakers to lecture and [0:42] educate not only our students but also [0:45] our community on items of national [0:46] interest and [0:48] relevance since the establishment of the [0:50] program in 1983 we've hosted a wide [0:53] array of distinguished and nationally [0:55] recognized public figures who have [0:57] enriched us with their unique [0:59] perspectives and expertise on an equally [1:01] wide array of [1:02] topics ladies and gentlemen we have all [1:05] have an obligation to be an informed [1:07] public and uh I'm honored that you have [1:12] come [1:13] tonight it's an honor and a privilege to [1:15] welcome Mr Tom Ricks as our 27th Nimitz [1:19] lecturer Mr Rick Hail To Us um from [1:24] Massachusetts originally and has an [1:26] extensive personal and professional [1:28] background perfectly suited for this [1:31] venue he grew up in New [1:33] York also spent time as a student in the [1:36] American International School in [1:39] cabul graduated from [1:42] Yale and after teaching in Hong Kong for [1:44] two years and serving as an assistant [1:46] editor with the Wilson quarterly was [1:49] hired and spent 17 years with the Wall [1:51] Street [1:53] Journal ultimately cul culminating in [1:55] his [1:56] position as the Pentagon correspondent [2:00] for that [2:03] publication in 2000 he became the [2:05] Washington posts military correspondent [2:08] a post he held until [2:11] 2008 he's a recipient of two piter [2:14] prizes the first a team award in [2:17] 2000 with the Wall Street Journal on a [2:19] series of articles on how the US [2:20] military might adapt to new demands in [2:22] the 21st [2:23] century and the second in [2:26] 2002 another team award this time with [2:28] the Washington Post [2:30] post for reporting about the beginning [2:32] of the US counter offensive against [2:35] terrorism Mr Rick is an accomplished [2:37] author and expert on Military and [2:39] Foreign Affairs notable books include [2:41] making the core a book that Chronicles [2:43] recruit training for the United States [2:45] Marine Corps Fiasco the American [2:48] Military Adventure in Iraq and most [2:50] recently the gamble General Petraeus and [2:54] the American Military Adventure in Iraq [2:56] 2006 to [2:58] 2008 he's a senior fellow with the [3:00] center of New American Security an [3:02] independent and nonpartisan research [3:04] institution that leads efforts to help [3:07] inform and prepare the National Security [3:09] leaders of today and tomorrow he also [3:12] maintains a very popular foreign policy [3:14] web blog or blog [3:16] online I think Mr Ricks is uh perfectly [3:19] suited to be our nimts lecturer this [3:22] week ladies and Gentlemen please welcome [3:25] Tom Ricks our 2011 nimit lecture [3:35] good evening it's a real pleasure to be [3:37] here uh I just wish that I was really in [3:40] California because you couldn't persuade [3:42] me it's rained the whole time since I [3:43] arrived on [3:45] Sunday U just want to begin with a [3:47] couple of questions would you hold up [3:48] your hand if you're affiliated with the [3:50] military [3:53] here you guys aren't the cadets or okay [3:57] um would you hold up your hand if you [3:59] were Affiliated somehow with the [4:00] university in some other [4:03] capacity and finally would you hold up [4:05] your hand if you are just from the [4:07] general [4:08] public interesting cross-section well I [4:10] appreciate you're all coming tonight [4:12] given the rain out there I'm not sure I [4:14] would have come to see [4:16] me final question hold up your hand if [4:19] you know who this guy [4:21] is okay I guarantee you if there's one [4:24] thing you'll all know who he is by the [4:26] time you walk out of here [4:31] uh I want to talk a little bit at the [4:33] beginning about why I write [4:35] books I've written four I'm in the [4:37] middle of my fifth I enjoy it [4:40] enormously but one thing that writing a [4:42] book is is consuming it's all consuming [4:45] it takes up vast amounts of time effort [4:49] and energy I will occasionally awake in [4:51] the middle of the night and realize I [4:53] have been dreaming about something in my [4:55] book and I'll get up and start writing [4:58] oh you know you know when West Merlin [5:00] met with Abrams in the spring of 1970 on [5:03] that issue and make a note to myself on [5:06] that I don't write books because I have [5:09] answers at least at the beginning of [5:10] them I write books because I have [5:14] questions the process of writing a book [5:17] I find is just going to so dominate your [5:19] life that you have to be driven at least [5:22] I have to be driven by a really [5:25] compelling interest in figuring out the [5:27] answer to something for me every book is [5:29] in some way a mystery story a detective [5:32] novel why did this happen um what is [5:36] this problem how can I under come to [5:38] understand this and explain [5:42] it after writing two books about Iraq I [5:46] came away wondering ultimately how our [5:48] generals could have been so wrong there [5:51] and this is a line of thought that [5:53] actually began for me in 2005 I had left [5:57] Iraq I was on a military staff ride of [5:59] Sicily we are studying the campaign of [6:01] the summer of [6:02] 1943 the first American Landing in [6:05] Europe in the [6:07] war and the culminating battle was in [6:09] trro just north of of the town of Ena in [6:12] central Sicily and I was standing there [6:14] on the staff ride and a retired colonel [6:16] was explaining that day's action in this [6:19] battle where the first Infantry Division [6:21] had ultimately prevailed against the [6:23] Germans in the culminating Battle of the [6:26] campaign the first in Infantry Division [6:28] was commanded by Terry Allen um a really [6:32] wonderful character I'll talk a little [6:34] bit more about later the most successful [6:37] division command of the army had in [6:38] Europe for the first year of the war at [6:40] the end of the battle Allen having won [6:43] it he was fired by Omar Bradley and that [6:46] really lit a fuse for me how could that [6:48] be here I was just coming from Iraq in ' [6:50] 05 we had generals who were screwed it [6:53] up to a fair the well nobody was firing [6:55] them why in World War II would a [6:58] successful General have been fired when [7:01] nowadays nobody got fired and that was [7:02] the sort of the beginning question for [7:04] me that that really nagged at me for [7:06] several [7:07] years in addition it was clear to me [7:10] that the problem was not the raw [7:13] material the generals I knew and I knew [7:15] many of them were [7:18] hardworking [7:20] determined courageous most of them were [7:22] smart not all of [7:24] them um generally what people would say [7:27] he's a good guy [7:30] um I had I was actually the first [7:32] reporter ever to go to the Army's Charm [7:34] School they called it for new [7:35] brigadiers um it's the it's a week at [7:38] that time it was at Fort lenworth and [7:40] all the new actor Duty reserve and guard [7:42] generals were sent there to learn how to [7:44] be a general and I had asked uh Dennis [7:47] Rymer then the Army Chief of Staff if I [7:49] could attend it and he was trying to [7:51] work at new forms of transparency and he [7:52] said okay and it was funny because it [7:55] was a room about this size filled to [7:57] capacity and the first stay there I'm [8:00] sitting there and like I'm in the only [8:03] seat that has an empty seat on either [8:05] side of [8:07] it and you could just see these guys say [8:09] you know 25 years waiting to become a [8:12] general and there's a reporter sitting [8:13] there next to me nuh well about halfway [8:16] through that day General Rymer showed up [8:18] and sat down next to me hey Tomy says [8:21] and suddenly it's like Alexa hente if [8:24] you remember those oh you know we go out [8:26] into for the coffee break and all [8:28] everybody suddenly wants to talk to me [8:30] this is the guy the chief of staff is [8:32] sitting next to so in that in that time [8:34] in charms SCH I really came to know a [8:36] lot of these guys uh for example one of [8:38] my classmates was Raymond oderno who [8:41] later went on to command in in a in Iraq [8:43] under General [8:46] Petraeus and I think um is going on even [8:49] to other fourstar positions in the [8:51] future they were a terrific bunch of [8:53] people but they didn't strike me as [8:55] being particularly successful so the [8:57] more research I did the more I studied [8:59] this the more puzzled I became and [9:01] eventually realized okay the only way [9:04] I'm going to get this out of my head is [9:05] to write a book about [9:09] it eventually I find myself reaching [9:12] back to George C Marshall and in the [9:15] process George C Marshall became one of [9:18] my real [9:19] heroes U George C Marshall is almost [9:24] forgotten today if people know of him [9:26] it's really only because of the Marshall [9:28] Plan which ironically was not something [9:30] he did while in uniform but something he [9:32] did while as Secretary of [9:34] State um it won him the Nobel Prize for [9:38] Peace the first soldier ever to win the [9:41] Nobel Peace [9:42] Prize but he's not remembered [9:45] particularly for what he did in the [9:47] previous 10 [9:49] years George C Marshall became Army [9:52] chief of staff on September 1 [9:57] 1939 now you guys are smart Berkeley [9:59] students anybody know what happened that [10:01] day World War II really begins Germany [10:05] invades Poland what a first day at the [10:08] office now Marshall actually knew this [10:10] was coming he'd been acting chief of [10:12] staff for several months so it wasn't [10:13] like he had to come in and actually [10:14] figure out where the telephone was [10:17] nonetheless he actually was sworn in as [10:20] the Army chief of staff on September 1 [10:23] 1939 he later wrote that the military he [10:27] commanded was quote not even a third [10:30] rate military [10:33] power the Army then including the what [10:36] is now the Air Force had 190,000 [10:40] people it had a handful of Tanks it had [10:43] a handful of bombers most of them [10:46] Antiques and it really was not a very [10:49] effective Force U it was smaller than [10:52] the Bulgarian [10:54] military when he stepped down as Army [10:56] Chief of Staff he had presided over an [10:58] army of 9 million [11:01] people he had presided over the [11:03] transformation of the US Army from what [11:06] he would call a fourth rate power to the [11:09] world's preeminent military power he had [11:13] on his watch seen the development of a [11:16] modern mechanized mobile military that [11:20] is very similar to what you have now in [11:23] fact a lot of the same weapons U as I [11:26] understand it the 50 caliber uh every [11:28] INF Infantry 's favorite weapon for the [11:31] protection it can give you is basically [11:33] the same weapon they fielded in World [11:35] War [11:36] II Marshall focused a lot on [11:41] generalship one of the real Joys I've [11:43] had in my book research is going back [11:45] and really delving into these guys [11:47] papers sitting there and reading Maps uh [11:50] with that have patents writing on them [11:52] and and pencil tactical maps from [11:54] Tunisia from Sicily and one of the [11:57] things I read was a lot of documents [11:58] about how he prepared to take office as [12:01] Army Chief of [12:03] Staff he knew World War II was coming he [12:06] knew we were going to come in on our [12:09] heels and so the first thing he did in [12:11] May [12:12] 1939 was get on the USS Nashville a [12:15] cruiser and go to South [12:18] America why because he wanted to secure [12:21] lines of [12:22] communication across the central [12:24] Atlantic or the South Atlantic knowing [12:27] that we wouldn't be able to get into [12:28] Europe [12:30] he took with him a smart young Colonel [12:32] he liked named Matthew [12:35] Ridgeway they sat on the bow of the [12:37] Nashville for 10 days as they steamed [12:39] towards Rio de [12:41] Janeiro with Marshall talking through [12:44] what he intended to do as Chief of Staff [12:47] to Ridgeway he admired ridgeway's [12:49] managerial ability leadership [12:52] ability and what he told Ridgeway was [12:55] I'm going to clean out the general [12:56] officers I'm going to retire them [13:00] they are old and in the way and one [13:02] thing he'd seen in World War I was that [13:04] persing the American commander in France [13:06] had to spend much too much time firing [13:09] Generals in France Marshall was [13:12] determined that he'd fire them before [13:14] they ever got overseas the first thing [13:16] he did was retire about 200 senior [13:18] Colonels and Generals he called them in [13:21] and said thank you very much for your [13:22] interest in National Defense we are you [13:24] are not going to be leading troops in [13:26] combat you are too old [13:29] this is soft looking guy with a real [13:32] hard Edge to inside [13:35] him the second thing he did was tell a [13:38] lot of guys you're going to train [13:40] divisions but you're not not necessarily [13:41] take them overseas my overseas [13:44] commanders are going to be able to chop [13:45] off on all division commanders and [13:47] Eisenhower and MacArthur ultimately both [13:49] did reject people that Marshall [13:52] proposed even proteses of Marshall it's [13:56] got hammered sometimes [14:02] there was a myth that Marshall had a [14:04] black book that he kept and wrote down [14:05] the names of I've actually researched [14:07] this and I've checked this with [14:08] historians Marshall did not keep a black [14:09] book of people he thought would make [14:12] good officers I think he he really [14:14] didn't need to he knew them all it [14:16] wasn't that big an army if you look at [14:19] who he had on his staff when he was [14:22] running the Infantry school at Fort [14:23] Benning well there's Joe [14:26] Stillwell he's the tactics expert [14:28] there's Bradley he's teaching machine [14:30] guns you know he knew he knew who these [14:33] guys were [14:35] already but there was a list that [14:37] Marshall had and the funny thing is it's [14:39] almost [14:41] unknown I came across because I read [14:43] something a book that almost nobody [14:44] knows about I don't know why Marshall [14:47] famously refused to write a memoir of [14:49] World War II Henry loose the owner of [14:52] Time Life offered him a million dollars [14:54] Marshall had no [14:56] money Henry loose offered a million [14:59] which is real cash back then to write [15:02] his Memoirs and Marshall said no I would [15:05] embarrass too many people and refused to [15:07] write his Memoirs never did but in some [15:11] Idol moments in the 1920s he wrote his [15:13] Memoirs of World War I and in those [15:16] Memoirs and in those letters he kind of [15:18] sorted out what he'd learned in World [15:19] War I as a fast rising young staff [15:22] Colonel ultimately as the aid to [15:25] persing and what he thought the [15:28] requirements of General ship war so I [15:30] found this list and this is Marshall's [15:32] real list not the phony black book thing [15:34] they talk about he wrote this in N [15:36] November 1920 the essential qualities of [15:39] a general they are good Common [15:44] Sense professionally [15:46] educated physically [15:48] strong cheerful and [15:51] optimistic [15:53] energetic extreme loyalty and determined [16:00] what that list is not is Claus [16:02] whian you'll see nothing that really [16:05] reflects Claus witz the Great Prussian [16:06] philosopher of war in there clawz talks [16:09] about things like the ability to have to [16:12] sense the battlefield kind of have a a [16:14] vision of the battlefield to understand [16:16] it it what it is is a very American [16:20] list U and Marshall consciously tailored [16:24] this list to fit the historical and [16:26] strategic circumstances of the United [16:28] United [16:30] States He said look at a cautious quiet [16:33] General might serve in other militaries [16:36] for example the British historically [16:37] have had a small army a stronger Navy so [16:40] a British general probably is [16:41] strategically wise to conserve his [16:43] forces to always to not give battle to [16:47] evade to to preserve your [16:50] Force um but for America there were [16:53] other [16:54] circumstances first of all he said [16:56] America will always produ pursue what he [16:59] called a policy of unpreparedness for [17:02] war we will never go to war prepared [17:05] don't complain about it get used to it [17:07] was his point it's like the weather you [17:11] know you don't you don't hear you know [17:13] officers saying oh I can't go out it's [17:15] raining well at least some most of you [17:17] did [17:19] U what you do is learn to live with it [17:21] so he said [17:23] inevitably we will go into war ill [17:26] trained poorly equipped that means [17:29] almost always we will go into [17:31] demoralizing early battles in our [17:34] Wars so he said the requirement is and [17:38] I'm quoting here for The Dashing [17:41] optimistic and resourceful type quick to [17:44] estimate with Relentless determination [17:47] and who possessed in addition a fund of [17:49] sound Common Sense which operated to [17:52] prevent gross errors due to rapidity of [17:54] decision and [17:56] action the opposite sort of leader he [17:58] wrote was the man who was given to [18:00] pessimism to saying you know we could [18:02] get our butts kicked here he said that [18:05] officer needed to be found and cut out [18:07] of the force like a [18:09] cancer these officers were he said quote [18:12] quickly infected oh these officers when [18:15] put in charge of units quickly infected [18:17] their units with the same spirit and [18:19] grew ineffective unless a more suitable [18:21] Commander is found and given [18:24] charge the Marshall template worked [18:27] really well in World War II [18:30] it lives on today but it doesn't work as [18:33] well and this takes me to the key point [18:36] of what I'm going to talk about here it [18:38] has lost one essential element that [18:41] element was [18:44] relief successful commanders were kept [18:47] in place and promoted unsuccessful [18:49] commanders were relieved and moved into [18:51] other [18:52] jobs this was the way they ran not only [18:55] the off the general officer Corps but [18:57] really all the entire office of Corp in [19:00] World War [19:02] II without that factor I think the [19:04] Marshall template is somewhat crippled [19:07] if you don't punish failure you cannot [19:09] reward success because you're leaving [19:11] failures in place when you leave fail [19:14] failures in place you create an [19:16] atmosphere a culture of mediocrity in [19:19] your entire officer Corp rather than [19:21] everybody driving to the top people tend [19:23] to drive toward the [19:24] middle if you're not punished for [19:27] failure then why why take risk why seek [19:30] success keep your head down and the [19:34] policy of rotation of officers that [19:36] we've had in in from the late Korean War [19:38] on Korea Vietnam Afghanistan Iraq just [19:42] reinforces that tendency to drive to the [19:44] middle and what you get is an officer [19:46] Corp built for stalemate not for [19:49] victory it is forgotten by most people [19:52] though I hope not the people in this GR [20:03] World War II began with a wave of [20:06] firings it was a a kind of cleaning [20:09] house cleaning across the military that [20:11] would astonish people if it occurred [20:15] today two weeks after Pearl Harbor the [20:18] two top commanders in the Pacific [20:20] Admiral Kimmel and general short were [20:25] fired Kimmel by the way anybody know who [20:27] replaced him [20:30] nits yeah come on that's it's a gimme [20:34] guys U he was replaced at the end of [20:36] December 1941 by Chester Nimitz also [20:40] gone from Honolulu was Major General [20:42] Frederick Martin who had been the air [20:44] Commander under General short on the [20:46] European front the Americans banging to [20:49] the Germans in North Africa not long [20:51] afterward the senior tactical Commander [20:54] for the Americans Major General Lloyd [20:56] fredendall is K meanwhile back in [20:59] Washington Marshall is fin finishing up [21:02] his winning of the officer Corp of all [21:05] the senior leaders of the [21:07] army who led the Army in the [21:11] 1930s who did the Louisiana Maneuvers [21:14] for example only one in addition to [21:16] MacArthur who was really out of the army [21:18] during that period he was in the [21:20] Philippines only one got commanded [21:24] General Krueger none of the other senior [21:26] commanders survived into combat [21:30] command during World War II about 165 [21:34] men commanded divisions in [21:37] combat during World War II under this [21:39] policy of relief 16 Division commanders [21:43] were relieved and remember these are the [21:44] people who have already made it through [21:46] the first two hurdles they weren't went [21:48] out out they trained up units and were [21:51] allowed to bring them overseas they were [21:52] in combat and then got relieved these 16 [21:56] guys plus four or five core commanders [21:58] to depending on how you count [21:59] it yet and this is the key Point what [22:03] makes Swift relief work relief is not a [22:06] terminal act in World War II it is not a [22:10] career render sometimes it hardly even [22:12] slows down it's a speed bump for some [22:15] guys several generals at least four were [22:18] relieved from division command in Europe [22:20] and got another division uh within a [22:23] year one Brigadier General hanging sang [22:26] Williams was not only demoted to Colonel [22:30] um he he was he was actually fired [22:32] demoted to Colonel and retired many [22:34] years later as a three- Star [22:36] General another colonel was escorted [22:39] from the battlefield in Normandy under [22:41] armed [22:42] escort wound up retiring as a two star [22:46] so there is hope [22:50] there what got you relieved by Marshall [22:54] well all those characteristics if you [22:56] meet them you probably weren't even to [22:57] get the job in the first place [22:59] but once you had a general slot under [23:03] Marshall what got you relieved first and [23:06] foremost not being a team player he was [23:10] insistent of this this is about the team [23:13] it's not about George Marshall certainly [23:16] it's not about you early in the war he [23:20] heard that one of his weirder generals [23:23] Brigadier General Simon bouevard [23:26] Buckner commanding [23:30] Alaska had rather foolishly written a [23:33] poem making fun of the Navy asserting [23:36] that it was afraid to operate in the [23:38] Bearing Sea and then read it aloud to [23:40] his Naval [23:42] counterpart who then complained to [23:44] Admiral King who went storming into [23:46] Marshall and said what are you going to [23:49] do about this Marshall seriously [23:52] considered firing Buckner ultimately [23:55] decided not to left him in place and he [23:57] was promoted to another job after [24:00] Buckner moved on a new Admiral repay the [24:03] favor by relieving an army General up [24:05] there Eugene Landrum who himself I'm [24:08] sorry he relieved an AR Army another [24:10] Army General Brown who was replaced by [24:12] Eugene Landrum who then gets relieved a [24:15] year later in [24:16] Normandy Buckner goes on meanwhile to [24:19] the Pacific where one of his big jobs is [24:21] to look into one of the most famous [24:23] firings of the war when a Marine General [24:26] fired an army General this is really [24:28] confusing because they have the same [24:29] name it's Marine General hm howling mad [24:32] Smith fired an army General Ralph Smith [24:36] who commanded the 27th Division and [24:38] Buckner led the Army investigation which [24:40] concluded of course that that uh hm [24:44] Smith was wrong actually hm Smith was [24:46] was dead right the unit was [24:49] slow Buckner by the way has two other [24:52] claims to fame his father was the guy [24:56] who commanded the fort that us Grant [24:59] took in the Civil War and um it was fors [25:03] Donaldson and Henry and I really like [25:06] this because it's when Grant got the [25:08] nickname unconditional [25:10] surrender um Grant sends in a note to [25:13] this guy it's like a West Point [25:14] classmate saying um surrender and the [25:18] guy wrote back what are your terms and [25:20] Grant wrote back none I I propose to [25:24] move upon your Works [25:26] immediately Buckner writes back sir you [25:28] are no gentleman which is answered by [25:30] some [25:33] gunfire uh Buckner went on to become the [25:37] highest ranking American officer killed [25:39] by enemy fire in World War II U he was [25:41] standing on a hillside in okanawa [25:43] wearing a shiny helmet with his three [25:45] stars on it a marine officer asked him [25:48] to take off his helmet because it might [25:50] attract artillery fire nonsense says [25:52] Buckner and that's his last words [25:54] because then an artillery shell landed [25:55] next to [25:57] him he was replaced by Joseph Stillwell [26:01] who himself had been relieved of command [26:02] in October 1944 in China it is a [26:05] merrygoround of reliefs in World War II [26:07] it's it's very difficult even to sort it [26:09] out [26:10] historically but I hear you guys up [26:12] there you're historically informed Cadet [26:14] saying but what about Eisenhower he made [26:17] mistakes why wasn't he [26:18] fired Dwight Eisenhower was an [26:21] anomaly and by the way for all you who [26:23] ever get stuck in an EXO position [26:26] remember that Dwight D Eisenhower [26:28] I think in the spring of 1940 was still [26:31] a lieutenant colonel who was EXO of an [26:33] infantry regiment in the state of [26:37] Washington so promotions can come along [26:41] quickly Marshall had singled out [26:44] Eisenhower knowing that when we would be [26:47] going to war we would have to fight [26:49] overseas and in a coalition he wanted a [26:53] guy who was a team player who could keep [26:55] his temper even though he had one and [26:57] would work work relentlessly within a [26:59] coalition and he knew a lot of officers [27:01] there was a real anti-british streak in [27:03] the US Army U he knew a lot of officers [27:06] wouldn't be able to do that he knew Ike [27:08] would and so he had Ike brought along [27:10] very [27:11] quickly but Eisenhower himself um [27:14] actually thought at one point that he [27:16] was came close to being fired In late [27:19] 1943 in Algeria there's a very murky [27:22] Affair called the Daron [27:23] Affair u a kind of fascist BR uh French [27:28] Admiral that Eisenhower kind of put in [27:31] place the guy was a Vite he'd been [27:33] playing footsie with the Nazis for for [27:37] Ike was a matter of expediency but it [27:39] caused a huge political fuss back here [27:41] and at one point Ike wrote to his son [27:44] that he might be [27:45] removed um and he said if it happens [27:47] don't worry about it it's it's it's [27:49] there's a larger cause here it is true [27:52] though that the lesson of Eisenhower a [27:54] lot of other four stars and some three [27:56] stars is the higher you Rose [27:58] in the war the less likely you were to [28:01] be relieved partly there just weren't a [28:03] lot of other people who could step into [28:04] those [28:06] jobs Coalition Warfare also increased [28:09] the likelihood of relief and by this I [28:11] mean genuine coalitions not the phony [28:13] things we've had in Iraq and Afghanistan [28:16] where basically they're window dressing [28:19] and we're not really operating with them [28:21] as equals we were working with the [28:23] British as equals at the beginning of [28:25] the war really operating with them as [28:27] inferiors they had a a lot of contempt [28:28] for us including for Marshall and [28:31] Eisenhower in Coalition Warfare not only [28:34] do you have to operate to the [28:36] satisfaction of your own chain of [28:38] command your own leadership but also to [28:40] that of the Coalition several generals [28:42] were fired at The Pest of the British [28:44] during World War [28:45] II U one was for example or Orlando Ward [28:49] commanded the first Army division in [28:52] North Africa Ike was pretty happy with [28:54] him the British said we're not the next [28:57] day Ike fired him sent him [29:00] back and this was a guy who had been [29:03] Secretary of Marshall's general [29:06] staff at at the outset of the war this [29:08] is kind of a marshal [29:10] Protege yet again combat relief was not [29:13] the end of the career by the following [29:15] year Orlando Ward commanded another [29:17] combat division the 20th armored and at [29:19] the end of the war he briefly commanded [29:21] the fifth [29:23] Corp meditating on the Allied victory in [29:26] Tunisia a couple of after that fire [29:29] remember the Allied victory in Tunisia [29:32] um is the in the spring of 43 is is the [29:35] first Allied Triumph in the West after a [29:38] series of defeats in the west and in [29:41] Singapore and so on Eisenhower wrote [29:44] down some of his initial conclusions [29:46] about what he'd seen as a senior [29:48] Commander this is what Eisenhower [29:50] wrote what works he said immediate and [29:54] continuous loyalty to the concept of [29:56] unity and Allied commanders is basic to [30:01] Victory the instant such commanders lose [30:05] the confidence of either government or [30:08] of the majority of their principal [30:09] subordinates they must be [30:11] relieved this is his conclusion from the [30:14] first campaign he later wrote that Swift [30:18] relief was the price of giving autonomy [30:21] to Battlefield commanders of being led [30:23] by intent which is what we try to do [30:26] rather than micromanagement which is [30:28] what we often fall [30:29] into why is that why is relief connected [30:33] to not being [30:35] micromanaged Ike thought about this and [30:37] he went on to write the American [30:39] Doctrine has always been to assign a [30:40] theater Commander a mission to provide [30:43] him with a definite amount of force and [30:46] then to interfere as little as possible [30:48] in the execution of his [30:50] plans if results obtained by the field [30:52] commander become [30:54] unsatisfactory the proper procedure is [30:57] not to advise admonish and harass him [31:00] but to replace [31:07] him the bottom line is in World War II [31:11] you basically had 60 to 90 days to [31:14] either be [31:15] successful be killed or be relieved and [31:19] frankly your train of command really [31:21] didn't care which one it was you needed [31:24] to [31:26] perform but even successful commanders [31:28] can be booted at the outset I mentioned [31:30] Terry deesa Allen Terry Allen terrible [31:33] Terry Terry they called him commander of [31:35] the first infant division Sicily summer [31:37] of [31:38] 1943 you want to talk about old school [31:41] Allen is as old school as they come he [31:44] was a hard drinking cavalryman from the [31:46] frontier West famously once raced a [31:49] cowboy across Texas on horses they're [31:52] from I think from um San Antonio to [31:55] Dallas um and and he did it like two [32:00] hours faster and it was the Army against [32:01] the cowboy and all the newspapers [32:03] covered this in the [32:05] 1930s uh he liked to play craps with his [32:10] soldiers he was super old school he was [32:12] actually born in a fort in the old [32:15] west he did not fit in with the Marshall [32:18] Eisenhower Bradley template the new [32:20] corporate type General the calm [32:23] cheerful team player he was a cavalryman [32:27] and one play it was dangerous to be a [32:28] Calvary men was in the US Army in Europe [32:30] in World War II this was an infantry [32:32] show they didn't trust Calvary men they [32:35] all remember the lesson of Gettysburg [32:37] Jeb Stewart ran away up to Carlile and [32:40] left Lee blind they wanted guys who were [32:43] tied in on their [32:44] lines you could lose the war they [32:48] thought by being too aggressive taking [32:50] too many risk you couldn't lose it by [32:52] being too cautious and that's what Omar [32:54] Bradley specialized in his middle name [32:57] was caution [32:59] so Arland does a terrific job in [33:03] Tunisia my favorite moment in Tunisia is [33:05] one day he gets an order to attack at [33:08] dawn and he says why wait till dawn I'll [33:09] attack at midnight he attacks at [33:12] midnight gets to his the uh position [33:14] he's supposed to be in and um his forces [33:17] are up ahead of him and George Patton [33:19] shows up and starts screaming at him in [33:20] his little squeaky voice because Patton [33:22] had a really genuinely squeaky voice [33:24] what are you doing sitting here you're [33:25] supposed to be attacking right now Allan [33:28] looks up and says I'm already in my [33:29] position I took all the all the assign [33:32] spots so he kind of out patent patented [33:36] there at [33:37] Sicily US forces came very close to [33:40] being thrown back onto the beach the day [33:42] after the landing Allan again got his [33:46] forces together after a hard day of [33:47] fighting at one point his infantrymen [33:50] ducking down into holes and letting the [33:52] panzers roll over their [33:55] heads they had um they got the German [33:57] tanks got as close as a kilometer from [34:00] the beach that The Landings were [34:02] occurring on the first inry division [34:04] under Terry Allen stopped them stopped [34:07] them again because the Germans were [34:08] marshalling for an attack at dawn and [34:10] Terry said let's attack at 4:00 a.m. and [34:13] he caught them as they were [34:15] marshalling so Sicily early August he's [34:18] had a hard six weeks of fighting he wins [34:21] at [34:22] troa and Omar Bradley fires [34:25] him it's just amazing to me [34:29] and he was replaced by Major General [34:32] Clarence hubner who fit the Marshall [34:34] template [34:35] perfectly hubner also needed a job [34:38] because he had been fired as Deputy [34:39] Chief of Staff to a British general [34:41] Harold Alexander just a few weeks [34:43] earlier again [34:46] though Terry Allen gets another command [34:48] he's back in combat a year later he [34:50] trains and commands the 104th division [34:53] takes it all the way from Normandy into [34:55] Germany the real question to me about [34:57] Sicily is not why Terry Allen was fired [35:00] it's why Patton wasn't and I still [35:02] haven't quite figured this out the Clos [35:04] less to Ike is very important in the [35:07] case of Patton remember at the beginning [35:09] of the war Patton outranks Eisenhower [35:12] Ike writes to him and says I hear you [35:14] getting an Armored Division can I get a [35:17] brigade and patton kind of tells them [35:20] well I'd love to give you a brigade [35:21] fellow but you're a great staff officer [35:23] you can be my chief of staff [35:28] also Eisenhower knew that Patton had one [35:31] great skill he was lousy in the [35:33] defense he was was not good at [35:36] coordinating but he was great in the [35:38] pursuit and Eisenhower Knew by mid 42 [35:42] that within two or three years they [35:44] probably would be chasing the Germans [35:46] across Germany and that's basically why [35:48] he preserved Patton in his [35:50] career Patton by the way makes fun of [35:54] Bradley and Ike for all the relieving [35:57] they did he said they're very bad about [35:58] relieving guys too [36:00] often on the other hand Patton didn't [36:02] pass along the favor in the end of 1944 [36:05] he fires John Wood actually a very well [36:08] respected and admired division commander [36:11] commander of the fourth Armored Division [36:12] fired him said you're sick go [36:16] home there were tons of other reliefs in [36:18] World War [36:20] II lucky for you I'm not going to to [36:22] discuss them [36:23] all but the names briefly Dolly Lucas [36:28] the relief of division commanders in [36:30] Normandy is [36:31] extraordinary melie gets relieved after [36:33] 3 days in combat Landrum and Watson get [36:36] relieved a few weeks later the another [36:38] thing I'm not going to talk about is the [36:40] generals who should have been relieved [36:41] but weren't they both have names [36:43] beginning with m MacArthur and [36:46] Marshall um at one point at the end of [36:49] 44 Eisenhower drafted a cable asking for [36:52] the relief of Montgomery but didn't send [36:54] it I suspect he drafted it and showed it [36:57] around because he knew he really [36:58] couldn't get mcgomery [37:00] fired the point here though to remember [37:02] the takeaway is that relief was very [37:04] common the more common it was the less [37:07] extreme it seems it becomes a normal [37:10] management tool hiring and firing are [37:13] the two basic tools they use both of [37:15] them a lot relief did not mean you were [37:17] bad did not mean you were [37:19] cowardly it could just mean you were out [37:21] of step with your commander or your [37:23] allies it most of all was not terminal [37:27] so what went [37:29] wrong my hypothesis is that the Marshall [37:32] model the relief which is a tradition in [37:35] American history Marshall didn't invent [37:36] it reliefs Mark the American Revolution [37:40] the Civil War Lincoln's search for a [37:42] general World War I and World War [37:45] II we even have a bunch of reliefs five [37:48] division commanders relieved by Ridgeway [37:50] in Korea early in 1951 by late Korea [37:54] though they they stopped relieving [37:57] people and I think there's a couple of [37:58] reasons here the first is it is more [38:02] difficult to relieve commanders in [38:03] unpopular [38:05] Wars the second is if you have rotation [38:09] which they began in Korea in [38:11] 52 then the sense is why fire the guy by [38:15] the time you figure it out he's just not [38:16] going to get any better he's going to be [38:18] going home [38:20] soon in World War II there was no [38:22] rotation home remember the road the road [38:24] home went through Berlin was the saying [38:27] but started in 50 um 51 is it yeah 51 [38:31] and we've had it in Vietnam Iraq and [38:34] Afghanistan once you have onee tours [38:36] relief goes way down in Vietnam West [38:40] merland comp compounds this error by [38:42] doing six-month command tours an officer [38:44] will be out for a year six-month command [38:46] six-month staff and because guys are [38:49] also getting killed and wounded promoted [38:53] into other jobs U you had churning in [38:56] the ranks of command and the other day I [38:58] was reading about a guy u in the [39:00] Americal Division a particularly rough [39:02] division who had seven company [39:04] commanders in 6 [39:08] months when you have that kind of [39:10] churning when the officers don't know [39:11] their subordinates you really increase [39:14] micromanagement this is one reason I [39:16] think we saw the hovering of Battalion [39:18] Brigade commanders and helicopters in [39:20] the Vietnam War you don't know these [39:23] people you don't trust them the final [39:25] nail in the tradition of relief came um [39:30] in the Vietnam War the first Infantry [39:33] Division Terry Allen's old division has [39:36] a commander very much like Terry Allen [39:38] named William [39:39] Dew veteran of Normandy he's commanding [39:43] the first ID in [39:45] 1966 in one year he relieves 11 [39:49] Battalion commanders or Battalion [39:50] equivalent Harold K Johnson the chief of [39:53] staff of the army shows up in his Hooch [39:55] at [39:55] Christmas why are you firing all my [39:58] Battalion commanders Harold Johnson says [40:00] you're supposed to train them the [40:03] assistant of division Commander pipes up [40:05] and says funny I thought we were [40:06] supposed to fight [40:09] them despite this the Pew did not get [40:12] fired because they didn't fire generals [40:15] anymore in the entire Vietnam War I'm [40:17] aware of only one division commander who [40:20] got fired and it was not the division [40:22] commander who presided over me Li by the [40:25] way he just went on to be superintendent [40:27] of West Point before he was [40:31] charged so to wind up when you lose the [40:34] tool of relief you wind up with a lot of [40:38] hardworking determined loyal cheerful [40:43] risk averse [40:45] conformist I suspect you could draw an [40:47] intellectual straight line from Omar [40:50] Bradley to Omaha Beach to Norman Schwarz [40:53] Coff's initial plan the 99 1991 Gulf War [40:57] to Tommy Frank's on imaginative plan for [40:59] Iraq Iraq in the in the spring of [41:02] 2003 in all three cases you could [41:05] describe their approach in a few short [41:08] words hey diddle didd straight up the [41:12] middle all three generals by the way [41:14] also Focus much too much on the initial [41:18] assault and much too little on what came [41:21] after it to the detriment of their [41:25] forces so is the Marshall model dead I [41:28] think we are close to it no one gets [41:31] fired anymore except for fourstar [41:34] generals why because they don't rotate [41:37] and they get fired by civilians so my [41:40] concluding thought is if the Army won't [41:43] fire generals civilians [41:46] will in [41:48] fact the Korean war is marked now in our [41:53] memories most for the firing of [41:55] MacArthur that begins really the [41:57] tradition of the firing of generals and [41:59] it almost comes exactly the same moment [42:02] that we stop that the generals were [42:04] stopping to fire themselves so I think [42:07] my final thought for you it is time to [42:09] restore the tradition of relief thank [42:12] you very [42:13] [Applause] [42:24] much thank you very much Mr rck we [42:26] actually have some time for questions [42:28] and answers so uh if you're interested [42:30] in asking Mr Rick some questions uh [42:32] we've got some microphones here we'll [42:33] pass them up the uh up the aisle so [42:36] please feel free uh I also want to [42:38] remind everybody that upon conclusion of [42:40] this uh this evening there will be a a [42:42] reception at the women's Faculty Club [42:44] immediately following so with that we'll [42:46] take your qu [42:48] questions I'm sorry what was [42:51] that oh I'm sorry the Berkeley s [42:58] The Faculty Club [43:01] apologize okay I want you to fire away [43:04] with your questions or even just your [43:06] responses comments and [43:08] denunciations um I've only got one [43:10] request I used to be a reporter I've got [43:12] very thick skin so don't try to not hurt [43:15] my feelings thank you for your comments [43:18] sir my name is Ronald Winter Hold up [43:20] your hand I can't see where you are [43:22] okay and uh talking in regard to firing [43:27] and [43:28] relief in that regard uh in our current [43:31] situation in [43:33] Afghanistan um did mccristal put himself [43:37] in a position to get fired or did was he [43:40] fired by incompetence or what your [43:43] opinion [43:44] please um you all heard the question [43:47] okay [43:49] um now is your question did mistal want [43:52] to go or is your [43:55] question did m is M Crystal's [43:58] fault he set himself up to [44:02] go [44:03] well I don't think he was trying to get [44:07] out but I always thought that um mistal [44:11] had all in the war fighting ability than [44:14] David Petraeus and more but none of the [44:16] political [44:17] Savvy um Petraeus really knows the [44:20] reporters he's he's talking to my [44:22] impression was mccristal didn't didn't [44:24] know who he was talking to um my itude [44:27] when you're embedded is you got to tell [44:29] people you know is this on the record or [44:32] something you can't be around people all [44:34] the time and expect them to be on the [44:36] record all the time and what happened [44:39] was this Rolling Stone reporter is [44:40] drinking beers with these guys in Paris [44:42] on the on a diplomatic trip on their [44:44] flight home and he's just writing [44:46] everything down and it showed up in [44:47] print there's never been an allegation [44:49] that he violated ground rules that means [44:52] that mistal and the people around him [44:55] were indisciplined [44:57] um and additionally that the public [45:00] affairs office failed utterly to brief [45:03] his commander on who you're dealing with [45:05] the job of a good public affairs officer [45:07] is know who these reporters are know [45:09] what their reputations are know whether [45:10] you can trust these [45:13] people thank you you're [45:18] welcome if you Cadets and mides don't [45:21] start asking questions I'm going to call [45:22] on you [45:25] so um speaking of firing in a nutshell [45:29] Abu [45:30] gab who should have been fired and why [45:34] I'm glad you mention that because [45:35] whenever I say nobody gets fired anymore [45:38] there like I was speaking at 41 where [45:40] somebody go what about Janice [45:42] karpinsky U Jan scar Pinsky for those [45:44] who forgot was the Army Reserve uh [45:47] Brigadier who presided over the ALU gra [45:50] mass and she was about as outside the [45:53] club as you can be and still have a [45:55] general star on your shoulder [45:57] she was a reservist she was from a [45:59] non-combat arm and she was a [46:02] female um I thought the guy she was [46:07] reporting to and I'm blanking out his [46:09] name [46:11] wowski uh Army General should have been [46:14] fired and Sanchez should have been fired [46:15] everybody knew Sanchez should have been [46:17] fired Sanchez was a big mistake this is [46:19] actually the joke of Donald rumsfeld's [46:21] Memoir is he sort of says hey how did [46:24] Sanchez wind up in Iraq well GE you were [46:27] Secretary of Defense you might have [46:29] asked um I know for a fact I know of one [46:32] senior Army General who went to John [46:33] abade and said don't put Sanchez in [46:36] there he's a lightweight he's the most [46:38] Junior three star in the Army he is not [46:40] capable of this job an opinion by the [46:42] way I utterly endorse having been [46:44] embedded with Sanchez going into Iraq [46:47] and sitting in his morning brief every [46:49] morning and thinking geez this guy is a [46:51] jumped up Battalion commander who [46:54] doesn't understand what he's getting [46:55] into he pride of himself and I asked him [46:57] one day about this he pride of himself [47:00] chewing out Junior officers in the [47:02] briefings yesterday you said that [47:03] Battalion was missing 24 tires today you [47:05] said [47:06] 22 did you find two tires I thought my [47:09] God this is not the way you take over a [47:13] country you know he's doing it you know [47:15] probably the Brigade xo's job and so he [47:19] was just a big mistake so I thought they [47:21] probably in an alternate universe [47:23] universe had we had relief quick [47:26] movement and it it did wasn't [47:28] politically embarrassing I could see a [47:29] scenario in the spring of 04 where they [47:31] looked around and said you know this is [47:33] what they would have done in World War [47:34] II of all the division commanders who's [47:36] done a decent job here hey that betrayus [47:38] guy up north no he can't stand them he's [47:40] an intellectual he likes [47:43] reporters you know PhD from Princeton I [47:45] mean three strikes [47:47] man but he's successful this is for [47:51] example what the Army did with Joe [47:52] Collins World War II smart young guy [47:55] they put him out in guat Canal [47:57] now does a good job MacArthur says that [48:01] he he's too young to be promoted to core [48:03] command Collins flies back to the United [48:05] States walks into Marshall's office and [48:07] says get me out of Pacific I ain't [48:10] working for MacArthur now Marshall and [48:12] MacArthur could stand each other and [48:14] MacArthur UND Marshall understood this [48:16] perfectly they put Collins in Europe [48:18] where he became the best core Commander [48:21] the guy they constantly relied on for [48:23] example for the Breakthrough at s low um [48:26] and ultimately becomes Army Chief of [48:28] Staff [48:30] succeeding whoever CED Bradley [48:33] no but yeah I think he must have [48:35] succeeded Bradley eisenh Hower Bradley [48:37] Collins in about [48:39] 47 um so I thought the whole chain of [48:42] command could have been different U had [48:44] you done that with Petraeus I think the [48:45] war would have been different um but you [48:48] didn't have a structure that was geared [48:50] to that it would have been seemed it [48:52] would have seemed too turbulent to do [48:55] that sort of thing who was the guy that [48:57] brought [48:59] over yeah I forgotten his name um was he [49:03] brought over specif because they wanted [49:04] to change the [49:06] attitude well the funny thing was it was [49:08] sort of like we should do something [49:10] let's get some GMO interrogation [49:11] techniques you know what you needed at [49:13] Abu grabe you needed things [49:15] like thoughtful oversight the Abu grabe [49:19] prison was right on the seam between the [49:21] 82nd Airborne base to the west and some [49:24] other guys on the east [49:27] the MPS there this junky reserve unit uh [49:31] had no heavy Firepower they weren't [49:34] patrolling on their perimeter um [49:36] insurgents were coming right up to them [49:37] and just mortaring them and shooting at [49:39] them they were totally out of control of [49:41] the situation they didn't have a lot of [49:42] Mobility or Firepower um general swanic [49:46] commanded the 82 Airborne I've got some [49:47] problems with him otherwise but to his [49:49] credit one day he shows up at Abu grabe [49:51] and says you know Janice what's going on [49:54] here and she says I just I'm getting [49:56] hammered he said fine and he puts out [49:57] some patrols and he sort of clears out [49:59] that seam there but um it was just a [50:02] really lousy situation there's just a [50:04] huge amounts of inattention and a Hummer [50:07] belief if we pretend if you know we all [50:09] hold hands to pretend things are good [50:10] they'll be good and that's a basic [50:13] failure in command clwt says the first [50:15] and really only task of the commander is [50:19] to understand the nature of the conflict [50:21] as in which he was [50:23] engaged I would argue that we didn't [50:25] have that understanding on the ground in [50:27] Iraq until about December 2006 which is [50:30] a long damn time to fight that's longer [50:33] than we fought World War [50:36] II oh [50:38] good [50:40] courage evening [50:50] sir uh good evening sir I'm MIP lzma [50:53] from UC Davis um I had a question you've [50:55] talked a lot about the um army [50:57] especially but the Navy had a large [50:59] number of uh Co firings or commanding [51:02] officering firings I wonder if you could [51:03] talk about that cuz it did seem like [51:05] quite a lot and that maybe um if if [51:08] there's a difference with the way the [51:10] different forces are handling that [51:13] situation [51:14] um I have not followed the Navy stuff as [51:17] closely I mean I do see it notice it [51:19] right about it in my blog but I haven't [51:20] done a lot of work looking into it like [51:22] I've been steeping myself in the [51:24] situation with army generals for the [51:26] last three and [51:27] years um and really the last 10 [51:30] years first of all there is a very [51:33] different Naval tradition of command and [51:35] relief [51:37] um but even that has has changed [51:40] somewhat I always like the fact that in [51:42] World War I two members of The Joint [51:43] Chiefs have been Court marshaled in [51:44] their [51:45] youth Vandergriff and King and I think [51:49] Hy had as well hadn't he U it was not a [51:52] career Ender you know you took you took [51:55] the uh the the L and and kept on moving [51:59] U I generally think relief of commanders [52:02] is a good thing there's another person [52:04] you know if you really do care about [52:07] your enlisted uh more than you care [52:09] about your the happiness of your off [52:12] officer Corp you will get rid of bad [52:14] people this comes up in World War II a [52:16] lot with Marshall when somebody comes [52:18] and like some Congressman complains [52:20] constantly he's getting why why was so [52:23] and so removed and he writes back again [52:25] and again this is a [52:28] democracy and the enlisted count for [52:30] more in my mind than the officer Corp I [52:33] am not going to let soldiers get killed [52:35] just to help some officer's career [52:38] along um so I think the Navy has lost a [52:42] little bit of B but it's still got a [52:44] good strong tradition of relief my one [52:46] asterisk on it is um all these reliefs [52:50] seem to be in surface Warfare except [52:53] maybe recently the carrier the carrier [52:55] guys [52:56] and I do worry about this phrasee you [52:58] hear sometimes SW e they're [53:00] young um and I do worry about a cultural [53:03] problem in the Navy with that time for [53:05] one more question [53:07] what okay two more we're going to get an [53:10] army question [53:12] here I can't see [53:18] what so you mentioned you were hoping [53:20] that the Army would start you know [53:22] bringing in this you know bring kind of [53:24] firing of of generals or other officers [53:26] if necessary do you feel in general that [53:28] the Army is changing and adapting to the [53:31] situation that there's facing Iraq or [53:34] no it's a good question the answer short [53:37] answer is no I don't what happened after [53:39] Vietnam is the Army had a magnificent [53:41] rebuilding they really revised the force [53:44] and how it was trained how it was [53:46] equipped how it was prepared ethically [53:48] to think about what it [53:51] did the one thing they did not do and I [53:54] blame William Dew for this they did not [53:56] not revised [53:57] generalship they basically built this [54:01] powerful new body and slapped a rotten [54:02] old head on [54:04] it and they did not revisit the failures [54:08] of generalship in World in Vietnam and [54:09] really even to this day have not um how [54:13] could we do this differently U their [54:15] argument was we did great um but the [54:18] media the politicians and the safenames [54:21] all screwed screwed us up that is not [54:23] the case um there there were a lot there [54:27] was a lot of bad generalship in [54:29] Vietnam and so I think the Army has [54:31] never really dealt with that the Army [54:33] has adapted a lot in the last 10 years [54:37] but it has not really changed how it [54:38] thinks about [54:39] generalship um in fact if anything has [54:41] Cutten I think a bit worse because [54:43] people are so worn [54:44] out um by constant tours the [54:49] professional military education at the [54:50] war college level I think has gotten uh [54:53] kind of bad uh what you would hope is at [54:57] that level guys would learn chronical [54:58] thinking and instead they're exhausted [55:00] they come in and they really just all [55:02] they want to do is kind of try to you [55:04] rehabilitate the marriage take care of [55:06] the family catch their breath and get [55:07] ready to go back out [55:09] again so I've got some real real worries [55:12] about [55:14] that okay this is going to be the last [55:16] question so it's got to be a good [55:19] one good evening sir Mitch second class [55:21] Ray from UC Brickley sir it seemed kind [55:23] of counterintuitive when you were saying [55:24] that um the the Americans failure to uh [55:28] or our current failure to fire our [55:29] general officers um would lead to a more [55:32] conservative uh group of General [55:34] officers less willing to take risks um [55:37] like my gut reaction was that um firing [55:40] more people would make people less [55:41] likely to you know go against go against [55:43] the grain and whatnot could you just [55:44] elaborate on what you meant by that sure [55:47] counterintuitive is Berkeley talk for [55:51] wrong [55:53] no no you're actually you're right [55:55] because the proper word is counter it [55:57] does seem counterintuitive uh this is [56:00] the situation when nobody gets [56:03] fired there's no incentive to take [56:06] risk um if you could basically just get [56:09] in get out not cause any [56:12] waves and if that's going to be just as [56:15] good as the guy who who goes out and [56:17] takes huge risk a lot of people are [56:19] going to Veer towards not taking [56:21] risk uh I had long conversations with [56:24] betrus about this when I was writing the [56:25] Gamble and one of the themes he brought [56:28] to his Commander's meetings was take [56:31] some freaking risk around [56:33] here stick your head out and everybody [56:36] has to do it together because otherwise [56:38] all you get is One Nail sticking up um [56:40] and you get defeated in detail you [56:42] really need everybody to take risk [56:44] together and that's what you got in the [56:45] spring of 07 in Iraq the so-called surge [56:49] it really wasn't that many more troops [56:51] but it was a really different attitude [56:53] which is we're all going to go out there [56:55] and we're going to get hit hard in the [56:56] spring of 07 was the bloodiest phase of [56:58] the war I remember I think it was May of [57:01] 07 they lost 215 [57:03] soldiers um which is a lot in that war [57:06] and especially at that that late in the [57:08] war Umbra seeing betrayus in may7 he [57:12] just looked drawn now of course it turns [57:14] out he had cancer at the time as well [57:15] but he didn't know that um he he really [57:19] just looked wiped out and it was the [57:21] only time the whole time I was were in [57:22] the gamble that he lost his temper with [57:24] me and basically threw me out of his [57:25] office [57:26] and I after I went to his schedule and I [57:28] said look I I kind of looked at the [57:30] schedule and I said please do not [57:32] schedule my 1-hour interviews with [57:34] Petraeus between a 1hour VTC with the [57:37] president and a 1hour VTC with Admiral [57:41] Fallon this is just not a good time slot [57:45] in his [57:46] life and so they they didn't do it after [57:49] that [57:52] um if there's no reward for taking risk [57:56] people [57:58] won't what why why would you so what you [58:01] want to do is skew your incentive [58:03] structure towards General risk-taking [58:05] Prudential risk-taking not not wildly [58:07] aggressive risk-taking I would actually [58:09] say more of the type of Patton Patton [58:12] was crazy in a lot of ways but he was [58:13] not a crazy Warf fighter except at the [58:16] end of the war when he did this goofy [58:17] mission to rescue his son-in-law uh and [58:19] got a battalion wiped out [58:24] um he understood his enemy and he took a [58:27] lot of risk and he understood the enemy [58:28] is almost always going to be as tired as [58:31] you if you go the extra mile frequently [58:34] that's the measure that wins you [58:36] Victory thank you very much [58:39] [Applause]